Career Averages - Viktoriia Dudakova
Career Averages - Jinh Yu Frey
Viktoriia Dudakova
Jinh Yu Frey
Viktoriia Dudakova - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 42 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 3 | 6:05 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 4 of 6 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 2:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatima Kline | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 25 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 2:41 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 2 | Fatima Kline | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 17 of 40 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:24 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Kline | 15 of 32 | 46% | 13 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 23 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatima Kline | 11 of 16 | 68% | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 8 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Fatima Kline | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Fatima Kline but is highly critical of the -900 odds, calling them 'absurd' for a fighter with only seven professional fights and no UFC wins. He acknowledges Kline's grappling advantage but notes her lack of strength and recent loss where she was taken down. He suggests the better bet might be on Victoria Dudakova via the plus 3.5 round spread, as he believes Dudakova could win a round and cover. He expects the fight to go to decision.
Big Brady is very high on Fatima Kline, calling her the future. He criticizes Dudakova's cardio, striking, and grappling, noting she looked terrible against Sam Hughes and struggled against Jinu Fry. He highlights Kline's well-rounded skills, training with Erin Blanchfield, and her black belt in BJJ. Brady predicts Kline will wear down Dudakova and finish her by third-round submission, as Kline has stated she wants a finish in her strawweight debut.
Cody picks Kline but refuses to bet at -1000, calling the line absurd. He notes Kline's grappling and training with Blanchfield, but warns of Dudakova's physicality and potential for an upset. He advises passing or using Kline in deep parlays only.
Daniel thinks Kline should be favored but questions the -1000 price, calling it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Dudakova has had disappointing performances and a staph infection, but getting a Russian fighter at +625 is rare. He leans Kline but says he'll probably pass unless he sees something at weigh-ins.
Kline returns to her natural strawweight class after being outmuscled at a higher weight on short notice. She should showcase her skills and grind out Dudakova, possibly finding a submission later in the fight.
Paul picks Kline but also refuses to bet at -1000. He notes her well-rounded skills and natural weight class, but warns of women's MMA volatility. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins and possibly taking a small flyer on Dudakova.
The Guru picks Kline despite being surprised by the wide odds (9-1 favorite). He thinks it's a 50-50 fight leaning towards Kline but trusts the oddsmakers know something about Dudakova. He notes 48% of people are picking Dudakova but goes with Kline because of the betting line.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 61 of 144 | 42% | 104 of 199 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 4:38 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 97 of 193 | 50% | 139 of 240 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 34 of 79 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 30 of 70 | 42% | 39 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 2 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 34 of 65 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 41 of 80 | 51% | 54 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 3 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 36 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 26 of 43 | 60% | 46 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes | 61 of 144 | 42% | 45 of 122 | 15 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 50 of 125 | 11 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 97 of 193 | 50% | 65 of 147 | 24 of 38 | 8 of 8 | 86 of 179 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hughes | 25 of 66 | 37% | 16 of 54 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 53 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 30 of 70 | 42% | 19 of 51 | 7 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 26 of 64 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sam Hughes | 25 of 53 | 47% | 19 of 46 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 48 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 41 of 80 | 51% | 29 of 66 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 39 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Sam Hughes | 11 of 25 | 44% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 26 of 43 | 60% | 17 of 30 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
Angelo picks Dudakova but is hesitant because the odds are too high for a close fight. He thinks Dudakova is the better fighter skill-for-skill and expects her to wrestle early, but warns that if she lets Hughes pressure, she could have a tough night. He advises against betting the moneyline and recommends the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady acknowledges Sam Hughes is a live dog but thinks Dudakova can go the full 15 minutes without gassing. He notes Hughes has poor takedown defense and striking defense, while Dudakova should do enough to win a close decision. He mentions Dudakova's last poor performance was due to a staph infection on her ass, which should not be a factor this time.
Cody picks Sam Hughes, citing Dudakova's poor performances, weight miss, and medical issues. He notes that Dudakova has low volume and overrated wrestling, while Hughes has faced better competition and is constantly in your face. Cody thinks Hughes can outwork Dudakova and win a decision. He also mentions that Hughes is always an underdog and fights to the last minute.
Daniel leans towards Dudakova, citing her reach advantage, youth, and takedown ability against Hughes' poor takedown defense. He acknowledges Hughes' higher pace but thinks Dudakova can seal rounds with takedowns and win a close decision. He is not fully confident due to Dudakova's greenness.
Hughes is a live underdog if not at a huge physical disadvantage. She should put on a pace and grind out Dudakova, winning at least two rounds on the scorecards.
Paul picks Sam Hughes, noting that Dudakova has not impressed and has had weight issues. He thinks Hughes can make the fight ugly and grind out a decision. Paul also mentions that Hughes is underrated and always gives 100% effort. He believes the line is too wide and that Hughes has a good chance to win.
The MMA Guru picks Victoria Dudakova over Sam Hughes, calling Hughes 'awful' and past her prime. He notes Dudakova is a younger, improving Russian prospect with a win streak, including a win over Maria Silva on the contender series. He expects Dudakova to do enough to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 | 74 of 146 | 50% | 109 of 183 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 47 of 101 | 46% | 65 of 121 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 16 of 46 | 34% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 37 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 28 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 | |
| 3 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 33 of 70 | 47% | 41 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 74 of 146 | 50% | 47 of 115 | 26 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 60 of 131 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 47 of 101 | 46% | 31 of 80 | 8 of 13 | 8 of 8 | 37 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 30 of 53 | 56% | 19 of 40 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 16 of 46 | 34% | 9 of 37 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 11 of 23 | 47% | 6 of 16 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 11 of 22 | 50% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 | |
| 3 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 33 of 70 | 47% | 22 of 59 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 20 of 33 | 60% | 14 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Victoria Dudakova but with low confidence, calling the odds a wild trap. He notes Jinh Yu Frey's experience and takedown defense but points out she is older, on a skid, and was knocked out a couple fights ago. He thinks Victoria's youth and pressure will be key, but if Frey's chin holds and she gets takedowns, Victoria might panic. He may bet the spread on Frey.
Big Brady picks Victoria Dudakova to win by decision. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, small for the weight class, lacks volume and cardio, and has only two UFC wins. Dudakova is younger, impressed on the Contender Series, and should be able to take Frey down and control the fight. Brady expects a straightforward win for the heavy favorite.
Cody picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is green and has limited skills. He believes her wrestling will be enough to beat an aging Frey, but he acknowledges the line is too high. Cody expects a close fight.
Daniel picks Victoria Dudakova to win, describing her as a prospect tester against Jinh Yu Frey, who is on her way out. He notes Dudakova's toughness and improving skills, and believes she can take Frey down and control the fight. He complains about the high line but thinks Dudakova should win comfortably.
Dudakova is younger, more explosive, and stronger than Frey. She has a strong wrestling and grappling game, with four of her seven wins by submission. Expects Dudakova to get takedowns, stay out of submissions, and dominate from top position, likely winning inside the distance in the second or third round.
Paul picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is one-dimensional and relies on wrestling. He believes her size and strength will allow her to take Frey down and control her, but he worries about her lack of volume and ground-and-pound. Paul sees value on Frey but sticks with Dudakova.
The MMA Guru sees this as a clear mismatch set up by the UFC to give Dudakova a win. He notes Dudakova's athleticism, size, and reach advantages, and points out that Frey is 38 and coming off losses. He believes Dudakova is simply a better fighter and that the UFC wants her to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Istela Nunes | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Istela Nunes | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Istela Nunes | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Istela Nunes | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very high on Viktoriya Dudakova, calling her a well-rounded fighter who can strike with Nunes and wrestle if needed. He notes her clean and powerful striking, slick BJJ, and veteran composure. He thinks even at minus 250, she seems like a discount and could be a parlay piece. He compares her favorably to Ivana Petrovic, who was a bust, and believes Dudakova is the real deal.
Big Brady picks Viktoriya Dudakova, expecting her to survive Nunes' early power and then take over as Nunes' poor cardio becomes a factor. He notes Nunes is very good in the first round but fades badly. Dudakova is a grappler who will look for takedowns and submissions. He predicts a late submission in the second round, as Nunes goes 0-4 in the UFC.
Cody picks Dudakova, citing her cardio and wrestling advantages. He notes Nunes is 0-3 in the UFC due to poor cardio and takedown defense. He thinks Dudakova can survive early pressure and take over as Nunes fades. He suggests a live bet after the first round might be better value, but pre-fight he goes with Dudakova.
James does not offer a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that he doesn't know much about the fighters and defers to his co-host Liam's analysis. He does not express a strong opinion.
The host expects Dudakova to survive Nunes' early onslaught, clinch up, slow the fight down, and take over in the second and third rounds. He suggests a round three or decision prop, noting that Nunes fades after the first round. He also mentions a possible live bet on Dudakova after round one.
Paul picks Dudakova, citing her wrestling advantage and Nunes' poor defensive wrestling and cardio. He notes Nunes fades after 7.5 minutes and Dudakova can survive early shots and secure takedowns as Nunes tires. He mentions Dudakova's contender series win as a +250 underdog and thinks her path to victory is consistent wrestling. He considers the by decision prop at +175.
The MMA Guru picks Viktoriya Dudakova over Istela Nunes, acknowledging Nunes's hunger but favoring Dudakova's youth, undefeated record, and well-roundedness. He notes Dudakova's Contender Series win despite an injury, and her opponent's subsequent success, while criticizing Nunes's losses to Ariane Carnelossi and Sam Hughes. He predicts a decision win for Dudakova.
Jinh Yu Frey - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 | 74 of 146 | 50% | 109 of 183 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 47 of 101 | 46% | 65 of 121 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 16 of 46 | 34% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 37 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 28 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 | |
| 3 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 33 of 70 | 47% | 41 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 74 of 146 | 50% | 47 of 115 | 26 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 60 of 131 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 47 of 101 | 46% | 31 of 80 | 8 of 13 | 8 of 8 | 37 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 30 of 53 | 56% | 19 of 40 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 16 of 46 | 34% | 9 of 37 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 11 of 23 | 47% | 6 of 16 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 11 of 22 | 50% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 | |
| 3 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 33 of 70 | 47% | 22 of 59 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 20 of 33 | 60% | 14 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Victoria Dudakova but with low confidence, calling the odds a wild trap. He notes Jinh Yu Frey's experience and takedown defense but points out she is older, on a skid, and was knocked out a couple fights ago. He thinks Victoria's youth and pressure will be key, but if Frey's chin holds and she gets takedowns, Victoria might panic. He may bet the spread on Frey.
Big Brady picks Victoria Dudakova to win by decision. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, small for the weight class, lacks volume and cardio, and has only two UFC wins. Dudakova is younger, impressed on the Contender Series, and should be able to take Frey down and control the fight. Brady expects a straightforward win for the heavy favorite.
Cody picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is green and has limited skills. He believes her wrestling will be enough to beat an aging Frey, but he acknowledges the line is too high. Cody expects a close fight.
Daniel picks Victoria Dudakova to win, describing her as a prospect tester against Jinh Yu Frey, who is on her way out. He notes Dudakova's toughness and improving skills, and believes she can take Frey down and control the fight. He complains about the high line but thinks Dudakova should win comfortably.
Dudakova is younger, more explosive, and stronger than Frey. She has a strong wrestling and grappling game, with four of her seven wins by submission. Expects Dudakova to get takedowns, stay out of submissions, and dominate from top position, likely winning inside the distance in the second or third round.
Paul picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is one-dimensional and relies on wrestling. He believes her size and strength will allow her to take Frey down and control her, but he worries about her lack of volume and ground-and-pound. Paul sees value on Frey but sticks with Dudakova.
The MMA Guru sees this as a clear mismatch set up by the UFC to give Dudakova a win. He notes Dudakova's athleticism, size, and reach advantages, and points out that Frey is 38 and coming off losses. He believes Dudakova is simply a better fighter and that the UFC wants her to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Reed | 0 | 53 of 120 | 44% | 94 of 174 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 28 of 91 | 30% | 42 of 114 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 4:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elise Reed | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 36 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 16 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 2 | Elise Reed | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 7 of 27 | 25% | 12 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 | |
| 3 | Elise Reed | 0 | 20 of 55 | 36% | 27 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 10 of 38 | 26% | 14 of 45 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Reed | 53 of 120 | 44% | 16 of 65 | 21 of 36 | 16 of 19 | 45 of 111 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 28 of 91 | 30% | 15 of 68 | 4 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 26 of 84 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elise Reed | 14 of 32 | 43% | 4 of 16 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 11 of 26 | 42% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Elise Reed | 19 of 33 | 57% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 17 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 7 of 27 | 25% | 1 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | |
| 3 | Elise Reed | 20 of 55 | 36% | 6 of 32 | 10 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 10 of 38 | 26% | 5 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a very slight lean to Frey, thinking she can slow down Reed's pace by using cage control and takedowns. He is concerned about Frey's age (38) and recent knockout loss, but believes her experience and grappling can neutralize Reed's tenacity. He notes Reed is tough and hits hard but is inconsistent. Angelo is not spending money on this fight.
Cody picks Reed, citing her improvements fight to fight. He notes Reed's striking volume and that she has shown wrestling improvements in some fights. Cody acknowledges Reed's inconsistency but thinks Frey's lack of wrestling and recent knockout loss are concerns. He picks Reed but feels awful about it.
Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Frey seems to hate fighting and has become a low-output, hesitant fighter. He notes that Reed has improved her combination striking and carries real power, especially with her body kicks and straight right. Connor believes that once Reed lands cleanly, Frey's confidence will shatter, leading to a finish or a clear decision for Reed.
Daniel picks Frey via a coin flip, but notes that Frey has a grappling advantage and has shown she will wrestle when needed. He sees Reed as having been finished by fighters who don't usually finish, and Frey's black belt could be the difference. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation.
Jacob picks Elise Reed, citing her power and the matchup being tailor-made for her. He thinks Frey is not the pressure fighter who can get in Reed's face, especially coming off a knockout loss. Jacob believes Reed will pick Frey apart from distance and hurt her. He plans to bet on Reed live or closer to the fight. He also likes Reed inside the distance at -155.
Reed is a striker with deceptive power and good footwork. She can keep the fight upright and land damaging blows. Frey is a BJJ brown belt who will look for takedowns and submissions. Reed's best path is to avoid the ground and find a knockout, but confidence is low. The under 2.5 rounds is a better bet.
Paul picks Frey, noting that Reed has been inconsistent and that Frey is a veteran. He mentions Reed's struggles when opponents have a wrestling advantage, but he's not sure who has that edge. Paul is not confident and says he won't bet this fight, but he picks Frey.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Elise Reed, calling it a no-brainer. He argues that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, coming off a KO loss, and should have lost to Vanessa Demopoulos, who he considers awful. He believes Reed will outbox Frey on the feet, as Frey lacks the grappling to take Reed down. He also notes Reed's win over Cory McKenna, who has good takedowns, as evidence of Reed's striking ability.
Zane picks Reed confidently, citing Frey's severe lack of output and apparent anxiety in fights. He notes that Frey has all the technical tools but cannot pull the trigger, while Reed has developed into a busier boxer who lands hard shots. Reed's power and willingness to engage should overwhelm Frey, who tends to freeze and do nothing for long stretches. Zane believes Reed's aggression and striking will be decisive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polyana Viana | 1 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polyana Viana | 1 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polyana Viana | 11 of 18 | 61% | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 14 | 42% | 0 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polyana Viana | 11 of 18 | 61% | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 14 | 42% | 0 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Viana (-135), Frey (+115)
Round 1
Strawweights toe the line in this next encounter, and their fighting styles could scarcely be more different. Viana (12-5, 3-4 UFC) maintains a 100% finish rate with exactly two-thirds of her victories coming by tapout, while former Invicta champ Frey (11-7, 2-3 UFC) has not procured a stoppage since December 2014. Referee Herb Dean is ready for anywhere this fight goes, and it begins with a touch of hands. They calmly start to trade punches, going tit-for-tat with jabs and straight punches. Frey slaps a low kick, and Viana responds in kind. Out of nowhere, Frey leaps forward in a blitz of blows, and Viana stands firm to knee her square to the body. With Frey stunned, Viana wings hooks that are far more powerful than what Frey can muster, and she has Frey’s attention in a hurry.
Viana knocks her foe back with a long barrage of nasty punches, and she does not let a wobbled Frey off the hook. The brutal swinging fists from “Dama de Ferro” continue to blast into Frey, and Frey falls to the ground in big trouble. To hammer the nail, Viana keeps her 100% finish rate intact by smashing Frey with two hammerfists.
Those blows put Frey flat on her back with her arms reached out, frozen in time, and she has nothing left to give. Dean leaps in, and Frey snaps back to life as if she had just been woken up from a deep slumber. Brazil’s Viana is now one stoppage away from the women’s strawweight record held by Jessica Andrade and Rose Namajunas, and she calls for a fight in January in Rio de Janeiro.
The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Jinh Yu Frey R1 0:47 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Frey, citing her physicality, veteran savvy, and well-roundedness. He expects Frey to slow the pace, hold Viana against the cage, and avoid ground threats. He notes Viana is dangerous with submissions but relies on opponents to get to the ground. He is on the fence about betting, waiting for prop bets.
Big Brady criticizes Frey's low volume and poor cardio, while noting Viana's dangerous submission game and 100% finish rate. He expects Viana to pull guard and get the fight to the mat, where she is very dangerous with arm bars and triangles. He predicts a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Frey's takedown defense is strong.
Cody picks Polyana Viana by submission. He notes that Viana is the 'armbar queen' and that submission is very much on the table. He references the Kate Hanson fight where Frey was submitted by armbar, and thinks Viana can do the same. He acknowledges that Viana has had travel issues from Brazil but still likes her to find a submission. He prefers Viana by sub at +350 over the moneyline.
Connor agrees, noting that Frey's cautious style and lack of confidence make her unlikely to take advantage of Viana's chaotic approach. Viana will insist on making the fight happen, and Frey has historically frozen under pressure. Viana's finishes (12 inside the distance) contrast with Frey's lack of finishing ability.
Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana, citing her will to win and opportunistic armbar from guard. He notes Jinh Yu Frey is more polished standing, but Viana's aggression and submission threat on the mat give her the edge. He is not laying chalk on it.
The host sees this as a difficult fight but leans Viana due to her chaotic style and submission threat. He notes Frey could grind out a decision, but Viana's aggression and BJJ make her dangerous. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop rather than the moneyline, expecting a finish from Viana.
Paul picks Jinh Yu Frey as an underdog. He argues that Frey is a BJJ black belt and has not been submitted lately, surviving against Ashley Yoder and Vanessa Demopoulos. He thinks Frey is better standing, with improved volume (88 significant strikes against Yoder, 62 against Demopoulos). He criticizes Viana as one-dimensional, with poor striking and a tendency to get controlled on the ground, as seen against Tabatha Ricci. He believes Frey can win a decision by outworking Viana.
The MMA Guru picks Polyana Viana, noting Frey's submission loss to Kay Hansen and decision loss to Vanessa Demopoulos. He believes Viana, at 30, is in her prime and has submission skills, particularly armbars. He predicts Viana will get a submission, likely an armbar or triangle, after making Frey shoot for takedowns.
Zane picks Viana because Frey is too tentative and cautious, lacking the aggression to capitalize on Viana's defensive lapses. Viana is aggressive, throws from all ranges, and will force the action. Frey's inability to pull the trigger, as seen in her loss to Vanessa Demopoulos, makes her unreliable even against a flawed opponent like Viana.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 66 of 139 | 47% | 71 of 144 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 62 of 133 | 46% | 81 of 153 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 18 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 27 of 56 | 48% | 30 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 35 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 66 of 139 | 47% | 34 of 100 | 25 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 107 | 26 of 32 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 62 of 133 | 46% | 49 of 116 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 58 of 128 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 11 of 32 | 34% | 6 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 17 of 45 | 37% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 24 of 52 | 46% | 14 of 41 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 44 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 27 of 56 | 48% | 20 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 27 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 31 of 55 | 56% | 14 of 35 | 15 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 33 | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 18 of 32 | 56% | 14 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 28 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jinh Yu Frey, expecting her to slow the pace with bully-style grappling and beat Vanessa Demopoulos similarly to how Lupita Godinez did in the LFA. He acknowledges Vanessa's dangerous ground game and that lesser opponents have submitted Frey before, but believes Frey's physicality and forward pressure will earn her a unanimous decision win.
Big Brady picks Jinh Yu Frey to win by decision. He notes that Frey has a striking advantage and excellent takedown defense (90%), while Demopoulos has no wrestling and poor takedown success. However, he criticizes the -275 price as too high for a low-volume striker like Frey, and warns that Demopoulos's activity could make the fight look close. He ultimately expects Frey to outstrike Demopoulos and keep the fight standing.
Cody picks Frey, citing her better striking and takedown defense. He thinks she will win by decision, noting Demopoulos has never scored a takedown in the UFC. He warns against heavy investment at -260 but thinks Frey by decision is a solid play.
Paul picks Demopoulos by submission at +800, noting her only path to victory is a submission. He thinks the value is too good to pass up, even though Frey is the better striker. He acknowledges it's a longshot but worth a small bet.
The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, citing that Jinh Yu Frey lost to Kay Hansen, which is a bad look. He notes Demopoulos is younger (7-4 record) and moving down to strawweight, while Frey is 37. He expects Demopoulos to win by decision, winning scrambles and controlling the fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 88 of 185 | 47% | 89 of 186 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 91 of 236 | 38% | 96 of 241 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 28 of 56 | 50% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 33 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 35 of 67 | 52% | 35 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 38 of 90 | 42% | 38 of 90 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 25 of 62 | 40% | 25 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 25 of 77 | 32% | 25 of 77 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 88 of 185 | 47% | 46 of 129 | 15 of 25 | 27 of 31 | 77 of 173 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 91 of 236 | 38% | 59 of 188 | 15 of 25 | 17 of 23 | 90 of 233 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 28 of 56 | 50% | 9 of 33 | 8 of 11 | 11 of 12 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 28 of 69 | 40% | 14 of 49 | 5 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 27 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 35 of 67 | 52% | 21 of 49 | 6 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 33 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 38 of 90 | 42% | 28 of 73 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 8 | 38 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 25 of 62 | 40% | 16 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 11 | 20 of 57 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 25 of 77 | 32% | 17 of 66 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size advantage and higher volume. He notes that Frey throws very few strikes (averaging 24-26 per fight) and that Yoder can win by simply being more active. He also thinks Yoder's grappling could be effective. However, he calls it an ugly fight and is not highly confident.
Cody picks Ashley Yoder, believing her wrestling and top control will be the difference. He notes that Frey has poor takedown defense and Yoder should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. However, he is not fully confident because Yoder's striking is lacking and if she cannot get takedowns, she could lose a low-volume striking match. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.
Levi notes that he doesn't often recommend backing Ashley Yoder as a favorite, but here she is the bigger and better grappler. He believes Yoder can get takedowns more comfortably and spend time on top, edging out a competitive decision. However, he warns that if Yoder decides to test her stand-up, Frey could have success, as Yoder's striking is not as dangerous as de Paula's. Levi credits Frey for beating de Paula but thinks Yoder's grappling-heavy approach should secure the win.
Frey has a bounce-back win over de Paula and should have success if she grapples with Yoder. Yoder is a black belt but lacks volume and strength. Frey's striking is adequate, and she can win scrambles. However, Frey is a natural 105er moving up, which is a concern. The fight likely goes to decision, and Frey at plus money is the side.
Paul also picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size and strength advantage and the likelihood that she can grind out a decision. He notes that Frey is a natural atomweight and has poor grappling. However, he is concerned about Yoder's recent regression and the fact that this fight likely goes to decision, making judging a factor. He is not confident enough to bet but leans Yoder.
The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey over Ashley Yoder, stating that Frey is more solid as a martial artist while Yoder relies on physical attributes. He notes that Frey has a more solid foundation and is fundamentally better. He expects Frey to win by unanimous decision, as she is more experienced and technically sound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 51 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 24 of 79 | 30% | 50 of 125 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 9:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 26 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:44 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 29 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 15 of 61 | 24% | 17 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 7 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 4:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 31 of 63 | 49% | 18 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 59 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 24 of 79 | 30% | 10 of 62 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 12 | 17 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 8 of 13 | 61% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 27 of 55 | 49% | 16 of 42 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 15 of 61 | 24% | 6 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula, largely fading Jinh Yu Frey due to her extremely low volume and inability to reach 30 significant strikes in her UFC fights. He notes de Paula is the bigger fighter, trains at a good camp (Shoot Box with Mara Romero Borella), and should be able to stuff takedowns. He sees de Paula out-striking Frey and possibly finishing her, though he predicts a decision win.
Daniel Levi picks Gloria de Paula because she is more aggressive, has cleaner strikes, and better takedown defense than her girlfriend Mayra Bueno Silva. He dismisses Jinh Yu Frey's experience advantage, noting she lost to less experienced opponents. He believes de Paula's willingness to go forward and her heart will overwhelm Frey, who hesitates and has been broken in recent fights.
Lock leans Frey due to not knowing much about de Paula. He notes Frey is a veteran with solid experience, a former champion in Rizin, and a strong all-around fighter. He acknowledges he needs to research de Paula to understand why she's the favorite. His lean is strictly based on unfamiliarity with de Paula.
The Guru is impressed with Gloria de Paula's performance on the Contender Series, noting her technical striking, patience, and increasing volume as the fight progressed. He believes de Paula has great potential and is younger than Frey. He criticizes Frey for being too small for the strawweight division and suggests an atomweight division should exist. He predicts de Paula will win by unanimous decision, 30-27, outstriking Frey and not finishing her because Frey is tough.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 80 of 137 | 58% | 85 of 142 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 39 of 75 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 36 of 49 | 73% | 39 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 17 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 80 of 137 | 58% | 27 of 61 | 35 of 56 | 18 of 20 | 42 of 86 | 38 of 50 | 0 of 1 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 26 of 61 | 42% | 21 of 49 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 4 | 13 of 47 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 36 of 49 | 73% | 17 of 27 | 13 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 22 | 24 of 27 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 9 of 21 | 42% | 7 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 29 of 53 | 54% | 7 of 19 | 14 of 25 | 8 of 9 | 16 of 33 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 15 of 35 | 42% | 3 of 15 | 8 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In the first of many women’s bouts tonight, Frey (9-5, 0-1 UFC) hunts for her first win inside the Octagon against Thai “Loma Lookboonmee” Suphisara (4-2, 1-1 UFC) at strawweight. Presiding over what could be a fun one is referee Marc Goddard, who watches on as the two women touch gloves. Suphisara opens things up with a head kick and a leg kick to follow, and Alateng may be sitting backstage thinking “not again…” Frey walks forward and blocks a head kick, all while swarming her way into the clinch. “Loma Lookboonmee” almost fights her way out, but Frey bullies her back to the fence. Suphisara knees her in the belly, so Frey ducks down to try to grab hold of a single leg takedown. Suphisara stops it, scores another knee up the middle, and Frey forces a break by delivering an elbow on Suphisara’s face. Suphisara lets fly a body kick, and Frey responds with a stiff left hand. Suphisara is unconcerned, and she continues to land kicks from the outside. The two trade leg kicks, and Frey reaches forward with a punch to the body. Suphisara boots her in the midsection, and Frey clinches up. Suphisara greets her with a vicious elbow that stops Frey in her tracks, and she continues to pour them on as Frey looks shellshocked. Suphisara knees the body, and she blocks an overhand left when Frey pushes off. Suphisara start a combination with a high kick and follows it with a few punches, and Frey grabs hold of her. Suphisara welcomes this clinch with a series of powerful knees and elbows as Frey turns away for a moment, and Suphisara continues to swarm her with them and opens a cut under Frey’s eye. Frey throws a few punches to break free, and Suphisara meets her with a left hand. Suphisara chops the lead leg with a kick, and rushes forward to clinch up. The Thai lands a few shots on the inside, and the horn sounds ending the first round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 2
The two women tentatively walk towards one another out of their corners, and it is Suphisara who strikes first with a teep kick. Suphisara dodges a flurry and lands a leg kick as she backs away. Frey punches her way into the clinch, and Suphisara’s eyes light up as she starts spamming knees to the body. Frey responds with one of her own, but it is Suphisara who sets up the Thai clinch and blasts the body with more knees. Suphisara transitions into hacking elbows, before switching back to thudding knees. A flustered Frey pushes her way free from the clinch, and as she stalks her opponent down, she avoids a calf kick and blocks a head kick. Suphisara’s third kick of the salvo lands in the form of one to the chest. Frey clinches up again, and Suphisara thanks her for it by instantly throwing knees to the torso. Frey breaks free, and she takes a low kick. Frey catches Suphisara with a counter left hand when Suphisara is trying to kick, but Suphisara circles away before she takes any more shots. “Loma Lookboonmee” slings kicks up high and low, and Frey blocks the brunt of the attack while walking her opponent down. Frey throws a naked kick to the body only to eat a one-two on the chin, and she resets and throws a high kick. Suphisara ducks as if she were Anderson Silva while Frey falls to the ground, but the Thai does not follow her down. Frey scrambles to her feet and starts to throw low kicks. Suphisara narrowly misses with a blistering elbow, and the two go strike-for-strike until we hear the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 3
Frey comes out aggressive, jabbing her way into a single leg takedown attempt. The former Invicta champ lifts Suphisara up in the air and plants her on her back. Suphisara locks up her guard to try to control Frey, but Frey breaks the posture. The Thai attempts to kick her off, and Frey rolls through it to hop back down in side control. Frey maintains heavy shoulder pressure on Suphisara’s head, but the Thai scrambles and gets to her feet. Frey follows her up and takes her back, but Suphisara breaks the grip and gains a separation. Suphisara kicks low and rushes in with a blitz of punches. Suphisara kicks the body a few times with front kicks, and a one-two snaps Frey’s head back. Suphisara continues to chip away at her opponent from a distance, and they both land powerful punches at the same time. Suphisara kicks the body as if she were channeling her inner Casey Kenney, and she changes it up with a head kick. “Loma Lookboonmee” attempts a jumping side kick, and when Frey blocks it, she follows it with a hard leg kick. Frey is walking forward, but she is not throwing much of note and is not attempting any other takedown. Instead, Suphisara is picking away at her with head kicks and punches. Frey clinches up and scores a few punches to the body, and as soon as Suphisara lifts her knee up to land her own strikes, Frey hunts for a takedown. The Thai defends it as she gets bullied to the fence, only to stuff the takedown and break free. Suphisara fires off a low kick and gets countered with a stiff left hand over the top. Suphisara steps in with a few front kicks, and she lands one more when Frey charges at her. The two both connect with a punch or two in a final surge of strikes, and the fight ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Jinh Yu Frey via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Big Brady leans towards Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He cites her youth, Muay Thai experience, higher volume, and clinch work. He notes Frey is older and low volume, and that Lookboonmee has good takedown defense and trips.
Daniel picks Lookboonmee, citing her Muay Thai background and youth advantage. He thinks Frey is on the tail end of her career and lacks the fire to win close rounds. He predicts a split decision but acknowledges Lookboonmee is overrated and green, and that Frey has the skills to win if she wants it. He advises staying away at the betting window.
The host sees Loma as the rising fighter with superior Muay Thai, particularly leg kicks and clinch knees, while Jinh Yu Frey is on the decline. He expects Loma to win via third-round TKO, noting her finishing potential and Frey's waning durability. He mentions a sprinkle on Loma by TKO at +750.
The Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee, noting her close fight with Angela Hill and her takedown defense. He criticizes Frey's last performance against Kay Hansen and believes Lookboonmee is on the rise.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 43 of 67 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 1 | 0 | 4:31 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 27 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Hansen | 31 of 55 | 56% | 16 of 37 | 12 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 14 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 26 of 46 | 56% | 7 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 15 of 17 | 23 of 39 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Hansen | 12 of 28 | 42% | 6 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 12 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 15 of 29 | 51% | 5 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 12 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kay Hansen | 17 of 21 | 80% | 8 of 12 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 13 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Kay Hansen | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Kay Hansen after watching tape, noting that Frey was unimpressive and has been knocked out twice and dominated on the ground. He likes Hansen's takedown-heavy style and thinks she can get Frey down and possibly submit her or win by ground-and-pound. He is concerned about Hansen's age (20) but still favors her.
Daniel Levi picks Kay Hansen, citing the stylistic matchup of striker vs grappler. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey struggled to get up from bottom against atomweights, so moving up a weight class may not help. Levi believes Hansen will mix in takedowns and control the fight on the ground, winning by decision. He also mentions that Frey lost to Jodie Esquibel, which is a negative indicator.
The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey, admitting he doesn't know much about the fighters but thinks Frey is better and has faced better competition. He notes Frey's experience as a champion in Invicta. He is not confident and calls the fight uninteresting.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Victoria Dudakova but with low confidence, calling the odds a wild trap. He notes Jinh Yu Frey's experience and takedown defense but points out she is older, on a skid, and was knocked out a couple fights ago. He thinks Victoria's youth and pressure will be key, but if Frey's chin holds and she gets takedowns, Victoria might panic. He may bet the spread on Frey.
Big Brady picks Victoria Dudakova to win by decision. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, small for the weight class, lacks volume and cardio, and has only two UFC wins. Dudakova is younger, impressed on the Contender Series, and should be able to take Frey down and control the fight. Brady expects a straightforward win for the heavy favorite.
Cody picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is green and has limited skills. He believes her wrestling will be enough to beat an aging Frey, but he acknowledges the line is too high. Cody expects a close fight.
Daniel picks Victoria Dudakova to win, describing her as a prospect tester against Jinh Yu Frey, who is on her way out. He notes Dudakova's toughness and improving skills, and believes she can take Frey down and control the fight. He complains about the high line but thinks Dudakova should win comfortably.
Dudakova is younger, more explosive, and stronger than Frey. She has a strong wrestling and grappling game, with four of her seven wins by submission. Expects Dudakova to get takedowns, stay out of submissions, and dominate from top position, likely winning inside the distance in the second or third round.
Paul picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is one-dimensional and relies on wrestling. He believes her size and strength will allow her to take Frey down and control her, but he worries about her lack of volume and ground-and-pound. Paul sees value on Frey but sticks with Dudakova.
The MMA Guru sees this as a clear mismatch set up by the UFC to give Dudakova a win. He notes Dudakova's athleticism, size, and reach advantages, and points out that Frey is 38 and coming off losses. He believes Dudakova is simply a better fighter and that the UFC wants her to win.
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