Career Averages - Sijara Eubanks
Career Averages - Julia Avila
Sijara Eubanks - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 14 of 45 | 31% | 32 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 6:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 1 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 64 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 23 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 4:30 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 20 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 37 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:53 | |
| 3 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 2 of 16 | 12% | 2 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 1 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 14 of 45 | 31% | 10 of 37 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 10 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 17 of 34 | 50% | 11 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 4 of 11 | 36% | 1 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 9 of 13 | 69% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Melissa Gatto | 2 of 16 | 12% | 1 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Melissa Gatto with a half-unit bet at +190. He believes Gatto is a young up-and-comer with real potential, while Eubanks is a .500 fighter whose cardio issues may not be fully resolved. He notes that Gatto has good striking, can set up takedowns, and is aggressive on top. However, he cautions that if Eubanks' cardio holds up, she is a giant beast at 125 and could be a problem. He emphasizes that Gatto must stay on top and not pull guard.
Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks by decision, citing her experience, BJJ black belt, and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He has concerns about Eubanks' age (36) and cardio if the fight extends. He notes Gatto's poor takedown defense and submission-over-position style, but acknowledges Gatto looked improved in her last fight. He says he may not bet Eubanks due to cardio worries.
Cody leans Eubanks due to her BJJ, size, and physicality. He notes her wrestling is solid for the division and she is aggressive. However, he worries about her cardio and weight cuts. Gatto is more wily and could pressure late. Cody says it's not a high-confidence play and wants to see weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog. He likes Gatto's scrappiness, aggression, and improvement, especially her arm submissions. Levi is concerned that Eubanks's jiu-jitsu could neutralize Gatto's sub attempts, but he believes Gatto's tenacity and desire to prove herself after a layoff will carry her. He thinks Gatto can make it close if she doesn't get held down for two rounds, and sees value in the plus money.
Jacob is extremely confident in Melissa Gatto, calling it his lock of the week. He placed 5 units on her moneyline at +146, 4 units on her inside the distance (decision no action) at +170, and 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at +165. He believes Eubanks cannot bully Gatto, who has good striking and aggressive grappling. He compares it to the Miranda Maverick fight where the favorite was dominated. Jacob thinks Gatto will finish Eubanks, possibly by submission, and that the odds are moving fast.
The host picks Eubanks by decision, highlighting her superior wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Gatto plays off her back and Eubanks should be able to control her on top. He likes the decision prop at +150, as Eubanks is not a proactive finisher.
Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Eubanks is the rightful favorite but notes concerns about her cardio and weight cuts. He says to pay attention to weigh-ins. He does not commit to a pick.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an upset winner, predicting a first-round armbar submission. He notes Gatto has good jiu-jitsu and submitted Carol Rosa with a kimura. He thinks Eubanks is getting older and may entertain the ground game too much. He sees Eubanks ending up on top but getting caught in an armbar from bottom.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 22 of 40 | 55% | 37 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 22 of 40 | 55% | 37 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 22 of 40 | 55% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 34 |
| Elise Reed | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 22 of 40 | 55% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 34 |
| Elise Reed | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Elise Reed because Sijara Eubanks has cardio issues and is dropping to flyweight, which will exacerbate those problems. He notes that Eubanks is much better than her record but her cardio is a big issue. He already placed a half-unit moneyline bet on Reed. He also likes the over on the monkey knife fight line and the 3.5 round prop (buying a round on the scorecard), expecting Reed to win at least one round.
Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks to win by submission. He notes Eubanks has fought much better competition and is a legit black belt, while Reed is green and moving up a weight class. He expects Eubanks to take the fight down and grind out a finish, though he warns about Eubanks' weight cut (dropping to 125) and potential to gas. He believes even if Eubanks fades, she will have secured two rounds.
Cody picks Eubanks, calling it a walk in the park stylistically. He notes Eubanks' size, wrestling, and BJJ are too much for Reed, who has poor takedown defense. He is concerned about Eubanks' weight cut but thinks if she makes weight, she wins easily. He does not include her in parlays due to weight cut risk.
Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks, acknowledging her experience and black belt, but notes she has dropped similar prices before. He warns that Reed is tough and could make it interesting on the feet, but Eubanks should get the job done. Levi doesn't buy into the gassing narrative, but says Eubanks makes bonehead mistakes.
Jacob picks Elise Reed based on value, noting that Sijara Eubanks is a -300 favorite despite having nine straight decisions and cardio issues. He sees Reed at +690 as great value and believes the line should be closer to -300 for Eubanks. He is worried about Reed's inexperience but thinks her volume and pressure will be too much for Eubanks, who has cardio problems and is dropping weight.
The host picks Sijara Eubanks, citing her size and grappling advantage over Elise Reed, who is moving up from strawweight. He believes Eubanks will drag the fight to the ground and use her BJJ to secure a submission, possibly her first UFC finish. He notes Reed's takedown defense issues and Eubanks' improved cardio, though he acknowledges Eubanks has never submitted anyone professionally. He likes Eubanks inside the distance at +170.
Paul agrees, noting Eubanks' size and grappling advantage. He criticizes Reed's takedown defense and grappling. He thinks if Eubanks does even half of what she's capable of, she wins. He warns about weight cut issues but still picks Eubanks.
The Guru picks Eubanks, citing her toughness, experience, and close fight with Aspen Ladd. He notes Reed's split decision wins outside the UFC against lower-level competition. He believes Eubanks' UFC experience and desperation (fighting for her career) will lead to a unanimous decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 49 of 104 | 47% | 70 of 131 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:33 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 92 of 143 | 64% | 132 of 187 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 20 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:23 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 14 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 28 of 40 | 70% | 56 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 34 of 77 | 44% | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 61 of 94 | 64% | 67 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 49 of 104 | 47% | 43 of 94 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 38 of 90 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 7 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 92 of 143 | 64% | 57 of 105 | 22 of 25 | 13 of 13 | 65 of 114 | 26 of 28 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 7 of 12 | 58% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 8 of 15 | 53% | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 28 of 40 | 70% | 16 of 26 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 18 | 20 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 34 of 77 | 44% | 30 of 69 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 33 of 73 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 61 of 94 | 64% | 38 of 70 | 11 of 12 | 12 of 12 | 55 of 88 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad as an underdog, noting that Eubanks has a 7-4 record and her recent fights have all gone to decision. He believes Kianzad can sneak out a win in a decision.
Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad as a slight underdog, expecting her to stuff most takedowns and win rounds two and three with volume. He notes Eubanks' poor gas tank and Kianzad's 92% takedown defense in the UFC. However, he is not overly confident because if Kianzad gets taken down, she could be in trouble on the ground.
The host picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her striking advantage and ability to keep the fight on the feet. He is concerned about Eubanks' grappling but believes Kianzad's kicks and distance management will earn her a decision. He is not highly confident.
The Guru picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant, calling it a very close fight. He believes Eubanks is the bigger fighter with reach advantage and has faced better competition. He notes that both have similar wins and losses, but Eubanks' scrappiness and durability give her the edge. He predicts a split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 68 of 171 | 39% | 93 of 203 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 69 of 149 | 46% | 72 of 152 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 29 of 70 | 41% | 36 of 80 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 26 of 59 | 44% | 27 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 35 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 13 of 36 | 36% | 14 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 22 of 60 | 36% | 22 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 68 of 171 | 39% | 65 of 165 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 66 of 169 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 69 of 149 | 46% | 34 of 102 | 22 of 34 | 13 of 13 | 65 of 143 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 29 of 70 | 41% | 27 of 66 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 68 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 26 of 59 | 44% | 13 of 39 | 7 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 24 of 56 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 17 of 41 | 41% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 13 of 36 | 36% | 7 of 27 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ketlen Vieira | 22 of 60 | 36% | 22 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 30 of 54 | 55% | 14 of 36 | 11 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In the first and only women’s match on the card, Vieira (10-1, 4-1 UFC) will look to bounce back from her first career defeat against Eubanks (6-4, 4-2 UFC), despite the Brazilian losing the majority of her corner team due to COVID-19. The Octagon ranger for this women’s bantamweight tilt is referee Jason Herzog, and the two women greet with a glove touch. Eubanks starts off with a jab, and Vieira crashes forward to punch her way in to clinch up. Eubanks thanks her for it by punching her opponent in the thigh once, and Vieira knees her a few times before Eubanks turns her around. The Brazilian grabs the knee as soon as Eubanks brings it up to try to take the fight down, but “SarJ” stops it from happening. Vieira sticks out a jab, and Eubanks counterattacks with an overhand right. Eubanks scores a heavy leg kick and the two women slug it out for a moment. Eubanks stings her with a reaching right hand, and she avoids the right hand that aims at her body. Vieira walks through a left hook to try to clinch up in the center of the cage, and Eubanks knees her in the belly. Vieira sells out for a trip takedown, but Eubanks stuffs it and snaps her head back with an uppercut. Vieira jabs only to have her lead leg kicked, and she backs away instead of following it up. The Brazilian comes up short with a one-two, and she follows it with a looping left hand that rings off the side of Eubanks’ head. Eubanks zings a right hand over the top, but Vieira is unfazed and delivers one right back. Eubanks rips the body with a right hand and is just able to get out of the way of a big right hook. Vieira stings Eubanks with a one-two, and she lands another after landing a body shot. Eubanks decides to target the body too, and when she throws out a naked leg kick, Vieira wings a right hand that tags Eubanks. The American wears it well and engages in a short slugfest only to come up missing with her strikes while Vieira is much sharper. Vieira gets off a crisp combination that rings Eubanks’ bell, and when Eubanks tries to fire back, the Brazilian lands a takedown. “Fenomeno” stays on top until the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Round 2
Vieira opens the round with a jab, and she follows it with a one-two that Eubanks is able to swat away. Eubanks fires up a head kick that gets blocked before reaching the mark, and Vieira strides forward to clinch up. From there, the Brazilian lands a body lock takedown to get into Eubanks’ guard, where she drops down some punches as Eubanks tries to lock her down. Vieira tries to pull her arms free so that she can stay busy and keep Herzog from standing the fight up, and she does while Eubanks scoots her way to the fence. Eubanks shrugs at her corner when Vieira is trying to keep her grounded, and Vieira smacks her in the face when she does. Herzog stands the fight up without audible warning, and Eubanks appreciates the standup by letting loose several jabs and a massive right hand. Vieira blocks the right hand and lets her jab flow, leading Eubanks to crash forward and attack the body and head. Vieira is unable to counter her effectively, but she does halt an advancing Eubanks a few times with stiff jabs. When both jab at the same time, the reach advantage for Vieira allows her to land cleanly while Eubanks does not. Vieira keeps jabbing and breaking up combinations, but she takes a side kick to the body. Vieira comes back with a one-two, and ducks an overhand right that skims past her hair. Eubanks throws her foot up for a high kick, but it bounces off Vieira’s shoulder. Vieira dings her with a right hand, and then aims low when Eubanks ducks down to catch her bending over. Both women miss with one-two combination, and they swing until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Round 3
The two women touch both gloves to start off the round, and an energized Eubanks comes out firing. She slings a few looping punches that glance off the head but do not land flush, and Vieira tries to counter but comes up short. Vieira rushes in for a clinch, and when Eubanks attempts a trip, the Brazilian shoves her away. Eubanks bites down on her mouthpiece and slings a big right hook, but it is nowhere near the target. She follows it with a shorter left hook that does get Vieira’s attention, and she plants a right hand on Vieira’s face. The two women swing for the fences for a moment, with the two bantamweights windmilling punches but not connecting on much. Vieira lands a right hand as Eubanks tries to roll with it, and “SarJ” connects with a low kick to make up for it. Vieira tries to charge forward, but Eubanks greets her with a right hand to make the Brazilian back away. Vieira gets her jab back going until they start swinging with reckless abandon, and both land a few times in a wild flurry. Vieira lands a left but allows Eubanks to circle out and work the body. Vieira attempts to clinch up again, and Eubanks makes her pay with a body shot. A right hand finds its home from Vieira, and Eubanks aims one back but only partially connects. Vieira shoots in for a double but Eubanks easily sees it coming and pushes her away. When Vieira goes up top, Eubanks kicks her to the body and counters her with a right hand. The two tie up in the clinch and both try to toss the other, and the ensuing scramble from Eubanks allows her to take the Brazilian’s back standing up. Vieira rolls for a kneebar right before the 10-second clapper, and Eubanks lands several hammerfists until the final horn puts this fight in the books.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Sijara Eubanks via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Vieira, believing her ground game is superior to Eubanks' BJJ. He thinks the fight will hit the mat and Vieira will have success there. He notes Eubanks' cardio may be affected by multiple weight cuts, but expects a close decision.
Daniel Levi slightly leans Ketlen Vieira, acknowledging she is the better fighter but has concerns about her knee injury and the loss of her coach. He believes Eubanks' grappling advantage won't be as effective against Vieira, who is a serious black belt. He expects a grappling-heavy fight with Vieira getting the better of the scrambles.
The host picks Ketlen Vieira, believing her efficient striking and pressure will be too much for Sijara Eubanks. He expects Eubanks' gas tank issues to resurface as the fight goes on, leading to a third-round TKO for Vieira. He notes that Vieira is the bigger, stronger fighter and that Eubanks' takedowns will be harder to secure.
The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, noting she has been more active and has better recent wins, including over Julia Avila. He thinks Vieira's win over Kaitlyn Chookagian is aged and she hasn't fought in a long time. He predicts Eubanks wins a unanimous decision dominantly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 34 of 87 | 39% | 66 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 53 of 107 | 49% | 107 of 171 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 | 1 | 10:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 19 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 15 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:00 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 44 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 4:02 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 48 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 34 of 87 | 39% | 26 of 76 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Julia Avila | 53 of 107 | 49% | 46 of 98 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 41 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 13 of 29 | 44% | 10 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Julia Avila | 13 of 34 | 38% | 11 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 13 of 33 | 39% | 10 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Avila | 17 of 34 | 50% | 15 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Avila | 23 of 39 | 58% | 20 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 16 |
Big Brady picks Julia Avila, but expects the fight to be closer than the odds suggest. He notes Eubanks has crisp boxing and hits hard, but her cardio is a concern. Avila has decent upside and ground game, but he is worried about Eubanks' takedowns. He predicts Avila by decision, but cannot bet it himself.
The host expects Avila's pressure and 'raging panda' style to overwhelm Eubanks, who tends to fade later in fights. He notes Avila has good cardio, striking, and grappling, and predicts a second-round TKO. He also mentions the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at +130 as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila based on her convincing win over Gina Mazany and her victory over Pannie Kianzad, who beat Bethe Correia, who in turn beat Sijara Eubanks. He notes that Eubanks had a close decision with Aspen Ladd but believes Avila will out-strike her for three rounds and keep the fight standing, winning by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 85 of 171 | 49% | 104 of 190 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 |
| Sarah Moras | 0 | 44 of 138 | 31% | 84 of 179 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 27 of 67 | 40% | 27 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sarah Moras | 0 | 20 of 63 | 31% | 20 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 43 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Sarah Moras | 0 | 13 of 44 | 29% | 41 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 27 of 41 | 65% | 34 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Sarah Moras | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 23 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 85 of 171 | 49% | 69 of 150 | 12 of 15 | 4 of 6 | 62 of 136 | 5 of 7 | 18 of 28 |
| Sarah Moras | 44 of 138 | 31% | 22 of 104 | 12 of 22 | 10 of 12 | 41 of 129 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 27 of 67 | 40% | 22 of 59 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 27 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sarah Moras | 20 of 63 | 31% | 8 of 46 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 20 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 31 of 63 | 49% | 25 of 55 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 18 |
| Sarah Moras | 13 of 44 | 29% | 9 of 35 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 36 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 27 of 41 | 65% | 22 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 10 |
| Sarah Moras | 11 of 31 | 35% | 5 of 23 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is very confident in Sijara Eubanks, believing she has advantages everywhere including wrestling and striking. He thinks Eubanks will dominate from start to finish, possibly with a finish, and that Moras has poor takedown defense. He calls it Eubanks' easiest UFC fight and expects a dominant decision like 30-26 or 30-25.
Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks via unanimous decision, citing her black belt and top control advantage. He notes Moras' poor takedown defense and reliance on armbars, but warns Eubanks must avoid getting swept or caught in a submission.
The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, but expresses disdain for both fighters, calling them 'sh*t'. He says Eubanks will win because she is the less bad option, but offers no technical analysis. He notes that both have poor records and don't deserve to be in the UFC.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethe Correia | 0 | 77 of 169 | 45% | 94 of 186 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 59 of 127 | 46% | 77 of 146 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethe Correia | 0 | 31 of 59 | 52% | 48 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 15 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bethe Correia | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 21 of 45 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 24 of 48 | 50% | 34 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 3 | Bethe Correia | 0 | 25 of 65 | 38% | 25 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 24 of 55 | 43% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethe Correia | 77 of 169 | 45% | 58 of 138 | 12 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 55 of 140 | 8 of 10 | 14 of 19 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 59 of 127 | 46% | 42 of 101 | 12 of 19 | 5 of 7 | 54 of 118 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethe Correia | 31 of 59 | 52% | 24 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 19 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bethe Correia | 21 of 45 | 46% | 13 of 32 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 24 of 48 | 50% | 16 of 37 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bethe Correia | 25 of 65 | 38% | 21 of 57 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 58 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 24 of 55 | 43% | 18 of 45 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 22 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aspen Ladd | 0 | 69 of 125 | 55% | 85 of 143 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 | 0 | 6:56 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 77 of 164 | 46% | 80 of 168 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aspen Ladd | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 19 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 | |
| 2 | Aspen Ladd | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 34 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:46 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Aspen Ladd | 0 | 40 of 72 | 55% | 43 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 54 of 124 | 43% | 54 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aspen Ladd | 69 of 125 | 55% | 57 of 111 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 38 of 82 | 14 of 20 | 17 of 23 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 77 of 164 | 46% | 60 of 146 | 16 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 61 of 140 | 12 of 19 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aspen Ladd | 7 of 17 | 41% | 2 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 16 of 24 | 66% | 12 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Aspen Ladd | 22 of 36 | 61% | 19 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 23 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 7 of 16 | 43% | 3 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Aspen Ladd | 40 of 72 | 55% | 36 of 67 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 57 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 54 of 124 | 43% | 45 of 114 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 43 of 107 | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Julia Avila - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Avila | 0 | 54 of 138 | 39% | 57 of 145 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | 0 | 73 of 199 | 36% | 75 of 201 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Avila | 0 | 24 of 49 | 48% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | 0 | 32 of 81 | 39% | 32 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Julia Avila | 0 | 12 of 35 | 34% | 15 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | 0 | 17 of 54 | 31% | 17 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Julia Avila | 0 | 18 of 54 | 33% | 18 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | 0 | 24 of 64 | 37% | 26 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Avila | 54 of 138 | 39% | 17 of 86 | 9 of 18 | 28 of 34 | 51 of 134 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | 73 of 199 | 36% | 54 of 176 | 11 of 13 | 8 of 10 | 73 of 198 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Avila | 24 of 49 | 48% | 5 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 17 | 24 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | 32 of 81 | 39% | 21 of 69 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julia Avila | 12 of 35 | 34% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | 17 of 54 | 31% | 12 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Julia Avila | 18 of 54 | 33% | 8 of 38 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 8 | 15 of 51 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | 24 of 64 | 37% | 21 of 59 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 24 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cavalcanti (-440), Avila (+340)
Round 1
There still ain’t no gettin’ offa’ this train we’re on until the middle of April, so strap in and enjoy the ride. We surge through February with a UFC Apex offering, the first of three in the next five weeks for better or worse. Suitably, the event only features a couple ranked competitors and a few names could be on the chopping block should they come up short. Potentially with her back against the wall is bantamweight Avila (9-3, 3-2 UFC), who took 2024 off instead of completely retiring, having lost two of her last three. The same cannot be said for Portugal’s Cavalcanti (8-1, 3-0 UFC) who will be nine years the younger. The ladies touch ‘em up over the oversight of referee Chris Tognoni, and the fights begin. As a note, the old gloves are officially in effect for every UFC card going forward. Cavalcanti in the center of the cage paws out with jabs that clatter off the guard, and Avila gives her back a surprisingly heavy leg kick to think about. Avila kicks on the other side of the leg, and she backs off as Cavalcanti swarms her. Avila circles away to check a kick and let one go, and the two try to find their range from distance. Both lunge with long strikes, and Avila mixes in low kicks. Avila parries a front kick and chews up the Portuguese woman’s front calf, making her shake it out. Cavalcanti jabs a foot to the belly and strings a few punches together, and this activates Avila into start trading. Cavalcanti reaches out with a long left hook to intercept Avila a few times, and she gets a body shot in to further frustrate the geologist. Avila checks a kick and loops a right hand over the top to keep Cavalcanti honest. The woman from Portugal strings together a one-two down the pipe, and she chains a few punches behind it but gets smacked with an overhand right. Cavalcanti leans back to dodge the worst of the swinging strike and connects on Avila, putting in body work to open up the head. Cavalcanti brushes a pair of hooks off the temple, and she wraps a kick around the side. Avila kicks her back at the end of the round.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Round 2
Cavalcanti is the aggressor to start off the second round, having found her preferred range with jabs and kicks. Avila throws caution to the wind, absorbing a strike to get in, and she connects cleanly on her opponent. Cavalcanti shrugs it off to put a one-two on the chin and slide back from the anticipated looping counter. Avila is telegraphing her approach, giving Cavalcanti the right read to avoid the worst of the damage. Cavalcanti draws out a counter, prods out a pair of stabbing kicks to the midsection and catches a kick that flies back at her. Cavalcanti sets it down after landing once, and her one-two again is right on point. Cavalcanti snaps the head to the side with a right hand down Broadway, and Avila’s lunging blows are hitting air. Cavalcanti uses a perfect front kick to intercept the advancing Avila, stunning her and clipping her with a pair of fists. Cavalcanti wraps two punches around the guard and sneaks a kick up, with Avila practically standing straight in front of her foe taking shots. Avila sinks in on a hearty low kick, and she belts the belly with a resounding thud. As Cavalcanti turns away, Avila falls over and grabs Cavalcanti’s ankle. Cavalcanti tries to escape, but Avila torques her down to the mat and blood starts streaming down her face from a sharp right hand from the Portuguese woman. Cavalcanti controls the guard, tying Avila up from all but the least effective ground strikes, with Avila largely settling for bleeding on her foe. Avila wraps up a guillotine choke when Cavalcanti stands, but she is too slippery to get it so the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Round 3
Blood flow on Avila’s cut is largely stemmed for now, but a few good strikes in the third round will undoubtedly open it up again. Avila keeps her guard up high while rattling off solid leg kicks, and she rushes forward and gets her leg caught. The pressure of Avila surprises her opponent, as she wings punches and forces awkward exchanges befitting of her “Raging Panda” nickname. Cavalcanti slows her foe down with jabs, busting Avila’s nose up and practically ignoring anything thrown at her. Avila slings for the bleachers, but Cavalcanti is the more accurate and active of the two. Avila hurls all power, and those strikes glide past her adversary. Cavalcanti lets Avila crowd her so she can pop her with short, effective punches, and picks her opportunities to get away safely in time. Cavalcanti connects with a one-two from afar, letting Avila flail back as Avila is still swinging hard but her accuracy is falling fast. Cavalcanti lets her overswing so she can ding here, staying calm under fire and further transforming Avila’s face into a crimson mask. The two crash together at the same time, and it is Cavalcanti who bounces forward first. Avila jabs and scores a right hand to tie the heavy favorite up and jam her to the wall, but this clinch exchange will not likely get her the edge she was seeking. With seconds to go, Avila lets go with everything she has, and the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
The Official Result
Jacqueline Cavalcanti def. Julia Avila via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo is confident in Jacqueline Cavalcanti, noting she is younger, stronger, and faster. He believes Julia Avila's best days are behind her and that toughness alone is not enough. He wishes Cavalcanti wrestled more to exploit Avila's defensive gaps, but still picks her confidently.
Big Brady picks Cavalcanti, noting that while she is overrated and has gone to split decisions, Avila has no path to victory. Avila cannot take Cavalcanti down (90% takedown defense) and is outmatched on the feet. He expects a unanimous decision win for Cavalcanti.
Cavalcanti is the better striker with technical advantages that will allow her to keep the fight standing and batter Avila from distance. However, the host notes that Cavalcanti is too big a favorite and wouldn't mind a small bet on Avila for the upset. Official pick is Cavalcanti by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti over Julia Avila, citing Avila's recent loss to Miesha Tate and her age (36). He notes Cavalcanti's wins over tough opponents like Josiane Nunes and Nora Cornolle, and sees her as younger, rangier, and with more room to improve.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 32 of 37 | 86% | 127 of 152 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 10:55 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miesha Tate | 0 | 16 of 18 | 88% | 50 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:54 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miesha Tate | 0 | 16 of 18 | 88% | 69 of 82 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:50 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Miesha Tate | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miesha Tate | 32 of 37 | 86% | 31 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 29 |
| Julia Avila | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miesha Tate | 16 of 18 | 88% | 16 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 14 |
| Julia Avila | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miesha Tate | 16 of 18 | 88% | 15 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 15 |
| Julia Avila | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miesha Tate | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Avila | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Cody takes Tate as an underdog. He argues that Tate has fought much higher competition and even in losses she's competitive. He notes Avila's wins are over low-level opponents and she has poor takedown defense. He thinks Tate's experience and wrestling will be the difference, and that Avila's layoff and knee injury are concerns. He believes Tate's back class carries her.
Lucrative James leans towards Miesha Tate, citing intangibles such as Julia Avila's layoff after having a baby (possibly via C-section) and her previous gym issues. He believes Tate's grappling can neutralize Avila's striking, and that Avila's path to victory is on the feet. He suggests attacking props like Tate by decision rather than the moneyline.
Tate is a former champion with a strong wrestling base, and she should be able to take Avila down and grind out a win. Avila is aggressive but lacks technical striking and has shown takedown defense issues. Both fighters are returning from long layoffs, but Tate's wrestling advantage and underdog odds make her a good value pick. The fight is expected to get easier for Tate in rounds two and three.
Paul sides with Avila, citing her strength and striking. He thinks Tate's motivation is questionable and that this could be a retirement fight. He notes Avila is the better striker and stronger, but acknowledges Tate's higher level of competition. He has a creeping suspicion that both fighters might retire after this.
The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate as an underdog, noting her competitive fights against top competition like Ketlen Vieira and Lauren Murphy. He believes Julia Avila's inactivity and unimpressive last performance make Tate a live dog. He expects Tate to win by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Avila | 0 | 48 of 91 | 52% | 107 of 163 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 2 | 3:31 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 40 of 94 | 42% | 60 of 115 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 3:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Avila | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 29 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 27 of 65 | 41% | 27 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Julia Avila | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 42 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:28 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 21 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 | |
| 3 | Julia Avila | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 36 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 3:03 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:58 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Avila | 48 of 91 | 52% | 31 of 72 | 11 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 42 of 84 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 40 of 94 | 42% | 27 of 73 | 5 of 9 | 8 of 12 | 37 of 88 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Avila | 29 of 58 | 50% | 21 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 27 of 65 | 41% | 18 of 49 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 9 | 27 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julia Avila | 17 of 30 | 56% | 8 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 10 of 24 | 41% | 6 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Julia Avila | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Julia Avila, reasoning that Stoliarenko will accept being on her back, throw up submissions but not get any, and end up losing a decision. He notes Avila is a heavy-handed brawler who is aggressive on top. He advises staying away from Avila in betting due to high price but likes the over on strikes.
Big Brady picks Julia Avila to win by KO, citing her massive striking advantage and strength. He warns against going to the ground with Stoliarenko, who has eight armbar wins, but believes Avila can keep it standing and finish. He notes Stoliarenko's poor wrestling and that she has been finished by strikes in half her losses. He would not bet Avila at -400 but expects her to win.
Cody picks Avila, noting her athletic background and well-rounded skills. He criticizes Stoliarenko's level of competition and one-dimensional armbar game. He thinks Avila's striking and top game will be too much, and Stoliarenko's only path is pulling guard, which plays into Avila's strength. He is confident but acknowledges the price is high.
Jacob picks Julija Stoliarenko, citing her judo throw into armbar that she has done many times. He mentions that Joe Todora says Avila is his girl so he will stay away from her. Jacob is confident Stoliarenko finds a way to get the submission.
Avila should keep the fight on the feet and overpower Stoliarenko. Stoliarenko is dangerous off her back with armbars, so Avila must be careful. Avila will look for a knockout via ground and pound after dropping her. The under 2.5 rounds is intriguing as both are live for finishes. However, Avila at -345 is not a betting recommendation.
Paul picks Avila, noting Stoliarenko's poor UFC debut and limited skills. He thinks Avila's wrestling and striking are superior. He is not excited about the -360 price but sees Avila as a safe play. He mentions that Stoliarenko passed out on the scale in their previous booking, which is a red flag.
The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila, noting her better record, competition, and technique. He highlights her hands and combination punching, referencing her first-round finish of Gina Mazany. He also points out Stoliarenko's severe weight cut issues (fainting on the scales twice) as a major red flag, making Avila the safer bet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 34 of 87 | 39% | 66 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 53 of 107 | 49% | 107 of 171 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 | 1 | 10:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 19 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 15 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:00 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 44 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 4:02 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 48 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 34 of 87 | 39% | 26 of 76 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Julia Avila | 53 of 107 | 49% | 46 of 98 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 41 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 13 of 29 | 44% | 10 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Julia Avila | 13 of 34 | 38% | 11 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 13 of 33 | 39% | 10 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Avila | 17 of 34 | 50% | 15 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Avila | 23 of 39 | 58% | 20 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 16 |
Big Brady picks Julia Avila, but expects the fight to be closer than the odds suggest. He notes Eubanks has crisp boxing and hits hard, but her cardio is a concern. Avila has decent upside and ground game, but he is worried about Eubanks' takedowns. He predicts Avila by decision, but cannot bet it himself.
The host expects Avila's pressure and 'raging panda' style to overwhelm Eubanks, who tends to fade later in fights. He notes Avila has good cardio, striking, and grappling, and predicts a second-round TKO. He also mentions the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at +130 as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila based on her convincing win over Gina Mazany and her victory over Pannie Kianzad, who beat Bethe Correia, who in turn beat Sijara Eubanks. He notes that Eubanks had a close decision with Aspen Ladd but believes Avila will out-strike her for three rounds and keep the fight standing, winning by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Avila | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Avila | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Avila | 11 of 20 | 55% | 10 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Gina Mazany | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Avila | 11 of 20 | 55% | 10 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Gina Mazany | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila, stating that Gina Mazany is not very good at fighting and is taking the fight on short notice. He notes that Avila is the bigger girl at the weight class. He confidently predicts Avila will get the job done.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Avila | 1 | 49 of 122 | 40% | 66 of 142 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:46 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 33 of 83 | 39% | 39 of 95 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Avila | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 32 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:47 | |
| 2 | Julia Avila | 0 | 18 of 51 | 35% | 19 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 17 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 | |
| 3 | Julia Avila | 1 | 11 of 33 | 33% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:44 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Avila | 49 of 122 | 40% | 30 of 96 | 11 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 28 of 93 | 17 of 23 | 4 of 6 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 33 of 83 | 39% | 26 of 73 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 69 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Avila | 20 of 38 | 52% | 12 of 29 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 25 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 17 of 33 | 51% | 15 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 22 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julia Avila | 18 of 51 | 35% | 11 of 39 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 43 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 14 of 38 | 36% | 10 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Julia Avila | 11 of 33 | 33% | 7 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 6 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 2 of 12 | 16% | 1 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Julia Avila, but expects the fight to be closer than the odds suggest. He notes Eubanks has crisp boxing and hits hard, but her cardio is a concern. Avila has decent upside and ground game, but he is worried about Eubanks' takedowns. He predicts Avila by decision, but cannot bet it himself.
The host expects Avila's pressure and 'raging panda' style to overwhelm Eubanks, who tends to fade later in fights. He notes Avila has good cardio, striking, and grappling, and predicts a second-round TKO. He also mentions the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at +130 as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila based on her convincing win over Gina Mazany and her victory over Pannie Kianzad, who beat Bethe Correia, who in turn beat Sijara Eubanks. He notes that Eubanks had a close decision with Aspen Ladd but believes Avila will out-strike her for three rounds and keep the fight standing, winning by unanimous decision.
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