Career Averages - Denise Gomes
Career Averages - Bruna Brasil
Denise Gomes
Bruna Brasil
Denise Gomes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 58 of 125 | 46% | 73 of 144 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 53 of 138 | 38% | 75 of 169 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 3:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tecia Pennington | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 34 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 25 of 61 | 40% | 26 of 62 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Tecia Pennington | 0 | 27 of 56 | 48% | 29 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 19 of 54 | 35% | 22 of 58 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Tecia Pennington | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 10 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 27 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 3:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecia Pennington | 58 of 125 | 46% | 15 of 56 | 9 of 19 | 34 of 50 | 58 of 118 | 0 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 53 of 138 | 38% | 19 of 86 | 15 of 29 | 19 of 23 | 48 of 129 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tecia Pennington | 22 of 51 | 43% | 7 of 21 | 4 of 12 | 11 of 18 | 22 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 25 of 61 | 40% | 11 of 37 | 6 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 24 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tecia Pennington | 27 of 56 | 48% | 6 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 24 | 27 of 52 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 19 of 54 | 35% | 5 of 34 | 5 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 19 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tecia Pennington | 9 of 18 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 9 of 23 | 39% | 3 of 15 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo is confident in Tecia Pennington as an underdog, calling her the best underdog on the card. He highlights her speed, durability, well-roundedness, and high fight IQ. He disagrees with the nearly 2-to-1 odds favoring Denise Gomes, arguing that Tecia is the more technical and experienced fighter. He plans to hammer a plus 3.5 bet on Tecia.
Big Brady favors Gomes due to her youth, power, and grappling upside, though he thinks the line might be a bit wide. He acknowledges Pennington is still fighting at a high level, citing her close decision against champion Mackenzie Dern. He expects a competitive fight that goes to a close decision, with Gomes landing the bigger shots and getting her hand raised.
Cody picks Pennington as a dog, citing her experience and ability to outwork opponents. He thinks Gomes' wrestling is not good enough to keep Pennington down, and Pennington can win a close decision.
Lucrative James leans towards Denise Gomes, citing her youth, power, and physicality. He acknowledges Tecia Pennington's experience and volume but believes Gomes' finishing upside and strength will be decisive. He is not confident due to Pennington's high level and the price, but picks Gomes for the win.
The host is a bit unsure but leans toward Gomes due to her power, expecting her to land more significant strikes. Pennington may have volume and takedown attempts, but Gomes should nullify most of that and win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Pennington, expecting a razor-thin split decision. He notes Pennington's takedown defense and striking volume, and thinks Gomes' wrestling is overrated.
The Guru picks Denise Gomes over Tecia Pennington. He believes Gomes will win via big moments and knockdowns, even if Pennington outlands her. He cites Pennington's tendency to lose close decisions due to lack of power, and Gomes's youth and size advantage. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gomes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Reed | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 35 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Denise Gomes | 1 | 28 of 42 | 66% | 69 of 86 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elise Reed | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 33 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 55 of 63 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 | |
| 2 | Elise Reed | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Denise Gomes | 1 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Reed | 11 of 21 | 52% | 5 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 28 of 42 | 66% | 18 of 29 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 20 | 9 of 10 | 8 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elise Reed | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 15 of 22 | 68% | 8 of 13 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Elise Reed | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 13 of 20 | 65% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 12 |
Angelo picks Denise Gomes, acknowledging that the odds are wide but understanding why she is the favorite. He notes that Elise Reed is a gamer and can make it competitive, but Gomes is a very good fighter who can grapple and strike. He mentions that without Jacob in Reed's corner, there is concern about her getting held against the cage. He thinks Gomes will win if she moves forward and uses pressure.
Big Brady picks Denise Gomes, highlighting her power and ground-and-pound. He notes Elise Reed's huge hole in her ground game, with all four losses by finish. He predicts Gomes will hurt Reed on the feet or take her down and submit her in the second round.
The host is surprised by the wide line, noting Gomes is not a high-level grappler and doesn't often look to grapple, which has been Reed's issue. He thinks if it's a striking battle, Reed can be competitive with her taekwondo background. He leans with Gomes due to her physicality and clinch work, but says don't be surprised if Reed pulls off the upset. Official prediction is Gomes by decision.
The Guru picks Denise Gomes confidently, calling her a -575 favorite who 'hits like a man' and has decent grappling. He thinks Elise Reed is outmatched and will be finished, predicting a TKO in the first round. He criticizes the matchmaking as a sacrificial lamb for Reed.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 46 of 98 | 46% | 61 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 73 of 144 | 50% | 91 of 166 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 5:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 32 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:11 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 21 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 28 of 52 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 3 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 31 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 46 of 98 | 46% | 16 of 57 | 19 of 24 | 11 of 17 | 39 of 89 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 73 of 144 | 50% | 30 of 85 | 33 of 44 | 10 of 15 | 53 of 115 | 20 of 28 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 7 of 16 | 43% | 0 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 22 of 36 | 61% | 8 of 17 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 12 of 25 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 13 of 31 | 41% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 23 of 45 | 51% | 9 of 24 | 9 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 18 of 36 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Denise Gomes | 26 of 51 | 50% | 11 of 33 | 10 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 28 of 63 | 44% | 13 of 44 | 12 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 23 of 54 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 |
Big Brady sees Gomes as much younger, more powerful, and with grappling upside. He believes she can win on the feet or via takedowns. Despite the -500 line, he thinks Gomes gets her hand raised, likely by decision.
Cody disagrees with Paul, arguing that Kowalkiewicz's wrestling is not good enough to exploit Gomes' weakness. He notes that even when opponents wrestle Gomes, she still lands significant strikes. Cody believes Gomes' youth, power, and speed will overwhelm the 39-year-old Kowalkiewicz, likely by decision or knockout.
Connor picks Kowalkiewicz, assuming Gomes doesn't knock her out immediately. He thinks Kowalkiewicz's experience and grappling advantage will take over as Gomes fades. He notes the odds are too wide in favor of Gomes, who he considers not good and prone to mistakes.
Daniel Vreeland picks Denise Gomes due to her youth, physicality, and momentum, contrasting with Karolina Kowalkiewicz's age (39) and decline. He notes Kowalkiewicz's past success but believes Gomes' power and aggressive style will be too much. However, he has zero interest in betting at -500 odds.
Lucrative James picks Denise Gomes to win by knockout, citing her heavy power and Karolina's declining career trajectory. He believes Gomes will be too physical and that Kowalkiewicz won't be able to implement her game plan of volume and grappling. He expects a brutal knockout.
Gomes is expected to control the striking with her power and possibly get some grappling success to win on the scorecards, similar to how Yasmin Lucindo beat Kowalkiewicz.
Paul is considering the underdog Kowalkiewicz at +390, noting that Gomes has shown takedown defense issues. He thinks if Kowalkiewicz can replicate her performance against Syana Gomez Warez, she could make it competitive. Paul admits it's a sucker bet but is tempted by the price.
The Guru picks Denise Gomes, expecting a brutal assault. He notes Kowalkiewicz's age (39) and her scared reaction when hit. He believes Gomes is a big, physical fighter for the division and will get a TKO win.
Zane picks Gomes but is hesitant. He notes that Gomes has power and can knock out Kowalkiewicz early, but if she doesn't, she runs out of ideas and makes mistakes. He acknowledges Kowalkiewicz's grappling and backtake game could be a threat, but thinks Gomes' youth and power give her the edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 27 of 66 | 5 of 26 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 6:36 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 50 of 88 | 56% | 137 of 184 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 2 | 2:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 9 of 25 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 32 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:48 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 9 of 12 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 21 of 37 | 56% | 69 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 9 of 29 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 22 of 35 | 62% | 36 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 18 of 47 | 38% | 12 of 40 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
| Eduarda Moura | 50 of 88 | 56% | 19 of 46 | 22 of 30 | 9 of 12 | 31 of 60 | 17 of 22 | 2 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
| Eduarda Moura | 7 of 16 | 43% | 1 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 5 of 7 | 71% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 21 of 37 | 56% | 11 of 24 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 17 | 13 of 15 | 2 of 5 | |
| 3 | Denise Gomes | 9 of 29 | 31% | 7 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 22 of 35 | 62% | 7 of 15 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 22 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Eduarda Moura, emphasizing her solid grappling and takedowns. He notes that she took down a national wrestling champion (Monsterrat Ruiz) three times, while Angela Hill took down Denise Gomes five times. He believes Eduarda's wrestling will be too much for Denise, who is primarily a striker. He thinks Eduarda will get takedowns and control the fight, possibly winning a decision or getting a finish.
Big Brady picks Eduarda Moura to win by second-round TKO. He notes that Moura is physically strong and can get the fight to the mat, where she has vicious ground and pound. He is concerned about Moura's chin being up in the air, but believes she can implement her will and finish Denise Gomes, who has shown poor takedown defense against Angela Hill and Loma Lookboonmee.
Cody picks Moura, noting that Gomes is undersized and has poor takedown defense. Moura is a weight bully with strong grappling and has dominated opponents on the ground. Cody believes Moura will take Gomes down and submit or ground-and-pound her. He sees this as a clear stylistic advantage.
Daniel picks Gomes for the upset, citing a market overcorrection and her striking advantage. He notes Moura must take Gomes down to win, as Gomes has lost when taken down repeatedly. He hopes Gomes can keep the fight standing and light Moura up.
Jacob picks Denise Gomes, disagreeing with Angelo. He argues that Eduarda Moura is a weight bully who will gas after the first round, as seen in her previous fights. He notes that Denise is tough, has power in her hands, and will pressure Eduarda. He predicts that after Eduarda's takedowns slow down in the second round, Denise will land a right hand and finish her. He also points out that Eduarda's standup is poor with her chin up.
Moura is a weight bully with strong top pressure and grappling, while Gomes has been grinded out by strikers in the past. Moura's height and reach advantage will help her take the fight to the ground and eventually finish via submission or TKO. Gomes' striking advantage won't matter if she can't keep it standing.
Paul agrees with Cody's reasoning but is hesitant to lay the minus 170 price in a women's strawweight fight. He acknowledges Moura's grappling advantage but notes that Gomes has knockout power. Paul thinks Moura is the play but might not bet it.
The Guru picks Moura because she is a touted undefeated prospect (10-0) with a strong grappling game, and Denise Gomes has shown weaknesses in grappling, recently losing a grappling match. He acknowledges Gomes has KO power but trusts Moura's grappling advantage to get a submission. He also notes Moura missed weight by 4 pounds, which he finds amusing.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 0 | 76 of 120 | 63% | 96 of 153 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 | 1 | 8:03 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 62 of 133 | 46% | 111 of 203 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 1:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 0 | 16 of 26 | 61% | 23 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:42 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 23 of 32 | 71% | 48 of 70 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 0 | 37 of 53 | 69% | 42 of 62 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 33 of 71 | 46% | 46 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:58 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 6 of 30 | 20% | 17 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 76 of 120 | 63% | 37 of 76 | 37 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 40 of 68 | 33 of 44 | 3 of 8 |
| Denise Gomes | 62 of 133 | 46% | 29 of 91 | 25 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 34 of 97 | 27 of 35 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 16 of 26 | 61% | 7 of 16 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 4 |
| Denise Gomes | 23 of 32 | 71% | 12 of 19 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 13 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 37 of 53 | 69% | 17 of 32 | 18 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 36 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 33 of 71 | 46% | 14 of 47 | 13 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 21 of 58 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 23 of 41 | 56% | 13 of 28 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 23 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 4 |
| Denise Gomes | 6 of 30 | 20% | 3 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 26 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gomes (-125), Hill (+105)
Round 1
The final women’s bout, booked at strawweight like Moura-Ruiz, features two women who comfortably made weight. Storied veteran Hill (15-13, 10-13 UFC), who looks for UFC win no. 11, faces off against a woman in Gomes (8-2, 2-1 UFC) who is almost 15 years Hill’s junior. Youth versus experience will be on full display for the next 15 minutes or less, and referee Fernando Portella will be the arbiter of this encounter. There is no plan for a glove touch, and instead Gomes would rather throw hands and feet right out of the gate. Hill checks a calf kick and her forward momentum bowls the Brazilian over. Hill lands on top, but only for a few seconds until the Parana Vale Tudo fighter powers her way back to her feet. The two clinch up, and they pepper one another in the body with knees. Hill loads up on her knees to the breadbasket, and Gomes considers hitting a trip but ends up falling to her back. Hill muscles her down to her knees when Gomes looks for a way up, and Hill works to take the back and hangs on the younger woman. Gomes grabs the glove a few times to get out of the bad position, and Hill breaks away and tags her once on the way out. The two trade hands, and Gomes succeeds in tripping Hill and dumping her on her face. They both get back up, and Hill counters her with a throw of her own. They explode upright again, and Gomes loads up on power punches that ring Hill’s bell repeatedly. Hill leans on heavily to clinch and hold onto Gomes, thereby shutting down the swinging fists that smack her in the face. Hill drives her knees in the solar plexus again and again, until Gomes has had enough of this and pushes her off. Hill resets and pushes out a front kick, and Gomes swings at air when this meets her. Gomes scores a big right hand, and Hill backs off but is snagged and throws to the mat. Gomes latches onto Hill’s left arm for an armlock of some kind, and she considers a kimura or an armbar, as she sits on top in an awkward position. Gomes drives down several hammerfists, and before she can get the armbar, Hill slides out the side. Hill, now in the driver’s seat, gets blasted with a right hand from Gomes on her back. Hill toughs it out and elbows Gomes in the face, and Gomes forces her way back up at the bell to end the close, exciting round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Round 2
Hill keeps her guard up high when she comes out of her corner, as Gomes whips a head kick at her to lead off the round. Gomes is intercepted when looking for a big overhand right, and Hill ties her up for a second before pushing off. Hill snipes Gomes with a solid right hand, and Gomes grins at her. Hill works her with a second overhand right, and a third before Gomes lobs another kick at her. Hill takes the strikes of the Brazilian and fires back, and she leans away from a spinning kick from Gomes. The two trade hands, and then land low kicks at the same time. Hill ducks a strike and comes over the top with a left, and she connects with two punches to follow. Gomes loads up again with power, and it hits air as Hill is too quick to eat it flush. Gomes absorbs a right hand on the chin and tags Hill with an uppercut, leading Hill to tie her up in the clinch and shove her to the wall. Hill gets off an elbow, and Gomes lowers her hands and looks for hefty counters. Hill spins with an elbow that bangs into Gomes’ chin, and Gomes goes not bat an eye and continues advancing. Hill shoots for a takedown, and Gomes defends with a standing guillotine that makes Hill think twice about the attempt. Hill sneaks in a few clinch strikes before backing off, and she watches Gomes’ winging strikes blaze past her. Hill catches a kick and deposits Gomes to the floor, but Gomes get right back up and takes a deep breath. Hill scores a few punches, and Gomes crowds her and blasts her in the face with a fierce right hand. When Hill grabs hold of her, Gomes answers with a number of vertical, hacking elbows. Gomes overswings, and Hill snags her and looks to drag her down. When Gomes keeps her balance, Hill smacks her in the face with a knee. Hill turns the corner, and Gomes succeeds in fighting off the takedown but gets kneed in the dome twice more. The round ends as the two are stuck together.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Round 3
As if she thought she was down on the scorecards, Gomes charges out of her corner and busts the veteran in the chops with a number of wide punches. Hill fires back, and she blunts the momentum by clinching up the younger woman and tripping her with a body lock. Gomes drops to her knees, defending the strikes from the side, and Hill hangs on from behind. Before long, Gomes works her way back to her feet with the fence at her back, and Hill drags her down again. Hill stays on the Brazilian like a bad penny, never giving Gomes a moment to breathe and not allowing her to get anything off. Hill peppers Gomes with knees to the head, side and thigh, attacking any target she can find while Gomes is stuck without answers. This grinding approach is slowing Gomes down, and a knee to the belly takes a bit more of the wind out of her sails. Gomes manages to push off and keeps throwing hands, but one left hand allows Hill to duck it and secure a single-leg takedown. When Gomes attempts to scramble, Hill is one step ahead, whether trying to take the back or working Gomes with strikes to the side of the melon. Gomes defends but is totally out of her game, and a short elbow from “Overkill” opens a cut on the side of Gomes’ eye. Hill flattens Gomes out, but Gomes explodes with 15 seconds to go and gets back up through sheer aggression. Hill tags her with a jump knee, and the close contest concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Denise Gomes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Denise Gomes, citing the 15-year age gap and Hill's age. He notes Hill is durable and experienced, but Gomes is tough, comes forward, and has power. He placed a small half-unit bet on Gomes at -141. He cautions that if Gomes fights recklessly and gasses, Hill could win as an underdog.
Big Brady picks Angela Hill to win by decision but is hesitant. He notes Hill's experience and better competition, but worries about her age (38) and Gomes' power. He says Gomes is hittable but has real power for the division. He mentions that Hill just fought a five-round fight with Mackenzie Dern, so this is a step down in competition. He says he won't bet this fight.
Daniel Levi picks Denise Gomes, citing her rare one-punch knockout power in women's MMA and her aggressive style. He notes that Angela Hill, at 38, has slowed down and taken significant damage in recent fights, including a beating from Mackenzie Dern. Levi believes Gomes can hurt Hill on the feet and may even knock her out for the first time. He acknowledges Hill's experience and toughness, but sees Gomes' physicality and power as decisive factors. He is waiting for plus money on Gomes but leans toward her.
James sees this as a very close fight and is passing on betting. He believes Angela Hill is on a downward trajectory at 39 years old, gets hit often, and has been dropped in recent fights. He thinks Denise Gomes has power and could hurt Hill, but he is not sold on Gomes' overall game, describing her as uneducated on the feet. He notes that Hill has never been knocked out and could make it look easy if she can take Gomes' power, but he is not confident she can avoid getting clipped. He concludes it is a massive stay away.
Hill's volume striking style, speed, and footwork will allow her to stay out of danger and pick apart Gomes from distance. Gomes' wrestling is not good enough to hold Hill down for extended periods. Hill should be able to operate at distance and win a decision, making her a good underdog spot.
The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill as an underdog over Denise Gomes. He praises Hill's composure and durability, noting she is very hard to finish. He references Hill's win over Loma Lookboonmee on short notice in Australia as evidence of her toughness. The Guru believes if Gomes doesn't get an early finish, Hill will pull ahead in later rounds, predicting a close 29-28 decision. He also mentions he likes the underdog odds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 1 | 17 of 20 | 85% | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 1 | 17 of 20 | 85% | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 17 of 20 | 85% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 17 of 20 | 85% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 14 |
Angelo avoids this fight entirely, calling it a trap. He acknowledges Jauregui's striking talent but notes she was dropped in her last fight. Gomes is tough and comes forward, but takes time to get going. He thinks Jauregui should win if it stays on the feet, but recommends fading the female fighter who was just rocked. He makes no pick and advises others to avoid betting.
Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the much better striker, more defensively sound, and can also take the fight to the mat. He has concerns about Gomes' striking defense, as she blocks punches with her face and has been dropped multiple times. He expects a war but believes Jauregui will finish Gomes. He comments that the line at -400 is wild but thinks Jauregui is the better fighter.
Cody picks Jauregui, citing her volume and cardio advantage. He thinks Gomes is tough but lacks the wrestling to neutralize Jauregui's pressure. He expects Jauregui to pull away on the scorecards. He notes Gomes is live at plus money but doesn't see a clear path.
Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a potential future title contender with excellent pocket defense, balance, and combination punching. She stays compact, keeps a tight guard, and closes exchanges with a powerful left hook. Gomes is still raw and relies on pressure without consistent offense, and Jauregui's ability to absorb and adjust makes her the clear winner.
Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, highlighting her high output, Mexican heart, and improved physique. He notes that she was dropped in her last fight but got back up and showed durability. Levi respects Gomes for her win over Bruna Brasil but believes Jauregui has the higher upside and will be the longer fighter. He calls the fight a potential barnburner and picks Jauregui to win, though he is not interested in betting at minus-400.
James picks Yazmin Jauregui to win, likely by decision. He thinks Jauregui's understanding of range, footwork, and distance management are way better than Gomes'. He acknowledges Gomes hits hard and could drop Jauregui, but believes Jauregui is a level above and will school her on the feet. He considered playing the over but may not bet.
Jauregui is a more polished striker with good footwork and counter-striking. Gomes is aggressive but will struggle to close the distance against Jauregui's technical striking. Jauregui will set traps, land damage, and avoid trouble, winning by decision. The over 2.5 rounds is the favorite spot.
Paul takes Gomes as a value underdog at +350. He thinks the line is too wide and the fight is closer to 70-30. He notes both are prospects and Gomes is younger. He says he wouldn't recommend betting Jauregui at -400. He took a small shot on Gomes.
The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by 29-28 decision. He considers her a rare talented female fighter, comparing her to Loopy Godinez who beat Gomes. He criticizes Gomes' inability to fight on the back foot, as seen in her win over Bruna Brasil, which he views as an exposure of Brasil rather than a testament to Gomes.
Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a very good action fighter with fast hands, tight technique, and a devastating left hook. She adjusts well under pressure and uses data from exchanges to build offense. Gomes improved in her last fight by throwing punches while pressuring, but Jauregui is a much higher level opponent who can handle reckless collisions and counter effectively.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 43 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Bruna Brasil | 1 | 54 of 93 | 58% | 94 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 29 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 58 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 14 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruna Brasil | 1 | 31 of 53 | 58% | 36 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 15 of 22 | 68% | 7 of 11 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 15 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 54 of 93 | 58% | 28 of 58 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 27 | 21 of 47 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 10 of 15 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 23 of 40 | 57% | 12 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 15 of 30 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 31 of 53 | 58% | 16 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 17 | 6 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 34 |
Angelo picks Bruna Brasil as the better striker overall, noting her creativity and power. However, he is hesitant because of the risk of a UFC debut freeze-up, citing a similar situation at UFC 287. He expects Bruna to be the better fighter but is not placing a bet due to the uncertainty of debut jitters.
Big Brady picks Bruna Brasil to win by decision. He believes Brasil is the better striker and has solid takedown defense to keep the fight standing. He criticizes Denise Gomes' striking defense and overall skill, though acknowledges her toughness. He is not laying heavy chalk on Brasil but expects her to get the job done.
Cody notes Brasil's reach and length advantage, and thinks her striking from the outside will be key. He acknowledges Gomes' path to victory is to make it ugly and wrestle, but believes Brasil's takedown defense and strength will hold up.
Connor agrees, noting that Gomes is too low output and lacks urgency. He believes Brasil's kick-heavy offense and clinch work will create opportunities, and that Gomes' pressure is not backed by actual aggression.
Brasil's size, reach, and striking will keep Gomes at bay. Gomes is a brawler who struggles with range and can be reversed on the ground. Brasil's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. She should win by decision, using her reach to outpoint Gomes. The line may improve, but Brasil is the better fighter.
Paul bet Gomes earlier at +200 and thinks the line movement is accurate. He acknowledges Brasil's advantages but notes Gomes' toughness and ability to make it a dogfight. He's not confident but took the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Bruna Brasil, impressed by her striking, especially her head kick KO on Contender Series. He notes her reach advantage and believes she can keep the fight at range and land heavy shots. He is not impressed by Gomes' UFC debut and thinks Brasil has more promise.
Zane picks Brasil because she has volume and clinch striking, while Gomes is low output and just walks forward without throwing much. He notes that Brasil's kick-heavy game and pressure will allow her to light up Gomes, who lacks urgency and has poor wrestling.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 45 of 66 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 3 | 2 | 5:31 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 48 of 67 | 71% | 87 of 115 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 1 | 7:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 10 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1:32 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 22 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:07 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 13 of 22 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 16 of 20 | 80% | 26 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 22 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 2:41 |
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 39 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 19 of 34 | 55% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 13 of 25 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 48 of 67 | 71% | 31 of 49 | 11 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 23 | 8 of 9 | 26 of 35 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 5 of 9 | 55% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 22 of 30 | 73% | 17 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 17 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 7 of 16 | 43% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 16 of 20 | 80% | 7 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 5 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 7 of 9 | 77% | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Denise Gomes | 10 of 17 | 58% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 13 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Suphisara (-225), Gomes (+190)
Round 1
For the entirety of her young career, Thailand’s Suphisara (6-3, 4-2 UFC) has won two fights and then lost a third, but always bounced back from that defeat with two more victories. This pattern has continued into this strawweight scrap against UFC newcomer and Parana Vale Tudo – the training camp of women like Jessica Andrade and Karol Rosa – prospect Gomes (6-1, 0-0 UFC), and a win for the Thai would keep it intact. This likely fast-paced fight will receive oversight from referee Keith Peterson, and a touch of gloves comes before his nonsense-free eyes. Suphisara fires off a front kick, and the Brazilian answers immediately with a slapping leg kick. Suphisara responds in kind, and they mirror one another with their strikes. Suphisara counters with a clean elbow that opens a cut on the top of Gomes’ forehead, and her teep kick sends Gomes sprawling to the mat. Gomes climbs back up, and she spins with a wheel kick but is too close. With Suphisara closing in on her, she scores a right hand, and Gomes catches a subsequent kick. The Brazilian spins her opponent around and jams her into the fence. “Loma Lookboonmee” reverses position and takes her opponent down, where she climbs into mount in a hurry. The Thai slams down several vicious elbows until Gomes gives up her back, and Suphisara is hanging on in search of a choke of some sort. Suphisara flattens Gomes out, but Gomes is holding on tight with wrist control to stop anything from coming together. Gomes slithers out the back door, and Suphisara clings to a kimura until the Brazilian pops her head out. Gomes, in half guard, fishes for an arm-triangle choke in the blink of an eye. Gomes squeezes with her full body weight down, but she is not in the position that can get a tap. Suphisara answers the proverbial telephone to defend it, and as she does, Gomes jumps over to the side to lock it down. Gomes gives up on it to moves into mount, and she sets up an armbar and rolls to her back. Gomes throws her legs up with a triangle setup when the armbar is not there, and Suphisara slashes her with several elbows when the Thai gets space. Suphisara batters her opponent with elbows until the bell breaks them up.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 2
The ladies calmly saunter towards one another to start off Round 2, and Gomes throws first with an inaccurate head kick. Suphisara answers with a chopping leg kick, and her leg flies up high to the shoulder in a subsequent blow. Suphisara aims for a takedown, and she settles to topple over and put Gomes on her back, where she is already nearly in mount. Gomes drags her back to half guard and grips onto a kimura, and she succeeds in nullifying any additional strikes from the Thai. The sweep attempt fails, as Suphisara steps over into mount and pounds her with several elbows. Suphisara looks to take the back, but abandons it, sits up and returns to her feet. Gomes follows, and Suphisara greets her with a pair of kicks. Both women lead with fierce elbows, and Gomes crashes in to clinch before dropping to her knees for a single. “Loma Lookboonmee” defends it and works her adversary over in the clinch with knees and elbows. Gomes responds with one, and she falls to her back courtesy of a head lock throw. Suphisara, landing in half guard, starts to deliver some elbows to the dome. Gomes manages to pull Suphisara back to her guard, and she tries for a triangle choke of sorts. Suphisara stands and walks away, but she does not pay attention and thinks that Peterson is standing Gomes up. Peterson does nothing of the sort, and Gomes dives in for an unexpected takedown. Protect yourself at all times. Suphisara turns herself around to stay on her feet, and she frames off to peg Gomes with punches and kicks until the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 3
The final frame begins frantically, as Gomes goes on the offensive immediately. Pushing forward, she drives Suphisara to the wall and lands a few solid punches. As Suphisara defends, Gomes spins with an elbow and blasts the Thai in the face. Gomes changes levels in search of a takedown, and the two hit the mat. Gomes tries to isolate a leg in search of a leglock, and Suphisara awkwardly slides her leg out of it but does not get up. Gomes jumps on to take her back, and she hooks the body triangle on her toes. Gomes starts setting up a rear-naked choke, and it is more of a neck crank as she cannot get a grip under the chin. Gomes keeps searching for chokes, but none are to be found as Suphisara defends her neck well. Suphisara explodes out of the position and right into armbar danger, but she shucks the legs out of the way and gets on top. Gomes turns and nearly gives up her own back, but Suphisara does not take it and decides to stand up. The Brazilian follows her to the feet, but “Loma Lookboonmee” immediately trips her out and lands on top. Suphisara belts her opponent with elbows as the blood flows freely from the UFC newcomer’s face, and Gomes can do little else but defend her head as she is jammed between the corner of the cage and the mat. Suphisara rains down several punches, and the final bell puts an end to this strange 115-pound pairing.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)
The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Denise Gomes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo picks Lookboonmee, citing her technical Muay Thai striking and improved grappling. He notes that her only losses came when she was outgrappled, but he doesn't see that happening here. He believes she will win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. Angelo mentions the line was wide but is tightening, and he considered a takedown prop bet.
Big Brady picks Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He states that Loma is the better technical striker by a mile and has improved with each fight. He notes that Denise Gomes is tough and gritty but very chinny, having been dropped and wobbled often. Brady believes Loma can implement her striking and possibly even get takedowns. However, he warns that Gomes throws high volume and has good recovery, so he would not lay the moneyline. He predicts Loma wins a decision, possibly dropping Gomes along the way.
Cody thinks Lookboonmee is a better striker with good clinch work and takedown defense. He notes Gomes is one-dimensional and coming off a short-notice fight where she took damage. He expects Lookboonmee to win a decision.
Daniel Levi leans Loma Lookboonmee due to her UFC experience and better competition, but is not confident. He notes both fighters are small for the weight class and that Gomes is tough with high volume. He expects a close split decision that could go either way, and does not bet.
Jacob is very high on Lookboonmee, praising her Muay Thai experience and her addition of wrestling and trips. He notes that she tossed Lupita Godinez, a great wrestler, to the ground. Jacob believes she is better everywhere and that the odds should be wider. He included her in a parlay at -270 and may add a moneyline bet if the odds drop further.
Loma has a decorated Muay Thai background and has added takedowns to her game, making her a more complete MMA fighter. Gomes is one-dimensional, relying on striking, and has shown vulnerability to grappling. Loma's cardio is better than Gomes's previous opponents, so she can mix in leg kicks and takedowns to keep Gomes guessing. Loma should win a decision or possibly a late finish.
Paul leans Lookboonmee, noting the line has moved but he still thinks she gets it done. He mentions the Lookboonmee decision prop at -105 as a better value.
The MMA Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee by 29-28 decision. He believes Lookboonmee is a technical striker with Muay Thai foundation, ready on short notice. He notes she has good grappling and has fought tough opponents like Angela Hill and Michelle Waterson. He thinks Denise Gomes is nothing special and that Lookboonmee will win on the feet with superior striking.
Bruna Brasil - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 0 | 73 of 150 | 48% | 137 of 227 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 2 | 0 | 9:34 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 37 of 56 | 66% | 72 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 41 of 75 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 25 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 28 of 51 | 54% | 59 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:45 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 33 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 37 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:33 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 73 of 150 | 48% | 32 of 91 | 25 of 37 | 16 of 22 | 53 of 119 | 12 of 18 | 8 of 13 |
| Bruna Brasil | 37 of 56 | 66% | 13 of 29 | 15 of 17 | 9 of 10 | 31 of 50 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 29 of 59 | 49% | 11 of 32 | 8 of 14 | 10 of 13 | 25 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Bruna Brasil | 16 of 23 | 69% | 5 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexia Thainara | 28 of 51 | 54% | 14 of 34 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 37 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 6 |
| Bruna Brasil | 15 of 20 | 75% | 4 of 8 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexia Thainara | 16 of 40 | 40% | 7 of 25 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 10 of 27 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 5 |
| Bruna Brasil | 6 of 13 | 46% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Alexia Thainara, calling her the biggest favorite on the card. He describes her as a strong, forward-pressure fighter with heavy hands and grappling ability, who bullied Loma Lookboonmee. He contrasts Bruna Brasil's recent timid performances and poor takedown defense, predicting Alexia will run through her.
Cody picks Thainara, citing her physicality, improved wrestling, and cardio. He acknowledges the previous loss but believes Thainara has improved significantly since then.
Connor also picks Thainara, agreeing that she has improved and that Brasil has not. He notes that Thainara's recent performances show good give and take on the ground.
Daniel expects Thainara to dominate Brasil, who he criticizes for being timid and running away. He believes Thainara's grappling and striking will overwhelm Brasil, leading to a clear win.
Thainara is a massive favorite at -768, and the host believes she should win easily due to her aggression, high pace, and wrestling. He notes that Bruna Brasil is more technical but passive and tentative, often failing to impose herself. Thainara's work rate and grappling in the clinch should overwhelm Brasil, and a finish is possible but not necessary for the win.
The host believes Thainara has made significant improvements since her first fight with Brasil, evidenced by her 11-fight winning streak. He notes her aggression in striking and grappling, ability to establish top position, and youth at 28. He expects her to dominate with forward pressure and takedowns, though he is less confident in a finish, predicting a decision win. He mentions she is worthy of being a parlay piece despite the chalky price.
Paul agrees, noting Thainara's trajectory and Brasil's inconsistency. He thinks Thainara's strength and wrestling will be too much.
The MMA Guru picks Alexia Thainara, citing her recent win over Luma Lookboonmee and her physical strength. He believes Thainara is too muscular and strong in grappling exchanges for Bruna Brasil, who is coming off a loss. He notes that Thainara's takedown ability and pressure will be key, and that Brasil can be tricky on the back foot but will likely get taken down.
Zane picks Thainara confidently, noting that she has improved since their first fight and looks controlled in recent performances. He mentions that she worked top position methodically against McCann and defended an armbar smoothly. He assumes she won't make the same mistake of walking into a guillotine again.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 31 of 60 | 51% | 65 of 101 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 33 of 69 | 47% | 64 of 109 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 8:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 32 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 19 of 30 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 19 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 31 of 60 | 51% | 10 of 32 | 17 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 25 of 53 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ketlen Souza | 33 of 69 | 47% | 18 of 42 | 12 of 22 | 3 of 5 | 24 of 59 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 12 of 19 | 63% | 2 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ketlen Souza | 5 of 13 | 38% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 7 of 16 | 43% | 2 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ketlen Souza | 14 of 30 | 46% | 7 of 17 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 12 of 25 | 48% | 6 of 15 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ketlen Souza | 14 of 26 | 53% | 7 of 15 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Souza (-160); Brasil (+130)
Round 1
With the weigh-in silliness out of the way, the remaining nine pairings on the billing will proceed at their originally scheduled weight divisions. This one comes at the lightest of strawweight, in a must-win between countrywomen Brasil (11-5-1, 3-3 UFC) and “Esquentadinha” Souza (15-6, 2-3 UFC). The latter’s nickname means “little hothead,” much like the red emotion character from the animated film “Inside Out” voiced by the inimitable Lewis Black. It’s on with the fights, as the women clap hands under the watchful eye of referee Herb Dean.
The taller Brasil is light on her feet, keeping her distance with long, reaching kicks as Souza walks her down. Brasil pounds Souza with an especially emphatic body kick that doubles her foe over, and she times a knee to the body when Souza rushes at her. Souza pursues a single-leg takedown, elevating the left leg of “The Special One” and setting it down to try to lift Brasil off the ground entirely. When that fails, she stomps on Brasil’s toes while pressing her weight on Brasil in the clinch. Dean asks for more activity, so Brasil takes note and knees Souza in the stomach to separate them. Souza charges in with her hands down to wing an out-of-range uppercut, and Brasil steps in with a solid knee to the solar plexus. Souza smiles and whiffs on her responses, spinning with a strike before pushing forward to tie Brasil up again.
When available, Brasil lifts up short knees to the abdomen, and Souza responds with knees to the thigh until Brasil trips her up and deposits her to the mat with a body lock. Souza pops right back up and gloms back on Brasil, imposing her weight without offering much else. Brasil is at least trying to fight, while Souza clings to her opponent as Dean claps at her. When Souza does not respond, Dean implores her for more activity than just competitive snuggling, and he breaks them up with 45 seconds left. Both women adjust their clothes, and Souza rushes forward and gets kicked off her feet. Souza tries to spin back, and she takes a knee to the sternum when pushing into the clinch. Brasil rolls her eyes as she gets shoved to the wall, and she mixes in a few knees before Souza backs off. Souza boots her in the face, and Brasil shakes her head as the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Round 2
Between rounds, Dean warns Brasil for timidity in just clinching without putting any offense behind it. The second stanza starts off like the first, with the short, stocky Souza chasing down Brasil, who is on her bike potshotting away. A high kick skims the side of Brasil’s face, who smiles and circles out the side as Souza bears down on her with punches. The tall, lanky Brasil rearranges her midsection with a ferocious knee, and Souza rushes through it to engage in a clinch. Brasil does not settle for getting pushed to the fencing, and she spins Souza around. Souza muscles her back around and holds her there, partially threatening with a level change but largely hanging out in the clinch. Dean’s urging for Souza to do something fall on deaf ears, as Souza has no plan in changing things up. Brasil actually strikes, with a knee to the body, and a frustrated Dean split them up. Souza responds to this by rushing out with a single right hand, and Brasil replies with a knee and tries for a flying kick.
Souza grips her arms around Brasil and is about to take her for a ride, but Brasil regains her balance and breaks out. Souza practically runs at her, and she lets loose a wheel kick that slams loudly into the guard, the kind of kick that even when blocked has a serious impact. Brasil knows the clinch is coming, but she cannot stop it as Souza dives after a single. Brasil shuts it down but is stifled against the wall, with Souza either going all-out for a takedown or occasionally kneeing the thigh. Brasil gets away and tosses out a thudding body kick, and she gets jabbed hard and appears to be compromised in her right eye. She does not complain that it was a poke, so it appears to be a legal punch square on the eye socket. Brasil wipes it out, and Souza does not take advantage of this, instead pressing in for a takedown. Brasil winces as she rides out the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Round 3
The Brazilians hug it out to start off the last round, likely tied on the scorecards. Brasil is fully aware of the impending charge, a bull-rush that comes from the shorter Souza and pushes her all the way to the fence. Brasil offers up short knees on the inside to little effect, staying busy as Souza does nothing but hang on. Dean is already telling Souza to actually fight when in this clinch, and she ignores him. He breaks them up, and the crowd cheers. The ladies high-five, and Souza takes a moment to awkwardly wipe her hands off on her shorts while Brasil does not know if she is bowing at her or something else. Souza walks forward to engage, and she strides directly into a step-in knee. She shrugs it off completely, crashing forward hellbent for leather. She loads up on power punches from both hands, knocking Brasil around the cage but not pinning her down or hurting her badly. Brasil keeps moving, but the steady diet of hooks off her raised guard keep her from offering up much of her own. She scores a big wheel kick that bangs into Souza’s head, and Souza tanks it and keeps on rolling. Rather than keep on with what actually was working for her, Souza chooses to suck the energy out of the building by pressing into a clinch.
Dean is not having it, allowing Souza far less time grinding before saying something and stepping in. Souza wipes her hands off a few more times, and Brasil looks at her strangely until leaping at her with a knee. Brasil circles to the side, into the power right hand of Souza, who tries to hit her hard with her raised hand. Souza snatches up Brasil’s leg and sets her down with a leg drop like pro wrestlers, and then inexplicably backs off to let Brasil back up. Brasil turns the tables for her own trip takedown, and Souza hits a 50-50 position and works back up. Souza initiates yet another clinch, and Brasil knees her in the stomach several times until the excruciating slog of a match finally ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Souza)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Souza)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Souza)
The Official Result
Ketlen Souza def. Bruna Brasil via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Bruna Brasil but is hesitant. He thinks she is the better fighter skill-for-skill but worries she has lost her aggression after training with Fighting Nerds. He notes she has become a distance pitter-patter striker instead of a creative power striker. He expects her to dance around and avoid Ketlen Souza's pressure, but if she loses a decision, he wouldn't be surprised. He advises not to bet on this fight.
Big Brady picks Ketlen Souza, citing her aggression, power, and pressure. He notes that Bruna Brasil is low volume and doesn't like getting hit, having been knocked out multiple times. He expects Souza to land big shots and potentially get a knockout, specifically predicting a second-round finish.
Cody also picks Souza, highlighting her strength and ability to get up from takedowns. He notes Brasil's pattern of alternating wins and losses, and expects Souza to outwork her. Cody is confident despite the line moving to favorite.
Connor also picks Souza, noting that she is the more pressing aggressive fighter and that Brazil's wins have been over no-hopers. He mentions that Souza made a close competitive fight out of Angela Hill, who is a better technician than Brazil. However, he acknowledges the fight could be a narrow decision.
Lucrative James leans toward Ketlen Souza to win by decision. He believes Souza is more durable and has more power, and notes that Brasil has been knocked out before. James also thinks Souza has faced higher-level competition and may have a slight edge in takedowns.
The host picks Souza with very low confidence, calling both women wild cards. He expects Souza to corral Brasil against the cage, mix in clinch work and takedowns, and grind out a decision. He notes Brasil can be passive and allow opponents to dictate pace, which Souza can exploit.
Paul picks Ketlen Souza, citing her power and experience against tougher competition. He notes Brasil's poor striking defense and lack of power. Paul expects Souza to land the bigger shots and win a close decision, though he admits it's a 50-50 fight.
The host picks Bruna Brasil over Ketlen Souza, going against his rule of women's MMA. He notes Brasil has good range, nasty knees, and clinch work. He thinks unless Souza can get takedowns, Brasil will outstrike her at range and beat her up in the clinch. He predicts a 30-27 decision.
Zane picks Souza hesitantly, trusting her to keep attacking and land with authority. He notes that Brazil tends to fly backwards in a straight line when pressed and get hit, while Souza is more likely to press forward. However, he acknowledges that Souza might take time off and get poked, leading to a narrow decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 0 | 103 of 181 | 56% | 104 of 182 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 31 of 64 | 48% | 31 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 0 | 30 of 49 | 61% | 30 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Wang Cong | 0 | 35 of 60 | 58% | 35 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Wang Cong | 0 | 38 of 72 | 52% | 39 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 103 of 181 | 56% | 38 of 99 | 21 of 32 | 44 of 50 | 102 of 177 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 |
| Bruna Brasil | 31 of 64 | 48% | 11 of 30 | 12 of 19 | 8 of 15 | 30 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 30 of 49 | 61% | 11 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 16 | 29 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Bruna Brasil | 10 of 20 | 50% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Wang Cong | 35 of 60 | 58% | 10 of 29 | 8 of 12 | 17 of 19 | 35 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 7 of 17 | 41% | 1 of 5 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Wang Cong | 38 of 72 | 52% | 17 of 42 | 9 of 15 | 12 of 15 | 38 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 14 of 27 | 51% | 7 of 15 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Wang Cong to win, but he is not laying -515 on her. He notes that Bruna Brasil is moving up a weight class and will be a small flyweight. He questions Brasil's chin, as she has been knocked out three times and looked uncomfortable in the Denise Gomes fight. Brady believes Wang Cong will land big shots and get a knockout, predicting a second-round finish.
Daniel Levi mentions Wang Cong as a massive favorite against Bruna Brasil, noting Wang's knockout wins and Bruna's recent career-best performance against Molly McCann. He does not state a pick, only describing the matchup and asking if Bruna can come through as a big underdog.
Wang Cong is looking to bounce back from her first professional loss. She will showcase a more disciplined approach, pick apart Brasil, and stop takedown attempts. The fight is expected to go to the scorecards with Wang winning by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 57 of 84 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 44 of 74 | 59% | 63 of 99 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 5:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 30 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 17 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 32 of 56 | 57% | 19 of 38 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 28 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Molly McCann | 44 of 74 | 59% | 20 of 46 | 22 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 32 of 56 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 10 of 21 | 47% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 25 of 38 | 65% | 8 of 18 | 15 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 5 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 19 | 57% | 6 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 15 | 73% | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann despite originally leaning toward Bruna Brasil. He explains that Bruna has the tools but is too low volume and doesn't pull the trigger, while Molly's forward pressure, output, and crowd energy will be decisive. He acknowledges that Bruna has power and could win, but believes Molly's aggression will earn a close decision.
Cody picks Molly McCann, citing her motivation after dropping to strawweight and her improved performance in her last fight. He notes that Bruna Brasil has shown poor grappling defense and was taken down easily by Denise Gomes and Loma Lookboonmee. Cody believes McCann's size, strength, and pressure will be too much, and she can win by decision or late finish.
Daniel believes Molly McCann will bully Bruna Brasil with pressure, takedowns, and ground control. He notes Bruna's poor chin and lack of heart, while Molly is the more physical fighter. He predicts a dominant win by submission, TKO, or decision.
Paul also picks McCann, noting that Bruna Brasil hasn't shown any reason to believe she can compete at this level. He points out that McCann's grappling and pressure will be key, and that the hometown crowd will support her. Paul expects McCann to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, citing her physicality advantage at strawweight and her finishing ability. He notes that McCann has KO power and a spinning elbow KO, which is rare for women's MMA. He believes Bruna Brasil is not a grappler and may struggle on the back foot. The Guru expects McCann to pressure and eventually get a TKO later in the fight, though he admits it's a tricky matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 58 of 112 | 51% | 73 of 131 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 52 of 99 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 15 of 34 | 44% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 11 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 28 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 27 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 58 of 112 | 51% | 15 of 52 | 29 of 38 | 14 of 22 | 47 of 98 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 28 of 63 | 44% | 9 of 39 | 12 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 22 of 55 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 15 of 34 | 44% | 2 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 8 | 13 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 8 of 20 | 40% | 1 of 9 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 25 of 50 | 50% | 9 of 26 | 10 of 15 | 6 of 9 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 12 of 30 | 40% | 6 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 18 of 28 | 64% | 4 of 10 | 11 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 19 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 8 of 13 | 61% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Suphisara (-265), Brasil (+215)
Round 1
The lone women’s bout of the evening comes in the strawweight division, between two strikers with fairly different backgrounds. Talented Thai “Loma Lookboonmee” Suphisara (8-3, 5-2 UFC) will battle it out with a woman named Brasil (9-3-1, 1-1 UFC)—this is not a nickname, and the Brazilian’s surname is indeed Brasil—and fists are sure to fly. Referee Jason Herzog will be watching out for any errant blows, and he does recognize the ladies clapping their hands together before getting after it. Both ladies measure out with high kicks early, but the first landed blow comes from the Brazilian in the form of a solid leg kick. Suphisara responds with a front kick that grazes past her target, and Brasil times another low kick. Suphisara whips a kick to the side, and Brasil recommits to her thudding leg kicks that force the Thai to switch stances. They both trade body kicks, and Brasil swings for the fences but misses the mark. Suphisara punches her way forward, missing those, but ultimately connecting with the body kick that comes with it. Suphisara slams her shin on the lead calf of her opponent, forcing a stumble, and Brasil gathers her thoughts and spins with a kick that pushes Suphisara rebounding off the fence. Suphisara strides forward to plant a kick on the ribs, and she side kicks the rear leg of her foe. Suphisara catches a kick from Brasil, and she ties the Brazilian up to push her against the wall and elbow her repeatedly. Suphisara attempts a throw, but the taller woman regains her footing and does not go down. When Brasil escapes, Suphisara gets off a kick to her side. Suphisara sprints forward with another punch combination, and the kick is the only one that lands. A welt beneath Brasil’s armpit has formed from the powerful kicks from the Thai, and Suphisara aims a kick to that same spot. Suphisara hops in, kicks, and hops back, before racing forward against with a body kick. “Loma Lookboonmee” ducks away from a spinning kick to the body, and then evades a spinning elbow that follows suit. Brasil succeeds in pushing Suphisara to the wall, but cannot keep her there for more than a few seconds. Suphisara dodges a strike, ducks down and grabs hold of a body lock takedown to put Brasil on the mat right before the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 2
The strawweights bump fists before getting back to business in the second stanza, and Brasil is quick to crowd the Thai. Suphisara pushes her back with a front kick, and she swipes out a low kick that does not reach. Suphisara takes a punch and nails the lead leg to force Brasil to take a funny step, and she kicks the other side as Brasil’s leg turns red. Suphisara pushes off with the ball of her foot, and fires off a switch kick that is blocked. Suphisara catches a kick and replies with a harder one to the ribcage, and she glances a kick off the side before chambering and firing another to the same spot. Brasil goes after a leg kick, and Suphisara answers her immediately. Brasil sells out with a spinning wheel kick, and Suphisara sees it coming and slides to the proper direction to totally avoid it. Brasil rushes forward throwing hands, and Suphisara stands in the pocket and trades, landing with a left hook that stuns her adversary. Brasil glares and advances with punches, and Suphisara is out of the way and spamming kicks. Suphisara slides to one side, counters, and dips to the other to tag Brasil while Brasil is whiffing. “Loma Lookboonmee” continues prodding Brasil with kicks to the body, and she is cognizant of the punches coming from the Brazilian and defends against the lion’s share of them. Brasil catches Suphisara with one on her way forward, resulting in a brief clinch, but Suphisara pays her back with a slashing elbow as she breaks. Brasil spins and misses, allowing Suphisara to kick her in the midsection and leaps at her with a Superwoman punch. The sparring match of a round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 3
The strawweights come together one last time for a fist bump, and they get back to their exchanges of Suphisara kicking the body and Brasil looking for punches. Brasil lands one clean right hand, and Suphisara strafes to avoid eating more than one. Brasil lands a low kick, and she stays there too long and gets popped by the Thai with a right hook. Suphisara stays close to the fence, continuing to move, and Brasil’s strikes rarely land flush while Suphisara is connecting with her own offense. Brasil gets off a push kick, and when Suphisara crowds her, she spins away and bops Suphisara with a back fist. The unfazed Thai answers her with several body kicks, and Brasil cannot pin her down. Brasil fakes her way into a possible level change, and she is stonewalled by Suphisara. As they continue to move, Suphisara ends up with a partial standing back take, and Brasil hangs on with her right arm around Suphisara’s neck and under Suphisara’s left armpit. The commentary booth is so thrilled by the action or lack thereof in the cage, one starts discussing cracking his back. Brasil turns around and stays tightly pressed to her opponent, but she is so close that she cannot get off any knees. Suphisara shoves her away after some stalling and kicks the red and shiny section of Brasil’s torso. Suphisara takes her time and lands another kick to the same spot when Brasil does not do anything, until Brasil runs at her and body locks her way into a takedown. Suphisara sits up to stand and starts elbowing the Brazilian in the face, and the disappointing 115-pound pairing comes to a conclusion.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Bruna Brasil via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo praises Loma's Muay Thai, volume, and improved takedowns, but notes she is undersized and struggles off her back. Bruna Brasil is a larger striker with power but poor striking defense and struggles backing up. Angelo thinks Loma's forward pressure and Muay Thai should allow her to tee off, but worries about Bruna's size and ability to hold Loma against the cage. He picks Loma but suggests a live bet or over 2.5 rounds prop.
Big Brady picks Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He notes that Lookboonmee is a great striker with good kicks and has been emphasizing wrestling, getting takedowns in recent fights. He thinks the striking will be competitive at worst, and Lookboonmee can take the fight down if needed. He is not laying -260 but picks her to win.
Cody picks Lookboonmee, emphasizing her wrestling advantage. He notes she has successfully mixed in takedowns in recent fights, while Brasil has shown poor takedown defense. Lookboonmee's compact frame helps her get to the hips. Cody expects her to grind out a decision, possibly by takedowns and top control.
Brasil has a significant size and strength advantage, with a 5-inch height and 4-inch reach edge. She should be able to use her clinch and grappling to control the fight, potentially finding submissions or reversals. Lookboonmee is a talented striker but may be outmatched in the grappling realm. The line at +230 is too wide for a fighter with Brasil's potential. Brasil by decision or submission.
Paul agrees, noting Lookboonmee has evolved from a Muay Thai fighter to a wrestler. He thinks Brasil's takedown defense is suspect and that Lookboonmee's pressure and grappling will be too much. Paul expects a clear path for Lookboonmee: strike to set up takedowns and control.
The MMA Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee because he considers her one of the better unranked strawweights. He notes her wins over Elise Reed and Denise Gomes, and her Muay Thai background. He does not like Bruna Brasil and does not see her working a grappling clinic. He believes Lookboonmee has a more well-rounded and better-suited MMA striking game.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 54 of 144 | 37% | 124 of 223 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 56 of 90 | 62% | 73 of 111 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 16 of 51 | 31% | 16 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 56 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 28 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 19 of 51 | 37% | 52 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 20 of 31 | 64% | 25 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 54 of 144 | 37% | 22 of 84 | 19 of 38 | 13 of 22 | 51 of 139 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Shauna Bannon | 56 of 90 | 62% | 30 of 58 | 14 of 19 | 12 of 13 | 39 of 72 | 12 of 13 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 16 of 51 | 31% | 9 of 36 | 1 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 16 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shauna Bannon | 20 of 34 | 58% | 12 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 19 of 42 | 45% | 6 of 22 | 10 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 16 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Shauna Bannon | 16 of 25 | 64% | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 17 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 19 of 51 | 37% | 7 of 26 | 8 of 17 | 4 of 8 | 19 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shauna Bannon | 20 of 31 | 64% | 12 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 21 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brasil (-150), Bannon (+130)
Round 1
The lone fighter from Ireland on the lengthy billing will make her company debut low on the undercard, as unbeaten “Mama B” Bannon (5-0, 0-0 UFC) tries to get the British Isles on the board early. She will collide with a Brazilian strawweight whose name is actually Brasil (8-3-1, 0-1 UFC), and not a nickname the likes of “Paulo Shogun” or “Thiago Vampiro” from days past. The ladies do not touch ‘em up before the watchful eyes of referee Dan Movahedi. Bannon starts off with a leg kick, and Brasil gives one right back to her just the same. Brasil sprints forward suddenly to rip the body with a kick, and she slips on the way out. The Brazilian gathers herself and loads up on a right hand, and Bannon shakes it out and pushes out a jab. Brasil stands firm and pops her with a left hook, and she beats Bannon to the punch with another few quick punches. The Dubliner whiffs on an axe kick, and she comes up short on a wide overhand right. Brasil crashes the pocket swinging her fists, and “Mama B” is able to skirt out of the way but cannot avoid the sweeping low kick at the end. Brasil whips a high kick that comes up over the guard and smacks Bannon in the face. Bannon steels herself and charges forward, but Brasil is able to evade her oncoming attack and get out of harm’s way. Brasil fakes a spin and loads up on a pair of leg kicks, and the second draws a reaction out of her opponent. Brasil shrugs off a step-in high kick that slaps into her cheek, and she strafes when Bannon charges with a flurry of punches. Bannon pushes out with a body kick, and Brasil swings with a haymaker and glances off the side of Bannon’s head. Brasil’s left hand down the pipe busts up the nose of the undefeated fighter, and she snipes a charging Bannon with a short left hook. Bannon misses with a head kick and then one down low, and her kicks are largely missing the mark. Brasil winds up with a big right hand, and it bounces off the shoulder as she then leans back from a head kick. Bannon pushes off the chest with the ball of her foot, and Brasil is out of the way when Bannon attempts another axe kick. Brasil backs her off with a head kick try, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Round 2
Bannon is a woman on a mission leaving her corner, hopping forward to fire off a side kick right when the round begins. Brasil easily evades it and ignores the traditional martial arts-style movement of her adversary, instead chambering an overhand right and smacking Bannon with it. Bannon tries to keep a safe distance with front kicks and side kicks, and Brasil is the one who continues moving actively to not let most of the blows reach her. Bannon presses forward into the clinch, and after holding on, Brasil is able to turn her around and knee her up the middle. Bannon hunts for trips, but the Brazilian woman is easily able to stifle them and muscle her into the wire. Movahedi asks for them to do more when they are locked up together, leading Bannon to fishing for a trip. Bannon redoubles her effort, and Brasil nearly succeeds in hitting a reversal. At the last second, the Irishwoman is able to keep her balance, and she drives her knee to the body. Movahedi splits them up, and Bannon sprints at Brasil and belts her with a huge right hand. Brasil counters effectively with a left hook, and Bannon is the one reaching her with a jab and a side kick. Brasil replies with a right hand, but Bannon is spamming front kicks and quick high kicks. Bannon backpedals to dodge a looping right hand, and she loads up with one of her own to tag Brasil. Both ladies swing for the bleachers, and they proceed to miss the mark. Brasil jumps and spins with a back kick that collides with the liver, and she keeps her momentum going by spinning with a back fist that whacks Bannon in the face. With Bannon reeling from the two blows, Brasil runs at her and tackles her to the canvas. Brasil moves right into half guard, where she grinds her elbow on the face of Bannon until the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Round 3
Like the last round, Bannon opens up with side kicks right out of the gate. Brasil is quick to get on her bike, making sure the biggest kicks from Bannon do not find their target. Bannon comes up short with a spinning wheel kick, and Brasil counters her with a few punches. Bannon strings together a one-two, and she chains an axe kick into it. Brasil catches the leg and dumps her foe to the floor, where she slams her shin into Bannon’s lower leg down on the floor. Bannon springs back up and gets back into her kickfighting game, using her foot as a jab. The axe kicks keep coming, but Brasil does not bite on many of them. Brasil is more composed and throwing standard strikes, and Bannon settles down and lets her hands go. Brasil gets tagged with a few punches and shakes her head, and Bannon is psyched up as she bounces in and out of range to land. Brasil whiffs on a step-in left hook, and Bannon is able to dodge her and bust her in the chops with a right hand. Brasil stumbles back, and before Bannon can capitalize, the Brazilian races forward to tie her up and potentially go after a takedown. Bannon stonewalls her and jams her up against the fence, and Brasil turns her about. Brasil sneaks up a few knees and tries to tangle Bannon’s legs up for a trip. Bannon uses her right hand to bop Brasil in the mouth several times, and when she opens her fist to start landing short palm strikes, Brasil trips her up and throws her to the mat. Brasil lands and claims three-quarter mount, and she hammers Bannon with a right hand. Brasil drops down a heavy elbow, and Bannon snatches that arm up in pursuit of an armbar. The final horn sounds before anything can come from it, and the two ladies have gone to the judges.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bannon (29-28 Brasil)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bannon (29-28 Brasil)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bannon (29-28 Brasil)
The Official Result
Bruna Brasil def. Shauna Bannon via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Angelo believes Bruna Brasil is the more technical striker with power, and that her power will force Shauna Bannon to back up, which is key since Brasil struggles when pressured. He notes the line is near even money and plans to monitor it, possibly betting if Brasil becomes a favorite. He rates it as medium confidence.
Big Brady picks Chris Duncan by decision, leaning on his wrestling game plan. He notes Duncan has poor striking defense but showed improved wrestling against Omar Morales. He thinks Duncan can grind out a decision by taking Ashmouz down and controlling him. He acknowledges Ashmouz has power and could knock Duncan out if it stays standing.
Cody bet Brasil earlier at -120 and sees this as a bounce-back spot. He thinks Brasil is a better technical striker and that her loss to Denise Gomes is not a big concern. He is willing to make a shoei bet against Paul.
Daniel picks Shauna Bannon, expressing skepticism about Bruna Brasil's toughness and mental fortitude. He believes Brasil is a front-runner who breaks when pressured, as seen in her loss to Denise Gomes. He notes Bannon has a kickboxing background and good dexterity, and thinks the line should be closer to a pick'em. He is not confident enough to bet it but goes with the underdog. He hopes his co-host wins his bet on Brasil but disagrees with the hype.
The host picks Shauna Bannon, noting her aggressiveness, forward pressure, and takedowns as key advantages. He mentions that Bruna Brasil falters when pressured and that Bannon is a small underdog worth the price. He predicts Bannon wins by decision, but cautions about debuting women.
Paul picks Bannon, citing her aggressive style, judo background, and wrestling. He thinks Brasil fights on the back foot with her hands low and is hittable. He expects Bannon to come forward and outwork Brasil for a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Shauna Bannon as an underdog, highlighting her undefeated record and 'main character syndrome'. He praises her grappling, top control, and clinch work, noting she trains with Paddy Holohan. He criticizes Bruna Brasil's performance against Denise Gomes, where she folded under pressure, and questions her quick turnaround. The Guru expects Bannon to push forward and win a 29-28 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 43 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Bruna Brasil | 1 | 54 of 93 | 58% | 94 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 29 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 58 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 14 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruna Brasil | 1 | 31 of 53 | 58% | 36 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 15 of 22 | 68% | 7 of 11 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 15 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 54 of 93 | 58% | 28 of 58 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 27 | 21 of 47 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 10 of 15 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 23 of 40 | 57% | 12 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 15 of 30 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 31 of 53 | 58% | 16 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 17 | 6 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 34 |
Angelo picks Bruna Brasil as the better striker overall, noting her creativity and power. However, he is hesitant because of the risk of a UFC debut freeze-up, citing a similar situation at UFC 287. He expects Bruna to be the better fighter but is not placing a bet due to the uncertainty of debut jitters.
Big Brady picks Bruna Brasil to win by decision. He believes Brasil is the better striker and has solid takedown defense to keep the fight standing. He criticizes Denise Gomes' striking defense and overall skill, though acknowledges her toughness. He is not laying heavy chalk on Brasil but expects her to get the job done.
Cody notes Brasil's reach and length advantage, and thinks her striking from the outside will be key. He acknowledges Gomes' path to victory is to make it ugly and wrestle, but believes Brasil's takedown defense and strength will hold up.
Connor agrees, noting that Gomes is too low output and lacks urgency. He believes Brasil's kick-heavy offense and clinch work will create opportunities, and that Gomes' pressure is not backed by actual aggression.
Brasil's size, reach, and striking will keep Gomes at bay. Gomes is a brawler who struggles with range and can be reversed on the ground. Brasil's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. She should win by decision, using her reach to outpoint Gomes. The line may improve, but Brasil is the better fighter.
Paul bet Gomes earlier at +200 and thinks the line movement is accurate. He acknowledges Brasil's advantages but notes Gomes' toughness and ability to make it a dogfight. He's not confident but took the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Bruna Brasil, impressed by her striking, especially her head kick KO on Contender Series. He notes her reach advantage and believes she can keep the fight at range and land heavy shots. He is not impressed by Gomes' UFC debut and thinks Brasil has more promise.
Zane picks Brasil because she has volume and clinch striking, while Gomes is low output and just walks forward without throwing much. He notes that Brasil's kick-heavy game and pressure will allow her to light up Gomes, who lacks urgency and has poor wrestling.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Bruna Brasil as the better striker overall, noting her creativity and power. However, he is hesitant because of the risk of a UFC debut freeze-up, citing a similar situation at UFC 287. He expects Bruna to be the better fighter but is not placing a bet due to the uncertainty of debut jitters.
Big Brady picks Bruna Brasil to win by decision. He believes Brasil is the better striker and has solid takedown defense to keep the fight standing. He criticizes Denise Gomes' striking defense and overall skill, though acknowledges her toughness. He is not laying heavy chalk on Brasil but expects her to get the job done.
Cody notes Brasil's reach and length advantage, and thinks her striking from the outside will be key. He acknowledges Gomes' path to victory is to make it ugly and wrestle, but believes Brasil's takedown defense and strength will hold up.
Connor agrees, noting that Gomes is too low output and lacks urgency. He believes Brasil's kick-heavy offense and clinch work will create opportunities, and that Gomes' pressure is not backed by actual aggression.
Brasil's size, reach, and striking will keep Gomes at bay. Gomes is a brawler who struggles with range and can be reversed on the ground. Brasil's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. She should win by decision, using her reach to outpoint Gomes. The line may improve, but Brasil is the better fighter.
Paul bet Gomes earlier at +200 and thinks the line movement is accurate. He acknowledges Brasil's advantages but notes Gomes' toughness and ability to make it a dogfight. He's not confident but took the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Bruna Brasil, impressed by her striking, especially her head kick KO on Contender Series. He notes her reach advantage and believes she can keep the fight at range and land heavy shots. He is not impressed by Gomes' UFC debut and thinks Brasil has more promise.
Zane picks Brasil because she has volume and clinch striking, while Gomes is low output and just walks forward without throwing much. He notes that Brasil's kick-heavy game and pressure will allow her to light up Gomes, who lacks urgency and has poor wrestling.
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