UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill Next Fight
Age 36
Height 5' 8"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 39
Height 5' 11"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ottman Azaitar
4.43 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
4.11 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Khama Worthy
4.18 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
57.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Ottman Azaitar - Fight History
LOSS vs Michael Johnson
KO (punch) R2 2:03 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley · Dec 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Johnson 1 19 of 50 38% 19 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Ottman Azaitar 0 16 of 56 28% 20 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Johnson 0 11 of 31 35% 11 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Ottman Azaitar 0 10 of 37 27% 14 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michael Johnson 1 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Ottman Azaitar 0 6 of 19 31% 6 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Johnson 19 of 50 38% 13 of 37 3 of 8 3 of 5 16 of 46 1 of 1 2 of 3
Ottman Azaitar 16 of 56 28% 8 of 39 7 of 12 1 of 5 15 of 55 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Johnson 11 of 31 35% 6 of 21 3 of 6 2 of 4 10 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ottman Azaitar 10 of 37 27% 5 of 25 5 of 9 0 of 3 9 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Michael Johnson 8 of 19 42% 7 of 16 0 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 3
Ottman Azaitar 6 of 19 31% 3 of 14 2 of 3 1 of 2 6 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michael Johnson

Angelo picks Johnson as the better fighter everywhere except raw power. He notes Johnson's experience, footwork, takedown defense, and positive striking differential against elite competition. He acknowledges Johnson's age and chin vulnerability, but believes Azaitar's poor cardio and reliance on a one-punch KO make Johnson the safer pick. He warns that Johnson can be knocked out, so caution is advised.

Caution on betting due to Johnson's chin.
"Johnson is the better fighter everywhere outside of just raw power and even though he is old he should be able to control the Striking potentially get takedowns and ultimately win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michael Johnson

Big Brady picks Michael Johnson to win by first-round knockout, but is very hesitant. He notes Johnson is extremely inconsistent and often loses fights he should win. He thinks Johnson is much better than Azaitar but warns to tread lightly. He is not confident in betting this fight.

fight doesn't go to distance
"I'm gonna pick Michael Johnson just because I have to because he's he's such he's so much better than Atman a zitar at everything but aitar has power and Michael Johnson loves to lose fights he's supposed to win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michael Johnson

Cody picks Michael Johnson, citing his experience, cardio, and grappling advantage. He notes Azaitar's inactivity and questionable durability since the 'potato bag' incident. Cody believes Johnson can outwork Azaitar and potentially use wrestling if needed.

"I'm going Michael Johnson as well I think Michael Johnson just beats him I I honestly do."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Michael Johnson

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Johnson is a natural counter-puncher and that Azaitar's game is not built for MMA success at this level. He points out that Azaitar's wins are over chinny or flawed opponents and that he doesn't seem to care about winning fights, only maintaining an image.

"I don't think he's doing MMA is a thing where he cares about winning MMA fights. It's just about taking them every now and then still to serve as a buffer to remind people that he's still a pro."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Daniel Vreeland picks Ottman Azaitar for the upset, citing Michael Johnson's extreme unpredictability. He notes Johnson has a history of losing fights he should win, and despite being more well-rounded and faster, Johnson often underperforms. Vreeland says he never bets on Johnson and expects Azaitar to take advantage.

"I'm gonna take opman aitar for the upset win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Johnson's fight IQ mistakes often come back to haunt him, and against heavy-handed Azaitar, he is expected to get caught. Azaitar should crash the pocket consistently and find a knockout victory within the first round and a half.

wins by KO in round 1 or early round 2
"I believe that will be the case here once again as he goes up against heavy haired opman Zer who should be able to crash the pocket consistently and end up finding a knockout Victory within the first round and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michael Johnson

Paul picks Michael Johnson, citing his experience and power. He expects a bonus-hunting fight and likes the under. Paul notes that Azaitar is a kill-or-be-killed type, but Johnson's durability and skill should prevail.

Under 2.5 rounds
"I like the unders in this fight Michael Johnson is my pick."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michael Johnson

The MMA Guru picks Michael Johnson, citing his superior hand speed and technique compared to Ottman Azaitar, who he describes as slow and hook-heavy. He notes Johnson's recent win and his competitive performance against Carlos Diego Ferreira before being knocked out. He believes Johnson will land consistently and finish Azaitar in round two via TKO. He also dismisses Azaitar's past wins as unimpressive and notes his two-fight losing streak.

TKO in round two
"I'm going to say Michael Johnson chins otoman aitar in about round two"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Michael Johnson

Zane picks Michael Johnson, arguing that Johnson remains a fast, functional striker with a good counter-punching game and has built layers of defense over his career. He notes that Azaitar is a brawling puncher who has not fought with hunger in years, living a luxurious lifestyle as an advisor to the King of Morocco, and that Johnson simply does not lose to strikers of Azaitar's level.

Azaitar opened at +186, Johnson at -214; Zane notes the odds are widening in Johnson's favor and he can't argue with it.
"I think it's a pretty straightforward Michael Johnson pick for me. 38 years be damned."
LOSS vs Francisco Prado
TKO (punches) R1 4:05 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Prado 0 14 of 33 42% 16 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ottman Azaitar 1 38 of 57 66% 42 of 61 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Prado 0 14 of 33 42% 16 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ottman Azaitar 1 38 of 57 66% 42 of 61 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Prado 14 of 33 42% 6 of 20 7 of 11 1 of 2 12 of 28 2 of 5 0 of 0
Ottman Azaitar 38 of 57 66% 31 of 46 2 of 6 5 of 5 17 of 30 1 of 1 20 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Prado 14 of 33 42% 6 of 20 7 of 11 1 of 2 12 of 28 2 of 5 0 of 0
Ottman Azaitar 38 of 57 66% 31 of 46 2 of 6 5 of 5 17 of 30 1 of 1 20 of 26
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Angelo picks Francisco Prado, citing more tools in his bag and the fact that he wasn't knocked out eight months ago like Azaitar. He notes both are powerful strikers who will go at it recklessly. He recommends betting on the fight not going the distance, even if juiced at -350, as a parlay piece. He thinks Azaitar looked terrible in his last fight after a two-year layoff.

does not go the distance at -350, parlayable
"the pick's gonna be Francisco because I think it just has more tools in the bag and he also wasn't unconscious eight months ago lying on the Octagon floor"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Big Brady picks Ottman Azaitar with little confidence, expecting a knockout. He notes Prado has a 100% finish rate but questionable striking defense, blocking punches with his face. Azaitar has power and can knock anyone out. He thinks someone gets knocked out, and he picks Azaitar to land a clean shot on Prado's 'massive head' and put him out in the first round.

First round knockout
"I'm gonna pick a zytar with little to no confidence um I think somebody's getting knocked out here ... I'm gonna take uh Optimus Eye Tattoo do the knocking out I'll say he hits the the massive head of Prado …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Cody leans toward Azaitar at plus money, citing his better level of competition and knockout power. He thinks Azaitar's power in both hands is a threat and that Prado's cardio is unknown. He acknowledges Prado could take over if it goes past the first round, but prefers Azaitar as the pre-fight play at +100. He also considers a live bet on Prado if he survives the first round.

under 1.5 rounds; live bet on Prado if he survives first round
"I think I'm leaning towards the zaytard I think it's gonna be an absolute scrub under one and a half type fight someone's probably likely getting knocked out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

The host is surprised Azaitar is the underdog, citing his experience and knockout power. He thinks Prado is not ready for Azaitar's explosivity, having faced lower-level competition. He picks Azaitar by knockout, noting the under 1.5 rounds prop is also a good play.

Azaitar by knockout; under 1.5 rounds
"give me a zytar buy knockout but under one and a half probably the best way to go about it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Paul picks Prado, citing youth and improvement. He thinks Prado's takedown defense is dreadful but his striking is solid and he hits hard. He expects Prado to have the chin to endure an early war and take over if it goes past the first round. He notes Azaitar is stiff and rigid in striking, and Prado's performance against Malarkey on short notice was promising.

looking for Prado props towards the under
"I'm gonna back the kid here I think ottman is a little bit stiff rigid and is striking... I'll go with youth in Prado"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

The MMA Guru picks Francisco Prado over Ottman Azaitar, highlighting Prado's early-round finishing ability, hand speed, and durability after a competitive loss to Jamie Mullarkey. He questions Azaitar's confidence after a KO loss and notes his age (33). He predicts Prado wins by first-round KO.

first round KO
"I think he's going to be more confident in the pocket than azitar and I think he's going to result in the first round KO for him"
LOSS vs Matt Frevola
KO (punch) R1 2:30 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matt Frevola 1 11 of 27 40% 12 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Ottman Azaitar 0 10 of 22 45% 11 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matt Frevola 1 11 of 27 40% 12 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Ottman Azaitar 0 10 of 22 45% 11 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matt Frevola 11 of 27 40% 10 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 1 7 of 22 2 of 3 2 of 2
Ottman Azaitar 10 of 22 45% 6 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matt Frevola 11 of 27 40% 10 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 1 7 of 22 2 of 3 2 of 2
Ottman Azaitar 10 of 22 45% 6 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ottman Azaitar vs. Matt Frevola
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Azaitar (-115), Frevola (-105)

Round 1
Azaitar returns to active competition for the first time since September 2020, and he looks to extended his UFC winning streak to three after back-to-back first-round finishes. Frevola, a New York native and Dana White’s Contender Series alum, is coming off a first-round TKO triumph himself. Dan Miragliotta will get his first reffing assignment of the night for this lightweight affair. Frevola comes out with big movements, missing a high kick and a spinning kick. Azaitar circles on the outside and lands a jab. Frevola answers with a body kick. Frevola moves in and lands a one-two. Azaitar backs his foe up with a front kick. A right from Azaitar backs up Frevola. He follows that with a nice front kick down the middle. A counter right lands for Frevola in an exchange, but Azaitar makes Frevola stubmle with a short left hook. Frevola snaps his foe’s head back with a jab. Azaitar looks to go on the attack as he backs Frevola into the fence with a punching combination.
That proves to be a costly decision, as Frevola lands two short rights in close quarters before putting out Azaitar’s lights with a clean left hook.
Frevola lands a couple standing-to-ground punches before Miragliotta dives in to save an unconscious Azaitar.

The Official Result
Matt Frevola def. Ottman Azaitar via KO (Punch) R1 2:30
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Angelo notes that Azaitar is a powerful striker who thrives in chaos, while Frevola is a tough wrestler who charges forward. He is concerned about Azaitar's two-year layoff but assumes he is prepared. He picks Azaitar and plans to bet on Azaitar inside the distance if the odds are favorable, because he believes if Azaitar wins it will be by stoppage, while Frevola's path is a decision.

Azaitar inside the distance (decision no action) if odds are -300 or better on BetOnline
"I'm gonna have to pick ottman zeitar here I'm gonna probably wait to play some bets"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Big Brady picks Ottman Azaitar to win by first-round knockout. He believes Frevola will choose to stand and bang, which plays into Azaitar's power. He notes Azaitar hits harder than anyone Frevola has faced, and that Frevola has been knocked out before (by Terrence McKinney in 7 seconds) and dropped multiple times. He acknowledges Azaitar's inactivity and takedown defense concerns, but trusts his power. He says if Frevola wrestles he could win, but he doesn't trust him to do so.

Azaitar by KO in round 1
"I'm gonna say he knocks out matravola in the very first round brutal knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Cody picks Azaitar, citing his legitimate power and the fact that Frevola has durability issues, having been knocked out by Marco Polo Reyes and dropped by Lando Vannata. He notes that Azaitar has been on a long layoff but was given a favorable matchup. Cody thinks Azaitar will land a big shot and finish Frevola in the first or second round.

"I think ottman azitar is gonna you know pull the bag on him and knock him out sometime in the first or second round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Connor picks Azaitar, noting that Frevola has been knocked out early by powerful punchers like Polo Reyes and Terrence McKinney. He points out that Azaitar is an accurate and aggressive finisher who comes out of the gate on point. Connor acknowledges that if the fight goes past the first round, Frevola's versatility gives him an edge, but he trusts Azaitar's early power.

"I'll pick a, a Zaytar to remain on the UFC roster and try to smuggle more drugs into foreign countries."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Daniel Levi picks Ottman Azaitar, believing he will knock out Frevola early. He notes that Frevola has a suspect chin and has been dropped in multiple fights, while Azaitar has knockout power. However, he warns that if Azaitar doesn't finish early, Frevola's pace and heart could take over in later rounds. Levi sees this as a pick'em and is leaning toward Azaitar's finishing ability.

"I think ottman gets him out of there earlier and gets him out of there early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

The host expects violence and an early finish, likely by Azaitar via KO in round 1. He notes Azaitar's 12 finishes in 13 wins and Frevola's fragility. However, he also sees a path for Frevola via submission if he survives the early onslaught. The best bet is the under 2.5 rounds to cover both scenarios. Official prediction is Azaitar by KO round 1.

under 2.5 rounds (-170)
"official prediction will be a zaitar via Finnish uh round one KO but under two and a half is what I'm going to be looking at in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Paul is torn but leans towards Azaitar getting the finish, though he is more drawn to the under 1.5 rounds prop. He notes that Azaitar hits very hard and Frevola has been knocked out before, but he is unsure about Azaitar's grappling if taken down. Paul thinks the fight will end early, likely by Azaitar KO, but he prefers the under prop.

Under 1.5 rounds at plus money
"I'm more drawn towards the under one and a half rounds... I'll side with you with uh zatar getting the Finish but I'm more drawn towards the under here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

The MMA Guru picks Ottman Azaitar, surprised he is an underdog. He notes Frevola's vulnerability in the pocket and Azaitar's power, predicting a KO in the second round. He acknowledges Azaitar's long layoff and past grappling issues but believes Frevola isn't explosive enough to exploit them.

KO in the second round
"I definitely have to go with ottoman as Iota here how can you make this guy an underdog"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

Zane picks Azaitar, comparing him to Abdul Razak Alhassan in terms of early explosiveness and accuracy. He notes that Frevola has been slept by similar fighters and that Azaitar's left hook is a real threat. Zane also mentions that Frevola's durability is questionable, and Azaitar follows up on damage well.

"I think I'll side with you. Yeah. He's going to go out there and nail for Vola with a left hook as quickly as he can."
WIN vs Khama Worthy
TKO (punches) R1 1:33 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ottman Azaitar 0 16 of 22 72% 16 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Khama Worthy 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ottman Azaitar 0 16 of 22 72% 16 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Khama Worthy 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ottman Azaitar 16 of 22 72% 12 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 5 6 of 10 7 of 7
Khama Worthy 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ottman Azaitar 16 of 22 72% 12 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 5 6 of 10 7 of 7
Khama Worthy 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Big Brady picks Khama Worthy, noting that Worthy has rejuvenated his career since moving up to 155 lbs and has a touch of death. He acknowledges that Azaitar hits extremely hard and has been rocked in fights, but Worthy's length and reach advantage could be key. He is not betting this fight but is looking at the under.

looking at the under
"I'm going to go with worthy here i think he's going to have he's going to have a three inch reach advantage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

The host is not a Worthy believer and thinks Azaitar's power and activity in the first round can draw out Worthy's counters and land his own. He likes Azaitar by first-round KO and mentions the prop at +350. However, he is skeptical about betting Azaitar at plus money and would prefer a better price.

Azaitar first round KO (+350); fight doesn't go to decision (-275)
"I'm gonna go with autumn to win this fight via first round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

The MMA Guru picks Khama Worthy, noting that Ottman Azaitar has been fed hand-picked opponents and has a criminal past but hasn't faced someone with Worthy's experience. He believes Worthy's patience and experience against tough competition will allow him to survive Azaitar's early onslaught, then slow the fight down and eventually get a third-round submission.

Third round submission
"i'm gonna go with kamal worthy getting it done moving on to the main event"
KO (punch) R1 3:33 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ottman Azaitar 1 27 of 53 50% 27 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Teemu Packalén 0 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ottman Azaitar 1 27 of 53 50% 27 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Teemu Packalén 0 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ottman Azaitar 27 of 53 50% 22 of 44 2 of 6 3 of 3 18 of 40 8 of 11 1 of 2
Teemu Packalén 8 of 19 42% 3 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 1 3 of 13 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ottman Azaitar 27 of 53 50% 22 of 44 2 of 6 3 of 3 18 of 40 8 of 11 1 of 2
Teemu Packalén 8 of 19 42% 3 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 1 3 of 13 5 of 6 0 of 0
Khama Worthy - Fight History
LOSS vs Jai Herbert
TKO (punches) R1 2:47 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khama Worthy 1 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khama Worthy 1 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 11 of 21 52% 5 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 7 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khama Worthy 24 of 46 52% 21 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 11 of 21 52% 5 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 7 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khama Worthy 24 of 46 52% 21 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Khama Worthy vs. Jai Herbert

Round 1
Hold on to your hats, because a lightweight banger is on deck when “The Deathstar” Worthy (16-8, 2-2 UFC) seeks to become the ultimate power in the universe at the expense of “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (10-3, 0-2 UFC). Fists and feet are sure to fly, and referee Chris Tognoni may need to keep his head on a swivel from the exchanges that follow the glove touch. Worthy is jittery as he starts off the round, with his hands shaking back and forth as he tries to counter Herbert. With both preparing to counter the other, very little happens the first 30 seconds of the match. Worthy steps in with a punch to the body, and he blocks an overhand right that comes at him. The Brit fires off a body kick, and he steps out of the way from a prodding jab. Herbert slings a high kick that is blocked in time, and he chambers a body kick that collides loudly to the midsection. Worthy walks through a punch to try to land a heavy front kick, but he settles for a slapping leg kick instead. Worthy sneaks a right hand around the guard, and thumps a low calf kick to follow. As Herbert tries to pay him back, a low kick of his own gets checked. “The Deathstar” blasts Herbert with a heavy leg kick that makes Herbert do a little spin, but he gathers himself to start slinging leather. Herbert catches Worthy as he starts to unload with a brutal punching combination and a head kick in the middle. A right hand wobbles Worthy, and the continuous strikes of Herbert appear to have found the thermal exhaust port of his opponent, detonating one by one as Worthy’s legs betray him. The onslaught continues, and a left hook puts Worthy face-down down on the mat. As Worthy rolls to his side, barely grasping on to his consciousness, “The Black Country Banger” continues to bang with ferocious punches from on high. As Tognoni notices that Worthy may be out, he intervenes to stop the fight and award Herbert with his first UFC win in three tries.

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Khama Worthy R1 2:47 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Angelo calls this a razor-thin pick. He notes that Khama has power and a good counter-striking game, while Jai is technical but gets hit a lot (1.3 strikes landed vs 2.66 absorbed). He thinks the odds are wide due to recency bias from Khama's knockout losses. He's not confident and won't bet the round line, but he likes Khama by a hair.

won't bet the 1.5 round line; considers 'does not go the distance'; likes less on Jai, more on Khama for monkey knife fight
"i do like camera here but my god is it a razor thin pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Big Brady picks Herbert as the younger, more talented fighter with height and reach advantages. He notes both fighters have poor striking defense and chins, but believes Worthy's chin is shot after seven knockout losses. He predicts a first-round knockout by Herbert, though acknowledges Worthy's power makes him live.

first round knockout
"i've gotta pick herbert here because he is the better fighter he's younger he's going to have a height advantage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Cody picks Jai Herbert by knockout, citing Herbert's reach advantage and Worthy's notorious inability to take a punch. He notes that Worthy has been knocked out in seven of his eight losses, often in the first minute. Cody believes Herbert will find his range and land a straight right to knock Worthy out. He expects the fight to end inside one and a half rounds.

Herbert by KO/TKO; under 1.5 rounds
"i gotta go with jay herbert i think he's a talented enough guy he looked awesome in cage warriors where he was the welterweight champion"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jai Herbert

Lock picks Herbert based on technical striking. He notes Herbert is the better boxer and should be able to outpoint Worthy. He expects Herbert to finish later in the fight as Worthy fades. He likes Herbert inside the distance.

Herbert inside the distance +100, Worthy by KO +380
"i like herbert but it's going to be difficult for me to pull the trigger here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Paul leans towards Jai Herbert, noting his reach advantage and better cardio. He expects a high-variance fight where someone gets knocked out, and he believes it will be Worthy. However, Paul acknowledges that Herbert's chin is questionable and that he could get knocked out as well. He sees this as a firefight.

Under 1.5 rounds
"i think jai herbert probably wins on volume has better cardio i think from what we have seen and has a bit of a reach advantage so i will lean towards him here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert, citing Khama Worthy's recent KO losses and questionable chin. He notes Herbert's reach advantage, first-round KO power, and better competition faced. He believes Herbert's cardio and striking will be too much for Worthy, predicting a first-round KO.

first round ko
"i'm gonna trust joy herbert to get this one done by first round ko"
LOSS vs Jamie Mullarkey
KO (punches) R1 0:46 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 1 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Khama Worthy 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 1 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Khama Worthy 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 6 of 13 46% 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Khama Worthy 5 of 10 50% 3 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 6 of 13 46% 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Khama Worthy 5 of 10 50% 3 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Big Brady picks Khama Worthy to win by third-round knockout. He notes that Mullarkey is very hittable (4.60 significant strikes absorbed per minute) and has poor striking defense. He believes Worthy's power will be too much, especially as Mullarkey slows down from his wrestling-heavy approach. He also mentions that Mullarkey's takedowns may not be effective as Worthy is dangerous off his back and can reverse position.

Worthy by KO round 3; fight doesn't go to decision; under 1.5 rounds (but notes bookies were all over that)
"i'm gonna take worthy here i'm going to take worthy to win by a third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Cody leans towards Worthy, noting his tremendous power and that he is a live dog in any spot. He worries about Worthy's durability, as he has been knocked out six times, but thinks Mullarkey doesn't have the knockout power to exploit that. He believes Mullarkey will need to wrestle, but Worthy's grappling is okay and his takedown defense is decent. He calls it a 50/50 fight.

"i'm leaning towards it don't know if the fight's going to happen"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Daniel Levi picks Khama Worthy to win, likely by decision, but expresses hesitation due to Worthy's questionable chin. He notes that Mullarkey has knockout power and a lot of heart, and could catch Worthy. However, Levi believes Worthy is the more physical and well-rounded fighter, and if he stays conscious, he should win. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

decision
"i'm gonna go with kama worthy to to probably get a decision win here maybe not knock him out like i said malarkey is a very tough customer"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The host leans toward Jamie Mullarkey as a plus-money underdog. He notes Mullarkey's well-rounded game, durability, and ability to mix strikes with takedowns, as seen in the Riddell fight. He believes Mullarkey can close the distance, grind Worthy against the cage, and win a decision. He acknowledges Worthy's power and counter-striking but thinks his takedown defense and cardio are weaknesses that Mullarkey can exploit.

"I do lean malarkey here I think he's the better overall fighter"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Paul also leans towards Worthy, calling it a dogger pass. He notes that Mullarkey got hit a lot in his previous fights and that Worthy has power to capitalize. He thinks the fight is close and that the line has moved, making Worthy a slight lean. He is not confident and may flip-flop.

"i'll pick worthy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

The Guru picks Khama Worthy by split decision or 29-28, citing Worthy's cleaner technique and better cardio. He notes Worthy has fought tougher competition and has third-round finishes, while Mullarkey fades in later rounds. He expects a close, scrappy fight with Mullarkey possibly winning the first round on the ground, but Worthy pulling ahead in the second and third. He criticizes Mullarkey's sloppiness and cardio issues seen in previous fights.

"i think kamar worthy's got that savage in him he's got third round finishes in his career"
LOSS vs Ottman Azaitar
TKO (punches) R1 1:33 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ottman Azaitar 0 16 of 22 72% 16 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Khama Worthy 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ottman Azaitar 0 16 of 22 72% 16 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Khama Worthy 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ottman Azaitar 16 of 22 72% 12 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 5 6 of 10 7 of 7
Khama Worthy 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ottman Azaitar 16 of 22 72% 12 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 5 6 of 10 7 of 7
Khama Worthy 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Big Brady picks Khama Worthy, noting that Worthy has rejuvenated his career since moving up to 155 lbs and has a touch of death. He acknowledges that Azaitar hits extremely hard and has been rocked in fights, but Worthy's length and reach advantage could be key. He is not betting this fight but is looking at the under.

looking at the under
"I'm going to go with worthy here i think he's going to have he's going to have a three inch reach advantage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

The host is not a Worthy believer and thinks Azaitar's power and activity in the first round can draw out Worthy's counters and land his own. He likes Azaitar by first-round KO and mentions the prop at +350. However, he is skeptical about betting Azaitar at plus money and would prefer a better price.

Azaitar first round KO (+350); fight doesn't go to decision (-275)
"I'm gonna go with autumn to win this fight via first round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

The MMA Guru picks Khama Worthy, noting that Ottman Azaitar has been fed hand-picked opponents and has a criminal past but hasn't faced someone with Worthy's experience. He believes Worthy's patience and experience against tough competition will allow him to survive Azaitar's early onslaught, then slow the fight down and eventually get a third-round submission.

Third round submission
"i'm gonna go with kamal worthy getting it done moving on to the main event"
WIN vs Luis Peña
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 2:53 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khama Worthy 0 38 of 77 49% 40 of 79 3 of 7 42% 3 0 4:13
Luis Peña 0 55 of 101 54% 66 of 114 0 of 0 --- 1 2 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khama Worthy 0 16 of 31 51% 16 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luis Peña 0 32 of 60 53% 32 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Khama Worthy 0 9 of 15 60% 11 of 17 2 of 2 100% 3 0 3:52
Luis Peña 0 5 of 7 71% 16 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:32
3 Khama Worthy 0 13 of 31 41% 13 of 31 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:21
Luis Peña 0 18 of 34 52% 18 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khama Worthy 38 of 77 49% 25 of 61 6 of 8 7 of 8 33 of 70 0 of 0 5 of 7
Luis Peña 55 of 101 54% 20 of 61 18 of 22 17 of 18 51 of 96 1 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khama Worthy 16 of 31 51% 8 of 21 3 of 5 5 of 5 16 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Peña 32 of 60 53% 7 of 31 12 of 16 13 of 13 32 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Khama Worthy 9 of 15 60% 8 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 7
Luis Peña 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Khama Worthy 13 of 31 41% 9 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 2 13 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Peña 18 of 34 52% 10 of 25 5 of 5 3 of 4 15 of 30 1 of 2 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Luis Peña

Big Brady picks Luis Peña confidently, stating he is the better fighter in every category except power. He notes Peña's durability, striking, and submission game, and thinks Peña can take Worthy down and submit him. He believes the line should be wider and sees value at -270. He predicts a first-round submission.

Peña by submission in round 1; line -270 has value in a parlay; Worthy's only path is a KO
"I like Peña quite a bit... one of my most confident plays here... I'm gonna go Luis Peña first round submission."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Luis Peña

Daniel Levi leans with Luis Peña, citing Peña's length, volume striking, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Peña has more answers stylistically, though he still has questions about Worthy's grappling and chin. Levi thinks Peña's training at ATT and wider array of techniques will lead to a close decision win. He acknowledges Worthy's power and experience but believes Peña's volume and durability will be the difference.

Peña wins by close decision (29-28)
"I'm gonna go with him by a 29-28 decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Luis Peña

The MMA Guru picks Luis Peña, believing he will enforce his game plan and not stand and trade with Khama Worthy. He notes Peña's wins over Steve Garcia Jr., Matt Wiman, and Steven Peterson, and predicts Peña will take the back and dominate for a 30-27 unanimous decision. He acknowledges Worthy as a live dog but is not willing to bet on him, though he hints at a small parlay hedge.

Peña by unanimous decision (30-27); small bet on Worthy as hedge
"Luis Pena wins this one by a dominant 30-27 unanimous decision... as far as live dogs go I'm not willing to bet on it I might bet on it secretly"
WIN vs Devonte Smith
TKO (punches) R1 4:15 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khama Worthy 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 1 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khama Worthy 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Devonte Smith 1 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khama Worthy 15 of 27 55% 3 of 13 2 of 3 10 of 11 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 21 of 51 41% 9 of 30 2 of 5 10 of 16 18 of 46 0 of 0 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khama Worthy 15 of 27 55% 3 of 13 2 of 3 10 of 11 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Devonte Smith 21 of 51 41% 9 of 30 2 of 5 10 of 16 18 of 46 0 of 0 3 of 5
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Big Brady picks Khama Worthy, noting that Worthy has rejuvenated his career since moving up to 155 lbs and has a touch of death. He acknowledges that Azaitar hits extremely hard and has been rocked in fights, but Worthy's length and reach advantage could be key. He is not betting this fight but is looking at the under.

looking at the under
"I'm going to go with worthy here i think he's going to have he's going to have a three inch reach advantage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ottman Azaitar

The host is not a Worthy believer and thinks Azaitar's power and activity in the first round can draw out Worthy's counters and land his own. He likes Azaitar by first-round KO and mentions the prop at +350. However, he is skeptical about betting Azaitar at plus money and would prefer a better price.

Azaitar first round KO (+350); fight doesn't go to decision (-275)
"I'm gonna go with autumn to win this fight via first round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

The MMA Guru picks Khama Worthy, noting that Ottman Azaitar has been fed hand-picked opponents and has a criminal past but hasn't faced someone with Worthy's experience. He believes Worthy's patience and experience against tough competition will allow him to survive Azaitar's early onslaught, then slow the fight down and eventually get a third-round submission.

Third round submission
"i'm gonna go with kamal worthy getting it done moving on to the main event"