Career Averages - Mariya Agapova
Career Averages - Sabina Mazo
Mariya Agapova
Sabina Mazo
Mariya Agapova - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 2:23 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 2:23 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mariya Agapova | 3 of 14 | 21% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mariya Agapova | 3 of 14 | 21% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-395), Agapova (+280)
Round 1
Momentum is the name of the game for this upcoming flyweight tilt, as Santos (7-1, 2-0 UFC) has some behind her as the winner of four straight. Her adversary Agapova (10-4, 2-3 UFC) has struggled as of late, dropping two in a row by submission while not competing since September 2022. This classic matchup of Brazil vs. Kazakhstan will receive oversight from referee Joe Coca, and a clap of hands commences it. Agapova looks for strikes well out of range, and Santos reaches her with a body kick. Agapova stays back, leaping forward with a right hand and missing again. Santos closes in and connects with a pair of strikes, and Agapova dances away. Agapova jabs feet away from the target, and Santos strides forward brimming with confidence and decks Agapova with a right hand. Agapova climbs back to her feet, and Santos slings her right back down to the mat with emphasis. The Brazilian commits to an arm-triangle choke as she gets to half guard, and lets it go so she can facilitate a guard pass to the side. Agapova tries to use her legs to trap Santos in something and pull her back, but when this fails, Santos steps over into full mount and goes after an arm-triangle immediately. Santos gets the grip tight, and Agapova signals a thumbs-up and turns to the side to protect herself, all while coughing out her mouthpiece to breathe better. Santos resets and presses down, bailing on it to land a few body shots and then re-fastening the submission. Agapova keeps her mouthpiece barely in her teeth and turns around to get to her knees.
Santos follows her every step of the way and locks up the rear-naked choke in the blink of an eye. Agapova nearly lets her gumshield fall out of her mouth in desperation while fighting the hands, but there is nothing more she can do at this point. Agapova frantically taps
and completely spits her mouthpiece out as she feels consciousness leaving her body, and Coca rushes between them to conclude the fight. Santos jumps away and starts dancing, and the crowd eats it up.
The Official Result
Luana Santos def. Mariya Agapova R1 3:27 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo is extremely confident in Luana Santos due to a clear stylistic advantage: Santos has fantastic takedowns while Agapova has poor takedown defense. He expects Santos to grapple heavily and control the fight, similar to her performance against Stephanie Egger. He advises getting bets in early as Santos will likely be a heavy favorite by fight night.
Cody picks Santos, citing her superior grappling and youth. He notes Agapova's personal issues, inactivity, and poor cardio. He expects Santos to take Agapova down and submit her, possibly in the first round.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Santos to win via ground control. He questions Agapova's mental state and ground game, noting that she gives up bad positions on the mat. He thinks Santos will take the fight to the ground and finish. He acknowledges Agapova's danger on the feet but expects Santos to avoid that.
Santos is too chalky but still likely wins. The fight is expected to go over 1.5 rounds and hit the scorecards. Santos will control the matchup, land a few takedowns, but Agapova will show enough resistance to reach a decision. The best attack is Santos by decision.
Paul picks Santos, citing her grappling advantage and Agapova's questionable preparation. He notes Agapova's long layoff and altitude, and believes Santos will submit her. He suggests betting Santos by submission at plus money.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 39 of 58 | 67% | 84 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 7 of 20 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 4:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 37 of 47 | 78% | 82 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 of 9 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 39 of 58 | 67% | 36 of 53 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 25 |
| Mariya Agapova | 4 of 14 | 28% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 37 of 47 | 78% | 36 of 44 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 25 |
| Mariya Agapova | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mariya Agapova | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Robertson because he sees a clear path: bully Agapova with takedowns and control, similar to what Marina Moroz did. He notes that Agapova has poor takedown defense and gives up when taken down. Robertson is not a dominant wrestler but can get the fight to the ground and control from top position. Angelo originally had no bets but may add some.
Big Brady confidently picks Gillian Robertson to win by second-round submission. He highlights that Robertson is a BJJ black belt with strong takedowns and grappling, while Agapova struggles with takedown defense (42%) and cardio. Brady notes that Agapova has been controlled and submitted by grapplers like Marina Moroz and Tracy Cortez. He believes Robertson will implement her game plan, get the fight to the mat, and finish Agapova. However, he warns that if Robertson cannot get takedowns, Agapova could knock her out on the feet.
Cody thinks Robertson's grappling advantage will be decisive, especially since her coach Dean Thomas knows Agapova from American Top Team. He notes Agapova's poor takedown defense and tendency to wilt under grappling pressure. He expects Robertson to get takedowns and control the fight.
Daniel Levi leans Gillian Robertson contingent on her getting takedowns. He notes Robertson's game plan is to take down and submit, while Agapova has been finished on the mat before. However, if Agapova stuffs takedowns, she will light Robertson up on the feet. He does not bet due to uncertainty.
Jacob picks Robertson, emphasizing that Agapova showed zero urgency off her back against Moroz and gave up. He believes Robertson can copy that game plan: get in her face, clinch, trip, and dominate on the ground. Jacob notes that Robertson is underrated as a grappler and that Agapova always loses to someone who can out-wrestle and out-tough her. He included Robertson in a female parlay for premium members.
Robertson has a clear path to victory via takedowns and submissions. Agapova is the better striker but her takedown defense is suspect. Robertson's tenacity and pressure should get the fight to the ground, where she is a submission threat. The under 2.5 rounds at -150 is a strong play as both are finish-reliant. Robertson by submission at +150 is also appealing.
Paul leans Agapova, citing her striking advantage and Robertson's poor wrestling. He acknowledges Agapova is inconsistent but thinks she can win if she keeps it standing. He's not confident enough to bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Gillian Robertson by submission. He notes that Mariya Agapova looks lost on the ground when taken down, as seen against Marina Moroz and Shayna Dobson. He believes Robertson's grappling, training under Dean Thomas, and recent submission wins will translate. He mentions Robertson is young (27) and has been training in grappling tournaments, so she knows the game plan to get takedowns and secure a submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 28 of 42 | 66% | 51 of 74 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 3 | 0 | 6:43 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 72 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 14 of 20 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 0 | 3:28 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 40 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 26 of 36 | 72% | 37 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 32 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 28 of 42 | 66% | 21 of 33 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 27 |
| Mariya Agapova | 16 of 27 | 59% | 7 of 15 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mariya Agapova | 10 of 18 | 55% | 3 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 26 of 36 | 72% | 21 of 31 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 27 |
| Mariya Agapova | 6 of 9 | 66% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks the underdog Moroz, citing her movement and recent addition of offensive takedowns. He thinks she can avoid the pocket and use technical striking. He notes Agapova is the favorite but the odds seem high. He expresses concern about Moroz pulling out of fights, as she hasn't fought in a year.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz as an underdog, citing her superior grappling and top control. He notes that Agapova has poor takedown defense (33%) and can be controlled on the mat, as seen in her loss to Shayna Baszler. Brady believes Moroz's high-volume striking and ability to take the fight to the ground will be key. He also mentions that Agapova's power is a threat, but Moroz has a clear path to victory via takedowns and control.
Cody believes Agapova can win at range with her striking power, as seen against Sabina Mazo. He dismisses the Dobson loss as a bad day at the office due to personal issues. He thinks Moroz's wrestling is not elite and Agapova can land the more damaging shots. However, he acknowledges the wrestling wild card and advises watching weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Mariya Agapova to win, possibly by finish. He notes that Agapova has more firepower and if her head is on straight, she will bust up Moroz on the feet. He acknowledges Moroz's craftiness and takedowns but thinks Agapova can stuff them. He references Agapova's last performance against Sabina Mazo and believes she is the more physical fighter. He is not concerned about the Shayna Dobson loss, calling it a fluke.
Agapova has power and good footwork, as seen in her last win. Moroz is a solid all-around fighter but may struggle to take Agapova down and hold her there. Agapova's wide strikes could be countered by Moroz's straight shots, but Agapova should land the more significant strikes. The line is a bit wide; it should be closer to -130. Agapova via decision or late submission.
Paul is hesitant because of Agapova's poor takedown defense (33%) and Moroz's improved wrestling in her last two fights. He notes Moroz has been pursuing takedowns and has good top control, while Agapova has only faced opponents who didn't wrestle. Paul has a bad gut feeling but officially picks Agapova, though he warns against overexposure.
The MMA Guru picks Mariya Agapova over Maryna Moroz, citing Agapova's aggression, strength, and reach advantage. He notes Agapova showed patience in her last fight (submission win over Sabina Mazo) and believes she is a rising prospect. He predicts a first-round TKO, though he acknowledges Agapova has gassed in the past. He dismisses Moroz as inferior based on watching both fighters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 62 of 159 | 38% | 63 of 161 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 93 of 164 | 56% | 99 of 170 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 28 of 75 | 37% | 28 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 53 of 86 | 61% | 56 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 30 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 62 of 159 | 38% | 35 of 113 | 13 of 22 | 14 of 24 | 61 of 158 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 93 of 164 | 56% | 48 of 107 | 32 of 43 | 13 of 14 | 91 of 162 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 28 of 75 | 37% | 15 of 54 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 9 | 27 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 53 of 86 | 61% | 28 of 58 | 18 of 21 | 7 of 7 | 51 of 84 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mariya Agapova | 28 of 69 | 40% | 17 of 49 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 13 | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 29 of 57 | 50% | 14 of 34 | 9 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mariya Agapova | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 11 of 21 | 52% | 6 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.
Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.
Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.
The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Sabina Mazo by unanimous decision. He reasons that Mazo outgrappled Shayna Dobson, while Agapova was outgrappled by Dobson, giving Mazo a grappling edge. He also notes Mazo's reach advantage. However, he expresses confusion over Agapova's losses and calls women's MMA unpredictable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 22 of 46 | 47% | 56 of 89 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 41 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shana Dobson | 0 | 21 of 39 | 53% | 53 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:31 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 15 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 | |
| 2 | Shana Dobson | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shana Dobson | 22 of 46 | 47% | 18 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 16 |
| Mariya Agapova | 24 of 36 | 66% | 18 of 30 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 19 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shana Dobson | 21 of 39 | 53% | 17 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 16 |
| Mariya Agapova | 5 of 10 | 50% | 0 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Shana Dobson | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mariya Agapova | 19 of 26 | 73% | 18 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 19 |
Big Brady picks Mariya Agapova to win by first-round knockout. He sees no path to victory for Shana Dobson, who was knocked out in the first round by Priscila Cachoeira, a fighter not known for power. Agapova is a much better fighter with more upside, and Brady expects her to finish early. He is considering betting under 1.5 rounds or Agapova in round one.
Daniel Levi picks Mariya Agapova to win by vicious finish, likely in the first round. He notes Agapova is a long, lefty striker with power and a Euro Joanna vibe, and that Shana Dobson has no business in the UFC, having been dominated in her last two fights. Levi expects Agapova to march Dobson down and finish her, possibly earning another $50k bonus. He jokes that the only question is whether it will be a head kick, body shot, or rear-naked choke.
Agapova is a massive favorite against Dobson, who is on a three-fight losing streak and below .500 in the UFC. Agapova has power, movement, and confidence, and should easily finish Dobson early. The best bet is Agapova inside the distance, likely by submission in the first round. Avoid parlaying her straight due to poor value.
The MMA Guru picks Mariya Agapova to win by first-round finish, calling it a mismatch. He notes Agapova's dominance over Hannah Cifers and Dobson's weak competition (combined 4-4 record of her wins). He predicts a first-round TKO or submission within the first two minutes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 1 | 29 of 52 | 55% | 36 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Hannah Cifers | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 14 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 1 | 29 of 52 | 55% | 36 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Hannah Cifers | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 14 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 29 of 52 | 55% | 20 of 41 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 35 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Hannah Cifers | 11 of 32 | 34% | 4 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 23 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 29 of 52 | 55% | 20 of 41 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 35 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Hannah Cifers | 11 of 32 | 34% | 4 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 23 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
The MMA Guru picks Mariya Agapova, calling her a phenom and the best female fighter out of Russia. He notes that Hannah Cifers steps in on short notice and walks forward headfirst, which will play into Agapova's slick combinations. He predicts Agapova will outclass Cifers on the feet and stuff takedowns, winning a decision.
Sabina Mazo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 15 of 48 | 31% | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 45 of 85 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 4:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 35 of 56 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 10 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 15 of 48 | 31% | 8 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 19 of 50 | 38% | 10 of 36 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 5 of 17 | 29% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 21 | 42% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 10 of 31 | 32% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 10 of 29 | 34% | 5 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).
Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.
Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.
Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 62 of 159 | 38% | 63 of 161 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 93 of 164 | 56% | 99 of 170 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 28 of 75 | 37% | 28 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 53 of 86 | 61% | 56 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 30 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 62 of 159 | 38% | 35 of 113 | 13 of 22 | 14 of 24 | 61 of 158 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 93 of 164 | 56% | 48 of 107 | 32 of 43 | 13 of 14 | 91 of 162 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 28 of 75 | 37% | 15 of 54 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 9 | 27 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 53 of 86 | 61% | 28 of 58 | 18 of 21 | 7 of 7 | 51 of 84 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mariya Agapova | 28 of 69 | 40% | 17 of 49 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 13 | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 29 of 57 | 50% | 14 of 34 | 9 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mariya Agapova | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 11 of 21 | 52% | 6 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.
Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.
Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.
The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Sabina Mazo by unanimous decision. He reasons that Mazo outgrappled Shayna Dobson, while Agapova was outgrappled by Dobson, giving Mazo a grappling edge. He also notes Mazo's reach advantage. However, he expresses confusion over Agapova's losses and calls women's MMA unpredictable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 128 of 196 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 8:50 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 64 of 165 | 38% | 71 of 173 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 39 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 40 of 60 | 66% | 50 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 47 of 118 | 39% | 48 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 39 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 49 of 83 | 59% | 8 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 37 of 41 | 46 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Sabina Mazo | 64 of 165 | 38% | 50 of 149 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 64 of 165 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 13 of 38 | 34% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 40 of 60 | 66% | 5 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 33 | 39 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 47 of 118 | 39% | 36 of 106 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 47 of 118 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.
Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.
Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 131 of 275 | 47% | 131 of 275 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 93 of 210 | 44% | 94 of 212 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 37 of 85 | 43% | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 34 of 72 | 47% | 35 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 42 of 88 | 47% | 42 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 1 | 52 of 102 | 50% | 52 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 131 of 275 | 47% | 45 of 158 | 27 of 38 | 59 of 79 | 123 of 264 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 93 of 210 | 44% | 25 of 118 | 23 of 38 | 45 of 54 | 88 of 199 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 37 of 85 | 43% | 8 of 46 | 12 of 16 | 17 of 23 | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 34 of 72 | 47% | 6 of 36 | 3 of 8 | 25 of 28 | 33 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 42 of 88 | 47% | 13 of 48 | 9 of 13 | 20 of 27 | 38 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 28 of 67 | 41% | 9 of 37 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 12 | 24 of 61 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 52 of 102 | 50% | 24 of 64 | 6 of 9 | 22 of 29 | 48 of 95 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 31 of 71 | 43% | 10 of 45 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 14 | 31 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.
The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.
The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 118 of 323 | 36% | 121 of 327 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 58 of 144 | 40% | 69 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 29 of 97 | 29% | 29 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 15 of 47 | 31% | 15 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 46 of 133 | 34% | 46 of 133 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 26 of 53 | 49% | 31 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 43 of 93 | 46% | 46 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 118 of 323 | 36% | 66 of 258 | 29 of 34 | 23 of 31 | 92 of 292 | 26 of 31 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 58 of 144 | 40% | 45 of 125 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 6 | 49 of 132 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 29 of 97 | 29% | 16 of 78 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 13 | 29 of 96 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 15 of 47 | 31% | 11 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 14 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 46 of 133 | 34% | 32 of 116 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 42 of 129 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 26 of 53 | 49% | 20 of 47 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 43 of 93 | 46% | 18 of 64 | 18 of 20 | 7 of 9 | 21 of 67 | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 17 of 44 | 38% | 14 of 38 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks JJ Aldrich to win by unanimous decision. He notes that Aldrich has fought better competition, has a brown belt in jiu-jitsu, and cleaner boxing. He criticizes Mazo's debut performance and believes Aldrich's experience and pairing will be key.
The host briefly mentions picking JJ Aldrich over Sabina Mazo in quick picks, but provides no detailed reasoning.
The host dismisses this fight as unimportant, stating 'no one cares' and quickly picks JJ Aldridge to win without any detailed reasoning. The pick is based on a lack of interest rather than technical analysis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 108 of 171 | 63% | 170 of 250 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 10:50 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 33 of 99 | 33% | 102 of 176 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 30 of 46 | 65% | 72 of 102 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:25 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 14 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 26 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 47 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 55 of 89 | 61% | 72 of 109 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 8 of 36 | 22% | 41 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 108 of 171 | 63% | 49 of 98 | 50 of 60 | 9 of 13 | 44 of 85 | 38 of 55 | 26 of 31 |
| Shana Dobson | 33 of 99 | 33% | 19 of 75 | 11 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 71 | 15 of 23 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 30 of 46 | 65% | 12 of 24 | 16 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 13 | 9 of 13 | 17 of 20 |
| Shana Dobson | 6 of 20 | 30% | 4 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 23 of 36 | 63% | 0 of 7 | 20 of 23 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 20 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Shana Dobson | 19 of 43 | 44% | 9 of 29 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 22 | 13 of 19 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 55 of 89 | 61% | 37 of 67 | 14 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 52 | 17 of 26 | 9 of 11 |
| Shana Dobson | 8 of 36 | 22% | 6 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 64 of 144 | 44% | 73 of 157 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 56 of 190 | 29% | 74 of 208 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 7:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 14 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:50 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 50 | 32% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 23 of 73 | 31% | 33 of 83 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 39 of 79 | 49% | 39 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 24 of 84 | 28% | 27 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 64 of 144 | 44% | 21 of 87 | 19 of 25 | 24 of 32 | 61 of 138 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 56 of 190 | 29% | 27 of 150 | 18 of 28 | 11 of 12 | 47 of 174 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 9 of 15 | 60% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 33 | 27% | 4 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 16 of 50 | 32% | 5 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 15 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 23 of 73 | 31% | 13 of 57 | 5 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 67 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 39 of 79 | 49% | 13 of 44 | 13 of 18 | 13 of 17 | 38 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 24 of 84 | 28% | 10 of 66 | 8 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 24 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.
Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.
Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.
The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Sabina Mazo by unanimous decision. He reasons that Mazo outgrappled Shayna Dobson, while Agapova was outgrappled by Dobson, giving Mazo a grappling edge. He also notes Mazo's reach advantage. However, he expresses confusion over Agapova's losses and calls women's MMA unpredictable.
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