vs
+180 -215
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane Next Fight
Age 41
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 7"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Alexis Davis
4.63 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.95 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
34.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Sabina Mazo
6.1 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
4.35 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.65 TD Avg
80.0% TD Acc.
59.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Alexis Davis
Moneyline
FanDuel +180
KO/TKO
BetWay +1600
Submission
BetWay +1000
Decision
BetWay +240
Sabina Mazo
Moneyline
FanDuel -215
KO/TKO
BetWay +500
Submission
BetWay +600
Decision
BetWay -105
Alexis Davis - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 85 of 120 70% 171 of 218 1 of 1 100% 0 0 9:09
Julija Stoliarenko 0 56 of 113 49% 93 of 154 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 22 of 26 84% 63 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:52
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 3 100% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 38 of 60 63% 38 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 45 of 96 46% 45 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 25 of 34 73% 70 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:17
Julija Stoliarenko 0 8 of 14 57% 28 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 85 of 120 70% 55 of 86 9 of 12 21 of 22 41 of 64 1 of 1 43 of 55
Julija Stoliarenko 56 of 113 49% 40 of 94 14 of 17 2 of 2 51 of 108 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 22 of 26 84% 22 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 22 of 26
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Alexis Davis 38 of 60 63% 14 of 33 5 of 7 19 of 20 37 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 45 of 96 46% 32 of 81 13 of 15 0 of 0 44 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 25 of 34 73% 19 of 27 4 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 21 of 29
Julija Stoliarenko 8 of 14 57% 6 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Angelo picks Alexis Davis as the veteran with experience and fight IQ. He notes Davis is a busy striker with a one-to-one striking differential, but she loses only to top-ranked opponents. Stoliarenko has great jiu-jitsu but poor wrestling and striking. Angelo expects Davis to dominate with combinations and avoid submission threats.

"i gotta go with the vet here i'm going with alexis davis to use her experience and use her fight iq to grind out what i think will pre a pretty one-sided win for her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Davis has better striking, pace, and ground game. He thinks Stoliarenko is not on Davis's level. He is confident Davis wins but acknowledges women's MMA can be unpredictable.

"gotta go with my girl uh the alley gator alexis davis"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Daniel Levi picks Alexis Davis but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Davis is a veteran with experience, but she has lost four of her last five and is 38. Stoliarenko is known for armbars off her back. Levi thinks Davis should win but the -240 price is too high, so he advises passing or taking the dog. He picks Davis but says it's not a betting opportunity.

"the pick is davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Lock of the Night picks Davis, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Stoliarenko's only path is armbar, but Davis is a tenured black belt. He expects Davis to win via decision or possibly finish. He likes Davis by decision at even money.

Davis by decision +100
"i think davis absolutely wipes estolia right quick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Paul thinks Davis has superior skills everywhere and should win easily. He notes that Stoliarenko's only threat is an armbar, but Davis is a veteran who should avoid that. He is confident Davis wins by decision and likes the Davis by decision prop.

Davis by decision (even money)
"davis by decision is even money i think that's a pretty solid bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

The MMA Guru picks Alexis Davis, calling her underrated despite her record. He notes she has had close fights with top fighters like Viviane Araujo and Jennifer Maia, but often loses due to being cut by bigger shots. He dismisses Julija Stoliarenko as 'hot trash' and predicts a 30-26 decision win for Davis, with a 10-8 third round.

decision, 30-26
"i'm going to go with alexis davis here... i think she's going to win the first two rounds outland uh julius dollarenko in those first two rounds dominate her get the takedown"
LOSS vs Pannie Kianzad
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 124 of 249 49% 124 of 249 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Alexis Davis 0 132 of 251 52% 147 of 268 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 49 of 82 59% 49 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Alexis Davis 0 42 of 84 50% 50 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 37 of 83 44% 37 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 44 of 82 53% 50 of 89 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 38 of 84 45% 38 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 46 of 85 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 124 of 249 49% 99 of 210 24 of 38 1 of 1 122 of 246 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 132 of 251 52% 95 of 211 12 of 15 25 of 25 125 of 239 7 of 9 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 49 of 82 59% 38 of 66 10 of 15 1 of 1 47 of 80 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 42 of 84 50% 30 of 71 2 of 3 10 of 10 41 of 83 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 37 of 83 44% 29 of 69 8 of 14 0 of 0 37 of 82 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 44 of 82 53% 32 of 69 4 of 5 8 of 8 40 of 75 4 of 4 0 of 3
3 Pannie Kianzad 38 of 84 45% 32 of 75 6 of 9 0 of 0 38 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 46 of 85 54% 33 of 71 6 of 7 7 of 7 44 of 81 2 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Big Brady picks Alexis Davis as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and top control can be the difference. He notes Davis has faced tougher competition and has a black belt, but she needs to consistently go for takedowns. He is concerned about Kianzad's recent winning streak but sees value in Davis if she implements a wrestling-heavy game plan.

Davis by decision
"i'm gonna actually pick alexis davis here to kind of implement hopefully that same game plan against the bina mazzo get this fight down to the mat"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody slightly favors Kianzad, citing her jab and takedown defense. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and outbox Davis. He notes Davis's toughness and BJJ but believes Kianzad's striking will be the difference. He is not betting it.

"it's like an ever so slight pick for penny kianzad"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad, noting her improved takedown defense and boxing volume. He respects Alexis Davis as a vet but thinks Kianzad's size and striking will be too much. He expects Kianzad to keep the fight standing and out-volume Davis, leading to a clear decision win.

"i'm gonna go with panicky keon's ad to keep it standing and just out volume alexis davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Pannie Kianzad

Kianzad has superior striking and can use her jab to stay on the outside, while Davis is slower and relies on grappling. Kianzad showed she can survive takedowns and come back in later rounds, as seen in her last fight. However, Davis is durable and could grind out a win if she gets takedowns. Kianzad likely wins a decision if she fights disciplined.

Kianzad by decision
"I do end up leaning on the Pannie Kianzad side due to her having better striking... I'm going to take Kianzad to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul passes on this fight. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance, but the line doesn't offer value. He notes Davis's grappling threat but is not confident enough to bet.

"it's more of a past situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her superior striking, underrated takedown defense (85% defense rate), and youth. He believes she can replicate Sabina Mazo's success on the feet against Alexis Davis and avoid takedowns. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"i'm gonna go with pani kianzad here because i feel like she's definitely going to get the better of alexis davis on the feet"
WIN vs Sabina Mazo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 49 of 83 59% 128 of 196 3 of 3 100% 0 0 8:50
Sabina Mazo 0 64 of 165 38% 71 of 173 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 6 of 16 37% 39 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:51
Sabina Mazo 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 40 of 60 66% 50 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Sabina Mazo 0 47 of 118 39% 48 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 3 of 7 42% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
Sabina Mazo 0 4 of 9 44% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 49 of 83 59% 8 of 37 4 of 5 37 of 41 46 of 78 0 of 0 3 of 5
Sabina Mazo 64 of 165 38% 50 of 149 5 of 7 9 of 9 64 of 165 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 6 of 16 37% 1 of 9 0 of 1 5 of 6 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 13 of 38 34% 12 of 36 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alexis Davis 40 of 60 66% 5 of 23 4 of 4 31 of 33 39 of 59 0 of 0 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 47 of 118 39% 36 of 106 3 of 4 8 of 8 47 of 118 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 4 of 9 44% 2 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.

decision win for Mazo
"i'm going to take mazda here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.

"I just see sabine mazzo out pointing uh alexis davis but i think eventually at some point she will land that signature high kick and she will knock her out so i'm gonna go with uh sabine mazzo to get …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.

"plus 200 on alexis davis does not really look that bad and then that's the side that i'm going to be leaning with"
LOSS vs Viviane Araújo
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Jul 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viviane Araújo 0 68 of 137 49% 134 of 213 0 of 4 0% 0 1 3:47
Alexis Davis 0 67 of 148 45% 79 of 162 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viviane Araújo 0 26 of 58 44% 26 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 35 of 65 53% 35 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
2 Viviane Araújo 0 19 of 36 52% 67 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:50
Alexis Davis 0 15 of 33 45% 20 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
3 Viviane Araújo 0 23 of 43 53% 41 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:57
Alexis Davis 0 17 of 50 34% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viviane Araújo 68 of 137 49% 33 of 88 20 of 33 15 of 16 53 of 110 6 of 15 9 of 12
Alexis Davis 67 of 148 45% 52 of 128 12 of 17 3 of 3 64 of 145 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viviane Araújo 26 of 58 44% 8 of 33 11 of 18 7 of 7 25 of 51 1 of 7 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 35 of 65 53% 24 of 52 8 of 10 3 of 3 34 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Viviane Araújo 19 of 36 52% 14 of 28 3 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 23 0 of 1 9 of 12
Alexis Davis 15 of 33 45% 14 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 31 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Viviane Araújo 23 of 43 53% 11 of 27 6 of 9 6 of 7 18 of 36 5 of 7 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 17 of 50 34% 14 of 44 3 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Jennifer Maia
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 72 of 122 59% 107 of 174 1 of 2 50% 0 0 5:14
Alexis Davis 0 60 of 128 46% 70 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 21 of 35 60% 30 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:46
Alexis Davis 0 26 of 42 61% 33 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
2 Jennifer Maia 0 10 of 21 47% 34 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:20
Alexis Davis 0 8 of 28 28% 11 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jennifer Maia 0 41 of 66 62% 43 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Alexis Davis 0 26 of 58 44% 26 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 72 of 122 59% 16 of 54 28 of 37 28 of 31 50 of 94 21 of 27 1 of 1
Alexis Davis 60 of 128 46% 44 of 112 12 of 12 4 of 4 49 of 113 11 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 21 of 35 60% 3 of 13 9 of 12 9 of 10 3 of 12 18 of 23 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 26 of 42 61% 17 of 33 6 of 6 3 of 3 17 of 30 9 of 12 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 10 of 21 47% 3 of 11 5 of 7 2 of 3 9 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1
Alexis Davis 8 of 28 28% 4 of 24 3 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 41 of 66 62% 10 of 30 14 of 18 17 of 18 38 of 62 3 of 4 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 26 of 58 44% 23 of 55 3 of 3 0 of 0 24 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Katlyn Cerminara 0 70 of 201 34% 77 of 208 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Alexis Davis 0 62 of 202 30% 62 of 202 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Katlyn Cerminara 0 24 of 73 32% 24 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 17 of 65 26% 17 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Katlyn Cerminara 0 27 of 67 40% 27 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 24 of 69 34% 24 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Katlyn Cerminara 0 19 of 61 31% 26 of 68 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Alexis Davis 0 21 of 68 30% 21 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Katlyn Cerminara 70 of 201 34% 24 of 141 10 of 17 36 of 43 66 of 196 4 of 5 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 62 of 202 30% 50 of 188 9 of 11 3 of 3 61 of 201 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Katlyn Cerminara 24 of 73 32% 7 of 53 4 of 7 13 of 13 20 of 69 4 of 4 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 17 of 65 26% 14 of 62 2 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Katlyn Cerminara 27 of 67 40% 7 of 42 5 of 7 15 of 18 27 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 24 of 69 34% 17 of 61 5 of 6 2 of 2 24 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Katlyn Cerminara 19 of 61 31% 10 of 46 1 of 3 8 of 12 19 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 21 of 68 30% 19 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0 20 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Liz Carmouche
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Dec 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 23 of 63 36% 132 of 182 1 of 3 33% 2 1 5:51
Liz Carmouche 0 49 of 71 69% 191 of 215 4 of 4 100% 0 0 6:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 9 of 16 56% 26 of 33 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:36
Liz Carmouche 0 16 of 21 76% 70 of 76 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:39
2 Alexis Davis 0 6 of 22 27% 72 of 94 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:01
Liz Carmouche 0 13 of 19 68% 65 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:01
3 Alexis Davis 0 8 of 25 32% 34 of 55 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:14
Liz Carmouche 0 20 of 31 64% 56 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 23 of 63 36% 10 of 44 6 of 10 7 of 9 7 of 39 9 of 15 7 of 9
Liz Carmouche 49 of 71 69% 29 of 46 13 of 15 7 of 10 20 of 40 12 of 13 17 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 9 of 16 56% 2 of 9 4 of 4 3 of 3 1 of 8 8 of 8 0 of 0
Liz Carmouche 16 of 21 76% 8 of 11 4 of 6 4 of 4 2 of 7 9 of 9 5 of 5
2 Alexis Davis 6 of 22 27% 3 of 15 1 of 5 2 of 2 3 of 13 1 of 6 2 of 3
Liz Carmouche 13 of 19 68% 11 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 3 8 of 14 1 of 1 4 of 4
3 Alexis Davis 8 of 25 32% 5 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 4 3 of 18 0 of 1 5 of 6
Liz Carmouche 20 of 31 64% 10 of 21 7 of 7 3 of 3 10 of 19 2 of 3 8 of 9
WIN vs Cindy Dandois
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · Apr 22, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 51 of 123 41% 115 of 192 0 of 0 --- 2 1 2:44
Cindy Dandois 0 47 of 146 32% 100 of 212 5 of 9 55% 0 0 6:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 7 of 12 58% 26 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:25
Cindy Dandois 0 7 of 13 53% 27 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:31
2 Alexis Davis 0 31 of 66 46% 55 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Cindy Dandois 0 28 of 82 34% 35 of 89 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:55
3 Alexis Davis 0 13 of 45 28% 34 of 68 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Cindy Dandois 0 12 of 51 23% 38 of 81 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 51 of 123 41% 21 of 88 17 of 21 13 of 14 35 of 104 9 of 9 7 of 10
Cindy Dandois 47 of 146 32% 34 of 125 6 of 8 7 of 13 28 of 114 8 of 18 11 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 8
Cindy Dandois 7 of 13 53% 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 7
2 Alexis Davis 31 of 66 46% 13 of 44 9 of 13 9 of 9 24 of 59 6 of 6 1 of 1
Cindy Dandois 28 of 82 34% 17 of 66 5 of 7 6 of 9 20 of 66 6 of 12 2 of 4
3 Alexis Davis 13 of 45 28% 2 of 33 7 of 7 4 of 5 9 of 41 3 of 3 1 of 1
Cindy Dandois 12 of 51 23% 10 of 47 1 of 1 1 of 3 7 of 42 2 of 6 3 of 3
Sabina Mazo - Fight History
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 48 31% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 19 of 50 38% 45 of 85 4 of 7 57% 1 0 4:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 5 of 17 29% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 21 42% 35 of 56 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:46
2 Miranda Maverick 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 15 of 48 31% 8 of 37 1 of 4 6 of 7 15 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 19 of 50 38% 10 of 36 2 of 6 7 of 8 16 of 43 0 of 1 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 5 of 17 29% 2 of 11 0 of 2 3 of 4 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 9 of 21 42% 5 of 14 0 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 14 0 of 1 3 of 6
2 Miranda Maverick 10 of 31 32% 6 of 26 1 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 10 of 29 34% 5 of 22 2 of 3 3 of 4 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.

"I think miranda maverick is too strong and has too much forward pressure for mazzo here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).

"i'll say she uh she grinds out a decision here some decision random maverick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.

i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of price on miranda maverick
"i still think she gets it done i still think she's slightly uh more physical and has more paths to victory so i'm gonna pick her for that reason i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.

Inside the distance line is mentioned as a potential play; predicted third-round TKO via ground and pound.
"I like Maverick a lot in this spot. I think she cruises pretty easily. So, let's go ... I'm going to go Miranda Maverick second or third round let's call it third round TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.

30-27 decision or rear-naked choke
"i am going to go with miranda maverick here over sabine marzo i think miranda maverick's got a good grappling advantage here"
LOSS vs Mariya Agapova
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 0:53 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · Oct 09, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mariya Agapova 0 62 of 159 38% 63 of 161 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Sabina Mazo 1 93 of 164 56% 99 of 170 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mariya Agapova 0 28 of 75 37% 28 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Sabina Mazo 0 53 of 86 61% 56 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mariya Agapova 0 28 of 69 40% 28 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Sabina Mazo 0 29 of 57 50% 30 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mariya Agapova 0 6 of 15 40% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Sabina Mazo 1 11 of 21 52% 13 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mariya Agapova 62 of 159 38% 35 of 113 13 of 22 14 of 24 61 of 158 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 93 of 164 56% 48 of 107 32 of 43 13 of 14 91 of 162 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mariya Agapova 28 of 75 37% 15 of 54 8 of 12 5 of 9 27 of 74 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 53 of 86 61% 28 of 58 18 of 21 7 of 7 51 of 84 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mariya Agapova 28 of 69 40% 17 of 49 4 of 7 7 of 13 28 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 29 of 57 50% 14 of 34 9 of 16 6 of 7 29 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mariya Agapova 6 of 15 40% 3 of 10 1 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 11 of 21 52% 6 of 15 5 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.

less more Monkey Knife Fight
"I've got Mazo winning a decision on the outside."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.

Mazo straight up at -165 is good enough
"i gotta go with sabine mazzo to get the decision well maybe not even a decision let's just say sabine amazon 165 is good enough just take it straight up"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.

"i'm gonna lean mazo but it's not the most confident pick in the world"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.

underdog parlay with Agapova and possibly Charles Rosa
"I like Agapova in this match-up just because of the ATT, honestly."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.

"I like mazzo on this spot i i think her striking is gonna be the key in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.

"i'm actually kind of surprised that mazzo is uh only -165 here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 5, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Sabina Mazo by unanimous decision. He reasons that Mazo outgrappled Shayna Dobson, while Agapova was outgrappled by Dobson, giving Mazo a grappling edge. He also notes Mazo's reach advantage. However, he expresses confusion over Agapova's losses and calls women's MMA unpredictable.

Mazo by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with sabine marzo because she out grappled shayna dobson... i think she's going to have a big advantage in the grappling here over maria agapova"
LOSS vs Alexis Davis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 49 of 83 59% 128 of 196 3 of 3 100% 0 0 8:50
Sabina Mazo 0 64 of 165 38% 71 of 173 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 6 of 16 37% 39 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:51
Sabina Mazo 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 40 of 60 66% 50 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Sabina Mazo 0 47 of 118 39% 48 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 3 of 7 42% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
Sabina Mazo 0 4 of 9 44% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 49 of 83 59% 8 of 37 4 of 5 37 of 41 46 of 78 0 of 0 3 of 5
Sabina Mazo 64 of 165 38% 50 of 149 5 of 7 9 of 9 64 of 165 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 6 of 16 37% 1 of 9 0 of 1 5 of 6 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 13 of 38 34% 12 of 36 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alexis Davis 40 of 60 66% 5 of 23 4 of 4 31 of 33 39 of 59 0 of 0 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 47 of 118 39% 36 of 106 3 of 4 8 of 8 47 of 118 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 4 of 9 44% 2 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.

decision win for Mazo
"i'm going to take mazda here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.

"I just see sabine mazzo out pointing uh alexis davis but i think eventually at some point she will land that signature high kick and she will knock her out so i'm gonna go with uh sabine mazzo to get …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.

"plus 200 on alexis davis does not really look that bad and then that's the side that i'm going to be leaning with"
WIN vs Justine Kish
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:57 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 1 131 of 275 47% 131 of 275 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 93 of 210 44% 94 of 212 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 37 of 85 43% 37 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 34 of 72 47% 35 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
2 Sabina Mazo 0 42 of 88 47% 42 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 28 of 67 41% 28 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sabina Mazo 1 52 of 102 50% 52 of 102 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 131 of 275 47% 45 of 158 27 of 38 59 of 79 123 of 264 8 of 10 0 of 1
Justine Kish 93 of 210 44% 25 of 118 23 of 38 45 of 54 88 of 199 4 of 8 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 37 of 85 43% 8 of 46 12 of 16 17 of 23 37 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 34 of 72 47% 6 of 36 3 of 8 25 of 28 33 of 69 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Sabina Mazo 42 of 88 47% 13 of 48 9 of 13 20 of 27 38 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0
Justine Kish 28 of 67 41% 9 of 37 11 of 18 8 of 12 24 of 61 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Sabina Mazo 52 of 102 50% 24 of 64 6 of 9 22 of 29 48 of 95 4 of 6 0 of 1
Justine Kish 31 of 71 43% 10 of 45 9 of 12 12 of 14 31 of 69 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.

"give me mazzo by decision i really would be surprised if this fight did end inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Justine Kish

The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.

Kish by decision; line is too wide; would not parlay Mazo at -250
"I will go with justin kish I will say that she's going to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go sabina marzo she's younger she's hungrier she's improving more and more every time she's only 23 years of age"
WIN vs JJ Aldrich
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 0 118 of 323 36% 121 of 327 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
JJ Aldrich 0 58 of 144 40% 69 of 156 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 29 of 97 29% 29 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 47 31% 15 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sabina Mazo 0 46 of 133 34% 46 of 133 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 26 of 53 49% 31 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sabina Mazo 0 43 of 93 46% 46 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
JJ Aldrich 0 17 of 44 38% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 118 of 323 36% 66 of 258 29 of 34 23 of 31 92 of 292 26 of 31 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 58 of 144 40% 45 of 125 10 of 13 3 of 6 49 of 132 9 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 29 of 97 29% 16 of 78 4 of 6 9 of 13 29 of 96 0 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 47 31% 11 of 40 2 of 3 2 of 4 14 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sabina Mazo 46 of 133 34% 32 of 116 7 of 8 7 of 9 42 of 129 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 26 of 53 49% 20 of 47 5 of 5 1 of 1 24 of 49 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Sabina Mazo 43 of 93 46% 18 of 64 18 of 20 7 of 9 21 of 67 22 of 26 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 17 of 44 38% 14 of 38 3 of 5 0 of 1 11 of 37 6 of 7 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich to win by unanimous decision. He notes that Aldrich has fought better competition, has a brown belt in jiu-jitsu, and cleaner boxing. He criticizes Mazo's debut performance and believes Aldrich's experience and pairing will be key.

"My pick is gonna be JJ Audra CH I think she's the better fighter and I think she wins a unanimous decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host briefly mentions picking JJ Aldrich over Sabina Mazo in quick picks, but provides no detailed reasoning.

"I got JJ Aldrich over Sabine Amazo"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host dismisses this fight as unimportant, stating 'no one cares' and quickly picks JJ Aldridge to win without any detailed reasoning. The pick is based on a lack of interest rather than technical analysis.

"JJ Aldridge is probably going to win moving on"
WIN vs Shana Dobson
Decision (unanimous) (30–24, 30–25, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 0 108 of 171 63% 170 of 250 4 of 4 100% 0 0 10:50
Shana Dobson 0 33 of 99 33% 102 of 176 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 30 of 46 65% 72 of 102 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:25
Shana Dobson 0 6 of 20 30% 14 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Sabina Mazo 0 23 of 36 63% 26 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:29
Shana Dobson 0 19 of 43 44% 47 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Sabina Mazo 0 55 of 89 61% 72 of 109 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:56
Shana Dobson 0 8 of 36 22% 41 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 108 of 171 63% 49 of 98 50 of 60 9 of 13 44 of 85 38 of 55 26 of 31
Shana Dobson 33 of 99 33% 19 of 75 11 of 18 3 of 6 14 of 71 15 of 23 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 30 of 46 65% 12 of 24 16 of 20 2 of 2 4 of 13 9 of 13 17 of 20
Shana Dobson 6 of 20 30% 4 of 15 1 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 13 2 of 4 2 of 3
2 Sabina Mazo 23 of 36 63% 0 of 7 20 of 23 3 of 6 11 of 20 12 of 16 0 of 0
Shana Dobson 19 of 43 44% 9 of 29 9 of 11 1 of 3 4 of 22 13 of 19 2 of 2
3 Sabina Mazo 55 of 89 61% 37 of 67 14 of 17 4 of 5 29 of 52 17 of 26 9 of 11
Shana Dobson 8 of 36 22% 6 of 31 1 of 3 1 of 2 8 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Maryna Moroz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 64 of 144 44% 73 of 157 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 56 of 190 29% 74 of 208 1 of 9 11% 0 0 7:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 9 of 15 60% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 33 27% 14 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:50
2 Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 50 32% 21 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 23 of 73 31% 33 of 83 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:19
3 Maryna Moroz 0 39 of 79 49% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 24 of 84 28% 27 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 64 of 144 44% 21 of 87 19 of 25 24 of 32 61 of 138 2 of 5 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 56 of 190 29% 27 of 150 18 of 28 11 of 12 47 of 174 4 of 9 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 9 of 15 60% 3 of 8 1 of 1 5 of 6 8 of 13 0 of 1 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 9 of 33 27% 4 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 7
2 Maryna Moroz 16 of 50 32% 5 of 35 5 of 6 6 of 9 15 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 23 of 73 31% 13 of 57 5 of 11 5 of 5 21 of 67 2 of 6 0 of 0
3 Maryna Moroz 39 of 79 49% 13 of 44 13 of 18 13 of 17 38 of 77 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 24 of 84 28% 10 of 66 8 of 11 6 of 7 24 of 83 0 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.

decision win for Mazo
"i'm going to take mazda here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.

"I just see sabine mazzo out pointing uh alexis davis but i think eventually at some point she will land that signature high kick and she will knock her out so i'm gonna go with uh sabine mazzo to get it done here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.

"plus 200 on alexis davis does not really look that bad and then that's the side that i'm going to be leaning with"