Career Averages - Gabe Green
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Career Averages - Yohan Lainesse
Gabe Green
Yohan Lainesse
Gabe Green - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 36 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:12 |
| Matheus Camilo | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 33 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Matheus Camilo | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 19 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Matheus Camilo | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 12 of 27 | 44% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Matheus Camilo | 13 of 27 | 48% | 6 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 7 of 18 | 38% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Matheus Camilo | 12 of 24 | 50% | 6 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 5 of 9 | 55% | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Matheus Camilo | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Matheus Camilo, noting that Gabe Green is moving down to lightweight after two years off, which he sees as a desperate move. He believes Green will look horrific at 155 lbs and that his success came from being a bully at welterweight. Angelo thinks Camilo is a rare prospect with power, cardio, and a good chin, and that the odds feel appropriate with good value.
Big Brady picks Matheus Camilo, noting his power and aggression. He highlights Gabe Green's long layoff, health issues, and suspect chin. He expects a first-round knockout as both swing dicks, trusting the younger, more durable fighter.
The host likes Camilo's raw tools, power, and aggressive BJJ game. He thinks Green has been away too long, coming back from injury and dropping to 155 lbs, which will be a bad wakeup call. He expects Camilo to be too much of a buzzsaw and get a TKO finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds.
The Guru picks Matheus Camilo, calling him a dangerous finisher with multiple ways to win (left hook KO, triangles). He notes Camilo showed well-rounded skills in his last fight, chewing up the leg in round three. He thinks Gabriel Green may struggle with speed and frequency at lightweight, predicting a first-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 1 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 1 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Bryan Battle, noting his constant pressure and improving skills. He says Battle never quit in his last loss and that grinding loss prepared him. He thinks the striking will be even but Battle will have the more dangerous ground game. He bet 0.2 units on Battle at +110.
Big Brady likes Gabriel Green because he has a clear path to victory: taking down Bryan Battle. He notes Battle has poor takedown defense, citing his debut against Urbin and his last fight against Fakhretdinov where he was controlled for 14 minutes. Green is a brown belt in BJJ and has good cardio. Brady expects Green to grind out a decision, as both guys are tough and durable. He thinks the fight is competitive on the feet but Green's wrestling gives him the edge.
Cody picks Battle as an underdog, citing his lateral movement and ability to fight off his back foot. He notes that Green is a grimy forward pressure fighter but lacks cage cutting skills. He expects Battle to win a competitive decision, but worries about Battle's wrestling liability and short notice. He proposes a second Shoei bet.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Battle's style is not honed and that Green's constant pressure and tirelessness will create opportunities. He points out that Battle's path to victory is unclear, while Green's game is straightforward and effective. Connor expects Green to control the fight and win.
Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Gabriel Green, citing his work rate, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He notes that Bryan Battle was badly exposed in his last fight, landing only three strikes and being taken down seven times. However, Battle has physical advantages in height and reach. Levi sees this as a close fight but favors Green's pressure and leg kicks.
Battle can utilize his range and height advantage to pick apart Green from distance, mix in takedowns, and wear on him with cardio. Green is a durable, hard-nosed striker but may struggle with Battle's pace and grappling. Battle should pull away late and win by decision, though a Green knockout is a possible hedge.
Paul picks Green, citing Battle's poor wrestling and Green's durability. He notes that Green can take Battle down and control him, and that Battle has been taken down multiple times in past fights. He expects a close competitive fight but leans toward Green. He accepts the second Shoei bet.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting that he was dealt a bad card in his last fight against a tough opponent. He believes Battle is underrated and can keep up with Green's pace, picking him apart for a 30-27 decision.
Zane picks Gabe Green, citing his constant pressure and output as a style that will overwhelm Bryan Battle, who lacks a clear plan and relies on scrapping. He notes that Battle struggled against wrestlers and that Green's relentless striking will keep him on the back foot. Zane expects Green to win by decision or late stoppage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 1 | 116 of 193 | 60% | 129 of 206 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 90 of 195 | 46% | 102 of 208 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 41 of 67 | 61% | 41 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 26 of 58 | 44% | 28 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 36 of 65 | 55% | 44 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 38 of 73 | 52% | 47 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 3 | Ian Machado Garry | 1 | 39 of 61 | 63% | 44 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 26 of 64 | 40% | 27 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 116 of 193 | 60% | 87 of 160 | 17 of 21 | 12 of 12 | 111 of 188 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Gabe Green | 90 of 195 | 46% | 31 of 112 | 24 of 36 | 35 of 47 | 90 of 194 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Machado Garry | 41 of 67 | 61% | 30 of 54 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 40 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabe Green | 26 of 58 | 44% | 8 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 13 of 18 | 26 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ian Machado Garry | 36 of 65 | 55% | 25 of 52 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Gabe Green | 38 of 73 | 52% | 15 of 43 | 13 of 17 | 10 of 13 | 38 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ian Machado Garry | 39 of 61 | 63% | 32 of 54 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 36 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 26 of 64 | 40% | 8 of 36 | 6 of 12 | 12 of 16 | 26 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ian Garry, citing his hand speed and footwork, though he notes Garry is hittable and needs to clean up his defense. He believes Gabe Green's negative striking differential and high strikes absorbed will play into Garry's hands. He thinks Garry is overrated but not likely to lose this fight.
Big Brady picks Gabe Green as an underdog, citing Ian Garry's poor striking defense exposed in his debut. He believes Green's pressure and volume will trouble Garry, and predicts a late knockout. He acknowledges Garry's hype but thinks Green can expose his flaws.
Cody thinks Garry's counter-striking and judo will be effective against Green's linear pressure. He notes Green's wrestling is poor and Garry has cardio to go three rounds. He expects a decision win.
Daniel Levi is confident in Ian Garry, having bet 3.1 units to win 2 at -155. He praises Garry's skills, distance management, variety, and work ethic, noting that he moved to Sanford MMA to improve. Levi believes Green is there to be hit and gets hit too much, and that Garry's sniping style will be effective. He dismisses criticism of Garry's personality as irrelevant to betting.
Garry is the cleaner, crisper striker with a height advantage. Green is a tough, scrappy fighter who will push forward, but Garry should be able to pick him apart from distance. The host expects a close fight and thinks Garry wins by decision, but is not confident enough to bet.
Paul picks Garry but won't bet him at -185. He likes the over 70.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks and the decision prop at +240. He thinks Garry is a work in progress but will win.
The MMA Guru picks Ian Garry, citing his height and reach advantage, leg kicks, and front kicks to the body. He expects Garry to win the first two rounds with his range striking, then fade in the third as Green pressures, but still win 29-28. He notes Green's cardio and tendency to come on late but thinks Garry's early work will be enough.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 0 | 48 of 123 | 39% | 54 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 | 41 of 80 | 51% | 42 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 0 | 12 of 57 | 21% | 16 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 38 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 17 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 48 of 123 | 39% | 26 of 98 | 13 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 36 of 105 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 13 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 41 of 80 | 51% | 15 of 40 | 11 of 16 | 15 of 24 | 35 of 74 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 12 of 57 | 21% | 6 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 25 of 50 | 50% | 7 of 20 | 8 of 12 | 10 of 18 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 36 of 66 | 54% | 20 of 49 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 16 of 30 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Gabe Green, though he acknowledges Lainesse's power and danger. He trusts Green to throw straight punches up the middle to get inside Lainesse's looping power and grind out a decision. He notes Green is the more dangerous grappler on the ground, but Lainesse has better takedowns and can end the fight at any moment.
Big Brady picks Gabe Green, highlighting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and grappling. He notes Green's poor striking defense but believes Lainesse's cardio will fade after the first round. He predicts a second-round submission win for Green, as he will take over as the fight progresses.
Cody also picks Lainesse, noting his power and improved grappling. He thinks Green's poor decision-making and defensive holes will be exploited. Cody references Lainesse's wins over tough competition on the regional scene and believes he has multiple paths to victory. He calls it another live underdog on a card full of them.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse after the line flipped. He notes Lainesse's one-punch power and ability to fight fatigued, while Green is hittable and may get caught. Levi expects a close fight that could end in a knockout or decision, with Lainesse possibly winning the first two rounds and surviving the third.
The host picks Lainesse, citing his raw power and improving skills. He notes Green is hittable and has been knocked out early before. Lainesse has one-punch knockout power and a wrestling/grappling advantage. Green's reputation for durability is based on fighting volume strikers, not power punchers. He expects Lainesse to land a big shot and finish Green.
Paul picks Yohan Lainesse as a live underdog, citing his raw power and underrated grappling. He notes Green's defensive flaws and tendency to get hit a lot (175 significant strikes against Daniel Rodriguez). Paul thinks Lainesse's strength and wrestling could be an advantage, and that Green's poor inside fighting will be exposed. He mentions Lainesse's self-belief and momentum from the contender series.
The Guru picks Yohan Lainesse to KO Gabe Green in the first round. He notes that Green gets hit too much and that Lainesse has vicious power and speed. The Guru points out Lainesse's reach and height advantages, and his undefeated confidence. He believes Green will try to walk Lainesse down but will get caught, similar to his fight with Daniel Rodriguez where he absorbed many strikes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 2 | 70 of 152 | 46% | 128 of 213 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:13 |
| Philip Rowe | 0 | 42 of 86 | 48% | 48 of 93 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 5:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 28 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Philip Rowe | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:09 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 1 | 39 of 88 | 44% | 51 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Philip Rowe | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:49 | |
| 3 | Gabe Green | 1 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 49 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Philip Rowe | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 9 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 70 of 152 | 46% | 36 of 112 | 15 of 20 | 19 of 20 | 51 of 126 | 4 of 7 | 15 of 19 |
| Philip Rowe | 42 of 86 | 48% | 25 of 67 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 9 | 40 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 13 of 26 | 50% | 3 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 10 | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Philip Rowe | 10 of 31 | 32% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 39 of 88 | 44% | 21 of 68 | 12 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 68 | 2 of 4 | 12 of 16 |
| Philip Rowe | 24 of 40 | 60% | 15 of 30 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gabe Green | 18 of 38 | 47% | 12 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
| Philip Rowe | 8 of 15 | 53% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Gabe Green to win by knockout. He thinks Green is very live to win and finish Rowe. He notes that Rowe doesn't use his reach advantage and that Green is good at closing distance. He expects a war and a finish, and he bet the under 2.5 rounds at plus money. He also thinks Green has solid ground game if it goes there.
Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe, citing his size and reach advantage as the tallest welterweight. He notes that Rowe has potential and has been training with good partners. He criticizes Gabe Green's takedown defense and thinks Rowe can stay long, use his jab, and win with style points. He acknowledges Green's output but believes Rowe's physical advantages will be key.
The host leans toward Green, citing his well-roundedness and jiu-jitsu, but admits low confidence. He notes that Rowe has a size and reach advantage but is green and hesitant. He expects Green to get the fight to the ground and secure a submission, possibly in the first round.
The Guru picks Gabe Green, citing his tougher competition at lightweight and his activity advantage over Philip Rowe, who hasn't fought since August 2019. He believes Green's pressure and technical striking will outwork Rowe, leading to a unanimous decision win. He notes that Rowe's only advantage is size and range, but Green's experience and youth will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rodriguez | 0 | 175 of 344 | 50% | 175 of 345 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 127 of 273 | 46% | 127 of 273 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 0 | 34 of 72 | 47% | 34 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 26 of 68 | 38% | 26 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Daniel Rodriguez | 0 | 61 of 114 | 53% | 61 of 115 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 43 of 85 | 50% | 43 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Daniel Rodriguez | 0 | 80 of 158 | 50% | 80 of 158 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 58 of 120 | 48% | 58 of 120 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rodriguez | 175 of 344 | 50% | 139 of 302 | 27 of 33 | 9 of 9 | 169 of 337 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 127 of 273 | 46% | 61 of 198 | 51 of 58 | 15 of 17 | 125 of 269 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 34 of 72 | 47% | 20 of 57 | 11 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabe Green | 26 of 68 | 38% | 4 of 43 | 11 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 26 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Daniel Rodriguez | 61 of 114 | 53% | 49 of 101 | 6 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 60 of 113 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabe Green | 43 of 85 | 50% | 25 of 66 | 15 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Daniel Rodriguez | 80 of 158 | 50% | 70 of 144 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 75 of 152 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 58 of 120 | 48% | 32 of 89 | 25 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 57 of 117 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by knockout in the first round. He thinks Rodriguez is the better fighter overall, more technical, and has a black belt in BJJ. He notes that Green is coming up in weight and that Rodriguez will be the bigger, more powerful fighter. He expects a finish inside the distance and calls Green a 'killer or be killed' guy who will get knocked out.
Daniel picks Rodriguez to stop Green, citing his durability, power, and the fact that Green is taking the fight on short notice and may not be in shape. He notes Rodriguez's impressive debut win over Tim Means and his training at elevation with Cowboy Cerrone.
The MMA Guru picks Kevin Holland to win by TKO in the second or third round. He notes that Holland is better at 170 lbs, has a massive reach advantage, and is coming off a full camp while Rodriguez is on short notice. He predicts Holland will use front kicks to the body to gas Rodriguez and then finish him.
Yohan Lainesse - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Patterson | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Patterson | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Patterson | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Patterson | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lainesse due to his power and Patterson's suspect chin, referencing Patterson's recent knockout loss. He notes that both fighters can finish each other, but expects Lainesse to land on Patterson's chin. He also plans to bet the under on the round total if a 2.5 round line becomes available.
Big Brady picks Lainesse but hates the pick. He notes Lainesse has changed his style to be too conservative and gun-shy, but still has power and takedown defense. He thinks if the old Lainesse shows up, he knocks out Patterson early. He questions Patterson's chin and defense but acknowledges Patterson could win if Lainesse fights timidly.
Cody picks Patterson as an underdog, citing Lainesse's poor cardio and chin. He thinks if Patterson survives the first round, he can take over with his grappling and submission game. He notes Lainesse's power but believes Patterson's length and jiu-jitsu will be key.
Daniel Vreeland picks Yohan Lainesse but is not confident. He notes Lainesse has devastating power and looked good in the Gabe Green fight before being stopped. He worries about Lainesse's recent gun-shy performances but hopes a change in training camp reignites his aggression. He expects a knockout if the old Lainesse shows up.
This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Patterson vs Lainesse.
I'm going with Patterson here. He is the better cleaner striker and has a better ground game. I wouldn't be surprised to see him change levels and look for a submission finish. Lainesse is a solid power puncher but in terms of raw skills, Patterson is the better fighter. If the line climbs closer to +150, it becomes even more attractive. I think no matter who wins, it ends by finish, and I'll take Patterson by submission.
Paul leans Lainesse by KO in round 1, citing his power and Patterson's shaky chin. He acknowledges Lainesse's cardio issues but thinks he can get an early knockout. He doesn't love the bet but picks Lainesse.
The MMA Guru picks Yohan Lainesse, emphasizing his power and the home crowd advantage in Canada. He criticizes Sam Patterson's defensive flaws, particularly his chin-up stance and susceptibility to overhands. He notes Patterson's recent KO loss and the risk of moving up in weight to face a heavy hitter. He predicts a KO win for Lainesse.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 20 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 20 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 9 of 17 | 52% | 3 of 8 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 9 of 17 | 52% | 3 of 8 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-215), Lainesse (+185)
Round 1
The main card commences with all-Canadian violence, which might sound oxymoronic but comes in the form of a welterweight clash pitting Malott (8-1-1, 1-0 UFC) against Lainesse (9-1, 1-1 UFC). Combined, the two have 14 stoppages across their 17 wins, so referee Mark Smith’s services might be required sooner than later. The countrymen will save admiration and respect for later and do not opt to touch gloves. Lainesse lands the first blow in the form of an inside low kick, and Malott dances on the outside and brings a kick up high that glances off the guard. “Proper Mike” turns to plant a side kick on Lainesse’s belly, and he has another high kick blocked. Lainesse retreats and absorbs a booming body kick, and Malott lets him off the hook to recover. Lainesse lines up a body kick and a high kick, with the former getting through, and Lainesse does not attempt to counter or even throw a strike in response. Lainesse tosses out a half-hearted strike in the open space, and Malott is feet away. In response, Malott darts forward with a stomping kick to the knee. Lainesse comes up short with a head kick, and Malott whips a kick that pounds into the forearm. Malott gets off a side kick into a leaping right hand, and Lainesse suddenly surges into action with a looping left hand. Malott catches the advancing man and uses his momentum against him to hit an inside trip and dump him on the mat, where he lands in half guard. Lainesse clings tightly to his man on top to disallow him from opening up with strikes, and this nullifies Malott for a time.
Malott steps through again to return to half guard again, and he locks down an arm-triangle choke and crushes his shoulder on Lainesse’s windpipe. Before even moving to mount, Malott has Lainesse in danger. Malott does move to full mount to secure the choke, but it does not take more than a couple seconds for Lainesse to surrender.
That marks nine finishes in nine wins for the rising Malott, who has still never needed more than five minutes to record a victory.
The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Yohan Lainesse R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Connor picks Malott, noting that Lainesse is not a good wrestler and has no change-up; he has to get a knockout. Connor points out that Lainesse's solution to gassing was to reduce output, which is not sustainable. Malott, while not a great wrestler, is willing and has a nice left hook. Connor also mentions that Lainesse may never have faced someone who throws good punches, and Malott's compact punching could be a problem for him.
Zane picks Malott because he is the smoother, more defensively mindful fighter with better pocket mechanics. He notes that Malott has a great sense of spatial awareness in the pocket and throws compact, solid punches. Lainesse, on the other hand, is a raw power puncher who gasses easily and has poor wrestling. Zane believes if Malott survives the first round, he can push Lainesse to fatigue and potentially hurt him with his left hook.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 44 of 108 | 40% | 49 of 113 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 23 of 66 | 34% | 24 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 13 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 19 of 40 | 47% | 22 of 43 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 5 of 22 | 22% | 6 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohan Lainesse | 44 of 108 | 40% | 14 of 60 | 10 of 19 | 20 of 29 | 41 of 100 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 23 of 66 | 34% | 10 of 46 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 13 | 22 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yohan Lainesse | 13 of 37 | 35% | 1 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 13 of 28 | 46% | 5 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yohan Lainesse | 19 of 40 | 47% | 9 of 21 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 11 | 18 of 36 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 5 of 16 | 31% | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yohan Lainesse | 12 of 31 | 38% | 4 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 5 of 22 | 22% | 3 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Darian Weeks is the better striker and faster than Lainesse. He highlights Weeks' incredible takedown defense, comparing it to old-school BJ Penn, and thinks Weeks can dictate whether the fight stays on the feet or goes to the mat. He notes Lainesse has power but is slow and tends to brawl, which should allow Weeks to pick him apart technically. Angelo placed a small moneyline bet on Weeks.
Big Brady picks Darian Weeks despite acknowledging Yohan Lainesse's power and wrestling. He notes Lainesse has poor cardio and gassed against Gabe Green, while Weeks has a proven chin and excellent cardio. He expects Weeks to weather an early storm and take over via wrestling and pace, predicting a decision win or late finish.
Cody picks Darian Weeks, citing his cardio and durability. He notes that Lainesse has terrible cardio and fades after the first round. He believes Weeks can take over in later rounds, and mentions the Weeks round 3 prop at +1000. He says it's a good live bet opportunity.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse and has bet 2 units on him at plus money. He believes Lainesse is the more polished fighter with power and takedowns, while Weeks is inexperienced at the UFC level. He notes Lainesse's cardio issues in the Gabe Green fight were due to pacing, not lack of conditioning, and expects leg kicks and elbows to be key. He thinks the odds are off and Lainesse wins at least 6 out of 10 times.
Jacob agrees with Angelo, emphasizing that whoever dictates pace and pressure will win. He notes Lainesse's conditioning failed in his last fight and that he quit when tired, while Weeks showed toughness against Ian Garry. Jacob believes Weeks is more technical and will out-tough Lainesse, picking him 10 out of 10 times.
The host expects Darian Weeks to avoid Lainesse's big power early, drag him to the ground, and grind him out for a late finish or decision. He notes that if the line flips to Weeks as underdog, he might take a small bet. He sees Weeks as the better overall fighter.
Paul picks Darian Weeks, noting that Lainesse has cardio issues and that Weeks has durability. He believes Weeks can take Lainesse down and tire him out. He mentions that Lainesse has power but if he doesn't finish early, Weeks will take over. He says it's a good live bet spot.
The MMA Guru predicts Yohan Lainesse will win by KO at the end of round one. He describes a patient start where Lainesse chops at the legs and lands jabs, but Darian Weeks gets the better of him initially, pushing him against the cage. However, Weeks gets overconfident and Lainesse lands a massive KO blow on the jaw to finish him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 0 | 48 of 123 | 39% | 54 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 | 41 of 80 | 51% | 42 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 0 | 12 of 57 | 21% | 16 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 38 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 17 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 48 of 123 | 39% | 26 of 98 | 13 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 36 of 105 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 13 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 41 of 80 | 51% | 15 of 40 | 11 of 16 | 15 of 24 | 35 of 74 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 12 of 57 | 21% | 6 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 25 of 50 | 50% | 7 of 20 | 8 of 12 | 10 of 18 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 36 of 66 | 54% | 20 of 49 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 16 of 30 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Gabe Green, though he acknowledges Lainesse's power and danger. He trusts Green to throw straight punches up the middle to get inside Lainesse's looping power and grind out a decision. He notes Green is the more dangerous grappler on the ground, but Lainesse has better takedowns and can end the fight at any moment.
Big Brady picks Gabe Green, highlighting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and grappling. He notes Green's poor striking defense but believes Lainesse's cardio will fade after the first round. He predicts a second-round submission win for Green, as he will take over as the fight progresses.
Cody also picks Lainesse, noting his power and improved grappling. He thinks Green's poor decision-making and defensive holes will be exploited. Cody references Lainesse's wins over tough competition on the regional scene and believes he has multiple paths to victory. He calls it another live underdog on a card full of them.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse after the line flipped. He notes Lainesse's one-punch power and ability to fight fatigued, while Green is hittable and may get caught. Levi expects a close fight that could end in a knockout or decision, with Lainesse possibly winning the first two rounds and surviving the third.
The host picks Lainesse, citing his raw power and improving skills. He notes Green is hittable and has been knocked out early before. Lainesse has one-punch knockout power and a wrestling/grappling advantage. Green's reputation for durability is based on fighting volume strikers, not power punchers. He expects Lainesse to land a big shot and finish Green.
Paul picks Yohan Lainesse as a live underdog, citing his raw power and underrated grappling. He notes Green's defensive flaws and tendency to get hit a lot (175 significant strikes against Daniel Rodriguez). Paul thinks Lainesse's strength and wrestling could be an advantage, and that Green's poor inside fighting will be exposed. He mentions Lainesse's self-belief and momentum from the contender series.
The Guru picks Yohan Lainesse to KO Gabe Green in the first round. He notes that Green gets hit too much and that Lainesse has vicious power and speed. The Guru points out Lainesse's reach and height advantages, and his undefeated confidence. He believes Green will try to walk Lainesse down but will get caught, similar to his fight with Daniel Rodriguez where he absorbed many strikes.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Gabe Green, though he acknowledges Lainesse's power and danger. He trusts Green to throw straight punches up the middle to get inside Lainesse's looping power and grind out a decision. He notes Green is the more dangerous grappler on the ground, but Lainesse has better takedowns and can end the fight at any moment.
Big Brady picks Gabe Green, highlighting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and grappling. He notes Green's poor striking defense but believes Lainesse's cardio will fade after the first round. He predicts a second-round submission win for Green, as he will take over as the fight progresses.
Cody also picks Lainesse, noting his power and improved grappling. He thinks Green's poor decision-making and defensive holes will be exploited. Cody references Lainesse's wins over tough competition on the regional scene and believes he has multiple paths to victory. He calls it another live underdog on a card full of them.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse after the line flipped. He notes Lainesse's one-punch power and ability to fight fatigued, while Green is hittable and may get caught. Levi expects a close fight that could end in a knockout or decision, with Lainesse possibly winning the first two rounds and surviving the third.
The host picks Lainesse, citing his raw power and improving skills. He notes Green is hittable and has been knocked out early before. Lainesse has one-punch knockout power and a wrestling/grappling advantage. Green's reputation for durability is based on fighting volume strikers, not power punchers. He expects Lainesse to land a big shot and finish Green.
Paul picks Yohan Lainesse as a live underdog, citing his raw power and underrated grappling. He notes Green's defensive flaws and tendency to get hit a lot (175 significant strikes against Daniel Rodriguez). Paul thinks Lainesse's strength and wrestling could be an advantage, and that Green's poor inside fighting will be exposed. He mentions Lainesse's self-belief and momentum from the contender series.
The Guru picks Yohan Lainesse to KO Gabe Green in the first round. He notes that Green gets hit too much and that Lainesse has vicious power and speed. The Guru points out Lainesse's reach and height advantages, and his undefeated confidence. He believes Green will try to walk Lainesse down but will get caught, similar to his fight with Daniel Rodriguez where he absorbed many strikes.
5 time ufc vet vs newcomer. Blind faith on the underdog?