Career Averages - Alistair Overeem
Career Averages - Augusto Sakai
Alistair Overeem - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 54 of 88 | 61% | 54 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 33 of 53 | 62% | 33 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 10 of 20 | 50% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 54 of 88 | 61% | 47 of 81 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 40 of 65 | 11 of 18 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 8 of 14 | 57% | 3 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 33 of 53 | 62% | 26 of 46 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 34 | 8 of 14 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkov | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 21 of 35 | 60% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Five hundred nineteen and one-half pounds, not counting referee Jason Herzog, are in the cage now for our headliner. The two heavyweight strikers in Overeem (47-18, 1 NC; 12-7 UFC) and Volkov (32-8, 6-2 UFC) will determine who is perhaps a win away for a title shot, while the other falls to the middle of the pack with their hopes dashed. The big men respectfully touch gloves, and the cage door seals behind them as we begin. Volkov lands a huge leg kick, and Overeem backs off to shell up against the fence. Volkov lands a few strikes but does not fall into a trap of Overeem letting loose a counter strike. The Russian pulls back at the last second of a big kick to draw a reaction out of his opponent, and his strikes are already making Overeem flinch. Volkov lands a front kick down the middle, and Overeem tries to catch it and lets it go. Volkov chops at the calf with a kick, and he does not follow it and instead eats a huge right hand from “The Demolition Man.” Overeem loads up with another, and Volkov eats it like borscht and retreats against the cage wall. Volkov stalks down his opponent, but he takes a right hand and clinches up. Volkov separates, and he absorbs a left hand and fights off a takedown attempt. Volkov fires off a high kick that is blocked, and a single jab is pawed away without issue. Overeem ducks forward to land a big uppercut, and he continues along with a thudding body kick. Overeem backs off to land a kick to the thigh, and Volkov counters him with a left hand that puts Overeem down. Overeem might not be hurt and he may have slipped, but Volkov chases after him to hammer him with punches. Not sensing a finish, Volkov lets him back up and reaches out with his left jab. Volkov lands a couple punches and a knee up the middle, and he backs off to land a heavy kick to the body. Overeem lunges forward with a left hand, and Volkov picks at him with a low kick and a jab. Volkov chambers a right hand but does not throw it, and Overeem swings and misses wildly with a looping left. Volkov assaults Overeem with a barrage of punches, and Overeem covers up and takes some damage as his face is marked up. The round ends with Overeem aiming a punch to the body.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Round 2
The heavyweights touch gloves to stat off the second round, and Overeem rushes forward shoulder first and eats a right hand. Overeem lets loose a head kick that gets blocked, and Volkov triples up on his left hand to sting Overeem. A solid one-two snaps Overeem’s head back, and Overeem ducks down to wing a left hook but it glances off the guard. Overeem crashes in to tie the Russian up, but he pushes Volkov away and gets jabbed. Volkov splits the guard with a few punches, and Overeem is stalking him down and pushes him back into the cage wall. “Drago” connects with a heavy one-two, and Overeem is in the danger zone. Overeem turns away as he takes another punch, and Volkov rips into him with punches in bunches. Volkov measures his shots and does not punch himself out, and Herzog cautions Overeem to defend himself. Overeem attacks a takedown but it is easily stuffed.
Volkov measures his strikes and lands punches that make Overeem’s legs wobble. “Drago” fires off a deadly one-two, and a bloodied Overeem stumbles to the canvas and topples over. Herzog has seen enough, and Volkov walks off knowing his work tonight is done.
We have a legitimate, new heavyweight contender on the rise, as Volkov notched a very impressive win against a devastatingly effective striker with a penchant for nasty finishes. Volkov goes down to join Overeem on his knees to thank him for the fight, showing respect for the legendary Dutchman in victory. In his post-fight interview, an eerily calm Volkov says it is his time, and that he is not done improving. With this fight card in the books, we return next week with a pay-per-view offering putting the welterweight title on the line.
The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Alistair Overeem R2 2:06 via TKO (Punches)
Big Brady picks Alexander Volkov, emphasizing his cardio, output, and takedown defense. He notes that Overeem's chin is completely shot and that he has been knocked out 14 times. He expects Volkov to be the 15th to knock him out, likely in the later rounds. He also suggests looking at the over 1.5 rounds prop.
Daniel Levi picks Alexander Volkov, citing his improved power at 265 pounds and his ability to sit down on punches. He notes Volkov's 40 pro fights and prime condition, and expects him to outpoint and eventually knock out Overeem. He respects Overeem but believes Volkov's size and power will be decisive.
Overeem has shown evolution in his game since joining Team Elevation, landing 7 takedowns in his last 5 fights compared to only 3 in his first 13 UFC fights. He has accrued almost 18 minutes of control time in his last 3 fights, showing he can grind out wins. Volkov's takedown defense is sketchy (66% according to UFC stats) and he was taken down 14 times by Curtis Blaydes. Overeem's chin has held up well recently, and Volkov is not a one-punch knockout artist. Overeem's clinch work, knees, and top pressure should be key. I expect Overeem to slow the fight down, take Volkov down, and control him against the cage, winning a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Alexander Volkov, praising his patience, versatility, and takedown defense shown against Curtis Blaydes. He notes Overeem's tendency to shell up and get hit, and believes Volkov's front kicks and body work will be key. He predicts a second-round TKO via body shots, similar to Volkov's win over Walt Harris.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 92 of 114 | 80% | 106 of 131 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:29 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 99 of 173 | 57% | 120 of 196 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 24 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 13 of 16 | 81% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 | |
| 3 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 23 of 27 | 85% | 26 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 34 of 54 | 62% | 48 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 4 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 40 of 48 | 83% | 49 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 5 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 92 of 114 | 80% | 53 of 73 | 30 of 31 | 9 of 10 | 28 of 43 | 16 of 16 | 48 of 55 |
| Augusto Sakai | 99 of 173 | 57% | 66 of 130 | 25 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 62 of 127 | 35 of 43 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 11 of 18 | 61% | 2 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 22 of 36 | 61% | 13 of 23 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 27 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 13 of 16 | 81% | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 24 of 40 | 60% | 12 of 24 | 11 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 22 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alistair Overeem | 23 of 27 | 85% | 10 of 14 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 11 |
| Augusto Sakai | 34 of 54 | 62% | 27 of 47 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 37 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 3 | |
| 4 | Alistair Overeem | 40 of 48 | 83% | 31 of 38 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 39 |
| Augusto Sakai | 19 of 43 | 44% | 14 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Alistair Overeem | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sakai mainly as a fade on Overeem's chin, noting Overeem has 13 knockout losses. He acknowledges Sakai is not a huge power puncher but believes he can catch Overeem. He mentions Overeem might have better cardio and could take Sakai down, but Sakai has 83% takedown defense. He suggests betting Sakai inside the distance.
Daniel Levi picks Augusto Sakai to upset Alistair Overeem. He notes Sakai's underrated chin, having taken full KO blows from Arlovski without being hurt, and his methodical Muay Thai striking. Levi is concerned about Overeem's chin and tendency to admire his work, and believes Sakai will eventually catch Overeem, predicting a third-round knockout. He also mentions Sakai's competitive running background as a plus for cardio.
The host picks Overeem to win by third or fourth round TKO. He believes Overeem is better everywhere, with improved grappling and cardio since joining Team Elevation. He expects Overeem to wear on Sakai against the cage, take him down, and pound him out. He notes Overeem's chin is a concern but thinks he can survive Sakai's early power.
The MMA Guru picks Alistair Overeem, citing Sakai's lack of impressive wins and a controversial split decision over Andrei Arlovski that he considers a robbery. He believes Overeem's experience and ability to survive early storms will be key, and predicts a second or third round TKO via ground and pound. He notes Overeem's unappealing ground and pound style but expects it to be effective.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 68 of 85 | 80% | 97 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Walt Harris | 1 | 25 of 48 | 52% | 25 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 27 of 33 | 81% | 48 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Walt Harris | 1 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 1 | 41 of 52 | 78% | 49 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Walt Harris | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 68 of 85 | 80% | 58 of 75 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 60 of 74 |
| Walt Harris | 25 of 48 | 52% | 19 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 26 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 27 of 33 | 81% | 21 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 28 |
| Walt Harris | 24 of 42 | 57% | 18 of 36 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 26 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 41 of 52 | 78% | 37 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 46 |
| Walt Harris | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Walt Harris by first-round knockout, citing Overeem's diminished chin and Harris' power. He notes that Overeem is likely the better fighter overall but cannot be trusted due to his chin, which has been knocked out 13 times. He believes Harris will land one shot and finish the fight. He acknowledges that Overeem could win if he takes Harris down, but doubts his wrestling is good enough. He mentions the emotional motivation for Harris after his daughter's passing.
Daniel Levi picks Walt Harris via vicious knockout. He believes Harris has turned a corner, putting things together, and has the proper technique and power to put away Overeem. He notes that Overeem is the more skilled fighter but has a small margin for error and is in denial about his recent KO loss. Levi emphasizes that Harris should stay composed and not fight too emotionally.
The host is torn but ultimately picks Overeem, citing his experience and ability to adjust after the Rozenstruik fight. He believes Overeem will be elusive, avoid Harris's early power, and take the fight to the ground for a TKO. He admits he's rooting for Harris due to his personal story but thinks Overeem's skills and tools will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 74 of 105 | 70% | 101 of 135 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 8:19 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 89 of 209 | 42% | 109 of 229 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 13 of 15 | 86% | 27 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 14 of 20 | 70% | 17 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 27 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 22 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 18 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 30 of 73 | 41% | 30 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 21 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 74 of 105 | 70% | 48 of 76 | 12 of 13 | 14 of 16 | 46 of 76 | 9 of 9 | 19 of 20 |
| Alistair Overeem | 89 of 209 | 42% | 57 of 169 | 16 of 20 | 16 of 20 | 68 of 180 | 19 of 27 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 13 of 15 | 86% | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 10 |
| Alistair Overeem | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 14 of 20 | 70% | 4 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 13 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 19 of 35 | 54% | 9 of 23 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 25 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 18 of 25 | 72% | 14 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 10 |
| Alistair Overeem | 14 of 33 | 42% | 7 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 26 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | |
| 4 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 18 of 28 | 64% | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 18 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 30 of 73 | 41% | 23 of 63 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 5 | 25 of 64 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 11 of 17 | 64% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 21 of 55 | 38% | 17 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 19 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 29 of 33 | 87% | 31 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 38 of 58 | 65% | 78 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 1 | 29 of 33 | 87% | 31 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 0 | 38 of 58 | 65% | 78 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 29 of 33 | 87% | 23 of 27 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 13 | 12 of 12 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 38 of 58 | 65% | 15 of 34 | 23 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 26 | 26 of 32 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 29 of 33 | 87% | 23 of 27 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 13 | 12 of 12 |
| Aleksei Oleinik | 38 of 58 | 65% | 15 of 34 | 23 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 26 | 26 of 32 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 22 of 26 | 84% | 26 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Sergei Pavlovich | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 18 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 22 of 26 | 84% | 26 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Sergei Pavlovich | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 18 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 22 of 26 | 84% | 13 of 16 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 12 of 14 |
| Sergei Pavlovich | 13 of 32 | 40% | 9 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 22 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 22 of 26 | 84% | 13 of 16 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 12 of 14 |
| Sergei Pavlovich | 13 of 32 | 40% | 9 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 22 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Overeem crouches low with a high guard as he circles Pavlovich, feinting and testing the reactions of the Russian newcomer. Pavlovich clips “The ‘Reem” with a right hand, then shoves him away when Overeem attempts to tie up. An uppercut leaves Overeem covering up momentarily, but he recovers and drives forward to push Pavlovich against the wall. Pavlovich spins to the outside position in the clinch and walks Overeem out toward the middle, then the Dutchman reclaims control and marches him back to the fence. Pavlovich drops levels to try a double-leg, and now Overeem abandons the clinch to step back to the center. Overeem swings a big right hand at Pavlovich, tries to grab the Russian in the Thai clinch and winds up tossing him to the ground. Overeem kneels down in Pavlovich’s open guard, then stands over him with 60 seconds on the clock. Suddenly, Overeem turns up the volume on his right hands, smashing Pavlovich’s face with thunderous hammerfists. Pavlovich eats a couple punches before going fetal and turning away from Overeem. The body language is not good, and Overeem continues to pour on the right hands, prompting referee John Sharp to step in for the stoppage.
The Result
Alistair Overeem def. Sergey Pavlovich via TKO (Punches) R1 4:21
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Blaydes | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 24 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 37 of 53 | 69% | 62 of 85 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curtis Blaydes | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 9 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | |
| 2 | Curtis Blaydes | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 25 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 | |
| 3 | Curtis Blaydes | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 23 of 28 | 82% | 28 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Blaydes | 7 of 12 | 58% | 3 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Alistair Overeem | 37 of 53 | 69% | 32 of 48 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 16 | 12 of 14 | 22 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curtis Blaydes | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Curtis Blaydes | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 13 of 20 | 65% | 10 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 11 | |
| 3 | Curtis Blaydes | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 23 of 28 | 82% | 21 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 10 of 11 | 10 of 11 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francis Ngannou | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Ngannou | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francis Ngannou | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alistair Overeem | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Augusto Sakai - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 53 of 95 | 55% | 107 of 173 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 8:51 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 29 of 62 | 46% | 77 of 121 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 19 of 38 | 50% | 31 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 29 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 46 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 31 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:06 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 18 of 30 | 60% | 30 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 53 of 95 | 55% | 27 of 65 | 18 of 22 | 8 of 8 | 21 of 49 | 30 of 42 | 2 of 4 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 29 of 62 | 46% | 15 of 46 | 10 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 56 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 19 of 38 | 50% | 10 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 14 | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 13 of 20 | 65% | 4 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 16 of 27 | 59% | 6 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 20 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 4 of 15 | 26% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 18 of 30 | 60% | 11 of 21 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 4 |
| Don'Tale Mayes | 12 of 27 | 44% | 9 of 22 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Connor picks Sakai, believing he can edge out a win by slowing the fight down with clinch work and using his durability. He notes that Mayes' inability to hit the same spot repeatedly makes it unlikely he'll knock Sakai out, and Sakai will do just enough work to pull out a decision. Connor acknowledges it's a close fight and that Sakai's confidence may be shaken, but he trusts Sakai's meat-and-potatoes approach over Mayes' chaos.
Zane picks Mayes despite his lack of structure, because Sakai's confidence has taken a hit after four straight finishes. He notes that Mayes is athletic, durable, and willing to try takedowns, and Sakai is not good on the ground. However, Zane admits he has no good reason to pick Mayes and calls it a coin flip, but he feels Sakai is not feeling himself lately.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 86 of 119 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 6:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 36 of 43 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 4:09 | |
| 2 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 2 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 50 of 76 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 8 of 23 | 34% | 1 of 14 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 17 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 33 of 49 | 67% | 33 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 7 of 11 | 63% | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 10 of 13 | 76% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | |
| 2 | Serghei Spivac | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 23 of 36 | 63% | 23 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 27 |
Angelo picks Serghei Spivac, expecting him to use a cage-pressing and takedown-heavy game plan similar to his win over Tai Tuivasa. He notes Sakai's takedown defense is solid but has been exploited by Alistair Overeem, and believes Spivac can get takedowns and potentially stop Sakai, who has no movement off his back. He plans to bet on Spivac's moneyline.
Big Brady picks Serghei Spivac, citing his strong wrestling and ground game. He notes that Augusto Sakai is on a three-fight losing streak, all by finish, and has poor defense off his back. Spivac has 60% takedown accuracy and dangerous ground-and-pound and submissions. Brady predicts a second-round finish by TKO or submission, though he acknowledges Sakai's power and the possibility of a knockout if Spivac chooses to strike.
Cody picks Spivac, citing his improvements and youth. He notes that Spivac will likely take Sakai down and maul him, as Sakai has shown poor takedown defense and cardio issues. Cody mentions that Sakai has become gun-shy since the Overeem loss and doesn't let his hands go. He believes Spivac's grappling will be the difference.
Daniel Levi picks Spivac but with low confidence, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation. He notes Sakai has been knocked out in his last two fights but Spivac lacks one-punch power, so Sakai could be competitive if his chin holds. Levi thinks Spivac's path to victory is via takedowns and ground control, but he's not confident enough to bet the -250 line.
Paul picks Sakai as a dog, noting that Sakai has power and a striking advantage. He mentions that Spivac has been knocked out before and that Sakai can crack. Paul is waiting for weigh-ins to see if Sakai has improved his conditioning. He sees a path for Sakai by knockout, especially if he can keep the fight standing.
The MMA Guru picks Serghei Spivac by decision 29-28. He calls Augusto Sakai a 'fat slob' who is too timid and has been KO'd three times in a row. He notes Spivac's deceptive size, good grappling (flipping Greg Hardy), and ability to adjust. He expects Sakai to make it difficult but Spivac to win a close fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 40 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Augusto Sakai | 1 | 34 of 52 | 65% | 44 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 38 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 34 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 | |
| 2 | Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Augusto Sakai | 1 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Tuivasa | 21 of 29 | 72% | 6 of 12 | 12 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 12 | 16 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 34 of 52 | 65% | 26 of 43 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 27 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai Tuivasa | 19 of 26 | 73% | 4 of 9 | 12 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 24 of 37 | 64% | 16 of 28 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 19 of 21 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tai Tuivasa | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 10 of 15 | 66% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Meat is on the menu for this lone rumble on the card above 185 pounds, when Sakai (15-3-1, 4-2 UFC) and Tuivasa (12-3, 6-3 UFC) combine for 528 ready pounds inside the Octagon. Both sport 11 wins by knockout hoping to land another as rare members of the 30-and-under heavyweight club. The third man in the cage is referee Mark Smith, who hopes not to get blonked by an errant blow when these two come out swinging. They do clap hands to get things going, and the fight begins with Tuivasa taking the center of the cage plodding forward to walk Sakai down. Neither throw a strike of note for the first 55 seconds, until Sakai lands a single leg kick to counter a jab from the Aussie. Sakai goes back to circling along the outside, and he pops Tuivasa with another low leg kick. Tuivasa eats another as he continues to walk forward without engaging, until he looses a short combination that leads to him clinch up with his opponent. A stalemate ensues as they cling on one another, and Sakai is warned for smacking Tuivasa in the back of the head with a short shot. Tuivasa gets off a few punches to the midsection, and Sakai takes that personally as he turns him around and they both throw leather. Neither land flush, and Tuivasa returns to his constant forward motion. Tuivasa loads up with a huge uppercut, and he wings punches until Sakai ties him up. The Brazilian defends with his back against the wall with punches on Tuivasa’s ear, and he thinks to set up a high standing guillotine but there is nothing there. Sakai winds up with a knee right to the midsection, and he starts ripping them to the body to decent effect. The Aussie complains one might have gone low, and when Smith does not intervene, Tuivasa takes things into his own hands as he elbows Sakai hard on the chin. Tuivasa lets loose with a short barrage of blows, and Sakai slows him down with a few knees to the belly before the round ends in the clinch.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tuivasa
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tuivasa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tuivasa
Round 2
The fighters meet in the center of the cage and throw, and it is Tuivasa who lands flush first and in volume. Sakai is hurt after taking a left hook square on the chin, and he falls back to the wall while trying to blink it out.
“Bam Bam” does not let him off the hook, blasting him with huge punches as Sakai is barely on his feet. The Aussie lets it rip as he chains punches together, and one lands right on the button to completely disable Sakai. Sakai falls to the ground, consciousness completely stripped away, and his leg bends back in a scary way reminiscent of Mirko Filipovic against Gabriel Gonzaga.
The walk-off knockout successful, Tuivasa jumps on top of the cage and signals for someone to throw him a shoe and a can of beer. In what has become his trademark, Tuivasa completely wins the crowd over by pouring the full beer in the shoe and pounding it after a dramatic victory. That’s four in a row for the boisterous Aussie, who could not be happier with his performance.
The Official Result
Tai Tuivasa def. Augusto Sakai R2 0:26 via KO (Punches)
Big Brady edges with Augusto Sakai in a close fight. He notes that both fighters have similar striking and grappling numbers, but Sakai has better cardio and has gone to decisions against tough opponents. Tuivasa tends to fade after the first round, while Sakai is more comfortable in later rounds. Brady expects Sakai to win a 29-28 decision, but acknowledges Tuivasa's power and early-round finishing ability make this a pick'em.
Daniel Levi picks Tai Tuivasa, noting that Sakai's chin has been checked in his last two losses and his confidence may be shaken. He believes Tuivasa's brawling style and power could get Sakai out early. Levi acknowledges that an extended fight favors Sakai's methodical approach, but he thinks Tuivasa will have big moments that sway the judges. He also mentions Tuivasa's improved training at AKA and lifestyle changes. Levi is not sure it will be a knockout but expects Tuivasa to win.
The MMA Guru picks Tai Tuivasa to win by first-round KO. He highlights Tuivasa's improved cardio and calf kicks, which he believes will wear down Sakai. He criticizes Sakai's chin and notes he is coming off a KO loss. He predicts Tuivasa will land a counter right hand or left hook to finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 1 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 1 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 16 of 29 | 55% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Augusto Sakai | 3 of 14 | 21% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 16 of 29 | 55% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Augusto Sakai | 3 of 14 | 21% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady thinks the line should be flipped and Sakai should be favored. He notes Rozenstruik has the worst striking defense in the heavyweight division (39%) and a negative strike differential, while Sakai has higher volume and a positive differential. He believes Sakai has a good chin and can outwork Rozenstruik over five rounds, possibly getting a late finish. He acknowledges Rozenstruik's power but thinks Sakai is the better fighter.
Cody leans toward Sakai, noting Rozenstruik's tendency to be tentative and take too long to get going. He points out that Sakai has fast hands and good movement, and if he can improve his cardio from the Overeem fight, he could win early rounds. Cody also mentions that Rozenstruik's power is a threat but Sakai is durable. He suggests the over on rounds and that Sakai could win a decision if he doesn't fade.
Daniel favors Sakai because he believes Sakai will be the one moving forward with more volume and a more well-rounded game. He notes that Sakai has a methodical Muay Thai style and good output, while Rozenstruik relies heavily on counter-fighting and one-punch knockout power. Daniel points out that Rozenstruik has been down on scorecards before (e.g., the Overeem fight) and that Sakai is the better round winner. He also mentions that Sakai has a good chin and can take a shot, making it hard for Rozenstruik to land a clean counter. Daniel predicts Sakai will win a decision or possibly by outworking Rozenstruik over five rounds.
Rozenstruik is a one-dimensional knockout artist who is tentative against longer fighters. Sakai has better volume and can use clinch work and takedowns to neutralize Rozenstruik's power. Sakai will win a decision.
Paul picks Sakai as a slight underdog, citing Sakai's fast hands and movement for a heavyweight, and his volume punching. He notes Sakai's cardio failed against Overeem but hopes he has improved. Paul is hesitant because Rozenstruik has power and five-round experience, but he can't get behind Rozenstruik's low volume and slow starts. He suggests the fight starts round three as a prop.
The Guru picks Augusto Sakai, expressing frustration with Rozenstruik's hesitancy and lack of urgency, especially in the Cyril Gane fight. He notes Sakai's good chin, pressure, and ability to mix kicks. He compares their fights against Overeem: Sakai was winning early before gassing, while Rozenstruik was dominated. He predicts Sakai will walk Rozenstruik down, pressure him against the cage, and get a second-round TKO via ground and pound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 0 | 92 of 114 | 80% | 106 of 131 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:29 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 99 of 173 | 57% | 120 of 196 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 24 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 13 of 16 | 81% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 | |
| 3 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 23 of 27 | 85% | 26 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 34 of 54 | 62% | 48 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 4 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 40 of 48 | 83% | 49 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 5 | Alistair Overeem | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Overeem | 92 of 114 | 80% | 53 of 73 | 30 of 31 | 9 of 10 | 28 of 43 | 16 of 16 | 48 of 55 |
| Augusto Sakai | 99 of 173 | 57% | 66 of 130 | 25 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 62 of 127 | 35 of 43 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alistair Overeem | 11 of 18 | 61% | 2 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 22 of 36 | 61% | 13 of 23 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 27 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alistair Overeem | 13 of 16 | 81% | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Augusto Sakai | 24 of 40 | 60% | 12 of 24 | 11 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 22 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alistair Overeem | 23 of 27 | 85% | 10 of 14 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 11 |
| Augusto Sakai | 34 of 54 | 62% | 27 of 47 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 37 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 3 | |
| 4 | Alistair Overeem | 40 of 48 | 83% | 31 of 38 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 39 |
| Augusto Sakai | 19 of 43 | 44% | 14 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Alistair Overeem | 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Augusto Sakai | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sakai mainly as a fade on Overeem's chin, noting Overeem has 13 knockout losses. He acknowledges Sakai is not a huge power puncher but believes he can catch Overeem. He mentions Overeem might have better cardio and could take Sakai down, but Sakai has 83% takedown defense. He suggests betting Sakai inside the distance.
Daniel Levi picks Augusto Sakai to upset Alistair Overeem. He notes Sakai's underrated chin, having taken full KO blows from Arlovski without being hurt, and his methodical Muay Thai striking. Levi is concerned about Overeem's chin and tendency to admire his work, and believes Sakai will eventually catch Overeem, predicting a third-round knockout. He also mentions Sakai's competitive running background as a plus for cardio.
The host picks Overeem to win by third or fourth round TKO. He believes Overeem is better everywhere, with improved grappling and cardio since joining Team Elevation. He expects Overeem to wear on Sakai against the cage, take him down, and pound him out. He notes Overeem's chin is a concern but thinks he can survive Sakai's early power.
The MMA Guru picks Alistair Overeem, citing Sakai's lack of impressive wins and a controversial split decision over Andrei Arlovski that he considers a robbery. He believes Overeem's experience and ability to survive early storms will be key, and predicts a second or third round TKO via ground and pound. He notes Overeem's unappealing ground and pound style but expects it to be effective.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 66 of 125 | 52% | 71 of 130 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 78 of 161 | 48% | 89 of 174 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 16 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 30 of 49 | 61% | 31 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 39 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 21 of 49 | 42% | 21 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 34 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 66 of 125 | 52% | 47 of 105 | 18 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 52 of 107 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 3 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 78 of 161 | 48% | 35 of 105 | 28 of 38 | 15 of 18 | 62 of 144 | 14 of 15 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 15 of 27 | 55% | 9 of 21 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 12 of 38 | 31% | 3 of 24 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 30 of 49 | 61% | 20 of 39 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 34 of 61 | 55% | 18 of 40 | 9 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 23 of 50 | 9 of 9 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 21 of 49 | 42% | 18 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 46 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 32 of 62 | 51% | 14 of 41 | 15 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 29 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Augusto Sakai to win a very close decision. He thinks Sakai will land more volume and that Ivanov's grappling game plan is unlikely to materialize since Ivanov hasn't used takedowns much in the UFC. He notes that both fighters have great chins and have never been finished, so he expects a boring heavyweight fight that goes to the judges. He admits it's a close fight and wouldn't be surprised if Ivanov gets the decision.
Daniel picks Sakai, citing his improvements in diet and conditioning, his muay thai skills, and his ability to pressure and outwork Ivanov. He notes that Ivanov is one-dimensional, only countering with left hands, and that Sakai's volume and durability will be key. He believes Sakai can either knock out Ivanov or win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Augusto Sakai to win by first-round TKO. He compares Sakai to Derrick Lewis but with better technique and more fight IQ. He predicts Sakai will push Ivanov against the cage and land knees and elbows in the clinch for a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marcin Tybura | 1 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marcin Tybura | 1 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Tybura | 15 of 27 | 55% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Tybura | 15 of 27 | 55% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 0 | 75 of 175 | 42% | 82 of 182 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 42 of 132 | 31% | 51 of 141 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 13 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 25 of 70 | 35% | 26 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 17 of 47 | 36% | 19 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 0 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 33 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 0 | 16 of 53 | 30% | 19 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Sakai | 75 of 175 | 42% | 31 of 126 | 29 of 31 | 15 of 18 | 65 of 164 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 42 of 132 | 31% | 26 of 108 | 8 of 12 | 8 of 12 | 30 of 113 | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusto Sakai | 19 of 47 | 40% | 11 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 44 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 9 of 32 | 28% | 5 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Augusto Sakai | 25 of 70 | 35% | 8 of 50 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 7 | 22 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 17 of 47 | 36% | 12 of 39 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Augusto Sakai | 31 of 58 | 53% | 12 of 39 | 12 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 53 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 16 of 53 | 30% | 9 of 44 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 38 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Sakai mainly as a fade on Overeem's chin, noting Overeem has 13 knockout losses. He acknowledges Sakai is not a huge power puncher but believes he can catch Overeem. He mentions Overeem might have better cardio and could take Sakai down, but Sakai has 83% takedown defense. He suggests betting Sakai inside the distance.
Daniel Levi picks Augusto Sakai to upset Alistair Overeem. He notes Sakai's underrated chin, having taken full KO blows from Arlovski without being hurt, and his methodical Muay Thai striking. Levi is concerned about Overeem's chin and tendency to admire his work, and believes Sakai will eventually catch Overeem, predicting a third-round knockout. He also mentions Sakai's competitive running background as a plus for cardio.
The host picks Overeem to win by third or fourth round TKO. He believes Overeem is better everywhere, with improved grappling and cardio since joining Team Elevation. He expects Overeem to wear on Sakai against the cage, take him down, and pound him out. He notes Overeem's chin is a concern but thinks he can survive Sakai's early power.
The MMA Guru picks Alistair Overeem, citing Sakai's lack of impressive wins and a controversial split decision over Andrei Arlovski that he considers a robbery. He believes Overeem's experience and ability to survive early storms will be key, and predicts a second or third round TKO via ground and pound. He notes Overeem's unappealing ground and pound style but expects it to be effective.
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