Career Averages - Allan Nascimento
Career Averages - Carlos Hernandez
Allan Nascimento
Carlos Hernandez
Allan Nascimento - Fight History
Angelo picks Mitch Raposo as an underdog, noting that Nascimento's striking looked poor in his last fight and that Raposo's striking advantage should prevail if he avoids the ground. He compares the matchup favorably to Raposo's previous win over a wrestler, as Nascimento is more BJJ-oriented.
Big Brady picks Mitch Raposo as an underdog, citing his solid wrestling and improved grappling. He notes Raposo's ability to get up from takedowns, as shown against Murzakanov. Brady thinks if Nascimento doesn't get a submission, the fight becomes close, and Raposo's youth and power could edge a split decision. He expects a stinker of a fight.
Cody picks Allan Nascimento, citing his dangerous submission game. He notes that Raposo has improved but Nascimento's grappling is a major threat. He is wary of betting against Nascimento's X-factor.
Connor picks Nascimento because he is a fun, good fighter who stays busy on the feet and has a reactive submission game that can catch opponents who close distance recklessly. He notes that Raposo is a wrestle-boxer still figuring out UFC pace, and Nascimento's ability to annoy opponents into mistakes should be too much for him.
Daniel acknowledges Raposo's decent hands but believes Nascimento's ground game is devastating and opportunistic. He thinks if Nascimento gets on top or dangles off the neck, the fight ends quickly. He picks Nascimento to win.
James picks Mitch Raposo as a big underdog, believing his wrestling and striking will neutralize Nascimento's grappling. He thinks Raposo can keep the fight on the feet and outpoint Nascimento, who has poor wrestling and cardio issues.
The host likes Raposo to replicate his performance against Askarov, using stick-and-move, calf kicks, and countering Nascimento when he crashes the pocket. He believes Raposo's confidence is high and his defensive grappling will keep him safe from submissions. He predicts a decision win, and mentions a possible shot on round three as Nascimento slows.
Paul picks Mitch Raposo, citing his wrestling and speed advantage. He notes that Nascimento has poor offensive wrestling and low volume striking. He believes Raposo can keep the fight standing and win rounds.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Nascimento has a trustworthy reactive submission game and can tap opponents who dive into his guard. He points out that Raposo has been scraping by in the UFC and that Nascimento's pressure should force him into big mistakes. He also mentions that Nascimento's fight with Tajiro Lanbokov was close, showing his level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 52 of 115 | 45% | 52 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Cody Durden | 0 | 57 of 128 | 44% | 57 of 128 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allan Nascimento | 0 | 26 of 58 | 44% | 26 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Durden | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 36 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Allan Nascimento | 0 | 26 of 57 | 45% | 26 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Cody Durden | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan Nascimento | 52 of 115 | 45% | 19 of 69 | 7 of 17 | 26 of 29 | 51 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Durden | 57 of 128 | 44% | 47 of 112 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 57 of 128 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allan Nascimento | 26 of 58 | 44% | 7 of 31 | 3 of 9 | 16 of 18 | 25 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Durden | 36 of 73 | 49% | 28 of 61 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Allan Nascimento | 26 of 57 | 45% | 12 of 38 | 4 of 8 | 10 of 11 | 26 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Durden | 21 of 55 | 38% | 19 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nascimento (-260); Durden (+210)
Round 1
Due to Durden (17-8-1, 6-6-1 UFC) stepping in to replace Rafael Estevam on short notice, he has agreed to face “Puro Osso” Nascimento (21-6, 3-1 UFC) at a catchweight of 130 pounds. This wrestler vs. grappler affair will be officiated by referee Mark Smith, who claps the athletes in as they touch gloves to signal their relief in being able to fight and get paid this weekend.
Durden bounces up and down on his heels, possibly presenting looks for takedowns, but then springs forward and drills the Brazilian with an overhand right. Durden pops Nascimento with a jab, and he smacks the front leg with his shin. Durden evades a kick and hurls an overhand right, and he pushes out a front kick that is caught and forces him to the mat. Durden lets him back up and puts a jab right in the Brazilian’s face. Nascimento hammers the lead calf with a kick, and a second puts Durden on notice. Durden races ahead throwing punches, and Nascimento slips to the side and beats him with another thudding kick. He scores one more when Durden comes his direction, and Durden still crashes the pocket and checks Nascimento’s chin with a left hand on the cheek. The jabs from Durden are marking up Nascimento’s cheek, and he is not far from splitting it open with sheer volume.
Nascimento keeps his back to the cage and tosses out kicks, and he sharply counters Durden with a right hand and plants one more calf kick for good measure. Durden punches through the guar to reach the taller Brazilian, and he catches him with a right hook and makes Nascimento double over. Nascimento reels and backs away, and Durden knocks him back to the wall with an overhand right. Nascimento goes back after his leg kick, and Durden punches him in the guts to back him away again. Nascimento checks a kick and lets his hands go, and his head kick does reach the top of the head. Durden kicks and shoots for a takedown, and Nascimento stands him up and skirts away from the offense he anticipates. Durden still marches him down, his leg lump and welted from the kicks, so that he can put his hands on Nascimento’s jaw. They trash one another with heavy leg kicks, and Nascimento stings Durden and forces him to shoot on him. Nascimento stands back to let it fly by him, and the horn sounds to end what became a close round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Round 2
Durden starts out the round as aggressive as ever, and he scores on the Brazilian early. Nascimento slows him down with a steady diet of calf kicks, and his right hands continue to find their home while Durden rushes after him. They clash shins when kicking at the same time, and then bang their heads together when coming towards one another. Nascimento backs off, with Smith telling them to be careful, and he rushes in behind a knee. Durden shakes it off and responds with a plethora of punches, only slowing when Nascimento tries to introduce his shin to the Georgia native’s chin. Nascimento whiffs on a looping left hand, and he has a leg kick checked. Nascimento stands Durden up with a right hand, and he gets his head snapped back in the counter. Nascimento pounds on the front leg, and he eats three punches down the middle like they are nothing. Durden gets clipped with a left hand, constantly pressing forward even when under fire. Nascimento rattles him with a long one-two, wrapping his hand around the back of the neck but not using it for a takedown.
Both met let their hands go, and Nascimento puts Durden down with a counter right hand.
Durden ducks to shoot, and he finds himself immediate ensnared in an anaconda choke. Nascimento has the submission virtually completed the moment Durden hits his knees, in what may be the worst choice that “Custom Made” could have made. Durden turns to his back, but there is no way out, so he has to give up.
Durden taps until Smith intervenes, and Nascimento has now recorded 15 submissions in his 22 pro wins. He asks for a ranked opponent, specifically calling out Steve Erceg for his next outing.
The Official Result
Allan Nascimento def. Cody Durden R2 3:13 via Submission (Anaconda Choke)
Angelo picks Allan Nascimento, but is hesitant. He notes Nascimento's jiu-jitsu is excellent but his takedowns are poor, so he relies on being taken down to sweep. He thinks Cody Durden's wrestling and cardio have declined, and he gets tired. However, he worries that if Durden doesn't wrestle, Nascimento won't finish on the feet, leading to a low-scoring fight. He may avoid it in DFS.
Big Brady picks Allan Nascimento, noting Cody Durden is on short notice, 34 years old, and has taken a ton of damage in recent fights. He highlights Nascimento's size, length, and excellent grappling. He believes once the fight hits the ground, Nascimento will have a huge advantage and predicts a second-round submission.
Connor also picks Nascimento, noting that Durden is super vulnerable on defense and aggressive to a fault. He thinks Nascimento's submission game is dangerous enough to catch Durden, but he wouldn't be surprised if Durden rides out a win on top. He mentions Durden's bigger signature wins but still leans Nascimento.
Nascimento's BJJ will get Durden into bad spots and he will eventually pull off a submission. The host's favorite spot is the under 2.5 rounds at even money.
The MMA Guru picks Allan Nascimento, noting his size advantage at catchweight and superior grappling. He compares Nascimento's dominant grappling against Jafel Filho to Cody Durden's struggles against Jake Hadley. He worries about Durden taking the fight on short notice and predicts Nascimento wins by decision or submission in the second or third round.
Zane picks Nascimento to catch a submission, noting that Durden sells out so hard on offense that he makes himself vulnerable to submissions. He acknowledges that if Nascimento doesn't submit him, Durden could grind out a win. He mentions Nascimento's durability and solid submission game.
Lucrative James mentions this fight in the intro as a grapplers' delight but does not provide a breakdown or pick for it. He does not discuss the matchup in detail later in the transcript.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jafel Filho | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 40 of 63 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 6:20 |
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 30 of 58 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 | 2 | 7:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jafel Filho | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 22 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:07 |
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Jafel Filho | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 13 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:35 | |
| 3 | Jafel Filho | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 7 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 3:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jafel Filho | 14 of 30 | 46% | 7 of 20 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 20 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 |
| Allan Nascimento | 12 of 24 | 50% | 3 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 9 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jafel Filho | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 12 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
| Allan Nascimento | 4 of 9 | 44% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jafel Filho | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Allan Nascimento | 6 of 9 | 66% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Jafel Filho | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Allan Nascimento | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nascimento (-155), Filho (+130)
Round 1
To say it has been a rough road for Nascimento (20-6, 2-1 UFC) in the UFC thus far is understatement of the year. With canceled fights on either side of the equation, the Chute Boxe Diego Lima product has only fought three times since making his UFC debut in 2021. Before he faces Filho (16-3, 2-1 UFC), he will give his fellow countryman 20% of his purse for missing the flyweight cap by a pound and a half. When the dust settles, one of these two will find their two-fight win streak fall by the wayside. Referee Chris Tognoni is prepped and ready for whoever that may be, and he bears witness to a glove touch to begin the melee. Filho takes the center of the cage, with Nascimento circling around him offering jabs and a slapping calf kick. Filho dodges a second kick and whiffs on one of his own, and he walks through a low kick to load up on a right hand. Nascimento sticks and moves with kicks, and he switches up with a body kick from the other limb. Filho crashes the pocket to slow the heavier fighter down, kneeing him in the stomach and cup before trying to throw him to the mat. Nascimento keeps his balance but is absorbing knees to the midsection, with Filho quickly using a knee to set up a trip a couple times to no avail. Filho grabs the fence to keep himself upright when Nascimento looks for his own takedown, and he uses momentum to spin Nascimento to the ground. Filho steps into full mount as soon as he claims top position, and he looks for an arm-triangle choke but cannot get it before Nascimento scrambles madly to get to his feet. Filho mat returns him fairly quickly, and he gets hold of a body lock and starts fishing for a rear-naked choke. Filho flattens his foe out and starts driving down right hands while Nascimento scrambles, posturing up to either land a strike or hunt for another choke. When he puts Nascimento on his back again, Filho quickly sets up an arm-triangle choke. Nascimento turns the proper direction to thwart the choke, and he sits up into a guillotine choke. Filho has the mounted guillotine locked up tight with one arm, and Nascimento kicks and bucks with all his might to keep himself in the fight. Filho lets go right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Filho
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Filho
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Filho
Round 2
The countrymen touch gloves, and Filho is again the aggressor in the center of the cage pushing forward. He slugs Nascimento in the chops and changes levels for a takedown, only for the taller man to shut him down on his first effort. Nascimento jumps for a knee, and Filho thanks him for this by slinging him to the mat. Nascimento returns to his feet fairly quickly, with Filho pressing heavily on his side and back. Nascimento grabs the fence a few times, keeping himself from being taken down because of it. As soon as he releases it, Filho throws him to the mat and starts searching for a short choke. Nascimento slides him out the back and flips Filho over, where he moves to side control and pushes his chest flat on top of Filho’s. Nascimento squeezes on Filho’s head with his shoulder, and he flirts with an arm-triangle choke while Filho is boxing his ears. Nascimento steps over to try to mount his foe, and when he does not get it, he pursues the arm-triangle. With Filho wise to it, Nascimento is bucked back to half guard. Nascimento stays as heavy as possible, and he grips Filho’s left arm in pursuit of some armlock that does not come together. Filho gets to a knee, and Nascimento tackles him back down to the ground. Filho reasserts butterfly hooks until Nascimento slashes him with an elbow that allows him to step back into half guard. Nascimento drills his man with another nasty elbow, and Filho defends most additional efforts. One or two more elbows land from Nascimento until the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Round 3
The two hug it out to open the last round, and it most likely is all up for grabs here. Filho leads the dance once more, sticking Nascimento first with a long left hand and a right to follow. Nascimento backs him off with a body kick, and Filho responds with a left to the liver and stonewalls Nascimento who is after a takedown. Filho turns the effort against him, dragging Nascimento to the mat and sneaking around to take his back. “Pastor” wraps up his man in an awkward way, stretching Nascimento’s arms over his head while torqueing his midsection. There is no submission to be had here, and he slowly finds himself sliding off the back again. Nascimento flips him over with a burst of energy, and he asserts top position and hunts for an arm-triangle choke. Filho’s mad scrambles keep him safe from getting submitted, sitting up even with Nascimento on his back with an arm draped around his shoulder. Filho is warned for grabbing the inside of his foe’s glove to defend the submission, and Nascimento wriggles his arm and looks for a neck crank when there is no rear-naked choke. Nascimento commits to it, and Filho smartly hand-fights to relieve the pressure. Nascimento slugs Filho in the side of the head a few times to open up another submission possibility, and he remains on top when Filho flails his legs wildly. Nascimento controls from behind even as Filho stands up, and he wraps a leg around Filho’s in hopes of dragging him back down. Filho spins around, is warned for fence grabs, and is tripped down to the canvas. Nascimento takes his back once more with hooks in, and secures a body triangle and a neck crank at the same time. Filho stays calm in the face of submission efforts and lets Nascimento tire himself out trying. Nascimento hacks with elbows to the top of Filho’s head and also to the back of his head, with fouls uncalled on every side in this grappling match. The fight ends with Nascimento hanging on from behind.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento (29-28 Nascimento)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento (29-28 Nascimento)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento (29-28 Nascimento)
The Official Result
Allan Nascimento def. Jafel Filho via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jafel Filho, noting his fast-paced style, solid takedown defense, and good fight IQ. He trusts Filho to be smart with aggression, unlike the unknown Gustafsson. He is concerned about Filho's lack of decision wins and Nascimento's durability (never finished), but believes Filho can win a decision if needed.
Big Brady expects a grappling-heavy fight and picks Allan Nascimento as the better grappler, noting he has never been submitted while Jafel Filho has been submitted twice. He believes Nascimento will eventually catch Filho in a submission later in the fight as Filho slows down. He predicts a third-round submission.
Matt leans with Jafel Filho at plus money. He believes Filho has good enough submission defense to neutralize Nascimento's grappling and is the better striker. Filho's calf kicks could slow Nascimento's takedown attempts. Matt expects Filho to win by decision, noting that Nascimento's losses have all come by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Jafel Filho as an underdog, citing his sharper striking, activity, and youth. He notes Filho's submission attempts are more varied (armbars, leg locks) while Nascimento relies on rear-naked chokes. He also highlights Nascimento's long layoff and multiple fight cancellations as concerns.
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nascimento (-410), Hernandez (+330)
Round 1
Moving back to flyweights, Brazilian submission artist Nascimento (19-6, 1-1 UFC) will try to get things done against fellow grappler Hernandez (8-1, 1-0 UFC) in what could be a fun battle on the ground. The two combine for 17 submissions across their 27 career wins, while neither man has ever been finished. Referee Jason Herzog is ready for wherever the fight may take the three of them, and he sits back as the two competitors clap hands. Nascimento advances first, feinting and faking to draw immediate reactions. Hernandez does not bite on anything, and they paw at one another with low kicks and jabs. Nascimento goes up top with a kick that is blocked, and he slides out of the way from a straight right hand. Nascimento connects with a front kick that splits the guard, shaking Hernandez up, and this allows him to punch his way into a takedown try. In an unorthodox fashion, Nascimento throws Hernandez down to his knees, and Hernandez immediately fights his way back up. The subsequent mat return from Nascimento succeeds when he drags the American down from behind, and he cinches up a body triangle in a hurry. Hernandez smartly fights the hands and turns to the proper side to break up the body lock, and Nascimento switches his leg grip as he hunts for a sneaky choke. Hernandez walks off the wall and turns all the way to belly down, and
this is the worst possible move for him as Nascimento gets the leverage to sink in the rear-naked choke. Hernandez stands up with Nascimento on his back, and “Puro Osso” still has the choke under the chin as he squeezes with all his might. Switching his grip to palm-to-palm, it is just a matter of time at this point. Hernandez grimaces and squirms, but there is nothing more he can do, and he taps out.
As it turned out, something did have to give, as Hernandez has now been finished for the first time as a pro.
The Official Result
Allan Nascimento def. Carlos Hernandez R1 3:16 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 8 of 29 | 27% | 26 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 3:50 |
| Jake Hadley | 0 | 19 of 52 | 36% | 36 of 69 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 3 | 9:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allan Nascimento | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:23 |
| Jake Hadley | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:59 | |
| 2 | Allan Nascimento | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Jake Hadley | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:04 | |
| 3 | Allan Nascimento | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Jake Hadley | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 2:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan Nascimento | 8 of 29 | 27% | 5 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 |
| Jake Hadley | 19 of 52 | 36% | 7 of 32 | 8 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allan Nascimento | 3 of 14 | 21% | 1 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 |
| Jake Hadley | 4 of 11 | 36% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Allan Nascimento | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jake Hadley | 9 of 21 | 42% | 3 of 11 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 9 | |
| 3 | Allan Nascimento | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Jake Hadley | 6 of 20 | 30% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hadley (-210), Nascimento (+175)
Round 1
Undefeated Brit prospect Hadley makes his debut against “Puro Osso,” with referee Mike Beltran set to oversee the proceedings. The flyweights begin exchanging right away, with Hadley in southpaw to Nascimento’s orthodox stance. Nascimento catches a kick and runs Hadley to the canvas. Hadley immediately uses an omoplata to sweep to top position, setting up in the Brazilian’s guard. He moves to half guard, pins Nascimento’s right arm and moves to the back. Nascimento keeps hold of Hadley’s leg, preventing him from completing the back take, then threatens with a heel hook before sweeping to top position. Hadley closes up his guard, then applies a body triangle from the bottom. With a minute left, it’s still Nascimento on top, throwing short shoulder strikes and driving Hadley toward the fence. Nascimento tries to pass Hadley’s guard, but time expires before he can.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Round 2
Hadley rushes forward to open the round and is met by a flying knee from Nascimento. A moment later, Nascimento changes levels and intercepts the advancing Hadley with a nice double-leg. Hadley immediately looks to use rubber guard, but Nascimento extracts his arms and “White Kong” changes to conventional guard. Two minutes into the round, the Brazilian is still in top position, where he advances to half guard. Hadley is active on the bottom, shifting his hips and looking for a chance to escape or sweep. Hadley uses feet on hips to kick Nascimento off of him, but Nascimento dives right back into his guard. Under a minute left, and Hadley stands up against the fence. They clinch there, with Nascimento’s back against the cage. Hadley throws a couple of short knees before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Round 3
The flyweights touch gloves to open the final round. Hadley scores with an overhand left. A moment later, Hadley grabs a standing guillotine choke. He cranks it hard, and though he loses the choke, he uses it to drive Nascimento down to the mat. Hadley pounces and ends up with a slightly out-of-position brabo choke. He readjusts and moves to the back, but Nascimento shrugs him off, spins and lands on top. Nascimento is in loose half-guard and working for a D’Arce choke. Nascimento loses the choke but spins to the back. Hadley scrambles away and ends up on his back with the Brazilian standing over him. Hadley gets up to his knees and Nascimento grabs a front headlock. He loses the headlock and Hadley takes him back down. Hadley tries for a guillotine choke, but gets swept for his trouble. Under 30 seconds left, Nascimento is on top. The final horn sounds on 15 minutes of frenetic grappling.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento (30-27 Nascimento)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento (30-27 Nascimento)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento (30-27 Nascimento)
The Official Result
Allan Nascimento def. Jake Hadley via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Cody picks Nascimento as a live underdog. He notes Nascimento is tricky off his back, has good cardio, and keeps fights close. He mentions Hadley missed weight, has attitude issues, and is still adjusting to North America. He thinks the plus money is worth a shot.
Paul also picks Nascimento, calling it a dogger pass. He notes Nascimento is competitive, has good striking volume, and attacks non-stop off his back. He thinks Hadley is talented but has red flags like missing weight and rubbing matchmakers the wrong way. He likes the plus money.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tagir Ulanbekov | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 62 of 87 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 1 | 12:04 |
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 74 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tagir Ulanbekov | 0 | 5 of 18 | 27% | 5 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 3:09 |
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Tagir Ulanbekov | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 26 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 12 of 15 | 80% | 32 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Tagir Ulanbekov | 0 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 31 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:48 |
| Allan Nascimento | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 31 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tagir Ulanbekov | 18 of 40 | 45% | 16 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 14 |
| Allan Nascimento | 25 of 37 | 67% | 13 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 10 | 14 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tagir Ulanbekov | 5 of 18 | 27% | 3 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Allan Nascimento | 10 of 17 | 58% | 3 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Tagir Ulanbekov | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Allan Nascimento | 12 of 15 | 80% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | |
| 3 | Tagir Ulanbekov | 9 of 12 | 75% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 |
| Allan Nascimento | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Good evening, Abu Dhabi, and good morning, fight fans! UFC 267 is upon us at the island, with 14 huge fights bucking the recent trend of no rankings relevance by putting on a barrage of battles with immediate divisional implications for most. We kick things off in the flyweight division in the first of eight matchups pitting Russia against the world, commencing with Dagestan’s Ulanbekov (13-1, 1-0 UFC) against the debuting Brazilian Nascimento (18-5, 0-0 UFC). The gloves get touched in front of referee Dan Movahedi, and let the early morning violence begin! Ulanbekov takes the center of the cage and has his lead leg kicked early. Ulanbekov tries to counter the Brazilian over the top, but Nascimento slips the strike and lands with a few more low kicks. Mixing things up, Nascimento throws out a front kick that collides with the chest and forces Ulanbekov to exhale sharply. Ulanbekov times a leg kick of his own to surprise Nascimento, and he pulls back to ding Nascimento with a right hand on the way out. Ulanbekov leaps in the air with a knee, and Nascimento grabs hold of him and falls on his back from a body lock to drag Ulanbekov into his guard. The Brazilian throws his legs up for a triangle, and although he cannot set it up fully, he does use it to sweep his opponent and put him on his back. Nascimento does not keep his foe grounded for long, as they both walk together up the wall in a tight clinch. A trip from Ulanbekov allows him to plant Nascimento down on the ground again, but Nascimento is quick to defend with a leglock to force Ulanbekov to protect himself. A scramble ensues, and Ulanbekov latches on to a guillotine choke that is incredibly tight. The Brazilian does not panic, instead slowly and miraculously working his way out of the dangerous position even after Ulanbekov mounts him. Although he winds up on his back, Nascimento does escape the submission and stays busy on his back with additional submission setups. Ulanbekov remains in half guard, only to have to fight off a kimura sweep attempt from his opponent. Ulanbekov steps over to free his arm, and the round ends with an armbar attempt from Nascimento.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ulanbekov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ulanbekov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ulanbekov
Round 2
Both hands get touched to start off the second round of this fun flyweight fight. Ulanbekov backs off to establish his jab in the early stages of the round, but Nascimento crashes in repeatedly to try to land clubbing power punches. Ulanbekov keeps his opponent at bay long enough to dart in low, and a double leg by Nascimento’s ankles drops the Brazilian to his knees. Nascimento fights his way back to his feet, and after they stall out, Movahedi warns them to keep going. This prompts Ulanbekov to drop low for a single, and although he pulls Nascimento’s leg out beneath him, Nascimento isolates Ulanbekov’s right arm with a kimura trap. Nascimento continues to torque the arm, and he threatens briefly with a triangle off his back as well to turn this armlock into something successful. The Russian does not appear remotely concerned, and he wrenches his arm free from the two-on-one grip while Nascimento’s guard closes around his midsection. Trying to stay busy, a few short elbows get off from Nascimento, who is find himself getting grinded out by the gritty grappler. Nascimento turns his high guard into a triangle try, but that too falls short when Ulanbekov pushes his legs to the side. This opening allows Nascimento to slash at his opponent with unexpectedly heavy elbows, and the looming question may be whether Ulanbekov is winning this lengthy exchange simply by being on top. As Ulanbekov turns to take a better position, Nascimento snatches an armbar, and when there is no tap to be found, he elbows Ulanbekov on the side of the head until and after the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nascimento
Round 3
The flyweights hug it out to start the last round in a competitive battle, and Ulanbekov surges out of his corner to hit a takedown. Nascimento is instantly ready with a kimura sweep, and he turns this into a triangle choke to keep Ulanbekov honest. Like all the previous submission attempts and setups, Ulanbekov pays it little mind and calmly breaks the grip to take comfortable top position. The activity level seems to favor Nascimento at this point, even on his back, as he is constantly throwing his legs up for subs or landing short strikes. The Brazilian’s high guard continues to make Ulanbekov cautious of passing to a better position, although Ulanbekov does work his way over to half guard without exposing himself to possible harm. The Russian grinds his elbow on his opponent’s face, and Movahedi tells them to keep going. Ulanbekov answers the call for action by scoring a solid single elbow that makes Nascimento’s head bounce off the canvas. Ulanbekov clings to Nascimento like a problematic ex, not letting “Puro Osso” get any space to maneuver or finagle any savvy submissions like before. Nascimento rolls to his side, and he is quick to tie up a kimura that he turns to an armbar. Ulanbekov stands up to get a better position, and Nascimento grabs his wrist when he lowers himself into the guard so that he can get hold of a partial armbar. Nascimento continues to kick his legs when Ulanbekov gets out of the submission move, and he stays active while Ulanbekov lands a few partial strikes to end what could be a very, very closely scored matchup.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ulanbekov (29-28 Ulanbekov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ulanbekov (29-28 Ulanbekov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ulanbekov (29-28 Ulanbekov)
The Official Result
Tagir Ulanbekov def. Allan Nascimento via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Tagir Ulanbekov to win by decision. He notes that Ulanbekov's wrestling is his bread and butter, with phenomenal control time, and he expects Ulanbekov to take Nascimento down at will. He acknowledges Nascimento is solid but thinks Ulanbekov's wrestling will be the difference, leading to a comfortable decision. He mentions the line of -350 seems a bit off but still picks Ulanbekov.
Cody is hesitant but leans Ulanbekov, noting his excellent wrestling and Dagestani pedigree. However, he acknowledges Ulanbekov looked bad against Bruno Silva and has had many pullouts. He thinks Ulanbekov should win but suggests live betting Nascimento if Ulanbekov gasses. He calls Ulanbekov a potential 'apple pie [__]'.
Daniel slightly leans with Tagir Ulanbekov, but views it as a pass due to the high price. He notes Ulanbekov has been underwhelming and questions his performances. Daniel acknowledges Nascimento's scrambling ability and thinks the fight could be close. He expects Ulanbekov to win a close decision, especially in Abu Dhabi.
Ulanbekov is the better wrestler and scrambles well, likely accruing top control time. Nascimento is a jiu-jitsu guy but Ulanbekov should reverse bad positions. However, the -350 price is too steep until Ulanbekov proves himself in the UFC.
Paul passes, citing Ulanbekov's lack of physicality and poor performance against Bruno Silva. He thinks Ulanbekov is a potential 'apple pie [__]' and doesn't want to lay -400. He sees Nascimento as a live dog but doesn't commit.
The MMA Guru picks Tagir Ulanbekov over Allan Nascimento. He notes that Ulanbekov has good pressure and cardio, and expects him to take over in later rounds after Nascimento fades. He sees a similar fight to Ulanbekov's bout with Bruno Silva, where Ulanbekov won by pressuring and winning exchanges. He gives the first round to Nascimento due to his early explosiveness and submission threat, but believes Ulanbekov will win rounds two and three for a 29-28 decision.
Carlos Hernandez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park Hyun-sung | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 17 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Park Hyun-sung | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 17 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park Hyun-sung | 14 of 22 | 63% | 5 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 4 of 17 | 23% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Park Hyun-sung | 14 of 22 | 63% | 5 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 4 of 17 | 23% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Park Hyun-sung but notes that the 2:1 odds seem a bit off. He describes Park as a slick grappler who is a finisher but has looked uncomfortable on his feet. He notes that Carlos Hernandez is a grappler with okay striking and improving wrestling. Angelo thinks this fight is a test for Park and that Hernandez is tough, so he might consider the over if a 1.5 round line is available.
Big Brady picks Park Hyun-sung, citing his finishing upside and slick grappling. He notes Carlos Hernandez is okay everywhere but lacks knockout power and has poor takedown defense. He expects Park to mix in takedowns and win a competitive decision.
The host is high on Park as one of his favorite Korean prospects, citing his firepower, physicality, and athleticism. He believes Park can land more significant damage whether striking or mixing in takedowns, and that will be the difference maker. The pick is confident but not a lock.
The Guru picks Park Hyun-sung, calling him a great prospect with finishing potential. He notes Carlos Hernandez has lost too many times and lacks fluidity. He acknowledges Hernandez could make it gritty and win later rounds, but leans toward Park getting a TKO. He does not see Park as a legitimate contender yet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 1 | 26 of 93 | 27% | 28 of 95 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:15 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 44 of 105 | 41% | 46 of 110 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 1 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 12 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:06 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 13 of 29 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 12 of 49 | 24% | 13 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 21 of 50 | 42% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 26 of 93 | 27% | 18 of 82 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 24 of 84 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 5 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 44 of 105 | 41% | 26 of 85 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 11 | 40 of 94 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 11 of 29 | 37% | 7 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 12 of 49 | 24% | 10 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 21 of 50 | 42% | 13 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Carlos Hernandez, valuing his UFC experience and cage time over the undefeated but untested Nyamjargal. He thinks Nyamjargal may get frustrated if the fight goes long. He explicitly says no bet on this fight due to uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Carlos Hernandez to win by third-round submission. He is shocked Hernandez is the favorite given he is usually a big underdog, but after watching Tumendemberel's Road to UFC fights, he saw a 14% takedown defense and poor ground game. Brady believes Hernandez can flip the script and use his grappling to take down and submit his opponent, as Hernandez has hung with tough grapplers before.
Cody agrees, calling Hernandez a proven gatekeeper who has tested prospects. He notes that the Mongolian fighter has been inactive and struggled against a smoker in his last fight. Hernandez's superior striking and cardio should carry him to a win, though he could be knocked out if he's careless.
Daniel Vreeland acknowledges that Carlos Hernandez is more experienced and well-rounded, but notes that Hernandez often fails to separate himself in fights and has lost to green opponents before. He believes Tumendemberel, despite being green, has the killer instinct and could win a close decision. He picks the upset, predicting a controversial split decision.
Paul picks Hernandez, noting his solid chin, grappling, and experience against tough prospects. He thinks the Mongolian fighter is unproven and Hernandez will be a tough gatekeeper. He expects Hernandez to win by decision or late finish, and sees value at minus-185.
The MMA Guru sides with the undefeated newcomer Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, despite acknowledging Carlos Hernandez is good and made it tricky against Ray Surria. He reasons that Hernandez at 9-4 may no longer have title hopes, while the newcomer is undefeated and on the come-up. He admits he almost picked Hernandez for the upset but ultimately goes with the undefeated fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rei Tsuruya | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 62 of 83 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 6:19 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 26 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rei Tsuruya | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 9 of 20 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Rei Tsuruya | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 26 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rei Tsuruya | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 27 of 28 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 16 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rei Tsuruya | 17 of 32 | 53% | 15 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 17 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 16 of 32 | 50% | 7 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rei Tsuruya | 2 of 12 | 16% | 1 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 8 of 23 | 34% | 3 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rei Tsuruya | 13 of 17 | 76% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 17 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Rei Tsuruya | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 6 of 7 | 85% | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tsuruya (-485), Hernandez (+370)
Round 1
Fresh off three wins on the Road to UFC series, unbeaten youngster Tsuruya (9-0, 0-0 UFC) has a shiny UFC contract and will be officially making his debut with the organization. He takes on 2021 Dana White’s Contender Series pickup Hernandez (9-3, 2-2 UFC), who has alternated wins and losses since joining the major leagues. The third man in the Octagon for this flyweight affair will be referee Marc Goddard, who sits back as the fighters touch gloves. Tsuruya moves to the center of the Octagon immediately, bouncing back and forth looking for a read. Hernandez paws out half-hearted jabs to find his distance, and he hops back when a right hand whizzes by his face. Tsuruya splits the guard with a one-two, and he absorbs a low kick on the way out. When Hernandez commits to an overhand right, Tsuruya drops low and gets hold of a single-leg takedown. Hernandez moves right to a knee and stands back up, and he moves around to take Tsuruya’s back and slams Tsuruya down on his face. When the Japanese fighter hits the mat, he is quick to pursue a kneebar, and he turns the heel to get hold of a possible heel hook. Hernandez turns out of both of them, fights off the potential calf slicer and stands back to his feet. Tsuruya lunges at him with a right hand, and Hernandez walks him down looking for a big right hand that he does not throw. Both fighters miss with short punch combinations, and Hernandez dings the youngster with a left hand on the way out. Tsuruya leans over to land a few strikes, and Hernandez leans back and gets off a right hand at the end of a combo. Tsuruya shoots in for a takedown, and Hernandez works his way to the wall and leans back against it to stay upright. The 22-year-old decides instead to hit a suplex to toss Hernandez to the mat, and he winds up in side control briefly after a mad scramble. Hernandez continues to move, not settling for any position, and Tsuruya sits on top of him at an odd angle. Tsuruya locks down one left of his opponent and turns it to the right, and looks to torque the torso to the left for a potential twister. Hernandez is wise to it, and he escapes the danger before the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Round 2
There is a quick tap of gloves to get things started in the second stanza, and Hernandez moves to the middle of the cage to start this one instead. Tsuruya dives after him in pursuit of a takedown, and he scoops Hernandez up and deposits him to the mat. Hernandez locks on with an arm-triangle of Tsuruya’s shoulder to trap him in this position, but he looses it to scramble and turn over to his knees. Tsuruya wraps up Hernandez’s left arm and smashes him in the dome with an elbow on the other side, and he is warned for it landing to the back of the head. Tsuruya gets hold of a crucifix position, and Hernandez moves wildly to free his limbs from the precarious posture. Tsuruya follows him in an effort to take the back, and he settles to hold on from one side. Hernandez sits up, with Tsuruya partially behind him, and Tsuruya goes after another twister setup. Tsuruya cranks Hernandez’ hips to the right and looks to pull on Hernandez’ left arm to torque his body in inhuman directions. Hernandez does everything he can to get out of it, and Hernandez turns the wrong direction but wriggles his leg out to escape at the last second. Hernandez flips over to put his back on the mat, where Tsuruya moves into a more standard position of the open guard. Hernandez tries to push off the hips, slash out with elbows and otherwise get some space. Tsuruya gets shoved up back to his feet, and he leaps back down on top and wraps his left arm around the neck for a possible guillotine choke. Tsuruya lets the neck go so he can look for Hernandez’ leg, and Hernandez keeps shifting and twisting. Tsuruya winds up sitting up dropping down 12-6 elbows on his opponent until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Round 3
It takes Tsuruya three seconds to shoot for a takedown, and when that fails, he attempts to throw Hernandez behind him. Hernandez keeps heavy, instead pressing forward and landing on top of his opponent. During the exchange, their heads bang together and a cut is opened on the corner of Hernandez’ left eye, and it starts leaking blood down immediately. Hernandez maintains the heaviest of top pressures, not allowing Tsuruya to get any space but not ultimately doing any damage either. Hernandez resides in half guard, and Goddard asks for more activity and for Hernandez to try to improve his position. Tsuruya turns to his side and looks for a single in response, allowing Hernandez to sit up and elbow him a few times. Tsuruya gets to both knees, and he commits hard to the single but they stand up together and end up clinched on the fence. Hernandez squeezes his man up against the wire, until Tsuruya goes down to a knee to try to trip Hernandez to the floor. Hernandez stands up and jams Tsuruya up further, and the pace wanes as Hernandez turns things to a grind. Hernandez digs two left hands to the body before squeezing tightly against the Japanese prospect, occasionally opening up to land another punch or two as time keeps ticking. Tsuruya looks for an arm drag but Hernandez spins around and knees him in the liver. Tsuruya does not like this strike, and Hernandez goes after a single but cannot get it before time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Tsuruya)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Tsuruya)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Tsuruya)
The Official Result
Rei Tsuruya def. Carlos Hernandez via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Cody picks Tsuruya, citing his youth, grappling, and back-taking ability. He notes that Hernandez has been taken down multiple times in recent fights and that Tsuruya is a relentless grappler. Cody believes Tsuruya will eventually get a takedown and take Hernandez's back, leading to a submission or dominant decision. He also mentions that Tsuruya has a good gas tank and creates scrambles.
Daniel respects Tsuruya's grappling-heavy style and his commitment to takedowns, even if they are not set up. He worries about Hernandez's lack of athleticism and physicality, which could allow Tsuruya to backpack and win a decision or submission. However, he notes that Tsuruya is vulnerable to knees when shooting blindly and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.
The host is confident Tsuruya will win, citing his superior wrestling and ability to create chaos in grappling exchanges. He expects Tsuruya to grind out Hernandez over 15 minutes, possibly by decision. He notes Hernandez has solid takedown defense but thinks Tsuruya's relentless pressure will overcome it.
Paul leans toward Tsuruya but is wary of the minus-500 price. He notes that Hernandez has been taken down frequently and that Tsuruya is a strong grappler. However, Paul prefers to see Tsuruya against better competition before betting him at such short odds. He acknowledges that Tsuruya likely wins but passes on the bet.
The Guru picks Carlos Hernandez as an underdog over Rei Tsuruya. He suspects Tsuruya may be due for a 'fraud check' as a Road to UFC prospect. He notes Hernandez's experience and longevity in the sport. He believes Hernandez can win a close decision, possibly 29-28.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira | 1 | 33 of 43 | 76% | 44 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:36 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatsuro Taira | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:21 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Tatsuro Taira | 1 | 21 of 24 | 87% | 24 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira | 33 of 43 | 76% | 30 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 26 of 34 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatsuro Taira | 12 of 19 | 63% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 17 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tatsuro Taira | 21 of 24 | 87% | 18 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 17 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-410), Hernandez (+320)
Round 1
Buried on the prelims is a young man fast on the rise, as 23-year-old Japanese prospect Taira (14-0, 4-0 UFC) looks for win no. 15 at the expense of the speedy Hernandez (9-2, 2-1 UFC). The latter recently picked up a win in June when a slam knockout ended up overturned to a decision thanks to an inadvertent clash of heads on the way down. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Mark Smith, and he kicks off the fight as the 125ers touch gloves. Hernandez is the initial aggressor, pushing the action at least from a movement standpoint. Neither man commit to a strike in the first 30 seconds, until Hernandez paws out with a left hand that sneaks around the guard. Taira responds with a front kick, and Hernandez chases him to the ground. Taira immediately sweeps his opponent, and the resulting wild scramble results in both men getting back to their feet. Hernandez pushes the Japanese fighter against the wall, and he lifts Taira up and attempts to slam him down. Instead, Taira positions himself midair to shift his body weight, and he pushes Hernandez over and lands on top of him. Taira steps over to three-quarter mount briefly, but remains comfortable in half guard so he can control and land sporadic left hands or an elbow. Taira jumps over to full mount, and he looks to hook his left arm around the side of the head while lacing Hernandez’ legs between his own. Taira bails on the arm-triangle choke setup so he can posture up and land shots from on top. Hernandez turns over, and Taira flattens him out and starts fishing for a submission. When that does not come, he starts laying into Hernandez with his fists. Hernandez turns about again, giving up his back, and Taira follows him every step of the way and looks to fasten in a rear-naked choke grip. Hernandez defends it and continues twisting himself around, and Taira drills him with punches any time he has an opening. Taira sits up and blasts Hernandez in the face with an emphatic right hand, and he rides out the remainder of the round on top and lands one more right hand.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Round 2
The flyweights come together, and Hernandez is again the first to push the pace. Taira smacks him in the temple with a left hand, and he follows with a calf kick. Taira rifles a straight right hand down the pipe, rocking Hernandez down to his core, and
he strings together a chain of punches until Hernandez crumbles to the mat. Taira follows him down, continuing his bombardment of strikes, and Hernandez turtles up on his knees, barely still with it. Smith watches on as Taira beats on him, and he determines that Hernandez is no longer in the fight and waves it off.
This is a big win for Taira, who records his first career knockout in years by lifting himself to a perfect 15-0 as a pro.
The Official Result
Tatsuro Taira def. Carlos Hernandez R2 0:55 via TKO (Punches)
Cody picks Tatsuro Taira. He notes that Taira is a legitimate prospect with excellent back-taking skills. Cody points out that Hernandez has poor takedown defense and gives up his back. He thinks Taira will bait Hernandez in, shoot for a takedown, take the back, and sink in a rear-naked choke. Cody acknowledges that Taira will eventually face a tough wrestler but believes Hernandez is not that guy.
Paul picks Tatsuro Taira. He notes that Hernandez's grappling is solid but not elite, and he was submitted quickly by Alan Nascimento. Paul thinks Taira is systematic in getting to the back and finding the choke. He is interested in Taira by submission at plus 120 but is a bit concerned about Hernandez's ability to survive the full 15 minutes. Overall, Paul expects Taira to win by submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 102 of 233 | 43% | 108 of 239 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 76 of 170 | 44% | 82 of 176 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 35 of 71 | 49% | 36 of 72 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 27 of 82 | 32% | 31 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 33 of 61 | 54% | 34 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 40 of 80 | 50% | 41 of 81 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 26 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 102 of 233 | 43% | 87 of 213 | 12 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 78 of 209 | 17 of 17 | 7 of 7 |
| Denys Bondar | 76 of 170 | 44% | 37 of 121 | 29 of 38 | 10 of 11 | 68 of 157 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 35 of 71 | 49% | 28 of 62 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 65 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 22 of 48 | 45% | 6 of 28 | 12 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 40 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 27 of 82 | 32% | 23 of 76 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 77 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 33 of 61 | 54% | 20 of 43 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 30 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 40 of 80 | 50% | 36 of 75 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 67 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 7 |
| Denys Bondar | 21 of 61 | 34% | 11 of 50 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Cristian Quiñonez because he believes Quiñonez's relentless forward pressure and wrestling will get Kang down repeatedly. He notes that Kang has cleaner technique and a good jab, but Quiñonez's pace and grappling should be the difference. Angelo also hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line and would bet the over if available, as Kang is tough and the fight likely goes into the second round.
Big Brady picks Denys Bondar to win by submission. He was very high on Bondar initially but tempered expectations after Bondar lost to Malcolm Gordon due to injury and was losing on the feet. However, he sees this as a great stylistic matchup for Bondar, as Hernandez has poor takedown defense. Bondar has strong wrestling and grappling with a 100% finish rate. Brady thinks Bondar will get takedowns easily and be dangerous on the mat, eventually submitting Hernandez. He is curious to see where the odds open.
Cody takes the underdog Hernandez, citing Bondar's padded record and poor UFC debut where he got his arm broken. He notes that Bondar's wrestling looked good against cans, but Hernandez has faced better competition. Cody thinks Hernandez's takedown defense is a weakness, but Bondar's striking is non-existent, and if Bondar can't get takedowns, Hernandez will win on the feet. He expects a close, greasy fight.
Connor agrees with Zane, stating he trusts Bondar's physicality and grinding style over Hernandez's scrappy but limited game. He notes that Hernandez is not athletic enough to keep up with Bondar's pace and pressure. Connor expects Bondar to impose his will with takedowns and top control, leading to a clear decision or late finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Carlos Hernandez, citing his superior competition and volume. He notes Hernandez's body shots and activity, but acknowledges Bondar's grappling threat. He thinks if Bondar can't hold him down, Hernandez will outpoint him. He sees it as a close fight and takes the underdog.
Hernandez consistently moves backwards and puts himself in bad positions near the cage, which Bondar can exploit with takedowns. Bondar is an aggressive grappler who looks to finish from top position. Even if Hernandez gets the better of striking exchanges, Bondar's takedowns and top control should win rounds. Bondar wins by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Bondar's wrestling is unproven at UFC level and that Hernandez's takedown defense has been exploited but Bondar may not be able to exploit it. He thinks the over 2 takedowns for Bondar is possible but not a play. Paul picks Hernandez but is not confident.
The MMA Guru picks Cristian Quiñonez over Kyung Ho Kang, citing Kang's age (35), long layoffs, and lackluster performances against bottom feeders. He notes Quiñonez is an up-and-coming prospect on a win streak, with an impressive first-round KO debut against Khalid Taha. He believes the prospect should be favored over the older, injury-prone veteran.
Zane picks Bondar, viewing his debut loss as a fluke and trusting his grinding style of takedowns and top control. He notes that Hernandez is scrappy but not athletic, and will fight whatever fight his opponent wants. Zane believes Bondar's pressure and ability to stay in his face will overwhelm Hernandez, who lacks the athleticism to get Bondar off his game. He expects Bondar to control the fight with wrestling and clinch work.
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nascimento (-410), Hernandez (+330)
Round 1
Moving back to flyweights, Brazilian submission artist Nascimento (19-6, 1-1 UFC) will try to get things done against fellow grappler Hernandez (8-1, 1-0 UFC) in what could be a fun battle on the ground. The two combine for 17 submissions across their 27 career wins, while neither man has ever been finished. Referee Jason Herzog is ready for wherever the fight may take the three of them, and he sits back as the two competitors clap hands. Nascimento advances first, feinting and faking to draw immediate reactions. Hernandez does not bite on anything, and they paw at one another with low kicks and jabs. Nascimento goes up top with a kick that is blocked, and he slides out of the way from a straight right hand. Nascimento connects with a front kick that splits the guard, shaking Hernandez up, and this allows him to punch his way into a takedown try. In an unorthodox fashion, Nascimento throws Hernandez down to his knees, and Hernandez immediately fights his way back up. The subsequent mat return from Nascimento succeeds when he drags the American down from behind, and he cinches up a body triangle in a hurry. Hernandez smartly fights the hands and turns to the proper side to break up the body lock, and Nascimento switches his leg grip as he hunts for a sneaky choke. Hernandez walks off the wall and turns all the way to belly down, and
this is the worst possible move for him as Nascimento gets the leverage to sink in the rear-naked choke. Hernandez stands up with Nascimento on his back, and “Puro Osso” still has the choke under the chin as he squeezes with all his might. Switching his grip to palm-to-palm, it is just a matter of time at this point. Hernandez grimaces and squirms, but there is nothing more he can do, and he taps out.
As it turned out, something did have to give, as Hernandez has now been finished for the first time as a pro.
The Official Result
Allan Nascimento def. Carlos Hernandez R1 3:16 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
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