vs
+140 -148
UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021 · Women’s Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland Next Fight
Age 41
Height 5' 3"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 38
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Jinh Yu Frey
2.97 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
4.23 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
1.02 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
90.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ashley Yoder
3.42 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
4.13 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
1.09 TD Avg
27.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Jinh Yu Frey
Moneyline
Caesars +140
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1500
Submission
BetMGM +1000
Decision
FanDuel +240
Ashley Yoder
Moneyline
BetRivers -148
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1400
Submission
DraftKings +750
Decision
FanDuel +110
Jinh Yu Frey - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viktoriia Dudakova 1 74 of 146 50% 109 of 183 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:18
Jinh Yu Frey 0 47 of 101 46% 65 of 121 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viktoriia Dudakova 1 30 of 53 56% 31 of 54 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:18
Jinh Yu Frey 0 16 of 46 34% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Viktoriia Dudakova 0 11 of 23 47% 37 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jinh Yu Frey 0 11 of 22 50% 28 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:48
3 Viktoriia Dudakova 0 33 of 70 47% 41 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jinh Yu Frey 0 20 of 33 60% 21 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viktoriia Dudakova 74 of 146 50% 47 of 115 26 of 30 1 of 1 60 of 131 14 of 15 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 47 of 101 46% 31 of 80 8 of 13 8 of 8 37 of 89 3 of 4 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viktoriia Dudakova 30 of 53 56% 19 of 40 10 of 12 1 of 1 22 of 44 8 of 9 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 16 of 46 34% 9 of 37 5 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Viktoriia Dudakova 11 of 23 47% 6 of 16 5 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 11 of 22 50% 8 of 17 0 of 2 3 of 3 4 of 14 0 of 0 7 of 8
3 Viktoriia Dudakova 33 of 70 47% 22 of 59 11 of 11 0 of 0 30 of 67 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 20 of 33 60% 14 of 26 3 of 4 3 of 3 18 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Angelo picks Victoria Dudakova but with low confidence, calling the odds a wild trap. He notes Jinh Yu Frey's experience and takedown defense but points out she is older, on a skid, and was knocked out a couple fights ago. He thinks Victoria's youth and pressure will be key, but if Frey's chin holds and she gets takedowns, Victoria might panic. He may bet the spread on Frey.

plus 3.5 on Jinh Yu Frey (spread) if odds are favorable
"Victoria is going to be the pick pretty low confidence in that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Big Brady picks Victoria Dudakova to win by decision. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, small for the weight class, lacks volume and cardio, and has only two UFC wins. Dudakova is younger, impressed on the Contender Series, and should be able to take Frey down and control the fight. Brady expects a straightforward win for the heavy favorite.

decision
"give me Victoria due to coov to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Cody picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is green and has limited skills. He believes her wrestling will be enough to beat an aging Frey, but he acknowledges the line is too high. Cody expects a close fight.

"I'm going to pick Dudakova for now I think she does get the takedowns"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Daniel picks Victoria Dudakova to win, describing her as a prospect tester against Jinh Yu Frey, who is on her way out. He notes Dudakova's toughness and improving skills, and believes she can take Frey down and control the fight. He complains about the high line but thinks Dudakova should win comfortably.

Dudakova minus 525, Frey plus 400; mentions Dudakova's takedowns and toughness
"I think dudova wins just too bad the line sucks."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Dudakova is younger, more explosive, and stronger than Frey. She has a strong wrestling and grappling game, with four of her seven wins by submission. Expects Dudakova to get takedowns, stay out of submissions, and dominate from top position, likely winning inside the distance in the second or third round.

inside the distance, round 2 or 3
"I'm expecting dudakova to obviously she's the younger fighter here she's going to be more explosive more powerful"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Paul picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is one-dimensional and relies on wrestling. He believes her size and strength will allow her to take Frey down and control her, but he worries about her lack of volume and ground-and-pound. Paul sees value on Frey but sticks with Dudakova.

"I do think Dudakova probably goes in there wrangles her to the ground spends time up on top"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

The MMA Guru sees this as a clear mismatch set up by the UFC to give Dudakova a win. He notes Dudakova's athleticism, size, and reach advantages, and points out that Frey is 38 and coming off losses. He believes Dudakova is simply a better fighter and that the UFC wants her to win.

"Victoria dudova is a lot more athletic well maybe not more athletic but she's got a size Advantage she's got a reach advantage and she is just better as a fighter"
LOSS vs Elise Reed
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elise Reed 0 53 of 120 44% 94 of 174 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:29
Jinh Yu Frey 0 28 of 91 30% 42 of 114 3 of 7 42% 0 0 4:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elise Reed 0 14 of 32 43% 36 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Jinh Yu Frey 0 11 of 26 42% 16 of 34 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:52
2 Elise Reed 0 19 of 33 57% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Jinh Yu Frey 0 7 of 27 25% 12 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:56
3 Elise Reed 0 20 of 55 36% 27 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:42
Jinh Yu Frey 0 10 of 38 26% 14 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elise Reed 53 of 120 44% 16 of 65 21 of 36 16 of 19 45 of 111 8 of 9 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 28 of 91 30% 15 of 68 4 of 13 9 of 10 26 of 84 2 of 4 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elise Reed 14 of 32 43% 4 of 16 6 of 11 4 of 5 11 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 11 of 26 42% 9 of 19 0 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 23 1 of 2 0 of 1
2 Elise Reed 19 of 33 57% 6 of 17 5 of 7 8 of 9 17 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 7 of 27 25% 1 of 19 2 of 4 4 of 4 7 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 2
3 Elise Reed 20 of 55 36% 6 of 32 10 of 18 4 of 5 17 of 51 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 10 of 38 26% 5 of 30 2 of 4 3 of 4 9 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo has a very slight lean to Frey, thinking she can slow down Reed's pace by using cage control and takedowns. He is concerned about Frey's age (38) and recent knockout loss, but believes her experience and grappling can neutralize Reed's tenacity. He notes Reed is tough and hits hard but is inconsistent. Angelo is not spending money on this fight.

"very incredibly slight lean to fry not spending any money here I think she can slow that pace down"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Cody picks Reed, citing her improvements fight to fight. He notes Reed's striking volume and that she has shown wrestling improvements in some fights. Cody acknowledges Reed's inconsistency but thinks Frey's lack of wrestling and recent knockout loss are concerns. He picks Reed but feels awful about it.

Over 0.5 takedowns for Elise Reed on PrizePicks
"I'm gonna go with Elise read and I know man I feel awful about it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Elise Reed

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Frey seems to hate fighting and has become a low-output, hesitant fighter. He notes that Reed has improved her combination striking and carries real power, especially with her body kicks and straight right. Connor believes that once Reed lands cleanly, Frey's confidence will shatter, leading to a finish or a clear decision for Reed.

"Frayed does not seem to like to fight and at least read lands really hard when she does"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Daniel picks Frey via a coin flip, but notes that Frey has a grappling advantage and has shown she will wrestle when needed. He sees Reed as having been finished by fighters who don't usually finish, and Frey's black belt could be the difference. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation.

"heads is gonna be read and Tails is going to be fry ... we got a tail so I said tails is fried right so I'm gonna go with a fry"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Jacob picks Elise Reed, citing her power and the matchup being tailor-made for her. He thinks Frey is not the pressure fighter who can get in Reed's face, especially coming off a knockout loss. Jacob believes Reed will pick Frey apart from distance and hurt her. He plans to bet on Reed live or closer to the fight. He also likes Reed inside the distance at -155.

Reed inside distance at -155.
"I just think that this is almost a tailor-made perfect Fight For Elise Reed somebody that's going to be in front of her not a lot of head movement and isn't gonna pressure her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Reed is a striker with deceptive power and good footwork. She can keep the fight upright and land damaging blows. Frey is a BJJ brown belt who will look for takedowns and submissions. Reed's best path is to avoid the ground and find a knockout, but confidence is low. The under 2.5 rounds is a better bet.

under 2.5 rounds +200
"I'm going to go with the striker here in Elise read that I'm hoping that her footwork her movement and the Damage that she can accrue on the feet will keep Jin you fry on the outside"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Paul picks Frey, noting that Reed has been inconsistent and that Frey is a veteran. He mentions Reed's struggles when opponents have a wrestling advantage, but he's not sure who has that edge. Paul is not confident and says he won't bet this fight, but he picks Frey.

"genuine Frey will be getting my pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Elise Reed

The MMA Guru confidently picks Elise Reed, calling it a no-brainer. He argues that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, coming off a KO loss, and should have lost to Vanessa Demopoulos, who he considers awful. He believes Reed will outbox Frey on the feet, as Frey lacks the grappling to take Reed down. He also notes Reed's win over Cory McKenna, who has good takedowns, as evidence of Reed's striking ability.

"I'm going with Elise Reed... I think she's much better than Jin you Frey"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Elise Reed

Zane picks Reed confidently, citing Frey's severe lack of output and apparent anxiety in fights. He notes that Frey has all the technical tools but cannot pull the trigger, while Reed has developed into a busier boxer who lands hard shots. Reed's power and willingness to engage should overwhelm Frey, who tends to freeze and do nothing for long stretches. Zane believes Reed's aggression and striking will be decisive.

"I'll pick a genufrey ever again. Yeah, I mean she's done"
LOSS vs Polyana Viana
KO (punches) R1 0:47 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Polyana Viana 1 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Polyana Viana 1 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Polyana Viana 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 14 42% 0 of 5 3 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Polyana Viana 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 14 42% 0 of 5 3 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jinh Yu Frey vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Viana (-135), Frey (+115)

Round 1
Strawweights toe the line in this next encounter, and their fighting styles could scarcely be more different. Viana (12-5, 3-4 UFC) maintains a 100% finish rate with exactly two-thirds of her victories coming by tapout, while former Invicta champ Frey (11-7, 2-3 UFC) has not procured a stoppage since December 2014. Referee Herb Dean is ready for anywhere this fight goes, and it begins with a touch of hands. They calmly start to trade punches, going tit-for-tat with jabs and straight punches. Frey slaps a low kick, and Viana responds in kind. Out of nowhere, Frey leaps forward in a blitz of blows, and Viana stands firm to knee her square to the body. With Frey stunned, Viana wings hooks that are far more powerful than what Frey can muster, and she has Frey’s attention in a hurry.
Viana knocks her foe back with a long barrage of nasty punches, and she does not let a wobbled Frey off the hook. The brutal swinging fists from “Dama de Ferro” continue to blast into Frey, and Frey falls to the ground in big trouble. To hammer the nail, Viana keeps her 100% finish rate intact by smashing Frey with two hammerfists.
Those blows put Frey flat on her back with her arms reached out, frozen in time, and she has nothing left to give. Dean leaps in, and Frey snaps back to life as if she had just been woken up from a deep slumber. Brazil’s Viana is now one stoppage away from the women’s strawweight record held by Jessica Andrade and Rose Namajunas, and she calls for a fight in January in Rio de Janeiro.

The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Jinh Yu Frey R1 0:47 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo picks Frey, citing her physicality, veteran savvy, and well-roundedness. He expects Frey to slow the pace, hold Viana against the cage, and avoid ground threats. He notes Viana is dangerous with submissions but relies on opponents to get to the ground. He is on the fence about betting, waiting for prop bets.

I'll probably wait till Tuesday when all the prop bets drop
"I think Fry's physicality and the veteran savvy are going to be the difference here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Big Brady criticizes Frey's low volume and poor cardio, while noting Viana's dangerous submission game and 100% finish rate. He expects Viana to pull guard and get the fight to the mat, where she is very dangerous with arm bars and triangles. He predicts a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Frey's takedown defense is strong.

Viana wins by submission in round 1
"I kind of see her catching gignify at some point in this fight I think the fight does hit the mat and I think pauliana Viana fry and I'll probably say it's in the first round so give me Pauline …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Cody picks Polyana Viana by submission. He notes that Viana is the 'armbar queen' and that submission is very much on the table. He references the Kate Hanson fight where Frey was submitted by armbar, and thinks Viana can do the same. He acknowledges that Viana has had travel issues from Brazil but still likes her to find a submission. He prefers Viana by sub at +350 over the moneyline.

Polyana Viana by submission +350
"Vienna by sub and be done with it move on it's like plus 350s are out there right now it's like that's what she attacks when she you know gets these victories so"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Connor agrees, noting that Frey's cautious style and lack of confidence make her unlikely to take advantage of Viana's chaotic approach. Viana will insist on making the fight happen, and Frey has historically frozen under pressure. Viana's finishes (12 inside the distance) contrast with Frey's lack of finishing ability.

"I'm going to side with you. That Vanessa Demopolis loss was really sad."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana, citing her will to win and opportunistic armbar from guard. He notes Jinh Yu Frey is more polished standing, but Viana's aggression and submission threat on the mat give her the edge. He is not laying chalk on it.

"I'm gonna go with Pollyanna Vienna"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 31, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The host sees this as a difficult fight but leans Viana due to her chaotic style and submission threat. He notes Frey could grind out a decision, but Viana's aggression and BJJ make her dangerous. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop rather than the moneyline, expecting a finish from Viana.

Under 2.5 rounds; Viana inside the distance by submission
"I do lean the Vienna side I do think she pulls off an arm bar or a submission of some sort"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Paul picks Jinh Yu Frey as an underdog. He argues that Frey is a BJJ black belt and has not been submitted lately, surviving against Ashley Yoder and Vanessa Demopoulos. He thinks Frey is better standing, with improved volume (88 significant strikes against Yoder, 62 against Demopoulos). He criticizes Viana as one-dimensional, with poor striking and a tendency to get controlled on the ground, as seen against Tabatha Ricci. He believes Frey can win a decision by outworking Viana.

"I gotta go the other way actually ... if I'm gonna get slight Underdog money I'm gonna take a dog or pass on this one go with Jimmy Fray"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The MMA Guru picks Polyana Viana, noting Frey's submission loss to Kay Hansen and decision loss to Vanessa Demopoulos. He believes Viana, at 30, is in her prime and has submission skills, particularly armbars. He predicts Viana will get a submission, likely an armbar or triangle, after making Frey shoot for takedowns.

submission (armbar or triangle)
"I'm gonna go if Pollyanna Viano over ginufree... I can see this being an arm bar as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Zane picks Viana because Frey is too tentative and cautious, lacking the aggression to capitalize on Viana's defensive lapses. Viana is aggressive, throws from all ranges, and will force the action. Frey's inability to pull the trigger, as seen in her loss to Vanessa Demopoulos, makes her unreliable even against a flawed opponent like Viana.

"I'm going to pick Viana. This is right in line with the level of fight that Trey does win."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 66 of 139 47% 71 of 144 1 of 7 14% 0 0 4:14
Jinh Yu Frey 0 62 of 133 46% 81 of 153 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 11 of 32 34% 11 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
Jinh Yu Frey 0 17 of 45 37% 18 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 24 of 52 46% 25 of 53 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:31
Jinh Yu Frey 0 27 of 56 48% 30 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 31 of 55 56% 35 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:08
Jinh Yu Frey 0 18 of 32 56% 33 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 66 of 139 47% 34 of 100 25 of 31 7 of 8 40 of 107 26 of 32 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 62 of 133 46% 49 of 116 8 of 11 5 of 6 58 of 128 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 11 of 32 34% 6 of 24 3 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 17 of 45 37% 15 of 41 0 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 44 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 24 of 52 46% 14 of 41 7 of 8 3 of 3 17 of 44 7 of 8 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 27 of 56 48% 20 of 48 4 of 4 3 of 4 27 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 31 of 55 56% 14 of 35 15 of 18 2 of 2 14 of 33 17 of 22 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 18 of 32 56% 14 of 27 4 of 5 0 of 0 14 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo picks Jinh Yu Frey, expecting her to slow the pace with bully-style grappling and beat Vanessa Demopoulos similarly to how Lupita Godinez did in the LFA. He acknowledges Vanessa's dangerous ground game and that lesser opponents have submitted Frey before, but believes Frey's physicality and forward pressure will earn her a unanimous decision win.

"i love ginyu frey in this fight i think vanessa will be faster potentially have the better footwork but i expect gin to slow the pace down work in some of that bully-style grappling and just beat vanessa the exact …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Big Brady picks Jinh Yu Frey to win by decision. He notes that Frey has a striking advantage and excellent takedown defense (90%), while Demopoulos has no wrestling and poor takedown success. However, he criticizes the -275 price as too high for a low-volume striker like Frey, and warns that Demopoulos's activity could make the fight look close. He ultimately expects Frey to outstrike Demopoulos and keep the fight standing.

Frey by decision; odds too high at -275
"i favor her in this fight i'm going to pick her on this fight i'm going to pick her to win by decision but that price tag is just ridiculous"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Cody picks Frey, citing her better striking and takedown defense. He thinks she will win by decision, noting Demopoulos has never scored a takedown in the UFC. He warns against heavy investment at -260 but thinks Frey by decision is a solid play.

Frey by decision -110
"i'm just more inclined to go with ginyu frey by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos by submission at +800, noting her only path to victory is a submission. He thinks the value is too good to pass up, even though Frey is the better striker. He acknowledges it's a longshot but worth a small bet.

Demopoulos by submission +800
"demopolis by submission plus 800. that's just that's just the way i play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, citing that Jinh Yu Frey lost to Kay Hansen, which is a bad look. He notes Demopoulos is younger (7-4 record) and moving down to strawweight, while Frey is 37. He expects Demopoulos to win by decision, winning scrambles and controlling the fight.

underdog pick, decision win prediction
"i do believe she's going to pull this one off as the underdog against ginyu frey because ginyu frey lost a fight to kay hansen"
WIN vs Ashley Yoder
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jinh Yu Frey 0 88 of 185 47% 89 of 186 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ashley Yoder 0 91 of 236 38% 96 of 241 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jinh Yu Frey 0 28 of 56 50% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ashley Yoder 0 28 of 69 40% 33 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
2 Jinh Yu Frey 0 35 of 67 52% 35 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 38 of 90 42% 38 of 90 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Jinh Yu Frey 0 25 of 62 40% 25 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 25 of 77 32% 25 of 77 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jinh Yu Frey 88 of 185 47% 46 of 129 15 of 25 27 of 31 77 of 173 10 of 11 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 91 of 236 38% 59 of 188 15 of 25 17 of 23 90 of 233 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jinh Yu Frey 28 of 56 50% 9 of 33 8 of 11 11 of 12 24 of 52 3 of 3 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 28 of 69 40% 14 of 49 5 of 9 9 of 11 27 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jinh Yu Frey 35 of 67 52% 21 of 49 6 of 10 8 of 8 33 of 64 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 38 of 90 42% 28 of 73 5 of 9 5 of 8 38 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jinh Yu Frey 25 of 62 40% 16 of 47 1 of 4 8 of 11 20 of 57 5 of 5 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 25 of 77 32% 17 of 66 5 of 7 3 of 4 25 of 75 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Big Brady picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size advantage and higher volume. He notes that Frey throws very few strikes (averaging 24-26 per fight) and that Yoder can win by simply being more active. He also thinks Yoder's grappling could be effective. However, he calls it an ugly fight and is not highly confident.

"i'll take yoder this is as low level as it gets but yeah i'll take uh ashley yoder to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Cody picks Ashley Yoder, believing her wrestling and top control will be the difference. He notes that Frey has poor takedown defense and Yoder should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. However, he is not fully confident because Yoder's striking is lacking and if she cannot get takedowns, she could lose a low-volume striking match. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.

"i think that yoder does get the takedowns i think you you watch that k hanson fight and and those takedowns should be there for a wrestler of yoder's ability"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Ashley Yoder

Levi notes that he doesn't often recommend backing Ashley Yoder as a favorite, but here she is the bigger and better grappler. He believes Yoder can get takedowns more comfortably and spend time on top, edging out a competitive decision. However, he warns that if Yoder decides to test her stand-up, Frey could have success, as Yoder's striking is not as dangerous as de Paula's. Levi credits Frey for beating de Paula but thinks Yoder's grappling-heavy approach should secure the win.

"I think that she can get the takedowns a little bit more comfortably here you know spend a little bit more time on top"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Frey has a bounce-back win over de Paula and should have success if she grapples with Yoder. Yoder is a black belt but lacks volume and strength. Frey's striking is adequate, and she can win scrambles. However, Frey is a natural 105er moving up, which is a concern. The fight likely goes to decision, and Frey at plus money is the side.

Frey by decision +200
"I'd rather have the plus money side... genu fry to win by decision at plus 200"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Paul also picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size and strength advantage and the likelihood that she can grind out a decision. He notes that Frey is a natural atomweight and has poor grappling. However, he is concerned about Yoder's recent regression and the fact that this fight likely goes to decision, making judging a factor. He is not confident enough to bet but leans Yoder.

"i got to go with yauter as well and the main thing here is that y'all has had nine fights in the ufc all nine of them have gone to decisions"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey over Ashley Yoder, stating that Frey is more solid as a martial artist while Yoder relies on physical attributes. He notes that Frey has a more solid foundation and is fundamentally better. He expects Frey to win by unanimous decision, as she is more experienced and technically sound.

Frey by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with jinyu fray here over ashley yoda... i think she's just solidly a bit more fundamentally better"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jinh Yu Frey 0 31 of 63 49% 51 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Gloria de Paula 0 24 of 79 30% 50 of 125 2 of 3 66% 2 0 9:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jinh Yu Frey 0 2 of 3 66% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gloria de Paula 0 8 of 13 61% 26 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:44
2 Jinh Yu Frey 0 27 of 55 49% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Gloria de Paula 0 15 of 61 24% 17 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
3 Jinh Yu Frey 0 2 of 5 40% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gloria de Paula 0 1 of 5 20% 7 of 21 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jinh Yu Frey 31 of 63 49% 18 of 48 7 of 9 6 of 6 27 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 24 of 79 30% 10 of 62 3 of 5 11 of 12 17 of 70 1 of 1 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jinh Yu Frey 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 8 of 13 61% 4 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 4 2 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 8
2 Jinh Yu Frey 27 of 55 49% 16 of 42 5 of 7 6 of 6 24 of 52 3 of 3 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 15 of 61 24% 6 of 49 3 of 5 6 of 7 15 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jinh Yu Frey 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula, largely fading Jinh Yu Frey due to her extremely low volume and inability to reach 30 significant strikes in her UFC fights. He notes de Paula is the bigger fighter, trains at a good camp (Shoot Box with Mara Romero Borella), and should be able to stuff takedowns. He sees de Paula out-striking Frey and possibly finishing her, though he predicts a decision win.

"I like de Paula quite a bit in this fight and it's more so a fade on Jinh Yu Frey."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Daniel Levi picks Gloria de Paula because she is more aggressive, has cleaner strikes, and better takedown defense than her girlfriend Mayra Bueno Silva. He dismisses Jinh Yu Frey's experience advantage, noting she lost to less experienced opponents. He believes de Paula's willingness to go forward and her heart will overwhelm Frey, who hesitates and has been broken in recent fights.

"I actually think that gloria de paulo is going to come out here and double up jinyu freya on strikes and just win this fight because she is better"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2021 (11 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Lock leans Frey due to not knowing much about de Paula. He notes Frey is a veteran with solid experience, a former champion in Rizin, and a strong all-around fighter. He acknowledges he needs to research de Paula to understand why she's the favorite. His lean is strictly based on unfamiliarity with de Paula.

"so see early lean is afraid but that's uh fry i should say and that's strictly due to not knowing anything about gloria de paula here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

The Guru is impressed with Gloria de Paula's performance on the Contender Series, noting her technical striking, patience, and increasing volume as the fight progressed. He believes de Paula has great potential and is younger than Frey. He criticizes Frey for being too small for the strawweight division and suggests an atomweight division should exist. He predicts de Paula will win by unanimous decision, 30-27, outstriking Frey and not finishing her because Frey is tough.

"i'm going to go with gloria de puella she looked great on the contender series in her last fight"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loma Lookboonmee 0 80 of 137 58% 85 of 142 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:23
Jinh Yu Frey 0 26 of 61 42% 39 of 75 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loma Lookboonmee 0 36 of 49 73% 39 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
Jinh Yu Frey 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:54
2 Loma Lookboonmee 0 29 of 53 54% 29 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Jinh Yu Frey 0 11 of 24 45% 12 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loma Lookboonmee 0 15 of 35 42% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 16 37% 17 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loma Lookboonmee 80 of 137 58% 27 of 61 35 of 56 18 of 20 42 of 86 38 of 50 0 of 1
Jinh Yu Frey 26 of 61 42% 21 of 49 4 of 8 1 of 4 13 of 47 13 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loma Lookboonmee 36 of 49 73% 17 of 27 13 of 16 6 of 6 12 of 22 24 of 27 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 9 of 21 42% 7 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 13 7 of 8 0 of 0
2 Loma Lookboonmee 29 of 53 54% 7 of 19 14 of 25 8 of 9 16 of 33 13 of 20 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 11 of 24 45% 8 of 17 2 of 4 1 of 3 7 of 20 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Loma Lookboonmee 15 of 35 42% 3 of 15 8 of 15 4 of 5 14 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 1
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 16 37% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jinh Yu Frey vs. Konklak Suphisara

Round 1
In the first of many women’s bouts tonight, Frey (9-5, 0-1 UFC) hunts for her first win inside the Octagon against Thai “Loma Lookboonmee” Suphisara (4-2, 1-1 UFC) at strawweight. Presiding over what could be a fun one is referee Marc Goddard, who watches on as the two women touch gloves. Suphisara opens things up with a head kick and a leg kick to follow, and Alateng may be sitting backstage thinking “not again…” Frey walks forward and blocks a head kick, all while swarming her way into the clinch. “Loma Lookboonmee” almost fights her way out, but Frey bullies her back to the fence. Suphisara knees her in the belly, so Frey ducks down to try to grab hold of a single leg takedown. Suphisara stops it, scores another knee up the middle, and Frey forces a break by delivering an elbow on Suphisara’s face. Suphisara lets fly a body kick, and Frey responds with a stiff left hand. Suphisara is unconcerned, and she continues to land kicks from the outside. The two trade leg kicks, and Frey reaches forward with a punch to the body. Suphisara boots her in the midsection, and Frey clinches up. Suphisara greets her with a vicious elbow that stops Frey in her tracks, and she continues to pour them on as Frey looks shellshocked. Suphisara knees the body, and she blocks an overhand left when Frey pushes off. Suphisara start a combination with a high kick and follows it with a few punches, and Frey grabs hold of her. Suphisara welcomes this clinch with a series of powerful knees and elbows as Frey turns away for a moment, and Suphisara continues to swarm her with them and opens a cut under Frey’s eye. Frey throws a few punches to break free, and Suphisara meets her with a left hand. Suphisara chops the lead leg with a kick, and rushes forward to clinch up. The Thai lands a few shots on the inside, and the horn sounds ending the first round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara

Round 2
The two women tentatively walk towards one another out of their corners, and it is Suphisara who strikes first with a teep kick. Suphisara dodges a flurry and lands a leg kick as she backs away. Frey punches her way into the clinch, and Suphisara’s eyes light up as she starts spamming knees to the body. Frey responds with one of her own, but it is Suphisara who sets up the Thai clinch and blasts the body with more knees. Suphisara transitions into hacking elbows, before switching back to thudding knees. A flustered Frey pushes her way free from the clinch, and as she stalks her opponent down, she avoids a calf kick and blocks a head kick. Suphisara’s third kick of the salvo lands in the form of one to the chest. Frey clinches up again, and Suphisara thanks her for it by instantly throwing knees to the torso. Frey breaks free, and she takes a low kick. Frey catches Suphisara with a counter left hand when Suphisara is trying to kick, but Suphisara circles away before she takes any more shots. “Loma Lookboonmee” slings kicks up high and low, and Frey blocks the brunt of the attack while walking her opponent down. Frey throws a naked kick to the body only to eat a one-two on the chin, and she resets and throws a high kick. Suphisara ducks as if she were Anderson Silva while Frey falls to the ground, but the Thai does not follow her down. Frey scrambles to her feet and starts to throw low kicks. Suphisara narrowly misses with a blistering elbow, and the two go strike-for-strike until we hear the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara

Round 3
Frey comes out aggressive, jabbing her way into a single leg takedown attempt. The former Invicta champ lifts Suphisara up in the air and plants her on her back. Suphisara locks up her guard to try to control Frey, but Frey breaks the posture. The Thai attempts to kick her off, and Frey rolls through it to hop back down in side control. Frey maintains heavy shoulder pressure on Suphisara’s head, but the Thai scrambles and gets to her feet. Frey follows her up and takes her back, but Suphisara breaks the grip and gains a separation. Suphisara kicks low and rushes in with a blitz of punches. Suphisara kicks the body a few times with front kicks, and a one-two snaps Frey’s head back. Suphisara continues to chip away at her opponent from a distance, and they both land powerful punches at the same time. Suphisara kicks the body as if she were channeling her inner Casey Kenney, and she changes it up with a head kick. “Loma Lookboonmee” attempts a jumping side kick, and when Frey blocks it, she follows it with a hard leg kick. Frey is walking forward, but she is not throwing much of note and is not attempting any other takedown. Instead, Suphisara is picking away at her with head kicks and punches. Frey clinches up and scores a few punches to the body, and as soon as Suphisara lifts her knee up to land her own strikes, Frey hunts for a takedown. The Thai defends it as she gets bullied to the fence, only to stuff the takedown and break free. Suphisara fires off a low kick and gets countered with a stiff left hand over the top. Suphisara steps in with a few front kicks, and she lands one more when Frey charges at her. The two both connect with a punch or two in a final surge of strikes, and the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)

The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Jinh Yu Frey via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Big Brady leans towards Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He cites her youth, Muay Thai experience, higher volume, and clinch work. He notes Frey is older and low volume, and that Lookboonmee has good takedown defense and trips.

"give me a look with me by a decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Daniel picks Lookboonmee, citing her Muay Thai background and youth advantage. He thinks Frey is on the tail end of her career and lacks the fire to win close rounds. He predicts a split decision but acknowledges Lookboonmee is overrated and green, and that Frey has the skills to win if she wants it. He advises staying away at the betting window.

Lookboonmee by split decision; stay away at the betting window
"i'll go with loma i think that muay thai background will pay dividends here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The host sees Loma as the rising fighter with superior Muay Thai, particularly leg kicks and clinch knees, while Jinh Yu Frey is on the decline. He expects Loma to win via third-round TKO, noting her finishing potential and Frey's waning durability. He mentions a sprinkle on Loma by TKO at +750.

Loma by TKO +750
"I feel like loma will be able to find that chin... i think after a solid like 10 minutes of work we could see loma really open it up"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee, noting her close fight with Angela Hill and her takedown defense. He criticizes Frey's last performance against Kay Hansen and believes Lookboonmee is on the rise.

"i'm still gonna go with luma look boom getting the job done against you and frey just on the up right now"
LOSS vs Kay Hansen
Submission (armbar) R3 2:26 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kay Hansen 0 31 of 55 56% 43 of 67 2 of 11 18% 1 0 4:31
Jinh Yu Frey 0 26 of 46 56% 27 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kay Hansen 0 12 of 28 42% 13 of 29 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:28
Jinh Yu Frey 0 15 of 29 51% 16 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Kay Hansen 0 17 of 21 80% 27 of 31 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:37
Jinh Yu Frey 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kay Hansen 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:26
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 7 85% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kay Hansen 31 of 55 56% 16 of 37 12 of 12 3 of 6 16 of 40 1 of 1 14 of 14
Jinh Yu Frey 26 of 46 56% 7 of 22 4 of 7 15 of 17 23 of 39 3 of 6 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kay Hansen 12 of 28 42% 6 of 19 3 of 3 3 of 6 12 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 15 of 29 51% 5 of 16 3 of 5 7 of 8 12 of 24 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Kay Hansen 17 of 21 80% 8 of 12 9 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 13 of 13
Jinh Yu Frey 5 of 10 50% 1 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 4 5 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 1
3 Kay Hansen 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 7 85% 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 5 6 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Kay Hansen

Big Brady picks Kay Hansen after watching tape, noting that Frey was unimpressive and has been knocked out twice and dominated on the ground. He likes Hansen's takedown-heavy style and thinks she can get Frey down and possibly submit her or win by ground-and-pound. He is concerned about Hansen's age (20) but still favors her.

Hansen by ground-and-pound in round 2; could also be a submission or decision; not the most confident play
"Give me K Hansen... I think she's probably gonna win by either a decision... or even finding a submission."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kay Hansen

Daniel Levi picks Kay Hansen, citing the stylistic matchup of striker vs grappler. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey struggled to get up from bottom against atomweights, so moving up a weight class may not help. Levi believes Hansen will mix in takedowns and control the fight on the ground, winning by decision. He also mentions that Frey lost to Jodie Esquibel, which is a negative indicator.

"I'm gonna go with Kay Hanson of your decision here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey, admitting he doesn't know much about the fighters but thinks Frey is better and has faced better competition. He notes Frey's experience as a champion in Invicta. He is not confident and calls the fight uninteresting.

"I'm gonna go with you you and Frey I think she's better than her I think she's before a little bit better competition"
Ashley Yoder - Fight History
LOSS vs Emily Ducote
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Emily Ducote 0 102 of 269 37% 105 of 276 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Ashley Yoder 0 117 of 210 55% 119 of 213 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Emily Ducote 0 32 of 68 47% 35 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 26 of 66 39% 26 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
2 Emily Ducote 0 35 of 89 39% 35 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Ashley Yoder 0 34 of 61 55% 35 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Emily Ducote 0 35 of 112 31% 35 of 114 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 57 of 83 68% 58 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Emily Ducote 102 of 269 37% 59 of 216 32 of 40 11 of 13 93 of 259 9 of 10 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 117 of 210 55% 69 of 145 29 of 40 19 of 25 117 of 209 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Emily Ducote 32 of 68 47% 21 of 55 7 of 9 4 of 4 32 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 26 of 66 39% 11 of 41 9 of 14 6 of 11 26 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Emily Ducote 35 of 89 39% 21 of 68 11 of 17 3 of 4 32 of 86 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 34 of 61 55% 19 of 42 8 of 12 7 of 7 34 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Emily Ducote 35 of 112 31% 17 of 93 14 of 14 4 of 5 29 of 105 6 of 7 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 57 of 83 68% 39 of 62 12 of 14 6 of 7 57 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote confidently, noting she is better than her UFC record suggests and that Ashley Yoder is returning after two years off. He thinks Ducote's volume and durability will be key, but he is not touching the -270 moneyline, hoping the line tightens.

"Emily ducat is the pretty confident pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes Ducote has good takedown defense and is the much better striker. He criticizes Ashley Yoder's long layoff and poor performance against Jinh Yu Frey, and expects Ducote to stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder over three rounds.

"give me Emily D Cody win this fight stuff the takedowns and get the better the Striking across 15 minutes Emily D Cody by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody picks Ducote, emphasizing her college wrestling, BJJ black belt, and technical boxing. He notes that Yoder is 3-7 in the UFC, on a two-year layoff, and has no path to victory. Cody believes Ducote will stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder easily.

"Emily Ducote has got her number by a fair bit"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The host picks Emily Ducote, expecting her to use a calf-kicking approach similar to her debut against Jessica Pen. He notes Yoder's long layoff and shoulder surgeries, and believes Ducote's striking and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win, possibly a KO, and suggests parlaying the moneyline.

by decision; possible KO
"I'm going to go ducatti and ducatti by decision look for her to utilize her calf kicking approach to slow down uh Yoda and then open up with their hands after that"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul picks Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and superior striking. He notes that Yoder has poor wrestling and striking, and that Ducote can stuff takedowns and outbox her. Paul expects a dominant decision win for Ducote.

"Emily Ducote cruises to a pretty easy decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Ashley Yoder, citing Yoder's poor record (8-8 in UFC, on a 2-fight losing streak, lost 4 of last 5) and long layoff of over two years. He acknowledges Ducote is also on a losing streak but notes she fought tougher competition (Angela Hill, Lupita Godinez) and is younger. He dismisses the matchup as a question, implying Ducote should win easily.

"obviously gonna have to go with Emily dakot here over Ashley Yoda Ashley Yoda is 8 and eight in the UFC on a two- fight losing streak"
LOSS vs Jinh Yu Frey
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jinh Yu Frey 0 88 of 185 47% 89 of 186 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ashley Yoder 0 91 of 236 38% 96 of 241 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jinh Yu Frey 0 28 of 56 50% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ashley Yoder 0 28 of 69 40% 33 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
2 Jinh Yu Frey 0 35 of 67 52% 35 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 38 of 90 42% 38 of 90 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Jinh Yu Frey 0 25 of 62 40% 25 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 25 of 77 32% 25 of 77 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jinh Yu Frey 88 of 185 47% 46 of 129 15 of 25 27 of 31 77 of 173 10 of 11 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 91 of 236 38% 59 of 188 15 of 25 17 of 23 90 of 233 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jinh Yu Frey 28 of 56 50% 9 of 33 8 of 11 11 of 12 24 of 52 3 of 3 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 28 of 69 40% 14 of 49 5 of 9 9 of 11 27 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jinh Yu Frey 35 of 67 52% 21 of 49 6 of 10 8 of 8 33 of 64 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 38 of 90 42% 28 of 73 5 of 9 5 of 8 38 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jinh Yu Frey 25 of 62 40% 16 of 47 1 of 4 8 of 11 20 of 57 5 of 5 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 25 of 77 32% 17 of 66 5 of 7 3 of 4 25 of 75 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Big Brady picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size advantage and higher volume. He notes that Frey throws very few strikes (averaging 24-26 per fight) and that Yoder can win by simply being more active. He also thinks Yoder's grappling could be effective. However, he calls it an ugly fight and is not highly confident.

"i'll take yoder this is as low level as it gets but yeah i'll take uh ashley yoder to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Cody picks Ashley Yoder, believing her wrestling and top control will be the difference. He notes that Frey has poor takedown defense and Yoder should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. However, he is not fully confident because Yoder's striking is lacking and if she cannot get takedowns, she could lose a low-volume striking match. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.

"i think that yoder does get the takedowns i think you you watch that k hanson fight and and those takedowns should be there for a wrestler of yoder's ability"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Ashley Yoder

Levi notes that he doesn't often recommend backing Ashley Yoder as a favorite, but here she is the bigger and better grappler. He believes Yoder can get takedowns more comfortably and spend time on top, edging out a competitive decision. However, he warns that if Yoder decides to test her stand-up, Frey could have success, as Yoder's striking is not as dangerous as de Paula's. Levi credits Frey for beating de Paula but thinks Yoder's grappling-heavy approach should secure the win.

"I think that she can get the takedowns a little bit more comfortably here you know spend a little bit more time on top"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Frey has a bounce-back win over de Paula and should have success if she grapples with Yoder. Yoder is a black belt but lacks volume and strength. Frey's striking is adequate, and she can win scrambles. However, Frey is a natural 105er moving up, which is a concern. The fight likely goes to decision, and Frey at plus money is the side.

Frey by decision +200
"I'd rather have the plus money side... genu fry to win by decision at plus 200"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Paul also picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size and strength advantage and the likelihood that she can grind out a decision. He notes that Frey is a natural atomweight and has poor grappling. However, he is concerned about Yoder's recent regression and the fact that this fight likely goes to decision, making judging a factor. He is not confident enough to bet but leans Yoder.

"i got to go with yauter as well and the main thing here is that y'all has had nine fights in the ufc all nine of them have gone to decisions"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey over Ashley Yoder, stating that Frey is more solid as a martial artist while Yoder relies on physical attributes. He notes that Frey has a more solid foundation and is fundamentally better. He expects Frey to win by unanimous decision, as she is more experienced and technically sound.

Frey by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with jinyu fray here over ashley yoda... i think she's just solidly a bit more fundamentally better"
LOSS vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Angela Hill 0 77 of 135 57% 97 of 165 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:52
Ashley Yoder 0 34 of 116 29% 53 of 143 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Angela Hill 0 22 of 43 51% 24 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:41
Ashley Yoder 0 12 of 39 30% 12 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Angela Hill 0 32 of 56 57% 42 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Ashley Yoder 0 16 of 59 27% 21 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
3 Angela Hill 0 23 of 36 63% 31 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:04
Ashley Yoder 0 6 of 18 33% 20 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Angela Hill 77 of 135 57% 26 of 63 35 of 54 16 of 18 47 of 98 29 of 33 1 of 4
Ashley Yoder 34 of 116 29% 17 of 85 11 of 21 6 of 10 34 of 115 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Angela Hill 22 of 43 51% 11 of 27 4 of 8 7 of 8 16 of 34 5 of 5 1 of 4
Ashley Yoder 12 of 39 30% 6 of 29 4 of 6 2 of 4 12 of 38 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Angela Hill 32 of 56 57% 9 of 25 15 of 22 8 of 9 24 of 48 8 of 8 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 16 of 59 27% 10 of 45 4 of 10 2 of 4 16 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Angela Hill 23 of 36 63% 6 of 11 16 of 24 1 of 1 7 of 16 16 of 20 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 6 of 18 33% 1 of 11 3 of 5 2 of 2 6 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Big Brady picks Angela Hill, citing her significant striking advantage (nearly 6 significant strikes per minute vs Yoder's 2.8). He notes Hill has improved her takedown defense, stuffing takedowns from Michelle Waterson and Claudia Gadelha. He expects Hill to dominate on the feet and win a decision, though he is not betting at the current price (-380).

"Give me Angela Hill, give me her by decision."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Angela Hill

Daniel Levi picks Angela Hill but warns against laying -400 on her, as all her fights are close. He expects a split decision and notes that Ashley Yoder could potentially submit Hill if she gets on top. He recalls their first fight where Hill won, but advises caution due to Hill's tendency to make fights close and her questionable claims of beating top fighters.

"You cannot lay minus 400 on angela hill she cannot be trusted all her fights are too close"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2021 (11 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Lock will bet Yoder if she's above +300, as a half-unit stab. He thinks the odds are too twisted in Hill's favor. He notes Yoder was at +310/+320 before the fight was previously scheduled. He doesn't elaborate much on reasoning, indicating it's a value play based on line movement.

half unit stab, only if above +300
"i will bet the ashley yoder side of things uh if she's again above plus 300 again it was only a half unit stab"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Angela Hill

The Guru is extremely confident in Angela Hill, calling it 'guaranteed money.' He notes Hill's improved takedown defense and technical striking, while criticizing Yoder's lack of technical ability. He expects Hill to outstrike Yoder by double in significant strikes each round and win by unanimous decision, 30-27. He mentions Hill already beat Yoder before and will do so more impressively this time.

"this is guaranteed money on the card in my opinion i don't see any way that angela hill loses this one to ashley yoda"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashley Yoder 0 26 of 42 61% 151 of 184 2 of 4 50% 3 0 8:19
Miranda Granger 0 33 of 51 64% 87 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashley Yoder 0 6 of 11 54% 25 of 30 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:04
Miranda Granger 0 13 of 19 68% 32 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:13
2 Ashley Yoder 0 5 of 9 55% 54 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:51
Miranda Granger 0 13 of 16 81% 36 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
3 Ashley Yoder 0 15 of 22 68% 72 of 92 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:24
Miranda Granger 0 7 of 16 43% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashley Yoder 26 of 42 61% 14 of 29 5 of 5 7 of 8 12 of 25 3 of 3 11 of 14
Miranda Granger 33 of 51 64% 19 of 36 9 of 10 5 of 5 15 of 32 14 of 15 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashley Yoder 6 of 11 54% 3 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Granger 13 of 19 68% 9 of 14 1 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 13 3 of 3 3 of 3
2 Ashley Yoder 5 of 9 55% 0 of 3 3 of 3 2 of 3 2 of 6 3 of 3 0 of 0
Miranda Granger 13 of 16 81% 7 of 10 6 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 4 11 of 12 0 of 0
3 Ashley Yoder 15 of 22 68% 11 of 18 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 14
Miranda Granger 7 of 16 43% 3 of 12 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Granger

Big Brady bet on Granger at -107 and likes her striking advantage, noting she has a full camp for the first time in the UFC. He criticizes Yoder's low output and poor takedown effectiveness. He worries about Yoder taking Granger down but thinks Granger is active off her back and should win a decision.

bet at -107; decision win expected; at -150 would pass
"i do have a bet on miranda granger but the problem is i better at minus 107."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Daniel picks Yoder, citing her significant experience advantage against higher-level competition like Angela Hill, Mackenzie Dern, and Olivia Souza. He notes that Granger has not shown enough in her UFC fights, struggling against Hannah Goldie and being blown out by Amanda Lemos. He believes Yoder has a grappling edge and can win a close decision, especially if the fight goes to the third round where Granger's cardio is questionable.

"i see you're coming out here winning this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

The MMA Guru picks Ashley Yoder, but with low enthusiasm, calling women's MMA annoying. He thinks Yoder's reach and kicks will allow her to out-strike Granger on the feet for three rounds, possibly earning a split decision. He notes that Granger hasn't beaten anyone good and lost to Amanda Lemos by submission, while Yoder fought close with Livia Renata Souza.

Split decision; mentions Yoder's kicks and reach advantage
"I'm gonna go with Ashley Yoda barely out striking her on the feet for three rounds, it'll probably be a split [expletive] decision for no [expletive] reason."
LOSS vs Livinha Souza
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Aug 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Livinha Souza 0 32 of 114 28% 89 of 176 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:50
Ashley Yoder 0 46 of 70 65% 70 of 95 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Livinha Souza 0 6 of 22 27% 34 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
Ashley Yoder 0 10 of 19 52% 20 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:26
2 Livinha Souza 0 6 of 20 30% 28 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:26
Ashley Yoder 0 13 of 18 72% 21 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
3 Livinha Souza 0 20 of 72 27% 27 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Ashley Yoder 0 23 of 33 69% 29 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Livinha Souza 32 of 114 28% 23 of 92 6 of 14 3 of 8 32 of 112 0 of 2 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 46 of 70 65% 15 of 33 8 of 11 23 of 26 36 of 55 5 of 7 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Livinha Souza 6 of 22 27% 3 of 15 2 of 5 1 of 2 6 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 10 of 19 52% 7 of 13 2 of 3 1 of 3 5 of 12 1 of 2 4 of 5
2 Livinha Souza 6 of 20 30% 5 of 16 0 of 2 1 of 2 6 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 13 of 18 72% 3 of 8 4 of 4 6 of 6 10 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 3
3 Livinha Souza 20 of 72 27% 15 of 61 4 of 7 1 of 4 20 of 71 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 23 of 33 69% 5 of 12 2 of 4 16 of 17 21 of 30 2 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 12, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Livinha Souza

Big Brady thinks Souza is faster and more active, with better takedowns. He expects her to win a decision but acknowledges Yoder could make it close. He is not very confident and notes the line should be closer.

"give me uh le'veon susa to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Livinha Souza

Daniel Levi picks Livinha Souza to win. He believes Souza is the tougher fighter and will win the extra scrambles when both are fatigued. He notes that Yoder has a history of folding in gritty fights and doesn't utilize her length well. He also mentions that Souza has better boxing and jiu-jitsu, and that Yoder's path to victory requires a perfect performance.

Souza by decision or submission; Yoder's toughness is questionable; Souza's intensity is key
"i'm gonna take the more intense person and i'm gonna take the uh you know the person where i do feel like uh lavinia is slightly the better black belt"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 13, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Yoder has the reach and height advantage, decent takedown defense, and is crafty on the ground. Souza has been reversed and put in compromising positions in past fights. Yoder can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the mat. The fight will be close and likely go to a decision; Yoder is the value side at plus money.

Yoder wins by decision
"I do believe Yoder is the value side here... I'll go with Yoder to win this fight by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

The MMA Guru picks Ashley Yoder, emphasizing her significant reach advantage (6.5 inches) and size. He dismisses Souza's record as built on weak competition and notes Yoder's experience against better opponents.

boring decision
"i am gonna be going with ashley yoda here a much bigger woman at the straw weight division ... i think ashley yoda gets it down against olivia hernandez"
LOSS vs Randa Markos
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · Oct 26, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randa Markos 0 78 of 140 55% 94 of 158 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:05
Ashley Yoder 0 44 of 107 41% 82 of 148 2 of 6 33% 0 1 5:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randa Markos 0 8 of 10 80% 9 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:28
Ashley Yoder 0 11 of 16 68% 22 of 27 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:41
2 Randa Markos 0 39 of 54 72% 54 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:31
Ashley Yoder 0 19 of 36 52% 41 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:30
3 Randa Markos 0 31 of 76 40% 31 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Ashley Yoder 0 14 of 55 25% 19 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randa Markos 78 of 140 55% 58 of 116 10 of 13 10 of 11 42 of 93 26 of 33 10 of 14
Ashley Yoder 44 of 107 41% 30 of 84 11 of 16 3 of 7 24 of 80 5 of 10 15 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randa Markos 8 of 10 80% 4 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 11 of 16 68% 7 of 10 4 of 5 0 of 1 4 of 7 1 of 3 6 of 6
2 Randa Markos 39 of 54 72% 31 of 45 5 of 6 3 of 3 14 of 22 15 of 18 10 of 14
Ashley Yoder 19 of 36 52% 15 of 30 2 of 4 2 of 2 8 of 20 2 of 5 9 of 11
3 Randa Markos 31 of 76 40% 23 of 65 3 of 5 5 of 6 23 of 64 8 of 12 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 14 of 55 25% 8 of 44 5 of 7 1 of 4 12 of 53 2 of 2 0 of 0
WIN vs Syuri Kondo
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–25, 30–24) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Korean Zombie · Jun 22, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashley Yoder 0 75 of 100 75% 147 of 194 1 of 5 20% 0 0 12:53
Syuri Kondo 0 23 of 40 57% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashley Yoder 0 38 of 50 76% 57 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:37
Syuri Kondo 0 5 of 7 71% 7 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ashley Yoder 0 11 of 16 68% 35 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:59
Syuri Kondo 0 16 of 25 64% 18 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Ashley Yoder 0 26 of 34 76% 55 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:17
Syuri Kondo 0 2 of 8 25% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashley Yoder 75 of 100 75% 61 of 83 12 of 15 2 of 2 13 of 23 5 of 5 57 of 72
Syuri Kondo 23 of 40 57% 17 of 33 6 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 21 13 of 16 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashley Yoder 38 of 50 76% 34 of 45 4 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 7 0 of 0 33 of 43
Syuri Kondo 5 of 7 71% 2 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ashley Yoder 11 of 16 68% 4 of 7 6 of 8 1 of 1 6 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2
Syuri Kondo 16 of 25 64% 13 of 22 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 8 11 of 14 3 of 3
3 Ashley Yoder 26 of 34 76% 23 of 31 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 2 of 2 22 of 27
Syuri Kondo 2 of 8 25% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Amanda Cooper
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashley Yoder 0 38 of 90 42% 59 of 113 1 of 2 50% 3 1 3:22
Amanda Cooper 0 51 of 105 48% 67 of 121 2 of 6 33% 2 0 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashley Yoder 0 13 of 32 40% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:32
Amanda Cooper 0 20 of 41 48% 22 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:39
2 Ashley Yoder 0 14 of 22 63% 25 of 33 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:40
Amanda Cooper 0 14 of 25 56% 23 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:12
3 Ashley Yoder 0 11 of 36 30% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 2 0 2:10
Amanda Cooper 0 17 of 39 43% 22 of 44 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashley Yoder 38 of 90 42% 32 of 84 6 of 6 0 of 0 28 of 77 5 of 5 5 of 8
Amanda Cooper 51 of 105 48% 28 of 75 9 of 14 14 of 16 38 of 88 2 of 4 11 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashley Yoder 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 26 0 of 0 3 of 6
Amanda Cooper 20 of 41 48% 10 of 27 3 of 6 7 of 8 16 of 37 0 of 0 4 of 4
2 Ashley Yoder 14 of 22 63% 9 of 17 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 16 4 of 4 2 of 2
Amanda Cooper 14 of 25 56% 9 of 18 3 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 19 1 of 3 3 of 3
3 Ashley Yoder 11 of 36 30% 10 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Amanda Cooper 17 of 39 43% 9 of 30 3 of 3 5 of 6 12 of 32 1 of 1 4 of 6
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Big Brady picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size advantage and higher volume. He notes that Frey throws very few strikes (averaging 24-26 per fight) and that Yoder can win by simply being more active. He also thinks Yoder's grappling could be effective. However, he calls it an ugly fight and is not highly confident.

"i'll take yoder this is as low level as it gets but yeah i'll take uh ashley yoder to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Cody picks Ashley Yoder, believing her wrestling and top control will be the difference. He notes that Frey has poor takedown defense and Yoder should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. However, he is not fully confident because Yoder's striking is lacking and if she cannot get takedowns, she could lose a low-volume striking match. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.

"i think that yoder does get the takedowns i think you you watch that k hanson fight and and those takedowns should be there for a wrestler of yoder's ability"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Ashley Yoder

Levi notes that he doesn't often recommend backing Ashley Yoder as a favorite, but here she is the bigger and better grappler. He believes Yoder can get takedowns more comfortably and spend time on top, edging out a competitive decision. However, he warns that if Yoder decides to test her stand-up, Frey could have success, as Yoder's striking is not as dangerous as de Paula's. Levi credits Frey for beating de Paula but thinks Yoder's grappling-heavy approach should secure the win.

"I think that she can get the takedowns a little bit more comfortably here you know spend a little bit more time on top"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Frey has a bounce-back win over de Paula and should have success if she grapples with Yoder. Yoder is a black belt but lacks volume and strength. Frey's striking is adequate, and she can win scrambles. However, Frey is a natural 105er moving up, which is a concern. The fight likely goes to decision, and Frey at plus money is the side.

Frey by decision +200
"I'd rather have the plus money side... genu fry to win by decision at plus 200"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Paul also picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size and strength advantage and the likelihood that she can grind out a decision. He notes that Frey is a natural atomweight and has poor grappling. However, he is concerned about Yoder's recent regression and the fact that this fight likely goes to decision, making judging a factor. He is not confident enough to bet but leans Yoder.

"i got to go with yauter as well and the main thing here is that y'all has had nine fights in the ufc all nine of them have gone to decisions"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey over Ashley Yoder, stating that Frey is more solid as a martial artist while Yoder relies on physical attributes. He notes that Frey has a more solid foundation and is fundamentally better. He expects Frey to win by unanimous decision, as she is more experienced and technically sound.

Frey by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with jinyu fray here over ashley yoda... i think she's just solidly a bit more fundamentally better"