Career Averages - Kay Hansen
Career Averages - Jinh Yu Frey
Kay Hansen - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 50 of 88 | 56% | 77 of 124 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 5:13 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 31 of 77 | 40% | 54 of 106 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 13 of 35 | 37% | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 22 of 42 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 | |
| 2 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 23 of 31 | 74% | 29 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 19 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 | |
| 3 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 32 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:28 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 13 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piera Rodríguez | 50 of 88 | 56% | 26 of 60 | 18 of 21 | 6 of 7 | 34 of 70 | 10 of 12 | 6 of 6 |
| Kay Hansen | 31 of 77 | 40% | 22 of 61 | 7 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 25 of 66 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piera Rodríguez | 13 of 35 | 37% | 7 of 26 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kay Hansen | 17 of 35 | 48% | 14 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Piera Rodríguez | 23 of 31 | 74% | 15 of 22 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
| Kay Hansen | 7 of 21 | 33% | 3 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Piera Rodríguez | 14 of 22 | 63% | 4 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 |
| Kay Hansen | 7 of 21 | 33% | 5 of 16 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 17 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo likes Piera Rodríguez as the underdog. He highlights her nasty striking, calculated brawling, and good takedown defense. He notes that she does damage in defensive scrambles and has solid grappling defense if taken down. He believes there's something special in her style.
Big Brady slightly edges Rodríguez to win a volume-based decision on the feet, stuffing takedowns and working back up if taken down. He notes Rodríguez has power and improved takedown defense, while Hansen may struggle to get the fight to the mat. However, he has no confidence in this pick and will not bet it.
Cody takes Hansen as a slight underdog, noting she has scored takedowns in all her UFC fights. He thinks Rodríguez is hittable and not great at getting back up. Cody acknowledges Hansen's youth and inconsistency but believes her grappling can secure rounds. He calls it a 'dogger pass' situation.
Levi notes Kay Hansen has fought better competition and has a path to victory on the ground, but questions her mental commitment due to outside income. He favors Piera Rodríguez's crisp hands and knockout power for the weight class, and thinks the fight location (striking range) favors Rodríguez. He admits he is not confident and has no bet on it.
I lean Kay Hansen because she is showing improvements in her striking and has clearly better BJJ. She can mix in grappling and clinch work to get the fight to the ground and wear on Piera from top position. I think she can hold her own in striking but needs to mix in grappling to avoid getting touched up. I see her winning via decision or submission.
Paul leans towards Rodríguez but calls it a pass. He notes Rodríguez's physicality and striking, but saw her gas in her Contender Series fight. He thinks Hansen's grappling could be a factor but that Rodríguez's pressure might be too much. He picks Rodríguez for the show but with low confidence.
The MMA Guru picks Kay Hansen as an underdog, citing her experience and activity. He notes that Hansen picks up as fights go on, winning the second and third rounds. He expects a close split decision, possibly 29-28, and mentions that Hansen's name recognition might sway judges. He also points out that Rodríguez's output was low on the Contender Series.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 44 of 101 | 43% | 52 of 112 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 50 of 110 | 45% | 99 of 165 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 6:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 18 of 39 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 41 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 18 of 23 | 78% | 44 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:43 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 26 of 58 | 44% | 26 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 14 of 56 | 25% | 14 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 44 of 101 | 43% | 31 of 81 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 41 of 96 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| Kay Hansen | 50 of 110 | 45% | 37 of 89 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 79 | 8 of 13 | 15 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 12 of 30 | 40% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Kay Hansen | 18 of 31 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 6 of 13 | 46% | 3 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Kay Hansen | 18 of 23 | 78% | 13 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 11 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 26 of 58 | 44% | 20 of 48 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Kay Hansen | 14 of 56 | 25% | 10 of 47 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 50 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
We may have had a few stumbles along the way, but we made it to UFC 270 by hook or by crook. This event, one cut down to 11 fights, including X newcomers, will begin in the women’s flyweight division. Hansen (7-4, 1-1 UFC) will be making her way up a weight class after 15 months away, and she will be meeting Canadian debutant Jasudavicius (6-1, 0-0 UFC). Drawing the charge of the first fight of the evening is referee Jason Herzog, who watches on as the two ladies do not touch gloves to check in the night. Instead, Hansen comes out jabbing, pushing her opponent back right out of the gate before crashing in for a takedown. Hansen locks her arms around Jasudavicius’ body in an effort to hit a body lock with a trip, but Jasudavicius manages to stay upright on the first serious attempt. Hansen remains glued to her to go for the takedown, only for Jasudavicius to turn her around and start working the body and upper thigh with knees. Hansen sells out for a takedown as they come off the cage, but there is nothing doing and Jasudavicius makes her pay with a quick left hand. When they get back to striking range, Jasudavicius aims to get jabs going, snapping it out and utilizing her reach advantage to the fullest to keep Hansen at bay. Her strikes find their mark while Hansen comes up short, and she forces Hansen to charge ahead only to knee Hansen square on the jaw. Hansen eats it like a steak and backs out to boxing range, where Jasudavicius starts up again peppering her with jabs. Hansen closes in and strings together a three-punch without the soda, but she decides to order a takedown right after. Jasudavicius denies this to push her to the wall, and she uses Hansen’s momentum against her to plant Hansen on her back. Hansen twists in an effort to scramble her way back up, but any attempt to set something up off her back comes up short. Hansen lifts her legs up to go for a triangle or armbar, and Jasudavicius sees them coming and starts pounding on her with elbows to the face and body. Hansen struggles to find any offensive submission maneuvers, but she does lock Jasudavicius down for the most part to avoid the most dangerous of the attacks from above. Jasudavicius gets pushed off, but she climbs back into the guard to deliver a few elbows to Hansen’s face as the round comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 2
The two flyweights wade out to engage to start off the second round, and Hansen manages to hop forward to tag Jasudavicius right off the bat. Jasudavicius backs off, measures her jab, and finds herself defending a quick takedown attempt when she leaves a body kick out too long. Hansen lands the takedown she had been seeking for the good part of the last round, and within seconds, Jasudavicius reverses her right when Hansen was aiming to claim mount. Hansen protects herself with her offensive guard, threatening with an armbar setup on Jasudavicius’ longer limbs. The Canadian starts to land some serious ground-and-pound as she jams Hansen in the corner between the cage and the floor, and Hansen is stuck without a way to utilize any rubber guard of merit. Jasudavicius comfortably remains in Hansen’s guard, where she batters Hansen with strikes that are forcing some swelling on Hansen’s face. A mouse grows on the corner of Hansen’s eye, and as Jasudavicius is landing strikes, Herzog stands them up unexpectedly. Hansen celebrates this by landing a single punch, and Jasudavicius backs off to stick out a jab. Hansen closes in with a spinning back elbow, nailing Jasudavicius on the jaw and knocking her back into the wall. From there, Hansen turns her forward momentum into a takedown try, only to get rebuffed and shoved against the wire. Jasudavicius stays busy, giving Hansen problems with elbows and body shots as Hansen’s face has turned from one of calm to one of discomfort. With 15 seconds left in the round, Jasudavicius trips Hansen down to the mat, and she pushes Hansen’s leg aside to elbow her in the face right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 3
The ladies meet in the middle to kick off the last round, with Hansen’s first strike a high kick that is blocked with relative ease. Jasudavicius goes over the top with a solid right hand, and Hansen fires back with a similar strike. Hansen darts in and out with power strikes, landing cleanly and getting away before Jasudavicius can pay her back. Jasudavicius ignores a kick or two from Hansen to flick her jab out, successfully stifling Hansen’s offense. Jasudavicius fakes low to grab Hansen’s lead leg, before coming up top with a left hand. Hansen gathers herself and throws fire with a big left hook, and it glances off her opponent’s chin. Seeing the success of the blow, she doubles up on it, and Jasudavicius is flustered that her jab is not having the full effect as before. Hansen walks through another jab to pop the Canadian in the chops, but Jasudavicius does not appear concerned or take a backward step. Jasudavicius gets back to her jab, following one with a looping right hand to break things up. Hansen circles out on the outside to escape the length of her foe, and she skips forward to connect cleanly with a left hook. Hansen’s hands are having a more appreciable effect this round, and she fires off a left hand followed by two body kicks. Jasudavicius comes forward with a knee, and backs away before Hansen can set any takedown up. Hansen measures her range with a left hand, and Jasudavicius gets her back with a jab and a right hand of her own. Hansen keeps scoring her left hook to solid effect, and she ducks out of the way and just avoids a head kick that slaps her in the nose. The strikes from Jasudavicius appear to be doing enough damage to cause some blood to start flowing from Hansen’s nose, and the crowd gets loud in favor of their hometown fighter. Hansen appears fired up, throwing wildly and landing cleanly while Jasudavicius shakes it off and throws back. Jasudavicius tries to break things up with a takedown, but when it fails, she pushes forward to knee Hansen in the chest a few times. Jasudavicius pushes Hansen into the wall, knees her a few more times, and the 15-minute mark is reached.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Kay Hansen via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo leans toward Jasmine Jasudavicius, believing she wins the striking exchanges and her hips will be too good for Kay Hansen in scrambles. He notes Kay is more powerful and has better takedowns, but Jasmine's technical striking and hip control give her the edge. He picks the underdog Jasmine.
Big Brady picks Kay Hansen to win by third-round submission, citing her superior grappling (brown belt BJJ), improving striking, and cardio advantage. He notes Jasudavicius is an Olympic wrestler but has poor striking defense, bad cardio, and was reversed by a white belt (Elise Reed). Hansen is younger, has more fights, and has a significant advantage on the mat. He expects Hansen to submit Jasudavicius in the third round as she often finishes late.
Cody picks Kay Hansen, stating that Hansen is better in every facet: wrestling, boxing, cardio, and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Hansen is only 22 and has a chip on her shoulder after a controversial loss to Cory McKenna. Cody believes Hansen's submission skills are a threat, and he likes her submission prop at +450. He dismisses Jasudavicius as a 33-year-old debutant with no athletic background.
Daniel Levi picks Kay Hansen but is not confident about the betting line. He notes that Hansen has never been taken down in the UFC and has good grappling, while Jasudavicius is hittable and relies on top control. However, Hansen is moving up in weight and Jasudavicius is a big flyweight. Levi thinks Hansen's UFC experience and grappling will separate her as the fight progresses, but he is not crazy about the betting line.
The host believes Jasudavicius is being undervalued due to the 'fade contender series' narrative. He notes her reach advantage, striking edge, and improving grappling. He thinks Hansen's layoff and developing game will be issues. He expects Jasudavicius to win by decision, possibly by out-striking Hansen on the feet.
Paul picks Kay Hansen, noting her youth, submission skills, and experience against tough opponents. He questions Jasudavicius's durability and defensive liabilities. Paul also mentions that Hansen has a reach disadvantage but believes her overall game is superior. He likes Hansen by submission at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a big underdog, questioning why Kay Hansen is a heavy favorite. He praises Jasudavicius' contender series performance, cardio, and improvements at Syndicate MMA. He criticizes Hansen's inactivity and unimpressive wins, and believes Jasudavicius is technically better on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory McKenna | 0 | 67 of 110 | 60% | 87 of 131 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 | 0 | 5:22 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 57 of 137 | 41% | 156 of 246 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cory McKenna | 0 | 29 of 51 | 56% | 33 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 54 of 85 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 | |
| 2 | Cory McKenna | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 26 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 18 of 51 | 35% | 50 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:28 | |
| 3 | Cory McKenna | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 28 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 10 of 28 | 35% | 52 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory McKenna | 67 of 110 | 60% | 47 of 89 | 15 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 54 of 95 | 11 of 13 | 2 of 2 |
| Kay Hansen | 57 of 137 | 41% | 56 of 136 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 49 of 127 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cory McKenna | 29 of 51 | 56% | 20 of 42 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 43 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Kay Hansen | 29 of 58 | 50% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 54 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cory McKenna | 25 of 37 | 67% | 16 of 27 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 20 of 32 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Kay Hansen | 18 of 51 | 35% | 18 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 46 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Cory McKenna | 13 of 22 | 59% | 11 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Kay Hansen | 10 of 28 | 35% | 10 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Hansen because she is the better grappler and dangerous off her back, while McKenna gets taken down often. He expects the fight to hit the mat and Hansen to get a submission. He acknowledges the line is wide but favors Hansen's path to victory.
Daniel picks Kay Hansen, citing her size and strength advantage, as well as a five-inch reach advantage. He notes that Hansen's grappling is strong and she may get an extra takedown or submission attempt to sway judges. He acknowledges McKenna's solid skills and bright future but thinks Hansen's physicality and experience against tougher competition give her the edge.
The MMA Guru picks Kay Hansen by submission, specifically an armbar off her back. He notes that Cory McKenna got caught in submission positions on the Contender Series and that Hansen is more experienced with better competition. He believes McKenna will go for takedowns and leave herself open to submissions.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 43 of 67 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 1 | 0 | 4:31 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 27 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Hansen | 31 of 55 | 56% | 16 of 37 | 12 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 14 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 26 of 46 | 56% | 7 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 15 of 17 | 23 of 39 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Hansen | 12 of 28 | 42% | 6 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 12 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 15 of 29 | 51% | 5 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 12 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kay Hansen | 17 of 21 | 80% | 8 of 12 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 13 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Kay Hansen | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Kay Hansen after watching tape, noting that Frey was unimpressive and has been knocked out twice and dominated on the ground. He likes Hansen's takedown-heavy style and thinks she can get Frey down and possibly submit her or win by ground-and-pound. He is concerned about Hansen's age (20) but still favors her.
Daniel Levi picks Kay Hansen, citing the stylistic matchup of striker vs grappler. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey struggled to get up from bottom against atomweights, so moving up a weight class may not help. Levi believes Hansen will mix in takedowns and control the fight on the ground, winning by decision. He also mentions that Frey lost to Jodie Esquibel, which is a negative indicator.
The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey, admitting he doesn't know much about the fighters but thinks Frey is better and has faced better competition. He notes Frey's experience as a champion in Invicta. He is not confident and calls the fight uninteresting.
Jinh Yu Frey - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 | 74 of 146 | 50% | 109 of 183 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 47 of 101 | 46% | 65 of 121 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 16 of 46 | 34% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 37 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 28 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 | |
| 3 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 33 of 70 | 47% | 41 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 74 of 146 | 50% | 47 of 115 | 26 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 60 of 131 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 47 of 101 | 46% | 31 of 80 | 8 of 13 | 8 of 8 | 37 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 30 of 53 | 56% | 19 of 40 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 16 of 46 | 34% | 9 of 37 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 11 of 23 | 47% | 6 of 16 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 11 of 22 | 50% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 | |
| 3 | Viktoriia Dudakova | 33 of 70 | 47% | 22 of 59 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 67 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 20 of 33 | 60% | 14 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Victoria Dudakova but with low confidence, calling the odds a wild trap. He notes Jinh Yu Frey's experience and takedown defense but points out she is older, on a skid, and was knocked out a couple fights ago. He thinks Victoria's youth and pressure will be key, but if Frey's chin holds and she gets takedowns, Victoria might panic. He may bet the spread on Frey.
Big Brady picks Victoria Dudakova to win by decision. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, small for the weight class, lacks volume and cardio, and has only two UFC wins. Dudakova is younger, impressed on the Contender Series, and should be able to take Frey down and control the fight. Brady expects a straightforward win for the heavy favorite.
Cody picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is green and has limited skills. He believes her wrestling will be enough to beat an aging Frey, but he acknowledges the line is too high. Cody expects a close fight.
Daniel picks Victoria Dudakova to win, describing her as a prospect tester against Jinh Yu Frey, who is on her way out. He notes Dudakova's toughness and improving skills, and believes she can take Frey down and control the fight. He complains about the high line but thinks Dudakova should win comfortably.
Dudakova is younger, more explosive, and stronger than Frey. She has a strong wrestling and grappling game, with four of her seven wins by submission. Expects Dudakova to get takedowns, stay out of submissions, and dominate from top position, likely winning inside the distance in the second or third round.
Paul picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is one-dimensional and relies on wrestling. He believes her size and strength will allow her to take Frey down and control her, but he worries about her lack of volume and ground-and-pound. Paul sees value on Frey but sticks with Dudakova.
The MMA Guru sees this as a clear mismatch set up by the UFC to give Dudakova a win. He notes Dudakova's athleticism, size, and reach advantages, and points out that Frey is 38 and coming off losses. He believes Dudakova is simply a better fighter and that the UFC wants her to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Reed | 0 | 53 of 120 | 44% | 94 of 174 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 28 of 91 | 30% | 42 of 114 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 4:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elise Reed | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 36 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 16 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 2 | Elise Reed | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 7 of 27 | 25% | 12 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 | |
| 3 | Elise Reed | 0 | 20 of 55 | 36% | 27 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 10 of 38 | 26% | 14 of 45 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Reed | 53 of 120 | 44% | 16 of 65 | 21 of 36 | 16 of 19 | 45 of 111 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 28 of 91 | 30% | 15 of 68 | 4 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 26 of 84 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elise Reed | 14 of 32 | 43% | 4 of 16 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 11 of 26 | 42% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Elise Reed | 19 of 33 | 57% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 17 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 7 of 27 | 25% | 1 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | |
| 3 | Elise Reed | 20 of 55 | 36% | 6 of 32 | 10 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 10 of 38 | 26% | 5 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a very slight lean to Frey, thinking she can slow down Reed's pace by using cage control and takedowns. He is concerned about Frey's age (38) and recent knockout loss, but believes her experience and grappling can neutralize Reed's tenacity. He notes Reed is tough and hits hard but is inconsistent. Angelo is not spending money on this fight.
Cody picks Reed, citing her improvements fight to fight. He notes Reed's striking volume and that she has shown wrestling improvements in some fights. Cody acknowledges Reed's inconsistency but thinks Frey's lack of wrestling and recent knockout loss are concerns. He picks Reed but feels awful about it.
Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Frey seems to hate fighting and has become a low-output, hesitant fighter. He notes that Reed has improved her combination striking and carries real power, especially with her body kicks and straight right. Connor believes that once Reed lands cleanly, Frey's confidence will shatter, leading to a finish or a clear decision for Reed.
Daniel picks Frey via a coin flip, but notes that Frey has a grappling advantage and has shown she will wrestle when needed. He sees Reed as having been finished by fighters who don't usually finish, and Frey's black belt could be the difference. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation.
Jacob picks Elise Reed, citing her power and the matchup being tailor-made for her. He thinks Frey is not the pressure fighter who can get in Reed's face, especially coming off a knockout loss. Jacob believes Reed will pick Frey apart from distance and hurt her. He plans to bet on Reed live or closer to the fight. He also likes Reed inside the distance at -155.
Reed is a striker with deceptive power and good footwork. She can keep the fight upright and land damaging blows. Frey is a BJJ brown belt who will look for takedowns and submissions. Reed's best path is to avoid the ground and find a knockout, but confidence is low. The under 2.5 rounds is a better bet.
Paul picks Frey, noting that Reed has been inconsistent and that Frey is a veteran. He mentions Reed's struggles when opponents have a wrestling advantage, but he's not sure who has that edge. Paul is not confident and says he won't bet this fight, but he picks Frey.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Elise Reed, calling it a no-brainer. He argues that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, coming off a KO loss, and should have lost to Vanessa Demopoulos, who he considers awful. He believes Reed will outbox Frey on the feet, as Frey lacks the grappling to take Reed down. He also notes Reed's win over Cory McKenna, who has good takedowns, as evidence of Reed's striking ability.
Zane picks Reed confidently, citing Frey's severe lack of output and apparent anxiety in fights. He notes that Frey has all the technical tools but cannot pull the trigger, while Reed has developed into a busier boxer who lands hard shots. Reed's power and willingness to engage should overwhelm Frey, who tends to freeze and do nothing for long stretches. Zane believes Reed's aggression and striking will be decisive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polyana Viana | 1 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polyana Viana | 1 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polyana Viana | 11 of 18 | 61% | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 14 | 42% | 0 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polyana Viana | 11 of 18 | 61% | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 14 | 42% | 0 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Viana (-135), Frey (+115)
Round 1
Strawweights toe the line in this next encounter, and their fighting styles could scarcely be more different. Viana (12-5, 3-4 UFC) maintains a 100% finish rate with exactly two-thirds of her victories coming by tapout, while former Invicta champ Frey (11-7, 2-3 UFC) has not procured a stoppage since December 2014. Referee Herb Dean is ready for anywhere this fight goes, and it begins with a touch of hands. They calmly start to trade punches, going tit-for-tat with jabs and straight punches. Frey slaps a low kick, and Viana responds in kind. Out of nowhere, Frey leaps forward in a blitz of blows, and Viana stands firm to knee her square to the body. With Frey stunned, Viana wings hooks that are far more powerful than what Frey can muster, and she has Frey’s attention in a hurry.
Viana knocks her foe back with a long barrage of nasty punches, and she does not let a wobbled Frey off the hook. The brutal swinging fists from “Dama de Ferro” continue to blast into Frey, and Frey falls to the ground in big trouble. To hammer the nail, Viana keeps her 100% finish rate intact by smashing Frey with two hammerfists.
Those blows put Frey flat on her back with her arms reached out, frozen in time, and she has nothing left to give. Dean leaps in, and Frey snaps back to life as if she had just been woken up from a deep slumber. Brazil’s Viana is now one stoppage away from the women’s strawweight record held by Jessica Andrade and Rose Namajunas, and she calls for a fight in January in Rio de Janeiro.
The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Jinh Yu Frey R1 0:47 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Frey, citing her physicality, veteran savvy, and well-roundedness. He expects Frey to slow the pace, hold Viana against the cage, and avoid ground threats. He notes Viana is dangerous with submissions but relies on opponents to get to the ground. He is on the fence about betting, waiting for prop bets.
Big Brady criticizes Frey's low volume and poor cardio, while noting Viana's dangerous submission game and 100% finish rate. He expects Viana to pull guard and get the fight to the mat, where she is very dangerous with arm bars and triangles. He predicts a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Frey's takedown defense is strong.
Cody picks Polyana Viana by submission. He notes that Viana is the 'armbar queen' and that submission is very much on the table. He references the Kate Hanson fight where Frey was submitted by armbar, and thinks Viana can do the same. He acknowledges that Viana has had travel issues from Brazil but still likes her to find a submission. He prefers Viana by sub at +350 over the moneyline.
Connor agrees, noting that Frey's cautious style and lack of confidence make her unlikely to take advantage of Viana's chaotic approach. Viana will insist on making the fight happen, and Frey has historically frozen under pressure. Viana's finishes (12 inside the distance) contrast with Frey's lack of finishing ability.
Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana, citing her will to win and opportunistic armbar from guard. He notes Jinh Yu Frey is more polished standing, but Viana's aggression and submission threat on the mat give her the edge. He is not laying chalk on it.
The host sees this as a difficult fight but leans Viana due to her chaotic style and submission threat. He notes Frey could grind out a decision, but Viana's aggression and BJJ make her dangerous. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop rather than the moneyline, expecting a finish from Viana.
Paul picks Jinh Yu Frey as an underdog. He argues that Frey is a BJJ black belt and has not been submitted lately, surviving against Ashley Yoder and Vanessa Demopoulos. He thinks Frey is better standing, with improved volume (88 significant strikes against Yoder, 62 against Demopoulos). He criticizes Viana as one-dimensional, with poor striking and a tendency to get controlled on the ground, as seen against Tabatha Ricci. He believes Frey can win a decision by outworking Viana.
The MMA Guru picks Polyana Viana, noting Frey's submission loss to Kay Hansen and decision loss to Vanessa Demopoulos. He believes Viana, at 30, is in her prime and has submission skills, particularly armbars. He predicts Viana will get a submission, likely an armbar or triangle, after making Frey shoot for takedowns.
Zane picks Viana because Frey is too tentative and cautious, lacking the aggression to capitalize on Viana's defensive lapses. Viana is aggressive, throws from all ranges, and will force the action. Frey's inability to pull the trigger, as seen in her loss to Vanessa Demopoulos, makes her unreliable even against a flawed opponent like Viana.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 66 of 139 | 47% | 71 of 144 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 62 of 133 | 46% | 81 of 153 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 18 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 27 of 56 | 48% | 30 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 35 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 66 of 139 | 47% | 34 of 100 | 25 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 107 | 26 of 32 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 62 of 133 | 46% | 49 of 116 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 58 of 128 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 11 of 32 | 34% | 6 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 17 of 45 | 37% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 24 of 52 | 46% | 14 of 41 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 44 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 27 of 56 | 48% | 20 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 27 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 31 of 55 | 56% | 14 of 35 | 15 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 33 | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 18 of 32 | 56% | 14 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 28 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jinh Yu Frey, expecting her to slow the pace with bully-style grappling and beat Vanessa Demopoulos similarly to how Lupita Godinez did in the LFA. He acknowledges Vanessa's dangerous ground game and that lesser opponents have submitted Frey before, but believes Frey's physicality and forward pressure will earn her a unanimous decision win.
Big Brady picks Jinh Yu Frey to win by decision. He notes that Frey has a striking advantage and excellent takedown defense (90%), while Demopoulos has no wrestling and poor takedown success. However, he criticizes the -275 price as too high for a low-volume striker like Frey, and warns that Demopoulos's activity could make the fight look close. He ultimately expects Frey to outstrike Demopoulos and keep the fight standing.
Cody picks Frey, citing her better striking and takedown defense. He thinks she will win by decision, noting Demopoulos has never scored a takedown in the UFC. He warns against heavy investment at -260 but thinks Frey by decision is a solid play.
Paul picks Demopoulos by submission at +800, noting her only path to victory is a submission. He thinks the value is too good to pass up, even though Frey is the better striker. He acknowledges it's a longshot but worth a small bet.
The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, citing that Jinh Yu Frey lost to Kay Hansen, which is a bad look. He notes Demopoulos is younger (7-4 record) and moving down to strawweight, while Frey is 37. He expects Demopoulos to win by decision, winning scrambles and controlling the fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 88 of 185 | 47% | 89 of 186 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 91 of 236 | 38% | 96 of 241 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 28 of 56 | 50% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 33 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 35 of 67 | 52% | 35 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 38 of 90 | 42% | 38 of 90 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 25 of 62 | 40% | 25 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 25 of 77 | 32% | 25 of 77 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 88 of 185 | 47% | 46 of 129 | 15 of 25 | 27 of 31 | 77 of 173 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 91 of 236 | 38% | 59 of 188 | 15 of 25 | 17 of 23 | 90 of 233 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 28 of 56 | 50% | 9 of 33 | 8 of 11 | 11 of 12 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 28 of 69 | 40% | 14 of 49 | 5 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 27 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 35 of 67 | 52% | 21 of 49 | 6 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 33 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 38 of 90 | 42% | 28 of 73 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 8 | 38 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 25 of 62 | 40% | 16 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 11 | 20 of 57 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 25 of 77 | 32% | 17 of 66 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size advantage and higher volume. He notes that Frey throws very few strikes (averaging 24-26 per fight) and that Yoder can win by simply being more active. He also thinks Yoder's grappling could be effective. However, he calls it an ugly fight and is not highly confident.
Cody picks Ashley Yoder, believing her wrestling and top control will be the difference. He notes that Frey has poor takedown defense and Yoder should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. However, he is not fully confident because Yoder's striking is lacking and if she cannot get takedowns, she could lose a low-volume striking match. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.
Levi notes that he doesn't often recommend backing Ashley Yoder as a favorite, but here she is the bigger and better grappler. He believes Yoder can get takedowns more comfortably and spend time on top, edging out a competitive decision. However, he warns that if Yoder decides to test her stand-up, Frey could have success, as Yoder's striking is not as dangerous as de Paula's. Levi credits Frey for beating de Paula but thinks Yoder's grappling-heavy approach should secure the win.
Frey has a bounce-back win over de Paula and should have success if she grapples with Yoder. Yoder is a black belt but lacks volume and strength. Frey's striking is adequate, and she can win scrambles. However, Frey is a natural 105er moving up, which is a concern. The fight likely goes to decision, and Frey at plus money is the side.
Paul also picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size and strength advantage and the likelihood that she can grind out a decision. He notes that Frey is a natural atomweight and has poor grappling. However, he is concerned about Yoder's recent regression and the fact that this fight likely goes to decision, making judging a factor. He is not confident enough to bet but leans Yoder.
The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey over Ashley Yoder, stating that Frey is more solid as a martial artist while Yoder relies on physical attributes. He notes that Frey has a more solid foundation and is fundamentally better. He expects Frey to win by unanimous decision, as she is more experienced and technically sound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 51 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 24 of 79 | 30% | 50 of 125 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 9:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 26 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:44 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 29 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 15 of 61 | 24% | 17 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 7 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 4:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 31 of 63 | 49% | 18 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 59 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 24 of 79 | 30% | 10 of 62 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 12 | 17 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 8 of 13 | 61% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 27 of 55 | 49% | 16 of 42 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 15 of 61 | 24% | 6 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula, largely fading Jinh Yu Frey due to her extremely low volume and inability to reach 30 significant strikes in her UFC fights. He notes de Paula is the bigger fighter, trains at a good camp (Shoot Box with Mara Romero Borella), and should be able to stuff takedowns. He sees de Paula out-striking Frey and possibly finishing her, though he predicts a decision win.
Daniel Levi picks Gloria de Paula because she is more aggressive, has cleaner strikes, and better takedown defense than her girlfriend Mayra Bueno Silva. He dismisses Jinh Yu Frey's experience advantage, noting she lost to less experienced opponents. He believes de Paula's willingness to go forward and her heart will overwhelm Frey, who hesitates and has been broken in recent fights.
Lock leans Frey due to not knowing much about de Paula. He notes Frey is a veteran with solid experience, a former champion in Rizin, and a strong all-around fighter. He acknowledges he needs to research de Paula to understand why she's the favorite. His lean is strictly based on unfamiliarity with de Paula.
The Guru is impressed with Gloria de Paula's performance on the Contender Series, noting her technical striking, patience, and increasing volume as the fight progressed. He believes de Paula has great potential and is younger than Frey. He criticizes Frey for being too small for the strawweight division and suggests an atomweight division should exist. He predicts de Paula will win by unanimous decision, 30-27, outstriking Frey and not finishing her because Frey is tough.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 80 of 137 | 58% | 85 of 142 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 39 of 75 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 36 of 49 | 73% | 39 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 17 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 80 of 137 | 58% | 27 of 61 | 35 of 56 | 18 of 20 | 42 of 86 | 38 of 50 | 0 of 1 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 26 of 61 | 42% | 21 of 49 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 4 | 13 of 47 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 36 of 49 | 73% | 17 of 27 | 13 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 22 | 24 of 27 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 9 of 21 | 42% | 7 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 29 of 53 | 54% | 7 of 19 | 14 of 25 | 8 of 9 | 16 of 33 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 15 of 35 | 42% | 3 of 15 | 8 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In the first of many women’s bouts tonight, Frey (9-5, 0-1 UFC) hunts for her first win inside the Octagon against Thai “Loma Lookboonmee” Suphisara (4-2, 1-1 UFC) at strawweight. Presiding over what could be a fun one is referee Marc Goddard, who watches on as the two women touch gloves. Suphisara opens things up with a head kick and a leg kick to follow, and Alateng may be sitting backstage thinking “not again…” Frey walks forward and blocks a head kick, all while swarming her way into the clinch. “Loma Lookboonmee” almost fights her way out, but Frey bullies her back to the fence. Suphisara knees her in the belly, so Frey ducks down to try to grab hold of a single leg takedown. Suphisara stops it, scores another knee up the middle, and Frey forces a break by delivering an elbow on Suphisara’s face. Suphisara lets fly a body kick, and Frey responds with a stiff left hand. Suphisara is unconcerned, and she continues to land kicks from the outside. The two trade leg kicks, and Frey reaches forward with a punch to the body. Suphisara boots her in the midsection, and Frey clinches up. Suphisara greets her with a vicious elbow that stops Frey in her tracks, and she continues to pour them on as Frey looks shellshocked. Suphisara knees the body, and she blocks an overhand left when Frey pushes off. Suphisara start a combination with a high kick and follows it with a few punches, and Frey grabs hold of her. Suphisara welcomes this clinch with a series of powerful knees and elbows as Frey turns away for a moment, and Suphisara continues to swarm her with them and opens a cut under Frey’s eye. Frey throws a few punches to break free, and Suphisara meets her with a left hand. Suphisara chops the lead leg with a kick, and rushes forward to clinch up. The Thai lands a few shots on the inside, and the horn sounds ending the first round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 2
The two women tentatively walk towards one another out of their corners, and it is Suphisara who strikes first with a teep kick. Suphisara dodges a flurry and lands a leg kick as she backs away. Frey punches her way into the clinch, and Suphisara’s eyes light up as she starts spamming knees to the body. Frey responds with one of her own, but it is Suphisara who sets up the Thai clinch and blasts the body with more knees. Suphisara transitions into hacking elbows, before switching back to thudding knees. A flustered Frey pushes her way free from the clinch, and as she stalks her opponent down, she avoids a calf kick and blocks a head kick. Suphisara’s third kick of the salvo lands in the form of one to the chest. Frey clinches up again, and Suphisara thanks her for it by instantly throwing knees to the torso. Frey breaks free, and she takes a low kick. Frey catches Suphisara with a counter left hand when Suphisara is trying to kick, but Suphisara circles away before she takes any more shots. “Loma Lookboonmee” slings kicks up high and low, and Frey blocks the brunt of the attack while walking her opponent down. Frey throws a naked kick to the body only to eat a one-two on the chin, and she resets and throws a high kick. Suphisara ducks as if she were Anderson Silva while Frey falls to the ground, but the Thai does not follow her down. Frey scrambles to her feet and starts to throw low kicks. Suphisara narrowly misses with a blistering elbow, and the two go strike-for-strike until we hear the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 3
Frey comes out aggressive, jabbing her way into a single leg takedown attempt. The former Invicta champ lifts Suphisara up in the air and plants her on her back. Suphisara locks up her guard to try to control Frey, but Frey breaks the posture. The Thai attempts to kick her off, and Frey rolls through it to hop back down in side control. Frey maintains heavy shoulder pressure on Suphisara’s head, but the Thai scrambles and gets to her feet. Frey follows her up and takes her back, but Suphisara breaks the grip and gains a separation. Suphisara kicks low and rushes in with a blitz of punches. Suphisara kicks the body a few times with front kicks, and a one-two snaps Frey’s head back. Suphisara continues to chip away at her opponent from a distance, and they both land powerful punches at the same time. Suphisara kicks the body as if she were channeling her inner Casey Kenney, and she changes it up with a head kick. “Loma Lookboonmee” attempts a jumping side kick, and when Frey blocks it, she follows it with a hard leg kick. Frey is walking forward, but she is not throwing much of note and is not attempting any other takedown. Instead, Suphisara is picking away at her with head kicks and punches. Frey clinches up and scores a few punches to the body, and as soon as Suphisara lifts her knee up to land her own strikes, Frey hunts for a takedown. The Thai defends it as she gets bullied to the fence, only to stuff the takedown and break free. Suphisara fires off a low kick and gets countered with a stiff left hand over the top. Suphisara steps in with a few front kicks, and she lands one more when Frey charges at her. The two both connect with a punch or two in a final surge of strikes, and the fight ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Jinh Yu Frey via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Big Brady leans towards Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He cites her youth, Muay Thai experience, higher volume, and clinch work. He notes Frey is older and low volume, and that Lookboonmee has good takedown defense and trips.
Daniel picks Lookboonmee, citing her Muay Thai background and youth advantage. He thinks Frey is on the tail end of her career and lacks the fire to win close rounds. He predicts a split decision but acknowledges Lookboonmee is overrated and green, and that Frey has the skills to win if she wants it. He advises staying away at the betting window.
The host sees Loma as the rising fighter with superior Muay Thai, particularly leg kicks and clinch knees, while Jinh Yu Frey is on the decline. He expects Loma to win via third-round TKO, noting her finishing potential and Frey's waning durability. He mentions a sprinkle on Loma by TKO at +750.
The Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee, noting her close fight with Angela Hill and her takedown defense. He criticizes Frey's last performance against Kay Hansen and believes Lookboonmee is on the rise.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Hansen | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 43 of 67 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 1 | 0 | 4:31 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 27 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Kay Hansen | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Hansen | 31 of 55 | 56% | 16 of 37 | 12 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 14 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 26 of 46 | 56% | 7 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 15 of 17 | 23 of 39 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Hansen | 12 of 28 | 42% | 6 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 12 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 15 of 29 | 51% | 5 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 12 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kay Hansen | 17 of 21 | 80% | 8 of 12 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 13 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Kay Hansen | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Kay Hansen after watching tape, noting that Frey was unimpressive and has been knocked out twice and dominated on the ground. He likes Hansen's takedown-heavy style and thinks she can get Frey down and possibly submit her or win by ground-and-pound. He is concerned about Hansen's age (20) but still favors her.
Daniel Levi picks Kay Hansen, citing the stylistic matchup of striker vs grappler. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey struggled to get up from bottom against atomweights, so moving up a weight class may not help. Levi believes Hansen will mix in takedowns and control the fight on the ground, winning by decision. He also mentions that Frey lost to Jodie Esquibel, which is a negative indicator.
The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey, admitting he doesn't know much about the fighters but thinks Frey is better and has faced better competition. He notes Frey's experience as a champion in Invicta. He is not confident and calls the fight uninteresting.
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Kay Hansen after watching tape, noting that Frey was unimpressive and has been knocked out twice and dominated on the ground. He likes Hansen's takedown-heavy style and thinks she can get Frey down and possibly submit her or win by ground-and-pound. He is concerned about Hansen's age (20) but still favors her.
Daniel Levi picks Kay Hansen, citing the stylistic matchup of striker vs grappler. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey struggled to get up from bottom against atomweights, so moving up a weight class may not help. Levi believes Hansen will mix in takedowns and control the fight on the ground, winning by decision. He also mentions that Frey lost to Jodie Esquibel, which is a negative indicator.
The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey, admitting he doesn't know much about the fighters but thinks Frey is better and has faced better competition. He notes Frey's experience as a champion in Invicta. He is not confident and calls the fight uninteresting.
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