vs
-165 +195
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier Next Fight
Age 41
Height 5' 10"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 36
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ryan Hall
2.38 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
1.33 SApM
65.0% Str. Def.
0.22 TD Avg
9.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
2.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Darrick Minner
2.63 SLpM
65.0% Str. Acc.
2.28 SApM
35.0% Str. Def.
2.4 TD Avg
72.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
2.7 Sub. Avg
Ryan Hall
Moneyline
DraftKings -165
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1000
Submission
FanDuel +140
Decision
FanDuel +380
Darrick Minner
Moneyline
BetWay +195
KO/TKO
BetRivers +600
Submission
FanDuel +850
Decision
DraftKings +425
Ryan Hall - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Hall 0 40 of 49 81% 163 of 180 0 of 2 0% 7 3 5:37
Darrick Minner 0 26 of 45 57% 56 of 78 1 of 1 100% 0 1 4:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Hall 0 5 of 7 71% 33 of 39 0 of 1 0% 2 2 1:40
Darrick Minner 0 15 of 28 53% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:47
2 Ryan Hall 0 17 of 20 85% 73 of 79 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:14
Darrick Minner 0 8 of 13 61% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:37
3 Ryan Hall 0 18 of 22 81% 57 of 62 0 of 0 --- 3 1 3:43
Darrick Minner 0 3 of 4 75% 22 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Hall 40 of 49 81% 22 of 31 18 of 18 0 of 0 7 of 12 1 of 1 32 of 36
Darrick Minner 26 of 45 57% 16 of 33 6 of 7 4 of 5 17 of 31 3 of 3 6 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Hall 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 1
Darrick Minner 15 of 28 53% 7 of 18 4 of 5 4 of 5 11 of 21 3 of 3 1 of 4
2 Ryan Hall 17 of 20 85% 15 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 15 of 16
Darrick Minner 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 5
3 Ryan Hall 18 of 22 81% 6 of 10 12 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 19
Darrick Minner 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

Big Brady picks Ryan Hall by submission in the second round, but he is not fully confident. He notes that Minner is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with poor submission defense (8 submission losses) and tends to gas out after the first round. Hall is a phenomenal grappler, but his striking is unorthodox and he looked bad in his last fight. Brady believes Minner will engage in grappling and eventually get caught in a submission as he tires. He recommends staying away from this fight due to its unpredictability.

Hall by submission in round 2
"i'm going to say second round submission for ryan hall here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

Daniel Levi picks Ryan Hall to win by submission, specifically a leg lock. He notes that Darrick Minner is a submission specialist himself but tends to get submitted when he grapples with elite jiu-jitsu practitioners. Levi believes Minner will try to grapple with Hall, which plays into Hall's strength. He also mentions that if the fight stays standing, Hall's unorthodox spin kicks could be effective. Levi is confident Hall will find a submission.

submission, leg lock
"give me ryan hall the uh some kind of leg lock"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Dec 10, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Darrick Minner

This is a volatile fight. Minner has discipline issues and a questionable gas tank, but if he stays disciplined and counters Hall's unorthodox striking, he can win a decision. Hall's BJJ is a threat, but if he can't get the fight to the ground, he struggles. Minner's path is to avoid submissions and grind out a win, but confidence is low.

"i am ultimately going to go on the derek winner side and say that he stays away from all the unorthodox [ __ ] that reinhard brings to the table here and he goes on to win a very ugly …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Hall to win by submission, specifically a heel hook in the second round. He acknowledges Darrick Minner's capabilities but believes Hall's ground game will be too much. He predicts Minner will eventually end up in Hall's guard, allowing Hall to secure a leg submission.

heel hook submission in second round
"i'm going to go the hill hook finish for ryan hall his his signature move he gets the leg derek minner ends up on top of him ryan hall pulls guard goes for a leg gets the hill hook and …"
LOSS vs Ilia Topuria
KO (punches) R1 4:47 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 0 10 of 17 58% 13 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Ryan Hall 0 18 of 32 56% 18 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 0 10 of 17 58% 13 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Ryan Hall 0 18 of 32 56% 18 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 10 of 17 58% 2 of 7 4 of 5 4 of 5 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ryan Hall 18 of 32 56% 11 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 6 3 of 8 0 of 0 15 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 10 of 17 58% 2 of 7 4 of 5 4 of 5 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ryan Hall 18 of 32 56% 11 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 6 3 of 8 0 of 0 15 of 24
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ryan Hall vs. Ilia Topuria

Round 1
The next matchup is a highly anticipated featherweight tilt between the returning grappling wizard Hall (8-1, 4-0 UFC) against the unbeaten Spaniard Topuria (10-0, 2-0 UFC). Something’s gotta give between these two, with Hall’s last loss coming in 2006 while Topuria has yet to taste defeat. Referee Jason Herzog will be taking charge to make sure everything is above board, and a half-hearted glove touch is what we get to start the fight. Hall meets him in the center of the cage and backs away, circling around the cage while Topuria stalks him down. Hall lands the first strike, a kick to the body, and Topuria just looks at him. Hall pump-fakes a possible takedown to get a reaction out of the Spaniard, and he hits him with a spinning hook kick. Hall rolls for an Imanari roll to pursue a leg, and Topuria does not bite, kicks his outstretched leg a few times and lets him stand back up. Hall whiffs on a left hand, and another as he rolls for some sort of a tackle to grab Topuria’s leg. Once more, Topuria shrugs it off and lets Hall somersault around to miss. Hall’s fourth roll manages to snare Topuria, and he grabs Topuria’s glove to hold on to him but cannot keep him grounded. Hall rolls through and elbows Topuria in the side of the head, and Topuria takes his back and lands a few punches before breaking free. Hall walks into a few punches, and Topuria gets confident as he cracks Hall with a right hand. Hall flops to roll and take him down, and he lets Topuria wade into his guard but Topuria springs out of the way. Hall ducks a punch with his hands down, and he boots Topuria in the body twice. “The Wizard” rolls through a few more times, and Topuria never bites so the crowd begins to turn on him. The Spaniard stings him with a right hand, and Hall ducks down to roll and grab a heel but cannot get it. Hall continues to roll around and pop back up as if he were in a gymnastics class, and Topuria walks into a right hand but darts out of the way from yet another Hall roll. Hall connects with a spinning heel kick, and he dodges and weaves from any Topuria aggression. When Hall attempts another heel kick, Topuria closes the distance to bully Hall to the ground.
“El Matador” dives after him and stuns him with hammerfists, and his right hand starts to do damage as he continues to club Hall on the chin again and again. As Hall turns to his side, he has no where else to go and is trapped, and Topuria keeps smashing him in the face. The damage mounts until Hall is relieved of his consciousness, and Herzog steps in to stop the fight.
This is a huge win for the undefeated Topuria, who may have just earned a spot on the rankings with a smart performance.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Ryan Hall R1 4:47 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo picks Topuria, believing the sport has passed Hall by. He notes Topuria has superior wrestling, traditional jiu-jitsu, and striking. He doesn't see Hall catching Topuria in a submission. He agrees with the DraftKings price and odds.

"i think the sport has sort of passed him by i think japora's uh legitimate wrestling background combined with his jiu-jitsu i think he can get it to the ground"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Big Brady picks Ilia Topuria to win by decision. He notes Topuria is good everywhere, a great striker with power, a solid wrestler, and a black belt in BJJ. He thinks Topuria can close the distance and keep the fight on the feet, avoiding Hall's guard. He acknowledges Hall's tricky style and underrated striking, but believes Topuria's youth, activity, and game plan will prevail. He mentions a possible knockout but leans decision.

"i do think he's going to win a decision against ryan hall"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Cody picks Topuria, citing his body work, power, and takedown defense. He notes Hall's dangerous jiu-jitsu but thinks Topuria's striking and physicality will be too much. He expects Topuria to win by decision or TKO.

"ilia torpurio wins 70 to 75 percent of the time in this matchup and i think it's a lot of like he just like melts his body and just roasts his liver"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Levi picks Ilia Topuria to win. He respects Ryan Hall's unique leglock game and spin kicks, but believes Topuria's confidence, youth, and well-rounded skills will neutralize Hall. He notes that Topuria has knockout power, good grappling, and heart, as shown when he got dropped and came back to win. He worries that Topuria's overconfidence could lead him to engage on the mat, but thinks he has the goods to win. He finds the plus 200 on Hall tempting but sticks with Topuria.

"i'm going to take to porya"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

Jacob is extremely confident in Hall, calling it his most confident lock of the week ever. He believes Hall's unorthodox jiu-jitsu and kicks will lead to a submission. He notes Hall's ability to incorporate kicks to set up takedowns and that nobody wants to fight him. He plans to bet on Hall at plus odds.

Ryan Hall by submission at plus odds
"the most confident lock of the week i've ever had in my life ryan hall will find a way to submit this guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

I'm going with Topuria by KO. He is a young, hot prospect with great grappling and striking. Hall is wild and unorthodox, but Topuria's striking is much better. Topuria can also grapple with Hall if needed. I think Topuria will land a knockout after accumulating damage, probably in the second or third round. I like Topuria inside the distance and by KO.

Topuria inside the distance (+120), Topuria by KO (+195)
"i'm going with tuporia by finish... i think that tupora definitely can um find the knockout shot here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Paul picks Topuria, noting his well-rounded skills, youth, and improvement. He thinks Topuria's takedown defense and striking will neutralize Hall's jiu-jitsu. He expects Topuria to dictate where the fight takes place and win by decision.

"i'm going to take to pouria i'm leaning towards that deporya by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Ilia Topuria

The Guru predicts Topuria will win by first-round KO. He expects Hall to dive for leg locks and use imanari rolls, but Topuria will escape and kick Hall's leg while Hall is on his back. Hall will get back up and throw wheel kicks, but each time Topuria will close the distance and smother him. Topuria will work the body throughout, causing Hall to hunch over. Then Topuria will land a lead left hook to the body followed by a right hand over the top to knock Hall out.

Topuria wins by KO in round 1
"ilya tapiria gets this one done by first round ko body shot right hand over the top lands on ryan hall who's expecting body shots"
WIN vs Darren Elkins
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: de Randamie vs. Ladd · Jul 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Hall 0 29 of 126 23% 31 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:49
Darren Elkins 2 36 of 83 43% 40 of 93 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Hall 0 9 of 38 23% 9 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Darren Elkins 1 12 of 24 50% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:04
2 Ryan Hall 0 11 of 44 25% 13 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Darren Elkins 1 11 of 23 47% 12 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Ryan Hall 0 9 of 44 20% 9 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Darren Elkins 0 13 of 36 36% 14 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Hall 29 of 126 23% 8 of 83 11 of 20 10 of 23 16 of 84 1 of 3 12 of 39
Darren Elkins 36 of 83 43% 15 of 47 13 of 27 8 of 9 34 of 78 0 of 1 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Hall 9 of 38 23% 2 of 20 1 of 2 6 of 16 2 of 17 1 of 1 6 of 20
Darren Elkins 12 of 24 50% 6 of 13 4 of 8 2 of 3 11 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Ryan Hall 11 of 44 25% 5 of 34 5 of 7 1 of 3 7 of 32 0 of 0 4 of 12
Darren Elkins 11 of 23 47% 5 of 15 5 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 21 0 of 1 1 of 1
3 Ryan Hall 9 of 44 20% 1 of 29 5 of 11 3 of 4 7 of 35 0 of 2 2 of 7
Darren Elkins 13 of 36 36% 4 of 19 4 of 12 5 of 5 13 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 2
WIN vs B.J. Penn
Submission (heel hook) R1 2:46 · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 29, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Hall 0 3 of 8 37% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:33
B.J. Penn 0 6 of 15 40% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Hall 0 3 of 8 37% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:33
B.J. Penn 0 6 of 15 40% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Hall 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 3
B.J. Penn 6 of 15 40% 0 of 7 1 of 2 5 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Hall 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 3
B.J. Penn 6 of 15 40% 0 of 7 1 of 2 5 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Gray Maynard
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · Dec 03, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Hall 0 12 of 42 28% 17 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:57
Gray Maynard 0 46 of 117 39% 53 of 124 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Hall 0 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Gray Maynard 0 12 of 36 33% 13 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Ryan Hall 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Gray Maynard 0 17 of 48 35% 18 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ryan Hall 0 4 of 13 30% 9 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
Gray Maynard 0 17 of 33 51% 22 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Hall 12 of 42 28% 4 of 27 5 of 8 3 of 7 9 of 36 0 of 0 3 of 6
Gray Maynard 46 of 117 39% 14 of 44 19 of 53 13 of 20 43 of 113 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Hall 5 of 16 31% 2 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 3 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gray Maynard 12 of 36 33% 1 of 11 7 of 17 4 of 8 11 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ryan Hall 3 of 13 23% 2 of 10 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
Gray Maynard 17 of 48 35% 5 of 20 8 of 22 4 of 6 17 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ryan Hall 4 of 13 30% 0 of 5 3 of 4 1 of 4 2 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 5
Gray Maynard 17 of 33 51% 8 of 13 4 of 14 5 of 6 15 of 30 1 of 2 1 of 1
WIN vs Artem Lobov
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · Dec 11, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Hall 0 2 of 11 18% 13 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 5:07
Artem Lobov 0 23 of 41 56% 169 of 201 1 of 3 33% 1 0 7:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Hall 0 0 of 0 --- 7 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Artem Lobov 0 7 of 10 70% 65 of 75 0 of 0 --- 1 0 4:31
2 Ryan Hall 0 1 of 8 12% 5 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:31
Artem Lobov 0 9 of 19 47% 60 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ryan Hall 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
Artem Lobov 0 7 of 12 58% 44 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Hall 2 of 11 18% 1 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Artem Lobov 23 of 41 56% 15 of 25 1 of 8 7 of 8 9 of 24 0 of 0 14 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Hall 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Artem Lobov 7 of 10 70% 5 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 6
2 Ryan Hall 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Artem Lobov 9 of 19 47% 6 of 11 0 of 4 3 of 4 4 of 13 0 of 0 5 of 6
3 Ryan Hall 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Artem Lobov 7 of 12 58% 4 of 6 0 of 3 3 of 3 3 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 5
Darrick Minner - Fight History
TKO (elbows) R1 1:07 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Darrick Minner 1 19 of 36 52% 32 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Darrick Minner 1 19 of 36 52% 32 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Darrick Minner 19 of 36 52% 19 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 15 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Darrick Minner 19 of 36 52% 19 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 15 of 26
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Angelo picks Nuerdanbieke, impressed by his fight IQ and ability to initiate and control grappling. He notes Minner is better than his record but was outstruck by Ryan Hall, which is embarrassing. He expects Nuerdanbieke to bully forward and control on the mat. He mentions he got the moneyline at -200.

I got money line I got it at minus 200
"I really like shylon to initiate and control the grappling here I think he can bully his way forward control Derek on the mat"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Darrick Minner

Big Brady sees Minner as a live dog due to his dangerous submission game and Nuerdanbieke's history of being submitted. He notes Minner's improvements with coach James Krause and his ability to survive submissions (e.g., against Ryan Hall). He predicts Minner will find a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Minner could gas out if it goes longer.

Minner wins by submission in round 1
"I think Minner is a super live dog here I think Nur and Becky has been submitted a ton nerdin Becky has put himself into a lot of bad spots and he is fighting the most dangerous Grappler to date …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Darrick Minner

Cody picks Darrick Minner as an underdog, noting his one-dimensional submission game, especially a nasty guillotine. He thinks Minner could catch Nuerdanbieke early in transition, as Nuerdanbieke has shown poor wrestling and Jiu-Jitsu in his UFC debut against Josh Culibao and was taken down by Sean Soriano. Minner's cardio is questionable, but if he doesn't finish in the first round, Cody suggests live betting Nuerdanbieke. He sees Minner as a live underdog who could snatch a submission.

Darrick Minner by submission +350 (considering), under 2.5 rounds
"I will take three straight underdogs maybe just if two of them hit it's gonna be fine for me but um yeah those are like the core of my underdogs on the card I think yeah for the purposes of …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Darrick Minner

Connor picks Minner because Nuerdanbieke has six submission losses, four in the first round, and Minner is a fast, opportunistic grappler who capitalizes on mistakes. He acknowledges that if the fight goes past the first round, Nuerdanbieke likely wins, but Minner's early explosiveness and submission threat are decisive. Connor notes that Nuerdanbieke's losses to T.J. Brown and Sean Soriano show he can be broken by aggressive fighters like Minner.

Minner inside the distance +300, Minner wins in round 1 +650
"I'm picking Derek Minner. Because Shailan Nodembeke has six submission losses to in his career, half of four of which have come in the first round."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Daniel Levi picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, citing his strength and top control. He notes that Darrick Minner is dangerous early with submissions but tends to fatigue, and once Shayilan neutralizes those early threats, he can dominate the second and third rounds.

"my pick will be shy Elon here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 31, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

The host sees Minner as sub-round-one-or-bust, with a dangerous submission threat early. He expects Shayilan to survive the early danger, use his strong clinch and grappling to grind Minner down, and win by decision. He notes the line is typical for a fighter with a wider path to victory but warns Minner could catch a desperation guillotine. He passes on betting.

Minner sub round one at +300/+400 as a possible bet
"I'm gonna lean with uh Shai Elon here thinking that he should be able to grind this one out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Darrick Minner

Paul is more drawn to the under 2.5 rounds than the moneyline. He notes that Nuerdanbieke has been submitted by nobodies on the Chinese regional scene, and while he survived four submission attempts against TJ Brown, that's not high-level competition. Minner tends to gas if he doesn't get the early finish, but Paul thinks the fight ends inside the distance. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop over the moneyline.

under 2.5 rounds
"I'm more drawn to the under two and a half rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

The MMA Guru picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, citing his weird strength, improved cardio, and methodical style. He notes that Minner has pulled off upsets but against wild opponents, while Nuerdanbieke is technical and low-risk. He predicts a 29-28 decision in a competitive fight, respecting Minner's abilities.

29-28 decision
"I'm going with shailan nordiumbecke here I think he's going to win this fight very clearly... 29-28 in a pretty competitive fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Zane favors Nuerdanbieke because Minner is a first-round finish machine who often gasses if he doesn't get the early stoppage. Nuerdanbieke is durable, pushes a high pace, and has good transitional skills, which should wear Minner down as the fight goes on. Zane notes that Minner's recent decision win over Charles Rosa was more about Rosa's passive style than Minner's improvement, and Nuerdanbieke's aggression will break him.

Minner inside the distance +300, Minner wins in round 1 +650, Nuerdanbieke by TKO/KO +200
"I straight away I'm just favoring Shailan nerd on Bekay because he looks like a guy you would expect to like do way too much early in gas."
LOSS vs Ryan Hall
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Hall 0 40 of 49 81% 163 of 180 0 of 2 0% 7 3 5:37
Darrick Minner 0 26 of 45 57% 56 of 78 1 of 1 100% 0 1 4:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Hall 0 5 of 7 71% 33 of 39 0 of 1 0% 2 2 1:40
Darrick Minner 0 15 of 28 53% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:47
2 Ryan Hall 0 17 of 20 85% 73 of 79 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:14
Darrick Minner 0 8 of 13 61% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:37
3 Ryan Hall 0 18 of 22 81% 57 of 62 0 of 0 --- 3 1 3:43
Darrick Minner 0 3 of 4 75% 22 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Hall 40 of 49 81% 22 of 31 18 of 18 0 of 0 7 of 12 1 of 1 32 of 36
Darrick Minner 26 of 45 57% 16 of 33 6 of 7 4 of 5 17 of 31 3 of 3 6 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Hall 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 1
Darrick Minner 15 of 28 53% 7 of 18 4 of 5 4 of 5 11 of 21 3 of 3 1 of 4
2 Ryan Hall 17 of 20 85% 15 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 15 of 16
Darrick Minner 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 5
3 Ryan Hall 18 of 22 81% 6 of 10 12 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 19
Darrick Minner 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

Big Brady picks Ryan Hall by submission in the second round, but he is not fully confident. He notes that Minner is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with poor submission defense (8 submission losses) and tends to gas out after the first round. Hall is a phenomenal grappler, but his striking is unorthodox and he looked bad in his last fight. Brady believes Minner will engage in grappling and eventually get caught in a submission as he tires. He recommends staying away from this fight due to its unpredictability.

Hall by submission in round 2
"i'm going to say second round submission for ryan hall here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

Daniel Levi picks Ryan Hall to win by submission, specifically a leg lock. He notes that Darrick Minner is a submission specialist himself but tends to get submitted when he grapples with elite jiu-jitsu practitioners. Levi believes Minner will try to grapple with Hall, which plays into Hall's strength. He also mentions that if the fight stays standing, Hall's unorthodox spin kicks could be effective. Levi is confident Hall will find a submission.

submission, leg lock
"give me ryan hall the uh some kind of leg lock"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Dec 10, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Darrick Minner

This is a volatile fight. Minner has discipline issues and a questionable gas tank, but if he stays disciplined and counters Hall's unorthodox striking, he can win a decision. Hall's BJJ is a threat, but if he can't get the fight to the ground, he struggles. Minner's path is to avoid submissions and grind out a win, but confidence is low.

"i am ultimately going to go on the derek winner side and say that he stays away from all the unorthodox [ __ ] that reinhard brings to the table here and he goes on to win a very ugly …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Hall to win by submission, specifically a heel hook in the second round. He acknowledges Darrick Minner's capabilities but believes Hall's ground game will be too much. He predicts Minner will eventually end up in Hall's guard, allowing Hall to secure a leg submission.

heel hook submission in second round
"i'm going to go the hill hook finish for ryan hall his his signature move he gets the leg derek minner ends up on top of him ryan hall pulls guard goes for a leg gets the hill hook and …"
LOSS vs Darren Elkins
TKO (punches) R2 3:48 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Jul 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darren Elkins 0 20 of 30 66% 137 of 154 1 of 2 50% 0 2 3:01
Darrick Minner 0 19 of 35 54% 36 of 55 2 of 2 100% 3 2 4:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darren Elkins 0 4 of 7 57% 43 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 1 0:44
Darrick Minner 0 19 of 33 57% 36 of 53 1 of 1 100% 3 2 3:17
2 Darren Elkins 0 16 of 23 69% 94 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:17
Darrick Minner 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darren Elkins 20 of 30 66% 18 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 2 of 3 16 of 23
Darrick Minner 19 of 35 54% 14 of 27 4 of 5 1 of 3 5 of 13 4 of 7 10 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darren Elkins 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 1
Darrick Minner 19 of 33 57% 14 of 25 4 of 5 1 of 3 5 of 12 4 of 7 10 of 14
2 Darren Elkins 16 of 23 69% 16 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 22
Darrick Minner 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Darrick Minner

Angelo picks Darrick Minner because he is the more technical fighter, improving, and has a relentless pace. He expects Minner to take Elkins down and finish with elbows. He likes the under on rounds and the less/less on monkey knife fight, predicting a stoppage. He has Minner in his DraftKings lineup.

under on rounds; less/less on monkey knife fight
"i have derrick minor winning i have derrick minner in my lineup"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Darren Elkins

Big Brady picks the dog Darren Elkins despite his age (37) and damage taken, because he questions Darrick Minner's cardio after only one fight showing improved stamina. He notes Elkins has not been submitted since 2010 (only loss to Charles Oliveira) and has faced strong grapplers. He expects Minner to have early success but fade, allowing Elkins to finish late. He calls this the hardest fight to call on the card.

Elkins by second round finish (KO or sub)
"i'm gonna side with the dog and darren elkins... i'm going to say that elkins pushes a pace that manor is not going to be able to keep up with"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Darren Elkins

Cody picks Elkins as a dog, citing his experience against top competition and his wrestling and cardio advantages. He thinks Minner's style is erratic and his cardio is suspect, and that if Minner doesn't get a first-round submission, Elkins will grind him out. He notes Elkins is a larger man and should be able to wrestle him.

"i'm gonna go with jared elkins take a dog pick here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Darrick Minner

Daniel Levi picks Darrick Minner to dominate, noting that Minner is in the best part of his career with Krause's coaching, while Elkins' best days are behind him. He expects Minner to control the minutes, possibly via doctor stoppage or clear decision, as Elkins cuts easily and gets taken down. Levi warns about Minner's history of being finished but believes Elkins won't win rounds.

"i think minor can open blood on this guy very early"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Darrick Minner

Jacob picks Darrick Minner because he thinks Minner will eventually submit Elkins. He notes that Elkins is tough and has fought top competition, but Minner is younger and improving. He likes the more/more on monkey knife fight, expecting a grappling-heavy fight with lots of action. He acknowledges that Elkins is always live but thinks Minner gets the job done.

more/more on monkey knife fight
"minor i think eventually we'll we'll submit them some minutes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Darren Elkins

The host picks Darren Elkins, citing his durability, wrestling, and experience. He believes Minner's cardio issues will be exposed as Elkins pressures him. He notes Minner's recent decision win was against a weak opponent and that Elkins has not been submitted in over a decade. He likes Elkins by decision at +290 and also mentions Elkins inside the distance at +350.

Elkins by decision +290; Elkins inside the distance +350; Elkins round three +1700 (sprinkle)
"i do like darren elkins in the spot i'm gonna go uh out as an official pick i'm going to go with elkins by decision at plus 290"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Darren Elkins

Paul agrees with Cody, calling it a clear dogger pass. He notes Minner's last win was against Charles Rosa, who was complacent on the ground, and that Elkins will try to get back up. He mentions the only person to submit Elkins is Charles Oliveira. He already bet Elkins at +152.

"that was my first bet of the card i found a uh a plus 152"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Darrick Minner

The Guru picks Minner, believing he is underrated and will outscramble Elkins. He criticizes Elkins' recent win over Eduardo Gagori as unimpressive, noting Gagori's padded record. He highlights Minner's wins over Charles Rosa and Terence McKinney, and his competitive grappling with Grant Dawson. He predicts a decision win via outscrambling.

"i'm going to pick him to beat darren elkins and get the job done"
WIN vs Charles Rosa
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darrick Minner 0 15 of 25 60% 40 of 51 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:00
Charles Rosa 1 45 of 60 75% 96 of 117 4 of 5 80% 3 0 12:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darrick Minner 0 6 of 11 54% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Charles Rosa 0 23 of 35 65% 49 of 66 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:03
2 Darrick Minner 0 2 of 4 50% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Charles Rosa 1 15 of 16 93% 32 of 33 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:46
3 Darrick Minner 0 7 of 10 70% 20 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Charles Rosa 0 7 of 9 77% 15 of 18 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darrick Minner 15 of 25 60% 9 of 17 4 of 4 2 of 4 8 of 17 0 of 0 7 of 8
Charles Rosa 45 of 60 75% 35 of 49 5 of 5 5 of 6 21 of 31 5 of 7 19 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darrick Minner 6 of 11 54% 1 of 4 3 of 3 2 of 4 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Rosa 23 of 35 65% 18 of 29 2 of 2 3 of 4 10 of 17 4 of 6 9 of 12
2 Darrick Minner 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Rosa 15 of 16 93% 12 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 7 1 of 1 8 of 8
3 Darrick Minner 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 8
Charles Rosa 7 of 9 77% 5 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Charles Rosa

Daniel Levi respects Darrick Minner's 20 first-round submissions and his ability to finish quickly, but notes Charles Rosa has never been submitted and survived deep submission attempts against Yair Rodriguez and Bryce Mitchell. Levi thinks if Minner doesn't get the finish in the first round, Rosa's work rate and kicks will overwhelm Minner in the later rounds. He is hesitant to lay the -200 chalk on Rosa but sees more paths to victory for him.

"if it hits the score cards i think 29 28 rosa if it's a late finish i think rosa if it's an early finish winner so more paths for rosa so i'll take rosa here but i would be a …"
WIN vs T.J. Laramie
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:52 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darrick Minner 0 15 of 17 88% 18 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
T.J. Laramie 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darrick Minner 0 15 of 17 88% 18 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
T.J. Laramie 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darrick Minner 15 of 17 88% 1 of 3 13 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 4 13 of 13 0 of 0
T.J. Laramie 0 of 4 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darrick Minner 15 of 17 88% 1 of 3 13 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 4 13 of 13 0 of 0
T.J. Laramie 0 of 4 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
T.J. Laramie

Big Brady picks T.J. Laramie because he sees Minner as a first-round submission or bust fighter who tends to gas out. He believes Laramie is the better striker and can keep the fight on the feet to win a decision or find a knockout after Minner fades. He warns that Minner is dangerous in the first round but expects Laramie to stay safe and grind out a win.

Laramie by third-round knockout
"i'm gonna go with laramie here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
T.J. Laramie

The host sees T.J. Laramie as a more well-rounded fighter with superior striking and grappling transitions, while Darrick Minner is a one-round submission threat who fades if he doesn't finish early. He expects Laramie to survive Minner's early attacks and take over in the second round, finishing via TKO. He notes Laramie's experience at the Apex and his training with Cody Stamann as advantages.

T.J. Laramie wins by TKO in round 2
"I expect a TJ Laramie uh second round let's say mid second round uh tko."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (8 days before fight)
T.J. Laramie

The host picks T.J. Laramie over Darrick Minner, noting that Minner survived against Grant Dawson but was dominated, and that Laramie is the next big thing with a good style. He predicts Laramie wins by unanimous decision, as Minner will survive but not win.

"I think he'll get this done by unanimous decision I think Derrick Miller will survive the fight though but I think Laramie will get this done by unanimous decision."
LOSS vs Grant Dawson
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:38 · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Grant Dawson 0 15 of 22 68% 42 of 52 2 of 3 66% 2 0 5:14
Darrick Minner 0 4 of 7 57% 26 of 29 1 of 1 100% 2 1 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Grant Dawson 0 14 of 19 73% 30 of 38 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:59
Darrick Minner 0 4 of 5 80% 21 of 22 1 of 1 100% 2 1 0:25
2 Grant Dawson 0 1 of 3 33% 12 of 14 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:15
Darrick Minner 0 0 of 2 0% 5 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Grant Dawson 15 of 22 68% 14 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 20
Darrick Minner 4 of 7 57% 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Grant Dawson 14 of 19 73% 13 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 18
Darrick Minner 4 of 5 80% 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1
2 Grant Dawson 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2
Darrick Minner 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Grant Dawson vs. Darrick Minner

Round 1
Kicking off the five-fight main card also on ESPN+ is an all-Nebraska bout between a rising prospect Dawson (14-1, 2-0 UFC) against longtime veteran Minner (24-10, 0-0 UFC). The referee for this 149.5-pound catchweight affair as Dawson missed weight and has subsequently forfeited 30 percent of his purse, is Kevin MacDonald. Minner opens up with a heavy leg kick, and then another as he kicks the leg out from beneath his opponent as Dawson flies in the air. Minner pulls guard to set up a guillotine choke, but the submission is not tight, and Dawson is now on top in guard. Minner throws his legs up to keep a high guard and possibly go after a triangle choke, but eats some punches in the process. He snatches up an armbar, but Dawson is crafty to get out of it. The two scramble, and Minner hops on top to pull guard for another guillotine. Dawson survives, but falls victim to the same submission again. Minner hops on top and mounts him with the choke, but Dawson swings his body around to get his neck out. Again, Dawson escapes, and ends up on top in half guard, while Minner throws elbow strikes off his back. Minner the more active fighter of the two, he wraps up the neck and thwarts a guard pass, but Dawson hops over to the other side. Minner tries to keep the neck tight, but Dawson steps over to mount and rain down punches. He throws several that might land to the back of the head, and Minner gives up his back. “KGD” keeps punching, until he fishes for a rear-naked choke and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Minner
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Minner
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Minner

Round 2
A touch of gloves checks in the second round, and Minner throws up a high kick as Dawson comes back with a similar strike. Neither land flush, and Dawson drops down for a takedown. Minner jumps guard to pursue the guillotine choke once more, and Dawson pops his head out and quickly mounts his opponent. Dawson keeps tight pressure before posturing up to land some punches, leading Minner to spin and give up his back.
Dawson latches on quickly to a submission, which looks to be a rear-naked choke on top of the chin. Due to the powerful squeeze, and likely from how little is left in his gas tank, Minner immediately taps.
With the victory, Dawson has now notched his 11th submission across his 15 career wins.

The Official Result
Grant Dawson def. Darrick Minner R2 1:38 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

Big Brady picks Ryan Hall by submission in the second round, but he is not fully confident. He notes that Minner is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with poor submission defense (8 submission losses) and tends to gas out after the first round. Hall is a phenomenal grappler, but his striking is unorthodox and he looked bad in his last fight. Brady believes Minner will engage in grappling and eventually get caught in a submission as he tires. He recommends staying away from this fight due to its unpredictability.

Hall by submission in round 2
"i'm going to say second round submission for ryan hall here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

Daniel Levi picks Ryan Hall to win by submission, specifically a leg lock. He notes that Darrick Minner is a submission specialist himself but tends to get submitted when he grapples with elite jiu-jitsu practitioners. Levi believes Minner will try to grapple with Hall, which plays into Hall's strength. He also mentions that if the fight stays standing, Hall's unorthodox spin kicks could be effective. Levi is confident Hall will find a submission.

submission, leg lock
"give me ryan hall the uh some kind of leg lock"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Dec 10, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Darrick Minner

This is a volatile fight. Minner has discipline issues and a questionable gas tank, but if he stays disciplined and counters Hall's unorthodox striking, he can win a decision. Hall's BJJ is a threat, but if he can't get the fight to the ground, he struggles. Minner's path is to avoid submissions and grind out a win, but confidence is low.

"i am ultimately going to go on the derek winner side and say that he stays away from all the unorthodox [ __ ] that reinhard brings to the table here and he goes on to win a very ugly decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Hall to win by submission, specifically a heel hook in the second round. He acknowledges Darrick Minner's capabilities but believes Hall's ground game will be too much. He predicts Minner will eventually end up in Hall's guard, allowing Hall to secure a leg submission.

heel hook submission in second round
"i'm going to go the hill hook finish for ryan hall his his signature move he gets the leg derek minner ends up on top of him ryan hall pulls guard goes for a leg gets the hill hook and gets a let's say second round submission"