Career Averages - Cheyanne Vlismas
Career Averages - Gloria de Paula
Cheyanne Vlismas
Gloria de Paula
Cheyanne Vlismas - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory McKenna | 0 | 33 of 74 | 44% | 66 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 22 of 81 | 27% | 103 of 216 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 9:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cory McKenna | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 20 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 13 of 61 | 21% | 21 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 | |
| 2 | Cory McKenna | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 32 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 24 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 | |
| 3 | Cory McKenna | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 58 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory McKenna | 33 of 74 | 44% | 20 of 54 | 8 of 13 | 5 of 7 | 23 of 63 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 22 of 81 | 27% | 17 of 72 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 76 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cory McKenna | 17 of 45 | 37% | 12 of 36 | 1 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 13 of 61 | 21% | 11 of 56 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cory McKenna | 14 of 23 | 60% | 7 of 15 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 7 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 6 of 15 | 40% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cory McKenna | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo gives a slight lean to Cory McKenna, expecting her to set a relentless grappling pace and take a decision. He notes Cheyanne has improved takedown defense but thinks McKenna's takedown offense has also improved. He believes the fight comes down to volume and takedowns, and if Cheyanne is too afraid to commit to strikes, she'll give up rounds.
Big Brady picks Vlismas, citing her superior striking and takedown defense. He doesn't trust McKenna after her poor performance against Elise Reed where she refused to wrestle and looked bad on the feet. He thinks McKenna's takedowns will be harder to get against Vlismas, and even if she gets them, she won't hold her down. He predicts Vlismas by decision.
Cody picks Vlismas, believing she is talented and has good volume. He thinks she has improved and is a dark horse in the division. He notes McKenna's wrestling is not elite and Vlismas has solid takedown defense. He expects Vlismas to win by decision, outworking McKenna on the feet.
Connor likes Vlismas's distance command, power, and strike selection. He notes McKenna is young and scrappy but has a bad case of pad holder syndrome, not following through on strikes. He expects Vlismas to find her range repeatedly and bully McKenna, even if McKenna takes a round.
Vlismas is the far superior striker and should be able to solve McKenna's takedowns and get back to her feet if taken down. McKenna's top pressure could be an issue, but Vlismas is too athletic. She will light McKenna up on the feet. The host would have made her a lock if he had more recent data on her off-her-back game.
Paul picks McKenna but is hesitant, hoping she sticks to wrestling. He notes she has T-Rex arms and must get the fight to the mat. He is frustrated by her previous fight where she didn't wrestle enough. He thinks she can win by grappling-based decision or submission if she follows the game plan.
The MMA Guru picks Cory McKenna over Cheyanne Vlismas, believing McKenna's grappling will be the difference. He notes Vlismas has a stand-up advantage but a massive hole in her grappling, as shown in her loss to Montserrat Ruiz where she had no answer for head-and-arm throws. He expects McKenna to out-grapple her and potentially submit her in the first two rounds. He also thinks Vlismas will be too worried about takedowns to effectively strike.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting Vlismas is a willing, accurate, and powerful counter puncher with excellent range command. He thinks McKenna will start aggressive but eventually get bullied. He also mentions Vlismas's takedown defense is a question but not a deep problem.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 134 of 271 | 49% | 146 of 283 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mallory Martin | 0 | 80 of 210 | 38% | 106 of 236 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 37 of 87 | 42% | 39 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mallory Martin | 0 | 24 of 64 | 37% | 26 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 37 of 80 | 46% | 46 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mallory Martin | 0 | 23 of 70 | 32% | 35 of 82 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 | |
| 3 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 60 of 104 | 57% | 61 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mallory Martin | 0 | 33 of 76 | 43% | 45 of 88 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 134 of 271 | 49% | 102 of 223 | 26 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 123 of 257 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Mallory Martin | 80 of 210 | 38% | 65 of 189 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 66 of 194 | 14 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 37 of 87 | 42% | 25 of 69 | 10 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 32 of 80 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Mallory Martin | 24 of 64 | 37% | 21 of 60 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 59 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 37 of 80 | 46% | 26 of 65 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mallory Martin | 23 of 70 | 32% | 17 of 61 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 63 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 60 of 104 | 57% | 51 of 89 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 56 of 99 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Mallory Martin | 33 of 76 | 43% | 27 of 68 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 72 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mallory Martin as an underdog, trusting her power and wrestling. He notes Cheyanne's takedown defense is poor outside the Ruiz fight, and she had COVID and personal distractions. Angelo thinks Martin can lean on wrestling and power, but has no money on it.
Big Brady picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win by decision, but he is not confident and says he would not recommend laying the chalk. He notes Vlismas has a striking advantage with good volume and aggression, and her takedown defense is solid outside of the Ruiz fight. He is concerned about Mallory Martin's grappling if she can get the fight down, but he questions Martin's striking after she was dropped by Hannah Cifers. He thinks the line might be off but still goes with Vlismas.
Cody also does not make a pick, agreeing with Paul. He notes Vlismas's COVID recovery and the uncertainty around her training. Cody thinks Martin could have a cardio advantage but doesn't want to bet either side.
Daniel Levi picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win, citing her aggression, willingness to stand and trade, and natural fighter instinct. He notes that Mallory Martin has looked nervous and has been beaten up in her UFC career. He acknowledges Martin's path to victory via takedowns and top control but doesn't trust Martin to execute. He thinks Vlismas can avoid takedowns and land harder shots.
Jacob picks Cheyanne Vlismas, citing her mean streak and aggression. He notes she was embarrassed by the Ruiz loss and has improved. Jacob thinks she will come in with even more aggression and win, but he also has a plus 3.5 round bet on Mallory Martin.
I lean Martin. Her wrestling is her strength and she should look to take Vlismas down. Vlismas has limited data off her back and struggled in the scarf hold against Montserrat Ruiz. If Martin can get top position, she can control the fight. However, Martin is not very reliable and has been submitted from top position before. I like Martin by decision at plus 250.
Paul does not make a pick, citing Vlismas's recent COVID issues and personal drama. He thinks the -190 price is too high for a fighter who was sick and might have cardio problems. Paul suggests fading her in live betting if she slows down.
The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win by 29-27 unanimous decision. He expects Mallory Martin to win the first round via takedowns and control, but Vlismas will stuff takedowns in the second and third, landing knees and punches. He predicts a dominant third round for Vlismas, possibly a 10-8, as Martin gasses.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 1 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 1 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Gloria de Paula | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Gloria de Paula | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Gloria de Paula, believing the line should be closer. He thinks de Paula is the better striker with a reach advantage and that Vlismas' path to victory is via takedowns, which she doesn't do often. He calls it a coin flip but takes de Paula to win a close split decision.
Cody leans towards Cheyanne Buys based on her superior striking volume and cardio, as seen in her Contender Series performance. He notes that Buys has decent grappling and should be able to take down de Paula, whose takedown defense looked abysmal against Jinh Yu Frey. However, he is not fully confident because Buys' wrestling is unproven and de Paula has good Muay Thai. He suggests that if Buys can mix in takedowns, she should win, but the -170 price is risky.
Levi sees this as a dog or pass situation and leans toward de Paula. He notes that de Paula has diverse Muay Thai striking but struggles to get up from bottom. However, Vlismas is an aggressive brawler who doesn't typically attempt takedowns, so Levi expects the fight to stay on the feet where de Paula has the advantage. He questions whether Vlismas can implement a grappling game plan despite having coach Eric Nicks, given her previous inability to stop a headlock. Levi picks de Paula to bounce back and get her first UFC win.
Vlismas should use her grappling to nullify de Paula's striking advantage. De Paula has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back. The head-and-arm submission loss to Ruiz was an anomaly; Vlismas is a decent fighter. She should grind out a decision. The line is a buy-low opportunity.
Paul considers taking the underdog Gloria de Paula, noting that her Muay Thai looked solid in the second round against Frey. He argues that if de Paula can keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win a striking match. However, he is concerned about her poor takedown defense and one-dimensional game. He ultimately sees this as a 'dog or pass' spot and is not sold on either side.
The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas over Gloria de Paula, stating that Vlismas is more scrappy and technically better. He notes that de Paula was figured out easily in her last fight against Jinh Yu Frey, and that Vlismas has more grit and can push a better pace. He expects a scrappy back-and-forth fight, possibly winning Fight of the Night, with Vlismas winning on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montserrat Ruiz | 0 | 31 of 65 | 47% | 49 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 3 | 1:04 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 136 of 168 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 | 1 | 9:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montserrat Ruiz | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:12 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 52 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:41 | |
| 2 | Montserrat Ruiz | 0 | 10 of 25 | 40% | 11 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:41 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 37 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:11 | |
| 3 | Montserrat Ruiz | 0 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 32 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:11 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 47 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montserrat Ruiz | 31 of 65 | 47% | 26 of 60 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 7 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 15 of 41 | 36% | 10 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montserrat Ruiz | 6 of 8 | 75% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Montserrat Ruiz | 10 of 25 | 40% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 5 of 11 | 45% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Montserrat Ruiz | 15 of 32 | 46% | 11 of 28 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 8 of 23 | 34% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Cheyanne Vlismas, noting she is a big favorite for a reason: she is the much bigger fighter with better striking and aggression. He expects her to hold Ruiz against the cage, land cleaner shots, and win a clear decision. He would not lay -350 but believes she wins handily.
Daniel Levi picks Cheyanne Vlismas but expresses concern about her UFC debut and the potential for an 'egg' performance. He notes she is the better fighter with better volume and should keep the fight standing. He worries about the emotional toll of cornering her husband earlier in the night and the possibility of an adrenaline dump.
Vlismas should control the fight wherever it goes with her striking and clinch work. She has a height and reach advantage and looked good on the contender series. Ruiz has a solid jiu-jitsu game but is likely outmatched. However, at -350 for a debutant, it's a pass. No bet is recommended due to the unknowns.
The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas (misspelled as Cheyenne Buyers) over Montserrat Ruiz. He thinks Vlismas is younger, improving more between fights, and has a reach advantage. He expects her cardio from a full camp to pull ahead in later rounds, winning by unanimous decision. He acknowledges Ruiz is decent but hasn't fought good competition.
Gloria de Paula - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 96 of 297 | 32% | 99 of 303 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 105 of 190 | 55% | 116 of 205 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 37 of 111 | 33% | 38 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 29 of 60 | 48% | 30 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 25 of 98 | 25% | 25 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 41 of 72 | 56% | 45 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 34 of 88 | 38% | 36 of 92 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 35 of 58 | 60% | 41 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Oliveira | 96 of 297 | 32% | 66 of 247 | 12 of 23 | 18 of 27 | 94 of 294 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 105 of 190 | 55% | 75 of 155 | 11 of 15 | 19 of 20 | 98 of 182 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Oliveira | 37 of 111 | 33% | 24 of 89 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 11 | 36 of 109 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 29 of 60 | 48% | 20 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 53 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maria Oliveira | 25 of 98 | 25% | 17 of 83 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 25 of 98 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 41 of 72 | 56% | 29 of 58 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maria Oliveira | 34 of 88 | 38% | 25 of 75 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 35 of 58 | 60% | 26 of 48 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gloria de Paula, noting her stick-and-move striking style and improved wrestling (5 takedowns in her last fight). He acknowledges Maria Oliveira's power but believes de Paula's volume and new grappling dimension will secure the win.
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula to win by decision, but is not overly confident. He likes de Paula's striking and believes she has more ways to win, including takedowns against Oliveira's poor takedown defense. He notes Oliveira has a massive hole in her ground game and quit in a previous fight, but de Paula's competition has been better.
Cody picks de Paula, citing her better technique and grappling advantage. He thinks she can outpoint Oliveira in a striking battle and mix in takedowns. He expects a decision but is cautious due to women's MMA volatility.
Daniel Levi leans Gloria de Paula, thinking she is better than her record indicates and has nice striking variety. He is not comfortable laying -275, but believes she should win a unanimous decision. He notes Maria Oliveira has shown questionable heart in the past, tapping to strikes, but also has some durability. Levi sees de Paula as the more skilled fighter but the price is too high for a confident bet.
Paul picks Oliveira as a dog, noting the wide line and women's MMA unpredictability. He thinks if one of the two underdogs hits, it could be Oliveira. He acknowledges de Paula is likely better but sees value in the dog.
The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as his underdog of the card. He notes she is younger, bigger, and has a longer reach than Gloria de Paula, who has not impressed him. He points to de Paula's mediocre record and losses, while Oliveira has faced better competition. He predicts Oliveira wins by decision, questioning why de Paula is a heavy favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 87 of 252 | 34% | 124 of 295 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 88 of 175 | 50% | 113 of 201 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 5:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 28 of 96 | 29% | 35 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 27 of 61 | 44% | 32 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 | |
| 2 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 33 of 88 | 37% | 47 of 103 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:59 | |
| 3 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 26 of 68 | 38% | 42 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 42 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria de Paula | 87 of 252 | 34% | 43 of 200 | 28 of 35 | 16 of 17 | 79 of 244 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 88 of 175 | 50% | 70 of 156 | 17 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 71 of 156 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria de Paula | 28 of 96 | 29% | 12 of 76 | 10 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 27 of 61 | 44% | 21 of 54 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 53 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gloria de Paula | 33 of 88 | 37% | 16 of 69 | 12 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 31 of 61 | 50% | 25 of 55 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 55 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gloria de Paula | 26 of 68 | 38% | 15 of 55 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 23 of 65 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 30 of 53 | 56% | 24 of 47 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 48 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Diana Belbiţă, citing her pressure, experience, and takedowns as the difference. He acknowledges Gloria de Paula is the better striker, but believes Belbiţă's well-roundedness and forward pressure will win out. He notes if de Paula keeps it standing, she could win.
Big Brady hates this fight and refuses to bet on it. He reluctantly picks Diana Belbiţă because she throws more volume and might take de Paula down, but he has no confidence. He notes de Paula has poor fight IQ and doesn't try to get up from takedowns. He predicts Belbiţă wins by decision.
Cody picks Belbiţă, noting her improvements under coach Kru Allen at Iron Tiger. He highlights her better volume and power, and believes she can out-strike de Paula. Cody acknowledges that both fighters have poor wrestling, but thinks Belbiţă's striking is superior and that she should win a stand-up fight.
Levi leans toward Belbiţă, citing her confidence from a recent win and de Paula's struggles in the UFC. He notes de Paula looked like a deer in headlights and has been knocked out. Levi believes Belbiţă will be more aggressive and break away in the later rounds, though he acknowledges both have liabilities on the ground.
De Paula is the cleaner striker with better discipline and leg kicks. She should counter Belbiţă's wild forward pressure. The concern is Belbiţă's volume could sway judges, but de Paula's crisp striking should earn a decision. A KO at +500 is also intriguing but less likely.
Paul picks Belbiţă, citing de Paula's recent knockout loss and Belbiţă's longer combinations. He expects Belbiţă to be a slight favorite by fight time and likes the value at -110.
The MMA Guru picks Diana Belbiţă to win by decision, citing her experience and reach advantage. He notes that Gloria de Paula has been KO'd early in her career and is inconsistent. While both fighters are low-level, Belbiţă's 14-6 record compared to de Paula's 5-4 gives him confidence in the more experienced fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 1 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 1 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Gloria de Paula | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Gloria de Paula | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Gloria de Paula, believing the line should be closer. He thinks de Paula is the better striker with a reach advantage and that Vlismas' path to victory is via takedowns, which she doesn't do often. He calls it a coin flip but takes de Paula to win a close split decision.
Cody leans towards Cheyanne Buys based on her superior striking volume and cardio, as seen in her Contender Series performance. He notes that Buys has decent grappling and should be able to take down de Paula, whose takedown defense looked abysmal against Jinh Yu Frey. However, he is not fully confident because Buys' wrestling is unproven and de Paula has good Muay Thai. He suggests that if Buys can mix in takedowns, she should win, but the -170 price is risky.
Levi sees this as a dog or pass situation and leans toward de Paula. He notes that de Paula has diverse Muay Thai striking but struggles to get up from bottom. However, Vlismas is an aggressive brawler who doesn't typically attempt takedowns, so Levi expects the fight to stay on the feet where de Paula has the advantage. He questions whether Vlismas can implement a grappling game plan despite having coach Eric Nicks, given her previous inability to stop a headlock. Levi picks de Paula to bounce back and get her first UFC win.
Vlismas should use her grappling to nullify de Paula's striking advantage. De Paula has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back. The head-and-arm submission loss to Ruiz was an anomaly; Vlismas is a decent fighter. She should grind out a decision. The line is a buy-low opportunity.
Paul considers taking the underdog Gloria de Paula, noting that her Muay Thai looked solid in the second round against Frey. He argues that if de Paula can keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win a striking match. However, he is concerned about her poor takedown defense and one-dimensional game. He ultimately sees this as a 'dog or pass' spot and is not sold on either side.
The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas over Gloria de Paula, stating that Vlismas is more scrappy and technically better. He notes that de Paula was figured out easily in her last fight against Jinh Yu Frey, and that Vlismas has more grit and can push a better pace. He expects a scrappy back-and-forth fight, possibly winning Fight of the Night, with Vlismas winning on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 51 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 24 of 79 | 30% | 50 of 125 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 9:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 26 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:44 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 29 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 15 of 61 | 24% | 17 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 7 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 4:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 31 of 63 | 49% | 18 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 59 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 24 of 79 | 30% | 10 of 62 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 12 | 17 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 8 of 13 | 61% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 27 of 55 | 49% | 16 of 42 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 15 of 61 | 24% | 6 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula, largely fading Jinh Yu Frey due to her extremely low volume and inability to reach 30 significant strikes in her UFC fights. He notes de Paula is the bigger fighter, trains at a good camp (Shoot Box with Mara Romero Borella), and should be able to stuff takedowns. He sees de Paula out-striking Frey and possibly finishing her, though he predicts a decision win.
Daniel Levi picks Gloria de Paula because she is more aggressive, has cleaner strikes, and better takedown defense than her girlfriend Mayra Bueno Silva. He dismisses Jinh Yu Frey's experience advantage, noting she lost to less experienced opponents. He believes de Paula's willingness to go forward and her heart will overwhelm Frey, who hesitates and has been broken in recent fights.
Lock leans Frey due to not knowing much about de Paula. He notes Frey is a veteran with solid experience, a former champion in Rizin, and a strong all-around fighter. He acknowledges he needs to research de Paula to understand why she's the favorite. His lean is strictly based on unfamiliarity with de Paula.
The Guru is impressed with Gloria de Paula's performance on the Contender Series, noting her technical striking, patience, and increasing volume as the fight progressed. He believes de Paula has great potential and is younger than Frey. He criticizes Frey for being too small for the strawweight division and suggests an atomweight division should exist. He predicts de Paula will win by unanimous decision, 30-27, outstriking Frey and not finishing her because Frey is tough.
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady picks the underdog Gloria de Paula, believing the line should be closer. He thinks de Paula is the better striker with a reach advantage and that Vlismas' path to victory is via takedowns, which she doesn't do often. He calls it a coin flip but takes de Paula to win a close split decision.
Cody leans towards Cheyanne Buys based on her superior striking volume and cardio, as seen in her Contender Series performance. He notes that Buys has decent grappling and should be able to take down de Paula, whose takedown defense looked abysmal against Jinh Yu Frey. However, he is not fully confident because Buys' wrestling is unproven and de Paula has good Muay Thai. He suggests that if Buys can mix in takedowns, she should win, but the -170 price is risky.
Levi sees this as a dog or pass situation and leans toward de Paula. He notes that de Paula has diverse Muay Thai striking but struggles to get up from bottom. However, Vlismas is an aggressive brawler who doesn't typically attempt takedowns, so Levi expects the fight to stay on the feet where de Paula has the advantage. He questions whether Vlismas can implement a grappling game plan despite having coach Eric Nicks, given her previous inability to stop a headlock. Levi picks de Paula to bounce back and get her first UFC win.
Vlismas should use her grappling to nullify de Paula's striking advantage. De Paula has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back. The head-and-arm submission loss to Ruiz was an anomaly; Vlismas is a decent fighter. She should grind out a decision. The line is a buy-low opportunity.
Paul considers taking the underdog Gloria de Paula, noting that her Muay Thai looked solid in the second round against Frey. He argues that if de Paula can keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win a striking match. However, he is concerned about her poor takedown defense and one-dimensional game. He ultimately sees this as a 'dog or pass' spot and is not sold on either side.
The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas over Gloria de Paula, stating that Vlismas is more scrappy and technically better. He notes that de Paula was figured out easily in her last fight against Jinh Yu Frey, and that Vlismas has more grit and can push a better pace. He expects a scrappy back-and-forth fight, possibly winning Fight of the Night, with Vlismas winning on the feet.
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