Career Averages - Joanne Wood
Career Averages - Cortney Casey
Joanne Wood - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 136 of 249 | 54% | 173 of 290 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 102 of 195 | 52% | 156 of 255 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 50 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 58 of 109 | 53% | 75 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 45 of 81 | 55% | 52 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 74 of 131 | 56% | 77 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 52 of 107 | 48% | 54 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 136 of 249 | 54% | 74 of 175 | 39 of 45 | 23 of 29 | 112 of 216 | 23 of 31 | 1 of 2 |
| Maryna Moroz | 102 of 195 | 52% | 79 of 160 | 23 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 79 of 169 | 19 of 22 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 58 of 109 | 53% | 30 of 76 | 21 of 24 | 7 of 9 | 45 of 90 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Maryna Moroz | 45 of 81 | 55% | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 67 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 74 of 131 | 56% | 42 of 95 | 17 of 19 | 15 of 17 | 64 of 118 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 52 of 107 | 48% | 41 of 87 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 2 | 44 of 99 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.
Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.
Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.
Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.
The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 131 of 228 | 57% | 177 of 278 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 100 of 199 | 50% | 123 of 222 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 55 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 65 | 58% | 42 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 56 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 53 | 45% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 60 of 106 | 56% | 66 of 112 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 81 | 46% | 48 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 131 of 228 | 57% | 61 of 142 | 46 of 53 | 24 of 33 | 84 of 177 | 46 of 50 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 100 of 199 | 50% | 55 of 144 | 34 of 40 | 11 of 15 | 75 of 165 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 38 of 62 | 61% | 13 of 32 | 17 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 20 of 42 | 18 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 65 | 58% | 15 of 38 | 16 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 50 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 33 of 60 | 55% | 16 of 39 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 48 | 11 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 53 | 45% | 14 of 40 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 60 of 106 | 56% | 32 of 71 | 21 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 43 of 87 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 81 | 46% | 26 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 32 of 71 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.
Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.
Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.
Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.
Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.
Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 34 of 49 | 69% | 61 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 50 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 34 of 49 | 69% | 61 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 50 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 34 of 49 | 69% | 22 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 32 of 44 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Joanne Wood | 16 of 28 | 57% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 34 of 49 | 69% | 22 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 32 of 44 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Joanne Wood | 16 of 28 | 57% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Joanne Wood as a pretty big underdog. He thinks the books are not giving her enough credit. He notes that while Alexa Grasso is undefeated at 125, Wood has only fought top competition and is incredibly well-rounded. He believes Grasso cannot bully or knock out Wood like her previous opponents did.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Wood has excellent volume (6.71 significant strikes per minute) and can mix in takedowns, while Grasso has poor takedown defense (60%) and has been taken down by wrestlers like Suarez and Esparza. He notes that Wood's last loss was to Talia Santos, who is a beast, and that Wood looked good before that, including a win over Jessica Eye. He admits Wood might be washed but thinks the line is off.
Cody leans Grasso but acknowledges Wood's volume striking and durability. He notes Wood's technical boxing is poor and she gets hit clean, while Grasso lands sharper shots. He mentions Wood's recent losses and age, but thinks the fight could be close. He expects Grasso to win but not confidently.
Daniel Levi picks Alexa Grasso, emphasizing her improvement since moving up to flyweight, faster hands, and growing confidence. He notes Joanne Wood is hot-and-cold and may have mentally checked out after losing her title shot. He expects Grasso to win but cautions that the line at -235 is steep, and the fight could be a close decision due to poor judging. He suggests betting Grasso only if under -200.
The host picks Grasso but is not confident, citing her lack of finishing ability and the possibility of a close decision. He notes Wood's volume could sway judges if Grasso doesn't land significant strikes. He prefers the 'fight goes to decision' prop over the moneyline.
Paul picks Grasso but doesn't love the price. He thinks Wood's volume striking and front kicks could cause problems, but Grasso has improved her grappling and is younger. He sees the fight as close and competitive, possibly a split decision. He wouldn't fault someone for taking Wood as an underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Alexa Grasso over Joanne Wood, calling Grasso a much better boxer with superior hands, defense, footwork, and chin at this stage. He notes Wood's recent KO loss and quick turnaround, and believes Grasso will get a submission win, possibly a d'arce choke, after hurting Wood on the feet. The Guru acknowledges Wood's volume could be a factor but trusts Grasso's technical edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taila Santos | 0 | 27 of 68 | 39% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 2 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taila Santos | 0 | 27 of 68 | 39% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 2 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taila Santos | 27 of 68 | 39% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 7 | 16 of 25 | 26 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 30 of 60 | 50% | 21 of 46 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taila Santos | 27 of 68 | 39% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 7 | 16 of 25 | 26 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 30 of 60 | 50% | 21 of 46 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 18 |
Angelo picks Taila Santos, saying she is better than Joanne Wood everywhere. He notes Taila's power, athleticism, and willingness to mix in takedowns, while Wood is technical but less powerful. He expects Taila to cruise to a decision win, though Wood is tough and could make it competitive. He does not bet due to high DraftKings price (9200) and expects a decision.
Big Brady picks Taila Santos confidently, stating the line is accurate and could be wider. He highlights Santos' phenomenal wrestling and grappling, noting she controlled top grapplers like Jillian Robertson and Roxy Modafferi for long periods. He points out Joanne Wood's 63% takedown defense and age (35), and believes Santos will dominate with takedowns and control. He predicts a one-sided decision.
Cody picks Taila Santos but strongly dislikes the -380 price. He acknowledges Santos's wrestling and grinding style should neutralize Wood's Muay Thai, but he questions the level of competition Santos has faced. He notes that Wood has fought the division's best and has better striking volume. Cody believes Santos wins via grinding against the cage and takedowns, but he would not bet her straight up at that price; he might include her in parlays lower down.
Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos confidently, citing her recent improvements and physicality. He notes that Santos has been looking better each fight, with strong muay Thai and takedown ability. He questions Joanne Wood's mental state, suggesting she may not be fully committed after getting married. Levi believes Santos will be stronger, more physical, and hungrier, and that Wood has a history of being broken mentally.
Lock is high on Santos, noting she looked much better in her second UFC fight. He thinks Santos has a grappling advantage and will land takedowns consistently. He also mentions Wood's distractions (recent marriage, talk of retirement) and that she struggles off her back. Lock expects Santos to win by decision at -135.
Paul argues that if you think Santos will win, the price shouldn't scare you off. He believes Santos's wrestling and strength advantage will allow her to grind Wood against the cage and render her Muay Thai useless. He thinks Santos wins at least 6-7 out of 10 times, which justifies the -380 line. He criticizes the mentality of flipping a pick based on odds and sticks with Santos as the winner.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood as an underdog over Taila Santos. He argues that Santos's stand-up is not great and she hasn't dominated on the ground against top competition. He highlights Wood's experience against top flyweights, including wins over Lauren Murphy and Andrea Lee, and argues she was robbed in some losses. He expects Wood to outland Santos on the feet and win by unanimous decision (30-27).
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 80 of 148 | 54% | 121 of 195 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 4:54 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 123 of 228 | 53% | 153 of 259 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 55 of 97 | 56% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 43 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 26 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 38 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 59 of 114 | 51% | 63 of 118 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 80 of 148 | 54% | 66 of 131 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 55 of 119 | 10 of 13 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 123 of 228 | 53% | 62 of 137 | 30 of 41 | 31 of 50 | 99 of 201 | 23 of 25 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 29 of 57 | 50% | 25 of 51 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 52 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 55 of 97 | 56% | 22 of 50 | 16 of 22 | 17 of 25 | 43 of 85 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 16 of 22 | 72% | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 9 of 17 | 52% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 35 of 69 | 50% | 27 of 60 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 61 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 59 of 114 | 51% | 36 of 78 | 13 of 16 | 10 of 20 | 48 of 101 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.
Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.
Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.
Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 77 of 173 | 44% | 104 of 218 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 5:03 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 148 of 240 | 61% | 214 of 319 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 30 of 56 | 53% | 41 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 48 of 81 | 59% | 69 of 104 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 37 of 87 | 42% | 44 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 65 of 113 | 57% | 81 of 137 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 19 of 51 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 35 of 46 | 76% | 64 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 77 of 173 | 44% | 39 of 127 | 35 of 41 | 3 of 5 | 44 of 132 | 32 of 40 | 1 of 1 |
| Jessica Eye | 148 of 240 | 61% | 52 of 122 | 53 of 62 | 43 of 56 | 113 of 198 | 35 of 42 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 30 of 56 | 53% | 16 of 41 | 14 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 37 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 48 of 81 | 59% | 18 of 43 | 16 of 20 | 14 of 18 | 37 of 65 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 37 of 87 | 42% | 21 of 67 | 13 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 73 | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
| Jessica Eye | 65 of 113 | 57% | 22 of 59 | 24 of 28 | 19 of 26 | 53 of 99 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 10 of 30 | 33% | 2 of 19 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 35 of 46 | 76% | 12 of 20 | 13 of 14 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) by decision, citing her high output (6.17 significant strikes per minute) and takedown ability. He is hesitant because Wood lost her last fight via submission, and he is not betting on her. He expects a close decision and thinks the fight likely goes to decision.
Daniel Levi picks Jessica Eye, citing her superior resume with wins over top competition like Katlyn Chookagian and Viviane Araujo. He criticizes Joanne Wood for folding in big fights and being mentally fragile. Levi believes Eye's athleticism and health improvements will lead to a win, possibly by decision.
This is a close fight between two mid-tier flyweights. Eye has good boxing and combinations, and she is not afraid to trade. Wood has volume but lacks power. Eye's durability and willingness to exchange should give her an edge. I think Eye lands the more significant strikes and wins a close decision. At plus money, there is value.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) to win a close decision, expecting a stand-up fight. He believes Wood's kicking game will be the difference against Jessica Eye's boxing-oriented style. He notes that both fighters are past their prime but gives Wood the edge due to her variety of kicks (leg kicks, knees, head kicks). He does not see either fighter going to the ground and predicts Wood edges every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 33 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 0 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 33 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Maia | 26 of 49 | 53% | 6 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Joanne Wood | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Maia | 26 of 49 | 53% | 6 of 25 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Joanne Wood | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.
Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.
The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.
The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 101 of 230 | 43% | 158 of 293 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 61 of 137 | 44% | 104 of 185 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 4:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 41 of 92 | 44% | 44 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 38 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 54 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 36 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 36 of 80 | 45% | 60 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 30 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 101 of 230 | 43% | 40 of 138 | 16 of 38 | 45 of 54 | 94 of 222 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 61 of 137 | 44% | 13 of 73 | 26 of 39 | 22 of 25 | 57 of 132 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 41 of 92 | 44% | 13 of 51 | 8 of 18 | 20 of 23 | 40 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 32 of 71 | 45% | 6 of 36 | 15 of 22 | 11 of 13 | 29 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 24 of 58 | 41% | 13 of 40 | 1 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 53 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 17 of 33 | 51% | 4 of 18 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 16 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 36 of 80 | 45% | 14 of 47 | 7 of 13 | 15 of 20 | 34 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 12 of 33 | 36% | 3 of 19 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Cortney Casey - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 55 of 117 | 47% | 81 of 158 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 33 of 86 | 38% | 80 of 146 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 30 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 35 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 9 of 37 | 24% | 9 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 36 of 60 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 55 of 117 | 47% | 26 of 73 | 15 of 26 | 14 of 18 | 54 of 115 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 33 of 86 | 38% | 17 of 52 | 2 of 7 | 14 of 27 | 28 of 78 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 35 | 45% | 6 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 12 of 20 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 14 | 11 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 24 of 57 | 42% | 9 of 34 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 12 | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 9 of 37 | 24% | 5 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 11 | 9 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Antonina Shevchenko | 15 of 25 | 60% | 11 of 18 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 12 of 29 | 41% | 9 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Antonina Shevchenko as the better striker, expecting the fight to stay on the feet since Cortney Casey has poor takedown offense (no takedowns in 4 years). He notes Antonina has clean technique but real gaps in grappling. He is not betting the moneyline but considers a plus 3.5 round bet on Casey because she is tough and could win one round.
Big Brady picks Antonina Shevchenko but with low confidence, noting that he typically looks to fade her. He explains that Cortney Casey's path to victory would be via takedowns, but she rarely uses her wrestling (only 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes). Since he can't trust Casey to implement that game plan, he expects the fight to stay on the feet where Shevchenko is the better striker. He calls it a close fight and says he doesn't want to bet it.
Cody thinks Shevchenko's striking is world-class and she has a slight wrestling advantage over Casey. He notes Casey is durable but has poor takedown defense. He expects Shevchenko to use her speed and technique to win a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns.
The host does not pick a winner for this fight. He only bets on the fight going to decision (over 2.5 rounds) at -180. He expects Shevchenko to outpoint Casey but notes that Casey could snatch a submission. He does not commit to a side on the moneyline.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Shevchenko. He notes that Casey's wrestling is non-existent and Shevchenko should have a grappling advantage. He thinks the price is reasonable for a women's MMA fight and expects Shevchenko to win.
The Guru picks Cortney Casey as an underdog, calling the fight a coin flip between two inconsistent fighters. He believes oddsmakers overvalue Shevchenko's surname and record. He trusts Casey's volume and grappling to edge out a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 89 of 218 | 40% | 124 of 257 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 34 of 154 | 22% | 57 of 184 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 29 of 67 | 43% | 53 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 9 of 47 | 19% | 13 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 23 of 61 | 37% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 8 of 45 | 17% | 26 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 3 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 37 of 90 | 41% | 41 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 17 of 62 | 27% | 18 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 89 of 218 | 40% | 61 of 173 | 12 of 25 | 16 of 20 | 86 of 213 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 |
| Liana Jojua | 34 of 154 | 22% | 29 of 143 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 30 of 145 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 29 of 67 | 43% | 19 of 53 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 8 | 29 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Liana Jojua | 9 of 47 | 19% | 8 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | |
| 2 | Cortney Casey | 23 of 61 | 37% | 14 of 46 | 3 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Liana Jojua | 8 of 45 | 17% | 7 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 3 | Cortney Casey | 37 of 90 | 41% | 28 of 74 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 35 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Liana Jojua | 17 of 62 | 27% | 14 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Cortney Casey due to her higher level of competition and more technical striking. He acknowledges that Jojua has a path to victory through grappling but notes her poor takedown ability. Angelo thinks the odds are a bit wide and considers this a close fight, but picks experience.
Big Brady is confident in Cortney Casey, criticizing Liana Jojua's poor striking defense, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Jojua was dominated by Sarah Morris and Miranda Maverick, and while Casey has a mediocre record, she has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Casey to have a striking advantage and predicts a TKO in the second round as Jojua fades.
Cody is betting against Jojua, not for Casey. He notes Jojua's poor performances and long layoff. He thinks Casey's volume and experience should win, but he's not confident because Casey is 9-9 and hasn't won in two years. He advises caution and checking weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Cortney Casey, noting that Jojua's takedowns are not strong and most of her wins come by armbar off her back, which Casey has not been submitted by. He acknowledges Casey's poor takedown defense but believes she is the tougher fighter and has beaten higher-level competition. Levi says he would never bet Casey at -240 but still picks her to win.
Jacob picks Liana Jojua as his lock of the week, believing she will use offensive wrestling to take Casey down and control her. He notes that Casey has been taken down in recent fights and thinks Jojua's grappling is superior. Jacob is very confident in this pick.
Paul thinks Casey is far more skilled than Jojua, who has poor stand-up and is hittable. He expects Casey to win by volume and experience. He notes Casey's grappling is adequate and Jojua's only path is a submission, which is unlikely.
The Guru picks Cortney Casey by submission (rear-naked choke) in the second round. He expects Casey to out-strike Jojua on the feet, then reverse a takedown attempt and secure the choke. Jojua's nose and eye will be bloodied from Casey's pressure and clinch work.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 55 of 131 | 41% | 121 of 202 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 45 of 80 | 56% | 58 of 99 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 5:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 21 of 40 | 52% | 51 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 18 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 43 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 15 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 27 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 25 of 43 | 58% | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 55 of 131 | 41% | 35 of 107 | 9 of 12 | 11 of 12 | 45 of 114 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 45 of 80 | 56% | 41 of 74 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 64 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 21 of 40 | 52% | 8 of 26 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 13 of 27 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 9 of 19 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 7 of 25 | 28% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 27 of 66 | 40% | 23 of 61 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 62 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 25 of 43 | 58% | 24 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks JJ Aldrich but is not confident, calling it a close fight. He notes that Casey has terrible takedown defense (37%) and Aldrich could exploit that by mixing in takedowns, though Aldrich rarely attempts them. He sees the striking as near 50-50 with a slight edge to Aldrich. He predicts a close decision, possibly 29-28 split, and advises against betting on this fight.
Daniel Levi picks Cortney Casey reluctantly, reasoning that if there are no takedowns, Casey's higher output could edge a split decision. He acknowledges Casey's poor takedown defense and questionable decisions, but notes that JJ Aldridge rarely shoots for takedowns and has been stopped standing. He believes Casey's toughness and volume could be enough in a striking match.
Lock loves Aldrich's fighting style, noting she moves forward, throws combinations with heat, and has good technique. He mentions her close fight with Sabina Mazo that could have gone her way. He thinks she can cause Casey issues on the feet and is confident at -140. He questions Casey's recent form.
The Guru initially changes his mind mid-sentence but ultimately picks Cortney Casey as an underdog. He believes Casey's experience against tougher competition gives her an edge, and he criticizes JJ Aldridge's losses, particularly to Macy Barber and Sabina Mazo. He expects a scrappy fight where Casey secures a submission, specifically an armbar, in the second round. He notes that Casey has fought better opponents and her losses look better than Aldridge's.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 22 of 55 | 40% | 113 of 153 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 21 of 50 | 42% | 41 of 72 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 11:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 23 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 12 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 40 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 20 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 | |
| 3 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 50 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 4 of 20 | 20% | 9 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 22 of 55 | 40% | 16 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 20 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 21 of 50 | 42% | 15 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 3 of 13 | 23% | 2 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 5 of 14 | 35% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 5 of 13 | 38% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 12 of 16 | 75% | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 | |
| 3 | Gillian Robertson | 14 of 29 | 48% | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 4 of 20 | 20% | 2 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Gillian Robertson by decision, expecting her to take Cortney Casey down repeatedly and control the fight on the ground. He notes Casey's poor takedown defense and believes Robertson will avoid striking exchanges. He acknowledges Casey's submission threat from bottom but thinks Robertson will be safe on top and may even get a ground-and-pound finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Cortney Casey, acknowledging she will be taken down but believing she has a good guard and submission threats. He notes that Gillian Robertson checks out if she can't get an early sub, and Casey can win on the feet or via submission. Levi warns that betting Casey requires accepting early takedowns, but sees value at plus money.
Casey has momentum and is bigger with a reach advantage. Robertson has a good ground game but Casey is stronger. Casey will get a submission in the first round, though it's a close fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mara Romero Borella | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 21 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mara Romero Borella | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 21 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Mara Romero Borella | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Mara Romero Borella | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Mara Romero Borella by decision, noting that Borella has a takedown advantage and Casey has poor takedown defense. He acknowledges that on the feet Casey is likely better, but believes Borella can get takedowns and control time on the ground. He mentions that Borella is chinny and has been knocked out multiple times, but still favors her due to the grappling edge.
Daniel Levi picks Cortney Casey. He notes that Casey is the far superior fighter and tougher, despite her questionable fight IQ. He believes Borella lacks chin and confidence, and if she can't get takedowns, she loses. He expects Casey to give up early takedowns but eventually land a big shot and win.
The host picks Mara Romero Borella, though he admits both fighters are not great. He cites Borella's physical advantages (shorter with longer reach) making it harder for Casey to get inside. He predicts a close, uneventful decision win for Borella.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 73 of 176 | 41% | 73 of 177 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 82 of 192 | 42% | 82 of 192 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 28 of 63 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 27 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 22 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 73 of 176 | 41% | 41 of 136 | 6 of 8 | 26 of 32 | 72 of 175 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 82 of 192 | 42% | 41 of 139 | 17 of 24 | 24 of 29 | 79 of 186 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 24 of 58 | 41% | 14 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 32 of 62 | 51% | 10 of 37 | 8 of 11 | 14 of 14 | 29 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 52 | 42% | 12 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 11 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 28 of 63 | 44% | 15 of 45 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 28 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 66 | 40% | 15 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 22 of 67 | 32% | 16 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 7 | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 111 of 333 | 33% | 117 of 341 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 121 of 222 | 54% | 123 of 224 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 29 of 98 | 29% | 29 of 99 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 33 of 65 | 50% | 33 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 2 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 43 of 113 | 38% | 47 of 117 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 41 of 75 | 54% | 43 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 39 of 122 | 31% | 41 of 125 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 47 of 82 | 57% | 47 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 111 of 333 | 33% | 80 of 290 | 17 of 28 | 14 of 15 | 100 of 321 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
| Angela Hill | 121 of 222 | 54% | 65 of 156 | 34 of 41 | 22 of 25 | 110 of 211 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 29 of 98 | 29% | 22 of 89 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Angela Hill | 33 of 65 | 50% | 16 of 46 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 11 | 29 of 61 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Cortney Casey | 43 of 113 | 38% | 30 of 95 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 35 of 104 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 41 of 75 | 54% | 21 of 52 | 13 of 15 | 7 of 8 | 38 of 72 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cortney Casey | 39 of 122 | 31% | 28 of 106 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 39 of 122 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 47 of 82 | 57% | 28 of 58 | 14 of 18 | 5 of 6 | 43 of 78 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The strawweights come to the center of the cage, ready to go. Hill is moving quite a bit early, giving Casey plenty of angles. “Overkill” peppers the taller fighter with a quick combo upstairs, but there’s not behind it. During an exchange, Casey stumbles back and sits down; Hill lets her up. Hill goes with a slick left hook to the face, followed by a right low kick. Hill walks into a straight left, but she counters that with a left low kick. A hard right leg kick by “Overkill” follows but Casey storms back with a left and a right to the face. The two begin opening up much more and tag each other with punches to the head. Casey eats a few more punches and then opts for a takedown. Casey ties Hill up against the cage and drags her foe to the canvas. Hill wastes no time and latches on an armbar, but the Phoenix-based fighter stacks her nicely to fend it off. Casey perfectly executes the armbar escapes, but she is immediately attacked by Hill, who shoots in for a double. Back on their feet late in the round, the ladies trade solid punches. Hill tags Casey with a pair of rights to the face to seal the round in her favor. 10-9 Hill.
Round 2
The women pick up where they left off from the end of the first and trade hard punches to the head. Hill gets the better of the initial exchange, forcing Casey to shoot in for a takedown. Hill stuffs her long enough to separate and regroups to the center of the Octagon. Hill slams a left hook and right leg kick onto the taller fighter, but the Casey counters with a straight right to the jaw that snaps Hill’s head back. “Overkill” settles down and pops her foe’s head back with a series of jabs, but the Phoenix-based fighter answers with a slurry to the head and body. Casey ducks under a left hook and shoots in for a double-leg takedown. “Overkill” does a splendid job defending it and eventually separates back to the center of the cage. Hill is bleeding from the nose, but she connects with a left hook to the jaw that briefly rocks Casey. “Cast Iron” backs off but Hill chases after her. Hill lands a straight left up top and narrowly avoids a knee to the face in return. Hill lands an overhand elbow to the head during an exchange just before the horn, capturing another round. 10-9 Hill.
Round 3
Casey, likely sensing she desperately needs this round, comes out aggressively. Hill sees it and tags her with a sweeping left hook to the jab. “Cast Iron” shakes it off and goes low with a kick before coming back upstairs with a right-left that is blocked. “Overkill” clips her foe with a right behind the ear, but it doesn’t seem to faze Casey that much. Hill has some swelling around her left eye as she digs a flurry to the body. Casey, in return, fires off a pair of rights to the head. At the midway point, Hill is moving around the cage nicely; Casey seems to be growing frustrated. A stiff left jab from “Overkill” backs off the charging Casey, who then has to swallow a right cross. Hill delivers a shot to the gut just as Casey tries closing the gap. With a minute left, Casey needs to go for broke her, but “Overkill” is playing it smart by staying just out of range. Hill tags her opponent with three left jabs, a right cross and then a left to the body. Casey tries to fire back, but Hill is nowhere to be found. They trade punches for the final few moments of the fight, but nothing is too severe. 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill).
The Official Result
Cortney Casey-Sanchez def. Angela Hill via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 61 of 84 | 72% | 77 of 103 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 6:05 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 36 of 96 | 37% | 64 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 1:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 27 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 2 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 23 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 22 of 27 | 81% | 27 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 61 of 84 | 72% | 30 of 49 | 13 of 15 | 18 of 20 | 41 of 61 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 16 |
| Cortney Casey | 36 of 96 | 37% | 22 of 79 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 22 of 82 | 9 of 9 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 23 of 36 | 63% | 11 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 14 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 |
| Cortney Casey | 16 of 38 | 42% | 9 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 16 of 21 | 76% | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
| Cortney Casey | 11 of 25 | 44% | 8 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 22 of 27 | 81% | 9 of 14 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Cortney Casey | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
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