UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Age 29
Height 5' 7"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 38
Height 5' 5"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Sabina Mazo
6.1 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
4.35 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.65 TD Avg
80.0% TD Acc.
59.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Justine Kish
4.51 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.59 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.87 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Sabina Mazo - Fight History
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 48 31% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 19 of 50 38% 45 of 85 4 of 7 57% 1 0 4:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 5 of 17 29% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 21 42% 35 of 56 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:46
2 Miranda Maverick 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 15 of 48 31% 8 of 37 1 of 4 6 of 7 15 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 19 of 50 38% 10 of 36 2 of 6 7 of 8 16 of 43 0 of 1 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 5 of 17 29% 2 of 11 0 of 2 3 of 4 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sabina Mazo 9 of 21 42% 5 of 14 0 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 14 0 of 1 3 of 6
2 Miranda Maverick 10 of 31 32% 6 of 26 1 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 10 of 29 34% 5 of 22 2 of 3 3 of 4 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.

"I think miranda maverick is too strong and has too much forward pressure for mazzo here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).

"i'll say she uh she grinds out a decision here some decision random maverick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.

i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of price on miranda maverick
"i still think she gets it done i still think she's slightly uh more physical and has more paths to victory so i'm gonna pick her for that reason i just personally am not interested in laying that kind of …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.

Inside the distance line is mentioned as a potential play; predicted third-round TKO via ground and pound.
"I like Maverick a lot in this spot. I think she cruises pretty easily. So, let's go ... I'm going to go Miranda Maverick second or third round let's call it third round TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.

"i like random maverick and i would love to tell you that the fight's gonna go the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.

30-27 decision or rear-naked choke
"i am going to go with miranda maverick here over sabine marzo i think miranda maverick's got a good grappling advantage here"
LOSS vs Mariya Agapova
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 0:53 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · Oct 09, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mariya Agapova 0 62 of 159 38% 63 of 161 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Sabina Mazo 1 93 of 164 56% 99 of 170 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mariya Agapova 0 28 of 75 37% 28 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Sabina Mazo 0 53 of 86 61% 56 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mariya Agapova 0 28 of 69 40% 28 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Sabina Mazo 0 29 of 57 50% 30 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mariya Agapova 0 6 of 15 40% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Sabina Mazo 1 11 of 21 52% 13 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mariya Agapova 62 of 159 38% 35 of 113 13 of 22 14 of 24 61 of 158 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 93 of 164 56% 48 of 107 32 of 43 13 of 14 91 of 162 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mariya Agapova 28 of 75 37% 15 of 54 8 of 12 5 of 9 27 of 74 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 53 of 86 61% 28 of 58 18 of 21 7 of 7 51 of 84 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mariya Agapova 28 of 69 40% 17 of 49 4 of 7 7 of 13 28 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 29 of 57 50% 14 of 34 9 of 16 6 of 7 29 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mariya Agapova 6 of 15 40% 3 of 10 1 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 11 of 21 52% 6 of 15 5 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.

less more Monkey Knife Fight
"I've got Mazo winning a decision on the outside."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.

Mazo straight up at -165 is good enough
"i gotta go with sabine mazzo to get the decision well maybe not even a decision let's just say sabine amazon 165 is good enough just take it straight up"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.

"i'm gonna lean mazo but it's not the most confident pick in the world"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mariya Agapova

Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.

underdog parlay with Agapova and possibly Charles Rosa
"I like Agapova in this match-up just because of the ATT, honestly."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.

"I like mazzo on this spot i i think her striking is gonna be the key in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.

"i'm actually kind of surprised that mazzo is uh only -165 here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 5, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Sabina Mazo by unanimous decision. He reasons that Mazo outgrappled Shayna Dobson, while Agapova was outgrappled by Dobson, giving Mazo a grappling edge. He also notes Mazo's reach advantage. However, he expresses confusion over Agapova's losses and calls women's MMA unpredictable.

Mazo by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with sabine marzo because she out grappled shayna dobson... i think she's going to have a big advantage in the grappling here over maria agapova"
LOSS vs Alexis Davis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 49 of 83 59% 128 of 196 3 of 3 100% 0 0 8:50
Sabina Mazo 0 64 of 165 38% 71 of 173 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 6 of 16 37% 39 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:51
Sabina Mazo 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 40 of 60 66% 50 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Sabina Mazo 0 47 of 118 39% 48 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 3 of 7 42% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
Sabina Mazo 0 4 of 9 44% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 49 of 83 59% 8 of 37 4 of 5 37 of 41 46 of 78 0 of 0 3 of 5
Sabina Mazo 64 of 165 38% 50 of 149 5 of 7 9 of 9 64 of 165 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 6 of 16 37% 1 of 9 0 of 1 5 of 6 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 13 of 38 34% 12 of 36 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alexis Davis 40 of 60 66% 5 of 23 4 of 4 31 of 33 39 of 59 0 of 0 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 47 of 118 39% 36 of 106 3 of 4 8 of 8 47 of 118 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 4 of 9 44% 2 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.

decision win for Mazo
"i'm going to take mazda here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.

"I just see sabine mazzo out pointing uh alexis davis but i think eventually at some point she will land that signature high kick and she will knock her out so i'm gonna go with uh sabine mazzo to get …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.

"plus 200 on alexis davis does not really look that bad and then that's the side that i'm going to be leaning with"
WIN vs Justine Kish
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:57 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 1 131 of 275 47% 131 of 275 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 93 of 210 44% 94 of 212 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 37 of 85 43% 37 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 34 of 72 47% 35 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
2 Sabina Mazo 0 42 of 88 47% 42 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 28 of 67 41% 28 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sabina Mazo 1 52 of 102 50% 52 of 102 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 131 of 275 47% 45 of 158 27 of 38 59 of 79 123 of 264 8 of 10 0 of 1
Justine Kish 93 of 210 44% 25 of 118 23 of 38 45 of 54 88 of 199 4 of 8 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 37 of 85 43% 8 of 46 12 of 16 17 of 23 37 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 34 of 72 47% 6 of 36 3 of 8 25 of 28 33 of 69 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Sabina Mazo 42 of 88 47% 13 of 48 9 of 13 20 of 27 38 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0
Justine Kish 28 of 67 41% 9 of 37 11 of 18 8 of 12 24 of 61 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Sabina Mazo 52 of 102 50% 24 of 64 6 of 9 22 of 29 48 of 95 4 of 6 0 of 1
Justine Kish 31 of 71 43% 10 of 45 9 of 12 12 of 14 31 of 69 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.

"give me mazzo by decision i really would be surprised if this fight did end inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Justine Kish

The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.

Kish by decision; line is too wide; would not parlay Mazo at -250
"I will go with justin kish I will say that she's going to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go sabina marzo she's younger she's hungrier she's improving more and more every time she's only 23 years of age"
WIN vs JJ Aldrich
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 0 118 of 323 36% 121 of 327 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
JJ Aldrich 0 58 of 144 40% 69 of 156 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 29 of 97 29% 29 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 47 31% 15 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sabina Mazo 0 46 of 133 34% 46 of 133 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 26 of 53 49% 31 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sabina Mazo 0 43 of 93 46% 46 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
JJ Aldrich 0 17 of 44 38% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 118 of 323 36% 66 of 258 29 of 34 23 of 31 92 of 292 26 of 31 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 58 of 144 40% 45 of 125 10 of 13 3 of 6 49 of 132 9 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 29 of 97 29% 16 of 78 4 of 6 9 of 13 29 of 96 0 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 47 31% 11 of 40 2 of 3 2 of 4 14 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sabina Mazo 46 of 133 34% 32 of 116 7 of 8 7 of 9 42 of 129 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 26 of 53 49% 20 of 47 5 of 5 1 of 1 24 of 49 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Sabina Mazo 43 of 93 46% 18 of 64 18 of 20 7 of 9 21 of 67 22 of 26 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 17 of 44 38% 14 of 38 3 of 5 0 of 1 11 of 37 6 of 7 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Daniel picks JJ Aldrich to win by unanimous decision. He notes that Aldrich has fought better competition, has a brown belt in jiu-jitsu, and cleaner boxing. He criticizes Mazo's debut performance and believes Aldrich's experience and pairing will be key.

"My pick is gonna be JJ Audra CH I think she's the better fighter and I think she wins a unanimous decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host briefly mentions picking JJ Aldrich over Sabina Mazo in quick picks, but provides no detailed reasoning.

"I got JJ Aldrich over Sabine Amazo"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host dismisses this fight as unimportant, stating 'no one cares' and quickly picks JJ Aldridge to win without any detailed reasoning. The pick is based on a lack of interest rather than technical analysis.

"JJ Aldridge is probably going to win moving on"
WIN vs Shana Dobson
Decision (unanimous) (30–24, 30–25, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 0 108 of 171 63% 170 of 250 4 of 4 100% 0 0 10:50
Shana Dobson 0 33 of 99 33% 102 of 176 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 30 of 46 65% 72 of 102 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:25
Shana Dobson 0 6 of 20 30% 14 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Sabina Mazo 0 23 of 36 63% 26 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:29
Shana Dobson 0 19 of 43 44% 47 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Sabina Mazo 0 55 of 89 61% 72 of 109 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:56
Shana Dobson 0 8 of 36 22% 41 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 108 of 171 63% 49 of 98 50 of 60 9 of 13 44 of 85 38 of 55 26 of 31
Shana Dobson 33 of 99 33% 19 of 75 11 of 18 3 of 6 14 of 71 15 of 23 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 30 of 46 65% 12 of 24 16 of 20 2 of 2 4 of 13 9 of 13 17 of 20
Shana Dobson 6 of 20 30% 4 of 15 1 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 13 2 of 4 2 of 3
2 Sabina Mazo 23 of 36 63% 0 of 7 20 of 23 3 of 6 11 of 20 12 of 16 0 of 0
Shana Dobson 19 of 43 44% 9 of 29 9 of 11 1 of 3 4 of 22 13 of 19 2 of 2
3 Sabina Mazo 55 of 89 61% 37 of 67 14 of 17 4 of 5 29 of 52 17 of 26 9 of 11
Shana Dobson 8 of 36 22% 6 of 31 1 of 3 1 of 2 8 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Maryna Moroz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maryna Moroz 0 64 of 144 44% 73 of 157 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 56 of 190 29% 74 of 208 1 of 9 11% 0 0 7:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maryna Moroz 0 9 of 15 60% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 9 of 33 27% 14 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:50
2 Maryna Moroz 0 16 of 50 32% 21 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 23 of 73 31% 33 of 83 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:19
3 Maryna Moroz 0 39 of 79 49% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sabina Mazo 0 24 of 84 28% 27 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maryna Moroz 64 of 144 44% 21 of 87 19 of 25 24 of 32 61 of 138 2 of 5 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 56 of 190 29% 27 of 150 18 of 28 11 of 12 47 of 174 4 of 9 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maryna Moroz 9 of 15 60% 3 of 8 1 of 1 5 of 6 8 of 13 0 of 1 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 9 of 33 27% 4 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 7
2 Maryna Moroz 16 of 50 32% 5 of 35 5 of 6 6 of 9 15 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 23 of 73 31% 13 of 57 5 of 11 5 of 5 21 of 67 2 of 6 0 of 0
3 Maryna Moroz 39 of 79 49% 13 of 44 13 of 18 13 of 17 38 of 77 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sabina Mazo 24 of 84 28% 10 of 66 8 of 11 6 of 7 24 of 83 0 of 1 0 of 0
Justine Kish - Fight History
LOSS vs Tracy Cortez
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 66 of 112 58% 84 of 138 3 of 5 60% 1 0 6:26
Justine Kish 1 55 of 119 46% 72 of 140 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 20 of 30 66% 34 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
Justine Kish 0 5 of 8 62% 12 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
2 Tracy Cortez 0 22 of 44 50% 24 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Justine Kish 0 29 of 57 50% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Tracy Cortez 0 24 of 38 63% 26 of 40 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:22
Justine Kish 1 21 of 54 38% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 66 of 112 58% 40 of 78 19 of 24 7 of 10 39 of 73 7 of 7 20 of 32
Justine Kish 55 of 119 46% 30 of 86 8 of 14 17 of 19 50 of 111 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 20 of 30 66% 18 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3 2 of 2 15 of 25
Justine Kish 5 of 8 62% 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 1
2 Tracy Cortez 22 of 44 50% 9 of 26 8 of 10 5 of 8 19 of 41 3 of 3 0 of 0
Justine Kish 29 of 57 50% 15 of 38 4 of 8 10 of 11 27 of 54 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Tracy Cortez 24 of 38 63% 13 of 24 9 of 12 2 of 2 17 of 29 2 of 2 5 of 7
Justine Kish 21 of 54 38% 12 of 42 4 of 6 5 of 6 19 of 51 1 of 2 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision. He highlights Cortez's excellent wrestling (3 takedowns per 15 minutes) against Kish's poor takedown defense (55%). He notes that Kish has not faced a wrestler of Cortez's caliber and that Cortez should have no problem getting takedowns and controlling the fight. He expects a dominant decision with multiple takedowns and top control. He suggests the decision prop at -120 as a better value than the moneyline.

Decision prop at -120 suggested as better value
"give me cortez to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Cody believes Cortez will secure takedowns and grind Kish down. He notes Kish is raw, makes mistakes, and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Cortez's wrestling is her bread and butter and that she will win by decision. He is confident in the pick.

Cortez by decision at -120
"i think cortez goes out there secures the takedowns holds quiche down"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Daniel Levi picks Tracy Cortez, citing her disciplined style and takedown ability. He notes that Justine Kish is aggressive but leaves openings for takedowns, and Cortez will stay true to her game plan. Levi believes Cortez will take Kish down and control the fight, winning a unanimous decision. He also mentions that Cortez has a higher ceiling and is working with a good team.

unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with tracy cortez here uh be a unanimous decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Manpreet is confident Cortez will win by decision, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Kish is durable but has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back, as seen in the Felice Herrig fight. He believes Cortez will grind out a decision, making the decision prop a safe play.

Cortez by decision -150; over 2.5 rounds -345
"i like cortez here minus 150 on that decision prop i think that's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Kish has lost to grapplers and has not improved. He thinks Cortez's wrestling will be even better at 125 lbs. He expects a 29-28 decision for Cortez.

Cortez by decision
"i think cortez by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

The MMA Guru picks Tracy Cortez to win by unanimous decision. He notes Cortez is younger, has a reach advantage, and a better record with good competition. He criticizes Justine Kish's recent losses and lack of impressive wins. He expects Cortez to secure takedowns at the end of rounds to win close rounds, possibly 30-27.

"i think cortez is going to go out there and get a decision win"
LOSS vs Sabina Mazo
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:57 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sabina Mazo 1 131 of 275 47% 131 of 275 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 93 of 210 44% 94 of 212 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sabina Mazo 0 37 of 85 43% 37 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 34 of 72 47% 35 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
2 Sabina Mazo 0 42 of 88 47% 42 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 28 of 67 41% 28 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sabina Mazo 1 52 of 102 50% 52 of 102 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Justine Kish 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sabina Mazo 131 of 275 47% 45 of 158 27 of 38 59 of 79 123 of 264 8 of 10 0 of 1
Justine Kish 93 of 210 44% 25 of 118 23 of 38 45 of 54 88 of 199 4 of 8 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sabina Mazo 37 of 85 43% 8 of 46 12 of 16 17 of 23 37 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 34 of 72 47% 6 of 36 3 of 8 25 of 28 33 of 69 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Sabina Mazo 42 of 88 47% 13 of 48 9 of 13 20 of 27 38 of 84 4 of 4 0 of 0
Justine Kish 28 of 67 41% 9 of 37 11 of 18 8 of 12 24 of 61 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Sabina Mazo 52 of 102 50% 24 of 64 6 of 9 22 of 29 48 of 95 4 of 6 0 of 1
Justine Kish 31 of 71 43% 10 of 45 9 of 12 12 of 14 31 of 69 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.

"give me mazzo by decision i really would be surprised if this fight did end inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Justine Kish

The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.

Kish by decision; line is too wide; would not parlay Mazo at -250
"I will go with justin kish I will say that she's going to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go sabina marzo she's younger she's hungrier she's improving more and more every time she's only 23 years of age"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. dos Santos · Jan 25, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justine Kish 0 62 of 129 48% 66 of 135 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Lucie Pudilová 0 29 of 143 20% 47 of 165 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justine Kish 0 21 of 43 48% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lucie Pudilová 0 11 of 46 23% 17 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Justine Kish 0 23 of 41 56% 24 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Lucie Pudilová 0 11 of 51 21% 16 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Justine Kish 0 18 of 45 40% 20 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Lucie Pudilová 0 7 of 46 15% 14 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justine Kish 62 of 129 48% 17 of 70 16 of 23 29 of 36 50 of 108 10 of 14 2 of 7
Lucie Pudilová 29 of 143 20% 22 of 131 6 of 11 1 of 1 25 of 137 4 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justine Kish 21 of 43 48% 5 of 25 6 of 7 10 of 11 16 of 38 5 of 5 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 11 of 46 23% 7 of 41 4 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 42 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Justine Kish 23 of 41 56% 6 of 20 7 of 10 10 of 11 20 of 34 3 of 7 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 11 of 51 21% 9 of 47 1 of 3 1 of 1 11 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Justine Kish 18 of 45 40% 6 of 25 3 of 6 9 of 14 14 of 36 2 of 2 2 of 7
Lucie Pudilová 7 of 46 15% 6 of 43 1 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 24, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Justine Kish

Daniel picks Justine Kish to win by decision, believing she is motivated and can return to her early UFC form with forward pressure. He notes that Pudilová has lapses in her fights and that Kish has experience against top-15 opponents. He thinks Kish's intensity will be the difference.

by decision
"I think she's gonna come out here and beat lucia putlova via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Lucie Pudilová

The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová, citing her better record and lesser reach advantage. He doesn't show much interest in the fight, noting the women's flyweight division is thin and that being in the top 15 is basically the standard.

"I'm gonna go Lucy put it over Justin Kish as are much better record bear record I guess but less as well lesser reach a smaller girl"
LOSS vs Ji Yeon Kim
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Jacaré vs. Brunson 2 · Jan 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ji Yeon Kim 0 96 of 203 47% 96 of 203 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 68 of 215 31% 68 of 216 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ji Yeon Kim 0 23 of 54 42% 23 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 14 of 50 28% 14 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ji Yeon Kim 0 31 of 61 50% 31 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 18 of 69 26% 18 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ji Yeon Kim 0 42 of 88 47% 42 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justine Kish 0 36 of 96 37% 36 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ji Yeon Kim 96 of 203 47% 43 of 132 22 of 31 31 of 40 93 of 197 3 of 6 0 of 0
Justine Kish 68 of 215 31% 60 of 201 5 of 11 3 of 3 66 of 210 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ji Yeon Kim 23 of 54 42% 9 of 31 5 of 9 9 of 14 23 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 14 of 50 28% 10 of 46 2 of 2 2 of 2 14 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ji Yeon Kim 31 of 61 50% 13 of 40 7 of 8 11 of 13 30 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Justine Kish 18 of 69 26% 16 of 66 2 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 68 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ji Yeon Kim 42 of 88 47% 21 of 61 10 of 14 11 of 13 40 of 83 2 of 5 0 of 0
Justine Kish 36 of 96 37% 34 of 89 1 of 6 1 of 1 34 of 92 2 of 4 0 of 0
LOSS vs Felice Herrig
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · Jun 25, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Felice Herrig 0 47 of 93 50% 131 of 182 2 of 5 40% 1 0 9:24
Justine Kish 0 40 of 72 55% 50 of 84 0 of 2 0% 0 1 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Felice Herrig 0 10 of 17 58% 32 of 40 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:10
Justine Kish 0 8 of 13 61% 8 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:06
2 Felice Herrig 0 16 of 47 34% 23 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:35
Justine Kish 0 26 of 48 54% 35 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:37
3 Felice Herrig 0 21 of 29 72% 76 of 87 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:39
Justine Kish 0 6 of 11 54% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Felice Herrig 47 of 93 50% 40 of 86 7 of 7 0 of 0 24 of 63 1 of 2 22 of 28
Justine Kish 40 of 72 55% 28 of 57 8 of 10 4 of 5 28 of 58 5 of 6 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Felice Herrig 10 of 17 58% 9 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 8 1 of 1 4 of 8
Justine Kish 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 7 2 of 2 3 of 4
2 Felice Herrig 16 of 47 34% 11 of 42 5 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justine Kish 26 of 48 54% 19 of 39 5 of 6 2 of 3 19 of 41 3 of 3 4 of 4
3 Felice Herrig 21 of 29 72% 20 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 1 18 of 20
Justine Kish 6 of 11 54% 3 of 7 1 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Ashley Yoder
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · Dec 09, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justine Kish 0 51 of 107 47% 59 of 117 1 of 1 100% 1 2 5:27
Ashley Yoder 0 44 of 116 37% 77 of 156 1 of 2 50% 0 3 2:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justine Kish 0 23 of 47 48% 23 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:09
Ashley Yoder 0 14 of 48 29% 21 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:26
2 Justine Kish 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 1 2:51
Ashley Yoder 0 12 of 28 42% 32 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:46
3 Justine Kish 0 21 of 43 48% 26 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Ashley Yoder 0 18 of 40 45% 24 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justine Kish 51 of 107 47% 17 of 54 19 of 33 15 of 20 40 of 92 10 of 13 1 of 2
Ashley Yoder 44 of 116 37% 31 of 84 12 of 30 1 of 2 35 of 98 4 of 10 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justine Kish 23 of 47 48% 5 of 19 12 of 19 6 of 9 14 of 36 9 of 10 0 of 1
Ashley Yoder 14 of 48 29% 8 of 34 6 of 13 0 of 1 12 of 41 2 of 7 0 of 0
2 Justine Kish 7 of 17 41% 1 of 9 3 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 14 1 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 12 of 28 42% 11 of 23 1 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 18 1 of 2 5 of 8
3 Justine Kish 21 of 43 48% 11 of 26 4 of 10 6 of 7 20 of 42 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 18 of 40 45% 12 of 27 5 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Nina Nunes
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit · Jan 02, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justine Kish 0 72 of 135 53% 91 of 155 3 of 10 30% 0 0 2:51
Nina Nunes 0 92 of 174 52% 107 of 194 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justine Kish 0 41 of 77 53% 41 of 77 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Nina Nunes 0 57 of 104 54% 61 of 108 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
2 Justine Kish 0 16 of 35 45% 20 of 39 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:23
Nina Nunes 0 29 of 53 54% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Justine Kish 0 15 of 23 65% 30 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:23
Nina Nunes 0 6 of 17 35% 13 of 28 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justine Kish 72 of 135 53% 45 of 94 12 of 19 15 of 22 50 of 106 17 of 23 5 of 6
Nina Nunes 92 of 174 52% 50 of 117 20 of 34 22 of 23 76 of 150 15 of 22 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justine Kish 41 of 77 53% 27 of 56 6 of 9 8 of 12 26 of 58 14 of 17 1 of 2
Nina Nunes 57 of 104 54% 33 of 69 16 of 26 8 of 9 44 of 89 13 of 15 0 of 0
2 Justine Kish 16 of 35 45% 8 of 23 3 of 5 5 of 7 16 of 33 0 of 2 0 of 0
Nina Nunes 29 of 53 54% 13 of 36 3 of 4 13 of 13 28 of 49 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Justine Kish 15 of 23 65% 10 of 15 3 of 5 2 of 3 8 of 15 3 of 4 4 of 4
Nina Nunes 6 of 17 35% 4 of 12 1 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 12 1 of 3 1 of 2
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.

"give me mazzo by decision i really would be surprised if this fight did end inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Justine Kish

The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.

Kish by decision; line is too wide; would not parlay Mazo at -250
"I will go with justin kish I will say that she's going to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go sabina marzo she's younger she's hungrier she's improving more and more every time she's only 23 years of age"