Career Averages - Julianna Peña
Career Averages - Amanda Nunes
Julianna Peña
Amanda Nunes
Julianna Peña - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 9 of 30 | 30% | 15 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kayla Harrison | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 59 of 88 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 6:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kayla Harrison | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 24 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kayla Harrison | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 35 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 9 of 30 | 30% | 8 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Kayla Harrison | 30 of 54 | 55% | 17 of 39 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 36 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 6 of 17 | 35% | 5 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Kayla Harrison | 8 of 24 | 33% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 3 of 13 | 23% | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kayla Harrison | 22 of 30 | 73% | 12 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 15 | 6 of 7 | 6 of 8 |
Angelo picks Kayla Harrison based on her Olympic judo credentials and physicality. He acknowledges Peña's toughness and ability to survive, but thinks relying on Kayla gassing is not a real strategy. He notes Kayla has fought 25 minutes before and can win the first three rounds. He finds the odds too wide and is hesitant to bet on Kayla.
Big Brady is confident in Kayla Harrison, citing her ability to take down anyone, including Ketlen Vieira who has great takedown defense. He notes Peña's 23% takedown defense and questions her motivation. He expects Harrison to get the fight to the ground, mix in ground and pound, and eventually submit Peña in the second round. He mentions weight cut concerns but thinks Harrison will dominate if she makes weight.
Connor picks Peña, citing the potential for Harrison to get anxious and gas if Peña pressures her. He notes that Peña's chaotic, relentless style could rattle Harrison, who has shown discomfort in striking exchanges. Connor admits it's a risky pick but thinks the funnier outcome and Peña's ability to exploit Harrison's unease make it plausible.
Harrison is much better than Peña in every area. She will utilize her physicality, judo, and grappling to get Peña to the ground, wear her out, and ground and pound her for a TKO victory, becoming the new bantamweight champion.
The MMA Guru picks Kayla Harrison by decision, citing her physicality and grappling advantage. He criticizes Peña's standup as abysmal and notes Harrison's strength will be too much. He acknowledges Harrison's standup is not great but believes she will out-grapple Peña. He thinks Peña is tough but difficult to finish, so he predicts a decision win. He notes the odds of -600 are too high, suggesting value on Peña by submission.
Zane picks Kayla Harrison, reasoning that Peña's takedown defense is poor and Harrison's judo and top control should be enough to dominate. He acknowledges Harrison's striking is awkward and she can panic, but believes Peña's wild aggression will play into Harrison's strengths. Zane notes the odds are too wide and the fight should be closer to -200.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 1 | 92 of 317 | 29% | 112 of 345 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 92 of 260 | 35% | 123 of 308 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 5:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 17 of 60 | 28% | 17 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 25 of 59 | 42% | 25 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 6 of 24 | 25% | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 18 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 8 of 34 | 23% | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:20 | |
| 4 | Julianna Peña | 1 | 26 of 84 | 30% | 26 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 16 of 67 | 23% | 18 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 5 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 35 of 115 | 30% | 35 of 115 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 27 of 85 | 31% | 27 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 92 of 317 | 29% | 57 of 277 | 29 of 33 | 6 of 7 | 88 of 308 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 3 |
| Raquel Pennington | 92 of 260 | 35% | 82 of 248 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 90 of 256 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 17 of 60 | 28% | 12 of 53 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 25 of 59 | 42% | 24 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 6 of 24 | 25% | 2 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 8 of 34 | 23% | 5 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 18 of 33 | 54% | 14 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Julianna Peña | 26 of 84 | 30% | 12 of 69 | 12 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 80 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 3 |
| Raquel Pennington | 16 of 67 | 23% | 14 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Julianna Peña | 35 of 115 | 30% | 26 of 105 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 113 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 27 of 85 | 31% | 24 of 81 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 84 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Raquel Pennington to win by grinding against the cage, using her technical striking and control. He notes Julianna Peña is coming off a two-year layoff and a severe beating, which often leads to poor performances. He believes Pennington's durability and preparation at elevation will be key, and that Peña's chaotic style won't be enough. He also mentions that Pennington's wife Tisha Torres fights earlier, which could affect her mentally if Tisha loses.
Big Brady picks Raquel Pennington, citing her recent activity and impressive wins over Macy Chiasson, Ketlen Vieira, and Mayra Bueno Silva. He notes Peña has been inactive for two years and lost to Amanda Nunes. He believes Pennington is the better striker and has strong clinch work, and expects her to win a decision.
Cody picks Pennington due to Peña's two-year layoff, age, and tendency to fatigue. He highlights Pennington's durability, volume striking, and ability to fight five rounds. He expects Pennington to pressure Peña against the cage and win a decision.
Connor picks Pennington, but hesitantly. He thinks Pennington's crafty boxing and durability will allow her to survive Peña's initial onslaught and win rounds in the clinch. He notes that Pennington is comfortable in long clinches and can land knees and front headlock chokes. However, he acknowledges Peña's athleticism and aggression make it a tough fight.
Daniel Vreeland picks Raquel Pennington. He cites multiple factors: Pennington trains at elevation and has amazing cardio, while Peña has not fought since July 2022 and has a history of poor preparation for elevation. Vreeland notes that Pennington's style is exhausting to fight, as seen in her win over Mayra Bueno Silva. He also points out that Pennington's boxing looked good in her last fight, while Peña's boxing looked terrible with wild swings. He believes Pennington will grind out a win, likely by decision or late TKO.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Raquel Pennington, citing her superior boxing and clinch work. He believes Pennington can keep the fight standing and piece up Peña, possibly even choking her out if Peña shoots a sloppy takedown. He is not confident in Peña's evolution since her loss to Amanda Nunes and thinks Pennington's takedown defense will be key.
Jeff Fox picks Raquel Pennington. He agrees with Vreeland on the elevation advantage and Peña's layoff. He notes that Pennington is a tough out, especially if Peña doesn't properly prepare. Fox thinks Pennington will grind out a win, though it may not be pretty.
The host thinks Peña is the overall better fighter and that her wrestling advantage will nullify Pennington's game. He believes people are overlooking Peña due to her loss to Amanda Nunes, but notes Pennington is nowhere near Nunes's level. He expects Peña to lean on her wrestling and grappling and open up a submission opportunity within 10 to 15 minutes.
Paul agrees with Cody, citing Peña's two-year layoff and Pennington's cardio advantage. He notes Pennington's recent procedure as a minor concern but believes her durability and wrestling will carry her to a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Raquel Pennington over Julianna Peña, citing Peña's long layoff (over two years) and inactivity. He notes Pennington trains at altitude and has a cage control game. He acknowledges Peña's win over Nunes but questions her deserving a title shot. He is not confident, calling it a tough pick, but goes with Pennington due to Peña's ring rust.
Zane picks Peña, arguing that Pennington is slow-footed and will get stuck on the cage, allowing Peña to impose her physicality and wrestling. He believes Peña's aggression and strength will overwhelm Pennington, despite Pennington's improved boxing and durability. Zane thinks Peña will win the belt and set up a fight with Kayla Harrison.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 60 of 154 | 38% | 130 of 239 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 85 of 152 | 55% | 126 of 201 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 11:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 25 of 47 | 53% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 31 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 24 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 33 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 16 of 20 | 80% | 34 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 20 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 60 of 154 | 38% | 54 of 144 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 59 of 151 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 85 of 152 | 55% | 67 of 128 | 10 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 57 of 117 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 51 | 41% | 20 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 25 of 47 | 53% | 17 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 25 of 66 | 37% | 21 of 59 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 19 of 48 | 39% | 13 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 6 of 21 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 14 of 23 | 60% | 12 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 9 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 16 of 20 | 80% | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 11 of 14 | 78% | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is better everywhere and that the first fight was a one-off due to injury or motivation issues. He expects Nunes to finish early, but if it extends, he has concerns about her cardio. He is not betting this fight.
Cody believes Peña is the right pick because she already exposed Nunes' cardio and quit rate. He notes Nunes has suspect cardio, has shown red flags in fights against Germaine de Randamie and Felicia Spencer, and may be unmotivated after becoming a multi-millionaire and mother. He also points out that Peña is durable, pressures well, and the odds (+245) are too juicy to pass up given she just choked Nunes out. He expects Peña to win again, possibly taking a bit longer this time.
Daniel argues that Julianna Peña's ability to stand up to the bully and absorb Nunes' power is the key factor. He notes that Peña's iron jaw and willpower broke Nunes mentally in the first fight, causing her to tap to a choke that wasn't locked in. He believes Nunes has a history of struggling when opponents don't back down, citing the Cat Zingano fight and the Valentina Shevchenko fights. He acknowledges Nunes could win via calf kicks or a submission, but he trusts Peña's heart and durability. He also points out that long-reigning champions rarely regain their belt in immediate rematches, citing a 11-2 record for the new champion.
Preet leans Nunes to win but won't lay -260; instead he likes the over 2.5 rounds at +100. He expects a more cautious, methodical fight that goes into the later rounds, noting that rematches of first-round finishes often go the distance. He thinks Nunes will be more disciplined and use leg kicks and combinations, but Peña's durability and pressure could extend the fight.
Paul picks Peña as well, citing the narrative that Nunes emptied her tank early in the first fight and quit. He thinks Nunes can win a striking match if she paces herself, but he's terrified to bet the fight. He notes that Peña is super durable and that the odds (+245) are attractive. He compares it to Ronda Rousey's loss to Holly Holm, where people still believed in Rousey, but here Peña already beat Nunes.
The MMA Guru predicts Julianna Peña wins by submission (rear-naked choke) in round four. He expects Nunes to win the first two rounds with takedowns and jabs, but Peña will threaten submissions throughout. In round four, Peña times a takedown, passes to half guard, takes the back, and chokes Nunes out.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 46 of 99 | 46% | 58 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 135 | 58% | 90 of 147 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 36 of 85 | 42% | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 74 of 115 | 64% | 74 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 46 of 99 | 46% | 36 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 44 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 135 | 58% | 69 of 122 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 78 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 10 of 14 | 71% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 36 of 85 | 42% | 32 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Nunes | 74 of 115 | 64% | 64 of 103 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 73 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is very confident in Amanda Nunes winning early, likely by first-round submission. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and has advantages everywhere: striking, grappling, and cardio. Peña has poor takedown defense (23%) and was submitted by GDR, which is concerning. Nunes can finish by knockout or submission, and Brady expects a quick finish.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Peña's striking is sloppy and she has been submitted in two of her last four fights. Levi believes Nunes will establish her jab and calf kicks, and when Peña shoots a sloppy takedown, Nunes will sprawl and lock in a d'arce or anaconda choke. He thinks Peña's trash talk will motivate Nunes to make a statement.
Nunes is the far superior fighter and should win, but the method is uncertain. Peña will try to grapple, which could slow the fight and push it past 1.5 rounds. Nunes has KO power, but Peña's durability and grappling could extend the fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a lean, but Nunes inside the distance is the most likely outcome.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round TKO, dismissing Julianna Peña's chances. He criticizes Peña's striking technique and notes she was submitted by a standing guillotine against Jermaine de Randamie. He believes Nunes is on a different level in strength and skill.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 38 of 76 | 50% | 140 of 192 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:55 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 28 of 63 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 37 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 15 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 70 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 20 of 27 | 74% | 33 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 38 of 76 | 50% | 27 of 65 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 57 | 10 of 10 | 8 of 9 |
| Sara McMann | 21 of 54 | 38% | 10 of 39 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 12 of 30 | 40% | 7 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 13 of 29 | 44% | 7 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 3 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 20 of 27 | 74% | 15 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 9 |
| Sara McMann | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sara McMann by decision, citing her wrestling advantage and Peña's poor takedown defense (28%). He notes McMann lands 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes with 60% accuracy. He expects McMann to control Peña on the ground for at least two rounds. He is not confident enough to bet but leans towards McMann.
Daniel Levi picks Sara McMann, highlighting her superior wrestling and power. He criticizes Julianna Peña's poor takedown defense (28%) and lack of submissions. Levi believes McMann can dominate with top control and avoid Peña's comeback attempts, as long as she stays focused for 15 minutes.
McMann is the better wrestler and should be able to get takedowns and control Peña on the ground. Peña has poor takedown defense and her jiu-jitsu off her back is not great. However, McMann is 40 years old and has cardio issues, which is a concern. I think McMann grinds out a decision, but I'm not confident enough to bet on her.
The MMA Guru picks Sara McMann to win by controlling Peña on the ground with top control. He criticizes Peña's submission game, noting she hasn't submitted anyone of note and has been submitted herself. He believes McMann's wrestling and top control will be effective, especially since women's fights are not stood up quickly. He predicts a 30-27 decision via ground control.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 57 of 119 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 27 of 91 | 29% | 58 of 125 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 20 of 58 | 34% | 23 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 8 of 43 | 18% | 12 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 15 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 16 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 37 of 91 | 40% | 32 of 86 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 84 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Julianna Peña | 27 of 91 | 29% | 19 of 79 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 20 of 58 | 34% | 18 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 8 of 43 | 18% | 7 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Julianna Peña | 11 of 23 | 47% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady leans towards Germaine de Randamie to win by decision. He notes the striking discrepancy favors de Randamie, and while Peña's path is takedowns, he thinks de Randamie can stop them. He is worried about cage control but expects the fight to stay on the feet.
Daniel picks de Randamie, emphasizing the massive striking gap and Peña's ugly stand-up. He believes de Randamie will clip Peña coming in and possibly knock her out, similar to the Aspen Ladd fight. He acknowledges concern if Peña gets on top but thinks de Randamie's takedown defense has improved and she will pull the trigger.
The host picks Peña as the underdog, believing her wrestling and trip takedowns will be effective against de Randamie's takedown defense. He notes that de Randamie has struggled against grapplers like Nunes and that Peña's style is similar. He predicts a decision win for Peña and thinks the line should be closer to -120.
The Guru picks Germaine de Randamie, believing she can survive on the ground and will keep the fight standing to beat Peña with leg kicks and eventually finish by TKO. He notes Peña couldn't submit Nico Montano and thinks de Randamie is too big and dangerous.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 45 of 90 | 50% | 108 of 158 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 |
| Nicco Montaño | 0 | 38 of 79 | 48% | 59 of 103 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nicco Montaño | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 25 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 42 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Nicco Montaño | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 17 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 52 of 78 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Nicco Montaño | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 17 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 45 of 90 | 50% | 32 of 73 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 21 of 64 | 8 of 9 | 16 of 17 |
| Nicco Montaño | 38 of 79 | 48% | 13 of 50 | 10 of 10 | 15 of 19 | 26 of 57 | 6 of 11 | 6 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 9 of 19 | 47% | 4 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Nicco Montaño | 11 of 25 | 44% | 5 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 6 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 16 of 27 | 59% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 14 |
| Nicco Montaño | 13 of 22 | 59% | 3 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 5 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 20 of 44 | 45% | 15 of 38 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Nicco Montaño | 14 of 32 | 43% | 5 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 46 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 27 of 35 | 77% | 78 of 99 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 6:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 25 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 20 of 24 | 83% | 46 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 21 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 32 of 46 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 13 of 17 | 76% | 5 of 9 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 5 of 6 |
| Julianna Peña | 27 of 35 | 77% | 2 of 5 | 22 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 25 of 30 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 8 of 12 | 66% | 5 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Julianna Peña | 20 of 24 | 83% | 0 of 0 | 17 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 24 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 7 of 11 | 63% | 2 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
Amanda Nunes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 142 of 267 | 53% | 196 of 323 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 7:00 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 41 of 143 | 28% | 57 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 21 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 31 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 11 of 38 | 28% | 11 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 25 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 48 of 77 | 62% | 49 of 78 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 13 of 48 | 27% | 13 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 70 of 79 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 142 of 267 | 53% | 97 of 198 | 28 of 49 | 17 of 20 | 115 of 234 | 5 of 8 | 22 of 25 |
| Irene Aldana | 41 of 143 | 28% | 25 of 118 | 3 of 7 | 13 of 18 | 36 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 56 | 37% | 9 of 35 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 8 of 31 | 25% | 5 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 31 of 61 | 50% | 16 of 40 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 10 | 30 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 11 of 38 | 28% | 4 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 | 11 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 23 of 47 | 48% | 20 of 40 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 |
| Irene Aldana | 8 of 22 | 36% | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 48 of 77 | 62% | 36 of 61 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 45 of 71 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 13 of 48 | 27% | 9 of 41 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 43 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 19 of 26 | 73% | 16 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Irene Aldana | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Amanda Nunes but expresses hesitation. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and should win, but questions her motivation due to her age, wealth, and new family. He thinks she may need to rely on wrestling, and hopes she is in shape. He acknowledges Irene Aldana's technical boxing and takedown defense, but believes Nunes' power and wrestling will prevail.
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is the far superior fighter and that Aldana's wins are against lower-level competition. Aldana struggled with Macy Chiasson and had her back taken. Even if Nunes is not fully motivated, she should dominate. He advises against betting Nunes due to the high price and potential motivation issues, but still picks her to finish early.
Cody picks Amanda Nunes, citing her wrestling game plan as the key. He notes that Holly Holm and Macy Chiasson both took Aldana down multiple times, and if Nunes sticks to that approach, it should be easy work. He acknowledges Aldana's boxing and lateral movement but believes Nunes's takedowns will neutralize her. He also mentions that Nunes's motivation and conditioning looked career-best in the Peña rematch.
Connor believes Nunes will win due to her athletic advantage and wrestling. He notes that Aldana is easy to take down and has a bad habit of pulling guard, similar to Dern. He expects Nunes to use her wrestling to control the fight, as she did against de Randamie.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes, citing that all film and stats point to Nunes having Aldana covered in every part of the game. He notes that the line is driven down by the first Pena fight, but Nunes dominated the rematch. He acknowledges Aldana's power and cleaner hands than Pena, but believes Nunes is the better fighter with more ways to win, including superior wrestling, Jiu-Jitsu, striking, and power. He sees the grappling gap as 10 worlds apart and expects Nunes to finish the fight.
James picks Amanda Nunes to win but is hesitant due to volatility. He notes Nunes is 35, talking about retirement, and had an off night against Pena. He thinks if Nunes is focused, she submits Aldana within three rounds. Aldana is a good boxer but weak elsewhere. James prefers not to bet the moneyline at -350, suggesting props instead. He predicts Nunes finishes in round four or five.
Nunes has a clear grappling advantage and should take Aldana down repeatedly. Aldana's best chance is a knockout on the feet, but Nunes will likely close the distance and control the fight on the mat. The over 2.5 rounds is likely as Aldana is tough off her back. Nunes by decision is the most probable outcome, though the moneyline is accurate.
Paul picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging the line already factors in her inconsistency. He notes that Nunes has a minus-500 skill set but the line is discounted due to her personal life and past performances. He highlights that Aldana doesn't have big KO power, so if Nunes closes distance and gets takedowns, she should dominate. He suggests hedging by betting Nunes and then taking Aldana live after a couple rounds if Nunes fades.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging Aldana's KO power but citing a skill gap. He notes Aldana was schooled by Holly Holm and struggled against Macy Chiasson, while Nunes is a different level. He predicts Nunes will mix in takedowns and finish Aldana via standing TKO in the second round after some back-and-forth on the feet.
Zane agrees with Connor that Nunes will win. He emphasizes that Aldana's wrestling is a huge problem, as she gave up three takedowns to Macy Chiasson. He notes that Nunes is not a great wrestler but Aldana is worse, and her instinct to pull guard will be exploited.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 60 of 154 | 38% | 130 of 239 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 85 of 152 | 55% | 126 of 201 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 11:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 25 of 47 | 53% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 31 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 24 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 33 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 16 of 20 | 80% | 34 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 20 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 60 of 154 | 38% | 54 of 144 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 59 of 151 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 85 of 152 | 55% | 67 of 128 | 10 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 57 of 117 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 51 | 41% | 20 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 25 of 47 | 53% | 17 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 25 of 66 | 37% | 21 of 59 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 19 of 48 | 39% | 13 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 6 of 21 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 14 of 23 | 60% | 12 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 9 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 16 of 20 | 80% | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 11 of 14 | 78% | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is better everywhere and that the first fight was a one-off due to injury or motivation issues. He expects Nunes to finish early, but if it extends, he has concerns about her cardio. He is not betting this fight.
Cody believes Peña is the right pick because she already exposed Nunes' cardio and quit rate. He notes Nunes has suspect cardio, has shown red flags in fights against Germaine de Randamie and Felicia Spencer, and may be unmotivated after becoming a multi-millionaire and mother. He also points out that Peña is durable, pressures well, and the odds (+245) are too juicy to pass up given she just choked Nunes out. He expects Peña to win again, possibly taking a bit longer this time.
Daniel argues that Julianna Peña's ability to stand up to the bully and absorb Nunes' power is the key factor. He notes that Peña's iron jaw and willpower broke Nunes mentally in the first fight, causing her to tap to a choke that wasn't locked in. He believes Nunes has a history of struggling when opponents don't back down, citing the Cat Zingano fight and the Valentina Shevchenko fights. He acknowledges Nunes could win via calf kicks or a submission, but he trusts Peña's heart and durability. He also points out that long-reigning champions rarely regain their belt in immediate rematches, citing a 11-2 record for the new champion.
Preet leans Nunes to win but won't lay -260; instead he likes the over 2.5 rounds at +100. He expects a more cautious, methodical fight that goes into the later rounds, noting that rematches of first-round finishes often go the distance. He thinks Nunes will be more disciplined and use leg kicks and combinations, but Peña's durability and pressure could extend the fight.
Paul picks Peña as well, citing the narrative that Nunes emptied her tank early in the first fight and quit. He thinks Nunes can win a striking match if she paces herself, but he's terrified to bet the fight. He notes that Peña is super durable and that the odds (+245) are attractive. He compares it to Ronda Rousey's loss to Holly Holm, where people still believed in Rousey, but here Peña already beat Nunes.
The MMA Guru predicts Julianna Peña wins by submission (rear-naked choke) in round four. He expects Nunes to win the first two rounds with takedowns and jabs, but Peña will threaten submissions throughout. In round four, Peña times a takedown, passes to half guard, takes the back, and chokes Nunes out.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 46 of 99 | 46% | 58 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 135 | 58% | 90 of 147 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 36 of 85 | 42% | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 74 of 115 | 64% | 74 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 46 of 99 | 46% | 36 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 44 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 135 | 58% | 69 of 122 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 78 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 10 of 14 | 71% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 36 of 85 | 42% | 32 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Nunes | 74 of 115 | 64% | 64 of 103 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 73 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is very confident in Amanda Nunes winning early, likely by first-round submission. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and has advantages everywhere: striking, grappling, and cardio. Peña has poor takedown defense (23%) and was submitted by GDR, which is concerning. Nunes can finish by knockout or submission, and Brady expects a quick finish.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Peña's striking is sloppy and she has been submitted in two of her last four fights. Levi believes Nunes will establish her jab and calf kicks, and when Peña shoots a sloppy takedown, Nunes will sprawl and lock in a d'arce or anaconda choke. He thinks Peña's trash talk will motivate Nunes to make a statement.
Nunes is the far superior fighter and should win, but the method is uncertain. Peña will try to grapple, which could slow the fight and push it past 1.5 rounds. Nunes has KO power, but Peña's durability and grappling could extend the fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a lean, but Nunes inside the distance is the most likely outcome.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round TKO, dismissing Julianna Peña's chances. He criticizes Peña's striking technique and notes she was submitted by a standing guillotine against Jermaine de Randamie. He believes Nunes is on a different level in strength and skill.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Megan Anderson | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Megan Anderson | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 18 of 25 | 72% | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
| Megan Anderson | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 18 of 25 | 72% | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
| Megan Anderson | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes confidently, citing her massive advantages in striking volume, takedown ability, and competition level. He notes Anderson's poor striking defense (38%) and takedown defense (53%). He predicts a first-round submission, but passes on betting the moneyline due to the high price.
Daniel picks Amanda Nunes, stating she is on a completely different level than Megan Anderson. He notes Anderson's weakness on the mat and suggests looking at the under for betting, expecting an early stoppage.
Nunes is the greatest female fighter ever and should dominate everywhere. Anderson's only chance is a lucky KO, but Nunes's takedowns and ground game are too much. The host predicts a submission in the second round and recommends the under 2.5 rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win, likely by decision. He dismisses Megan Anderson's competition and notes Nunes has improved her grappling, taking down top opponents. He believes Nunes will take Anderson down and outgrapple her, as Anderson was ragdolled by Holly Holm and Felicia Spencer.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 124 of 214 | 57% | 132 of 222 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 | 0 | 8:01 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 42 of 130 | 32% | 70 of 161 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 34 | 61% | 24 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 24 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 12 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 29 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 10 of 46 | 21% | 11 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 34 of 59 | 57% | 35 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 17 of 25 | 68% | 20 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 24 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 124 of 214 | 57% | 90 of 170 | 13 of 20 | 21 of 24 | 91 of 173 | 1 of 1 | 32 of 40 |
| Felicia Spencer | 42 of 130 | 32% | 24 of 106 | 7 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 36 of 118 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 34 | 61% | 14 of 26 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 15 |
| Felicia Spencer | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 23 of 39 | 58% | 17 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Felicia Spencer | 11 of 26 | 42% | 5 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 29 of 57 | 50% | 21 of 44 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 10 of 46 | 21% | 6 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 42 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 34 of 59 | 57% | 24 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Felicia Spencer | 13 of 37 | 35% | 8 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 17 of 25 | 68% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 13 |
| Felicia Spencer | 6 of 13 | 46% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady confidently picks Amanda Nunes by third-round knockout, believing her striking and power will overwhelm Spencer. He notes Spencer's striking is poor and she is overrated for lasting with Cyborg. He expects Nunes to finish early, though he acknowledges Spencer's toughness and top game could be a concern if it goes late. He sees no reason to pick against the GOAT.
Daniel sees a complete mismatch on the feet, with Nunes' striking far superior. He notes that people overlook Nunes' black belt, but she submitted Miesha Tate and has serious grappling credentials. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to Nunes vs Rousey, and dismisses Spencer's path to victory via grappling because Nunes is also a black belt.
Amanda Nunes is the women's GOAT with power and a black belt in jiu-jitsu. Felicia Spencer is tough and has a grappling-heavy approach, but Nunes should be able to stuff takedowns and win on the feet. However, Spencer's durability and clinch game could make it a long fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a better bet than Nunes straight at -600.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes over Felicia Spencer. He dismisses Spencer's wins as coming against weak competition in a shallow women's featherweight division. He believes Nunes has too much power and skill on the feet, and that Spencer's only chance is to push Nunes against the cage, which he doubts she can do. He expects Nunes to dominate and win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 184 | 42% | 199 of 337 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 18:29 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 40 of 73 | 54% | 126 of 175 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 42 of 87 | 48% | 43 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 33 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 29 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 47 of 80 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:21 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 22 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 28 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 54 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:46 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 30 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 184 | 42% | 63 of 162 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 15 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 62 of 135 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 40 of 73 | 54% | 19 of 48 | 11 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 19 of 42 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 42 of 87 | 48% | 38 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 70 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 11 of 23 | 47% | 2 of 11 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 10 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 9 of 26 | 34% | 4 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 16 of 30 | 53% | 10 of 24 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 16 of 44 | 36% | 13 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 36 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 8 of 10 | 80% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 19 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Holly Holm | 11 of 14 | 78% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Holly Holm | 11 of 14 | 78% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cristiane Justino | 2 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cristiane Justino | 2 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 3 of 15 | 20% | 1 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristiane Justino | 13 of 21 | 61% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 3 of 15 | 20% | 1 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristiane Justino | 13 of 21 | 61% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady is very confident in Amanda Nunes winning early, likely by first-round submission. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and has advantages everywhere: striking, grappling, and cardio. Peña has poor takedown defense (23%) and was submitted by GDR, which is concerning. Nunes can finish by knockout or submission, and Brady expects a quick finish.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Peña's striking is sloppy and she has been submitted in two of her last four fights. Levi believes Nunes will establish her jab and calf kicks, and when Peña shoots a sloppy takedown, Nunes will sprawl and lock in a d'arce or anaconda choke. He thinks Peña's trash talk will motivate Nunes to make a statement.
Nunes is the far superior fighter and should win, but the method is uncertain. Peña will try to grapple, which could slow the fight and push it past 1.5 rounds. Nunes has KO power, but Peña's durability and grappling could extend the fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a lean, but Nunes inside the distance is the most likely outcome.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round TKO, dismissing Julianna Peña's chances. He criticizes Peña's striking technique and notes she was submitted by a standing guillotine against Jermaine de Randamie. He believes Nunes is on a different level in strength and skill.
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