UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Age 33
Height 5' 7"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 38
Height 5' 5"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Julija Stoliarenko
2.74 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
0.78 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
1.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jessica-Rose Clark
3.73 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
3.51 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
1.66 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
62.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Julija Stoliarenko
Moneyline
BetMGM +135
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1400
Submission
FanDuel +420
Decision
FanDuel +350
Jessica-Rose Clark
Moneyline
FanDuel -148
KO/TKO
FanDuel +600
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
BetRivers +125
Julija Stoliarenko - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriella Fernandes 0 59 of 114 51% 59 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 61 of 161 37% 64 of 167 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriella Fernandes 0 19 of 45 42% 19 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 49 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Gabriella Fernandes 0 23 of 38 60% 23 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 18 of 43 41% 19 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
3 Gabriella Fernandes 0 17 of 31 54% 17 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 24 of 71 33% 26 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriella Fernandes 59 of 114 51% 38 of 91 15 of 17 6 of 6 58 of 112 1 of 2 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 61 of 161 37% 28 of 117 13 of 20 20 of 24 56 of 154 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriella Fernandes 19 of 45 42% 10 of 35 9 of 10 0 of 0 19 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 19 of 47 40% 9 of 32 1 of 3 9 of 12 19 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Gabriella Fernandes 23 of 38 60% 14 of 28 4 of 5 5 of 5 23 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 18 of 43 41% 9 of 32 1 of 3 8 of 8 18 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gabriella Fernandes 17 of 31 54% 14 of 28 2 of 2 1 of 1 16 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 24 of 71 33% 10 of 53 11 of 14 3 of 4 19 of 66 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Angelo picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her powerful striking and decent jiu-jitsu. He notes that Julija Stoliarenko is a dangerous grappler but has sloppy striking and is either armbar or nothing. Angelo believes if Gabriella can defend takedowns, she will beat Julija up and potentially finish her. He started with low confidence but moved to medium confidence.

"I think Gabriella, assuming she could defend the takedowns here, is going to beat the hell out of Julia and potentially finish her."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Big Brady is confident in Gabriella Fernandes, describing Julija Stoliarenko as the most one-dimensional fighter in the UFC with only an armbar threat. He notes Stoliarenko has no striking, no wrestling, and has been finished multiple times. Brady believes Fernandes will dominate on the feet and can also do damage on top if the fight goes to the ground. He predicts Fernandes will knock out Stoliarenko in the second round.

second round knockout
"I like Fernandez here. I think she knocks out Ranken. I'll say second round knockout for Gabriella Fernandez."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The host highlights Fernandes' striking advantage and physicality, expecting her to keep the fight standing and pick apart Stoliarenko from distance. He predicts a headkick knockout, showing confidence in a finish.

by KO (headkick)
"I think the striking advantage and physicality of Fernandez will allow her to keep this fight standing where she'll be able to pick apart stolen from distance and eventually line up a headkick to produce a knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The MMA Guru picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her recent win over Wang Cong and her solid jiu-jitsu. He believes Stoliarenko is a finish-or-be-finished fighter but Fernandes has the grappling to avoid submissions. He predicts a first or second round finish for Fernandes.

Fernandes wins by finish in round 1 or 2; also bet on Fernandes fight time under 10 minutes as part of a parlay
"I think she will find the finish in the first or second round here."
LOSS vs Luana Carolina
TKO (punches) R3 4:52 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 66 of 136 48% 138 of 230 2 of 3 66% 0 0 5:27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 16 of 59 27% 21 of 68 1 of 5 20% 3 0 3:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 12 of 32 37% 35 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:04
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 25 24% 6 of 26 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:46
2 Luana Carolina 0 25 of 55 45% 43 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Julija Stoliarenko 0 10 of 28 35% 14 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:12
3 Luana Carolina 0 29 of 49 59% 60 of 89 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:25
Julija Stoliarenko 0 0 of 6 0% 1 of 7 0 of 2 0% 3 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 66 of 136 48% 41 of 96 15 of 26 10 of 14 28 of 75 13 of 20 25 of 41
Julija Stoliarenko 16 of 59 27% 7 of 40 6 of 10 3 of 9 11 of 51 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 12 of 32 37% 6 of 20 3 of 7 3 of 5 7 of 27 4 of 4 1 of 1
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 25 24% 2 of 17 1 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luana Carolina 25 of 55 45% 13 of 38 6 of 9 6 of 8 14 of 36 4 of 6 7 of 13
Julija Stoliarenko 10 of 28 35% 5 of 19 5 of 6 0 of 3 6 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 29 of 49 59% 22 of 38 6 of 10 1 of 1 7 of 12 5 of 10 17 of 27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.

No bet advised; warns against betting on Stoliarenko despite picking her
"I'm going to pick Julia to win because Lena Carolina has been taken down many times... but there's not a world where I spend money on that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.

first round, submission (armbar)
"give me stoia Rano it's weird seeing her as a favorite ... I'll say she does get that armar in the first round and gets the job done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub is the play"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.

Under 2.5 rounds is plus 120 and could cover a Carolina finish, but host expects Stoliarenko by submission.
"I like sto Reno here I wish he was the underdog cuz you know I don't really like to invest too much into a fighter that only has that One path to Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub plus 205 at one book right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.

likely as an underdog
"I'm gonna go with Lanna Carolina over J Juliana Julia steno... I'm going to go with Lanna karolina I reckon she's got some time to improve herself as a fighter... likely as an underdog."
WIN vs Molly McCann
Submission (armbar) R1 1:55 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo is extremely confident in Molly McCann, calling this a showcase fight. He believes she will win, possibly by stoppage, and suggests she could be parlayed. He notes the odds are -400 but thinks she could be even more favored.

suggested as parlay piece
"Molly McCann's going to win this fight I don't know if it's gonna be by stoppage but she's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by first-round knockout, but predicts Stoliarenko will miss weight. He notes Stoliarenko is dangerous on the ground with armbars but has no striking or wrestling. He thinks McCann will keep it standing and knock her out. He calls it a setup fight for McCann in London. He is concerned if the fight goes to the mat.

first round knockout
"Molly McCann first round knockout my goodness"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody thinks McCann wins by out-volume and avoiding takedowns. He notes Stoliarenko's path is submission only, and the sub prop at +350 is too short for him. He would only bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better.

would bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better
"I think Molly meatball McCann out volumes out Tufts uh uh solo renko she just has to avoid getting taken down and subbed in this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel is very confident Molly McCann will win, calling Stoliarenko 'one of the worst fighters on the roster'. He believes Molly is better on the feet and can take Stoliarenko down as long as she avoids the armbar. He expects a highlight-reel finish and notes the line at -190 is good value to fade Stoliarenko. He dismisses comparisons to high-level grapplers like Erin Blanchfield, stating Stoliarenko is not on that level.

Daniel says 'it's less than minus 200 to fade one of the worst fighters on the roster' and expects a highlight-reel finish.
"I think Molly is gonna bust this girl up gonna get a highlight real finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The host picks Molly McCann, citing her speed, striking advantage, and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges the danger of Stoliarenko's armbar but believes McCann can avoid it. He predicts a knockout win and mentions waiting for a better price around -200.

by knockout, waiting for better price around -200
"give me model McCann by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul sees this as a setup for McCann, noting Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the UFC and her only win is over a retired fighter. He thinks McCann is popular in the UK and will be re-motivated after a loss to Blanchfield. He expects McCann to roll, though he jokes about a first-round armbar loss.

"I think this is an absolute setup for Molly McCann to go out there and roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, noting Dana White's investment in Barstool fighters. He praises McCann's toughness, chin, and scrappy style, and believes she can keep the fight on the feet. He criticizes Julija Stoliarenko's recent losses and lack of success unless she gets the fight to the ground. The Guru predicts McCann will win a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.

"I'm going with Molly McCann over Julius dolorenko"
TKO (punches) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chelsea Chandler 0 12 of 27 44% 20 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Julija Stoliarenko 0 38 of 70 54% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chelsea Chandler 0 12 of 27 44% 20 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Julija Stoliarenko 0 38 of 70 54% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chelsea Chandler 12 of 27 44% 5 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 38 of 70 54% 34 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 43 0 of 0 21 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chelsea Chandler 12 of 27 44% 5 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 38 of 70 54% 34 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 43 0 of 0 21 of 27
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler vs. Julija Stoliarenko

Round 1
In a pre-planned catchweight affair at 140 pounds, proud Lithuanian Stoliarenko (10-6-2, 1-4 UFC) wants to keep her modicum of momentum going after winning her first UFC appearance after five tries. She faces off against promotional newcomer Chandler (4-1, 0-0 UFC), plucked from the Invicta ranks but with the Diaz brothers in her camp. Referee Jacob Montalvo watches on as the two decide not to touch gloves, and instead they want to go after it early. Chandler lands a kick, and when she lines up a punch, Stoliarenko plods forward and takes her down. Within seconds, Stoliarenko shifts right into full mount, and she transitions into her favorite armbar setup. Chandler is wise to it, and she flips Stoliarenko over and breaks up the armlock before it is secured. The Stockton, Calif., native unloads with ground-and-pound when she is safe from submission harm, and she hammers Stoliarenko with several powerful blows. Stoliarenko kicks off the fence to get out of the bad situation, and finds her way back to the feet. Chandler catches her with a clean right hand as Stoliarenko resets, and Stoliarenko staggers back and looks to get her feet back beneath her. Stoliarenko is marked up from absorbing strikes, and slightly wobbled on the feet, and Chandler is loading up on heavy strikes. When Stoliarenko shoots in for a takedown, she drops to her knees and is bowled over. Chandler moves immediately into mount, and she makes Stoliarenko pay for the takedown try. Stoliarenko bucks and lifts her legs up high, and in doing so, she forces Chandler to climb back upright. Stoliarenko desperately shoots for a takedown, and Chandler hip tosses her to the mat and raises her arms up in typical Diaz-esque fashion. Stoliarenko stands up and backs off, and when she attempts another takedown, Chandler easily pushes her to her back and moves to mount.
Sensing that the Lithuanian is starting to wilt, Chandler turns it up to 11 and starts battering Stoliarenko with heavy punches. The shots are getting through and Montalvo is right there paying attention. Chandler keeps bombarding her doomed opponent with relentless fists, and Montalvo steps in to rescue Stoliarenko from further harm.
The Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu product has just announced herself to the promotion in a big way, putting away a woman that had not been stopped with strikes since 2014.

The Official Result
Chelsea Chandler def. Julija Stoliarenko R1 4:15 via TKO (Punches)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody leans towards Julija Stoliarenko, noting her dangerous armbar and improved striking. He is concerned about Chandler's size and the catchweight, but believes Stoliarenko's submission threat is real. He prefers the submission prop but may wait for weigh-ins to assess size discrepancy.

Stoliarenko by submission +300
"I'll lean towards her ever so slightly the plus 350 like you said on the submission makes the most sense"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Julija Stoliarenko by submission, noting her specialty is the armbar and she has shown improvement in her overall game. He acknowledges Chandler is bigger and has some jiu-jitsu, but believes Stoliarenko's experience and ability to capitalize on mistakes will be key. He suggests waiting for a better price on the submission prop.

Stoliarenko by submission +300; may wait for better price
"stinko sub is uh is is my plan of attack on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

The MMA Guru leans toward Julija Stoliarenko, noting her specific skill set of armbars and judo. He thinks she can take Chandler down and control her on the ground, possibly submitting her. He is less confident because Chandler is untested and has a thyroid issue affecting weight cut, but he believes Stoliarenko has faced better competition. He calls it a pick'em fight.

"I'll take Julia I guess... she has brought some good people."
Submission (armbar) R1 0:42 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 9 of 16 56% 6 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 9 of 16 56% 6 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her slick striking and evolving grappling. He notes that Stoliarenko has zero wrestling and poor takedown accuracy, making it unlikely she can get the fight to the ground where she is dangerous. He believes Clark's cleaner striking will allow her to cruise to a decision.

Moneyline bet at -140
"I absolutely love jessica rose clark in this fight i already snatched up a moneyline bet at -140 on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant due to Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He notes Clark is the better striker and should implement a wrestling game plan like Alexis Davis did, but worries about Clark's submission defense. He expects Clark to win by decision if she avoids the armbar.

Clark by decision
"give me rose clark to win i'm gonna take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody thinks Stoliarenko is better on the feet and has submission threats. He notes Clark's takedowns could lead to armbar opportunities for Stoliarenko. He picks Stoliarenko but isn't confident enough for a Shoei bet.

"I'm gonna take Julia Sterly estenko and I'm not even confident enough to be like chewy bet on this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Daniel Levi picks Jessica-Rose Clark, believing she is better everywhere except against the armbar. He notes that Clark has a history of making mental mistakes, such as in her last fight where she did the one thing they trained not to do. He is wary of Stoliarenko's armbar specialty but thinks Clark should win if she fights smart. He does not bet due to recency bias and lack of trust.

No bet; burned before on Clark.
"the pick is jessica rose clark but i am not betting it at the betting window"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko is a submission specialist with 8 of 9 wins via armbar. Clark can be sloppy on top and Stoliarenko will threaten submissions from her back. Clark's win over Sarah Alpar may be overvalued; she was exposed by Stephanie Edgar. Stoliarenko's armbar is a live threat at plus money.

submission prop at +350
"i'm gonna bank on another stoliorenko armbar victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul leans toward Stoliarenko, noting her submission skills and striking. He thinks Clark's best path is to clinch, but Stoliarenko can win on the feet or via submission. He recommends taking the moneyline rather than props.

"I would take the under one and a half uh takedowns for jrc all lean towards her on the money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her improved grappling training at AKA and her ability to use it against Julija Stoliarenko, who has been outgrappled repeatedly in the UFC. He notes Stoliarenko has nothing off her back and expects Clark to cruise to a 30-27 unanimous decision with top control.

"i feel as though jessica rose clark is going to be too good on the feet maybe it'll be equal on the feet but i reckon her grappling is going to get her to win here"
LOSS vs Alexis Davis
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 85 of 120 70% 171 of 218 1 of 1 100% 0 0 9:09
Julija Stoliarenko 0 56 of 113 49% 93 of 154 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 22 of 26 84% 63 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:52
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 3 100% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 38 of 60 63% 38 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 45 of 96 46% 45 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 25 of 34 73% 70 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:17
Julija Stoliarenko 0 8 of 14 57% 28 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 85 of 120 70% 55 of 86 9 of 12 21 of 22 41 of 64 1 of 1 43 of 55
Julija Stoliarenko 56 of 113 49% 40 of 94 14 of 17 2 of 2 51 of 108 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 22 of 26 84% 22 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 22 of 26
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Alexis Davis 38 of 60 63% 14 of 33 5 of 7 19 of 20 37 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 45 of 96 46% 32 of 81 13 of 15 0 of 0 44 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 25 of 34 73% 19 of 27 4 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 21 of 29
Julija Stoliarenko 8 of 14 57% 6 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Angelo picks Alexis Davis as the veteran with experience and fight IQ. He notes Davis is a busy striker with a one-to-one striking differential, but she loses only to top-ranked opponents. Stoliarenko has great jiu-jitsu but poor wrestling and striking. Angelo expects Davis to dominate with combinations and avoid submission threats.

"i gotta go with the vet here i'm going with alexis davis to use her experience and use her fight iq to grind out what i think will pre a pretty one-sided win for her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Davis has better striking, pace, and ground game. He thinks Stoliarenko is not on Davis's level. He is confident Davis wins but acknowledges women's MMA can be unpredictable.

"gotta go with my girl uh the alley gator alexis davis"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Daniel Levi picks Alexis Davis but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Davis is a veteran with experience, but she has lost four of her last five and is 38. Stoliarenko is known for armbars off her back. Levi thinks Davis should win but the -240 price is too high, so he advises passing or taking the dog. He picks Davis but says it's not a betting opportunity.

"the pick is davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Lock of the Night picks Davis, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Stoliarenko's only path is armbar, but Davis is a tenured black belt. He expects Davis to win via decision or possibly finish. He likes Davis by decision at even money.

Davis by decision +100
"i think davis absolutely wipes estolia right quick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Paul thinks Davis has superior skills everywhere and should win easily. He notes that Stoliarenko's only threat is an armbar, but Davis is a veteran who should avoid that. He is confident Davis wins by decision and likes the Davis by decision prop.

Davis by decision (even money)
"davis by decision is even money i think that's a pretty solid bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

The MMA Guru picks Alexis Davis, calling her underrated despite her record. He notes she has had close fights with top fighters like Viviane Araujo and Jennifer Maia, but often loses due to being cut by bigger shots. He dismisses Julija Stoliarenko as 'hot trash' and predicts a 30-26 decision win for Davis, with a 10-8 third round.

decision, 30-26
"i'm going to go with alexis davis here... i think she's going to win the first two rounds outland uh julius dollarenko in those first two rounds dominate her get the takedown"
LOSS vs Julia Avila
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:19 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Jun 26, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julia Avila 0 48 of 91 52% 107 of 163 1 of 4 25% 1 2 3:31
Julija Stoliarenko 0 40 of 94 42% 60 of 115 1 of 3 33% 0 1 3:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julia Avila 0 29 of 58 50% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Julia Avila 0 17 of 30 56% 42 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:28
Julija Stoliarenko 0 10 of 24 41% 21 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:34
3 Julia Avila 0 2 of 3 66% 36 of 46 1 of 2 50% 1 1 3:03
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 5 60% 12 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julia Avila 48 of 91 52% 31 of 72 11 of 13 6 of 6 42 of 84 2 of 3 4 of 4
Julija Stoliarenko 40 of 94 42% 27 of 73 5 of 9 8 of 12 37 of 88 3 of 5 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julia Avila 29 of 58 50% 21 of 49 7 of 8 1 of 1 28 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 27 of 65 41% 18 of 49 3 of 7 6 of 9 27 of 64 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Julia Avila 17 of 30 56% 8 of 20 4 of 5 5 of 5 12 of 25 1 of 1 4 of 4
Julija Stoliarenko 10 of 24 41% 6 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 3 8 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 1
3 Julia Avila 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Angelo picks Julia Avila, reasoning that Stoliarenko will accept being on her back, throw up submissions but not get any, and end up losing a decision. He notes Avila is a heavy-handed brawler who is aggressive on top. He advises staying away from Avila in betting due to high price but likes the over on strikes.

over on strikes (more/more)
"in my opinion i think avila is the is the play here because i think stoliarenko will accept being on her back throw up tons of submissions not get any of them and end up losing a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Big Brady picks Julia Avila to win by KO, citing her massive striking advantage and strength. He warns against going to the ground with Stoliarenko, who has eight armbar wins, but believes Avila can keep it standing and finish. He notes Stoliarenko's poor wrestling and that she has been finished by strikes in half her losses. He would not bet Avila at -400 but expects her to win.

by KO, would not bet at -400
"i'll take a villa i'm actually going to take her to win by ko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Cody picks Avila, noting her athletic background and well-rounded skills. He criticizes Stoliarenko's level of competition and one-dimensional armbar game. He thinks Avila's striking and top game will be too much, and Stoliarenko's only path is pulling guard, which plays into Avila's strength. He is confident but acknowledges the price is high.

"i'm gonna go ahead and say i'm going with julia"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Jacob picks Julija Stoliarenko, citing her judo throw into armbar that she has done many times. He mentions that Joe Todora says Avila is his girl so he will stay away from her. Jacob is confident Stoliarenko finds a way to get the submission.

"i think we all picked story renko last time and and we're pretty confident about it listen joe todora says that avila is his girl so i'll stay away from her i got respect for joe tadora what's up man …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Avila should keep the fight on the feet and overpower Stoliarenko. Stoliarenko is dangerous off her back with armbars, so Avila must be careful. Avila will look for a knockout via ground and pound after dropping her. The under 2.5 rounds is intriguing as both are live for finishes. However, Avila at -345 is not a betting recommendation.

Under 2.5 rounds plus 135 to plus 155
"I'm actually gonna go with uh avila by second round tko probably by ground and pound after dropping her... the only spot that i'm going to be looking at is the under two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Paul picks Avila, noting Stoliarenko's poor UFC debut and limited skills. He thinks Avila's wrestling and striking are superior. He is not excited about the -360 price but sees Avila as a safe play. He mentions that Stoliarenko passed out on the scale in their previous booking, which is a red flag.

"avalo was supposed to like there were some offers and stuff i believe from like some bigger camps for her to go train"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Julia Avila

The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila, noting her better record, competition, and technique. He highlights her hands and combination punching, referencing her first-round finish of Gina Mazany. He also points out Stoliarenko's severe weight cut issues (fainting on the scales twice) as a major red flag, making Avila the safer bet.

"i'm gonna go with julia avila i went with her the first time she's got a better record fought better competition"
LOSS vs Yana Kunitskaya
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yana Kunitskaya 0 43 of 57 75% 209 of 254 1 of 2 50% 0 0 13:16
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 26 23% 30 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yana Kunitskaya 0 8 of 12 66% 64 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:22
Julija Stoliarenko 0 2 of 8 25% 18 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
2 Yana Kunitskaya 0 23 of 26 88% 92 of 108 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:44
Julija Stoliarenko 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Yana Kunitskaya 0 12 of 19 63% 53 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:10
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 16 18% 10 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yana Kunitskaya 43 of 57 75% 20 of 34 20 of 20 3 of 3 8 of 19 29 of 32 6 of 6
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 26 23% 5 of 23 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 23 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yana Kunitskaya 8 of 12 66% 3 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 4 7 of 8 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 2 of 8 25% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Yana Kunitskaya 23 of 26 88% 11 of 14 10 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 1 18 of 20 5 of 5
Julija Stoliarenko 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yana Kunitskaya 12 of 19 63% 6 of 13 6 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 14 4 of 4 1 of 1
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

Big Brady picks Kunitskaya but is not confident enough to bet her. He believes she is the better striker and can win by staying off the ground, but worries she might take Stoliarenko down, which plays into Stoliarenko's submission game. He compares it to the Balbina vs Jojua fight where a similar mistake led to a loss. He predicts a decision win for Kunitskaya.

"i'm assuming kunsa kaya is smart enough to not do that but at this point we just don't know with women's mma so uh kunzakaya by decision but you know big big big pass um from a betting perspective there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Daniel Levi picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by submission, specifically an armbar. He acknowledges that Yana Kunitskaya is the better fighter overall but believes she is prone to getting submitted, as seen in her past fights. Levi notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with many first-round finishes, and he expects her to pull guard and secure the submission at some point during the fight.

submission by armbar
"i'm actually going to go with the upset i think that julia stoliarenko gets a fluke arm bar"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

Kunitskaya is technically superior with good kickboxing and range control. However, she struggles in the pocket and can be pressured. Stoliarenko is a brawler with devastating elbows and a dangerous armbar from the clinch. The line at -235 is too wide; Stoliarenko offers value at +200. Kunitskaya likely wins by decision if she keeps it at range, but Stoliarenko could finish.

Stoliarenko moneyline +200, Stoliarenko inside distance
"I'm going to take Kunitskaya to win by decision but the value side by far is Julia here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

The MMA Guru picks Yana Kunitskaya because she has good clinch control and can hold opponents against the cage, as seen in her fight with Aspen Ladd. He notes that Julija Stoliarenko is taking the fight on short notice and went to a split decision against a lesser opponent. He believes Kunitskaya's clinch work will be the difference.

"i believe that yana kunitskaya is going to win this one julia stoliorenko has beaten some good girls outside the ufc but went to a split decision"
Jessica-Rose Clark - Fight History
LOSS vs Tainara Lisboa
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:20 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tainara Lisboa 0 26 of 60 43% 28 of 66 1 of 7 14% 0 0 7:36
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 42 of 83 50% 97 of 145 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tainara Lisboa 0 8 of 20 40% 9 of 23 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:42
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 11 of 20 55% 27 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:44
2 Tainara Lisboa 0 13 of 31 41% 13 of 32 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:35
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 25 of 51 49% 43 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tainara Lisboa 0 5 of 9 55% 6 of 11 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:19
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 12 50% 27 of 37 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tainara Lisboa 26 of 60 43% 20 of 51 1 of 2 5 of 7 23 of 53 2 of 5 1 of 2
Jessica-Rose Clark 42 of 83 50% 30 of 67 11 of 14 1 of 2 29 of 64 11 of 16 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tainara Lisboa 8 of 20 40% 5 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 4 7 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 11 of 20 55% 6 of 15 5 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 13 5 of 5 1 of 2
2 Tainara Lisboa 13 of 31 41% 11 of 27 1 of 2 1 of 2 12 of 28 1 of 3 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 25 of 51 49% 19 of 41 5 of 8 1 of 2 20 of 41 5 of 10 0 of 0
3 Tainara Lisboa 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 12 50% 5 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tainara Lisboa

Angelo picks Tainara Lisboa, saying she is a solid underdog at +122. He notes Jessica-Rose Clark has takedowns and straight punches that could beat Lisboa's looping shots, but he questions Clark's arm recovery from injury. He bet 0.2 units on Lisboa.

Bet 0.2 units at +122
"I'm still going with an error here I think she's a solid Underdog at plus 122"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark by default, calling it one of the sketchiest fights on the card. He notes Lisboa looks good on tape with a Muay Thai background and 100% finish rate, but all her wins are against low-level competition. Whenever she faced a relevant opponent (Norma Dumont, Larani Santos), she lost. Clark has fought actual UFC fighters and beaten some, though she's on a two-fight skid. Brady expects Clark to win by decision but has no confidence and won't bet on it.

goes to decision
"I gotta pick Jessica Rose Clark here just by default just due to the fact that she's fought actual Fighters that are you know somewhat decent"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Cody picks Clark, citing her physical strength, experience, and ability to grind against the cage. He notes that Clark's recent losses came against grapplers, while Lisboa is a striker with poor grappling. He expects Clark to implement her game plan of clinching and takedowns. He acknowledges Clark's broken arm and layoff but believes she has the edge.

"I would have to take Rose Clark even money but as I say that you might as well wait I mean like keep moving buddy yeah she broke her arm she's been on for 10 months she's 35."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Connor picks Clark, noting that Lisboa is very formless with bad technique and that Clark's wrestling, even if panicked, should be enough. He points out that Clark has beaten athletes before and that Lisboa lacks a single threatening skill. Connor expects Clark to win, but with low confidence due to Clark's mental fragility.

"I think I have to too. And I think that honestly, the, the panic into wrestling is why."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tainara Lisboa

Daniel Levi leans with the newcomer Tainara Lisboa, believing her trajectory is higher than Jessica-Rose Clark's, who appears to be on a decline. He notes Clark's recent losses and that Lisboa, a Muay Thai champion, has crushed lower-level competition. While Clark has more experience, Levi thinks Lisboa's upside and youth give her the edge in a fight that could go either way.

"I'm gonna lean with the newcomer man I just think that her trajectory is slightly higher at this point in their respective careers"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Clark's physicality and grappling experience should be too much for Lisboa, who has faced low-level competition. Clark can shut down Lisboa's Muay Thai with clinch and ground work, outmuscle her, and win by decision. However, confidence is low due to Clark's recent losses and Lisboa's potential improvement.

"I think she wins I think she'll come up with a good enough game plan to shut down that Muay Thai of Lisboa and just put it through the ringer in terms of the grappling ROM and clinch game"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tainara Lisboa

Paul picks Lisboa as a value underdog, having bet her at +147. He notes that he doesn't know much about her except she's a Muay Thai specialist. He acknowledges Clark's recent armbar losses and broken arm, but is unsure about Lisboa's takedown defense. He expects Lisboa to win the stand-up war.

bet at +147
"I'm gonna pick Liz boa to to win the stand-up War here but like do you have like a an inside track do you have any info on her take down a bit or take down defense ability"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tainara Lisboa

The MMA Guru picks Tainara Lisboa, citing Jessica-Rose Clark's lack of care for her career and recent injuries. He believes Lisboa's Muay Thai and clinch knees will be effective, and that Clark's wrestling is not a major threat. He predicts a finish via knees to the body in the clinch.

finish via knees to the body in the clinch
"I'm gonna go with Liz boa over Jessica Rose Clark... I think she'll finish her that way"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Zane picks Jessica-Rose Clark, despite her mental struggles, because Tainara Lisboa is very raw and lacks a clear skill. He notes that Clark's panic-wrestling could work against Lisboa, who has poor technique and is easy to take down. Zane expects Clark to win by decision or submission, but acknowledges her inconsistency.

"I'm going to pick Jessica. Yeah. I think I have to too."
Submission (armbar) R1 0:42 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 9 of 16 56% 6 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 9 of 16 56% 6 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her slick striking and evolving grappling. He notes that Stoliarenko has zero wrestling and poor takedown accuracy, making it unlikely she can get the fight to the ground where she is dangerous. He believes Clark's cleaner striking will allow her to cruise to a decision.

Moneyline bet at -140
"I absolutely love jessica rose clark in this fight i already snatched up a moneyline bet at -140 on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant due to Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He notes Clark is the better striker and should implement a wrestling game plan like Alexis Davis did, but worries about Clark's submission defense. He expects Clark to win by decision if she avoids the armbar.

Clark by decision
"give me rose clark to win i'm gonna take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody thinks Stoliarenko is better on the feet and has submission threats. He notes Clark's takedowns could lead to armbar opportunities for Stoliarenko. He picks Stoliarenko but isn't confident enough for a Shoei bet.

"I'm gonna take Julia Sterly estenko and I'm not even confident enough to be like chewy bet on this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Daniel Levi picks Jessica-Rose Clark, believing she is better everywhere except against the armbar. He notes that Clark has a history of making mental mistakes, such as in her last fight where she did the one thing they trained not to do. He is wary of Stoliarenko's armbar specialty but thinks Clark should win if she fights smart. He does not bet due to recency bias and lack of trust.

No bet; burned before on Clark.
"the pick is jessica rose clark but i am not betting it at the betting window"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko is a submission specialist with 8 of 9 wins via armbar. Clark can be sloppy on top and Stoliarenko will threaten submissions from her back. Clark's win over Sarah Alpar may be overvalued; she was exposed by Stephanie Edgar. Stoliarenko's armbar is a live threat at plus money.

submission prop at +350
"i'm gonna bank on another stoliorenko armbar victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul leans toward Stoliarenko, noting her submission skills and striking. He thinks Clark's best path is to clinch, but Stoliarenko can win on the feet or via submission. He recommends taking the moneyline rather than props.

"I would take the under one and a half uh takedowns for jrc all lean towards her on the money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her improved grappling training at AKA and her ability to use it against Julija Stoliarenko, who has been outgrappled repeatedly in the UFC. He notes Stoliarenko has nothing off her back and expects Clark to cruise to a 30-27 unanimous decision with top control.

"i feel as though jessica rose clark is going to be too good on the feet maybe it'll be equal on the feet but i reckon her grappling is going to get her to win here"
LOSS vs Stephanie Egger
Submission (armbar) R1 3:44 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stephanie Egger 0 2 of 4 50% 10 of 13 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 5 of 10 50% 29 of 34 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stephanie Egger 0 2 of 4 50% 10 of 13 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 5 of 10 50% 29 of 34 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stephanie Egger 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stephanie Egger 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant, noting the odds are wide and Egger is a live underdog. He likes Clark's striking and newfound wrestling confidence, but warns if Clark doesn't mix in wrestling, she could struggle. He thinks Egger is much better than 2-to-1 odds suggest.

"i do like jessica rose clark to win this fight i think her striking is very good and now she does have confidence in her wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark, impressed by her recent fight IQ and game planning. He believes she has a significant striking advantage and can mix in takedowns. He sees no clear path to victory for Egger and predicts Clark wins by decision.

win by decision
"I'm gonna go with jessica's clark to win I'm gonna take her to win by a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Cody leans toward Clark but is not confident. He notes that Clark is physically strong and has good clinch work, but Egger is a judo black belt with submissions. Cody thinks Clark's striking is better and that she can control the clinch, but he is wary of Egger's grappling. He doesn't love the price and suggests this fight is dicey.

"who would edge out would edge out for rose clark but i don't know that this is a fight that you want much appeal on"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Levi picks Clark, noting her well-rounded game and recent improvements in strength and conditioning. He believes she can stuff Egger's judo throws and keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage in boxing. Levi expects Clark to win a unanimous decision, possibly with takedowns of her own down the stretch.

Clark by unanimous decision
"give me jessica rose clark with a unanimous decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Egger

Egger's judo could neutralize Clark's grappling; she can redirect momentum and get takedowns of her own. Clark's grappling is still developing, and she slowed down in her last fight. Egger by decision is the pick, with a submission prop at +800 as a possibility if Clark gets caught. The line movement toward Egger suggests value.

Egger by decision (+275), Egger by submission (+800)
"stephanie edgar via decision plus 275 is what that said but even her submission prop at plus 800 i don't think it's out of the realm of possibility"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Paul struggles with this fight and does not make a clear pick. He notes that Clark's recent fights have been greasy and that Egger is strong in judo. He is not interested in betting Clark at -190 and seems to pass on the fight.

"i'm struggling with this one i'm not too interested in betting jessica rose clerk at minus 190"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark to win by decision. He believes Clark's athleticism and boxing will be the difference, as she has good grappling and trains at AKA. He thinks the grappling will cancel out and that Clark will out-strike Egger on the feet, winning 29-28 in a boring fashion.

decision 29-28
"i'm gonna go with jessica rose clark here stephanie egg is good but it seems our level of grappling only works against a certain tier of opponent"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 18 of 27 66% 54 of 74 5 of 11 45% 0 0 11:40
Joselyne Edwards 0 30 of 48 62% 72 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 3 of 6 50% 19 of 25 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:33
Joselyne Edwards 0 9 of 19 47% 24 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
2 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 9 of 13 69% 21 of 28 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:24
Joselyne Edwards 0 11 of 16 68% 19 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
3 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 8 75% 14 of 21 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:43
Joselyne Edwards 0 10 of 13 76% 29 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jessica-Rose Clark 18 of 27 66% 9 of 17 5 of 5 4 of 5 10 of 19 4 of 4 4 of 4
Joselyne Edwards 30 of 48 62% 19 of 33 7 of 9 4 of 6 23 of 41 3 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jessica-Rose Clark 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joselyne Edwards 9 of 19 47% 7 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 3 9 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jessica-Rose Clark 9 of 13 69% 5 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 3 5 of 9 2 of 2 2 of 2
Joselyne Edwards 11 of 16 68% 4 of 7 4 of 6 3 of 3 8 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 8 75% 2 of 4 3 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 2 2 of 2
Joselyne Edwards 10 of 13 76% 8 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jessica-Rose Clark vs. Joselyne Edwards

Round 1
Bantamweight women draw the “featured fight of the night” slot when “Jessy Jess” Clark (10-6, 3-2 UFC) returns after a year away to take on “La Pantera” Edwards (10-3, 1-1 UFC). Wanting to get right after it, the ladies do not touch gloves as referee Keith Peterson watches on with no nonsense in sight. The women crash together immediately, and Clark pursues and hits an early takedown. When they hit the ground, Clark comfortably takes top position, where she slowly works her opponent over with strikes. The first half of the round proceeds the same way, with Clark doing little more than lay-and-pray until Peterson stands them up with two minutes left in the round. Clark thanks Peterson for this standup by clinching right up again, and when she goes after another takedown, Edwards reverses her and spins her around on the mat. Clark fights her way back to her feet as Edwards hold on to the grip from behind, and the woman from Panama tries to score a big head kick. Edwards lays into her opponent when on the feet, getting off several punches and a kick, but Clark quickly stops any more offense so she can ground “La Pantera” again. Although Edwards kicks her off for a moment, Clark climbs back on top to ride out the grind-filled round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Clark

Round 2
Clark comes out aggressively, but the fight stays on its feet longer than the previous round as Clark decides to let her hands go a little. As Edwards tries to sting her with punches, Clark darts in with an elbow that partially grazes the forehead. Unlike the last period, Edwards decides to go after her own takedown try. Clark watches video of herself fighting to see the position where she cannot otherwise observe, allowing her to break the posture and spin Edwards around briefly. The two jockey for position against the cage until Clark changes levels for a takedown. Although Edwards grabs the cage, Clark is able to wrestle her down to the mat and pass to half guard. Slowly and methodically, Clark works her way over to secure full mount, and Edwards nearly gives her back up in the process. Clark stays heavy, keeping Edwards flat on her back but doing little more. No strikes of note, no submission attempts come from the Aussie, who is more content to just rack up control time. A couple punches land courtesy of “Jessy Jess” when Edwards tries to regain position, and she manages to kick Clark off of her. Edwards spams inaccurate kicks until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Clark
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Clark

Round 3
The women touch gloves to clock in the last round, and Edwards starts off firing with a body kick and a few punches up top. “La Pantera” catches Clark with a combination, and the Aussie immediately clinches up to tie her up and stop the strikes from coming. As she maintains this position, she transitions into a body lock throw, and she successfully puts Edwards on her back again. Edwards can do nothing but lay on her back, as she goes back and forth closing her guard and keeping it open. On the offensive side, Clark is also ineffective once she lands the singular takedown, grinding and burning daylight. Clark stands up and looks to rain down a punch or two, but she lowers herself back into Edwards’ guard where the fight stalls out. Although Clark moves to half guard, that is the extent of her activity, without landing a strike of note or even contemplating a submission maneuver. Edwards occasionally bucks, and scoots her way to lean her back on the wall, all while Peterson watches over them getting ready to stand them up. Edwards walk her way up the fencing, and Clark times a knee on the jaw right when Edwards pulls her hand off the mat. The Aussie goes right back to a takedown, easily planting Edwards on her back, where she has successfully tamed “La Pantera.” With one second to go, Clark takes mount; not able to do anything with it with that little time, the horrendous fight goes to decision and is now thankfully over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Clark (30-27 Clark)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Clark (30-27 Clark)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Clark (30-27 Clark)

The Official Result
Jessica-Rose Clark def. Joselyne Edwards via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Angelo likes Clark because she has more ways to win: power in the pocket, grappling if needed. Edwards needs to fight a specific calculated fight at range, while Clark can just come forward and make it dirty. He notes Clark has 55% takedown accuracy and averages one takedown per fight. He thinks -140 is a good price and plans to bet the moneyline. He will have her at 8500 in DraftKings.

plans to bet Clark moneyline at -140; will have her at 8500 in DraftKings
"minus 140 is honestly not a bad price i'm probably gonna grab jessica rose clark moneyline"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Clark to exploit Edwards's 37% takedown defense, expecting her to implement a grinding game plan of takedowns and cage control. He notes Clark's layoff and injury but believes the matchup favors her. He predicts a decision win, though he's not fully confident in her implementing the right strategy.

"i'm going to say jessica rose clark does get it done by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Cody leans towards Joselyne Edwards as a live underdog. He acknowledges that Jessica-Rose Clark's path to victory is through wrestling, but questions whether Clark will actually implement that game plan. Cody notes that Clark has never scored more than two takedowns in a UFC fight and that her wrestling success came against smaller opponents. He points out that Edwards is a natural bantamweight, younger, and training at Kings MMA with top competition. Cody believes Edwards can keep the fight standing and win a close decision.

Dogger pass; plus 125
"i kind of see this one more as a dogger pass like i wouldn't mind even just hitting the straight pass on it or if you need underdogs on this card potentially on a joslyn edwards"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Lock picks Clark based on her grappling advantage. He notes Clark's strength and wrestling should allow her to take Edwards down and grind out a decision. He mentions Edwards' poor grappling defense seen in the Hosa fight. He expects Clark to win by decision.

Clark by decision +135
"i am on the jessica rose clark side uh i do think she'll win this by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Paul initially leans towards Jessica-Rose Clark, seeing a clear path via wrestling. He notes Clark's improved defensive wrestling against Sarah Alpar and believes she can take Edwards down and control her. However, Paul is hesitant because of Clark's face tattoo, which he jokingly associates with a tendency to brawl rather than wrestle. He also worries that Clark might not shoot for takedowns and instead engage in a striking match, where she could be at a disadvantage.

"pick as is jessica rose clark i think it should be pretty easy but i'm a little bit scared that if she doesn't shoot for takedowns then what"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The MMA Guru picks Joselyne Edwards, citing her size and reach advantage. He believes Jessica-Rose Clark will struggle to get the fight to the ground and that Edwards will win a stand-up battle. He also makes a remark about Clark's priorities.

"i'm gonna go with jocelyn edwards here over jessica rose clarke"
WIN vs Sarah Alpar
TKO (punch and knee) R3 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 76 of 106 71% 124 of 175 1 of 1 100% 0 0 8:18
Sarah Alpar 0 12 of 30 40% 26 of 44 2 of 11 18% 0 0 3:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 16 of 22 72% 27 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Sarah Alpar 0 7 of 13 53% 15 of 21 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:02
2 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 32 of 45 71% 53 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:36
Sarah Alpar 0 4 of 10 40% 10 of 16 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:19
3 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 28 of 39 71% 44 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:41
Sarah Alpar 0 1 of 7 14% 1 of 7 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jessica-Rose Clark 76 of 106 71% 66 of 95 9 of 10 1 of 1 15 of 30 25 of 29 36 of 47
Sarah Alpar 12 of 30 40% 3 of 15 3 of 6 6 of 9 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jessica-Rose Clark 16 of 22 72% 15 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 12 5 of 5 5 of 5
Sarah Alpar 7 of 13 53% 2 of 6 0 of 1 5 of 6 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jessica-Rose Clark 32 of 45 71% 26 of 38 5 of 6 1 of 1 4 of 9 13 of 15 15 of 21
Sarah Alpar 4 of 10 40% 1 of 5 2 of 2 1 of 3 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jessica-Rose Clark 28 of 39 71% 25 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 9 7 of 9 16 of 21
Sarah Alpar 1 of 7 14% 0 of 4 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sarah Alpar

Big Brady picks the underdog Sarah Alpar, believing she can get takedowns and control the fight on the ground. He notes Clark is the better striker but has been taken down before, and Alpar has decent wrestling and submissions. He expects a close decision win for Alpar.

"i'm gonna go all par i'm gonna pick the underdog here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

The host thinks Jessica-Rose Clark has the striking advantage and improved physical strength, while Sarah Alpar is a wrestler who hasn't shown effective takedowns or comfort on the feet. However, he is not confident enough to bet at -230, citing Clark's recent losses and Alpar's potential if she can implement her wrestling. He predicts a decision win for Clark but advises staying away from betting.

"I'll go with jessica rose clark to win this five year decision but i don't want to risk any of my money on this."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Sarah Alpar

The host picks Sarah Alpar over Jessica-Rose Clark, citing Alpar's better record, activity, and youth. He notes Clark has been out for a while and predicts Alpar wins by unanimous decision.

unanimous decision
"I'm gonna be going with Sarah Alpa getting it done by unanimous decision."
LOSS vs Pannie Kianzad
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs. Kattar · Nov 09, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 65 of 157 41% 71 of 163 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 98 of 238 41% 103 of 243 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 19 of 50 38% 21 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 24 of 74 32% 27 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 24 of 54 44% 27 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 35 of 79 44% 36 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 22 of 53 41% 23 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 39 of 85 45% 40 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 65 of 157 41% 37 of 117 6 of 16 22 of 24 65 of 157 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 98 of 238 41% 71 of 194 14 of 30 13 of 14 93 of 229 5 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 19 of 50 38% 13 of 41 2 of 4 4 of 5 19 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 24 of 74 32% 17 of 61 1 of 7 6 of 6 23 of 72 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 24 of 54 44% 12 of 38 4 of 7 8 of 9 24 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 35 of 79 44% 29 of 66 4 of 11 2 of 2 33 of 75 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 22 of 53 41% 12 of 38 0 of 5 10 of 10 22 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 39 of 85 45% 25 of 67 9 of 12 5 of 6 37 of 82 2 of 3 0 of 0
LOSS vs Jessica Eye
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Jun 23, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jessica Eye 0 51 of 139 36% 51 of 139 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 67 of 225 29% 74 of 232 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jessica Eye 0 18 of 58 31% 18 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 17 of 88 19% 17 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jessica Eye 0 20 of 46 43% 20 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 23 of 71 32% 24 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
3 Jessica Eye 0 13 of 35 37% 13 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 27 of 66 40% 33 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jessica Eye 51 of 139 36% 30 of 111 13 of 18 8 of 10 46 of 132 4 of 5 1 of 2
Jessica-Rose Clark 67 of 225 29% 38 of 182 23 of 35 6 of 8 60 of 217 0 of 0 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jessica Eye 18 of 58 31% 15 of 52 1 of 4 2 of 2 18 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 17 of 88 19% 13 of 79 3 of 7 1 of 2 17 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jessica Eye 20 of 46 43% 10 of 33 7 of 8 3 of 5 18 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jessica-Rose Clark 23 of 71 32% 10 of 54 9 of 13 4 of 4 21 of 69 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Jessica Eye 13 of 35 37% 5 of 26 5 of 6 3 of 3 10 of 30 2 of 3 1 of 2
Jessica-Rose Clark 27 of 66 40% 15 of 49 11 of 15 1 of 2 22 of 60 0 of 0 5 of 6
WIN vs Paige VanZant
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · Jan 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 54 of 118 45% 96 of 162 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:33
Paige VanZant 0 55 of 98 56% 78 of 122 2 of 3 66% 1 1 5:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 7 of 16 43% 21 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Paige VanZant 0 12 of 25 48% 24 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 1 3:40
2 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 19 of 29 65% 47 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:29
Paige VanZant 0 15 of 22 68% 26 of 34 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:58
3 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 28 of 73 38% 28 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paige VanZant 0 28 of 51 54% 28 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jessica-Rose Clark 54 of 118 45% 29 of 75 18 of 32 7 of 11 40 of 100 2 of 3 12 of 15
Paige VanZant 55 of 98 56% 36 of 71 12 of 19 7 of 8 32 of 67 7 of 11 16 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jessica-Rose Clark 7 of 16 43% 5 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 12 of 25 48% 9 of 21 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 15 3 of 5 4 of 5
2 Jessica-Rose Clark 19 of 29 65% 15 of 23 3 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 1 12 of 15
Paige VanZant 15 of 22 68% 10 of 17 4 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 12 of 15
3 Jessica-Rose Clark 28 of 73 38% 9 of 40 13 of 24 6 of 9 27 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 28 of 51 54% 17 of 33 6 of 12 5 of 6 25 of 46 3 of 5 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her slick striking and evolving grappling. He notes that Stoliarenko has zero wrestling and poor takedown accuracy, making it unlikely she can get the fight to the ground where she is dangerous. He believes Clark's cleaner striking will allow her to cruise to a decision.

Moneyline bet at -140
"I absolutely love jessica rose clark in this fight i already snatched up a moneyline bet at -140 on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant due to Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He notes Clark is the better striker and should implement a wrestling game plan like Alexis Davis did, but worries about Clark's submission defense. He expects Clark to win by decision if she avoids the armbar.

Clark by decision
"give me rose clark to win i'm gonna take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody thinks Stoliarenko is better on the feet and has submission threats. He notes Clark's takedowns could lead to armbar opportunities for Stoliarenko. He picks Stoliarenko but isn't confident enough for a Shoei bet.

"I'm gonna take Julia Sterly estenko and I'm not even confident enough to be like chewy bet on this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Daniel Levi picks Jessica-Rose Clark, believing she is better everywhere except against the armbar. He notes that Clark has a history of making mental mistakes, such as in her last fight where she did the one thing they trained not to do. He is wary of Stoliarenko's armbar specialty but thinks Clark should win if she fights smart. He does not bet due to recency bias and lack of trust.

No bet; burned before on Clark.
"the pick is jessica rose clark but i am not betting it at the betting window"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko is a submission specialist with 8 of 9 wins via armbar. Clark can be sloppy on top and Stoliarenko will threaten submissions from her back. Clark's win over Sarah Alpar may be overvalued; she was exposed by Stephanie Edgar. Stoliarenko's armbar is a live threat at plus money.

submission prop at +350
"i'm gonna bank on another stoliorenko armbar victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul leans toward Stoliarenko, noting her submission skills and striking. He thinks Clark's best path is to clinch, but Stoliarenko can win on the feet or via submission. He recommends taking the moneyline rather than props.

"I would take the under one and a half uh takedowns for jrc all lean towards her on the money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her improved grappling training at AKA and her ability to use it against Julija Stoliarenko, who has been outgrappled repeatedly in the UFC. He notes Stoliarenko has nothing off her back and expects Clark to cruise to a 30-27 unanimous decision with top control.

"i feel as though jessica rose clark is going to be too good on the feet maybe it'll be equal on the feet but i reckon her grappling is going to get her to win here"