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Age 34
Height 6' 4"
Reach 78"
Weight 260 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 6' 4"
Reach 78.0"
Weight 265 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Waldo Cortes Acosta
5.54 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.38 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.44 TD Avg
57.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Shamil Gaziev
2.62 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
3.97 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.93 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
83.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Waldo Cortes Acosta - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 328 · May 09, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexander Volkov 0 88 of 143 61% 88 of 143 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 54 of 130 41% 54 of 130 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexander Volkov 0 33 of 44 75% 33 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexander Volkov 0 34 of 56 60% 34 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexander Volkov 0 21 of 43 48% 21 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 17 of 50 34% 17 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexander Volkov 88 of 143 61% 22 of 70 23 of 29 43 of 44 88 of 143 0 of 0 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 54 of 130 41% 30 of 91 6 of 13 18 of 26 53 of 129 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexander Volkov 33 of 44 75% 4 of 14 8 of 8 21 of 22 33 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 15 of 33 45% 7 of 21 2 of 4 6 of 8 15 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alexander Volkov 34 of 56 60% 13 of 31 7 of 11 14 of 14 34 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 22 of 47 46% 8 of 29 3 of 6 11 of 12 22 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexander Volkov 21 of 43 48% 5 of 25 8 of 10 8 of 8 21 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 17 of 50 34% 15 of 41 1 of 3 1 of 6 16 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Volkov (-180), Cortes-Acosta (+150)

Round 1
Although the UFC’s heavyweight title picture is in flux with Tom Aspinall still recovering, Jon Jones suggesting that Elvis has left the building and Ciryl Gane battling Alex Pereira for the interim strap, this next one might end up serving as a de facto eliminator match. Volkov (39-11, 13-5 UFC) may have questionably come up on the wrong end of the scorecards in his rematch with Gane, and a win could propel him back to gold. Standing in his way will be surging former pitcher Cortes-Acosta (17-2, 10-2 UFC), who has won three straight. Referee Mike Beltran will take charge of the big men, standing back as they lumber towards one another without a glove touch in sight.
Volkov starts off with kicks to the lead leg and body. He alternates them while Cortes-Acosta tries to get a read on his way in. Volkov keeps pecking away with these distance-keeping kicks, and he takes a flush jab on the nose. Cortes-Acosta whiffs on a right hand follow-up, but his low kick scores with an audible thud. Cortes-Acosta chases after the Russian, coiling back his right hand to attack. Volkov keeps to his preferred range, bringing up a foot just short of the face and going right back to the front leg. Volkov lands a low kick, and Cortes-Acosta charges him behind four punches that largely careen off the raised guard. Cortes-Acosta again tries to swarm, but Volkov slips and clips him with a left hook while escaping.
Volkov peppers the midsection with his foot as fans chant his name, and he is in range for just one punch before strafing to the side. Volkov beats on the lead leg a few more times, doing so until Cortes-Acosta leans down to try to catch it. Cortes-Acosta does not get the leg, so he wings power punches that miss the mark. Volkov slams his shin in the body, and he is met with a jab and sees the overhand coming at him. Volkov pushes off the belly and spins away before absorbing anything of merit. Cortes-Acosta blitzes him and lands a left hand flush, and Volkov splits off and continues his decimation of the front leg. Volkov’s one-two misses, and Cortes-Acosta rallies with his own jab. Cortes-Acosta digs a left hand to the side, and his overhand right misses while Volkov is resetting. Volkov lands a few more kicks as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Volkov

Round 2
The heavyweights do not break their gaze when leaving their corners, and Volkov picks up where he left off with a slapping body kick. Cortes-Acosta smacks his side to draw more on, and he wings a right hand that buzzes the tower. Volkov ducks a monster punch to clinch up, and Cortes-Acosta lashes out with an elbow that is an inch away from doing damage. Volkov works the inside of the front leg, and he stays planted too long and is clubbed with a right hand. Volkov circles off and plants a front kick on the stomach and another to the front leg. Volkov offers a high kick up and dances away from the counters he knows are coming, and he does not slow on working the front leg with his kicks. Cortes-Acosta kicks him back a few times, but the impact of the swings differs significantly. Volkov lances Cortes-Acosta with a one-two, moving to the side as he is more intent on breaking his foe down than outright knocking him flat.
The low kicks are starting to have an impact, with Cortes-Acosta tripping up on his way in. Cortes-Acosta lobs a bomb of a right hand, and Volkov shifts to the side. Cortes-Acosta points to the ground to try to initiate a brawl, angrily shouting at his opponent. Volkov welcomes this by blasting Cortes-Acosta in the face with a left hand that staggers him. Cortes-Acosta backs off and tries to lure his foe in, but Volkov is smart and just tags him on the outside. Volkov’s body kick gets through, and he leans away as Cortes-Acosta telegraphs his swings. He scores a low kick, and a frustrated Cortes-Acosta turns his hips into one coming back at him. Volkov flicks out a body kick and brushes Cortes-Acosta’s hair with his shin, catching a leaning Cortes-Acosta with a long right hand. A think trickle of blood leaks from the top of Volkov’s cheek, and he does not change his game plan one iota as he rips the body. Cortes-Acosta crashes at him with heavy punches, only to be jabbed back by the Russian. Volkov’s final inside low kick of the round draws a noteworthy reaction out of his opponent, with Cortes-Acosta limping back to lean on his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Volkov

Round 3
Cortes-Acosta is the aggressor to start the final frame, whether he is tied on the scorecards or down on them, it does not matter. He flicks a low kick at the Russian, slowly working his way to crowd forward. Volkov chambers and looses a kick to the ribs, and he goes upstairs and then to the sternum in rapid succession. Cortes-Acosta’s own counter kick does not land, and he gets his leg kicked out from beneath him when rushing forward. Cortes-Acosta lunges with his fingers outstretched and jams one in Volkov’s eye, and Beltran is about to have them play through it but calls time instead to let Volkov recover. When they resume, Cortes-Acosta is angry. The Dominican starts hurling bombs, and Volkov suddenly freezes him with a jab directly into the eye socket. Volkov’s nose is pouring blood out after absorbing a bomb or two, but Cortes-Acosta is the one who appears to be struggling more as Volkov pecks away at him. Volkov digs a kick to the body and leans as a right hand upstairs brushes past his hair. Cortes-Acosta loads up on big firepower, further bloodying up the Russian’s nose as he headhunts. Volkov stands in the pocket too long to absorb a flush uppercut, but his position allows him to jab out with a front kick that sucks some of the air out of Cortes-Acosta’s lungs.
Cortes-Acosta rushes forward for a takedown, and Volkov stonewalls him and shoves him to the fence. Cortes-Acosta breaks off with a knee to the body. Volkov backs off, breathing hard as he struggles to get any air through his bloodied nostrils, and he offers up a body kick. Volkov hammers the front leg with a kick, and Cortes-Acosta has his right hand coiled and ready to launch. Cortes-Acosta uses power jabs, targeting the beacon that is Volkov’s red and shiny nose. Volkov jabs him back, and he dodges a missile of a right hand by a whisker. Volkov pins a one-two on the nose and lands two low kicks, the second of which staggering Cortes-Acosta. Cortes-Acosta still goes out swinging furiously, and he tries to get one last brawl with seconds left. Volkov gets on his bike after jabbing and chopping at the front leg, and he stays out of range as time runs out.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-28 Volkov)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-28 Volkov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (29-28 Volkov)

The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Waldo Cortes-Acosta via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Angelo picks Waldo Cortes Acosta, betting on him at +160. He cites Waldo's athleticism, youth, and power, and notes that Volkov doesn't hit very hard. He thinks Waldo's footwork and takedown threat will be key, and that Volkov's only path is to wrestle, which Waldo can defend.

bet on Waldo at plus 160
"I'm picking Waldo here. I even bet on Waldo at plus 160."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Angelo picks Waldo Cortes Acosta as a dog, citing his athleticism, speed, and power. He notes Volkov has no takedown defense and Waldo can close distance without fear of Volkov's power. He mentions Waldo's win over Derrick Lewis and his ability to out-strike and out-grapple. He is concerned about Volkov's offensive wrestling but still picks Waldo. He likes the dog odds.

Angelo mentions Waldo is a dog and he likes a good amount of dogs on this card.
"I'm still picking him. He's a dog. I'm going to run with that. I think the athleticism is really going to be the difference here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Big Brady leans Alexander Volkov, noting his better volume and tools on the feet. He questions Waldo's performances in decisions and thinks Volkov's chin is solid. Brady expects Volkov to win by decision, as Waldo is tough and can eat shots, but Volkov should outpoint him.

"I'm leaning Volkov here. I'm going to take Volkov to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Cody picks Acosta as an underdog, citing his speed, boxing, and youth advantage over the older Volkov. He notes Volkov's inconsistency and questionable durability, and believes Acosta can win on the feet. Cody acknowledges the risk but likes the plus money value.

"I only got a handful of underdogs that I'm going to back on this card. And sadly, Waldo is one of them."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Connor picks Volkov, agreeing with Zane. He highlights Volkov's improved confidence and mean streak in his third act, and notes Acosta's lack of adjustments. Connor believes Volkov's jab and reach will be too much, and Acosta has no way out when stuck in a bad style matchup.

Odds: Volkov opened -185, now -160; Acosta opened +160, now +140. Connor says it should be wider.
"It's gotta be a Volkov one."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Daniel picks Acosta despite acknowledging Volkov's veteran skills and potential for a clinic. He notes Acosta's athleticism, confidence, and recent wins, and admits he has been wrong about Acosta before. Daniel feels he must pick Acosta now, even though he fears Volkov will win as a result.

"I just feel bad that I've counted this guy out so many times. He keeps proving me wrong. I feel like I got to pick him here. And now obviously Volkov's going to win as a result, but I'm gonna …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)

The host does not bet this fight. He sees it as competitive on the feet, with Volkov having a grappling edge if he chooses to use it. He notes both have bad takedown defense and ground games, but Volkov's top game is heavy. He passes because if it stays standing, it's razor close, and if Volkov grapples, he could dominate. He also mentions the over/under but does not bet.

No bet. Mentions over 1.5 rounds at 3.50 as tempting but passes.
"I'm not going to touch this one from a betting point of view because I think if it does stay standing... this one will be razor close."
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Lean picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Alexander Volkov

Predicted method: Decision. Volkov's significant height and reach advantage (6'7", 80" reach) allows him to control distance with his jab and long strikes against the shorter Cortes Acosta. Cortes Acosta has power (recent KOs over Derrick Lewis and Shamil Gaziev) but tends to be hittable (3.38 SApM) and may struggle against Volkov's technical striking. Volkov's takedown defense (68%) is adequate, and he has shown improved grappling. However, Cortes Acosta's momentum and KO power make this a dangerous fight. Volkov should win by decision if he keeps it standing.

Volkov by decision +155
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Jacob picks Volkov, noting that Volkov rarely loses striking matches and is excellent at keeping range. He thinks the fight will look like the Pavlovich fight where Waldo backs up and can't land enough. He believes the odds should be closer to 50/50 and that Volkov is the better striker.

"Volkov, I don't know if you heard me when he walked away, but he really lose striking matches. So, I got to go Volkov."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Lucrative James leans towards Alexander Volkov because he believes Volkov's kickboxing and experience will outpoint Cortes-Acosta over three rounds. He notes that Cortes-Acosta has struggled in longer kickboxing fights against Sergey Spivac and Sergey Pavlovich, and that Volkov is a true kickboxer. He also mentions Cortes-Acosta's recent hamstring injury as a concern. He predicts Volkov by decision.

"I lean to the Alexander Volkov side in this fight. ... I got Vulov winning via decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

The host picks Volkov but is hesitant due to Cortes Acosta's speed advantage. He believes Volkov has advantages in striking, grappling, and experience, and should outwork Cortes Acosta. He expects a decision win, but notes the speed difference gives him pause. He may wait for a better line.

"I'll go Volkov and Volkov by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Paul picks Volkov, citing his size, reach, and wrestling ability. He thinks Volkov can take Acosta down and control him, as Acosta has not faced elite wrestlers. Paul also mentions a small bet on Volkov by submission at plus 2000, noting Volkov's submission skills.

Volkov by submission (plus 2000)
"I still like Volkov here. There's been some money coming in on Waldo. I understand Waldo's pretty fast on the feet."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

The MMA Guru picks Alexander Volkov, praising his underrated resume and recent performances. He notes Volkov's wins over Pavlovich and close fight with Gane. He believes Volkov's low kicks, clinch work, and body attacks will be key against Cortes Acosta, who he sees as a 'blob'. He predicts Volkov will pick him apart, possibly with a body kick KO.

"I am going to go with Alexander Vulov, but I love this matchup."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Zane picks Volkov, citing his resurgence and stylistic advantage. He notes Volkov's jab and reach will trouble Acosta, who is an artless slugger with few ideas. Zane points out that Acosta has no wrestling threat, which is Volkov's historical weakness. He expects Volkov to control the fight with his jab and counters, though it's heavyweight so anything can happen.

Odds: Volkov opened -185, now -160; Acosta opened +160, now +140. Zane says it should be wider.
"It's gotta be a Volkov one."
WIN vs Derrick Lewis
KO R2 3:14 · UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Waldo Cortes Acosta 1 44 of 62 70% 46 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:28
Derrick Lewis 0 8 of 43 18% 8 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 12 of 16 75% 14 of 18 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
Derrick Lewis 0 4 of 22 18% 4 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Waldo Cortes Acosta 1 32 of 46 69% 32 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Derrick Lewis 0 4 of 21 19% 4 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Waldo Cortes Acosta 44 of 62 70% 35 of 53 5 of 5 4 of 4 27 of 45 1 of 1 16 of 16
Derrick Lewis 8 of 43 18% 6 of 37 2 of 5 0 of 1 8 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 12 of 16 75% 7 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
Derrick Lewis 4 of 22 18% 3 of 17 1 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Waldo Cortes Acosta 32 of 46 69% 28 of 42 2 of 2 2 of 2 16 of 30 1 of 1 15 of 15
Derrick Lewis 4 of 21 19% 3 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortes-Acosta (-355), Lewis (+280)

Round 1
Faces are about to get punched by fists the size of lunchboxes. Heavyweights ready and willing to inflict some serious damage will trade bungalows, and only one man expects to be standing when it is all said and done. Cortes-Acosta (16-2, 9-2 UFC) has momentum behind him as well as a six-year age advantage, but he has to throw down with Lewis (29-12, 1 NC; 20-10 UFC). Whether Lewis will suffer another defeat against a tough talent or spring yet another brutal upset knockout, we will know in the next 15 minutes or fewer. Referee Jason Herzog has donned his proverbial hard hat ahead of the mighty swings about to come. There is no plan for a glove touch.
Lewis says hello with a jumping front kick, and Cortes-Acosta easily swats it out of the air. Lewis then kicks low, and the Dominican ignores it and slowly walks down his opponent before kicking him back. Cortes-Acosta jabs with the ball of his foot to the stomach, and he aims a jab to the same spot before leaning back to dodge a left hook. Lewis pitches a jumping head kick that bangs into the guard, and Cortes-Acosta looks surprised that the relative elder statesman and 264-pounder can get his leg up there repeatedly. Cortes-Acosta does not stick his face in the hornet’s nest, instead peeking out behind his jab occasionally. The lack of activity has made fans immediately restless, so Lewis calms them briefly with a failed head kick while touching Cortes-Acosta at the end of a reaching right hand.
There is a lull in the action as no one wants to commit, with Lewis always threatening that he is going to unleash something but pulling back more often than not. When Lewis does lunge forward, Cortes-Acosta bats him back with a counter as he stays in his preferred range chopping away at the front wheel. Cortes-Acosta fires off a one-two that grazes the side of the dome, and Lewis’ counter goes wide. Lewis lets rip a body kick, and Cortes-Acosta catches it and hangs onto it until Lewis flops to his back. Cortes-Acosta lords over him kicking the legs, and he hangs onto an ankle to punch the body a few times. Herzog tells him to choose whether he wants to let Lewis up, and he does. Lewis gingerly gets back to his feet, and walks right into a jab. Lewis lets fly a kick, and Cortes-Acosta slips when dodging it to bounce off the cage. Lewis lashes out with looping punches, and the younger man dodges and weaves away from every one. Cortes-Acosta’s jab ends the tepid round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta

Round 2
The heavyweights pick up where they left off, with Cortes-Acosta probing with jabs while Lewis tries high-amplitude, generally inaccurate offense. Lewis scores a body kick in the midst of a surge, but Cortes-Acosta is no worse for wear and keeps the jab right in Lewis’ face. Lewis walks face-first into a clean right hand that surprises him, and he lumbers forward to grab hold of his foe who is out of the way. Cortes-Acosta lets him bounce off the fencing so he can keep pecking at him, and he jams the front leg with a kick. Lewis wades forward with his hands down, taking the jab on the forehead so he can close in. He lobs a big left and a bigger right, but Cortes-Acosta is already two steps ahead of him. Cortes-Acosta snaps the head back with his jab, and he follows one with a right hand down the pipe. “Salsa Boy” keeps probing with his flustering jab, disrupting what Lewis has to offer before it gets thrown.
Cortes-Acosta walks Lewis down fearlessly, and he rolls with a looping left hook and puts his hand in the air to signal that he dodged it. Cortes-Acosta jabs the head and body, and he leans back to take the sting out of a Lewis overhand right.
When absorbing a jab, Lewis slips and feebly falls to his back. The frustrated Lewis turns to his knees under fire, seemingly out of the fight. Lewis turtles up as the Dominican pelts him with right hands, and Herzog urges Lewis to fight on but Lewis will not.
Punches continue to mount until Herzog waves the fight off, and the building does not respond positively to the stoppage or the victor.

The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Derrick Lewis R2 3:14 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Angelo picks Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing his athleticism, speed, and technical striking. He acknowledges Derrick Lewis's knockout power but believes Waldo's chin and volume will carry him. He notes Waldo was rocked in his last fight but trusts his durability. He says the odds are probably accurate but warns it's a Derrick Lewis fight where anything can happen.

"Waldo's going to be the pick. He's going to have to be careful here. And I'm medium level confidence. ... minus 330. Honestly, probably accurate, but it's a Derrick Lewis fight and anything could happen."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Big Brady highlights Waldo's durability, noting he ate bombs from Pavlovich and smiled. He thinks Lewis is knockout-or-bust and Waldo is a much better minute-winner. He expects Waldo to cruise to a decision win, as Lewis likely can't knock him out.

Cortes Acosta by decision
"I think Waldo is extremely durable. I think between the two, Waldo's a million times more durable than Lewis."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Cody picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta but is hesitant due to the price tag. He notes Waldo's jab and footwork could give Lewis problems, but worries about Waldo's tendency to be hesitant against power punchers. Cody sees Waldo winning more often than not but prefers not to lay the heavy price.

"I kind of went the other way. But uh you know how we make picks on every single fight, but the bottom line is some of those you can pass on."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 22, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Derrick Lewis

Connor picks Derrick Lewis, relying on his proven ability to change a fight with one punch or a wild technique (e.g., flying knee). He argues that Waldo Cortes Acosta is not a consistent fighter and can be drawn into brawls, as seen against Ryan Spann. Connor also notes that Lewis has a history of winning fights he's losing (e.g., Volkov, Hunt) and that his dynamism is a constant threat. However, he admits Lewis's calm has eroded in recent years.

Waldo opened at -205, now -330; Lewis opened at +175, now +270. Connor says the odds are a little wide given Lewis's danger.
"I gotta have the heavyweight dynamic finisher."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Daniel Vreeland picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta but is hesitant. He notes that he has been wrong about Cortes-Acosta before, picking against him in his last two fights. He acknowledges Lewis's knockout power and get-up game, but believes Cortes-Acosta has momentum and is coming into his own. Vreeland warns that Lewis is always dangerous and that this is a tough fight to call.

"I'm going to go Waldo Cortez Aosta. He's got the momentum on his side. Seems like he's coming into his own."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

James picks Cortes-Acosta via decision, citing his superior boxing and durability. He notes Lewis is on a downtrend, often quitting when tired, and that Cortes-Acosta is smart enough to avoid Lewis's power bursts. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential prop.

over 1.5 rounds
"I'm pretty [ __ ] confident on Waldo Cortez A Costa here. I think he's the better striker."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

The host expects Cortes Acosta to use his pesky jab and body work to slow down Derrick Lewis, eventually leading to a TKO finish. He notes Cortes Acosta's improved chin and durability, believing he can eat Lewis's best shots. However, he hesitates to play the -350 line, suggesting the method of victory might be a better bet. He predicts the fight won't go to the scorecards.

Cortes Acosta by TKO, fight doesn't go to decision
"I feel like he can eat the best shot from Derrick Lewis. Still come forward, still land his pesky jab, really just stay on uh Lewis and I think that eventually leads to a TKO finish for Waldo Cortez Acasta."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Derrick Lewis

Paul picks Derrick Lewis by KO, viewing it as a system play. He acknowledges Waldo is more likely to win but believes Lewis's power is a game-changer. Paul notes Lewis's age and cardio issues but says power is the last to go, and he likes the plus money on Lewis by KO.

Derrick Lewis by KO
"Lewis by KO. I it's just it's just more of a system play at this point in his career. He's 41. Yes. He's you know I think he's given up certain skills and abilities, but he's got the one thing …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

The MMA Guru picks Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing his talented hands and recent activity. He believes Derrick Lewis's one-dimensional striking will be countered, and that Lewis will quit after getting cracked. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first round TKO
"I think this is going to be a Waldo Cortez Aosta first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 22, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Zane leans toward Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing his youth (34) and calm, consistent approach. He notes that Derrick Lewis has lost his composure in recent fights and tends to brawl recklessly, which plays into Waldo's patient counter-striking. However, Zane acknowledges that Lewis has dynamic fight-changing power and could land a lucky shot. He also mentions that Waldo is not a consistent finisher and could be outpointed if Lewis fights smart.

Waldo opened at -205, now -330; Lewis opened at +175, now +270. Zane says the odds are a little wide given Lewis's danger.
"I'm leaning towards Waldo here, but just because he's a young man and he's 34."
WIN vs Shamil Gaziev
KO R1 1:22 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Waldo Cortes Acosta 2 10 of 21 47% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Shamil Gaziev 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 2 10 of 21 47% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Shamil Gaziev 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Waldo Cortes Acosta 10 of 21 47% 8 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 0 of 1 1 of 2
Shamil Gaziev 6 of 15 40% 4 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 10 of 21 47% 8 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 0 of 1 1 of 2
Shamil Gaziev 6 of 15 40% 4 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Shamil Gaziev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortes-Acosta (-160); Gaziev (+130)

Round 1
It’s time for the big boys again. Let us hope it is nothing like the travesty of the curtain jerker today, and that there is no eye poke silliness to speak of. Looking to become the heavyweight version of Donald Cerrone, Cortes-Acosta (15-2, 8-2 UFC) steps in on short notice to replace Serghei Spivac. In an amusing twist of fate, “Salsa Boy” previously replaced Gaziev (14-1, 3-1 UFC) against Spivac earlier this year. While Cortes-Acosta wants to fight six times this year—meaning, he wants to serve as a replacement fighter for one of the next two final UFC cards in 2026 providing he gets out of this unscathed—he will have to handle the Bahraini first. Referee Lukasz Bosacki has his hands full as these big lugs tipped the scales at a combined 527 pounds on Friday, but he takes a breath of relief as they touch gloves and do not appear to hold any ill will towards one another.
Gaziev fearlessly marches forward to start the fight, putting Cortes-Acosta’s back to the fence and aiming straight punches at him. Cortes-Acosta flicks a few jabs back at him, and Gaziev smiles at him and sways from most. Gaziev clubs Cortes-Acosta with a left hand, and Cortes-Acosta snaps into action and counters Gaziev with a balance-destroying right. Cortes-Acosta tries to pound out Gaziev when he hits the floor, but Gaziev stands and backs off, shaking off the cobwebs. Cortes-Acosta, smelling blood in the water, starts to set something up as he flashes jab after jab.
When the opening presents itself, he hurls a fastball of a right hand that crashes square into Gaziev’s temple. The Bahrain native collapses to his back and clutches his face, still with it but no longer defending himself. Cortes-Acosta drops to a knee to deliver one final hammerfist, but it glances off Bosacki’s protective arm as he has already stepped in to wave things off given Gaziev’s sign of physical surrender.
The fight over, Gaziev slowly rolls to his knees, and he is beside himself after getting smoked like that. That marks four wins in 2025 for Cortes-Acosta, who still wants one more—on December 13 at the year-end Fight Night—and dons his eye patch and bandana to represent his pirate self.

The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Shamil Gaziev R1 1:22 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Angelo picks Shamil Gaziev over Waldo Cortes Acosta, despite mocking Gaziev's appearance. He notes Gaziev is a much better striker with power and capable wrestling, while Acosta is a grappler who can be outworked and out-athleted. Gaziev should dominate on the feet and keep the fight standing, leading to a win.

"The pick is because he's the much better striker. I think he's a very capable wrestler and he can keep this fight standing."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Big Brady leans Shamil Gaziev by first-round knockout, despite acknowledging Spivak's inconsistency. He believes Gaziev's power and forward pressure will overwhelm Spivak, who has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He notes Spivak's path via grappling but can't count on him to execute.

first round KO
"Give me Gaziev to win this fight and I think it's by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Cody picks Shamil Gaziev but is not confident. He notes both fighters have awful cardio, but Gaziev has better wrestling and power. Cody believes Gaziev can knock out Spivac early, as Spivac gasses quickly and has poor takedown defense. He mentions the location in Qatar might favor Gaziev.

"I'm going to take Shil, maybe a Shil by TKO if you want to get degenerate with it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Connor picks Spivak (Waldo Cortes Acosta), predicting that Gaziev will gas after an early takedown attempt, allowing Spivak to take over with his clinch and jab. He notes Gaziev's poor defensive striking and tendency to fade, while Spivak manages fights well. Connor acknowledges Gaziev's speed and power could lead to an early KO.

Spivak by decision or late TKO; Gaziev could win early
"I'll take Spivak too. But he might also just crush, Ghaziv might also just crush him in the first round."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Lucrative James picks Shamil Gaziev, citing his power striking and durability. He notes Sergey Spivac's questionable mentality and recent poor performances. He believes Gaziev's power will be too much and predicts a knockout win. He also mentions Spivac's camp change as a potential negative.

"I think Gazv is probably going to finish him to be honest, man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Gaziev has knockout power and physicality. Spivac is on a losing streak and may struggle with Gaziev's strength. Gaziev should land a big shot and finish Spivac by the second round.

Gaziev by knockout in round 2
"Give me Gaz and Gaz by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Paul leans towards Gaziev, citing his wrestling and power. He notes that Spivac has poor cardio and has been finished when tired. Paul believes Gaziev can take Spivac down or knock him out early, but acknowledges it's a greasy fight.

"I'll side with Gazv but um don't love it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

The MMA Guru picks Shamil Gaziev over Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing Gaziev's pressure and ability to barrage opponents. He notes Spivak's vulnerability when pressured. He expects a close decision, with Gaziev undeniable as the fight goes on.

Shamil Gaziev to fight for more than 1.5 total rounds (from earlier prizepicks segment)
"I'm going to go with Shamil Gaziev getting this one done by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Spivak. He notes that Gaziev's cardio is a major issue and that Spivak's reach and jab will become factors as the fight progresses. Zane sees Spivak as a competent heavyweight who can survive early danger and take over late.

Spivak by decision; Gaziev likely to fade
"I'm going to pick him to survive and take over. But yeah, he just might not."
WIN vs Ante Delija
KO R1 3:59 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Waldo Cortes Acosta 1 12 of 17 70% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:37
Ante Delija 0 16 of 36 44% 18 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 1 12 of 17 70% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:37
Ante Delija 0 16 of 36 44% 18 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Waldo Cortes Acosta 12 of 17 70% 9 of 11 2 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 8 2 of 3 6 of 6
Ante Delija 16 of 36 44% 13 of 33 2 of 2 1 of 1 15 of 33 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 12 of 17 70% 9 of 11 2 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 8 2 of 3 6 of 6
Ante Delija 16 of 36 44% 13 of 33 2 of 2 1 of 1 15 of 33 1 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ante Delija
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortes-Acosta (-105); Delija (-115)

Round 1
Heavyweights will test the structural integrity of this smaller cage in the co-main event of this Apex card. While Dominican Republic native Cortes-Acosta (14-2, 7-2 UFC) approached the divisional limit by weighing about 263 pounds, former PFL champ Delija (26-6, 1-0 UFC) is in the butter zone of the weight class at 238. Together with referee Mark Smith, they will easily surpass 600 pounds in the cage, but it hardly makes a groan from their weight. Before the two hurl their large fists at one another, they opt to tap their gloves together.
Smith has to tell the two to close their fists right after the fist bump, because they are outstretched towards one another and pushed out those directions. Delija walks Cortes-Acosta down looking for a big right hand, and he takes a clubbing right on the chest for his effort. Delija crashes the pocket and drills “Salsa Boy” on the temple, and Cortes-Acosta responds with a takedown effort that only puts the Croatian man against the wall. Cortes-Acosta digs knees to the body, and when they slow down, Smith asks for more activity. Cortes-Acosta winds up with an effective knee to the ribs, and Delija calmly waits until there is a moment to escape and does it.
Delija flicks out a jab and shoots for a double, and he now has “Salsa Boy” with his back against the wire, dealing with his weight pressed. The larger Cortes-Acosta spins his man around before long, and he raps an elbow on the forehead when otherwise staying close. Delija fights out of the tie-up and wants to box up Cortes-Acosta, marching the Dominican fighter down and busting him in the chops with a furious combination of punches. Delija keeps slugging Cortes-Acosta in the face, hurting him badly, and he pushes out with a left hand to jab Cortes-Acosta in the eyeball before letting loose with a massive stream of punches. Smith gets between them and shouts “stop!” several times, but then has to call the replay official of Herb Dean to check on whether Cortes-Acosta’s eye was poked or if they were all punches landing cleanly and legally. Teammates, medical professionals and commissioners all flood the cage to figure out what happened. The video shows that Delija’s finger slid into the eye socket, and no five-minute clock starts for recovery time. Instead, Smith states that if Cortes-Acosta is able to continue, he does have the ability to restart the fight. It is a bizarre scene, one that is growingly and frustratingly common in the promotion, and it gives Cortes-Acosta one of two options. If he cannot continue, it will be a no contest. If he says he can keep going, the fight will actually resume. Throw out the rulebook at this point. Smith warns Cortes-Acosta for the foul, and with 90 seconds left in the first round, they start fighting again.
They are cautious to engage, both jabbing at one another with their fists firmly closed.
Delija sits down on a jab, and Cortes-Acosta counters him with a brilliant right hand over the top knocking him down to the canvas. Cortes-Acosta leaps on top to pound out Delija, and Smith only lets Cortes-Acosta drum away for a few seconds before waving things off.
This is ridiculous. Cortes-Acosta walks back to his corner and collapses to the mat in pain, clutching his eye and keeping a towel pressed on it for several minutes. He just accomplished an absolutely wild comeback, albeit one that will come with a great deal of scrutiny and review. To say this whole debacle flew in the face of protocols, regulations and procedure is an understatement. We’ll see what happens.

The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Ante Delija R1 3:59 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ante Delija

Angelo picks Ante Delija, believing he is more well-rounded and slightly better everywhere than Waldo Cortes Acosta. He highlights Delija's forward pressure, striking, takedowns, and grit, and notes his win over Marcin Tybura. He thinks Delija will get takedowns, grind, and strike with Waldo, and that Waldo is finally fighting someone better everywhere. He will spend $8,000 on Delija in his DraftKings lineup.

"I think he will get the takedowns. I think he will grind. I think he will strike with Waldo."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Big Brady picks Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing his excellent chin and durability, having eaten shots from heavy hitters like Sergey Pavlovich. He notes Ante Delija knocked out Martin Tybura, but Tybura has a weak chin. He expects a competitive fight going the distance, with Waldo's volume and pressure taking over in the later rounds. He predicts a decision win for Waldo.

decision, plus 115 underdog
"I'm going to pick Waldo Cortez A Costa to get the job done. ... Waldo by decision in that one."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Connor also picks Waldo, noting that even in the Pavlovich loss, Waldo settled in and made it competitive. He thinks Waldo's fights trend toward the mean and that Delija's win over Tabora doesn't mean much. He expresses distrust in Delija and believes Waldo's unearned confidence will carry him.

"I'll take Waldo."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ante Delija

Lucrative James picks Ante Delija as the underdog, citing his training at a top European heavyweight camp with Tom Aspinall and others, which gives him advantages in sparring and preparation. He believes Delija has knockout power and a grappling edge, especially in clinch positions. While Cortes-Acosta is a better technical boxer with more UFC experience, James favors Delija's early finishing ability and motivation.

"I'm going to take the undernog in this one. I'm going to take Ante Dea."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ante Delija

Delija started as underdog but now is around -140. He mixes his game up better than Spivac, throws harder punches, and masks takedowns and clinch attempts well. This will cause Cortes Acosta problems, leading to a decision win for Delija.

odds movement from underdog to -140
"Delia started off as the underdog, but now finds himself around that minus 140 range and for good reason. ... That should lead to Dio winning this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ante Delija

The MMA Guru picks Ante Delija, believing he has improved massively and will use low kicks and teeps to outwork Waldo Cortes Acosta. He doubts Waldo's reach and thinks Delija's conditioning and game plan will secure a 29-28 decision. He notes Delija's training with Tom Aspinall.

"I'm going to go with Ante Delija here. I said he's improved massively. I said he would beat Tybura... And he proved me right."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Zane picks Waldo because he believes Delija is a stiff, awkward fighter who relies on one big moment, and Waldo's defining characteristic is not screwing up badly. He thinks Waldo will stay ahead by not making major mistakes and that Delija lacks clear tools to be better. He notes Waldo is the underdog but still picks him.

"So I have to pick Waldo over at Andy Delia."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sergei Pavlovich 0 61 of 133 45% 63 of 136 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 45 of 117 38% 45 of 117 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sergei Pavlovich 0 9 of 28 32% 11 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 11 of 34 32% 11 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sergei Pavlovich 0 22 of 43 51% 22 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 20 of 37 54% 20 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sergei Pavlovich 0 30 of 62 48% 30 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 14 of 46 30% 14 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sergei Pavlovich 61 of 133 45% 35 of 104 12 of 14 14 of 15 60 of 131 1 of 2 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 45 of 117 38% 27 of 88 4 of 10 14 of 19 45 of 114 0 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sergei Pavlovich 9 of 28 32% 6 of 24 1 of 1 2 of 3 8 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 11 of 34 32% 5 of 20 1 of 4 5 of 10 11 of 31 0 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sergei Pavlovich 22 of 43 51% 13 of 32 5 of 7 4 of 4 22 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 20 of 37 54% 15 of 32 2 of 2 3 of 3 20 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sergei Pavlovich 30 of 62 48% 16 of 48 6 of 6 8 of 8 30 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 14 of 46 30% 7 of 36 1 of 4 6 of 6 14 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sergei Pavlovich vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Round 1
Next up is the lone heavyweight bout of the evening—despite Brian Ortega’s best efforts—as Cortes-Acosta will look to build on his five-fight win streak and certify himself a legitimate title contender. Opposite the surging “Salsa Boy” will be Pavlovich, who seeks to reaffirm his own contender status after righting the ship against Jairzinho Rozenstruik back in February. Tasked with keeping things nice and clean will be referee Marc Goddard. Both big men are in orthodox stance, and both send out tentative jabs in the opening moments. They end up doing some lead-hand jousting as neither seems to want to be the first to go. Pavlovich is calmly maneuvering Cortes-Acosta into the cage. He comes off the fence swinging and there is an inadvertent clash of heads, but both men keep on fighting. They meet near the center of the cage and exchange a flurry of punches, with both men landing cleanly. Cortes-Acosta, far from being backed off by the Russian’s vaunted power, seems emboldened, stepping into the pocket and unloading. He lands several solid punches and takes a big one from Pavlovich in return. Cortes-Acosta lands a hard leg kick and gets countered hard with a right hand over the top. A minute left in the round and both fighters have taken some serious fire but neither is backing down. Cortes-Acosta surges forward and eats a right uppercut. The horn sounds.
10-9 Pavlovich.

Round 2
Cortes-Acosta and Pavlovich pick up right where they left off, and Pavlovich catches his man with another sneaky uppercut as he exits the pocket. Cortes-Acosta lands a good jab, and Pavlovich flicks out a front kick up the middle. Cortes-Acosta wades into range with a pair of haymakers, which Pavlovich slips. Pavlovich lands a big left-right combo that hurts the Panamanian. Cortes-Acosta stumbles back into the fence but recovers quickly, and they go back to work. Cortes-Acosta scores with a hard calf kick, and Pavlovich is showing the damage from that one and the several he took in Round 1. Pavlovich cuts off the cage nicely, walks Cortes-Acosta to the warning track and nails him with two hard punches. Cortes-Acosta takes a kick to the midsection, gestures at his cup and appears to want the foul called, but Goddard tells them it was on the belt and to keep fighting. Pavlovich is gradually taking over this fight on the feet, as he is starting to find Cortes-Acosta’s head with his jab and cross over and over again.
10-9 Pavlovich.

Round 3
The final frame opens up, as the first two did, with the heavyweight contenders measuring each other for big right hands in the pocket. Cortes-Acosta lands another hard leg kick and Pavlovich responds with one of his own. Pavlovich cracks Cortes-Acosta with a huge right hand that staggers him, but he recovers in a flash and makes the universal “that didn’t hurt” hand sign. Pavlovich calmly steps forward and appears to have taken his foe’s measure. Cortes-Acosta is reaching and lunging to land his punches, while Pavlovich is composed, squarely over his feet and catching him with clean counters. He is outclassing Cortes-Acosta at this point, and short of some heavyweight weirdness, the main question remaining is whether he will score the knockout. Pavlovich tags Cortes-Acosta with a pair of huge hooks that make him stumble, but doesn’t press the issue. Cortes-Acosta rebounds from the fence, wades back in and gets clocked again. Cortes-Acosta hears the 10-second clapper and gestures at the floor, but Pavlovich is not particularly interested in being on the wrong side of any last-second heroics. The final horn sounds on a quietly dominant performance by the Russian.
10-9 Pavlovich (30-27 Pavlovich).

The Official Result
Sergei Pavlovich def. Waldo Cortes-Acosta via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Angelo is confident in Waldo Cortes Acosta as a dog, calling him more well-rounded, athletic, and durable. He notes that Pavlovich is one-dimensional as a boxer and that Waldo can shoot takedowns and has a giant chin. He has a moneyline bet on Waldo at +225, which he thinks is crazy. He references Waldo's toughness and evolution as a fighter.

Has a moneyline bet on Waldo at +225.
"I have a moneyline bet on him. Plus 225 seems absolutely crazy to me. Waldo's gonna be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Big Brady picks Sergei Pavlovich to win, but with hesitation due to Pavlovich's recent lack of killer instinct since being knocked out by Aspinall. He notes that Pavlovich has been hesitant in recent fights, but if the old Pavlovich shows up, he will knock out Cortes Acosta in the first round. He is worried Pavlovich might stick at range or wrestle, making the fight harder.

Pavlovich by first round knockout if he comes forward
"I'm gonna go Pavlovich here, but I'm not sure I'm that confident."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Connor is confident Pavlovich should win, as he is the first elite-level heavyweight Cortes Acosta has faced. He notes that Pavlovich has better punching mechanics, more power, and a significant reach advantage (84 inches vs 78). However, he worries that Pavlovich might get deer-in-the-headlights against Cortes Acosta's size and durability, leading to a staring contest. Connor also mentions that Pavlovich looked good in his last fight, showing improved wrestling and striking choices.

Odds: Pavlovich opened -350, now -227; Cortes Acosta opened +285, now +192. Connor is surprised Cortes Acosta is getting underdog takers.
"Pavlovich is big enough and strong enough and powerful enough in the way speevok isn't to just get takedowns by merely being there."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

The host initially thought he would like the plus money on Cortes Acosta, but after seeing the confidence and discipline from Pavlovich in his last fight, he thinks Pavlovich can shut down the jab of Cortes Acosta and land big shots leading to knockdowns, knockouts, or takedowns. He expects Pavlovich to be in the driver's seat and win on the scorecards.

odds comment: initially liked plus money on Cortes Acosta
"Going into this, I thought I would love the plus money on Cortez Acasta, but seeing the confidence and discipline from Pavlovich from his last fight, I think he can bring that here against Cortez Aosta, shut down the jab …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

The MMA Guru picks Sergei Pavlovich to win by first-round KO. He highlights Pavlovich's 14-inch reach advantage and believes he is more athletic, faster, and more powerful than Cortes Acosta. He criticizes Cortes Acosta's close decisions against unranked opponents and notes that Pavlovich has finished similar fighters quickly. He also mentions that Pavlovich can use grappling and low kicks if needed.

Sergei Pavlovich by first round KO; under 70.5 significant strikes combined (PrizePicks)
"I'm going to go with Sergey Pavlovich to win this fight by KO... Nasty KO win first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sergei Pavlovich

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Cortes Acosta's style is a neutralizer that relies on not doing anything stupid, but Pavlovich's power and athleticism should overwhelm him. He points out that Pavlovich's wins often come from opponents freaking out, but he still has the tools to win. Zane is hopeful Pavlovich can make the fight entertaining.

"Hopefully pavlovich can make this fight as entertaining as we would like."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 07, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Serghei Spivac 0 48 of 119 40% 53 of 124 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:25
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 110 of 235 46% 111 of 236 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Serghei Spivac 0 14 of 36 38% 17 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:36
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 27 of 59 45% 28 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Serghei Spivac 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 36 of 77 46% 36 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Serghei Spivac 0 16 of 41 39% 18 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:34
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 47 of 99 47% 47 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Serghei Spivac 48 of 119 40% 39 of 109 4 of 5 5 of 5 45 of 115 3 of 4 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 110 of 235 46% 76 of 196 16 of 20 18 of 19 105 of 225 5 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Serghei Spivac 14 of 36 38% 11 of 33 1 of 1 2 of 2 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 27 of 59 45% 12 of 41 8 of 11 7 of 7 26 of 58 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Serghei Spivac 18 of 42 42% 12 of 35 3 of 4 3 of 3 17 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 36 of 77 46% 21 of 62 7 of 7 8 of 8 33 of 72 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Serghei Spivac 16 of 41 39% 16 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0 14 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta 47 of 99 47% 43 of 93 1 of 2 3 of 4 46 of 95 1 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Serghei Spivac
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Spivac (-148), Cortes-Acosta (+124)

Round 1
Mike Beltran is once again the referee. Spivac opens the round with a strong jab and then misses an overhand right. Cortes-Acosta eats a right hand and then a head kick. Spivac is very aggressive early. Nice leg kick lands for Spivac. Cortes-Acosta throws a left hook, but it comes up very short. Spivac catches a low kick and clinches with Cortes-Acosta. Spivac goes to the body with left hands. Cortes-Acosta is trying to circle out but can't free himself of the clinch. They finally break. Cortes-Acosta resets after eating a jab and then lands a big right hand. Spivac is walking down Cortes-Acosta and keeping him against the cage. The two heavyweights trade jabs. Cortes-Acosta throws a front kick up the middle and then a leg kick. Spivac ends the round defending well as Cortes-Acosta gets more aggressive.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Spivac
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Spivac
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Spivac

Round 2
Spivac once again takes the center of the cage. A big overhand right connects for Cortes-Acosta, who then throws hard to the body. Despite losing the first round, Cortes-Acosta is finding his confidence inside the cage. Spivac is much less active this round. Spivac's jabs are landing. The two trade hooks, with Spivac landing. Hard leg kicks from Cortes-Acosta, who has the more varied attack. Spivac clinches but can't keep him there. Cortes-Acosta's shorts just ripped, but it isn't impacting the action. Cortes-Acosta lands another leg kick, but that allows Spivac to charge forward with a takedown attempt. Cortes-Acosta stays on his feet and then lands a 1-2. Spivac answers back with a high kick that doesn't quite land. Cortes-Acosta is jabbing and going to the body with his punches. Spivac looks to be slowing down as he's unable to match the volume of punches of Cortes-Acosta. 30 seconds left. The two trade jabs. A nice jab to the body by Cortes-Acosta. The round ends with Cortes-Acosta landing a hook to the body.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta

Round 3
Cortes-Acosta gets a new pair of shorts on between rounds, so that crisis is averted. Cortes-Acosta is working his jab well. A huge overhand right hand lands for Spivac. Cortes-Acosta pretends to be totally dazed by the punch, which glances off the side of his head, but Spivac doesn't bite. Cortes-Acosta tries to catch Spivac but eats a big elbow instead. Spivac has the momentum with three minutes left. A nice step-in knee for Cortes-Acosta. Spivac misses with a high kick and then looks to clinch. Cortes-Acosta slips out and answers with a 1-2 combination. Two minutes left. Spivac throws a big right hand, but he's being peppered away at by Cortes-Acosta. Cortes-Acosta is showing some fatigue, as he isn't throwing back after slipping punches like he was earlier. Spivac goes for another takedown and picks up Cortes-Acosta. However, Cortes-Acosta gets back to his feet before Spivac can take advantage of the situation. Spivac is eating jabs while whiffing overhand rights. A big straight right lands for Spivac right before the round expires, but it might be too little, too late.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Spivac (29-28 Spivac)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Spivac (29-28 Spivac)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Spivac (29-28 Spivac)

The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Serghei Spivac via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Angelo picks Waldo Cortes Acosta as an underdog, citing his athleticism, speed, power, and improvements since his loss to Del Lima. He thinks Spivac is unathletic and lumbering, and Waldo's foot movement and power will be too much. He bet half a unit on Waldo because he likes betting dogs at that stake.

Bet half a unit on Waldo as a dog.
"I threw a half a unit on him as a bet cuz when I bet dogs, I only do a half a unit instead of a full."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Big Brady picks Spivac but is hesitant due to his inconsistency. He notes that when Spivac is on, he ragdolls opponents, but when he faces adversity, he folds. He thinks Spivac should be able to take down Cortes Acosta, who has been taken down by lesser wrestlers, and that Spivac can finish by submission or TKO. He predicts a second-round submission but says he probably won't bet it because of the risk.

Spivac by submission in round 2
"I'm going to take Spac, but my concern and and why I probably won't be betting him here is because there is a chance he shows up and it looks like he doesn't want to be there and he gets …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Spivac is expected to deal with Acosta's striking, take the fight to the ground, and keep Acosta on his back until a submission opportunity opens. The pick is for Spivac to win by submission.

win by submission
"I fully expect Spac to deal with Aosta's striking, eventually take this fight to the ground, keeping Cortez Aosta on his back until that submission opportunity opens itself, giving Spac the win by submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

The MMA Guru picks Serghei Spivac, believing his grappling will be the edge. He notes Spivac had moments against Jailton Almeida and submitted Marcin Tybura. He worries about Spivac's striking but thinks he can take Waldo down and finish by submission or TKO in the first two rounds. He acknowledges Waldo could win again but trusts Spivac's grappling.

Finish prediction: first round submission or second round TKO. Fight not going past two rounds.
"I'm going to go Sergey Spivac. I'm going to say that Sergey Spivac is going to get his grappling off here and be able to submit Waldo Cortez A Costa."
WIN vs Ryan Spann
KO R2 4:48 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Waldo Cortes Acosta 1 66 of 111 59% 77 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:57
Ryan Spann 0 23 of 86 26% 24 of 87 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 27 of 49 55% 31 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
Ryan Spann 0 12 of 33 36% 13 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
2 Waldo Cortes Acosta 1 39 of 62 62% 46 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ryan Spann 0 11 of 53 20% 11 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Waldo Cortes Acosta 66 of 111 59% 56 of 97 4 of 6 6 of 8 59 of 100 1 of 2 6 of 9
Ryan Spann 23 of 86 26% 11 of 70 5 of 9 7 of 7 22 of 85 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 27 of 49 55% 21 of 40 1 of 3 5 of 6 25 of 45 1 of 2 1 of 2
Ryan Spann 12 of 33 36% 5 of 23 2 of 5 5 of 5 11 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Waldo Cortes Acosta 39 of 62 62% 35 of 57 3 of 3 1 of 2 34 of 55 0 of 0 5 of 7
Ryan Spann 11 of 53 20% 6 of 47 3 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortes-Acosta (-166), Spann (+140)

Round 1
The preliminaries conclude with a heavyweight match that could provide a new contender when the dust settles. Cortes-Acosta (12-1, 5-1 UFC) has won five of six as a full-framed heavyweight, and his opponent Spann (22-10, 8-5 UFC) is introducing himself to the weight class by no longer cutting weight. The ex-205er weighed 249 pounds, so he will be adequately sized as he also stands an inch taller. Referee Mark Smith will be minding his P’s and Q’s as the big men throw down, and he stands by as they clap hands first. Spann strikes first with a heavy leg kick, and Smith tells the heavyweights to watch their extended fingers. Cortes-Acosta responds with his own low kick, but Spann’s has much more behind it. Cortes-Acosta whiffs on a left hook, and a big overhand right of his bangs into Spann’s raised guard. Spann kicks high and is blocked, and he kicks low but is not. Cortes-Acosta wades in with winging punches, and Spann is well out of harm’s way in time. Spann hammers the front leg with a kick, and he counters one coming his way with a thudding overhand right that stuns the man from Dominican Republic. Cortes-Acosta leans forward and the two clash heads, and Smith calls time to make sure no damage resulted from it. He resumes them, and the fighters trade punches. Cortes-Acosta catches Spann on the temple with a blistering right hand, and he uses his weight to drag Spann to the fence. Spann breaks free and plunks Cortes-Acosta with an overhand right, but Cortes-Acosta’s uppercut shakes him up again. Both men swing their fists from down beneath their hips, getting full torque into it. They both lash out with low kicks, and Cortes-Acosta checks it and draws a funny reaction from his opponent. Spann comes up short with a front kick, and Cortes-Acosta chews up his front leg with another kick. Spann goes to the body with his front kick, and Cortes-Acosta winds up with bad intentions looping his haymakers at the former light heavyweight. They clinch up, and Cortes-Acosta drives punches into Spann until Spann breaks away and launches some of his own. Spann gets off a low kick and slips out of the way from “Salsa Boy,” and Cortes-Acosta measures his man with a jab and a right hand that hurts Spann again. Cortes-Acosta’s forward momentum results in a tie-up, using his higher weight to toss Spann to his back. Spann tries to upkick him in the legs a few times until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta

Round 2
The fighters lead off with a brief glove touch, and Spann is quick to fight behind his jab. Cortes-Acosta snaps his head back with a straight right hand, and he is met with a front kick to the belly. Cortes-Acosta jabs his man in the belly, but the fist goes low and bangs into Spann’s cup. Smith calls time, and Spann drops to his knees and takes a little under a minute to recover. They resume, and Cortes-Acosta flashes out his jab as Spann does the same. Cortes-Acosta scores a left and a right, and Spann indicates he was poked in the eye. Smith again pauses the action and checks the replay, and they get back to it after a few seconds. Spann jams the body with a kick, and he wings a huge right hand that Cortes-Acosta rolls with. Spann whiffs on another, and a third is met with a sharp jab from his foe. Spann is irritated about getting poked in the eye, and Smith issues a loud warning to Cortes-Acosta. Spann overthrows his punches, and the Dominican is beating him to the punch and clips the Fortis MMA fighter with his overhand right. Cortes-Acosta kicks the inner thigh, and the strike pounds square into his cup. Smith sighs heavily and calls time one more time. Spann crouches down and is not a happy camper after receiving these fouls, and Smith issues a final warning to Cortes-Acosta to keep things clean. The Texan takes more time than before to get his wind back, with Cortes-Acosta getting away with multiple fouls without a point deduction. The fighters get back to business after another 90-second break, and Spann returns to fighting behind his jab. Spann rifles off a calf kick, and Cortes-Acosta lands a powerful right hand across the forward bow. “Superman” dodges a check left hook but is unable to get away from the jab, and Cortes-Acosta loads up on his overhand right and sways the right direction to avoid one coming his direction. Cortes-Acosta prods with a jab until Spann bears down on him, and he uses the jab again to keep Spann honest. A one-two from Spann does not find its target, and he dances away from a similar pair of blows. Cortes-Acosta’s head movement and footwork keeps him safe, and he clubs Spann in the side of the dome. Spann spins with a back kick, and he shoots for a double that is met with 262 pounds of meat and several punches on the side of the head. Spann explodes back to his feet, and Cortes-Acosta is on him clubbing him with fists.
Spann swings back, still in trouble, and Cortes-Acosta sticks him with a jab and follows with a short left hook that levels Spann. When “Superman” hits the ground, Smith is already racing in towards the fighters, only to allow a few more punctuating hammerfists and punches to briefly shut Spann’s lights out.
Smith gets between them and allows Cortes-Acosta to reposition his foe’s legs who are tangled up with his, and Cortes-Acosta walks off to celebrate his handiwork. The ranked heavyweight calls for fights against either Tai Tuivasa or Derrick Lewis, and both are within his reach given his success in the division thus far.

The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Ryan Spann R2 4:48 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Angelo picks Waldo Cortes Acosta over Ryan Spann. He believes Waldo is faster, has better movement, and cardio, while Spann's last win was his first in three years against an older opponent. He notes that public money might come in on Spann, making Waldo even better value.

"Waldo's the pick and that's not just because we were both in the movie the burden of Nine Lives."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Big Brady picks Waldo Cortes Acosta, reasoning that Ryan Spann is a round-one-or-bust fighter who fades after the first five minutes. He notes Spann's last win outside the first round was a split decision in 2020. Brady believes Cortes Acosta has good durability and cardio, and if he survives the first round, he will take over in the later rounds with higher output. He predicts a decision win for Cortes Acosta.

Cortes Acosta by decision
"give me Waldo Cortez aosta by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Julius Walker, noting that the UFC is giving him a bounce-back fight after a competitive debut against Alonzo Menifield. He believes Raphael Cerqueira is a low-level opponent with poor durability and that Walker will win easily. He acknowledges the high price but sees it as a safe play.

"I feel like Julius really puts it on him. And the UFC understands fully. We've seen guys like Martin Budai six and one in the UFC cut. We've seen guys, you know, talented prospects, maybe like a TJ Laramie, he …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 31, 2024 (409 days before fight)

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

The host believes Cortes Acosta's takedown defense will keep the fight standing, allowing him to run away with the matchup in deep water and win on the scorecards.

"I believe Cortez a Costa's ability to keep span at Bay utilizing some decent enough takedown defense keeping this fight in the stand up realm and I think that will see Cortez aosta start to run away with this matchup …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Paul also picks Walker, citing his athleticism and the favorable matchup. He notes that Cerqueira has a padded record and has been knocked out quickly. He believes Walker will roll and sees value in the win, despite the high price.

"Walker for me. You"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Spann

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Spann, believing in light heavyweights succeeding at heavyweight. He notes Spann has touch-of-death power and dangerous grappling, though he has bad IQ moments. He criticizes Waldo Cortes Acosta as a 'fat heavyweight' who nearly got fraud-checked by Jared Vanderaa and has poor takedown entries. He thinks Spann's experience against better competition gives him the edge, and he expects a knockout.

"I'm gonna go Ryan span I'm GNA go with Ryan span over wildo Cortez a Costa I believe in light heavyweights succeeding at heavyweight"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 52 of 101 51% 130 of 204 3 of 4 75% 1 0 9:49
Robelis Despaigne 0 26 of 52 50% 28 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 6 of 10 60% 34 of 49 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:32
Robelis Despaigne 0 2 of 7 28% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 25 of 54 46% 42 of 76 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:44
Robelis Despaigne 0 13 of 28 46% 13 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
3 Waldo Cortes Acosta 0 21 of 37 56% 54 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:33
Robelis Despaigne 0 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Waldo Cortes Acosta 52 of 101 51% 44 of 92 0 of 0 8 of 9 15 of 24 0 of 1 37 of 76
Robelis Despaigne 26 of 52 50% 11 of 36 2 of 3 13 of 13 26 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 6 of 10 60% 5 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 6
Robelis Despaigne 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Waldo Cortes Acosta 25 of 54 46% 22 of 51 0 of 0 3 of 3 8 of 12 0 of 1 17 of 41
Robelis Despaigne 13 of 28 46% 7 of 21 2 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Waldo Cortes Acosta 21 of 37 56% 17 of 32 0 of 0 4 of 5 5 of 8 0 of 0 16 of 29
Robelis Despaigne 11 of 17 64% 2 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 9 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Robelis Despaigne
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Despaigne (-192), Cortes-Acosta (+160)

Round 1
A heavyweight appetizer kicks off the main card before the main course between big men. Fastball-throwing Dominican Cortes-Acosta (11-1, 4-1 UFC) will ply his trade against skyscraping power puncher Despaigne (5-0, 1-0 UFC) in a pairing that may not go more than a minute or two. Referee Josh Stewart knows that danger is looming, but he is prepped and ready for what’s about to befall these two fighters. The large fists are not bumped before they get down to business. Despaigne keeps his hands low, and he walks through a leg kick and smashes Cortes-Acosta in the face with a left hand. Despaigne connects with a few more thunderous punches, and Cortes-Acosta answers his offense by shooting in and securing an easy takedown. Cortes-Acosta lands in half guard, where he holds down the taekwondo star and takes a few elbows on the side of the head. Cortes-Acosta is unable to maintain chest-to-chest pressure, but his sitting on the left leg of his foe prevents “The Bad Boy” from going anywhere. Cortes-Acosta starts softening up the body, and Despaigne flails off his back. Cortes-Acosta wrenches on Despaigne’s right arm to set up a keylock, and he begins to torque it on his second effort. Despaigne wriggles his arm free, turning to his side to prevent from being stuck flat on his back. This position allows him to also defend from the few strikes that come at him. Cortes-Acosta grinds his elbow on him and tries to present a forearm choke, but there is nothing to it. Cortes-Acosta rides out the round on top, dragging Despaigne to uncharted territory.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta

Round 2
Despaigne starts the round off with a long front kick, and he backs Cortes-Acosta off with long punches. Despaigne kicks low twice, and Cortes-Acosta responds with one of his own. Despaigne lunges forward with a single punch, and he gets caught backing off with a couple of long strikes from the former baseball player. The two trade leg kicks, and Despaigne unloads a head kick that gets blocked and fires one from the other side as well. Cortes-Acosta shoots for a takedown, and this time, the 6-foot-7 fighter stonewalls him. Despaigne breaks free, and the two big men start trading. Cortes-Acosta lands with heavy hands, and he pushes Despaigne back. Despaigne plods forward and whiffs on an overhand right, and the two are sucking wind two minutes into the second round. Despaigne kicks the ribcage, and wings two punches, and Cortes-Acosta signals to him that he has no sting on his punches. Cortes-Acosta nails his man with an uppercut, and Despaigne decides to tie them up. Cortes-Acosta uses the position to secure a body lock and toss Despaigne to the mat, and he climbs directly into full mount. Cortes-Acosta works the body a few times and lands some to the head, and he postures up and starts battering Despaigne with heavy fists. Despaigne twists and turns, only for Cortes-Acosta to sit heavily on top of his abdomen. Cortes-Acosta slams down a couple elbows and opens up with hammerfists and punches, but they are more for dramatic effect than actual stopping power. Cortes-Acosta drives home a few body shots and then goes to the head with punches until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta

Round 3
The heavyweights have unexpectedly reached the third round, and their energy reserves are running low. Cortes-Acosta tosses out a half-hearted low kick, and he misses with another as Despaigne loads up on two of his own. Despaigne sticks out a jab that dislodges the mouthpiece of his opponent, and he reaches with a second. Cortes-Acosta checks a kick and mocks his undefeated adversary, and he easily blocks a jumping switch kick. Despaigne kicks his lead leg a few times, and Cortes-Acosta shrugs at him. Cortes-Acosta gives him one low kick back, and he surges into action with a right hook. Cortes-Acosta slaps a low kick on the front leg, and Despaigne counters him with a front kick that snaps the head back. As the crowd gasps, Cortes-Acosta waves in the air to signal he is fine. Despaigne’s mouth is wide open as his hands are down by his waist, and he walks forward without concern. Cortes-Acosta ties him up and turns him around to push him to the fence, and he scoops the taller man up and deposits him gingerly to the floor. Cortes-Acosta shifts to side control before deciding to move himself back to half guard for control purposes, and he smacks Despaigne a few times and starts talking to someone outside of the cage. Cortes-Acosta bops Despaigne with feeble hammerfists and some light punches, more to stay busy than try to conclude the pairing. Cortes-Acosta is shouting at Despaigne, who is totally defeated and has nothing left to offer. Cortes-Acosta sits up and rains down punches, and Despaigne turns all the way over to grab one leg and defend his mug from ground strikes. Cortes-Acosta keeps hold of Despaigne’s right arm and slams him in the face with his own right until the horrible heavyweight match concludes. Barring something horrendous, Despaigne will be leaving the ranks of the unbeaten, and any confidence of him going far at heavyweight has been shattered to pieces.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (30-27 Cortes-Acosta)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (30-27 Cortes-Acosta)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortes-Acosta (30-27 Cortes-Acosta)

The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Robelis Despaigne via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Robelis Despaigne

Angelo picks Robelis Despaigne due to his Olympic taekwondo background, size (6'7"), and insane power. He notes Despaigne's last four fights totaled 37 seconds, but admits there is no data on his chin or cardio. He acknowledges Waldo Cortes Acosta's toughness and durability but believes Despaigne's physical advantages are too much.

"I got to go rob Bellis he's athletic he's tremendous he hits insanely hard"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robelis Despaigne

Big Brady picks Robelis Despaigne to knock out Waldo Cortes Acosta in the first round, likely in the first minute. He is impressed by Despaigne's size (6'7", 87" reach) and his 'death touch,' having knocked out opponents in seconds. He notes that Acosta is not a wrestler, so Despaigne won't have to worry about takedowns. He believes Despaigne is the real deal and passes this step-up in competition.

PrizePicks play: less than 4.75 minutes fight time
"I think rebellis hits Waldo Cortez a Costa so hard that he starts doing the salsa dance and eventually puts him out probably in in the first minute"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Robelis Despaigne

Cody picks Despaigne but is leaning, not confident. He notes that Despaigne has never been out of the first round and has massive power and reach. However, he is concerned about Despaigne's lack of grappling and cardio. Cody prefers the under 1.5 rounds prop, which he parlayed with other unders, as it covers both a Despaigne KO or a potential submission loss. He is not willing to bet Despaigne's moneyline due to the unknowns.

Under 1.5 rounds (-200) parlayed with other unders
"I feel like the under one and a half is probably robis is uh his money line is pretty much in tow with that like he either knocks Waldo out or he gets exposed in this spot"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Robelis Despaigne

Daniel Vreeland picks Robelis Despaigne, calling himself on the Despaigne hype train. He notes Despaigne's incredible reach (longest in UFC history), Olympic taekwondo background, and brutal knockouts. He acknowledges that Despaigne hasn't proven it against top competition but believes he will knock out Cortes-Acosta, who has been knocked out in a boxing match before.

by KO
"I'm on the Despaigne hype train now and again what does that truly mean I don't know what the ceiling is yet but I know that there's going to be a lot of brutal Knockouts along the way."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Robelis Despaigne

The host expects Despaigne to win by first-round knockout, citing his massive size, speed, and power advantage. He notes Cortes Acosta has never been KO'd in MMA but has been knocked out in boxing, and believes Despaigne's style will overwhelm him. He prefers the round 1 KO prop at even money rather than the moneyline at -200. The pick is confident for the finish, though he acknowledges Despaigne's one-dimensional style.

Round 1 KO prop at even money is the better play
"I think that this will be a bad match up for him as rebellis goes out there and finds The Knockout in the first round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Paul picks Cortes Acosta as a confident underdog. He argues that Despaigne is a mystery with no proven grappling or cardio, while Cortes Acosta has multiple paths to victory: volume, cardio, takedowns, and durability. Paul notes that Cortes Acosta has never been knocked out in MMA and has fought tough competition. He believes Despaigne's lack of experience and training at a small gym will be exposed. Paul sees value at plus money and is willing to fade the hype.

"give me the plus money on Waldo aosta Cortez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Robelis Despaigne

The MMA Guru picks Robelis Despaigne over Waldo Cortes Acosta, noting that Cortes Acosta nearly lost to Jared Vanderaa and has questionable wins. He believes Despaigne's reach and kicking background will be key, and that he can chew up Cortes Acosta's legs. He predicts a TKO win, though he acknowledges the odds are closer than expected.

TKO
"I'm going rebellious to Spain... I think he'll win this fight by TKO."
Shamil Gaziev - Fight History
KO R2 3:44 · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Gaziev 0 41 of 100 41% 51 of 110 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:36
Brando Peričić 1 89 of 163 54% 100 of 177 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Gaziev 0 25 of 47 53% 34 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:46
Brando Peričić 0 42 of 87 48% 52 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Shamil Gaziev 0 16 of 53 30% 17 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
Brando Peričić 1 47 of 76 61% 48 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Gaziev 41 of 100 41% 30 of 88 11 of 12 0 of 0 34 of 92 7 of 8 0 of 0
Brando Peričić 89 of 163 54% 62 of 134 14 of 16 13 of 13 81 of 150 8 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Gaziev 25 of 47 53% 15 of 37 10 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 39 7 of 8 0 of 0
Brando Peričić 42 of 87 48% 33 of 77 4 of 5 5 of 5 35 of 75 7 of 12 0 of 0
2 Shamil Gaziev 16 of 53 30% 15 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0 16 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brando Peričić 47 of 76 61% 29 of 57 10 of 11 8 of 8 46 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic

Round 1
The good news is that the second straight heavyweight bout on the UFC Perth main card almost has to be an improvement on the first, but we will see what Gaziev (14-2; 3-2 UFC) and Pericic (6-1; 2-0 UFC) have to say about it. Dan Movahedi is the third man in the cage, and Pericic wastes no time in flicking out a left high kick off of Gaziev’s guard. Gaziev changes levels, drives Pericic to the fence and dumps him to the canvas with a double-leg. Pericic remains calm, turns his back and stands up against the fence. Gaziev stays glued to Pericic’s back, driving a few knees to the thighs but mostly appearing to wait for a chance to drag his man back to the ground. Movahedi warns the two to stay busy, then after another warning, breaks them up and sends them back to the center of the cage. There, Pericic quickly nails Gaziev with a laser right hand, then another. Gaziev stands his ground and tries to swing back, but Pericic slips the punches easily and blasts his foe with another salvo of punches. Gaziev is hurt and reeling, with Pericic in pursuit. Pericic snaps Gaziev’s head back with a right cross, then an uppercut. They clinch against the fence and the offense slows. They come off the fence and Pericic lands another pair of long, straight punches. Gaziev catches Pericic with a wild haymaker and he’s hurt! Gaziev tries to follow up but Pericic recovers quickly and lands another combination. Gaziev hits him with another big left hand. The horn sounds on a wild round. 10-9 Pericic.

Round 2
The heavyweights meet in the center of the cage and pick right back up where they left off. Both men land in the ensuing clash, but Pericic gets the better of it, punctuating things with a nice low kick as well. Pericic’s jab is far too quick and accurate for Gaziev to deal with, but he wades right through it and tags the taller man with a pair of hooks. Pericic hurts Gaziev with a one-two and Gaziev goes stumbling back into the fence, but again recovers by the time Pericic can get there to capitalize. Two minutes in, Pericic rocks Gaziev with yet another flurry of punches, and once again Gaziev recovers enough to throw back. They clinch against the cage and take a bit of a breather, but referee Movahedi is telling them to stay busy almost immediately. He separates them moments later and Gaziev is clearly in trouble, mouth hanging open, hands low. He is still trying to throw power shots, but Pericic is the fresher man and his hands are simply too fast.
A final right cross puts Gaziev on his back near the base of the fence and no follow-up is needed, as Movahedi sees that there’s no fight left in the Dagestani.
Brutal work by Brando Pericic in a wild heavyweight brawl.

The Official Result
Brando Pericic def. Shamil Gaziev R2 3:44 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Brando Peričić

Angelo picks Brando Peričić, relying on his athleticism and striking. He acknowledges Shamil Gaziev's wrestling potential but believes Brando's takedown defense will hold up. He notes that if Brando defends early takedowns, he will outstrike Gaziev. However, he admits uncertainty about Brando's takedown defense at a high level.

"I'm going to pick Brando. I'm I'm actually more confident in that than I should be given the fact that I've never really seen him defend takedowns at any meaningful level."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Brando Peričić

Big Brady picks Brando Peričić to win by first-round knockout. He praises Peričić's massive power and aggressive style, comparing him to a heavyweight Terrance McKinney. Brady notes that Gaziev is overrated and coming off a knockout loss, and believes Peričić's power will be too much early in the fight.

Peričić by KO, round 1
"I'm going to take Brando Peričić to win, how he wins, and that's going to be a knockout in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Brando Peričić

Cody picks Peričić, calling him 'his boy' and believing he will knock out Gaziev. He notes Gaziev's poor cardio and wrestling, and thinks Peričić's kickboxing and volume will overwhelm him.

"I'm backing my boy. I think he catches a KO at some point. So it's Parachic."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Brando Peričić

Daniel Vreeland picks Brando Peričić based on momentum, but is not confident due to Gaziev's takedown threat and Peričić's untested chin. He notes Gaziev's cardio issues and Peričić's ability to get up from takedowns.

"I'm not going to lay it, but as a pure pick, I will pick the momentum of Brando, but this is one where nothing's going to surprise me."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Brando Peričić

Perišić is a slight favorite with dangerous striking and good takedown defense shown against Sutherland. Gaziev is slow, clunky, and has poor takedown entries. Perišić should keep the fight standing and knock Gaziev out, but his cardio is unknown. A speculative bet, not too big.

"I think Perišić decent bet this weekend... I like Perišić in this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Brando Peričić

Lucrative James picks Brando Peričić to win via knockout in round one. He admits bias as he knows Peričić personally, but believes Peričić's firepower and Gaziev's recent knockout loss make it likely. He notes Gaziev is a tough opponent but expects Peričić to get the finish.

"Bul Bear, round one knockout. My prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

The host fades Peričić, believing Gaziev's strength and wrestling will get the fight to the ground and lead to a TKO or submission. He thinks Peričić still has grappling holes and Gaziev is the right stylistic matchup to exploit them. The host notes Gaziev's explosive grappling and power.

Inside the distance
"I'm going to fade Peric here. Um, I'm going to go Gaz. I think Gaz will get the positions that he needs. It wouldn't even surprise me if Gaza actually wants to throw down and maybe try to get his …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Brando Peričić

Paul picks Peričić, citing his youth and pace, and questions Gaziev's cardio and wrestling effectiveness at heavyweight. He believes Peričić will outland and finish him.

"I'm with you I'm going to back the uh the younger the younger vocal guy in Brando Parisic to uh to outland and h yeah there's question marks it's a heavyweight fight there's always question marks."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Brando Peričić

The MMA Guru picks Brando Peričić, praising his well-rounded skills and grappling. He believes Peričić will maul Gaziev's legs and finish him in round one. He notes Gaziev's hand speed but thinks Peričić is a better-trained martial artist.

TKO in round one
"I'm going to go with Peričić by TKO."
KO R1 1:22 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Waldo Cortes Acosta 2 10 of 21 47% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Shamil Gaziev 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 2 10 of 21 47% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Shamil Gaziev 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Waldo Cortes Acosta 10 of 21 47% 8 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 0 of 1 1 of 2
Shamil Gaziev 6 of 15 40% 4 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Waldo Cortes Acosta 10 of 21 47% 8 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 0 of 1 1 of 2
Shamil Gaziev 6 of 15 40% 4 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Shamil Gaziev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortes-Acosta (-160); Gaziev (+130)

Round 1
It’s time for the big boys again. Let us hope it is nothing like the travesty of the curtain jerker today, and that there is no eye poke silliness to speak of. Looking to become the heavyweight version of Donald Cerrone, Cortes-Acosta (15-2, 8-2 UFC) steps in on short notice to replace Serghei Spivac. In an amusing twist of fate, “Salsa Boy” previously replaced Gaziev (14-1, 3-1 UFC) against Spivac earlier this year. While Cortes-Acosta wants to fight six times this year—meaning, he wants to serve as a replacement fighter for one of the next two final UFC cards in 2026 providing he gets out of this unscathed—he will have to handle the Bahraini first. Referee Lukasz Bosacki has his hands full as these big lugs tipped the scales at a combined 527 pounds on Friday, but he takes a breath of relief as they touch gloves and do not appear to hold any ill will towards one another.
Gaziev fearlessly marches forward to start the fight, putting Cortes-Acosta’s back to the fence and aiming straight punches at him. Cortes-Acosta flicks a few jabs back at him, and Gaziev smiles at him and sways from most. Gaziev clubs Cortes-Acosta with a left hand, and Cortes-Acosta snaps into action and counters Gaziev with a balance-destroying right. Cortes-Acosta tries to pound out Gaziev when he hits the floor, but Gaziev stands and backs off, shaking off the cobwebs. Cortes-Acosta, smelling blood in the water, starts to set something up as he flashes jab after jab.
When the opening presents itself, he hurls a fastball of a right hand that crashes square into Gaziev’s temple. The Bahrain native collapses to his back and clutches his face, still with it but no longer defending himself. Cortes-Acosta drops to a knee to deliver one final hammerfist, but it glances off Bosacki’s protective arm as he has already stepped in to wave things off given Gaziev’s sign of physical surrender.
The fight over, Gaziev slowly rolls to his knees, and he is beside himself after getting smoked like that. That marks four wins in 2025 for Cortes-Acosta, who still wants one more—on December 13 at the year-end Fight Night—and dons his eye patch and bandana to represent his pirate self.

The Official Result
Waldo Cortes-Acosta def. Shamil Gaziev R1 1:22 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Angelo picks Shamil Gaziev over Waldo Cortes Acosta, despite mocking Gaziev's appearance. He notes Gaziev is a much better striker with power and capable wrestling, while Acosta is a grappler who can be outworked and out-athleted. Gaziev should dominate on the feet and keep the fight standing, leading to a win.

"The pick is because he's the much better striker. I think he's a very capable wrestler and he can keep this fight standing."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Big Brady leans Shamil Gaziev by first-round knockout, despite acknowledging Spivak's inconsistency. He believes Gaziev's power and forward pressure will overwhelm Spivak, who has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He notes Spivak's path via grappling but can't count on him to execute.

first round KO
"Give me Gaziev to win this fight and I think it's by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Cody picks Shamil Gaziev but is not confident. He notes both fighters have awful cardio, but Gaziev has better wrestling and power. Cody believes Gaziev can knock out Spivac early, as Spivac gasses quickly and has poor takedown defense. He mentions the location in Qatar might favor Gaziev.

"I'm going to take Shil, maybe a Shil by TKO if you want to get degenerate with it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Connor picks Spivak (Waldo Cortes Acosta), predicting that Gaziev will gas after an early takedown attempt, allowing Spivak to take over with his clinch and jab. He notes Gaziev's poor defensive striking and tendency to fade, while Spivak manages fights well. Connor acknowledges Gaziev's speed and power could lead to an early KO.

Spivak by decision or late TKO; Gaziev could win early
"I'll take Spivak too. But he might also just crush, Ghaziv might also just crush him in the first round."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Lucrative James picks Shamil Gaziev, citing his power striking and durability. He notes Sergey Spivac's questionable mentality and recent poor performances. He believes Gaziev's power will be too much and predicts a knockout win. He also mentions Spivac's camp change as a potential negative.

"I think Gazv is probably going to finish him to be honest, man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Gaziev has knockout power and physicality. Spivac is on a losing streak and may struggle with Gaziev's strength. Gaziev should land a big shot and finish Spivac by the second round.

Gaziev by knockout in round 2
"Give me Gaz and Gaz by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Paul leans towards Gaziev, citing his wrestling and power. He notes that Spivac has poor cardio and has been finished when tired. Paul believes Gaziev can take Spivac down or knock him out early, but acknowledges it's a greasy fight.

"I'll side with Gazv but um don't love it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

The MMA Guru picks Shamil Gaziev over Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing Gaziev's pressure and ability to barrage opponents. He notes Spivak's vulnerability when pressured. He expects a close decision, with Gaziev undeniable as the fight goes on.

Shamil Gaziev to fight for more than 1.5 total rounds (from earlier prizepicks segment)
"I'm going to go with Shamil Gaziev getting this one done by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Spivak. He notes that Gaziev's cardio is a major issue and that Spivak's reach and jab will become factors as the fight progresses. Zane sees Spivak as a competent heavyweight who can survive early danger and take over late.

Spivak by decision; Gaziev likely to fade
"I'm going to pick him to survive and take over. But yeah, he just might not."
KO R1 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Gaziev 1 14 of 32 43% 14 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Thomas Petersen 0 19 of 34 55% 19 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Gaziev 1 14 of 32 43% 14 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Thomas Petersen 0 19 of 34 55% 19 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Gaziev 14 of 32 43% 9 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
Thomas Petersen 19 of 34 55% 4 of 18 7 of 8 8 of 8 18 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Gaziev 14 of 32 43% 9 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
Thomas Petersen 19 of 34 55% 4 of 18 7 of 8 8 of 8 18 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Shamil Gaziev vs. Thomas Petersen

Round 1
Action moves to the heavyweight division, where Gaziev (13-1, 2-1 UFC) squares off with a former Legacy Fighting Alliance champion in Petersen (9-2, 1-1 UFC). Herzog administers he law and order. Customary glove touch gets them started. Gaziev takes the center and fires off two punches. Short elbow on the inside from Gaziev. Petersen answers with a low kick, then another. They trade right hands. Body kick from Gaziev. Petersen paws with his jab, then fires one to the body. Short right hook finds the mark for Gaziev, who plods forward against the southpaw. Petersen completes a takedown but fails to corral his opponent on the mat. Gaziev easily gets back to his feet and connects with two straight rights. Chopping right hand from Gaziev.
They circle in the center of the cage, and Gaziev connects with a crushing right hook that floors the American where he stands. No follow-up shots are required
.

The Official Result
Shamil Gaziev def. Thomas Petersen—TKO (Punch) 3:12 R1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Angelo picks Shamil Gaziev, believing he is the better fighter despite a loss to Rozenstruik. He notes that Gaziev has improved his cardio and bounced back with a decision win. He thinks Gaziev's power and physicality will be too much for Thomas Petersen, who is solid but not spectacular. He includes Gaziev in a parlay with Mike Davis.

Included in a parlay with Mike Davis.
"I think Shamil is a far better fighter I'm also a little worried I'm not entirely sold on him I'm not entirely sold on Mike Davis"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Big Brady thinks Shamil Gaziev has awful cardio but will likely knock out Thomas Petersen early. He notes Gaziev has much more power and Petersen is hitable. Brady expects a first-round knockout, but says if the fight extends it will be 'greasy'. He is staying away from betting Gaziev at -330 and might live bet Petersen.

first round knockout
"I think gaze probably does clip Peterson and knock him out early but yeah if this fight gets extended uh it's going to be greasy it's going to be greasy but I'll say Shamil gaze wins this fight it wins …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Thomas Petersen

Petersen's wrestling background will allow him to keep the fight upright and use his jab and volume to outwork Gaziev, who struggles when he can't secure takedowns or control against the cage. Petersen is a plus-300 underdog and is expected to win on the scorecards.

plus 300 underdog
"Peterson will be able to force him especially with the wrestling background that he brings to the table look for Peterson to keep this fight upright utilize his jab and his output volume to really put it on Gaziev and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

The MMA Guru picks Shamil Gaziev to win by third-round finish. He calls Gaziev 'The Blob' and says he pushes forward and is there to win. He thinks Gaziev will start to pick up the pace as the fight goes on and get a late finish over Thomas Petersen, who he calls a 'fat idiot' with unimpressive skills.

third round finish
"I'm GNA go of the great Shamil gaziev to blob all over him... he will start to pick up the pace and maybe get a third round finish"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Gaziev 0 31 of 46 67% 89 of 114 2 of 3 66% 0 0 11:58
Don'Tale Mayes 0 27 of 58 46% 57 of 95 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Gaziev 0 8 of 13 61% 24 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:32
Don'Tale Mayes 0 12 of 17 70% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Shamil Gaziev 0 21 of 28 75% 29 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:28
Don'Tale Mayes 0 10 of 25 40% 20 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Shamil Gaziev 0 2 of 5 40% 36 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:58
Don'Tale Mayes 0 5 of 16 31% 25 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Gaziev 31 of 46 67% 22 of 37 8 of 8 1 of 1 12 of 25 15 of 17 4 of 4
Don'Tale Mayes 27 of 58 46% 18 of 45 5 of 9 4 of 4 25 of 53 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Gaziev 8 of 13 61% 7 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 1 4 of 4
Don'Tale Mayes 12 of 17 70% 7 of 11 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Shamil Gaziev 21 of 28 75% 13 of 20 7 of 7 1 of 1 6 of 12 15 of 16 0 of 0
Don'Tale Mayes 10 of 25 40% 9 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 21 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Shamil Gaziev 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Don'Tale Mayes 5 of 16 31% 2 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Shamil Gaziev vs. Don'Tale Mayes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gaziev (-238), Mayes (+195)

Round 1
The lone heavyweight contest on the fight card plays out on the prelims rather than slotted undeservedly on the main card. Fresh off a deflating headlining loss to suffer his first pro defeat, Gaziev (12-1, 1-1 UFC) is hungry to bounce back from that setback at the expense of Kentucky judoka Mayes (11-6, 1 NC; 4-4, 1 NC UFC). The reputation of the fictitious Kentucky Judo Federation is at stake over the next 15 minutes, and referee Keith Peterson is ready to handle the nonsense. There is a clap of hands, and Mayes says hello with punches, a low kick and a looping left hand. Gaziev backs him off with a one-two, and Mayes fires back but is tagged with a right hand. Mayes backs up to the wall as he tries to get his mind right, and Gaziev shoots for a double and clasps his hands. Gaziev slams his man to the floor, and the entire Octagon shudders at the impact. The Bahraini by way of Russia moves to half guard with ease, where he frames off the face with his elbow and jams it down. Gaziev frees his hand from the grasp of his foe to slug him in the chops with two right hands, and he keeps “Lord Kong” flat on his back with no sign of getting back to his feet as there are over three minutes left in the round. Gaziev considers taking side control but prefers the half guard to maintain control, and he winds up with a hard right hand that bounces off the forehead. Gaziev lands right hands when he is able to wriggle his arm out of the grip of his adversary, landing enough to keep Peterson from standing them up. Gaziev presses down with his shoulder for a potential arm-triangle choke, and he sits up to land more offense. Gaziev fights off Mayes trying to sit up and punches him in the face. Gaziev hooks his arm around the neck again to keep Mayes flat, lumping him up with short but powerful blows. When the 10-second clapper sounds, Gaziev punches his way into an arm-triangle choke from the other side, but the horn toots before it is completed.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev

Round 2
The heavyweights meander towards one another as the second round opens, and Mayes keeps his man honest by busting him in the chops with several hooks. The blows are strong but largely one, and then another, rather than chained together. Mayes gets in an uppercut and shoots for his own takedown, and Gaziev grabs pursues a takedown. Mayes grabs the shorts of his foe, pulling them way up, and Peterson warns him for the grab and calls time to issue another warning instead of taking a point. They resume where they left off, and Mayes ducks, seeing an elbow whiz by his head. Mayes gets back to boxing range, slinging hooks, and Gaziev clashes forward and slams his head into the chin of his foe. Peterson observes it but does not call time, and Gaziev fights his way into a clinch as Mayes is not overly thrilled. Gaziev drives knees to the solar plexus, and he rings Mayes’ bell with an elbow. Mayes staggers back, away from the clinch, but Gaziev snags him again and starts peppering him again with knees. As the heavyweights slow to a crawl, the commentary booth remarks that the temperature feels like over 100 degrees Fahrenheit with humidity in the arena around 75%. The big men are pouring sweat and are totally wiped out, kneeing one another with short shots as Gaziev is warned by draping his hands over the fencing. Mayes sneaks in a left hand, and Gaziev pays him back with a thumping knee. Gaziev has no interest in letting go or deviating from his approach, clinging to the Kentucky native and spamming knees until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev

Round 3
Mayes starts out the final round with a fresh head of steam, racing in with punches that are telegraphed and largely miss the mark. Gaziev avoids some, eats others, and responds when caught. Mayes swings hard to the liver, and Gaziev runs at him and bowls him over, landing in half guard and returning to smothering top control form. Gaziev stays just busy enough to not have Peterson warn him for inactivity, smacking Mayes in the dome and otherwise making his life miserable. Gaziev holds on with his forearm, and Mayes complains about something. Mayes starts talking to Gaziev, and Peterson does call for more action. Gaziev answers with a few fists, and Mayes answers him with words that Gaziev may or may not understand. Gaziev postures up to drop down heavy left hands, and Mayes keeps chattering and softly lands punches to the side from his back. Mayes holds on and is trying to have a conversation, mentioning that the fans are booing Gaziev. Gaziev controls and grinds, sapping time away and ending the rough matchup disappointingly.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev (30-27 Gaziev)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev (30-27 Gaziev)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev (30-27 Gaziev)

The Official Result
Shamil Gaziev def. Don’Tale Mayes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Angelo is confident Gaziev bounces back from his first loss, believing he bit off more than he could chew in his last fight. He thinks Gaziev is the more powerful striker with good takedowns, and that this is a good rebound fight. He expects Gaziev to win but notes cardio concerns.

"I am not ready to give up on Shamil... I think he does get on the right track"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Big Brady thinks Gaziev should be able to destroy Mayes if he is anywhere near the real deal, comparing Mayes to Martin Budai whom Gaziev finished impressively. He notes Mayes does not like getting hit and has been finished on the mat multiple times. He worries about Gaziev's gas tank if the fight extends past 1.5 rounds but predicts an early finish by first-round knockout.

"I think gaze can maybe pressure in this fight like he did against Martin budai if he does that I think he can knock out dant ma"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Cody picks Shamil Gaziev, noting that Mayes has poor takedown defense and has been taken down by lesser wrestlers. He thinks Gaziev can use his wrestling and clinch to neutralize Mayes's range striking. Cody acknowledges Gaziev's cardio issues but believes in a three-round fight he can win the first two rounds. He also mentions that Mayes is flat-footed and struggles to get up when taken down.

"I'm gonna Edge towards gazio."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Daniel picks Gaziev, believing he should be able to pin Mayes against the fence and dirty box him. He notes Mayes is inconsistent and has lost to lower-level competition, while Gaziev's only loss is to a top-10 guy. He expects a similar performance to Gaziev's win over Bud.

"I think Shamil is just better than dant May so I'm gonna pick him for that reason"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Gaziev is coming off a main event loss and will be pissed off. He should steamroll Mayes, finishing him in the first or second round.

finishes in round 1 or 2
"I think we're going to see a very pissed off gadv coming into the cage this weekend and I think he steamrolls down tell me finishing him in the first or second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Paul picks Shamil Gaziev, noting that Mayes has been taken down by many opponents and has poor get-up game. He thinks Gaziev can use his wrestling to control the fight. Paul acknowledges that both fighters are low-level heavyweights and that Mayes could win if he stuffs takedowns, but he leans toward Gaziev. He also mentions that the fight could be slow and the over might be a play.

over 1.5 rounds
"Maybe hit an over because it's one of those slow paced bog of a heavyweight fights."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

The MMA Guru picks Shamil Gaziev over Don'Tale Mayes, despite calling Gaziev 'awful'. He thinks Mayes is 'a bit dumb' and that Gaziev's grappling will be the difference. He expects Gaziev to take Mayes down and wear him out, possibly catching a spinning attack from Mayes. He predicts a fourth-round TKO, though the fight is three rounds.

TKO
"I'm GNA go with Shamil gazer over Dantel may I just think Dantel May is a bit dumb"
TKO (retirement) R4 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 127 of 215 59% 140 of 230 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Shamil Gaziev 0 22 of 68 32% 27 of 75 1 of 7 14% 0 0 4:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 13 of 31 41% 15 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Gaziev 0 8 of 18 44% 12 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:46
2 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 19 of 41 46% 26 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Gaziev 0 7 of 19 36% 7 of 19 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:04
3 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 47 of 75 62% 47 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shamil Gaziev 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 48 of 68 70% 52 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Shamil Gaziev 0 2 of 12 16% 3 of 14 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 127 of 215 59% 78 of 158 30 of 37 19 of 20 123 of 209 4 of 6 0 of 0
Shamil Gaziev 22 of 68 32% 16 of 59 5 of 8 1 of 1 17 of 60 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 13 of 31 41% 8 of 25 2 of 3 3 of 3 12 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shamil Gaziev 8 of 18 44% 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 1 1 of 2
2 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 19 of 41 46% 11 of 32 5 of 6 3 of 3 19 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 0
Shamil Gaziev 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 4 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 47 of 75 62% 24 of 48 16 of 19 7 of 8 47 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shamil Gaziev 5 of 19 26% 5 of 17 0 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 48 of 68 70% 35 of 53 7 of 9 6 of 6 45 of 64 3 of 4 0 of 0
Shamil Gaziev 2 of 12 16% 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Shamil Gaziev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gaziev (-148), Rozenstruik (+124)

Round 1
It’s all down to the heavyweights tonight. The big men sport nearly identical finish rates, with their primary method of victory by knockout, so referee Marc Goddard might not need to put in 25 minutes of work here. Former kickboxer Rozenstruik (13-5, 7-5 UFC) would like nothing more than to blunt the momentum of the undefeated Gaziev (12-0, 1-0 UFC), and he will have five rounds or less to spring the minor betting upset. They touch gloves respectfully, and prepare to handle their business. Rozenstruik circles to the outside, lands a leg kick, and gets himself ready to stop a takedown. Gaziev shoots, and he bounces off the fence when he misses. Rozenstruik strafes to the side and lands a right hand that makes Gaziev lick his lips. Rozenstruik scores a leg kick, and he comes up short on an overhand right. Rozenstruik paws out a jab, and his foe backs him to the fence. Gaziev crashes the pocket for a takedown, and Rozenstruik stands him up immediately and smacks him with a right hand. Rozenstruik jabs, and he avoids a huge right hand. Another Gaziev crashing takedown effort gets stopped in its tracks, and Rozenstruik busts his foe’s nose open with his fists. Gaziev shows little setup when he tries to take the fight down, and does not even bend over so much as he runs straight ahead. Rozenstruik briefly knocks him back with a one-two, and Gaziev gets right back to his constant forward pressure. Rozenstruik scores a right hand and then jabs his way out to safety. Gaziev swings as hard as he can with a left and a monstrous right, and Rozenstruik dodges by a matter of inches. Gaziev plods ahead and then lumbers into a clinch, swinging slow punches all the while. Gaziev drops down to scoop up a single, and he lifts the kickboxer up and slams him down. Gaziev connects with a few short punches from above, and keeps his weight pressed down heavily. The round ends with Gaziev sitting up measuring a strike.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev

Round 2
The big men reach Round 2, and Rozenstruik reintroduces himself with multiple snappy jabs. Gaziev lumbers forward, and Rozenstruik uses head movement to dodge the majority of the big punches coming from the Bahraini. Rozenstruik reaches out with punches and low kicks, and he smiles when eating a jab as they high-five from an exchange. Rozenstruik looks for two punches, and Gaziev sneaks a counter right around the top to back him away. Gaziev pushes out his own jab, and Rozenstruik goes to the body and then reaches out with a one-two. Gaziev smiles when he eats a jab, and he fails to land when swinging at the kickboxer. Gaziev drives a knee right to the belly, and Rozenstruik responds with a single jab. Gaziev swings with more of a hammerfist than a straight punch, and Rozenstruik chops at his lead leg when Gaziev slowly moves forward. Rozenstruik naps out his jab to decent effect, disrupting the oncoming Gaziev until Gaziev simply decides to rumble forward like a tank and go after a single. Rozenstruik uses the wall behind him to keep himself upright, and he pulls his leg down to stop the effort. The two trade knees to the gut, and Gaziev presses tightly to control “Bigi Boy.” Rozenstruik gets in a few more short knees to the body, and Gaziev fails on another takedown effort. Goddard asks them to work as Gaziev stalls out, and Rozenstruik tries to get away again only to be snagged by his opponent and held in the clinch until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik

Round 3
It is the third round, and these two heavyweights are quite fatigued to this point. They meet in the middle with a glove touch, and Rozenstruik stands firm and jabs the head and body. “Bigi Boy” lands a leg kick, and he paws out with several jabs to keep Gaziev at bay. Gaziev clubs his foe with a right hand, and he sneaks another right around the jab to get Rozenstruik’s attention. Rozenstruik throws back with a single right after multiple jabs, and Gaziev’s nose is bloodied and his mouth wide open. Gaziev charges, landing a left hand, but he gets stunned with a right hand that nearly dislodges his mouthpiece. Gaziev holds his mouthguard like it is about to fly out, as he appears to be struggling to breathe. Rozenstruik snaps out jab after jab, and blood sprays from Gaziev’s nose when he absorbs each and every blow. Rozenstruik rips a right hand to the body, and he hops away from the offense from Gaziev that is slow and labored. Gaziev continues to shuffle his mouthpiece, and Rozenstruik opens up with a fierce combination ending with a chopping low kick. Gaziev reaches out with his arms outstretched, and Rozenstruik snaps his head back with a mean jab. Gaziev sits down on a right hand counter, and Rozenstruik has to shake it out and backpedal. Rozenstruik gathers his thoughts and jabs away, and when he lands a leg kick, he gets knocked back with a right hand. The kick did enough damage to draw out a minimal limp, and both men stand in front of one another and engage in a brief, fierce exchange to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik

Round 4
The championship rounds have been reached, much to the surprise of most prognosticators. Rozenstruik does not change his approach, with jabs and leg kicks completely flustering the undefeated fighter. Rozenstruik’s power jab stops Gaziev from hitting him cleanly, until Gaziev decides he is sick of getting hit and runs forward. Gaziev unleashes several big punches, knocking “Bigi Boy” against the fencing, and he shoots for a takedown to follow and try to take back some momentum. Rozenstruik staves it off and slides away to not get hit by an elbow on the break, and he returns to striking range while Gaziev is chewing on his mouthpiece. Rozenstruik jabs the face and chest, and Gaziev glares at him but does not have the energy reserves to do anything more but look angry. Gaziev tries to throw a single punch, and he does not have the gas to reach his opponent. Rozenstruik opens up with a left and a huge right, seeing that Gaziev is spent. He releases several more heavy punches, stinging the unbeaten fighter, and starts feeling himself. Rozenstruik jabs and smacks Gaziev in the face, and he lets Gaziev swing futilely back his direction. Rozenstruik lets go with additional jabs and doubles up on a leg kick as Gaziev looks down at his damaged limb but does not keep attacking. The jab dislodges Gaziev’s gumshield, and Rozenstruik walks off to celebrate the cool moment as Goddard recovers it and has Gaziev replace it. Rozenstruik surges into action as seconds are left in the round, and he shoots for his own takedown so Gaziev sells out defending it, and he bails on it to unload with a flurry of strikes to end the round. As Gaziev sits on his stool, he seems to tell his corner he cannot continue. The translation is not clear, whether he is injured or exhausted or something else. Gaziev stands up, and with his corner still in the cage, Goddard goes over to them all and calls time. Goddard demands that the corner translate what Gaziev was saying, and eventually they inform him that Gaziev says he cannot see. Goddard has the doctor check out Gaziev, but before the physician can determine any lack of vision, Gaziev shakes his head and seems to motion that he is all done tonight after getting beaten up for 20 minutes. Therefore, it is a stoppage via retirement at the end of the fourth round. It is a crucial win for the former kickboxer, as he strips the 0 from Gaziev’s record, and turns a rough patch to 2-1 in his last three. In his post-fight interview, Rozenstruik welcomes any challenge, and many minds immediately go to Derrick Lewis, as the two sluggers have never met. Next week, it is a massive night for the sport as UFC 299 goes down in Miami with a blockbuster lineup. We will be here for it, and we hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rozenstruik

The Official Result
Jairzinho Rozenstruik def. Shamil Gaziev R4 5:00 via TKO (Retirement)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Angelo picks Shamil Gaziev, calling the -140 odds a gift. He notes Rozenstruik is one-dimensional and flat-footed, while Gaziev has power, wrestling, and better movement. He has a full unit bet on Gaziev and expects him to win.

Full unit bet at -140
"this is Shamil gaze all day long the minus 140 odds on him is a gift from the heavens"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Big Brady picks Rozenstruik despite acknowledging Gaziev's power and early finishing ability. He notes that Gaziev has only been past 1.5 rounds once and has cardio concerns, while Rozenstruik has five-round experience and a fifth-round knockout. He believes if the fight extends, it heavily favors Rozenstruik. However, he admits he has no confidence in the pick and won't bet the fight except maybe a prop.

won't bet the fight except maybe a prop
"I'll take Rosen stro I'll take him to win by Seal knockout but I mean that this pick can age very badly very fast"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Cody sees Rozenstruik as a live underdog due to his knockout power and proven five-round cardio, noting that Gaziev has weak cardio and has never been extended beyond two rounds. He believes if Rozenstruik survives the early takedown onslaught, Gaziev will gas and Rozenstruik can finish him late. He compares it to the Overeem fight where Rozenstruik knocked him out in the fifth round.

"I feel like this is a fight that Rosen struck loses early uh if he gets finished it's over you lose if he doesn't get finished this thing drags on a little bit you're going to get a much better …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Gaziev is a strong grappler who should get the fight to the ground with relative ease. Rozenstruik struggles against grapplers, as seen in losses to Curtis Blaydes, Jailton Almeida, and Alexander Volkov. Gaziev's striking confidence has improved, and he can stay safe from Rozenstruik's power until he secures a takedown. Once on the ground, Gaziev's strength will be too much, leading to a TKO or submission finish within the first round. The host considers -145 a gift line.

Gaziev round 1 TKO or submission, fight doesn't go past 4-5 minutes
"I'm going to go godv here minus 145 in my opinion gift of a line we might not be able to get him at this line"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Paul picks Gaziev but acknowledges it's a 60/40 fight and not one he has a big edge on. He expects Gaziev to get early takedowns but questions what happens after that, noting Gaziev's cardio concerns. He mentions the fight feels like a toss-up and he's not entirely confident.

"he's going to be my pick but yeah honestly at like minus 150 plus 130 it's like I don't know this kind of does feel like a 6040 type of fight to me like I'm not entirely sure it's not …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik

The MMA Guru struggles with this pick but ultimately goes with Rozenstruik. He thinks Gaziev is open on the feet and has been dropped before, while Rozenstruik has power and experience in main events. He worries about Rozenstruik's takedown defense but believes he can survive and find opportunities. He predicts a KO in round one and mentions betting on Rozenstruik as an underdog.

KO win in round 1, underdog bet
"I'm going to go Jairzinho Rozenstruik... I think Rosenstrike can chew him up... getting a KO round one"
WIN vs Martin Buday
TKO (punches) R2 0:56 · UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Dec 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shamil Gaziev 0 8 of 20 40% 13 of 26 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
Martin Buday 0 49 of 98 50% 60 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shamil Gaziev 0 7 of 17 41% 12 of 23 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
Martin Buday 0 36 of 73 49% 45 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:08
2 Shamil Gaziev 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Martin Buday 0 13 of 25 52% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shamil Gaziev 8 of 20 40% 8 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 3 0 of 0
Martin Buday 49 of 98 50% 35 of 79 14 of 19 0 of 0 35 of 73 5 of 10 9 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shamil Gaziev 7 of 17 41% 7 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 2 0 of 0
Martin Buday 36 of 73 49% 27 of 59 9 of 14 0 of 0 23 of 49 4 of 9 9 of 15
2 Shamil Gaziev 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0
Martin Buday 13 of 25 52% 8 of 20 5 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Martin Buday vs. Shamil Gaziev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Buday (-148), Gaziev (+124)

Round 1
The year-ending UFC pay-per-view is upon us, and with a record number of fights for the organization, it has been one heck of a 2023 calendar. Before fans receive a much-needed respite over the holidays, a dozen matchups of high intrigue will play out in Las Vegas. It may not start with 12 drummers drumming, but when the heavyweights open up the billing, the thumps of the two big men laying into one another might sound like percussion. Getting things started will be once-beaten, surging Buday (13-1, 4-0 UFC) and the undefeated Gaziev (11-0, 0-0 UFC). Despite their heft, the knockout rates of these burly gentlemen that will combine for 525 mighty pounds—not counting any weight cut—are not through the roof. Referee Mark Smith will nevertheless be on his A-game for the card opener, one that begins with a bump of large fists. Gaziev takes the center of the cage, and he sets up immediate counters when Buday lumbers towards him. Gaziev cuts off his foe with a two-hook combo, making Buday take a second look at coming in. Gaziev sticks out a sharp jab, and he flashes a mean grin while stalking after Buday. Gaziev marks up Buday’s nose with combinations, and he follows a few punches with a knee up the middle. Buday grabs hold of him after absorbing the flush knee to the breadbasket to slow down the surging offense of the UFC debutant. Gaziev pushes off, and he loads on power punches while further busting Buday up. Buday circles away, and he gets backed up to the fence and takes a knee that partially bounces off his guard. Buday escapes, and Gaziev walks him down and blasts him in the face with a shovel uppercut that makes Buday’s nose leak blood. Buday starts blinking and brings his hands up to cover his face, and he backs off in dire trouble. Smith recognizes that there is a nasty cut opened up either under his left eyebrow or on his eyelid, and he pauses the round and brings in the doctor to check on his condition. Buday is cleared to continue, and he thanks Smith by shooting in for a takedown. Gaziev steamrolls him over and pushes Buday to his back, where he proceeds to target the bloodied eye with punches and elbows. Gaziev moves to half guard, and he grinds his elbow mercilessly on Buday’s mouth and throat. Gaziev sits up and busts Buday in the face with a few left hands, and blood continues to leak out of Buday’s eye. Buday turns over as he continues to take punishment, and he fights to a knee but is wrenched down by the undefeated fighter. Gaziev drills a knee to the posterior, and when Buday stands up, Gaziev follows him with a knee on the jaw right before the bell sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Gaziev

Round 2
Smith brings in the doctor to again take a look at Buday’s eye, who checks on Buday’s vision and condition. The physician informs Smith that Buday can still continue, and the second round begins. Gaziev wants to waste little time as he searches for a finish, marching Buday down and slugging him in the face with ruthless right hands and elbows. Buday shells up, his back against the cage wall, and Gaziev lays into him with powerful blows.
Smith implores Buday to fight back, and Gaziev drills his foe in the body with a right hand that makes Buday double over. Gaziev continues hurling punches as Buday wilts but does not go down, and Smith recognizes that Buday has nothing left to offer and waves off the match.
That makes it a perfect 12 up with none down for the debuting Gaziev, who has notched 11 of his 12 victories inside the distance.

The Official Result
Shamil Gaziev def. Martin Badys R2 0:56 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Angelo picks Shamil Gaziev, impressed by his power, cardio, and toughness. He notes that Buday has faced weaker competition and that Gaziev's power is a different level. He has a quarter-unit bet on Gaziev at +155.

Quarter unit bet at +155; heavyweight so small bet
"Shamil is the pick I do have a small quarter of a unit bet on him at plus 155"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Martin Buday

Big Brady picks Martin Buday to win by second-round TKO, favoring Buday's cardio and size. He notes Gaziev's early finish power but poor cardio, and believes if Buday survives the first round, he will break Gaziev in deep waters. Brady highlights Buday's brown belt in BJJ and volume striking (over 5 significant strikes per minute). He expects Buday to wear on Gaziev against the cage, take him down, and finish with ground and pound.

"I like budai to win this fight in the second or third round I think he breaks down gaze holds him against the cage puts his weight on him wears on him and eventually takes him down hopefully gets on …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Martin Buday

Cody picks Buday, arguing that Gaziev has poor cardio and will fade after the first round. He notes that Gaziev's wrestling is not elite and his striking is bad, while Buday has good cardio and can push a pace. Cody believes Buday will survive the early onslaught and take over in later rounds, winning by TKO or decision. He sees Buday as the safer pick.

Martin Buday by TKO
"I got budy I got budai to take him out down the stretch probably by TKO"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Jeff Fox picks Shamil Gaziev by knockout, stating that he likes Gaziev's straight punches and the way he attacks. He believes Gaziev will land one to Martin Buday's big skull and finish him. The prop is at plus 250.

Shamil Gaziev by knockout at +250
"I'm gonna take Shamil godv uh I'm gonna take him by knockout"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Lucrative James picks Shamil Gaziev as an underdog. He believes Gaziev has more finishing upside early, is more athletic, and hits harder. He criticizes Martin Buday's plodding style and porous striking defense, noting Buday has been cracked by lesser fighters. He says it's Gaziev or pass, and that laying minus 200 on Buday is not advisable.

"I like Gaziev a little bit as an underdog in this spot... it's Gaziev or pass."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Martin Buday

The host picks Buday, praising his pace, pressure, durability, and cardio. He expects Buday to stuff Gaziev's early takedown attempts, then take over in rounds two and three, breaking Gaziev in the clinch and finding a late finish. He notes that Gaziev's cardio looks sketchy and that Buday will be the better striker and more durable. He predicts a third-round stoppage for Buday.

Buday by TKO in round 3
"give me Martin budai here and I think he gets a third round stoppage over Shamil GV"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Paul picks Gaziev as an underdog, noting that Buday has struggled against bottom-level heavyweights and that Gaziev has a wrestling advantage. He acknowledges that Gaziev's cardio is a concern but believes if Gaziev can get early takedowns, he can control the fight. Paul is not fully confident but sees value at +135, especially since Buday has not faced many wrestlers.

"I took the underdog just cuz In fairness to gazi"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

The Guru picks Shamil Gaziev over Martin Buday, criticizing Buday as an out-of-shape heavyweight with no grappling or striking skills. He highlights Gaziev's regional credentials and finishing ability. He predicts Gaziev will get a takedown and submit Buday with an arm triangle in round one.

Gaziev by submission (arm triangle) in round 1
"I'm going to go with Shamil gaziev getting this one done by first round armed triangle submission after a takedown in the Midway point of round one"
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Angelo picks Shamil Gaziev over Waldo Cortes Acosta, despite mocking Gaziev's appearance. He notes Gaziev is a much better striker with power and capable wrestling, while Acosta is a grappler who can be outworked and out-athleted. Gaziev should dominate on the feet and keep the fight standing, leading to a win.

"The pick is because he's the much better striker. I think he's a very capable wrestler and he can keep this fight standing."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Big Brady leans Shamil Gaziev by first-round knockout, despite acknowledging Spivak's inconsistency. He believes Gaziev's power and forward pressure will overwhelm Spivak, who has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He notes Spivak's path via grappling but can't count on him to execute.

first round KO
"Give me Gaziev to win this fight and I think it's by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Cody picks Shamil Gaziev but is not confident. He notes both fighters have awful cardio, but Gaziev has better wrestling and power. Cody believes Gaziev can knock out Spivac early, as Spivac gasses quickly and has poor takedown defense. He mentions the location in Qatar might favor Gaziev.

"I'm going to take Shil, maybe a Shil by TKO if you want to get degenerate with it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Connor picks Spivak (Waldo Cortes Acosta), predicting that Gaziev will gas after an early takedown attempt, allowing Spivak to take over with his clinch and jab. He notes Gaziev's poor defensive striking and tendency to fade, while Spivak manages fights well. Connor acknowledges Gaziev's speed and power could lead to an early KO.

Spivak by decision or late TKO; Gaziev could win early
"I'll take Spivak too. But he might also just crush, Ghaziv might also just crush him in the first round."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Lucrative James picks Shamil Gaziev, citing his power striking and durability. He notes Sergey Spivac's questionable mentality and recent poor performances. He believes Gaziev's power will be too much and predicts a knockout win. He also mentions Spivac's camp change as a potential negative.

"I think Gazv is probably going to finish him to be honest, man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Gaziev has knockout power and physicality. Spivac is on a losing streak and may struggle with Gaziev's strength. Gaziev should land a big shot and finish Spivac by the second round.

Gaziev by knockout in round 2
"Give me Gaz and Gaz by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

Paul leans towards Gaziev, citing his wrestling and power. He notes that Spivac has poor cardio and has been finished when tired. Paul believes Gaziev can take Spivac down or knock him out early, but acknowledges it's a greasy fight.

"I'll side with Gazv but um don't love it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Shamil Gaziev

The MMA Guru picks Shamil Gaziev over Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing Gaziev's pressure and ability to barrage opponents. He notes Spivak's vulnerability when pressured. He expects a close decision, with Gaziev undeniable as the fight goes on.

Shamil Gaziev to fight for more than 1.5 total rounds (from earlier prizepicks segment)
"I'm going to go with Shamil Gaziev getting this one done by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Spivak. He notes that Gaziev's cardio is a major issue and that Spivak's reach and jab will become factors as the fight progresses. Zane sees Spivak as a competent heavyweight who can survive early danger and take over late.

Spivak by decision; Gaziev likely to fade
"I'm going to pick him to survive and take over. But yeah, he just might not."