vs
-125 +110
UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen Next Fight
Age 26
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 34
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Daniel Zellhuber
5.45 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
6.17 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.14 TD Avg
25.0% TD Acc.
81.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Lando Vannata
4.52 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
4.71 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
1.24 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Daniel Zellhuber
Moneyline
BetMGM -125
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
BetRivers +1050
Decision
BetWay +200
Lando Vannata
Moneyline
Caesars +110
KO/TKO
FanDuel +900
Submission
BetMGM +1100
Decision
BetRivers +215
Daniel Zellhuber - Fight History
LOSS vs King Green
KO R2 4:55 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 78 21% 17 of 78 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
King Green 1 86 of 134 64% 100 of 148 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 11 of 46 23% 11 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 41 of 64 64% 41 of 64 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:04
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 6 of 32 18% 6 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
King Green 1 45 of 70 64% 59 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 78 21% 7 of 59 4 of 10 6 of 9 17 of 77 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 86 of 134 64% 39 of 72 21 of 29 26 of 33 71 of 119 5 of 5 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 11 of 46 23% 3 of 32 3 of 7 5 of 7 11 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 41 of 64 64% 10 of 23 15 of 19 16 of 22 36 of 59 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 6 of 32 18% 4 of 27 1 of 3 1 of 2 6 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 45 of 70 64% 29 of 49 6 of 10 10 of 11 35 of 60 0 of 0 10 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zellhuber (-500); Green (+375)

Round 1
“Golden Boy” Zellhuber (15-3, 3-3 UFC) has appeared a bit gold-plated as of late with two straight losses on his ledger. He will be 13 years the younger of grizzled veteran Green (33-17-1, 1 NC; 14-12-1, 1 NC UFC), who never shies away from a firefight. Before they bang it out, referee Herb Dean clocks them in and the lightweights do not tap gloves together as Green has his mean mug in full display.
Green, hands down by his side as is his custom, swats away Zellhuber’s reaching lead hand a few times. Green steps back as Zellhuber lunges with an overhand right, and the Mexican stumbles, Green catches him, resets and times a takedown to put the two on the mat. Zellhuber spins around as the two wind back up on their feet, where Green starts chattering at him. Zellhuber backs Green to the fence but walks into a straight left hand, and Green follows with a one-two before Zellhuber can get to him. Zellhuber kicks his lead leg, and Green says, “please sir, may I have another.” We’re paraphrasing, but you get the gist. Green keeps goading Zellhuber on, and Zellhuber sells out for a few swings and ends up getting taken down again. Zellhuber once more turns about to escape the ground game and works back to his feet, and once more Green pounds him in the face with a power jab.
Green’s alternating stances and awkward footwork make Zellhuber struggle, and when he lets off offense, he lands it fairly often. Zellhuber is not sure how to proceed, winging a huge right hand in hopes of knocking Green out with one blow, but he does not land it. Green dings him with two punches and slips the counters, brushing off his shoulder mockingly. Zellhuber swings at him, and Green retreats and laughs at him. Zellhuber keeps giving chase, walking into a barrage of punches from “King” and landing some of his own. Green shakes his head and no-sells anything, signaling that nothing has landed flush on him, and he suddenly spins with a back kick that bangs into the shoulder. Green reaches out and slaps the younger man in the face, and Zellhuber answers by kicking him in the face. Zellhuber rips a left to the body, and Green doubles over and has to regain his poker face. Green gets back into his element, grooving back and forth and jamming Zellhuber up with short punches and a hard low kick. He stands before a motionless Zellhuber until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Green
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Green

Round 2
Zellhuber starts off the round aggressively, and Green’s head movement and footwork protect him from anything overtly harmful. Green shrugs off the big swings and uses Zellhuber’s offense against him, tackling the Mexican to the floor. Zellhuber wraps up his right leg around Green’s neck to set up an extremely rare and fairly new buggy choke, and Dean checks on Green a few times to make sure he’s still fine. Green gives a thumbs-up and briefly frees his neck from the clutch of Zellhuber’s right arm cinched with his right leg—look it up, because it’s not easy to describe setting up—but Zellhuber commits to it again. Green slowly, methodically wriggles his neck out of danger, and he pops back to his feet. Zellhuber hurries back after him, and Green wants to take him back down.
Zellhuber stops the effort this time, so Green pushes out front kicks and slugs his man in the face with a hard right hand. Green laughs off what flies his way and fires back heavy left hands, and he mixes in obnoxious kicks to the front leg that partially hyperextend the lead knee. Zellhuber has a left hand skim the top of Green’s head, and Green shakes his head and keeps doing his thing. Green does not swing for the fences with his strikes, and Zellhuber’s volume is low while he still tries to figure out a way in. Green hits any target that is open, including the temple, where he clubs Zellhuber and wobbles him. Zellhuber stumbles back on baby der legs, but he manages to get his footing while Green largely showboats in front of him.
Green wings two hooks that bounce off the nose that is now leaking, and he nails “Golden Boy” with a flush salvo of fiery fists. Zellhuber goes out and is snapped back online, and he hits the ground and is in a bad way. Green does not let him off the hook and proceeds to violently batter him on the sides of the head. As “King” continues his final bombardment, Dean saves the Mexican fighter from his own toughness and waves the fight off.
As if he knew he was going to do that the whole time, Green walks off, cool as a cucumber, and has words with the closest camera. At the age of 39, “King” Green can still put on performances like that, dropping Zellhuber’s UFC record below .500 with a vintage knockout.

The Official Result
Bobby Green def. Daniel Zellhuber R2 4:55 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo hesitantly picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his recent poor performance against Michael Johnson. He reasons that Zellhuber cannot possibly 'do nothing' two fights in a row, especially in Mexico. He also notes that King Green (Bobby Green) sometimes is not serious enough and may not score well with Mexican judges. He acknowledges the risk but believes Zellhuber's Mexican spirit and Green's showboating could lead to a Zellhuber win.

"I'm going to pick Zel Huber here because literally ... sometimes Bobby Green is not serious enough and he's too busy dancing around and showboating."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber but with strong hesitation, calling him the biggest 'ball dropper' in the UFC after losing as a heavy favorite twice. He notes Zellhuber should win against King Green, who struggled against Lance Gibson Jr., but is wary of another poor performance. He predicts a second-round knockout if Zellhuber shows up.

second round knockout
"So, give me Zel Huber minus 500. ... Zel Huber by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody strongly fades Zellhuber at -500, pointing out his recent losses and lack of finishing ability. He believes Green's pressure and durability will cause problems, and that Zellhuber's jab won't be enough. He recommends betting Green or passing.

"I'm out on that. So, uh, yeah, it's either a dog or pass here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Connor agrees with Zane, but notes that Zellhuber could still lose if he has a slow start and lets Green get comfortable. He points out that Green is crafty and can throw off any fighter with his unorthodox style. However, Connor believes Green's inability to handle fast range strikers and his age make Zellhuber the clear pick.

Green's craftiness; Zellhuber's slow starts; Green's losses to fast strikers
"But I can't pick Bobby green to win any fight anymore."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel picks Daniel Zellhuber, praising his size, reach, sharp hands, and takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's chin and recovery, and believes he will outrange Prado and avoid ground-and-pound. He sees Zellhuber as a future top-15 fighter, while Prado is still unproven at this level.

"I'm going Daniel Z Huber here"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host is very confident in Zellhuber, calling him the safest bet on the card. He cites Zellhuber's youth (26 vs 39), massive reach advantage (6 inches), home advantage in Mexico City, and Green's lack of finishing ability. Green is a volume striker who is old and smaller, and will likely be outworked. The host plans to parlay Zellhuber with Moreno.

Parlaying him with Brandon Moreno.
"I think he's the safest bet on the card. I think he wins a very high percentage of the time. ... I'd be amazed if Zel Huba loses this."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

James expects Zellhuber to rebound from his loss to Michael Johnson, citing Green's less dangerous boxing style. He believes Zellhuber's kicks, durability, and aggression will overwhelm Green, leading to a finish. James predicts Zellhuber wins inside the distance.

"I got Daniel Zel Huba to win this fight and semi redeem himself... Daniel Zel Huba inside the distance is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host picks Daniel Zellhuber but is hesitant due to the -500 price and Zellhuber's recent losses. He notes Zellhuber's height and reach advantages and believes he can land the better strikes. However, he warns that Green is an educated striker and that Zellhuber's striking defense is suspect. He prefers the KO prop over the moneyline.

KO prop
"I'm still going to go with the Mexican here to show out in front of a hometown crowd and give me a Huber by knockout, but minus 500 is just way too wide."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul is leaning towards Green at +375, citing Zellhuber's inconsistency and lack of power. He notes Green's forward pressure and durability, and believes the price is too high on Zellhuber. He hasn't bet yet but is close to clicking Green.

"I know I'm a lot closer to click kick uh clicking green plus 375 than considering Zel Huber a safe minus500 parlay piece."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing Bobby Green's struggles against taller opponents and his habit of fighting with his hands down. He notes that Green had trouble with Lance Gibson Jr. and was destroyed by Jalin Turner. He predicts Zellhuber will TKO Green, as Green is open to shots and Zellhuber is a big favorite.

TKO
"I think Zelhuber's going to TKO him. ... I'm going to go with Daniel Zelhuber getting this one done by TKO over a Green pretty confidently."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zane picks Zellhuber because Bobby Green is clearly past his prime at 39 and has lost his speed and defensive instincts. He notes that Green's style relies on head movement and baiting, which no longer works against younger fighters. Zellhuber has problems with discipline and can lose rounds, but Green's decline is too severe to pick him.

Green's age (39); Green's losses to Pimblett and Turner; Zellhuber's inconsistency; odds too wide
"I have to pick him. Oh yeah. Absolutely. Like I just, I don't think green, like he should not be fighting at this level anymore."
LOSS vs Michael Johnson
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Johnson 1 80 of 195 41% 81 of 196 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Daniel Zellhuber 0 52 of 182 28% 52 of 182 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Johnson 0 24 of 56 42% 24 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 46 26% 12 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michael Johnson 1 30 of 77 38% 31 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 66 25% 17 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michael Johnson 0 26 of 62 41% 26 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 23 of 70 32% 23 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Johnson 80 of 195 41% 27 of 100 42 of 81 11 of 14 77 of 189 0 of 0 3 of 6
Daniel Zellhuber 52 of 182 28% 19 of 125 27 of 48 6 of 9 50 of 180 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Johnson 24 of 56 42% 4 of 22 15 of 28 5 of 6 24 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 1
Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 46 26% 2 of 23 7 of 17 3 of 6 12 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michael Johnson 30 of 77 38% 14 of 47 10 of 23 6 of 7 27 of 72 0 of 0 3 of 5
Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 66 25% 7 of 51 9 of 14 1 of 1 16 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Michael Johnson 26 of 62 41% 9 of 31 17 of 30 0 of 1 26 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 23 of 70 32% 10 of 51 11 of 17 2 of 2 22 of 69 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing his striking, length, takedown defense, and toughness. He respects Michael Johnson's experience but believes father time has caught up. He notes Zellhuber's recent loss was competitive and he showed heart.

"Daniel Huber is the pick. I like Michael Johnson. Father time comes from everybody."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady confidently picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing advantages in age, height, reach, striking, and grappling. He notes Michael Johnson's age (39) and durability issues, having been finished 12 times. He predicts Zellhuber wins by second-round knockout.

Zellhuber by second round knockout
"I think Zel Heber is going to put it on him throughout the fight and eventually either touch the chin or ... win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Connor picks Zellhuber for his pace and youth, noting that Johnson has become choosy and less willing to throw combinations. He thinks Zellhuber will have opportunities to engage when Johnson decides to engage, and that Zellhuber's combination punching will be effective. However, he warns that the fight could be ugly if Johnson is too slow-paced.

"I'm still picking Zellhuber for pace and because I do think that Johnson's form of choosiness is still not one that's safe."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host is going with the Mexican fighter, expecting him to pick apart Johnson from distance and eventually line up a big knockout within two rounds. This shows confidence in Zellhuber's striking ability.

knockout within two rounds
"I'm going with the Mexican fighter here as I think he can pick apart Johnson from distance and I think that will eventually line up a big knockout for him and I expect it to happen within two rounds."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber over Michael Johnson, predicting a decision win. He notes that Johnson is older and has struggled against lower-level opponents like Jamie Mullarkey, while Zellhuber is younger and has a reach and height advantage. The Guru also mentions that Zellhuber had a wake-up call in his last fight against Rivic, recovering well, and believes he will out-strike Johnson over three rounds. He expects a 29-28 or 30-27 scorecard.

"I'm going to go with Daniel Zel Huba over Michael Johnson."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zane picks Zellhuber based on a predictive algorithm that notes Johnson hasn't beaten a good fighter in a long time. He points out that Johnson's recent wins are over shot fighters or inconsistent ones, while Zellhuber is younger and more dangerous. He also mentions the possibility of a stinker but still favors Zellhuber.

"I'm going to take Zellhuber too. On a completely dumb predictive algorithm kind of level."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Esteban Ribovics 1 121 of 308 39% 121 of 308 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Daniel Zellhuber 0 156 of 345 45% 156 of 345 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Esteban Ribovics 0 27 of 76 35% 27 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 24 of 65 36% 24 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Esteban Ribovics 0 51 of 116 43% 51 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 40 of 89 44% 40 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Esteban Ribovics 1 43 of 116 37% 43 of 116 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Daniel Zellhuber 0 92 of 191 48% 92 of 191 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Esteban Ribovics 121 of 308 39% 83 of 255 33 of 48 5 of 5 117 of 304 4 of 4 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 156 of 345 45% 103 of 276 32 of 48 21 of 21 154 of 342 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Esteban Ribovics 27 of 76 35% 13 of 59 11 of 14 3 of 3 26 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 24 of 65 36% 7 of 41 9 of 16 8 of 8 24 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Esteban Ribovics 51 of 116 43% 33 of 93 16 of 21 2 of 2 50 of 115 1 of 1 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 40 of 89 44% 23 of 68 9 of 13 8 of 8 40 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Esteban Ribovics 43 of 116 37% 37 of 103 6 of 13 0 of 0 41 of 114 2 of 2 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 92 of 191 48% 73 of 167 14 of 19 5 of 5 90 of 188 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Angelo picks Esteban Ribovics as an underdog, surprised he is not the favorite. He notes Ribovics is well-rounded with sneaky power, tight strikes, good takedowns, and solid BJJ. He sees this as a close fight possibly going to split decision, so he placed a quarter unit on Ribovics moneyline at +180 and plans to put another quarter on the plus 3.5 spread to cover a close decision loss. He is confident in the dog pick.

Placed 0.25 units on moneyline at +180; plans to also bet plus 3.5 spread.
"I am picking him to win here he's the dog and I'm picking him to win here... I placed a bet on eston Rix at plus 180"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady likes Zellhuber due to an 8-inch reach advantage and superior striking technique. He notes Ribovics has no takedown defense, so Zellhuber can mix in takedowns if needed. He expects a competitive fight but Zellhuber to win a decision.

"I like zel Huber here... I think it's going to be a war I think it's going to be fun I think it goes to decision give me zel H to get the decision win"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Vreeland picks Daniel Zellhuber because he likes his volume and ability to put pressure on opponents. He notes Zellhuber's only loss was to Trey Ogden, who grinded him out, but Ribovics is a power puncher who will let his hands fly, which plays into Zellhuber's strengths. He compares it to the Bahamondes vs Torres fight, favoring the taller, sharper striker.

Zellhuber by decision +135
"I don't really love the value on this one with zel Huber but I am gonna pick zel Huer mostly just because I like his volume and his ability to put it on somebody"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel leans with Daniel Zellhuber, praising his 8-inch reach advantage, kickboxing, and 94% takedown defense. He sees Zellhuber as a future top-15 fighter but respects Ribovics' dangerous hands and get-up game. He is not fully convinced the line is right but goes with Zellhuber.

"I'm a lean with Danielle Z Huber I'm not convinced the line is right uh I'm not convinced but I don't say that uh with confidence"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Jeff Fox picks Daniel Zellhuber as well, stating he is slightly better everywhere. He acknowledges the odds aren't favorable but notes he is ignoring size and youth this time, having turned over a new leaf.

"I'm taking zel Huber as well I just I think he's slightly better um everywhere but yeah the odds really aren't in our favor low for for that"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Ribovics packs power but Zellhuber is very calm, technical, and disciplined with his striking approach. Expects Zellhuber to utilize his footwork and touch up Ribovics from distance, winning on the scorecards.

"zel Huber is very calm Technical and disciplined with the Striking approach I expect him to utilize his footwork and touch up rabix from distance and win this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber. He highlights Zellhuber's 8-inch reach advantage and his ability to keep distance and pick shots. He notes Ribovics has a 69-inch reach which is flyweight-level, and at 5'10" that's a disadvantage. He trusts Zellhuber's game plan under coach Eric Nicksick and his recent back-to-back good performances.

"I'm going to go with Daniel el Huber and uh he's had two good performances back to back so I'm going to trust him to get this one done"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 120 of 272 44% 120 of 272 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Francisco Prado 0 90 of 246 36% 91 of 249 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 27 of 60 45% 27 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Francisco Prado 0 29 of 73 39% 29 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 50 of 110 45% 50 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francisco Prado 0 32 of 88 36% 33 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Zellhuber 0 43 of 102 42% 43 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francisco Prado 0 29 of 85 34% 29 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 120 of 272 44% 87 of 228 25 of 36 8 of 8 117 of 268 3 of 4 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 90 of 246 36% 30 of 155 26 of 47 34 of 44 88 of 244 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 27 of 60 45% 14 of 41 9 of 15 4 of 4 27 of 59 0 of 1 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 29 of 73 39% 12 of 50 5 of 7 12 of 16 27 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 50 of 110 45% 42 of 100 8 of 10 0 of 0 48 of 108 2 of 2 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 32 of 88 36% 8 of 54 11 of 19 13 of 15 32 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Zellhuber 43 of 102 42% 31 of 87 8 of 11 4 of 4 42 of 101 1 of 1 0 of 0
Francisco Prado 29 of 85 34% 10 of 51 10 of 21 9 of 13 29 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Zellhuber as the more well-rounded fighter, citing his length, takedown defense, and ability to threaten submissions. He believes Zellhuber will avoid Prado's early storm and take over as Prado fades. He mentions a decision win is likely but also considers a no action bet.

decision no action bet (if Prado wins by KO, bet pays; if Zellhuber wins decision, refund)
"zel Huber should be able to avoid the early storm should be able to stay on the outside let PR exhaust himself and then take over"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision. He notes that Zellhuber is a hometown fighter from Mexico City and has a height and reach advantage. He likes Zellhuber's volume, cardio, and sneaky power and submission game. He is not high on Francisco Prado, who has fought lower-level competition. Brady expects the fight to be competitive but thinks Zellhuber will do enough to win a decision.

Fight goes to decision
"I like him to win the decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Cody picks Prado by KO in round 1, having bet that prop at +1300. He notes Zellhuber's chin is sketchy and he keeps his chin up, making him hittable. He thinks Prado's power could cause problems, though he admits Zellhuber has more intangibles. He is not touching the moneyline.

Prado by KO in round 1 (+1300)
"I'll pick per for the purpose of a pick I'll pick uh pra as well but uh but yeah I'm not going to be shocked if he loses on the money line"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host sees Zellhuber as an improving prospect with a rangy striking style and slick jiu-jitsu. He believes Zellhuber's footwork and straight shots will keep Prado from getting inside the pocket, and even if Prado tries to take it to the ground, his wrestling isn't good enough. He predicts Zellhuber will touch up Prado, possibly get a late finish, but ultimately win on the scorecards.

Possible late finish
"I think we see Z Huer touch up pra maybe get a late finish but I ultimately think zahu wins on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Paul picks Zellhuber, citing his superior volume, speed, length, and developing ground game. He notes Zellhuber's cast-iron chin and ability to take a punch to give back two or three. He believes Zellhuber's volume and range will overtake Prado, and he may mix in takedowns and grappling. He is backing Zellhuber.

"zel Huber should be the clear favorite which he is and uh I'm gonna be backing him"
Submission (anaconda choke) R2 3:26 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 36 of 101 35% 36 of 101 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Christos Giagos 0 38 of 82 46% 38 of 82 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 50 24% 12 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Christos Giagos 0 26 of 52 50% 26 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Christos Giagos 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 36 of 101 35% 18 of 75 11 of 19 7 of 7 35 of 100 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 38 of 82 46% 25 of 63 3 of 7 10 of 12 36 of 79 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 50 24% 7 of 40 2 of 7 3 of 3 12 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 26 of 52 50% 16 of 37 2 of 6 8 of 9 26 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 24 of 51 47% 11 of 35 9 of 12 4 of 4 23 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 12 of 30 40% 9 of 26 1 of 1 2 of 3 10 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber as the more technical striker with good takedown defense. He acknowledges Christos Giagos has a path if he pressures and wrestles, but doubts Giagos will stick to a game plan. He is not betting this fight yet.

"Zell Huber's still going to be the pick he's too accurate of a striker and Gallegos does have a path but he's proven to us multiple times that these insanely tough"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Zellhuber, noting his improved performance after a poor debut. He expects Giagos to have early success but fade due to cardio issues, and Zellhuber to take over as the fight progresses. He predicts a submission in the second round, possibly via guillotine when Giagos shoots.

second round submission
"give me Daniel zellhuber to win this fight I'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Cody leans toward Giagos but is hesitant due to cardio concerns. He notes Giagos is a front-runner with big power early but fades. He thinks Zellhuber may work his way back into the fight in later rounds. Cody prefers to get a better live price but ultimately picks Giagos for the pregame show.

"I am going to take ho I think he wins down the stretch but it'll be greasy early."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Levi has bet Zellhuber in all three UFC fights and is confident here. He attributes Zellhuber's debut loss to a 'debut stun' and believes he has recovered, as shown in his win over Lando Vannata. Levi sees Giagos as an athletic but limited fighter who fades down the stretch, while Zellhuber's length, creativity, and pressure should allow him to take over late and potentially get a finish.

bet at minus-220, now minus-260; expects line to go higher
"I'm going doniozo Hoover here to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber has excellent footwork, range management, and volume striking, as shown in his win over Lando Vannata. Giagos is a wrestler who may have early success but will likely gas out. Zellhuber should pick him apart in the later rounds and get a finish, possibly by submission or TKO. I expect Giagos to revert to wrestling, but Zellhuber's conditioning and striking will be too much.

"give me zel Huber by finish more so than his money line here as jagos could have some early success and make this fight closer than it should be but I expect zel Huber to go out there and to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Paul picks Giagos as a live underdog, citing his physicality, wrestling, and power. He notes that Zellhuber looked green in his UFC debut against Trey Ogden, getting outworked and taken down. Paul believes Giagos can land early shots and get takedowns, though cardio is a concern. He has circled this bet and plans to add it to his card.

"Christo giago... I don't really quite understand he's obviously you know he got submitted against Chago Moises but that's the top 10 top 15 guy."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber over Christos Giagos, despite considering the underdog. He notes Zellhuber's reach advantage (77 inches) and dangerous striking. He criticizes Giagos's recent performance against Ricky Glenn, where Glenn looked old and slow, and notes Giagos has been dominated by others. He predicts Zellhuber may catch Giagos on the chin.

"I am going to go with Daniel zellhuber over Ricky Glenn"
WIN vs Lando Vannata
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 51 of 91 56% 51 of 91 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Lando Vannata 1 78 of 207 37% 84 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 23 73% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 1 40 of 91 43% 45 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 22 of 36 61% 22 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lando Vannata 0 22 of 55 40% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 0 16 of 61 26% 17 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 51 of 91 56% 20 of 41 12 of 24 19 of 26 49 of 87 2 of 2 0 of 2
Lando Vannata 78 of 207 37% 67 of 181 7 of 21 4 of 5 49 of 149 7 of 7 22 of 51
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 23 73% 5 of 6 2 of 4 10 of 13 17 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 40 of 91 43% 37 of 88 2 of 2 1 of 1 13 of 35 5 of 5 22 of 51
2 Daniel Zellhuber 22 of 36 61% 8 of 16 6 of 9 8 of 11 21 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 2
Lando Vannata 22 of 55 40% 17 of 41 3 of 11 2 of 3 22 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 32 37% 7 of 19 4 of 11 1 of 2 11 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 16 of 61 26% 13 of 52 2 of 8 1 of 1 14 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his gun-shy UFC debut, trusting his pre-UFC fights and 88% takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's length, power, and relentless striking pace when he's on. He expects a close, fast-paced fight but believes Zellhuber's talent will prevail over Lando's well-roundedness.

"I trust his 88 takedown defense I trust his pre-ufc fights to be more indicative of who he actually is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision, giving him one more chance after a poor debut. He notes Zellhuber's size and reach advantages, good takedown defense, and training at Extreme Couture. He is concerned about Zellhuber's previous performance but believes it was a one-off. He expects Zellhuber to bounce back and outpoint Vannata.

"I do like Zell Huber in this match if I'll give him one more chance to win this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody is unimpressed by Zellhuber's poor UFC debut and thinks Vannata's unorthodox style and grappling could cause problems. He notes Vannata is inconsistent but has the experience advantage. He picks Vannata as a dog.

"I'll be picking him for the purposes of this show"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Connor agrees, noting that Vannata's losses are to top fighters and that Zellhuber's step up on the contender series was a difficult decision. He believes Vannata's experience and ability to pour in strikes on openings will be key.

"Yeah, I don't really understand that. I guess people are really being down on Lando because of the dejour dan fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber's range and technical striking should pick apart Vannata, who struggles against crisp strikers. Vannata's unorthodox style can be countered by Zellhuber's length and clean shots. Zellhuber's takedown defense should be sufficient. Expect a knockout as Vannata has been clipped before. Zellhuber is a live underdog despite his last loss.

Zellhuber wins by knockout
"I think he'll be able to pick apart Landover nada from distance and I think he will possibly even find binocular here man."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul echoes Cody, noting Zellhuber's terrible performance against Trey Ogden. He thinks Vannata's unorthodox striking and scrambling will overwhelm the inexperienced Zellhuber. He takes the plus money.

"I got to take that plus money Lando or just pass all together Lando's the dog I'm gonna take the dog"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata as a plus-money underdog, citing his experience, tricky striking, and underrated grappling. He believes Vannata can outstrike Zellhuber, who had a lackluster UFC debut. He notes Zellhuber's youth and reach but thinks Vannata's veteran savvy and motivation will secure the win.

"I am going to side with the veteran in Lando vanata"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Zane picks Vannata because he has been doing this much longer than Zellhuber, who still looks like he's learning. He notes that Vannata's experience against top fighters gives him an edge, and that Zellhuber's game lacks fundamental connectivity. He also mentions that Vannata has been wrestling lately.

"This is the time where even if you're not going to be in control, this is when you've just been doing this way more than tell Hoover who doesn't look like he's been doing this a lot."
LOSS vs Trey Ogden
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trey Ogden 0 71 of 168 42% 72 of 169 1 of 9 11% 0 0 0:38
Daniel Zellhuber 0 52 of 178 29% 52 of 178 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trey Ogden 0 20 of 47 42% 20 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 36 33% 12 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Trey Ogden 0 26 of 57 45% 27 of 58 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:38
Daniel Zellhuber 0 23 of 64 35% 23 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Trey Ogden 0 25 of 64 39% 25 of 64 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 78 21% 17 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trey Ogden 71 of 168 42% 22 of 109 7 of 13 42 of 46 71 of 168 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 52 of 178 29% 19 of 125 21 of 40 12 of 13 52 of 178 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trey Ogden 20 of 47 42% 1 of 24 1 of 3 18 of 20 20 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 36 33% 1 of 22 6 of 8 5 of 6 12 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Trey Ogden 26 of 57 45% 6 of 33 4 of 6 16 of 18 26 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 23 of 64 35% 8 of 40 10 of 19 5 of 5 23 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Trey Ogden 25 of 64 39% 15 of 52 2 of 4 8 of 8 25 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 78 21% 10 of 63 5 of 13 2 of 2 17 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Trey Ogden vs. Daniel Zellhuber
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zellhuber (-285), Ogden (+240)

Round 1
Like the Gravely-Basharat matchup from earlier, a fighter with at least 20 pro bouts will try to make a 12-0 fighter’s 0 go. In this instance, it is Glory MMA & Fitness’ Ogden (15-5, 0-1 UFC), who only finishes fights by submission, against unbeaten Mexican striker Zellhuber (12-0, 0-0 UFC). The third man in the cage for this lightweight tilt will be referee Herb Dean, and he sits back to observe a touch of gloves. There is a stalemate when the fight begins, with no strikes thrown for the first 20 seconds or so. Ogden punctuates the silence with a slapping kick to the outside of the newcomer’s leg, and he eventually tosses out one on the inside. The lightweights are exceedingly patient to engage, with the only strikes in a full minute three leg kicks. Zellhuber pitches a front kick up the middle that is swatted away, and Ogden use another low kick to find his range and do something at all. Ogden shoots from afar, and Zellhuber sees it coming and easily tosses him out of the way. Ogden gathers himself and uses a low kick, and he reaches out with a left hook. Zellhuber comes up short with a jab, and he is similarly inaccurate in several other strikes to differing targets. Ogden goes up high with a kick that slaps off the shoulder, and he peppers the lead leg with several kicks. Zellhuber comes out throwing hands, and Ogden is faster and intercepts him with a left hook. Zellhuber misses the chin by a matter of inches with a quick kick, and it slaps into the chest with emphasis. They both score single jabs, and Ogden stays active with leg kicks to both sides of the lead wheel of “Golden Boy.” Ogden pushes out multiple jabs, and the kicks from both fighters get blocked. Ogden chips and chops with low kicks, and the snoozer of a round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ogden

Round 2
The tentative second round starts just like the first ended, albeit without a glove touch, with neither man willing to engage with much of note. Ogden keeps using low kicks as his preferred weapon, and he snaps the head back with a counter hook when Zellhuber closes in on him. As Zellhuber advances again to walk through kicks, he gets poked in the eye. Dean gives him time to recover, but Zellhuber wants to keep going and pick things up. Ogden is the one fired up after the brief break, with a few quick combinations to string together. Zellhuber answers with his own short barrage of punches, but it is the leg kick he throws at its conclusion that has the greater effect. Zellhuber swings with a left hook, and Ogden times a takedown perfectly but cannot get in on the hips to ground the newcomer. Zellhuber thanks him for this attempt with a head kick, but it misses the mark by a great deal. Zellhuber sits down on a pair of punches, but they largely collide with the guard of “Samurai Ghost.” Zellhuber stretches out with a front kick to the body, but it is one and done as Ogden resets. Zellhuber pokes out a jab, and he gets his own body kicked along with three to his lead leg. Ogden swipes with a left hook, and they hand-fight in the center of the cage. Simultaneous jabs allow Zellhuber to reach first, and he chains the jab into a front kick. “Golden Boy” swings and misses, due to the level change and successful takedown landed by Ogden. Zellhuber pops back up, and Ogden takes his back standing. Ogden holds the position until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Zellhuber
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ogden

Round 3
Fists are bumped to start off the last round, and the fighters decide to pick up the pace a little by actually punching each other in succession. They trade straight punches before switching to kicks to the body, and one after the other they exchange blows. This slows when Zellhuber backs away and tries to use his range, but he cannot find it as his punches and kicks continually miss the mark. Ogden snipes him and closes the distance to land, only to scoot away before the counter. Zellhuber eats a left hook and tries to pay his man back, but Ogden slips it and shoots in for a double. Zellhuber stuffs it and winds up with a high kick, but it helplessly slaps off the blocking hand, a great distance from Ogden’s mug. Ogden sticks out several jabs, and Zellhuber’s pace falls to single strikes. Ogden has a shin skim off the liver, and he works the lead leg and ducks back as Zellhuber swings wildly. “Golden Boy” leaps in the air with a knee, and Ogden slides away and smacks Zellhuber with a left hand. Zellhuber walks into jabs and throws high-risk, low-reward strikes like a spinning kick, only to hit air. Ogden continues his effective jab to disrupt the brief charges of his opponent, and he sneaks a head kick up that is just blocked in time. “Samurai Ghost” punches the body and evades, and he doubles up on his effective jab to give Zellhuber fits. Zellhuber steps in with an elbow that misses where he aims it, and a second to follow is blocked. Ogden shoots for another takedown, and it is similarly stuffed. Zellhuber swings and misses with a flying knee, and a few punches and kicks from both men lead to an end in this de facto sparring match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden (30-27 Ogden)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ogden (29-28 Ogden)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ogden (30-27 Ogden)

The Official Result
Trey Ogden def. Daniel Zellhuber via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Zellhuber, impressed by his dynamic striking, length, and takedown defense. He notes that Ogden is a grappler who sometimes chooses to strike, which would be a mistake against Zellhuber. Angelo placed a moneyline bet at -230 and notes the line has moved to -270, emphasizing the value of early betting for premium members.

Moneyline bet at -230.
"i like daniel to get the win here i do have a money line bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady is confident in Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision. He praises Zellhuber as a well-rounded fighter with a significant reach advantage (5.5-6.5 inches) and superior striking. Brady criticizes Trey Ogden's performance against Jordan Levitt, where Ogden was outlanded 69-41 and failed to secure takedowns. He doubts Ogden can take down or submit the larger Zellhuber, who is a BJJ black belt. Brady predicts Zellhuber will pick Ogden apart on the feet for three rounds and win a 30-27 decision.

decision
"give me daniel zellhuber i'll say he wins by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Cody agrees, highlighting Zellhuber's altitude training, durability, and well-rounded skills. He thinks Ogden has no path to victory and that Zellhuber could finish inside the distance. He calls it a top-two ticket play.

Zellhuber inside the distance
"this feels to me top two ticket kind of play"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Levi is very high on Daniel Zellhuber, calling him one of the best prospects in a long time. He likes Zellhuber's composure, striking arsenal, and physical attributes (6'1", 77-inch reach). He notes Zellhuber's training at Tiger Muay Thai and with Eric Nicksick, and believes he will knock out Trey Ogden. He placed one unit at minus 245.

Bet one unit on Daniel Zellhuber moneyline at -245; predicts knockout
"I think he's gonna knock out trey ogden so i laid it minus 245 to win one unit"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Jacob picks Zellhuber, calling him the real deal with dynamic striking and Mexican toughness. He notes that Ogden is a wrestler who doesn't always wrestle, which is dangerous against a striker like Zellhuber. Jacob predicts a knockout, as Zellhuber's power and precision will find the mark. He worries slightly about Ogden's grappling but believes Zellhuber can handle it.

Predicts knockout finish.
"i think daniel finds that knockout shot in this matchup"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber is the better striker and grappler, with length and speed advantages. He has been training at Xtreme Couture under Eric Nicksick, who is high on him. Ogden is a jack of all trades but not at UFC level. Zellhuber should win inside the distance; his inside distance prop at +110 is a better play than the moneyline. He is a solid parlay piece.

Zellhuber inside the distance at +110
"zellhuber should win this fight he should win it inside the distance you could get a better number on him inside the distance which is plus 110"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Paul thinks Zellhuber is a legitimate prospect with good cardio, chin, and grappling. He notes Ogden looked poor against Jordan Leavitt and that Zellhuber has been training with top guys. He expects Zellhuber to steamroll Ogden.

"daniel zellhuber should absolutely steamroll them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber by decision. He thinks Zellhuber looks special with crisp striking, while Trey Ogden is underrated but didn't beat Jordan Leavitt, which is a benchmark. He notes Ogden has been submitted before and Zellhuber is young (23) with momentum from the Contender Series. He expects a decision win because Ogden is tough and has a good chin, so a KO is unlikely.

"i'm picking him to beat trey ogden by decision win"
Lando Vannata - Fight History
LOSS vs Darrius Flowers
KO R2 0:52 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 04, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 27 of 36 75% 31 of 42 2 of 7 28% 0 0 2:16
Darrius Flowers 0 20 of 36 55% 44 of 69 2 of 2 100% 1 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 22 of 29 75% 26 of 35 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:16
Darrius Flowers 0 17 of 30 56% 35 of 53 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:18
2 Lando Vannata 0 5 of 7 71% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Darrius Flowers 0 3 of 6 50% 9 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 27 of 36 75% 19 of 25 5 of 8 3 of 3 20 of 27 3 of 3 4 of 6
Darrius Flowers 20 of 36 55% 10 of 26 4 of 4 6 of 6 15 of 29 1 of 1 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 22 of 29 75% 17 of 23 4 of 5 1 of 1 15 of 20 3 of 3 4 of 6
Darrius Flowers 17 of 30 56% 9 of 22 3 of 3 5 of 5 12 of 23 1 of 1 4 of 6
2 Lando Vannata 5 of 7 71% 2 of 2 1 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Darrius Flowers 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Darrius Flowers

Angelo picks Darrius Flowers primarily because Lando Vannata hasn't fought in three years and was on a losing streak before the layoff. He acknowledges that no one can intelligently break down this fight due to the unknowns, but Flowers has fought recently and will move forward and swing. Angelo is not confident and advises against betting on this fight.

No prop bets or odds mentioned; Angelo explicitly says 'you should do literally nothing with that information'.
"I got to go with Darius Flowers. I'll pick the guy that has fought in this century."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Big Brady picks Lando Vannata despite his long layoff and losing streak. He criticizes Flowers as one of the worst fighters, with many KO and submission losses. He expects Vannata to win by second-round submission, noting Flowers has no chin and poor grappling.

Vannata by submission in round 2
"Give me Leonardo to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody hesitantly picks Vannata, acknowledging his superior skills but concerns about a three-year layoff and injuries. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins and considers a submission prop.

submission +370
"I'm going to take Lando, but I'm taking a little Lando sub plus 370, which is available to me right now."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Lando Vannata

Connor also picks Vannata, noting that Flowers fights like a Vegas strip impersonation of Rampage Jackson with no footwork and is stiff and awkward. He points out that Flowers got undressed by Evan Elder and doesn't seem to like fighting. Vannata, despite his own issues, should win easily.

Vannata opened -170, now -210; Flowers opened +145, now +180.
"Flowers got undressed by Evan Elder though."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

James picks Lando Vannata, calling it a weird fight. He notes Vannata's superior striking and level of competition, but is unsure due to both fighters' inactivity. He predicts a spinning wheel kick knockout in round two when Flowers gasses. He expresses confusion about the matchup and low confidence.

Spinning wheel kick knockout in round 2 prediction
"I'll pick Lando Fanata here boys. I'll pick Vanata via spinning wheel kick finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The host expects Vannata to win, likely by finish in round 2 or 3, as Flowers has poor cardio and a tendency to fade. He notes Vannata's unorthodox striking and BJJ black belt, while Flowers gasses out and has been submitted before. He advises caution due to Vannata's three-year layoff but still picks him.

under 1.5 rounds at +175; under 2.5 rounds if line improves
"I expect Vanata to win. I don't mind the chalk on him just cuz I don't think Flowers is that good of a fighter... he should go out there and get the finish in round two or round three."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul leans towards Vannata, noting Flowers' poor record and takedown defense. He expects Vannata to win if he uses wrestling, but is cautious due to the layoff.

"Lando's going to be the side for me because like I don't think I would ever bet Darius Flowers in the UFC against just about anybody."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata, recalling his past highlights like the wheel kick KO of John Makdessi. He believes Vannata's rangy striking and teeps will be effective against Darrius Flowers, who has been easily handled by Michael Johnson and Jake Matthews. He predicts a decision win.

Decision win predicted
"Lando Vannata is probably going to win this one. Close decision, 29-28."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Lando Vannata

Zane picks Vannata confidently despite his flaws, because Flowers is even worse. He describes Flowers as a Rampage Jackson impersonator with no footwork, stiff and awkward, who got undressed by Evan Elder. Vannata, though inconsistent and prone to bad habits, is still good enough to beat a low-level opponent like Flowers.

Vannata opened -170, now -210; Flowers opened +145, now +180.
"The thing is she's gonna beat Darius flowers. Yeah, that is the ultimate fucking tragedy, isn't it?"
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 51 of 91 56% 51 of 91 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Lando Vannata 1 78 of 207 37% 84 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 23 73% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 1 40 of 91 43% 45 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 22 of 36 61% 22 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lando Vannata 0 22 of 55 40% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 0 16 of 61 26% 17 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 51 of 91 56% 20 of 41 12 of 24 19 of 26 49 of 87 2 of 2 0 of 2
Lando Vannata 78 of 207 37% 67 of 181 7 of 21 4 of 5 49 of 149 7 of 7 22 of 51
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 23 73% 5 of 6 2 of 4 10 of 13 17 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 40 of 91 43% 37 of 88 2 of 2 1 of 1 13 of 35 5 of 5 22 of 51
2 Daniel Zellhuber 22 of 36 61% 8 of 16 6 of 9 8 of 11 21 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 2
Lando Vannata 22 of 55 40% 17 of 41 3 of 11 2 of 3 22 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 32 37% 7 of 19 4 of 11 1 of 2 11 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 16 of 61 26% 13 of 52 2 of 8 1 of 1 14 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his gun-shy UFC debut, trusting his pre-UFC fights and 88% takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's length, power, and relentless striking pace when he's on. He expects a close, fast-paced fight but believes Zellhuber's talent will prevail over Lando's well-roundedness.

"I trust his 88 takedown defense I trust his pre-ufc fights to be more indicative of who he actually is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision, giving him one more chance after a poor debut. He notes Zellhuber's size and reach advantages, good takedown defense, and training at Extreme Couture. He is concerned about Zellhuber's previous performance but believes it was a one-off. He expects Zellhuber to bounce back and outpoint Vannata.

"I do like Zell Huber in this match if I'll give him one more chance to win this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody is unimpressed by Zellhuber's poor UFC debut and thinks Vannata's unorthodox style and grappling could cause problems. He notes Vannata is inconsistent but has the experience advantage. He picks Vannata as a dog.

"I'll be picking him for the purposes of this show"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Connor agrees, noting that Vannata's losses are to top fighters and that Zellhuber's step up on the contender series was a difficult decision. He believes Vannata's experience and ability to pour in strikes on openings will be key.

"Yeah, I don't really understand that. I guess people are really being down on Lando because of the dejour dan fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber's range and technical striking should pick apart Vannata, who struggles against crisp strikers. Vannata's unorthodox style can be countered by Zellhuber's length and clean shots. Zellhuber's takedown defense should be sufficient. Expect a knockout as Vannata has been clipped before. Zellhuber is a live underdog despite his last loss.

Zellhuber wins by knockout
"I think he'll be able to pick apart Landover nada from distance and I think he will possibly even find binocular here man."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul echoes Cody, noting Zellhuber's terrible performance against Trey Ogden. He thinks Vannata's unorthodox striking and scrambling will overwhelm the inexperienced Zellhuber. He takes the plus money.

"I got to take that plus money Lando or just pass all together Lando's the dog I'm gonna take the dog"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata as a plus-money underdog, citing his experience, tricky striking, and underrated grappling. He believes Vannata can outstrike Zellhuber, who had a lackluster UFC debut. He notes Zellhuber's youth and reach but thinks Vannata's veteran savvy and motivation will secure the win.

"I am going to side with the veteran in Lando vanata"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Zane picks Vannata because he has been doing this much longer than Zellhuber, who still looks like he's learning. He notes that Vannata's experience against top fighters gives him an edge, and that Zellhuber's game lacks fundamental connectivity. He also mentions that Vannata has been wrestling lately.

"This is the time where even if you're not going to be in control, this is when you've just been doing this way more than tell Hoover who doesn't look like he's been doing this a lot."
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 2:32 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:57
Lando Vannata 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:57
Lando Vannata 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 8 of 14 57% 5 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
Lando Vannata 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 8 of 14 57% 5 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
Lando Vannata 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Lando Vannata

Round 1
A featherweight scrap expected by some to be the frontrunner for “Fight of the Night” will continue the main card, when Vannata (12-5-2, 4-5-2 UFC) takes on the appropriately nicknamed “Air” Jourdain (12-4-1, 3-3-1 UFC) for the latter’s high-flying prowess. This could get wild, and referee Keith Peterson will have to be on his A-game here at sweeping away nonsense. The gloves get touched ahead of this hopefully exciting matchup, and Jourdain comes out aggressively. When he reaches out a little too far, Vannata scoops him off the mat and slams him down. Jourdain kicks him off and looks to scramble, but Vannata smoothly follows him and even takes his back as Jourdain moves. A couple punches land to the back of the head, and Jourdain explodes back to his feet. When upright again, the Canadian is met with a body kick and a crisp uppercut from “Groovy,” who styles on him with several quick, effective blows. Vannata kicks the body and steps forward with a right hand, only to be met with a piston-like left hand that knocks Vannata clean off his feet. Jourdain snatches hold of a guillotine when jumping on top, and Vannata pulls his neck out and tries to take Jourdain down.
In doing so, Vannata falls into another guillotine choke that Jourdain holds with only one arm. “Air” Jourdain secures the grip, and he sits up to half guard with his hands clasped crushingly tight. Vannata, with his head torqued at a horrible angle, signals that he is ok by putting an arm up in the air, only to then tap out with his other hand, as his head changes to a brilliant shade of vermillion from the application of the choke.
When Peterson steps in, Vannata has to pull his shorts up, because Jourdain apparently choked them off too. That’s two powerful Canadians in a row locking up guillotine chokes just after the midpoint of the round, with each just as impressive as the other.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Lando Vannata R1 2:32 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Angelo has a very slight lean to Lando Vannata, citing his grappling threat and size at 145. He notes Vannata has taken down Bobby Green five times across two fights. He says Jourdain's volume could be the difference if it stays standing, but Vannata's pressure and strength could be an issue. He calls Jourdain a gamer, making it hard to pick against him.

"very slight lean to lando venata in this fight but jordan is just such a gamer it's hard to pick against them"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain to win a close decision, citing his youth and improvements shown in his last fight against Andre Ewell. He thinks Jourdain has the harder shots and slightly better striking, while Vannata may mix in takedowns but won't control Jourdain. He calls it a coin flip but leans Jourdain.

"I'll take jordan to win a very close and competitive decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody picks Vannata as an underdog, citing his improved performance at 145 against Mike Grundy. He notes Vannata's wrestling background and ability to exploit Jourdain's takedown defense. He believes Vannata can mix takedowns and striking, and that Jourdain's wild style leaves openings.

Vannata by submission prop if juicy enough
"I think as an underdog he could be there to expose jordan a little bit show him a couple things and uh i'm willing to take a shot on that underdog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Lando Vannata

The host leans towards Lando Vannata but has no bet on this fight. He thinks the fight is likely to go the distance, noting that Vannata has never been KO'd (only sub loss to Ferguson). He includes over 2.5 rounds in his totals parlay.

Included over 2.5 rounds in totals parlay.
"i do like lando there but no bet from me on my side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul agrees with Cody, highlighting Vannata's wrestling and the path to victory via takedowns. He notes Jourdain's poor takedown defense and Vannata's D1 wrestling background. He thinks Vannata can control the fight and potentially submit Jourdain.

Vannata by submission prop; wrestling is life
"i think lando's got more pass maybe he turns it into an absolute banger of a fight but i think that path could be exploited"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, citing his cardio advantage and durability. He notes Vannata slows down in high-paced fights and lacks power at featherweight. He predicts Jourdain will go to the body and take over in the later rounds, finishing by third-round TKO. He mentions Jourdain's great chin and Vannata's headhunting style. He expects a war with both getting rocked, but Jourdain's conditioning will be the difference.

third round TKO
"i am going to be going with charles jordan here i think fight tonight 100 i don't see any way of it going any different"
WIN vs Mike Grundy
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 80 of 168 47% 83 of 173 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Mike Grundy 0 32 of 63 50% 34 of 65 3 of 20 15% 0 0 2:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Grundy 0 7 of 12 58% 9 of 14 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:34
2 Lando Vannata 0 39 of 76 51% 39 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Grundy 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:18
3 Lando Vannata 0 21 of 52 40% 23 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Mike Grundy 0 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 80 of 168 47% 40 of 118 27 of 36 13 of 14 73 of 161 7 of 7 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 32 of 63 50% 19 of 44 13 of 19 0 of 0 28 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 20 of 40 50% 11 of 28 7 of 10 2 of 2 14 of 34 6 of 6 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 7 of 12 58% 5 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Lando Vannata 39 of 76 51% 19 of 52 13 of 16 7 of 8 38 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 9 of 22 40% 7 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lando Vannata 21 of 52 40% 10 of 38 7 of 10 4 of 4 21 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 16 of 29 55% 7 of 17 9 of 12 0 of 0 15 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Grundy is a grappler who can get takedowns; he took down Movsar Evloev six times. Vannata has 58% takedown defense and has been taken down by lesser wrestlers. Grundy's cardio is a concern, but Vannata also slows down. I think Grundy grinds out a decision, but I want to see Vannata's weight cut first.

"I'm gonna take mike running to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Cody picks Grundy, emphasizing that Vannata's wrestling defense is poor and Grundy will take him down repeatedly. He notes that Vannata's game plans are questionable and he often fades in later rounds. Cody believes Grundy's wrestling will be the difference, though he acknowledges Vannata could pull off a flashy finish.

"i'm feeling grundy the same way uh you got to go with the wrestling"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Daniel Levi picks Mike Grundy, citing his wrestling pressure and takedowns. He notes that Vannata tends to slow down in fights and has been taken down repeatedly. Levi thinks Grundy's pace and grappling will be too much for Vannata, and predicts a decision win for Grundy. He acknowledges Vannata's striking threat but believes Grundy can neutralize it.

"i'm gonna go with grundy to win a decision here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

The host picks Grundy, believing his wrestling will be the difference maker. He notes Grundy has cardio issues but thinks Vannata is a far cry from his debut and that Grundy's grappling-heavy style should secure rounds. He predicts a decision win but says he can't trust Grundy even at close odds.

Grundy by decision
"i am gonna go with grundy i think his grappling does end up being the difference maker year but again i just can't trust this guy uh even at these close odds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Paul picks Grundy, citing his wrestling advantage. He notes that Vannata has been taken down repeatedly in recent fights and his takedown defense is poor. Paul believes Grundy will control the fight with takedowns and top control, though he is not very confident.

"give me grundy minus 120 not very comfortable about it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata to win by TKO in the first round. He is surprised that most people are picking Mike Grundy, as he believes Grundy hasn't lived up to expectations and lost to Movsar Evloev. He thinks Vannata's takedown defense and scrambles will keep the fight standing, where Vannata's striking advantage will lead to a first-round finish.

Vannata wins by TKO in round 1
"i'm going with lando vernata and it is shocking to me that everyone is picking mike grande"
LOSS vs King Green
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Aug 01, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 54 of 127 42% 64 of 139 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:27
Lando Vannata 1 115 of 195 58% 136 of 219 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 29 of 59 49% 29 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Lando Vannata 0 35 of 71 49% 37 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
2 King Green 0 12 of 37 32% 16 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Lando Vannata 0 34 of 61 55% 38 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
3 King Green 0 13 of 31 41% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 1 46 of 63 73% 61 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 54 of 127 42% 31 of 99 16 of 21 7 of 7 45 of 115 9 of 12 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 115 of 195 58% 67 of 135 20 of 30 28 of 30 89 of 160 11 of 12 15 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 29 of 59 49% 19 of 48 9 of 10 1 of 1 25 of 54 4 of 5 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 35 of 71 49% 20 of 53 5 of 7 10 of 11 32 of 66 2 of 2 1 of 3
2 King Green 12 of 37 32% 5 of 28 3 of 5 4 of 4 9 of 33 3 of 4 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 34 of 61 55% 16 of 36 6 of 13 12 of 12 32 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 King Green 13 of 31 41% 7 of 23 4 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 46 of 63 73% 31 of 46 9 of 10 6 of 7 25 of 35 7 of 8 14 of 20
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Big Brady picks Lando Vannata to win by second-round knockout. He recalls their first fight where Vannata nearly finished Green and argues that Vannata has improved his composure and technique. He criticizes Bobby Green's poor fight IQ and tendency to keep his hands down, which he believes will lead to a knockout. He mentions he missed getting Vannata at pick'em odds and is considering a bet at -150.

second round knockout
"i'm gonna pick fanata to win by uh i'm gonna say second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2020 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Daniel picks Bobby Green, noting his heart and ability to take over in later rounds. He points out that Lando fades after the first round and that Green went toe-to-toe with Clay Guida. He expects Green to land crisper shots in rounds 2 and 3 and win a decision.

decision
"i think that bobby probably you know lands the crisper shots on the feet in the second and third round and edges the decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 29, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The host picks Vannata, expecting him to use his groovy style with hands down and movement to outpoint Green. He notes that Green is a low-output, one-and-done puncher and that Vannata's confidence from the Yancy Medeiros fight will carry over. He also mentions the first fight ended in a draw due to an illegal knee, but believes Vannata will win a clear decision this time.

"i do like lando vana in this fight i do think we see him dance around a little bit and i do think we see him uh you know get the judge's decision here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The host picks Lando Vannata to win by second-round TKO. He was not impressed with Bobby Green's performance against Clay Guida and believes Vannata has improved his cardio and pacing since their first fight. He thinks Vannata's movement and output will be too much for Green, and that Vannata will avoid brawling and instead outpoint or finish Green.

second round TKO
"i'm gonna be going with land overnight getting the job done he's younger in my opinion he's improved more since their last fight he gets the job done by second round tko"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 · Feb 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 99 of 188 52% 100 of 189 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:04
Yancy Medeiros 0 68 of 193 35% 68 of 193 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 29 of 51 56% 29 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yancy Medeiros 0 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lando Vannata 0 34 of 65 52% 35 of 66 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Yancy Medeiros 0 21 of 58 36% 21 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Lando Vannata 0 36 of 72 50% 36 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Yancy Medeiros 0 24 of 84 28% 24 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 99 of 188 52% 36 of 107 29 of 38 34 of 43 98 of 185 1 of 3 0 of 0
Yancy Medeiros 68 of 193 35% 42 of 163 14 of 17 12 of 13 66 of 191 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 29 of 51 56% 14 of 30 6 of 10 9 of 11 29 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yancy Medeiros 23 of 51 45% 9 of 36 6 of 7 8 of 8 23 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lando Vannata 34 of 65 52% 9 of 38 12 of 13 13 of 14 33 of 62 1 of 3 0 of 0
Yancy Medeiros 21 of 58 36% 17 of 54 4 of 4 0 of 0 21 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lando Vannata 36 of 72 50% 13 of 39 11 of 15 12 of 18 36 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yancy Medeiros 24 of 84 28% 16 of 73 4 of 6 4 of 5 22 of 82 2 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Yancy Medeiros

Daniel Levi picks Yancy Medeiros to win by unanimous decision or third-round submission. He believes Vannata is a lost cause with a fragile chin and poor fight IQ, while Medeiros has the Hawaiian spirit and will take over after the first round. He notes Vannata's tendency to gas at the 7-minute mark and not check kicks.

unanimous decision, third-round submission, live betting opportunity on Medeiros after first round
"I'm going in see materials by unanimous decision"
LOSS vs Marc Diakiese
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Sep 28, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc Diakiese 0 40 of 99 40% 45 of 111 4 of 7 57% 0 0 5:07
Lando Vannata 0 25 of 70 35% 51 of 108 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc Diakiese 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
Lando Vannata 0 10 of 21 47% 12 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marc Diakiese 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:46
Lando Vannata 0 8 of 32 25% 9 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Marc Diakiese 0 11 of 23 47% 16 of 34 4 of 5 80% 0 0 3:32
Lando Vannata 0 7 of 17 41% 30 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc Diakiese 40 of 99 40% 16 of 52 10 of 25 14 of 22 31 of 84 2 of 3 7 of 12
Lando Vannata 25 of 70 35% 4 of 36 8 of 12 13 of 22 24 of 66 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc Diakiese 16 of 38 42% 4 of 15 4 of 10 8 of 13 16 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 1
Lando Vannata 10 of 21 47% 1 of 8 2 of 4 7 of 9 10 of 19 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Marc Diakiese 13 of 38 34% 4 of 21 4 of 9 5 of 8 11 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 8 of 32 25% 2 of 20 3 of 4 3 of 8 7 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Marc Diakiese 11 of 23 47% 8 of 16 2 of 6 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 7 of 11
Lando Vannata 7 of 17 41% 1 of 8 3 of 4 3 of 5 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (kimura) R1 4:55 · UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · Feb 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 0 20 of 40 50% 39 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:35
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 0 20 of 40 50% 39 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:35
Marcos Rosa Mariano 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 20 of 40 50% 18 of 37 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 18 of 36
Marcos Rosa Mariano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 20 of 40 50% 18 of 37 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 18 of 36
Marcos Rosa Mariano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his gun-shy UFC debut, trusting his pre-UFC fights and 88% takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's length, power, and relentless striking pace when he's on. He expects a close, fast-paced fight but believes Zellhuber's talent will prevail over Lando's well-roundedness.

"I trust his 88 takedown defense I trust his pre-ufc fights to be more indicative of who he actually is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber to win by decision, giving him one more chance after a poor debut. He notes Zellhuber's size and reach advantages, good takedown defense, and training at Extreme Couture. He is concerned about Zellhuber's previous performance but believes it was a one-off. He expects Zellhuber to bounce back and outpoint Vannata.

"I do like Zell Huber in this match if I'll give him one more chance to win this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Cody is unimpressed by Zellhuber's poor UFC debut and thinks Vannata's unorthodox style and grappling could cause problems. He notes Vannata is inconsistent but has the experience advantage. He picks Vannata as a dog.

"I'll be picking him for the purposes of this show"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Connor agrees, noting that Vannata's losses are to top fighters and that Zellhuber's step up on the contender series was a difficult decision. He believes Vannata's experience and ability to pour in strikes on openings will be key.

"Yeah, I don't really understand that. I guess people are really being down on Lando because of the dejour dan fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber's range and technical striking should pick apart Vannata, who struggles against crisp strikers. Vannata's unorthodox style can be countered by Zellhuber's length and clean shots. Zellhuber's takedown defense should be sufficient. Expect a knockout as Vannata has been clipped before. Zellhuber is a live underdog despite his last loss.

Zellhuber wins by knockout
"I think he'll be able to pick apart Landover nada from distance and I think he will possibly even find binocular here man."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Paul echoes Cody, noting Zellhuber's terrible performance against Trey Ogden. He thinks Vannata's unorthodox striking and scrambling will overwhelm the inexperienced Zellhuber. He takes the plus money.

"I got to take that plus money Lando or just pass all together Lando's the dog I'm gonna take the dog"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The MMA Guru picks Lando Vannata as a plus-money underdog, citing his experience, tricky striking, and underrated grappling. He believes Vannata can outstrike Zellhuber, who had a lackluster UFC debut. He notes Zellhuber's youth and reach but thinks Vannata's veteran savvy and motivation will secure the win.

"I am going to side with the veteran in Lando vanata"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Zane picks Vannata because he has been doing this much longer than Zellhuber, who still looks like he's learning. He notes that Vannata's experience against top fighters gives him an edge, and that Zellhuber's game lacks fundamental connectivity. He also mentions that Vannata has been wrestling lately.

"This is the time where even if you're not going to be in control, this is when you've just been doing this way more than tell Hoover who doesn't look like he's been doing this a lot."