UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
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Age 27
Height 5' 4"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 28
Height 5' 3"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Erin Blanchfield
5.24 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
4.25 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
1.96 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
78.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Miranda Maverick
3.22 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
2.25 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
2.16 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
45.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Erin Blanchfield
Moneyline
DraftKings +130
KO/TKO
DraftKings +900
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
FanDuel +195
Miranda Maverick
Moneyline
BetRivers -137
KO/TKO
DraftKings +900
Submission
BetMGM +900
Decision
FanDuel +135
Erin Blanchfield - Fight History
WIN vs Tracy Cortez
Submission R2 4:44 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 52 of 116 44% 65 of 134 2 of 3 66% 1 1 2:43
Tracy Cortez 0 46 of 104 44% 50 of 108 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 43 of 92 46% 43 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tracy Cortez 0 32 of 76 42% 33 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 9 of 24 37% 22 of 42 2 of 3 66% 1 1 2:43
Tracy Cortez 0 14 of 28 50% 17 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 52 of 116 44% 38 of 100 6 of 8 8 of 8 51 of 115 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 46 of 104 44% 35 of 88 7 of 12 4 of 4 45 of 100 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 43 of 92 46% 32 of 80 5 of 6 6 of 6 42 of 91 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 32 of 76 42% 25 of 64 4 of 9 3 of 3 31 of 72 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 9 of 24 37% 6 of 20 1 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tracy Cortez 14 of 28 50% 10 of 24 3 of 3 1 of 1 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo picks Erin Blanchfield despite considering Tracy Cortez's wrestling. He values Blanchfield's relentless pressure and scrambling ability. He notes Cortez is often at events and may not be training enough. He suggests over 2.5 rounds and a plus 3.5 bet on Cortez as possibilities.

over 2.5 rounds, plus 3.5 on Cortez
"I'm going to pick Aaron Blanchfield. Tracy could absolutely get the takedowns here and work... Over two and a half is probably solid."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady leans Erin Blanchfield, believing her grappling advantage will be decisive. He notes Tracy Cortez has only 62% takedown defense and has been taken down multiple times by Rose Namajunas and others. Brady thinks Blanchfield's top control and submission skills are superior once the fight hits the ground, and predicts a decision win. He acknowledges the line is wide and a case can be made for Cortez.

decision
"I'm going to lean Blanchfield to get the done get it done by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield, noting that she has improved significantly since their first fight six years ago, especially her striking. He points out that Cortez has not evolved and has been inactive. Cody believes Blanchfield's wrestling and pressure will be too much, and she will win by decision. He also mentions that Blanchfield is younger and more motivated.

Blanchfield by decision
"Blanchfield's likely to take her down and give her all types of problems. And if she doesn't take her down, she's going to come forward, she's going to throw punches, she's going to try to outwork her."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Connor also leans toward Cortez, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Cortez is an inch taller than Blanchfield, which is surprising, and that Blanchfield's aggressive style may lead to her giving things away. He thinks Cortez can win out scrambles and that Blanchfield's one-size-fits-all approach may not work.

Odds: Cortez opened +190, currently +200.
"I'm going to go Cortez with you."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel sees Blanchfield as the more evolved fighter since their first fight, with relentless pressure and a never-quit attitude. He notes that Cortez struggles when she is the nail, while Blanchfield has shown she can overcome adversity. He expects Blanchfield to avenge her loss and continue her rise.

"I'm still going to come out here and pick Aaron Blanchfield to win the rematch and avenge the loss against Tracy Cortez."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Lucrative James picks Erin Blanchfield to win, citing her superior grappling and submission skills. He believes Cortez will engage in wrestling, which plays into Blanchfield's strengths, as she is a better MMA grappler and dangerous from top position. He notes Blanchfield's ability to submit opponents from any position, as seen in her previous win over Cortez. He expects Blanchfield to win via submission or dominant decision.

"I'm going to pick Aaron Blanchfield to get the win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Blanchfield lands bigger shots on the feet and eventually lands takedowns for control and BJJ superiority. Cortez may be the better wrestler on paper, but Blanchfield gets her hand raised on the scorecards.

"I expect Blanchfield to get her hand raised as I think she'll be able to land bigger shots on the feet and eventually land those takedowns where she can get some good control and utilize her BJJ superiority."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing that Blanchfield's striking has improved the most. He notes that Cortez's takedown defense is not great and that Blanchfield will likely control the fight. Paul also mentions that Blanchfield has a home-field advantage and that the fight will likely go to decision. He likes the over 2.5 rounds prop.

over 2.5 rounds
"Blanchfield by decision minus 133 is not horrible."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The Guru picks Erin Blanchfield to win by 29-28 decision. He believes Blanchfield's grappling and physicality will be decisive, though she may lose the first round. He criticizes Cortez's focus on appearance (fake eyelashes) and notes Blanchfield's win over Rose Namajunas as a better benchmark. Blanchfield should mix in takedowns and control later rounds.

"I'm gonna go with Blanchfield getting this one done. I'm going to say that Blanchfield wins this by 2928 decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Zane leans toward Cortez, noting that Cortez has a win over Blanchfield and is a very good scrambler and grappler. He thinks Blanchfield's aggressive style might play into Cortez's hands, as Cortez is comfortable in scrambles. However, he admits it's hard to get a grip on Cortez and that she is still developing.

Odds: Cortez opened +190, currently +200. Blanchfield opened -225, currently -235.
"I'm leaning Cortez."
CANCEL vs Maycee Barber
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo picks Erin Blanchfield, expecting her to move forward, absorb strikes, and get the fight to the ground where she can dominate. He notes that Maycee Barber's takedown defense is midlevel (53%) and that Blanchfield is tough and relentless. He predicts a decision win for Blanchfield, though she may have close calls.

Expects a decision win.
"Aaron Blanchfield is going to be the pick. The round line is going to be interesting here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her superior grappling and Barber's poor takedown defense (50%). He notes that Barber has been taken down by lesser fighters like Roxanne Modafferi and Andrea Lee. He believes Blanchfield will have no trouble taking Barber down and controlling her on the ground, leading to a decision win.

by decision
"I'll go Blanchfield. I think Blanchfield probably wins by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

Connor picks Barber based on a gut feeling that Barber is the kind of fighter who does not wilt under pressure, unlike the opponents Blanchfield has thrived against. He argues that Blanchfield's entire style relies on breaking opponents' spirits, but Barber's confidence and aggression make her unlikely to fade. Connor also notes that Barber's improved striking and ability to adjust could allow her to win exchanges on the feet, and that Blanchfield's grappling opportunities may be limited if Barber can get back to her feet.

"I just have a gut feeling that Barbara is one of those fighters who does not play along. In the way that Blanchfield's very broad strokes kind of style benefits from Blanchfield wants you to wither. It's the whole basis …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Matt picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield's wrestling and top pressure will be the difference, as Barber lacks the footwork and movement of Manon Fiorot to keep Blanchfield at bay. Blanchfield should get takedowns and grind out a decision, though submission props are also intriguing.

Blanchfield by decision +100, Blanchfield by submission +450, Barber by KO +550, round 3 sub +2400, round 4 sub +3000, round 5 sub +3600
"I am leaning the Blanchfield way."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield by decision, citing her pressure and takedowns. He notes Andrea Lee took Barber down five times, and Blanchfield is better. He believes the Apex benefits Blanchfield and that Barber's movement won't be as effective. He predicts a competitive five-rounder with Blanchfield winning via grappling.

PrizePicks: Maycee Barber over 78.5 significant strikes; decision win
"I'm gonna go with Aaron Blanchfield... I think this is going to be a five rounder... Erin Blanchfield gets this one done against Macy Barber by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Zane picks Blanchfield because he believes Barber's clinch-heavy style will give Blanchfield too many opportunities to take the fight to the ground, where Blanchfield's exceptional top control is a major advantage. He notes that Barber has improved her striking and adjustments, but her tendency to explode into the clinch plays into Blanchfield's strengths. Zane also points out that Blanchfield's pressure and volume could overwhelm Barber, though he acknowledges Barber's durability and confidence.

"I have to take Blanchfield here. I just think that if Barbara, if the core function of Barbara has become a better rain tracker, but if the core functionality of her game remains her ability to bully people in the …"
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 110 of 281 39% 193 of 387 2 of 8 25% 0 0 8:54
Rose Namajunas 0 94 of 245 38% 101 of 254 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 19 of 68 27% 19 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rose Namajunas 0 30 of 61 49% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 67 37% 28 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Rose Namajunas 0 23 of 65 35% 26 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
3 Erin Blanchfield 0 11 of 28 39% 48 of 82 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:38
Rose Namajunas 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Erin Blanchfield 0 40 of 93 43% 43 of 97 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:53
Rose Namajunas 0 25 of 79 31% 25 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
5 Erin Blanchfield 0 15 of 25 60% 55 of 70 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:08
Rose Namajunas 0 7 of 19 36% 10 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 110 of 281 39% 81 of 248 15 of 16 14 of 17 103 of 269 2 of 6 5 of 6
Rose Namajunas 94 of 245 38% 68 of 212 18 of 24 8 of 9 91 of 241 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 19 of 68 27% 11 of 58 3 of 4 5 of 6 19 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rose Namajunas 30 of 61 49% 22 of 52 2 of 3 6 of 6 30 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 25 of 67 37% 21 of 61 2 of 2 2 of 4 25 of 65 0 of 2 0 of 0
Rose Namajunas 23 of 65 35% 17 of 58 5 of 5 1 of 2 22 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Erin Blanchfield 11 of 28 39% 7 of 24 2 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 24 0 of 2 1 of 2
Rose Namajunas 9 of 21 42% 7 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0
4 Erin Blanchfield 40 of 93 43% 29 of 82 6 of 6 5 of 5 40 of 93 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rose Namajunas 25 of 79 31% 16 of 67 8 of 11 1 of 1 25 of 78 0 of 1 0 of 0
5 Erin Blanchfield 15 of 25 60% 13 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 19 2 of 2 4 of 4
Rose Namajunas 7 of 19 36% 6 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas confidently, calling her an all-time great and a better striker than Erin Blanchfield. He notes Blanchfield's inability to get takedowns was exposed against Manon Fiorot, and without that, she is stuck in a striking match with a superior striker. He thinks five rounds help Rose, as she can afford to lose a round if taken down. He placed a half unit bet on Rose at plus 100 (even money).

half unit on Rose Namajunas at +100
"Rose should absolutely win this fight five rounds only helps Rose because if she does get taken down in a round and gives one up she's got four more to cover the distance she's not only the pick but she …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas to win by decision. He questions Erin Blanchfield's wrestling, noting her low takedown accuracy (33%) and failure to take down opponents like Fiorot and Santos. He believes on the feet, Rose is clearly superior, and even if taken down, Rose's scrambling is good. Brady likes the plus money and thinks the big cage favors Rose.

plus money
"at plus money I'm going to I'm going to take the dog here and and Rose nunas I think it's going to be a very close fight... I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Cody picks Rose Namajunas as an underdog, arguing that Blanchfield's takedown struggles against Manon Fiorot (0 for 3) and Taila Santos (0 for 14) show she can't reliably take down elite grapplers. He believes Rose's striking, footwork, and takedown defense will keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes Rose's experience in five-round fights and her ability to mix in takedowns herself.

"I do kind of feel like maybe the plus money on Rose Nom units is a little more warranted so I'm going to go with that and I'm going to take RADS."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Vreeland picks Erin Blanchfield to win, arguing that the line is influenced by recency bias from Blanchfield's loss to Manon Fiorot. He points out that Rose Namajunas has poor takedown defense (under 60%) compared to Fiorot's 93%, and that Blanchfield's grappling is a different level—she can take the back and submit opponents. Vreeland expects Blanchfield to pressure Namajunas, get takedowns, and potentially finish via ground-and-pound or submission.

"I'm going Aaron blanchfield to get back on track regain her hype"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Lucrative James picks Erin Blanchfield to win inside the distance, emphasizing her grappling advantage. He notes Rose has been taken down in recent fights and that Blanchfield's wrestling will be decisive. He believes Rose has lost some athleticism and that Blanchfield can finish via submission, likely a rear-naked choke.

wins inside the distance
"I'm taking Aaron blanchfield in this one and I actually think she gets it done inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements, and that will get her a victory over Blanchfield. She will win at least three of the five rounds by out-pointing and out-damaging Blanchfield, winning on the scorecards and positioning herself for a title shot.

"Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements and I believe that will get her a victory here over Blanchfield look for Namajunas to win at least three of the five rounds here by out pointing and out damaging Blanchfield and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Paul sides with Rose but is less confident, expecting a close split decision. He notes that Blanchfield's path to victory is through takedowns, but Rose has shown improved takedown defense and can win on the feet. He mentions the common opponent Jessica Andrade, where Rose won by decision and Blanchfield by submission, but sees the fight as competitive. He plans to bet the split decision prop rather than the moneyline.

split decision prop
"I expect the fight to be incredibly close on the feet on the mat and I'm going to side with rose but I don't plan on betting this but yeah I'll be looking for the split decision prop."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Erin Blanchfield, calling Blanchfield overrated. He praises Namajunas's technical skills, scrambles, and wrestling reactions. He notes Blanchfield's poor performance against Manon Fiorot and believes Namajunas will win as an underdog.

"I'm going to go Rose wellt Tred fighter I don't think she's like man on fioro level but she took it to man on fioro and she broke her hand in that fight"
LOSS vs Manon Fiorot
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manon Fiorot 0 130 of 386 33% 135 of 394 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:48
Erin Blanchfield 0 172 of 359 47% 181 of 369 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manon Fiorot 0 21 of 58 36% 22 of 60 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:27
Erin Blanchfield 0 28 of 57 49% 30 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
2 Manon Fiorot 0 21 of 77 27% 22 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Erin Blanchfield 0 27 of 61 44% 27 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Manon Fiorot 0 24 of 68 35% 24 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Erin Blanchfield 0 29 of 70 41% 29 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
4 Manon Fiorot 0 37 of 98 37% 38 of 99 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Erin Blanchfield 0 46 of 85 54% 47 of 86 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
5 Manon Fiorot 0 27 of 85 31% 29 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Erin Blanchfield 0 42 of 86 48% 48 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manon Fiorot 130 of 386 33% 80 of 318 25 of 40 25 of 28 124 of 371 6 of 15 0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield 172 of 359 47% 143 of 321 18 of 25 11 of 13 167 of 346 5 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manon Fiorot 21 of 58 36% 14 of 48 3 of 6 4 of 4 21 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield 28 of 57 49% 25 of 52 2 of 2 1 of 3 25 of 53 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Manon Fiorot 21 of 77 27% 11 of 64 6 of 8 4 of 5 19 of 70 2 of 7 0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield 27 of 61 44% 18 of 50 6 of 8 3 of 3 26 of 57 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Manon Fiorot 24 of 68 35% 15 of 52 6 of 11 3 of 5 21 of 65 3 of 3 0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield 29 of 70 41% 24 of 64 3 of 4 2 of 2 29 of 68 0 of 2 0 of 0
4 Manon Fiorot 37 of 98 37% 22 of 81 8 of 10 7 of 7 37 of 97 0 of 1 0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield 46 of 85 54% 40 of 78 3 of 4 3 of 3 46 of 83 0 of 2 0 of 0
5 Manon Fiorot 27 of 85 31% 18 of 73 2 of 5 7 of 7 26 of 84 1 of 1 0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield 42 of 86 48% 36 of 77 4 of 7 2 of 2 41 of 85 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Blanchfield (-192), Fiorot (+160)

Round 1
A possible shot at the flyweight title is on the line here as Blanchfield and Fiorot bring their dueling six-fight Octagon winning streaks into the “UFC Atlantic City” main event. Drawing the final referee assignment of the evening is Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro. Fiorot is southpaw, Blanchfield orthodox. Fiorot sticks out the jab early. Blanchfield throws a body kick, but takes a lefty counter upstairs. Fiorot changes levels, hoists Blanchfield into the air and slams her to the canvas. Blanchfield grabs a guillotine and it’s tight. Fiorot tries to get out of Blanchfield’s guard and to safety, and Blanchfield gets to her feet, still holding the choke. They fight out the position against the cage, Fiorot fighting the hands as Blanchfield tries to tighten the choke. Blanchfield finally gives up on the submission and they split and reset in the middle of the cage. Fiorot works with the jab again, keeping the shorter woman on the outside. Blanchfield throws a high kick that glances off the chest and arms of Fiorot. Blanchfield backs Fiorot up to the fence with a string of punches, then grabs a body lock and tries to take her down. She can’t get the takedown, and eats a sharp right hand on the break. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
Blanchfield bounces into range, trying to get past Fiorot’s jab, but Fiorot is wise to it. Blanchfield throws a body kick that glances off the arms. Blanchfield steps in and uses a body lock and trip to take Fiorot down. She succeeds, but Fiorot uses muscle and balance to sweep her and land on top, then stands and makes Blanchfield follow. Fiorot lands a karate-style side kick to the lead leg of Blanchfield, stopping her forward progress. Blanchfield steps in and grabs another body lock, and again Fiorot just kind of muscles her away. Fiorot steps inside a punch to clinch, then throws a knee as they separate. Blanchfield is relentless in her forward movement, but Fiorot is doing a brilliant job so far of using jabs and low kicks to keep her outside, or collapsing the distance and clinching when she gets in. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
Blanchfield swings her way into the pocket and lands a couple of punches. Fiorot makes some space between them and meets Blanchfield’s next entry with a downward low kick. Blanchfield shoves into the clinch, and Fiorot simply tosses her by, throwing her toward the fence. Blanchfield draws a jab out of Fiorot and counters with a nice straight. Blanchfield is finding some success landing her right hand over Fiorot’s left. Blanchfield charges in, and once again Fiorot just kind of flings her on her way. Blanchfield spins down to one knee before turning to re-engage. Blanchfield is bleeding from a small cut outside her left eye, though the blood is thankfully not running into the eye. Blanchfield clinches, and while Fiorot shucks her off, Blanchfield connects with a nice short right on the way out. Under a minute to go, and the Atlantic City crowd is audibly restive. Fiorot meets a Blanchfield charge with a hard knee up the middle. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 4
The main event rounds open with Blanchfield again coming forward aggressively, swinging hooks with both hands. Again, Fiorot meets her calmly with the jab and leg kick. Blanchfield, perhaps knowing that she needs to do something big, throws caution to the wind, charging into the pocket and swinging away. Fiorot gives ground, her composure momentarily shaken, and Blanchfield lands a couple of solid punches. They clinch and Fiorot grabs a body lock, considers hoisting Blanchfield for another slam, but can’t complete it and they separate. Two minutes to go in the round and Blanchfield is still the aggressor, but Fiorot is back to managing the distance and keeping the shorter woman on the outside. With under 30 seconds to go, Fiorot catches Blanchfield coming in with a kick to the body, stopping her in her tracks. The 10-second clapper sounds, and neither woman lands anything of substance before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 5
Blanchfield’s corner sends her back out with the instruction, “You need a f***in’ finish,” mirroring our scorecards here at Sherdog. Blanchfield comes out throwing with abandon, and lands a head kick that staggers the Frenchwoman. Fiorot recovers quickly, but damage was done. Fiorot enters the pocket and Fiorot shoves her with both hands, dropping her to her seat. Blanchfield is trying to walk Fiorot down, perhaps corral her against the fence, but Fiorot is wise to it and continues to dominate the distance battle. Fiorot’s lead left hook is finding the American’s head on the entry or exit from almost every exchange. Blanchfield marches forward, but Fiorot meets her with a one-two that snaps her head back. Blanchfield pushes through, clinches and shoves Fiorot into the cage with under a minute left. They disengage and Fiorot, far from sitting on her lead, throws a flying knee at the oncoming Blanchfield. Blanchfield misses with a high kick and Fiorot throws a spinning attack that ends in a collision. The final horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Erin Blanchfield via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot but is not very confident. He cites Fiorot's striking power and 91% takedown defense, contrasting with Blanchfield's poor takedown attempts in her last fight. He worries that Blanchfield's toughness and forward pressure could trouble Fiorot. He notes underdogs have won 66% of main events in 2024.

"I am going to pick man in here I'm not very confident Aaron is not soft she is tough as hell"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision, taking the underdog. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance. He favors Fiorot in the striking early, but worries about Blanchfield's pressure and grappling later. He notes Blanchfield's takedown accuracy is low and Fiorot's takedown defense is elite. Brady expects a split decision where Fiorot does better work early.

"I'm going to take the dog here in fioro I'll take her to win a very very tight decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Cody sees Fiorot as a live underdog due to her takedown defense and counter-striking. He notes Blanchfield's recent struggles with takedowns (0 for 14 against Santos) and believes Fiorot can keep the fight standing and outpoint her. However, he admits it's more of a price play and not a high-confidence pick.

"I am going to go with furo for the record we will break down the fight but seems like the value play would be on her side"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Daniel Vreeland picks Manon Fiorot at plus money, stating he bet her at +170. He believes Fiorot is very disciplined, won't get carried away, and can frustrate Blanchfield by staying on the feet and using her movement. He notes that Fiorot has survived takedowns before (e.g., against Jennifer Maia) and that Blanchfield's wrestling isn't elite. He acknowledges Blanchfield's submission threat but thinks Fiorot can avoid being finished and win a decision.

"I did take that plus 170 on my known field row and to me it's just about playing it smart here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (410 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

James sees this as a 50/50 fight due to the unknowns of whether Blanchfield can get takedowns against Andrade. He notes Blanchfield's grappling is elite but her striking defense is poor, while Andrade has one-punch power and strong clinch work. He leans Blanchfield because of her youth and potential to get takedowns in later rounds, but is not confident. He mentions Blanchfield at +150 offers value.

"I do lean on the side that Aaron Blanchfield is actually going to shock some people here and that she will get some takedowns."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Fiorot's takedown defense and movement are key; she has only been controlled for 1:40 in 77 minutes of UFC cage time. Blanchfield's takedown success has plummeted (2 of 22 in last 4 fights), and she gets hit often. Fiorot's lateral movement and ability to pivot off Blanchfield's entries should allow her to land straight shots and avoid prolonged grappling. The fight resembles Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman where the wrestler fails on takedowns and eats damage. Fiorot by decision is the most likely outcome, though the last two rounds could be close.

Fiorot by decision; half unit at +160; may add more if line improves
"I got to go with Foo here odds wise I think plus 160 is a damn good number to take a shot on"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Paul agrees with Cody that Fiorot is a live underdog, citing Blanchfield's takedown struggles and Fiorot's technical striking. He mentions the close fight with Rose Namajunas as a reference but admits he doesn't feel great about it, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I generally tend to agree with you here I mean but looking back on doing I guess a little bit of MMA math it's like looking how Rose did against heus this past weekend"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The host picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He believes Blanchfield's takedown attempts and aggression will be key, especially in a five-round fight. He notes that Fiorot may struggle to stuff takedowns over five rounds and that Blanchfield is willing to shoot repeatedly. He also sees opportunities for Blanchfield to take Fiorot's back when Fiorot turns after combinations. He predicts a 49-46 decision, with Blanchfield losing one round.

decision win, 49-46
"I'm going to go with Aon blanchfield I think she'll be able to push and also I watched back her fight with Jessica and dra it wasn't what I remember... I'm actually going to pick blanchfield by decision 4946"
WIN vs Taila Santos
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 61 of 128 47% 119 of 210 0 of 14 0% 0 0 8:08
Taila Santos 0 55 of 151 36% 96 of 202 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 26 of 55 47% 36 of 69 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:22
Taila Santos 0 25 of 71 35% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 9 of 18 50% 34 of 58 0 of 4 0% 0 0 4:01
Taila Santos 0 11 of 24 45% 32 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Erin Blanchfield 0 26 of 55 47% 49 of 83 0 of 6 0% 0 0 2:45
Taila Santos 0 19 of 56 33% 33 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 61 of 128 47% 37 of 99 18 of 23 6 of 6 43 of 102 17 of 24 1 of 2
Taila Santos 55 of 151 36% 28 of 118 9 of 15 18 of 18 46 of 133 9 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 26 of 55 47% 16 of 45 7 of 7 3 of 3 20 of 49 6 of 6 0 of 0
Taila Santos 25 of 71 35% 13 of 56 5 of 8 7 of 7 21 of 63 4 of 8 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 9 of 18 50% 3 of 9 4 of 7 2 of 2 5 of 9 3 of 7 1 of 2
Taila Santos 11 of 24 45% 5 of 16 2 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Erin Blanchfield 26 of 55 47% 18 of 45 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 44 8 of 11 0 of 0
Taila Santos 19 of 56 33% 10 of 46 2 of 3 7 of 7 17 of 51 2 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Angelo acknowledges Blanchfield's grappling and improved striking, but leans toward Santos because of her power, technical striking, and BJJ. He questions whether Blanchfield can get takedowns against Santos, and if she can't, Santos will light her up. He notes that Blanchfield is a surprising 2-to-1 favorite and thinks the fight should be closer to even money.

"I just have a tiny slight lean for Tyler she's I'm gonna pick her this should be almost even money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady is torn on this fight, acknowledging both fighters are championship caliber. He favors Blanchfield due to her youth, activity, and improvements, especially in striking. He questions Santos's mental toughness, citing her excuses after the Valentina fight and pulling out of this fight earlier. He expects a close fight and picks Blanchfield by decision, but with low confidence.

decision
"blanchfield blanchfield by decision but not a ton of confidence"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield due to her youth, improving skills, and superior cardio. He believes her wrestling and pressure will wear down Santos, who he sees as a step down from the elite. Cody expects a close decision or late submission.

"the pick for me is Blanche Shield because I'm Blanche Shield believer"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her mean streak and relentless pressure. He notes that Santos is more physical and a better striker, but Blanchfield's grappling and cardio will take over in later rounds. He mentions that Blanchfield is a lifelong black belt and has a strong chin. He is confident she wins, though he thinks the price is accurate and not a value bet.

"I think Aaron blanchfield wins here um I'm close to betting her but I haven't yet because I do think I kind of agree with you the slime"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Erin Blanchfield

James picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her continuous improvement, will to win, and superior grappling chain. He believes she can get takedowns on Santos and dominate on the mat, potentially submitting her. He acknowledges Santos' size and power but thinks Blanchfield's pace and cardio will be decisive. He also notes Santos' inactivity and the emotional letdown from the title loss.

bet on Erin Blanchfield moneyline; also considered Blanchfield submission at 22-1 but did not bet
"I lean air in blanchfield a decent amount"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The host acknowledges Taila Santos' strength and performance against Valentina Shevchenko, but believes Blanchfield's technical grappling and top control will be the difference. He notes Blanchfield's dominant win over Jessica Andrade and her ability to pass guard and maintain top position. The host expects a grueling fight but picks Blanchfield by decision.

"I'm going to go blanchfield and blanchfield by decision but it's going to be a grueling grueling fight for bro both women."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul sides with Blanchfield, noting her grappling advantage and potential to get takedowns. He acknowledges Santos' close fight with Shevchenko but thinks Blanchfield's youth and improvement give her the edge. Paul is not fully confident but leans Blanchfield.

"I'm going to side with Blanche Fields uh on that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield over Taila Santos, citing Blanchfield's youth (6-year age difference) and likely improvement. He believes Blanchfield has better grappling, scrambles, and crisper stand-up, though Santos may have a power advantage. He notes Santos' close fight with Valentina Shevchenko but thinks Blanchfield's activity and conditioning will win. He predicts a competitive 29-28 decision.

Unanimous decision predicted
"I'm gonna go Erin blanchfield I think her grappling game's a bit better I think her striking's a bit more active she's a bit busier her conditioning is a bit better"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:37 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 53 of 143 37% 56 of 147 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jéssica Andrade 0 51 of 120 42% 53 of 124 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 40 of 106 37% 43 of 110 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jéssica Andrade 0 44 of 100 44% 46 of 104 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 13 of 37 35% 13 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jéssica Andrade 0 7 of 20 35% 7 of 20 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 53 of 143 37% 28 of 107 5 of 16 20 of 20 50 of 137 3 of 6 0 of 0
Jéssica Andrade 51 of 120 42% 38 of 105 2 of 4 11 of 11 50 of 117 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 40 of 106 37% 22 of 80 4 of 12 14 of 14 37 of 100 3 of 6 0 of 0
Jéssica Andrade 44 of 100 44% 32 of 86 2 of 4 10 of 10 43 of 97 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 13 of 37 35% 6 of 27 1 of 4 6 of 6 13 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jéssica Andrade 7 of 20 35% 6 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Angelo is very confident in Andrade, even on short notice. He highlights Andrade's technical improvement in her last fight against Lauren Murphy, where she showed precision rather than just bullying. He believes Andrade's BJJ black belt and experience against top competition will neutralize Blanchfield's grappling. Angelo notes the line moved from -190 to -170 and he placed a two-unit bet at -150. He dismisses comparisons to Valentina Shevchenko's takedowns, noting Shevchenko uses judo while Blanchfield uses wrestling, which Andrade can defend.

Two-unit moneyline bet at -150. Also mentions Andrade by decision at -120 but prefers moneyline.
"I think Jessica andrage absolutely gets this done I'm confident in Jessica andrage to get this done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Big Brady thinks this is too soon for Blanchfield, who has only beaten lower-level competition like Molly McCann. He notes that Andrade only gets dominated by elite grapplers like Valentina Shevchenko, and Blanchfield is not on that level yet. He worries about Blanchfield's takedown success, as she was 0-for-4 against JJ Aldrich. He predicts Andrade will win by knockout, likely in the second round, as Blanchfield has nothing for her on the feet.

Andrade by KO/TKO, round 2
"I'm gonna take Jessica andrage by my knockout... I think she gets it done the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Cody initially liked Blanchfield at plus money due to Andrade taking the fight on short notice and Blanchfield's suffocating style, but as the line tightened he shifted to Andrade. He notes Andrade is a proven commodity with better striking and five-round experience, and that she wouldn't take a fight she couldn't win. However, he acknowledges Blanchfield's grappling threat and says he wants to watch weigh-ins before betting.

Line movement noted: Blanchfield opened plus money, now +120 to +125. Cody considered early plus money on Blanchfield but missed it.
"I think you take a back class and you take Jessica and Josh prove a commodity much better Striker has fought these high level five rounds before... current line I take it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Andrade is a huge step up for Blanchfield. He notes that Blanchfield's striking is very undeveloped, especially her kicks, and that Andrade's power will be a shock. He also points out that Blanchfield struggled with Aldrich's counter striking and maneuvering, and Andrade is a much more physical and powerful version of that. Connor sees the fight as too much too soon for Blanchfield.

"I'm gonna go ahead and assume that I can't expect an X factor due to the short notice... Blanchfield is a good finisher... but it's just not complete enough for me to pick her here."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Jacob is a self-proclaimed Blanchfield hater and picks Andrade confidently. He criticizes Blanchfield's lack of a plan B when things go wrong, citing her fight against JJ Aldrich where she was dominated until a Hail Mary guillotine. Jacob believes Andrade is a better striker and will stuff takedowns, leading to Blanchfield being embarrassed. He compares it to Whittaker vs Vettori and Emmett vs Rodriguez, where one-dimensional wrestlers were exposed. He is not worried about short notice because Andrade wouldn't take the fight if she wasn't ready.

"Jessica Andre is a better Striker she Stuffs the takedowns and Aaron blanchfield is absolutely in embarrassed in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Andrade's relentless pressure, power, and strength will be too much for Blanchfield, who struggled with takedowns against JJ Aldrich and may not be ready for this step up. Andrade's durability and takedown defense should keep her safe, and she will eventually land a knockout, likely in the third or fourth round.

Andrade wins by KO in round 3 or 4
"I felt pretty damn confident on the Jessica Andrade side... we'll see Andrade knock her out."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Paul likes Andrade, citing her recent performance against Lauren Murphy where she looked great and nearly finished her. He questions the comparison to Valentina Shevchenko's takedowns, noting that outside of Shevchenko, no one has easily taken Andrade down. He struggles to get behind Blanchfield at the current price, calling it a big step up in competition. He says if the line keeps moving toward Blanchfield, he'll be forced to jump on Andrade.

Line movement: Blanchfield opened -175/-180, now -135. Paul says he'll likely add Andrade to his card after weigh-ins.
"I really struggled to get to Aaron blancheville particularly at this price... this line keeps moving I'm gonna be forced to jump in on Jessica on John."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

The MMA Guru picks Jéssica Andrade, stating she hits different and is a step above other flyweights except Shevchenko. He believes Andrade's power will break Blanchfield's nose early, forcing panic takedowns. He recalls Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldridge where she struggled before getting a guillotine, and thinks Andrade will be too much. He notes Andrade is a 2-to-1 favorite and calls those odds good, predicting a first-round TKO.

TKO first round, odds: -200 (2-to-1 favorite)
"I think andraj is like going to shatter that beak of a nose on blanchfield's face"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Zane picks Andrade because Blanchfield's striking is still raw and relies on pressure and volume, but she struggles against skilled or physically imposing opponents. Andrade is both, with power that Blanchfield has never faced. Blanchfield's takedown entries are not clean enough to consistently get Andrade down, and Andrade's speed and power will be overwhelming. Zane notes that Blanchfield is a good prospect but not complete enough to win this fight.

Andrade opened at -190, jumped to -155, currently -142; Blanchfield opened +165, dropped to +127, currently +117. Zane notes the odds are getting shorter for Blanchfield, which he finds surprising.
"I gotta pick Androge. Yeah, you know, there's the outside edge of an upset potential... Blanchfield is a good finisher... but it's just not complete enough for me to pick her here."
WIN vs Molly McCann
Submission (kimura) R1 3:37 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 38 65% 93 of 115 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:48
Molly McCann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 38 65% 93 of 115 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:48
Molly McCann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 25 of 38 65% 22 of 34 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 19 0 of 0 18 of 19
Molly McCann 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 25 of 38 65% 22 of 34 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 19 0 of 0 18 of 19
Molly McCann 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo thinks Blanchfield is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling, but he is concerned about her struggles in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He notes that McCann is gritty, experienced, and could break a young prospect. He picks Blanchfield to win via takedowns and control, but does not expect a submission. He suggests the bet might be on McCann inside the distance (decision no action) because McCann could avoid takedowns and win by stoppage, while a decision loss would refund the bet.

Molly McCann inside the distance (decision no action) on BetOnline
"I am not putting Aaron blanchfield in a parlay and the BET might actually be Molly McCann inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by submission, calling it a terrible matchup for Molly McCann. He notes McCann's 46% takedown defense and how she was ragdolled by Laura Procopio. He compares Blanchfield's dominance over Miranda Maverick (7 takedowns) to that fight. He believes Blanchfield will take McCann down repeatedly and likely finish her, as McCann has been submitted before (by Gillian Robertson). He questions why McCann took the fight.

Blanchfield by submission; inside the distance
"it's blanchfield all day and honestly it's maybe even blanchfield inside the distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody leans towards McCann strictly because of the plus money. He notes that Blanchfield struggled to get takedowns against JJ Aldrich and was taken down herself, which raises questions. He thinks if Blanchfield can't get the fight to the mat, McCann's striking could make it competitive. However, he acknowledges McCann's takedown defense is poor and Blanchfield is a strong wrestler, so he is not confident.

"I'm leaning towards uh McCann strictly because of the number."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Connor picks Blanchfield, citing McCann's inability to solve problems in fights and her tendency to get taken down easily. He notes that McCann's recent wins were against limited opponents, and that Blanchfield is a good opportunist who can take advantage of McCann's overaggression. Connor also mentions that McCann's best work is on the back foot, but she often presses forward and walks into danger.

"I'm going to pick Blanchfield. No, I think you have to pick Blanchfield honestly..."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take McCann down and control her. He notes that McCann struggles to get back up when taken down, and Blanchfield is a black belt. However, he is not interested in betting at -390 because he wants guarantees and worries that Blanchfield might stand and trade, giving McCann a chance. He respects McCann's heart and spirit but believes Blanchfield's path to victory is through grappling.

No bet at -390; odds mentioned: Blanchfield -390, McCann +320 at DraftKings
"Aaron's my pick it's just not really in any kind of Rush delay minus 400 on it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The host believes Blanchfield's superior grappling and trips will eventually get the fight to the ground, where she can submit McCann. He notes McCann's improved striking and confidence could make it competitive on the feet, but Blanchfield's grappling is the difference. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +180 for finishing potential. He is not betting the moneyline at -390.

under 2.5 rounds (+180), Blanchfield by submission
"I'm gonna take her to win by submission I'll be keeping my eye on that submission prop"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield by decision, highlighting her relentless pressure and grappling. He notes that McCann has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down 12 times in her two losses. Paul believes Blanchfield will take McCann down and control her on the mat, and that McCann's only chance is a spinning elbow knockout. He thinks Blanchfield's wrestling and top control will secure a decision win.

"I got Blanche field but I'm gonna try to chase the price and go by blanchfield by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield, highlighting her dominant grappling win over Miranda Maverick, who has since ragdolled others. He notes McCann's history of being outgrappled and believes the threat of takedowns will diminish McCann's striking. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with McCann possibly doing decent in the third round but lacking power to finish.

"I'm going with Aaron blanchfield"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Zane picks Blanchfield, noting that McCann's grappling deficiencies were exposed against Laura Procopio, who took her down easily. He points out that Blanchfield is a decent clinch wrestler and opportunist, and that McCann's tendency to overextend and get countered makes her vulnerable. Zane also mentions that Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldrich showed she can take shots and keep pressing for takedowns.

"I think you have to pick Blanchfield honestly..."
WIN vs JJ Aldrich
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:38 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 48 of 100 48% 68 of 121 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:56
JJ Aldrich 0 32 of 71 45% 38 of 77 2 of 6 33% 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 23 of 58 39% 27 of 62 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 43 37% 21 of 48 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 42 59% 41 of 59 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:13
JJ Aldrich 0 16 of 28 57% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 48 of 100 48% 29 of 76 11 of 11 8 of 13 46 of 96 2 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 32 of 71 45% 29 of 66 3 of 5 0 of 0 31 of 68 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 23 of 58 39% 13 of 44 7 of 7 3 of 7 22 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 16 of 43 37% 15 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 25 of 42 59% 16 of 32 4 of 4 5 of 6 24 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 16 of 28 57% 14 of 24 2 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo sees Erin Blanchfield as a nasty grappler with dominant wrestling, and believes her path to victory is through grappling. He notes that JJ Aldrich is a decision machine with decent striking but a negative striking differential, and that the experience gap is not wide enough to matter. He expects Blanchfield to dominate with heavy grappling and may place a moneyline bet depending on the line movement.

may throw a moneyline bet on Blanchfield, waiting to see line movement
"I think it's more of the same from aaron here i think she dominates in a heavy grappling win and betting wise i may throw a money line bet on aaron"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield is a huge favorite at -600 but thinks the line is too high, though he still sees her as one of the safer picks on the card. He expects Blanchfield to take Aldrich down repeatedly and control the fight on the mat, grinding out a dominant decision. He acknowledges Aldrich has good takedown defense but believes Blanchfield's relentless wrestling will be too much.

Blanchfield by decision
"I like blanchfield here do I like the minor 600 no I don't but I do think she is one of the safer picks as far as uh picking a win on this card see me blanchfield give me blanchfield …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield, calling her a real prospect. He notes her wrestling and pressure, and thinks Aldrich's takedown defense has not been tested by a wrestler of Blanchfield's caliber. He expects Blanchfield to win by decision.

Blanchfield by decision
"i'm a bland shield supporter through and through"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and youth. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich's experience but believes Blanchfield's skills will prevail. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the steep price, but picks Blanchfield to win, likely by decision.

"i think that aaron blanchfield's got the skills to pay the bills so i'm gonna go with aaron"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield and has already bet Blanchfield by decision at -138. He notes Blanchfield's relentless grappling and pressure, and Aldrich's durability. He thinks Blanchfield will secure takedowns and grind out a decision.

Blanchfield by decision (minus 138)
"the bet that i did make this week was blanchfield by decision minus 138."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield despite acknowledging JJ Aldrich as a decent underdog. He worries Aldrich might stuff takedowns but notes that Miranda Maverick, who he considers equal or better than Aldrich, couldn't stop Blanchfield's grappling. He expects Blanchfield to dominate on the ground and win by unanimous decision 30-27. However, he strongly dislikes the odds, calling them 'really annoying' and implying they are too wide for his comfort.

Dislikes the odds, says 'the odds are really annoying'
"i am going to go there in blanchfield but i don't like the odds the odds are really annoying on a lot of fights on these cards"
Miranda Maverick - Fight History
LOSS vs Rose Namajunas
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rose Namajunas 1 25 of 86 29% 46 of 118 2 of 4 50% 0 0 6:33
Miranda Maverick 0 25 of 74 33% 52 of 108 0 of 2 0% 1 1 1:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rose Namajunas 0 17 of 59 28% 18 of 60 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Miranda Maverick 0 20 of 58 34% 20 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rose Namajunas 0 5 of 17 29% 9 of 26 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:05
Miranda Maverick 0 5 of 14 35% 22 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:45
3 Rose Namajunas 1 3 of 10 30% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:13
Miranda Maverick 0 0 of 2 0% 10 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rose Namajunas 25 of 86 29% 22 of 75 3 of 10 0 of 1 23 of 83 1 of 1 1 of 2
Miranda Maverick 25 of 74 33% 14 of 61 5 of 6 6 of 7 25 of 73 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rose Namajunas 17 of 59 28% 15 of 50 2 of 8 0 of 1 16 of 58 1 of 1 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 20 of 58 34% 11 of 47 4 of 5 5 of 6 20 of 57 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Rose Namajunas 5 of 17 29% 5 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 5 of 14 35% 3 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rose Namajunas 3 of 10 30% 2 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Miranda Maverick 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose because she is the better striker with superior footwork and technique. He acknowledges Miranda's wrestling threat but believes Rose can defend takedowns and out-strike her. He expresses concern about Rose's training situation but hopes she strings it together like she did against Tracy Cortez.

"Rose Namayuma should absolutely be the just better fighter across the board."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas by decision. He believes Rose is the better fighter overall, with superior striking and the ability to get takedowns against Maverick's sub-50% takedown defense. He worries slightly about Maverick's strength but notes Rose has done well at flyweight. He thinks Rose should win at least two rounds in a three-round fight.

"I'll take Rose to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Connor picks Namajunas, agreeing that Maverick is a 'Jake Matthews of women's flyweight'—athletic but aimless, with no clear idea how to win. He notes that Namajunas is much better in the clinch than she used to be and that Maverick's wrestling entries are poor. Connor believes Namajunas's speed, accuracy, and combination punching will allow her to outwork Maverick, and that Maverick's tendency to float and try things without a plan will be her undoing.

Namajunas opened at -289, now -249; Maverick opened at +214, now +220.
"I think this is just a really good style matchup for nami units"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but Namajunas's striking will reign supreme. She may have issues with Maverick's strength and clinch work, but she will get into open space, land more damage, and win a clear decision.

odds comment: closer fight than the odds suggest
"This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but I expect Nama Ununas is striking to reign supreme here..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Rose Namajunas

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, calling her a much better technical martial artist. He notes her grappling defense and standup are superior, and she has size at flyweight. He expects a unanimous decision win, 30-27, as Rose outclasses Maverick everywhere.

"I'm going to go with Rose Namunas. She's a much better martial artist. This is a bit of a mismatch. Um a very big mismatch."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Zane picks Namajunas, citing her superior craft, movement, and jab-heavy striking as a clear advantage over Maverick's aimless, unprincipled game. He notes that Maverick lacks a clear process and often gets caught up striking when she should wrestle, while Namajunas is accurate, fast, and effective at kicking range. Zane believes Namajunas can outpoint Maverick over three rounds, as Maverick has consistently lost to fighters with a strong game plan.

Namajunas opened at -289, now -249; Maverick opened at +214, now +220. Zane thinks the line could get longer.
"I think rose is fully capable of just kind of being much craftier and more consistent than maverick and and taking a decision off of her"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley · Dec 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 24 of 68 35% 61 of 117 2 of 9 22% 0 0 6:50
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 15 of 55 27% 63 of 111 1 of 3 33% 1 1 3:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 8 of 24 33% 20 of 37 0 of 6 0% 0 0 2:49
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 4 of 19 21% 21 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Miranda Maverick 0 3 of 4 75% 15 of 17 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:37
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 2 of 4 50% 22 of 27 1 of 3 33% 1 1 2:54
3 Miranda Maverick 0 13 of 40 32% 26 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:24
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 9 of 32 28% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 24 of 68 35% 12 of 50 5 of 6 7 of 12 23 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 1
Jamey-Lyn Horth 15 of 55 27% 11 of 45 3 of 8 1 of 2 14 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 8 of 24 33% 3 of 15 2 of 2 3 of 7 8 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 4 of 19 21% 2 of 15 1 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 13 of 40 32% 9 of 34 2 of 3 2 of 3 13 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 1
Jamey-Lyn Horth 9 of 32 28% 8 of 27 1 of 4 0 of 1 9 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-470), Horth (+360)

Round 1
Andrew Glenn will referee the final women's MMA fight inside the UFC this year. Horth takes the middle of the cage. Maverick is circling well and entering with combinations, although they've all come up short so far. A series of left hooks lands for Maverick. Horth defends a takedown attempt against the cage. Maverick landing short knees to the leg. Maverick stays with it, locking her hands around the left knee of Horth. Maverick starts eating elbows from Horth. Slow opening round as Maverick has been obsessed with getting a takedown that she couldn't get. Just 30 seconds left. Horth eats some knees but stays upright as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
Maverick complained of shots to the back of the head between rounds. Maverick goes for another takedown, and Horth is up against the cage, defending well. The crowd is booing. Maverick landing some nice knees. Horth tries to jump the back for a second and is now looking for a takedown of her own as she gets back control standing. Maverick gives up her back and is now on the ground. Horth is looking for a rear-naked choke. The decision to grapple and go for nonstop takedown attempts has backfired for Maverick. Horth is cranking the neck currently. Maverick gets back to her feet with two minutes left and finally gets a takedown of her own. Horth gives up her back in a scramble. Maverick gets complacent for a second and is reversed. Horth is in full guard with a minute left. Horth lands a few punches on top before Maverick gets back to her feet.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth

Round 3
Horth eats an overhand left from Maverick to start the round. Maverick has shown a clear advantage on the feet, so her insistence on takedowns has been strange. Maverick keeping her distance and is starting to use her kicks. Horth has a longer reach but isn't using her jab. Horth swings wildly and gets taken down as a result. Maverick is in half-guard and is landing some short punches from top position. Horth needs to show some urgency to get up but isn't doing so. Maverick postures up and tries to pass but can't get side control. Horth scrambles for a leg, but they're mostly just tangled up. One minute left. Maverick is cruising to a decision win by staying on top. Horth finally gets up with 30 seconds left. Maverick lands a nice left straight and is outstriking Horth easily. The fight ends with Maverick clinching her opponent against the cage.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Jamey-Lyn Horth via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Maverick because she can dictate the grappling and get the fight to the ground, exploiting Horth's poor takedown defense. He notes Maverick's pressure, strength, and takedowns, but acknowledges she is not a finisher. He expects the fight to go to decision and suggests the over 2.5 rounds might be a better bet if the odds are close to the moneyline.

Fight goes to decision; considering over 2.5 rounds if odds are favorable.
"Miranda moves forward I think she pressures Jamie and I think she gets this fight to the ground... Miranda is the pick and this fight will go to a decision."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He is confident Maverick is a much better fighter than Horth, noting Horth's close fights with lower-level opponents. He thinks Maverick's losses are to elite fighters and that she was robbed against Barber. He does not see a finish likely, so picks decision.

"Maverick all day every day but the line indicates this Line's gotten smashed"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing her wrestling advantage and Horth's inability to stop takedowns. He notes that Horth is slow and flat-footed, and Maverick's physicality should secure takedowns and control. Cody warns that the line is high but sees Maverick as a safe play.

"Maverick is the play but wait until weigh-ins and you'll see them next to each other."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Maverick is a much better athlete and has been improving her game. He points out that Horth is a slow, uncoordinated fighter who lacks the size and seasoning of Jasmine Jasudavicius, who beat Maverick. As long as Maverick uses her wrestling and doesn't get into unnecessary striking exchanges, she should win easily.

"Maverick really could have and should have beat just suit of easiest. She is a much better athlete."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Vreeland picks Miranda Maverick, noting she has more tools, experience, and better competition. However, he is cautious due to the -600 price and the state of women's MMA judging. He expects Maverick to win but advises proceeding with caution.

"I'm going to pick the minus 600 favorite I think thinks she's better but with these judges proceed with caution"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick's physicality and grinding approach will keep Horth in defensive positions, allowing Maverick to win by decision. The chalky odds are expected to come through.

wins by decision
"I do expect that to come through for her as I believe she'll be able to use her physicality and grinding approach to keep horth and defensive positions allowing her to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul picks Miranda Maverick but avoids the money line due to the high price. He notes that Horth struggles with wrestlers and Maverick is the best wrestler she's faced. Paul expects Maverick to secure takedowns and control, but is not confident enough to bet heavily.

"I'm avoiding this money line like the plague."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick without much elaboration, stating she is well-trained with talent in grappling and striking. He dismisses Jamey-Lyn Horth's recent split decision win over Iana Petrovic, calling Petrovic 'absolute garbage', and notes that Horth's close fight with Veronica Hardy doesn't impress him. He concludes that Maverick is simply a more talented fighter.

"Miranda Maverick is well trained she's got some level of talent in her grappling and striking I don't need to explain myself"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Zane picks Maverick confidently, noting that she is a much better athlete than Horth, faster and stronger. He points out that Maverick has been learning to connect her striking to her wrestling and showed better control in recent fights. Horth is slow, uncoordinated, and barely beat Petrovich, getting taken down at will. As long as Maverick doesn't trip over her own feet, she should win.

Maverick opened at -322, now -546; Horth opened at -270, now +419. Zane notes that Maverick is a big favorite, which is unusual for her.
"It is really on maverick to just not trip over her own feet. I kind of like it for that as a matchup to be honest."
WIN vs Dione Barbosa
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 30 of 88 34% 102 of 188 2 of 5 40% 0 0 8:07
Dione Barbosa 0 21 of 52 40% 47 of 85 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 16 of 45 35% 31 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:02
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 21 33% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 7 of 28 25% 30 of 60 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:26
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 16 43% 11 of 20 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:43
3 Miranda Maverick 0 7 of 15 46% 41 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:39
Dione Barbosa 0 7 of 15 46% 22 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 30 of 88 34% 9 of 55 7 of 15 14 of 18 23 of 77 2 of 2 5 of 9
Dione Barbosa 21 of 52 40% 19 of 47 1 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 16 of 45 35% 3 of 27 4 of 7 9 of 11 14 of 42 1 of 1 1 of 2
Dione Barbosa 7 of 21 33% 6 of 19 0 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 7 of 28 25% 1 of 16 3 of 8 3 of 4 6 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 1
Dione Barbosa 7 of 16 43% 6 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 7 of 15 46% 5 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 6
Dione Barbosa 7 of 15 46% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dione Barbosa vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-218), Barbosa (+180)

Round 1
Shifting gears back to the flyweight category, the U.S. battles Brazil as Maverick (13-5, 6-3 UFC) looks to bewitch “The Witch” Barbosa (7-2, 1-0 UFC) across their three-round endeavor. With exactly twice as much experience as her opponent, and as many fights in the UFC as Barbosa holds as a pro, Maverick will come into the match five years the younger. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge of this pairing, and he claps the two in as they clap hands. Both women flirt with the middle of the cage, tossing a single strike at one another to test the waters. Maverick kicks the lead leg, and Barbosa replies with a front kick up the middle. Barbosa chops at the front leg, and Maverick replies. The two trade leg kicks, and Maverick grins after an exchange. Both women reach at one another with rangy punches and miss the mark, and then try head kicks that rebound off one another’s guards. They go tit-for-tat after one another, seemingly mirroring one another with attempted strikes. Barbosa picks up her leg after eating a particularly effective low kick, and Maverick targets it once more and ducks away from a sudden wheel kick. Maverick chops at the thigh with a kick, and when the Brazilian closes the distance, she plants two punches on the jaw and slips away. Maverick strikes the lead leg, turning it red less than halfway through Round 1, and she rushes out with jabs outstretched. They both swing and miss on distance strikes, their corners celebrating whether they land or not. Maverick continues to work the calf at the end of combinations, and Barbosa preemptively lifts her leg until crashing forward to take the fight down. Maverick reverses her and tosses the Brazilian to her back, and she fights through a leglock to lower herself down in half guard. Barbosa keeps a high guard to threaten from her back, but Maverick pushes through it to stay out of danger. Barbosa closes the high guard briefly, trying to control Maverick while Maverick controls her. Maverick’s offense dwindles to a few strikes and a knee to the posterior as seconds peel off the clock with little to show for them. Maverick raps her left hand over the top a few times to stay busy, working the head and body before hammering Barbosa with a few elbows. Barbosa looks for a submission setup, and Maverick shrugs it off to continue her ground-and-pound until the bell intervenes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The women try to clap hands to begin the second round and miss, and say heck with it and start swinging at one another. Maverick picks and pokes with low kicks before mixing it up with a head kick, and when that nearly gets through, she tries another seconds later. Barbosa defends a low single and tosses Maverick aside to kick her in the cheek, and she rushes forward to press the Missouri native against the fencing. Barbosa succeeds in hitting a throw to chuck Maverick to the floor, and Maverick is quick to climb back to her feet despite the head lock toss. Maverick breaks away from the clinch and eats a sudden spinning elbow, and she reaches out with a kick and is countered with one from the Brazilian. Maverick jabs to the head and body, keeping her hands up to block a head kick and crashing forward at the same time as her opponent to hit a takedown. Barbosa defends with a takedown, and Maverick pushes her against the wall, unconcerned by the choke, to trip “The Witch” to the canvas. Barbosa is stuck on her back absorbing sporadic punches, and Maverick stays tightly pressed to not let Barbosa sneak anything up on her. Barbosa turns to set up an armbar, and Maverick tosses Barbosa to the side and gets back on top. Barbosa uses the butterfly hooks from allowing Maverick to get her flat, but Maverick keeps to this position while kneeing Barbosa in the backside once. Maverick drops down short right hands as she assumes half guard, and she elbows Barbosa and smacks her with her shoulder before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 3
They do touch gloves to open up the last stanza, and fists are soon to fly. Maverick sits down on three punches, and she leans back as a head kick buzzes her hair. Barbosa works her way forward and reaches out with a right hand after taking a low kick, and she connects with two more before Maverick’s back hits the wall. Barbosa tries to change levels, but Maverick’s takedown defends keeps her upright. As Maverick breaks off, she lands another calf kick and a right hand behind it, and Barbosa walks her down ready to throw leather. Maverick shoots in for a single, and Barbosa scrambles effectively to flip Maverick over and even set up a kneebar. Maverick fights through it and winds up on top, moving into the butterfly guard of her opponent. Maverick keeps tight and composed from above to put Barbosa flat on her back, and she grinds with an elbow to irritate the Brazilian. Maverick gets bucked off briefly, and she remains on top while getting in elbows until Barbosa turns for an armbar. Maverick no-sells it and pulls out of it, and she relocates herself in Barbosa’s guard. Maverick lands a shoulder strike, and it appears she may have headbutted Barbosa in the chest as well, but nothing comes of it. Maverick’s 125-pound-plus frame feels like 500 pounds as Barbosa cannot get enough space, try as she might. Maverick retains control and fully embraces the grind, sliding over to half guard and using her elbow to frame up and land shots. Maverick remains active from this position, doing so until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Dione Barbosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is a pressure fighter with solid takedowns and strength, and Dione Barbosa has poor takedown defense. He notes that Barbosa is a judoka who wants to clinch, but Maverick will shoot takedowns instead of tying up. He is waiting for prop bets to place a wager, as he doesn't love the moneyline.

waiting for prop bets
"Miranda Maverick is going to be the pick I'm going to be betting on her in some capacity I'm waiting for the prop bets I don't love the money line right now"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Maverick, emphasizing her youth (27), cardio, and full camp. He notes Barbosa is on short notice and gassed in her last fight. He expects Maverick to lose the first round but take over in the second and third with takedowns and volume. He suggests live betting Maverick after round one.

"I think you live bet this one after Miranda Maverick either loses the first round or that it's a very competitive first round."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Daniel Vreeland picks Dione Barbosa as an upset, citing her superior Jiu-Jitsu and improving striking. He notes that Maverick struggles when she cannot be the bully, and Barbosa's size and grappling advantage will be key. Vreeland believes Barbosa can submit Maverick or win a decision, and considers the odds off.

"I think Deon Barbosa can actually spook her on the feet a bit with with her ever improving standup and then when she gets it to the mat I would not be surprised if she was the first one to …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a heavy favorite at -220. She has improved striking and strong grappling, and her physicality should be too much for Barbosa. Barbosa relies on takedowns and BJJ, but Maverick has good submission defense and has never been finished. Maverick will make Barbosa work early and then pull away with her striking and top control. Even at -220, Maverick is worth a shot.

"even at minus 220 I think she is worth a shot and should be able to give Marosa her first UFC loss"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Maverick's submission win over Priscila Cachoeira and her ability to go three rounds. He thinks Barbosa's cardio is a major issue and that Maverick will cruise to a decision or late stoppage. He also mentions the altitude training with Rose Namajunas as a plus.

"I would have loved Maverick at minus 150... but you make a lot of good points there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her longer training and recent win over Andrea Lee. He notes Dione Barbosa's win over Nesta Carter is not impressive, and believes Maverick's grappling defense will give her an advantage on the feet. He also mentions Maverick's close fight with Maycee Barber, which he thought she won, as a positive sign.

"I'm gonna go with uh Miranda Maverick I think longer training she's been doing it for longer now she's 27"
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 36 of 102 35% 59 of 126 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:42
Andrea Lee 0 66 of 136 48% 106 of 180 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:40
Andrea Lee 0 24 of 43 55% 31 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
2 Miranda Maverick 0 9 of 34 26% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Andrea Lee 0 23 of 48 47% 47 of 74 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
3 Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 37 40% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 19 of 45 42% 28 of 55 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 36 of 102 35% 14 of 72 13 of 19 9 of 11 32 of 96 3 of 3 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 66 of 136 48% 28 of 89 16 of 25 22 of 22 60 of 128 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 12 of 31 38% 4 of 20 4 of 6 4 of 5 9 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 24 of 43 55% 9 of 25 5 of 8 10 of 10 23 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 9 of 34 26% 4 of 26 3 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 23 of 48 47% 11 of 34 4 of 6 8 of 8 21 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 15 of 37 40% 6 of 26 6 of 8 3 of 3 14 of 34 0 of 0 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 19 of 45 42% 8 of 30 7 of 11 4 of 4 16 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 11, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick, citing her pressure, takedowns, and toughness. He notes that Andrea Lee has fought tougher competition but is on a three-fight skid. He cautions that the moneyline is juiced and recommends the over 2.5 rounds as a lock.

over 2.5 rounds
"I am going to pick Miranda Maverick here... I think the over two and a half in this fight is probably the lock of the card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win, citing her youth (26 vs 35) and physical strength as key advantages. He notes Andrea Lee's poor takedown defense (54%) and history of being taken down by lesser wrestlers, expecting Maverick to get the fight to the mat and grind out a decision. He acknowledges Lee's underrated striking but believes Maverick's wrestling and control will be too much. He mentions the line is moving but says he's probably not betting this one.

Maverick by decision
"I do like Maverick here to win this fight... Maverick by decision is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Lee, noting her high volume striking (100+ significant strikes) compared to Maverick's lower output. He questions Maverick's takedown effectiveness and believes Lee can win on the feet. He sees plus 170 as good value and picks Lee.

"Andrea Lee is the pick for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel picks Miranda Maverick but expresses hesitation about the betting line. He notes that Andrea Lee is physically strong and that Maverick's striking is her weakest area. He worries that Lee's strength could cause problems, but ultimately believes Maverick's grappling advantage will prevail. He says he is staying away from the line.

"I'm on Maverick here but I'm probably this is probably a line I'm staying away from."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Daniel Vreeland passes on this fight, noting Andrea Lee's decline and Miranda Maverick's inconsistency. He considered taking the dog on Lee but decided against it given her recent performances.

"Pass for me also."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Jeff picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Andrea Lee is on a three-fight skid and hasn't won since 2021. He believes Maverick is a younger, stronger fighter who can impose her will. He acknowledges Lee's physical strength but thinks Maverick's grappling and overall game will be too much. He is not betting the line, however, as he finds it unappealing.

"Maverick is is my pick here as well yeah you can't really put any any faith in Lee at this point in her career and she's going to have a big strong younger fighter on her case here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is younger, stronger, and will dominate in the clinch and on the ground. Lee may be the better technical striker but has a history of breaking under pressure. Maverick grinds out a decision win.

"I expect Maverick to be competitive in that realm but eventually drag this fight into the clinch position and to the ground where Maverick should be able to control it and suck the energy out of Lee"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Paul picks Lee, arguing that the line is inflated by Maverick's recent win over low-level competition. He notes Lee has fought tougher opponents and has better volume striking. He believes Maverick's wrestling is not as effective against higher-level grapplers, and Lee can outwork her on the feet. He sees Lee as a clear underdog value.

Lee by decision (suggested)
"it just has to be an auto bet on the underdog so I will take Andre Le to win by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her youth, improvement at Team Elevation, and full focus on MMA now that she's done with education. He notes Andrea Lee's frustration when taken down and lack of calmness on bottom. He believes Maverick's grappling will be key, though he acknowledges Lee's stronger strength of schedule and mentions he might advise betting on Lee if her odds become bigger underdog.

If more money comes in on Miranda Maverick and Andrea Lee becomes even bigger of an underdog, I might advise people to put some money on her.
"I think Miranda Maverick is the more improving fighter she's the younger fighter she's training at Team elevation... I think she'll be able to outgrapple Andrea Lee in this fight."
Submission (armbar) R3 2:11 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 36 of 51 70% 105 of 132 3 of 9 33% 1 0 8:54
Priscila Cachoeira 0 11 of 23 47% 13 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 16 of 25 64% 46 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:29
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 9 44% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 11 of 16 68% 43 of 56 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:48
Priscila Cachoeira 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Miranda Maverick 0 9 of 10 90% 16 of 17 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:37
Priscila Cachoeira 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 36 of 51 70% 23 of 37 8 of 8 5 of 6 16 of 29 2 of 2 18 of 20
Priscila Cachoeira 11 of 23 47% 7 of 18 2 of 3 2 of 2 10 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 16 of 25 64% 9 of 18 5 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 14 0 of 0 9 of 11
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 9 44% 1 of 5 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 11 of 16 68% 7 of 11 1 of 1 3 of 4 6 of 11 1 of 1 4 of 4
Priscila Cachoeira 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 9 of 10 90% 7 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 5
Priscila Cachoeira 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-305), Cachoeira (+240)

Round 1
Every now and then, a fight card comes around that makes the community pause for a second to admire its impressive stature. The excitement around the MMA sphere is refreshingly genuine, especially for an otherwise costly event that has no actual, real belts on the line. When the lights go down in the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, the anticipation will build throughout the night to a crescendo. Even if the product does not deliver respective to how it looks on paper, the main attraction is one that will entice even the most jaded of fight fans. Before we get to that mega rematch, we start on the early preliminary card with six prelims as appetizers ahead of the hearty $80 meal. The first fight on the billing also happens to be the lone women’s match of the evening, and it comes between late replacement Maverick (11-5, 4-3 UFC) and the much-maligned Cachoeira (12-4, 4-4 UFC). This contest of wrestler vs. striker will be officiated by referee Dave Seljestad. The flyweights start the show without a touch of gloves, and here we go. Maverick bobs and shifts forward, and she reaches out with a left hook and a pair of punches soon to follow. Cachoeira swats back at her and comes up short, and Maverick gets to a safe range and lands a low kick. Maverick shoots in for a takedown from afar, and before she can get close, Cachoeira pushes her back and catches her with an overhand right. Maverick fakes a level change, and she goes up high with a kick that surprises the Brazilian. Cachoeira chops down at the inside leg, and Maverick responds and gets countered with a right hand. Maverick leaps forward with a Superwoman punch, and she wraps her foot on the side of the head. When Cachoeira tries to take advantage of an off-balance Maverick, she closes the distance, and Maverick uses the momentum to spin Cachoeira and drag her to her seat. Cachoeira leans against the fence in hopes of wall-walking, and Maverick isolates her foe’s right leg to keep Cachoeira grounded. Cachoeira posts off on her right arm while using her other to push Maverick’s head down, and this stops Maverick from advancing to a top position. “Zombie Girl” musters her way to her knee and is briefly upright, but Maverick pulls her down and smacks her a few times with her left fist. Maverick imposes her weight on Cachoeira to keep her trapped in this awkward position, and Cachoeira still muscles her way back up. The second she does, Maverick strips her legs back out and dumps her to her back. This allows Maverick to move to side control, and she drives a knee to the midsection before lowering herself down. Maverick scores short punches to fluster the Brazilian, sitting comfortably in half guard, and Cachoeira is not making any overt effort to stand back up. Maverick traps Cachoeira’s right arm beneath her legs for a partial crucifix, and she hammers Cachoeira with thudding elbows. Cachoeira tugs her toes on the fence to try to escape, and Seljestad slaps them a few times to prevent the fence grabbing. Maverick rides out the remainder of the round, dropping down a few elbows and hammerfists.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The second round kicks off with an aggressive Maverick, who swarms with a big left hook and a few follow-up punches. When Cachoeira misses on the counter, Maverick reaches out and pops her with a left hook. Maverick drops down for a single-leg takedown, and Cachoeira shuts it down and misses with a short counter by a matter of inches. Cachoeira thwarts another takedown, although an uppercut from Maverick after it gets stifled busted her nose up. Maverick thwacks the inside leg of her opponent, and Cachoeira draws it back briefly. Cachoeira commits to defending the oncoming takedown, and she grips her left arm under the chin to potentially threaten with a guillotine choke. Cachoeira grabs the fence with her other hand instead of securing the submission, and Maverick doubles down on the attempt. Maverick slides her neck out of the dangerous position and slowly drags Cachoeira to the ground. Cachoeira has her hands slapped by Seljestad for grabbing the inside of Maverick’s gloves and then the cage, warned sternly for her fouls. Maverick secures the takedown and sits down in half guard, smothering Cachoeira and frustrating her with little left hands and elbows. Maverick smartly traps Cachoeira between the corner of the fence and the floor to disallow Cachoeira from going anywhere, and she tries to jump to the side and winds up falling into full mount. Maverick opens up with ground-and-pound, and Cachoeira bucks with all her might to get out of the precarious position. Cachoeira pulls on the fence with her fingers and toes, and the fouls allow her to turn all the way through and nearly get back up. Maverick, concerned only on her gameplan and not what the Brazilian is doing, wrenches Cachoeira to her back again. Maverick hacks down with a crisp elbow, and her grinding attack allows her to conclude this frame in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 3
Knowing Cachoeira is likely to come out guns blazing, Maverick keeps her distance early in the last round with multiple front kicks. Cachoeira swings for the bleachers with right hooks, and Maverick times this inaccurate strike to shoot in for a takedown. When this fails, Maverick redoubles her effort, scoring a clean right hand to set it up and perfectly deposit Cachoeira to the canvas courtesy of a double-leg takedown. When they hit the ground, Cachoeira’s arm inadvertently slides beneath one of Maverick’s shoulder straps, and it forces a brief wardrobe malfunction that Seljestad resets. Maverick, glad to be on top in side control, drops down a few strikes before shifting gears to north-south. When there is no submission to come from it, Maverick keeps moving and jumps into full mount. As Cachoeira defends from any oncoming fire, she leaves her right arm out just a little too long.
Maverick snatches it up and rolls to the side, setting the hook and wrenching down. Cachoeira taps out, and then taps a second time. Seljestad, watching very closely, does not intervene. Instead, Cachoeira taps out several more times, and he finally steps in.
Maverick could have cranked the elbow much harder, but out of sportsmanship decided not to destroy the arm of “Zombie Girl.” This one-side victory is an important one for Maverick, who reminds the rest of the flyweight division she is still a threat.

The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 2:11 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick but with very low confidence. He notes that Miranda is the better fighter overall and should be able to get takedowns and grind out a win, but he is concerned about her coming off a bad loss and the short notice. He thinks the odds are too high at -315 and is not betting on her, advising others to avoid it as well.

odds comment: -315 is crazy, she just took your money
"Miranda Maverick is the better fighter here Miranda should win super low confidence in that pick I'm spending absolutely no money on this and you shouldn't either minus 315 is crazy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by submission in the second round. He notes that Maverick has a clear path to victory by taking the fight to the mat, where Cachoeira is a fish out of water with poor takedown defense and submission grappling. He warns that if Maverick strikes, she risks getting caught by Cachoeira's power, but expects her to fight smart and capitalize on the matchup taken on short notice.

second round submission
"I like Miranda Maverick to win this fight by sub I'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody picks Cachoeira at plus money, citing her power, reach advantage, and grit. He questions Maverick's wrestling after her loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, where she was controlled. He notes Cachoeira's durability and ability to land big shots. He already bet her at +270.

"I grabbed it at plus 270"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

James sees this as a setup spot for Maverick, who has strong takedown ability and jiu-jitsu to exploit Cachoeira's grappling deficiency. He notes Cachoeira's recent wins are against lower-level competition and that her only correlated loss was a submission to Gillian Robertson. He expects Maverick to take her down and submit her, likely via rear-naked choke, though he acknowledges Cachoeira is tough and may survive to a decision.

under 2.5 rounds at -115
"I think Miranda Maverick gets her down and submits her just like Jillian Robertson did"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a strong grappler who will get takedowns and work from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but isn't ready for Maverick's overall game. Maverick will eventually open up a finishing opportunity. I'm taking Maverick to win inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds is not a bad spot.

inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds
"I'm taking Miranda Maverick to win inside the distance under two and a half not a bad spot either"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul leans Cachoeira, noting Maverick's poor striking and recent grappling struggles. He believes Cachoeira's power and volume on the feet can win rounds, especially if Maverick can't get takedowns. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.

"why not take that plus money flyer"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 63 of 127 49% 68 of 132 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Miranda Maverick 0 67 of 158 42% 115 of 235 1 of 1 100% 0 0 7:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 20 of 27 74% 25 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Miranda Maverick 0 10 of 23 43% 18 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:48
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 15 of 30 50% 15 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Miranda Maverick 0 12 of 33 36% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:21
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 28 of 70 40% 28 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Miranda Maverick 0 45 of 102 44% 50 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 63 of 127 49% 33 of 94 17 of 18 13 of 15 56 of 120 7 of 7 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 67 of 158 42% 52 of 140 15 of 18 0 of 0 53 of 138 13 of 18 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 20 of 27 74% 5 of 12 9 of 9 6 of 6 13 of 20 7 of 7 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 10 of 23 43% 6 of 19 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 19 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 15 of 30 50% 9 of 23 2 of 2 4 of 5 15 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 12 of 33 36% 7 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 28 of 70 40% 19 of 59 6 of 7 3 of 4 28 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Maverick 45 of 102 44% 39 of 93 6 of 9 0 of 0 40 of 91 4 of 9 1 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Miranda Maverick
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-295), Jasudavicius (+245)

Round 1
A place among the top 15 at flyweight looms for these next two women. Bolstered by her entrance to the “Top Gun” theme, Maverick (11-4, 4-2 UFC) is ready to disappoint the Canadian audience by handing Ontario’s Jasudavicius (8-2, 2-1 UFC) a defeat. This pairing will be joined by referee Jerin Valel, and they want to get right to it and blow past touching gloves. Maverick hops forward with a leg kick and hops away before she gets reached. The Canadian checks a leg kick and sticks out a jab, and Maverick moves around and scores one on either side of the inside calf. Jasudavicius flicks out a few punches, and Maverick retaliates with a solid body kick that leads to a clinch. Maverick aims punches and knees to the body when they are tied up in the middle of the cage, and Jasudavicius responds with some clinch strikes. Maverick frames off with an elbow and a right hand to break off, and she reaches a left to the body when she circles. Jasudavicius reaches her foe with a rangy right hand, and Maverick is on her bike chipping with kicks. Jasudavicius blocks a head kick, and she nearly hits a split to stuff a takedown from the Missouri native. Jasudavicius turns her around and throws her to her back, and Maverick is quick to set up a high guard with one leg on top of her foe’s shoulder. Maverick transitions to an armbar, and she sneaks her legs around to isolate Jasudavicius’s right arm and places the Canadian in the Danger Zone. Jasudavicius stacks Maverick up and presses her knee on Maverick’s neck to counter her uncomfortably. With Jasudavicius keeping her opponent squeezed awkwardly against the fencing, the leverage from Maverick is not right to secure the submission. Maverick holds on in this position until the horn stops the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick

Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle of the Octagon, and Jasudavicius leads off with a head kick. Maverick keeps her left arm high to block it, and she gets knocked back by a pair of punches from the Canadian. Maverick goes back to chipping at the lead wheel of her foe, working it from both sides and staying out of the way of the longer reaching Jasudavicius. The Canadian does get off a left hand and she aims a front kick, and Maverick stands in front of her and pops her with two crisp punches. Maverick gets off a few punches, and Jasudavicius from up close manages to smack Maverick in the face with a head kick. Maverick is shaken up, and this allows Jasudavicius to press her to the fence and knee her a few times. Maverick breaks away with an uppercut, and she just manages to dodge a head kick. When she resets and advances, Jasudavicius meets her coming in with a one-two. Maverick shoots from afar for a single, and Jasudavicius sweeps Maverick and dumps her to her back. Jasudavicius transitions to the side, only to get dragged back to the guard of the American. Jasudavicius keeps moving, and she takes mount and is tossed to half guard in a quick series of shifts. Maverick turns to her side and she eats several short punches, and elects to lay on her back. Jasudavicius steps over to secure mount, and she lets Maverick turn over to take Maverick’s back and get a hook in. Jasudavicius rolls along with Maverick and locks down the body triangle, and she starts smacking Maverick with left hands. Maverick gets her arm trapped, and Jasudavicius slithers her arm around the chin in pursuit of a rear-naked choke. Maverick barrel rolls, but Jasudavicius follows her every step of the way and gets the body triangle locked up again. Maverick spins to reverse the position, and Jasudavicius is slick and keeps her dominant position. Jasudavicius gets off several left hands when she takes mount back with seconds to spare, and this is where she ends the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 3
The last round begins with a Superwoman punch from Maverick, and Jasudavicius defends against it and flicks out a few jabs. Maverick spins with an elbow that is blocked, and she keeps her momentum going to kick the ribs. Jasudavicius grimaces and swipes out with a left hand, and Maverick targets the liver again. Jasudavicius walks Maverick down, and Maverick leans over to punch the same spot. Jasudavicius backs her up with long, straight punches, and she snaps the head back with a left. Jasudavicius attempts a head kick, and Maverick closes the distance to not let it catch her up to. Maverick times an advancing Jasudavicius with an uppercut, and this fires Jasudavicius up. Jasudavicius unleashes a fire and fury in the form of a long string of punches, and Maverick ricochets off the fence and retreats from that salvo of blows. Maverick reaches a left hand over the guard, and Jasudavicius tags her with a combination. Jasudavicius walks Maverick down and chains a knee to a few punches to an elbow. Jasudavicius grows some swelling around the eye of the American quickly from her heavy shots, and Maverick stops her in her tracks for a second with a step-in elbow. Maverick dodges a front kick to the face, responds with a high kick that slaps in the armpit, and she gets knocked back with a right hand. Maverick shoots for an ill-advised takedown, and like the previous rounds, Jasudavicius is the one to come up with the better position. Maverick turns to her knees and looks to wall-walk when Jasudavicius has her hands clasped from behind. Maverick stands, and Jasudavicius has her from behind and lets Maverick turn to the wall. With seconds to spare, Jasudavicius lays into Maverick with a series of punches, and she ignores one coming back from Maverick when Maverick escapes with seconds to spare. Jasudavicius pops Maverick once more before the final bell rings, and Canada may have another winner tonight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Miranda Maverick via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a significant underdog. He highlights her high-level wrestling credentials as a Canadian national champion, and believes she can outwrestle Miranda Maverick. He notes that Miranda's game plan will be to outwrestle a national champion, which he doubts will work. He placed a quarter unit bet on Jasmine at +250.

Bet: 0.25 units on Jasmine Jasudavicius moneyline at +250
"I threw a quarter of a unit on her at plus 250"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick but is hesitant due to the high price. He notes that Jasudavicius has a path to victory via takedowns and top control, which is concerning. However, Maverick is younger, a better striker, and a black belt in BJJ. He expects Maverick to keep the fight standing or scramble back up if taken down, winning a decision. He cautions against betting at -290.

caution against betting at -290
"I would caution anybody wanting to go out there and lay minus 290 on Maverick I think that's pretty ridiculous but if you're looking for a winner I think she wins the fight and I'll say she wins this fight …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing advantages in speed, distance management, and wrestling. He notes that Jasudavicius likes to stand and brawl, but Maverick is fleet-footed and can stay in and out of the pocket. He believes Maverick can win standing or on the ground, and expects a decision. He also likes the over on Maverick's significant strikes.

Over 45.5 significant strikes for Maverick on PrizePicks; fight goes to decision
"I would have to same random Maverick who's not a finisher by no stretch and Jasmine's Rock Solid durability uh durable so FICO is the distance"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Connor also picks Miranda Maverick, emphasizing her physical edge: she is harder hitting, stronger, and more mobile. He notes that Maverick has a straightforward game plan to win easily and can afford to make more mistakes than Jasudavicius. However, he warns that if Jasudavicius gets underhooks first and takes Maverick down, she will do a lot of damage and narrow the room for error. Connor believes Maverick's athleticism and improved instruction will carry her.

Maverick opened -261, now -291; Jasudavicius opened +225, now +247
"Yeah, I'm going to take maverick as well. I mean, I think it starts with just having a fairly obvious physical edge."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Levi picks Jasmine Jasudavicius for value, noting that she moves better than Maverick and has a longer reach. He thinks if she can stuff takedowns, she can win with volume. He is concerned about her cardio in round three, but sees Maverick's striking as awkward and slow. He believes the line is too wide and that Jasudavicius has a real path to victory, possibly by decision.

likes the spread bet on Jasudavicius
"I think there's a ton of value to be had with jazz here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

James picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a live underdog at +250. He thinks the line is inflated; he would line Maverick at -165. He acknowledges Maverick is better or equal in most areas but by slim margins. Jasudavicius has higher pace and aggression, and James believes she can win rounds and possibly land takedowns. He expects a close back-and-forth fight that could go to a split decision. He also mentions the plus-3.5 spread as a potential bet.

Jasmine Jasudavicius by points (buy points) in degenerate parlay
"I think Jasmine's a good spot here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius has a size and wrestling advantage, and she showed improved striking setups in her last fight. Maverick struggles against grapplers who can take her down, as seen in the Blanchfield loss. However, Maverick's jiu-jitsu off her back is dangerous, and Jasudavicius must maintain top pressure without gassing. The odds are closer than implied, making Jasudavicius a live underdog.

"give me Jazz divisius I think she wins this fight by decision low confidence"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Jasudavicius' typical clinch and wrestling advantages won't work against Maverick's strength and leverage. He believes Maverick's speed and footwork will allow her to outpoint Jasudavicius on the feet, and she can also score takedowns. He expects a decision win for Maverick.

Fight goes to decision
"I think Maverick's able to secure takedowns just use that physicality and win a decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her solid grappling and competitive losses to top fighters like Erin Blanchfield and Macy Barber (where he believes she was robbed). He thinks Jasudavicius is primarily a striker and cannot out-grapple Maverick. He expects Maverick to mix in grappling and win a decision.

"gotta go with Miranda Maverick here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Zane picks Miranda Maverick, citing her physical advantages: she is faster, stronger, and more mobile than Jasudavicius. He notes that Maverick has a lot of room for error due to her athleticism, and that she has shown good signs of taking her career seriously at Team Elevation. However, he worries that Jasudavicius has figured out her game faster—using pressure and body lock takedowns—and that if she gets top position, she can do a lot of damage. Zane thinks Maverick can win by staying at range and not letting Jasudavicius tie up.

Maverick opened -261, now -291; Jasudavicius opened +225, now +247
"I'm gonna pick maverick, but like it really is a case for her with her where it's just like just tighten it up."
WIN vs Shanna Young
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 63 of 108 58% 172 of 240 5 of 8 62% 1 0 9:14
Shanna Young 0 29 of 82 35% 29 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 22 of 52 42% 41 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Shanna Young 0 18 of 48 37% 18 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Miranda Maverick 0 22 of 30 73% 52 of 67 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:39
Shanna Young 0 6 of 19 31% 6 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Miranda Maverick 0 19 of 26 73% 79 of 99 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:08
Shanna Young 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 63 of 108 58% 43 of 85 14 of 16 6 of 7 38 of 80 3 of 3 22 of 25
Shanna Young 29 of 82 35% 20 of 73 5 of 5 4 of 4 29 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 22 of 52 42% 13 of 40 3 of 5 6 of 7 20 of 50 0 of 0 2 of 2
Shanna Young 18 of 48 37% 13 of 43 2 of 2 3 of 3 18 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 22 of 30 73% 13 of 21 9 of 9 0 of 0 8 of 15 3 of 3 11 of 12
Shanna Young 6 of 19 31% 4 of 17 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 19 of 26 73% 17 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 15 0 of 0 9 of 11
Shanna Young 5 of 15 33% 3 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo is very confident in Maverick, expecting her to come forward, get takedowns, and bully her way to a win similar to her last fight. He notes Young is a solid boxer but lacks takedowns in the UFC and has BJJ gaps. He calls Maverick a parlay piece and says the odds will be stupid wide, advising to bet early.

I think Maverick is a parlay piece even at the odds that she is now she's absolutely gonna win this fight I think these odds are going to be stupid stupid wide come fight night so I would hop on Miranda Maverick
"I see Maverick coming forward working inside getting the takedowns and just bullying her way to a win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady recalls their previous fight where Maverick submitted Young in the first round in Invicta. He believes Maverick is the better striker and grappler, and Young's takedown defense is not enough to stop Maverick. He expects a repeat performance with a first-round submission.

Maverick wins by submission in round 1
"I like Maverick to win here I like Maverick to win instead of the distance and I'm gonna take Maverick to win by once again first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody picks Miranda Maverick, noting that she already finished Young in the first round in Invicta. He acknowledges that Young has improved since moving to Las Vegas and getting a win over Gina Mazany, but he doesn't see where Young wins. Maverick is more physical, has superior ground game, and is training with top competition. He predicts Maverick will submit Young, likely in the second or early third round. He is not excited about the -650 moneyline but likes Maverick by submission.

Miranda Maverick by submission
"I'm leaning towards Maverick by submission I think it probably happens sometime in the second maybe early in the third likely late in the second"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Connor agrees with Zane, adding that Maverick is comfortable pressuring and converting clinch into takedowns. He notes that Shanna Young is a poor matchup for Maverick because she lacks the defensive wrestling to stop takedowns, and Maverick's recent improvements make this a gimme.

"I got nothing. I think you hit all the appropriate nails on their respective heads."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating she is simply outmatched and the odds reflect that. He notes Maverick's country girl strength, improved striking-to-takedown flow, and intelligence, while Shanna Young may be hungry but is outclassed.

"give me a Miranda Maverick to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The host is very high on Maverick, citing her improving skills, new gym (Elevation Fight Team), and superior ground game. He expects her to dominate Young, who is a decent striker but weak on the ground. He predicts a finish inside the distance and may bet the under 2.5 rounds if plus money.

Maverick inside the distance; under 2.5 rounds if plus money
"I really like Maverick in this spot and I think she cruises"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul agrees with Cody and is loading up on the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at -110. He notes that Maverick already finished Young in the first round, so he likes the prop over the moneyline. He thinks Maverick will get the job done inside the distance again.

fight doesn't go to decision -110
"I'm just loading up one of my sports books that's open up ... because I want to go fight doesn't go to decision is minus 110 there it's just like they've already fought and she finished her in the first …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, calling her underrated and noting she clearly beat Maycee Barber. He highlights her training at Elevation Fight Team, age 25, and wrestling skills. He dismisses Shanna Young's win over Gina Mazany and believes Maverick will win a 30-27 unanimous decision, outclassing Young.

30-27 unanimous decision
"I'm going with Miranda Maverick I think she's very underrated... I'll go with her winning this by 30-27 unanimous decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Zane is confident Maverick will dominate, citing her pressure, clinch work, and takedowns. He notes that Shanna Young was easily controlled by Gina Mazany, and Maverick is a better athlete and grappler. Maverick's recent move to a new camp had a rough transition but looked better against Mazo, and Young will give her free rein to work her clinch and takedowns.

"Miranda Maverick is going to absolutely trounce Shanna Young. And that's all you need to know."
WIN vs Sabina Mazo
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 48 31% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 19 of 50 38% 45 of 85 4 of 7 57% 1 0 4:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 5 of 17 29% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 21 42% 35 of 56 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:46
2 Miranda Maverick 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 15 of 48 31% 8 of 37 1 of 4 6 of 7 15 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 19 of 50 38% 10 of 36 2 of 6 7 of 8 16 of 43 0 of 1 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 5 of 17 29% 2 of 11 0 of 2 3 of 4 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 9 of 21 42% 5 of 14 0 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 14 0 of 1 3 of 6
2 Miranda Maverick 10 of 31 32% 6 of 26 1 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 10 of 29 34% 5 of 22 2 of 3 3 of 4 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.

"I think miranda maverick is too strong and has too much forward pressure for mazzo here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).

"i'll say she uh she grinds out a decision here some decision random maverick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.

i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of price on miranda maverick
"i still think she gets it done i still think she's slightly uh more physical and has more paths to victory so i'm gonna pick her for that reason i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.

Inside the distance line is mentioned as a potential play; predicted third-round TKO via ground and pound.
"I like Maverick a lot in this spot. I think she cruises pretty easily. So, let's go ... I'm going to go Miranda Maverick second or third round let's call it third round TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.

30-27 decision or rear-naked choke
"i am going to go with miranda maverick here over sabine marzo i think miranda maverick's got a good grappling advantage here"
Expert Picks (2)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her aggression, volume, and black belt in jiu-jitsu. He notes that he took Blanchfield at +135 earlier in the week, seeing value. Levi believes the striking can be even, with Blanchfield having more volume and Maverick more power. On the mat, Blanchfield has a black belt vs Maverick's brown belt. He acknowledges Blanchfield is smaller but likes her toughness and competition outside the UFC. He expects a close decision and likes the dog odds.

bet at +135
"i'm going aaron blanchfield here i mean shaq said he thinks it's gonna be a close split decision type five so if that's the case i mean then i think i got value on the plus 135 i took on aaron blanchfield earlier this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision (30-27). He believes Maverick is a level above Blanchfield, with better striking and takedown defense. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Maverick will outpoint Blanchfield. He acknowledges Blanchfield's grappling but thinks Maverick can negate it.

30-27 decision
"i'm gonna go with miranda maverick here erin blanchfield is quite good at grappling there is a chance at an upset here"