Career Averages - Cristian Quiñonez
Career Averages - Kris Moutinho
Cristian Quiñonez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 38 of 61 | 62% | 54 of 80 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 2 | 0 | 7:06 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 28 of 71 | 39% | 32 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 24 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 20 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 10 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 5 of 18 | 27% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Quiñonez | 38 of 61 | 62% | 34 of 53 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 35 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Kris Moutinho | 28 of 71 | 39% | 13 of 51 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 28 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Quiñonez | 23 of 37 | 62% | 20 of 30 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 16 of 39 | 41% | 6 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cristian Quiñonez | 8 of 11 | 72% | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 7 of 14 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cristian Quiñonez | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Kris Moutinho | 5 of 18 | 27% | 4 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Cristian Quiñonez because Kris Moutinho is a 'human punching bag' who has absorbed 283 strikes and been knocked out three times in the UFC. He acknowledges Quiñonez is not great either, but at least he has won in the UFC. He warns against betting at -650 odds, calling it not worth it.
Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez, calling Kris Moutinho a non-UFC-level fighter with terrible striking defense (29%). He notes Moutinho has been knocked out five times and finished in all losses. Brady believes Quiñonez will hit Moutinho hard and knock him out, predicting a first-round knockout.
Cody also fades Quiñonez at -700, pointing out his inactivity and lack of recent wins. He sees Moutinho as a live dog if he can push the pace and exploit Quiñonez's potential cardio issues.
Connor picks Quiñonez, noting that Moutinho is a sacrificial lamb who has been knocked out in every UFC fight. Quiñonez is not a big step up but is still a step up, and his pressure and size should be too much for Moutinho's limited game.
Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.
The host considers this a clear dog-or-pass fight. Quiñonez is a heavy favorite at -687, but the host cannot bet him at that price. Moutinho is tough but gets rocked often, lacks knockout power, and is unlikely to outgrapple Quiñonez. The host doubts Moutinho has a realistic path to victory and will not bet this fight.
James believes Quiñonez is far more skilled and powerful than Moutinho, who has a suspect chin after recent KOs. He predicts an early KO for Quiñonez, possibly in round one.
The host picks Quiñonez but is hesitant due to the high price and altitude concerns. He notes Quiñonez's skill advantage but worries about his cardio and past submission losses. He thinks Moutinho's pressure and pace could cause issues if Quiñonez fades. He suggests a flyer on Moutinho by late finish but officially picks Quiñonez by decision.
Paul is leaning towards Moutinho at +500, citing Quiñonez's long layoff, ring rust, and recent losses. He notes Moutinho's pressure and durability, and plans to bet Moutinho despite the risk.
The MMA Guru picks Cristian Quiñonez, calling Kris Moutinho 'garbage' and noting that Moutinho has no wins over good fighters, while Quiñonez has beaten Khalid Taha and Vinicius Oliveira. He predicts an easy TKO finish in the early rounds, citing Moutinho's lack of skill and Quiñonez's superior competition.
Zane picks Quiñonez because he is a step up from Moutinho, who is a one-dimensional brawler with no other options. Quiñonez showed good ideas against Hani Barcelos, pressing forward and testing his wrestling. Moutinho has been knocked out in every UFC fight and is not UFC level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 29 of 82 | 35% | 43 of 99 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 43 of 74 | 58% | 48 of 81 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 | 0 | 1:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 4 of 20 | 20% | 17 of 35 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 13 of 18 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 18 of 49 | 36% | 19 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 22 of 46 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 13 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raoni Barcelos | 29 of 82 | 35% | 17 of 67 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 9 | 26 of 75 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 43 of 74 | 58% | 26 of 54 | 5 of 7 | 12 of 13 | 38 of 68 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raoni Barcelos | 4 of 20 | 20% | 2 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 12 of 16 | 75% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Raoni Barcelos | 18 of 49 | 36% | 13 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 45 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 20 of 44 | 45% | 15 of 36 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Raoni Barcelos | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 11 of 14 | 78% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barcelos (-175), Quinonez (+145)
Round 1
Wrapping up the preliminaries with a bantamweight clash, 27-year-old Mexico native Quinonez (18-4, 1-1 UFC) wants to usher in a new generation of fighters and boot out aging competitors like Barcelos (17-5, 6-4 UFC), age 36. To keep things on the up-and-up, referee Bladimir Puga will take charge in the cage. There is a quick glove touch to precede the action, and Quinonez reaches out with multiple jabs only to get pushed back by a front kick. Barcelos chops down the lead leg with a kick, and he shoots in for a single that gets stuffed. Quinonez reaches him with a long right hand, and he flicks out a jab and a right to follow. Barcelos lands a low kick and drills the Mexican in the side of the head with a right hand, and Quinonez reels and backs himself to the cage. Barcelos attempts a takedown, and Quinonez stops it and turns him around against the wall. Quinonez drives a knee to the solar plexus, and he hangs on Barcelos to take some of the sting out of his shots. Barcelos tries for a throw, and both men climb back up. Barcelos tags his man with a right hand, and Quinonez reels and retaliates with a quick left hook. Barcelos swings with bad intentions, and Quinonez smoothly dodges the offense and prepares his counters. When Barcelos lands a single low kick, Quinonez greets him with four punches to the body and head. Barcelos continues moving forward, landing a double and dragging Quinonez to the floor. Quinonez pops back up, and he succeeds in wrenching Barcelos to the mat briefly in response. Quinonez looks for a body lock takedown, and Barcelos grabs the fence to prevent himself getting taken down as Puga slaps his hand. Barcelos again tugs on the cage to stop a takedown, and Puga once more warns him loudly while slapping his hand. Barcelos takes a few knees to the head, and Barcelos gets pulled away from the cage briefly. Barcelos gets away with another fence grab, and he spins with an elbow that grazes off the head. Quinonez wrestles his man to the mat in a scramble, and Puga shouts to Barcelos to not grab the cage. Quinonez sits on top of his opponent in partial side control, and he rains down right hands and an elbow to conclude the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Quinonez
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Quinonez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Quinonez
Round 2
The bantamweights touch gloves to get started in the second round, and Barcelos hops out with a leg kick. Quinonez flicks out a high kick and aims one low, and he pushes out a jab before Barcelos can meet him with a response. Barcelos charges with two right hands, and Quinonez shoulder rolls and keeps flowing to not eat any further strikes from the Brazilian. Quinonez kicks low and high, with the second shot blocked. Quinonez parries a strike coming his way, and he absorbs a low kick after missing a right hand. Barcelos lands a leg kick, and he backs his man off with two lunging punches. Quinonez resets and wings a right, and he prods the Brazilian’s nose with a few jabs. Barcelos comes up short on a shovel uppercut, and Quinonez keeps his range with jabs. Barcelos sits down on a leg kick, and he shrugs off a right hand so he can land two of his own. They both jab at the same time, and Barcelos reaches out to connect with a heavy right hand. Quinonez retaliates with a blistering right hand, and as he staggers the Brazilian, he finds himself getting taken down. Quinonez stands back up, and he gets rocked with a right hand coming his way. Quinonez drops to a knee, and Barcelos blasts him in the chest with a knee. Quinonez protests, and Puga says it was legal, so Barcelos sprints at him and hurts him with a combination. As Quinonez is in sudden danger, Barcelos grips hold of a standing guillotine choke to boot. Barcelos cannot complete the submission, and he backs off to take a breath. Both men start trading shots, and as Barcelos starts to fade, Quinonez stays in his face and tags Barcelos with a straight right hand. Barcelos goes for a single, and Quinonez springs to the side to stay on his feet. Both men land with right hands, and Barcelos gives chase to toss out two more. Quinonez dings his foe with a leg kick and two punches, and Barcelos walks him down and lands one punch behind the ear. The two crash together right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Quinonez
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Quinonez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Quinonez
Round 3
The last round opens with Quinonez trying to keep his distance, popping an oncoming Barcelos with chipping kicks and jabs. Barcelos gives chase all the while, landing occasionally, but Quinonez connects more actively. Barcelos telegraphs with big right hands, and Quinonez sees them coming and sways just enough to avoid them. Barcelos kicks him in the ribs twice, and when Quinonez responds with his own body kick, Barcelos grabs the leg and tosses Quinonez down to the canvas. Barcelos shifts to get into half guard, and he ultimately takes Quinonez’ back in a scramble.
Barcelos fastens a rear-naked choke in the blink of an eye, and it is now academic at this point. Barcelos squeezes and exerts every remaining bit of his energy to complete the submission, and Quinonez has no choice but to surrender in a fight he had done well to that point.
This a crucial win for the 36-year-old, whose place on the UFC roster may have been at risk with a loss. As Barcelos celebrates his win, he also expresses a great deal of pain and hangs his left hand low, indicating that he may have sustained a shoulder injury early in the match.
The Official Result
Raoni Barcelos def. Cristian Quinonez R3 2:04 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Quiñonez as the underdog, citing Barcelos' age (36) and recent skid. He notes that Barcelos has lost to fighters he shouldn't have and that lower weight classes age out faster. He believes Quiñonez is younger, fresher, and more durable.
Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez to win by first-round knockout, but with low confidence. He notes that if this fight were three years ago, he would max bet Barcelos, but Barcelos is now 36, looks older, and has durability and cardio issues. Quiñonez has power and is nine years younger, and Barcelos has been finished multiple times. However, both fighters have questionable durability, and Brady expects someone to get finished.
Cody picks Barcelos, citing his superior boxing, wrestling, and experience. He notes Quiñonez has been finished in all his losses, has poor takedown defense, and gives up his back. Barcelos is a seven-time Brazilian national wrestling team member and has sharp counter-punching. He thinks Barcelos can make mistakes and still win.
The host believes Quiñonez's volume striking and footwork from distance will give Barcelos trouble. He notes Quiñonez's speed advantage and output, and his ability to stay away from pocket exchanges where Barcelos is dangerous. He also mentions Quiñonez's takedown defense and get-ups, and cautions that he must not get overzealous like in the Kong fight. He predicts a decision victory for Quiñonez.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Barcelos. He notes Quiñonez seems KO-robust but Barcelos has the skills to neutralize him. He mentions Barcelos completely neutralized Trevon Jones, outlanding him 73-11 in significant strikes. He thinks Barcelos is a fine parlay piece at -200.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyung Ho Kang | 1 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 31 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyung Ho Kang | 1 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 31 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyung Ho Kang | 22 of 37 | 59% | 14 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 13 of 29 | 44% | 11 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyung Ho Kang | 22 of 37 | 59% | 14 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Cristian Quiñonez | 13 of 29 | 44% | 11 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alessandro Costa, noting that if Jimmy Flick looks like he did in his last fight, Costa should be a much heavier favorite. Costa is a patient striker with power and good takedown defense, while Flick had nothing to offer on his feet in his return. Angelo also mentions he would bet the under 2.5 rounds if that line becomes available, expecting a stoppage.
Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez to win by decision. He was initially not high on Quiñonez but was impressed by his knockout of Khaos Williams and his overall skills. Quiñonez is a high-volume striker with solid grappling, though he can make mistakes on the mat. Kang is a solid fighter but typically low volume, though he showed improvement in his last fight. Brady thinks Quiñonez is the better striker and as long as he isn't held down for long periods, he should win a decision. He has some concerns about Quiñonez's chin and cardio.
Cody agrees with Paul that Kang at plus money is the pick. He notes Kang has legitimate skills in wrestling and striking, but his ring IQ is poor and he makes stupid mistakes. However, at 35 and coming off a layoff, Kang still has the volume and wrestling edge over Quiñonez. Cody thinks Kang can win striking exchanges and mix in takedowns, and at +140, he's willing to take the chance.
Connor picks Quiñonez, arguing that while Kang is a sharp boxer, he doesn't press advantages and lacks layers behind his striking. Quiñonez, on the other hand, is willing to sit in the pocket and throw combinations with vigor. Connor notes that Quiñonez's low kicks and ability to mix in wrestling could trouble Kang. He acknowledges Quiñonez can get messy but believes his recent improvements under Brandon Moreno's tutelage are durable enough to win a close fight.
Daniel Levi leans toward Cristian Quiñonez, but only at the underdog price he got (opener +145). He sees it as a 50-50 fight and notes Kang's experience and close fights. He likes Quiñonez's volume and style but wouldn't bet him at current juice. He expects the fight to go the distance.
Quiñonez is a long, lanky striker with great footwork and a solid jab. Kang is a solid all-around fighter but will have trouble dealing with Quiñonez's range and movement. Quiñonez has power and can keep the fight standing where he has the advantage. Kang has a slight edge in grappling but Quiñonez should be able to avoid takedowns. Quiñonez wins by decision.
Paul is stunned that Kang is the underdog, given his experience and skills. He notes that the market moved from Kang -180 to +160, which he finds surprising. Paul thinks Kang has skills in every aspect and has been in there with every style. He picks Kang to bring the upset.
Zane picks Kyung Ho Kang, emphasizing his consistent technical boxing and reach advantage. He notes that Kang has a great jab and straight punches, and is willing to pressure opponents. Zane believes Kang's experience and sharpness will edge out Quiñonez, who is still developing and can get messy in exchanges. He also suggests Kang could employ wrestling to make the fight easier, but expects a competitive striking battle where Kang slightly gets the better of it.
Kris Moutinho - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 38 of 61 | 62% | 54 of 80 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 2 | 0 | 7:06 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 28 of 71 | 39% | 32 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 24 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 20 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Cristian Quiñonez | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 10 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 5 of 18 | 27% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Quiñonez | 38 of 61 | 62% | 34 of 53 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 35 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Kris Moutinho | 28 of 71 | 39% | 13 of 51 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 28 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristian Quiñonez | 23 of 37 | 62% | 20 of 30 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 16 of 39 | 41% | 6 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cristian Quiñonez | 8 of 11 | 72% | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 7 of 14 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cristian Quiñonez | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Kris Moutinho | 5 of 18 | 27% | 4 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Cristian Quiñonez because Kris Moutinho is a 'human punching bag' who has absorbed 283 strikes and been knocked out three times in the UFC. He acknowledges Quiñonez is not great either, but at least he has won in the UFC. He warns against betting at -650 odds, calling it not worth it.
Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez, calling Kris Moutinho a non-UFC-level fighter with terrible striking defense (29%). He notes Moutinho has been knocked out five times and finished in all losses. Brady believes Quiñonez will hit Moutinho hard and knock him out, predicting a first-round knockout.
Cody also fades Quiñonez at -700, pointing out his inactivity and lack of recent wins. He sees Moutinho as a live dog if he can push the pace and exploit Quiñonez's potential cardio issues.
Connor picks Quiñonez, noting that Moutinho is a sacrificial lamb who has been knocked out in every UFC fight. Quiñonez is not a big step up but is still a step up, and his pressure and size should be too much for Moutinho's limited game.
Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.
The host considers this a clear dog-or-pass fight. Quiñonez is a heavy favorite at -687, but the host cannot bet him at that price. Moutinho is tough but gets rocked often, lacks knockout power, and is unlikely to outgrapple Quiñonez. The host doubts Moutinho has a realistic path to victory and will not bet this fight.
James believes Quiñonez is far more skilled and powerful than Moutinho, who has a suspect chin after recent KOs. He predicts an early KO for Quiñonez, possibly in round one.
The host picks Quiñonez but is hesitant due to the high price and altitude concerns. He notes Quiñonez's skill advantage but worries about his cardio and past submission losses. He thinks Moutinho's pressure and pace could cause issues if Quiñonez fades. He suggests a flyer on Moutinho by late finish but officially picks Quiñonez by decision.
Paul is leaning towards Moutinho at +500, citing Quiñonez's long layoff, ring rust, and recent losses. He notes Moutinho's pressure and durability, and plans to bet Moutinho despite the risk.
The MMA Guru picks Cristian Quiñonez, calling Kris Moutinho 'garbage' and noting that Moutinho has no wins over good fighters, while Quiñonez has beaten Khalid Taha and Vinicius Oliveira. He predicts an easy TKO finish in the early rounds, citing Moutinho's lack of skill and Quiñonez's superior competition.
Zane picks Quiñonez because he is a step up from Moutinho, who is a one-dimensional brawler with no other options. Quiñonez showed good ideas against Hani Barcelos, pressing forward and testing his wrestling. Moutinho has been knocked out in every UFC fight and is not UFC level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Wellmaker | 1 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 25 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 6 of 27 | 22% | 7 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Wellmaker | 1 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 25 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 6 of 27 | 22% | 7 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Wellmaker | 25 of 39 | 64% | 11 of 23 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 22 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 6 of 27 | 22% | 3 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Wellmaker | 25 of 39 | 64% | 11 of 23 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 22 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 6 of 27 | 22% | 3 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Wellmaker (-1450), Moutinho (+850)
Round 1
In what may serve as the widest betting discrepancy of any UFC match this year, the unbeaten flamethrower Wellmaker (9-0, 1-0 UFC) clocks in with prohibitive odds somewhere around -2000 depending on one’s book of choice. Late replacement Moutinho (14-6, 0-2 UFC), with the comeback around +950, knows what it is like to face tough opposition in the Octagon, and he is back after stringing together a slew of wins on the regional scene. Whether he has picked up any new tricks since being away, referee Brent McKeehan will see them first. What bettors consider a complete squash match begins without glove touch, and what happens next is anyone’s guess. This sport does not always play out relative to expectations or betting lines. Wellmaker jabs the body with a kick, and Moutinho ignores it and meanders forward. Wellmaker chips at his front leg twice, turning his foe around the second time. A third one, Moutinho tries to catch it but ends up eating a left hook for his trouble. Wellmaker chips at him with kicks to the body and lead leg, and he jabs to the midsection as well. Wellmaker dings Moutinho with a vicious right hand, and he backs Moutinho off with a swarm of punches. Moutinho bounces off the fencing and tries to tie up the hard-swinging undefeated fighter, and Wellmaker breaks free and scores a leg kick. Moutinho clips Wellmaker with a right hand, and Wellmaker responds with a vicious left that snaps the head back. Moutinho considers a level change, kneeing his man in the body but taking an elbow before Wellmaker backs off. Moutinho pushes forward, tripping himself up while throwing and falling to the ground. Wellmaker lets him back up, and he cracks his opponent with a body shot and a right hand up top.
Wellmaker digs a kick to the body, setting up a short but destructive right hand that cleans Moutinho’s clock. The wrecked Massachusetts native falls flat on his face, and Wellmaker walks away, nothing more left to do today but party.
Wellmaker drops to his knees while waiting for medical professionals to tend to Moutinho, who comes to and is able to stand back up. Wellmaker jumps to the top of the cage to drink in the love and admiration of his home state fans, and the place is as loud as can be after that mighty knockout.
The Official Result
Malcolm Wellmaker def. Kris Moutinho R1 2:37 via KO (Punch)
Angelo is extremely confident in Wellmaker, calling him a powerful striker with great accuracy and timing. He notes that Moutinho is not durable and has been finished in most losses. He believes Wellmaker will maul Moutinho.
Big Brady picks Malcolm Wellmaker by first-round knockout, calling it a mismatch. He criticizes Kris Moutinho's terrible striking defense (28%) and notes he has been knocked out by lesser competition. He believes Wellmaker hits like a truck and will finish Moutinho early.
Wellmaker is the superior striker and will showcase that, but his defensive mistakes could allow Moutinho to capitalize. Despite picking Wellmaker to win, the minus-300 odds are considered too wide to trust.
The Guru picks Malcolm Wellmaker, praising his power and athleticism. He contrasts Wellmaker's counter hook with Sean O'Malley's straight punches, arguing Moutinho can absorb straight shots but will be vulnerable to Wellmaker's hooks. He predicts a first-round KO, calling it an 'absolute mismatch.' He also mentions a prop bet on Wellmaker landing under 27.5 significant strikes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guido Cannetti | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Cannetti | 11 of 30 | 36% | 8 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 28 of 44 | 63% | 18 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 21 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guido Cannetti | 11 of 30 | 36% | 8 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 28 of 44 | 63% | 18 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 21 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Kris Moutinho due to his durability, noting that he absorbed 230 strikes against Sean O'Malley and kept coming. He acknowledges that Guido Cannetti is a technical striker but aging, and that Moutinho is young and tough. However, he admits he has no strong read on this fight and that Cannetti could win a decision.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Kris Moutinho, citing Moutinho's youth (13 years younger), height and reach advantage, and better cardio. He acknowledges Cannetti is the better fighter but only has one round of cardio at 42 years old. He expects Moutinho to walk forward, eat punches, and take over late to win a close, greasy decision. He is not betting this fight, especially with Moutinho as a favorite.
Cody leans Moutinho, citing his youth and pressure. He notes Cannetti's age and suspect gas tank. He believes Moutinho's forward pressure will overwhelm Cannetti.
Daniel Levi picks Kris Moutinho, noting that Guido Cannetti is 43 years old and gasses out past the first round. He believes Moutinho's durability and volume will break Cannetti down, likely winning a decision. Levi acknowledges that Moutinho is not the best but thinks this matchup favors him against an aging opponent.
Moutinho is expected to land crisper shots down the middle and win via decision. However, the fight is highly volatile with many possible outcomes. Cannetti has leg kicks and power, but Moutinho's durability is a question. The host is not betting this fight due to volatility.
Paul leans Moutinho, citing his youth and pressure. He notes Cannetti's age and suspect gas tank. He believes Moutinho's forward pressure will overwhelm Cannetti.
The MMA Guru picks Guido Cannetti as an underdog over Kris Moutinho, believing Moutinho is 'garbage at fighting' despite his name value from the Sean O'Malley fight. He highlights Cannetti's underrated skills, including dominating Marlon Vera in the first round of their fight. He expects a grinding fight where Cannetti uses his grappling to take Moutinho down and win by TKO or submission. He plans to wait for better odds as money comes in on Moutinho.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Malley | 1 | 230 of 318 | 72% | 230 of 318 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 70 of 218 | 32% | 70 of 218 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean O'Malley | 1 | 77 of 106 | 72% | 77 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 24 of 72 | 33% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sean O'Malley | 0 | 70 of 98 | 71% | 70 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 19 of 68 | 27% | 19 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 3 | Sean O'Malley | 0 | 83 of 114 | 72% | 83 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 27 of 78 | 34% | 27 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Malley | 230 of 318 | 72% | 177 of 255 | 45 of 55 | 8 of 8 | 228 of 314 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Kris Moutinho | 70 of 218 | 32% | 39 of 168 | 7 of 22 | 24 of 28 | 69 of 217 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean O'Malley | 77 of 106 | 72% | 59 of 88 | 15 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 77 of 105 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Kris Moutinho | 24 of 72 | 33% | 11 of 55 | 2 of 5 | 11 of 12 | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean O'Malley | 70 of 98 | 71% | 53 of 75 | 15 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 68 of 95 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 19 of 68 | 27% | 12 of 54 | 4 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sean O'Malley | 83 of 114 | 72% | 65 of 92 | 15 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 83 of 114 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 27 of 78 | 34% | 16 of 59 | 1 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 27 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The main card opener draws a short-notice replacement for O’Malley (13-1, 5-1 UFC), who now meets newcomer Moutinho (9-4, 0-0 UFC) in a bantamweight clash of unusually colored hair. Referee Herb Dean neglected to dye his own hair for this fight, and there is no glove touch before the two get after it. Moutinho comes out guns blazing, swinging at the heavy favorite but getting kicked away on the way forward. O’Malley kicks the body and leg a few times, and Moutinho is not concerned as he continues to press ahead. O’Malley scores with long, reaching punches as Moutinho rushes in recklessly, and Moutinho gets his head snapped back with a counter punch. Moutinho gets off a few leg kicks of his own to make O’Malley stumble, and he keeps his foot on the accelerator as he stalks “Sugar” down. Three crisp punches land from O’Malley, and a front kick and a head kick come up quickly. O’Malley stings Moutinho with several punches, and Moutinho wears it well even as his green hair flows around from every blow. Moutinho marches straight at O’Malley, not cutting angles or doing anything besides walking directly at O’Malley and trying to swarm him with punches. O’Malley rings the Massachusetts native’s bell with an uppercut and several more punches, and he decides to start showboating instead of finishing his foe off. O’Malley lands flush to the head and body without issue, and the green-haired Moutinho walks through them without wobbling. O’Malley clips him with a left hand coming in, and Moutinho charges fearlessly even as he gets tagged repeatedly. Moutinho kicks the leg, O’Malley scores with a right hand, and a front kick and a right hand follow as O’Malley’s accuracy is virtually perfect. Moutinho laughs off strikes as he absorbs them, and surprises O’Malley with a right hand as he leaps ahead. Moutinho digs his shin into O’Malley’s lead leg, and he points at his opponent when he lands it. Moutinho lands low with a kick and absorbs punches and knees without even flinching. Moutinho springs at him with looping right hands, and O’Malley counters well and staggers him. Moutinho gets cracked with a crisp right hand and falls to the ground, and O’Malley hunts for a choke but cannot get it in time. Moutinho barely is able to make it to his corner between rounds, but he does make it to the end of the first period.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 O’Malley
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 O’Malley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 O’Malley
Round 2
Moutinho is still hurt after trying the one-minute recovery period, but when the bell rings, he rushes at O’Malley with big punches. O’Malley continues to tag him with punches up top, and he snaps Moutinho’s head back with several jabs and mixes it up with front kicks. Moutinho eats a spinning kick to the body, and O’Malley winds up with a body kick and a head kick. The chin on Moutinho cannot be questioned as he plods forward seemingly unfazed as he gets clobbered with quick strikes. Moutinho gets off a few kicks to the body while he pursues O’Malley, and he throws hammers but cannot find their target. O’Malley makes Moutinho’s knees weak with a barrage of blows, but Moutinho is a resolute newcomer as he walks through a head kick. Moutinho walks face-first into a right hand, and he shakes it off and continues to give chase. Moutinho throws with everything he has at “Sugar,” and O’Malley is there to dodge the majority of the strikes and counter him effectively. Moutinho stalks O’Malley down but he misses with his bombs as O’Malley touches him again and again with crisp punches and clean front kicks. Moutinho shrugs off the powerful strikes, even rolling with a huge right hand from O’Malley, and he swarms O’Malley but ends up colliding with his guard. Moutinho walks through a punch to land a right hand, and he digs another to the body as O’Malley takes a deep breath. Moutinho welcomes a brawl, and when he gets one, he knocks O’Malley’s mouthpiece out. O’Malley ducks and blasts Moutinho in the face with a right hand, and he looks shocked that Moutinho is able to take it and keep coming. Moutinho ignores a front kick to the body to tie him up against the fence, and he lands a few short shots on the inside before the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 O’Malley
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 O’Malley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 O’Malley
Round 3
O’Malley opens the round with a stomp kick to the knee, and when he lands another leg kick, Moutinho starts talking to his opponent. Moutinho races forward to attack, and he eats punches and has his nose busted up but is not concerned. He manages to get off a few punches, and he may have stunned O’Malley for a moment with a barrage. O’Malley ducks and cracks his man, taking deep breaths and landing effectively with practically everything he throws. Moutinho shakes his head after O’Malley kicks him in the head, and he blitzes O’Malley but cannot corner him. Moutinho kicks O’Malley’s lead leg several times and surprises O’Malley with a right hook, but O’Malley replies with a trio of big punches. O’Malley digs a few front kicks to the body and overhand rights score one after the other, and Moutinho is bloodied but still walking forward as Terminator comparisons ring true for the newcomer. O’Malley smashes Moutinho in the face with several insane right hands, and Moutinho keeps his pace and pressure without budging. Moutinho eats a right hand and a stiff body kick, and he lands a right hand and points at O’Malley. Moutinho sneaks up a head kick and the two land right hands at the same time, but O’Malley strings together several more before Moutinho can get there. O’Malley is the matador in this fight, scoring again and again as Moutinho shrugs it off. O’Malley punishes Moutinho with a long salvo of punches, and as Moutinho is ready to fire back, Dean leaps in to call off the fight with an unexpected standing TKO. Dean may have saved Moutinho from 30 more seconds of brain trauma, as the strike totals were approaching Max Holloway numbers, but Moutinho was not out on his feet and was still throwing right back at his opponent. Fans are not thrilled by that stoppage, and it’s hard to disagree with them. O’Malley was working Moutinho over, and the numbers will back that up, but Moutinho was still in the fight and ready to battle to the bitter end.
The Official Result
Sean O’Malley def. Kris Moutinho R3 4:33 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo is all-in on O'Malley, calling it a mismatch. He notes O'Malley's power, accuracy, and athleticism, and that Moutinho is a tough wrestler but gets hit and marches forward, which plays into O'Malley's strengths. He has O'Malley in his DraftKings lineup despite the high price.
Big Brady picks Sean O'Malley to win by first-round knockout. He notes O'Malley's power and accuracy, and that Moutinho has no striking defense and comes forward with his hands down. He expects an easy walk-off knockout. He mentions that betting on O'Malley inside the distance at -320 is insane but thinks O'Malley should finish early.
Cody picks O'Malley to win by TKO in round 2. He notes Moutinho's short notice and regional level, and O'Malley's striking advantage. He thinks O'Malley will take his time in round 1 and finish in round 2. He likes the round 2 prop at +300.
Daniel Levi picks Sean O'Malley to win easily. He believes Moutinho is a short-notice replacement who comes to bang but will likely get knocked out. He notes O'Malley's power and that Moutinho is not a leg kicker, so O'Malley's weakness won't be exploited. He expects a knockout or submission for O'Malley, and dismisses criticism that O'Malley ducked tougher opponents, explaining that few could make weight on short notice.
Jacob also picks O'Malley, stating he would have picked him regardless of opponent. He thinks O'Malley is extremely talented and will dominate. He notes that even at 9500, O'Malley is a deal. He expects an early stoppage and advises going less less on the strike line.
O'Malley is going to destroy Moutinho. Moutinho doesn't belong in the UFC; he's a short-notice replacement with losses to low-level guys. O'Malley is much taller and more skilled. I expect a quick knockout, probably in the first round. I like O'Malley by first-round KO at plus money. He'll get a performance bonus and then sit out again.
Paul picks O'Malley, expecting a TKO. He notes Moutinho's regional level and O'Malley's highlight-reel finishes. He thinks O'Malley will win, possibly in round 2. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds as a decent play.
The Guru predicts O'Malley will win by first-round head kick KO. He expects O'Malley to avoid Moutinho's leg kicks, then chop at Moutinho's lead leg with his own kicks, spinning him around. Moutinho plods forward and sits heavy on his lead leg, making him vulnerable. O'Malley will land a right hand, then disguise a head kick behind it to finish Moutinho. The Guru sees no other way the fight goes.
Expert Picks (11)
Angelo picks Cristian Quiñonez because Kris Moutinho is a 'human punching bag' who has absorbed 283 strikes and been knocked out three times in the UFC. He acknowledges Quiñonez is not great either, but at least he has won in the UFC. He warns against betting at -650 odds, calling it not worth it.
Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez, calling Kris Moutinho a non-UFC-level fighter with terrible striking defense (29%). He notes Moutinho has been knocked out five times and finished in all losses. Brady believes Quiñonez will hit Moutinho hard and knock him out, predicting a first-round knockout.
Cody also fades Quiñonez at -700, pointing out his inactivity and lack of recent wins. He sees Moutinho as a live dog if he can push the pace and exploit Quiñonez's potential cardio issues.
Connor picks Quiñonez, noting that Moutinho is a sacrificial lamb who has been knocked out in every UFC fight. Quiñonez is not a big step up but is still a step up, and his pressure and size should be too much for Moutinho's limited game.
Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.
The host considers this a clear dog-or-pass fight. Quiñonez is a heavy favorite at -687, but the host cannot bet him at that price. Moutinho is tough but gets rocked often, lacks knockout power, and is unlikely to outgrapple Quiñonez. The host doubts Moutinho has a realistic path to victory and will not bet this fight.
James believes Quiñonez is far more skilled and powerful than Moutinho, who has a suspect chin after recent KOs. He predicts an early KO for Quiñonez, possibly in round one.
The host picks Quiñonez but is hesitant due to the high price and altitude concerns. He notes Quiñonez's skill advantage but worries about his cardio and past submission losses. He thinks Moutinho's pressure and pace could cause issues if Quiñonez fades. He suggests a flyer on Moutinho by late finish but officially picks Quiñonez by decision.
Paul is leaning towards Moutinho at +500, citing Quiñonez's long layoff, ring rust, and recent losses. He notes Moutinho's pressure and durability, and plans to bet Moutinho despite the risk.
The MMA Guru picks Cristian Quiñonez, calling Kris Moutinho 'garbage' and noting that Moutinho has no wins over good fighters, while Quiñonez has beaten Khalid Taha and Vinicius Oliveira. He predicts an easy TKO finish in the early rounds, citing Moutinho's lack of skill and Quiñonez's superior competition.
Zane picks Quiñonez because he is a step up from Moutinho, who is a one-dimensional brawler with no other options. Quiñonez showed good ideas against Hani Barcelos, pressing forward and testing his wrestling. Moutinho has been knocked out in every UFC fight and is not UFC level.
Comments (1)
Q doesnt have the cardio seeing his performance tonight in Mexico city at elevation against real comp... Kris likes the booze? real recognize real ab
Q doesnt have the cardio seeing his performance tonight in Mexico city at elevation against real comp... Kris likes the booze? real recognize real ab