Career Averages - Alexis Davis
Career Averages - Sabina Mazo
Alexis Davis
Sabina Mazo
Alexis Davis - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 85 of 120 | 70% | 171 of 218 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 9:09 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 56 of 113 | 49% | 93 of 154 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 22 of 26 | 84% | 63 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:52 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 20 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 38 of 60 | 63% | 38 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 45 of 96 | 46% | 45 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 25 of 34 | 73% | 70 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 28 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 85 of 120 | 70% | 55 of 86 | 9 of 12 | 21 of 22 | 41 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 43 of 55 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 56 of 113 | 49% | 40 of 94 | 14 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 51 of 108 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 22 of 26 | 84% | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 26 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 38 of 60 | 63% | 14 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 19 of 20 | 37 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 45 of 96 | 46% | 32 of 81 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 44 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 25 of 34 | 73% | 19 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 29 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 8 of 14 | 57% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Alexis Davis as the veteran with experience and fight IQ. He notes Davis is a busy striker with a one-to-one striking differential, but she loses only to top-ranked opponents. Stoliarenko has great jiu-jitsu but poor wrestling and striking. Angelo expects Davis to dominate with combinations and avoid submission threats.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Davis has better striking, pace, and ground game. He thinks Stoliarenko is not on Davis's level. He is confident Davis wins but acknowledges women's MMA can be unpredictable.
Daniel Levi picks Alexis Davis but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Davis is a veteran with experience, but she has lost four of her last five and is 38. Stoliarenko is known for armbars off her back. Levi thinks Davis should win but the -240 price is too high, so he advises passing or taking the dog. He picks Davis but says it's not a betting opportunity.
Lock of the Night picks Davis, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Stoliarenko's only path is armbar, but Davis is a tenured black belt. He expects Davis to win via decision or possibly finish. He likes Davis by decision at even money.
Paul thinks Davis has superior skills everywhere and should win easily. He notes that Stoliarenko's only threat is an armbar, but Davis is a veteran who should avoid that. He is confident Davis wins by decision and likes the Davis by decision prop.
The MMA Guru picks Alexis Davis, calling her underrated despite her record. He notes she has had close fights with top fighters like Viviane Araujo and Jennifer Maia, but often loses due to being cut by bigger shots. He dismisses Julija Stoliarenko as 'hot trash' and predicts a 30-26 decision win for Davis, with a 10-8 third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 124 of 249 | 49% | 124 of 249 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 132 of 251 | 52% | 147 of 268 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 49 of 82 | 59% | 49 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 42 of 84 | 50% | 50 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 37 of 83 | 44% | 37 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 44 of 82 | 53% | 50 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 38 of 84 | 45% | 38 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 46 of 85 | 54% | 47 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 124 of 249 | 49% | 99 of 210 | 24 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 122 of 246 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 132 of 251 | 52% | 95 of 211 | 12 of 15 | 25 of 25 | 125 of 239 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 49 of 82 | 59% | 38 of 66 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 47 of 80 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 42 of 84 | 50% | 30 of 71 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 10 | 41 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 37 of 83 | 44% | 29 of 69 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 44 of 82 | 53% | 32 of 69 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 8 | 40 of 75 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 3 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 38 of 84 | 45% | 32 of 75 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 38 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 46 of 85 | 54% | 33 of 71 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 44 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Alexis Davis as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and top control can be the difference. He notes Davis has faced tougher competition and has a black belt, but she needs to consistently go for takedowns. He is concerned about Kianzad's recent winning streak but sees value in Davis if she implements a wrestling-heavy game plan.
Cody slightly favors Kianzad, citing her jab and takedown defense. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and outbox Davis. He notes Davis's toughness and BJJ but believes Kianzad's striking will be the difference. He is not betting it.
Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad, noting her improved takedown defense and boxing volume. He respects Alexis Davis as a vet but thinks Kianzad's size and striking will be too much. He expects Kianzad to keep the fight standing and out-volume Davis, leading to a clear decision win.
Kianzad has superior striking and can use her jab to stay on the outside, while Davis is slower and relies on grappling. Kianzad showed she can survive takedowns and come back in later rounds, as seen in her last fight. However, Davis is durable and could grind out a win if she gets takedowns. Kianzad likely wins a decision if she fights disciplined.
Paul passes on this fight. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance, but the line doesn't offer value. He notes Davis's grappling threat but is not confident enough to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her superior striking, underrated takedown defense (85% defense rate), and youth. He believes she can replicate Sabina Mazo's success on the feet against Alexis Davis and avoid takedowns. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 128 of 196 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 8:50 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 64 of 165 | 38% | 71 of 173 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 39 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 40 of 60 | 66% | 50 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 47 of 118 | 39% | 48 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 39 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 49 of 83 | 59% | 8 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 37 of 41 | 46 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Sabina Mazo | 64 of 165 | 38% | 50 of 149 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 64 of 165 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 13 of 38 | 34% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 40 of 60 | 66% | 5 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 33 | 39 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 47 of 118 | 39% | 36 of 106 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 47 of 118 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.
Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.
Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 68 of 137 | 49% | 134 of 213 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:47 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 67 of 148 | 45% | 79 of 162 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 26 of 58 | 44% | 26 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 35 of 65 | 53% | 35 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 67 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:50 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 20 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 23 of 43 | 53% | 41 of 64 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 17 of 50 | 34% | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 68 of 137 | 49% | 33 of 88 | 20 of 33 | 15 of 16 | 53 of 110 | 6 of 15 | 9 of 12 |
| Alexis Davis | 67 of 148 | 45% | 52 of 128 | 12 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 64 of 145 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 26 of 58 | 44% | 8 of 33 | 11 of 18 | 7 of 7 | 25 of 51 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 35 of 65 | 53% | 24 of 52 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 19 of 36 | 52% | 14 of 28 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 12 |
| Alexis Davis | 15 of 33 | 45% | 14 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 23 of 43 | 53% | 11 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 18 of 36 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 17 of 50 | 34% | 14 of 44 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 72 of 122 | 59% | 107 of 174 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:14 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 60 of 128 | 46% | 70 of 142 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 33 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 34 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 41 of 66 | 62% | 43 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 26 of 58 | 44% | 26 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 72 of 122 | 59% | 16 of 54 | 28 of 37 | 28 of 31 | 50 of 94 | 21 of 27 | 1 of 1 |
| Alexis Davis | 60 of 128 | 46% | 44 of 112 | 12 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 49 of 113 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 21 of 35 | 60% | 3 of 13 | 9 of 12 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 12 | 18 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 26 of 42 | 61% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 30 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jennifer Maia | 10 of 21 | 47% | 3 of 11 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Alexis Davis | 8 of 28 | 28% | 4 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jennifer Maia | 41 of 66 | 62% | 10 of 30 | 14 of 18 | 17 of 18 | 38 of 62 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 26 of 58 | 44% | 23 of 55 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 70 of 201 | 34% | 77 of 208 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 62 of 202 | 30% | 62 of 202 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 24 of 73 | 32% | 24 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 17 of 65 | 26% | 17 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 27 of 67 | 40% | 27 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 24 of 69 | 34% | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 19 of 61 | 31% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 21 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 70 of 201 | 34% | 24 of 141 | 10 of 17 | 36 of 43 | 66 of 196 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 62 of 202 | 30% | 50 of 188 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 61 of 201 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 24 of 73 | 32% | 7 of 53 | 4 of 7 | 13 of 13 | 20 of 69 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 17 of 65 | 26% | 14 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 27 of 67 | 40% | 7 of 42 | 5 of 7 | 15 of 18 | 27 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 24 of 69 | 34% | 17 of 61 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 19 of 61 | 31% | 10 of 46 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 12 | 19 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 21 of 68 | 30% | 19 of 65 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 23 of 63 | 36% | 132 of 182 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 5:51 |
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 49 of 71 | 69% | 191 of 215 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 26 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 70 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 72 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 65 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 34 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:14 |
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 20 of 31 | 64% | 56 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 23 of 63 | 36% | 10 of 44 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 9 | 7 of 39 | 9 of 15 | 7 of 9 |
| Liz Carmouche | 49 of 71 | 69% | 29 of 46 | 13 of 15 | 7 of 10 | 20 of 40 | 12 of 13 | 17 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 9 of 16 | 56% | 2 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Liz Carmouche | 16 of 21 | 76% | 8 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 6 of 22 | 27% | 3 of 15 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 13 | 1 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
| Liz Carmouche | 13 of 19 | 68% | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 3 | 8 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 8 of 25 | 32% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
| Liz Carmouche | 20 of 31 | 64% | 10 of 21 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 9 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 51 of 123 | 41% | 115 of 192 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 2:44 |
| Cindy Dandois | 0 | 47 of 146 | 32% | 100 of 212 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 6:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 26 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:25 |
| Cindy Dandois | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 27 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:31 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 31 of 66 | 46% | 55 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Cindy Dandois | 0 | 28 of 82 | 34% | 35 of 89 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 13 of 45 | 28% | 34 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cindy Dandois | 0 | 12 of 51 | 23% | 38 of 81 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 51 of 123 | 41% | 21 of 88 | 17 of 21 | 13 of 14 | 35 of 104 | 9 of 9 | 7 of 10 |
| Cindy Dandois | 47 of 146 | 32% | 34 of 125 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 13 | 28 of 114 | 8 of 18 | 11 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 7 of 12 | 58% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Cindy Dandois | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 31 of 66 | 46% | 13 of 44 | 9 of 13 | 9 of 9 | 24 of 59 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Cindy Dandois | 28 of 82 | 34% | 17 of 66 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 9 | 20 of 66 | 6 of 12 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 13 of 45 | 28% | 2 of 33 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Cindy Dandois | 12 of 51 | 23% | 10 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 42 | 2 of 6 | 3 of 3 |
Sabina Mazo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 15 of 48 | 31% | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 45 of 85 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 4:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 35 of 56 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 10 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 15 of 48 | 31% | 8 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 19 of 50 | 38% | 10 of 36 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 5 of 17 | 29% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 21 | 42% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 10 of 31 | 32% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 10 of 29 | 34% | 5 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).
Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.
Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.
Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 0 | 62 of 159 | 38% | 63 of 161 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 93 of 164 | 56% | 99 of 170 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 28 of 75 | 37% | 28 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 53 of 86 | 61% | 56 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 30 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mariya Agapova | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariya Agapova | 62 of 159 | 38% | 35 of 113 | 13 of 22 | 14 of 24 | 61 of 158 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 93 of 164 | 56% | 48 of 107 | 32 of 43 | 13 of 14 | 91 of 162 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariya Agapova | 28 of 75 | 37% | 15 of 54 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 9 | 27 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 53 of 86 | 61% | 28 of 58 | 18 of 21 | 7 of 7 | 51 of 84 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mariya Agapova | 28 of 69 | 40% | 17 of 49 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 13 | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 29 of 57 | 50% | 14 of 34 | 9 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mariya Agapova | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 11 of 21 | 52% | 6 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.
Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.
Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.
The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Sabina Mazo by unanimous decision. He reasons that Mazo outgrappled Shayna Dobson, while Agapova was outgrappled by Dobson, giving Mazo a grappling edge. He also notes Mazo's reach advantage. However, he expresses confusion over Agapova's losses and calls women's MMA unpredictable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 128 of 196 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 8:50 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 64 of 165 | 38% | 71 of 173 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 39 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 40 of 60 | 66% | 50 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 47 of 118 | 39% | 48 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 39 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Davis | 49 of 83 | 59% | 8 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 37 of 41 | 46 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Sabina Mazo | 64 of 165 | 38% | 50 of 149 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 64 of 165 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexis Davis | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 13 of 38 | 34% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexis Davis | 40 of 60 | 66% | 5 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 33 | 39 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 47 of 118 | 39% | 36 of 106 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 47 of 118 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexis Davis | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.
Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.
Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 131 of 275 | 47% | 131 of 275 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 93 of 210 | 44% | 94 of 212 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 37 of 85 | 43% | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 34 of 72 | 47% | 35 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 42 of 88 | 47% | 42 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 1 | 52 of 102 | 50% | 52 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 131 of 275 | 47% | 45 of 158 | 27 of 38 | 59 of 79 | 123 of 264 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 93 of 210 | 44% | 25 of 118 | 23 of 38 | 45 of 54 | 88 of 199 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 37 of 85 | 43% | 8 of 46 | 12 of 16 | 17 of 23 | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 34 of 72 | 47% | 6 of 36 | 3 of 8 | 25 of 28 | 33 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 42 of 88 | 47% | 13 of 48 | 9 of 13 | 20 of 27 | 38 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 28 of 67 | 41% | 9 of 37 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 12 | 24 of 61 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 52 of 102 | 50% | 24 of 64 | 6 of 9 | 22 of 29 | 48 of 95 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 31 of 71 | 43% | 10 of 45 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 14 | 31 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.
The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.
The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 118 of 323 | 36% | 121 of 327 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 58 of 144 | 40% | 69 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 29 of 97 | 29% | 29 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 15 of 47 | 31% | 15 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 46 of 133 | 34% | 46 of 133 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 26 of 53 | 49% | 31 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 43 of 93 | 46% | 46 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 118 of 323 | 36% | 66 of 258 | 29 of 34 | 23 of 31 | 92 of 292 | 26 of 31 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 58 of 144 | 40% | 45 of 125 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 6 | 49 of 132 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 29 of 97 | 29% | 16 of 78 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 13 | 29 of 96 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 15 of 47 | 31% | 11 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 14 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 46 of 133 | 34% | 32 of 116 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 42 of 129 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 26 of 53 | 49% | 20 of 47 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 43 of 93 | 46% | 18 of 64 | 18 of 20 | 7 of 9 | 21 of 67 | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 17 of 44 | 38% | 14 of 38 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks JJ Aldrich to win by unanimous decision. He notes that Aldrich has fought better competition, has a brown belt in jiu-jitsu, and cleaner boxing. He criticizes Mazo's debut performance and believes Aldrich's experience and pairing will be key.
The host briefly mentions picking JJ Aldrich over Sabina Mazo in quick picks, but provides no detailed reasoning.
The host dismisses this fight as unimportant, stating 'no one cares' and quickly picks JJ Aldridge to win without any detailed reasoning. The pick is based on a lack of interest rather than technical analysis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 108 of 171 | 63% | 170 of 250 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 10:50 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 33 of 99 | 33% | 102 of 176 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 30 of 46 | 65% | 72 of 102 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:25 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 14 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 26 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 47 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 55 of 89 | 61% | 72 of 109 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Shana Dobson | 0 | 8 of 36 | 22% | 41 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 108 of 171 | 63% | 49 of 98 | 50 of 60 | 9 of 13 | 44 of 85 | 38 of 55 | 26 of 31 |
| Shana Dobson | 33 of 99 | 33% | 19 of 75 | 11 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 71 | 15 of 23 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 30 of 46 | 65% | 12 of 24 | 16 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 13 | 9 of 13 | 17 of 20 |
| Shana Dobson | 6 of 20 | 30% | 4 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 23 of 36 | 63% | 0 of 7 | 20 of 23 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 20 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Shana Dobson | 19 of 43 | 44% | 9 of 29 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 22 | 13 of 19 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 55 of 89 | 61% | 37 of 67 | 14 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 52 | 17 of 26 | 9 of 11 |
| Shana Dobson | 8 of 36 | 22% | 6 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 64 of 144 | 44% | 73 of 157 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 56 of 190 | 29% | 74 of 208 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 7:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 14 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:50 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 50 | 32% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 23 of 73 | 31% | 33 of 83 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 0 | 39 of 79 | 49% | 39 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 24 of 84 | 28% | 27 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryna Moroz | 64 of 144 | 44% | 21 of 87 | 19 of 25 | 24 of 32 | 61 of 138 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 56 of 190 | 29% | 27 of 150 | 18 of 28 | 11 of 12 | 47 of 174 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryna Moroz | 9 of 15 | 60% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 33 | 27% | 4 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Maryna Moroz | 16 of 50 | 32% | 5 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 15 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 23 of 73 | 31% | 13 of 57 | 5 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 67 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maryna Moroz | 39 of 79 | 49% | 13 of 44 | 13 of 18 | 13 of 17 | 38 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 24 of 84 | 28% | 10 of 66 | 8 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 24 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.
Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.
Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.
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