Career Averages - Francisco Figueiredo
Career Averages - Daniel Lacerda
Francisco Figueiredo
Daniel Lacerda
Francisco Figueiredo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Albazi | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 23 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amir Albazi | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 23 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Albazi | 12 of 18 | 66% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 10 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 11 of 15 | 73% | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amir Albazi | 12 of 18 | 66% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 10 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 11 of 15 | 73% | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Amir Albazi over Francisco Figueiredo. He describes Albazi as a legit prospect with solid grappling, striking, and high pace, who is light on his toes and can quickly snatch a leg for takedowns. He notes that Figueiredo is about 75% of his brother's ability, but is better at wrestling and grappling. Angelo believes Albazi has the edge in striking, wrestling, and grappling, and expects a one-sided decision. The only concern is Albazi's year-and-a-half layoff, which prevents Angelo from making him a parlay piece.
Big Brady is confident in Amir Albazi. He criticizes Francisco Figueiredo's low volume (1.92 significant strikes per minute), lack of power, and poor cardio, noting he lost rounds to Malcolm Gordon and Jerome Rivera. Albazi is well-rounded, has better volume, power, cardio, and grappling. Brady expects Albazi to win by decision, though he mentions a late finish is possible. He sees Albazi having the advantage everywhere.
Cody picks Albazi, emphasizing his fluid striking and grappling. He notes Figueiredo's cardio problems and lack of power. He thinks Albazi is on a different level and should win comfortably.
Daniel Levi leans toward Amir Albazi but is not confident enough to bet at -500. He thinks Albazi is a fantastic prospect but notes that he has been out for over a year and that Francisco Figueiredo is not as bad as the line suggests. Levi points out that Figueiredo made a bad decision in the Malcolm Gordon fight (dropping back for a leg lock from full mount) but has talent. He expects the fight to be competitive early, with Albazi pulling away later, but says it's a dog-or-pass situation.
Albazi is a promising flyweight prospect with strong wrestling and improving hands. He should dominate Figueiredo, who is low-level and only wins by early knockout. Albazi's grappling and durability will be too much; he can win by decision or finish. The host includes Albazi in a four-leg parlay.
Paul picks Albazi, citing his superior striking and grappling. He notes Figueiredo's cardio issues and lack of power. He thinks Albazi is the better fighter everywhere and should win, but the -500 line offers little value.
The Guru predicts Amir Albazi wins by second-round submission via rear-naked choke. He describes Albazi landing jabs and shots over the top, while Figueiredo is defensively irresponsible. He sees Albazi taking Figueiredo down, taking the back, and locking in a standing rear-naked choke in round two.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Figueiredo | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Figueiredo | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Figueiredo, noting he is a good fighter in his own right, not just Deiveson's brother. He highlights Figueiredo's wrestling, averaging three takedowns per fight with 75% accuracy and 90% takedown defense. He thinks Figueiredo will get takedowns and grind out a win, despite the odds favoring Lacerda.
Big Brady picks Daniel Lacerda (da Silva), citing his striking, kicks, volume, and willingness to engage. He criticizes Figueiredo's low volume, poor cardio, and unimpressive performances. He predicts a first-round KO finish, as Lacerda is the more dangerous and active fighter.
Cody also sides with Figueiredo, noting Lacerda's over-aggression and poor cardio. He thinks Figueiredo's experience training with his brother Deiveson will help, and that his wrestling and grappling are superior. Cody expects a close fight but believes Figueiredo can edge it out, though his commitment isn't high.
Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Francisco Figueiredo as an underdog. He notes Figueiredo's mistakes in his last fight (dropping back for leg locks) are correctable, while Lacerda is a wild brawler who may gas. Levi sees it as a 50/50 fight and takes the dog, but is not highly confident.
The host leans Figueiredo as an underdog, citing Lacerda's reckless style and poor cardio. He notes Lacerda fights at a frantic pace and gasses after the first round, while Figueiredo has decent takedowns and top control. Figueiredo's BJJ and clinch strength can neutralize Lacerda's early burst. He expects Figueiredo to win a decision if he survives the first round.
Paul picks Francisco Figueiredo as a slight underdog, citing Lacerda's inexperience and tendency to gas. He notes Lacerda is a first-round finisher but fades quickly, as seen against Jeff Molina. Paul thinks Figueiredo's wrestling and clinch strength will be key, and that he can take Lacerda down and control him. He acknowledges Figueiredo's own cardio issues but believes Lacerda's are worse.
The Guru picks Daniel Lacerda (referred to as Daniel de Silva), criticizing Francisco Figueiredo's poor decision-making and suspect grappling. He notes that Figueiredo's UFC entry was a robbery and that he has not looked good. The Guru believes Lacerda looked good against Jeff Molina in the early rounds and has good grappling. He predicts Lacerda will get a submission win early in the fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Gordon | 0 | 28 of 45 | 62% | 52 of 70 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 4:15 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 46 of 84 | 54% | 100 of 145 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 6:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Gordon | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 16 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:46 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 34 of 40 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 | |
| 2 | Malcolm Gordon | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 22 of 55 | 40% | 26 of 59 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 3 | Malcolm Gordon | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 16 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 9 of 9 | 100% | 40 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Gordon | 28 of 45 | 62% | 16 of 30 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 32 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 8 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 46 of 84 | 54% | 40 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 54 | 5 of 7 | 19 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Gordon | 6 of 8 | 75% | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 15 of 20 | 75% | 11 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 14 | |
| 2 | Malcolm Gordon | 20 of 34 | 58% | 10 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 22 of 55 | 40% | 21 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Malcolm Gordon | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | 9 of 9 | 100% | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 8 |
Cody is confident in Francisco Figueiredo, but he prefers prop bets. He has placed bets on Figueiredo inside the distance and under 2.5 rounds, citing Malcolm Gordon's poor chin and durability issues. He acknowledges Figueiredo's lack of power but believes Gordon's susceptibility to getting knocked out makes this a good prop play.
Paul picks Francisco Figueiredo, but he is not high on him. He notes that Malcolm Gordon cannot take a punch and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He thinks Figueiredo just needs to land one clean shot to win, but he also acknowledges that Gordon could have success if the fight stays standing. Ultimately, he goes with Figueiredo.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 39 of 65 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 7:07 |
| Jerome Rivera | 0 | 31 of 134 | 23% | 85 of 199 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 16 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Jerome Rivera | 0 | 12 of 35 | 34% | 29 of 58 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 15 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 |
| Jerome Rivera | 0 | 5 of 33 | 15% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 3 | Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Jerome Rivera | 0 | 14 of 66 | 21% | 34 of 89 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Figueiredo | 29 of 53 | 54% | 11 of 28 | 7 of 11 | 11 of 14 | 20 of 40 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 9 |
| Jerome Rivera | 31 of 134 | 23% | 12 of 90 | 8 of 20 | 11 of 24 | 22 of 112 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Figueiredo | 8 of 17 | 47% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 |
| Jerome Rivera | 12 of 35 | 34% | 1 of 16 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 10 | 8 of 29 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Francisco Figueiredo | 13 of 18 | 72% | 5 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Jerome Rivera | 5 of 33 | 15% | 3 of 22 | 0 of 4 | 2 of 7 | 4 of 29 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Francisco Figueiredo | 8 of 18 | 44% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jerome Rivera | 14 of 66 | 21% | 8 of 52 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 7 | 10 of 54 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady admits he could find very little tape on Francisco Figueiredo and what he saw was unimpressive, with poor striking defense and ground game. He thinks the -150 line is based on the name rather than skill. He picks Jerome Rivera, who has a good ground game and submission skills, but is not confident because he knows little about Figueiredo. He predicts a decision win for Rivera.
The host picks Jerome Rivera due to his activity, height advantage, and jiu-jitsu, but is hesitant because of limited tape on Francisco Figueiredo. He thinks Rivera can overwhelm Figueiredo with volume and movement, but acknowledges the unknown factor of Figueiredo's game. He predicts a decision win for Rivera.
The MMA Guru picks Jerome Rivera as an underdog, criticizing Francisco Figueiredo's performance in his last fight (a controversial draw against Eduardo Souza) and his reliance on his brother's name. He notes Rivera was beating Tyson Nam before getting caught, and has good takedown defense and offensive grappling. He predicts Rivera will pick Figueiredo apart on the outside and win a unanimous decision 30-27.
Daniel Lacerda - Fight History
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Chairez (-355), da Silva (+280)
Round 1
Running back a meeting from September that went awry due to an early stoppage from Chris Tognoni, overturning the fight to a no contest, Chairez (10-5, 1 NC; 0-1, 1 NC UFC) and da Silva (11-5, 1 NC; 0-4, 1 NC UFC) will settle their business in the second go-round. Chairez had snared his foe in a standing guillotine choke that mistakenly was identified at one that rendered da Silva unconscious, so da Silva will need to protect his neck this time around. Both fighters ended up missing weight for what was supposed to be a catchweight contest, as the Brazilian came in a pound heavy while Chairez whiffed by five pounds. The referee for the rematch will be Marc Goddard, and the fighters decide to touch gloves despite their history. Chairez reintroduces himself with a faked high kick, and da Silva sits down on offense to counter. Both men fire off kicks at the same time, and Chairez’ slides up and might have bumped the cup but there is no pause. They aim kicks at one another from a distance, taking turns and loading up on one after the other. Chairez spins with a wheel kick that slides off the shoulder, and he recovers and pushes out a front kick. The Brazilian responds with two kicks to the body, and Chairez drives him back with a thudding one-two. Chairez gives chase, and da Silva takes his momentum and repurposes it to tackle Chairez to the ground. Chairez starts talking to the man on top of him, and da Silva answers by elbowing him in the face repeatedly. Chairez kicks off to get some space, and he wraps up a high guard and sets up a triangle choke.
Chairez switches his leg grip to an omoplata, and then goes back to a triangle choke. “Puro Chicali” fastens his legs tight and uses his arms to pull da Silva’s head down to complete the submission. It only takes seconds for da Silva to realize he is beaten, and he taps out on the hip.
Chairez immediately releases, and both men hug it out and express great respect for one another by bowing. The rivalry is complete with no early stoppage this time, and da Silva is now winless in six walks to the Octagon. In victory, the Mexican fighter's coach wraps a purple belt around Chairez' waist, who maintains his 100% finish rate while landing his seventh career submission.
The Official Result
Edgar Chairez def. Daniel da Silva R1 2:17 via Submission (Triangle Choke)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 83 of 144 | 57% | 98 of 164 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:54 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 2 | 48 of 117 | 41% | 51 of 120 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 2 | 44 of 103 | 42% | 46 of 105 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 63 of 106 | 59% | 74 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 83 of 144 | 57% | 57 of 103 | 16 of 29 | 10 of 12 | 34 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 49 of 77 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 48 of 117 | 41% | 32 of 94 | 11 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 42 of 106 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 20 of 38 | 52% | 8 of 21 | 4 of 8 | 8 of 9 | 20 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 44 of 103 | 42% | 30 of 84 | 9 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 38 of 92 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 4 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 63 of 106 | 59% | 49 of 82 | 12 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 49 of 77 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 4 of 14 | 28% | 2 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Vergara, calling him one of his most confident picks. He notes that Vergara is a high-pressure fighter who stays busy and is tough. He thinks da Silva is dangerous early but fades, and Vergara's pressure will be too much. He recommends betting 'fight doesn't go to decision' rather than a moneyline.
Big Brady picks C.J. Vergara by first-round knockout, calling Daniel da Silva not UFC caliber. He notes da Silva's poor cardio (2.5 minutes of gas), lack of durability, and tendency to fold under adversity. Brady believes Vergara's pressure and toughness will overwhelm da Silva, who has been finished in all three UFC losses. He expects a quick finish as soon as da Silva faces any adversity.
Cody picks Vergara, calling the line bad and favoring Vergara's heart and cardio. He notes da Silva is explosive but fades after the first round, while Vergara is tenacious and breaks opponents down. He suggests Vergara inside the distance and likes the over 1.5 rounds on PrizePicks (over 5 minutes).
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Vergara without hesitation. He describes Lacerda as a 'flyweight Eric Silva' who is dangerous in the first minute but then falls apart. Vergara is a proven tough guy who hangs around and doesn't get blown out, making him a reliable pick against a fighter with no regulation or longevity in his style.
Jacob picks Vergara, agreeing that he should win with toughness. He notes that da Silva is dangerous early but fades, and Vergara's toughness should carry him. However, he feels da Silva is 'due' for a win and might pull off an upset, but still picks Vergara.
The host picks Daniel da Silva as a big underdog, believing his speed, explosiveness, and power advantage will be too much for Vergara. He notes da Silva is fighting for his job and expects a calculated but reckless style. He predicts a first-round finish, possibly by submission, and likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' and under 1.5 rounds.
The Guru picks Vergara, heavily criticizing da Silva's fight IQ and defensive mistakes. He believes Vergara is more reliable and can tough out danger. He predicts a second or third round TKO.
Zane picks C.J. Vergara because he sees Daniel Lacerda as a self-destructive fighter who explodes and fades quickly, while Vergara is tough, reliable, and consistently puts forward pressure. Vergara may be slow and not athletic, but he is durable and will be in Lacerda's face the whole time. Zane notes that Lacerda has imploded in every UFC fight so far, and Vergara is exactly the kind of grinder who can survive the initial storm and take over.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Altamirano | 1 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 1 | 58 of 83 | 69% | 94 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Altamirano | 1 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 1 | 58 of 83 | 69% | 94 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Altamirano | 22 of 45 | 48% | 14 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 33 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 58 of 83 | 69% | 48 of 71 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 15 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 53 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Altamirano | 22 of 45 | 48% | 14 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 33 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 58 of 83 | 69% | 48 of 71 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 15 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 53 |
Angelo picks Daniel Lacerda (da Silva) over Victor Altamirano. He calls it a razor-thin fight that should be a pick'em. He notes that both are solid strikers with okay wrestling and good BJJ, but believes Lacerda is the better striker and more dangerous fighter. He acknowledges Altamirano's takedown defense isn't great but he sweeps well. Angelo is concerned about Lacerda's poor wrestling but thinks he can still get it done. He admits he doesn't love the pick but is going with the underdog due to Lacerda's danger.
Big Brady sees this as a tricky fight. He notes that Daniel Lacerda (da Silva) is dangerous early with a 100% finish rate but fades badly if the fight extends, as seen in his loss to Jeff Molina. Victor Altamirano has terrible takedown defense but is durable and has cardio. Brady expects Lacerda to look good early but fade, with Altamirano taking over and finishing by submission in the second or third round. He is hesitant because Lacerda could win the first round if he lands early.
Cody picks Altamirano, emphasizing his Mexican toughness and durability. He notes Lacerda's cardio issues and thinks Altamirano can break him down. He likes the under 12.5 minutes as it covers both fighters' finishing potential.
Daniel Levi picks Victor Altamirano to win a decision. He notes that Daniel Lacerda is hell on wheels early but fades, and in the elevation, Lacerda will gas even faster. Levi believes Altamirano's Mexican heart and long strikes will take over in the second and third rounds. He acknowledges that Lacerda could get an early finish, but if he doesn't, Altamirano wins.
Victor Altamirano is the lock of the night play with 4 units at -168. He expects Altamirano to survive early trouble from Lacerda's takedowns and jiu-jitsu, then take over as Lacerda's cardio fades after the first few minutes. Altamirano's striking advantage and ability to create scrambles should lead to a finish in the second or third round. He also took 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at -165 as a hedge.
Paul picks Altamirano, citing his durability and cardio advantage. He notes Lacerda's explosive style but poor cardio. He likes the under 12.5 minutes on Prize Picks and thinks Altamirano can weather the early storm and take over.
The Guru predicts Victor Altamirano wins via 29-28 unanimous decision. He describes a sloppy, chaotic fight where Lacerda gives Altamirano problems early with takedowns and punches, but Altamirano lands leg kicks and body kicks. He sees Altamirano wearing Lacerda down in the second and third rounds, beating him up badly in the third.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Figueiredo | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Figueiredo | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Figueiredo | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Figueiredo, noting he is a good fighter in his own right, not just Deiveson's brother. He highlights Figueiredo's wrestling, averaging three takedowns per fight with 75% accuracy and 90% takedown defense. He thinks Figueiredo will get takedowns and grind out a win, despite the odds favoring Lacerda.
Big Brady picks Daniel Lacerda (da Silva), citing his striking, kicks, volume, and willingness to engage. He criticizes Figueiredo's low volume, poor cardio, and unimpressive performances. He predicts a first-round KO finish, as Lacerda is the more dangerous and active fighter.
Cody also sides with Figueiredo, noting Lacerda's over-aggression and poor cardio. He thinks Figueiredo's experience training with his brother Deiveson will help, and that his wrestling and grappling are superior. Cody expects a close fight but believes Figueiredo can edge it out, though his commitment isn't high.
Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Francisco Figueiredo as an underdog. He notes Figueiredo's mistakes in his last fight (dropping back for leg locks) are correctable, while Lacerda is a wild brawler who may gas. Levi sees it as a 50/50 fight and takes the dog, but is not highly confident.
The host leans Figueiredo as an underdog, citing Lacerda's reckless style and poor cardio. He notes Lacerda fights at a frantic pace and gasses after the first round, while Figueiredo has decent takedowns and top control. Figueiredo's BJJ and clinch strength can neutralize Lacerda's early burst. He expects Figueiredo to win a decision if he survives the first round.
Paul picks Francisco Figueiredo as a slight underdog, citing Lacerda's inexperience and tendency to gas. He notes Lacerda is a first-round finisher but fades quickly, as seen against Jeff Molina. Paul thinks Figueiredo's wrestling and clinch strength will be key, and that he can take Lacerda down and control him. He acknowledges Figueiredo's own cardio issues but believes Lacerda's are worse.
The Guru picks Daniel Lacerda (referred to as Daniel de Silva), criticizing Francisco Figueiredo's poor decision-making and suspect grappling. He notes that Figueiredo's UFC entry was a robbery and that he has not looked good. The Guru believes Lacerda looked good against Jeff Molina in the early rounds and has good grappling. He predicts Lacerda will get a submission win early in the fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Molina | 1 | 47 of 62 | 75% | 106 of 131 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 20 of 25 | 80% | 31 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeff Molina | 0 | 30 of 40 | 75% | 66 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 18 of 22 | 81% | 29 of 34 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Jeff Molina | 1 | 17 of 22 | 77% | 40 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Molina | 47 of 62 | 75% | 39 of 54 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 38 of 49 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 20 of 25 | 80% | 7 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeff Molina | 30 of 40 | 75% | 26 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 34 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 18 of 22 | 81% | 7 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 8 | |
| 2 | Jeff Molina | 17 of 22 | 77% | 13 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 15 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo likes Lacerda's forward pressure, kicks, and finishing ability. He notes that all 11 of Lacerda's wins are by stoppage, and while he's making his UFC debut, Angelo believes he's a legit threat. He thinks Molina will invest in body and leg kicks, but Lacerda may not need much time to get the finish. He's not sure about a moneyline bet but likes Lacerda at 7500 in DraftKings.
Big Brady picks the underdog Lacerda, citing Molina's 16% takedown defense as a major red flag. He notes Lacerda's 100% finish rate and brown belt in BJJ, predicting an early submission. He acknowledges limited tape on Lacerda but likes what he saw, and believes Molina's takedown defense is a serious liability.
Cody picks Jeff Molina, but prefers to bet him live after the first round. He notes that Lacerda is a powerful finisher who may win the first round, but Molina has proven cardio and durability. Cody believes Molina can weather the early storm and take over as Lacerda fades. He sees Molina as a lower-tier parlay piece.
Lock picks Molina based on discipline and cardio. He notes Lacerda is wild and has never seen the third round. Molina should weather the early storm and then take over, likely finishing by KO. He likes the under and Molina by KO.
Paul does not pick a winner but likes the under 2.5 rounds or fight doesn't go to decision prop. He notes that Lacerda is an aggressive finisher and Molina is durable, leading to a high-paced fight that likely ends inside the distance. Paul is not confident in either fighter to win outright.
The MMA Guru picks Jeff Molina, viewing him as a strong prospect. He criticizes Daniel Lacerda's record and believes Molina's cardio, stand-up, and grappling defense will carry him to a unanimous decision win. He notes Molina trains at Glory MMA with James Krauss.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Figueiredo, noting he is a good fighter in his own right, not just Deiveson's brother. He highlights Figueiredo's wrestling, averaging three takedowns per fight with 75% accuracy and 90% takedown defense. He thinks Figueiredo will get takedowns and grind out a win, despite the odds favoring Lacerda.
Big Brady picks Daniel Lacerda (da Silva), citing his striking, kicks, volume, and willingness to engage. He criticizes Figueiredo's low volume, poor cardio, and unimpressive performances. He predicts a first-round KO finish, as Lacerda is the more dangerous and active fighter.
Cody also sides with Figueiredo, noting Lacerda's over-aggression and poor cardio. He thinks Figueiredo's experience training with his brother Deiveson will help, and that his wrestling and grappling are superior. Cody expects a close fight but believes Figueiredo can edge it out, though his commitment isn't high.
Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Francisco Figueiredo as an underdog. He notes Figueiredo's mistakes in his last fight (dropping back for leg locks) are correctable, while Lacerda is a wild brawler who may gas. Levi sees it as a 50/50 fight and takes the dog, but is not highly confident.
The host leans Figueiredo as an underdog, citing Lacerda's reckless style and poor cardio. He notes Lacerda fights at a frantic pace and gasses after the first round, while Figueiredo has decent takedowns and top control. Figueiredo's BJJ and clinch strength can neutralize Lacerda's early burst. He expects Figueiredo to win a decision if he survives the first round.
Paul picks Francisco Figueiredo as a slight underdog, citing Lacerda's inexperience and tendency to gas. He notes Lacerda is a first-round finisher but fades quickly, as seen against Jeff Molina. Paul thinks Figueiredo's wrestling and clinch strength will be key, and that he can take Lacerda down and control him. He acknowledges Figueiredo's own cardio issues but believes Lacerda's are worse.
The Guru picks Daniel Lacerda (referred to as Daniel de Silva), criticizing Francisco Figueiredo's poor decision-making and suspect grappling. He notes that Figueiredo's UFC entry was a robbery and that he has not looked good. The Guru believes Lacerda looked good against Jeff Molina in the early rounds and has good grappling. He predicts Lacerda will get a submission win early in the fight.
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