UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021 · Women’s Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 3"
Reach 63.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 30
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cheyanne Vlismas
4.93 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
2.57 SApM
64.0% Str. Def.
0.25 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Gloria de Paula
4.89 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.77 SApM
66.0% Str. Def.
0.74 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Cheyanne Vlismas
Moneyline
DraftKings -145
KO/TKO
BetWay +1000
Submission
FanDuel +1400
Decision
BetMGM +110
Gloria de Paula
Moneyline
BetRivers +140
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1000
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
BetWay +240
Cheyanne Vlismas - Fight History
LOSS vs Cory McKenna
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory McKenna 0 33 of 74 44% 66 of 113 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 22 of 81 27% 103 of 216 2 of 3 66% 0 0 9:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory McKenna 0 17 of 45 37% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 13 of 61 21% 21 of 77 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:51
2 Cory McKenna 0 14 of 23 60% 32 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 6 of 15 40% 24 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:06
3 Cory McKenna 0 2 of 6 33% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 3 of 5 60% 58 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory McKenna 33 of 74 44% 20 of 54 8 of 13 5 of 7 23 of 63 3 of 3 7 of 8
Cheyanne Vlismas 22 of 81 27% 17 of 72 3 of 7 2 of 2 18 of 76 2 of 3 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory McKenna 17 of 45 37% 12 of 36 1 of 5 4 of 4 17 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cheyanne Vlismas 13 of 61 21% 11 of 56 1 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cory McKenna 14 of 23 60% 7 of 15 6 of 6 1 of 2 5 of 13 3 of 3 6 of 7
Cheyanne Vlismas 6 of 15 40% 4 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Cory McKenna 2 of 6 33% 1 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cheyanne Vlismas 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cory McKenna, expecting her to set a relentless grappling pace and take a decision. He notes Cheyanne has improved takedown defense but thinks McKenna's takedown offense has also improved. He believes the fight comes down to volume and takedowns, and if Cheyanne is too afraid to commit to strikes, she'll give up rounds.

Plans to bet over 2.5 rounds (decision) as part of a round prop parlay
"I'm gonna go slight lean for Corey I think she sets a Relentless grappling place and takes this decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Big Brady picks Vlismas, citing her superior striking and takedown defense. He doesn't trust McKenna after her poor performance against Elise Reed where she refused to wrestle and looked bad on the feet. He thinks McKenna's takedowns will be harder to get against Vlismas, and even if she gets them, she won't hold her down. He predicts Vlismas by decision.

Vlismas wins by decision
"I like lisbus here I think she's a better Striker by a mile... give me Bliss Mr win give me voice Miss to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Cody picks Vlismas, believing she is talented and has good volume. He thinks she has improved and is a dark horse in the division. He notes McKenna's wrestling is not elite and Vlismas has solid takedown defense. He expects Vlismas to win by decision, outworking McKenna on the feet.

Vlismas by decision
"I gotta go the other way I gotta go to Cheyenne blismus... I just feel like her ability to stay up on the feet more often than not and then use the volume use the Striking"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Connor likes Vlismas's distance command, power, and strike selection. He notes McKenna is young and scrappy but has a bad case of pad holder syndrome, not following through on strikes. He expects Vlismas to find her range repeatedly and bully McKenna, even if McKenna takes a round.

"I really like the distance command power and strike selection of lissimus a lot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Vlismas is the far superior striker and should be able to solve McKenna's takedowns and get back to her feet if taken down. McKenna's top pressure could be an issue, but Vlismas is too athletic. She will light McKenna up on the feet. The host would have made her a lock if he had more recent data on her off-her-back game.

2 units at -195
"I think that Cheyenne too athletic I think she'll be able to solve the takedowns I think she gets back to her feet if she gets taken down and then I think she's the far superior Striker and I think …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Paul picks McKenna but is hesitant, hoping she sticks to wrestling. He notes she has T-Rex arms and must get the fight to the mat. He is frustrated by her previous fight where she didn't wrestle enough. He thinks she can win by grappling-based decision or submission if she follows the game plan.

"I'm gonna pick Corey McKenna hopefully she sticks to wrestling like she's got a 58 inch reach man T-Rex arms like we are not winning this fight at range"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

The MMA Guru picks Cory McKenna over Cheyanne Vlismas, believing McKenna's grappling will be the difference. He notes Vlismas has a stand-up advantage but a massive hole in her grappling, as shown in her loss to Montserrat Ruiz where she had no answer for head-and-arm throws. He expects McKenna to out-grapple her and potentially submit her in the first two rounds. He also thinks Vlismas will be too worried about takedowns to effectively strike.

"I'm gonna go Corey McKenna"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Zane agrees with Connor, noting Vlismas is a willing, accurate, and powerful counter puncher with excellent range command. He thinks McKenna will start aggressive but eventually get bullied. He also mentions Vlismas's takedown defense is a question but not a deep problem.

"I just have a lot more faith in Whismas to to find her range repeatedly"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 134 of 271 49% 146 of 283 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mallory Martin 0 80 of 210 38% 106 of 236 0 of 5 0% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 0 37 of 87 42% 39 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mallory Martin 0 24 of 64 37% 26 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Cheyanne Vlismas 0 37 of 80 46% 46 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mallory Martin 0 23 of 70 32% 35 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:21
3 Cheyanne Vlismas 0 60 of 104 57% 61 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mallory Martin 0 33 of 76 43% 45 of 88 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cheyanne Vlismas 134 of 271 49% 102 of 223 26 of 41 6 of 7 123 of 257 11 of 14 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 80 of 210 38% 65 of 189 14 of 19 1 of 2 66 of 194 14 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 37 of 87 42% 25 of 69 10 of 15 2 of 3 32 of 80 5 of 7 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 24 of 64 37% 21 of 60 3 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 59 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Cheyanne Vlismas 37 of 80 46% 26 of 65 7 of 11 4 of 4 35 of 78 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 23 of 70 32% 17 of 61 5 of 7 1 of 2 18 of 63 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Cheyanne Vlismas 60 of 104 57% 51 of 89 9 of 15 0 of 0 56 of 99 4 of 5 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 33 of 76 43% 27 of 68 6 of 8 0 of 0 29 of 72 4 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mallory Martin

Angelo picks Mallory Martin as an underdog, trusting her power and wrestling. He notes Cheyanne's takedown defense is poor outside the Ruiz fight, and she had COVID and personal distractions. Angelo thinks Martin can lean on wrestling and power, but has no money on it.

No money pick
"i like mallory i think she's a solid underdog here lots of takedowns"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Big Brady picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win by decision, but he is not confident and says he would not recommend laying the chalk. He notes Vlismas has a striking advantage with good volume and aggression, and her takedown defense is solid outside of the Ruiz fight. He is concerned about Mallory Martin's grappling if she can get the fight down, but he questions Martin's striking after she was dropped by Hannah Cifers. He thinks the line might be off but still goes with Vlismas.

by decision
"i'll go with elizabeth to win... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Cody also does not make a pick, agreeing with Paul. He notes Vlismas's COVID recovery and the uncertainty around her training. Cody thinks Martin could have a cardio advantage but doesn't want to bet either side.

"yeah i think i think you're on uh you know the accurate road here why would you want to bet at this price tag"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Daniel Levi picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win, citing her aggression, willingness to stand and trade, and natural fighter instinct. He notes that Mallory Martin has looked nervous and has been beaten up in her UFC career. He acknowledges Martin's path to victory via takedowns and top control but doesn't trust Martin to execute. He thinks Vlismas can avoid takedowns and land harder shots.

"I'mma go cheyenne vlistmas to go to be undefeated in the ufc as of lismus"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Jacob picks Cheyanne Vlismas, citing her mean streak and aggression. He notes she was embarrassed by the Ruiz loss and has improved. Jacob thinks she will come in with even more aggression and win, but he also has a plus 3.5 round bet on Mallory Martin.

Plus 3.5 round bet on Mallory Martin at -120
"i like cheyenne in this matchup but i i do agree... minus 190 i think is crazy for cheyenne"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mallory Martin

I lean Martin. Her wrestling is her strength and she should look to take Vlismas down. Vlismas has limited data off her back and struggled in the scarf hold against Montserrat Ruiz. If Martin can get top position, she can control the fight. However, Martin is not very reliable and has been submitted from top position before. I like Martin by decision at plus 250.

Martin by decision +250
"i'm actually starting with the martinside with very little confidence here um in terms of props i do see this one going the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a pick, citing Vlismas's recent COVID issues and personal drama. He thinks the -190 price is too high for a fighter who was sick and might have cardio problems. Paul suggests fading her in live betting if she slows down.

"i'm not betting um a former shay a former buys at minus 190 literally against just about anyone so it's going to take a lot of convincing"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Cheyanne Vlismas

The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win by 29-27 unanimous decision. He expects Mallory Martin to win the first round via takedowns and control, but Vlismas will stuff takedowns in the second and third, landing knees and punches. He predicts a dominant third round for Vlismas, possibly a 10-8, as Martin gasses.

"i'm going to go with shaem bay's 2927 unanimous decision"
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 1:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cheyanne Vlismas 1 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Gloria de Paula 0 5 of 8 62% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 1 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Gloria de Paula 0 5 of 8 62% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cheyanne Vlismas 11 of 16 68% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 8
Gloria de Paula 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 11 of 16 68% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 8
Gloria de Paula 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks the underdog Gloria de Paula, believing the line should be closer. He thinks de Paula is the better striker with a reach advantage and that Vlismas' path to victory is via takedowns, which she doesn't do often. He calls it a coin flip but takes de Paula to win a close split decision.

split decision
"i'm actually going to take the dog into paula i think it should be aligned a lot closer"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Cody leans towards Cheyanne Buys based on her superior striking volume and cardio, as seen in her Contender Series performance. He notes that Buys has decent grappling and should be able to take down de Paula, whose takedown defense looked abysmal against Jinh Yu Frey. However, he is not fully confident because Buys' wrestling is unproven and de Paula has good Muay Thai. He suggests that if Buys can mix in takedowns, she should win, but the -170 price is risky.

"i guess my lean would be towards cheyenne bay's based on the we didn't see the best out of her by a long shot in that debut against montserrat ruiz"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Gloria de Paula

Levi sees this as a dog or pass situation and leans toward de Paula. He notes that de Paula has diverse Muay Thai striking but struggles to get up from bottom. However, Vlismas is an aggressive brawler who doesn't typically attempt takedowns, so Levi expects the fight to stay on the feet where de Paula has the advantage. He questions whether Vlismas can implement a grappling game plan despite having coach Eric Nicks, given her previous inability to stop a headlock. Levi picks de Paula to bounce back and get her first UFC win.

Dog or pass situation.
"I think this is a dog or pass situation man and I'm gonna go with gloria de paula"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Vlismas should use her grappling to nullify de Paula's striking advantage. De Paula has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back. The head-and-arm submission loss to Ruiz was an anomaly; Vlismas is a decent fighter. She should grind out a decision. The line is a buy-low opportunity.

Vlismas by decision +100
"I'm on Cheyanne Vlismas here I think that it's a decent spot for -165 is a great line in my opinion"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Paul considers taking the underdog Gloria de Paula, noting that her Muay Thai looked solid in the second round against Frey. He argues that if de Paula can keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win a striking match. However, he is concerned about her poor takedown defense and one-dimensional game. He ultimately sees this as a 'dog or pass' spot and is not sold on either side.

"why not just spam the underdog one understand the underdog in that de paula probably keeps it standing for two of these three rounds and uses that muay thai"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas over Gloria de Paula, stating that Vlismas is more scrappy and technically better. He notes that de Paula was figured out easily in her last fight against Jinh Yu Frey, and that Vlismas has more grit and can push a better pace. He expects a scrappy back-and-forth fight, possibly winning Fight of the Night, with Vlismas winning on the feet.

"i'm gonna go with cheyenne bay's i think she can mix it up a little bit better she's a little bit more scrappy"
LOSS vs Montserrat Ruiz
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Brunson vs. Holland · Mar 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Montserrat Ruiz 0 31 of 65 47% 49 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 3 1:04
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 15 of 41 36% 136 of 168 4 of 5 80% 2 1 9:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Montserrat Ruiz 0 6 of 8 75% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:12
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 2 of 7 28% 52 of 58 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:41
2 Montserrat Ruiz 0 10 of 25 40% 11 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:41
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 5 of 11 45% 37 of 46 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:11
3 Montserrat Ruiz 0 15 of 32 46% 32 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:11
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 8 of 23 34% 47 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Montserrat Ruiz 31 of 65 47% 26 of 60 5 of 5 0 of 0 26 of 56 2 of 2 3 of 7
Cheyanne Vlismas 15 of 41 36% 10 of 35 0 of 1 5 of 5 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Montserrat Ruiz 6 of 8 75% 5 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cheyanne Vlismas 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Montserrat Ruiz 10 of 25 40% 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 7
Cheyanne Vlismas 5 of 11 45% 3 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Montserrat Ruiz 15 of 32 46% 11 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cheyanne Vlismas 8 of 23 34% 5 of 19 0 of 1 3 of 3 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Big Brady picks Cheyanne Vlismas, noting she is a big favorite for a reason: she is the much bigger fighter with better striking and aggression. He expects her to hold Ruiz against the cage, land cleaner shots, and win a clear decision. He would not lay -350 but believes she wins handily.

Cheyanne Vlismas wins by decision
"i'm gonna go cheyenne bay's to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2021 (fight day)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Daniel Levi picks Cheyanne Vlismas but expresses concern about her UFC debut and the potential for an 'egg' performance. He notes she is the better fighter with better volume and should keep the fight standing. He worries about the emotional toll of cornering her husband earlier in the night and the possibility of an adrenaline dump.

"my pick is buys but that's obviously my concern"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Mar 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Vlismas should control the fight wherever it goes with her striking and clinch work. She has a height and reach advantage and looked good on the contender series. Ruiz has a solid jiu-jitsu game but is likely outmatched. However, at -350 for a debutant, it's a pass. No bet is recommended due to the unknowns.

"I think it's uh i personally i think it's just a pass all around"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas (misspelled as Cheyenne Buyers) over Montserrat Ruiz. He thinks Vlismas is younger, improving more between fights, and has a reach advantage. He expects her cardio from a full camp to pull ahead in later rounds, winning by unanimous decision. He acknowledges Ruiz is decent but hasn't fought good competition.

"i think the younger girl here is probably going to be improving more between the fights"
Gloria de Paula - Fight History
LOSS vs Maria Oliveira
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maria Oliveira 0 96 of 297 32% 99 of 303 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:35
Gloria de Paula 0 105 of 190 55% 116 of 205 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maria Oliveira 0 37 of 111 33% 38 of 113 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Gloria de Paula 0 29 of 60 48% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Maria Oliveira 0 25 of 98 25% 25 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gloria de Paula 0 41 of 72 56% 45 of 76 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
3 Maria Oliveira 0 34 of 88 38% 36 of 92 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:13
Gloria de Paula 0 35 of 58 60% 41 of 68 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maria Oliveira 96 of 297 32% 66 of 247 12 of 23 18 of 27 94 of 294 2 of 3 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 105 of 190 55% 75 of 155 11 of 15 19 of 20 98 of 182 7 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maria Oliveira 37 of 111 33% 24 of 89 7 of 11 6 of 11 36 of 109 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 29 of 60 48% 20 of 49 3 of 4 6 of 7 22 of 53 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Maria Oliveira 25 of 98 25% 17 of 83 2 of 5 6 of 10 25 of 98 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 41 of 72 56% 29 of 58 3 of 5 9 of 9 41 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Maria Oliveira 34 of 88 38% 25 of 75 3 of 7 6 of 6 33 of 87 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 35 of 58 60% 26 of 48 5 of 6 4 of 4 35 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Angelo picks Gloria de Paula, noting her stick-and-move striking style and improved wrestling (5 takedowns in her last fight). He acknowledges Maria Oliveira's power but believes de Paula's volume and new grappling dimension will secure the win.

"i think de paula gets this done with her touch and go striking and potentially the occasional round clinching takedown so gloria de paula is the pick here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula to win by decision, but is not overly confident. He likes de Paula's striking and believes she has more ways to win, including takedowns against Oliveira's poor takedown defense. He notes Oliveira has a massive hole in her ground game and quit in a previous fight, but de Paula's competition has been better.

decision
"I like depaula i think she has more ways to win um it's you can't be overly confident in this but i think apollo does win this fight and win it by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Cody picks de Paula, citing her better technique and grappling advantage. He thinks she can outpoint Oliveira in a striking battle and mix in takedowns. He expects a decision but is cautious due to women's MMA volatility.

Gloria de Paula by decision
"i think gloria depaul should be this big of a favorite no do i think the fight likely goes to decision yeah"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Daniel Levi leans Gloria de Paula, thinking she is better than her record indicates and has nice striking variety. He is not comfortable laying -275, but believes she should win a unanimous decision. He notes Maria Oliveira has shown questionable heart in the past, tapping to strikes, but also has some durability. Levi sees de Paula as the more skilled fighter but the price is too high for a confident bet.

de Paula -275 is too high; expects unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go glory to paula of a unanimous decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

Paul picks Oliveira as a dog, noting the wide line and women's MMA unpredictability. He thinks if one of the two underdogs hits, it could be Oliveira. He acknowledges de Paula is likely better but sees value in the dog.

"for the purposes of this show i'm picking natalya silva and maria oliveira"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as his underdog of the card. He notes she is younger, bigger, and has a longer reach than Gloria de Paula, who has not impressed him. He points to de Paula's mediocre record and losses, while Oliveira has faced better competition. He predicts Oliveira wins by decision, questioning why de Paula is a heavy favorite.

underdog pick
"i'm going with maria oliveira here she's quite a sizable underdog this is my underdog of the card"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gloria de Paula 0 87 of 252 34% 124 of 295 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:44
Diana Belbiţă 0 88 of 175 50% 113 of 201 1 of 5 20% 0 0 5:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gloria de Paula 0 28 of 96 29% 35 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Diana Belbiţă 0 27 of 61 44% 32 of 66 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:19
2 Gloria de Paula 0 33 of 88 37% 47 of 103 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Diana Belbiţă 0 31 of 61 50% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:59
3 Gloria de Paula 0 26 of 68 38% 42 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Diana Belbiţă 0 30 of 53 56% 42 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gloria de Paula 87 of 252 34% 43 of 200 28 of 35 16 of 17 79 of 244 8 of 8 0 of 0
Diana Belbiţă 88 of 175 50% 70 of 156 17 of 18 1 of 1 71 of 156 17 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gloria de Paula 28 of 96 29% 12 of 76 10 of 14 6 of 6 27 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
Diana Belbiţă 27 of 61 44% 21 of 54 5 of 6 1 of 1 21 of 53 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Gloria de Paula 33 of 88 37% 16 of 69 12 of 14 5 of 5 29 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0
Diana Belbiţă 31 of 61 50% 25 of 55 6 of 6 0 of 0 25 of 55 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Gloria de Paula 26 of 68 38% 15 of 55 6 of 7 5 of 6 23 of 65 3 of 3 0 of 0
Diana Belbiţă 30 of 53 56% 24 of 47 6 of 6 0 of 0 25 of 48 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Angelo picks Diana Belbiţă, citing her pressure, experience, and takedowns as the difference. He acknowledges Gloria de Paula is the better striker, but believes Belbiţă's well-roundedness and forward pressure will win out. He notes if de Paula keeps it standing, she could win.

"i like diane belveda to win diana balbita to win"
BI
Big Brady Expert picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Big Brady hates this fight and refuses to bet on it. He reluctantly picks Diana Belbiţă because she throws more volume and might take de Paula down, but he has no confidence. He notes de Paula has poor fight IQ and doesn't try to get up from takedowns. He predicts Belbiţă wins by decision.

"I hate this fight I'm not going to bet it if I had to make a pick I'm going to go with balbita"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Cody picks Belbiţă, noting her improvements under coach Kru Allen at Iron Tiger. He highlights her better volume and power, and believes she can out-strike de Paula. Cody acknowledges that both fighters have poor wrestling, but thinks Belbiţă's striking is superior and that she should win a stand-up fight.

"i think balbita should have a little bit better power should have a little bit better volume and if she does not take balbita down i think he's just gonna go volume in the way of balbida"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Levi leans toward Belbiţă, citing her confidence from a recent win and de Paula's struggles in the UFC. He notes de Paula looked like a deer in headlights and has been knocked out. Levi believes Belbiţă will be more aggressive and break away in the later rounds, though he acknowledges both have liabilities on the ground.

"i'm leaning towards her way i just think she should be more confident herself"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

De Paula is the cleaner striker with better discipline and leg kicks. She should counter Belbiţă's wild forward pressure. The concern is Belbiţă's volume could sway judges, but de Paula's crisp striking should earn a decision. A KO at +500 is also intriguing but less likely.

de Paula by decision (+200), de Paula by KO (+500)
"my official prediction was the apollo by decision at plus 200 because i could see this go in the full 15 minutes where she just has a cleaner striking performance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Paul picks Belbiţă, citing de Paula's recent knockout loss and Belbiţă's longer combinations. He expects Belbiţă to be a slight favorite by fight time and likes the value at -110.

"i kind of think bell beat is a good bet here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

The MMA Guru picks Diana Belbiţă to win by decision, citing her experience and reach advantage. He notes that Gloria de Paula has been KO'd early in her career and is inconsistent. While both fighters are low-level, Belbiţă's 14-6 record compared to de Paula's 5-4 gives him confidence in the more experienced fighter.

decision 30-27
"i'm going to go with diana bell beta gloria paula is actually better than her record may suggest she does look decent in certain moments with her technique but just very very inconsistent"
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 1:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cheyanne Vlismas 1 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Gloria de Paula 0 5 of 8 62% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 1 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Gloria de Paula 0 5 of 8 62% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cheyanne Vlismas 11 of 16 68% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 8
Gloria de Paula 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 11 of 16 68% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 8
Gloria de Paula 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks the underdog Gloria de Paula, believing the line should be closer. He thinks de Paula is the better striker with a reach advantage and that Vlismas' path to victory is via takedowns, which she doesn't do often. He calls it a coin flip but takes de Paula to win a close split decision.

split decision
"i'm actually going to take the dog into paula i think it should be aligned a lot closer"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Cody leans towards Cheyanne Buys based on her superior striking volume and cardio, as seen in her Contender Series performance. He notes that Buys has decent grappling and should be able to take down de Paula, whose takedown defense looked abysmal against Jinh Yu Frey. However, he is not fully confident because Buys' wrestling is unproven and de Paula has good Muay Thai. He suggests that if Buys can mix in takedowns, she should win, but the -170 price is risky.

"i guess my lean would be towards cheyenne bay's based on the we didn't see the best out of her by a long shot in that debut against montserrat ruiz"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Gloria de Paula

Levi sees this as a dog or pass situation and leans toward de Paula. He notes that de Paula has diverse Muay Thai striking but struggles to get up from bottom. However, Vlismas is an aggressive brawler who doesn't typically attempt takedowns, so Levi expects the fight to stay on the feet where de Paula has the advantage. He questions whether Vlismas can implement a grappling game plan despite having coach Eric Nicks, given her previous inability to stop a headlock. Levi picks de Paula to bounce back and get her first UFC win.

Dog or pass situation.
"I think this is a dog or pass situation man and I'm gonna go with gloria de paula"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Vlismas should use her grappling to nullify de Paula's striking advantage. De Paula has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back. The head-and-arm submission loss to Ruiz was an anomaly; Vlismas is a decent fighter. She should grind out a decision. The line is a buy-low opportunity.

Vlismas by decision +100
"I'm on Cheyanne Vlismas here I think that it's a decent spot for -165 is a great line in my opinion"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Paul considers taking the underdog Gloria de Paula, noting that her Muay Thai looked solid in the second round against Frey. He argues that if de Paula can keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win a striking match. However, he is concerned about her poor takedown defense and one-dimensional game. He ultimately sees this as a 'dog or pass' spot and is not sold on either side.

"why not just spam the underdog one understand the underdog in that de paula probably keeps it standing for two of these three rounds and uses that muay thai"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas over Gloria de Paula, stating that Vlismas is more scrappy and technically better. He notes that de Paula was figured out easily in her last fight against Jinh Yu Frey, and that Vlismas has more grit and can push a better pace. He expects a scrappy back-and-forth fight, possibly winning Fight of the Night, with Vlismas winning on the feet.

"i'm gonna go with cheyenne bay's i think she can mix it up a little bit better she's a little bit more scrappy"
LOSS vs Jinh Yu Frey
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jinh Yu Frey 0 31 of 63 49% 51 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Gloria de Paula 0 24 of 79 30% 50 of 125 2 of 3 66% 2 0 9:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jinh Yu Frey 0 2 of 3 66% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gloria de Paula 0 8 of 13 61% 26 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:44
2 Jinh Yu Frey 0 27 of 55 49% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Gloria de Paula 0 15 of 61 24% 17 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
3 Jinh Yu Frey 0 2 of 5 40% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gloria de Paula 0 1 of 5 20% 7 of 21 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jinh Yu Frey 31 of 63 49% 18 of 48 7 of 9 6 of 6 27 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 24 of 79 30% 10 of 62 3 of 5 11 of 12 17 of 70 1 of 1 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jinh Yu Frey 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 8 of 13 61% 4 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 4 2 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 8
2 Jinh Yu Frey 27 of 55 49% 16 of 42 5 of 7 6 of 6 24 of 52 3 of 3 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 15 of 61 24% 6 of 49 3 of 5 6 of 7 15 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jinh Yu Frey 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula, largely fading Jinh Yu Frey due to her extremely low volume and inability to reach 30 significant strikes in her UFC fights. He notes de Paula is the bigger fighter, trains at a good camp (Shoot Box with Mara Romero Borella), and should be able to stuff takedowns. He sees de Paula out-striking Frey and possibly finishing her, though he predicts a decision win.

"I like de Paula quite a bit in this fight and it's more so a fade on Jinh Yu Frey."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Daniel Levi picks Gloria de Paula because she is more aggressive, has cleaner strikes, and better takedown defense than her girlfriend Mayra Bueno Silva. He dismisses Jinh Yu Frey's experience advantage, noting she lost to less experienced opponents. He believes de Paula's willingness to go forward and her heart will overwhelm Frey, who hesitates and has been broken in recent fights.

"I actually think that gloria de paulo is going to come out here and double up jinyu freya on strikes and just win this fight because she is better"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2021 (11 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Lock leans Frey due to not knowing much about de Paula. He notes Frey is a veteran with solid experience, a former champion in Rizin, and a strong all-around fighter. He acknowledges he needs to research de Paula to understand why she's the favorite. His lean is strictly based on unfamiliarity with de Paula.

"so see early lean is afraid but that's uh fry i should say and that's strictly due to not knowing anything about gloria de paula here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

The Guru is impressed with Gloria de Paula's performance on the Contender Series, noting her technical striking, patience, and increasing volume as the fight progressed. He believes de Paula has great potential and is younger than Frey. He criticizes Frey for being too small for the strawweight division and suggests an atomweight division should exist. He predicts de Paula will win by unanimous decision, 30-27, outstriking Frey and not finishing her because Frey is tough.

"i'm going to go with gloria de puella she looked great on the contender series in her last fight"
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks the underdog Gloria de Paula, believing the line should be closer. He thinks de Paula is the better striker with a reach advantage and that Vlismas' path to victory is via takedowns, which she doesn't do often. He calls it a coin flip but takes de Paula to win a close split decision.

split decision
"i'm actually going to take the dog into paula i think it should be aligned a lot closer"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Cody leans towards Cheyanne Buys based on her superior striking volume and cardio, as seen in her Contender Series performance. He notes that Buys has decent grappling and should be able to take down de Paula, whose takedown defense looked abysmal against Jinh Yu Frey. However, he is not fully confident because Buys' wrestling is unproven and de Paula has good Muay Thai. He suggests that if Buys can mix in takedowns, she should win, but the -170 price is risky.

"i guess my lean would be towards cheyenne bay's based on the we didn't see the best out of her by a long shot in that debut against montserrat ruiz"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Gloria de Paula

Levi sees this as a dog or pass situation and leans toward de Paula. He notes that de Paula has diverse Muay Thai striking but struggles to get up from bottom. However, Vlismas is an aggressive brawler who doesn't typically attempt takedowns, so Levi expects the fight to stay on the feet where de Paula has the advantage. He questions whether Vlismas can implement a grappling game plan despite having coach Eric Nicks, given her previous inability to stop a headlock. Levi picks de Paula to bounce back and get her first UFC win.

Dog or pass situation.
"I think this is a dog or pass situation man and I'm gonna go with gloria de paula"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Vlismas should use her grappling to nullify de Paula's striking advantage. De Paula has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back. The head-and-arm submission loss to Ruiz was an anomaly; Vlismas is a decent fighter. She should grind out a decision. The line is a buy-low opportunity.

Vlismas by decision +100
"I'm on Cheyanne Vlismas here I think that it's a decent spot for -165 is a great line in my opinion"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Paul considers taking the underdog Gloria de Paula, noting that her Muay Thai looked solid in the second round against Frey. He argues that if de Paula can keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win a striking match. However, he is concerned about her poor takedown defense and one-dimensional game. He ultimately sees this as a 'dog or pass' spot and is not sold on either side.

"why not just spam the underdog one understand the underdog in that de paula probably keeps it standing for two of these three rounds and uses that muay thai"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas over Gloria de Paula, stating that Vlismas is more scrappy and technically better. He notes that de Paula was figured out easily in her last fight against Jinh Yu Frey, and that Vlismas has more grit and can push a better pace. He expects a scrappy back-and-forth fight, possibly winning Fight of the Night, with Vlismas winning on the feet.

"i'm gonna go with cheyenne bay's i think she can mix it up a little bit better she's a little bit more scrappy"