Brandon Royval

"Raw Dawg"
7-5
Record
Age / DOB 33
(Aug 16, 1992)
Height 5' 9"
Weight 125 lbs.
Reach 68.0"
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages
5.54 Sig. Strikes / Min
41.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
4.25 Absorbed / Min
43.0% Strike Defense
0.65 TD Avg / 15 min
75.0% TD Accuracy
45.0% TD Defense
1.1 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (7)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 3
Decision 3
Loss Methods (5)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 2

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
SCHEDULED
UFC 329
Jul 11, 2026
Compare odds
--
Loss
KO R1 3:18
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 17 of 26 65% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Manel Kape 1 17 of 23 73% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 17 of 26 65% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Manel Kape 1 17 of 23 73% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 17 of 26 65% 5 of 10 6 of 8 6 of 8 17 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Manel Kape 17 of 23 73% 6 of 10 5 of 6 6 of 7 15 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 17 of 26 65% 5 of 10 6 of 8 6 of 8 17 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Manel Kape 17 of 23 73% 6 of 10 5 of 6 6 of 7 15 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kape (-300); Royval (+240)

Round 1
This main event is a flyweight tilt many have circled on the calendar the day it was announced. Always in a wild scrap, Royval (17-8, 7-4 UFC) has reached all but the pinnacle of his division as bounces around the top five. After some delays and scrubbed pairings, he finally gets to take on the brick-fisted Kape (21-7, 6-3 UFC). The talk is over, the prep is finished, and it’s time for some action. Referee Herb Dean ushers the two to the center of the Octagon to issue final instructions and elicit a glove touch, which is heard and answered by the athletes. It’s on with the show, this being the final UFC bout on ESPN (unless they sign back with ESPN in 2033).
Kape marches Royval down immediately lobbing a hard calf kick at him to greet him. Royval answers him back. Violent pleasantries exchanged, the two get to it for real. Royval lands a side kick to the ribs, and Kape keeps targeting the lead leg. Royval answers in kind, and swipes out with a right hand on the way back. Kape chips at the front wheel once more with his low kick, and Royval makes sure to pay him back immediately. Royval lets rip a body kick that lands with a loud slap, and he kicks with the other leg which makes a thumping sound instead. Royval punches his way into a low kick combination, and he tags Kape upstairs to interrupt a combo. Another hefty body kick from “Raw Dawg” lands flush, who then targets the calf. Kape swings himself off-balance with a big kick, gathering himself in time to dodge a kick flying at his face.
Royval tosses up a high kick, and Kape rushes him. Something appears to bother Kape, who has to suddenly back off and put his hand on the fence. Oddly enough, the same thing happens to Royval, who looks to have jammed his toes on a kick. Kape walks him down and blasts him in the face with a ferocious right hand that puts him down for the count. “Starboy” unleashes a final barrage of fists while Royval tries to sit up and recover, knocking the Factory X fighter clean out and then switching him back online again. Dean sees when Royval goes limp a second time, and he intervenes. Royval is trying to stand at the time, but he is on wobbled legs and thinks to protest but decides against it. Cooler heads bring him over to his corner so that he can sit down and talk to his team now that the fight is over, and Kape hurries over to talk to someone seated outside of the cage. Ending the ESPN era with one destructive flurry, Kape ties the UFC flyweight record for the most knockouts in divisional history, tying Joe Benavidez with five.
The triumphant Kape challenges new flyweight king Joshua Van for his belt, claiming that he will, and we can’t make this up, “take his diapers.” Sometimes these things happen in MMA. With this 12-fight show in the books, the ESPN era of the UFC is now complete. With the winter break upcoming, there will be a whopping six weeks until the next UFC card on Jan. 24, a gap with no events not seen since the COVID-19 pandemic shut the sport down for a few months in 2020. There will be a few more major fight cards in 2025, with PFL Africa next week and Rizin’s NYE spectacular coming up soon. We will be there for them, and we hope you are too.

The Official Result
Manel Kape def. Brandon Royval R1 3:18 via KO (Punches)
Expert Picks (3)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Cody picks Royval as a plus money underdog, citing his infinite cardio, pressure, and volume. He believes Royval's improved striking and grappling will allow him to outwork Kape over five rounds, especially in deeper waters. He notes Kape's power but thinks Royval's chin can hold up and that Royval will win a close decision by outlanding him in significant strikes.

"I am going to chase that plus money on Brandon Royval. It's a five-round fight. And again, as far as I'm concerned, Brandon Royval is built for these 25-minute long fights."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Lucrative James picks Manel Kape confidently, arguing that Brandon Royval's aggressive, pressure-heavy style plays into Kape's hands. He notes Kape's superior boxing, timing, and power, and believes Kape will hurt Royval multiple times, though a knockout is uncertain given Royval's durability. He projects Kape as a -250 favorite.

"I'm going to pick Manel Cape in this fight. I'm going to pick Minnel Cape fairly confidently in this fight."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Paul agrees with Cody, also taking Royval at plus 250. He highlights the Felipe dos Santos fight as evidence that Kape can be pushed in a striking battle, and doubts Kape can maintain high volume for 25 minutes. He sees Royval's durability and output as key factors.

"It's Brandon Royval plus 250 for me as well."
Loss
Decision R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 215 of 467 46% 216 of 468 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 1 204 of 305 66% 209 of 311 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 42 of 116 36% 42 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 52 of 79 65% 52 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brandon Royval 0 87 of 174 50% 87 of 174 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 0 74 of 106 69% 77 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Brandon Royval 0 86 of 177 48% 87 of 178 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joshua Van 1 78 of 120 65% 80 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 215 of 467 46% 179 of 422 22 of 27 14 of 18 205 of 451 10 of 16 0 of 0
Joshua Van 204 of 305 66% 138 of 232 37 of 43 29 of 30 181 of 270 20 of 27 3 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 42 of 116 36% 27 of 95 6 of 10 9 of 11 41 of 114 1 of 2 0 of 0
Joshua Van 52 of 79 65% 31 of 55 9 of 12 12 of 12 46 of 71 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Brandon Royval 87 of 174 50% 77 of 163 7 of 7 3 of 4 81 of 165 6 of 9 0 of 0
Joshua Van 74 of 106 69% 50 of 81 18 of 19 6 of 6 65 of 95 9 of 11 0 of 0
3 Brandon Royval 86 of 177 48% 75 of 164 9 of 10 2 of 3 83 of 172 3 of 5 0 of 0
Joshua Van 78 of 120 65% 57 of 96 10 of 12 11 of 12 70 of 104 5 of 8 3 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brandon Royval vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-120), Royval (+100)

Round 1
In the “featured fight of the night,” flyweights roll the dice to see who may get the next crack at the champ. As it turns out, this de facto tournament will be resolved one bout later, when Alexandre Pantoja rematches Kai Kara-France for the throne. Having come up short in 2023, and already 0-2 against the champ Pantoja, Royval (17-7, 7-3 UFC) more than likely hopes there will be change in beltholder in about an hour. Looking to spoil the party of “Raw Dawg” will be the fast-rising 23-year-old Van (14-2, 7-1 UFC), who has shot up the ranks like a cannon and takes this bout on short notice. Despite that, Van is the betting favorite. Referee Jason Herzog will keep things on the up-and-up, although they kick off with a sporting fist bump.
Royval probes with his jab and sets up an early low kick. He digs a kick to the ribcage and goes back low to the calf on either side. Royval uses his reach to keep the younger man at bay, chipping away at him from a safe distance. For the first minute, Van is doing nothing more than taking potshots. Royval goes to the body again with his toes extended, and he rushes forward into the awaiting right hand from the 23-year-old. Van catches Royval twice more with his big right hand, and Royval shrugs them off and continues doing work from the outside. Royval splits the guard with jab after unanswered jab, moving and evading to not let Van get to him. Van misses on a right hand, and Royval clips him with his own short right hook. Van strikes the body with a right, and Royval reaches his target with jabs and a short check hook.
Van lands multiple blistering right hands, hitting “Raw Dawg” much harder than Royval has struck him yet. Royval goes to the body with a kick as he skirts away, and Van reaches him with a right. Van knocks Royval to his seat, although Royval stumbled on the way out. He bounces back to his feet, and Van is ready to crack him with another heavy right. Any time Royval closes the distance, Van has a right hand awaiting him. Van gets Royval’s attention twice, and Royval knees him hard in the chest. Van knocks Royval back a step with two powerful right hands on the cheek, and a third connects when Royval puts hands on him. Royval gets up close and personal, and although he delivers a single knee, Van rips the midsection with several fast fists. The strikes have marked up Royval’s nose, who does not appear concerned after getting hit hard. He potshots Van a few more times until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Van
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 2
The fighters tap gloves before engaging, and Royval gets right back to his high-volume, low-power approach. He jams Van in the sternum with a smattering of knees before backing off, where he takes a right hand on the way out. The two swing at one another, forming a cloud of feet and fists reminiscent of an Andy Capp comic. Van drills Royval at the end of two right hands, only to eat a sharp knee on the jaw. Royval drives him back with a flurry, and his body kick allows him to get in and swing a left. Royval stings Van with a straight left, and Van comes over the top with a right. Van gets off a clubbing right in the midst of Royval’s jab-a-palooza, and he absorbs a low kick and two powerful uppercuts. Royval plants a one-two on the chin to shake up the youngster from Myanmar, and he opens up with several more punches. Van stands in the pocket and bangs with him, with Royval getting knocked back and needing to reset, his nose leaking.
Royval starts putting more behind his punches, and Van is still hurling with power. The stats are racking up fast, and Van’s right hand is a weapon that seemingly cannot miss. Van drives a knee to the chest and follows with an overhand right, and Royval rifles off a number of piston-like jabs. Van misses with his right, and Royval works him with three speedy punches. Royval’s right cheek shows damage, and he gets stood up in a combo. Royval lets jab after jab land on the nose, and he follows with long, straight left hands. Van attacks the body, and just when he is about to gain momentum, Royval is on him with a powerful salvo. They continue to unload into one another’s faces, stealing the hearts of the crowd. Royval walks straight through a hard combination, fires back and gets staggered ever-so briefly. Royval goes to the body, and they swing it out to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Royval

Round 3
The flyweights tap gloves, and it takes nary a second for Royval to get behind his jab. He sways to avoid the worst of a right hand and fires back with a one-two. Van connects with a quick left hook, shaking Royval up with two more punches but eating a few on the way out. Van reaches out with a right hand, and he allows Royval to close in so he can smash him in the temple with his overhand right. Royval surges forward behind long arms, ignoring a few body shots to put his fists on Van’s face. Van cracks him with a huge right hand, and Royval just smiles. Royval drops a body kick on his foe, and they take a moment to compose themselves before going for broke again. Van lands a one-two, and Royval pays him right back with a knee up the middle and a few fiery fists back. Van gets in tight for a second to land body shots, and Royval disengages.
Royval drives four punches him, and Van drills him with a right hand that surprises Royval. The Factory x fighter takes a hard leg kick and goes to the body with his shin. The two brawl it out, and Royval may be bloody in the nose but he is not slowing down. Van digs a kick to the body, and Royval reaches him with a left. Van pays him back with a combo, and Royval gets in his face with a flurry. Royval goes to the body with a kick, and Van counters him up top. Royval strings together a three-punch combo, and he darts away before Van reaches him. Van stumbles his opponent with his power right, and he knees Royval in the nose. Royval checks a kick and crashes the pocket with an uppercut and several more punches. Van kicks Royval’s leg out, and he swings a right hand over the top. He catches Royval on the way in with a left, and Royval is not about to let him off the hook. With 15 seconds to go, the two batter and smash one another. Van knocks “Raw Dawg” to the mat in an insane exchange, following the former title challenger down to the mat and hammering him until time expires. What an incredible fight! Royval was hurt but made it to the end, and a new challenger has emerged. The flyweights delivered easily one of the best fights of the year, giving it everything they had and more. If only this one had two more rounds...in victory, Van proudly declares that whomever wins the title in the next match will have to go through him.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Brandon Royval via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Angelo picks Brandon Royval because he believes Royval is still in his prime and will be the best fighter Joshua Van has ever faced. He notes that Van's UFC record is loaded with wrestlers and lower-level guys, and the last time Van fought a predominant striker, he was finished in the third round. He placed a bet on Royval weeks ago and is confident in the pick.

Angelo says he placed a bet on Royval a few weeks ago.
"I think Royval wins here. I've got a bet on Royval, and I placed that bet a few weeks ago."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Big Brady believes Royval is underrated, citing his wins over top competition like Taira, Moreno, and Nicolau. He notes Van has durability concerns, having been knocked out by Charles Johnson and hurt by Edgar Chairez. Brady thinks Royval's experience, cardio, and grappling advantage will be key, and predicts Royval will hurt Van, who will then shoot for a takedown and get submitted. He picks Royval by second-round submission.

Royval wins by second round submission
"I'll go Brandon Roy Val. Brandon Royal by second round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Connor initially wanted to pick Van but was convinced by Phil that Royval's style is a bad matchup for Van. He notes that Royval has become a long-range volume fighter who can frustrate opponents, and Van has struggled against tall, rangy fighters. He also mentions Royval's durability and pace as factors. However, he is not fully confident because Royval's style is not championship-level and he gives away a lot.

"I think I'm going to go with Rival and just say that the quick turnaround is going to be too much for van and that the, that Rival can put out pace round after round and at a range that van is struggled with the most."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The host acknowledges Royval's unorthodox striking may cause early trouble, but expects Van to land big shots in the second and third rounds, possibly getting a late TKO, but ultimately winning on the scorecards in the biggest win of his career.

win on scorecards, possible late TKO
"I expect Van to eventually touch up Brandon Roy Val, land those big shots, especially in the second and third round, maybe find a TKO late, but I think the 23-year-old ends up going on to win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joshua Van

The host picks Joshua Van, praising his boxing, head movement, and body work. He notes that Royval's volume often lacks sting and that Van's activity and recent form are advantages. He predicts Van will win a decision, taking the first two rounds, while Royval may take the third.

decision
"I'm going to go with Joshua Van. I think his boxing would be great. I think he can find the body very well here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Zane is also leaning towards Royval after being convinced by Phil. He notes that Royval's leaf-blower style at range could be problematic for Van, who has struggled against fighters who keep him at distance. He also mentions that Royval is durable and has a high pace. However, he is not confident because Royval's style is not impressive and Van could potentially overwhelm him if he gets inside.

"I kind of have just sold you on this, the way Phil sold me, because I was also thinking like, yeah, I'm like you, I'm not super impressed by Rival's game, but on reflection, he may in fact, be one of the worst, uh, like contender match ups for Joshua van."
Decision (split) (47–48, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 124 of 232 53% 172 of 287 3 of 3 100% 3 2 2:23
Tatsuro Taira 0 42 of 99 42% 80 of 143 6 of 15 40% 1 0 12:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 17 of 55 30% 17 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 10 of 22 45% 11 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:44
2 Brandon Royval 0 3 of 14 21% 11 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 5 of 7 71% 29 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:10
3 Brandon Royval 0 56 of 78 71% 81 of 105 2 of 2 100% 1 0 0:57
Tatsuro Taira 0 5 of 21 23% 7 of 23 0 of 4 0% 1 0 1:45
4 Brandon Royval 0 5 of 11 45% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuro Taira 0 8 of 13 61% 18 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:29
5 Brandon Royval 0 43 of 74 58% 57 of 93 1 of 1 100% 2 2 1:26
Tatsuro Taira 0 14 of 36 38% 15 of 37 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 124 of 232 53% 114 of 216 10 of 16 0 of 0 97 of 203 11 of 12 16 of 17
Tatsuro Taira 42 of 99 42% 34 of 91 5 of 5 3 of 3 38 of 93 0 of 1 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 17 of 55 30% 12 of 46 5 of 9 0 of 0 16 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 10 of 22 45% 6 of 18 2 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brandon Royval 3 of 14 21% 1 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Brandon Royval 56 of 78 71% 54 of 76 2 of 2 0 of 0 32 of 52 9 of 10 15 of 16
Tatsuro Taira 5 of 21 23% 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
4 Brandon Royval 5 of 11 45% 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tatsuro Taira 8 of 13 61% 7 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 4
5 Brandon Royval 43 of 74 58% 43 of 73 0 of 1 0 of 0 41 of 72 1 of 1 1 of 1
Tatsuro Taira 14 of 36 38% 12 of 34 2 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brandon Royval vs. Tatsuro Taira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-225), Royval (+185)

Round 1
The UFC has chosen well with this all-action flyweight scrap capping off the fight card. Fresh off a revenge win over Brandon Moreno, Royval (16-7, 6-3 UFC) is energized and fully capable of playing spoiler. Taira (16-0, 6-0 UFC) has yet to taste defeat, and his performances continue to dazzle as he works his way up the 125-pound ladder. The two are brought to the middle of the cage by referee Jason Herzog for final instructions, and they gladly bump fists before madness ensues. It’s on with the show. Royval hops in and out searching for an early jab, and he pitches out a high kick to further gauge his range. Royval has another head kick miss, and Taira tests his mettle with a light low kick. Royval connects with a body kick, and Taira changes levels on him. Royval defends with a guillotine choke, and he breaks free of the attempt with his back bouncing off the wall. Royval walks through a right hand to get off his own, and his subsequent head kick efforts continue missing. A straight left from Royval reddens the Japanese fighter’s nose, and he catches Taira coming in with another left hand. Royval kicks the body and spins around, with Taira getting off a right hand. Royval scores another body kick that does not get caught, and he snaps out a one-two to get Taira’s attention. Royval clubs his foe with a left hand, and he gets off another in short order before dancing away to a safe distance. Royval measures and clubs Taira once more with a left, having found its range with it and a body kick. Taira bends over and gets his hair buzzed with a back fist. Two more body kicks from Royval get through, and his jab splits the guard. Taira walks into a pair of punches, and he makes Royval stumble with a short combo and grabs hold of Royval from behind to drag him to the floor. Royval attacks a kneebar as soon as he hits a mat, and he transitions into a heel hook and tugs on it from the other side for an inverted variety. Taira turns but cannot get out of the leg danger, as Royval commits to it by rolling over. Taira slithers away from the submission, and Royval breaks free and darts after him with long punches before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Royval

Round 2
Royval is right in the center of the cage ready to pick up where he left off, and his long punches lead to a step-in knee. Taira threatens with a double, scooping Royval up and pushing off the fence to drag Royval down and take his back. Taira flattens Royval out for a moment, but Royval is a scrambler and he keeps moving any direction he can. Taira secures the body triangle to stifle the former title challenger’s escape attempts, and he slides over to take mount before stretching Royval out further. Royval scoots his way to put the wall behind him, with Taira sitting up and the leg grip still around his waist. Royval hand-fights to defend from a submission, and Taira looks to isolate a choke. Royval rolls over, turning twice until he grabs hold of Taira’s knee to spin him around. Taira further maintains control from behind, with Royval’s efforts in vain. Royval is warned for grabbing the inside of the glove, and Taira sells out for a rear-naked choke. Taira turns to the other side to further sneak it in, and Royval is able to stop these attempts for the time being. Royval sits back down with Taira holding an unorthodox grip around his shoulder, and he uses it to put Royval on his back and reassume mount. Royval spins around to escape the first bad position, and Taira deftly slides through to get his back and shut Royval down by getting in half guard. Royval attacks a leglock, forcing Taira to stand up and pull his leg away. Royval works back to his feet in the waning seconds, and one body kick is all he gets off before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 3
Fists are bumped to get going, and a more tentative Royval gets countered over the top with a left hand. Taira reaches him with another left hook over the top, and Royval slugs him in the chops with a right hand. A straight left from Royval finds its home on the jaw, and he lands another few punches and a knee when Taira shoots for a takedown. Royval defends the double with several elbows to the side of the head, and he stands Taira up with a sharp knee. Royval breaks out of the attempt and goes wild with a flurry of strikes, shaking Taira up briefly. Taira’s recoverability is excellent, as he does not back up and instead stays just out of range. Royval bears down on him with a long left and an uppercut, and his uppercut clips Taira again when Taira tries to strike back. Royval gets energized by landing flush, hurting Taira with a flurry of fists. Taira shoots desperately for a takedown when he gets hurt with a salvo from “Raw Dawg.” Taira’s takedown is used against him, as Royval throws him to the mat and works on him with hammerfists. Royval thwarts another attempt, and Taira is fading fast as the woodchipper in Royval is on him chewing him up with punches and knees. Taira goes after another takedown, and it is not effective as he ducks face-first into a clean knee. Taira drops to the mat, and Royval follows him and beats on him with hammerfists on either side of the head. Taira tries to move, and Royval circles around to take Taira’s back and get hooks in. Royval searches for an armbar, rolling to his bell to lock it down, and Taira miraculously fights his way out of the sub and turns Royval around to get his back. Taira fastens the body triangle and starts hunting for his own submission. A rear-naked choke from the Japanese youngster sneaks around the jaw of his foe, and Royval decides to punch instead of fighting the hands. Royval grits it out and survives to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Royval
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Royval

Round 4
Royval is fired up after his corner very loudly and dramatically informs him that he needs to crush this kid. Taira is not about to go down lightly, and the two flyweights meet in the center of the cage and trade hands violently. When Taira gets stung, he shoots in for a takedown. Royval balances thanks in part to a fence grab, although Taira still wrests him to the mat. Taira gets his hooks in and locks down the body triangle, with Royval pulling off the fence to try to spin himself about. Taira hunts for a choke, and Royval fights the body lock and turns to his knees. Taira’s body lock remains firmly around the midsection even sitting upright, and Royval rolls but is still snared in the web. Taira softens him up from behind with punches as Royval keeps turning, and he lands an elbow as he moves from position to position. When absorbing one particularly fierce elbow, Royval turns to his stomach, and he uses two-on-one control to wriggle himself out. Taira’s savvy back control further nullifies “Raw Dawg,” and he lets Royval roll to his back to get the body triangle again. Royval fights it off on one side, but Taira fastens it on the other. When the 10-second clapper sounds, Royval sits up and is near to escape, but time expires before he can. It could be all tied up now.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira

Round 5
With five minutes left in the fight very likely even on the scorecards, Royval strikes first in the final round. Connecting with four or five early punches, Royval is forced to sprawl to stop a level change. Taira walks into a few punches after Royval stands up, and he reaches with a right but gets clubbed with an uppercut. Royval reaches out with a left hand, and he snipes Taira coming in with a few punches. Royval eats a pair of lefts to get driven back, and he slips in an uppercut. Taira swings a right hand into a takedown, and he puts Royval on his seat with three and a half minutes left in the round. Taira moves to north-south position with Royval pushing his heels off the fence to flip around. Taira nearly gets the back, but Royval reverses the position and pursues his own takedown to place Taira on his seat. Royval holds on from behind as Taira stands, and he elevates and slams the Japanese fighter down. Royval jumps on the back as Taira gets to his feet again, and slides off in a hurry. Taira breaks the grip and separates, and Royval walks him down and bloodies his foe’s nose. Taira loads up on power strikes, and Royval’s straight left remains a money punch. Royval seems to land cleanly whenever he wishes, and Taira dives after a desperate single but Royval stops it and knees his foe in the chest. Royval breaks free again and rails Taira with a step-in knee, and Taira knocks him back with a big right hand. Royval gets back in his face with a series of punches, and he gets pushed over when spinning back. Taira shoots for a double, and Royval jumps guard with a guillotine choke that he uses to roll into full mount. Royval sits up and lets Taira turn over to take his back, and he snatches up a rear-naked choke. Royval gets the body triangle at the same time, and he cranks on the neck. The neck crank does not get a tap, and tough as nails Taira survives to turn himself over. The final horn blares, and this back-and-forth battle comes to a close in an easy “Fight of the Night” candidate and one possibly worthy of “Fight of the Year” consideration. No matter who picks up the win, these two put on a show and stamp their places in the elite echelon of the 125-pound division.
Springing the upset, Royval showers his defeated opponent with compliments, while saying that he would be happy to do anything to further Taira’s career—a fighter that he confidently proclaims will be a champion one day. Royval states he alone deserves the next title shot at flyweight, due to wins over top-five talents Brandon Moreno, Kai Kara-France and now Taira. He asks to be backup for the Alexandre Pantoja-Kai Asakura championship bout, or offers to fight in hostile territory to beat either man in their home country after UFC 310. If he gets the next crack at gold, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Royval (48-47 Royval)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Royval (48-47 Royval)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Royval (48-47 Royval)

The Official Result
Brandon Royval def. Tatsuro Taira via Split Decision (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Angelo picks Brandon Royval, calling himself a Tatsuro Taira hater. He notes that Taira is undefeated but hasn't beaten top competition, and that Royval's pressure and experience will be too much. He mentions Royval's win over Brandon Moreno and his ability to land strikes even when taken down. Angelo bet half a unit on Royval at +170 and is also considering a plus 5.5 bet.

Bet half a unit at +170; considering plus 5.5 bet
"I think Brandon Royal wins this fight I bet on him plus 170 those odds were just too good to pass up."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Big Brady picks Tatsuro Taira to win by decision. He notes that if it were a three-round fight, he'd be more confident, but the five rounds give him pause due to Royval's elite cardio and durability. However, Royval has terrible takedown defense (40%), and Taira's grappling control is elite. He compares it to Royval's fight with Pantoja, where Pantoja controlled him on the ground. Brady believes Taira can get takedowns at will and control rounds, though rounds 4-5 could get interesting. He expects Taira to win at least three rounds.

Taira by decision
"I'll go Tyra to win this fight and I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2025 (fight day)
Tatsuro Taira

Cody believes Taira is a believer after his performance against Royval, showing improved striking, timing, physicality, and elite grappling. He notes Taira's ability to take down Royval six times and control him, despite Royval's scrambling and cardio. Cody sees Taira as more polished and refined than Park, with five-round experience and superior competition level. He expects Taira to roll through Park.

"I'm starting to become a Tyro believer and you know me, I've tried to fade this guy a few times."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Royval's defensive wrestling is nonexistent and that Taira's grappling is a huge advantage. He notes that Royval's recent striking approach is static and ineffective, and that Taira should be able to take him down and control the fight. Connor is confident Taira wins unless he fights poorly.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think of royville's fight with kykara france... If you're facing tatsuru taira you're not going to jump the ghillie and submit tatsuru taira."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Daniel acknowledges Taira's immense talent and undefeated record but questions if he's ready for a top-five test at age 24. He notes Royval's proven durability, pace, and experience against elite competition like Moreno and Pantoja. Daniel is tempted by the plus-190 odds on Royval and believes Taira may need to pay his dues first. He emphasizes that Royval gets better as fights progress and that Taira hasn't faced anyone with Royval's relentless pressure.

"I'm just not convinced he's that guy right now... I'm more tempted to take a small shot on Brandon Royval and see if he can set back the ultra talented Tatsuro Taira."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

The host looked for a reason to take Royval as a big underdog but couldn't due to Taira's control and grappling. Royval is more disciplined but will struggle when Taira crashes the pocket and wraps him up. The host is not super high on Taira's chalk and prefers the over 3.5 rounds, but expects Taira to control the majority of the fight via grappling and win on the scorecards.

over 3.5 rounds
"I actually like the over three and a half more than anything but I think we're going to see Taira controlling the majority of this matchup by getting it into the grappling realm"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2025 (fight day)
Tatsuro Taira

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Taira's striking improvement and elite grappling. He highlights Taira's ability to get to the back and control opponents, and his five-round experience against top competition. Paul thinks Taira wins more often than not even at a sizable favorite price.

"I expect him to roll through park."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

The MMA Guru picks Brandon Royval as an upset, citing his scrambling ability, pressure, and durability. He questions Taira's hype, noting close fights with Perez and Shevchenko, and believes Royval can make Taira break in a five-round fight. He expects Royval to win by late-round TKO, as Taira hasn't faced someone as lanky and rangy, and Royval has shown he can hang with top flyweights like Pantoja and Moreno.

late rounds TKO
"I am going to go Roy Val... I think he can make tayra break I think he can put pressure on him... I'm going to say Roy Val gets this one done by like late rounds TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tatsuro Taira

Zane picks Taira because Royval's defensive wrestling is terrible and Taira is a good takedown artist with dangerous ground control. He notes that Royval's striking volume is often ineffective and that Taira can find takedowns consistently. Zane believes Royval's only path is if Taira fights terribly, but otherwise Taira should win.

Royval opened at +170, now +213; Taira opened at -194, now -248. Odds drifting Taira's way.
"I am going to be picking tatsura taira. I think he is going to have all kinds of ways of finding takedowns on royville and it's just really is a question of if he goes for them consistently and I think if he does then royville's leaf blower striking isn't going to be much of a problem."
Decision (split) (48–47, 46–49, 48–47) R5 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 112 of 211 53% 119 of 219 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:54
Brandon Moreno 0 145 of 510 28% 177 of 556 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 15 of 23 65% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brandon Moreno 0 12 of 43 27% 12 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brandon Royval 0 22 of 45 48% 22 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:37
Brandon Moreno 0 18 of 87 20% 22 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Brandon Royval 0 17 of 31 54% 17 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
Brandon Moreno 0 25 of 79 31% 26 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Brandon Royval 0 29 of 58 50% 29 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brandon Moreno 0 49 of 161 30% 60 of 179 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:33
5 Brandon Royval 0 29 of 54 53% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:50
Brandon Moreno 0 41 of 140 29% 57 of 162 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 112 of 211 53% 48 of 127 37 of 51 27 of 33 103 of 191 7 of 17 2 of 3
Brandon Moreno 145 of 510 28% 97 of 437 38 of 54 10 of 19 142 of 504 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 15 of 23 65% 6 of 12 5 of 5 4 of 6 14 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0
Brandon Moreno 12 of 43 27% 6 of 31 5 of 8 1 of 4 11 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Brandon Royval 22 of 45 48% 13 of 34 5 of 5 4 of 6 20 of 43 1 of 1 1 of 1
Brandon Moreno 18 of 87 20% 7 of 66 8 of 16 3 of 5 18 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Brandon Royval 17 of 31 54% 7 of 20 4 of 5 6 of 6 15 of 27 1 of 2 1 of 2
Brandon Moreno 25 of 79 31% 13 of 61 8 of 12 4 of 6 24 of 76 1 of 3 0 of 0
4 Brandon Royval 29 of 58 50% 7 of 27 13 of 20 9 of 11 28 of 54 1 of 4 0 of 0
Brandon Moreno 49 of 161 30% 37 of 147 11 of 11 1 of 3 48 of 159 1 of 2 0 of 0
5 Brandon Royval 29 of 54 53% 15 of 34 10 of 16 4 of 4 26 of 46 3 of 8 0 of 0
Brandon Moreno 41 of 140 29% 34 of 132 6 of 7 1 of 1 41 of 140 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Angelo is very confident in Moreno, citing his pace, toughness, and improvement since their last fight. He believes Moreno is better everywhere and will eventually break Royval, likely in the fourth or fifth round. He notes Moreno already won this fight once and will do it again at home.

likely fourth or fifth round finish
"Moreno is a very confident pick here he has already won this fight I think he wins this fight again"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Big Brady picks Brandon Moreno to win by decision. He notes that Moreno has never been finished in 30 fights, which is crucial against a finisher like Royval. He believes Moreno has more paths to win, especially by taking the fight to the mat where Royval has poor takedown defense (40%). He thinks Moreno can control Royval on the ground and potentially submit him, but leans toward a decision. He questions Royval's ability to win a decision or finish Moreno.

Moreno wins by decision
"I like the minute winning ability especially on the ground for Moreno and I'll pick him to win this fight I'm torn between decision or submission um I don't know I think I'm I'm leaning more towards decision for Brandon Mareno"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Cody picks Moreno, citing Moreno's cast-iron chin, takedown ability, and the fact that Royval is coming in on short notice after a five-round war with Pantoja eight weeks ago. He notes Royval's takedown defense is a serious problem and that Moreno already beat him once. He acknowledges the line is justifiable and is not playing contrarian.

"Mareno is the favorite is he this big of a favorite it's justifiable and I'm not going to play contrarian I'll take the favorite"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

The host expects Moreno to replicate his first fight strategy by using his wrestling advantage to control Royval on the ground. He notes Moreno's good submission defense against Royval's aggressive style. Even if the fight stays standing, Moreno is the more technical striker. He predicts Moreno will grind out a decision victory.

"I think that's going to come to fruition once again as Moreno grinds this fight out utilizing his wrestling advantage to get this Victory on the scorecards even if this fight ends up playing out in the Striking room I think Moreno is the more technical striker of the two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Moreno. He highlights Moreno's cast-iron durability as kryptonite to Royval's game, and notes that Moreno's ability to mix in takedowns will secure rounds in front of a hometown crowd. He also mentions Royval's short-notice turnaround and the altitude disadvantage, though Royval trains in Denver.

"I'll take the favorite yeah I mean the the Saving Grace as opposed four Ro Val is that he trains in Denver"
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 49–46) R5 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexandre Pantoja 0 95 of 156 60% 126 of 195 8 of 14 57% 1 0 15:51
Brandon Royval 0 111 of 204 54% 281 of 390 0 of 1 0% 0 2 0:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexandre Pantoja 0 27 of 40 67% 29 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:50
Brandon Royval 0 13 of 30 43% 40 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Alexandre Pantoja 0 10 of 15 66% 24 of 30 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:44
Brandon Royval 0 12 of 16 75% 80 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexandre Pantoja 0 17 of 26 65% 23 of 38 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:13
Brandon Royval 0 24 of 46 52% 63 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:06
4 Alexandre Pantoja 0 0 of 1 0% 1 of 3 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:21
Brandon Royval 0 7 of 14 50% 28 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:31
5 Alexandre Pantoja 0 41 of 74 55% 49 of 82 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:43
Brandon Royval 0 55 of 98 56% 70 of 115 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexandre Pantoja 95 of 156 60% 49 of 101 22 of 30 24 of 25 74 of 130 5 of 6 16 of 20
Brandon Royval 111 of 204 54% 102 of 193 7 of 9 2 of 2 91 of 177 5 of 6 15 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexandre Pantoja 27 of 40 67% 9 of 19 10 of 13 8 of 8 19 of 30 2 of 3 6 of 7
Brandon Royval 13 of 30 43% 11 of 28 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 25 0 of 1 4 of 4
2 Alexandre Pantoja 10 of 15 66% 5 of 8 4 of 6 1 of 1 6 of 10 1 of 1 3 of 4
Brandon Royval 12 of 16 75% 9 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 12 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Alexandre Pantoja 17 of 26 65% 5 of 14 6 of 6 6 of 6 15 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
Brandon Royval 24 of 46 52% 21 of 43 2 of 2 1 of 1 20 of 42 2 of 2 2 of 2
4 Alexandre Pantoja 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brandon Royval 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 12
5 Alexandre Pantoja 41 of 74 55% 30 of 59 2 of 5 9 of 10 34 of 65 0 of 0 7 of 9
Brandon Royval 55 of 98 56% 54 of 95 1 of 3 0 of 0 53 of 96 2 of 2 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Angelo picks Pantoja to win by finish in the third or fourth round, citing Pantoja's grappling advantage and Royval's low takedown defense. He notes that Pantoja already won the rematch two years ago and expects a similar outcome. He has a 'good size bet' on Pantoja.

Good size bet on Pantoja; finish in round 3 or 4
"I see Pantoja winning this fight by finish third or fourth round... I do have a good size bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Big Brady picks Pantoja to win by first-round submission, recalling their first fight where Pantoja was exhausted but capitalized on a Royval mistake to choke him out. He notes Royval's poor striking defense (50% striking defense) and tendency to make mistakes on the mat, giving up his back and position. Brady believes Pantoja's submission game is elite and that Royval cannot afford errors at this level. He expects an exciting banger but sees Pantoja finding a finish early.

"I like Pantoja here I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Cody picks Royval as an underdog, citing his chaotic style, improved striking, and ability to scramble back to his feet after takedowns. He notes that Royval trains at altitude in Denver and has solid cardio, while Pantoja's cardio is overblown but his body language looks tired. Cody acknowledges the risk: Royval has durability issues and was submitted by Pantoja before, but at +160 he sees value.

"I'm going to go with Roy Val Underdog pick here"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Daniel Vreeland picks Brandon Royval as an upset, attributing Royval's loss in the first fight to a rushed return from injury. He believes Royval's striking has improved and that his scrambles will keep the fight on the feet. Vreeland notes Royval's recent wins over Matt Schnell and Kai Kara-France by submission show his dangerous ground game. He thinks Royval can hang with Pantoja on the feet and win the rematch.

"I'm gonna go upset here I'm gonna go raw dog"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Jeff Fox picks Alexandre Pantoja, stating he is the better fighter overall and has already beaten Royval. He questions the quality of Royval's recent opponents, noting that Pantoja has faced tougher competition. Fox believes Pantoja will successfully defend his title for the first time.

"Pantoja is my pick here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Lucrative James picks Brandon Royval outright. He believes Royval was breaking Pantoja in their first fight before getting submitted, and he thinks Royval's pace is the highest at flyweight. He argues that Pantoja may have been breaking and that Royval's motivation is higher as the challenger. He acknowledges Pantoja's submission threat but feels the value is on Royval as an underdog.

"I'm actually picking Brandon Royval outright... I just don't think Pantoja is going to be able to keep up with him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

The host favors Pantoja due to his discipline, technique, and masterful Jiu-Jitsu, which he believes will be too much for Royval's chaotic style. He notes that in their first fight, Pantoja consistently secured Royval's back and eventually got a rear-naked choke. He also points out Royval's poor takedown defense and expects Pantoja to get the fight to the ground and find a submission. He acknowledges Royval's upset potential but trusts the more reliable fighter.

Pantoja by submission, under 2.5 rounds
"I think pantoja's discipline technique and just overall masterful approach to his Jiu-Jitsu is going to be too much to for Roy Val here and that will allow panta to get his hand raised"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Paul picks Pantoja, arguing that Royval's level of competition is lower and that Pantoja has never been finished. He points to Pantoja's performance against Brandon Moreno where he landed 129 significant strikes, a knockdown, and six takedowns. Paul believes Pantoja's cardio issues are overblown and that Royval tends to fade in dogfights, while Pantoja is an absolute dog.

Pantoja by submission +155
"I think it's Pantoja by sub would be interesting"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

The Guru picks Pantoja over Royval, noting Pantoja's improved ground control and back-taking ability, as seen against Moreno and Perez. He acknowledges Royval's scrambling but believes Pantoja's chin is solid and Royval is hittable. He predicts Pantoja will knock down Royval and secure a rear-naked choke in round one.

Pantoja by submission (rear-naked choke) in round 1
"I'm going to say round one Pantoja knocks down Roy Val towards the three minute Mark and gets a rear naked choke towards the end of the round"
KO (knee and elbows) R1 2:09
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 1 13 of 22 59% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Matheus Nicolau 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 1 13 of 22 59% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Matheus Nicolau 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 13 of 22 59% 13 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 10 of 13
Matheus Nicolau 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 13 of 22 59% 13 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 10 of 13
Matheus Nicolau 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Angelo picks Matheus Nicolau, citing his technical striking and methodical grappling. He believes Nicolau's technical striking will overcome Royval's chaos, and that Royval won't be able to take Nicolau down, making it a kickboxing match where Nicolau shines. He notes Royval was dropped badly by Schnell. He has a half-unit moneyline bet on Nicolau at -155.

half unit moneyline bet at -155
"I think his technical striking should be able to get through the chaos that Brandon Roy Val creates"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Big Brady picks Brandon Royval to win by first-round knockout. He describes Royval as a wild, unique fighter who thrives in chaos, while Nicolau is calm and composed. He believes Royval's style will force a brawl, and notes Nicolau has been knocked out before. He expects fireworks and a finish.

first round knockout
"I'm going to take Roy Val to knock out Mateus nickel out here I'll say he does it in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Cody thinks Nicolau is technically sound and should weather Royval's early chaos. He notes Royval is dangerous early but tends to fade and is injury-prone. He likes the under 2.5 rounds prop as well.

Under 2.5 rounds (-120)
"I think eventually Mateus nicolao gets the job done here and under two and a half rounds is minus 120"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Nicolau's counter striking is excellently timed and that he has the wrestling to handle Royval's scrambles. He also notes that Nicolau is a solid positional grappler and can be the one with key switch-ups.

"I think more than most fighters that Rival tries to march down and overwhelm, he's going to find counters hard to come by here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Royval's chaos and output will overwhelm Nicolau, who tends to have close fights and low output. Royval's scrambling and submission threat create opportunities. Nicolau's discipline may crack under pressure. Royval can finish inside the distance, as his style leads to finishes. Under 2.5 rounds is a strong play.

Under 2.5 rounds; Royval wins inside the distance
"I'm gonna go with the raw dog here as the underdog I'm going to take him to win this fight inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Paul agrees, calling Royval 'frail' and noting his tendency to get finished. He thinks Nicolau's accurate counter-striking and durability will lead to a finish or clear decision. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds.

Under 2.5 rounds
"I'm just uh locking in under two and a half at minus 110 right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

The MMA Guru picks Matheus Nicolau, praising his technical, composed style and BJJ background. He believes Nicolau will read Royval's wild, tornado-like approach and make him pay, potentially by submission or KO. He notes Royval's size and unpredictability but thinks Nicolau's polish and 93% takedown defense will be decisive.

Nicolau wins by finish (submission or KO)
"give me Mathias nicolao to get the job done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Matheus Nicolau

Zane picks Nicolau because he is a cleaner fighter and a better counter puncher. He notes that Nicolau has the wrestling component to his counter game, which gives him an option to interrupt Royval's relentless pressure. He also mentions that Nicolau is a bigger striker with excellent timing and can handle Royval's grappling.

"But I just think Nicolau is a cleaner. He's, he's just a better fighter than Rival, I think."
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 2:14
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Matt Schnell 1 12 of 33 36% 15 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Matt Schnell 1 12 of 33 36% 15 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 14 of 39 35% 9 of 33 2 of 3 3 of 3 13 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 1
Matt Schnell 12 of 33 36% 9 of 29 3 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 28 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 14 of 39 35% 9 of 33 2 of 3 3 of 3 13 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 1
Matt Schnell 12 of 33 36% 9 of 29 3 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 28 0 of 0 2 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brandon Royval vs. Matt Schnell
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Royval (-240), Schnell (+195)

Round 1
The opener of the prelim card – which differs slightly from the early preliminaries even if they remain on the same network – is sure to be a wild one for as long as it lasts. All-action Royval (13-6, 3-2 UFC) ended the first two-fight skid of his career in January by claiming a decision over Rogerio Bontorin, while Schnell (15-5, 1 NC; 5-3, 1 NC UFC) will be returning to action for the first time in nearly a year since he also took on Bontorin. Of note, while Schnell did drop a decision to Bontorin that night, Bontorin tested positive for banned supplements and the Texas Department of Licensing and Regulation overturned it to a no contest. Both looking to get the taste of Bontorin out of their mouths, so to speak, they touch gloves in front of referee Ryan Brueggeman to move along in their careers. Schnell starts off with a barrage of punches, and Royval greets him with punches and a head kick of his own. Royval steps in with a knee to back Schnell off, and Royval slings a few head kicks for good measure. Royval goes low and then high with kicks, and Schnell walks through them to launch a right hand. These two flyweights are swinging for the fences early, and both are connecting frequently. Schnell snaps the head back with a left hand, and Royval responds with a left of his own. Schnell bears down on him and drills Royval with a right hand, and Royval hits the ground and immediately goes fishing for a leglock. Royval rolls for a heel hook, and Schnell turns all his way around and through it to lower himself to the mat on top. Royval sets up an omoplata shoulder lock to force a sweep, and Schnell wrenches his arm free and snags hold of a guillotine choke. Royval rolls through it and looks for a brabo choke.
This does not land, so “Raw Dawg” turns it to a guillotine choke. As soon as he cinches it up, he pulls guard and locks a leg around Schnell’s waist. The grip from Royval is so crushingly tight that Schnell thinks about fighting out of it, and suddenly realizes he is in grave danger and taps out with both hands.
Brueggeman takes a moment to register the taps, and he jumps in to separate the fighters after their short but memorable thriller.

The Official Result
Brandon Royval def. Matt Schnell R1 2:14 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Angelo picks Brandon Royval, citing his forward pressure and sneaky grappling as the difference. He notes that both fighters are willing to bang but Royval is a better pure grappler. He expects a potential fight of the night.

"roy val's forward pressure and sneaky grappling will be the difference here so roy val is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Big Brady picks Brandon Royval to win by first-round knockout. He believes this is a nightmare matchup for Schnell because Royval will force a brawl, and Schnell has a history of being knocked out (by Font, Sandoval, Pantoja). Schnell has changed his style to be more cautious, but Royval's pressure will drag him into a war. Royval has the striking advantage, durability, and dangerous ground game. Schnell is not a strong offensive wrestler, so he cannot exploit Royval's poor takedown defense. Brady expects Royval to finish Schnell in brutal fashion in the first round.

first round knockout
"I think royval runs through him I think roy val finishes matt schnell in the very first round if match nell's not gonna come out here and wrestle which I don't think he will I think he's in some serious trouble"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Cody picks Brandon Royval, noting that Schnell's chin is suspect and Royval's unorthodox striking and grappling are at a higher level. He points out that Royval has wins over Tim Elliott and Kai Kara-France, while Schnell has beaten lower-level opposition. Cody believes Royval can win standing or on the ground, and expects a stoppage. He is confident in Royval as one of his key plays.

"i think he's the rightful guy minus 240 don't mind it i'm gonna play him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Daniel Levi picks Brandon Royval confidently, though he does not bet due to the high price. He likes Royval's pace, pressure, and opportunistic submissions. He notes Schnell is technically sound but lacks durability and takedown ability. He considers a KO prop for Royval at +460 but does not pull the trigger.

Daniel considers a Royval KO prop at +460 but does not bet. He passes on betting altogether.
"My pick is Royvall. I'm passing all together."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Brandon Royval

The host picks Royval to win but prefers betting the under 2.5 rounds at -145. He highlights Royval's chaotic style that overwhelms opponents, using the Kai Kara-France fight as an example. He notes Schnell is technically better but will struggle with Royval's pace and unpredictability. He acknowledges Royval leaves himself vulnerable to submissions, but expects the fight to end inside the distance, likely with Royval winning. He is concerned about Royval's price at -235 and prefers the under.

under 2.5 rounds -145; fight doesn't go to decision -170
"the pick is still gonna be roy val it's just too difficult for me to trust him at minus 235 minus 240 considering how he fights"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Paul picks Brandon Royval and is also interested in the under 2.5 rounds. He notes that Schnell has chin issues and Royval's volume and pace could clip him. Paul thinks Royval can get a finish, but also acknowledges that Royval's own pace could lead to him wilting. He likes the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop and plans to parlay it with the Cerrone-Lauzon under.

under 2.5 rounds at -145; fight doesn't go to decision at -170
"i'm picking roy val as well to get the job done um matt schnell i i don't think i've ever picked him though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

The MMA Guru picks Brandon Royval, citing his wildness and finishing ability. He notes Royval has good submissions and KO power, and believes he will bait Schnell into a scrap and catch him. He criticizes Schnell's chin and predictable style. He predicts a first-round TKO, possibly via spinning elbow.

"i'm gonna trust in brandon royval's wildness and his ko ability in the flyweight division to get this one done over match nell"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 40 of 132 30% 81 of 174 0 of 0 --- 3 1 1:43
Rogério Bontorin 0 28 of 58 48% 39 of 71 8 of 9 88% 0 0 7:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 9 of 50 18% 18 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rogério Bontorin 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 21 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:55
2 Brandon Royval 0 12 of 23 52% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Rogério Bontorin 0 9 of 14 64% 10 of 15 4 of 5 80% 0 0 3:49
3 Brandon Royval 0 19 of 59 32% 43 of 83 0 of 0 --- 2 1 1:43
Rogério Bontorin 0 9 of 24 37% 19 of 35 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 40 of 132 30% 21 of 96 15 of 25 4 of 11 28 of 103 1 of 1 11 of 28
Rogério Bontorin 28 of 58 48% 16 of 46 2 of 2 10 of 10 27 of 52 0 of 0 1 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 9 of 50 18% 3 of 30 5 of 13 1 of 7 7 of 48 1 of 1 1 of 1
Rogério Bontorin 10 of 20 50% 5 of 15 0 of 0 5 of 5 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Brandon Royval 12 of 23 52% 7 of 17 3 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
Rogério Bontorin 9 of 14 64% 6 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Brandon Royval 19 of 59 32% 11 of 49 7 of 8 1 of 2 10 of 33 0 of 0 9 of 26
Rogério Bontorin 9 of 24 37% 5 of 20 0 of 0 4 of 4 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 4
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Angelo picks Royval but worries about his wildness leading to a submission loss. He notes Royval is the better striker and more well-rounded, while Bontorin is the better grappler with more power. He placed a prop bet on Bontorin 'wins inside distance or decision no action' at +165, meaning if Bontorin loses a decision he gets a refund.

Bontorin wins inside distance or decision no action at +165.
"i am picking brandon roy val to win but i do worry that he'll make a bad decision do a crazy scramble and get caught in something"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Big Brady highlights Royval's striking volume and pace as key advantages, noting Bontorin has low output and poor striking defense. He believes Royval's cardio will be decisive, especially since Bontorin struggles with weight cuts and has slowed down in the past. He predicts Royval will finish Bontorin by knockout in the second or third round after Bontorin fades.

Royval by knockout
"i'm going to take roy vowell to win here i'm going to take roy val to win um i'll say by by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Cody picks Royval, emphasizing his furious pace, crafty grappling, and ability to recover from adversity. He notes Bontorin's weight cut issues and tendency to fade. He expects Royval to win by submission or TKO as Bontorin gasses. He calls it a potential fight of the night.

"i just think that kind of pressure is going to wear down on pontering down the stretch i mean he's a guy that notoriously has bad weight cuts"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Daniel Levi picks Brandon Royval to outwork Bontorin. He notes that Bontorin cuts massive weight and tends to fatigue, while Royval pushes a relentless pace. Levi acknowledges Bontorin's explosiveness and black belt jiu-jitsu but believes Royval's scrambling and get-ups will neutralize takedowns. He also mentions Royval's chin and durability, though he has defensive flaws. Levi considers the line accurate and sees no value on either side, but picks Royval to win.

"my pick is brandon roival to outwork uh hojeria bunterine"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

The host is high on Brandon Royval's chaotic style and pressure, believing he will overwhelm Bontorin, especially given Bontorin's difficult weight cut to 125 lbs. He expects Royval to drag Bontorin into deep waters, wearing him down with forward pressure and activity. The host sees a finish likely in the second or third round via TKO as Bontorin fades. He notes Bontorin's BJJ is a threat but thinks Royval's chaos and cardio will prevail.

Under 2.5 rounds mentioned as a strong play.
"i'm picking roy val here i'll actually pick roy val i'm gonna go with tko probably in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Paul picks Royval, praising his scrambling, submission threats off his back, and superior striking. He notes Bontorin has good BJJ but fades in scrambles and has cardio issues. He expects Royval's pace to overwhelm Bontorin, leading to a finish inside two and a half rounds. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds is juiced but still likely.

Under 2.5 rounds at -170
"i'd lock in brandon royfal as the pick and as far as by decision inside the distance like i don't think this thing's going the distance so i think royval catches them at some point inside of two and a half"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Rogério Bontorin

The MMA Guru picks Bontorin as one of his bigger underdogs on the card. He highlights Royval's habit of turning his back and giving up rear-naked chokes, as seen against Pantoja and Moreno. Bontorin has strong grappling and submission skills, and he was dominating Kai Kara-France before getting caught. He also notes that Bontorin may come in heavier if he misses weight. He predicts a scrappy first round where Royval may have success, but then Bontorin will jump on a standing rear-naked choke in the second round after Royval gives up his back again.

Bontorin is an underdog (nearly 2-to-1). Prediction: Bontorin by second-round submission (rear-naked choke).
"i'm gonna go with rodrigo bontour in here even though no one else is"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:46
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexandre Pantoja 0 22 of 40 55% 23 of 41 3 of 6 50% 2 0 2:51
Brandon Royval 0 17 of 61 27% 27 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexandre Pantoja 0 13 of 25 52% 14 of 26 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:49
Brandon Royval 0 14 of 39 35% 19 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
2 Alexandre Pantoja 0 9 of 15 60% 9 of 15 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:02
Brandon Royval 0 3 of 22 13% 8 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexandre Pantoja 22 of 40 55% 19 of 37 3 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 38 1 of 2 0 of 0
Brandon Royval 17 of 61 27% 12 of 53 3 of 5 2 of 3 17 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexandre Pantoja 13 of 25 52% 12 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 23 1 of 2 0 of 0
Brandon Royval 14 of 39 35% 9 of 33 3 of 3 2 of 3 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alexandre Pantoja 9 of 15 60% 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brandon Royval 3 of 22 13% 3 of 20 0 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 1
Expert Picks (5)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Big Brady picks Brandon Royval after initially leaning towards Pantoja. He switched after noticing Pantoja's gas tank issues, as he slows down in the third round. He believes Royval's unorthodox style and size advantage can make it competitive, and he can take over in the third round. He predicts a split decision win for Royval.

plus 145 odds
"i'm gonna take roy val i kind of switched up after watching tape i just don't like how pentoshia does slow down as the fight goes on"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Cody picks Pantoja, citing his well-rounded game, BJJ black belt, and experience against top competition. He questions Royval's cardio and durability, noting Royval gassed against Moreno. He believes Pantoja can grind out a win if it goes the distance.

"i think pantoja is more than ready to go 15 minutes and even if he has a slow start to the fight maybe drops the first round he should be able to work his way back into it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Royval thrives in chaos and will push a pace that may expose Pantoja's cardio issues. Pantoja is the more skilled fighter, but Royval's wild style can lead to finishes. I'm leaning Royval by TKO or submission in the second or third round, and I like the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds (+125); Royval round 3 (+1600)
"i am going to lean with roy val in this spot i do think that he thrives within the chaos of this fight and then eventually finds a finish in the second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Pantoja. He notes Royval's flashy style but questions his ability to finish Pantoja early. He believes Pantoja's durability and grappling will be too much for Royval over three rounds.

"alexander pintosia is a guy i am circling in this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Alexandre Pantoja

The MMA Guru picks Alexandre Pantoja to win by first-round submission (rear-naked choke). He notes Pantoja's power, experience, and ability to finish. He expects Royval's wild style to leave him open, and Pantoja will hurt him with a punch then sink in a choke. He also mentions Pantoja's reach advantage for his height and his wins over Brandon Moreno.

first round finish by rear-naked choke
"i'm gonna go alejandra pantoja by first round ko"
TKO (punches) R1 4:59
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Moreno 0 16 of 34 47% 53 of 73 2 of 2 100% 2 0 3:01
Brandon Royval 0 17 of 52 32% 24 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Moreno 0 16 of 34 47% 53 of 73 2 of 2 100% 2 0 3:01
Brandon Royval 0 17 of 52 32% 24 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Moreno 16 of 34 47% 10 of 27 3 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 28 0 of 0 4 of 6
Brandon Royval 17 of 52 32% 7 of 38 5 of 8 5 of 6 15 of 50 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Moreno 16 of 34 47% 10 of 27 3 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 28 0 of 0 4 of 6
Brandon Royval 17 of 52 32% 7 of 38 5 of 8 5 of 6 15 of 50 0 of 0 2 of 2
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Big Brady picks Brandon Moreno to win by decision. He thinks Moreno is the more technical striker and has improved his scrambling and ground game. He notes Royval is hittable and was rocked by Kara-France, but both fighters have never been finished.

fight of the night
"i'm going to take brandon moreno to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Daniel picks Royval as an underdog, citing his impressive performance against Kai Kara-France and his relentless pace. He notes Moreno may be in a letdown spot after beating Formiga. He sees Royval's Muay Thai and jiu-jitsu as advantages, and believes Royval's momentum and volume will carry him.

"i'll take royval for the third straight time in a row to get another upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

The host picks Brandon Moreno to win, possibly by second round TKO or submission. He views Moreno as a slightly better version of Royval, with crisper striking and improved jiu-jitsu. He notes the fight is close and recommends the under 2.5 rounds as a bet rather than the moneyline.

under 2.5 rounds (plus 125 to plus 130 expected)
"I will go with Moreno but in terms of a bet I think the side that is best would probably be the under two and a half"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

The MMA Guru picks Brandon Moreno to win by unanimous decision (29-28). He cites Moreno's reach advantage, youth, and better competition (Askarov, Formiga). He questions Royval's durability after taking damage against Kai Kara-France and believes Moreno will outclass him with a jab from the outside.

"i'm definitely going to be going with brandon moreno here to just outclass roy val slightly each round towards a 30-27 unanimous decision win"
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 0:48
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 1 22 of 38 57% 22 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:31
Kai Kara-France 2 39 of 71 54% 51 of 85 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 1 13 of 28 46% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:24
Kai Kara-France 2 31 of 56 55% 43 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
2 Brandon Royval 0 9 of 10 90% 9 of 10 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Kai Kara-France 0 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 22 of 38 57% 12 of 28 1 of 1 9 of 9 21 of 35 1 of 3 0 of 0
Kai Kara-France 39 of 71 54% 27 of 56 7 of 9 5 of 6 34 of 64 4 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 13 of 28 46% 6 of 21 1 of 1 6 of 6 12 of 25 1 of 3 0 of 0
Kai Kara-France 31 of 56 55% 23 of 46 5 of 6 3 of 4 26 of 49 4 of 6 1 of 1
2 Brandon Royval 9 of 10 90% 6 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3 9 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kai Kara-France 8 of 15 53% 4 of 10 2 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Big Brady picks the underdog Royval, impressed by his ground game and finishing ability. He thinks Royval will get the fight to the mat at some point and have a big advantage there. He also notes Royval's striking is decent and he has a reach advantage.

Underdog pick
"give me the underdog here with brandon roy val i think he's the more dangerous fighter"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Daniel Levi picks Brandon Royval as a dog, calling it a dog-or-pass situation. He believes Kai Kara-France is overrated, with questionable wins and a tendency to duck his head before exchanges, which Royval can exploit with flying knees. He praises Royval's heart, submission ability, and pressure, though he notes Royval's takedown defense is poor.

"i think there's a dog or pass situation and i'm gonna go out on a limb and actually take the dog here to upset kaika france"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Brandon Royval

The host picks Brandon Royval as a live underdog, comparing him to Tony Ferguson for his unorthodox pressure and scrambling ability. He believes Royval's chaos and jiu-jitsu will overwhelm Kai Kara-France, who he feels is overrated due to his City Kickboxing affiliation. He predicts a second or third-round submission.

"I truly think that roy vale is highly underrated in the spot... i'm going to take him to one by second or third round submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Kai Kara-France

The MMA Guru picks Kai Kara-France, citing his great grappling defense, improvement, and experience against tough competition. He thinks Kara-France will chop at the legs, work the body, and win a unanimous decision. He notes Royval's win over Tim Elliott was good but Kara-France is a different level.

Win by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with claire cara france winning himself a unanimous decision chopping at the legs working to the inside landing good shots to the body"
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 3:18
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 17 of 32 53% 40 of 55 4 of 10 40% 0 1 4:01
Tim Elliott 0 16 of 33 48% 22 of 41 1 of 1 100% 2 1 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 12 of 19 63% 30 of 37 3 of 8 37% 0 1 3:08
Tim Elliott 0 12 of 18 66% 13 of 19 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:24
2 Brandon Royval 0 5 of 13 38% 10 of 18 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Tim Elliott 0 4 of 15 26% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 17 of 32 53% 6 of 18 3 of 5 8 of 9 11 of 24 3 of 5 3 of 3
Tim Elliott 16 of 33 48% 9 of 26 4 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 29 1 of 1 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 12 of 19 63% 6 of 13 2 of 2 4 of 4 6 of 11 3 of 5 3 of 3
Tim Elliott 12 of 18 66% 7 of 13 3 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 15 1 of 1 2 of 2
2 Brandon Royval 5 of 13 38% 0 of 5 1 of 3 4 of 5 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tim Elliott 4 of 15 26% 2 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tim Elliott vs. Brandon Royval

Round 1
Following the trend of going down 10 pounds to the next bout, we have reached the flyweight division, where former title challenger Elliott (15-10-1, 4-8 UFC) takes on longtime LFA vet and UFC newcomer Royval (10-4, 0-0 UFC) on short notice. Royval was previously booked on the Contender Series, but he was yanked to the big leagues to take on a man who dances out to the cage with Kennedy’s “Karate” playing in the background. Referee Mark Smith oversees the action between these two fast starters, and with no glove touch, away we go! Within seconds, a majestically mulleted Elliott hits a takedown. Royval scrambles and gives up his back, and Elliott starts raining down punches and lands a couple to the back of the head in the process. Royval leans to his back, and Elliott tries to set up an armbar but Royval bursts up to his feet. Elliott tries to knee him on the head on the way up, but Royval defends himself, so Elliott presses forward to drag the fight back down. Against the fence, Elliott is thudding a few knees to the legs while Royval tries to break free, and the newcomer pulls for a kimura sweep where he almost gets Elliott down. The former title challenger rolls with it, and gets on top, but Royval muscles his way back up. This does not stay standing for long, as a few kicks from Royval lead to Elliott racing forward to bully Royval against the fence. Elliott drags him down for a moment, but “Raw Dawg” walks up the fence. Elliott throws a few short knees while he has his man tied up, and Royval is forced to play defense until he can get a separation. They clash heads head on the break, and they back off. As Elliott charges forward for a takedown, he lowers his head and gets nailed with a spinning back fist. This does not bother him, as he pushes forward and makes Royval bounce off the wall. Landing a hard body kick, Elliott is practically sprinting at him to get the takedown. After he keeps fighting for the position, Elliott gets him down by standing up and pulling him down with his legs. They scramble for position, and Elliott pulls for an armbar that is unsuccessful. Royval tries to make him pay, and does so with a few powerful strikes after standing again. Elliott goes for one last takedown attempt, and Royval snatches up an armbar but time expires before he can land it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elliott

Round 2
The torrid pace from Elliott might have caught up with him already as he gasps for air between rounds, if veteran flyweights are capable of adrenaline dumps like this. Round 2 begins as Royval keeps his distance, lands a few strikes, and actually puts Elliott on his back. Royval calmly advances position, where he slices to half guard and then side control for a second. Elliott scrambles as Royval jumps for a guillotine choke, and Elliott is able to flip him over. Royval keeps the guillotine position while on his back, and is wide open for a Von Preux choke. Elliott considers maneuvering for that submission, but bails on it to stand up and get the fight where he wants it. Elliott quickly advances and hits his own takedown, where he briefly takes the back but is aiming for a choke. Elliott sets up a guillotine choke, and falls to his back while he is wrenching on the neck, but Royval pops his head out before he is in danger. “Raw Dawg” mounts him, and the frenetic Elliott flips him over and nearly gets on top before giving up his back. The two continue to roll around, and Royval winds up on top.
The newcomer quickly hops over to side control, where he sets up a lightning-quick arm-triangle choke. Elliott, who may be exhausted, taps out, and Royval records a solid win his Octagon debut.
Despite the impressive victory, a seemingly crestfallen Royval is in tears in his post-fight interview and expresses disappointment with his performance, all while lamenting that he has to go back to work tomorrow.

The Official Result
Brandon Royval def. Tim Elliott R2 3:18 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 27, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Tim Elliott

Big Brady picks Tim Elliott to win by decision. He thinks Elliott can take Royval down at will and control him, but he notes that Elliott often puts himself in bad positions and has been submitted before. He acknowledges Royval's BJJ is no joke and that Royval could snatch a submission from his back. He calls it a close fight and advises not to bet on it due to the danger of Elliott getting submitted.

Would not touch from a betting perspective
"I'm gonna go Elliott here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 29, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Brandon Royval

Daniel leans with the underdog Royval, citing his hunger, creativity, and submission threat off his back. He notes that Elliott is experienced but has a poor UFC record and may not care enough. He thinks Royval's momentum and will to win could be decisive.

"i'm gonna lean with the underdog here i think he's got more to prove"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 23, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

The MMA Guru picks Brandon Royval to win by submission. He notes that Royval is a bigger flyweight with long range, and that Tim Elliott has taken a lot of damage recently and walks into punches. He predicts Royval will rock Elliott and then submit him, as Elliott's grappling won't be enough to keep him down.

Royval by submission
"Brandon Rawe dog Roy at roy Val's gonna get a submission win over Tim Elliot Gemma after rocking him"