Career Averages - Leomana Martinez
Career Averages - Guido Cannetti
Leomana Martinez
Guido Cannetti
Leomana Martinez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 60 of 148 | 40% | 63 of 160 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 117 of 240 | 48% | 146 of 272 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 40 of 85 | 47% | 41 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 44 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:12 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 45 of 84 | 53% | 61 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 60 of 148 | 40% | 40 of 125 | 15 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 58 of 144 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 117 of 240 | 48% | 66 of 175 | 23 of 30 | 28 of 35 | 85 of 191 | 1 of 3 | 31 of 46 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 28 of 67 | 41% | 19 of 56 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 40 of 85 | 47% | 14 of 52 | 11 of 14 | 15 of 19 | 40 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 18 of 45 | 40% | 10 of 36 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 32 of 71 | 45% | 22 of 56 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 21 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 14 of 36 | 38% | 11 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 45 of 84 | 53% | 30 of 67 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 25 |
Angelo leans towards Leomana Martinez, citing his raw power, durability, and relentless pressure. He notes that Saaiman was losing his last fight before getting a late knockout and is relatively untested. Angelo is not confident enough to bet but sees value in Martinez as an underdog.
Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman, highlighting his excellent cardio, pressure, and volume that breaks opponents. He notes Martinez has power but fades as the fight goes on, while Saaiman gets better. He predicts a third-round knockout for Saaiman, though he acknowledges Martinez's power makes it risky.
Cody picks Saaiman, citing his volume and durability. He thinks Martinez has power but low volume and questionable cardio. He expects Saaiman to take over as the fight goes on and win by decision or late TKO.
Connor picks Cameron Saaiman, though he is not very confident. He notes that Saaiman is a marginally better athlete than Martinez and has shown some functional aggression. However, he acknowledges that Martinez is tough, determined, and more comprehensive in his game, and that Saaiman's takedown defense and striking defense are poor. Connor thinks Saaiman's athleticism and willingness to push the pace might be enough.
Jacob picks Cameron Saaiman, citing his speed, pressure, and good scrambles. He notes that Martinez lacks volume and urgency at times, which could be his downfall. However, Jacob is not super high on Saaiman and is leaving him out of parlays due to the risk.
Saaiman is a scrappy fighter with good speed, footwork, and grappling reversals. Martinez has power but a clear ceiling and a recent camp change. Saaiman's skill set should nullify Martinez's threats and he wins by decision or late finish.
Paul picks Saaiman but is not confident at -300. He notes Saaiman looked green in his debut and Martinez has more UFC experience. He won't bet it but expects Saaiman to get the job done.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman, praising his versatility in stand-up, clinch, and grappling. He notes Martinez is limited and that Saaiman has more ways to win, predicting a 29-28 decision.
Zane picks Leomana Martinez, reasoning that Martinez is a more complete martial artist who will pressure Saaiman and find good positions. He notes that Saaiman is reckless and disorganized, while Martinez is tough and will do a little bit of everything. Zane thinks Martinez's experience and composure will allow him to win a messy fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 2 | 87 of 161 | 54% | 87 of 162 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 76 of 181 | 41% | 84 of 189 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 2 | 37 of 62 | 59% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 29 of 55 | 52% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 19 of 44 | 43% | 19 of 45 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 23 of 69 | 33% | 31 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 87 of 161 | 54% | 45 of 108 | 25 of 34 | 17 of 19 | 82 of 154 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Brandon Davis | 76 of 181 | 41% | 43 of 139 | 16 of 24 | 17 of 18 | 69 of 170 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 31 of 55 | 56% | 12 of 31 | 12 of 15 | 7 of 9 | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brandon Davis | 24 of 57 | 42% | 14 of 44 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 37 of 62 | 59% | 21 of 43 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Brandon Davis | 29 of 55 | 52% | 14 of 39 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 11 | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 19 of 44 | 43% | 12 of 34 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brandon Davis | 23 of 69 | 33% | 15 of 56 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 59 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 7 |
Angelo picks Leomana Martinez, citing his cleaner technique, power, and heart shown in the Ronnie Lawrence fight. He notes that Brandon Davis has a wrestling advantage and took Giga Chikadze down three times, but Mana showed incredible resilience and never stops coming forward. He trusts Mana to fight for the win.
Big Brady picks Leomana Martinez to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Martinez's power (finished all regional wins in the first round, knocked out Ricky Turcios) and notes that Brandon Davis was knocked out in his last fight and has been hurt before. He believes Davis's takedown threat is minimal and that Martinez's power will be too much. He calls Martinez the more dangerous striker.
Cody picks Martinez but is not confident. He notes Martinez has huge power and a nasty left hook, and could knock Davis out. However, he acknowledges Davis is a volume puncher and could push the pace. He thinks Martinez might win by knockout but is not willing to bet heavily.
Martinez is the better striker with power, and his cardio has improved. Davis has suspect takedown defense and could be a live underdog if he gets the fight to the mat. However, Martinez's takedown defense is a concern; if he can keep it standing, he should win by knockout. The host is not betting the moneyline but likes Martinez inside the distance at +240.
Paul leans towards Davis as a dog, noting Davis has fought high-level competition and has a junkyard dog style. He thinks Davis can push the pace, score takedowns, and potentially win if he survives the first round. However, he is on the fence and might switch back to Martinez.
The MMA Guru picks Leomana Martinez, refusing to fall for Brandon Davis as an underdog. He criticizes Davis as hit-or-miss and notes his poor weight cut to 135. He believes Martinez will hold his own in grappling and win on the feet, catching an aggressive Davis and finishing by TKO in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 2 | 39 of 78 | 50% | 105 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:08 |
| Leomana Martinez | 3 | 46 of 82 | 56% | 63 of 99 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 1 | 8:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 37 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:02 |
| Leomana Martinez | 2 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 20 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:55 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 2 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 51 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 13 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 1:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 39 of 78 | 50% | 24 of 59 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 32 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 11 |
| Leomana Martinez | 46 of 82 | 56% | 30 of 59 | 6 of 12 | 10 of 11 | 28 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 33 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 6 of 14 | 42% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Leomana Martinez | 20 of 33 | 60% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Leomana Martinez | 14 of 27 | 51% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 19 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 30 of 54 | 55% | 20 of 44 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 6 of 9 |
| Leomana Martinez | 12 of 22 | 54% | 8 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident in Lawrence due to his relentless wrestling, noting his insane takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Martinez has power and will have opportunities on the feet when Lawrence's opponents get up, but believes Lawrence will shoot a million takedowns and control Martinez to remove the power threat. He calls it a parlay piece rather than a straight moneyline bet due to the odds.
Big Brady likes Lawrence's wrestling and fight IQ, noting he has landed 20 takedowns in two fights. He believes Lawrence will take Martinez down early and often, grinding out a decision. He acknowledges Martinez has power and could knock Lawrence out, but thinks Lawrence is smart enough to avoid that. Brady also notes Martinez's last performance was poor due to personal issues, but expects a better version. He picks Lawrence by decision.
Cody agrees, noting Martinez has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Lawrence's pressure and grappling will be too much, and that Martinez's only path is an early knockout. He expects Lawrence to win decisively.
Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, praising his relentless takedown attempts and work rate. He notes that Martinez has power but tends to wait, and that Lawrence's pressure will grind him down. Levi expects Lawrence to win a decision, as Martinez's knockout power is overrated against better competition.
Lawrence is a strong wrestler with excellent takedowns and top control. He should easily take Martinez down and overwhelm him. Martinez has decent striking but poor takedown defense. Lawrence's only concern is his weight cut, but if he makes weight, he should finish Martinez. The inside the distance line is a good play.
Paul is high on Lawrence, calling him a top prospect. He notes Lawrence's relentless pressure, takedowns, and cardio. He thinks Martinez is a first-round banger with no backup plan and that Lawrence will dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence by unanimous decision, citing his unorthodox footwork and grappling. He believes Martinez struggled against lesser competition and will be confused by Lawrence's style.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 79 of 157 | 50% | 88 of 169 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 66 of 109 | 60% | 68 of 111 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 19 of 32 | 59% | 21 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 27 of 37 | 72% | 28 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 36 of 74 | 48% | 43 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 79 of 157 | 50% | 35 of 98 | 31 of 44 | 13 of 15 | 72 of 147 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Guido Cannetti | 66 of 109 | 60% | 21 of 57 | 13 of 19 | 32 of 33 | 64 of 105 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 19 of 32 | 59% | 8 of 20 | 8 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 27 of 37 | 72% | 5 of 11 | 6 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 24 of 51 | 47% | 8 of 29 | 11 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 23 of 40 | 57% | 8 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 11 | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 36 of 74 | 48% | 19 of 49 | 12 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 64 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Guido Cannetti | 16 of 32 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Martinez, citing his solid power, aggression, and constant stance switches that complicate things for opponents. He notes Cannetti is over 40, losing by stoppage, and needs to get the fight to the ground to win, which is unlikely. The only concern is Martinez's headspace after his coach died, but he still sees a mismatch.
Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his power in both hands and aggressive style. He notes that Cannetti is 41 years old, has been knocked out multiple times, and looked old in his last fight. Cody thinks Martinez's takedown defense is solid and that he will knock Cannetti out early, likely in round one.
Jacob picks Martinez, emphasizing his power that hits like a middleweight and Cannetti's flat-footed movement and age. He expects Martinez to dominate and likely flatline Cannetti inside two and a half minutes. He plans to bet on a first-round stoppage for better odds.
Lock picks Martinez by KO at -110, expecting a violent fight. He notes both fighters have finishing ability and poor cardio, leading to an early finish. Lock likes the under 1.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision props. He thinks Martinez's power and durability give him the edge, but acknowledges Cannetti can crack too.
Paul picks Martinez, agreeing that he has power and that Cannetti is old and faded. He notes Martinez's wins over Ricky Turcios and Jose Johnson, showing he can finish good opponents. Paul thinks Martinez's takedown defense will keep the fight standing and lead to a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Martinez inside the distance.
The Guru picks Mana Martinez, citing his youth, momentum, and knockout power against the older Guido Cannetti, who is coming off a KO loss. He expects Martinez to start fast and finish by TKO in the first round. The Guru notes Cannetti's age (41) and history of being finished as key factors.
Guido Cannetti - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Bautista | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 5 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mario Bautista | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 5 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Bautista | 3 of 4 | 75% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Guido Cannetti | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mario Bautista | 3 of 4 | 75% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Guido Cannetti | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Mario Bautista, citing his youth, speed, wrestling, and grappling advantage over the 43-year-old Guido Cannetti. He believes Bautista will win inside the distance and considers that the most valuable bet. He notes the odds are wide but thinks Bautista should be a much heavier favorite.
Big Brady is very confident in Mario Bautista, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He notes Bautista's wrestling and grappling look really good, and Cannetti has been finished four times by submission. Brady expects Bautista to get the fight down to the mat early and finish with a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Cannetti has power and Bautista's chin is in question.
Cody picks Bautista by submission, noting Cannetti's tendency to give up his back and get choked. He highlights Bautista's improved wrestling and Jiu-Jitsu, and thinks Cannetti's brawling style will lead to a submission loss.
Connor picks Bautista confidently, noting that Bautista has become an aggressive bully who overwhelms opponents with pressure and chain wrestling. He acknowledges Cannetti's early explosiveness but believes Bautista's durability and pace will wear him down, leading to a finish in the second round or later.
Bautista is on a three-fight winning streak and looking career-best. Cannetti is 43 years old at bantamweight, which is a huge disadvantage. Bautista's physical transformation and finishing ability should be too much. I expect a dominant finish within 10 minutes, likely by submission. This is a favorable matchup for Bautista to continue his rise.
Paul picks Bautista easily, noting Cannetti's age (43) and Bautista's improvements in grappling. He thinks Bautista can submit Cannetti, who has a history of getting choked out. He mentions a YOLO bet on Cannetti by first-round KO but prefers Bautista by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Mario Bautista, noting he is a 10-to-1 favorite but believes he should win. He highlights Bautista's recent performances, including a submission win over Keller and dominating Benito Lopez. He thinks Bautista is in his prime and will submit Cannetti.
Zane picks Bautista but is less confident than the odds suggest. He notes that Cannetti is a fast, powerful starter who could catch Bautista early, but Bautista's pressure and durability should take over as Cannetti fades. He compares it to Chandler vs Hooker, where either could win early but Bautista has the edge over time.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Randy Costa | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guido Cannetti | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Randy Costa | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Cannetti | 8 of 13 | 61% | 1 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Costa | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guido Cannetti | 8 of 13 | 61% | 1 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Randy Costa | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Randy Costa to win, citing his striking and power. He notes that Costa has looked good in recent fights and that Cannetti is 42 and has durability issues. He expects an early finish and likes the under 2.5 rounds. He also sees value in Guido Cannetti as a live underdog if Costa fades.
Paul picks Randy Costa to win, but is not confident in the -300 moneyline. He expects Costa to come out fast and finish early, but acknowledges Costa's cardio issues. He is interested in props on Guido Cannetti if Costa fades. He believes the fight will not go the distance and likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.
The MMA Guru picks Guido Cannetti, believing he will knock out Randy Costa in the first round. He notes that both fighters fade after the first round, but Cannetti has power and Costa has a weak chin. He calls Costa 'wolf tickets' and criticizes the -300 price on Costa, saying anyone betting that has a gambling addiction. He expects a first-round KO from Cannetti.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guido Cannetti | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kris Moutinho | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Cannetti | 11 of 30 | 36% | 8 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 28 of 44 | 63% | 18 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 21 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guido Cannetti | 11 of 30 | 36% | 8 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kris Moutinho | 28 of 44 | 63% | 18 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 21 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Kris Moutinho due to his durability, noting that he absorbed 230 strikes against Sean O'Malley and kept coming. He acknowledges that Guido Cannetti is a technical striker but aging, and that Moutinho is young and tough. However, he admits he has no strong read on this fight and that Cannetti could win a decision.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Kris Moutinho, citing Moutinho's youth (13 years younger), height and reach advantage, and better cardio. He acknowledges Cannetti is the better fighter but only has one round of cardio at 42 years old. He expects Moutinho to walk forward, eat punches, and take over late to win a close, greasy decision. He is not betting this fight, especially with Moutinho as a favorite.
Cody leans Moutinho, citing his youth and pressure. He notes Cannetti's age and suspect gas tank. He believes Moutinho's forward pressure will overwhelm Cannetti.
Daniel Levi picks Kris Moutinho, noting that Guido Cannetti is 43 years old and gasses out past the first round. He believes Moutinho's durability and volume will break Cannetti down, likely winning a decision. Levi acknowledges that Moutinho is not the best but thinks this matchup favors him against an aging opponent.
Moutinho is expected to land crisper shots down the middle and win via decision. However, the fight is highly volatile with many possible outcomes. Cannetti has leg kicks and power, but Moutinho's durability is a question. The host is not betting this fight due to volatility.
Paul leans Moutinho, citing his youth and pressure. He notes Cannetti's age and suspect gas tank. He believes Moutinho's forward pressure will overwhelm Cannetti.
The MMA Guru picks Guido Cannetti as an underdog over Kris Moutinho, believing Moutinho is 'garbage at fighting' despite his name value from the Sean O'Malley fight. He highlights Cannetti's underrated skills, including dominating Marlon Vera in the first round of their fight. He expects a grinding fight where Cannetti uses his grappling to take Moutinho down and win by TKO or submission. He plans to wait for better odds as money comes in on Moutinho.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 79 of 157 | 50% | 88 of 169 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 66 of 109 | 60% | 68 of 111 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 19 of 32 | 59% | 21 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 27 of 37 | 72% | 28 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 36 of 74 | 48% | 43 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 79 of 157 | 50% | 35 of 98 | 31 of 44 | 13 of 15 | 72 of 147 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Guido Cannetti | 66 of 109 | 60% | 21 of 57 | 13 of 19 | 32 of 33 | 64 of 105 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 19 of 32 | 59% | 8 of 20 | 8 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 27 of 37 | 72% | 5 of 11 | 6 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 24 of 51 | 47% | 8 of 29 | 11 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 23 of 40 | 57% | 8 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 11 | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 36 of 74 | 48% | 19 of 49 | 12 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 64 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Guido Cannetti | 16 of 32 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Martinez, citing his solid power, aggression, and constant stance switches that complicate things for opponents. He notes Cannetti is over 40, losing by stoppage, and needs to get the fight to the ground to win, which is unlikely. The only concern is Martinez's headspace after his coach died, but he still sees a mismatch.
Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his power in both hands and aggressive style. He notes that Cannetti is 41 years old, has been knocked out multiple times, and looked old in his last fight. Cody thinks Martinez's takedown defense is solid and that he will knock Cannetti out early, likely in round one.
Jacob picks Martinez, emphasizing his power that hits like a middleweight and Cannetti's flat-footed movement and age. He expects Martinez to dominate and likely flatline Cannetti inside two and a half minutes. He plans to bet on a first-round stoppage for better odds.
Lock picks Martinez by KO at -110, expecting a violent fight. He notes both fighters have finishing ability and poor cardio, leading to an early finish. Lock likes the under 1.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision props. He thinks Martinez's power and durability give him the edge, but acknowledges Cannetti can crack too.
Paul picks Martinez, agreeing that he has power and that Cannetti is old and faded. He notes Martinez's wins over Ricky Turcios and Jose Johnson, showing he can finish good opponents. Paul thinks Martinez's takedown defense will keep the fight standing and lead to a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Martinez inside the distance.
The Guru picks Mana Martinez, citing his youth, momentum, and knockout power against the older Guido Cannetti, who is coming off a KO loss. He expects Martinez to start fast and finish by TKO in the first round. The Guru notes Cannetti's age (41) and history of being finished as key factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danaa Batgerel | 1 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danaa Batgerel | 1 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danaa Batgerel | 17 of 33 | 51% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 |
| Guido Cannetti | 11 of 23 | 47% | 0 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danaa Batgerel | 17 of 33 | 51% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 |
| Guido Cannetti | 11 of 23 | 47% | 0 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Danaa Batgerel to win, but with caution. He notes that Cannetti is explosive in the first round but tends to fade if he faces adversity. He believes Batgerel can take over in the second and third rounds and win a decision, but it's contingent on him not getting badly hurt in the first.
Both fighters are aggressive strikers; Batgerel is more technical, Cannetti is a brawler. The fight likely ends inside the distance. The host prefers betting under 2.5 rounds at plus money rather than picking a side. He picks Cannetti by TKO but is not confident enough to bet the moneyline.
The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel based on his better UFC record (6-2) and youth advantage over the 40-year-old Guido Cannetti. He notes Cannetti is smaller with less reach and questions why he is still fighting at his age. He expects Batgerel to get the job done with his Asian power moves.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Vera | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 37 of 56 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Guido Cannetti | 1 | 24 of 35 | 68% | 36 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marlon Vera | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 34 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 20 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Marlon Vera | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Guido Cannetti | 1 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 16 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Vera | 24 of 42 | 57% | 11 of 25 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 23 | 8 of 11 | 8 of 8 |
| Guido Cannetti | 24 of 35 | 68% | 13 of 18 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 10 | 17 of 19 | 4 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marlon Vera | 21 of 35 | 60% | 9 of 19 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 8 of 8 |
| Guido Cannetti | 8 of 13 | 61% | 0 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Marlon Vera | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 16 of 22 | 72% | 13 of 15 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 11 of 11 | 3 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Vera pushes Cannetti backward with a body kick, but the “Ninja” comes back at Vera with a Thai clinch and a knee to the body. Vera turns the tables with a quick takedown; Cannetti throws up an armbar, then jumps back on his feet when Vera lifts him for a slam. After tagging Vera with a combination, it’s Cannetti’s turn to score a takedown, slamming “Chito” to the floor at the base of the fence. Vera slowly works his way back to his feet, and the bantamweights disengage inside the three-minute mark. Vera is forced to cover up again as Cannetti blitzes him with wild punching combinations and body kicks, unconcerned with any of Vera’s attempted counters. Cannetti misses on a punch to the body, allowing Vera to wrap him up and push him to the fence. Vera stomps on Cannetti’s feet, but it’s the Argentine hitting an outside trip to put Vera on his back a second time. Cannetti spends 30 seconds trying to break Vera’s posture and find an opening for some ground-and-pound. Eventually, Cannetti stands up and kicks at the legs of Vera, keeping the Ecuadorian grounded until the end of the round.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round 10-9 Cannetti
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Cannetti
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Cannetti
Round 2
Vera attacks Cannetti with clinch knees, first to the body and then one to the head that sends “Ninja” to the canvas. As Cannetti stands up and drives on Vera’s legs, the Ecuadorian sizes him up for a guillotine and jumps guard. Cannetti frees himself from the choke, but after escaping to his feet, Vera keeps him trapped on the fence to tee off with more knees and punches. Vera reaps the leg of Cannetti and trips him to the ground, then
attaches himself to Cannetti’s back with a body triangle and forces him to tap out
with a lightning fast rear-naked choke.
The Official Result
Marlon Vera def. Guido Cannetti via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R2 1:31
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 22 of 46 | 47% | 26 of 50 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 3:04 |
| Diego Rivas | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 44 of 75 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 5:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guido Cannetti | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Diego Rivas | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 25 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 | |
| 2 | Guido Cannetti | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 6 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Diego Rivas | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:15 | |
| 3 | Guido Cannetti | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Diego Rivas | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Cannetti | 22 of 46 | 47% | 10 of 23 | 7 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 31 | 13 of 14 | 1 of 1 |
| Diego Rivas | 25 of 53 | 47% | 12 of 35 | 6 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 10 of 32 | 7 of 12 | 8 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guido Cannetti | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Diego Rivas | 13 of 19 | 68% | 9 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 8 | 7 of 8 | |
| 2 | Guido Cannetti | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Diego Rivas | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Guido Cannetti | 16 of 37 | 43% | 9 of 22 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 26 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Diego Rivas | 8 of 28 | 28% | 2 of 19 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyung Ho Kang | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 28 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 22 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyung Ho Kang | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 28 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 22 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyung Ho Kang | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Guido Cannetti | 19 of 39 | 48% | 12 of 29 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyung Ho Kang | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Guido Cannetti | 19 of 39 | 48% | 12 of 29 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Martinez, citing his solid power, aggression, and constant stance switches that complicate things for opponents. He notes Cannetti is over 40, losing by stoppage, and needs to get the fight to the ground to win, which is unlikely. The only concern is Martinez's headspace after his coach died, but he still sees a mismatch.
Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his power in both hands and aggressive style. He notes that Cannetti is 41 years old, has been knocked out multiple times, and looked old in his last fight. Cody thinks Martinez's takedown defense is solid and that he will knock Cannetti out early, likely in round one.
Jacob picks Martinez, emphasizing his power that hits like a middleweight and Cannetti's flat-footed movement and age. He expects Martinez to dominate and likely flatline Cannetti inside two and a half minutes. He plans to bet on a first-round stoppage for better odds.
Lock picks Martinez by KO at -110, expecting a violent fight. He notes both fighters have finishing ability and poor cardio, leading to an early finish. Lock likes the under 1.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision props. He thinks Martinez's power and durability give him the edge, but acknowledges Cannetti can crack too.
Paul picks Martinez, agreeing that he has power and that Cannetti is old and faded. He notes Martinez's wins over Ricky Turcios and Jose Johnson, showing he can finish good opponents. Paul thinks Martinez's takedown defense will keep the fight standing and lead to a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Martinez inside the distance.
The Guru picks Mana Martinez, citing his youth, momentum, and knockout power against the older Guido Cannetti, who is coming off a KO loss. He expects Martinez to start fast and finish by TKO in the first round. The Guru notes Cannetti's age (41) and history of being finished as key factors.
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