UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh Next Fight
Age 26
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 39
Height 5' 10"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Daniel Zellhuber
5.45 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
6.17 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.14 TD Avg
25.0% TD Acc.
81.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - King Green
6.38 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.58 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
1.31 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Daniel Zellhuber - Fight History
LOSS vs King Green
KO R2 4:55 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 78 21% 17 of 78 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
King Green 1 86 of 134 64% 100 of 148 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 11 of 46 23% 11 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 41 of 64 64% 41 of 64 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:04
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 6 of 32 18% 6 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
King Green 1 45 of 70 64% 59 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 78 21% 7 of 59 4 of 10 6 of 9 17 of 77 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 86 of 134 64% 39 of 72 21 of 29 26 of 33 71 of 119 5 of 5 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 11 of 46 23% 3 of 32 3 of 7 5 of 7 11 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 41 of 64 64% 10 of 23 15 of 19 16 of 22 36 of 59 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 6 of 32 18% 4 of 27 1 of 3 1 of 2 6 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 45 of 70 64% 29 of 49 6 of 10 10 of 11 35 of 60 0 of 0 10 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zellhuber (-500); Green (+375)

Round 1
“Golden Boy” Zellhuber (15-3, 3-3 UFC) has appeared a bit gold-plated as of late with two straight losses on his ledger. He will be 13 years the younger of grizzled veteran Green (33-17-1, 1 NC; 14-12-1, 1 NC UFC), who never shies away from a firefight. Before they bang it out, referee Herb Dean clocks them in and the lightweights do not tap gloves together as Green has his mean mug in full display.
Green, hands down by his side as is his custom, swats away Zellhuber’s reaching lead hand a few times. Green steps back as Zellhuber lunges with an overhand right, and the Mexican stumbles, Green catches him, resets and times a takedown to put the two on the mat. Zellhuber spins around as the two wind back up on their feet, where Green starts chattering at him. Zellhuber backs Green to the fence but walks into a straight left hand, and Green follows with a one-two before Zellhuber can get to him. Zellhuber kicks his lead leg, and Green says, “please sir, may I have another.” We’re paraphrasing, but you get the gist. Green keeps goading Zellhuber on, and Zellhuber sells out for a few swings and ends up getting taken down again. Zellhuber once more turns about to escape the ground game and works back to his feet, and once more Green pounds him in the face with a power jab.
Green’s alternating stances and awkward footwork make Zellhuber struggle, and when he lets off offense, he lands it fairly often. Zellhuber is not sure how to proceed, winging a huge right hand in hopes of knocking Green out with one blow, but he does not land it. Green dings him with two punches and slips the counters, brushing off his shoulder mockingly. Zellhuber swings at him, and Green retreats and laughs at him. Zellhuber keeps giving chase, walking into a barrage of punches from “King” and landing some of his own. Green shakes his head and no-sells anything, signaling that nothing has landed flush on him, and he suddenly spins with a back kick that bangs into the shoulder. Green reaches out and slaps the younger man in the face, and Zellhuber answers by kicking him in the face. Zellhuber rips a left to the body, and Green doubles over and has to regain his poker face. Green gets back into his element, grooving back and forth and jamming Zellhuber up with short punches and a hard low kick. He stands before a motionless Zellhuber until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Green
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Green

Round 2
Zellhuber starts off the round aggressively, and Green’s head movement and footwork protect him from anything overtly harmful. Green shrugs off the big swings and uses Zellhuber’s offense against him, tackling the Mexican to the floor. Zellhuber wraps up his right leg around Green’s neck to set up an extremely rare and fairly new buggy choke, and Dean checks on Green a few times to make sure he’s still fine. Green gives a thumbs-up and briefly frees his neck from the clutch of Zellhuber’s right arm cinched with his right leg—look it up, because it’s not easy to describe setting up—but Zellhuber commits to it again. Green slowly, methodically wriggles his neck out of danger, and he pops back to his feet. Zellhuber hurries back after him, and Green wants to take him back down.
Zellhuber stops the effort this time, so Green pushes out front kicks and slugs his man in the face with a hard right hand. Green laughs off what flies his way and fires back heavy left hands, and he mixes in obnoxious kicks to the front leg that partially hyperextend the lead knee. Zellhuber has a left hand skim the top of Green’s head, and Green shakes his head and keeps doing his thing. Green does not swing for the fences with his strikes, and Zellhuber’s volume is low while he still tries to figure out a way in. Green hits any target that is open, including the temple, where he clubs Zellhuber and wobbles him. Zellhuber stumbles back on baby der legs, but he manages to get his footing while Green largely showboats in front of him.
Green wings two hooks that bounce off the nose that is now leaking, and he nails “Golden Boy” with a flush salvo of fiery fists. Zellhuber goes out and is snapped back online, and he hits the ground and is in a bad way. Green does not let him off the hook and proceeds to violently batter him on the sides of the head. As “King” continues his final bombardment, Dean saves the Mexican fighter from his own toughness and waves the fight off.
As if he knew he was going to do that the whole time, Green walks off, cool as a cucumber, and has words with the closest camera. At the age of 39, “King” Green can still put on performances like that, dropping Zellhuber’s UFC record below .500 with a vintage knockout.

The Official Result
Bobby Green def. Daniel Zellhuber R2 4:55 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo hesitantly picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his recent poor performance against Michael Johnson. He reasons that Zellhuber cannot possibly 'do nothing' two fights in a row, especially in Mexico. He also notes that King Green (Bobby Green) sometimes is not serious enough and may not score well with Mexican judges. He acknowledges the risk but believes Zellhuber's Mexican spirit and Green's showboating could lead to a Zellhuber win.

"I'm going to pick Zel Huber here because literally ... sometimes Bobby Green is not serious enough and he's too busy dancing around and showboating."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber but with strong hesitation, calling him the biggest 'ball dropper' in the UFC after losing as a heavy favorite twice. He notes Zellhuber should win against King Green, who struggled against Lance Gibson Jr., but is wary of another poor performance. He predicts a second-round knockout if Zellhuber shows up.

second round knockout
"So, give me Zel Huber minus 500. ... Zel Huber by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody strongly fades Zellhuber at -500, pointing out his recent losses and lack of finishing ability. He believes Green's pressure and durability will cause problems, and that Zellhuber's jab won't be enough. He recommends betting Green or passing.

"I'm out on that. So, uh, yeah, it's either a dog or pass here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Connor agrees with Zane, but notes that Zellhuber could still lose if he has a slow start and lets Green get comfortable. He points out that Green is crafty and can throw off any fighter with his unorthodox style. However, Connor believes Green's inability to handle fast range strikers and his age make Zellhuber the clear pick.

Green's craftiness; Zellhuber's slow starts; Green's losses to fast strikers
"But I can't pick Bobby green to win any fight anymore."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel picks Daniel Zellhuber, praising his size, reach, sharp hands, and takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's chin and recovery, and believes he will outrange Prado and avoid ground-and-pound. He sees Zellhuber as a future top-15 fighter, while Prado is still unproven at this level.

"I'm going Daniel Z Huber here"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host is very confident in Zellhuber, calling him the safest bet on the card. He cites Zellhuber's youth (26 vs 39), massive reach advantage (6 inches), home advantage in Mexico City, and Green's lack of finishing ability. Green is a volume striker who is old and smaller, and will likely be outworked. The host plans to parlay Zellhuber with Moreno.

Parlaying him with Brandon Moreno.
"I think he's the safest bet on the card. I think he wins a very high percentage of the time. ... I'd be amazed if Zel Huba loses this."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

James expects Zellhuber to rebound from his loss to Michael Johnson, citing Green's less dangerous boxing style. He believes Zellhuber's kicks, durability, and aggression will overwhelm Green, leading to a finish. James predicts Zellhuber wins inside the distance.

"I got Daniel Zel Huba to win this fight and semi redeem himself... Daniel Zel Huba inside the distance is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host picks Daniel Zellhuber but is hesitant due to the -500 price and Zellhuber's recent losses. He notes Zellhuber's height and reach advantages and believes he can land the better strikes. However, he warns that Green is an educated striker and that Zellhuber's striking defense is suspect. He prefers the KO prop over the moneyline.

KO prop
"I'm still going to go with the Mexican here to show out in front of a hometown crowd and give me a Huber by knockout, but minus 500 is just way too wide."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul is leaning towards Green at +375, citing Zellhuber's inconsistency and lack of power. He notes Green's forward pressure and durability, and believes the price is too high on Zellhuber. He hasn't bet yet but is close to clicking Green.

"I know I'm a lot closer to click kick uh clicking green plus 375 than considering Zel Huber a safe minus500 parlay piece."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing Bobby Green's struggles against taller opponents and his habit of fighting with his hands down. He notes that Green had trouble with Lance Gibson Jr. and was destroyed by Jalin Turner. He predicts Zellhuber will TKO Green, as Green is open to shots and Zellhuber is a big favorite.

TKO
"I think Zelhuber's going to TKO him. ... I'm going to go with Daniel Zelhuber getting this one done by TKO over a Green pretty confidently."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zane picks Zellhuber because Bobby Green is clearly past his prime at 39 and has lost his speed and defensive instincts. He notes that Green's style relies on head movement and baiting, which no longer works against younger fighters. Zellhuber has problems with discipline and can lose rounds, but Green's decline is too severe to pick him.

Green's age (39); Green's losses to Pimblett and Turner; Zellhuber's inconsistency; odds too wide
"I have to pick him. Oh yeah. Absolutely. Like I just, I don't think green, like he should not be fighting at this level anymore."
LOSS vs Michael Johnson
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Johnson 1 80 of 195 41% 81 of 196 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Daniel Zellhuber 0 52 of 182 28% 52 of 182 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Johnson 0 24 of 56 42% 24 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 46 26% 12 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michael Johnson 1 30 of 77 38% 31 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 66 25% 17 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michael Johnson 0 26 of 62 41% 26 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 23 of 70 32% 23 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Johnson 80 of 195 41% 27 of 100 42 of 81 11 of 14 77 of 189 0 of 0 3 of 6
Daniel Zellhuber 52 of 182 28% 19 of 125 27 of 48 6 of 9 50 of 180 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Johnson 24 of 56 42% 4 of 22 15 of 28 5 of 6 24 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 1
Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 46 26% 2 of 23 7 of 17 3 of 6 12 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michael Johnson 30 of 77 38% 14 of 47 10 of 23 6 of 7 27 of 72 0 of 0 3 of 5
Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 66 25% 7 of 51 9 of 14 1 of 1 16 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Michael Johnson 26 of 62 41% 9 of 31 17 of 30 0 of 1 26 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 23 of 70 32% 10 of 51 11 of 17 2 of 2 22 of 69 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing his striking, length, takedown defense, and toughness. He respects Michael Johnson's experience but believes father time has caught up. He notes Zellhuber's recent loss was competitive and he showed heart.

"Daniel Huber is the pick. I like Michael Johnson. Father time comes from everybody."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady confidently picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing advantages in age, height, reach, striking, and grappling. He notes Michael Johnson's age (39) and durability issues, having been finished 12 times. He predicts Zellhuber wins by second-round knockout.

Zellhuber by second round knockout
"I think Zel Heber is going to put it on him throughout the fight and eventually either touch the chin or ... win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Connor picks Zellhuber for his pace and youth, noting that Johnson has become choosy and less willing to throw combinations. He thinks Zellhuber will have opportunities to engage when Johnson decides to engage, and that Zellhuber's combination punching will be effective. However, he warns that the fight could be ugly if Johnson is too slow-paced.

"I'm still picking Zellhuber for pace and because I do think that Johnson's form of choosiness is still not one that's safe."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host is going with the Mexican fighter, expecting him to pick apart Johnson from distance and eventually line up a big knockout within two rounds. This shows confidence in Zellhuber's striking ability.

knockout within two rounds
"I'm going with the Mexican fighter here as I think he can pick apart Johnson from distance and I think that will eventually line up a big knockout for him and I expect it to happen within two rounds."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber over Michael Johnson, predicting a decision win. He notes that Johnson is older and has struggled against lower-level opponents like Jamie Mullarkey, while Zellhuber is younger and has a reach and height advantage. The Guru also mentions that Zellhuber had a wake-up call in his last fight against Rivic, recovering well, and believes he will out-strike Johnson over three rounds. He expects a 29-28 or 30-27 scorecard.

"I'm going to go with Daniel Zel Huba over Michael Johnson."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zane picks Zellhuber based on a predictive algorithm that notes Johnson hasn't beaten a good fighter in a long time. He points out that Johnson's recent wins are over shot fighters or inconsistent ones, while Zellhuber is younger and more dangerous. He also mentions the possibility of a stinker but still favors Zellhuber.

"I'm going to take Zellhuber too. On a completely dumb predictive algorithm kind of level."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Esteban Ribovics 1 121 of 308 39% 121 of 308 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Daniel Zellhuber 0 156 of 345 45% 156 of 345 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Esteban Ribovics 0 27 of 76 35% 27 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 24 of 65 36% 24 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Esteban Ribovics 0 51 of 116 43% 51 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 40 of 89 44% 40 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Esteban Ribovics 1 43 of 116 37% 43 of 116 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Daniel Zellhuber 0 92 of 191 48% 92 of 191 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Esteban Ribovics 121 of 308 39% 83 of 255 33 of 48 5 of 5 117 of 304 4 of 4 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 156 of 345 45% 103 of 276 32 of 48 21 of 21 154 of 342 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Esteban Ribovics 27 of 76 35% 13 of 59 11 of 14 3 of 3 26 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 24 of 65 36% 7 of 41 9 of 16 8 of 8 24 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Esteban Ribovics 51 of 116 43% 33 of 93 16 of 21 2 of 2 50 of 115 1 of 1 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 40 of 89 44% 23 of 68 9 of 13 8 of 8 40 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Esteban Ribovics 43 of 116 37% 37 of 103 6 of 13 0 of 0 41 of 114 2 of 2 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 92 of 191 48% 73 of 167 14 of 19 5 of 5 90 of 188 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Angelo picks Esteban Ribovics as an underdog, surprised he is not the favorite. He notes Ribovics is well-rounded with sneaky power, tight strikes, good takedowns, and solid BJJ. He sees this as a close fight possibly going to split decision, so he placed a quarter unit on Ribovics moneyline at +180 and plans to put another quarter on the plus 3.5 spread to cover a close decision loss. He is confident in the dog pick.

Placed 0.25 units on moneyline at +180; plans to also bet plus 3.5 spread.
"I am picking him to win here he's the dog and I'm picking him to win here... I placed a bet on eston Rix at plus 180"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady likes Zellhuber due to an 8-inch reach advantage and superior striking technique. He notes Ribovics has no takedown defense, so Zellhuber can mix in takedowns if needed. He expects a competitive fight but Zellhuber to win a decision.

"I like zel Huber here... I think it's going to be a war I think it's going to be fun I think it goes to decision give me zel H to get the decision win"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Vreeland picks Daniel Zellhuber because he likes his volume and ability to put pressure on opponents. He notes Zellhuber's only loss was to Trey Ogden, who grinded him out, but Ribovics is a power puncher who will let his hands fly, which plays into Zellhuber's strengths. He compares it to the Bahamondes vs Torres fight, favoring the taller, sharper striker.

Zellhuber by decision +135
"I don't really love the value on this one with zel Huber but I am gonna pick zel Huer mostly just because I like his volume and his ability to put it on somebody"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel leans with Daniel Zellhuber, praising his 8-inch reach advantage, kickboxing, and 94% takedown defense. He sees Zellhuber as a future top-15 fighter but respects Ribovics' dangerous hands and get-up game. He is not fully convinced the line is right but goes with Zellhuber.

"I'm a lean with Danielle Z Huber I'm not convinced the line is right uh I'm not convinced but I don't say that uh with confidence"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Jeff Fox picks Daniel Zellhuber as well, stating he is slightly better everywhere. He acknowledges the odds aren't favorable but notes he is ignoring size and youth this time, having turned over a new leaf.

"I'm taking zel Huber as well I just I think he's slightly better um everywhere but yeah the odds really aren't in our favor low for for that"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Ribovics packs power but Zellhuber is very calm, technical, and disciplined with his striking approach. Expects Zellhuber to utilize his footwork and touch up Ribovics from distance, winning on the scorecards.

"zel Huber is very calm Technical and disciplined with the Striking approach I expect him to utilize his footwork and touch up rabix from distance and win this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber. He highlights Zellhuber's 8-inch reach advantage and his ability to keep distance and pick shots. He notes Ribovics has a 69-inch reach which is flyweight-level, and at 5'10" that's a disadvantage. He trusts Zellhuber's game plan under coach Eric Nicksick and his recent back-to-back good performances.

"I'm going to go with Daniel el Huber and uh he's had two good performances back to back so I'm going to trust him to get this one done"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 120 of 272 44% 120 of 272 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Francisco Prado 0 90 of 246 36% 91 of 249 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 27 of 60 45% 27 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Francisco Prado 0 29 of 73 39% 29 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 50 of 110 45% 50 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francisco Prado 0 32 of 88 36% 33 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Zellhuber 0 43 of 102 42% 43 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francisco Prado 0 29 of 85 34% 29 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 120 of 272 44% 87 of 228 25 of 36 8 of 8 117 of 268 3 of 4 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 90 of 246 36% 30 of 155 26 of 47 34 of 44 88 of 244 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 27 of 60 45% 14 of 41 9 of 15 4 of 4 27 of 59 0 of 1 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 29 of 73 39% 12 of 50 5 of 7 12 of 16 27 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 50 of 110 45% 42 of 100 8 of 10 0 of 0 48 of 108 2 of 2 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 32 of 88 36% 8 of 54 11 of 19 13 of 15 32 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Zellhuber 43 of 102 42% 31 of 87 8 of 11 4 of 4 42 of 101 1 of 1 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 29 of 85 34% 10 of 51 10 of 21 9 of 13 29 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Zellhuber as the more well-rounded fighter, citing his length, takedown defense, and ability to threaten submissions. He believes Zellhuber will avoid Prado's early storm and take over as Prado fades. He mentions a decision win is likely but also considers a no action bet.

decision no action bet (if Prado wins by KO, bet pays; if Zellhuber wins decision, refund)
"zel Huber should be able to avoid the early storm should be able to stay on the outside let PR exhaust himself and then take over"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision. He notes that Zellhuber is a hometown fighter from Mexico City and has a height and reach advantage. He likes Zellhuber's volume, cardio, and sneaky power and submission game. He is not high on Francisco Prado, who has fought lower-level competition. Brady expects the fight to be competitive but thinks Zellhuber will do enough to win a decision.

Fight goes to decision
"I like him to win the decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Cody picks Prado by KO in round 1, having bet that prop at +1300. He notes Zellhuber's chin is sketchy and he keeps his chin up, making him hittable. He thinks Prado's power could cause problems, though he admits Zellhuber has more intangibles. He is not touching the moneyline.

Prado by KO in round 1 (+1300)
"I'll pick per for the purpose of a pick I'll pick uh pra as well but uh but yeah I'm not going to be shocked if he loses on the money line"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host sees Zellhuber as an improving prospect with a rangy striking style and slick jiu-jitsu. He believes Zellhuber's footwork and straight shots will keep Prado from getting inside the pocket, and even if Prado tries to take it to the ground, his wrestling isn't good enough. He predicts Zellhuber will touch up Prado, possibly get a late finish, but ultimately win on the scorecards.

Possible late finish
"I think we see Z Huer touch up pra maybe get a late finish but I ultimately think zahu wins on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Paul picks Zellhuber, citing his superior volume, speed, length, and developing ground game. He notes Zellhuber's cast-iron chin and ability to take a punch to give back two or three. He believes Zellhuber's volume and range will overtake Prado, and he may mix in takedowns and grappling. He is backing Zellhuber.

"zel Huber should be the clear favorite which he is and uh I'm gonna be backing him"
Submission (anaconda choke) R2 3:26 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 36 of 101 35% 36 of 101 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Christos Giagos 0 38 of 82 46% 38 of 82 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 50 24% 12 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Christos Giagos 0 26 of 52 50% 26 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Christos Giagos 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 36 of 101 35% 18 of 75 11 of 19 7 of 7 35 of 100 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 38 of 82 46% 25 of 63 3 of 7 10 of 12 36 of 79 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 50 24% 7 of 40 2 of 7 3 of 3 12 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 26 of 52 50% 16 of 37 2 of 6 8 of 9 26 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 24 of 51 47% 11 of 35 9 of 12 4 of 4 23 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 12 of 30 40% 9 of 26 1 of 1 2 of 3 10 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber as the more technical striker with good takedown defense. He acknowledges Christos Giagos has a path if he pressures and wrestles, but doubts Giagos will stick to a game plan. He is not betting this fight yet.

"Zell Huber's still going to be the pick he's too accurate of a striker and Gallegos does have a path but he's proven to us multiple times that these insanely tough"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Zellhuber, noting his improved performance after a poor debut. He expects Giagos to have early success but fade due to cardio issues, and Zellhuber to take over as the fight progresses. He predicts a submission in the second round, possibly via guillotine when Giagos shoots.

second round submission
"give me Daniel zellhuber to win this fight I'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Cody leans toward Giagos but is hesitant due to cardio concerns. He notes Giagos is a front-runner with big power early but fades. He thinks Zellhuber may work his way back into the fight in later rounds. Cody prefers to get a better live price but ultimately picks Giagos for the pregame show.

"I am going to take ho I think he wins down the stretch but it'll be greasy early."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Levi has bet Zellhuber in all three UFC fights and is confident here. He attributes Zellhuber's debut loss to a 'debut stun' and believes he has recovered, as shown in his win over Lando Vannata. Levi sees Giagos as an athletic but limited fighter who fades down the stretch, while Zellhuber's length, creativity, and pressure should allow him to take over late and potentially get a finish.

bet at minus-220, now minus-260; expects line to go higher
"I'm going doniozo Hoover here to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber has excellent footwork, range management, and volume striking, as shown in his win over Lando Vannata. Giagos is a wrestler who may have early success but will likely gas out. Zellhuber should pick him apart in the later rounds and get a finish, possibly by submission or TKO. I expect Giagos to revert to wrestling, but Zellhuber's conditioning and striking will be too much.

"give me zel Huber by finish more so than his money line here as jagos could have some early success and make this fight closer than it should be but I expect zel Huber to go out there and to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Paul picks Giagos as a live underdog, citing his physicality, wrestling, and power. He notes that Zellhuber looked green in his UFC debut against Trey Ogden, getting outworked and taken down. Paul believes Giagos can land early shots and get takedowns, though cardio is a concern. He has circled this bet and plans to add it to his card.

"Christo giago... I don't really quite understand he's obviously you know he got submitted against Chago Moises but that's the top 10 top 15 guy."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber over Christos Giagos, despite considering the underdog. He notes Zellhuber's reach advantage (77 inches) and dangerous striking. He criticizes Giagos's recent performance against Ricky Glenn, where Glenn looked old and slow, and notes Giagos has been dominated by others. He predicts Zellhuber may catch Giagos on the chin.

"I am going to go with Daniel zellhuber over Ricky Glenn"
WIN vs Lando Vannata
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 51 of 91 56% 51 of 91 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Lando Vannata 1 78 of 207 37% 84 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 23 73% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 1 40 of 91 43% 45 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 22 of 36 61% 22 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lando Vannata 0 22 of 55 40% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 0 16 of 61 26% 17 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 51 of 91 56% 20 of 41 12 of 24 19 of 26 49 of 87 2 of 2 0 of 2
Lando Vannata 78 of 207 37% 67 of 181 7 of 21 4 of 5 49 of 149 7 of 7 22 of 51
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 23 73% 5 of 6 2 of 4 10 of 13 17 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 40 of 91 43% 37 of 88 2 of 2 1 of 1 13 of 35 5 of 5 22 of 51
2 Daniel Zellhuber 22 of 36 61% 8 of 16 6 of 9 8 of 11 21 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 2
Lando Vannata 22 of 55 40% 17 of 41 3 of 11 2 of 3 22 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 32 37% 7 of 19 4 of 11 1 of 2 11 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 16 of 61 26% 13 of 52 2 of 8 1 of 1 14 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his gun-shy UFC debut, trusting his pre-UFC fights and 88% takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's length, power, and relentless striking pace when he's on. He expects a close, fast-paced fight but believes Zellhuber's talent will prevail over Lando's well-roundedness.

"I trust his 88 takedown defense I trust his pre-ufc fights to be more indicative of who he actually is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision, giving him one more chance after a poor debut. He notes Zellhuber's size and reach advantages, good takedown defense, and training at Extreme Couture. He is concerned about Zellhuber's previous performance but believes it was a one-off. He expects Zellhuber to bounce back and outpoint Vannata.

"I do like Zell Huber in this match if I'll give him one more chance to win this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody is unimpressed by Zellhuber's poor UFC debut and thinks Vannata's unorthodox style and grappling could cause problems. He notes Vannata is inconsistent but has the experience advantage. He picks Vannata as a dog.

"I'll be picking him for the purposes of this show"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Connor agrees, noting that Vannata's losses are to top fighters and that Zellhuber's step up on the contender series was a difficult decision. He believes Vannata's experience and ability to pour in strikes on openings will be key.

"Yeah, I don't really understand that. I guess people are really being down on Lando because of the dejour dan fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber's range and technical striking should pick apart Vannata, who struggles against crisp strikers. Vannata's unorthodox style can be countered by Zellhuber's length and clean shots. Zellhuber's takedown defense should be sufficient. Expect a knockout as Vannata has been clipped before. Zellhuber is a live underdog despite his last loss.

Zellhuber wins by knockout
"I think he'll be able to pick apart Landover nada from distance and I think he will possibly even find binocular here man."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul echoes Cody, noting Zellhuber's terrible performance against Trey Ogden. He thinks Vannata's unorthodox striking and scrambling will overwhelm the inexperienced Zellhuber. He takes the plus money.

"I got to take that plus money Lando or just pass all together Lando's the dog I'm gonna take the dog"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata as a plus-money underdog, citing his experience, tricky striking, and underrated grappling. He believes Vannata can outstrike Zellhuber, who had a lackluster UFC debut. He notes Zellhuber's youth and reach but thinks Vannata's veteran savvy and motivation will secure the win.

"I am going to side with the veteran in Lando vanata"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Zane picks Vannata because he has been doing this much longer than Zellhuber, who still looks like he's learning. He notes that Vannata's experience against top fighters gives him an edge, and that Zellhuber's game lacks fundamental connectivity. He also mentions that Vannata has been wrestling lately.

"This is the time where even if you're not going to be in control, this is when you've just been doing this way more than tell Hoover who doesn't look like he's been doing this a lot."
LOSS vs Trey Ogden
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trey Ogden 0 71 of 168 42% 72 of 169 1 of 9 11% 0 0 0:38
Daniel Zellhuber 0 52 of 178 29% 52 of 178 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trey Ogden 0 20 of 47 42% 20 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 36 33% 12 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Trey Ogden 0 26 of 57 45% 27 of 58 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:38
Daniel Zellhuber 0 23 of 64 35% 23 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Trey Ogden 0 25 of 64 39% 25 of 64 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 78 21% 17 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trey Ogden 71 of 168 42% 22 of 109 7 of 13 42 of 46 71 of 168 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 52 of 178 29% 19 of 125 21 of 40 12 of 13 52 of 178 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trey Ogden 20 of 47 42% 1 of 24 1 of 3 18 of 20 20 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 36 33% 1 of 22 6 of 8 5 of 6 12 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Trey Ogden 26 of 57 45% 6 of 33 4 of 6 16 of 18 26 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 23 of 64 35% 8 of 40 10 of 19 5 of 5 23 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Trey Ogden 25 of 64 39% 15 of 52 2 of 4 8 of 8 25 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 78 21% 10 of 63 5 of 13 2 of 2 17 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Trey Ogden vs. Daniel Zellhuber
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zellhuber (-285), Ogden (+240)

Round 1
Like the Gravely-Basharat matchup from earlier, a fighter with at least 20 pro bouts will try to make a 12-0 fighter’s 0 go. In this instance, it is Glory MMA & Fitness’ Ogden (15-5, 0-1 UFC), who only finishes fights by submission, against unbeaten Mexican striker Zellhuber (12-0, 0-0 UFC). The third man in the cage for this lightweight tilt will be referee Herb Dean, and he sits back to observe a touch of gloves. There is a stalemate when the fight begins, with no strikes thrown for the first 20 seconds or so. Ogden punctuates the silence with a slapping kick to the outside of the newcomer’s leg, and he eventually tosses out one on the inside. The lightweights are exceedingly patient to engage, with the only strikes in a full minute three leg kicks. Zellhuber pitches a front kick up the middle that is swatted away, and Ogden use another low kick to find his range and do something at all. Ogden shoots from afar, and Zellhuber sees it coming and easily tosses him out of the way. Ogden gathers himself and uses a low kick, and he reaches out with a left hook. Zellhuber comes up short with a jab, and he is similarly inaccurate in several other strikes to differing targets. Ogden goes up high with a kick that slaps off the shoulder, and he peppers the lead leg with several kicks. Zellhuber comes out throwing hands, and Ogden is faster and intercepts him with a left hook. Zellhuber misses the chin by a matter of inches with a quick kick, and it slaps into the chest with emphasis. They both score single jabs, and Ogden stays active with leg kicks to both sides of the lead wheel of “Golden Boy.” Ogden pushes out multiple jabs, and the kicks from both fighters get blocked. Ogden chips and chops with low kicks, and the snoozer of a round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ogden

Round 2
The tentative second round starts just like the first ended, albeit without a glove touch, with neither man willing to engage with much of note. Ogden keeps using low kicks as his preferred weapon, and he snaps the head back with a counter hook when Zellhuber closes in on him. As Zellhuber advances again to walk through kicks, he gets poked in the eye. Dean gives him time to recover, but Zellhuber wants to keep going and pick things up. Ogden is the one fired up after the brief break, with a few quick combinations to string together. Zellhuber answers with his own short barrage of punches, but it is the leg kick he throws at its conclusion that has the greater effect. Zellhuber swings with a left hook, and Ogden times a takedown perfectly but cannot get in on the hips to ground the newcomer. Zellhuber thanks him for this attempt with a head kick, but it misses the mark by a great deal. Zellhuber sits down on a pair of punches, but they largely collide with the guard of “Samurai Ghost.” Zellhuber stretches out with a front kick to the body, but it is one and done as Ogden resets. Zellhuber pokes out a jab, and he gets his own body kicked along with three to his lead leg. Ogden swipes with a left hook, and they hand-fight in the center of the cage. Simultaneous jabs allow Zellhuber to reach first, and he chains the jab into a front kick. “Golden Boy” swings and misses, due to the level change and successful takedown landed by Ogden. Zellhuber pops back up, and Ogden takes his back standing. Ogden holds the position until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Zellhuber
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ogden

Round 3
Fists are bumped to start off the last round, and the fighters decide to pick up the pace a little by actually punching each other in succession. They trade straight punches before switching to kicks to the body, and one after the other they exchange blows. This slows when Zellhuber backs away and tries to use his range, but he cannot find it as his punches and kicks continually miss the mark. Ogden snipes him and closes the distance to land, only to scoot away before the counter. Zellhuber eats a left hook and tries to pay his man back, but Ogden slips it and shoots in for a double. Zellhuber stuffs it and winds up with a high kick, but it helplessly slaps off the blocking hand, a great distance from Ogden’s mug. Ogden sticks out several jabs, and Zellhuber’s pace falls to single strikes. Ogden has a shin skim off the liver, and he works the lead leg and ducks back as Zellhuber swings wildly. “Golden Boy” leaps in the air with a knee, and Ogden slides away and smacks Zellhuber with a left hand. Zellhuber walks into jabs and throws high-risk, low-reward strikes like a spinning kick, only to hit air. Ogden continues his effective jab to disrupt the brief charges of his opponent, and he sneaks a head kick up that is just blocked in time. “Samurai Ghost” punches the body and evades, and he doubles up on his effective jab to give Zellhuber fits. Zellhuber steps in with an elbow that misses where he aims it, and a second to follow is blocked. Ogden shoots for another takedown, and it is similarly stuffed. Zellhuber swings and misses with a flying knee, and a few punches and kicks from both men lead to an end in this de facto sparring match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden (30-27 Ogden)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ogden (29-28 Ogden)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ogden (30-27 Ogden)

The Official Result
Trey Ogden def. Daniel Zellhuber via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Zellhuber, impressed by his dynamic striking, length, and takedown defense. He notes that Ogden is a grappler who sometimes chooses to strike, which would be a mistake against Zellhuber. Angelo placed a moneyline bet at -230 and notes the line has moved to -270, emphasizing the value of early betting for premium members.

Moneyline bet at -230.
"i like daniel to get the win here i do have a money line bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady is confident in Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision. He praises Zellhuber as a well-rounded fighter with a significant reach advantage (5.5-6.5 inches) and superior striking. Brady criticizes Trey Ogden's performance against Jordan Levitt, where Ogden was outlanded 69-41 and failed to secure takedowns. He doubts Ogden can take down or submit the larger Zellhuber, who is a BJJ black belt. Brady predicts Zellhuber will pick Ogden apart on the feet for three rounds and win a 30-27 decision.

decision
"give me daniel zellhuber i'll say he wins by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Cody agrees, highlighting Zellhuber's altitude training, durability, and well-rounded skills. He thinks Ogden has no path to victory and that Zellhuber could finish inside the distance. He calls it a top-two ticket play.

Zellhuber inside the distance
"this feels to me top two ticket kind of play"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Levi is very high on Daniel Zellhuber, calling him one of the best prospects in a long time. He likes Zellhuber's composure, striking arsenal, and physical attributes (6'1", 77-inch reach). He notes Zellhuber's training at Tiger Muay Thai and with Eric Nicksick, and believes he will knock out Trey Ogden. He placed one unit at minus 245.

Bet one unit on Daniel Zellhuber moneyline at -245; predicts knockout
"I think he's gonna knock out trey ogden so i laid it minus 245 to win one unit"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Jacob picks Zellhuber, calling him the real deal with dynamic striking and Mexican toughness. He notes that Ogden is a wrestler who doesn't always wrestle, which is dangerous against a striker like Zellhuber. Jacob predicts a knockout, as Zellhuber's power and precision will find the mark. He worries slightly about Ogden's grappling but believes Zellhuber can handle it.

Predicts knockout finish.
"i think daniel finds that knockout shot in this matchup"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber is the better striker and grappler, with length and speed advantages. He has been training at Xtreme Couture under Eric Nicksick, who is high on him. Ogden is a jack of all trades but not at UFC level. Zellhuber should win inside the distance; his inside distance prop at +110 is a better play than the moneyline. He is a solid parlay piece.

Zellhuber inside the distance at +110
"zellhuber should win this fight he should win it inside the distance you could get a better number on him inside the distance which is plus 110"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Paul thinks Zellhuber is a legitimate prospect with good cardio, chin, and grappling. He notes Ogden looked poor against Jordan Leavitt and that Zellhuber has been training with top guys. He expects Zellhuber to steamroll Ogden.

"daniel zellhuber should absolutely steamroll them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber by decision. He thinks Zellhuber looks special with crisp striking, while Trey Ogden is underrated but didn't beat Jordan Leavitt, which is a benchmark. He notes Ogden has been submitted before and Zellhuber is young (23) with momentum from the Contender Series. He expects a decision win because Ogden is tough and has a good chin, so a KO is unlikely.

"i'm picking him to beat trey ogden by decision win"
King Green - Fight History
Submission R1 4:20 · UFC 328 · May 09, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 57 of 87 65% 64 of 95 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:34
Jeremy Stephens 0 5 of 13 38% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 57 of 87 65% 64 of 95 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:34
Jeremy Stephens 0 5 of 13 38% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 57 of 87 65% 44 of 69 9 of 14 4 of 4 22 of 41 0 of 0 35 of 46
Jeremy Stephens 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 57 of 87 65% 44 of 69 9 of 14 4 of 4 22 of 41 0 of 0 35 of 46
Jeremy Stephens 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens (160: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Green (-340), Stephens (+270)

Round 1
They may have nothing in common, but Green (34-17-1, 1 NC; 15-12-1, 1 NC UFC) and Stephens (29-22, 1 NC; 15-19, 1 NC UFC) are both grizzled, battle-tested veterans—not the type who would be saving Private Ryan, mind you, but gladiators who have faced a veritable who’s who in the sport over the years. Both men celebrate exactly 15 wins inside of the Octagon, and they would very much like one more. Referee Gary Copeland will supervise the proceedings of this catchweight affair, one outside of standard weight classes because Stephens biffed weight by four pounds. He gives up 30% of his purse to Green but no glove touch.
Green’s hands are down the moment the fight begins, and he already is chattering at Stephens trying to encourage him to come in at him. Green points at Stephens after Stephens whiffs. He sneaks in a right hand, and he circles to the side towards Stephens’ power side. Green takes a punch off the forehead and pauses, but it does not take long for him to get going again. Stephens misses by a mile with a haymaker, and Green is comfortable hanging out in boxing range. Stephens kicks his for in the front leg, and Green kicks him in the side and gets clinched. Stephens drills Green with a right hand on the break, and Green signals that it did not land flush. Green stabs a kick to the liver, and he pump-fakes his way in to draw reactions. Green staggers Stephens with a left hand, and he knows it and rifles off three more fists in a hurry. Green winds up with a body kick, but it smashes into Stephens’ groin. Stephens grimaces and Copeland calls time. Stephens looks to work out the pain, and Green immediately goes to apologize. Copeland issues a hard warning to Green, and Stephens is good to go after about 80 seconds. Green again apologizes, and Stephens is good with it as they resume. Stephens stalks Green down, and Green’s hands remain down while he is chirping at him. Green lands a right hand and a kick to the body, and he points at Stephens’ stomach and leaps at him to hit a quick double and put Stephens on his back.
Green starts bombing on Stephens when on top, unleashing a long stream of punches and elbows while sitting on his leg in a quasi-half guard. Green keeps thumping up Stephens with his free left hand, and Stephens doubles up his wrist control on Green’s left arm for a straight armlock or kimura. He twists it to become a kimura to go for a sweep, and Green fights it off and steps into mount to batter Stephens with ground-and-pound.
Green transitions into a rear-naked choke in the blink of an eye when Stephens turns, and he rolls to the back to lock it down. Green only has one hook in as he wrenches on the submission, but it is so complete that he does not need the other. Stephens briefly considers going out on his shield but that would be silly. Stephens gives up
, and it is not so much a train that ran him over as it is the Polar Express, with this one-sided shellacking ending with a mean choke. Falling short again, Stephens removes his gloves and may have left him in the center of the Octagon to say farewell to the sport. It is hard to tell with the promotion wholly focused on the triumphant Green.

The Official Result
King Green def. Jeremy Stephens R1 4:20 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks King Green, noting he is the better overall fighter and has shown wrestling in his last fight. He acknowledges concerns about the judges not liking his style and that Jeremy Stephens is always dangerous, but believes Green wins the majority of the time.

"I'm picking Bobby Green here or King Green. He's the better overall fighter."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks King Green, stating he is the better striker and can shoot takedowns if needed. He notes Green's volume and defense, and that Stephens is tough but can be taken down. He is surprised by the 3-to-1 odds and thinks they are too wide for a 39-year-old. He says he will probably leave the bet alone.

Angelo says he does not like the odds and will probably leave it alone.
"Bobby being a three to one favorite here is a little bit surprising. I'm going to pick him. I think he does win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks King Green, though he admits he can't lay the -325 odds. He notes Green has looked good recently, while Stephens hasn't won in years and looks done. Brady expects Green to outpoint Stephens, mixing in wrestling if needed, and win a decision. He acknowledges Stephens could knock Green out, but considers that a hot take.

"For me it's Green and I think it's Green probably by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Green, citing his superior skills and Stephens' decline. He notes Green's volume and movement, and thinks Stephens is past his prime and not a threat. Cody expects Green to win by decision or submission, but is wary of the minus 400 price.

Green by submission (10 to 1)
"I got Bobby Green. That much is for sure. But yeah, at minus 400, you got Bobby Green is a little bit older."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Connor picks Green, agreeing with Zane. He notes Green is slicker on the feet with better footwork, though his reaction times have slowed. Connor points out that Stephens' recent KO losses are to real sluggers, and Green is not that. He expects Green to make Stephens chase and overthrow, and use takedowns to slow him down.

Odds: Green opened -200, now -375; Stephens opened +170, now +310.
"I like it as a matchup. I like Bobby Green getting a chance to shine again."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Daniel picks Green, citing his slick striking, speed, and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes Stephens' knockout power but believes Green is too slick and will avoid getting caught. Daniel expects Green to win via output or submission.

"I'm going Bobby Green to beat Jeremy Stevens."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)

The host passes on this fight. He favors Green but considers the odds too wide (1.30). He notes Green's inconsistency and poor fight IQ, and Stephens' power. He mentions the +3.5 fight spread on Stephens as interesting but decides to keep money safe.

No bet. Mentions Stephens +3.5 fight spread as interesting but passes.
"I'm going to be passing on this one because I do think Bobby Green is more likely to win and I don't like Stevens enough in this matchup to take a shot on him at underdog odds."
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Confident picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
King Green

Predicted method: Decision. Green is the younger, more active fighter with superior striking volume (6.38 SLpM) and accuracy (53%) compared to Stephens, who is 38 and has lost four straight. Stephens has power but is hittable (3.14 SApM) and has poor takedown defense (62%). Green's 72% takedown defense should keep the fight standing, where he can outwork Stephens with combinations and movement. Stephens' only path is an early KO, but Green's durability and pace should carry him to a clear decision or late stoppage.

Green by decision +120
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Jacob is confident in King Green, citing that Jeremy Stephens is 1-8 in his last nine fights and hasn't had a knockout since 2018. He believes Green's wrestling and smarter fighting style will be too much, and that Stephens looked clueless on the ground against Mason Jones.

"I like King Green in this fight. People are going to say like, 'Oh, he could get knocked out and stuff.' And yeah, anybody can get knocked out."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Lucrative James confidently picks King Green because he sees Jeremy Stephens as a knockout-or-bust fighter who is 1-8 in his last nine MMA fights. He believes Green's boxing and volume will overwhelm Stephens, who lacks the cardio and durability to win a decision. He predicts Green wins by decision, noting Stephens' toughness but inability to keep up with Green's pace.

"I'm definitely taking Bobby Green to get the win. Decision is my prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
King Green

The host picks Green, citing his striking clinic and ability to outbox Stephens. He notes that Stephens lost a boxing match to Chris Avila, which indicates Green should dominate on the feet. He expects Green to win by decision, though he acknowledges Stephens' power and chin. He may look at the decision prop.

Decision prop for Green
"I think Green outstrikes uh Stevens here, wins this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul picks Green, citing his technical striking and Stephens' lack of recent success. He thinks Green's volume and movement will overwhelm Stephens, who is fighting for a payday. Paul expects Green to win by decision.

"I got Bobby Green winning. Probably by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
King Green

The MMA Guru picks Bobby Green, expecting him to pick apart Jeremy Stephens with boxing. He notes Green's recent wins over Daniel Zellhuber and close fight with Fiziev. He thinks Stephens is past his prime and Green will mix in takedowns. He predicts a decision win, though he initially says TKO then corrects to decision.

"I'm going to go with Bobby Bobbert Baratheon Green over Jeremy Stevens by TKO in the second or Nah. Decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Zane picks Green confidently, citing his speed, length, and footwork advantage over the older Stephens. He notes Stephens has lost his kicking and wrestling, and is no longer a knockout artist. Zane believes Green can use reactive takedowns like against Zell Hoover to neutralize Stephens. He sees it as a slow-down version of Green's win over Nasrud Hockbrost.

Odds: Green opened -200, now -375; Stephens opened +170, now +310.
"I like it as a matchup. I like Bobby Green getting a chance to shine again."
KO R2 4:55 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 78 21% 17 of 78 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
King Green 1 86 of 134 64% 100 of 148 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 11 of 46 23% 11 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 41 of 64 64% 41 of 64 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:04
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 6 of 32 18% 6 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
King Green 1 45 of 70 64% 59 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 78 21% 7 of 59 4 of 10 6 of 9 17 of 77 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 86 of 134 64% 39 of 72 21 of 29 26 of 33 71 of 119 5 of 5 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 11 of 46 23% 3 of 32 3 of 7 5 of 7 11 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 41 of 64 64% 10 of 23 15 of 19 16 of 22 36 of 59 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 6 of 32 18% 4 of 27 1 of 3 1 of 2 6 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 45 of 70 64% 29 of 49 6 of 10 10 of 11 35 of 60 0 of 0 10 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zellhuber (-500); Green (+375)

Round 1
“Golden Boy” Zellhuber (15-3, 3-3 UFC) has appeared a bit gold-plated as of late with two straight losses on his ledger. He will be 13 years the younger of grizzled veteran Green (33-17-1, 1 NC; 14-12-1, 1 NC UFC), who never shies away from a firefight. Before they bang it out, referee Herb Dean clocks them in and the lightweights do not tap gloves together as Green has his mean mug in full display.
Green, hands down by his side as is his custom, swats away Zellhuber’s reaching lead hand a few times. Green steps back as Zellhuber lunges with an overhand right, and the Mexican stumbles, Green catches him, resets and times a takedown to put the two on the mat. Zellhuber spins around as the two wind back up on their feet, where Green starts chattering at him. Zellhuber backs Green to the fence but walks into a straight left hand, and Green follows with a one-two before Zellhuber can get to him. Zellhuber kicks his lead leg, and Green says, “please sir, may I have another.” We’re paraphrasing, but you get the gist. Green keeps goading Zellhuber on, and Zellhuber sells out for a few swings and ends up getting taken down again. Zellhuber once more turns about to escape the ground game and works back to his feet, and once more Green pounds him in the face with a power jab.
Green’s alternating stances and awkward footwork make Zellhuber struggle, and when he lets off offense, he lands it fairly often. Zellhuber is not sure how to proceed, winging a huge right hand in hopes of knocking Green out with one blow, but he does not land it. Green dings him with two punches and slips the counters, brushing off his shoulder mockingly. Zellhuber swings at him, and Green retreats and laughs at him. Zellhuber keeps giving chase, walking into a barrage of punches from “King” and landing some of his own. Green shakes his head and no-sells anything, signaling that nothing has landed flush on him, and he suddenly spins with a back kick that bangs into the shoulder. Green reaches out and slaps the younger man in the face, and Zellhuber answers by kicking him in the face. Zellhuber rips a left to the body, and Green doubles over and has to regain his poker face. Green gets back into his element, grooving back and forth and jamming Zellhuber up with short punches and a hard low kick. He stands before a motionless Zellhuber until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Green
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Green

Round 2
Zellhuber starts off the round aggressively, and Green’s head movement and footwork protect him from anything overtly harmful. Green shrugs off the big swings and uses Zellhuber’s offense against him, tackling the Mexican to the floor. Zellhuber wraps up his right leg around Green’s neck to set up an extremely rare and fairly new buggy choke, and Dean checks on Green a few times to make sure he’s still fine. Green gives a thumbs-up and briefly frees his neck from the clutch of Zellhuber’s right arm cinched with his right leg—look it up, because it’s not easy to describe setting up—but Zellhuber commits to it again. Green slowly, methodically wriggles his neck out of danger, and he pops back to his feet. Zellhuber hurries back after him, and Green wants to take him back down.
Zellhuber stops the effort this time, so Green pushes out front kicks and slugs his man in the face with a hard right hand. Green laughs off what flies his way and fires back heavy left hands, and he mixes in obnoxious kicks to the front leg that partially hyperextend the lead knee. Zellhuber has a left hand skim the top of Green’s head, and Green shakes his head and keeps doing his thing. Green does not swing for the fences with his strikes, and Zellhuber’s volume is low while he still tries to figure out a way in. Green hits any target that is open, including the temple, where he clubs Zellhuber and wobbles him. Zellhuber stumbles back on baby der legs, but he manages to get his footing while Green largely showboats in front of him.
Green wings two hooks that bounce off the nose that is now leaking, and he nails “Golden Boy” with a flush salvo of fiery fists. Zellhuber goes out and is snapped back online, and he hits the ground and is in a bad way. Green does not let him off the hook and proceeds to violently batter him on the sides of the head. As “King” continues his final bombardment, Dean saves the Mexican fighter from his own toughness and waves the fight off.
As if he knew he was going to do that the whole time, Green walks off, cool as a cucumber, and has words with the closest camera. At the age of 39, “King” Green can still put on performances like that, dropping Zellhuber’s UFC record below .500 with a vintage knockout.

The Official Result
Bobby Green def. Daniel Zellhuber R2 4:55 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo hesitantly picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his recent poor performance against Michael Johnson. He reasons that Zellhuber cannot possibly 'do nothing' two fights in a row, especially in Mexico. He also notes that King Green (Bobby Green) sometimes is not serious enough and may not score well with Mexican judges. He acknowledges the risk but believes Zellhuber's Mexican spirit and Green's showboating could lead to a Zellhuber win.

"I'm going to pick Zel Huber here because literally ... sometimes Bobby Green is not serious enough and he's too busy dancing around and showboating."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber but with strong hesitation, calling him the biggest 'ball dropper' in the UFC after losing as a heavy favorite twice. He notes Zellhuber should win against King Green, who struggled against Lance Gibson Jr., but is wary of another poor performance. He predicts a second-round knockout if Zellhuber shows up.

second round knockout
"So, give me Zel Huber minus 500. ... Zel Huber by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody strongly fades Zellhuber at -500, pointing out his recent losses and lack of finishing ability. He believes Green's pressure and durability will cause problems, and that Zellhuber's jab won't be enough. He recommends betting Green or passing.

"I'm out on that. So, uh, yeah, it's either a dog or pass here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Connor agrees with Zane, but notes that Zellhuber could still lose if he has a slow start and lets Green get comfortable. He points out that Green is crafty and can throw off any fighter with his unorthodox style. However, Connor believes Green's inability to handle fast range strikers and his age make Zellhuber the clear pick.

Green's craftiness; Zellhuber's slow starts; Green's losses to fast strikers
"But I can't pick Bobby green to win any fight anymore."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel picks Daniel Zellhuber, praising his size, reach, sharp hands, and takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's chin and recovery, and believes he will outrange Prado and avoid ground-and-pound. He sees Zellhuber as a future top-15 fighter, while Prado is still unproven at this level.

"I'm going Daniel Z Huber here"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host is very confident in Zellhuber, calling him the safest bet on the card. He cites Zellhuber's youth (26 vs 39), massive reach advantage (6 inches), home advantage in Mexico City, and Green's lack of finishing ability. Green is a volume striker who is old and smaller, and will likely be outworked. The host plans to parlay Zellhuber with Moreno.

Parlaying him with Brandon Moreno.
"I think he's the safest bet on the card. I think he wins a very high percentage of the time. ... I'd be amazed if Zel Huba loses this."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

James expects Zellhuber to rebound from his loss to Michael Johnson, citing Green's less dangerous boxing style. He believes Zellhuber's kicks, durability, and aggression will overwhelm Green, leading to a finish. James predicts Zellhuber wins inside the distance.

"I got Daniel Zel Huba to win this fight and semi redeem himself... Daniel Zel Huba inside the distance is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host picks Daniel Zellhuber but is hesitant due to the -500 price and Zellhuber's recent losses. He notes Zellhuber's height and reach advantages and believes he can land the better strikes. However, he warns that Green is an educated striker and that Zellhuber's striking defense is suspect. He prefers the KO prop over the moneyline.

KO prop
"I'm still going to go with the Mexican here to show out in front of a hometown crowd and give me a Huber by knockout, but minus 500 is just way too wide."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul is leaning towards Green at +375, citing Zellhuber's inconsistency and lack of power. He notes Green's forward pressure and durability, and believes the price is too high on Zellhuber. He hasn't bet yet but is close to clicking Green.

"I know I'm a lot closer to click kick uh clicking green plus 375 than considering Zel Huber a safe minus500 parlay piece."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing Bobby Green's struggles against taller opponents and his habit of fighting with his hands down. He notes that Green had trouble with Lance Gibson Jr. and was destroyed by Jalin Turner. He predicts Zellhuber will TKO Green, as Green is open to shots and Zellhuber is a big favorite.

TKO
"I think Zelhuber's going to TKO him. ... I'm going to go with Daniel Zelhuber getting this one done by TKO over a Green pretty confidently."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zane picks Zellhuber because Bobby Green is clearly past his prime at 39 and has lost his speed and defensive instincts. He notes that Green's style relies on head movement and baiting, which no longer works against younger fighters. Zellhuber has problems with discipline and can lose rounds, but Green's decline is too severe to pick him.

Green's age (39); Green's losses to Pimblett and Turner; Zellhuber's inconsistency; odds too wide
"I have to pick him. Oh yeah. Absolutely. Like I just, I don't think green, like he should not be fighting at this level anymore."
WIN vs Lance Gibson
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · Dec 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 65 of 141 46% 74 of 150 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
Lance Gibson 0 30 of 72 41% 35 of 77 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 22 of 51 43% 22 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Lance Gibson 0 12 of 35 34% 12 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 King Green 0 15 of 37 40% 19 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lance Gibson 0 13 of 25 52% 18 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:04
3 King Green 0 28 of 53 52% 33 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Lance Gibson 0 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 65 of 141 46% 25 of 77 24 of 40 16 of 24 56 of 129 1 of 1 8 of 11
Lance Gibson 30 of 72 41% 9 of 39 8 of 14 13 of 19 27 of 66 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 22 of 51 43% 8 of 26 5 of 14 9 of 11 21 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 12 of 35 34% 4 of 22 2 of 4 6 of 9 11 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 King Green 15 of 37 40% 5 of 22 6 of 8 4 of 7 15 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 13 of 25 52% 4 of 11 3 of 6 6 of 8 11 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 King Green 28 of 53 52% 12 of 29 13 of 18 3 of 6 20 of 42 0 of 0 8 of 11
Lance Gibson 5 of 12 41% 1 of 6 3 of 4 1 of 2 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Lance Gibson Jr. vs. Bobby Green
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Green (-210); Gibson Jr. (+170)

Round 1
In an unexpected catchweight delight, “King” Green (32-17-1, 1 NC; 13-12-1, 1 NC UFC) will sneak in his second fight of 2025 right before the buzzer. He takes this match at a 160-pound catchweight likely due to it being put together about a week ago. Matching up in the cage will be Bellator expat Gibson Jr. (9-1, 0-0 UFC)—for the purposes of this play-by-play, his “junior” name suffix will be omitted—who will be competing for the first time in over a year. It should be noted that Gibson now completes the third father-son duo to both compete in the Octagon, joining Randy and Ryan Couture as well as Gilbert and Elijah Smith. Accompanying the athletes in the Octagon will be referee Mark Smith, who watches on as the two elect not to touch gloves.
Green walks the newcomer down flexing his pectorals, hands down by his hips. Gibson lands first with a thudding calf kick, and Green stares at him like a disappointed father. Gibson fires off kicks at his opponent, and Green showboats and wipes off his shoulder to suggest nothing landed. Green gets off a body kick, and Gibson has another high kick blocked in the nick of time. Green stays evasive and starts motioning like he is dribbling a basketball and otherwise goofing around in the midst of a fist fight. This makes Gibson back off, so Green points at the ground and says, “come here!” Gibson obliges, rushing at him for a possible clinch, but Green slides to the side to stay in striking range. The American jabs the body with his foot, and he stomp kicks at the knee to hyperextend Gibson’s lead leg.
Green’s hands remain as low as they can go, and he connects with a body kick and is well out of range before Gibson can get him back with anything but his own kick to the ribs. Green slips to score a right hand, and Gibson cracks him with a left that stands Green up. Green tries to play it off like he is fine, and Gibson picks up on the tell and charges him. Green shakes it off and starts getting in Gibson’s head again, chattering at him and telling him to come at him. Green walks Gibson around the cage, and Gibson pitches a kick at him that Green catches. Green slips in a short left hand and splits the guard with a front kick, and he has Gibson flustered with his approach. Green ducks down to land a right hand, and Gibson buzzes him behind the ear. Green tells to keep throwing with him, and Gibson looks for knees instead and a possible clinch. Green shakes his head, dodges a few punches and salutes. The strange round ends, and scores could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Green
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Green

Round 2
Green wades out of his corner fearlessly, hands characteristically by his hips, and he uses head movement and footwork to avoid the early offense coming his direction. He gets in close to force Gibson off-balance from a front kick, and Green’s overhand right knocks Gibson to the floor. Gibson leaps back up and hurls a left hand at him, Green dodges and goes “woo,” and he proceeds to mess with Gibson while tossing one-twos at him. Gibson tosses out a low kick, and Green’s front kick response ricochets off the cup. Smith calls time, and Green starts clapping and saying “we gotta get this thing going” as if to hurry Gibson back to combat. The Canadian keeps ignoring him, so Green apologizes to Gibson’s father for the accidental foul. Smith warns Green to avoid kicking the low body, because it is the second kick he has gotten away with there. Gibson marches back and forth adjusting his cup, and Green is hanging out waiting for the recovery time to elapse and talking to anyone without earshot who bothers listening. The roughly two-minute break concludes with a clap of hands from the two fighters. When they resume, Green aims a side kick to the chest, and he wraps a kick around the guard. Gibson rushes him and throws a high kick to open up a level change, and he puts “King” on the floor and advances to side control in a hurry. Gibson clings with his right arm around the back of Green’s head, until Green scrambles to get back to his feet. Gibson holds him from behind in hopes of a mat return.
Gibson knees him in the chin and stomps at his toes, staying up close in the clinch to not give Green any space. Green nearly grabs the fence a few times, and Gibson drops down for a single. Green recovers his footing and pushes off Gibson’s face, and he mean mugs him while walking him down. A jab from Gibson opens a tiny cut on Green’s right cheek, one he ignores as he lumbers forward pitching long punches at him. Gibson sits down on a strong right hand, and Green partially rolls with it and offers back a body kick while Gibson is strafing to the side. They clash low kicks, and Green scores a left hand and points at his foe. Gibson throws back only to be well out of range, while Green can get to him with a long front kick to the sternum. Green clips his man with two crisp punches, and he looks for a hook third but is caught on the way in with a solid inside low kick that stumbles him. Green gathers his thoughts and puts on his poker face to start bombing Gibson with a barrage of punches. Gibson barely misses a spin right before the bell, and Green wipes his brow in a sign of relief that he did not get tagged with it. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Gibson

Round 3
Like the previous rounds, Green is not remotely concerned about what comes his direction, even though Gibson landed flush on him a few times towards the end of the round. Gibson keeps his back to the fence, and Green further drives him back with a push kick to the solar plexus. Green aims a low kick and misses on his other, flashier kicks. Gibson reaches out with his own kick, and Green no-sells it. Green lands a couple more front kicks while Gibson is still processing, and he blocks a high kick and points to his arm as if to tell someone watching—like a judge—that it hit him on the arm. Green’s trash talk starts to get louder, and he starts to get a bit more amped up. Gibson stays on his bike, timing a kick from Green to shoot for a takedown. He takes Green to his seat, but Green pushes off and scampers back up within seconds.
Green goes for a right to the ribs, and he scores another right over the top in rapid succession. Gibson’s offense is limited to single strikes, like a huge right hand that Green barely dodges in time. Green strings together a number of punches ending with a solid left, and he starts to walk Gibson down doing the typical Diaz brother strut. Gibson narrowly avoids a one-two, but a second lands on his nose. He has a kick caught, and Green throws him to the wall and then surprises the Canadian by completing a sudden takedown. Green moves himself to north-south position and starts unleashing heavy right hands to the body, and Gibson is warned repeatedly for hooking his toes in the fence links. Smith has to slap at them a few times, all while Green is hammering “Fearless” with concussive hammerfists. The oddball fight ends with Green letting Gibson have it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green (30-27 Green)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Green (29-28 Green)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Green (29-28 Green)

The Official Result
Bobby Green def. Lance Gibson Jr. via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Green, citing his experience and superior striking. He notes Gibson's lack of activity and short notice, and expects Green to keep the fight standing and outwork Gibson as he fades in later rounds. He sees a live betting opportunity.

"I'll take King Bobby Green."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul also picks Green, emphasizing the step down in competition for Green. He thinks Gibson's grappling threat is neutralized by Green's takedown defense and that Green's striking will be too much. He recommends waiting for a better price.

"Bobby Green's side for me, too."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

Angelo sees Ferreira as more dangerous and durable at this point, with more ways to win. He notes Green is a cleaner striker but Ferreira has power and BJJ. He is surprised Ferreira is almost a 2-to-1 favorite, as the fight feels closer on paper. He picks Ferreira but is not sure what to do with betting, possibly looking at the over 1.5 rounds.

Maybe over 1.5 rounds
"Diego is going to be the pick. He's a little bit older, but he's durable, he's dangerous, and he has more ways to win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

Big Brady picks Diego Ferreira to win by first-round knockout. He is very worried about King Green's decline, citing the brutal Jalin Turner stoppage, his age (38), and poor recent performances. He notes Green has taken a lot of damage and doesn't look the same. In contrast, Ferreira is older but has less tread on the tires, barely fights, and still performs at a high level. He mentions Ferreira's power, citing knockouts of Michael Johnson and Mateusz Rębecki, and thinks he can finish Green by any method.

Ferreira by KO, round 1
"Give me FRA here. And I'm going to take FRA to win this fight by first round knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

The Guru picks Carlos Diego Ferreira to beat Bobby Green, citing Ferreira's underrated skills and power. He believes Green is prone to getting knocked out, especially in big spots, and that Ferreira can finish him. The Guru notes Ferreira's close split decision with Beneil Dariush and his knockout of Michael Johnson. He predicts Green will have a decent first round but then get caught in the second or third.

Knockout in round two or three; CDF finishes Green
"I'm going with Carlos Diego Fea. ... I think CDF's got Bobby Green and plus Bobby Green, how many more KO losses can we see?"
KO R1 2:07 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
MaurĂ­cio Ruffy 1 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
MaurĂ­cio Ruffy 1 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 4 of 15 26% 1 of 7 1 of 3 2 of 5 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
MaurĂ­cio Ruffy 4 of 9 44% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 4 of 15 26% 1 of 7 1 of 3 2 of 5 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
MaurĂ­cio Ruffy 4 of 9 44% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ruffy (-470), Green (+360)

Round 1
Two 155-pound strikers will light up the T-Mobile Arena to open up the main card. Green (31-16-1, 1 NC; 13-11-1, 1 NC UFC) has seen better days but is still dangerous even at the age of 38, but he will have to mind his P’s and Q’s against the man 10 years his younger in Ruffy (11-1, 2-0 UFC). Before the frenetic action, referee Chris Tognoni makes sure to keep things official and starts the fight. Ruffy offers a glove, but Green would rather just fight. Green backs himself intentionally to the wall, hands low, ready to counter. Ruffy is composed rather than a marauder, and he blocks a push kick when standing in front of his opponent. Ruffy is keeping Green confused with his rangy punches and movement, and this results in a stalemate and stretches of inactivity. When Green kicks low, Ruffy rings his bell with a straight right hand. Green bounces off the wall and gives a right hand back, but it has far less mustard on it than the one that shook him up. Green surges forward with a left high and a right to the ribs, and chants for “Let’s Go Ruffy” start spreading. The Brazilian absorbs all of this energy from the audience and channels it like a Spirit Bomb, only instead of into his hand, he puts it into his right foot. A picture-perfect spin from Ruffy delivers the wheel kick square into the side of Green’s head, and Green is immediately unconscious and slumps face-first the ground like he got shot by a sniper. Absolutely incredible! Forget “Knockout of the Year,” that wheel kick is up there when it comes to “Knockout of the Decade,” much less one of the best in company history. Unreal. The crowd is electric, no one can hear anyone think. Knowing that there is nothing else he needs to do tonight, Ruffy stands stoically above his fallen opponent, while Tognoni sprints in to make sure Green does not take any more damage. Meanwhile, blood pours out of the nose of the flattened Green, who manages to come to and eventually makes it back to his feet. With plenty of energy left in the tank, Ruffy goes off to perform several flips and capoeira moves, sticking the landing each and every time to further wow the fans. The Fighting Nerds have one more highlight on the reel, and the victorious Ruffy dons his team’s famed glasses and gives commentator Joe Rogan a pair to sport as well. Knowing exactly what he wants next, Ruffy calls for a headlining opportunity against Beneil Dariush. The UFC would be hard pressed to pass that up. Wow. What a knockout. Mauricio Ruffy is for real.

The Official Result
Mauricio Ruffy def. Bobby Green R1 2:07 via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
MaurĂ­cio Ruffy

Connor picks Ruffy despite acknowledging that stylistically, Green should be able to outbox him. He notes that Green has been getting hurt more often and fighting in a way that leaves him vulnerable to big punchers. Connor believes that even if Green has a good first round, he is likely to get knocked out eventually. He admits the line is too wide and that Ruffy has yet to prove himself against veteran talent.

Odds: Green opened at +405, now +345; Ruffy opened at -654, now -468. Connor thinks the line is too wide.
"I think at this point, I have to feel like even a veteran performance out of Bobby Green is going to be him doing really well for a round, a round and a half, whatever, and just getting melted by …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Zane picks Green, hoping for a vintage performance. He believes that if Green doesn't get knocked out, he can outwork Ruffy with smarter reads and better cardio. Zane points out that Ruffy struggled against James Llontop, who is slow and clumsy, and that Green is a much more technical boxer. He acknowledges the risk but wants to see Green replicate his win over Nasrat Haqparast.

Odds: Green opened at +405, now +345; Ruffy opened at -654, now -468. Zane thinks the line is too wide.
"I'm picking it openly because I want it to happen. Yes. I think it's actually, it's a, you know, it is actually quite possible that Bobby Green can can look. Okay. If he, if he doesn't get knocked out, I …"
LOSS vs Paddy Pimblett
Technical Submission (triangle choke) R1 3:22 · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paddy Pimblett 0 15 of 21 71% 15 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
King Green 0 8 of 13 61% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paddy Pimblett 0 15 of 21 71% 15 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
King Green 0 8 of 13 61% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paddy Pimblett 15 of 21 71% 2 of 6 3 of 5 10 of 10 15 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 8 of 13 61% 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 9 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paddy Pimblett 15 of 21 71% 2 of 6 3 of 5 10 of 10 15 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 8 of 13 61% 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 9 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Paddy Pimblett
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Green (-120), Pimblett (+100)

Round 1
While the last two fights are championship affairs with a Brit defending their throne, fans might be here for the people’s main event that is the “featured fight of the night.” No matter his new first name, for play-by-play purposes this Strikeforce veteran will be called by his surname, Green (32-15-1, 1 NC; 13-10-1, 1 NC UFC). He will try to take all the wind out of the sails of the raucous Manchester crowd, which is going bananas for Pimblett (21-3, 5-0 UFC). Referee Lukasz Bosacki can scarcely hear himself think, but he knows it is time and starts the fight between the beloved lightweights. Even having said earlier this week it is all business, the two choose not to touch gloves before slugging it out. Green’s hands are low as always, and he pokes at the front leg with a kick. Pimblett winds up with a much heavier kick on the inside, and he lands a second with emphasis. Pimblett sticks out a jab and checks a kick, and he sits down on an especially powerful calf kick. Green marches forward and starts talking trash, and Pimblett catches him with a counter as he backs off. Green brushes his shoulder when Pimblett lands on him, and the Brit lands a low kick as well. Green connects with a pair of stomping kicks to the knee, and he reaches a left hand to the midsection. Green kicks the front leg and is tripped up, and he acknowledges the strike and kicks at him. Green points at his adversary as he walks him down, and he tells Pimblett to hit him. Pimblett elects to kick the calf instead, and Green kicks him in the ribs in response. Green keeps jabbing with his front leg, and he shoots for a takedown and falls straight into a guillotine choke attempt. Green slips out of it, and Pimblett adjusts and locks down a triangle choke. Green rolls to the side but is still dangerously caught in the submission, and Pimblett starts celebrating as he leans back. Green struggles and gets rolled to his back, and he wrenches on the arm while crushing on Green’s carotid artery. Life leaves Green’s eyes as the submission deprives him completely of his consciousness, and Bosacki recognizes this and rescues the snoozing Green from further harm. Pimblett immediately lets go and leaps to the top of the cage as the audience explodes to celebrate the stoppage win for their star. He jumps out of the Octagon to high-five UFC chief Hunter Campbell, and the crowd is absolutely deafening. “The Baddy” passed the biggest test of his career with flying colors, putting the dangerous Green to sleep and becoming the first fighter to submit Green since 2009.

The Official Result
Paddy Pimblett def. Bobby Green R1 3:22 via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks King Green (Bobby Green) as the better striker with good takedown defense. He notes that Green's volume and defense are excellent, but he only bets half a unit because Green is fighting in enemy territory, could face a sketchy decision, and if taken down by Pimblett, he may not get back up. Angelo acknowledges Pimblett's grappling control but believes Green's striking will be the difference.

half unit bet on King Green
"I still think Bobby's going to win this fight I think he's going to be the better Striker and I think his takedown defense is going to be good enough"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody is confident in King Green, citing his well-rounded skills and veteran savvy. He notes that Paddy Pimblett has looked unimpressive in his UFC fights, often losing rounds before getting finishes, and that his lifestyle and mindset are not conducive to long-term success. Cody believes Green's boxing and takedown defense will be too much, and that Paddy's path to victory is narrow. He predicts Green by decision.

King Green by decision
"Bobby green by decision that seems fairs to me Patty pimin could take a hell of a punch Patty Pimp's not getting submitted I don't think no so Bobby by decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel picks King Green, impressed by his performance against Jim Miller where he overwhelmed a durable opponent. He believes Green's wrestling defense will hold up against Pimblett, and that Green's volume and power will be too much. He notes Pimblett gets hit often and Green can exploit that.

"I like Bobby green here I I had kind of written him off and I'd faded him a couple of times times too just if we're being honest but like that Jim Miller fight was really impressive"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Daniel notes Paddy's early explosiveness but worries about his cardio, citing him pulling guard against Tony Ferguson. He thinks Bobby Green's age (37) and hands-down style could lead to him getting caught early. He leans Paddy but wants underdog odds to bet, expecting a close decision or early finish.

"I'm gonna go Patty here to to squeak one out or to potentially get an early finish"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Jeff picks King Green, citing Green's volume and power. He thinks Pimblett will eventually get caught and knocked out, though he's not sure if it happens this week. He believes Green's wrestling defense is adequate and that Pimblett won't get him down.

"give me King got to go with King here Bobby green he's going to put it on uh piml piml gets hit"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul agrees with Cody, calling it a horrible matchup for Paddy. He highlights Green's takedown defense (only taken down once in last 10 fights) and his advantage on the feet. Paul expects Green to cruise to a decision, though he acknowledges the risk of a bad split decision in the UK. He also mentions the possibility of betting Green by decision at plus money.

King Green by decision
"I think Bobby green should absolutely Cruise here so I'm 100% with you I love Bobby green um I'm prepared for disappointment but yeah him by decision at plus 160."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

The MMA Guru picks Paddy Pimblett by submission (rear-naked choke), likely in the first or second round. He believes Pimblett can exploit Bobby Green's tendency to give up his back when defending takedowns. The Guru notes that Green was easily controlled on the ground by Islam Makhachev and that Pimblett has a size and strength advantage. He also thinks Pimblett will use kicks at range and wait for grappling opportunities, rather than brawling. The Guru is influenced by a recent interview with Pimblett, which increased his confidence.

submission, rear-naked choke, round 1-2
"I'm going to go with Patty piml I reckon he's got this one the stars are aligning for this one I reckon and also he went on my channel and I think there's a gift of the guru interview moo …"
WIN vs Jim Miller
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 30–25, 29–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 1 186 of 319 58% 187 of 320 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:54
Jim Miller 0 57 of 144 39% 58 of 145 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 43 of 83 51% 43 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jim Miller 0 17 of 46 36% 17 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 King Green 0 61 of 115 53% 61 of 115 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jim Miller 0 20 of 53 37% 20 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 King Green 1 82 of 121 67% 83 of 122 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:54
Jim Miller 0 20 of 45 44% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 186 of 319 58% 136 of 245 40 of 56 10 of 18 167 of 295 7 of 8 12 of 16
Jim Miller 57 of 144 39% 29 of 103 10 of 18 18 of 23 55 of 141 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 43 of 83 51% 26 of 57 12 of 19 5 of 7 43 of 82 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jim Miller 17 of 46 36% 9 of 35 2 of 4 6 of 7 17 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 King Green 61 of 115 53% 45 of 88 13 of 19 3 of 8 60 of 114 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jim Miller 20 of 53 37% 9 of 37 3 of 6 8 of 10 20 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 King Green 82 of 121 67% 65 of 100 15 of 18 2 of 3 64 of 99 6 of 6 12 of 16
Jim Miller 20 of 45 44% 11 of 31 5 of 8 4 of 6 18 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo leans Bobby Green based on skill set, noting Green's better striking and takedown defense. However, he is not confident due to Green's recent knockout losses and Miller's resurgence. He calls the -200 odds absurd and advises staying away from betting.

Odds comment: -200 is absurd for this fight
"I am going to lean Bobby green very very slightly minus 200 is absolutely absurd for this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Bobby Green, citing his superior footwork, volume, and jab. He notes that Jim Miller is slower and more flat-footed now, and no longer relies on wrestling. Green's takedown defense is solid, and Miller is unlikely to wrestle. Cody thinks the fight will resemble a sparring match where Green picks Miller apart with the jab. He warns that Miller is a fan favorite and the crowd could influence judges, but on paper, Green's style defeats Miller. Cody expects a decision win for Green.

"On paper Bobby green has a style to defeat him so the pick is Green."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Connor picks Green, arguing that Miller's game is not suited to track down a mobile striker like Green. He notes that Miller is best when he can plant his feet in the middle distance, but Green will keep moving and counter. Connor believes Green's ability to fire back with better offense will be the difference, though Miller's kicks could be troublesome.

Odds: Miller opened +160, now +155; Green opened -208, now -175. Connor mentions the line movement.
"I got to take green to just be able to have a competitive interesting fight, maybe eat a couple of shots that he lunges in and Miller is sitting and waiting on a counter."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel Vreeland picks Bobby Green, citing his speed, volume, and higher level of competition. He believes Green's striking and cardio will outpace Miller, despite concerns about Green's recent knockout loss. Vreeland notes Miller's momentum but trusts Green's technical edge.

"I'm gonna pick Bobby Green to get it done"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He calls it a feel-good fight and is excited because Jim Miller is fighting on UFC 100, 200, and 300. He says Bobby Green always brings hype and entertainment. No prediction is given.

"Jim Miller versus Bobby Green that's just a feel-good fight Jim Miller for UFC 100 UFC 200 and UFC 300 well is going to fight UFC 300 so I'm excited for that fight as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Green is the better technical striker and his defensive grappling is good enough to keep the fight upright. Miller might land some big shots early but Green will roll with them and put it on Miller in rounds two and three, winning on the scorecards.

decision
"I think for the most part green will roll with them well enough to take the brunt of it off and then really start to put it on Jim Miller through rounds two and three winning this fight on the …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Paul agrees, noting that Green's footwork and jab should keep Miller at bay. He mentions that Green is coming off a bad knockout loss to Jalin Turner, but Miller doesn't have the power to replicate that. Paul thinks Miller's best chance is to land a right hand and get a takedown, but Green's takedown defense is good. He expects Green to win a decision, possibly a clear one.

"I like Bobby green too."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jim Miller

The MMA Guru picks Jim Miller to defeat Bobby Green by TKO in the second round. He predicts Miller will chop at Green's lead leg, find the chin after making Green hesitant, and notes Green's recent knockout loss to Jalin Turner may have affected him. He emphasizes Miller's momentum and ability to shoot takedowns.

"Jim Miller is going to destroy the lead leg of Bobby green he's going to hack it to Pieces."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Zane picks Green, believing his defensive awareness and skill will allow him to adjust as the fight goes on. He notes that Miller's meat-and-potatoes style is effective early but predictable, and Green's footwork and counters will take over. Zane acknowledges that Green has looked shaky recently but trusts his technical edge over Miller's plodding pressure.

Odds: Miller opened +160, now +155; Green opened -208, now -175. Zane mentions the line movement.
"I am going to pick Bobby Green because I think Jim Miller is so meat and potato potatoes that he is going to have all the success he's ever going to have in the fight in like the first six …"
LOSS vs Jalin Turner
KO (punches) R1 2:49 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 1 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
King Green 0 15 of 26 57% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 1 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
King Green 0 15 of 26 57% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 33 of 60 55% 26 of 48 2 of 4 5 of 8 18 of 41 0 of 0 15 of 19
King Green 15 of 26 57% 5 of 14 3 of 4 7 of 8 14 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 33 of 60 55% 26 of 48 2 of 4 5 of 8 18 of 41 0 of 0 15 of 19
King Green 15 of 26 57% 5 of 14 3 of 4 7 of 8 14 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner despite short notice, citing his size advantage and danger everywhere. He thinks Turner's reach and height will be a problem for Green, and that Green's hands-down style could get him caught. He expects an early finish but notes cardio concerns if the fight extends. He calls it a step down in competition for Turner.

"give me Jaylen Turner here on short notice to get an early finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody is torn but tentatively picks Turner. He acknowledges Turner's weight cut issues and short notice, but thinks Turner is faster, longer, and the better striker. He worries about Turner's cardio in later rounds but believes if Turner minds his distance, he can win. He considers waiting for weigh-ins and possibly betting Green live after the first round.

considering Bobby Green live after first round
"tentatively I'm going to take Jaylen Turner but I am not disagreeing with any of your points I see them all"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Lucrative James leans towards Bobby Green as a dog, noting that Jalin Turner has never won a decision and has a questionable chin. He believes if Green survives round one, the fight becomes 50-50, with Green having an edge in later rounds. He is not confident but sees value in Green at plus money.

"I don't mind a dog shot on Bobby green"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Green is on a two-fight winning streak and has a volume-heavy style that could overwhelm Turner. Turner has lost two in a row and has had weight issues, plus he took this fight on short notice. Green's durability and pressure should allow him to outwork Turner, especially if the fight goes into deep waters. A decision win is predicted.

decision win predicted
"give me Bobby green here and I think he ends up pulling off a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul already bet Bobby Green at plus money. He cites Green's durability, cardio, and the fact that Turner missed weight last time and is on short notice. He thinks Green can go hard three rounds and that Turner's cardio falls off. He also likes Green round three prop at +2000. He notes Green is historically a slow starter but believes he can take over late.

Bobby Green round three at +2000 considered; already bet Green moneyline at +188
"I already bet Bobby green why well Bobby green was already getting ready for this card he's supposed to take on Dan hooker Dan hooker pulls out Jaylen Turner I mean missed weight last time out at 155 pounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner, citing his reach advantage, versatility, and ability to chop the legs and body. He believes Bobby Green struggles without a reach advantage and that Turner's dynamic striking will be too much. He expects a decision win for Turner, 30-27.

decision win 30-27
"I'm gonna go Jalin Turner... he's more versatile... he'll chop low, he'll front kick the body, he'll kick the head... I'll say it will be a decision win 30-27."
Expert Picks (11)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo hesitantly picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his recent poor performance against Michael Johnson. He reasons that Zellhuber cannot possibly 'do nothing' two fights in a row, especially in Mexico. He also notes that King Green (Bobby Green) sometimes is not serious enough and may not score well with Mexican judges. He acknowledges the risk but believes Zellhuber's Mexican spirit and Green's showboating could lead to a Zellhuber win.

"I'm going to pick Zel Huber here because literally ... sometimes Bobby Green is not serious enough and he's too busy dancing around and showboating."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber but with strong hesitation, calling him the biggest 'ball dropper' in the UFC after losing as a heavy favorite twice. He notes Zellhuber should win against King Green, who struggled against Lance Gibson Jr., but is wary of another poor performance. He predicts a second-round knockout if Zellhuber shows up.

second round knockout
"So, give me Zel Huber minus 500. ... Zel Huber by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody strongly fades Zellhuber at -500, pointing out his recent losses and lack of finishing ability. He believes Green's pressure and durability will cause problems, and that Zellhuber's jab won't be enough. He recommends betting Green or passing.

"I'm out on that. So, uh, yeah, it's either a dog or pass here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Connor agrees with Zane, but notes that Zellhuber could still lose if he has a slow start and lets Green get comfortable. He points out that Green is crafty and can throw off any fighter with his unorthodox style. However, Connor believes Green's inability to handle fast range strikers and his age make Zellhuber the clear pick.

Green's craftiness; Zellhuber's slow starts; Green's losses to fast strikers
"But I can't pick Bobby green to win any fight anymore."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel picks Daniel Zellhuber, praising his size, reach, sharp hands, and takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's chin and recovery, and believes he will outrange Prado and avoid ground-and-pound. He sees Zellhuber as a future top-15 fighter, while Prado is still unproven at this level.

"I'm going Daniel Z Huber here"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host is very confident in Zellhuber, calling him the safest bet on the card. He cites Zellhuber's youth (26 vs 39), massive reach advantage (6 inches), home advantage in Mexico City, and Green's lack of finishing ability. Green is a volume striker who is old and smaller, and will likely be outworked. The host plans to parlay Zellhuber with Moreno.

Parlaying him with Brandon Moreno.
"I think he's the safest bet on the card. I think he wins a very high percentage of the time. ... I'd be amazed if Zel Huba loses this."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

James expects Zellhuber to rebound from his loss to Michael Johnson, citing Green's less dangerous boxing style. He believes Zellhuber's kicks, durability, and aggression will overwhelm Green, leading to a finish. James predicts Zellhuber wins inside the distance.

"I got Daniel Zel Huba to win this fight and semi redeem himself... Daniel Zel Huba inside the distance is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host picks Daniel Zellhuber but is hesitant due to the -500 price and Zellhuber's recent losses. He notes Zellhuber's height and reach advantages and believes he can land the better strikes. However, he warns that Green is an educated striker and that Zellhuber's striking defense is suspect. He prefers the KO prop over the moneyline.

KO prop
"I'm still going to go with the Mexican here to show out in front of a hometown crowd and give me a Huber by knockout, but minus 500 is just way too wide."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul is leaning towards Green at +375, citing Zellhuber's inconsistency and lack of power. He notes Green's forward pressure and durability, and believes the price is too high on Zellhuber. He hasn't bet yet but is close to clicking Green.

"I know I'm a lot closer to click kick uh clicking green plus 375 than considering Zel Huber a safe minus500 parlay piece."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing Bobby Green's struggles against taller opponents and his habit of fighting with his hands down. He notes that Green had trouble with Lance Gibson Jr. and was destroyed by Jalin Turner. He predicts Zellhuber will TKO Green, as Green is open to shots and Zellhuber is a big favorite.

TKO
"I think Zelhuber's going to TKO him. ... I'm going to go with Daniel Zelhuber getting this one done by TKO over a Green pretty confidently."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zane picks Zellhuber because Bobby Green is clearly past his prime at 39 and has lost his speed and defensive instincts. He notes that Green's style relies on head movement and baiting, which no longer works against younger fighters. Zellhuber has problems with discipline and can lose rounds, but Green's decline is too severe to pick him.

Green's age (39); Green's losses to Pimblett and Turner; Zellhuber's inconsistency; odds too wide
"I have to pick him. Oh yeah. Absolutely. Like I just, I don't think green, like he should not be fighting at this level anymore."