Career Averages - Kevin Croom
Career Averages - Roosevelt Roberts
Kevin Croom - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kevin Croom | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kevin Croom | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alateng Heili, but thinks the odds are a bit wide. He notes that Heili is a technical striker who can struggle with brawlers like Croom. He believes Heili can get the fight to the ground if needed, but must be wary of Croom's submissions. He considers Croom a far better fighter than his recent record shows.
Big Brady picks Kevin Croom for the upset by decision. He notes Croom has a massive size advantage (6 inches taller, 6.5 inch reach) and will throw more volume than Alateng Heili, who has low output (max 47 significant strikes in a UFC fight). He expects Croom to win minutes on the feet and avoid Heili's power. He acknowledges Croom's takedown accuracy is poor but thinks Heili's wrestling plays into Croom's ground game.
Cody picks Heili, emphasizing his wrestling and top pressure. He notes Croom's size but thinks Heili can take him down and win from guard. He believes Heili's camp at Fight Ready will help him execute the right game plan.
Daniel Levi leans Alateng Heili, noting this is his proper weight class and he is likely fight-ready with good conditioning. He respects Croom's size and finishing ability but worries about Croom cutting to 135 and fading late, as he has a history of losing decisions. Levi expects Heili to win a decision.
Paul picks Heili, citing his wrestling advantage and durability. He thinks Heili can take Croom down and control him. He notes Heili's poor decision-making in the past but believes he will wrestle here.
The MMA Guru picks Kevin Croom as an underdog, believing the odds are incorrect. He notes Croom's 7-inch reach advantage and awkward striking style, and doubts Heili's chin and technical ability. He expects Croom to win a 29-28 unanimous decision, possibly losing the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Kelleher | 1 | 38 of 77 | 49% | 67 of 123 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 6:26 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 60 of 174 | 34% | 83 of 206 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Kelleher | 1 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 15 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 33 of 88 | 37% | 43 of 104 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Brian Kelleher | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 22 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 22 of 72 | 30% | 34 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Brian Kelleher | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 30 of 54 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Kelleher | 38 of 77 | 49% | 25 of 58 | 12 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 25 of 58 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 14 |
| Kevin Croom | 60 of 174 | 34% | 36 of 141 | 11 of 16 | 13 of 17 | 58 of 168 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Kelleher | 11 of 29 | 37% | 7 of 24 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Croom | 33 of 88 | 37% | 17 of 68 | 6 of 8 | 10 of 12 | 32 of 84 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brian Kelleher | 14 of 25 | 56% | 8 of 15 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Kevin Croom | 22 of 72 | 30% | 14 of 61 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 22 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brian Kelleher | 13 of 23 | 56% | 10 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 12 |
| Kevin Croom | 5 of 14 | 35% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady notes the significant age and reach advantage for Croom, who is 26 and has a 5-inch reach edge. He praises Croom's wrestling and grappling, and expects him to exploit Kelleher's 59% takedown defense. He predicts Croom will win a decision, though he acknowledges Kelleher is dangerous with submissions off his back.
Cody picks Kakhramonov, highlighting his wrestling, size, and cardio. He notes Kelleher's wrestling won't be effective and Kakhramonov's striking is solid. He expects Kakhramonov to win by decision or TKO. He mentions Kakhramonov's bright future.
Daniel Levi picks Brian Kelleher, noting that Croom took the fight on two weeks' notice and tends to fade as fights progress. He acknowledges Croom's dangerous guillotine early, but believes Kelleher's durability and cardio will allow him to take over in later rounds. Levi also mentions Kelleher's improved grappling, as seen in his last fight against Domingo Pilarte where he used takedowns to control the fight.
The host picks Brian Kelleher, citing his veteran experience and takedown defense against the grappler Kakaromanov. He expects Kelleher to stuff takedowns and land big shots on the feet, eventually knocking out Kakaromanov. The host notes Kakaromanov's striking is still developing and that Kelleher's power and pressure will be too much. He also mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a good bet.
Paul picks Kakhramonov, citing his impressive debut, wrestling base, and size advantage. He notes Kelleher's path is a guillotine, but Kakhramonov's wrestling should nullify that. He expects Kakhramonov to win via decision or late TKO. He calls -155 a fair price.
The MMA Guru picks Kevin Croom (Saidyokub Kakhramonov) to win by third-round submission. He trusts Croom's stand-up and grappling awareness, noting that he handled Trevin Jones well and has good takedown defense. He believes Kelleher will struggle to get takedowns and will slow down as the fight goes on, leading to a desperate shot that Croom will capitalize on with a guillotine or D'Arce choke. He predicts Croom will defend takedowns early, then submit Kelleher in the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caceres | 0 | 48 of 68 | 70% | 97 of 121 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 3:44 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 16 of 51 | 31% | 26 of 67 | 1 of 16 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 7:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Caceres | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:32 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:36 | |
| 2 | Alex Caceres | 0 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 26 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 11 of 18 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 | |
| 3 | Alex Caceres | 0 | 22 of 29 | 75% | 48 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 4 of 21 | 19% | 7 of 26 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caceres | 48 of 68 | 70% | 33 of 49 | 11 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 30 of 46 | 12 of 14 | 6 of 8 |
| Kevin Croom | 16 of 51 | 31% | 10 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 46 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Caceres | 18 of 28 | 64% | 9 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 11 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Kevin Croom | 7 of 22 | 31% | 1 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alex Caceres | 8 of 11 | 72% | 6 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Croom | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alex Caceres | 22 of 29 | 75% | 18 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Kevin Croom | 4 of 21 | 19% | 4 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Kevin Croom to win by submission, calling it an upset. He thinks Croom will be more aggressive, throw harder shots, and have higher volume. He notes Croom can take Caceres' back standing and take the fight to the mat, where Caceres has been submitted six times. He compares Croom favorably to Chase Hooper, who was a favorite against Caceres. He believes the line at +175 is off and that Caceres should not be a -210 favorite.
Daniel Levi picks Alex Caceres, citing his experience and level of competition. He notes Croom's win over Roosevelt Roberts was more about Roberts not being ready, and that Croom has a ugly, lunge-heavy style. Levi believes Caceres' striking edge and movement will allow him to pick Croom apart over three rounds, and that Croom's recent win is overrated.
Croom's pressure and pace will not allow Caceres to operate at his preferred kicking range. Croom has solid cardio, good volume, and a strong clinch game. Caceres struggles when pressured, and Croom's takedowns and forward movement should earn him a decision. The line is moving down, indicating value.
The MMA Guru picks Alex Caceres, believing his UFC experience against higher-level competition gives him the edge. He expects Croom to start fast and fade, allowing Caceres to take over in the later rounds for a 29-28 decision. He notes the odds are tempting for Croom but sticks with Caceres as the winner, though he acknowledges Caceres should not be such a heavy favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Croom | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 5 of 6 | 83% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Croom | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 5 of 6 | 83% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts, noting that Roberts has a length advantage on the feet and a good submission game. He expects Frevola to take Roberts down and control him, but Roberts is slick on the ground and could get a reversal or submission. He predicts Roberts by decision, as long as he stays out of a submission.
The host favors Frevola's superior wrestling and overall game, believing he can take Roberts down repeatedly and wear him out. He notes Roberts has fast hands but poor takedown defense, and Frevola has power in his hands as well. He expects Frevola to win a decision or possibly get a finish, and considers him one of his stronger leans on the card.
The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts but is hesitant, noting that Matt Frevola puts heavy pressure and shoots many takedowns. However, he believes Roberts has improved dramatically, is younger, and has shown confidence in his stand-up against Brock Weaver. He expects Roberts to survive early scrambles and take over in the second and third rounds, winning a close 29-28 unanimous decision.
Roosevelt Roberts - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 45 of 95 | 47% | 107 of 181 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 8:51 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 24 of 60 | 40% | 58 of 104 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 12 of 34 | 35% | 14 of 38 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 41 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:47 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 17 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 38 of 66 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 27 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ľudovít Klein | 45 of 95 | 47% | 22 of 65 | 15 of 22 | 8 of 8 | 28 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 8 of 19 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 24 of 60 | 40% | 10 of 43 | 10 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 19 of 50 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ľudovít Klein | 18 of 42 | 42% | 7 of 27 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 36 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 12 of 34 | 35% | 4 of 23 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ľudovít Klein | 9 of 20 | 45% | 6 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ľudovít Klein | 18 of 33 | 54% | 9 of 22 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 5 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Ľudovít Klein with high confidence, calling him a level above Roosevelt Roberts. He notes Klein's superior speed, technique, hands, jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and takedown defense. He believes Klein will win easily and even at -700 odds, he feels it's a discount.
Big Brady picks Ľudovít Klein by decision, calling him a much better fighter everywhere. He notes Klein has phenomenal striking and durability, while Roberts has struggled in the UFC and lost to lower-level competition. He expects Klein to win convincingly, possibly by decision.
Cody picks Klein, noting his improved wrestling and striking since moving up to lightweight. He highlights Klein's win over Thiago Moises and his ability to mix in takedowns. Roberts is on short notice and has not won in the UFC in over four years, with poor takedown defense and grappling.
Connor agrees, stating that Roberts has a broad but not deep game, and the core of that game is a phase where he is not physically on par with opponents. He thinks Roberts will be unable to physically stop Klein from doing what he wants, and that Klein will likely knock him out.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ľudovít Klein to win by knockout. He thinks Klein's speed, power, and technique are on another level, and that Roberts is a step down in competition. He notes Klein's improved cardio and takedown defense since moving to 155. He believes the price is justified and expects a finish.
JP picks Ľudovít Klein because he thinks Klein is skilled and will dominate. He notes Roosevelt Roberts is a mid-level fighter who was cut and brought back, and he expects Klein to submit him. He says the line at -800 is deserved.
Paul agrees, calling Klein a massive favorite for a reason. He notes Roberts' short notice and lack of recent success. Klein's physicality and wrestling should be too much, and he expects a finish or dominant decision.
The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Roosevelt Roberts, stating Klein is levels above. He criticizes Roberts' UFC performances, noting he was finished by Jim Miller and Ignacio Bahamondes. He predicts Klein will be too powerful and win by first-round KO.
Zane believes Klein is a bad matchup for Roberts because Roberts is not athletic enough, not strong enough, and not technical enough from range. He notes that Roberts' game is too clinch-dependent and that Klein is more powerful and slicker at range. Zane expects Klein to dominate, possibly with a knockout.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Rębecki | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 28 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Rębecki | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 28 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Rębecki | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Rębecki | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rebecki (-700), Roberts (+500)
Round 1
Originally expecting he would come to blows with Tajikistan’s Nurullo Aliev, on ultra-late notice, Rebecki (18-1, 2-0 UFC) will instead welcome Roberts (12-3, 1 NC; 4-3, 1 NC UFC) back to the Octagon. The eight-fight vet left the organization in 2021 after getting posterized by Ignacio Bahamondes, and two wins on the regional circuit plus an appearance on the 31st season of “The Ultimate Fighter” led to “The Predator”—no not that one—getting a return ticket to the UFC. Unfortunately for Roberts, his second chance at a first impression will start off rough, as he could not reach the lightweight limit, coming in two pounds heavy and losing a hefty chunk of his purse. The two will proceed with referee Mike Beltran as their third, and the combatants happily exchange a fist bump. Roberts measures a right hand, and he just misses Rebecki. Rebecki rips a few kicks down low, and he comes up short with big swinging fists. Roberts backs off, looking for a knee to counter, and Rebecki follows him and secures a double-leg takedown to put Roberts on the mat. Rebecki slashes down with an elbow on the forehead, and he maintains position while landing some sporadic ground-and-pound. Rebecki grinds down with his elbow, frustrating the taller fighter, until Roberts kicks his feet in pursuit of a sweep. This backfires for him, as Rebecki takes side control in a hurry. Roberts is able to power his way back up through sheer muscle, and Rebecki drags him down to his face from behind. As Roberts recovers, Rebecki slithers around to take the back and get both hooks in. Rebecki smacks Roberts on the sides of his head, softening his man up until Roberts times an explosion to turn around and stand up.
Before he gets all the way up, Rebecki snares him in an armbar, and “The Predator” has just become the prey. Roberts tries to roll through to defend against the submission, but this places him in even greater danger. Rebecki continues to torque the arm with all his might, and Roberts screams out before his arm breaks and his tendons snap.
Beltran is immediately on the action to make sure nothing goes awry, but Rebecki releases the grip as soon as he hears the verbal submission. The Polish fighter is in all smiles when he stands back up, and he calls for the UFC to hold an event in Poland soon.
The Official Result
Mateusz Rebecki def. Roosevelt Roberts R1 3:08 via Submission (Armbar)
Cody picks Rębecki, calling him a 'finished product' with excellent grappling and power. He thinks Roberts is outclassed everywhere and that Rębecki will maul him. He notes the line is high but believes Rębecki is the goods.
Paul picks Rębecki, comparing him to grinders like Nick Lentz and Jon Fitch. He notes Rębecki's suffocating pressure and technique, and that Roberts is a short-notice replacement with a puncher's chance only. He expects Rębecki to dominate wherever the fight goes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 55 of 168 | 32% | 65 of 185 | 0 of 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 | 105 of 228 | 46% | 124 of 260 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 24 of 63 | 38% | 24 of 63 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 33 of 70 | 47% | 37 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 18 of 57 | 31% | 20 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 38 of 87 | 43% | 43 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 13 of 48 | 27% | 21 of 63 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 | 34 of 71 | 47% | 44 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 55 of 168 | 32% | 47 of 154 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 9 | 54 of 166 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 105 of 228 | 46% | 41 of 145 | 31 of 43 | 33 of 40 | 97 of 216 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 24 of 63 | 38% | 20 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 24 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 33 of 70 | 47% | 18 of 53 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 12 | 31 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 18 of 57 | 31% | 17 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 38 of 87 | 43% | 13 of 52 | 9 of 16 | 16 of 19 | 38 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 13 of 48 | 27% | 10 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 34 of 71 | 47% | 10 of 40 | 17 of 22 | 7 of 9 | 28 of 63 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 3 |
Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts, citing a significant grappling advantage. He notes Roberts is a much better grappler with a brown belt in BJJ, while Bahamondes has no submissions and is very hittable. He believes if Roberts gets the fight to the mat, he will submit Bahamondes. He predicts a second-round submission.
Cody picks Bahamondes as a dog, citing his size, volume striking, and durability. He notes Roberts' low output and takedown defense issues, and believes Bahamondes can outwork him. He also likes the under on rounds.
Roberts is a buy-low spot after two losses where he was a huge favorite; he has talent and can fulfill his potential. Bahamondes struggled with distance in his UFC debut and has submission losses. Roberts has good boxing and can mix in takedowns, and I think he covers this line. I'm picking Roberts by decision, but a submission is possible.
Paul leans toward Bahamondes, noting his size and striking output. He questions Roberts' ability to get takedowns and believes Bahamondes' volume could overwhelm him. He also mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts over Ignacio Bahamondes. He believes Bahamondes is overrated due to size and reach advantages, and that Roberts is more fundamentally sound. He cites Bahamondes' loss to John McDeasy where McDeasy won with a jab, indicating range-finding issues. Roberts has good grappling and takedown defense. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Roberts.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Croom | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 5 of 6 | 83% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Croom | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 5 of 6 | 83% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts, noting that Roberts has a length advantage on the feet and a good submission game. He expects Frevola to take Roberts down and control him, but Roberts is slick on the ground and could get a reversal or submission. He predicts Roberts by decision, as long as he stays out of a submission.
The host favors Frevola's superior wrestling and overall game, believing he can take Roberts down repeatedly and wear him out. He notes Roberts has fast hands but poor takedown defense, and Frevola has power in his hands as well. He expects Frevola to win a decision or possibly get a finish, and considers him one of his stronger leans on the card.
The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts but is hesitant, noting that Matt Frevola puts heavy pressure and shoots many takedowns. However, he believes Roberts has improved dramatically, is younger, and has shown confidence in his stand-up against Brock Weaver. He expects Roberts to survive early scrambles and take over in the second and third rounds, winning a close 29-28 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Miller | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Miller | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Miller | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Miller | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
We commence the main card with a 160-pound scheduled catchweight contest between one of the most active fighters in UFC history in Miller (31-14, 1 NC; 20-13, 1 NC UFC) against the young, hungry Roberts (10-1, 4-1 UFC). In the cage, referee Herb Dean has been tapped to oversee this battle, and the two men touch ‘em up before they start trading. Roberts starts out with a front kick, and Miller grabs it and chases him down in an instant. Getting into full guard, Miller starts to work the body as Roberts throws his legs up. Roberts tries to scramble, and “A-10” dives down to set up a guillotine choke. Roberts stays patient and slowly works his neck out, but in the meantime, Miller advances to half guard.
Roberts explodes to his knees while Miller tries to stay on top, and when Roberts tries to get on top, Miller rolls for an armbar. The arm is tight and Roberts is doomed. There is no escape, and "The Predator" verbally taps out.
That is UFC win number 21 for Miller, who is now two shy of the record held by Donald Cerrone.
The Official Result
Jim Miller def. Roosevelt Roberts R1 2:25 via Submission (Armbar)
Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts by decision, but is wary of Jim Miller's first-round danger. He thinks Roberts' reach and striking advantage will be key if he survives the first round. He notes Miller's dangerous BJJ but believes Roberts can avoid submissions and outpoint Miller in later rounds.
Daniel Levi picks Roosevelt Roberts, citing his length, youth, and improving skills. He notes that Jim Miller's wins often come early via submission or knockout, but if Roberts survives the first round, his cardio and reach advantage will take over. Levi expects Roberts to find a submission or win a decision as Miller fades.
Roberts is a young up-and-comer who has improved his stand-up, sitting down on his punches more. Miller is a veteran who took a lot of damage in his last fight. Roberts will get the TKO in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 40 of 61 | 65% | 54 of 76 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 0 | 3:04 |
| Brok Weaver | 0 | 14 of 48 | 29% | 26 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 21 of 37 | 56% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Brok Weaver | 0 | 9 of 36 | 25% | 17 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:58 | |
| 2 | Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 19 of 24 | 79% | 30 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Brok Weaver | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Roberts | 40 of 61 | 65% | 27 of 45 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 13 |
| Brok Weaver | 14 of 48 | 29% | 5 of 35 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 10 of 41 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roosevelt Roberts | 21 of 37 | 56% | 9 of 23 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 19 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Brok Weaver | 9 of 36 | 25% | 5 of 29 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 9 of 34 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Roosevelt Roberts | 19 of 24 | 79% | 18 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 13 |
| Brok Weaver | 5 of 12 | 41% | 0 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts to win by submission. He believes Roberts is better everywhere and that Weaver's weakness on the ground will be exploited. He notes that Weaver struggled with Vargas's takedowns and ground game, and Roberts is a step up. He thinks the only way Weaver wins is by a fluke knockout, and he is confident in Roberts getting a submission.
Daniel leans towards Roberts but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation at the current odds. He acknowledges Roberts is the more skilled fighter with a higher ceiling, but notes that Weaver could make it a dogfight. He is not entirely sold on Weaver's level of competition and thinks Roberts should win if he stays focused.
The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts to win by unanimous decision. He is unimpressed by Brok Weaver's UFC debut, noting that Weaver was taken down repeatedly by Rodrigo Vargas and got knocked out by an illegal knee. He believes Roberts is more well-rounded, with good grappling and striking, and will outwork Weaver.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 38 of 71 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 6:19 |
| Alexander Yakovlev | 0 | 28 of 98 | 28% | 56 of 128 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Alexander Yakovlev | 0 | 16 of 49 | 32% | 19 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 17 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 |
| Alexander Yakovlev | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 13 of 32 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Alexander Yakovlev | 0 | 10 of 41 | 24% | 29 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Roberts | 20 of 49 | 40% | 8 of 34 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 10 |
| Alexander Yakovlev | 28 of 98 | 28% | 22 of 90 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 96 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roosevelt Roberts | 8 of 16 | 50% | 1 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexander Yakovlev | 16 of 49 | 32% | 10 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Roosevelt Roberts | 7 of 12 | 58% | 4 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 |
| Alexander Yakovlev | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Roosevelt Roberts | 5 of 21 | 23% | 3 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexander Yakovlev | 10 of 41 | 24% | 10 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 0 | 31 of 87 | 35% | 34 of 90 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 60 of 101 | 59% | 81 of 122 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 5:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 17 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 18 of 29 | 62% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 13 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 21 of 37 | 56% | 29 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:35 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 0 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 30 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinc Pichel | 31 of 87 | 35% | 22 of 75 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 26 of 80 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 60 of 101 | 59% | 29 of 55 | 16 of 26 | 15 of 20 | 26 of 62 | 14 of 16 | 20 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinc Pichel | 17 of 43 | 39% | 10 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 38 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 18 of 29 | 62% | 3 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 20 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vinc Pichel | 10 of 30 | 33% | 8 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 21 of 37 | 56% | 8 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 9 | |
| 3 | Vinc Pichel | 4 of 14 | 28% | 4 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Roosevelt Roberts | 21 of 35 | 60% | 18 of 27 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 14 |
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts, noting that Roberts has a length advantage on the feet and a good submission game. He expects Frevola to take Roberts down and control him, but Roberts is slick on the ground and could get a reversal or submission. He predicts Roberts by decision, as long as he stays out of a submission.
The host favors Frevola's superior wrestling and overall game, believing he can take Roberts down repeatedly and wear him out. He notes Roberts has fast hands but poor takedown defense, and Frevola has power in his hands as well. He expects Frevola to win a decision or possibly get a finish, and considers him one of his stronger leans on the card.
The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts but is hesitant, noting that Matt Frevola puts heavy pressure and shoots many takedowns. However, he believes Roberts has improved dramatically, is younger, and has shown confidence in his stand-up against Brock Weaver. He expects Roberts to survive early scrambles and take over in the second and third rounds, winning a close 29-28 unanimous decision.
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