vs
+108 -110
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega Next Fight
Age 31
Height 6' 3"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 33
Height 6' 1"
Reach 71"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Jalin Turner
5.79 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.54 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Uroš Medić
5.59 SLpM
60.0% Str. Acc.
3.42 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.34 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
55.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Jalin Turner
Moneyline
BetRivers +108
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
BetMGM +900
Decision
DraftKings +400
Uroš Medić
Moneyline
FanDuel -110
KO/TKO
BetMGM +180
Submission
FanDuel +1800
Decision
FanDuel +460
Jalin Turner - Fight History
WIN vs Edson Barboza
KO R1 2:24 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edson Barboza 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Jalin Turner 2 39 of 66 59% 43 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edson Barboza 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Jalin Turner 2 39 of 66 59% 43 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edson Barboza 10 of 20 50% 4 of 14 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 39 of 66 59% 29 of 55 8 of 9 2 of 2 33 of 53 5 of 10 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edson Barboza 10 of 20 50% 4 of 14 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 39 of 66 59% 29 of 55 8 of 9 2 of 2 33 of 53 5 of 10 1 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo picks Jalin Turner despite concerns about his mental state after retiring following a couple of losses. He acknowledges Turner's advantages in height, range, and striking, and believes he is the better fighter at this stage. However, he questions whether Turner returned for the right reasons or just for a paycheck. Angelo ultimately trusts that Turner is focused and will win, but expresses hesitation.

"I'm gonna pick Jaylen Turner here because at this point in their careers, I think he's the better fighter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner, citing his dangerous striking and 100% finish rate. He believes Barboza is washed and lacks durability, and that Turner will keep the fight standing. He expects Turner to win by first-round knockout, though he questions Turner's mentality.

Turner by first round knockout
"I'm going to take Jaylen Turner to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody picks Turner, citing his size, power, and youth. He notes that Turner has knocked down top lightweights and has a significant reach advantage. He believes Barboza is past his prime and that Turner will finish him early. He is confident despite Turner's recent loss and retirement talk.

"The reason I end up locking in Turner is more so you're you're right. His last fight against Jakar, he goes through the motions."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Connor picks Jalin Turner hesitantly, citing Turner's fight-ending power and Barboza's age and recent decline. He notes that Barboza has looked hesitant and unable to pull the trigger, while Turner has more instantaneous power. However, Connor is concerned about Turner's mental state after his last performance and retirement talk.

Turner by KO
"I think I have to take Turner honestly, which I can't pick Jaylen Turner after that last performance and not, especially not with all the additional context."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)

Daniel is undecided, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation. He sees Turner's physical advantages and power but questions his heart and recent losses. Barboza's toughness and experience are assets, but his age (39) is a concern. He plans to make a pick on fight week.

"I'm not really sure. Next week, I'll have a pick for y'all on this one."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Lucrative James thinks Jalin Turner will finish Edson Barboza early. He notes Barboza has looked washed and vulnerable in recent fights, often getting wobbled. He believes Turner's length, power, and viciousness will overwhelm Barboza. He acknowledges concerns about Turner's mental state after retirement but sees this as a favorable stylistic matchup.

Jalin Turner inside the distance
"Jaylen Turner inside the distance is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

The host believes Turner, returning from a short retirement, will be dialed in and take advantage of Barboza's deteriorating durability. He expects Turner to finish the fight within a round and a half.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"I think he's going to be more than dialed in to go out there and take advantage of the deteriorating durability of Edson Barbosa. Look for Turner to get this fight done within a round and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Paul picks Turner, noting his size and power advantage. He believes Barboza is done and that Turner will overwhelm him. He mentions that Turner's only losses are to top competition and that he has the ability to finish early. He thinks Turner wins by TKO.

"I don't think Jaylen Turner makes it to the third round, but he's big, he's strong, he's got more than enough power."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The Guru picks Jalin Turner to beat Edson Barboza, noting Barboza's decline and damage accumulation. He believes Turner's range and grappling will be key, and that Barboza cannot pull the trigger like before. The Guru predicts a first-round TKO finish.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Jaylen Turner getting this one done by TKO finish brutally in the first or second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Zane picks Jalin Turner hesitantly, noting that Turner has more instantaneous fight-ending power than Barboza. He acknowledges Barboza's age and recent performances where he couldn't pull the trigger. Zane is concerned about Turner's mental state but believes his power gives him the edge.

"I have to pick him because of that, but man, if this is a Anthony Smith situation, yeah, like it's miss fight against, uh, Dom Reyes, then like he won of Anthony Smith's like last four fights."
Submission R1 2:29 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 7 of 20 35% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Jalin Turner 0 10 of 16 62% 17 of 23 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 0 7 of 20 35% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Jalin Turner 0 10 of 16 62% 17 of 23 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ignacio Bahamondes 7 of 20 35% 4 of 16 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 1 2 of 7
Jalin Turner 10 of 16 62% 7 of 13 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 7 of 20 35% 4 of 16 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 1 2 of 7
Jalin Turner 10 of 16 62% 7 of 13 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 5
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Connor picks Turner because he sees a clear level gap: Bahamondes has never beaten a good UFC fighter and is a classic tall man who doesn't like fighting at distance, while Turner is a long-range striker with fast, straight shots. Connor notes that Bahamondes has poor defense and will struggle against Turner's reach and power. He also points out that Turner has fought much better competition and performed well in close fights.

Odds: Turner opened at -115, now +112; Bahamondes opened at +100, now -129. Connor is surprised by the line movement favoring Bahamondes.
"I do not think Bahamanda's has done anything to prove that he he would serve he would lose to all the guys who beat in Turner. Yeah. You know, absolutely. He'd lose more convincingly to most of them."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Lucrative James picks Turner as an underdog, citing Turner's early power and finishing ability. He thinks Turner will land big shots early and potentially finish, as Bahamondes is hittable. He notes Turner's cardio issues but believes he can win by stoppage or even decision if he hurts Bahamondes early. He admits he needs more tape study but leans Turner.

"I'm going to predict Jaylen Turner the reason is because of what I said I think he's definitely going to win round one I think he's going to hurt ignasio early"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Zane picks Turner, agreeing with Connor that Bahamondes is not a good range fighter and has poor defense. He notes that Turner is a nuclear puncher who is much faster and has a flexible striking game. Zane acknowledges Turner's occasional mental lapses but believes Bahamondes lacks the talent to exploit them. He is surprised by the betting line favoring Bahamondes.

Odds: Turner opened at -115, now +112; Bahamondes opened at +100, now -129. Zane is surprised by the line movement.
"I think much faster than Bahamanda's. Yeah. So I get the matchup as a as a sort of a visual gag. But I do not think Bahamanda's has done anything to prove that he he would serve he would lose …"
LOSS vs Renato Moicano
TKO (elbows and punches) R2 4:11 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Renato Moicano 1 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jalin Turner 0 36 of 67 53% 87 of 128 2 of 6 33% 0 0 5:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Renato Moicano 1 9 of 25 36% 9 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jalin Turner 0 8 of 16 50% 32 of 45 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:52
2 Renato Moicano 0 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jalin Turner 0 28 of 51 54% 55 of 83 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Renato Moicano 16 of 40 40% 10 of 32 3 of 5 3 of 3 15 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 36 of 67 53% 32 of 60 3 of 5 1 of 2 11 of 23 1 of 1 24 of 43
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Renato Moicano 9 of 25 36% 4 of 18 2 of 4 3 of 3 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 8 of 16 50% 6 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 5
2 Renato Moicano 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 28 of 51 54% 26 of 47 1 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 12 1 of 1 20 of 38
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his phenomenal striking, length, and takedown defense. He notes Moicano's BJJ is dangerous but Turner should piece him up and potentially finish. He mentions Turner has never won a decision, so a finish is likely.

"Jaylen Turner is going to be the pick I am pretty confident in him"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody is high on Turner's potential. He notes Turner's length (6'3", 77-inch reach), solid takedown defense (75%), and nasty power. Moicano lacks volume and offensive wrestling; his wins often come by quick submission or low-volume decisions. Cody points out that Moicano was a 145er and Turner is a big lightweight who could even be a middleweight. He believes Turner's power and reach will be too much, and he expects a finish, possibly a first-round knockout. Cody mentions Turner's cardio issues in past fights but thinks Moicano doesn't have the pressure to exploit them.

"Sign me up for Turner to get the Finish."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Connor picks Turner, emphasizing that Moicano's counter-punching and wrestling will not be enough. He notes that Turner is difficult to take down and works well from his back, while Moicano's confidence often breaks when pressured. Connor believes Turner's reach and power will be too much for Moicano to handle over three rounds.

Odds: Turner opened -244, now -230; Moicano opened +185, now +201. Connor mentions the line movement.
"I just think, yeah, I think so. Moikana is not going to have the ability to, he might win a round just on back control or something like that. Yeah, but it's hard to see him really shifting the whole …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Daniel Vreeland picks Jalin Turner, citing his improved striking, range management, and takedown defense. He believes Turner's power and length will be too much for Moicano, and that Turner will knock him out. Vreeland notes Moicano's submission threat but doubts his chin can hold up.

wins by KO/TKO
"I think Turner is gonna find a way to land that straight on the button so I'm going Jalin Turner here probably by knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Renato Moicano

Turner has a striking advantage and power, but Moicano will grab a body lock and drag the fight to the ground. Moicano's BJJ will reign supreme, opening a back take opportunity for a rear-naked choke submission. Moicano pulls off the upset as a +195 underdog.

submission, underdog +195
"I think that will see moano grab that body lock and eventually drag this fight to the ground whereas BJJ should be able to remain reign supreme and I think that will open up a back take opportunity where he …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Paul agrees, noting Moicano's last performance against Drew Dober was a problem—he got a takedown in round three but did little with it. Paul points out that Moicano's wrestling should have dominated Dober but didn't. He also mentions Turner is a big lightweight, while Moicano moved up from 145. Paul thinks Turner's power will be decisive and expects a finish, possibly a first-round knockout. He notes that Moicano's cardio wasn't great in the Dober fight either.

"I'm with you 100%... Turner is a guy that we like."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Renato Moicano

The MMA Guru picks Renato Moicano to submit Jalin Turner via rear-naked choke in round one. He notes that Moicano has submission ability and that Turner has been taken down and controlled by grapplers like Mateusz Gamrot. He believes Moicano will find Turner's hips, take his back, and sink in the choke.

rear-naked choke round one
"re could choke round one put your money down this re naked choke round one."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Zane picks Turner confidently, despite disliking his style. He notes that Turner's reach and power make him dangerous early, and Moicano is hittable and prone to losing confidence. Zane argues that Moicano's clinch wrestling will not work against Turner's size and defensive grappling. He expects Turner to knock Moicano out early or win a decision.

Odds: Turner opened -244, now -230; Moicano opened +185, now +201. Zane mentions the line movement.
"I honestly think Moikana might get knocked out pretty early in this fight. Two hittable turners, too, too powerful, too aggressive early."
WIN vs King Green
KO (punches) R1 2:49 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 1 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
King Green 0 15 of 26 57% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 1 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
King Green 0 15 of 26 57% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 33 of 60 55% 26 of 48 2 of 4 5 of 8 18 of 41 0 of 0 15 of 19
King Green 15 of 26 57% 5 of 14 3 of 4 7 of 8 14 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 33 of 60 55% 26 of 48 2 of 4 5 of 8 18 of 41 0 of 0 15 of 19
King Green 15 of 26 57% 5 of 14 3 of 4 7 of 8 14 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner despite short notice, citing his size advantage and danger everywhere. He thinks Turner's reach and height will be a problem for Green, and that Green's hands-down style could get him caught. He expects an early finish but notes cardio concerns if the fight extends. He calls it a step down in competition for Turner.

"give me Jaylen Turner here on short notice to get an early finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody is torn but tentatively picks Turner. He acknowledges Turner's weight cut issues and short notice, but thinks Turner is faster, longer, and the better striker. He worries about Turner's cardio in later rounds but believes if Turner minds his distance, he can win. He considers waiting for weigh-ins and possibly betting Green live after the first round.

considering Bobby Green live after first round
"tentatively I'm going to take Jaylen Turner but I am not disagreeing with any of your points I see them all"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Lucrative James leans towards Bobby Green as a dog, noting that Jalin Turner has never won a decision and has a questionable chin. He believes if Green survives round one, the fight becomes 50-50, with Green having an edge in later rounds. He is not confident but sees value in Green at plus money.

"I don't mind a dog shot on Bobby green"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Green is on a two-fight winning streak and has a volume-heavy style that could overwhelm Turner. Turner has lost two in a row and has had weight issues, plus he took this fight on short notice. Green's durability and pressure should allow him to outwork Turner, especially if the fight goes into deep waters. A decision win is predicted.

decision win predicted
"give me Bobby green here and I think he ends up pulling off a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul already bet Bobby Green at plus money. He cites Green's durability, cardio, and the fact that Turner missed weight last time and is on short notice. He thinks Green can go hard three rounds and that Turner's cardio falls off. He also likes Green round three prop at +2000. He notes Green is historically a slow starter but believes he can take over late.

Bobby Green round three at +2000 considered; already bet Green moneyline at +188
"I already bet Bobby green why well Bobby green was already getting ready for this card he's supposed to take on Dan hooker Dan hooker pulls out Jaylen Turner I mean missed weight last time out at 155 pounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner, citing his reach advantage, versatility, and ability to chop the legs and body. He believes Bobby Green struggles without a reach advantage and that Turner's dynamic striking will be too much. He expects a decision win for Turner, 30-27.

decision win 30-27
"I'm gonna go Jalin Turner... he's more versatile... he'll chop low, he'll front kick the body, he'll kick the head... I'll say it will be a decision win 30-27."
LOSS vs Dan Hooker
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Hooker 0 100 of 177 56% 113 of 191 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Jalin Turner 1 125 of 197 63% 172 of 247 0 of 2 0% 1 0 3:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Hooker 0 34 of 69 49% 34 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jalin Turner 0 38 of 54 70% 39 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Dan Hooker 0 34 of 60 56% 34 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jalin Turner 0 44 of 81 54% 48 of 85 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
3 Dan Hooker 0 32 of 48 66% 45 of 62 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
Jalin Turner 1 43 of 62 69% 85 of 107 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Hooker 100 of 177 56% 63 of 128 30 of 37 7 of 12 78 of 152 18 of 21 4 of 4
Jalin Turner 125 of 197 63% 77 of 139 25 of 32 23 of 26 100 of 157 19 of 31 6 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Hooker 34 of 69 49% 16 of 47 13 of 14 5 of 8 30 of 64 4 of 5 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 38 of 54 70% 16 of 29 8 of 9 14 of 16 35 of 51 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Dan Hooker 34 of 60 56% 23 of 44 9 of 12 2 of 4 25 of 51 9 of 9 0 of 0
Jalin Turner 44 of 81 54% 27 of 59 9 of 13 8 of 9 38 of 70 6 of 11 0 of 0
3 Dan Hooker 32 of 48 66% 24 of 37 8 of 11 0 of 0 23 of 37 5 of 7 4 of 4
Jalin Turner 43 of 62 69% 34 of 51 8 of 10 1 of 1 27 of 36 10 of 17 6 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo is confident in Turner, calling him a 'pretty easy pick'. He notes Turner's excellent boxing, range management, and well-roundedness (3 of last 4 wins by submission). Hooker is durable but Angelo thinks he'll be a step behind. He is only slightly concerned about Hooker turning it into a wrestling match, but believes Turner can handle it. He recommends Turner for parlays.

Could be parlayed
"Jalen's a pretty easy pick for me and he could be parlayed I like Jalen Turner I'm pretty confident in him in this fight for sure"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Turner is very dangerous with scary power, and Hooker has been knocked out recently by Michael Chandler and Arnold Allen. He believes Hooker will try to wrestle but doesn't have the takedown game to exploit Turner's takedown defense. He expects a striking match where Turner finishes Hooker early. He mentions that Turner is five years younger and more in his prime.

first round knockout
"I'm taking Jaylen Turner to win this fight I'll say first round knockout win for Jalen Turner"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody picks Turner but is hesitant at -260. He thinks Turner's length and power will be too much for Hooker, who has taken a lot of damage. He notes Hooker's durability may be fading. He considers the under 1.5 rounds but doesn't feel great about it. He mentions Turner's cardio issues in the past but expects an early knockout.

Under 1.5 rounds (+100), Turner by KO/TKO
"I think Jalen Turner Sparks him but minus 260 I'll admit you got way more experience down for Dan hooker"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Connor picks Turner, emphasizing that Hooker's game relies on being the taller fighter with reach, which he won't have here. He notes that Turner's pressure and collar-tie game will be effective, and that Hooker's slow starts and reactive style play into Turner's hands. Connor sees Turner as younger, faster, and more powerful, making this a bad matchup for Hooker.

"I just don't really know how Dan Hooker's game operates as the shorter man. I just think it's gonna be not good."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Daniel Levi picks Turner, noting that he has improved his range management and defense, and that Hooker has taken too much damage throughout his career. Levi points out that Hooker will be the shorter man for the first time, facing a three-inch reach disadvantage. He acknowledges that the minus-260 price is high but believes Turner is catching Hooker at the right time. Levi also mentions that Turner has been training outside his comfort zone, including in Abu Dhabi with Khamzat Chimaev, which shows his dedication to improvement.

"I'll probably take Jill attorney also I would definitely like to wait and let the odds drop a little more though."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Jalin Turner

James picks Jalin Turner to win by knockout. He notes Turner is on an upward trajectory while Hooker is on a downward one. He praises Turner's improved speed, accuracy, and range management. He acknowledges Turner's chin is questionable and Hooker could land, but thinks Hooker will have to endure too much punishment. He also mentions Turner missed weight but doesn't think it was intentional.

Jalin Turner wins by KO
"my prediction is Jalen by knockout in this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Turner has dangerous striking and a strong submission game, while Hooker is hittable and has durability concerns. Hooker may have a technical striking advantage and output, but Turner's power and ability to club and sub will eventually catch Hooker. Fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to go Jalen Turner Jalen Turner probably by club and sub but I think fight doesn't go to decision is my favorite spot in this fight."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Paul picks Turner but struggles with the price. He notes Hooker's durability has declined after many wars. He thinks Turner likely finishes him early but doesn't see value at -260. He would consider the under 1.5 rounds but isn't confident. He mentions Hooker's size and experience as potential factors.

Under 1.5 rounds (+100)
"I'm gonna pick Jalen Turner but I don't really think there's much meat on the bone to uh to be batting him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by second-round TKO. He criticizes Hooker's lack of head movement and declining chin, noting that Turner has a similar reach and will land clean shots. He believes Turner's patience and power will overwhelm Hooker, who has shown slower reaction times recently.

wins by TKO in the second round
"I reckon he is going to win this one by TKO in the second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Zane picks Turner, citing his size, speed, and pressure. He notes that Hooker struggles when faced with bigger, more determined fighters who march him down, as seen against Arnold Allen and Michael Chandler. Zane believes Turner's pressure and power will make Hooker uncomfortable, and that Hooker's game as the shorter man is untested and likely to fail.

"I started watching tape and I'm like, you know what, Jalen Turner is just gonna walk away with this, I think."
LOSS vs Mateusz Gamrot
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mateusz Gamrot 0 29 of 42 69% 89 of 109 4 of 12 33% 0 0 6:52
Jalin Turner 1 40 of 97 41% 62 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mateusz Gamrot 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:26
Jalin Turner 1 12 of 31 38% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
2 Mateusz Gamrot 0 13 of 17 76% 60 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:35
Jalin Turner 0 18 of 48 37% 19 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Mateusz Gamrot 0 7 of 11 63% 15 of 21 1 of 7 14% 0 0 2:51
Jalin Turner 0 10 of 18 55% 20 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mateusz Gamrot 29 of 42 69% 18 of 30 2 of 3 9 of 9 21 of 32 2 of 2 6 of 8
Jalin Turner 40 of 97 41% 23 of 72 14 of 22 3 of 3 33 of 90 4 of 4 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mateusz Gamrot 9 of 14 64% 4 of 8 0 of 1 5 of 5 6 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1
Jalin Turner 12 of 31 38% 8 of 24 4 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 28 2 of 2 1 of 1
2 Mateusz Gamrot 13 of 17 76% 7 of 11 2 of 2 4 of 4 11 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jalin Turner 18 of 48 37% 11 of 37 4 of 8 3 of 3 16 of 46 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Mateusz Gamrot 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 5
Jalin Turner 10 of 18 55% 4 of 11 6 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Angelo is confident in Mateusz Gamrot, citing his relentless wrestling, cardio, and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Jalin Turner has been taken down by lesser wrestlers and that Gamrot's speed and ankle picks will be too much. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Gamrot at -190.

"I still think gamron's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Big Brady picks Mateusz Gamrot, citing his wrestling machine style with high takedown volume. He notes Turner's takedown defense is not elite and Gamrot has the cardio to attempt many takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Gamrot, though he acknowledges Turner's power and submission threat.

"I'm gonna take matteus gamer out to win this fight I'm gonna take him to win this fight I'll say bye decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody is tempted by Turner as an underdog. He sees a path for Turner if he can keep the fight standing and use his reach. He notes Gamrot's wrestling is elite but that he has been in close fights and can fatigue. He says if he takes Turner, he'll be the PRP pick.

Would be the PRP pick if he goes with Turner
"I'm super tempted to pull the underdog trigger man"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Connor leans Gamrot, citing his relentless wrestling, cardio, and scrambling ability. He notes Turner's dangerous striking and guillotine threats, but believes Gamrot's takedowns and top control will neutralize Turner's offense. He mentions Turner's tendency to play guard rather than explode up, which may allow Gamrot to hold him down. However, he acknowledges Turner's one-shot knockout power makes this risky.

Mentions Gamrot opened -240, now -217; Turner +205 to +176.
"I do think Gamrot is actually going to finally get some top time in this fight."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Jacob picks Mateusz Gamrot, praising his relentless pressure and unique ankle pick takedowns. He believes Turner will not be able to defend the takedowns and that Gamrot will drown him. Jacob has hedges with Turner by knockout but is confident in Gamrot.

Jalin Turner by knockout (hedge)
"gameron is just so so relentless he gets better as the fights go on as well he is just going to drown this kid Jalen"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Gamrot is a high-level scrambler and wrestler who wants to drag fights to the ground. Turner is dangerous with submissions but has questionable takedown defense and struggles off his back. Gamrot will secure takedowns and grind out a decision victory.

"I think the expertise the the experience and the scrambling ability of gamra will keep him safe again against a dangerous finishing prowess of Jalen Turner and I think that we'll see gamrod start to take over the longer that …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Paul picks Gamrot but is cautious. He thinks Gamrot's wrestling will be enough to secure takedowns and win rounds, but he has questions about Turner's cardio and reach. He expects a close fight and is not confident in the pick.

"I'm gonna pick gamrat but uh another fight that I'm you know very cautious about"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

The MMA Guru picks Mateusz Gamrot, citing Turner's loss to Matt Frevola via grappling. He believes Gamrot can implement a wrestling-heavy game plan and win a 30-27 decision, noting Turner's preparation for a striker.

"I've got to go with Matthias gamrot here over Jalen Turner... I think gamrock's gonna get this one done using his grappling to a 30-27 unanimous decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Zane also leans Gamrot, emphasizing his toughness and wrestling. He notes Turner's danger in transitions and his ability to land fight-ending strikes, but believes Gamrot's pressure and scrambling will wear Turner down. He points out that Turner's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Gamrot's low single may bypass Turner's guillotine attempts.

"This is a better fight for Gamrot than it is for Turner."
WIN vs Brad Riddell
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:45 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brad Riddell 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brad Riddell 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 3 of 5 60% 1 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 3 of 5 60% 1 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo picks Jalin Turner, citing his length, raw power, and superior grappling. He notes that Turner mixes in kicks well and has higher volume and takedown accuracy than Riddell. He believes Riddell may be more technically sound but Turner's physical advantages will prevail.

Moneyline bet at -119
"I got a moneyline bet on jalen turner at minus 119"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his massive size advantage (8-inch height, 4-inch reach) and 100% finish rate. He believes Turner's length and power will be too much for Brad Riddell, despite Turner's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round finish.

Turner by first round finish
"i think jalen turner wins this fight and does it inside the distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Cody thinks Riddell is a slow starter but has great cardio and technical kickboxing. He expects Turner to win the first round but tire, allowing Riddell to take over. He recommends betting Riddell live after the first round for a better price.

Riddell by decision
"I'm gonna go with Rodell Riddell by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Daniel Levi leans toward Jalin Turner, citing his impressive improvements and physical attributes (6'3" with 77" reach). He notes Turner's variety of strikes and submission threat, and believes he is ready to usher out the old guard. However, he acknowledges that Brad Riddell is a world champion kickboxer and that the fight is a tough call. He considers the value on Riddell at +125 but ultimately leans Turner without placing a bet.

Value on Riddell at +125; no bet placed.
"my heart is telling me jalen because of the improvements... i don't know, lean turner"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Turner has length, speed, and creativity. He uses his lead right hook effectively from southpaw. Riddell needs to close distance to land, but Turner can counter him. Turner's cardio is a concern if the fight goes long, but he likely finishes early. The submission prop at +700 is good value.

Turner by submission at +700
"i think that turner clips riddell early club and subs him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Paul is waiting for a better price on Riddell, possibly +150 or more. He likes Riddell's durability and pressure, and thinks he can win if he survives the first round. He plans to bet live.

"I'll probably end up with some money on Brad Riddell"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by TKO, citing his massive height and reach advantage at lightweight (6'3" with 75.5" reach). He notes Turner's power and unorthodox striking, and that Brad Riddell has been hurt in fights before. He expects Turner to hurt Riddell in the late second round and finish him with a flurry of strikes.

TKO in round 2
"i'm going to go if jalen turner getting this one done"
TKO (punches) R2 0:46 · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Mar 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 1 52 of 111 46% 53 of 112 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:02
Jamie Mullarkey 0 35 of 59 59% 45 of 70 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 0 39 of 87 44% 40 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:00
Jamie Mullarkey 0 33 of 53 62% 43 of 64 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:31
2 Jalin Turner 1 13 of 24 54% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jamie Mullarkey 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 52 of 111 46% 34 of 86 17 of 23 1 of 2 44 of 96 4 of 5 4 of 10
Jamie Mullarkey 35 of 59 59% 22 of 41 7 of 12 6 of 6 30 of 53 2 of 2 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 39 of 87 44% 24 of 65 15 of 21 0 of 1 35 of 82 4 of 5 0 of 0
Jamie Mullarkey 33 of 53 62% 20 of 37 7 of 10 6 of 6 28 of 47 2 of 2 3 of 4
2 Jalin Turner 13 of 24 54% 10 of 21 2 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 10
Jamie Mullarkey 2 of 6 33% 2 of 4 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2022 (8 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo picks Jalin Turner, believing his volume and accuracy will overcome Mullarkey's takedowns. He notes Turner has never won a decision but thinks he can get his first here. He mentions Mullarkey's recent striking success but thinks Turner is the better striker. He also plans to bet over 1.5 rounds if the line drops.

over 1.5 rounds if line drops
"i'm actually gonna go with jalen here because i think his volume and accuracy will make up for any takedowns that malarkey gets"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner to win by knockout in the first or second round. He highlights Turner's size and reach advantage for lightweight, as well as his power and well-rounded skills. Brady notes that Mullarkey has poor striking defense and may struggle with Turner's length. He also thinks Turner is the better grappler and could submit Mullarkey if the fight goes to the mat. Brady acknowledges Mullarkey's toughness but believes Turner's skill set is superior.

Turner by knockout in round 1 or 2
"i like jalen turner to win this fight i'm gonna take him to win by i'll say knockout in the first or second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody sees Turner's upside as higher, with crazy power, length, and technical striking. He notes Turner's grappling improvement but questions his cardio beyond 8 minutes. Cody bet the under in this fight, expecting an early finish, and leans Turner but is not fully confident.

Bet under 1.5 rounds at plus money (exact odds not specified)
"i did throw some money on the under in this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Daniel Levi picks Jalin Turner to knock out Jamie Mullarkey. He highlights Turner's long reach and range tools, and believes Turner's composure and distance management have improved. He notes that Mullarkey is tough but gets hit too much, and Turner's size and weapons (knees, kicks, hands) will be too much. He thinks Turner will finish Mullarkey, possibly by knockout.

"i actually think he comes out here and knocks out uh the very tough jamie malarkey"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Turner has improved his grappling and killer instinct, as seen in his recent wins. Mullarkey is durable and has a good clinch game, but Turner's length and kickboxing from the outside should be key. Turner can nullify Mullarkey's takedowns and get back to striking. Mullarkey's only path is a big punch or relentless grappling, but Turner's growth makes him the pick.

"i'm gonna go jalen turner uh and i'm gonna take him to win this fight via decision uh stuff and takedowns uh nullifying the clinch and just getting his game off from the outside with his kickboxing"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Paul argues Mullarkey is a live underdog with great cardio, toughness, and pressure. He notes Turner's wins are over low-level opponents and he struggled against the one wrestler he faced (Matt Frevola). Paul believes Mullarkey will weather Turner's early speed and take over in rounds 2 and 3 with grinding wrestling and pace, similar to his win over Devonte Smith.

"i'm going to go with jamie i think it's another live underdog spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey as an underdog over Jalin Turner, citing Mullarkey's improvement since training with Alexander Volkanovski. He believes pressure fighters do well against Turner, referencing the close Matt Frevola fight. He predicts Mullarkey will lose the first round but use his toughness and body shots to finish Turner in the third round via TKO against the cage. He notes Turner's long torso makes him vulnerable to body shots.

underdog pick, method: TKO, round: 3
"i'm going to call a third round tko for him against the cage finishing off jalen turner"
Uroš Medić - Fight History
WIN vs Geoff Neal
KO R1 1:19 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Geoff Neal 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 10 of 19 52% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Geoff Neal 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 10 of 19 52% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Geoff Neal 3 of 10 30% 1 of 6 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 10 of 19 52% 4 of 10 6 of 9 0 of 0 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Geoff Neal 3 of 10 30% 1 of 6 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 10 of 19 52% 4 of 10 6 of 9 0 of 0 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Angelo picks Geoff Neal despite recent knockout loss, citing his overall experience and well-rounded skill set. He acknowledges Uroš Medić's power and finishing ability but notes Medić's questionable chin. He is hesitant because Neal is 35 and coming off a KO, but believes Neal is the better fighter.

"Geoff Neal's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Big Brady picks Geoff Neal to defeat Uroš Medić, citing Medić's suspect chin and Neal's heavy hands. He notes that Medić has been dropped by lesser punchers like Gilbert Urbina, while Neal hits like a truck. He predicts a first-round knockout, possibly requiring a stretcher for Medić. He acknowledges Neal was knocked out in his last fight but calls that a fluke spinning elbow that would KO most of the division.

Geoff Neal by first-round knockout
"I think Geoff Neal's going to hit Medich very hard and I'm just not sure Medich is going to be able to take it. I got to go Geoff Neal here to win and I'm going to take Geoff Neal …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Cody buys into Neal's sobriety narrative and thinks this is his easiest fight in a while. He notes Medić is an under machine who either finishes or gets finished, and expects Neal to win by KO early. He recommends under 1.5 rounds.

under 1.5 rounds
"Neil's the pick for me, but give me unders. Fight doesn't go to decision as parlay pieces."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Connor picks Neal confidently, stating that Medić is a glass cannon who gets hurt easily and sells out on his shots, leaving him vulnerable to counters. He notes that Neal has been tested against much better competition and has always been competitive, while Medić's wins have aged poorly. He believes Neal's composure and athleticism will be too much for Medić.

Connor thinks the odds should be more like -400; Neal opened -180, now -212; Medić opened +155, now +182
"I'm going to be real honest. I think this should be like your plus minus 400 odds kind of fight."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)

The host rules out betting on Neal due to red flags from an interview where Neal discussed past issues with drugs, alcohol, and diet, making him unreliable at -225. He is tempted by Medic as a +178 underdog, noting Medic's dynamic striking and power, but passes because Medic has slowed in past fights and Neal has excellent cardio. He concludes it's an easy pass on both sides.

Neal's lifestyle red flags; Medic's cardio concerns
"There is no [__] way that anyone with a brain can bet Jeff Neil after he has literally told you his diet might not be the best and he has issues with drugs slash alcohol."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

James picks Geoff Neal to win by first-round KO, citing Neal's experience against elite competition and the step down in competition for Medic. He notes that Medic is volatile and prone to getting knocked out early, and that Neal's power and boxing should be enough to finish him. James also likes the under 1.5 rounds and doesn't go to decision props.

under 1.5 rounds at -175, doesn't go to decision
"I will pick Jeff Neil to get it done via KO in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Neal is a crafty striker with good power and range management, and he has fought tougher competition. Medic is a Muay Thai specialist but has durability issues and poor grappling defense. Neal should be able to land a big shot and finish Medic, likely in the first round. The line is fair given Neal's experience and home crowd.

"I think Neil wins pretty easily here and I think he gets the knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Paul thinks Neal's step up in competition is significant and that Medić's chin is suspect. He notes Neal has fought top welterweights and held his own, while Medić has been knocked out by lesser opponents. He expects Neal to win by KO, possibly in the first round.

Neal by KO -133
"Neil Neil KO minus 133 any round minus 133. Yeah, looks like the way to go."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Geoff Neal, despite concerns about his chin and motivation after a KO loss. He believes Medić makes mistakes and is explosive but can be caught coming in. He predicts Neal will find a way to put Medić away in round two after Medić expends his energy.

TKO round two
"I'm going to go with Geoff Neal by TKO round two."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Zane agrees with Connor, calling Medić a 'one hitter quitter' who is extremely vulnerable on the counter. He notes that Medić has no defense and gets hurt easily, even in fights he wins. He believes Neal is significantly better in the pocket and should be able to weather Medić's early power and then take over.

"I think Jeff Neil is significantly better and more composed in the pocket than Medic. If Jeff Neil doesn't absolutely dust rose Medic, then that'll be a huge shock."
KO R1 1:03 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 8 of 13 61% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 8 of 13 61% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 8 of 13 61% 5 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 8 of 13 61% 5 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Uros Medic vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Medic (-180); Salikhov (+150)

Round 1
If rankings and relevant pairings do not litter the lineup, at least the matchmakers have lined up a few bangers. At 41, Salikhov (22-5, 9-4 UFC) may be looking as good as ever, with three wins in a row including two knockouts making his twilight years quite something. He will have to contend with brick-fisted Serb Medic (11-3, 5-3 UFC), who has come from Alaska to train down in California at Kings MMA. The two welterweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Kerry Hatley, who has already donned his proverbial hard hat, fully cognizant that this one could be a doozey. There is a touch of gloves to open things up.
Medic tries early to swat away Salikhov’s staging left hand, stomping his way forward to threaten with strikes to the lead knee. Both men lash out with blows at the same time, and they need some time before re-engaging. They kick simultaneously, with Medic putting a scare in the Dagestan native by going upstairs. Medic tosses one out with his other leg, wrapping it around the back of the Russian’s melon.
Salikhov has to back off, and Medic rifles off a straight left hand that puts Salikhov on his seat. Salikhov tries to scoot around to grab hold of the leg of “The Doctor,” but Medic slams him in the side of the head with his angry Alaskan fist a few times until Salikhov shells up.
Hatley sees that Salikhov has physically surrendered at that point and steps in to save the Russian from any further harm. That is two knockouts in a row for Medic right around one minute, as he iced Gilbert Urbina in August in 63 seconds. The 100% finish rate remains intact as well, as Medic calls for bigger opportunities in the future.

The Official Result
Uros Medic def. Muslim Salikhov R1 1:03 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uros Medic because he is younger, faster, and more technical, but he is not confident. He notes that Muslim Salikhov hits extremely hard and has wrestling, making him a phenomenal underdog. He acknowledges that Medic was almost finished by Gilbert Urbina, which raises concerns about his chin.

"I'm going to pick the younger, faster, more technical striker, but damn, like this is a tough-ass fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Big Brady has a hot take predicting Salikhov wins by spinning wheel kick knockout in the first round. He highlights Salikhov's patented spinning wheel kick, which he has used to knock out multiple opponents, including Carlos Leia. He questions Medić's durability, noting he got knocked down by Gilbert Urbina, which is a bad sign. He expects an early knockout.

spinning wheel kick knockout, first round, under 1.5 rounds
"I'm gonna go Salakov here. Salakov spinning old kick. First round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody picks Salikhov, noting his power and counter-striking ability. He thinks Medić's aggressive, forward-moving style plays into Salikhov's hands, and that Salikhov will land a knockout early.

"It's a solo play for me as well."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Lucrative James picks Muslim Salikhov despite acknowledging the volatility of the matchup. He notes Salikhov's higher level of competition and experience, as well as his recent training camp improvements. However, he admits both fighters have poor chins and heavy hands, making it a coin flip. He predicts Salikhov wins by knockout in round one, but also considers betting on the under or 'doesn't go to decision'.

KO in round 1
"I will pick Muslim Salikov for those reasons I just mentioned. I will pick him via knockout in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The host expects a firecracker fight and loves the under 1.5 rounds. He believes Medic will snipe Salikhov from distance and win by knockout within five minutes.

Under 1.5 rounds, knockout
"I love the under one and a half in this fight, but I ultimately think it's going to be Medic from distance who ends up sniping Salakov and getting him out of there within five minutes."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul also picks Salikhov, calling the fight a 'car crash' and expecting a knockout. He likes the plus money on the older fighter and thinks Medić's durability issues will be exposed.

"Give me the old man Salikov because he's plus money."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The Guru picks Muslim Salikhov to win by first-round KO. He believes Uroš Medić is too easily hit and erratic, lunging in with punches, while Salikhov has powerful spinning attacks and counters. He expects Salikhov to catch Medić coming in and finish him early.

round 1 KO
"I'm going to go with Muslim Salakov getting this one done by KO victory in the first round."
KO R1 1:03 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 1 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gilbert Urbina 1 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 1 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gilbert Urbina 1 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1
Gilbert Urbina 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1
Gilbert Urbina 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uroš Medić but hates the odds at -350. He notes Medić is a technical striker with 100% finish rate and killer instinct, but his takedown defense is low. Gilbert Urbina is a grappler with high output but poor striking defense. Angelo thinks Medić will win because strikers are having more success, but the odds are too wide for his liking.

Odds comment: hates the -350 line, thinks it's too wide.
"Uros Medic is going to be the pick, but I hate these odds. minus 350."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Big Brady is confident in Uroš Medić, citing his 100% finish rate and legitimate striking power. He criticizes Gilbert Urbina's chin, noting he was dropped multiple times by Tawn Gore and knocked out by Charles Raki. Brady believes Medić is a much better striker than Raki and will knock out Urbina early. He predicts a first-round knockout for Medić.

first round knockout
"I like Medic here. I think he's knocking out Erbena. I think it's going to be early. I think it's going to be in the first round. Give me Earos Medic by first round knockout here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Despite not being a big fan of Medic, the host sees this as a winnable fight and expects it to be violent. He thinks Medic will consistently crash the pocket and produce car crashes that could result in a finish, leading him to pick Medic by knockout.

by KO
"I'm not a big fan of Medic, but this is a very winnable fight for him and one that I expect to be violent from jump."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić over Gilbert Urbina, noting that Urbina's height is likely misreported and he lacks presence. He believes Medić has better offensive skills and finishing potential, and that his losses are to higher-level opponents. He predicts a TKO win for Medić.

"I'm going with Uros Medic. I think he's better offensively. I think he's got more finishing potential."
KO (punches) R1 0:31 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Punahele Soriano 1 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Uroš Medić 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Punahele Soriano 1 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Uroš Medić 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Punahele Soriano 13 of 17 76% 12 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 9
Uroš Medić 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Punahele Soriano 13 of 17 76% 12 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 9
Uroš Medić 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uroš Medić, citing his superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Punahele Soriano's only path to victory is wrestling, but Medić's takedown defense is a concern. However, he believes Medić is the better striker and will land clean shots. He has Medić in a parlay with César Almeida, though he expresses some nervousness about the bet.

Parlay with César Almeida
"I'm going to go ahead and pick uros medik and I actually have him parlay I'll give you the other half of that parlay in a little bit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Big Brady sees a clear path for Soriano: take Medić down. He notes Medić's takedown defense and ground game are questionable, and Soriano looked dominant at welterweight against Baeza, landing 331 strikes. He worries Soriano might strike instead of wrestle, but believes if he uses his wrestling, he can win by TKO or decision. He picks Soriano to win, possibly by TKO via ground and pound.

"I got to go pun haly Serano here I think the path is clear as day"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Cody picks Medić, questioning Soriano's one good performance at 170 against a shot Miguel Baeza. He believes Medić's power and pace will cause Soriano to fatigue. He notes Medić's finishing ability and Soriano's history of gassing.

"I'm going to take medic as the official pick but he's not going to be U like someone I want to have a ton of investment on"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Connor picks Soriano because he believes Soriano's wrestling and physicality will be effective at welterweight. He notes that Soriano showed a grinding game against Miguel Baeza, and Medić is bad at dealing with sustained pressure and takedowns. While Soriano is uncreative and has shown little improvement, Connor thinks his size and strength advantage will allow him to control the fight. He acknowledges it's not a smart pick but sees a path.

"So I'm going to pick Soriano."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Daniel notes Medić is more technically sound on the feet with better volume and diversity, while Soriano has big power in his left hand but shaky in-between and cardio concerns at welterweight. He thinks Medić will win the minutes, but Soriano could land a big shot or use wrestling. He picks Medić but is not interested in betting.

not interested in betting
"I'm going go with medic here um cuz I do think that if this fight's staying standing yes Puna has a chance to land one big shot but just in terms of the volume the output and the action it's …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Lucrative James picks Uroš Medić to win, citing Medić's superior striking and cleaner kickboxing. He acknowledges Soriano's wrestling advantage and power, but believes Medić's skill on the feet will prevail over three rounds. He notes Soriano's cardio issues and that Medić has decent takedown defense. He also mentions that Soriano moved down from 185 and Medić moved up from 155, but still favors Medić's higher ceiling.

"I think uros medes is the better fighter and I think he's going to win the fight I think he has too many skills in the strik in and he has decent take down defense at least initially"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Soriano is a solid wrestler as shown in his welterweight debut against Miguel Baeza. He will get to his grappling, keep Medić on his back, and grind out a decision win as long as he doesn't get finished early.

"I think we'll see him get to that grappling once again here keeping uros medic on his back and as long as he doesn't get finished early he should be able to Gra this match up out and win it …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul picks Soriano as a plus-money underdog, citing his impressive wrestling at 170 in his last fight. He expects fireworks and has bet under 1.5 rounds. He acknowledges Medić's danger but likes Soriano's path via takedowns.

under 1.5 rounds
"all side with with Puna because of me uh plus money Underdog plus the fact that like he showed us some of that wrestling there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The Guru picks Medić, noting his size as a big lightweight at welterweight, his KO of Tim Means, and his better technique and speed. He criticizes Soriano's recent performances, including losses to Dustin Stoltzfus and a poor showing against Miguel Baeza. He predicts an early TKO for Medić.

early TKO
"I'm going to go uros medic here over penelli Sano it might be a dangerous fight but I think he'll have way better technique and he'll be a lot faster so I could actually see anos medic early TKO over …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Zane picks Medić because he is a more dangerous finisher and expects Soriano to struggle to impose his game plan. Medić's movement and kicks could frustrate Soriano, who is hittable and plotting. Zane notes that Soriano's win over Baeza was more about Baeza's poor performance than Soriano's skill. Medić's ability to keep the fight in open space and avoid being clinched gives him the edge.

"I'm going to go with meditch."
WIN vs Tim Means
TKO (punches) R1 2:09 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Tim Means 1 7 of 12 58% 11 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Tim Means 1 7 of 12 58% 11 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 7 of 17 41% 1 of 10 5 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tim Means 7 of 12 58% 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 7 of 17 41% 1 of 10 5 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tim Means 7 of 12 58% 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo is very confident Uroš Medić wins, citing his youth, speed, power, and superior striking. He notes Medić has a 100% finish rate and killer instinct. The only concern is Medić's 46% takedown defense, but he thinks Tim Means at 40 years old may not be able to exploit it. He expects a finish and suggests waiting for prop bets, hoping for a 2.5 round line to bet the under.

Under 2.5 rounds (if available)
"uros medic should win this fight I very confident in him to win this fight I don't know if I trust these odds just yet let's wait for the prop bets"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Cody picks Means as a dog, citing his experience and cleaner striking. He notes Means' body work and straight left, and believes he can hurt Medić, who has been rocked before. However, he admits Means' age and cardio are concerns, making it a doger pass.

"it's pretty clear dogger pass here means could beat him on volume too"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Daniel thinks Means is durable but at 40 may not dig deep when hurt. He notes Medić is younger, more dangerous, and showed heart in the Semelsberger fight. He leans Medić but won't bet at -310, though he might take Means as a dog if the price gets better.

"I'm gonna go medic but I mean I'd love to see the Dirty Bird win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Uroš Medić

Medić is younger, faster, and more powerful. Means is 40 with a lot of mileage. Medić's Muay Thai and power should overwhelm Means as the fight goes on. I expect Medić to finish Means, possibly by knockout. The inside distance prop is a good option.

Medić wins inside distance
"I think that medic as he continues to land and starts landing on means uh it's going to cause means to you know I think it will cause him to break and I think that will eventually see means actually …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Paul also picks Means, highlighting his experience against better competition and his opportunistic submission game. He thinks Means' grappling advantage could be key, as Medić has poor takedown defense. He calls it a clear doger pass.

"it's pretty clear dogger pass here means could beat him on volume too"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić, calling him more explosive and dangerous on the feet. He criticizes Tim Means as hitting a veteran decline and notes his loss to Matt Semelsberger. He highlights Medić's good cardio and nasty body kicks, predicting a TKO via liver shot. He also mentions Medić's near-finish of Orolbai and his ability to handle Means' grinding style.

TKO via liver shot
"I'm going to go uros medic I think he's really dangerous"
Submission (neck crank) R2 4:12 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Myktybek Orolbai 0 14 of 27 51% 17 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Uroš Medić 0 8 of 20 40% 16 of 31 7 of 10 70% 1 0 7:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Myktybek Orolbai 0 14 of 25 56% 15 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Uroš Medić 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 14 5 of 8 62% 0 0 3:49
2 Myktybek Orolbai 0 0 of 2 0% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 0 3 of 7 42% 10 of 17 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Myktybek Orolbai 14 of 27 51% 10 of 20 4 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 14 8 of 12 1 of 1
Uroš Medić 8 of 20 40% 6 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 4 3 of 8 1 of 1 4 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Myktybek Orolbai 14 of 25 56% 10 of 20 4 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 12 8 of 12 1 of 1
Uroš Medić 5 of 13 38% 4 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 9
2 Myktybek Orolbai 0 of 2 0% 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uroš Medić, expecting his technical striking and patience to light up the brawler Johnny Parsons. He notes Medić has speed, footwork, and a killer instinct. He warns that Parsons is always live for a knockout but does not think he will find it here.

"I think uros medic is going to light up Johnny Parsons because he's going to be more technical he's going to stay on the outside"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Uroš Medić

Big Brady was impressed with Orolbai's skills but notes he's coming in on short notice, which affects his cardio for a wrestling-heavy game plan. He thinks Medić is dangerous, has shown three-round cardio, and can finish fights late. He picks Medić by third-round knockout, but says on a full camp he would pick Orolbai. He doesn't see himself betting this fight.

"I'm gonna pick medic just due to the fact that oral is coming in here on short notice"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Cody does not make a clear pick due to lack of information on Orolbai. He notes the fight was added late and he hasn't studied it. He mentions Orolbai looks like a 'bad man' but is on short notice. He leans towards passing or taking the favorite but is uncertain.

"I don't really got a concrete answer for you I guess orbi is the cowards way yet I'll just take the favorite"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Myktybek Orolbai

Orolbai has relentless grappling and crushing top pressure, with improved striking leading to knockouts. Medić is a striker with questionable ground game. Orolbai will dictate the pace with wrestling, land big shots, and find a finish in the second round. The fight doesn't go to decision is a favorite prop.

fight doesn't go to decision, Orolbai inside the distance
"give me oral by by uh let's say TKO inside the distance but even his betting line at minus 140 I think that is a gift of a line or obai inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Paul also does not make a clear pick, stating he hasn't looked into Orolbai enough. He mentions Medić's toughness and power but cannot confidently pick a side. He suggests the fight will be violent but passes on betting.

"I don't have I really don't know nearly enough about oral by to pick them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić to finish Myktybek Orolbai with a body kick. He notes Medić's size at welterweight and his win over Matthew Semelsberger, where he survived a knockdown and finished him in the third round at altitude. He criticizes Orolbai for making Danny Roberts look competitive and believes Medić's reach and height advantage will lead to a finish.

kick to the body finish
"I'm going to go with Uros Medic over Johnny Parsons... I reckon OS is going to finish him with a kick to the body."
TKO (spinning backfist and punches) R3 2:36 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 1 52 of 120 43% 53 of 121 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:13
Matthew Semelsberger 1 69 of 128 53% 76 of 135 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 1 17 of 36 47% 18 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Matthew Semelsberger 0 18 of 31 58% 19 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
2 Uroš Medić 0 24 of 58 41% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matthew Semelsberger 0 25 of 55 45% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Uroš Medić 0 11 of 26 42% 11 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Matthew Semelsberger 1 26 of 42 61% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 52 of 120 43% 31 of 91 8 of 14 13 of 15 42 of 106 3 of 5 7 of 9
Matthew Semelsberger 69 of 128 53% 49 of 98 17 of 27 3 of 3 50 of 104 13 of 18 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 17 of 36 47% 10 of 29 5 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 25 1 of 2 7 of 9
Matthew Semelsberger 18 of 31 58% 12 of 22 5 of 8 1 of 1 13 of 24 5 of 7 0 of 0
2 Uroš Medić 24 of 58 41% 12 of 40 3 of 8 9 of 10 23 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 25 of 55 45% 16 of 43 7 of 10 2 of 2 24 of 53 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Uroš Medić 11 of 26 42% 9 of 22 0 of 1 2 of 3 10 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 26 of 42 61% 21 of 33 5 of 9 0 of 0 13 of 27 7 of 9 6 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Angelo picks Semelsberger because he believes Semelsberger has enough chin to weather Medić's striking and can then work in his grappling advantage. He notes that Semelsberger has solid leg kicks, body work, and power, but can be sloppy. He trusts Semelsberger to close the gap and drag the fight into later rounds, where his grappling should take over. He already placed a half-unit bet at -150.

half a unit at -150
"The pick is going to be Samuel's Burger because he should have enough chin to weather what other storm comes his way and then he can work in grappling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Big Brady picks Matthew Semelsberger to win by second-round knockout. He argues that Semelsberger has more paths to victory: better durability, cardio, wrestling, and grappling, plus massive power (nine knockdowns in eight fights). He expects Medić, coming up in weight on short notice at elevation, to fade after an early onslaught, and Semelsberger's chin will hold up to finish him.

second round knockout
"I'll say semmelsberger's second round knockout though after medic starts to slow down a little bit"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Cody picks Semelsberger but is hesitant at -200. He notes Medić's power and early finishing ability but questions his cardio. Semelsberger has good volume and takedown defense issues but can survive early onslaughts. He suggests a live bet on Semelsberger if he survives the first round.

"someone's Burger is going to be the pick I'm not gonna get to it at minus 200 though"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

James believes Medić is a cleaner striker with better timing and technique, while Semelsberger has more power but an elite chin that may eventually crack. He notes the line has moved heavily toward Semelsberger, creating value on Medić as an underdog. He thinks the fight is fairly even and that Medić's striking prowess gives him the edge.

"I do tend to think that there's some value on the uros medit side for me I think Urus medic is a cleaner Striker"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Semelsberger has more knockdowns than fights and his forward pressure and power punching will be too much for Medić. Medić is a glass cannon with a hand injury history and doesn't have the grappling to exploit Semelsberger's weakness. Semelsberger will land a big punch and knock him out. Fight doesn't go to decision is a great play.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I fully believe that the forward pressure and aggressive movement and power punching style of samuelsberger will be too much for medichair and I think that will allow him to get the win"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Paul also picks Semelsberger, citing his superior cardio and volume. He notes Medić's limited cardio and tendency to fade after the first round. Semelsberger has faced wrestlers and power punchers but has shown durability. He advises a live bet if Medić doesn't finish early.

"I gotta lead towards Summer's Burger having that Superior volume being able to actually fight 15 minutes"
WIN vs Omar Morales
TKO (punches) R2 3:05 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 0 33 of 85 38% 33 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 2 47 of 86 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 0 17 of 52 32% 17 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 0 24 of 50 48% 24 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Uroš Medić 0 16 of 33 48% 16 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 2 23 of 36 63% 23 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 33 of 85 38% 18 of 64 8 of 14 7 of 7 32 of 82 1 of 3 0 of 0
Omar Morales 47 of 86 54% 21 of 57 13 of 16 13 of 13 45 of 83 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 17 of 52 32% 6 of 37 7 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
Omar Morales 24 of 50 48% 11 of 35 8 of 10 5 of 5 23 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Uroš Medić 16 of 33 48% 12 of 27 1 of 3 3 of 3 15 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Omar Morales 23 of 36 63% 10 of 22 5 of 6 8 of 8 22 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Angelo picks Omar Morales because he believes Morales's strength and ability to mix in grappling will be the difference. He notes that Uroš Medić is a kill-or-be-killed first-round striker who has shown poor grappling defense. Morales needs to survive the first round and work takedowns to avoid danger. Angelo expects a decision win for Morales.

"i think omar's strength and a touch of that grappling that we've seen will be the difference here so i think omar will win a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales to win by second-round submission, but expresses low confidence due to Morales' poor fight IQ. He notes Morales has a BJJ black belt and should take the fight to the mat to exploit Medić's weak ground game and cardio. However, he worries Morales might stand and trade, which would give Medić a knockout chance. He says he cannot trust Morales at -160.

second round submission
"give me morales to win remember alice to win by second round submission but i just can't trust him and i can't trust him at minus 160 as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Cody picks Morales, citing his durability, experience, and return to lightweight where he performed best. He notes Medić's tendency to fade after the first round and lack of deep fight experience. He expects Morales to weather an early storm and take over as Medić tires, possibly winning by decision or late finish.

"i'm actually expecting to see a little bit better version of him here and i think a slightly better version of him here gets the win against euros medic"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host does not make a clear pick for this fight. He mentions it as a potential live bet spot (Medic after round one) and includes it in a totals parlay (under 2.5 rounds), but does not state a winner.

under 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"medic obviously after or sorry uh omar morales after round one"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Morales' durability and return to lightweight should be key. He notes Medić's early explosiveness but thinks Morales can survive and take over. He is confident in Morales.

"that makes sense to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

The MMA Guru picks Omar Morales, citing his toughness and durability. He worries about Uroš Medić's cardio and thinks Morales can survive the early storm and take over in later rounds. He notes Morales has a reach advantage and can pressure Medić in the second and third rounds. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision for Morales.

"i'm going to trust omar morales not to get finished early"
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Medić, citing his power, striking technique, and killer instinct. He acknowledges the lack of information on Medić's ability to handle adversity but believes his pressure and kicks will overcome Turner's technique. Angelo calls Medić his 'new guy' and predicts he'll be a future champion.

Angelo suggests less less on Monkey Knife Fight and mentions knockout Kings. He also says he put his house on Medić at pick 'em odds.
"Euros medic gets it done and this is basically a pickum"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner to win by second-round submission. He believes Turner is more well-rounded, has fought better competition, and has a path to victory via takedowns and ground game. He notes that Medić has never been past the second round and has shown poor takedown defense. However, he acknowledges Medić could knock Turner out early.

second round submission
"i'll take turner uh give me second round submission for uh for jalen turner"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody leans towards Turner, citing his reach advantage, cleaner striking, and experience going rounds. He notes Medić has never fought past the first round and questions his cardio. He thinks Turner could win if he survives the early onslaught.

under 2.5 rounds (-135), live betting opportunity
"i'm labeling this as a dogger pass really not getting any plus money on it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Uroš Medić

Daniel Levi picks Uroš Medić, believing he can expose Jalin Turner's chin issues. He notes that Medić has power and trains at Kings MMA with Beneil Dariush, which should level up his game. Levi is concerned about Turner's history of being knocked out and thinks Medić's power will be the difference, though he acknowledges the question of what happens if the fight goes past the first round.

"my pick is going to be euroschmidich to come out here and i like jalen turner he's a nice kid but i think he might take a nap saturday night"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Jacob picks Medić, admitting he previously discounted him but has learned his lesson. He notes Turner's experience but believes Medić's dominance and finishing ability are too much. Jacob thinks the odds are fair and that Medić will win impressively.

Jacob mentions Medić at $8,400 in DraftKings and suggests less less on Monkey Knife Fight.
"Euros medic is going to be my lock lock of the week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Jalin Turner

The host picks Jalin Turner by second-round submission. He believes Turner has the advantage on the ground with long, gangly arms good for chokes. He expects Medić to come out strong but slow down, allowing Turner to survive the early onslaught and get his grappling going. He notes that Medić's grappling looks suspect when pushed later in fights and that Turner is better than his record indicates.

Turner by submission at +815; fight doesn't go to decision at -160 to -200; under 1.5 rounds at +145
"i like turner in this spot um again i think his striking is improving but i do think that you got to give the slight advantage to medic in that spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not have a clear pick. He considers the under 2.5 rounds due to Medić's finishing ability and Turner's history of being knocked out. He thinks it's a low-priority fight and prefers live betting.

under 1.5 rounds (+150), under 2.5 rounds
"the underplayed one and a half are always a little bit dicey but that's plus 150 so i don't think that's a very bad spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić over Jalin Turner, impressed by Medić's ease in finishing opponents. He notes that Turner is a huge lightweight who has been knocked out four times in his career and is draining himself to make weight. He expects Medić's speed and power to be too much, predicting a first-round TKO. He references Medić's last fight against Aalon Cruz, where he landed a close-range hook to put him down.

first round tko
"i think i'm going to pick urdos medici by first round tko over jalen turner"