UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill Next Fight
Age 38
Height 5' 11"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 6' 2"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Kevin Croom
2.65 SLpM
34.0% Str. Acc.
3.1 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
0.48 TD Avg
5.0% TD Acc.
30.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Roosevelt Roberts
2.84 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
3.1 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
1.18 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Kevin Croom - Fight History
LOSS vs Alateng Heili
TKO (punches) R1 0:47 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alateng Heili 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Kevin Croom 0 2 of 12 16% 2 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alateng Heili 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Kevin Croom 0 2 of 12 16% 2 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alateng Heili 9 of 17 52% 9 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
Kevin Croom 2 of 12 16% 0 of 5 1 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alateng Heili 9 of 17 52% 9 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
Kevin Croom 2 of 12 16% 0 of 5 1 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Angelo picks Alateng Heili, but thinks the odds are a bit wide. He notes that Heili is a technical striker who can struggle with brawlers like Croom. He believes Heili can get the fight to the ground if needed, but must be wary of Croom's submissions. He considers Croom a far better fighter than his recent record shows.

wins inside the distance decision no action bet on Kevin Croom (if Croom wins by KO or submission, gets paid; if loses decision, refund)
"the bet that i will place here will probably be a wins inside the distance decision no action bet on kevin crone because he's tough enough to survive"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

Big Brady picks Kevin Croom for the upset by decision. He notes Croom has a massive size advantage (6 inches taller, 6.5 inch reach) and will throw more volume than Alateng Heili, who has low output (max 47 significant strikes in a UFC fight). He expects Croom to win minutes on the feet and avoid Heili's power. He acknowledges Croom's takedown accuracy is poor but thinks Heili's wrestling plays into Croom's ground game.

win by decision
"i'm going to take kevin kroom for the upset to start off the card i'm going to take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody picks Heili, emphasizing his wrestling and top pressure. He notes Croom's size but thinks Heili can take him down and win from guard. He believes Heili's camp at Fight Ready will help him execute the right game plan.

"highly alatang should be easy money takedowns good enough top pressure good enough cardio"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Daniel Levi leans Alateng Heili, noting this is his proper weight class and he is likely fight-ready with good conditioning. He respects Croom's size and finishing ability but worries about Croom cutting to 135 and fading late, as he has a history of losing decisions. Levi expects Heili to win a decision.

Picks Heili by decision
"Give me highly alating to come out here and win a decision here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Paul picks Heili, citing his wrestling advantage and durability. He thinks Heili can take Croom down and control him. He notes Heili's poor decision-making in the past but believes he will wrestle here.

"i think aletang haley is the side here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

The MMA Guru picks Kevin Croom as an underdog, believing the odds are incorrect. He notes Croom's 7-inch reach advantage and awkward striking style, and doubts Heili's chin and technical ability. He expects Croom to win a 29-28 unanimous decision, possibly losing the third round.

underdog, unanimous decision 29-28
"i'm starting with kevin croom here as an underdog i think the odds are completely incorrect"
LOSS vs Brian Kelleher
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brian Kelleher 1 38 of 77 49% 67 of 123 6 of 8 75% 0 0 6:26
Kevin Croom 0 60 of 174 34% 83 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brian Kelleher 1 11 of 29 37% 15 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:17
Kevin Croom 0 33 of 88 37% 43 of 104 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
2 Brian Kelleher 0 14 of 25 56% 22 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:43
Kevin Croom 0 22 of 72 30% 34 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Brian Kelleher 0 13 of 23 56% 30 of 54 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:26
Kevin Croom 0 5 of 14 35% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brian Kelleher 38 of 77 49% 25 of 58 12 of 17 1 of 2 25 of 58 3 of 5 10 of 14
Kevin Croom 60 of 174 34% 36 of 141 11 of 16 13 of 17 58 of 168 2 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brian Kelleher 11 of 29 37% 7 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 26 2 of 3 0 of 0
Kevin Croom 33 of 88 37% 17 of 68 6 of 8 10 of 12 32 of 84 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Brian Kelleher 14 of 25 56% 8 of 15 5 of 8 1 of 2 12 of 23 0 of 0 2 of 2
Kevin Croom 22 of 72 30% 14 of 61 5 of 7 3 of 4 22 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Brian Kelleher 13 of 23 56% 10 of 19 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 9 1 of 2 8 of 12
Kevin Croom 5 of 14 35% 5 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

Big Brady notes the significant age and reach advantage for Croom, who is 26 and has a 5-inch reach edge. He praises Croom's wrestling and grappling, and expects him to exploit Kelleher's 59% takedown defense. He predicts Croom will win a decision, though he acknowledges Kelleher is dangerous with submissions off his back.

"i'm going to take gawker monov to win i'm going to take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Cody picks Kakhramonov, highlighting his wrestling, size, and cardio. He notes Kelleher's wrestling won't be effective and Kakhramonov's striking is solid. He expects Kakhramonov to win by decision or TKO. He mentions Kakhramonov's bright future.

"i think the kid has got a bright future and uh this is a good showcase spot for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Brian Kelleher

Daniel Levi picks Brian Kelleher, noting that Croom took the fight on two weeks' notice and tends to fade as fights progress. He acknowledges Croom's dangerous guillotine early, but believes Kelleher's durability and cardio will allow him to take over in later rounds. Levi also mentions Kelleher's improved grappling, as seen in his last fight against Domingo Pilarte where he used takedowns to control the fight.

"give me brian kelleher to come out here and win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Brian Kelleher

The host picks Brian Kelleher, citing his veteran experience and takedown defense against the grappler Kakaromanov. He expects Kelleher to stuff takedowns and land big shots on the feet, eventually knocking out Kakaromanov. The host notes Kakaromanov's striking is still developing and that Kelleher's power and pressure will be too much. He also mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a good bet.

Under 2.5 rounds at even money mentioned as a good spot.
"i'm going with kelleher i don't mind the under two and a half either around even money i think that's a damn good spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul picks Kakhramonov, citing his impressive debut, wrestling base, and size advantage. He notes Kelleher's path is a guillotine, but Kakhramonov's wrestling should nullify that. He expects Kakhramonov to win via decision or late TKO. He calls -155 a fair price.

"i think he wins here and i think minus 155 is a pretty fair price to pay"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

The MMA Guru picks Kevin Croom (Saidyokub Kakhramonov) to win by third-round submission. He trusts Croom's stand-up and grappling awareness, noting that he handled Trevin Jones well and has good takedown defense. He believes Kelleher will struggle to get takedowns and will slow down as the fight goes on, leading to a desperate shot that Croom will capitalize on with a guillotine or D'Arce choke. He predicts Croom will defend takedowns early, then submit Kelleher in the third round.

"i'm gonna go with a third round submission win for say you could cut ramonov"
LOSS vs Alex Caceres
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Caceres 0 48 of 68 70% 97 of 121 1 of 1 100% 1 1 3:44
Kevin Croom 0 16 of 51 31% 26 of 67 1 of 16 6% 0 1 7:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Caceres 0 18 of 28 64% 23 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:32
Kevin Croom 0 7 of 22 31% 8 of 23 0 of 7 0% 0 0 2:36
2 Alex Caceres 0 8 of 11 72% 26 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Kevin Croom 0 5 of 8 62% 11 of 18 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:16
3 Alex Caceres 0 22 of 29 75% 48 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:09
Kevin Croom 0 4 of 21 19% 7 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 1 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Caceres 48 of 68 70% 33 of 49 11 of 13 4 of 6 30 of 46 12 of 14 6 of 8
Kevin Croom 16 of 51 31% 10 of 44 1 of 2 5 of 5 14 of 46 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Caceres 18 of 28 64% 9 of 16 7 of 8 2 of 4 11 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 6
Kevin Croom 7 of 22 31% 1 of 15 1 of 2 5 of 5 7 of 20 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Alex Caceres 8 of 11 72% 6 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0
Kevin Croom 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Alex Caceres 22 of 29 75% 18 of 25 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 22 5 of 5 2 of 2
Kevin Croom 4 of 21 19% 4 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

Big Brady picks Kevin Croom to win by submission, calling it an upset. He thinks Croom will be more aggressive, throw harder shots, and have higher volume. He notes Croom can take Caceres' back standing and take the fight to the mat, where Caceres has been submitted six times. He compares Croom favorably to Chase Hooper, who was a favorite against Caceres. He believes the line at +175 is off and that Caceres should not be a -210 favorite.

submission win for Croom
"i'm going to take kevin croom to win by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alex Caceres

Daniel Levi picks Alex Caceres, citing his experience and level of competition. He notes Croom's win over Roosevelt Roberts was more about Roberts not being ready, and that Croom has a ugly, lunge-heavy style. Levi believes Caceres' striking edge and movement will allow him to pick Croom apart over three rounds, and that Croom's recent win is overrated.

"I think alex caceres is gonna win this fight man i like kevin croom... but i think bruce leroy is just going to touch him up for three rounds"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

Croom's pressure and pace will not allow Caceres to operate at his preferred kicking range. Croom has solid cardio, good volume, and a strong clinch game. Caceres struggles when pressured, and Croom's takedowns and forward movement should earn him a decision. The line is moving down, indicating value.

"i'm on the kevin chrome train here i think that he even springs the uh the upset via decision here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

The MMA Guru picks Alex Caceres, believing his UFC experience against higher-level competition gives him the edge. He expects Croom to start fast and fade, allowing Caceres to take over in the later rounds for a 29-28 decision. He notes the odds are tempting for Croom but sticks with Caceres as the winner, though he acknowledges Caceres should not be such a heavy favorite.

"i think caceres is a little bit underrated... i think caceres wins so i'm not going to pick the dog"
No Contest (overturned) R1 0:31 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Croom 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Roosevelt Roberts 1 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Croom 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Roosevelt Roberts 1 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Croom 2 of 5 40% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 5 of 6 83% 2 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Croom 2 of 5 40% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 5 of 6 83% 2 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts, noting that Roberts has a length advantage on the feet and a good submission game. He expects Frevola to take Roberts down and control him, but Roberts is slick on the ground and could get a reversal or submission. He predicts Roberts by decision, as long as he stays out of a submission.

possible bet
"give me matt for vol to win this fight um maybe a possible bet as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)

The host favors Frevola's superior wrestling and overall game, believing he can take Roberts down repeatedly and wear him out. He notes Roberts has fast hands but poor takedown defense, and Frevola has power in his hands as well. He expects Frevola to win a decision or possibly get a finish, and considers him one of his stronger leans on the card.

Frevola by decision
"I do like for vola in this spot i do like that the odds again slightly better"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts but is hesitant, noting that Matt Frevola puts heavy pressure and shoots many takedowns. However, he believes Roberts has improved dramatically, is younger, and has shown confidence in his stand-up against Brock Weaver. He expects Roberts to survive early scrambles and take over in the second and third rounds, winning a close 29-28 unanimous decision.

If odds shift, maybe bet on Frevola as underdog.
"i am going to pick him to win because i genuinely think he's going to go out there and get it done he's the younger guy he's improving so dramatically"
Roosevelt Roberts - Fight History
LOSS vs Ľudovít Klein
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 45 of 95 47% 107 of 181 2 of 3 66% 0 0 8:51
Roosevelt Roberts 0 24 of 60 40% 58 of 104 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 18 of 42 42% 28 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:18
Roosevelt Roberts 0 12 of 34 35% 14 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 9 of 20 45% 41 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:47
Roosevelt Roberts 0 1 of 6 16% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 18 of 33 54% 38 of 66 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:46
Roosevelt Roberts 0 11 of 20 55% 27 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 45 of 95 47% 22 of 65 15 of 22 8 of 8 28 of 66 9 of 10 8 of 19
Roosevelt Roberts 24 of 60 40% 10 of 43 10 of 12 4 of 5 19 of 50 4 of 9 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 18 of 42 42% 7 of 27 7 of 11 4 of 4 12 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 12 of 34 35% 4 of 23 6 of 8 2 of 3 10 of 30 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 9 of 20 45% 6 of 16 1 of 2 2 of 2 2 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 14
Roosevelt Roberts 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 3 0 of 0
3 Ľudovít Klein 18 of 33 54% 9 of 22 7 of 9 2 of 2 14 of 25 2 of 3 2 of 5
Roosevelt Roberts 11 of 20 55% 6 of 15 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo picks Ľudovít Klein with high confidence, calling him a level above Roosevelt Roberts. He notes Klein's superior speed, technique, hands, jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and takedown defense. He believes Klein will win easily and even at -700 odds, he feels it's a discount.

"Ludovit is literally better than Roosevelt everywhere... Ludovit wins this fight... even at these current odds of minus 700, Ludovit Klein feels like a discount."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Ľudovít Klein by decision, calling him a much better fighter everywhere. He notes Klein has phenomenal striking and durability, while Roberts has struggled in the UFC and lost to lower-level competition. He expects Klein to win convincingly, possibly by decision.

Klein by decision
"give me Klein here I'll take Klein to win by a pretty pretty convincing decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein, noting his improved wrestling and striking since moving up to lightweight. He highlights Klein's win over Thiago Moises and his ability to mix in takedowns. Roberts is on short notice and has not won in the UFC in over four years, with poor takedown defense and grappling.

"Ludi Klein that that that's for me this week"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Connor agrees, stating that Roberts has a broad but not deep game, and the core of that game is a phase where he is not physically on par with opponents. He thinks Roberts will be unable to physically stop Klein from doing what he wants, and that Klein will likely knock him out.

"I don't even know the client's going to knock him out. Roberts is tough."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Daniel Vreeland picks Ľudovít Klein to win by knockout. He thinks Klein's speed, power, and technique are on another level, and that Roberts is a step down in competition. He notes Klein's improved cardio and takedown defense since moving to 155. He believes the price is justified and expects a finish.

wins by KO
"I think Klein just an opportunity to knock this guy out and add another name to the resumate so I think you should knock knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

JP picks Ľudovít Klein because he thinks Klein is skilled and will dominate. He notes Roosevelt Roberts is a mid-level fighter who was cut and brought back, and he expects Klein to submit him. He says the line at -800 is deserved.

"ludovi Klein on the other hand he's really skilled he's a good fighter I honestly think he works Roosevelt Roberts in this one I don't think it's close whatsoever"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul agrees, calling Klein a massive favorite for a reason. He notes Roberts' short notice and lack of recent success. Klein's physicality and wrestling should be too much, and he expects a finish or dominant decision.

"Klein should absolutely roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Roosevelt Roberts, stating Klein is levels above. He criticizes Roberts' UFC performances, noting he was finished by Jim Miller and Ignacio Bahamondes. He predicts Klein will be too powerful and win by first-round KO.

first round KO
"I think he's going to be too powerful too strong and I think he'll actually smoke him in the first round get a first round KO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Zane believes Klein is a bad matchup for Roberts because Roberts is not athletic enough, not strong enough, and not technical enough from range. He notes that Roberts' game is too clinch-dependent and that Klein is more powerful and slicker at range. Zane expects Klein to dominate, possibly with a knockout.

"Roberts is just not that guy. He's not going to take anything away from Klein on the outside."
Submission (armbar) R1 3:08 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mateusz Rębecki 0 10 of 16 62% 28 of 38 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:14
Roosevelt Roberts 0 2 of 7 28% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mateusz Rębecki 0 10 of 16 62% 28 of 38 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:14
Roosevelt Roberts 0 2 of 7 28% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mateusz Rębecki 10 of 16 62% 7 of 11 0 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 9 0 of 0 7 of 7
Roosevelt Roberts 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mateusz Rębecki 10 of 16 62% 7 of 11 0 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 9 0 of 0 7 of 7
Roosevelt Roberts 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mateusz Rebecki vs. Roosevelt Roberts (158: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rebecki (-700), Roberts (+500)

Round 1
Originally expecting he would come to blows with Tajikistan’s Nurullo Aliev, on ultra-late notice, Rebecki (18-1, 2-0 UFC) will instead welcome Roberts (12-3, 1 NC; 4-3, 1 NC UFC) back to the Octagon. The eight-fight vet left the organization in 2021 after getting posterized by Ignacio Bahamondes, and two wins on the regional circuit plus an appearance on the 31st season of “The Ultimate Fighter” led to “The Predator”—no not that one—getting a return ticket to the UFC. Unfortunately for Roberts, his second chance at a first impression will start off rough, as he could not reach the lightweight limit, coming in two pounds heavy and losing a hefty chunk of his purse. The two will proceed with referee Mike Beltran as their third, and the combatants happily exchange a fist bump. Roberts measures a right hand, and he just misses Rebecki. Rebecki rips a few kicks down low, and he comes up short with big swinging fists. Roberts backs off, looking for a knee to counter, and Rebecki follows him and secures a double-leg takedown to put Roberts on the mat. Rebecki slashes down with an elbow on the forehead, and he maintains position while landing some sporadic ground-and-pound. Rebecki grinds down with his elbow, frustrating the taller fighter, until Roberts kicks his feet in pursuit of a sweep. This backfires for him, as Rebecki takes side control in a hurry. Roberts is able to power his way back up through sheer muscle, and Rebecki drags him down to his face from behind. As Roberts recovers, Rebecki slithers around to take the back and get both hooks in. Rebecki smacks Roberts on the sides of his head, softening his man up until Roberts times an explosion to turn around and stand up.
Before he gets all the way up, Rebecki snares him in an armbar, and “The Predator” has just become the prey. Roberts tries to roll through to defend against the submission, but this places him in even greater danger. Rebecki continues to torque the arm with all his might, and Roberts screams out before his arm breaks and his tendons snap.
Beltran is immediately on the action to make sure nothing goes awry, but Rebecki releases the grip as soon as he hears the verbal submission. The Polish fighter is in all smiles when he stands back up, and he calls for the UFC to hold an event in Poland soon.

The Official Result
Mateusz Rebecki def. Roosevelt Roberts R1 3:08 via Submission (Armbar)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Cody picks Rębecki, calling him a 'finished product' with excellent grappling and power. He thinks Roberts is outclassed everywhere and that Rębecki will maul him. He notes the line is high but believes Rębecki is the goods.

"rebecky minus 650 is insane but guy's the goods he's he's going to be a problem"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Paul picks Rębecki, comparing him to grinders like Nick Lentz and Jon Fitch. He notes Rębecki's suffocating pressure and technique, and that Roberts is a short-notice replacement with a puncher's chance only. He expects Rębecki to dominate wherever the fight goes.

"rebecky is going to be a problem for most of these guys until he starts cracking into the top 15"
KO (spinning wheel kick) R3 4:55 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Aug 21, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 55 of 168 32% 65 of 185 0 of 12 0% 0 0 1:44
Roosevelt Roberts 1 105 of 228 46% 124 of 260 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 0 24 of 63 38% 24 of 63 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:11
Roosevelt Roberts 0 33 of 70 47% 37 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ignacio Bahamondes 0 18 of 57 31% 20 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:33
Roosevelt Roberts 0 38 of 87 43% 43 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ignacio Bahamondes 0 13 of 48 27% 21 of 63 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:00
Roosevelt Roberts 1 34 of 71 47% 44 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ignacio Bahamondes 55 of 168 32% 47 of 154 2 of 5 6 of 9 54 of 166 1 of 2 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 105 of 228 46% 41 of 145 31 of 43 33 of 40 97 of 216 6 of 9 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 24 of 63 38% 20 of 56 0 of 1 4 of 6 24 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 33 of 70 47% 18 of 53 5 of 5 10 of 12 31 of 67 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Ignacio Bahamondes 18 of 57 31% 17 of 54 0 of 1 1 of 2 18 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 38 of 87 43% 13 of 52 9 of 16 16 of 19 38 of 86 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ignacio Bahamondes 13 of 48 27% 10 of 44 2 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 46 1 of 2 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 34 of 71 47% 10 of 40 17 of 22 7 of 9 28 of 63 4 of 5 2 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts, citing a significant grappling advantage. He notes Roberts is a much better grappler with a brown belt in BJJ, while Bahamondes has no submissions and is very hittable. He believes if Roberts gets the fight to the mat, he will submit Bahamondes. He predicts a second-round submission.

second round submission
"i'm actually going to take roosevelt roberts i'm going to take him to win by i'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Cody picks Bahamondes as a dog, citing his size, volume striking, and durability. He notes Roberts' low output and takedown defense issues, and believes Bahamondes can outwork him. He also likes the under on rounds.

Under 2.5 rounds (+140)
"this one really does boil down to a dog or pass for me if you're gonna give me plus 130 on ignacio baja mondays again this is a card i see a fair amount of these underdogs coming through"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Roberts is a buy-low spot after two losses where he was a huge favorite; he has talent and can fulfill his potential. Bahamondes struggled with distance in his UFC debut and has submission losses. Roberts has good boxing and can mix in takedowns, and I think he covers this line. I'm picking Roberts by decision, but a submission is possible.

Roberts by submission (+325); Roberts by decision (+180)
"I do like roberts here i think he's going to completely cover this -145"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Paul leans toward Bahamondes, noting his size and striking output. He questions Roberts' ability to get takedowns and believes Bahamondes' volume could overwhelm him. He also mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a potential play.

Under 2.5 rounds (+140)
"i'm staring staring down the barrel at this under two and a half plus 140"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts over Ignacio Bahamondes. He believes Bahamondes is overrated due to size and reach advantages, and that Roberts is more fundamentally sound. He cites Bahamondes' loss to John McDeasy where McDeasy won with a jab, indicating range-finding issues. Roberts has good grappling and takedown defense. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Roberts.

"i'm going to go with roosevelt roberts i think he's actually just technically sound compared to ignacio barramundis who gets a little bit wild"
LOSS vs Kevin Croom
No Contest (overturned) R1 0:31 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Croom 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Roosevelt Roberts 1 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Croom 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Roosevelt Roberts 1 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Croom 2 of 5 40% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 5 of 6 83% 2 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Croom 2 of 5 40% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 5 of 6 83% 2 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts, noting that Roberts has a length advantage on the feet and a good submission game. He expects Frevola to take Roberts down and control him, but Roberts is slick on the ground and could get a reversal or submission. He predicts Roberts by decision, as long as he stays out of a submission.

possible bet
"give me matt for vol to win this fight um maybe a possible bet as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)

The host favors Frevola's superior wrestling and overall game, believing he can take Roberts down repeatedly and wear him out. He notes Roberts has fast hands but poor takedown defense, and Frevola has power in his hands as well. He expects Frevola to win a decision or possibly get a finish, and considers him one of his stronger leans on the card.

Frevola by decision
"I do like for vola in this spot i do like that the odds again slightly better"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts but is hesitant, noting that Matt Frevola puts heavy pressure and shoots many takedowns. However, he believes Roberts has improved dramatically, is younger, and has shown confidence in his stand-up against Brock Weaver. He expects Roberts to survive early scrambles and take over in the second and third rounds, winning a close 29-28 unanimous decision.

If odds shift, maybe bet on Frevola as underdog.
"i am going to pick him to win because i genuinely think he's going to go out there and get it done he's the younger guy he's improving so dramatically"
LOSS vs Jim Miller
Submission (armbar) R1 2:25 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Jun 20, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jim Miller 0 2 of 3 66% 9 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:48
Roosevelt Roberts 0 1 of 2 50% 7 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jim Miller 0 2 of 3 66% 9 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:48
Roosevelt Roberts 0 1 of 2 50% 7 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jim Miller 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2
Roosevelt Roberts 1 of 2 50% 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jim Miller 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2
Roosevelt Roberts 1 of 2 50% 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jim Miller vs. Roosevelt Roberts

Round 1
We commence the main card with a 160-pound scheduled catchweight contest between one of the most active fighters in UFC history in Miller (31-14, 1 NC; 20-13, 1 NC UFC) against the young, hungry Roberts (10-1, 4-1 UFC). In the cage, referee Herb Dean has been tapped to oversee this battle, and the two men touch ‘em up before they start trading. Roberts starts out with a front kick, and Miller grabs it and chases him down in an instant. Getting into full guard, Miller starts to work the body as Roberts throws his legs up. Roberts tries to scramble, and “A-10” dives down to set up a guillotine choke. Roberts stays patient and slowly works his neck out, but in the meantime, Miller advances to half guard.
Roberts explodes to his knees while Miller tries to stay on top, and when Roberts tries to get on top, Miller rolls for an armbar. The arm is tight and Roberts is doomed. There is no escape, and "The Predator" verbally taps out.
That is UFC win number 21 for Miller, who is now two shy of the record held by Donald Cerrone.

The Official Result
Jim Miller def. Roosevelt Roberts R1 2:25 via Submission (Armbar)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 17, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts by decision, but is wary of Jim Miller's first-round danger. He thinks Roberts' reach and striking advantage will be key if he survives the first round. He notes Miller's dangerous BJJ but believes Roberts can avoid submissions and outpoint Miller in later rounds.

odds: Roberts minus 225, Miller plus 185; pick by decision
"I think Roberts gonna come out here probably I think isn't one a decision but would not be surprised if he did you know get a light finish on Miller"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Daniel Levi picks Roosevelt Roberts, citing his length, youth, and improving skills. He notes that Jim Miller's wins often come early via submission or knockout, but if Roberts survives the first round, his cardio and reach advantage will take over. Levi expects Roberts to find a submission or win a decision as Miller fades.

Roosevelt Roberts by finish
"I'm going to lean with the favorite as well. I'm going to go with Roosevelt Roberts, Shaq."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Roberts is a young up-and-comer who has improved his stand-up, sitting down on his punches more. Miller is a veteran who took a lot of damage in his last fight. Roberts will get the TKO in the second round.

"I think he's gonna get the jump on Jim Miller and get it done in the second round by TKO"
WIN vs Brok Weaver
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:26 · UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns · May 30, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roosevelt Roberts 0 40 of 61 65% 54 of 76 1 of 3 33% 3 0 3:04
Brok Weaver 0 14 of 48 29% 26 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roosevelt Roberts 0 21 of 37 56% 24 of 40 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:44
Brok Weaver 0 9 of 36 25% 17 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:58
2 Roosevelt Roberts 0 19 of 24 79% 30 of 36 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:20
Brok Weaver 0 5 of 12 41% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roosevelt Roberts 40 of 61 65% 27 of 45 7 of 10 6 of 6 25 of 46 2 of 2 13 of 13
Brok Weaver 14 of 48 29% 5 of 35 9 of 11 0 of 2 10 of 41 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roosevelt Roberts 21 of 37 56% 9 of 23 6 of 8 6 of 6 19 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
Brok Weaver 9 of 36 25% 5 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 2 9 of 34 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Roosevelt Roberts 19 of 24 79% 18 of 22 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 11 0 of 0 13 of 13
Brok Weaver 5 of 12 41% 0 of 6 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 7 4 of 5 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 27, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts to win by submission. He believes Roberts is better everywhere and that Weaver's weakness on the ground will be exploited. He notes that Weaver struggled with Vargas's takedowns and ground game, and Roberts is a step up. He thinks the only way Weaver wins is by a fluke knockout, and he is confident in Roberts getting a submission.

Roberts wins by submission
"I'm gonna pick Roberts to win and I'm gonna pick him to win by submission I'm pretty confident in that pick"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 29, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Daniel leans towards Roberts but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation at the current odds. He acknowledges Roberts is the more skilled fighter with a higher ceiling, but notes that Weaver could make it a dogfight. He is not entirely sold on Weaver's level of competition and thinks Roberts should win if he stays focused.

dog or pass situation
"i do lean towards the favorite but i kind of think it's a dog or pass situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 23, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts to win by unanimous decision. He is unimpressed by Brok Weaver's UFC debut, noting that Weaver was taken down repeatedly by Rodrigo Vargas and got knocked out by an illegal knee. He believes Roberts is more well-rounded, with good grappling and striking, and will outwork Weaver.

Roberts by decision
"Roosevelt Roberts is gonna get the job done over Brock Weaver I just don't like Brock Weaver's style man I just think is a little bit one-dimensional"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs. Kattar · Nov 09, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roosevelt Roberts 0 20 of 49 40% 38 of 71 3 of 8 37% 0 0 6:19
Alexander Yakovlev 0 28 of 98 28% 56 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roosevelt Roberts 0 8 of 16 50% 8 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:03
Alexander Yakovlev 0 16 of 49 32% 19 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 Roosevelt Roberts 0 7 of 12 58% 17 of 23 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:42
Alexander Yakovlev 0 2 of 8 25% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Roosevelt Roberts 0 5 of 21 23% 13 of 32 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:34
Alexander Yakovlev 0 10 of 41 24% 29 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roosevelt Roberts 20 of 49 40% 8 of 34 6 of 9 6 of 6 12 of 38 1 of 1 7 of 10
Alexander Yakovlev 28 of 98 28% 22 of 90 2 of 4 4 of 4 27 of 96 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roosevelt Roberts 8 of 16 50% 1 of 8 1 of 2 6 of 6 7 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Yakovlev 16 of 49 32% 10 of 42 2 of 3 4 of 4 15 of 47 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Roosevelt Roberts 7 of 12 58% 4 of 8 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 10
Alexander Yakovlev 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Roosevelt Roberts 5 of 21 23% 3 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexander Yakovlev 10 of 41 24% 10 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Vinc Pichel
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. dos Santos · Jun 29, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vinc Pichel 0 31 of 87 35% 34 of 90 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:34
Roosevelt Roberts 0 60 of 101 59% 81 of 122 3 of 6 50% 1 1 5:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vinc Pichel 0 17 of 43 39% 17 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:24
Roosevelt Roberts 0 18 of 29 62% 22 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:47
2 Vinc Pichel 0 10 of 30 33% 13 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:02
Roosevelt Roberts 0 21 of 37 56% 29 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:35
3 Vinc Pichel 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Roosevelt Roberts 0 21 of 35 60% 30 of 44 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vinc Pichel 31 of 87 35% 22 of 75 6 of 8 3 of 4 26 of 80 5 of 6 0 of 1
Roosevelt Roberts 60 of 101 59% 29 of 55 16 of 26 15 of 20 26 of 62 14 of 16 20 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vinc Pichel 17 of 43 39% 10 of 35 4 of 4 3 of 4 13 of 38 4 of 5 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 18 of 29 62% 3 of 10 7 of 10 8 of 9 9 of 20 9 of 9 0 of 0
2 Vinc Pichel 10 of 30 33% 8 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 21 of 37 56% 8 of 18 7 of 10 6 of 9 12 of 23 3 of 5 6 of 9
3 Vinc Pichel 4 of 14 28% 4 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 1
Roosevelt Roberts 21 of 35 60% 18 of 27 2 of 6 1 of 2 5 of 19 2 of 2 14 of 14
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts, noting that Roberts has a length advantage on the feet and a good submission game. He expects Frevola to take Roberts down and control him, but Roberts is slick on the ground and could get a reversal or submission. He predicts Roberts by decision, as long as he stays out of a submission.

possible bet
"give me matt for vol to win this fight um maybe a possible bet as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
No clear pick

The host favors Frevola's superior wrestling and overall game, believing he can take Roberts down repeatedly and wear him out. He notes Roberts has fast hands but poor takedown defense, and Frevola has power in his hands as well. He expects Frevola to win a decision or possibly get a finish, and considers him one of his stronger leans on the card.

Frevola by decision
"I do like for vola in this spot i do like that the odds again slightly better"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts but is hesitant, noting that Matt Frevola puts heavy pressure and shoots many takedowns. However, he believes Roberts has improved dramatically, is younger, and has shown confidence in his stand-up against Brock Weaver. He expects Roberts to survive early scrambles and take over in the second and third rounds, winning a close 29-28 unanimous decision.

If odds shift, maybe bet on Frevola as underdog.
"i am going to pick him to win because i genuinely think he's going to go out there and get it done he's the younger guy he's improving so dramatically"