Career Averages - Irina Alekseeva
Career Averages - Stephanie Egger
Irina Alekseeva
Stephanie Egger
Irina Alekseeva - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 36 of 63 | 57% | 61 of 98 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:53 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 6 of 23 | 26% | 17 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 36 of 58 | 62% | 56 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Beatriz Mesquita | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 5 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mesquita | 36 of 63 | 57% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 52 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 6 of 23 | 26% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 6 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beatriz Mesquita | 36 of 58 | 62% | 35 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 52 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 3 of 13 | 23% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Beatriz Mesquita | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mesquita (-600); Alekseeva (+450)
Round 1
The final women’s match of the day comes at 135 pounds between a newcomer and a Russian who likely is on the last fight of her initial four-bout deal with the UFC. Uber-talented grappler Mesquita (5-0, 0-0 UFC)—one of the best female grapplers ever, with more gold medals than Michael Phelps—gets to ply her trade in the Octagon. She faces a foe who calls herself “Russian Ronda,” but Alekseeva (5-3, 1-2 UFC) only sports one armbar in her career to date. What could be an interesting ground-based matchup will be officiated by referee Marc Goddard. The ladies tap their gloves together to engage.
Alekseeva assumes the center of the cage, while Mesquita keeps a wide berth away from practically anything the Russian tosses at her. Alekseeva gets off a jab or two, probing while the local contingent in the building call for her demise. Mesquita introduces herself a minute in with a chopping kick and a right hand, and she scores another when rushing towards “Russian Ronda” for a clinch to takedown effort. Mesquita presses Alekseeva to the wall, kicks off the fencing to creatively put Alekseeva on her back, and lands in full mount. Mesquita sells out looking for a finish via strikes, beating on Alekseeva like a rented mule. Punches and elbows continue to blast Alekseeva in the face, and a particularly harsh 12-to-6 elbow draws some blood on Alekseeva’s nose.
The grappler has Alekseeva flat on her back, bludgeoning her with punches and elbows as she sees fit, and she calms herself down rather than succumbing to an adrenaline dump hunting for the stoppage. No matter which way Alekseeva twists and bucks, Mesquita is comfortable on top of her making her day a bad one. Mesquita considers an arm-triangle choke, snaking her left arm behind the head, but she instead unloads with blistering elbows as Goddard is watching quite closely. The elbows have split Alekseeva open, and blood starts to pool in her eye socket. Mesquita sits up and considers an armbar, but instead postures up with seconds to go to rain down hellacious punches and elbows. Alekseeva somehow makes it to the bell, but if the second round goes anything like that, it may be a quick night at the office for the Brazilian.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita
Round 2
The Russian cleans up well between rounds, the blood all wiped away but her face undoubtedly showing some swelling…everywhere. Nevertheless, she works her way out of her corner and leads the dance with punches and kicks. With Mesquita constantly circling on the outer edge of the cage, Alekseeva has time to chip and probe with distant strikes. Mesquita clips her with a right hand, and she smoothly elevates and dumps Alekseeva to the floor effortlessly. By the time “Bia” hits the floor, she is somehow already in half guard, able to take side control if she moves just a slight bit up. Instead, her controlling posture shuts down Alekseeva, and she deftly advances to full mount.
Alekseeva bucks and turns to her back, and the textbook rear-naked choke from Mesquita is almost instantly set up. The grappling ace cinches her forearm beneath the chin without much resistance, and she rolls over to her back while leaning against the fencing to put as much pressure on the Russian as she can. Alekseeva’s arms start to show some slack as she stops fighting, and right before she goes out, her nose squirting a stream of blood in a less brutal version of Demian Maia vs. Rick Story, Alekseeva surrenders.
It was one-way traffic for the Brazilian, who makes a splash in her promotional debut and sets her sights on the top of her division.
The Official Result
Beatriz Mesquita def. Irina Alekseeva R2 2:14 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Beatriz Mesquita due to her elite grappling, calling her a 'death touch' on the ground. He believes if the fight goes to the ground, Bia wins. However, he warns against betting at -600 odds, as Irina is tough and has grappling of her own. He suggests waiting for better odds in future fights.
Big Brady picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by second-round TKO. He describes her as one of the best female grapplers in the world with a legit BJJ black belt and vicious ground and pound. He criticizes Irina Alekseeva as one of the worst fighters on the roster, with sloppy striking and no ground game. He expects Mesquita to get the fight down and finish quickly.
Cody picks Mesquita, noting her grappling credentials and Alekseeva's poor judo-based defense. He believes Mesquita will easily take her down and submit her. He calls it a straightforward fight.
Lucrative James is confident in Beatriz Mesquita, a 10-time BJJ world champion, to submit Irina Alekseeva. He notes that Alekseeva has poor grappling and tends to engage in it despite being outmatched. He expects Mesquita to take her down and finish, likely in round two or three, as Mesquita is not a fast starter. He sees this as a setup fight for Mesquita.
Manpreet is very confident in Mesquita, expecting her to submit Alekseeva early. He notes Alekseeva's poor takedown defense and Mesquita's elite BJJ. He recommends the under 1.5 rounds or Mesquita by submission prop as better bets than the moneyline.
Paul picks Mesquita, calling it a 'CF dot model' fight. He notes her world-class jiu-jitsu and training at American Top Team, while Alekseeva is a fraud with poor striking and takedown defense. He expects a submission win.
The MMA Guru picks Beatriz Mesquita over Irina Alekseeva, highlighting Mesquita's elite BJJ credentials and submission wins over Misha Tate and Jennifer Maia. He notes Alekseeva has lost to lesser competition and is 'double beneath' what he thought. He predicts a submission in the first or second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 63 of 178 | 35% | 74 of 200 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Klaudia Syguła | 0 | 101 of 181 | 55% | 156 of 248 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 35 of 92 | 38% | 35 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Klaudia Syguła | 0 | 53 of 85 | 62% | 53 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 19 of 70 | 27% | 19 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Klaudia Syguła | 0 | 29 of 63 | 46% | 29 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 20 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Klaudia Syguła | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 74 of 100 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irina Alekseeva | 63 of 178 | 35% | 35 of 121 | 16 of 31 | 12 of 26 | 58 of 170 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Klaudia Syguła | 101 of 181 | 55% | 63 of 133 | 21 of 30 | 17 of 18 | 93 of 171 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irina Alekseeva | 35 of 92 | 38% | 20 of 66 | 8 of 17 | 7 of 9 | 34 of 89 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Klaudia Syguła | 53 of 85 | 62% | 35 of 62 | 8 of 13 | 10 of 10 | 52 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Irina Alekseeva | 19 of 70 | 27% | 11 of 45 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 16 | 19 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Klaudia Syguła | 29 of 63 | 46% | 15 of 45 | 7 of 10 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Irina Alekseeva | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Klaudia Syguła | 19 of 33 | 57% | 13 of 26 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Irina Alekseeva, noting her sambo background and ability to toss opponents. He mentions she is tough and moves forward, but has a two-year layoff which adds uncertainty. He thinks Claudia's clinch work will lead to her getting thrown. He is confident in the win but cautious about the layoff affecting performance.
Big Brady picks Irina Alekseeva, despite thinking she is not UFC level, because Syguła is even worse. He notes Syguła has poor ground game and has been finished on the mat multiple times. Alekseeva has solid judo and strength to get the fight to the ground. Brady predicts Alekseeva wins by first-round submission, likely an arm.
The host likes Alekseeva but is not hot on the -255 line. He thinks her physicality will put Syguła in bad positions, leading to a ground-and-pound finish. He finds the under 2.5 rounds at plus money intriguing and predicts Alekseeva inside the distance.
The MMA Guru picks Irina Alekseeva, dismissing Klaudia Syguła as a 'project' brought in for her looks. He notes Alekseeva has UFC wins, including a submission via knee bar, and is more well-rounded. He also comments on Syguła's poor debut and suggests Alekseeva is physically stronger.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Mullins | 1 | 48 of 108 | 44% | 60 of 126 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 52 of 95 | 54% | 87 of 148 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 8:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Mullins | 1 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 37 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 32 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:26 | |
| 2 | Melissa Mullins | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 24 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:43 | |
| 3 | Melissa Mullins | 0 | 10 of 28 | 35% | 13 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 31 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Mullins | 48 of 108 | 44% | 23 of 72 | 2 of 7 | 23 of 29 | 44 of 99 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 5 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 52 of 95 | 54% | 47 of 89 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 42 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Mullins | 30 of 60 | 50% | 11 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 18 of 21 | 26 of 51 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 5 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 23 of 37 | 62% | 21 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Melissa Mullins | 8 of 20 | 40% | 2 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 8 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 12 of 21 | 57% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | |
| 3 | Melissa Mullins | 10 of 28 | 35% | 10 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Irina Alekseeva | 17 of 37 | 45% | 14 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dixon (-148), Alekseeva (+124)
Round 1
The line moves forward with a women’s bantamweight tilt pitting Alekseeva (5-1, 1-0 UFC) against the undefeated Dixon (5-0, 0-0 UFC). Mark Smith serves as the referee. They touch gloves and get going. Alekseeva hammers away with kicks to the inside and outside of the lead leg. Dixon test the water with her jab, but eats a sweeping left hook. Dixon follows a jab with hooks from both hands. Alekseeva moves forward. Dixon fires a jab through her defenses. Alekseeva lands a knee strike from the clinch, then gets warned for pulling Dixon’s hair. Dixon lands in combination, all set up by her excellent jab. Alekseeva slings powerful but unfocused punches. She steps into a right hand, floors Dixon and jumps into full guard. Alekseeva drops elbows but allows Dixon to get back to her feet. Alekseeva shots on the hips and secures a takedown. Both women have had their moments with a minute left in the round, though the knockdown figures to be the separator. Dixon works her way to the back with ground-and-pound and secures her position with hooks.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Alekseeva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alekseeva
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Alekseeva
Round 2
Dixon blocks a head kick, eats an inside leg kick and gets going with the jab again. She doubles up on the punch, then cut loose with power punches. Alekseeva returns to swinging for the fences. Nothing lands. Back in the center of the cage, Dixon times a thudding right hand and then trips the Russian to the floor. She moves immediately to full mount and pounds away with punches, elbows and forearm strikes. Dixon floats to the back and secures position with hooks. She brilliantly uses a half nelson to maintain back control, piles up points with hammerfists and locks in a body triangle. Dixon moves back to mount, connects with an elbow and returns to back control. The newcomer may have found a clear path to victory here.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dixon
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dixon
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Dixon
Round 3
Dixon stars the final round with her jab, sneaks in a left hook and avoids a wild spinning backfist. Alekseeva presses forward and nearly surrenders a takedown. She looks exhausted. Dixon connects with a one-two. Alekseeva marches forward almost maniacally with straight punches. Dixon wearing considerable damage but appears to have the upper hand here. Alekseeva scores with a head-and-arm throw but fails to corral Dixon. The Englishwoman scrambles to her feet and secures a takedown of her own, then climbs to full mount. Half a round left. Alekseeva tries to bridge out but wastes valuable energy while doing so and ultimately fails. Dixon settles in mount, applies her ground-and-pound and fights through fatigue. Dixon moves to back control and peppers away with short punches, then threatens the neck. Alekseeva appears to have no fuel left in the tank. Dixon moves back to mount with 30 seconds to go and drops elbows, punches and hammerfists. It looks like Alekseeva will survive, but she eats more shots as the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dixon (29-28 Dixon)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dixon (29-28 Dixon)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Dixon (29-28 Dixon)
The Official Result
Melissa Dixon def. Irina Alekseeva—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo is confident in Melissa Mullins, praising her impressive striking and composure. He warns that she tends to initiate unnecessary clinches, which could play into Alekseeva's submission game, but he trusts her to keep distance and pick Alekseeva apart on the feet.
Big Brady picks Melissa Mullins to win by third-round TKO. He thinks the fight will be on the mat, where Mullins has good top control and ground-and-pound. He expects Alekseeva to slow down as the fight goes on, allowing Mullins to finish late.
Cody picks Mullins, citing her experience and well-rounded skills. He notes her takedown defense and ability to persevere, as seen in her win over an undefeated fighter. Cody believes Alekseeva is flashy but lacks substance, and that Mullins will take over as the fight goes on.
The host picks Melissa Mullins (referred to as Melissa Dixon) making her UFC debut. He praises her ability to close the pocket, get the fight to the ground, and maintain top control with great cardio. He expects her to finish Alexa in the latter half of the fight as Alexa slows down.
Paul picks Mullins, noting that Alekseeva missed weight in her debut and has not shown much. He believes Mullins has a more well-rounded skill set and that Alekseeva's only path is a quick submission. Paul expects Mullins to win a decision or get a late finish.
The MMA Guru picks Irina Alekseeva as an underdog over Melissa Mullins. He notes that Mullins is an undefeated prospect (5-0) but he doesn't trust undefeated women's prospects in the UFC, especially at age 32 making her debut. He criticizes Mullins' win over a 7-0 opponent, saying she was getting dominated before a premature stoppage. He believes Alekseeva has better standup and clinch strength, and has fought tougher opponents.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 18 of 44 | 40% | 18 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 18 of 44 | 40% | 18 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irina Alekseeva | 9 of 24 | 37% | 3 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 18 of 44 | 40% | 7 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irina Alekseeva | 9 of 24 | 37% | 3 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 18 of 44 | 40% | 7 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Egger, citing her legitimate judo pedigree and clinch advantage. He notes that Alekseeva has power but poor boxing and may struggle with Egger's clinch work. He expects the fight to end up in the clinch, where Egger has the edge. He also mentions that Alekseeva's competition level is questionable.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Egger's judo is much more technical and she is physically stronger. He points out that Alekseeva has a frame that makes it hard to build core strength, and she lacks the power to toss opponents around. Connor sees Egger as a clear favorite.
Paul picks Egger and has a PrizePicks play on her under 33.5 significant strikes, noting her low volume. He believes Egger will win but is not heavily invested due to the high price. He mentions that Egger is a low-volume fighter who looks for submissions rather than ground-and-pound.
Zane picks Egger because she is stronger, harder hitting, and has more technical judo. He notes that Alekseeva lacks core strength and struggles to complete takedowns, while Egger is scrappy and has been in tough fights. Zane believes Egger will easily flail into the clinch and dominate.
Stephanie Egger - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 0 | 53 of 104 | 50% | 97 of 161 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 7:44 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 44 of 115 | 38% | 112 of 193 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 42 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 36 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Luana Santos | 0 | 28 of 45 | 62% | 34 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 37 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Luana Santos | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 21 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 11 of 27 | 40% | 39 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 53 of 104 | 50% | 20 of 61 | 22 of 29 | 11 of 14 | 50 of 95 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 44 of 115 | 38% | 31 of 97 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 29 of 96 | 15 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 20 of 45 | 44% | 6 of 25 | 10 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 20 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 13 of 39 | 33% | 5 of 28 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 29 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Santos | 28 of 45 | 62% | 11 of 24 | 10 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 26 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 20 of 49 | 40% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 45 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Santos | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 11 of 27 | 40% | 7 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-185), Egger (+154)
Round 1
The final women’s bout on the card comes at a catchweight of 139 pounds, as former flyweight Santos (6-1, 1-0 UFC) tipped the scales three pounds heavy for her bantamweight bout against Egger (8-4, 3-3 UFC). The Swiss woman will come out with a heavier bag of cash than expected, as Santos has surrendered 20% of her fight purse as a result. The cage commander for this clash will be referee Herb Dean. There is an apologetic touch of gloves offered by the heavy woman to get things started, and it is accepted. Santos leads off with rangy, awkward strikes from strange angles. Egger keeps her guard high and parries most of the strikes that come her way, as Santos is overextending and winging strikes from various directions. Santos crowds her way in, throwing a clubbing right hand to get Egger’s attention, and she backs her off with a front kick. Egger shakes it off and plods forward, sticking out a jab and a right hand. Egger reaches out, dings the Brazilian on the cheek, and accidentally hooks her finger into Santos’ top. Dean allows them to reset so there is no wardrobe malfunction, and they return to their tit-for-tat striking exchanges. Egger pushes in and drives a knee to the chest, and Santos stops a throw attempt and turns Egger around. The two trade knees on the inside, and trip attempts fail from both sides. Egger gets a bit of space away from the cage as they continue to knee one another in the belly, and Santos keeps her hands on the Swiss woman to otherwise shut her down. Egger connects with a heel kick to the thigh and knees up the middle hard enough to stun Santos for a second, and she times a knee on the chin when Santos ducks down. The uneventful round ends with the two tied up.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Round 2
The two clap hands to get the second round started, and Egger paws out a jab shortly thereafter. Santos responds with three leg kicks, and Egger swings so hard that she falls on her hands. Santos cannot capitalize on this mistake, instead backing off to let the Swiss fighter stand back up. Egger slowly plods forward before swinging an overhand right at her foe, and this leads to a clinch to pick up where they left off, only with Egger the one pressing. Santos spins away, but she takes a knee on the break. Santos sticks out a one-two, and a low kick comes after it. Egger catches a front kick and lines up a right hand, and Santos shakes her head and continues throwing. Egger wings reckless punches, and Santos tries and fails to time a trip. The Brazilian settles for pushing Egger against the fence, until she manages to toss Egger to the canvas. Egger stands back up, fighting off hooks that Santos attempts to slide in, but Santos has her gripped from behind. Santos looks to drag Egger down from behind, until she turns to the side and gloms her full body weight on Egger. Egger attempts a Thai plum clinch, but Santos fights off the hands before Egger can knee her on the chin. Santos changes levels, but Egger fights this off and separates. Santos throws several punches and lands one, and Egger awkwardly throws back. Santos gets in two more left hands, and Egger cannot find her way in as Santos pecks at her and jabs her. Egger ignores the blows and chains three strong punches together that get Santos’ attention, leading Santos to force a clinch. Egger hacks with a downward elbow to try for any offense while pinned against the wire, and the round comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Egger
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Egger
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Egger
Round 3
There is one final clap of hands to start the round, and Egger pushes on the accelerator and bullies Santos back. Santos reaches with long jabs, and Egger grabs hold of her to knee her twice. The Brazilian takes advantage of this position by hip tossing Egger to the mat, dropping Egger right on her head. Santos looks for a scarf hold from there, but Egger deftly fights it off and forces her way back to the feet. As soon as Egger pushes Santos to the fence, Dean calls them to work. Santos muscles Egger around to press her back against the wall, and she peppers with light knees and foot stomps until Dean asks them for more activity. Santos continues to impose her weight until Dean steps in, and Santos takes a very deep breath. Egger thanks Dean for this by rushing after Santos, and she blasts Santos in the face with a long combination. When Santos walks away, Egger stands still, until the Swiss woman wades back into combat. Santos times this with a level change, and although she cannot get the fight to the mat, she squeezes the aggressive Egger against the cage. Santos knees the thigh and stomps Egger’s foot, and Dean continues to call for more work. With Santos doing nothing, Dean splits them up at the 45-second mark. Egger pushes forward until Santos attempts a takedown. Egger turns the corner and drags Santos to her knees, landing left hands as time ticks off the clock. A few pitter-patter strikes from Egger conclude the lackluster match.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Egger (29-28 Egger)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-10 (29-29)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Egger (29-28 Egger)
The Official Result
Luana Santos def. Stephanie Egger via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Cody picks Luana Santos. He notes that Santos is a much better striker with speed and cardio. He acknowledges Egger's size and grappling advantage but thinks Santos can survive early takedowns and win on the feet. Cody points out that Egger's striking is poor and she gasses. He believes Santos can keep the fight standing and outpoint Egger, or even finish her late.
Paul picks Luana Santos. He notes that Santos has a significant striking advantage and Egger's only path is takedowns. Paul points out that Egger doesn't do much with top control and judges don't reward it. He thinks Santos can get back to her feet and outland Egger. Paul is avoiding the 'CF dot model' and going with Santos.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 18 of 44 | 40% | 18 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irina Alekseeva | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 18 of 44 | 40% | 18 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irina Alekseeva | 9 of 24 | 37% | 3 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 18 of 44 | 40% | 7 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irina Alekseeva | 9 of 24 | 37% | 3 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 18 of 44 | 40% | 7 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Egger, citing her legitimate judo pedigree and clinch advantage. He notes that Alekseeva has power but poor boxing and may struggle with Egger's clinch work. He expects the fight to end up in the clinch, where Egger has the edge. He also mentions that Alekseeva's competition level is questionable.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Egger's judo is much more technical and she is physically stronger. He points out that Alekseeva has a frame that makes it hard to build core strength, and she lacks the power to toss opponents around. Connor sees Egger as a clear favorite.
Paul picks Egger and has a PrizePicks play on her under 33.5 significant strikes, noting her low volume. He believes Egger will win but is not heavily invested due to the high price. He mentions that Egger is a low-volume fighter who looks for submissions rather than ground-and-pound.
Zane picks Egger because she is stronger, harder hitting, and has more technical judo. He notes that Alekseeva lacks core strength and struggles to complete takedowns, while Egger is scrappy and has been in tough fights. Zane believes Egger will easily flail into the clinch and dominate.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 47 of 64 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 | 1 | 6:59 |
| Ailín Pérez | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 41 of 61 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Egger | 0 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 23 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 3:41 |
| Ailín Pérez | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 13 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Stephanie Egger | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 24 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 3:18 |
| Ailín Pérez | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 28 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Egger | 15 of 22 | 68% | 9 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 |
| Ailín Pérez | 16 of 34 | 47% | 7 of 20 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 8 of 25 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Egger | 8 of 11 | 72% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 |
| Ailín Pérez | 7 of 16 | 43% | 4 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Stephanie Egger | 7 of 11 | 63% | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Ailín Pérez | 9 of 18 | 50% | 3 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Stephanie Egger because she is a grappler with high-level judo takedowns and control positions. He notes that while Ailín Pérez is a good prospect who can bully opponents, Egger is likely to get the takedowns and work control. He thinks the odds are too wide and would consider betting on Pérez with a plus 3.5 round buy or a win inside distance decision no action prop.
Big Brady picks Stephanie Egger to win by first-round submission. He notes that Ailín Pérez has looked good but against very low-level competition, and this is a huge step up. He believes Egger's experience against better fighters and her ability to get the fight to the mat will be decisive, and that Pérez has faced no adversity and will struggle when she does.
Cody picks Stephanie Egger, noting that she is a judo black belt with strong clinch and ground game. He argues that Ailín Pérez is a low-level fighter with a padded record and poor competition. Egger should be able to take Pérez down and submit her, as she has done to similar opponents. Cody likes the under 35.5 significant strikes for Egger on PrizePicks, as her fights are usually grappling-heavy and low-volume.
Daniel Levi picks Ailín Pérez as an underdog, believing her physicality and aggression could overwhelm Stephanie Egger. He notes that Pérez likes to tie up and impose her will, which could neutralize Egger's judo. He acknowledges it's a 50/50 fight and that Pérez might get thrown, but he leans toward the upset.
The host leans towards Stephanie Egger, believing she is the better overall grappler and will be more proactive on the mat, possibly finding a submission or dominating from top position. However, he is hesitant to bet at -300, fearing that Pérez might transfer her regional success to the UFC. He predicts Egger inside the distance but will likely stay off the fight entirely.
Paul picks Stephanie Egger, echoing Cody's reasoning. He notes that Pérez is an Argentinian fighter with no notable wins and that Egger's judo and clinch work will be too much. Paul says he will not bet the chalk but expects Egger to win by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Stephanie Egger over Ailín Pérez, calling Egger a safe pick against a debutant. He notes that Pérez hasn't faced high-level competition and lacks submission skills, while Egger has strong grappling and judo. He predicts Egger will win by submission in the first round, as she is active and has momentum despite her recent loss.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 8 of 13 | 61% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stephanie Egger | 8 of 13 | 61% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-110), Egger (-110)
Round 1
This ESPN card has taken some hits right before it was set to go down, but it will proceed with 10 fights at the UFC Apex. The first comes in the women’s bantamweight category, as two finish-minded ladies each sporting stoppage rates at 75% or above toe the line. Brazil’s Bueno Silva (8-2-1, 3-2-1 UFC) will battle it out with well-rounded Egger (7-2, 2-1 UFC), and the referee in charge of their meeting is Chris Tognoni. The gloves get to touched to start off this evening’s violence, and the women measure their range and clash shins together with the first strikes of the night. Bueno Silva swats at her foe with a few punches, and Egger responds by grabbing her and hip tossing Bueno Silva over. Bueno Silva takes her back for a moment, only to get rolled around. When Egger claims top position, she starts smashing down punches and elbows. Egger falls into an armbar as she is throwing strikes, and Bueno Silva locks it up fast.
The Swiss fighter stacks her up, but she falls forward and the submission is tighter. Bueno Silva shouts to Tognoni that Egger tapped, and she lets go of the move and holds her arms up. Everyone is confused, because Egger does not admit she tapped out, and just glances at Tognoni with a quizzical look. After a few seconds of awkwardness, Tognoni waves the fight off, apparently from Bueno Silva’s claim of the tap.
Tognoni goes to consult the replay official to review the stoppage, and when this does not prove conclusive, he does the rare but proper call of polling the judges – this means, asking the judges what they saw and if there is something only seen from one of their vantage points. Judge Ron McCarthy declares that he clearly saw a tapout, and that is all that is needed to put this result in the books. A unique instance, but proper in the confines of the rules. Egger protests that she did not tap out, but it’s all over. This speedy submission for Bueno Silva goes down as one of the quickest in UFC women’s divisional history.
The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Stephanie Egger R1 1:17 via Submission (Armbar)
Angelo picks Mayra Bueno Silva despite her takedown defense concerns. He notes she defended 19 takedowns combined in her three fights where she was taken down, and believes her physicality and striking should get her the win. He acknowledges the risk of being controlled on the ground but trusts her ability to keep it standing enough to win a decision.
Big Brady favors Mayra Bueno Silva as a dog, citing her superior striking volume and power, as well as her dangerous grappling off her back. He notes that Stephanie Egger's grappling is solid but her striking is still developing, and he believes Bueno Silva can keep the fight on the feet and outpoint Egger. He also mentions that if taken down, Bueno Silva is extremely active and dangerous on the mat. He predicts a decision win for Bueno Silva.
Cody also picks Bueno Silva, agreeing that she has the striking advantage. He notes that Egger's only path is to get the fight to the ground, but Bueno Silva has shown durability and ability to survive bad spots. Cody is concerned about Bueno Silva's habit of shaking off punches, which may not impress judges. He thinks she wins but won't lay money.
Daniel Levi picks Bueno Silva at underdog odds, citing her power striking and ability to land damage on the feet. He worries about her takedown defense, as Egger has a strong grappling background, but believes Bueno Silva can win by knockout or submission if she avoids being controlled. He likes the value since the line flipped.
Paul picks Bueno Silva as a dog, noting that she is strong, physical, and durable. He mentions that Egger is a judoka who needs the clinch, while Bueno Silva wants to strike. Paul thinks Bueno Silva's power and tenacity will be enough to rough up Egger. He is waiting for a better price, as the line has moved to +117.
The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva, citing her toughness, durability, and excellent jiu-jitsu. He believes she can tough out positions and push the pace in later rounds, winning 29-28. He notes that Stephanie Egger's recent wins over Jessica-Rose Clark and others are not impressive, and that Bueno Silva has submissions and a draw with Montana De La Rosa.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 29 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Egger | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 29 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Egger | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Egger | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant, noting the odds are wide and Egger is a live underdog. He likes Clark's striking and newfound wrestling confidence, but warns if Clark doesn't mix in wrestling, she could struggle. He thinks Egger is much better than 2-to-1 odds suggest.
Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark, impressed by her recent fight IQ and game planning. He believes she has a significant striking advantage and can mix in takedowns. He sees no clear path to victory for Egger and predicts Clark wins by decision.
Cody leans toward Clark but is not confident. He notes that Clark is physically strong and has good clinch work, but Egger is a judo black belt with submissions. Cody thinks Clark's striking is better and that she can control the clinch, but he is wary of Egger's grappling. He doesn't love the price and suggests this fight is dicey.
Levi picks Clark, noting her well-rounded game and recent improvements in strength and conditioning. He believes she can stuff Egger's judo throws and keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage in boxing. Levi expects Clark to win a unanimous decision, possibly with takedowns of her own down the stretch.
Egger's judo could neutralize Clark's grappling; she can redirect momentum and get takedowns of her own. Clark's grappling is still developing, and she slowed down in her last fight. Egger by decision is the pick, with a submission prop at +800 as a possibility if Clark gets caught. The line movement toward Egger suggests value.
Paul struggles with this fight and does not make a clear pick. He notes that Clark's recent fights have been greasy and that Egger is strong in judo. He is not interested in betting Clark at -190 and seems to pass on the fight.
The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark to win by decision. He believes Clark's athleticism and boxing will be the difference, as she has good grappling and trains at AKA. He thinks the grappling will cancel out and that Clark will out-strike Egger on the feet, winning 29-28 in a boring fashion.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 29 of 42 | 69% | 62 of 84 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:28 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 26 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Egger | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 34 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Stephanie Egger | 0 | 15 of 19 | 78% | 28 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 16 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Egger | 29 of 42 | 69% | 20 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 14 |
| Shanna Young | 22 of 50 | 44% | 8 of 31 | 11 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Egger | 14 of 23 | 60% | 8 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 |
| Shanna Young | 9 of 25 | 36% | 3 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Stephanie Egger | 15 of 19 | 78% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Shanna Young | 13 of 25 | 52% | 5 of 13 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Shanna Young, expecting her to use her traditional wrestling to take down Stephanie Egger, following the Tracy Cortez game plan. He notes that Shanna is a solid boxer with decent power and good wrestling, but has gaps in BJJ. He acknowledges that Stephanie is capable of keeping opponents at bay and grinding against the cage, which could lead to a boring win for Egger. Angelo is not confident and says he has no bets on this fight, calling it a sloppy matchup.
Big Brady picks Stephanie Egger to win by decision, but is hesitant because Egger looked awful in her UFC debut against Tracy Cortez despite looking good against lower competition. He notes Egger is a judo black belt with solid grappling, while Shanna Young has poor takedown defense and was submitted by Sarah Alpar. He would have liked Egger at plus money but passes at minus 130.
Cody picks Egger but is conflicted. He notes that Egger has good judo and grappling but poor striking. Young has not trained properly and just had a baby, but Egger's striking is abysmal. He expects Egger to get the fight to the ground and win by decision or submission. He suggests this fight is a pass.
Daniel Levi picks Stephanie Egger, viewing it as a striker vs grappler matchup. He thinks Young has the advantage on the feet, but Egger's judo and ground game should be decisive if she can get the fight to the mat. He notes Young was submitted by Sarah Alpar, indicating poor grappling. Levi is not highly confident because the fight is low-level by UFC standards, but he expects Egger to grind out a win or get a submission.
I think Egger's grappling is the key here. Young got outmuscled by Macy Chiasson and has shown poor defensive grappling. Egger is a decorated judoka with good jiu-jitsu, and she should be able to get the fight to the ground and control it. I like Egger by submission at +500 or +600 as a prop, but the moneyline at -130 is also fine.
Paul leans towards Egger but is not confident. He mentions that Young has red flags (not training properly, just had a baby) but Egger's striking is poor. He thinks Egger's grappling could be the difference but is unsure.
The MMA Guru picks Stephanie Egger as an upset, citing her massive grappling advantage over Shanna Young. He notes that Young has shown issues dealing with grapplers, as seen in losses to Macy Chiasson and Sarah Alpar. Egger has a judo background and a reach advantage, which should help her on the feet. He predicts Egger will push Young against the cage, take her down, and win a unanimous decision by controlling the ground.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 66 of 109 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 9:58 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 27 of 70 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 2:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 13 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:34 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 31 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 22 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:59 |
| Stephanie Egger | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 8 of 19 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 20 of 42 | 47% | 11 of 28 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 8 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 11 of 16 |
| Stephanie Egger | 10 of 32 | 31% | 6 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 29 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 6 of 14 | 42% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Stephanie Egger | 6 of 16 | 37% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 6 of 13 | 46% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 |
| Stephanie Egger | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 8 of 15 | 53% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 7 |
| Stephanie Egger | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Egger, citing her size advantage (3-inch height), legitimate ground game, and takedown ability. He notes Cortez has been reversed and put in bad spots on the mat, and that Egger is the bigger woman. He believes the fight should be closer to a pick'em and expects Egger to win by decision or submission.
Daniel leans with Tracy Cortez, believing her wrestling is better suited for MMA than Egger's judo. He notes that pulling guard in MMA is risky against a wrestler. He expects Cortez to get takedowns and win a decision. However, he cautions that Cortez is still green and wouldn't bet heavily on her.
Egger has size, strength, and judo advantages; she can reverse clinch positions and control on the ground. Cortez is undersized and may struggle to get takedowns. Egger's cardio is a concern, but she should win the first two rounds and survive the third for a decision.
The Guru picks Cortez, citing her better competition, experience, and record. He notes Egger is taking the fight on short notice and expects Cortez to grind out a unanimous decision by winning the second and third rounds.
Expert Picks (4)
Cody picks Egger, citing her legitimate judo pedigree and clinch advantage. He notes that Alekseeva has power but poor boxing and may struggle with Egger's clinch work. He expects the fight to end up in the clinch, where Egger has the edge. He also mentions that Alekseeva's competition level is questionable.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Egger's judo is much more technical and she is physically stronger. He points out that Alekseeva has a frame that makes it hard to build core strength, and she lacks the power to toss opponents around. Connor sees Egger as a clear favorite.
Paul picks Egger and has a PrizePicks play on her under 33.5 significant strikes, noting her low volume. He believes Egger will win but is not heavily invested due to the high price. He mentions that Egger is a low-volume fighter who looks for submissions rather than ground-and-pound.
Zane picks Egger because she is stronger, harder hitting, and has more technical judo. He notes that Alekseeva lacks core strength and struggles to complete takedowns, while Egger is scrappy and has been in tough fights. Zane believes Egger will easily flail into the clinch and dominate.
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