Career Averages - Ikram Aliskerov
Career Averages - Warlley Alves
Ikram Aliskerov
Warlley Alves
Ikram Aliskerov - Fight History
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-280); Ferreira (+220)
Round 1
Middleweights are up again, this time in the form of offense-minded maulers Aliskerov and Ferreira. The third man in the cage is Marc Goddard. Both men are in orthodox stance but as Aliskerov advances, Ferreira switches to southpaw, and then back. Ferreira comes up short with a sweeping overhand right. Aliskerov meets his next entry with a level change and runs him to the fence. Ferreira grabs an underhook but Aliskerov hoists and dumps him anyway. Ferreira turns his back in order to stand and manages to disengage without giving up back control. They separate and Aliskerov promptly boots him to the cup in the next exchange. Goddard halts the action and warns Aliskerov while the Brazilian catches his breath. When they go back to work, Aliskerov lands a hard low kick. Aliskerov nails Ferreira with a knee up the middle. Ferreira backs up to the cage and Aliskerov comes in behind a flying knee, then seamlessly drops for a double-leg takedown, hauling Ferreira down and away from the fence. Beautiful mixing of the martial arts there. With 90 seconds left in the round, Aliskerov is in Ferreira’s full guard near the warning track, throwing short punches to the ribs while Ferreira closes his guard and controls his posture. Ferreira opens up his guard and looks for some possible offense from his back, elevating his hips for an armbar or triangle. Aliskerov lets Ferreira up and lands a right hand before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Round 2
Aliskerov throws a high front kick that misses short. He meets Ferreira’s next entry with a push kick up the middle. Ferreira is struggling badly to navigate the reach of the taller, longer Aliskerov; he’s eating a strike or two on the way in every time, and even when they don’t do a ton of damage, they disrupt whatever Ferreira was planning to do. Like clockwork, as I type that, Ferreira wades into the pocket and runs right into a perfectly timed level change. Aliskerov deposits him on the canvas and, as Ferreira scrambles, ends up kneeling over him in an almost north-south position. Aliskerov looks to isolate an arm for a kimura or armbar. Ferreira escapes but gives up his back. Aliskerov is draped all over him, but Ferreira is patient and methodical, and gets back to his feet without giving up back mount. Aliskerov drills Ferreira with two punches, but there isn’t much behind them. Ferreira steps forward and throws punches, and several land before Aliskerov gets onto his hips and drags him back to the canvas. Ferreira escapes back to his feet around the 30-second mark, and Aliskerov hustles him back to the ground again. Ferreira looks for a calf slicer as Aliskerov stands over him, but can’t get it before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Round 3
Ferreira surges forward and throws a pair of big punches that bounce off of the high guard of Aliskerov. Ferreira with a high kick that just touches. Aliskerov has slowed drastically, but Ferreira has been too wild to capitalize in the early going. Aliskerov with a long jab and a front snap kick, backing Ferreira up to the fence, and when Ferreira rebounds from the cage, Aliskerov uses a trip to spin him down to the floor with ease. Aliskerov goes into Ferreira’s guard. Ferreira shrimps, then goes onto all fours, but before he can explode to his feet, Aliskerov slides into back mount and locks up a body triangle. Serious tactical blunder by Ferreira, and Aliskerov is fishing for a choke. Ferreira is wise to it and fights off the choke, and tries to twist out of back mount, but ends up in a very uncomfortable-looking sideways mount. Aliskerov, in no hurry to go anywhere, squeezes with his legs and drops punches. Under 90 seconds to go and Aliskerov has completely taken over the fight. Ferreira goes to all fours with 30 seconds to go and Aliskerov is on his back, dropping punches from back mount until the horn. Dominant performance by Ikram Aliskerov.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Brunno Ferreira via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AJ picks Ferreira by knockout, calling Aliskerov overrated and questioning his durability. He thinks Ferreira's power and judo background pose problems, and that Aliskerov's chin will be tested. He believes the odds are too wide and that Ferreira is live for an upset.
AJ picks Ferreira by knockout, believing Aliskerov is overrated and hittable. Ferreira has knockout power in both hands and good jiu-jitsu to defend takedowns. Aliskerov's chin is questionable, and Ferreira's athleticism and improved conditioning should lead to an upset.
AJ DeVito picks Brunno Ferreira as a wild underdog at +235, citing Ikram Aliskerov's chin problems and Ferreira's power, judo background, and improved conditioning. He thinks Ferreira can stop takedowns and land a knockout, and likes the KO prop at +550. He acknowledges Aliskerov could wrestle to a win but believes Ferreira is live.
AJ picks Ferreira as a sizable underdog, citing his power and Aliskerov's shaky chin. He thinks Ferreira can land an uppercut as Aliskerov shoots, and that Ferreira's improved conditioning will help. AJ acknowledges Aliskerov's wrestling advantage but believes Ferreira can hurt him on the feet.
Angelo picks Bruno despite his cardio concerns, because Bruno is the most dangerous striker Ikram has faced. He worries that Ikram may fold under pressure, as hinted by his corner's comments. He acknowledges Bruno's tendency to fade after the first round but is willing to shoot his shot.
Angelo picks Ferreira as an underdog, citing his dangerous striking and judo. He worries about Ferreira's cardio but thinks he can land a big shot early or use judo to defend takedowns. He notes the odds are widening and may wait to bet.
Angelo sees Bruno Ferreira as a solid underdog at +235, describing him as a coiled snake with one-punch knockout power and high-level judo. He acknowledges Bruno's poor cardio as a major weakness, but argues that Bruno is the most dangerous fighter Ikram has ever faced, more dangerous than Robert Whittaker in terms of finishing ability.
Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by decision. He notes Aliskerov has knockout power but also a wrestling background, having taken down opponents outside the UFC. Ferreira is a dangerous power puncher with questionable takedown defense and cardio. Brady thinks Aliskerov will use wrestling to control the fight, possibly earning a late finish or decision. He acknowledges many outcomes are possible and will stay away from betting.
Cody picks Aliskerov, calling him a favorable matchup. He highlights Aliskerov's wrestling and size advantage over Ferreira, who he sees as undersized and vulnerable. He expects Aliskerov to win via takedowns and control, possibly by decision.
Daniel Levi picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting he is more well-rounded and technically sound, with multiple paths to victory (striking, grappling, point fighting). He acknowledges Brunno Ferreira's puncher's chance but believes Aliskerov has matured since his loss to Robert Whittaker and showed improved cardio against the Iron Turtle. Levi respects Ferreira but favors Aliskerov's versatility.
Jacob picks Aliskerov by submission, arguing that Ferreira is susceptible to straight shots and has been knocked out twice. He thinks Aliskerov has better cardio and grappling, and will finish Ferreira in round 2 or 3. He includes Aliskerov in his slam of the week.
Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov despite being hesitant, citing Aliskerov's massive grappling advantage and better training partners in Dagestan. He notes that Brunno Ferreira has power and can knock anyone out, but has looked unimpressive in his UFC career and has been knocked out twice. He acknowledges the fight is volatile and could end with whoever lands first, but favors Aliskerov's overall skills and cardio upside. He says he will only bet if the odds are really good.
The host believes Aliskerov will land decent combinations and mix in his grappling to cause Ferreira to slow down, leading to a late finish. However, he notes his interest in Ferreira has increased as the number balloons, and he might have a small sprinkle on Ferreira by fight time, but his official prediction remains Aliskerov by knockout.
Aliskerov is more well-rounded and has improved his striking, but Ferreira is dangerous with power and BJJ. Aliskerov should win by knockout as Ferreira slows down, but Ferreira has a real chance to clip him. The line is too wide; a small play on Ferreira is possible.
Paul picks Aliskerov confidently, citing his wrestling advantage and Ferreira's size and durability issues. He notes Ferreira's power but thinks Aliskerov can grind him out with takedowns and control. He likes Aliskerov by decision at plus odds.
The Guru picks Ferreira, citing his explosiveness, power, and ability to land a KO. He believes Aliskerov gives too much space and is hittable, which plays into Ferreira's strengths. He notes Ferreira's submission threat and sees value in the underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 91 of 134 | 67% | 126 of 174 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 6:07 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 78 of 132 | 59% | 91 of 151 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 35 of 46 | 76% | 37 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 18 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 35 of 52 | 67% | 46 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 38 of 55 | 69% | 42 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 43 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 23 of 34 | 67% | 31 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 91 of 134 | 67% | 57 of 94 | 26 of 29 | 8 of 11 | 79 of 120 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 10 |
| JunYong Park | 78 of 132 | 59% | 57 of 108 | 18 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 73 of 127 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 35 of 46 | 76% | 17 of 25 | 14 of 14 | 4 of 7 | 33 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| JunYong Park | 17 of 43 | 39% | 13 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ikram Aliskerov | 35 of 52 | 67% | 21 of 36 | 10 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| JunYong Park | 38 of 55 | 69% | 29 of 46 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Ikram Aliskerov | 21 of 36 | 58% | 19 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| JunYong Park | 23 of 34 | 67% | 15 of 25 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-258), Park (+210)
Round 1
It’s Russia vs. South Korea in this classic historical matchup at middleweight, with well-rounded Aliskerov (16-2, 3-1 UFC) repping the former against World Top Team’s Park (19-6, 9-3 UFC). The victor of this pairing could find himself vaulted into a ranked bout his next time out, so the two are taking it as seriously as referee Rich Mitchell. A high-five is shared before the athletes ply their trades against one another.
Park introduces himself with a calf kick, and he zips away from one coming at him from the Russian. Aliskerov kicks the inner thigh, and his foot slides up and bangs into the cup. Mitchell recognizes the accidental foul and gives Park time to get his bearings. Park takes under 30 seconds to shake it off, and when they resume, Aliskerov attacks the body. Aliskerov flicks out his jab, and Park retaliates with a one-two. Aliskerov pitches a kick the waist, and he checks a calf kick and sneaks in a left hand. Park scores at the end of a right hand, but it is one-and-done as he resets. Aliskerov walks him down and knees him in the stomach, pushing off the face as Park feels he was poked in the eyes. They do not pause, and instead Aliskerov corners park and jabs his way into a head kick. Park backs him off with an effective one-two, and Aliskerov reaches him with a low kick.
Park swipes out a left hand when Aliskerov jabs at him, and he goes to the body to open up a right hand upstairs. He does this combination again, and Aliskerov gets right back to jabbing. Park connects with a right hand up top, and the two jab one another in the face before trading calf kicks. Aliskerov shoots in in the hips and takes the South Korean off his feet, where he circles around to take the back. Aliskerov does not bother getting a hook in, so Park is able to get up after taking a few right hands and a kick to the back of his leg. Aliskerov jabs to the body and head, and he completes another double with ease all while pulling on Park’s shorts. Mitchell admonishes him of the foul, and Park stands back up and re-laces the tie around his waist. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Round 2
The middleweights touch ‘em up after five minutes of combat, and they resume where they left off with Aliskerov jabbing aplenty while Park offers other options including his one-twos and some effective calf kicks. Aliskerov doubles up on low kicks to fire one at the midsection, and Park loops a left at his sternum in response. Park drives home another right hand, and Aliskerov ties him up and knees him in the chest. Aliskerov slips when landing the knee, and Park lets him back up. Both men land short shots in the pocket, and Aliskerov steps back and boots Park in the face before stepping in to blast him with a left. Park wipes at his face and gets right back into the fray, and Aliskerov kicks him in the stomach as his heel scrapes down to bump into the groin cup. Mitchell tells the Russian there can be no more fouls, and Park uses a little over 30 seconds before resuming. Aliskerov jabs and slides out of the way of a one-two, leaning forward to land two power hooks. Park drills him back with a left hand and waves him on, and Aliskerov does not oblige in a brawl but is trading shots. Aliskerov does not appreciate the pressure, so he shoots for a double and dumps the South Korean to the floor.
When Park hits his seat, he checks to see that his nose is indeed bleeding, and he frames off to sit back up. Aliskerov drags Park back down, lacing his own legs around Park’s to stifle him. Park returns to a knee, and Aliskerov elbows him in the cheek. Park elbows him back from up close, so Aliskerov whips two short but effective hooks at him from close range. Aliskerov controls Park by clinging to Park’s left ankle with his right hand, and he is warned for grabbing the fence with his free hand. They proceed to trade strikes while on their knees, until Park powers his way back upright. With 30 seconds left in the round, Aliskerov shoots, and he is warned loudly to not grab Park’s shorts. Park stands him up and walks him down, busting him in the nose and opening a cut on the bridge of it. The round ends with Park mashing his man on the fence.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov
Round 3
There is a final glove touch to open the final frame, and Park is the one who immediately presses the action. The South Korean punches his way into a body lock takedown try, only for Aliskerov to break off and reset. Park walks down the fatiguing Aliskerov and jacks him in the jaw with a right hand and a quick left. Park’s momentum results in a brief clinch, and he fights out of it but is met with a Aliskerov double attempt. Park goes down and turns to his knees, so Aliskerov follows him and takes his back with one hook in. Park stands through it and elbows Aliskerov in the face from behind, and he turns his back to the wall so he can break away. Park punches through several jabs to work the body, and Aliskerov intercepts him with a knee. “The Iron Turtle” tanks the knee and walks Aliskerov down, bashing him with heavy swings.
Aliskerov gains a full head of steam and bulldozes Park over, completing the double and putting Park on the mat. This time, he gets his hooks in and wraps up the body triangle around the waist. Aliskerov allows Park to turn so he can smack him upside the head on either side, and Park is warned for tugging on the chain links to get free. Park sways, shifts and squirms, but the body lock is completely stifling him from escaping. Aliskerov slowly, methodically lands strikes while otherwise controlling Park. Park hand-fights before any maneuver can remotely be started, but his valiant comeback is totally nullified at this point. Aliskerov wraps up a neck crank with his left arm draped on the face of “The Iron Turtle,” and he squeezes it to use up what remaining energy he has until the bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aliskerov (30-27 Aliskerov)
The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Jun Yong Park via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting his superior striking and wrestling compared to Jun Young Park. He uses MMA math: Aliskerov knocked out Andre Muniz, while Park lost to Muniz via decision with 11 takedowns conceded. Angelo expects a decision due to Park's toughness but is confident Aliskerov wins.
Big Brady leans toward Park Jun-yong as a live dog, citing Ikram Aliskerov's untested cardio and durability. He notes Aliskerov has finished all his UFC wins in the first round and questions what happens if the fight extends. Park is durable, has good volume and cardio, and has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Park to survive early danger, take over in rounds two and three, and win a decision. He admits it feels like a trap and is staying away from betting.
Cody picks Ikram Aliskerov, but notes that if the fight extends past the first round, he would live bet Park. He believes Aliskerov's power and early finishing ability will get the job done, as Park's durability and cardio are his only paths. Cody suggests that Aliskerov likely finishes early, but if not, Park could grind out a win.
Connor acknowledges Park's toughness and pocket combination fighting but believes Aliskerov's athleticism and natural timing will be too much. He notes that Park often meets athletic walls where he gets stopped, and Aliskerov has the speed and power to find a kill shot. Connor also points out that Aliskerov, while not deep technically, has enough offensive craft to exploit Park's aggression.
Daniel Vreeland is wary of Aliskerov's cardio and chin, but believes his early power and the Abu Dhabi setting give him the edge. He notes that Aliskerov has been finished by uppercuts before, but thinks he can win the first round and possibly the second before Park takes over. He picks Aliskerov but admits it could get 'sketchy' past round one.
Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov, citing his power and wrestling as a bad stylistic matchup for Park. He notes Park's poor takedown defense and tendency to walk into punches, while Aliskerov has the tools to exploit those weaknesses. He acknowledges Park's elite cardio and pressure, but believes Aliskerov's early power and takedowns will be decisive. He is less confident in the value at -270.
The host thinks Aliskerov will be exposed, struggling with Park's jab, pressure, and pace. He expects Park to take over in the second and third rounds and eventually find a finish.
Paul leans towards Park as a dog or pass, preferring the under 2.5 rounds. He notes that Aliskerov is a one-round fighter who gasses if he doesn't finish early, and Park has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds, as seen against Islam Nurmagomedov. Paul believes that if the fight goes past the first, Park has a real chance to win by submission or decision.
The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov by TKO, believing Aliskerov's finishing potential will be too much for Jun Yong Park. He notes that Park is getting older and relies on volume grappling, but Aliskerov has good takedown defense and power. He references Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker on short notice as understandable, but expects Aliskerov to put Park away in the first or second round. He also mentions that Park's lack of power on the feet will be a problem.
Zane shares Connor's view, noting that Park's wrestling and grappling are his only safe areas, but getting there requires him to press into the pocket, leaving him open to Aliskerov's counters. He believes Aliskerov is good at finding openings and that Park will have success but will also be consistently vulnerable to a kill shot.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 1 | 44 of 68 | 64% | 55 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| André Muniz | 0 | 16 of 36 | 44% | 16 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 1 | 44 of 68 | 64% | 55 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| André Muniz | 0 | 16 of 36 | 44% | 16 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 44 of 68 | 64% | 26 of 46 | 10 of 13 | 8 of 9 | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 23 |
| André Muniz | 16 of 36 | 44% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 44 of 68 | 64% | 26 of 46 | 10 of 13 | 8 of 9 | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 23 |
| André Muniz | 16 of 36 | 44% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-650), Muniz (+470)
Round 1
At long last, the main card is here for six matchups that hopefully promise violence for the packed arena. We kick things off in it with middleweight pairing that could get quite middleweighty when it is all said and done. Dagestan native Aliskerov (15-2, 2-1 UFC) hit a clear ceiling when Robert Whittaker pasted him last year, and he gets a bounce-back opportunity against armbar aficionado Muniz (24-6, 6-2 UFC). The Brazilian will present danger on the feet or the mat, so the KHK MMA fighter will need to be on his best behavior. Referee Jason Herzog will take charge of the proceedings, and the combatants bop gloves together. Aliskerov immediately assumes the center of the cage, where he says hello with a low kick. The two hand-fight in their alternating stances, even clasping their fingers together a few times. Aliskerov’s kicks land with thuds and not slaps, and Muniz eventually responds with one. Aliskerov kicks him to the side, and them midsection. Muniz answers with the latter, only to be bounced back with a straight right to the ribs. Muniz gets some space by offering out a right hand, and the two try to find their respective range. Aliskerov gets through with a clubbing right hand, and Muniz rebounds off the fence and tells Herzog that Aliskerov is about to poke him in the eye with his outstretched fingers. Aliskerov aims to the body with punches and a side kick, and he reaches Muniz with a right hand and gets caught in a clinch. Aliskerov elects to remain tied up, pushing the Brazilian to the wall and leaning on him heavily when not ramming knees into his gut. Aliskerov pushes out, and Muniz shoots for a single. Aliskerov pitches him to the side and fires off a head kick, and Muniz is out of the way. Muniz reaches with a low kick and a pair of punches, and Aliskerov skips his left hand over the guard and pushes a front kick down the middle. Aliskerov goes to the body with a heavier right hand, and he does the same a second time and ducks the counter that he sees coming. Muniz reaches his target with a left upstairs, and he jabs the body with a kick.
Aliskerov connects with a long left hand, and Muniz appears to need a second to register that his legs have buckled and awkwardly collapses to his back. Aliskerov pounces, hammering “Sergipano” with Donkey Kong-esque hammerfists and clobbering punches
. The Russian continues dropping down bombs, hearing the 10-second clapper and not slowing down. Herzog is cognizant of the time remaining in the round, but it does not matter, as he has seen enough with Aliskerov pounding on the wounded Muniz. Herzog gave the Brazilian every chance he could to survive, but the damage continued to accumulate and crossed the threshold for a good stoppage. In a daze, Muniz lays on his back for a time, but he eventually recovers and returns to his feet much to the delight of his team and the crowd.
The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Andre Muniz R1 4:54 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo is very confident in Ikram Aliskerov, expecting him to dominate with wrestling and pressure. He notes that Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker was a quality loss and that he has strong takedowns and top control. André Muniz is a BJJ specialist who gets beaten up when facing wrestlers who aren't afraid of his jiu-jitsu.
Big Brady is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, questioning André Muniz's heart, cardio, and durability. He notes Muniz has been finished in all six losses, five by KO. He expects Aliskerov's power to end the fight early, predicting a first-round knockout.
Connor picks Aliskerov because he believes Aliskerov's striking power and finishing ability will catch Muniz, who has terrible striking defense. Muniz's wild overhands and crashing style leave him open to clean shots. Connor notes that Aliskerov has shown he can knock out opponents with one good strike, as seen against Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves. However, if Muniz makes it a grappling battle, Aliskerov could gas.
The host believes Aliskerov's wrestling will shut down Muniz's jiu-jitsu, keeping the fight standing where Aliskerov will find a big shot as Muniz slows down in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by TKO in round two. He considers Aliskerov a much better fighter, slicker and more dynamic than Muniz. He notes Muniz's takedowns are obvious and slow, and expects Aliskerov to shut down grappling early and land clean shots. He references Aliskerov's short-notice loss to Whittaker as not indicative of his level.
Zane picks Muniz as the more proven quantity, noting that Aliskerov is still an unknown with a prospect game at age 32. Muniz's aggressive grappling and submission skills could overwhelm Aliskerov if the fight goes to the ground. Zane also mentions that Aliskerov's gas tank is questionable and he has been submitted before (Kimura losses). However, Muniz's striking is terrible and he could get knocked out.
Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov confidently, stating that outside of a Hail Mary submission, André Muniz has no path to victory. He notes that Aliskerov is a strong wrestler with improving striking, while Muniz has been exposed by fighters who pressure him. He believes Aliskerov will dominate on the feet and can defend takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 1 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 1 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 14 of 21 | 66% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Ikram Aliskerov | 5 of 15 | 33% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 14 of 21 | 66% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Ikram Aliskerov | 5 of 15 | 33% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Whittaker (-142), Aliskerov (+120)
Round 1
The main event of “UFC Saudi Arabia” sees former middleweight champ Whittaker looking to stay in the title picture, as he faces short-notice opponent Aliskerov, who stepped up for the ailing Khamzat Chimaev and finds himself with the opportunity of a lifetime, in position to jump the line at 185 pounds. Drawing the final referee assignment of the evening is Marc Goddard. They touch gloves and set up in matching orthodox stances, and Aliskerov reaches out with a high front kick that comes up short. Whittaker scores with a right leg kick. Aliskerov throws a body kick that Whittaker parries with his arm. Whittaker ducks into range with a double jab. Whittaker blisters Aliskerov with a short right hand, then a left. The Dagestani goes staggering back and Whittaker follows up with a head kick that doesn’t land perfectly, but does damage as well.
“The Reaper” lives up to his name, claiming Aliskerov’s soul with a crushing right uppercut
. Aliskerov drops in place, and only one or two follow-up blows get through before Goddard is there for the stoppage. Fantastic work from “Bobby Knuckles.”
The Official Result
Robert Whittaker def. Ikram Aliskerov R1 1:49 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Aliskerov, citing a changing of the guard. He thinks Whittaker is starting to phase out, showing chin issues and getting hit more. He notes Aliskerov has genuine one-punch KO power and can wrestle, though he hasn't shown it in the UFC. He is not confident enough to bet due to the short notice for Aliskerov, but as a pick he goes with the younger fighter.
Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker confidently, citing the many disadvantages for Aliskerov: short notice, weight cut issues, travel, and a massive step up in competition from Antonio Trócoli to Whittaker. He expects Whittaker's experience and cardio to take over as the fight goes on, predicting a late finish or decision. Brady acknowledges Aliskerov's early danger but believes Whittaker's chances skyrocket after the first round.
Cody picks Whittaker based on his superior striking, footwork, and experience in deep rounds. He notes Whittaker's takedown defense and ability to use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan, while Aliskerov has not faced top-level competition and may fade in later rounds. However, he acknowledges Aliskerov's power and the risk of Whittaker getting caught early.
Daniel Vreeland picks Robert Whittaker but with caution. He notes Whittaker's elite takedown defense, scrambling, and striking (left hook, high kick) but questions his durability and chin, citing recent wobbles. He acknowledges Aliskerov's power and potential but sees the step up in competition as too big. He leans Whittaker but is not fully confident due to Whittaker's long career and possible decline.
Jacob picks Aliskerov, comparing the situation to Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira. He thinks Whittaker's win over Paulo Costa is overrated and that Costa is not a top-five guy. He notes Whittaker gets wobbled often and blitzes in, which plays into Aliskerov's power. He worries about Aliskerov's short notice and two weight cuts but thinks if he lands, he knocks Whittaker out. He has not bet it but picks Aliskerov.
JP picks Aliskerov by decision, comparing him to Dricus du Plessis who beat Whittaker. He believes Aliskerov's pressure and wrestling will overwhelm Whittaker, who has looked a step slower. Brevan agrees, noting Whittaker's decline and Aliskerov's hunger. Both see great value in Aliskerov as a dog and expect him to dominate. They suggest betting on Aliskerov moneyline and possibly by decision.
Paul picks Whittaker, citing his proven track record and the step-up in competition for Aliskerov. He mentions travel advantages for Whittaker and notes that Aliskerov hasn't proven himself against top-tier opponents. Paul expects a competitive fight but leans on Whittaker's experience.
The MMA Guru picks Robert Whittaker over Ikram Aliskerov, arguing that Aliskerov's regional wins are not impressive enough to suggest he can finish a former champion. He notes that Aliskerov went to the third round with Dennis Tulin and struggled with other lower-level opponents, while Whittaker has a proven chin and has faced elite competition. He believes Whittaker's experience, takedown defense, and ability to adapt will be key, and that Aliskerov's best path is a knockout, but Whittaker doesn't make the same mistakes as Aliskerov's previous opponents. He admits that if Whittaker loses, it would change his entire view of MMA.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 1 | 26 of 36 | 72% | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 1 | 26 of 36 | 72% | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 26 of 36 | 72% | 20 of 29 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 12 of 16 | 75% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 26 of 36 | 72% | 20 of 29 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 12 of 16 | 75% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-535), Alves (+410)
Round 1
Getting a new opponent on short notice, surging Dagestan native Aliskerov (14-1, 1-0 UFC) closes as the heaviest betting favorite on the card around -650 as he takes on company staple Alves (14-6, 8-6 UFC). Winner of the third season of “The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil,” Alves moves back up that weight class of middleweight for this late test, and he does not mind the odds. Thankful to remain on this card, Aliskerov offers a glove touch to his new foe, and it is accepted. Referee Lukasz Bosacki is ready for what comes next. Aliskerov coolly walks forward, with a front kick to keep Alves from coming up on him. Alves slams a few kicks on the inside of the Russian’s lead leg, and Aliskerov tries to check one and gets knocked back with a pair of punches. Aliskerov swings back and misses, and Alves is on him and delivers one more hefty kick on the same spot of the leg. Both men throw hard punches, and Aliskerov checks another kick. Alves swarms forward but is out of arm’s reach, and Aliskerov reaches him with a right hand and staggers him with a jab. Aliskerov confidently leaps forward with a knee up the middle, and he knows Alves is in big trouble. Aliskerov unloads a flurry of fists into the chin, and Alves gets rocked and rocked again as he is barely able to stay on his feet. One particularly nasty uppercut separates Alves from his senses, and he collapses to the mat, totally defeated. Aliskerov continues punching right until Bosacki pulls him off, and he walks off to celebrate his handiwork.
The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Warlley Alves R1 2:07 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, noting his wrestling pressure and that he was preparing for a good striker originally. He thinks Alves has cardio issues and is on short notice. He expects Ikram to avoid a slugfest and control the fight with wrestling. He has Ikram in parlays.
Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by second round knockout. He notes that Warlley Alves is coming up a weight class on short notice, has questionable cardio, and has been finished in the second round multiple times. Aliskerov is a heavy favorite and Brady expects him to overwhelm Alves as the fight extends.
Cody picks Aliskerov, highlighting that Alves is a front-runner who fades after the first round. He notes that Aliskerov has good wrestling and striking, and that Alves has been submitted and out-struck in recent fights. Cody believes Aliskerov will take Alves down and control him, leading to a finish or clear decision. He also mentions that Alves is giving up size and reach.
Daniel picks Ikram Aliskerov to win, noting his dominant finishes and wrestling, but acknowledges that Aliskerov went to a split decision with a low-level opponent, suggesting he might be slightly overrated. He describes Warlley Alves as a talented flake who can beat anyone or lose to anyone, and notes that Alves has fraud-checked prospects before. Daniel says it's a 'dog or pass' situation and that picking a -550 favorite is obvious, but he wouldn't be surprised if Alves pulls an upset.
Aliskerov is a big fan, impressed with his wrestling and improving hands. He can shut down Alves' kicking game by taking the fight to the ground, grinding him out, and doing damage from top position. Alves has cardio issues and slows down, so Aliskerov can find a TKO in the second or third round.
Paul picks Aliskerov, noting that Alves is on a two-fight losing streak, has poor cardio, and is a front-runner who fades if he doesn't finish early. Aliskerov is a natural middleweight with a full camp, while Alves is moving up on short notice. Paul expects Aliskerov to out-volume Alves and mix in takedowns, leading to a finish or dominant decision.
The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov, though he is not fully sold on him. He notes Aliskerov has good grappling and striking, and is in his prime with a full camp. He criticizes Aliskerov's split decision with Chad Hanam at Brave FC. He thinks Alves has taken too much damage and hasn't been active, so Aliskerov should win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Phil Hawes | 1 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 17 of 28 | 60% | 4 of 14 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 20 of 33 | 60% | 13 of 24 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 17 of 28 | 60% | 4 of 14 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Phil Hawes | 20 of 33 | 60% | 13 of 24 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-210), Hawes (+180)
Round 1
On home soil for the first time in his career, Hawes (12-4, 4-2 UFC) will have the full support of the New Jersey crowd at his back for this middleweight tilt. He welcomes Dagestan’s Aliskerov (13-1, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon in this preliminary affair, and finish rates of 69% or higher for the two men means that referee Gasper Oliver could be busy. There is a sporting glove touch, and Hawes leads the dance with a jab and a low kick. When Aliskerov looks to counter, Hawes goes over the top with a pair of sharp punches. Hawes jabs at the body and ignores one coming back at him so that he can let loose a high body kick. Hawes swings and misses with a few fastballs, and he cannot get out of the way from a leg kick from the Dagestan-based fighter. Hawes retaliates with one of his own, and he doubles up on it. When Aliskerov advances, Hawes greets him with a right hand over the top and a slamming kick to the liver. Hawes bears down on his man, sensing he might have some damage with the combo, and he repeats it to decent effect. Aliskerov backs off, and Hawes is on him with another ripping kick to the body. Aliskerov cracks his foe with a three-punch salvo, but Hawes gives him a couple punches right back. Hawes throws a body kick, and Aliskerov slips and drops to his knee. Aliskerov lets him back up, and the two start brawling. Aliskerov sneaks a head kick up that stings Hawes, and Aliskerov looks to follow it with a slashing elbow.
When Hawes dips down, the Dagestan native fires off a piston-like one-two that crashes perfectly into the chin of “No Hype,” and Hawes is out cold before he hits the canvas. Knowing his work here is done, Aliskerov does not follow his wrecked opponent to hammer any nails.
What a way to make your UFC debut, posterizing out a solid fighter with a blistering blow. Aliskerov maximizes his time on the microphone, calling out the heavily hyped Bo Nickal, while claiming that Nickal needs to take on someone from Dagestan.
The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Phil Hawes R1 2:10 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Phil Hawes but admits it's probably a bad pick. He bases his decision on Hawes' Division I national champion wrestling background and superior striking power and speed. The key question is whether Hawes can defend Aliskerov's relentless wrestling; if he does, he should win clearly. Angelo is concerned about Hawes' suspect chin and Aliskerov's non-stop pressure. He threw 0.2 units on Hawes at +175 for patriotic reasons, noting it's easier to finish a takedown than defend one.
Big Brady picks Hawes but with low confidence, noting Hawes has a questionable chin and cardio. He believes Hawes has the wrestling to stuff Aliskerov's takedowns and the striking advantage. He predicts a first-round knockout for Hawes, but admits he's not betting this fight because Hawes is unreliable.
Cody sees Aliskerov as the pick but suggests live betting after the first round for a better price. He notes Hawes has explosive power but poor cardio and durability, and tends to fade. Aliskerov is a Russian grappler who can drag Hawes into deep waters. He expects Aliskerov to win by taking over in later rounds.
Connor picks Aliskerov more confidently, arguing that Hawes' main problem is he doesn't think during fights and gets surprised. Aliskerov's pressure and grappling will force Hawes to think, which breaks his flow. He notes Hawes has not solved his core issue.
The host picks Ikram Aliskerov to win inside the distance, likely in round two. He believes Aliskerov's wrestling and cardio will wear down Phil Hawes, who has durability and cardio issues. He notes Hawes' only chance is an early knockout, but expects Aliskerov to take over as the fight progresses.
Paul picks Aliskerov but is not confident enough to bet at -210. He notes Hawes has a wrestling background and power, but his chin and cardio are suspect. He thinks Aliskerov's path is to survive the first round and then take over.
The Guru picks Aliskerov, citing Hawes' terrible chin and recent leg injury from Roman Dolidze. He believes Aliskerov will have a wrestling advantage as the fight goes on, targeting Hawes' compromised leg. He notes Hawes hasn't looked good since the injury and is 34-35 years old.
Zane picks Aliskerov hesitantly, citing Hawes' tendency to get caught and his mindless flow state. He notes Aliskerov's pressure and takedown threat could break Hawes' rhythm. However, he worries Aliskerov's striking is limited and he may not be able to finish Hawes.
Warlley Alves - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abusupiyan Magomedov | 0 | 22 of 44 | 50% | 98 of 168 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 11:56 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 17 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 30 of 57 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 8 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 48 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 3 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 20 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abusupiyan Magomedov | 22 of 44 | 50% | 15 of 32 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 15 |
| Warlley Alves | 16 of 38 | 42% | 7 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 16 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 9 of 20 | 45% | 5 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
| Warlley Alves | 8 of 24 | 33% | 4 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 |
| Warlley Alves | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 5 of 9 | 55% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Warlley Alves | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gatto (-340), Vidal (+270)
Round 1
Two middleweights with finish rates over 70% collide in this next showing. The momentum is not particularly great for these two fighters, as Magomedov (25-6-1, 1-2 UFC) has dropped two in a row albeit to elite competition, while Alves (14-7, 8-7 UFC) is on a three-fight skid with his last victory in 2021. One man’s fortunes will turn around, barring something unusual, and referee Dan Miragliotta will be the first to know. There is a quick glove touch, and Magomedov walks forward, chambering his rear leg. Magomedov leans in, and Alves lets his hands fly and knocks Magomedov from one side of the cage to the other. Alves gives chase, and Magomedov drags him down to the floor. Alves stands up, and then lowers himself to a knee to prevent from taking knees to the dome. Alves powers his way back upright again, and Magomedov knees him in the side. Alves fights his way out of the tie-up, and he escapes a looping left hand. Alves surges into action, leaping at the Russian with a knee. Magomedov bounces off the cage wall and pushes out a front kick, and the two get sucked into a vicious brawl where Magomedov lands flush with two left hands that rock Alves. Alves backs off, and a jab from Magomedov hurts him a bit more. Alves scoots away, hopping on one foot to the other to shake out any cobwebs, and he throws so hard that he spins around. Magomedov takes advantage of this by dragging Alves down from behind, and he allows Alves to spin so he can climb into half guard and drop down an elbow. Alves bucks and kicks, sitting up and turning to his side. Magomedov pushes Alves back over and elbows him in the face, and he thumps up the side a few times with his fist for good measure. Alves works his way back to the wall, and Magomedov steps into three-quarter mount to pin Alves down and do some damage. Alves still manages to sit up, and Magomedov is on top of him smacking him with his free right hand. Alves muscles his way back up to his feet and goes after Magomedov, firing off a body kick and a right hand to the same target. Magomedov shoots for a takedown, and Alves immediately defends with a guillotine choke. Magomedov tosses the submission aside and assumes top position, but the Brazilian explodes to get into a better position. A scramble results in a north-south take for Magomedov, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Round 2
The middleweights clap hands to engage, and Magomedov is once more the aggressor as he flirts with a front kick. Alves kicks out his front leg and swarms with flailing fists, and he closes the distance and bullies Magomedov to the wall with a clinch. Magomedov works his way into a takedown effort, dragging Alves to the floor and setting up an arm-triangle choke in a hurry. Alves turns to the proper side and back to defend it, and Magomedov does not mind as he resides in half guard landing punches. Magomedov claims full mount with ease, flattening Alves out and smacking him from both sides of the head. Magomedov tries for another arm-triangle choke, and Alves explodes to break up the setup. Alves sits up, and he looks for a sweep but cannot get the Russian off of him. Magomedov returns to full mount as Alves bucks and twists, and he slashes Alves with an elbow that rips his cheek wide open. Blood pools in Alves’ eyes as he quickly transforms into a 1980s horror movie and Magomedov intentionally moves back to half guard to keep the Brazilian pinned. Alves tries to time bursts of energy to escape, sitting up and shifting in a certain way, even going after a guillotine, but Magomedov laughs it off and holds him down, bludgeoning the veteran to the bell. Alves paws at his face to assess the damage, and appears deflated at how that last round transpired.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Round 3
The cutperson did great work between rounds, as the inch-wide cut on Alves’ cheek is not leaking as the last round begins. Alves offers a glove touch and decides to go after a hug instead, and Magomedov reluctantly obliges him. When they start fighting, Magomedov sends Alves flying with a front kick. Alves recovers and surges into action, swinging his way into action and blasting Magomedov in the body. Magomedov bends over, possibly hurt from the shin to the liver, and he shoots for a takedown that he lands with relative ease. Magomedov takes the back, and he transitions into an arm-triangle choke. Alves escapes at the right moment to get up, only for Magomedov to hit a clean mat return with a double to put Alves back on his seat. Alves swings down an elbow to the side of the head, and he keeps his gaze trained on the big screen to assess his position and observe how much time is on the clock—it reads about 2:45 as he lingers on it, despite Magomedov striking him every so often. Magomedov climbs into mount again, and Alves bucks and rolls over, only to give up his back. Magomedov wraps one arm around the jaw of his opponent for a possible rear-naked choke or arm-triangle setup, and when Alves turns, he finds himself having to fight off a rear-naked choke after all. Magomedov lets it go when Alves shifts his hips, and he follows a fatiguing Alves around to remain on top and in mount. Magomedov sits up and drills the Brazilian with a merciless elbow, and Alves sits there for a moment to get his bearings after the concussive blow. Alves sits up and snatches up a desperation guillotine choke, and Magomedov is not remotely concerned about the choke. The Russian pops his head out, and fight ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov (30-27 Magomedov)
The Official Result
Abusupiyan Magomedov def. Warlley Alves via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
Angelo believes Abusupiyan Magomedov is the better striker with wrestling as a backup, and that Warlley Alves' best days are behind him. He notes that Alves has power and BJJ but is not as skilled as Magomedov's previous opponents. He thinks Magomedov is worth his -240 price tag and may be decent value, but warns that Alves is always dangerous with his power.
Cody acknowledges Magomedov's cardio issues but sees this as a perfect bounceback fight. He notes Alves has lost as a favorite multiple times and has poor cardio himself. Magomedov has world-class skills and looked great against Sean Strickland in the first round. Cody believes Magomedov's wrestling and striking will be enough to outwork Alves, who is not a natural middleweight.
Magomedov is dangerous early but slows down, as seen in his last fight. Alves is a nasty kicker with veteran experience who can be competitive in deeper waters. If Alves survives the early onslaught, he can open up finishing opportunities in the second or third round by knockout or submission. The line is too wide, making Alves worth a shot.
Paul notes Alves is a career welterweight moving up, and his cardio has always been suspect. He believes Magomedov's wrestling and striking will be too much, especially if he manages his cardio better than in previous fights. Paul expects Magomedov to catch Alves late in the first or second round.
The MMA Guru picks Abusupiyan Magomedov to win by TKO over Warlley Alves. He acknowledges Magomedov's recent struggles but believes his size, reach, and power will be too much for Alves, who is coming off a KO loss. He notes that Alves tends to kick a lot and may engage in a kicking battle, which favors Magomedov. He expects a first-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 1 | 26 of 36 | 72% | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 1 | 26 of 36 | 72% | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 26 of 36 | 72% | 20 of 29 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 12 of 16 | 75% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 26 of 36 | 72% | 20 of 29 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 12 of 16 | 75% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aliskerov (-535), Alves (+410)
Round 1
Getting a new opponent on short notice, surging Dagestan native Aliskerov (14-1, 1-0 UFC) closes as the heaviest betting favorite on the card around -650 as he takes on company staple Alves (14-6, 8-6 UFC). Winner of the third season of “The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil,” Alves moves back up that weight class of middleweight for this late test, and he does not mind the odds. Thankful to remain on this card, Aliskerov offers a glove touch to his new foe, and it is accepted. Referee Lukasz Bosacki is ready for what comes next. Aliskerov coolly walks forward, with a front kick to keep Alves from coming up on him. Alves slams a few kicks on the inside of the Russian’s lead leg, and Aliskerov tries to check one and gets knocked back with a pair of punches. Aliskerov swings back and misses, and Alves is on him and delivers one more hefty kick on the same spot of the leg. Both men throw hard punches, and Aliskerov checks another kick. Alves swarms forward but is out of arm’s reach, and Aliskerov reaches him with a right hand and staggers him with a jab. Aliskerov confidently leaps forward with a knee up the middle, and he knows Alves is in big trouble. Aliskerov unloads a flurry of fists into the chin, and Alves gets rocked and rocked again as he is barely able to stay on his feet. One particularly nasty uppercut separates Alves from his senses, and he collapses to the mat, totally defeated. Aliskerov continues punching right until Bosacki pulls him off, and he walks off to celebrate his handiwork.
The Official Result
Ikram Aliskerov def. Warlley Alves R1 2:07 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, noting his wrestling pressure and that he was preparing for a good striker originally. He thinks Alves has cardio issues and is on short notice. He expects Ikram to avoid a slugfest and control the fight with wrestling. He has Ikram in parlays.
Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by second round knockout. He notes that Warlley Alves is coming up a weight class on short notice, has questionable cardio, and has been finished in the second round multiple times. Aliskerov is a heavy favorite and Brady expects him to overwhelm Alves as the fight extends.
Cody picks Aliskerov, highlighting that Alves is a front-runner who fades after the first round. He notes that Aliskerov has good wrestling and striking, and that Alves has been submitted and out-struck in recent fights. Cody believes Aliskerov will take Alves down and control him, leading to a finish or clear decision. He also mentions that Alves is giving up size and reach.
Daniel picks Ikram Aliskerov to win, noting his dominant finishes and wrestling, but acknowledges that Aliskerov went to a split decision with a low-level opponent, suggesting he might be slightly overrated. He describes Warlley Alves as a talented flake who can beat anyone or lose to anyone, and notes that Alves has fraud-checked prospects before. Daniel says it's a 'dog or pass' situation and that picking a -550 favorite is obvious, but he wouldn't be surprised if Alves pulls an upset.
Aliskerov is a big fan, impressed with his wrestling and improving hands. He can shut down Alves' kicking game by taking the fight to the ground, grinding him out, and doing damage from top position. Alves has cardio issues and slows down, so Aliskerov can find a TKO in the second or third round.
Paul picks Aliskerov, noting that Alves is on a two-fight losing streak, has poor cardio, and is a front-runner who fades if he doesn't finish early. Aliskerov is a natural middleweight with a full camp, while Alves is moving up on short notice. Paul expects Aliskerov to out-volume Alves and mix in takedowns, leading to a finish or dominant decision.
The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov, though he is not fully sold on him. He notes Aliskerov has good grappling and striking, and is in his prime with a full camp. He criticizes Aliskerov's split decision with Chad Hanam at Brave FC. He thinks Alves has taken too much damage and hasn't been active, so Aliskerov should win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Dalby | 0 | 66 of 144 | 45% | 75 of 153 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 119 of 248 | 47% | 167 of 298 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicolas Dalby | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 25 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 35 of 74 | 47% | 51 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Nicolas Dalby | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 20 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 31 of 73 | 42% | 52 of 95 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 3 | Nicolas Dalby | 0 | 30 of 72 | 41% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 53 of 101 | 52% | 64 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Dalby | 66 of 144 | 45% | 45 of 117 | 7 of 12 | 14 of 15 | 62 of 138 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 119 of 248 | 47% | 75 of 195 | 35 of 41 | 9 of 12 | 86 of 212 | 32 of 35 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicolas Dalby | 18 of 35 | 51% | 7 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 35 of 74 | 47% | 19 of 51 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 6 | 20 of 58 | 15 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nicolas Dalby | 18 of 37 | 48% | 11 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 31 of 73 | 42% | 22 of 62 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 67 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Nicolas Dalby | 30 of 72 | 41% | 27 of 66 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 70 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 53 of 101 | 52% | 34 of 82 | 17 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 87 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alves (-125), Dalby (+105)
Round 1
Welterweights take center stage as the proceedings keep moving, with TUF Brazil 3 middleweight winner Alves (14-5, 8-5 UFC) repping his home country against Denmark’s Dalby (20-4-1, 2 NC; 4-3-1, 1 NC UFC). The third man inside the Octagon for this interesting stylistic clash will be referee Herb Dean, who clocks them in as Alves tries to offer a glove touch but is not accepted. Alves absorbs a low kick and immediately kicks into high gear, swarming the Dane with punches and a couple low kicks back. Dalby strikes back, and Alves loses his balance from the middle of the cage to the wall, but he is not hurt. When Dalby reaches him, Alves grabs him and ties him up, and he uses tight chest pressure to tire his man out. Dalby spins him around and grinds him back, with short knees to the thigh and body as the crowd grows restless less than two minutes in. Alves boxes the ears and jumps up to rip a knee to the body, and this allows him to get enough space to separate. The Brazilian strikes with a kick to the body, and he kicks low twice in the midst of a Dalby combination. Dalby returns fire with a low kick, and he wipes his eye as he appears to have been swiped with a finger. Alves offers an apologetic hand instead of lashing out, and Dalby motions that he is fine and they get back to it. They trade heavy kicks, and Alves’ landing to the body connect with audible thuds. A clack of heads opens a cut on the corner of Dalby’s right eye, but he pays it no mind as he pushes off and walks Alves down. They both throw hands at the same time, leading to a clinch. Dalby sprints in the clinch to push Alves all the way across the cage into the wall, and the crowd lets him have it. Dalby squeezes his foe on the cage wall, even landing a short foot stomp, as Alves smacks him upside the head with short punches. Dalby breaks off with an elbow that surprises Alves, and Alves leaps forward only to get countered with a left hook. Dalby scores a one-two and a few punches, and the horn echoes through the building.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Alves
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Round 2
Alves lands first with a front kick, and he kicks Dalby’s lead leg to follow it. Dalby replies with his own low kick, and they close the distance towards one another and bump heads again. Alves rushes in to throw bombs, and he uses his forward momentum to change levels and drop down for a single-leg takedown. When they awkwardly hit the mat in the scramble, Dalby falls to his back in search of a triangle choke. The Brazilian shucks it off and claims top position, and he holds on from on top without landing much of note. As they stay pinned to the floor, Dalby explodes out of nowhere to return to his feet, and a potential Alves guillotine choke setup is not there to be had. Dalby works Alves over with an elbow, body shots, knees and a few punches, before tying him up against and pushing him to the wire. As Dalby grinds, the crowd whistles and boos the control from the Danish fighter. Alves breaks away, and he lumbers forward to wrap a right hand around the guard. Dalby springs away and kicks low, he connects with a solid elbow on the jaw. They smash one another in the face with right hands, and neither man appears to be the worse for wear after the fierce exchange. Dalby kicks high a few times, and Alves loads up on a right hand and spins with a back fist that careens off the top of the head. Alves blocks a right hand but cannot defend against a side kick to the breadbasket, although he slips an overhand right to drill Dalby with a right hand. Dalby is loose and light on his feet, stringing together combinations of unusual strikes one after the other, like a body shot to a head kick. Dalby slides out of the way from oncoming fire, and Alves pushes his fingers out and rakes the right eye of Alves. Dean recognizes this immediately and pauses the fight, and Dalby takes 30 seconds to recover. With seconds to spare, Alves tries one head kick, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Round 3
Between rounds, Alves blows his nose, and his eye swells up to a small degree because of it. The welterweights meet in the middle and throw hands to start off Round 3, and Alves begins with a barrage of power punches. Dalby responds but gets knocked back, and Alves’ power is the different maker. Alves splits the guard with an uppercut, and he knocks Dalby into the wall and his forward pace leads them to clinch up. Dalby manages to escape and strings a few punches to the body and head together. Alves blocks a head kick in time, and he slips a strike to score a right hand. Alves surges forward to connect with a few more punches, and a takedown try from the Brazilian is stifled. As they stay stuck against one another in the clinch, Dean asks them to work a few times. Dalby hands on for as long as he can, with short knees to the body, until he chooses to break away. Alves walks him down and blasts him in the face with a right hand, and Dalby’s knees wobble but do not buckle. Alves lets loose with a low kick, and a huge right hook stuns Dalby for a moment. Alves checks a low kick so that he can unload with a right hand, and he jumps with a spinning back fist that grazes on the top of the forehead. Dalby slows Alves momentarily with a short salvo, but Alves fires back hard to get Dalby’s attention. Dalby meanders back to the cage, and Alves leaps at him with a flying knee that makes him collide with the wall instead of his opponent. Dalby stays on his bike, circling around to strike and sneak in a takedown. Alves springs right back up, and they tie up. With seconds to go, Alves pushes off, and they both score punches until the fight concludes. It seems like this will be a close one.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alves (29-28 Dalby)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Alves (29-28 Alves)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (30-27 Dalby)
The Official Result
Nicolas Dalby def. Warlley Alves via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Alves but with low trust due to Alves' inconsistency. He notes Alves has two versions: one that puts on masterclass performances and one that fades after the first round. He thinks Alves has the grappling upside and danger to finish, while Dalby is tough with good cardio but not dangerous. He expects the fight to leave round one and Alves to win a decision, but he's staying away from betting.
Cody picks Warlley Alves but with low confidence, noting his tendency to gas and be a front-runner. He says Alves has power and a nasty guillotine, but his cardio is suspect. He thinks Alves will win if he comes out strong, but could lose if he gasses. He mentions Alves' history of losing as a favorite. He says the under 2.5 rounds is the play.
Connor picks Dalby, noting he is a consistent, trusty fighter who can grind out a win. He expects Alves to win round 1 but Dalby to take over in round 3. He admits he wants Dalby to win and acknowledges Alves could do early damage.
Paul picks Warlley Alves but with hesitation, noting his cardio issues and tendency to lose as a favorite. He says Alves has the skills to win but is unreliable. He thinks Alves will win if he shows up, but wouldn't bet much on him. He mentions Alves' guillotine and power. He says the under is a good play.
The Guru is hesitant but picks Dalby, noting it's a close fight with even odds. He believes if there's no first-round KO from Alves, Dalby will win as the fight goes on. Alves was KO'd by Jeremiah Wells and has been inactive in 2022. The Guru compares Dalby's style to James Krause, with pitter-patter shots and movement, and thinks Dalby can survive the early danger and make Alves gas out.
Zane picks Alves hesitantly, expecting him to do too much damage early. He notes Alves is explosive and powerful, but fades and has mental blocks. Dalby is a workhorse but may be losing physical steps at 38. Zane expects Alves to win round 1 and possibly finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 15 of 17 | 88% | 15 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:22 |
| Warlley Alves | 1 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 29 of 62 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 11 of 12 | 91% | 11 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:22 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 18 of 45 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 | |
| 2 | Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Warlley Alves | 1 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wells | 15 of 17 | 88% | 1 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Warlley Alves | 21 of 52 | 40% | 17 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Wells | 11 of 12 | 91% | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Warlley Alves | 10 of 35 | 28% | 7 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | |
| 2 | Jeremiah Wells | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 11 of 17 | 64% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Many forget that Alves (14-4, 8-4 UFC) won the third season of “The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil” back in 2014 at middleweight, at the same time that Antonio Carlos Jr. won it at heavyweight. In this welterweight battle, the TUF victor will welcome Wells (8-2-1, 0-0 UFC) to the UFC on short notice, as Ramazan Emeev was forced out for undisclosed reasons. Drawing the assignment is referee Chris Tognoni, who observes an attempted glove touch from Alves as these two prepare to get after it. Wells ignores him as he runs behind the back of Tognoni, and he charges ahead and bowls Alves over with a surge of strikes and forward movement. The Brazilian is able to scoot his way back to the corner of the fence, and looks to kick off the fence while getting away with a cheeky fence grab with his toes. Wells drags him back down and starts blasting Alves in the face with huge right hands, and Alves is stuck in this position on his side. Wells unloads several more blistering right hands as he climbs to half guard, and he turns the punches to elbows when Alves grabs his wrist. Wells stands up to find a better position, and Alves pops right to his feet. Wells rushes him to ring Alves’ bell with an elbow, and he presses hard into the clinch before lifting Alves in the air. The Brazilian keeps his balance as he lands on one foot, so Wells knees him square in the midsection. The newcomer keeps his full body weight pushes on the UFC vet, but Alves simply shoves him away to gain some distance. Wells counters a leg kick with an overhand right, and he swings a huge right hand at Alves. Another home run shot comes from Wells, and Alves sees these telegraphed strikes coming and can parry them. Wells eats a counter left hand flush, and Wells whiffs on looping strikes. Wells rushes in with a flying knee before considering a takedown, and his fingers ensnare themselves into the fencing to draw a warning from Tognoni. Wells fails on a trip, and he chains this into a double leg takedown. Alves defends with a guillotine choke, and he jumps guard to set it up. Alves uses the choke to push Wells to his back, and Wells keeps a single butterfly hook in to defend himself from punishment. Wells uses upkicks to push Alves back, and the round ends with an axe kick from Alves that may have glanced off Wells’ chin – and therefore would be quite illegal. Nothing comes of it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wells
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Round 2
Alves is the man to leap out of his corner this round, jumping forward with a flying knee. Wells tries to swing bombs at him, and a counter right hand knocks Alves off-balance. The Brazilian stumbles and tries to survive, and Wells follows him to the ground to continue unloading on him.
Alves gets to his knees, but Wells bowls him over and smashes him in the face with right hand after unanswered right hand. It only takes a few for Alves to go completely out, and Tognoni cannot stop the fight fast enough.
What a way to announce yourself to the UFC, knocking out a tough vet after a furious first round. Welcome to the UFC, Jeremiah Wells.
The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Warlley Alves R2 0:30 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Warlley Alves, citing his full training camp, consistency, and veteran experience. He acknowledges Jeremiah Wells is live with good grappling and wild striking but is not confident due to Wells' two-year layoff and short notice UFC debut. Angelo thinks Alves is the safer pick.
Big Brady picks Warlley Alves to win by first round KO, despite acknowledging his inconsistency and poor cardio. He notes Alves's dangerous finishing ability and that Wells is making his UFC debut on short notice after a long layoff. He thinks Alves will finish early, but if it goes past the first round, Wells could be a live bet. He would not parlay Alves.
Cody picks Alves but with low confidence due to Alves' inconsistency. He notes Alves has all the tools but often gasses after one round. However, Wells also has cardio issues and is on short notice. Cody thinks Alves has advantages everywhere if he shows up, but he won't bet him because of the trap potential. He suggests the under 1.5 rounds as a possible play.
Jacob picks Jeremiah Wells, noting his fast hands, real jiu-jitsu under Henzo Gracie, and potential to be a one-punch knockout artist. He acknowledges the risk of the layoff and short notice but believes Wells is live and can win. Jacob wanted to make Wells his lock of the week but wasn't confident enough.
Alves is the much better striker with legitimate jiu-jitsu. Wells is on short notice and has inactivity issues. Alves will take whatever Wells throws and make him pay. Wells has a puncher's chance but can't maintain pressure for 15 minutes. Alves should win by decision, though his cardio could be a factor if things don't go his way.
Paul picks Alves but is not confident. He notes Alves' cardio issues but thinks Wells also fades. He believes Alves has better skills and should win if he doesn't gas. He is not betting the fight but would lean under 1.5 rounds if forced.
The MMA Guru picks Warlley Alves by first-round KO, citing Wells as a short-notice replacement without quick finishes or devastating power. He notes Alves' rejuvenated career and believes Wells' age (34) and lack of first-round KOs work against him. He expects Alves to capitalize early before cardio becomes a factor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warlley Alves | 1 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 24 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Mounir Lazzez | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warlley Alves | 1 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 24 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Mounir Lazzez | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warlley Alves | 17 of 21 | 80% | 9 of 12 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 |
| Mounir Lazzez | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warlley Alves | 17 of 21 | 80% | 9 of 12 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 |
| Mounir Lazzez | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady likes Mounir Lazzez's cardio and chin, noting he took Abdul Razak Alhassan's best shots. He criticizes Warlley Alves's gas tank, saying he gasses early. He predicts Lazzez will survive early grappling exchanges and take over in the second round, knocking out Alves. He suggests under 2.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision as good plays.
The host is confident in Mounir Lazzez due to his striking versatility, reach advantage, and ability to maintain distance. He believes Warlley Alves has a narrow path to victory (submission or early KO) and that Lazzez will pick him apart, potentially finishing in the second or third round. He notes Lazzez's only loss is to a top prospect.
The MMA Guru picks Mounir Lazzez, citing Alves' tendency to gas after the first round and Lazzez's patience and ability to turn the tide in later rounds, as shown in his debut against Abdul Razak Alhassan. He notes Lazzez has reach and height advantages, and predicts a third-round TKO after Alves' early onslaught fades.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 8 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 24 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 1:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:12 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Warlley Alves | 16 of 30 | 53% | 11 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Warlley Alves | 6 of 11 | 54% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 5 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 10 of 19 | 52% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warlley Alves | 1 | 72 of 157 | 45% | 72 of 157 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Sérgio Moraes | 0 | 20 of 62 | 32% | 20 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warlley Alves | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sérgio Moraes | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Warlley Alves | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sérgio Moraes | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Warlley Alves | 1 | 38 of 69 | 55% | 38 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Sérgio Moraes | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 6 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warlley Alves | 72 of 157 | 45% | 36 of 107 | 10 of 14 | 26 of 36 | 70 of 154 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sérgio Moraes | 20 of 62 | 32% | 12 of 52 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 59 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warlley Alves | 10 of 31 | 32% | 2 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 14 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sérgio Moraes | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Warlley Alves | 24 of 57 | 42% | 10 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 12 | 24 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sérgio Moraes | 5 of 20 | 25% | 2 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Warlley Alves | 38 of 69 | 55% | 24 of 51 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 10 | 36 of 67 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sérgio Moraes | 6 of 21 | 28% | 4 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Krause | 0 | 59 of 106 | 55% | 79 of 126 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 28 of 64 | 43% | 39 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Krause | 0 | 31 of 65 | 47% | 38 of 72 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 19 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 2 | James Krause | 0 | 28 of 41 | 68% | 41 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Warlley Alves | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Krause | 59 of 106 | 55% | 43 of 83 | 14 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 43 of 85 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 28 of 64 | 43% | 20 of 47 | 6 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 18 of 51 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Krause | 31 of 65 | 47% | 20 of 48 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 27 of 58 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 16 of 40 | 40% | 8 of 25 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 11 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | James Krause | 28 of 41 | 68% | 23 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 16 of 27 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Warlley Alves | 12 of 24 | 50% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is confident in Ikram Aliskerov, noting his wrestling pressure and that he was preparing for a good striker originally. He thinks Alves has cardio issues and is on short notice. He expects Ikram to avoid a slugfest and control the fight with wrestling. He has Ikram in parlays.
Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by second round knockout. He notes that Warlley Alves is coming up a weight class on short notice, has questionable cardio, and has been finished in the second round multiple times. Aliskerov is a heavy favorite and Brady expects him to overwhelm Alves as the fight extends.
Cody picks Aliskerov, highlighting that Alves is a front-runner who fades after the first round. He notes that Aliskerov has good wrestling and striking, and that Alves has been submitted and out-struck in recent fights. Cody believes Aliskerov will take Alves down and control him, leading to a finish or clear decision. He also mentions that Alves is giving up size and reach.
Daniel picks Ikram Aliskerov to win, noting his dominant finishes and wrestling, but acknowledges that Aliskerov went to a split decision with a low-level opponent, suggesting he might be slightly overrated. He describes Warlley Alves as a talented flake who can beat anyone or lose to anyone, and notes that Alves has fraud-checked prospects before. Daniel says it's a 'dog or pass' situation and that picking a -550 favorite is obvious, but he wouldn't be surprised if Alves pulls an upset.
Aliskerov is a big fan, impressed with his wrestling and improving hands. He can shut down Alves' kicking game by taking the fight to the ground, grinding him out, and doing damage from top position. Alves has cardio issues and slows down, so Aliskerov can find a TKO in the second or third round.
Paul picks Aliskerov, noting that Alves is on a two-fight losing streak, has poor cardio, and is a front-runner who fades if he doesn't finish early. Aliskerov is a natural middleweight with a full camp, while Alves is moving up on short notice. Paul expects Aliskerov to out-volume Alves and mix in takedowns, leading to a finish or dominant decision.
The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov, though he is not fully sold on him. He notes Aliskerov has good grappling and striking, and is in his prime with a full camp. He criticizes Aliskerov's split decision with Chad Hanam at Brave FC. He thinks Alves has taken too much damage and hasn't been active, so Aliskerov should win.
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