UFC 184: Rousey vs. Zingano · Feb 28, 2015 · Welterweight · Completed
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Age 42
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Tim Means
5.04 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.65 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
1.14 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Dhiego Lima
3.12 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
3.88 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
1.26 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
73.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Tim Means - Fight History
LOSS vs Court McGee
Submission (neck crank) R1 3:19 · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Oct 05, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Court McGee 0 14 of 24 58% 19 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:58
Tim Means 0 5 of 13 38% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Court McGee 0 14 of 24 58% 19 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:58
Tim Means 0 5 of 13 38% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Court McGee 14 of 24 58% 9 of 18 3 of 4 2 of 2 14 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0
Tim Means 5 of 13 38% 2 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Court McGee 14 of 24 58% 9 of 18 3 of 4 2 of 2 14 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0
Tim Means 5 of 13 38% 2 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 29, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Court McGee

Angelo picks Court McGee, believing the fight is 50-50 and McGee's wrestling and pressure can be the difference. He notes Tim Means is a 2-to-1 favorite, which he considers unjustified given both fighters are old and worn. He placed a small bet on McGee at +195.

Bet 0.25 units on Court McGee at +195
"I'm leaning court court is going to be the pick... I threw a quarter of a unit on him at plus 195"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tim Means

Big Brady is hesitant on this fight, noting that both fighters are veterans and he doesn't trust either. He leans towards Tim Means because he believes Means still has a little left in the tank, while Court McGee hasn't had a finish since 2010 and has been losing to lower-level competition. He expects McGee to attempt takedowns but thinks Means will do better work on the feet and win a decision.

"I just feel like Tim Means is has just a little little bit left in the gas tank at at this at this point of time so I think it's going to be close it's probably going to be greasy …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Court McGee

Cody picks McGee, citing his home-field advantage in Utah and cardio. He notes Means' tendency to gas and get submitted. He believes McGee can outlast Means and possibly win by submission.

Court McGee by submission
"it's me and mgee as well brother"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tim Means

Connor picks Means based on sentiment, acknowledging it's not a sound analysis. He notes that Means is old and has lost speed, but Court McGee is not a powerful striker and Means' craft might be enough. He wants Means to go out on a win.

"I'm going to pick Tim Means simply because I adore him. And I would like this to be his last fight. And I would like him to go out on a win."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tim Means

Daniel Vreeland picks Tim Means, citing his slick striking and improved wrestling. He notes that Court McGee has slowed down drastically and was nearly beaten by Alex Morono. Vreeland expects Means to knock out McGee, though he is hesitant to lay heavy chalk on a fighter who has lost four of his last five.

"I like the Slicker striking style of Tim me his wrestling's gotten a lot better I think he's got a good chance to come out here and knock out Court McGee"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tim Means

The host believes Tim Means is the better overall fighter and will utilize his clinch with knees and elbows, as well as distance striking with kicks and long-range weapons, to pick apart Court McGee. He expects Means to win on the scorecards, noting that McGee lacks significant knockout power.

"I do think that means is the better overall fighter in this spot and I don't think he'll have too much knockout power to worry about on the McGee side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Court McGee

Paul picks McGee, emphasizing his durability and wrestling. He thinks McGee can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He sees value at plus 170 and expects a close decision or late finish.

"McGee for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Court McGee

The MMA Guru picks Court McGee over Tim Means, citing McGee's training at altitude in Utah as a key advantage. He notes both fighters are past their prime but believes McGee is less finishable and will employ a boring cage control game, failing takedowns but winning the pressure game. He predicts a decision victory for McGee, as neither fighter is likely to finish early.

"I'm going to say Court McGee wins this one by decision and I'm pretty confident in it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tim Means

Zane also picks Means for sentimental reasons, calling himself a long-time Dirty Bird fan. He acknowledges that Means has lost a step but notes that McGee is not a dangerous striker and Means' experience might carry him. He admits it's not a pick based on sound analysis.

"I'm going to rise with Tim Means just for us. Long time Dirty Bird fans."
LOSS vs Uroš Medić
TKO (punches) R1 2:09 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Tim Means 1 7 of 12 58% 11 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Tim Means 1 7 of 12 58% 11 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 7 of 17 41% 1 of 10 5 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tim Means 7 of 12 58% 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 7 of 17 41% 1 of 10 5 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tim Means 7 of 12 58% 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo is very confident Uroš Medić wins, citing his youth, speed, power, and superior striking. He notes Medić has a 100% finish rate and killer instinct. The only concern is Medić's 46% takedown defense, but he thinks Tim Means at 40 years old may not be able to exploit it. He expects a finish and suggests waiting for prop bets, hoping for a 2.5 round line to bet the under.

Under 2.5 rounds (if available)
"uros medic should win this fight I very confident in him to win this fight I don't know if I trust these odds just yet let's wait for the prop bets"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Cody picks Means as a dog, citing his experience and cleaner striking. He notes Means' body work and straight left, and believes he can hurt Medić, who has been rocked before. However, he admits Means' age and cardio are concerns, making it a doger pass.

"it's pretty clear dogger pass here means could beat him on volume too"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Daniel thinks Means is durable but at 40 may not dig deep when hurt. He notes Medić is younger, more dangerous, and showed heart in the Semelsberger fight. He leans Medić but won't bet at -310, though he might take Means as a dog if the price gets better.

"I'm gonna go medic but I mean I'd love to see the Dirty Bird win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Uroš Medić

Medić is younger, faster, and more powerful. Means is 40 with a lot of mileage. Medić's Muay Thai and power should overwhelm Means as the fight goes on. I expect Medić to finish Means, possibly by knockout. The inside distance prop is a good option.

Medić wins inside distance
"I think that medic as he continues to land and starts landing on means uh it's going to cause means to you know I think it will cause him to break and I think that will eventually see means actually …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Paul also picks Means, highlighting his experience against better competition and his opportunistic submission game. He thinks Means' grappling advantage could be key, as Medić has poor takedown defense. He calls it a clear doger pass.

"it's pretty clear dogger pass here means could beat him on volume too"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić, calling him more explosive and dangerous on the feet. He criticizes Tim Means as hitting a veteran decline and notes his loss to Matt Semelsberger. He highlights Medić's good cardio and nasty body kicks, predicting a TKO via liver shot. He also mentions Medić's near-finish of Orolbai and his ability to handle Means' grinding style.

TKO via liver shot
"I'm going to go uros medic I think he's really dangerous"
WIN vs André Fialho
TKO (punches) R3 1:15 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tim Means 2 104 of 143 72% 134 of 178 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:51
André Fialho 0 51 of 103 49% 56 of 110 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tim Means 1 39 of 53 73% 44 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:22
André Fialho 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tim Means 0 48 of 69 69% 73 of 99 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:29
André Fialho 0 29 of 50 58% 32 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:48
3 Tim Means 1 17 of 21 80% 17 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 3 of 6 50% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tim Means 104 of 143 72% 66 of 103 33 of 35 5 of 5 56 of 87 30 of 35 18 of 21
André Fialho 51 of 103 49% 32 of 75 15 of 23 4 of 5 35 of 86 16 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tim Means 39 of 53 73% 21 of 34 16 of 17 2 of 2 25 of 36 8 of 10 6 of 7
André Fialho 19 of 47 40% 8 of 31 8 of 13 3 of 3 13 of 41 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Tim Means 48 of 69 69% 33 of 53 14 of 15 1 of 1 22 of 39 14 of 16 12 of 14
André Fialho 29 of 50 58% 24 of 44 4 of 4 1 of 2 19 of 39 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Tim Means 17 of 21 80% 12 of 16 3 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 12 8 of 9 0 of 0
André Fialho 3 of 6 50% 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tim Means

Angelo thinks Means can ugly up the fight and squeak out a close decision. He notes Means is tough, busy, and has fought a who's who of welterweights. However, he is concerned about Means' age (39) and Fialho's power. He has very low confidence.

"I do think Tim Means can squeak this out super low confidence"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Fialho

Big Brady picks André Fialho to win by first-round knockout, citing his power advantage and youth (10 years younger). He notes both fighters have poor durability, but Fialho hits like a truck. He worries about Fialho's horrible cardio and thinks he must finish early. He says nobody should be confident on either side.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna say Fiola gets the first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Cody picks Tim Means as a live underdog, citing Fialho's poor chin and hesitancy against strikers. He notes Means's crafty striking, wrestling, and experience. He believes Means can outwork Fialho, who has been knocked out by lesser competition.

"I'm gonna take Tim Means for the underdog selection... plus 155 that was available to me."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Fialho

Daniel hesitantly picks Fialho based on youth and power, but admits he doesn't trust either fighter. He notes Means is 39 and doesn't react well to shots anymore, while Fialho has three straight KO losses. He thinks Means is the better technical fighter but age and chin are concerns. He expects a violent fight and leans Fialho by KO, but with low confidence.

"probably a FIU win here and then we look to fed him his next fight against like a young gun"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
André Fialho

Lucrative James feels Fialho will knock out Means, citing Means' declining durability and reaction times. He likes Fialho's left hook and calm striking style. He considers betting Fialho inside the distance but notes the line is -135, which he doesn't love. He also mentions Means decision as a possible hedge.

Fialho inside the distance -135 considered; Means decision considered
"I kind of feel like Fialho's gonna knock him out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
André Fialho

The host picks Fialho to win by first-round knockout, despite normally fading him. He notes Fialho's power advantage and Means' questionable durability and age (39). He expects Fialho to land a barrage early and finish Means. He also likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' as a safer play, expecting either an early Fialho KO or a late Means finish.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I think that fialio gets that first round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Paul picks Tim Means simply because he refuses to lay chalk on Fialho. He notes both fighters are quick starters and expects a finish. He has no strong confidence but likes the plus money.

"I suppose I'm leaning towards Tim The Dirty Bird means strictly because I could see this fight going both ways and he's got a plus 140 price tag next to him literally nothing more than that."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tim Means

The MMA Guru initially leans toward André Fialho but changes his pick to Tim Means after a lengthy internal debate. He worries about Means' age and declining athleticism but has a 'sneaky feeling' Means will catch Fialho. He notes Fialho's tendency to get knocked out and Means' effective one-two combinations. He predicts a TKO in round one, with Means backing Fialho against the cage and landing a one-two. He admits he is hesitant and almost picked Fialho.

TKO round one
"I'm going Tim minz I'm going Tim Means getting a TKO over Andre fiallo he was winning against morono I I knew this would happen dude I told myself not to pick him but here I am..."
LOSS vs Alex Morono
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:09 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 0 40 of 87 45% 45 of 92 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:46
Tim Means 0 33 of 92 35% 42 of 102 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 0 32 of 64 50% 34 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Tim Means 0 18 of 58 31% 27 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alex Morono 0 8 of 23 34% 11 of 26 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
Tim Means 0 15 of 34 44% 15 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 40 of 87 45% 16 of 52 18 of 29 6 of 6 30 of 74 10 of 13 0 of 0
Tim Means 33 of 92 35% 29 of 86 4 of 6 0 of 0 31 of 86 2 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 32 of 64 50% 10 of 32 16 of 26 6 of 6 23 of 52 9 of 12 0 of 0
Tim Means 18 of 58 31% 16 of 55 2 of 3 0 of 0 16 of 52 2 of 6 0 of 0
2 Alex Morono 8 of 23 34% 6 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tim Means 15 of 34 44% 13 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Angelo leans on Morono, noting his clean striking and recent improvements. He says Tim Means is gritty and well-rounded, and that unless you're ranked or dangerous, you shouldn't be a 2-to-1 favorite over Means. He calls it a close fight and is not betting on it.

"I am gonna lean on him for the pick here but holy crap is this a close fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady is a huge Tim Means fan but has serious concerns about Means' durability at 39 years old and after 48 fights. He notes Means has been getting dropped and finished recently, and questions his focus as he seems more into coaching. Brady compares this to the Morono vs. Cerrone fight, predicting Morono will land a big shot, swarm, and finish Means. He picks Morono by second-round knockout and suggests Means may retire after this fight.

second round knockout
"give me Alex marona to win this fight I'll say he wins this fight by second round knockout I think he knocks out Tim Means on Saturday"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Cody picks Morono, citing Tim Means' age (39) and 50 pro fights, leading to durability and speed decline. He notes Means' tendency to gas after the first round and Morono's volume and pressure. He expects Morono to chew away at Means and possibly get a late stoppage. He acknowledges Means' skill but believes his best days are behind him.

"I'm just doubting it on a personal level so we'll take Alex morono to get the job done which pains me because we've been doing this show for like nine years and we've been covering Tim Means fights pretty much …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Connor picks Morono, agreeing that Means is past his prime and gets hurt too often. He highlights Morono's lateral movement, jab, and counter-punching, which will frustrate Means. He thinks Means will have moments but ultimately lose a decision or get dropped.

"I got to take Morono, even if it's by decision, I think it's much more likely that Tim Means gets dropped in a couple of rounds."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Daniel Levi picks Alex Morono but with low confidence, citing Tim Means' age (39-40) and declining durability as the deciding factor. He notes that statistically, Means is competitive and would be a live dog if younger, but Means' recent fights show he can't take damage like before. Levi expects a competitive fight but favors Morono's unorthodox style and durability. He passes on betting due to the price, calling it a dog-or-pass situation.

pass on betting at -225; fight could go to decision or be a war
"I'm gonna pick Alex Morano but it's not a confident pick and it's not something I'm interested it's a dog or pass situation"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Morono's pressure, pace, and volume will be too much for Means, who has diminished durability at 39. Means is the better technical striker but can't take shots like before. Morono will march forward, land big shots, and likely find a knockout or submission. Means may have moments but Morono's relentless style will overwhelm him.

inside the distance, TKO
"gimme Alex morono inside the distance I'm gonna call it via TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Morono. He notes that Means gasses after 6-7 minutes and lacks a grappling game. He mentions that Morono might mix in takedowns and fish for a submission, and that the market has moved on that prop. He sees Morono as the rightful favorite.

submission prop (market moved from 9-1 to 6.5-1)
"my biggest struggle yeah I just I just can't get behind the dirty bird at this point he seems to really absolutely guess about six seven minutes into every single fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The MMA Guru picks Alex Morono, noting that he had a full training camp and has better hand speed and cardio. He believes Tim Means has slowed down and will struggle with Morono's pace. He predicts a dominant decision or a late finish.

dominant decision win 30-27
"Alex morono I think is going to win this matchup... I see him getting finished on the feet maybe as the fight goes on or maybe there'll be a dominant decision win for morono here 30 27."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Zane picks Morono, citing Tim Means' age (39) and tendency to get hurt now. He notes that Means' pressure-counter style leaves him vulnerable, and Morono's awkward but effective striking, good footwork, and jab will cause problems. He thinks Morono will land a big counter and potentially drop Means, though a decision is likely.

"I got to take Morono, even if it's by decision, I think it's much more likely that Tim Means gets dropped in a couple of rounds."
LOSS vs Max Griffin
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Max Griffin 0 47 of 115 40% 143 of 215 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:27
Tim Means 1 42 of 78 53% 56 of 96 3 of 6 50% 0 0 5:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Max Griffin 0 17 of 49 34% 21 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Tim Means 1 25 of 42 59% 26 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:54
2 Max Griffin 0 20 of 53 37% 48 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tim Means 0 13 of 29 44% 14 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:35
3 Max Griffin 0 10 of 13 76% 74 of 79 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:01
Tim Means 0 4 of 7 57% 16 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Max Griffin 47 of 115 40% 18 of 64 18 of 36 11 of 15 37 of 103 7 of 9 3 of 3
Tim Means 42 of 78 53% 25 of 52 9 of 15 8 of 11 35 of 66 1 of 1 6 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Max Griffin 17 of 49 34% 8 of 27 3 of 14 6 of 8 13 of 43 4 of 6 0 of 0
Tim Means 25 of 42 59% 16 of 29 7 of 9 2 of 4 20 of 34 1 of 1 4 of 7
2 Max Griffin 20 of 53 37% 7 of 32 8 of 15 5 of 6 20 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tim Means 13 of 29 44% 5 of 16 2 of 6 6 of 7 13 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Max Griffin 10 of 13 76% 3 of 5 7 of 7 0 of 1 4 of 7 3 of 3 3 of 3
Tim Means 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Max Griffin vs. Tim Means

Round 1
An interesting, all-action welterweight contest will serve as the co-main attraction of this Fight Night event, with a storied veteran battling it out against a man fighting his way back to contention. At 38 years of age, Means (32-13-1, 1 NC; 14-10, 1 NC UFC) is still cruising in the division, with three wins in his last four including a few stellar performances over Nicolas Dalby and Mike Perry in recent memory. While his adversary Griffin (18-9, 6-7 UFC) started off going just 3-6 in the Octagon, he has turned things around as of late with a similar 3-1 stretch as Means. Drawing the assignment is referee Dan Miragliotta, and the 170-pounders do not touch gloves as they want to immediately get down to business. They start trading almost immediately, with rangy punches and chopping low kicks to match the other. Griffin fires a left hand over the top, and a right hand knocks Means down to his backside. Griffin leaps on top to finish the job, and Means latches on to an armbar off his back to keep his man honest and survive the onslaught. As Means continues to work, he turns to his side, grabs hold of a leg and drives Griffin back to the wall. Means separates, and he appears to have his bearings back as he measures a high kick from his lead leg and a body kick from his rear. Means just misses with a knee as Griffin bears down on him with a combination, and he works the calf to slow down the advancing Griffin. “The Dirty Bird” whiffs on a one-two into a head kick, but the calf kick that follows does connect. Griffin throws fire with a right hand to stun Means for a moment, as he chains it into a power punch that Means tanks seemingly without issue. Means continues to do work on the upper calf, making investments as he also strikes the body. Griffin snaps out a jab that gest Means’ attention, and a right hand that follows it stings Means. Means gives chase with a high kick, and Griffin walks through a pair of open-handed slaps so that he can shoot in for a double. Means keeps his balance as they remain clinched until the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Griffin

Round 2
The welterweights meet in the middle, and Means strikes first in the form of a slapping low kick. The legs from Means continue to fly, and he draws Griffin into a brief but fierce slugfest. The punches turn to slaps for Means, which could signify some sort of damage to a hand, but he shucks any of those concerns by throwing a punch that pops Griffin in the chops. Means keeps Griffin guessing with head kicks, and Griffin finds his way in to land a heavy low kick. Means slaps him upside the head like a Diaz brother, only they are intended as damaging strikes and not disrespectful ones. Griffin jabs his way in, and he blocks a head kick once closing in. Griffin intercepts a rushing Means with a kick to the lead calf, and Means winces and tries to pay Griffin back. Means cuts his opponent off as he advances, and this slows the offense coming back his direction. Means works the body with a left and a right, and he slides back to plant the ball of his foot on the breadbasket before Griffin can land him. The two trade body kicks, and Means jumps at his adversary with a knee that glances off the side. Griffin considers a level change, and as this fails, he hops back. Means hammers a low kick on the inside of the knee, and this slows the movement momentarily. Means walks face-first into a right hand, and this rocks Means and separates him from his balance. As Means falls to the ground, Griffin finds himself taking top position while punching the side. They trade short blows as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Griffin

Round 3
Means comes out of his corner aggressively, and he strikes his way into a takedown effort. Griffin stuffs it and drops to his knees, and Means smashes his own knee into the sternum. Griffin reels and whirls around to counter Means’ takedown with his own attempt, and he manages to suck Means’ legs out and drag him to the floor. Means squeezes tightly to keep Griffin pinned to him, and he lands several heel strikes to the thigh as he constantly remains busy off his back with irritating blows. Griffin remains heavy with top pressure and not willing to sit up and fall into potential submission danger, as he wisely grinds out and considers a guard pass. Means turns to his side in an effort to escape, but Griffin hangs on to keep him trapped. Means scoots his back to the wall, only for “Pain” to yank him back down. When Griffin postures up to rain down blows, Means attacks with a submission attempt that he uses to stand back up. Griffin pressures him against the wall and locks his hands with a double, and this sets Means on his seat again much to the disappointment of “The Dirty Bird.” Means continues to smack Griffin with short, frustrating strikes to the body and head, all while working his way to his knees to get upright. Griffin pursues a single, and he lowers his head right into a knee that Means cracks him with. Means takes Griffin down to turn the tables, and he rips the body with a fierce knee before securing a double with seconds to spare. For one final exclamation point, Means lifts his opponent up and slams him down hard. The fight comes to an end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Means (29-28 Griffin)
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Griffin (30-27 Griffin)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Griffin (30-27 Griffin)

The Official Result
Max Griffin def. Tim Means via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Max Griffin

Big Brady picks Max Griffin to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Griffin's power has improved recently, as seen in his knockout of Aalon Cruz, while Means' durability has declined with age and damage. He mentions that Means has been hurt in recent fights by lesser punchers, and Griffin's durability is excellent. He expects Griffin to land hard shots and finish Means.

Griffin wins by second-round knockout
"give me Max Griffin by knockout I'll say like a second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Max Griffin

Cody acknowledges Tim Means' plus money appeal but points to Means' durability issues at 38 years old and his tendency to fade in later rounds. He notes that Means has been relying more on wrestling as he ages, but Max Griffin has good takedown defense (as seen against Neil Magny) and a solid jab. Cody expects Griffin to beat Means to the jab, stuff takedowns, and eventually land a big shot or win two rounds. He is not betting the fight but picks Griffin.

"I gotta stay with Max Griffin although I don't fault you for maybe taking that live Underdog shot on Timmy so I'm not taking the shot on Timmy it's 38 years like it isn't it isn't very pretty at this …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Max Griffin

Daniel Levi picks Max Griffin, citing his momentum, confidence, and aspirations to break into the top 15. He notes Griffin's dangerous striking and recent close fight with Neil Magny. He questions Tim Means' durability and suggests Means may be near retirement. However, he has no interest in laying the -190 price and will just watch.

"I'm a pickaxe Griffin I just don't have any interest in laying the price so I'm personally gonna sit back and enjoy two true vets of the game go at it."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Tim Means

Jacob picks Tim Means, expecting him to survive Griffin's early power and then wear him down with pace, pressure, and wrestling. He compares it to Griffin's fight with Neil Magny, where Griffin faded. Jacob thinks Means wins by decision.

Tim Means by decision
"I gotta go with the dirty bird Tim Means to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Max Griffin

Griffin has athletic advantages and more left in the tank compared to Means, who is slowing down. Means has better combinations but Griffin's power could catch him. Griffin by knockout at +250 is appealing, but no bet at the current moneyline. Live betting Griffin if Means has early success is a potential strategy.

Griffin by knockout +250
"Griffin via knock it at plus 250 definitely tickles my fancy I like that spot but no bet for me at that minus 200 range"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Paul leans toward Tim Means as a dog, expecting a close stand-up fight where Means may get a hot start. However, he admits Means' cardio and durability are concerns, and he does not love the bet. He picks Means for the show but says he won't bet it, noting the over 2.5 rounds at -160 seems about right.

Over 2.5 rounds at -160 (mentioned as about right)
"I'm leaning as a dog or pass but I don't think it's gonna get my money I'll pick Tim Means for the purposes of this show but trust me I don't love it I'm not gonna bet it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Max Griffin

The MMA Guru picks Max Griffin over Tim Means, believing Griffin's calf kicks will be effective against Means' heavy lead leg. He notes Griffin's improved boxing and ability to drop opponents, as seen against Neil Magny. He thinks Means, at 38 and coming off a loss to Kevin Holland, will struggle with Griffin's pressure and predicts Griffin wins by 29-28 decision, taking over as the fight goes on.

"I'm going Max Griffin... I love the calf kicks of Max Griffin against Tim Means"
LOSS vs Kevin Holland
Submission (D'Arce choke) R2 1:28 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 21 of 46 45% 25 of 52 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:30
Tim Means 0 36 of 90 40% 53 of 109 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 14 of 34 41% 18 of 40 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:30
Tim Means 0 27 of 70 38% 44 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Kevin Holland 0 7 of 12 58% 7 of 12 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Tim Means 0 9 of 20 45% 9 of 20 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 21 of 46 45% 8 of 25 11 of 17 2 of 4 20 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tim Means 36 of 90 40% 26 of 71 3 of 9 7 of 10 33 of 85 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 14 of 34 41% 7 of 22 6 of 10 1 of 2 13 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tim Means 27 of 70 38% 21 of 57 2 of 6 4 of 7 24 of 65 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Kevin Holland 7 of 12 58% 1 of 3 5 of 7 1 of 2 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tim Means 9 of 20 45% 5 of 14 1 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kevin Holland vs. Tim Means
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Holland (-275), Means (+220)

Round 1
With the loss of Cerrone vs. Lauzon (again), this welterweight banger has been elevated to the co-main event slot. UFC President Dana White should keep his checkbook handy to write out a bonus for this one (and the rest of the night, to boot), if the histories of “The Dirty Bird” Means (32-12-1, 1 NC; 14-9, 1 NC UFC) and “Trailblazer” Holland (22-7, 1 NC; 9-4, 1 NC UFC) are any indication of what to expect now. Identical knockout rates of 59% are celebrated by both men, and they have both landed exactly five submissions to their credit as well. Good-spirited action and excitement is about to come, and referee Kerry Hatley practically has to keep them back in their corners before sprinting out to battle. The 170ers do touch gloves, and Means uses a push kick to the knee to back Holland away from him early. Holland paws out with a left over the head, and Means walks in to brawl. Holland steps back and rips a left to the jaw on the inside, and he lands again to force Means into a double-leg takedown attempt. The crowd starts to boo immediately, and Holland shoves him back and lets go with a left. Holland powers off the cage wall with a flurry of fists, and Means greets him with a few of his own. Means takes a few punches on the inside to land a few, and “Trailblazer” slashes with a clean elbow over the top to break them up. Holland goes to the body with a side kick and then up high with a head kick, and he charges in with a knee right down Broadway. Means is tough and does not flinch, and instead spins with a wheel kick. Means catches a knee from his opponent, and he lifts Holland up and sets him down on the mat. Holland springs up and connects with three blistering punches to sting Means. Means tries to stop the blows from scoring by tying Holland up and pressing him into the wall, and he gathers himself and works the thigh with knees. Holland pushes away to take the center of the cage back, and he sticks out several jabs and a head kick. Means blows his nose out from the kick, and Holland puts three punches on him to knock Means’ head around. They talk to one another with seemingly friendly banter about hitting each other, and Holland takes a few steps back to get off three kicks in rapid succession. Holland chains together a few punches, and Means replies and draws a huge smile out of “Trailblazer.” They slug it out recklessly and entertainingly, and Holland resets first so he can let loose with a high kick. Holland splits the guard with a left hand, and Means is hurt. Two more punches from the Texan connect cleanly, forcing a takedown effort from Means. Holland hits the mat and powers right back up, and the round ends in the clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Holland

Round 2
Gloves get touched by the action-packed welterweights before engaging, and they both score side kicks to start off the round. Means targets the body, and Holland tags him with four or five punches before Means can react. Holland spins with a back fist that comes up short, and when he turns about, Holland goes to his lead leg. Means blocks several punches, and Holland swarms him with punches before measuring Means with punches as Means shells up against the wall ready to counter.
Holland lets Means off the hook so that he can fight at his safer range, and when back in his preferred distance, he clocks Means with a right hand that strips Means legs away almost instantly. Before falling over, Means leans into a takedown try, but he leaves his neck exposed. They do not even hit the mat before Holland uses his long arms to snake around the neck, where he snatches up a smooth brabo choke. It is tight in a hurry, and when the two land on the ground, Means turns to his side but is in even worse position than before. Knowing his goose is cooked, Means does not fight it any further or risk going out from this blood choke, and he wisely surrenders.
“Trailblazer” has announced himself as a force to be reckoned with in his new division, and the Texas crowd bellows its affection for its local fighter.

The Official Result
Kevin Holland def. Tim Means R2 1:28 via Submission (Brabo Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Angelo picks Kevin Holland, noting his striking accuracy and power. He acknowledges Holland's poor takedown defense but believes Tim Means doesn't have the raw athleticism or power to exploit it like others. He thinks the 3-to-1 odds are crazy but still picks Holland.

"i do think kevin holland gets this done and he pulls off the win the three to one odds kevin allen's almost a three to one favorite i think those are crazy to me"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Big Brady picks Kevin Holland to win by second-round knockout. He notes Holland has a significant reach advantage and power, while Means is older with diminishing durability and chin. He believes Means' best chance is grappling, but Means rarely implements that game plan, and Holland's BJJ black belt and improved get-up game should keep the fight standing where Holland can knock him out.

second round knockout
"I think kevin holland goes out here and gets a knockout in texas his home state so yeah i like kevin holland i like kevin holland to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Cody is high on Kevin Holland at 170, citing his improved takedown defense, BJJ black belt, and size advantage. He thinks Tim Means lacks the wrestling and cardio to exploit Holland, and Holland will chip away for a late finish or decision. He notes Holland's guard is active and Means' recent wins are over lower-level competition.

Kevin Holland by third round finish or 29-28 decision
"i think kevin holland just breaks him away over time and gets that finish"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Daniel Levi picks Kevin Holland to win via an opportunistic finish, citing Holland's unorthodox style and ability to create chaos. He acknowledges Tim Means is well-rounded and may have early success, but believes Holland's length and creativity will prevail. However, he is not confident Holland covers the -300 spread, noting Holland's takedown defense issues and that Means can mix in takedowns. Levi sees it as a high-variance fight where Holland finds a way, but the price is too steep for a comfortable bet.

opportunistic finish; Holland -300 is too high; Means +250 has value
"i see kevin holland being opportunistic finding a way to make it happen i just don't know how it's gonna be"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Paul agrees Holland should win but is wary of the -275 price. He notes Holland's size, reach, and guard are advantages, but the high favorite line gives him pause. He doesn't love the matchup for Means but isn't sure he'll bet Holland at that price.

"kevin holland at minus 275 sends shivers down my spine"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

The MMA Guru picks Kevin Holland, calling it straightforward. He notes Holland's reach advantage and youth, and believes Tim Means will get cracked and hurt. He predicts Holland will win by KO via elbows in the clinch in the first round, similar to his win over Anthony Hernandez. He doesn't worry about Holland's grappling at welterweight.

first round elbow ko
"i'm gonna go with kevin holland pretty straightforward here... kevin holland elbow ko first round against tim means"
WIN vs Nicolas Dalby
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Jun 26, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tim Means 0 53 of 93 56% 94 of 134 1 of 4 25% 0 0 8:03
Nicolas Dalby 0 54 of 116 46% 84 of 146 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tim Means 0 15 of 26 57% 38 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:07
Nicolas Dalby 0 11 of 20 55% 21 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
2 Tim Means 0 29 of 49 59% 35 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:45
Nicolas Dalby 0 24 of 60 40% 28 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
3 Tim Means 0 9 of 18 50% 21 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:11
Nicolas Dalby 0 19 of 36 52% 35 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tim Means 53 of 93 56% 20 of 55 29 of 33 4 of 5 32 of 70 17 of 19 4 of 4
Nicolas Dalby 54 of 116 46% 37 of 93 13 of 19 4 of 4 35 of 88 19 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tim Means 15 of 26 57% 6 of 16 7 of 8 2 of 2 9 of 20 4 of 4 2 of 2
Nicolas Dalby 11 of 20 55% 8 of 16 1 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 11 5 of 9 0 of 0
2 Tim Means 29 of 49 59% 12 of 30 15 of 16 2 of 3 18 of 36 9 of 11 2 of 2
Nicolas Dalby 24 of 60 40% 17 of 49 5 of 9 2 of 2 20 of 53 4 of 7 0 of 0
3 Tim Means 9 of 18 50% 2 of 9 7 of 9 0 of 0 5 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 19 of 36 52% 12 of 28 7 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 24 10 of 12 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nicolas Dalby vs. Tim Means

Round 1
Up next at welterweight, the man formerly known as “Lokomotivo” now sports a fancy new nickname of “Danish Dynamite” as Dalby (19-3-1, 2 NC; 3-2-1, 1 NC UFC) squares off with longtime vet and longtime nicknamed “The Dirty Bird” Means (31-12-1, 1 NC; 11-9, 1 NC UFC). Action is the name of the game here, and referee Jason Herzog may have his hands full as these two throw down. There is no chance of a glove touch, as these two 170ers are intense and ready to start brawling. Means fires off a head kick early, and Dalby eats it on the chin and starts to brawl. Both men throw caution to the wind immediately, and they hammer one another with alternating shots. As Dalby closes in, Means hits a takedown and puts the Danish fighter on his back. Means passes to side control as he works elbows from on top, slowly and methodically working his way to either advance to mount or otherwise do some damage. When Dalby holds on to him to tie him up, Means slams him down with his chest. Means crawls Dalby over to the cage wall, where he starts smacking his foe in the face with heavy punches. Dalby gets to his knees as he looks to walk up the fence, and Means keeps him grounded and lands some punches. Dalby is practically gasping for air three minutes in, although it does not necessarily mean that he is spent. Means knees him in the chest when he stands up, and Dalby breaks free and bounces around to get his blood flowing again. Means kicks him in the body and fires off a few punches, and Dalby dances out of the way. “Danish Dynamite” looks to explode with a right hand across the forward bow, but Means sees it coming, parries it and gets shoved into the fence. A few strikes for Means have opened up a cut near the bridge of the nose on Dalby’s right eyebrows, and a sharp one-two nearly knocks Dalby off of his feet. “The Dirty Bird” keeps it dirty in the clinch, and he gets off an elbow or two before they break. Dalby shoots in for a takedown right as the round ends, but it does not succeed.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Means
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Means
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Means

Round 2
Dalby fires off a few punches before rushing in to a takedown attempt, and Means is there to thump him in the body a few times. The welterweights tie up against the fence and score short punches, before breaking free. Dalby gets off a single leg kick, and then he changes it up to land flush to the body. Means aims a few punches up top, and a left hand splits the guard. Means sees its success and nails Dalby again, and one more gets Dalby’s attention. Means cracks Dalby on the chin, and the Danish fighter has quite a beard on him as he walks through everything to land a few of his own. Means targets the body and head indiscriminately, and Dalby walks in with a chain of punches into a knee. Dalby shoots in but gets shucked away just in time, and when they get back up, Dalby leaps forward with a left hand. Dalby works two right hands one after the other, and Means greets him with a left hand to the liver. Dalby slings a head kick, and they crash the pocket and score some body shots. When “Danish Dynamite” looses another body kick, Means rushes in to strike before clinching. Breaking free, Dalby slings kicks high and low, but Means’ responsive head kick is much more effective. Means kicks Dalby’s leg out from beneath him, and “The Dirty Bird” hops on top in side control to deal some damage. Means keeps a heavy top pressure to ride out the round, using a few short shoulder strikes when Dalby tries to wall-walk with his feet. Means keeps this position until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Means
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Means
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Means

Round 3
Means sprints out of his corner to throw a body kick and a left hand, and Dalby is there to fire right back. In a wild exchange, Dalby nails Means with a right hand, smashing the nose of “The Dirty Bird” and hurting him for the first time. Means stumbles back to the wall, and Dalby wraps him up against the fence while flirting with trips. Means spins him around and considers a single leg takedown, but he cannot ground the Danish fighter. Means backs off and re-engages, pressing Dalby tightly into the cage. This stalemate continues for quite some time, as both men look to clear any cobwebs. Dalby knees Means in the face once to break free, and he clips Means again with a strike. Dalby throws everything he has at Means, but the American grabs hold of him and pins him back to the cage wall. Means changes levels for a single, and he chains it into a double leg takedown, but neither succeed. All the while, precious seconds for Dalby are ticking off the clock, who is trying to break free but cannot escape the grip of “The Dirty Bird.” Means scores a few short punches to the body, grinding Dalby out and landing enough to stave off any referee intervention. When Dalby breaks the grip, Means gives him a shove into the fencing, where he clinches up again. At the 10-second clapper, Dalby tries desperately to get off, hurting Means again. Means gloms on to him, tying him up to the final bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Means)
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Means)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Means)

The Official Result
Tim Means def. Nicolas Dalby via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Angelo picks Tim Means, citing his high-volume striking, underrated wrestling, and ability to avoid damage. He notes Means picks his shots and takes opponents down when needed. He expects Means to win a decision. He likes less on Means and more on Dalby for the monkey knife fight line.

"tim means is my pick here i think tim needs sort of picks him apart take him down takes him down when he needs to and rides out a decision win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Tim Means

Big Brady picks Tim Means to win by decision, citing superior striking stats (5.16 sig strikes/min, 48% accuracy, 61% striking defense) and Dalby's negative strike differential. He notes Dalby has been dropped in four of seven UFC fights but never KO'd. He thinks Means will out-volume Dalby on the feet, as Dalby rarely wrestles (only one takedown in last five fights). He is confident Means is the better striker.

by decision
"i will take 10 means to win i'm gonna take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Cody picks Dalby as a live underdog. He notes Dalby's toughness and heart, and that Means has lost as a favorite before. He points out that Means had a fight cancelled last week, which could disrupt his preparation. Cody also mentions Dalby's reach advantage and that Means is 37 with wear and tear. He thinks Dalby can grind Means against the cage and take over late if Means doesn't finish early.

"i'm gonna officially go for the prp sake dolby because again what am i going to do pick all these favorites like i'm recognizing this as a dog with a chance"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Jacob picks Nicolas Dalby, jokingly citing that Dalby fought Darren Till to a draw in 2015 and outstruck him. He seems to be half-joking but picks Dalby to win. He does not provide serious technical analysis.

"dalby in 2015 bought the best striking middleweight in the world to a draw and outstruck him 111 to 49. we're talking about the greatest middleweight gonna go down of all time one of the greatest strikers of all time …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tim Means

Means is a much better striker with higher output than Dalby. If Means keeps the fight vertical, he will light up Dalby. Dalby has knockout power but Means' durability is a concern; however, Means should avoid getting knocked out. Means' efficiency and tight striking will earn him a decision. Dalby's speed and timing could pose issues, but Means is the more proven striker.

Means by decision plus 205
"I think that if means is able to keep the swipe vertical which i think he will he's going to light up dolby like a christmas tree himself... I do like tim means here i like tim means actually by …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Paul picks Tim Means, citing Means' better striking and underrated wrestling. He notes Means was supposed to fight last week and had a cancelled bout, but that might not be a big issue. He thinks Means has the skills to win, but acknowledges Dalby's toughness and that Means can fade. He is not confident and suggests watching weigh-ins.

"means for me but you know having a fight last week having it cancelled a lot of moving parts definitely uh tune into the weigh-ins"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Tim Means

The MMA Guru picks Tim Means by first-round submission (d'arce choke), citing his crisp boxing and ability to land straight shots down the pipe. He identifies defensive holes in Dalby's striking, as seen in the Jesse Ronson fight, and believes Means will hurt Dalby, prompting a bad takedown that leads to a choke. He trusts Means' composure and experience.

first round submission, d'arce choke
"i'm gonna go with tim means i think he's gonna get a first round ko over nicholas dalby"
WIN vs Mike Perry
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tim Means 0 64 of 161 39% 69 of 166 1 of 5 20% 2 0 3:08
Mike Perry 0 128 of 192 66% 143 of 207 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tim Means 0 14 of 31 45% 14 of 31 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:22
Mike Perry 0 27 of 40 67% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:09
2 Tim Means 0 20 of 60 33% 20 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Mike Perry 0 44 of 60 73% 44 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Tim Means 0 30 of 70 42% 35 of 75 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
Mike Perry 0 57 of 92 61% 69 of 104 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tim Means 64 of 161 39% 44 of 134 8 of 12 12 of 15 62 of 157 2 of 4 0 of 0
Mike Perry 128 of 192 66% 86 of 147 26 of 28 16 of 17 121 of 184 6 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tim Means 14 of 31 45% 7 of 24 3 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 27 of 40 67% 18 of 31 7 of 7 2 of 2 24 of 36 2 of 3 1 of 1
2 Tim Means 20 of 60 33% 11 of 46 3 of 6 6 of 8 20 of 59 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 44 of 60 73% 28 of 43 10 of 10 6 of 7 42 of 58 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Tim Means 30 of 70 42% 26 of 64 2 of 3 2 of 3 29 of 68 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Perry 57 of 92 61% 40 of 73 9 of 11 8 of 8 55 of 90 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Big Brady hesitantly picks Tim Means to win by decision. He thinks Means is the more technical and well-rounded fighter, but has durability concerns after being knocked out recently. He notes Perry's headspace is questionable and he didn't look great against Gall, but Means is on short notice.

big pass, need to see weigh-ins
"i'm going to go with means i'm going to go with the dude that probably has more motivation for this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Tim Means

Daniel picks Means, citing his superior boxing and overall MMA skills. He notes Perry's lack of head movement and poor corner situation. He believes Means can stay disciplined, use volume, and mix in takedowns to avoid Perry's power. He thinks Means should be the favorite.

"i'm gonna go with tim means to get it done and i think he makes it two wins in a row here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Tim Means

The host picks Tim Means to win by decision, noting his superior skill set and ability to keep Perry at range with leg kicks and teeps. He is skeptical of Perry's power and thinks Means can outpoint him. He would only bet Means if the line reaches plus 150.

"I'm taking Tim Means to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Mike Perry

The MMA Guru picks Mike Perry to win by unanimous decision (29-28), but expresses worry. He notes Means took the fight on short notice, and Perry has a full camp now. He expects Perry to use takedowns and outwork Means in the later rounds, but admits Means is dangerous and a full-camp Means might beat Perry.

"i'm going with mike perry by unanimous decision 29 28 but i'm worried"
Dhiego Lima - Fight History
LOSS vs Matt Brown
KO (punch) R2 3:02 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matt Brown 1 27 of 49 55% 30 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Dhiego Lima 0 23 of 54 42% 23 of 54 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matt Brown 0 15 of 30 50% 15 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dhiego Lima 0 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Matt Brown 1 12 of 19 63% 15 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Dhiego Lima 0 11 of 22 50% 11 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matt Brown 27 of 49 55% 12 of 27 11 of 17 4 of 5 22 of 44 5 of 5 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 23 of 54 42% 8 of 38 4 of 4 11 of 12 22 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matt Brown 15 of 30 50% 8 of 18 4 of 8 3 of 4 15 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 12 of 32 37% 2 of 21 2 of 2 8 of 9 11 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Matt Brown 12 of 19 63% 4 of 9 7 of 9 1 of 1 7 of 14 5 of 5 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 11 of 22 50% 6 of 17 2 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Matt Brown

Angelo picks Matt Brown as an underdog, citing Lima's brother's recent loss as a potential emotional distraction. He thinks Brown's toughness, power, and underrated wrestling could be factors. He is not confident and has no bets on the fight, but likes the over on strikes for both.

monkey knife fight: more more (max play)
"i have matt brown winning this fight it is not the most confident pick i've ever had."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Big Brady picks the younger Lima, citing Brown's age (40) and 13 finished losses. He thinks Lima's leg kicks and youth will lead to a finish, but acknowledges Brown could knock Lima out. He recommends staying away from betting.

win by KO
"I will take the younger fighter in diego lima to get it done I'll say bye knockout here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Cody picks Lima but is hesitant, noting Lima's questionable chin and recent split decisions. He acknowledges Matt Brown's early power but believes Brown's cardio and speed have declined. Cody thinks Lima's calf kicks and jab will allow him to pull away in later rounds, but he is not confident enough to bet.

"i think i gotta take the coward's way out and probably go with diego lima you know again i just i i don't love betting on these guys at this stage of their career"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Daniel Levi picks Dhiego Lima, citing youth and freshness. He notes that Matt Brown is 40 years old and his durability is declining, as seen in the Miguel Baeza fight where he was knocked out by punches for the first time. He believes Lima's calf kicks and left hook will be effective, and that he can either finish or win a decision. He respects Brown but thinks the age and recent performances favor Lima.

"i'm gonna go with diego lima by being the younger fresher guy i think he chops him down with calf kicks and maybe finds a left hook finish"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Jacob picks Dhiego Lima, expecting him to chew up Brown's legs with kicks and out-strike him. He thinks Brown's age and lack of volume will be issues. He has Lima in his lineup at $9,000 and believes Lima will dominate without a finish.

"i am picking diego he's in my lineup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

The host picks Dhiego Lima by decision, citing his calf kicks and striking advantage. He notes Lima's cardio issues in his last fight but believes he can implement a similar game plan to the Miguel Baeza fight, where calf kicks debilitated Brown. He thinks Lima can get in and out of exchanges and slow Brown down. He is not highly confident but sees Lima as the better fighter against the 40-year-old Brown, who may be on a three-fight skid.

Lima by decision at +150; over 2.5 rounds at -130 mentioned as live; Lima by KO at +400 noted
"i'll go with diego lima to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Paul picks Lima, citing Lima's youth and striking advantage. He notes Brown's age (40) and declining cardio, and believes Lima can win by decision or late finish. Paul also bets under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish either way.

under 2.5 rounds +120
"i'll pick diego lima to win this fight diego or diego lima maybe in rounds two or three i guess is where i would go"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Dhiego Lima

The MMA Guru picks Dhiego Lima to win by first-round TKO via lead hook. He believes Matt Brown has taken too much damage and will rush in with his hands down, allowing Lima to land a check hook similar to the one Miguel Baeza landed on Brown. He references Lima's previous lead hook KO of Chad Laprise and expects Lima to finish Brown at the end of the first round.

lead hook KO, first round TKO
"i'm gonna go with diego lima i'm gonna go the lead hook ko... finish him at the end of the first round by tko"
LOSS vs Belal Muhammad
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Feb 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Belal Muhammad 0 129 of 264 48% 136 of 284 1 of 10 10% 0 0 2:42
Dhiego Lima 0 69 of 203 33% 70 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Belal Muhammad 0 42 of 93 45% 42 of 94 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Dhiego Lima 0 19 of 69 27% 19 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Belal Muhammad 0 38 of 79 48% 39 of 83 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:35
Dhiego Lima 0 25 of 76 32% 25 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Belal Muhammad 0 49 of 92 53% 55 of 107 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:52
Dhiego Lima 0 25 of 58 43% 26 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Belal Muhammad 129 of 264 48% 109 of 232 20 of 31 0 of 1 118 of 248 11 of 16 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 69 of 203 33% 26 of 156 17 of 19 26 of 28 69 of 203 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Belal Muhammad 42 of 93 45% 31 of 78 11 of 15 0 of 0 41 of 91 1 of 2 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 19 of 69 27% 10 of 57 1 of 2 8 of 10 19 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Belal Muhammad 38 of 79 48% 34 of 71 4 of 8 0 of 0 36 of 76 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 25 of 76 32% 7 of 58 5 of 5 13 of 13 25 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Belal Muhammad 49 of 92 53% 44 of 83 5 of 8 0 of 1 41 of 81 8 of 11 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 25 of 58 43% 9 of 41 11 of 12 5 of 5 25 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Belal Muhammad vs. Dhiego Lima

Round 1
Moving on to the welterweight division, perpetually tough out Muhammad (17-3, 8-3 UFC) looks to halt the momentum of two-time “The Ultimate Fighter” competitor Lima (15-7, 4-5 UFC). Our Octagon ranger for what could be a fun one is referee Herb Dean, and there is no glove touch to precede the action. Lima paws out with a jab as Muhammad presses the pace on him, and Muhammad crashes forward with a few punches until shooting in for a double leg takedown. The Brazilian thwarts the early takedown to break free from the position and a clinch. Muhammad allows him to circle away so that he can fling a head kick at him, and Lima is barely able to block it in time. Muhammad lands a solid left hand, and Lima pushes off with his left hand to jab the eye. There is a minor question of whether Muhammad is wearing contact lenses, and the fight resumes as Muhammad blinks it out. “Remember the Name” makes Lima remember his fists by landing several punches across the forward bow. Muhammad tattoos the body with several punches, and one of his right hands has started some swelling on Lima’s forehead. Muhammad bears down on Lima with strikes, pressuring the Brazilian and never letting Lima breathe. Muhammad wings a big right hand that collides with Lima’s temple, and he presses forward to consider a takedown but just swings a right hook instead. Lima delivers two big leg kicks to draw reactions out of Muhammad, but Muhammad is unconcerned as he pushes the pace again and rips the body with a right hand. Muhammad walks through a leg kick and plods forward to throw bombs, catching Lima on the chin repeatedly. Muhammad bobs and weaves a few punches to throw big shots, and Lima absorbs a heavy right hand. Lima is able to disrupt Muhammad’s movement for a moment with a leg kick that he and his sibling, Bellator champ Douglas Lima, are famous for. Muhammad hunts for a takedown, and he gets rebuffed and walks face-first into a huge right hand. Muhammad stumbles back, takes a quick count of his teeth, and wades back into the fray. Lima works the calf with more kicks, and Muhammad throws huge shots to make Lima bounce off the cage. Muhammad has a spinning back fist clack into Lima’s guard, and a few punches from the Roufusport export end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 2
The two are amped up and ready to resume, so much so that Dean has to ask them back to away before engaging again. Muhammad starts up where he left off, pushing the pace aggressively to make Lima fight off his back foot. Muhammad sticks him with a jab and dips a big right hook to walk forward to fire off a single right hook. Muhammad digs the body with a kick, and he plants his gloves on Lima’s chin repeatedly. Lima wears it well, and he gives some strikes back to Muhammad, but Muhammad keeps at him with body shots. Muhammad slaps away a few punches before stepping in with a knee, and he uses the forward momentum to attack a double leg takedown. Once more, Lima defends the takedown flawlessly and backs away to gain separation. Muhammad is quick to pursue him with powerful strikes, and Lima ricochets off the fencing to land a calf kick that stuns Muhammad. Lima hits the same spot with the kick again, and Muhammad fearlessly pushes forward to throw punches in bunches. Lima continues to attack the calf, and Muhammad’s leg is marked up badly and he is struggling to put his full weight on it. Muhammad continues to throw punches in number, but they may not be quite as powerful as before with a wounded leg. Lima uses head movement to evade strikes and counter, and the two stand before one another landing at a high pace. Muhammad tries to lift his leg up to avoid a kick, but Lima still scores it. Like a zombie, Muhammad is back in Lima’s face putting shots on him to the head and body. Lima replies with punches and low kicks of his own, but Muhammad’s pressure appears to be fatiguing Lima. Muhammad shoots in low for a takedown, and he nearly takes Lima’s back standing up, but Lima manages to stay upright again. Muhammad throws a high kick but his calf gets plugged two more times, and Muhammad’s leg is nearly falling away beneath him. Muhammad takes the kicks flush, and he presses heavy on Lima into a clinch to ride out the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 3
Lima starts the round not with a leg kick, but one over the top, and Muhammad takes it well without flinching. Lima then targets the lead leg, and Muhammad marches in to throw looping shots. He clips Lima with a right hand, and Lima pushes off with his fingers outstretch, with a one finger jamming directly into Muhammad’s eye. Muhammad does not want Lima to take any time to recharge his batteries, so he tells Dean he is fine to resume. When clocked back in, Muhammad advances to throw strikes into a clinch, where once more he aims for a takedown attempt. Like every time before in this match, Lima stops the takedown from succeeding. Lima defends another that follows immediately after, and Muhammad winds up with a huge right hand that stings Lima. Muhammad gets off a solid one-two that shakes up Lima, and he rolls with punches while putting a pace on his foe. Lima lands a heavy uppercut to the chest, and Muhammad attacks with a takedown but is stuffed. Lima backs up and takes a deep breath, but Muhammad is on him throwing high volume as Lima struggles and his arms slow when throwing back. Muhammad fires to the head and body indiscriminately, with punches that have marked up Lima’s nose. Muhammad tags Lima with a one-two that forces Lima to shoot for a takedown, but Muhammad easily pulls his leg away and keeps up his brutal pressure. Muhammad lands punches over the top, and he changes levels low for a double, but Lima shoves him off. Lima lands a body kick, but in the process, Muhammad grabs hold of him and finally lands the takedown he has been pursuing for the last 14 minutes. Lima stands up, and Muhammad climbs on to his back like a backpack, securing a body triangle as the Brazilian stands up. Muhammad lands punches to the side of Lima’s head, and Lima tries to wiggle his man off of him. Muhammad does not fall away, and he maintains this position until the final horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (30-27 Muhammad)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (30-27 Muhammad)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (30-27 Muhammad)

The Official Result
Belal Muhammad def. Dhiego Lima via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Big Brady picks Belal Muhammad to win by decision. He thinks Muhammad is better everywhere and deserving of being a big favorite. He notes that Lima absorbs more than he gives out and has been knocked out multiple times. He sees Muhammad winning by decision or possibly a knockout, and considers Muhammad a fine parlay piece.

Muhammad by decision; fine parlay piece; possible knockout
"Give me a bella mohammed here by decision i think is a fine parlay piece"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Daniel Levi picks Belal Muhammad by unanimous decision, citing his high work rate and pressure. He notes that Lima must finish to win, but Belal's output and takedown mixing should overwhelm him. He acknowledges Lima's power and calf kicks but believes Belal's pace is too much. He says Belal is the rightful favorite and should win clearly.

Belal by unanimous decision; Lima must finish to win; mentions Belal's work rate and takedowns
"i think he's the rightful favorite and i got blah mohammed to be a unanimous decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

The host picks Muhammad to win but considers the fight closer than the odds suggest. He notes that Lima has a path to victory with his striking and range, and that Muhammad's all-around game may struggle if Lima uses calf kicks effectively. He warns that he might bet Lima if the odds reach +350 or +400.

"this is a closer fight than the odds suggest so i'll pick belal muhammad to win but do not be thrown off if you see me actually make a diego lima bet this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

The Guru picks Belal Muhammad confidently, calling it one of his most confident picks on the card. He believes Muhammad's wrestling and stand-up will be too much for Dhiego Lima, who he sees as chinny and lacking durability. He predicts Muhammad will mix takedowns with striking, wear Lima down, and finish with ground-and-pound TKO in the second round.

Muhammad by second round TKO via ground and pound
"balaam mohammed gets the job done by second round ground and pound tko"
WIN vs Luke Jumeau
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 05, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dhiego Lima 0 24 of 95 25% 24 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Jumeau 0 32 of 105 30% 49 of 124 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dhiego Lima 0 7 of 28 25% 7 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Jumeau 0 9 of 37 24% 9 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dhiego Lima 0 7 of 28 25% 7 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Jumeau 0 9 of 32 28% 25 of 50 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:56
3 Dhiego Lima 0 10 of 39 25% 10 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Jumeau 0 14 of 36 38% 15 of 37 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dhiego Lima 24 of 95 25% 17 of 85 1 of 4 6 of 6 24 of 95 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luke Jumeau 32 of 105 30% 15 of 72 2 of 12 15 of 21 30 of 99 0 of 0 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dhiego Lima 7 of 28 25% 3 of 24 0 of 0 4 of 4 7 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luke Jumeau 9 of 37 24% 2 of 18 1 of 9 6 of 10 9 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dhiego Lima 7 of 28 25% 7 of 25 0 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luke Jumeau 9 of 32 28% 5 of 26 0 of 1 4 of 5 7 of 26 0 of 0 2 of 6
3 Dhiego Lima 10 of 39 25% 7 of 36 1 of 1 2 of 2 10 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luke Jumeau 14 of 36 38% 8 of 28 1 of 2 5 of 6 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Court McGee
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dhiego Lima 1 65 of 228 28% 69 of 232 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:01
Court McGee 0 65 of 159 40% 67 of 161 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dhiego Lima 0 16 of 58 27% 18 of 60 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:37
Court McGee 0 18 of 39 46% 20 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
2 Dhiego Lima 0 23 of 82 28% 23 of 82 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 0 22 of 58 37% 22 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
3 Dhiego Lima 1 26 of 88 29% 28 of 90 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:24
Court McGee 0 25 of 62 40% 25 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dhiego Lima 65 of 228 28% 28 of 166 15 of 34 22 of 28 60 of 223 4 of 4 1 of 1
Court McGee 65 of 159 40% 47 of 135 16 of 22 2 of 2 62 of 155 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dhiego Lima 16 of 58 27% 6 of 38 6 of 14 4 of 6 15 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
Court McGee 18 of 39 46% 11 of 30 7 of 9 0 of 0 18 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dhiego Lima 23 of 82 28% 10 of 62 4 of 9 9 of 11 23 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 22 of 58 37% 18 of 51 3 of 6 1 of 1 21 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Dhiego Lima 26 of 88 29% 12 of 66 5 of 11 9 of 11 22 of 84 3 of 3 1 of 1
Court McGee 25 of 62 40% 18 of 54 6 of 7 1 of 1 23 of 59 2 of 3 0 of 0
WIN vs Chad Laprise
KO (punch) R1 1:37 · UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Dec 08, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dhiego Lima 0 8 of 16 50% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Laprise 1 5 of 25 20% 5 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dhiego Lima 0 8 of 16 50% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Laprise 1 5 of 25 20% 5 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dhiego Lima 8 of 16 50% 2 of 9 0 of 1 6 of 6 8 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Laprise 5 of 25 20% 4 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dhiego Lima 8 of 16 50% 2 of 9 0 of 1 6 of 6 8 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Laprise 5 of 25 20% 4 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Yushin Okami
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Poirier vs. Gaethje · Apr 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yushin Okami 0 11 of 24 45% 17 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Dhiego Lima 0 15 of 19 78% 57 of 66 6 of 13 46% 0 0 12:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yushin Okami 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dhiego Lima 0 4 of 6 66% 10 of 13 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:10
2 Yushin Okami 0 9 of 18 50% 13 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Dhiego Lima 0 1 of 2 50% 13 of 15 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:47
3 Yushin Okami 0 0 of 2 0% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Dhiego Lima 0 10 of 11 90% 34 of 38 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yushin Okami 11 of 24 45% 6 of 16 3 of 6 2 of 2 6 of 19 3 of 3 2 of 2
Dhiego Lima 15 of 19 78% 14 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yushin Okami 2 of 4 50% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6
2 Yushin Okami 9 of 18 50% 6 of 13 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 13 3 of 3 2 of 2
Dhiego Lima 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yushin Okami 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dhiego Lima 10 of 11 90% 9 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 10
LOSS vs Jesse Taylor
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 0:43 · The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · Jul 07, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jesse Taylor 1 4 of 4 100% 6 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dhiego Lima 0 21 of 24 87% 50 of 59 2 of 3 66% 2 1 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jesse Taylor 0 2 of 2 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dhiego Lima 0 19 of 22 86% 48 of 57 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:53
2 Jesse Taylor 1 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dhiego Lima 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jesse Taylor 4 of 4 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3
Dhiego Lima 21 of 24 87% 21 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 20 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jesse Taylor 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2
Dhiego Lima 19 of 22 86% 19 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 19 of 22
2 Jesse Taylor 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1
Dhiego Lima 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1
LOSS vs Li Jingliang
KO (punches) R1 1:25 · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Faber · May 16, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Li Jingliang 1 13 of 39 33% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Dhiego Lima 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Li Jingliang 1 13 of 39 33% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Dhiego Lima 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Li Jingliang 13 of 39 33% 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 24 0 of 0 9 of 15
Dhiego Lima 6 of 16 37% 5 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Li Jingliang 13 of 39 33% 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 24 0 of 0 9 of 15
Dhiego Lima 6 of 16 37% 5 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0