UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Next Fight
Age 34
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 29
Height 6' 0"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Andre Petroski
2.81 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
2.79 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
3.15 TD Avg
51.0% TD Acc.
86.0% TD Def.
1.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Wellington Turman
3.23 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
4.17 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
1.55 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Andre Petroski
Moneyline
BetMGM -175
KO/TKO
FanDuel +240
Submission
BetRivers +390
Decision
BetRivers +360
Wellington Turman
Moneyline
BetRivers +163
KO/TKO
BetRivers +850
Submission
BetRivers +510
Decision
FanDuel +600
Andre Petroski - Fight History
LOSS vs Cody Brundage
KO/TKO R2 0:44 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Brundage 1 43 of 60 71% 44 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Andre Petroski 0 8 of 17 47% 21 of 30 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Brundage 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Andre Petroski 0 8 of 16 50% 21 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:56
2 Cody Brundage 1 37 of 50 74% 38 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Andre Petroski 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Brundage 43 of 60 71% 40 of 55 2 of 2 1 of 3 8 of 12 0 of 0 35 of 48
Andre Petroski 8 of 17 47% 2 of 7 1 of 4 5 of 6 7 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Brundage 6 of 10 60% 3 of 5 2 of 2 1 of 3 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 8 of 16 50% 2 of 6 1 of 4 5 of 6 7 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Cody Brundage 37 of 50 74% 37 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 35 of 48
Andre Petroski 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski

Round 1
Chris Tognoni is the referee. It’s a deliberate beginning for the middleweights. Petroski land a low kick. Petroski fires a combination and Brundage circles out. Petroski backs his man up and lands a calf kick. Brundage partially lands a straight right. Both men remain very patient as we reach the halfway point of the round. Burndage lands a front kick to the gut and eats a series of calf kicks. Petroski catches Brundage with a knee as he moves forward. Petroski shoots and lands in side control to negate a guillotine attempt from Brundage. Brundage keeps his grip for a while before relen. Brundage seems content to hold his opponent close to limit offense. Petroski creates some space and lands a few right hands from top position. Petroski goes knee on belly and then achieves mount as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
Brundage throws a looping right and then seconds later, drops his foe with a massive left hook after feinting another right.
Brundage pounces and unleashes a hailstorm of ground-and-pound in pursuit of the finish. Petroski is defending well at first, but Brundage is relentless. The shots are beginning to get through and Tognoni is taking a close look. The veteran official gives Petroski plenty of leeway, but the Pennsylvania-based fighter isn’t improving his situation — so the fight is waved off.
That ends a four-bout winless streak for Burndage.

The Official Result
Cody Brundage def. Andre Petroski via TKO (Punches) R2 0:44
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Angelo picks Cody Brundage despite acknowledging his inconsistency and cardio issues. He believes Brundage is the better wrestler and striker with more power, and has faced tougher competition. However, he is hesitant due to Brundage's tendency to fade. He loves the +170 odds but is unsure about betting.

"I'm picking Cody because I think he's the better fighter. The skills are there. I think he's the better wrestler. I think he's the better striker. I think he's got more power."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Big Brady picks Cody Brundage for the upset, citing Petroski's glass chin and Brundage's early power. He notes that Brundage has wrestling to stuff takedowns early and only needs one shot to knock out Petroski. He admits this is a greasy pick and rarely picks Brundage.

first round KO
"I'm going to take Cody Brundage for the upset."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Cody picks Cody Brundage as a dog, despite his poor record, because he believes this is a winnable matchup. He notes that Brundage has struggled against long, rangy fighters, but Andre Petroski is his size and has a similar wrestling style. Cody thinks Brundage's speed and overhand right can catch Petroski, who has poor durability and gasses. He predicts a Brundage knockout in round one.

Brundage by KO in round one; under 1.5 rounds.
"I have a feeling that Cody Brundage is going to finish this fight, catch him with an overhand and knock him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Andre Petroski

Connor picks Petroski, agreeing with Zane. He describes Petroski as a busted experiment who is tense and fragile, but Brundage is even worse—a panicking fighter with no technique who corners himself. He notes Brundage could knock himself out by level-changing into a knee.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls Brundage a 'meatheaded middleweight' and says his fight schedule is 'that of a whore'.
"So, um, yeah, I'll take Petrosky. I think he's, you know, he'll probably get Cody Brundage down. Yeah. I should do it. Should be enough."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Lucrative James confidently picks Andre Petroski to win by submission, citing Petroski's superior grappling and top control. He notes Brundage's tendency to quit when pressured and Petroski's ability to take him down. He predicts an inside-the-distance finish.

win by submission
"I have to take Andre Petroski to get the grappling going. And once he gets the grappling going, we've seen time and time again Cody Brundage basically just quits."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host believes Petroski is the better fighter but is hesitant to trust him at -200, as Brundage has power and could land an early knockout. He expects Petroski's wrestling and top pressure to wear down Brundage, leading to a decision win. He is interested in the Petroski decision prop if at +200 or better.

Petroski by decision (if +200 or better)
"I think Petroski will start to wear down Brundage, and I think that's where we'll see Petroski get to his wrestling, and that should be enough to for him to really start grinding this fight out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host picks Andre Petroski over Cody Brundage, expecting Petroski's wrestling to take over in deep water. He notes that Petroski's durability must hold up early, but if it does, Petroski will grind out a decision win.

"I fully expect Petroski's wrestling to really start to come through, especially in deep water, as long as his durability can hold up early here. He should be able to survive the early onslaught from Brundage, then really grind this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Paul also leans toward Cody Brundage, joining Cody in the Brundage by KO prop. He notes that Petroski knocked himself out on Malcoun's hip and has suspect durability. He believes Brundage has a chance to land a big shot and finish the fight early.

Brundage by KO.
"I'm going to join you in that uh in the round one and bumage by KO prop because Petroski what knocked out knocked himself out on Malcoun's hip that one time."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Andre Petroski

Zane picks Petroski because he thinks Petroski will get Brundage down and should be enough. He notes Brundage's only idea is to shell up and throw a desperate overhand, and he often panics. However, he acknowledges Brundage could land a big punch.

Odds: Petroski opened -200, now -185; Brundage opened +160, now +170. Zane calls it a 'shit ass fight' and 'bottom barrel'.
"So, um, yeah, I'll take Petrosky. I think he's, you know, he'll probably get Cody Brundage down. Yeah. I should do it. Should be enough."
LOSS vs Cam Rowston
KO R1 2:41 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cam Rowston 1 12 of 36 33% 20 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Andre Petroski 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cam Rowston 1 12 of 36 33% 20 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Andre Petroski 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cam Rowston 12 of 36 33% 8 of 31 1 of 2 3 of 3 8 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 17
Andre Petroski 7 of 13 53% 0 of 4 0 of 1 7 of 8 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cam Rowston 12 of 36 33% 8 of 31 1 of 2 3 of 3 8 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 17
Andre Petroski 7 of 13 53% 0 of 4 0 of 1 7 of 8 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski despite his unreliability (knocked himself out shooting a takedown). He believes Petroski is the better wrestler with more power, and that Cam Rowston's quick turnaround and lack of elite skills make this too much too soon. Angelo notes Petroski's fight IQ and ability to adapt game plans, while Rowston is a good striker but has poor wrestling.

"Andre Petroski is too well-rounded, has too many skills, was already in fight camp. Is he unreliable? Yeah, sure. Is he the better wrestler? Yes. Does he have more power in his hands? Yes."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

Big Brady picks Cam Rowston to win by third-round submission. He acknowledges Petroski has a clear path via takedowns but questions his chin, cardio, and short-notice travel. He believes Rowston can capitalize on Petroski's fatigue and mistakes, potentially snatching a submission late.

third round submission
"I'm actually going to take the dog here. Very unpopular pick, but I'm going to say Ralston wins this fight by third round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

Cody picks Rowston as a dog, citing his size, cardio, and get-up game. He believes Petroski's low volume and cardio issues will be exposed as Rowston comes forward and lands strikes. He notes Rowston trains with elite strikers and has the hometown advantage, but admits it's a risky pick.

"I'm going to take the dog shot on Cam Roen. He's like plus 120 right now. Andre Petroski is - 145. This is in fact the PRP pick."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Rowston's only notable loss to Torres Finney showed he can be neutralized by a grappler. He notes that Petroski has the power and wrestling to handle Rowston, and that Rowston's aggression will likely lead him into Petroski's game. He also points out that Rowston's competition has been terrible.

"Yeah, I'll take him over Rowston because a big dumb galoot who will grapple with him... Rowston is not ready for a step up."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Cam Rowston

James picks Cam Rowston despite acknowledging his bias as a City Kickboxing affiliate. He believes Rowston's takedown defense is technically sound and that Petroski's cardio fades in round two, while Rowston can capitalize on the feet. He admits the pick is influenced by bias and that Petroski's jiu-jitsu is a threat if he gets top position.

"I'm going to take Cam Roen in this fight. I'm going to take Cam Ro."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host expects Petroski to use his wrestling and power striking to muzzle Rowston. He predicts Petroski will accumulate control time, good top position, and land shots on the feet to win on the scorecards.

"I expect Petroski to utilize his wrestling effectively and power striking approach to really muzzle Roston. And I think that will lead to uh Petrosi acrewing a bunch of control time, some good top position, and getting off some good …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The Guru picks Andre Petroski, believing his chain wrestling will overwhelm Cam Rowston, who has been taken down repeatedly by lesser grapplers like Torres Finney. He expects Petroski to secure takedowns and finish via ground-and-pound or submission, possibly an arm triangle in the third round.

third round TKO or submission (arm triangle)
"I'm going to go with Andre Petrosky getting this one done um by decision or by late rounds finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Zane sees Petroski as a much more experienced and proven UFC fighter, while Rowston is a limited prospect who was blanketed by Torres Finney. He notes that Rowston's wins are against terrible competition and that he stands tall and tries to grapple, which plays into Petroski's strengths. He is surprised Petroski is only a slight favorite.

Odds comment: surprised Petroski is only a slight favorite; opened -220 now -175, Rowston opened +185 now +150
"I'll take him over Rowston because a big dumb galoot who will grapple with him... Rowston is not ready for a step up."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edmen Shahbazyan 1 53 of 136 38% 58 of 142 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Andre Petroski 0 34 of 84 40% 34 of 84 2 of 6 33% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edmen Shahbazyan 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 27 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Edmen Shahbazyan 0 18 of 50 36% 18 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 0 12 of 34 35% 12 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
3 Edmen Shahbazyan 1 20 of 45 44% 25 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Andre Petroski 0 9 of 23 39% 9 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edmen Shahbazyan 53 of 136 38% 37 of 103 11 of 23 5 of 10 50 of 129 0 of 0 3 of 7
Andre Petroski 34 of 84 40% 15 of 52 13 of 17 6 of 15 33 of 82 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edmen Shahbazyan 15 of 41 36% 12 of 30 2 of 8 1 of 3 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 13 of 27 48% 5 of 13 4 of 6 4 of 8 12 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Edmen Shahbazyan 18 of 50 36% 10 of 37 7 of 9 1 of 4 18 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 12 of 34 35% 7 of 24 5 of 7 0 of 3 12 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Edmen Shahbazyan 20 of 45 44% 15 of 36 2 of 6 3 of 3 17 of 38 0 of 0 3 of 7
Andre Petroski 9 of 23 39% 3 of 15 4 of 4 2 of 4 9 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Petroski vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Shahbazyan (-185), Petroski (+154)

Round 1
As aggressive as ever, middleweight wunderkind Shahbazyan (14-5, 7-5 UFC) knows it only takes one for him to put an opponent away. He draws bearded grappler Petroski (13-3, 8-2 UFC), who has had his chin checked in the past but can also grind his way to victory if need be. This two-outcome match draws officiating from referee Kevin MacDonald, who bears witness to the fitness of the modern warrior. Before BOOM, another hit is landed, they bump fists. You’re gonna feel it. This is the ultimate. Both men start fast, trading hands in the center of the cage. Petroski lets go with a low kick and a level change, the latter likely to make Shahbazyan think about the possibility. When Shahbazyan advances, Petroski clips him with a short right hand that makes Shahbazyan check his nose. The two get stuck in neutral for a time when presenting in boxing range, and Shahbazyan breaks up the lull in action with a body kick. As Petroski bounces in, Shahbazyan measures him with a sharp right hand. Shahbazyan pecks out with a jab, but Petroski lands heavy on the calf with a kick. The boos begin to grow louder as the two do not engage with much, and Petroski tries to engage his grappling and is turned away for his efforts. Shahbazyan gets behind his jab, pecking it out to fluster Petroski. A jab and a left hook stings the Renzo Gracie Philly product, and Petroski tries and fails to take the fight down again. A quick left from Shahbazyan hurts Petroski, who bounces off the fence to gather himself. Shahbazyan wraps a right hand around the guard, and he deposits his shin on the midsection as the sound of it echoes through the building. Shahbazyan chases around his opponent with a few punches until the tepid round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan

Round 2
As the second round begins, Petroski still cannot find his way in to attack. This allows Shahbazyan to peck and poke at him with jabs, front kicks and anything else to maintain his distance. Shahbazyan pushes off and a finger slides into his eye socket, and MacDonald calls time and tells Petroski to take all the time he needs. With fighters too often hurrying back before they are fully recovered, MacDonald’s request is a solid one. Nevertheless, Petroski waves things back in after 45 seconds, in which he immediately reintroduces himself with a blistering right hand over the top. Shahbazyan does not let him land a second time, instead disrupting his attacks with his flustering jab. Petroski manages to get his hands on the younger fighter, but cannot ground him and settles for a body kick on the way out. Petroski strings together three punches, the third that really gets Shahbazyan’s attention. Shahbazyan loads up with an overhand right, and Petroski’s response of a one-two is effective. Shahbazyan eventually boots his foe in the belly after some time of inaction, and he doubles up on it as Petroski frowns. Shahbazyan skims the top of the head with his foot, and he digs a right to the midsection while Petroski backpedals. They meet in the middle and trade power punches, with Shahbazyan goes to the body and shaking up Petroski to the head. Petroski circles to either direction to try to get his wits about him, remaining safe until the round ends. Once again, the crowd expresses itself about the lackluster match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan

Round 3
The middleweights reach Round 3 and tap hands together, and both punch one another square in the face. As they come together, they clack heads, and Shahbazyan shrugs and signals to MacDonald, who is already calling time. They resume after a few seconds, where Petroski thumps the front leg with a kick and has his beard tested with a right hand. Petroski dives after a single, putting “The Golden Boy” on his seat. Shahbazyan climbs right back to his feet and wipes his feet on the mat, before tossing his cleaned ball of his foot towards his adversary. Shahbazyan rattles off two punches down the middle, swaying and dodging the inevitable counter. Petroski moves from side to side as the audience turns on them once again, even as Shahbazyan slaps the raised guard with a head kick. Petroski pounds the chest of his opponent with his shin, and he gets driven back by a right hand. Shahbazyan unloads with a mighty body kick, slamming it on Petroski’s left arm, and Petroski clutches it. Shahbazyan aims another one to the same spot, his arm possibly damaged, and he goes down from the kick. After dropping down a few punches, Shahbazyan elects to let Petroski back up. “The Golden Boy” goes high with a kick to the same potentially hurt limb, and he moves away from a head kick aimed at him. Petroski chains a single into a step-in knee, and Shahbazyan pushes him back with a right hand. Shahbazyan flicks out his jab to solid effect, skirting away from a low kick and aiming two kicks back. Shahbazyan works over the front leg with another kick, and he connects with a one-two. Petroski marches his man down despite a head kick aimed at him, swinging once and missing wide. Once more, the fighters go the distance tonight, and fans do not love what they witnessed for the last 15 minutes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan (30-27 Shahbazyan)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan (30-27 Shahbazyan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan (30-27 Shahbazyan)

The Official Result
Edmen Shahbazyan def. Andre Petroski via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Angelo leans Edmen because he is the better athlete and hits hard, and Andre's chin is suspect. He notes that even if Andre gets takedowns, Edmen can survive and have an edge on the feet. However, he feels the odds are a trap and expects a close fight.

"I am though going to slightly lean Edmond here because Andre just isn't that dangerous on the ground."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Big Brady picks Edmen Shahbazyan by first-round knockout. He notes that Shahbazyan has a 7.5-minute window to finish before his cardio fades, and that Petroski has been knocked out in all his losses. He believes Shahbazyan will land a knockout early, but suggests a live bet on Petroski if the fight goes past the first round.

first round knockout; live bet on Petroski if fight hits second round
"I'm going to say Shibbazian. Shamazi wins this fight by by first round knockout, but it could get interesting uh as always if the fight gets extended."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Connor picks Shahbazyan but is very hesitant, calling the fight a coin flip. He notes that Shahbazyan's problems are fundamental and unlikely to go away, but that Petroski's tendency to gas and his clumsy striking make him vulnerable to an early finish. Connor points out that Shahbazyan's best chance is to knock Petroski out in the first round, as Petroski has been finished early before. If Petroski survives, his durability and grinding style could break Shahbazyan.

Shahbazyan opened at -213, now -169; Petroski opened at +162, now +155.
"I'll take shabazian as well but you know yeah but it's i'm interested in the fight honestly"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Petroski's grappling and power punching will thwart Shahbazyan's striking. He will pin him against the cage, drag him to the ground, and possibly find a submission in the second or third round, but ultimately win on the scorecards.

submission in round 2 or 3
"I'm going to have to lean with the grappling of Petroski... maybe finding a submission in the second or third round, but I'll ultimately lean on Petroski to win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Andre Petroski

The Guru initially wavers but ultimately picks Andre Petroski by submission in the third round. He acknowledges Shahbazyan is the better martial artist with superior standup, but fears Shahbazyan will 'fumble' again. He expects Petroski to implement his wrestling and get a late arm-triangle choke, calling it a coin flip.

Andre Petroski by submission, round 3
"I'm gonna go with Andre Petroski out wrestling Edmond Shbazian. That's what I'm going to go with. I'm going to go with a late rounds arm triangle submission win for Andre Petroski in the third round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Zane picks Shahbazyan but is hesitant, acknowledging that Shahbazyan's mental fragility is a major concern. He thinks Petroski is prone to getting overloaded early and that Shahbazyan's power and sharpness in round one could finish him. However, Zane notes that if Petroski survives the first round, he likely wins by grinding Shahbazyan down with wrestling and pressure, as Shahbazyan tends to collapse when his initial blitz fails.

Shahbazyan opened at -213, now -169; Petroski opened at +162, now +155. Zane expects the odds to get closer.
"I think i'll go with shabazian as well patrosky seems ripe to get overloaded and uh just chin checked very early"
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rodolfo Vieira 0 58 of 99 58% 60 of 101 1 of 11 9% 0 0 1:50
Andre Petroski 0 55 of 111 49% 58 of 114 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rodolfo Vieira 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:24
Andre Petroski 0 13 of 34 38% 13 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Rodolfo Vieira 0 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:27
Andre Petroski 0 22 of 37 59% 23 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rodolfo Vieira 0 20 of 33 60% 22 of 35 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:59
Andre Petroski 0 20 of 40 50% 22 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rodolfo Vieira 58 of 99 58% 31 of 66 6 of 8 21 of 25 53 of 93 5 of 6 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 55 of 111 49% 26 of 72 7 of 13 22 of 26 54 of 109 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rodolfo Vieira 14 of 26 53% 5 of 14 1 of 2 8 of 10 14 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 13 of 34 38% 4 of 18 3 of 8 6 of 8 13 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rodolfo Vieira 24 of 40 60% 14 of 29 5 of 6 5 of 5 22 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 22 of 37 59% 11 of 25 3 of 3 8 of 9 22 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rodolfo Vieira 20 of 33 60% 12 of 23 0 of 0 8 of 10 17 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 20 of 40 50% 11 of 29 1 of 2 8 of 9 19 of 38 0 of 0 1 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Petroski vs. Rodolfo Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vieira (-245), Petroski (+200

Round 1
It’s an all-grappling extravaganza in the middleweight division, with Vieira (10-2, 5-2 UFC) one of the best submission artists in BJJ possibly putting things together finally and making a run. Standing in his way will be Petroski (12-3, 7-2 UFC) out of Renzo Gracie Philly, who knows his way in and out of a sub—both of the Philly variety and the necktie. The clock begins when referee Herb Dean says go, and the fighters acknowledge him and one another by tapping their hands together. Petroski lands a heavy low kick, and he keeps his guard up to defend from a surprisingly fast one-two. Vieira fakes for a takedown shot that draws a serious reaction out of Petroski, but he calms himself down and tosses out a head kick. Petroski chips at the front leg, and Vieira kicks him back far heavier. Vieira jabs the body with a front kick and takes a right hand on the chin to force a reset. Leg kicks come from both sides, and Vieira’s bobbing is keeping Petroski cautious. When Vieira crushes him, Petroski brains him with a powerful left hook that sends him hurtling face-first to the mat. The Brazilian bounces off the ground and back to his feet seemingly no worse for wear from the flash knockdown. More low kicks fly from both ends, and Petroski kicks Vieira coming in and shakes up his entry. Petroski wraps three punches on the side to further get Vieira’s attention, prompting the Brazilian to shoot in on his hips. Petroski stuffs the shot and gets back to kickboxing range, keeping his uppercut on the read to time as an intercepting strike. When Vieira does not shoot, Petroski lashes out with a left hook. The fighter both go after additional leg kicks, tossing them in when there is an opening. Vieira dives after a single, and the American turns when stopping it and breaks away. Petroski jabs the body and checks a kick, and a right hand from over the top nicks his cheek and causes a thin trickle of blood to flow. Vieira targets the blood spot with a few punches, and Petroski answers him with a successful takedown. Rather than play in the guard, Petroski bails on the position and stands, and he takes a front kick on the way up. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
There is a clap of hands from the middleweights to get going, and Vieira jabs out and follows one with a stern right hand. Petroski circles away, not letting Vieira cut him off or corner him. When Petroski commits to an overhand right, Vieira shoots and fails. Petroski backs him off and dings him with a right hand, and he shuts down a secondary shot and works his way out. Vieira reaches his man with a right hand, and both fighters try to sweep the leg. There are single jabs from both sides to multiple targets, and Vieira uses a jab to set up a takedown. Petroski hits his seat for less than a second before springing off the floor, where he leans on the cage and tries to spin out. Vieira loads up on three power punches with Petroski’s back to the wall, and Petroski gets out before taking more and clubs Vieira on the nose with a right hook. Vieira strings together straight punches, landing cleanly on the American without too much concern about anything coming back. Vieira keeps giving chase throwing big punches, and Petroski’s head movement and footwork is on point enough to not take too much damage. The jiu-jitsu player cracks Petroski with a straight right, keeping to simple combinations of maybe three or so. Petroski walks into a jab that is so clean, he high-fives his opponent for hitting him with it. Petroski jams the front leg with a kick that makes Vieira stagger for a second, and he tags Vieira coming in with a right hand. The Brazilian is stood up with a jab when advancing, and he takes a pounding body kick right at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
The fighters touch ‘em up leading into the last round, and Vieira gets right in Petroski’s grill throwing punches and kicks. Petroski potshots him from afar, circling away not far from the cage while launching a front kick that brushes past the chin. Vieira grips a single and fails to ground his opponent, and Petroski makes him pay for the naked shot with a solid overhand right. Petroski doubles up on low kicks and checks one after, with the Brazilian’s limb welted, swollen and bright red. Vieira sprints in for a takedown, and when Petroski’s backside hits the canvas, he turns and climbs back upright using the fence as his ally. Vieira clings on from the back, hands clasped around the waist, and Petroski shakes it off and batters the lead wheel with a ferocious kick. Vieira’s jab has drawn some swelling of Petroski’s right eye, and he reacts every time there is a pump-faked takedown. Petroski beats down the front leg a few more times to visible success, and a shot from the jiu-jitsu ace is labored and does not reach the finish line. Petroski marks up Vieira’s face with his right hand, bloodying the cheek and going after it a few times. The American thumps up the body with a kick, and Vieira is right there in front of him with a one-two down the pipe. Petroski fires off an even heavier two-punch salvo, and his work on the front leg has slowed Vieira just enough to get in and out. Vieira shoots for a double that is stopped in its tracks, and Petroski walks him down and punches him square in the face. As if to send a final message, Petroski partially hits a single, and Vieira scampers away at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Rodolfo Vieira via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski, emphasizing that Petroski has good old-fashioned American wrestling and solid BJJ, so he should not be afraid of Vieira's Jiu-Jitsu. He worries that Petroski might abandon wrestling and strike, but if he sticks to wrestling, he wins. He notes that Vieira hits hard and has a better chin, but Petroski's wrestling is the key.

"I'm picking Andre patoski I'm doing it and I feel free to spam me with the gift of him knocking himself out shooting a takedown on Jacob malcun feel free because I deserve it picks and Bets not the same …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Big Brady picks Vieira by second-round submission, citing his superior grappling and durability advantage. Petroski has a weak chin and has been knocked out. Vieira has improved cardio and should get on top and finish with a head-and-arm choke. Petroski's grappling is a level below.

submission in round 2
"give me Vieira I'll take him to win by second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Connor picks Rodolfo Vieira, agreeing with Zane that Vieira is the more decorated grappler and more comfortable striker. He notes that Petroski's game is shallow and that he struggled against wrestlers like Jacob Malkoun. Connor believes Vieira's power wrestling and BJJ will be too much for Petroski, and that Vieira has clearly improved since his UFC debut. He also mentions that Vieira gets tired after kickboxing but fights well tired, and that Petroski is unlikely to push that pace.

Connor notes the odds: Vieira opened at -233 and is now -249, Petroski opened at +175 and is now +219. He says the odds make sense and that this is a pretty easy pick.
"I think this is a pretty easy pick, honestly. I mean, should given that in the discussion we had earlier, they, Petroski has some profile, I think, in the UFC, but they should probably get Vietta into actual contention sooner …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Lucrative James picks Rodolfo Vieira to win by submission in round 2 or 3, but is hesitant to lay the -250 price. He believes Vieira has the better submission grappling and intangibles like durability and mental toughness, while Petroski has better wrestling and possibly harder striking. He expects the fight to be messy on the feet, but if it goes to the ground, Vieira's jiu-jitsu will be a threat. He notes Petroski's chin is worse and Vieira is more technical on the feet, but Petroski could land a knockout. He sees value in Vieira's finishing ability but warns against the high price.

Rodolfo Vieira by submission in round 2 or 3
"I am picking Rulo Vieira in this one but I do not know how you can be confident laying a gigantic price tag like minus 250"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Andre Petroski

Petroski has the power and wrestling advantage to shut down Vieira's grappling. He can either control from top position or use his striking to pressure and find a finish. Official prediction is Petroski by decision, but the host can't stomach parlaying Vieira.

Petroski by decision; cannot parlay Vieira
"I have to lean on the power that Petroski brings to the table... my official prediction is going to be Petroski by decision but I can't stomach thinking about parlaying Vieira in this spot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

The MMA Guru picks Rodolfo Vieira over Andre Petroski, citing Vieira's superior jiu-jitsu and better standup. He criticizes Petroski's poor striking and believes Vieira can stuff takedowns, win on the feet, and potentially submit Petroski if he shoots on bad terms.

submission
"I am GNA go Rulo Vieira just based on the Jiu-Jitsu degree"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Zane picks Rodolfo Vieira confidently, citing Vieira's superior grappling credentials and improved MMA game. He notes that Vieira is a world champion BJJ practitioner who excels at top control and submissions, and has developed adequate boxing and wrestling. Zane contrasts this with Petroski, who relies on top control but will face a grappler of Vieira's skill and physical ability. He also mentions that Vieira has built up his cardio and is used to the pace of MMA fights, unlike in his loss to Hernandez.

Zane notes the odds: Vieira opened at -233 and is now -249, Petroski opened at +175 and is now +219. He says the odds make sense and that this is a pretty easy pick.
"So I got to pick him here. I think this is a pretty easy pick, honestly."
WIN vs Dylan Budka
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 0 23 of 46 50% 78 of 109 3 of 5 60% 0 0 9:20
Dylan Budka 0 17 of 53 32% 23 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 8 of 17 47% 15 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Dylan Budka 0 4 of 16 25% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andre Petroski 0 7 of 12 58% 36 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:47
Dylan Budka 0 8 of 18 44% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Andre Petroski 0 8 of 17 47% 27 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:47
Dylan Budka 0 5 of 19 26% 7 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 23 of 46 50% 16 of 36 5 of 8 2 of 2 17 of 38 1 of 1 5 of 7
Dylan Budka 17 of 53 32% 14 of 48 3 of 3 0 of 2 13 of 49 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 5
Dylan Budka 4 of 16 25% 3 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Andre Petroski 7 of 12 58% 5 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Dylan Budka 8 of 18 44% 6 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 1 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Andre Petroski 8 of 17 47% 6 of 14 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2
Dylan Budka 5 of 19 26% 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dylan Budka (188.5: Missed Weight) vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Petroski (-278), Budka (+225)

Round 1
Despite holding a UFC record with six wins opposite two defeats, Pennsylvania-based grappler Petroski (11-3, 6-2 UFC) finds himself deposited haphazardly on the early prelims. Instead of reaching towards opposition in the top 20, he collides with a man in Budka (7-3, 0-1 UFC) who calls himself “The Mindless Hulk” that cannot find the middleweight limit. The favored Petroski will receive 20% of his foe’s purse, and he will be thanking his lucky stars the fight is still on considering the poor condition of Budka on the scales on Friday. The two receive oversight from referee Mark Smith in the cage, and while Budka offers an apologetic glove touch, Petroski wants nothing to do with it. Instead, he proceeds to walk Budka down, parrying a high kick and a few big punches, and he sees Budka active but inaccurate when approaching him. Petroski digs a kick to the ribs, and it is one-and-done as the two feint and fake at one another. Budka circles on the outer edge of the cage, lifting up an intercepting knee and doing so a second time but bumping into Petroski’s cup. Petroski walks him down, swinging his right hand out, but he pulls back when seeing “The Mindless Hulk” mindlessly leaps at him and missing by a wide margin. Petroski punches his way into a body kick, and he scoops Budka up and dumps him to the floor. Petroski lands in half guard, where he grinds his elbow into the jaw and is otherwise focused on control over damage. Petroski lowers himself flat on top, and when he wraps a few punches around the head, he is warned for punching the back of Budka’s melon. Budka bucks but is completely nullified on his back, although he hands on to prevent Petroski from getting off much. Petroski frees his right arm and rattles off five or six punches to the head and side, and Budka wraps him up once more. Petroski keeps smothering as he looks to step over to mount, and he succeeds in moving to the dominant position with 10 seconds to spare. Budka hangs on tight, and the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
Petroski begins the round aggressively as before, ducking a punch to counter with a left. Budka bites down on his mouthpiece and slings leather, and Petroski largely ducks and rolls with the worst of the blows. Budka tosses out a high kick that bounces off the shoulder, and he slides to the side to avoid a two-hook swarm. Petroski slips on his way in, and when he regains his footing, he walks face-first into an uppercut. Petroski shoots for a takedown, bailing on it to knee his man in the sternum, and then softening up the inner thigh with additional knees. Budka breaks free and looks for an uppercut, but Petroski catches him with a clean left hand to stagger him for a moment. Budka lashes out with a head kick that gets Petroski’s attention, leading Petroski to pursue a takedown that he lands successfully. Budka remains defensively minded, protecting his mug from much of Petroski’s attacks. Petroski elbows the body of his opponent as he stays busy to keep Smith from asking for more action, and Budka clings to him like Saran wrap to force a standup. Petroski relocates himself to half guard while Budka scoots his side to the cage wall, and “The Mindless Hulk” tugs his toes on the chain links to try to improve his position. Smith sees the foul and tells Budka to knock it off, and then calls for Petroski to do more from on top. Petroski is warned for gouging Budka’s eyes as he holds his hand on Budka’s mouth and nose. Petroski grabs the fence hard to turn himself to a better posture, and Smith loudly warns him for the clear and obvious foul. Petroski postures up but still hangs on in a controlling position instead of inflicting a great deal of damage. Budka is stuck on his back, but at least he is not getting beaten down. Petroski tries to drop down a pair of elbows, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 3
Before the last round kicks off, Smith issues a stern warning to Petroski for fence grabs and additional fouls. Petroski nods and the round begins. Budka looses an early head kick, and he finds that even bouncing off the guard it has a noticeable effect, so he chucks another. Petroski walks Budka down, sticking his left hand in Budka’s jaw when Budka advances. Petroski sits down on a low kick, and Budka considers a counter but pulls back on it at the last second. Petroski pushes out a one-two, and he sneaks a jab under the raised guard. Budka whiffs on his own one-two, and Petroski slips and counters with a short right. Petroski turns a single-leg takedown entry into a double-leg takedown, and he lifts the Ohio native off his feet to deposit him gingerly to the mat. Petroski positions himself in half guard, and he hammers Budka with a clean right hand. Petroski drops down a few more, and he thwarts Budka’s desperate escape attempt with heavy shoulder pressure and an elbow on Budka’s nose. Budka pushes off the wall to get to a better position and potentially wall-walk, but this only allows Petroski to step over to full mount. Petroski has firmly embraced the grind, with so little activity offensively that Smith is calling for more action while Petroski has Budka mounted. Budka pushes off the fence, but he does not escape before the grinder of a matchup concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Dylan Budka via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski because he is the better wrestler with good takedowns and power, and if he sticks to his wrestling he should win. He notes that Dylan Budka is also a grappler but not as good a striker, and Andre's path to victory is straightforward. However, he is hesitant to bet at the current odds of nearly 3-to-1, preferring closer to 1.5-to-1.

Angelo mentions he is watching the line movement and hopes the odds tighten, but does not place a bet.
"Andre Petroski should win he is the pick I'm just going to keep staring at the line movement tracker"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Big Brady picks Andre Petroski to win by second-round submission. He believes Petroski has a striking advantage and is the much better grappler, with slick BJJ and multiple submissions. He notes that Budka has been submitted before and that Petroski's cardio looked improved in his last fight. Brady sees many avenues for Petroski to win, including knockout or decision, but leans submission.

submission in round 2
"I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Cody picks Petroski, citing his superior wrestling and BJJ, and Budka's lack of improvement. He notes Budka's gym is low-level and he has not faced good competition. He expects Petroski to win by submission or decision.

"I got to go p as well"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Daniel is not confident in this pick. He calls both fighters boring wrestlers but notes that when two wrestlers fight, it often becomes a striking match. He picks Petroski by default due to UFC experience, but admits he doesn't trust Petroski and hasn't seen enough from Budka.

"I'll pick Petroski by default just because of the experience but Petroski is not a guy I trust."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Petroski is a superior wrestler and BJJ specialist who should dominate Budka on the ground. Budka is more of a bully with size than a technical fighter, and his cardio is suspect. Petroski can dictate the pace and likely wins easily, possibly by submission. Budka's only path is a Hail Mary KO.

Petroski by submission
"I like Petroski a lot in this spot I think he could even pull off a submission in here I think he's a far superior BJJ specialist and a far superior wrestler."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Paul picks Petroski, noting his wrestling and BJJ advantage over Budka, who has poor striking and cardio. He believes Petroski can take Budka down and control him, and has shown ability to finish. He is not confident in the price but sees it as a good matchup.

"patoski is the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The MMA Guru picks Andre Petroski but expresses concern about his chin. He heavily criticizes Dylan Budka, calling him awful at fighting and accusing him of faking wrestling credentials. He believes Petroski has better MMA grappling and stand-up, but worries about his 'diabolical chin' after being KO'd by a hip in his last fight.

"I'm going to go with Andre Petroski although he did get koed in his last fight by someone's hip... I do worry about his awful awful despicable diabolical chin"
WIN vs Josh Fremd
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 0 16 of 24 66% 60 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Josh Fremd 0 12 of 18 66% 30 of 51 3 of 4 75% 1 0 12:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 4 of 7 57% 11 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Fremd 0 6 of 7 85% 14 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:29
2 Andre Petroski 0 2 of 3 66% 26 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Fremd 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 9 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:21
3 Andre Petroski 0 10 of 14 71% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Josh Fremd 0 4 of 5 80% 13 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 16 of 24 66% 10 of 15 6 of 8 0 of 1 14 of 20 1 of 3 1 of 1
Josh Fremd 12 of 18 66% 5 of 11 5 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 6 of 7 85% 4 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 3
2 Andre Petroski 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Josh Fremd 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andre Petroski 10 of 14 71% 7 of 9 3 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 11 1 of 3 0 of 0
Josh Fremd 4 of 5 80% 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Josh Fremd vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fremd (-110), Petroski (-110)

Round 1
A pair of middleweights happy to get the job done any way they can will meet as the prelims roll on. Both Fremd (11-5, 2-3 UFC) and Petroski (10-3, 5-2 UFC) celebrate exactly four wins by knockout and four by submission, and both are coming in off rough knockout losses. Taking charge of the cage will be referee Nick Berens, who is ready for what is about to come next. The Pennsylvanians touch gloves, and Petroski drifts back to move to the middle of the Octagon. Both men measure one another in opposing stances, and Berens warns them for outstretched fingers. When Petroski engages, he fires off a mean right hand that knocks Fremd to his seat. As Fremd climbs up to his feet, Petroski rushes at him and hits a clean double-leg takedown to land in a guillotine setup from his opponent. Petroski breaks out of the choke and quickly shifts over to side control, and Fremd frames off with an elbow and pounds it into Petroski’s nose to draw a trickle of blood out of the bridge of it. Petroski pays it no mind as he uses heavy chest pressure and hunts for a potential arm-triangle choke, only to bail on it when Fremd defends by turning to his side. Petroski resides on top, and the crowd starts booing his control while Berens mentions that Petroski should do more. Petroski answers by stepping over, in hopes of isolating Fremd’s left arm. Fremd twists and turns to not let Petroski set anything up, but the result is more ground control and little more. Petroski steps over to full mount as 80 seconds remain on the clock, and Fremd bucks like a bronco but cannot get the cowboy that trains out of Renzo Philly off of him. Petroski moves himself back to half guard to keep Fremd on his back, and he jams down a few elbows while otherwise grinding Fremd out. Petroski gets back to mount, and he smacks Fremd with a single elbow before Fremd turns around. Fremd gives his back up, and as the horn sounds, Petroski drills him behind the ear with a strike or two. Berens calls him on it, and the two go back to their corners.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 2
Petroski is warned between rounds to avoid any late strikes, and when they begin, Petroski says hello to his opponent with a clubbing right that shakes Fremd up. Fremd responds with a body kick, and he dips back as Petroski clips him with a head kick. Fremd tries to reply with one of his own, and Petroski grabs hold of the leg and use it to dump Fremd to the mat. Petroski jumps on top, and the two continue moving until Petroski latches onto a guillotine choke. Fremd shifts to his knees to prevent the choke from succeeding, but this lets Petroski take his back. Petroski quickly relocates to full mount, and he starts hunting for an arm-triangle choke. Petroski clasps his hands together, and he uses his full body weight to press down while turning Fremd’s head a brilliant shade of red. Fremd gets a modicum of space as he punches Petroski in the side, and Petroski comfortably rests on top and lets the choke go. Fremd kicks him off, and Petroski is forced back to full guard. It does not take long for Petroski to jump into the half guard and employ another arm-triangle choke, and Fremd grits it out once more. Fremd scoots his way to the cage wall, and he throws his legs up in search of a desperate inverted triangle that transitions into an armbar. Petroski stays heavy on top until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 3
Petroski offers a glove touch to begin the final frame, and Fremd wants nothing to do with it. Instead, Fremd attacks, practically sprinting at his opponent with punches and leaping at him with a flying knee. Petroski backs himself to the wall, taking strikes from the pumped-up Fremd, but that offense quickly tapers off as Petroski shifts to the side and gets away. When Fremd gives chase, Petroski pursues a single-leg takedown and hits it to put Fremd down once more. The crowd, knowing what is about to come for the next three-plus minutes, starts booing. Petroski tries to shut some of those naysayers up by moving straight into full mount, and Fremd answers after eating one strike by turning around to give up his back. When Petroski starts fishing for a choke, Fremd turns over again, only for Petroski to be ready with an arm-triangle choke setup. Petroski lets it go when Fremd climbs his feet off the wall, and Fremd’s mad scramble after it gets hold of a quick inverted triangle choke again. Petroski breaks out of it and gets himself to side control in a hurry, and his attempt to isolate Fremd’s left arm begins. Petroski grinds his elbow on Fremd’s face while considering some armlock, but there is nothing to it as Berens calls for more action. Fremd explodes to turn to his side, and Petroski follows him as he twists to partially take Fremd’s back. Petroski smacks his foe on the sides of the head, and Fremd crawls to the fence and lean against it. Petroski pounds on him, and Fremd tugs on the fence in hopes of standing. Petroski hands on from behind with one hook in, and Fremd shakes his head in disappointment. The round ends as the audience rains down boos.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (30-27 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Josh Fremd via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo picks Andre Petroski despite his two-fight losing streak and bizarre self-knockout in his last fight. He believes Petroski is the better fighter overall with superior wrestling, power, and speed. However, he acknowledges Josh Fremd's cardio advantage and the elevation factor, which could favor Fremd if he pressures early. Angelo warns against betting on this fight due to its unpredictability.

"I am still going to pick Andre patosi here because I think if he gets the wrestling going he's going to look spectacular"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody picks Fremd, citing Petroski's poor cardio and tendency to fade. He notes Fremd's altitude training and generalist skills, and believes Fremd can survive the first round and take over. He expects a late finish or decision for Fremd.

"Fremd even though he's not as good of a wrestler on paper who cares just make it a wrestling match."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Fremd but is hesitant. He notes that Fremd has been waiting for a big knockout and that Petroski is a front-runner who gasses when he can't dominate early. He thinks Fremd can weather the storm and take over. He mentions that Petroski wants a first-round KO to avoid going deep, which plays into Fremd's hands. He has bet on Fremd before and trusts him.

"I'm gonna go with friend here um but it it'll be interesting for sure."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Josh Fremd

Josh Fremd is a pick 'em and worth a shot. He utilizes pressure and pace, which will come through against Petroski, who tends to slow down. If Fremd can survive the early onslaught from Petroski, he should start to grind and eventually find a finish in the third round.

"this line is currently at a pick them and friend I believe is worth the shot as long as he can survive the early on here from patosi F should start to get his grind going and then eventually find …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Paul picks Fremd, citing Petroski's cardio issues and Fremd's altitude advantage. He notes Petroski's tendency to gas and believes Fremd's volume and durability will win the fight. He expects Fremd to win by decision or late stoppage.

"It's Fred for me."
LOSS vs Jacob Malkoun
TKO (soccer kick to the body) R2 0:39 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacob Malkoun 0 13 of 42 30% 13 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
Andre Petroski 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacob Malkoun 0 10 of 33 30% 10 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Andre Petroski 0 15 of 32 46% 16 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:28
2 Jacob Malkoun 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 0 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacob Malkoun 13 of 42 30% 6 of 34 2 of 2 5 of 6 12 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 20 of 40 50% 16 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0 17 of 35 0 of 1 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacob Malkoun 10 of 33 30% 4 of 26 2 of 2 4 of 5 9 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 15 of 32 46% 12 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jacob Malkoun 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jacob Malkoun vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malkoun (-205), Petroski (+170)

Round 1
Middleweights Malkoun and Petroski go to work under the watchful eye of referee Gary Copeland. Both men are in orthodox stance and the crowd lets fly with its first “USA” chant of the evening for Philly native Petroski. Petroski switches stances frequently in the early going, frequently ending southpaw, but Malkoun catches him with a big jab mid-switch that has him stumbling away, hurt. Malkoun walks him down but does not overcommit to the chase. Petroski fires a righty jab from southpaw, which Malkoun counters with a hard left. Malkoun appears sharper on the feet in the first half of the first round, but Petroski catches him with a clean left that buckles his legs. Petroski changes levels and tries to take the Australian down, but can’t finish. Malkoun turns the tables and tries for a takedown of his own near the fence, but can’t get Petroski off his feet. Malkoun walks Petroski down, but walks right into a level change. Petroski hoists a single-leg and sweeps the other leg to complete the takedown. Malkoun hops right back up and the horn sounds a few seconds later.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun

Round 2
Malkoun comes forward and tries an immediate takedown, which Petroski snuffs out easily.
Petroski goes for a takedown of his own, then crumples to the ground on his hands and knees, obviously hurt. Malkoun gives him a single massive soccer kick to the ribs and with Petroski offering no resistance, Copeland steps in for the stoppage.
It takes a couple of runs through the replay footage to figure it out, but it appears Petroski’s head might have collided with the point of Malkoun’s hip during the takedown attempt. Whatever the case, it goes down as a win for the “Mamba.”

The Official Result
Jacob Malkoun def. Andre Petroski R2 0:39 via TKO (Soccer Kick to the Body)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo slightly leans Andre Petroski, believing he is the better wrestler and more dangerous striker. He notes Petroski has looked poor in his last two fights but thinks he can win here. He warns that if Petroski loses, he should be cut and find a new gym.

"I'm going to slight lean Andre Petroski here if he loses this fight then two things need to happen he needs to be cut and he needs to find a new gym"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Cody is high on Malkoun's relentless wrestling and cardio, believing he will drown Petroski with takedowns and ground pressure. He expects a finish via TKO or submission as Petroski gasses, and even makes a shoey bet on Malkoun winning inside the distance.

Malkoun by TKO +425 (shoey bet)
"Malon I'm gonna ride or die with him this weekend I love him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Daniel Vreeland picks Jacob Malkoun, citing his pace, durability, and ability to push the fight. He notes Petroski has a history of fading and being broken by pressure (e.g., Brian Battle). He thinks Malkoun's wrestling and cardio will overwhelm Petroski as the fight goes on, leading to a decision or late finish.

"I'll pick malcun"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Malkoun's relentless pace and pressure will wear down Petroski, who has cardio issues and needs an early finish. Malkoun chains takedowns and stays busy, while Petroski slows in later rounds. Malkoun should dominate the second and third rounds, winning a decision. Petroski's submission threat is real early, but Malkoun's movement and never-settle style should avoid bad positions.

Malkoun by decision
"give me malun and malun by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

Paul expects Malkoun to win by decision, citing his wrestling volume and Petroski's tendency to gas. He plans to bet Malkoun by decision at plus money, seeing it as a reliable play.

Malkoun by decision
"death taxes malun by decision my friend"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jacob Malkoun

The host picks Jacob Malkoun to win, citing that both fighters have similar styles but Petroski is more explosive and slows down more. He believes Malkoun's volume and output, both in strikes and takedowns, will make the difference. He predicts a third-round finish or a decision win for Malkoun.

third round finish or decision
"I'm going to go Jacob Malkoun winning this fight by I have third round finish or second and third round wins uh to a decision"
LOSS vs Michel Pereira
TKO (punches) R1 1:06 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 1 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 1 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 6 of 18 33% 5 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 6 of 18 33% 5 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 12
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michel Pereira vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pereira (-180), Petroski (+150)

Round 1
Action shifts to the middleweight division, where Pereira (28-11, 6-2 UFC) takes on Andrei Petroski (10-1, 5-0 UFC) in one of the more anticipated bouts on the card. Petroski fills in for Marc-Andre Barriault on short notice. Tognoni steps up to preside over the match. Petroski takes the center of the cage, with his Brazilian counterpart bouncing on the balls of his feet. Pereira using stance switches and feints to keep him guessing.
Pereira floors him with a thudding right hand and buries him with standing-to-ground punches. Petroski never intelligently defended himself once the barrage started
.

The Official Result
Michel Pereira def. Andre Petroski—TKO (Punches) 1:06 R1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo is confident in Michel Pereira due to Petroski stepping up on short notice with questionable cardio. He notes Pereira is taller, has decent cardio, and is the busier fighter. He thinks Petroski's cardio issues will be exacerbated by the short notice, and Pereira should win.

"I'm going to go Michelle P here and I'm pretty confident in that and it's really because of the short notice"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Big Brady picks Andre Petroski to win by third-round TKO. He notes Pereira has only fought strikers and lost to grappler Tristan Connelly, while Petroski is a big middleweight with strong grappling. He expects both to tire, but Petroski's cardio holds up and he gets a late finish.

Petroski by TKO in round 3
"I'm going to take patoski here I'm sure I'm going to be absolutely on Island here but I think this fight's going to be very close and competitive and I'm going to say pataski goes out there and finishes Pereira …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody picks Pereira, emphasizing his excellent takedown defense and the fact that Petroski relies heavily on takedowns. He notes that Petroski gasses out and that judges are now scoring damage and volume over control time. Cody believes Pereira's striking and cardio advantage will carry him, and that Petroski's path to victory is narrow.

"Michelle Pereira I certainly don't mind"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host picks Michel Pereira but is queasy about the minus 220 price due to Petroski's early grappling danger. He expects violence and a late stoppage, specifically a third-round knockout by Pereira. He suggests the under as a better bet if the price is right.

Pereira by third round knockout; under 1.5 rounds if plus money
"I'm going to go with Pereira here not so hot on the money line but I feel like vience is going to be the spot it's going to be Pereira by third round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul picks Pereira, citing his takedown defense (92% in UFC) and improved fight IQ. He notes that Pereira has stopped doing reckless moves and is fighting more fundamentally. Paul believes Pereira's cardio will be better at 185 lbs and that he can stuff Petroski's takedowns and out-strike him. He acknowledges the price (-200) is steep but thinks Pereira wins.

Over 2.5 rounds at -105
"I'll pick Pereira"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira to win by TKO over Andre Petroski. He argues that welterweights moving up to middleweight are technically better, citing examples. He criticizes Petroski's last performance against Gerald Meerschaert, saying he looked terrible and took heavy damage. He notes Petroski is fighting on short notice (8 weeks after a war) and doesn't trust his cardio. He believes Pereira has a massive striking advantage and explosive hips to get back up if taken down.

TKO
"I'm going to go Mel paa I think he's got much better striking much better technique"
Wellington Turman - Fight History
LOSS vs Jared Gooden
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:11 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Gooden 0 37 of 57 64% 46 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:40
Wellington Turman 0 53 of 83 63% 62 of 95 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Gooden 0 27 of 44 61% 36 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:40
Wellington Turman 0 28 of 52 53% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jared Gooden 0 10 of 13 76% 10 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Wellington Turman 0 25 of 31 80% 29 of 37 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Gooden 37 of 57 64% 27 of 47 2 of 2 8 of 8 32 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 6
Wellington Turman 53 of 83 63% 33 of 59 14 of 18 6 of 6 43 of 72 1 of 1 9 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Gooden 27 of 44 61% 18 of 35 2 of 2 7 of 7 23 of 37 1 of 1 3 of 6
Wellington Turman 28 of 52 53% 9 of 30 13 of 16 6 of 6 28 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jared Gooden 10 of 13 76% 9 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 9 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 25 of 31 80% 24 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 20 1 of 1 9 of 10
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady leans toward Jared Gooden as a dog, noting he doesn't think Wellington Turman should be such a big favorite. He favors Gooden's striking and power, and thinks Gooden's takedown defense is solid enough to stuff Turman's wrestling. He expects a close fight but picks Gooden by decision, though he's not confident enough to bet on it.

"I kind of lean the dog side there just because I don't feel like Wellington Turman should really be this big of a favorite against anybody"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Cody picks Turman, agreeing that he mixes in takedowns and makes it ugly. He thinks Turman's size at welterweight helps his grappling. He notes Turman trains with top guys and this is a good matchup. He doesn't love the price but picks him.

"terman is the pick for me I think he mixes in the takedowns I think he makes it a little bit uglier"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Lucrative James picks Wellington Turman, stating that despite Turman's inconsistent fight IQ and chin issues, he has too many advantages to lose. He notes Turman's decent striking and grappling skills, and believes he can win by decision or submission. He acknowledges Jared Gooden's power but thinks Turman's overall game will prevail.

potential submission if fight goes to the mat
"overall I think Wellington terman has too many advantages to lose the fight consistently so I'm going with Wellington terman to get the win probably by decision potentially could get a submission if the fight gets to the mat"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Turman is a BJJ black belt with improving striking, and he should be able to take Gooden down and dominate on the ground. Gooden is a power striker with a developing ground game, but he has shown weakness when taken down and has weight-cutting issues. Turman is expected to be competitive on the feet before changing levels and securing a submission victory.

submission victory predicted
"I'm going to go Wellington tman here and I think he wins this fight like I said by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Paul picks Turman, citing his youth, move to welterweight, and training with Glover Teixeira. He thinks Turman's grappling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Gooden's takedown defense is poor and Turman can mix in wrestling. He doesn't love the price but thinks Turman wins more often than not.

"I think Wellington terman just mixes in Blends it in up together a little bit better and gets the win it's the minus 185 I don't like this price tag Paul I don't"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

The MMA Guru picks Wellington Turman, impressed by his striking improvements under Alex Pereira's tutelage. He notes Turman arguably beat Randy Brown in his last fight and believes he can replicate that performance against Jared Gooden. He sees Turman as the more improving fighter at 27 years old and expects him to win.

"I'm going with Wellington Turman... in his last fight with Randy Brown he looked like Alex Pereira out there... I really like the improvements in his striking."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 64 of 134 47% 78 of 156 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:47
Wellington Turman 0 55 of 105 52% 96 of 153 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 31 of 69 44% 31 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Wellington Turman 0 25 of 52 48% 26 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Randy Brown 0 15 of 30 50% 28 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Wellington Turman 0 12 of 18 66% 42 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:17
3 Randy Brown 0 18 of 35 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Wellington Turman 0 18 of 35 51% 28 of 46 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 64 of 134 47% 21 of 85 17 of 23 26 of 26 53 of 121 11 of 13 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 55 of 105 52% 19 of 60 10 of 14 26 of 31 43 of 90 12 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 31 of 69 44% 10 of 46 7 of 9 14 of 14 31 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 25 of 52 48% 5 of 26 2 of 3 18 of 23 24 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Randy Brown 15 of 30 50% 3 of 17 3 of 4 9 of 9 5 of 20 10 of 10 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 12 of 18 66% 4 of 10 4 of 4 4 of 4 7 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Randy Brown 18 of 35 51% 8 of 22 7 of 10 3 of 3 17 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 18 of 35 51% 10 of 24 4 of 7 4 of 4 12 of 27 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo is confident in Randy Brown, citing his length, power, takedown defense, and BJJ. He expects Brown to stay on the outside and jab, avoiding a ground game. He notes Wellington Turman's striking looked good in his last fight but doesn't think it will be enough against Brown's reach and skills.

"Randy is one of my more confident picks here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Big Brady picks Randy Brown, citing a significant striking advantage with a six-inch reach advantage. He notes Turman's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Andrew Sanchez. He acknowledges Turman's path to victory via wrestling but believes Brown's grappling is good enough to defend. He predicts a first-round knockout, especially if Turman has a bad weight cut.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna say round knocks out willing to determine here I think it does it in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown, noting his speed and linear striking. He expects Turman to gas after the first round and Brown to take over. He mentions Turman's poor takedown accuracy and cardio issues.

"I think Randy Brown will be able to dance around this guy and tee off when need be."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Connor believes Randy Brown should win this fight easily. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Connor also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.

"I think there's just a lot of room for error. That's where Randy Brown and that means a lot of room for fun."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown, citing his length, skill, and experience. He notes Brown's occasional showboating and chin questions but thinks he is the more skilled fighter. He is not laying -220 due to Brown's inconsistency and Turman's danger, but picks Brown to win.

Pass on betting; picks Brown.
"I do think Randy Brown's the more skilled fighter so I am picking him to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The host picks Randy Brown to win by decision. He believes Brown's slick striking and distance management will be too much for Turman, who struggles to close the distance and get takedowns. He notes Turman's grappling advantage is nullified if he can't get the fight to the ground, and expects Brown to pick him apart from range.

"give me Randy Brown to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Brown, citing his speed and reach advantage. He expects Brown to use his jab and movement to win a decision, though he notes Turman's strength and potential grappling. He considers live betting if Turman wins the first round.

Live betting considered.
"I'm gonna take him by decision but turman's also been ko'd a few times."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The Guru picks Randy Brown, expressing concern about Wellington Turman moving down to welterweight. He believes Brown has a clear skill advantage on the feet and that Turman's weight cut will leave him vulnerable. He predicts Brown will pick Turman apart with knees and elbows in the clinch and finish by TKO in the second round after Turman fails takedown attempts.

Predicts TKO in the second round.
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown getting a TKO here at some point in the second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Zane agrees that Randy Brown should win. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Zane also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.

"I think there's just a lot of room for error. That's where Randy Brown and that means a lot of room for fun."
LOSS vs Andre Petroski
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 0 42 of 96 43% 58 of 119 8 of 11 72% 2 0 7:59
Wellington Turman 0 41 of 86 47% 71 of 118 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 25 of 63 39% 26 of 64 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:04
Wellington Turman 0 33 of 67 49% 36 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Andre Petroski 0 12 of 22 54% 16 of 29 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:23
Wellington Turman 0 7 of 15 46% 24 of 33 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:32
3 Andre Petroski 0 5 of 11 45% 16 of 26 4 of 4 100% 1 0 4:32
Wellington Turman 0 1 of 4 25% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 42 of 96 43% 32 of 83 9 of 11 1 of 2 32 of 78 3 of 3 7 of 15
Wellington Turman 41 of 86 47% 22 of 54 12 of 23 7 of 9 38 of 82 0 of 1 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 25 of 63 39% 17 of 53 7 of 8 1 of 2 24 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 33 of 67 49% 20 of 45 7 of 16 6 of 6 30 of 63 0 of 1 3 of 3
2 Andre Petroski 12 of 22 54% 10 of 19 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 15 2 of 2 2 of 5
Wellington Turman 7 of 15 46% 1 of 8 5 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andre Petroski 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 10
Wellington Turman 1 of 4 25% 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 2 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Petroski vs. Wellington Turman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Petroski (-195), Turman (+165)

Round 1
New Jersey’s Petroski has finished his first three fights in UFC competition, while Turman is riding the momentum of back-to-back wins over Misha Cirkunov and Sam Alvey. Keith Peterson will officiate the middleweight showdown. Turman lands a leg kick early. A straight right from Turman backs Petroski up. Petroski lands a leg kick of his own. Turman responds with a front kick to the body. Turman lands a glancing high kick, and Petroski answers with a left hook and a right hand that might’ve hurt Turman a little. Petroski is on the attack and he lands a jab. Turman lands a pair of solid kicks to the lead leg of his foe. A right hand over the top finds the mark for Petroski. Petroski with a body kick. Petroski shoots for a single leg and drives Turman to the fence, where he switches to a double and gets the Brazilian down. Petroski takes the back as Turman stands. Turman works to break the grip of his opponent, and Petroski takes the opportunity to land a right to the head. Turman turns and then escapes the position. Petroski blocks a high kick and the middleweights trade punches. Petroski backs up Turman with a right. Turman again goes with a high kick but it’s blocked. Turman jumps in with a knee. Turman is working the body know, blending in kicks and punches. Petroski shoots for a single leg, resets against the fence and gets Turman down before the horn. Turman lands some elbows to the head from his seat as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Turman
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Turman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Turman

Round 2
Petroski lands a kick to the body. He sticks a jab into the mug of Turman. Turman with a right hand followed by a front kick to the midsection. Petroski lands a left to the body and shoots for a takedown behind it. He’s momentarily trapped in a guillotine but he escapes and winds up in side control. Turman regains half guard, then recovers full guard. Petroski jmps on Turman’s back as his opponent crawls toward the fence. He squeezes a neck crank but relinquishes the hold to return to top posiiton. Turman is able to stand and he goes back to working on Petroski’s body. That prompts Petroski to shoot. Turman can’t secure the guillotine but he assumes top position. Petroski explodes to his feet, but Turman maintains a rear body lock. Turman drags him down and Petroski pops up. Turman maintains the rear waist lock. He tries to lift Petroski up , but his opponent defends and reverses position. Petroski gets a takedown while trapping Turman’s arm behind him. He lets it go to take mount, then moves into Turman’s half guard. Turman tries to stay active with short punches from his back but they’re not doing much. Petroski ends the round with several hard elbows from half guard.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 3
Petroski changes levels and briefly gets Turman down near the fence. He maintains a body lock and slams Turman back down. Petroski locks in a guillotine during a scramble and he applies the squeeze while falling back. Petroski moves to full mount but relents on the choke. He drops punches and elbows from above, then floats on top as Turman attempts to scramble. Petroski is still in full mount, looking to frame an arm triangle. Turman recovers his half guard. Petroski is still heavy on top, applying shoulder pressure to Turman. Turman has regained full guard now. Petroski covers his foe’s mouth before dropping a right hand. More right hands for Petroski. Petroski takes the back as Turman attempts to stand. Turman is back to his feet, but Petroski picks him up and dumps him back on the mat. Petroski with some right hands under the armpit as Turman stands again. Petroski still has the body lock against the fence, and he dumps Turman on the canvas once more. Turman looks to frame a leg lock in the last 20 seconds, but Petroski escapes without issue. Petroski ends the fight in mount, pounding away with left hands.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Wellington Turman via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo believes Petroski has superior wrestling and solid BJJ, and expects him to get takedowns and avoid submissions. He notes that Turman is training with Glover and Pajeda, which is a positive, but still picks Petroski. He warns that Turman's armbar over Misha Cirkunov was impressive and any mistake could cost Petroski. He plans to bet on Petroski's takedown line when it drops.

takedown line on BetOnline
"I'm still gonna pick Andre here because his wrestling is absolutely better and his BJJ is solid"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Big Brady picks Wellington Turman to win by third-round submission, pulling off an upset. He is not sold on Andre Petroski, citing his poor cardio and weak competition (Yizong, Michael Gilmore, Nick Maximov). He notes Turman is a legit BJJ black belt with 85% takedown defense, and that Petroski tired and got submitted by Brian Battle. He believes Turman will survive early pressure and get a late finish as Petroski fades.

Turman by submission in round 3
"I'm actually gonna take the pretty big upset here with Wellington Turman"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Cody picks Turman as a slight flyer, noting that Petroski has suspect cardio despite third-round finishes. He thinks Turman is a better striker and has good grappling off his back, and that if Petroski gasses, Turman can take over. Cody also mentions that Turman trains with Glover Teixeira and Alex Pereira, which should have him in good shape. He sees value in the underdog price.

"I'm gonna take a slight flyer here over on Wellington terminal."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Connor picks Turman, reasoning that Petroski's high-energy, submission-hunting style leads to gassing, and Turman has never been submitted despite looking panicked. He notes that Turman has survived against dangerous grapplers and has more left in the tank after the first round. Connor acknowledges that Petroski will likely win the first round but expects Turman to take over as the fight goes on.

"I think I'm going to pick Wellington Terman and she's just going to survive around a really devastating round and then he'll have more left in the tank."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Daniel Levi picks Andre Petroski, citing his wrestling background, grappling credentials (submitted Eric Anders in a tournament), and high-volume pressure. He notes that Turman has shown weaknesses in getting his back taken and losing rounds late (e.g., Sam Alvey fight). Levi believes Petroski will win the first two rounds or get a finish, though he acknowledges Petroski's tendency to gas. He sees Turman as a step up in competition but thinks Petroski's grappling will be too much.

"I think petrossi is going to come out here and win these first two rounds if not get it finished"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host sees Petroski as the slightly better Jiu-Jitsu player with a strength advantage, but the line at -200 is too wide for him to bet. He considers the under 2.5 rounds but worries both grapplers could neutralize each other, leading to a decision. He predicts Petroski by submission in round 2 but with low conviction.

"I'll likely be staying away from this matchup but I do think the slightly better Jiu Jitsu player is petrovsky"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Paul also picks Turman, citing recency bias in the line. He notes that Petroski was a +300 underdog against Nick Maximov and now is -200 after a first-round submission, which seems like an overreaction. Paul thinks Turman can match Petroski on the ground and has more technical striking. He sees it as a clear dog-or-pass situation and takes Turman.

"I think it's a very very clear dog or pass situation here with Wellington Turman."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The MMA Guru picks Andre Petroski, citing his dominant performances and grappling wins over Eric Anders and Phil Hawes. He believes Petroski has advantages on both feet and ground, with good chain takedowns and submission awareness. He predicts a decision win, noting Turman's unimpressive split decision over Sam Alvey.

"I went with Andre petrovski here over Wellington German"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Turman. He notes that Petroski gasses but doesn't seem to know it, and his striking is not functional when tired. Zane points out that Turman has a history of surviving and finding ways to win, even if it's ugly. He also mentions that Petroski's path to victory is narrow, relying on an early finish.

"I'll take Terman to, to, to have his worst fears realized and just sort of accidentally find himself in a winning position."
Submission (armbar) R2 1:29 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Wellington Turman 0 30 of 44 68% 50 of 64 1 of 3 33% 1 0 3:04
Misha Cirkunov 0 15 of 19 78% 24 of 28 0 of 3 0% 2 0 2:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Wellington Turman 0 23 of 34 67% 33 of 44 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:06
Misha Cirkunov 0 4 of 6 66% 8 of 10 0 of 3 0% 1 0 2:15
2 Wellington Turman 0 7 of 10 70% 17 of 20 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:58
Misha Cirkunov 0 11 of 13 84% 16 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Wellington Turman 30 of 44 68% 20 of 33 9 of 10 1 of 1 8 of 16 2 of 2 20 of 26
Misha Cirkunov 15 of 19 78% 8 of 12 6 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 12 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Wellington Turman 23 of 34 67% 17 of 27 5 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 0 20 of 26
Misha Cirkunov 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Wellington Turman 7 of 10 70% 3 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0
Misha Cirkunov 11 of 13 84% 5 of 7 6 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 6 7 of 7 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Misha Cirkunov

Big Brady picks Misha Cirkunov to win, likely by first-round TKO. He notes Cirkunov is much bigger with a five-inch reach advantage and has very good wrestling and grappling, having submitted legit light heavyweights. He criticizes Turman's striking defense and negative strike differential, and points out that Turman was outgrappled by Carl Roberson. Brady believes Cirkunov can win on the feet or on the mat, and sees Turman's path to victory as unlikely.

Cirkunov by first-round TKO
"I like circanov here and i like him quite a bit um i just don't like tournament in this matchup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Cody picks Turman as an underdog, citing his youth (25), better cardio, and training at Glover Teixeira's gym. He notes Cirkunov's poor striking, declining chin, and inability to get takedowns against Giaco. Cody believes Turman's volume and durability will pay off as Cirkunov fades, and he plans to live-bet Turman if Cirkunov doesn't finish early.

live bet Turman if Cirkunov doesn't finish round 1
"i got i got term on and if for whatever reason i'm i'm going to have a look at the live betting odds"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Daniel Levi picks Wellington Turman to edge out a decision. He questions Misha Cirkunov's heart and notes he has folded in tough fights. Levi believes Turman is hungrier and more confident after his last win, and that Cirkunov's best days are behind him. He warns that Turman must avoid getting finished early but expects him to pull away down the stretch.

"give me wellington tournament to come out here and just pull away down the stretch as long as he doesn't get finished in the early going"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Misha Cirkunov

The host leans with Cirkunov, believing he will be stronger and craftier in grappling exchanges. He expects Cirkunov to land takedowns and assert top position, eventually finding a finish via submission or ground and pound. He notes both fighters have durability and fight IQ issues but favors Cirkunov's jiu-jitsu from the top. His favorite play is 'fight doesn't go to decision' at -190.

fight doesn't go to decision (-190)
"i do lean with serkanov and i do agree that he should be the slight favorite in this spot which is why i'll take him to win and i'm gonna take him to win this fight via you know let's …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Paul leans toward Turman as an underdog, noting both fighters are chinny but Turman has better volume and striking. He parlayed the over 1.5 rounds in this fight with Gegard Mousasi at +128. Paul sees this as a competitive fight that could go either way, but Turman's cardio and youth give him an edge.

over 1.5 rounds parlayed with Mousasi at +128
"i actually did parlay with uh mousasi on the bellator card i parlayed the over one and a half in this with mousasi"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Misha Cirkunov

The MMA Guru picks Misha Cirkunov to win by arm-triangle submission in the second round. He believes Cirkunov's size, physicality, and strong grappling will be too much for Wellington Turman, who has been taken down and finished by lesser grapplers. He notes that Turman has been KO'd multiple times and that Cirkunov's experience and strength will tip the grappling exchanges in his favor. The Guru expects a close fight on the feet but sees Cirkunov securing dominant positions and finishing with an arm triangle.

second round arm-triangle submission
"i'm going to go over like a misha circle of arm triangle submission in round two"
WIN vs Sam Alvey
Decision (split) (27–28, 28–27, 28–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Aug 28, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Wellington Turman 0 68 of 122 55% 114 of 169 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:54
Sam Alvey 0 69 of 119 57% 75 of 126 2 of 9 22% 0 0 2:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Wellington Turman 0 8 of 20 40% 42 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Sam Alvey 0 13 of 16 81% 17 of 20 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:50
2 Wellington Turman 0 26 of 44 59% 32 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Sam Alvey 0 24 of 44 54% 24 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:54
3 Wellington Turman 0 34 of 58 58% 40 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Sam Alvey 0 32 of 59 54% 34 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Wellington Turman 68 of 122 55% 55 of 105 9 of 13 4 of 4 58 of 112 10 of 10 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 69 of 119 57% 36 of 77 19 of 27 14 of 15 63 of 113 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Wellington Turman 8 of 20 40% 8 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 13 of 16 81% 4 of 7 5 of 5 4 of 4 10 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Wellington Turman 26 of 44 59% 17 of 34 5 of 6 4 of 4 21 of 39 5 of 5 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 24 of 44 54% 12 of 29 5 of 8 7 of 7 24 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Wellington Turman 34 of 58 58% 30 of 52 4 of 6 0 of 0 32 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 32 of 59 54% 20 of 41 9 of 14 3 of 4 29 of 56 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Angelo picks Turman, citing his BJJ black belt, slick ground game, and clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes training feedback from Dan Cramer that Turman feels good. He acknowledges Alvey's deceptive power but believes Turman will get the submission.

Angelo might bet the under on rounds because he doesn't think it sees a decision.
"wellington's the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sam Alvey

Cody picks Alvey as a dog, citing his strong takedown defense and power. He notes that Turman has poor takedown accuracy and tends to lose position on the ground. Cody thinks Alvey's veteran savvy and ability to fight 15 minutes will pay off. He is concerned about Alvey's recent losing streak but believes the style matchup favors him.

"i'm gonna have faith that he is going to get it done so this will be a dog play"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Jacob picks Turman but is hesitant, noting Turman was knocked out cold two months ago and may be hesitant. He agrees the UFC is feeding Alvey to Turman, but warns Alvey is tough and could win if he eats shots. He stayed away from betting.

"my official pick i guess would be uh would be wellington"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sam Alvey

Lock picks Alvey by KO at +300, believing Alvey's power and durability will be too much for Turman. He notes Turman has shown poor durability, getting knocked out by Andrew Sanchez and Bruno Silva. Lock thinks Alvey's takedown defense and clinch strength will keep the fight standing, where he can land a big shot. He expects Alvey to win minutes only by knockout, not decision.

Alvey by KO +300
"sam alvi by ko at plus 300 is absolutely ridiculous as that's probably his best win condition in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sam Alvey

Paul picks Alvey, surprised himself but noting that Turman is the exact type of fighter Alvey can beat. He highlights Alvey's takedown defense and left hand power. Paul thinks Turman's grappling is overrated and that he tires easily. He expects Alvey to win by knockout or decision.

Alvey inside the distance
"i'm considering a bet on sam alvey here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Sam Alvey

The Guru picks Sam Alvey as an underdog, questioning Wellington Turman's chin after two consecutive KO losses and his quick return. He believes Alvey's toughness, cardio, and grappling awareness will allow him to outlast Turman and win a unanimous decision. The Guru dismisses Turman's grappling threat and expects Alvey to display veteran savvy.

Alvey by unanimous decision
"i'm picking sam alvey to get this one done i'll say by unanimous decision"
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
KO (punches) R1 4:45 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 1 of 1 100% 12 of 12 0 of 10 0% 0 0 2:52
Wellington Turman 0 19 of 26 73% 28 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 1 of 1 100% 12 of 12 0 of 10 0% 0 0 2:52
Wellington Turman 0 19 of 26 73% 28 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 19 of 26 73% 18 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 19 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 19 of 26 73% 18 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 19 of 24
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Wellington Turman vs. Bruno Silva

Round 1
The overused adage of “classic striker vs. grappler” matchup rings true for this middleweight contest, as Turman (16-4, 1-2 UFC) welcomes former M-1 champ Silva (19-6, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon. Not to be confused with Bruno “Bulldog” Silva who competes in the UFC at flyweight, this Brazilian goes by “Blindado” and he sports a knockout rate of 84 percent. The touch of gloves comes before referee Chris Tognoni, and the fight is underway. The two tentatively strike out of the gate, but Turman is much more interesting in grappling as he hunts for a takedown. Silva defends with a clear fence grab, and then another, leading Tognoni to call him on it. Turman kicks off the fence, lifts the newcomer in the air and slams him down. Silva springs back up and turns the tide, even taking Turman’s back standing up. Turman defends this with a fence grab, and he utilizes a kimura to toss Silva down for a moment. When “Blindado” gets back up, Turman lifts him up and slams him down, nearly on his head. Silva is already back to a knee, and Turman looks to take his back. Once more, Turman kicks from the cage to put Silva down, and Silva pops back up. Turman hops on to serve as a backpack, where Silva is standing up leaning on the fence and Turman is fishing for a submission. The fence grab clearly the most significant tool of the evening, Silva gets away with two more when he tries to turn around and break the grip of Turman. The grappler looks to cinch up an armbar when he slides off, as Silva shimmies him off by getting out the back door. Silva climbs into his foe’s full guard, and he starts smashing his fists into Turman’s face with ferocious ground-and-pound. Turman’s head bounces off the canvas several times, but Turman keeps the wherewithal to pull for an armbar. When Silva escapes this, Turman lands an illegal upkick right on Silva’s chin. Silva ignores it and continues his assault of ground punches.
In full guard, “Blindado” blinds Turman with a barrage of punches, and as they mount, Turman goes out cold. Tognoni sees Turman’s eyes roll back and he is able to stop the fight right in time, as Silva’s left hands from on top were lethal weapons.
That is 17 knockouts in 20 wins for Silva, who announces his presence in a big way to the UFC two years after intended – Silva tested positive for boldenone before making his debut, delaying him until now. Either way, this is a statement win by recording a clean knockout from the guard position.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Wellington Turman R1 4:45 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva, citing his knockout power and clinch work. He acknowledges the layoff and PED suspension as question marks. He thinks Silva can catch Turman early, but is not confident enough to bet straight. He bet on Turman by submission at +500 and under 2.5 rounds, hedging both sides.

Turman by submission (+500, 0.25 unit); under 2.5 rounds
"i actually have bruno silva in this fight but i don't i'm not confident enough to bet on him straight up."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Big Brady sees this as a 50/50 fight. He notes Silva has many submission losses and poor grappling, while Turman is a BJJ black belt. He thinks Turman will get takedowns and submit Silva, but acknowledges Silva could knock him out early.

win by submission
"I'll take wellington tournament to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Silva, emphasizing Silva's knockout power and proven ability as a sizable underdog in Russia. He notes Silva's cardio issues and two-year layoff but believes his power and pressure will overwhelm Turman, who has suspect chin and wrestling. Cody suggests Silva by KO is a solid play.

Silva by KO +200; under 2.5 rounds
"i'm curious about bruno by ko plus 200 i see out there again again solid play because how does he win this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva in his long-awaited UFC debut, but with hesitation due to the two-year layoff and USADA suspension. He notes that Silva looked impressive in his wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov, and that he has improved his get-up game and durability. However, he worries about Silva gassing out or giving up bad positions if he comes in too emotional. He expects a knockout if Silva is the same fighter.

"i'm gonna go with bruno silva to get it done in his long-awaited ufc debut find knockout"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Jacob picks Wellington Turman, citing his BJJ and body lock takedowns. He thinks Turman will take Silva down and submit him, noting Silva's losses by submission. He is concerned about Silva's power but believes Turman's grappling will prevail. He does not have either in his lineup.

"i like wellington in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

The host picks Wellington Turman, citing his grappling ability and the uncertainty around Bruno Silva coming off a USADA suspension. He believes Turman can get the fight to the ground and nullify Silva's power. He notes Silva's sketchy takedown defense and that Turman is a solid grappler. He predicts a decision win for Turman, but also sees a submission as live given Silva has been tapped before. He acknowledges Turman's recent KO loss but thinks his chin will hold up.

Turman by decision; Turman by submission at +420 mentioned as a sprinkle
"i'm going wellington tournament i think he's a solid dog in the spot and i think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva, noting his power and the fact that he was a plus 145 underdog initially. He mentions Silva's cardio and layoff as red flags but believes his power is a difference-maker. Paul also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Silva by KO props.

Silva by KO +200; under 2.5 rounds
"i'll pick this bruno silva character here um i don't feel too great about it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round KO. He expects Silva to have nervous energy and blitz Turman early, landing a KO blow. He notes Turman's recent first-round KO loss and Silva's KO power. He also mentions Turman showed up with gyno, which he finds notable. He predicts a brutal KO in the first round.

first round KO
"i'm going with bruno silva... brutal ko in the first round over wellington sherman"
LOSS vs Andrew Sanchez
KO (punch) R1 4:14 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrew Sanchez 1 28 of 55 50% 40 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Wellington Turman 0 21 of 51 41% 26 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrew Sanchez 1 28 of 55 50% 40 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Wellington Turman 0 21 of 51 41% 26 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrew Sanchez 28 of 55 50% 23 of 48 4 of 6 1 of 1 26 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
Wellington Turman 21 of 51 41% 16 of 40 1 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrew Sanchez 28 of 55 50% 23 of 48 4 of 6 1 of 1 26 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
Wellington Turman 21 of 51 41% 16 of 40 1 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

Big Brady picks Sanchez as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedown defense will neutralize Turman's ground game. He notes Sanchez's higher striking volume and experience. He predicts a decision win for Sanchez.

"i do like the underdog in this spot so i'm going to be picking my second underdog on the card and andrew sanchez i'm gonna pick him win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Wellington Turman

Daniel Levi leans with Wellington Turman, but acknowledges it could go either way. He notes that Turman is young, hungry, and has shown improvement, while Sanchez has questions about his chin and cardio. Levi believes Turman's aggression and youth might edge out a split decision, but he is not confident due to Sanchez's wrestling and durability.

"i lean with wellington tournament as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

Sanchez's wrestling should be able to take Turman down and control him, as Turman's takedown defense is not as strong as Marvin Vettori's. Sanchez showed improved cardio in his last fight, but his past cardio issues are a concern. He should avoid submissions from Turman and grind out a decision, though the third round could be dangerous if he gasses.

Wellington Turman round 3 win prop (if odds are high)
"I am going to take Andrew Sanchez to win this fight by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

The MMA Guru picks Andrew Sanchez in a tough 50/50 fight. He notes that Wellington Turman hasn't done anything dominantly, while Sanchez has beaten decent opponents and is the bigger guy with a reach advantage. He expects Sanchez to wear Turman down over three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

"i think i'm going to go with andrew sanchez wellington turman is very good but he's not doing things dominantly"
WIN vs Markus Perez
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Nov 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Wellington Turman 0 49 of 96 51% 56 of 103 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:21
Markus Perez 0 48 of 120 40% 59 of 132 2 of 9 22% 0 0 6:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Wellington Turman 0 12 of 29 41% 13 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Markus Perez 0 9 of 35 25% 9 of 35 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:24
2 Wellington Turman 0 15 of 31 48% 18 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:31
Markus Perez 0 23 of 48 47% 28 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:40
3 Wellington Turman 0 22 of 36 61% 25 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Markus Perez 0 16 of 37 43% 22 of 44 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Wellington Turman 49 of 96 51% 33 of 72 13 of 21 3 of 3 26 of 67 21 of 26 2 of 3
Markus Perez 48 of 120 40% 35 of 103 8 of 12 5 of 5 23 of 91 19 of 21 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Wellington Turman 12 of 29 41% 7 of 21 3 of 6 2 of 2 6 of 22 6 of 7 0 of 0
Markus Perez 9 of 35 25% 5 of 29 2 of 4 2 of 2 6 of 32 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Wellington Turman 15 of 31 48% 10 of 24 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 23 5 of 7 1 of 1
Markus Perez 23 of 48 47% 15 of 38 5 of 7 3 of 3 11 of 34 11 of 13 1 of 1
3 Wellington Turman 22 of 36 61% 16 of 27 6 of 9 0 of 0 11 of 22 10 of 12 1 of 2
Markus Perez 16 of 37 43% 15 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 25 5 of 5 5 of 7
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo believes Petroski has superior wrestling and solid BJJ, and expects him to get takedowns and avoid submissions. He notes that Turman is training with Glover and Pajeda, which is a positive, but still picks Petroski. He warns that Turman's armbar over Misha Cirkunov was impressive and any mistake could cost Petroski. He plans to bet on Petroski's takedown line when it drops.

takedown line on BetOnline
"I'm still gonna pick Andre here because his wrestling is absolutely better and his BJJ is solid"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Big Brady picks Wellington Turman to win by third-round submission, pulling off an upset. He is not sold on Andre Petroski, citing his poor cardio and weak competition (Yizong, Michael Gilmore, Nick Maximov). He notes Turman is a legit BJJ black belt with 85% takedown defense, and that Petroski tired and got submitted by Brian Battle. He believes Turman will survive early pressure and get a late finish as Petroski fades.

Turman by submission in round 3
"I'm actually gonna take the pretty big upset here with Wellington Turman"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Cody picks Turman as a slight flyer, noting that Petroski has suspect cardio despite third-round finishes. He thinks Turman is a better striker and has good grappling off his back, and that if Petroski gasses, Turman can take over. Cody also mentions that Turman trains with Glover Teixeira and Alex Pereira, which should have him in good shape. He sees value in the underdog price.

"I'm gonna take a slight flyer here over on Wellington terminal."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Connor picks Turman, reasoning that Petroski's high-energy, submission-hunting style leads to gassing, and Turman has never been submitted despite looking panicked. He notes that Turman has survived against dangerous grapplers and has more left in the tank after the first round. Connor acknowledges that Petroski will likely win the first round but expects Turman to take over as the fight goes on.

"I think I'm going to pick Wellington Terman and she's just going to survive around a really devastating round and then he'll have more left in the tank."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Daniel Levi picks Andre Petroski, citing his wrestling background, grappling credentials (submitted Eric Anders in a tournament), and high-volume pressure. He notes that Turman has shown weaknesses in getting his back taken and losing rounds late (e.g., Sam Alvey fight). Levi believes Petroski will win the first two rounds or get a finish, though he acknowledges Petroski's tendency to gas. He sees Turman as a step up in competition but thinks Petroski's grappling will be too much.

"I think petrossi is going to come out here and win these first two rounds if not get it finished"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host sees Petroski as the slightly better Jiu-Jitsu player with a strength advantage, but the line at -200 is too wide for him to bet. He considers the under 2.5 rounds but worries both grapplers could neutralize each other, leading to a decision. He predicts Petroski by submission in round 2 but with low conviction.

"I'll likely be staying away from this matchup but I do think the slightly better Jiu Jitsu player is petrovsky"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Paul also picks Turman, citing recency bias in the line. He notes that Petroski was a +300 underdog against Nick Maximov and now is -200 after a first-round submission, which seems like an overreaction. Paul thinks Turman can match Petroski on the ground and has more technical striking. He sees it as a clear dog-or-pass situation and takes Turman.

"I think it's a very very clear dog or pass situation here with Wellington Turman."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The MMA Guru picks Andre Petroski, citing his dominant performances and grappling wins over Eric Anders and Phil Hawes. He believes Petroski has advantages on both feet and ground, with good chain takedowns and submission awareness. He predicts a decision win, noting Turman's unimpressive split decision over Sam Alvey.

"I went with Andre petrovski here over Wellington German"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Turman. He notes that Petroski gasses but doesn't seem to know it, and his striking is not functional when tired. Zane points out that Turman has a history of surviving and finding ways to win, even if it's ugly. He also mentions that Petroski's path to victory is narrow, relying on an early finish.

"I'll take Terman to, to, to have his worst fears realized and just sort of accidentally find himself in a winning position."