UFC on ESPN: Song vs. Simon · Apr 29, 2023 · Catchweight (140 lb) · Completed
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Age 35
Height 5' 8"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Irina Alekseeva
3.42 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
5.02 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.38 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Stephanie Egger
2.2 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
2.48 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
2.48 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Irina Alekseeva
Moneyline
BetRivers +400
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1800
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
FanDuel +470
Stephanie Egger
Moneyline
BetWay -333
KO/TKO
BetRivers +700
Submission
BetMGM +225
Decision
FanDuel +195
Irina Alekseeva - Fight History
Submission R2 2:14 · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Beatriz Mesquita 0 36 of 63 57% 61 of 98 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:53
Irina Alekseeva 0 6 of 23 26% 17 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Beatriz Mesquita 0 36 of 58 62% 56 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:47
Irina Alekseeva 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Beatriz Mesquita 0 0 of 5 0% 5 of 10 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:06
Irina Alekseeva 0 3 of 10 30% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Beatriz Mesquita 36 of 63 57% 35 of 62 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 34 of 52
Irina Alekseeva 6 of 23 26% 3 of 12 0 of 3 3 of 8 6 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Beatriz Mesquita 36 of 58 62% 35 of 57 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 34 of 52
Irina Alekseeva 3 of 13 23% 2 of 8 0 of 2 1 of 3 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Beatriz Mesquita 0 of 5 0% 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Irina Alekseeva 3 of 10 30% 1 of 4 0 of 1 2 of 5 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Irina Alekseeva vs. Beatriz Mesquita
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mesquita (-600); Alekseeva (+450)

Round 1
The final women’s match of the day comes at 135 pounds between a newcomer and a Russian who likely is on the last fight of her initial four-bout deal with the UFC. Uber-talented grappler Mesquita (5-0, 0-0 UFC)—one of the best female grapplers ever, with more gold medals than Michael Phelps—gets to ply her trade in the Octagon. She faces a foe who calls herself “Russian Ronda,” but Alekseeva (5-3, 1-2 UFC) only sports one armbar in her career to date. What could be an interesting ground-based matchup will be officiated by referee Marc Goddard. The ladies tap their gloves together to engage.
Alekseeva assumes the center of the cage, while Mesquita keeps a wide berth away from practically anything the Russian tosses at her. Alekseeva gets off a jab or two, probing while the local contingent in the building call for her demise. Mesquita introduces herself a minute in with a chopping kick and a right hand, and she scores another when rushing towards “Russian Ronda” for a clinch to takedown effort. Mesquita presses Alekseeva to the wall, kicks off the fencing to creatively put Alekseeva on her back, and lands in full mount. Mesquita sells out looking for a finish via strikes, beating on Alekseeva like a rented mule. Punches and elbows continue to blast Alekseeva in the face, and a particularly harsh 12-to-6 elbow draws some blood on Alekseeva’s nose.
The grappler has Alekseeva flat on her back, bludgeoning her with punches and elbows as she sees fit, and she calms herself down rather than succumbing to an adrenaline dump hunting for the stoppage. No matter which way Alekseeva twists and bucks, Mesquita is comfortable on top of her making her day a bad one. Mesquita considers an arm-triangle choke, snaking her left arm behind the head, but she instead unloads with blistering elbows as Goddard is watching quite closely. The elbows have split Alekseeva open, and blood starts to pool in her eye socket. Mesquita sits up and considers an armbar, but instead postures up with seconds to go to rain down hellacious punches and elbows. Alekseeva somehow makes it to the bell, but if the second round goes anything like that, it may be a quick night at the office for the Brazilian.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Mesquita

Round 2
The Russian cleans up well between rounds, the blood all wiped away but her face undoubtedly showing some swelling…everywhere. Nevertheless, she works her way out of her corner and leads the dance with punches and kicks. With Mesquita constantly circling on the outer edge of the cage, Alekseeva has time to chip and probe with distant strikes. Mesquita clips her with a right hand, and she smoothly elevates and dumps Alekseeva to the floor effortlessly. By the time “Bia” hits the floor, she is somehow already in half guard, able to take side control if she moves just a slight bit up. Instead, her controlling posture shuts down Alekseeva, and she deftly advances to full mount.
Alekseeva bucks and turns to her back, and the textbook rear-naked choke from Mesquita is almost instantly set up. The grappling ace cinches her forearm beneath the chin without much resistance, and she rolls over to her back while leaning against the fencing to put as much pressure on the Russian as she can. Alekseeva’s arms start to show some slack as she stops fighting, and right before she goes out, her nose squirting a stream of blood in a less brutal version of Demian Maia vs. Rick Story, Alekseeva surrenders.
It was one-way traffic for the Brazilian, who makes a splash in her promotional debut and sets her sights on the top of her division.

The Official Result
Beatriz Mesquita def. Irina Alekseeva R2 2:14 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Angelo picks Beatriz Mesquita due to her elite grappling, calling her a 'death touch' on the ground. He believes if the fight goes to the ground, Bia wins. However, he warns against betting at -600 odds, as Irina is tough and has grappling of her own. He suggests waiting for better odds in future fights.

stay away from -600 odds
"I do think Bia wins this fight. I think it ends up on the ground somehow. And when it ends up on the ground, she'll take over. So she's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Big Brady picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by second-round TKO. He describes her as one of the best female grapplers in the world with a legit BJJ black belt and vicious ground and pound. He criticizes Irina Alekseeva as one of the worst fighters on the roster, with sloppy striking and no ground game. He expects Mesquita to get the fight down and finish quickly.

TKO
"I see Mosquita going out there getting her down at some point. And once she does, I think she's going to smash. So give me B Mosquito to win this fight by second round TKO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Cody picks Mesquita, noting her grappling credentials and Alekseeva's poor judo-based defense. He believes Mesquita will easily take her down and submit her. He calls it a straightforward fight.

submission
"I think this fight is very straightforward. I think Mosqu either subs her in the first round."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Lucrative James is confident in Beatriz Mesquita, a 10-time BJJ world champion, to submit Irina Alekseeva. He notes that Alekseeva has poor grappling and tends to engage in it despite being outmatched. He expects Mesquita to take her down and finish, likely in round two or three, as Mesquita is not a fast starter. He sees this as a setup fight for Mesquita.

"I honestly think that Alex Eva is probably going to play in the grappling here, which is insane against a grappling whiz like Beatric."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Manpreet is very confident in Mesquita, expecting her to submit Alekseeva early. He notes Alekseeva's poor takedown defense and Mesquita's elite BJJ. He recommends the under 1.5 rounds or Mesquita by submission prop as better bets than the moneyline.

Mesquita by submission (+135); under 1.5 rounds (+130)
"I think Mesquita probably gets this done early and gets that first round submission here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Paul picks Mesquita, calling it a 'CF dot model' fight. He notes her world-class jiu-jitsu and training at American Top Team, while Alekseeva is a fraud with poor striking and takedown defense. He expects a submission win.

submission
"I think Mosqu either subs her in the first round, the very least neutralizes her for two rounds."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

The MMA Guru picks Beatriz Mesquita over Irina Alekseeva, highlighting Mesquita's elite BJJ credentials and submission wins over Misha Tate and Jennifer Maia. He notes Alekseeva has lost to lesser competition and is 'double beneath' what he thought. He predicts a submission in the first or second round.

submission in round 1 or 2
"I'm going to go with Beia Mita by submission over Ina Alexa in the first or second round."
LOSS vs Klaudia Syguła
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Irina Alekseeva 0 63 of 178 35% 74 of 200 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Klaudia Syguła 0 101 of 181 55% 156 of 248 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Irina Alekseeva 0 35 of 92 38% 35 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Klaudia Syguła 0 53 of 85 62% 53 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Irina Alekseeva 0 19 of 70 27% 19 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Klaudia Syguła 0 29 of 63 46% 29 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Irina Alekseeva 0 9 of 16 56% 20 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Klaudia Syguła 0 19 of 33 57% 74 of 100 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Irina Alekseeva 63 of 178 35% 35 of 121 16 of 31 12 of 26 58 of 170 5 of 8 0 of 0
Klaudia Syguła 101 of 181 55% 63 of 133 21 of 30 17 of 18 93 of 171 5 of 6 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Irina Alekseeva 35 of 92 38% 20 of 66 8 of 17 7 of 9 34 of 89 1 of 3 0 of 0
Klaudia Syguła 53 of 85 62% 35 of 62 8 of 13 10 of 10 52 of 83 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Irina Alekseeva 19 of 70 27% 11 of 45 4 of 9 4 of 16 19 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Klaudia Syguła 29 of 63 46% 15 of 45 7 of 10 7 of 8 29 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Irina Alekseeva 9 of 16 56% 4 of 10 4 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 11 4 of 5 0 of 0
Klaudia Syguła 19 of 33 57% 13 of 26 6 of 7 0 of 0 12 of 25 4 of 4 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Irina Alekseeva

Angelo picks Irina Alekseeva, noting her sambo background and ability to toss opponents. He mentions she is tough and moves forward, but has a two-year layoff which adds uncertainty. He thinks Claudia's clinch work will lead to her getting thrown. He is confident in the win but cautious about the layoff affecting performance.

Mentions $8,900 price point as tricky; considers her for fantasy but with caution due to layoff.
"I am going to pick Arena. $8,900 is like right there. It's another fighter that I'm pretty confident in, but once I'm looking at the pricing, it gets a little tricky."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Irina Alekseeva

Big Brady picks Irina Alekseeva, despite thinking she is not UFC level, because Syguła is even worse. He notes Syguła has poor ground game and has been finished on the mat multiple times. Alekseeva has solid judo and strength to get the fight to the ground. Brady predicts Alekseeva wins by first-round submission, likely an arm.

first round submission
"I'm going to go Arena Alexa. I'll take her to win by first round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Irina Alekseeva

The host likes Alekseeva but is not hot on the -255 line. He thinks her physicality will put Syguła in bad positions, leading to a ground-and-pound finish. He finds the under 2.5 rounds at plus money intriguing and predicts Alekseeva inside the distance.

under 2.5 rounds at plus money
"I really like me some Alex CA here, but I'm not too hot about that minus 255 line. I think her physicality will allow her to put Shigula into bad positions and I think that would actually lead to Alex …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Irina Alekseeva

The MMA Guru picks Irina Alekseeva, dismissing Klaudia Syguła as a 'project' brought in for her looks. He notes Alekseeva has UFC wins, including a submission via knee bar, and is more well-rounded. He also comments on Syguła's poor debut and suggests Alekseeva is physically stronger.

"I'm going with Ireina Alexa. And there's a little known trick to predicting women's MMA fights where ignore what you see when it comes to record."
LOSS vs Melissa Mullins
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Melissa Mullins 1 48 of 108 44% 60 of 126 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:50
Irina Alekseeva 0 52 of 95 54% 87 of 148 0 of 1 0% 0 0 8:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Melissa Mullins 1 30 of 60 50% 37 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Irina Alekseeva 0 23 of 37 62% 32 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
2 Melissa Mullins 0 8 of 20 40% 10 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Irina Alekseeva 0 12 of 21 57% 24 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:43
3 Melissa Mullins 0 10 of 28 35% 13 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Irina Alekseeva 0 17 of 37 45% 31 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Melissa Mullins 48 of 108 44% 23 of 72 2 of 7 23 of 29 44 of 99 2 of 4 2 of 5
Irina Alekseeva 52 of 95 54% 47 of 89 5 of 6 0 of 0 42 of 76 1 of 1 9 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Melissa Mullins 30 of 60 50% 11 of 35 1 of 4 18 of 21 26 of 51 2 of 4 2 of 5
Irina Alekseeva 23 of 37 62% 21 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0 22 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Melissa Mullins 8 of 20 40% 2 of 10 1 of 2 5 of 8 8 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Irina Alekseeva 12 of 21 57% 12 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 8
3 Melissa Mullins 10 of 28 35% 10 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Irina Alekseeva 17 of 37 45% 14 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0 12 of 27 0 of 0 5 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Irina Alekseeva vs. Melissa Dixon
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dixon (-148), Alekseeva (+124)

Round 1
The line moves forward with a women’s bantamweight tilt pitting Alekseeva (5-1, 1-0 UFC) against the undefeated Dixon (5-0, 0-0 UFC). Mark Smith serves as the referee. They touch gloves and get going. Alekseeva hammers away with kicks to the inside and outside of the lead leg. Dixon test the water with her jab, but eats a sweeping left hook. Dixon follows a jab with hooks from both hands. Alekseeva moves forward. Dixon fires a jab through her defenses. Alekseeva lands a knee strike from the clinch, then gets warned for pulling Dixon’s hair. Dixon lands in combination, all set up by her excellent jab. Alekseeva slings powerful but unfocused punches. She steps into a right hand, floors Dixon and jumps into full guard. Alekseeva drops elbows but allows Dixon to get back to her feet. Alekseeva shots on the hips and secures a takedown. Both women have had their moments with a minute left in the round, though the knockdown figures to be the separator. Dixon works her way to the back with ground-and-pound and secures her position with hooks.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Alekseeva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alekseeva
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Alekseeva

Round 2
Dixon blocks a head kick, eats an inside leg kick and gets going with the jab again. She doubles up on the punch, then cut loose with power punches. Alekseeva returns to swinging for the fences. Nothing lands. Back in the center of the cage, Dixon times a thudding right hand and then trips the Russian to the floor. She moves immediately to full mount and pounds away with punches, elbows and forearm strikes. Dixon floats to the back and secures position with hooks. She brilliantly uses a half nelson to maintain back control, piles up points with hammerfists and locks in a body triangle. Dixon moves back to mount, connects with an elbow and returns to back control. The newcomer may have found a clear path to victory here.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dixon
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dixon
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Dixon

Round 3
Dixon stars the final round with her jab, sneaks in a left hook and avoids a wild spinning backfist. Alekseeva presses forward and nearly surrenders a takedown. She looks exhausted. Dixon connects with a one-two. Alekseeva marches forward almost maniacally with straight punches. Dixon wearing considerable damage but appears to have the upper hand here. Alekseeva scores with a head-and-arm throw but fails to corral Dixon. The Englishwoman scrambles to her feet and secures a takedown of her own, then climbs to full mount. Half a round left. Alekseeva tries to bridge out but wastes valuable energy while doing so and ultimately fails. Dixon settles in mount, applies her ground-and-pound and fights through fatigue. Dixon moves to back control and peppers away with short punches, then threatens the neck. Alekseeva appears to have no fuel left in the tank. Dixon moves back to mount with 30 seconds to go and drops elbows, punches and hammerfists. It looks like Alekseeva will survive, but she eats more shots as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dixon (29-28 Dixon)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dixon (29-28 Dixon)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Dixon (29-28 Dixon)

The Official Result
Melissa Dixon def. Irina Alekseeva—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Angelo is confident in Melissa Mullins, praising her impressive striking and composure. He warns that she tends to initiate unnecessary clinches, which could play into Alekseeva's submission game, but he trusts her to keep distance and pick Alekseeva apart on the feet.

"Melissa should run away with this fight her striking is very very imp like very impressive striking"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Big Brady picks Melissa Mullins to win by third-round TKO. He thinks the fight will be on the mat, where Mullins has good top control and ground-and-pound. He expects Alekseeva to slow down as the fight goes on, allowing Mullins to finish late.

Mullins by TKO in round 3
"I'm going to take Melissa Dixon to win this fight I'll take her to win this fight by third round TKO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Cody picks Mullins, citing her experience and well-rounded skills. He notes her takedown defense and ability to persevere, as seen in her win over an undefeated fighter. Cody believes Alekseeva is flashy but lacks substance, and that Mullins will take over as the fight goes on.

"Melissa Dixon is the pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

The host picks Melissa Mullins (referred to as Melissa Dixon) making her UFC debut. He praises her ability to close the pocket, get the fight to the ground, and maintain top control with great cardio. He expects her to finish Alexa in the latter half of the fight as Alexa slows down.

by finish in latter half
"I fully expect Dixon to go out there control this fight for at least a round and a half two rounds and then eventually fin a finish in the latter half of this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Paul picks Mullins, noting that Alekseeva missed weight in her debut and has not shown much. He believes Mullins has a more well-rounded skill set and that Alekseeva's only path is a quick submission. Paul expects Mullins to win a decision or get a late finish.

"I'll side with you on Melissa Dixon"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Irina Alekseeva

The MMA Guru picks Irina Alekseeva as an underdog over Melissa Mullins. He notes that Mullins is an undefeated prospect (5-0) but he doesn't trust undefeated women's prospects in the UFC, especially at age 32 making her debut. He criticizes Mullins' win over a 7-0 opponent, saying she was getting dominated before a premature stoppage. He believes Alekseeva has better standup and clinch strength, and has fought tougher opponents.

"I'm going to go of the underdog of Irena Alex Sia um I think she's got a bit more grit on the feet"
Submission (kneebar) R1 2:11 · UFC on ESPN: Song vs. Simon · Apr 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Irina Alekseeva 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stephanie Egger 0 18 of 44 40% 18 of 44 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Irina Alekseeva 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stephanie Egger 0 18 of 44 40% 18 of 44 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Irina Alekseeva 9 of 24 37% 3 of 17 0 of 0 6 of 7 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 18 of 44 40% 7 of 31 7 of 8 4 of 5 17 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Irina Alekseeva 9 of 24 37% 3 of 17 0 of 0 6 of 7 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 18 of 44 40% 7 of 31 7 of 8 4 of 5 17 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Cody picks Egger, citing her legitimate judo pedigree and clinch advantage. He notes that Alekseeva has power but poor boxing and may struggle with Egger's clinch work. He expects the fight to end up in the clinch, where Egger has the edge. He also mentions that Alekseeva's competition level is questionable.

"gotta go with Stephanie Edgar but you know talking about spots you always get burned on Pat Mayo would throw all of this logic out the window"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Egger's judo is much more technical and she is physically stronger. He points out that Alekseeva has a frame that makes it hard to build core strength, and she lacks the power to toss opponents around. Connor sees Egger as a clear favorite.

"I mean i'm just gonna steal your thunder and say stephanie agar's is much more... she's solid at the moment. She's like stronger and harder hitting and her judo is much more technical."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Paul picks Egger and has a PrizePicks play on her under 33.5 significant strikes, noting her low volume. He believes Egger will win but is not heavily invested due to the high price. He mentions that Egger is a low-volume fighter who looks for submissions rather than ground-and-pound.

Stephanie Egger under 33.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"Edgar in terms of my prize picks play there never got over 30 significant strikes"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Zane picks Egger because she is stronger, harder hitting, and has more technical judo. He notes that Alekseeva lacks core strength and struggles to complete takedowns, while Egger is scrappy and has been in tough fights. Zane believes Egger will easily flail into the clinch and dominate.

Odds comment: Egger opened at -290 and stayed there; Alekseeva opened at +247.
"I'm taking agar. I mean agar is agar has been in a ton of really difficult fights... I think she's going to have a really easy time just sort of flailing her way into the clinch"
Stephanie Egger - Fight History
LOSS vs Luana Santos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Santos 0 53 of 104 50% 97 of 161 2 of 4 50% 0 0 7:44
Stephanie Egger 0 44 of 115 38% 112 of 193 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Santos 0 20 of 45 44% 42 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:34
Stephanie Egger 0 13 of 39 33% 36 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Luana Santos 0 28 of 45 62% 34 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:28
Stephanie Egger 0 20 of 49 40% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Luana Santos 0 5 of 14 35% 21 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:42
Stephanie Egger 0 11 of 27 40% 39 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Santos 53 of 104 50% 20 of 61 22 of 29 11 of 14 50 of 95 3 of 9 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 44 of 115 38% 31 of 97 13 of 17 0 of 1 29 of 96 15 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Santos 20 of 45 44% 6 of 25 10 of 14 4 of 6 20 of 44 0 of 1 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 13 of 39 33% 5 of 28 8 of 10 0 of 1 5 of 29 8 of 10 0 of 0
2 Luana Santos 28 of 45 62% 11 of 24 10 of 13 7 of 8 26 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 20 of 49 40% 19 of 47 1 of 2 0 of 0 18 of 45 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Luana Santos 5 of 14 35% 3 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 1 of 5 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 11 of 27 40% 7 of 22 4 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 22 5 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Stephanie Egger vs. Luana Santos (139: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-185), Egger (+154)

Round 1
The final women’s bout on the card comes at a catchweight of 139 pounds, as former flyweight Santos (6-1, 1-0 UFC) tipped the scales three pounds heavy for her bantamweight bout against Egger (8-4, 3-3 UFC). The Swiss woman will come out with a heavier bag of cash than expected, as Santos has surrendered 20% of her fight purse as a result. The cage commander for this clash will be referee Herb Dean. There is an apologetic touch of gloves offered by the heavy woman to get things started, and it is accepted. Santos leads off with rangy, awkward strikes from strange angles. Egger keeps her guard high and parries most of the strikes that come her way, as Santos is overextending and winging strikes from various directions. Santos crowds her way in, throwing a clubbing right hand to get Egger’s attention, and she backs her off with a front kick. Egger shakes it off and plods forward, sticking out a jab and a right hand. Egger reaches out, dings the Brazilian on the cheek, and accidentally hooks her finger into Santos’ top. Dean allows them to reset so there is no wardrobe malfunction, and they return to their tit-for-tat striking exchanges. Egger pushes in and drives a knee to the chest, and Santos stops a throw attempt and turns Egger around. The two trade knees on the inside, and trip attempts fail from both sides. Egger gets a bit of space away from the cage as they continue to knee one another in the belly, and Santos keeps her hands on the Swiss woman to otherwise shut her down. Egger connects with a heel kick to the thigh and knees up the middle hard enough to stun Santos for a second, and she times a knee on the chin when Santos ducks down. The uneventful round ends with the two tied up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 2
The two clap hands to get the second round started, and Egger paws out a jab shortly thereafter. Santos responds with three leg kicks, and Egger swings so hard that she falls on her hands. Santos cannot capitalize on this mistake, instead backing off to let the Swiss fighter stand back up. Egger slowly plods forward before swinging an overhand right at her foe, and this leads to a clinch to pick up where they left off, only with Egger the one pressing. Santos spins away, but she takes a knee on the break. Santos sticks out a one-two, and a low kick comes after it. Egger catches a front kick and lines up a right hand, and Santos shakes her head and continues throwing. Egger wings reckless punches, and Santos tries and fails to time a trip. The Brazilian settles for pushing Egger against the fence, until she manages to toss Egger to the canvas. Egger stands back up, fighting off hooks that Santos attempts to slide in, but Santos has her gripped from behind. Santos looks to drag Egger down from behind, until she turns to the side and gloms her full body weight on Egger. Egger attempts a Thai plum clinch, but Santos fights off the hands before Egger can knee her on the chin. Santos changes levels, but Egger fights this off and separates. Santos throws several punches and lands one, and Egger awkwardly throws back. Santos gets in two more left hands, and Egger cannot find her way in as Santos pecks at her and jabs her. Egger ignores the blows and chains three strong punches together that get Santos’ attention, leading Santos to force a clinch. Egger hacks with a downward elbow to try for any offense while pinned against the wire, and the round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Egger
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Egger
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Egger

Round 3
There is one final clap of hands to start the round, and Egger pushes on the accelerator and bullies Santos back. Santos reaches with long jabs, and Egger grabs hold of her to knee her twice. The Brazilian takes advantage of this position by hip tossing Egger to the mat, dropping Egger right on her head. Santos looks for a scarf hold from there, but Egger deftly fights it off and forces her way back to the feet. As soon as Egger pushes Santos to the fence, Dean calls them to work. Santos muscles Egger around to press her back against the wall, and she peppers with light knees and foot stomps until Dean asks them for more activity. Santos continues to impose her weight until Dean steps in, and Santos takes a very deep breath. Egger thanks Dean for this by rushing after Santos, and she blasts Santos in the face with a long combination. When Santos walks away, Egger stands still, until the Swiss woman wades back into combat. Santos times this with a level change, and although she cannot get the fight to the mat, she squeezes the aggressive Egger against the cage. Santos knees the thigh and stomps Egger’s foot, and Dean continues to call for more work. With Santos doing nothing, Dean splits them up at the 45-second mark. Egger pushes forward until Santos attempts a takedown. Egger turns the corner and drags Santos to her knees, landing left hands as time ticks off the clock. A few pitter-patter strikes from Egger conclude the lackluster match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Egger (29-28 Egger)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-10 (29-29)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Egger (29-28 Egger)

The Official Result
Luana Santos def. Stephanie Egger via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luana Santos

Cody picks Luana Santos. He notes that Santos is a much better striker with speed and cardio. He acknowledges Egger's size and grappling advantage but thinks Santos can survive early takedowns and win on the feet. Cody points out that Egger's striking is poor and she gasses. He believes Santos can keep the fight standing and outpoint Egger, or even finish her late.

"I got to stick with Santos"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luana Santos

Paul picks Luana Santos. He notes that Santos has a significant striking advantage and Egger's only path is takedowns. Paul points out that Egger doesn't do much with top control and judges don't reward it. He thinks Santos can get back to her feet and outland Egger. Paul is avoiding the 'CF dot model' and going with Santos.

"I am avoiding the CF dot model the pat Mayo special here I'm going with Santos as well"
LOSS vs Irina Alekseeva
Submission (kneebar) R1 2:11 · UFC on ESPN: Song vs. Simon · Apr 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Irina Alekseeva 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stephanie Egger 0 18 of 44 40% 18 of 44 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Irina Alekseeva 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stephanie Egger 0 18 of 44 40% 18 of 44 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Irina Alekseeva 9 of 24 37% 3 of 17 0 of 0 6 of 7 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 18 of 44 40% 7 of 31 7 of 8 4 of 5 17 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Irina Alekseeva 9 of 24 37% 3 of 17 0 of 0 6 of 7 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 18 of 44 40% 7 of 31 7 of 8 4 of 5 17 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Cody picks Egger, citing her legitimate judo pedigree and clinch advantage. He notes that Alekseeva has power but poor boxing and may struggle with Egger's clinch work. He expects the fight to end up in the clinch, where Egger has the edge. He also mentions that Alekseeva's competition level is questionable.

"gotta go with Stephanie Edgar but you know talking about spots you always get burned on Pat Mayo would throw all of this logic out the window"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Egger's judo is much more technical and she is physically stronger. He points out that Alekseeva has a frame that makes it hard to build core strength, and she lacks the power to toss opponents around. Connor sees Egger as a clear favorite.

"I mean i'm just gonna steal your thunder and say stephanie agar's is much more... she's solid at the moment. She's like stronger and harder hitting and her judo is much more technical."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Paul picks Egger and has a PrizePicks play on her under 33.5 significant strikes, noting her low volume. He believes Egger will win but is not heavily invested due to the high price. He mentions that Egger is a low-volume fighter who looks for submissions rather than ground-and-pound.

Stephanie Egger under 33.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"Edgar in terms of my prize picks play there never got over 30 significant strikes"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Zane picks Egger because she is stronger, harder hitting, and has more technical judo. He notes that Alekseeva lacks core strength and struggles to complete takedowns, while Egger is scrappy and has been in tough fights. Zane believes Egger will easily flail into the clinch and dominate.

Odds comment: Egger opened at -290 and stayed there; Alekseeva opened at +247.
"I'm taking agar. I mean agar is agar has been in a ton of really difficult fights... I think she's going to have a really easy time just sort of flailing her way into the clinch"
WIN vs Ailín Pérez
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:54 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Sep 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stephanie Egger 0 15 of 22 68% 47 of 64 2 of 7 28% 1 1 6:59
Ailín Pérez 0 16 of 34 47% 41 of 61 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stephanie Egger 0 8 of 11 72% 23 of 32 1 of 4 25% 0 1 3:41
Ailín Pérez 0 7 of 16 43% 13 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:31
2 Stephanie Egger 0 7 of 11 63% 24 of 32 1 of 3 33% 1 0 3:18
Ailín Pérez 0 9 of 18 50% 28 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stephanie Egger 15 of 22 68% 9 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 3 5 of 11 3 of 3 7 of 8
Ailín Pérez 16 of 34 47% 7 of 20 9 of 12 0 of 2 8 of 25 6 of 6 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stephanie Egger 8 of 11 72% 6 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 7
Ailín Pérez 7 of 16 43% 4 of 11 3 of 4 0 of 1 3 of 11 3 of 3 1 of 2
2 Stephanie Egger 7 of 11 63% 3 of 7 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1
Ailín Pérez 9 of 18 50% 3 of 9 6 of 8 0 of 1 5 of 14 3 of 3 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Angelo picks Stephanie Egger because she is a grappler with high-level judo takedowns and control positions. He notes that while Ailín Pérez is a good prospect who can bully opponents, Egger is likely to get the takedowns and work control. He thinks the odds are too wide and would consider betting on Pérez with a plus 3.5 round buy or a win inside distance decision no action prop.

Odds are stupid; would consider betting on Pérez with plus 3.5 round buy or win inside distance decision no action
"i am going to pick stephanie edgar here but that's insane to bet her on money line those odds are stupid"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Big Brady picks Stephanie Egger to win by first-round submission. He notes that Ailín Pérez has looked good but against very low-level competition, and this is a huge step up. He believes Egger's experience against better fighters and her ability to get the fight to the mat will be decisive, and that Pérez has faced no adversity and will struggle when she does.

first round submission
"give me stephanie yeager to win stephanie eager to win by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Cody picks Stephanie Egger, noting that she is a judo black belt with strong clinch and ground game. He argues that Ailín Pérez is a low-level fighter with a padded record and poor competition. Egger should be able to take Pérez down and submit her, as she has done to similar opponents. Cody likes the under 35.5 significant strikes for Egger on PrizePicks, as her fights are usually grappling-heavy and low-volume.

Egger under 35.5 significant strikes; Egger wins by submission (+225)
"I'm gonna pick edgar to win i wouldn't better at chalk... edgar by sub."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Daniel Levi picks Ailín Pérez as an underdog, believing her physicality and aggression could overwhelm Stephanie Egger. He notes that Pérez likes to tie up and impose her will, which could neutralize Egger's judo. He acknowledges it's a 50/50 fight and that Pérez might get thrown, but he leans toward the upset.

"I'll actually pick aylin Perez and it's either going to be idiot or G"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

The host leans towards Stephanie Egger, believing she is the better overall grappler and will be more proactive on the mat, possibly finding a submission or dominating from top position. However, he is hesitant to bet at -300, fearing that Pérez might transfer her regional success to the UFC. He predicts Egger inside the distance but will likely stay off the fight entirely.

Egger inside the distance
"I do lean the Edger side here but I just can't come to terms in terms of betting minus 300 minus 330 on her in this spot."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Paul picks Stephanie Egger, echoing Cody's reasoning. He notes that Pérez is an Argentinian fighter with no notable wins and that Egger's judo and clinch work will be too much. Paul says he will not bet the chalk but expects Egger to win by submission.

"I think edgar wins by sub but yeah not you know me i never touch lady chalk."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

The MMA Guru picks Stephanie Egger over Ailín Pérez, calling Egger a safe pick against a debutant. He notes that Pérez hasn't faced high-level competition and lacks submission skills, while Egger has strong grappling and judo. He predicts Egger will win by submission in the first round, as she is active and has momentum despite her recent loss.

Egger wins by submission in round 1
"i'm going with stephanie edgar i think she's a pretty safe pick especially when you've got girls making their debut in the ufc"
Submission (armbar) R1 1:17 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva 0 4 of 4 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Stephanie Egger 0 8 of 13 61% 12 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 0 4 of 4 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Stephanie Egger 0 8 of 13 61% 12 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mayra Bueno Silva 4 of 4 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mayra Bueno Silva 4 of 4 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephanie Egger 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Stephanie Egger vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-110), Egger (-110)

Round 1
This ESPN card has taken some hits right before it was set to go down, but it will proceed with 10 fights at the UFC Apex. The first comes in the women’s bantamweight category, as two finish-minded ladies each sporting stoppage rates at 75% or above toe the line. Brazil’s Bueno Silva (8-2-1, 3-2-1 UFC) will battle it out with well-rounded Egger (7-2, 2-1 UFC), and the referee in charge of their meeting is Chris Tognoni. The gloves get to touched to start off this evening’s violence, and the women measure their range and clash shins together with the first strikes of the night. Bueno Silva swats at her foe with a few punches, and Egger responds by grabbing her and hip tossing Bueno Silva over. Bueno Silva takes her back for a moment, only to get rolled around. When Egger claims top position, she starts smashing down punches and elbows. Egger falls into an armbar as she is throwing strikes, and Bueno Silva locks it up fast.
The Swiss fighter stacks her up, but she falls forward and the submission is tighter. Bueno Silva shouts to Tognoni that Egger tapped, and she lets go of the move and holds her arms up. Everyone is confused, because Egger does not admit she tapped out, and just glances at Tognoni with a quizzical look. After a few seconds of awkwardness, Tognoni waves the fight off, apparently from Bueno Silva’s claim of the tap.
Tognoni goes to consult the replay official to review the stoppage, and when this does not prove conclusive, he does the rare but proper call of polling the judges – this means, asking the judges what they saw and if there is something only seen from one of their vantage points. Judge Ron McCarthy declares that he clearly saw a tapout, and that is all that is needed to put this result in the books. A unique instance, but proper in the confines of the rules. Egger protests that she did not tap out, but it’s all over. This speedy submission for Bueno Silva goes down as one of the quickest in UFC women’s divisional history.

The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Stephanie Egger R1 1:17 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Angelo picks Mayra Bueno Silva despite her takedown defense concerns. He notes she defended 19 takedowns combined in her three fights where she was taken down, and believes her physicality and striking should get her the win. He acknowledges the risk of being controlled on the ground but trusts her ability to keep it standing enough to win a decision.

"I do think I'm going to go with buena silva here because yes she was taken down in those losses but she defended the hell out of a lot of takedowns as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady favors Mayra Bueno Silva as a dog, citing her superior striking volume and power, as well as her dangerous grappling off her back. He notes that Stephanie Egger's grappling is solid but her striking is still developing, and he believes Bueno Silva can keep the fight on the feet and outpoint Egger. He also mentions that if taken down, Bueno Silva is extremely active and dangerous on the mat. He predicts a decision win for Bueno Silva.

dog pick, decision win prediction
"i do like mara bueno silva uh the line did flip she has a dog i will take the dog to start off the card"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody also picks Bueno Silva, agreeing that she has the striking advantage. He notes that Egger's only path is to get the fight to the ground, but Bueno Silva has shown durability and ability to survive bad spots. Cody is concerned about Bueno Silva's habit of shaking off punches, which may not impress judges. He thinks she wins but won't lay money.

"I'll agree with you... I'm not gonna lay money on it... she definitely has the advantage on the feet."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bueno Silva at underdog odds, citing her power striking and ability to land damage on the feet. He worries about her takedown defense, as Egger has a strong grappling background, but believes Bueno Silva can win by knockout or submission if she avoids being controlled. He likes the value since the line flipped.

"Since the line flipped I'm gonna go with Bueno Silva at the underdog odds but not confident for the reasons I mentioned"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

Paul picks Bueno Silva as a dog, noting that she is strong, physical, and durable. He mentions that Egger is a judoka who needs the clinch, while Bueno Silva wants to strike. Paul thinks Bueno Silva's power and tenacity will be enough to rough up Egger. He is waiting for a better price, as the line has moved to +117.

"I believe that dog to be Mayra Bueno Silva... she's strong, she's physical... I think she ends up roughing up Egger."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva, citing her toughness, durability, and excellent jiu-jitsu. He believes she can tough out positions and push the pace in later rounds, winning 29-28. He notes that Stephanie Egger's recent wins over Jessica-Rose Clark and others are not impressive, and that Bueno Silva has submissions and a draw with Montana De La Rosa.

"i am actually going to be going with mayor bueno silva here... i feel as though she's very very tough very hard to put away very hard to submit as well because she does have very good jujitsu"
Submission (armbar) R1 3:44 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stephanie Egger 0 2 of 4 50% 10 of 13 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 5 of 10 50% 29 of 34 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stephanie Egger 0 2 of 4 50% 10 of 13 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 5 of 10 50% 29 of 34 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stephanie Egger 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stephanie Egger 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant, noting the odds are wide and Egger is a live underdog. He likes Clark's striking and newfound wrestling confidence, but warns if Clark doesn't mix in wrestling, she could struggle. He thinks Egger is much better than 2-to-1 odds suggest.

"i do like jessica rose clark to win this fight i think her striking is very good and now she does have confidence in her wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark, impressed by her recent fight IQ and game planning. He believes she has a significant striking advantage and can mix in takedowns. He sees no clear path to victory for Egger and predicts Clark wins by decision.

win by decision
"I'm gonna go with jessica's clark to win I'm gonna take her to win by a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Cody leans toward Clark but is not confident. He notes that Clark is physically strong and has good clinch work, but Egger is a judo black belt with submissions. Cody thinks Clark's striking is better and that she can control the clinch, but he is wary of Egger's grappling. He doesn't love the price and suggests this fight is dicey.

"who would edge out would edge out for rose clark but i don't know that this is a fight that you want much appeal on"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Levi picks Clark, noting her well-rounded game and recent improvements in strength and conditioning. He believes she can stuff Egger's judo throws and keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage in boxing. Levi expects Clark to win a unanimous decision, possibly with takedowns of her own down the stretch.

Clark by unanimous decision
"give me jessica rose clark with a unanimous decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Egger's judo could neutralize Clark's grappling; she can redirect momentum and get takedowns of her own. Clark's grappling is still developing, and she slowed down in her last fight. Egger by decision is the pick, with a submission prop at +800 as a possibility if Clark gets caught. The line movement toward Egger suggests value.

Egger by decision (+275), Egger by submission (+800)
"stephanie edgar via decision plus 275 is what that said but even her submission prop at plus 800 i don't think it's out of the realm of possibility"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Paul struggles with this fight and does not make a clear pick. He notes that Clark's recent fights have been greasy and that Egger is strong in judo. He is not interested in betting Clark at -190 and seems to pass on the fight.

"i'm struggling with this one i'm not too interested in betting jessica rose clerk at minus 190"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark to win by decision. He believes Clark's athleticism and boxing will be the difference, as she has good grappling and trains at AKA. He thinks the grappling will cancel out and that Clark will out-strike Egger on the feet, winning 29-28 in a boring fashion.

decision 29-28
"i'm gonna go with jessica rose clark here stephanie egg is good but it seems our level of grappling only works against a certain tier of opponent"
WIN vs Shanna Young
TKO (elbow) R2 2:22 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stephanie Egger 0 29 of 42 69% 62 of 84 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:28
Shanna Young 0 22 of 50 44% 26 of 54 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stephanie Egger 0 14 of 23 60% 34 of 51 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:21
Shanna Young 0 9 of 25 36% 10 of 26 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:10
2 Stephanie Egger 0 15 of 19 78% 28 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:07
Shanna Young 0 13 of 25 52% 16 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stephanie Egger 29 of 42 69% 20 of 33 3 of 3 6 of 6 14 of 25 3 of 3 12 of 14
Shanna Young 22 of 50 44% 8 of 31 11 of 16 3 of 3 22 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stephanie Egger 14 of 23 60% 8 of 17 3 of 3 3 of 3 6 of 15 3 of 3 5 of 5
Shanna Young 9 of 25 36% 3 of 18 4 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Stephanie Egger 15 of 19 78% 12 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 3 8 of 10 0 of 0 7 of 9
Shanna Young 13 of 25 52% 5 of 13 7 of 11 1 of 1 13 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Shanna Young

Angelo picks Shanna Young, expecting her to use her traditional wrestling to take down Stephanie Egger, following the Tracy Cortez game plan. He notes that Shanna is a solid boxer with decent power and good wrestling, but has gaps in BJJ. He acknowledges that Stephanie is capable of keeping opponents at bay and grinding against the cage, which could lead to a boring win for Egger. Angelo is not confident and says he has no bets on this fight, calling it a sloppy matchup.

"i'm gonna have to go with shayna young that's the pick i think she'll use her traditional wrestling get it on the hips and take stephanie down"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Big Brady picks Stephanie Egger to win by decision, but is hesitant because Egger looked awful in her UFC debut against Tracy Cortez despite looking good against lower competition. He notes Egger is a judo black belt with solid grappling, while Shanna Young has poor takedown defense and was submitted by Sarah Alpar. He would have liked Egger at plus money but passes at minus 130.

Egger by decision
"i'm going to pick stephanie yeager to win by decision mixing in the takedowns using that ground game"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Cody picks Egger but is conflicted. He notes that Egger has good judo and grappling but poor striking. Young has not trained properly and just had a baby, but Egger's striking is abysmal. He expects Egger to get the fight to the ground and win by decision or submission. He suggests this fight is a pass.

"pass you probably want to hit a pass right"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Daniel Levi picks Stephanie Egger, viewing it as a striker vs grappler matchup. He thinks Young has the advantage on the feet, but Egger's judo and ground game should be decisive if she can get the fight to the mat. He notes Young was submitted by Sarah Alpar, indicating poor grappling. Levi is not highly confident because the fight is low-level by UFC standards, but he expects Egger to grind out a win or get a submission.

potential submission
"i think that there's a big advantage on the mat for edgar so i'll pick her to win for that reason"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Stephanie Egger

I think Egger's grappling is the key here. Young got outmuscled by Macy Chiasson and has shown poor defensive grappling. Egger is a decorated judoka with good jiu-jitsu, and she should be able to get the fight to the ground and control it. I like Egger by submission at +500 or +600 as a prop, but the moneyline at -130 is also fine.

Egger by submission +500
"I think that this is a prime spot for edgar to pick up her first one inside the ufc"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Paul leans towards Egger but is not confident. He mentions that Young has red flags (not training properly, just had a baby) but Egger's striking is poor. He thinks Egger's grappling could be the difference but is unsure.

"i'm so conflicted on that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

The MMA Guru picks Stephanie Egger as an upset, citing her massive grappling advantage over Shanna Young. He notes that Young has shown issues dealing with grapplers, as seen in losses to Macy Chiasson and Sarah Alpar. Egger has a judo background and a reach advantage, which should help her on the feet. He predicts Egger will push Young against the cage, take her down, and win a unanimous decision by controlling the ground.

"i'm picking the underdog here stephanie egger i believe she's got a massive massive grappling advantage over shayna young"
LOSS vs Tracy Cortez
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Oct 11, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 20 of 42 47% 66 of 109 3 of 5 60% 0 0 9:58
Stephanie Egger 0 10 of 32 31% 27 of 70 1 of 6 16% 0 1 2:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 6 of 14 42% 13 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:43
Stephanie Egger 0 6 of 16 37% 12 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:34
2 Tracy Cortez 0 6 of 13 46% 31 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:16
Stephanie Egger 0 2 of 9 22% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Tracy Cortez 0 8 of 15 53% 22 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:59
Stephanie Egger 0 2 of 7 28% 8 of 19 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 20 of 42 47% 11 of 28 3 of 6 6 of 8 9 of 24 0 of 2 11 of 16
Stephanie Egger 10 of 32 31% 6 of 24 0 of 2 4 of 6 8 of 29 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 6 of 14 42% 2 of 7 2 of 3 2 of 4 4 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 2
Stephanie Egger 6 of 16 37% 2 of 10 0 of 1 4 of 5 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tracy Cortez 6 of 13 46% 3 of 8 1 of 3 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 7
Stephanie Egger 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Tracy Cortez 8 of 15 53% 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 1 6 of 7
Stephanie Egger 2 of 7 28% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Big Brady picks the underdog Egger, citing her size advantage (3-inch height), legitimate ground game, and takedown ability. He notes Cortez has been reversed and put in bad spots on the mat, and that Egger is the bigger woman. He believes the fight should be closer to a pick'em and expects Egger to win by decision or submission.

Egger by submission or decision
"i'm going to go with stephanie egger to get a decision win and honestly i don't think a submission is off the table"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Daniel leans with Tracy Cortez, believing her wrestling is better suited for MMA than Egger's judo. He notes that pulling guard in MMA is risky against a wrestler. He expects Cortez to get takedowns and win a decision. However, he cautions that Cortez is still green and wouldn't bet heavily on her.

Daniel says he would stay away from betting at this price. He also mentions that Egger's best win is over Vanessa Mello.
"I'll lean with tracy cortez i think that wrestling is better than than uh than judo at least at least as far as mma is concerned"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 8, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Egger has size, strength, and judo advantages; she can reverse clinch positions and control on the ground. Cortez is undersized and may struggle to get takedowns. Egger's cardio is a concern, but she should win the first two rounds and survive the third for a decision.

"i do like edgar here i think she's gonna be much better on the ground"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

The Guru picks Cortez, citing her better competition, experience, and record. He notes Egger is taking the fight on short notice and expects Cortez to grind out a unanimous decision by winning the second and third rounds.

unanimous decision
"tracy cortez versus stephanie egger we're gonna go with tracy cortez getting the job done here"
Expert Picks (4)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Cody picks Egger, citing her legitimate judo pedigree and clinch advantage. He notes that Alekseeva has power but poor boxing and may struggle with Egger's clinch work. He expects the fight to end up in the clinch, where Egger has the edge. He also mentions that Alekseeva's competition level is questionable.

"gotta go with Stephanie Edgar but you know talking about spots you always get burned on Pat Mayo would throw all of this logic out the window"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Egger's judo is much more technical and she is physically stronger. He points out that Alekseeva has a frame that makes it hard to build core strength, and she lacks the power to toss opponents around. Connor sees Egger as a clear favorite.

"I mean i'm just gonna steal your thunder and say stephanie agar's is much more... she's solid at the moment. She's like stronger and harder hitting and her judo is much more technical."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Paul picks Egger and has a PrizePicks play on her under 33.5 significant strikes, noting her low volume. He believes Egger will win but is not heavily invested due to the high price. He mentions that Egger is a low-volume fighter who looks for submissions rather than ground-and-pound.

Stephanie Egger under 33.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"Edgar in terms of my prize picks play there never got over 30 significant strikes"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Zane picks Egger because she is stronger, harder hitting, and has more technical judo. He notes that Alekseeva lacks core strength and struggles to complete takedowns, while Egger is scrappy and has been in tough fights. Zane believes Egger will easily flail into the clinch and dominate.

Odds comment: Egger opened at -290 and stayed there; Alekseeva opened at +247.
"I'm taking agar. I mean agar is agar has been in a ton of really difficult fights... I think she's going to have a really easy time just sort of flailing her way into the clinch"