Career Averages - Charlie Campbell
Career Averages - Trevor Peek
Charlie Campbell
Trevor Peek
Charlie Campbell - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Nolan | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 33 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 15 of 42 | 35% | 15 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Nolan | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 33 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 15 of 42 | 35% | 15 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Nolan | 26 of 61 | 42% | 13 of 35 | 9 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 23 of 55 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Charlie Campbell | 15 of 42 | 35% | 7 of 30 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Nolan | 26 of 61 | 42% | 13 of 35 | 9 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 23 of 55 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Charlie Campbell | 15 of 42 | 35% | 7 of 30 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nolan (-160); Campbell (+130)
Round 1
To kick off the main card, the UFC paired off a couple of strikers who have never landed a submission in their respective careers. “Big Train” Nolan (9-1, 3-1 UFC) wants to keep the Oceania train rolling tonight, and he faces a capable brawler in Campbell (9-2, 2-0 UFC) who wants to deck him in the schnoz. Before the fists fly—and they almost certainly will, in great numbers—referee Jim Perdios has to tell them it’s go time. Fists are bumped, and deep breaths are taken around the building.
Both athletes let their kicks go, seemingly trading them one after the other. They go to the body, and then the lead leg. Campbell chew up the front leg with a few heavy kicks, and he lashes out with a pair of left hands that knock Nolan off his feet. Campbell lets the Aussie up, and he walks face-first into a spinning back elbow. The momentum of Campbell pushing forward results him in inadvertently tackling Nolan to the ground, and he backs off and lets Nolan up again. Campbell goes back to attacking the front leg with a kick, and then mixing things up with one up high. Nolan jumps in the air with a knee, and Campbell intercepts him midair with a low kick. The straight punches of Campbell roped in have bloodied the nose of “Big Train,” who takes a few more shots and fires back with a vengeance. Nolan connects with a hard spinning back kick, stunning “The Cannibal” for a second.
Campbell shakes out of it, and he lets Nolan have it with offense that leads him into a clinch. Campbell breaks out of the tie-up and works the body. Patches of Nolan all over are turning red from the impact of the strikes, and Nolan does not mind one bit as he bites down on his mouthpiece and blasts Campbell in the face. Campbell in zombie mode lurches forward to attack, and Nolan drops him. When
Campbell scrambles to his feet but gives up his back, and Nolan drags him down to the floor from behind. The Aussie quickly sets up a rear-naked choke, and it is under the chin almost immediately. While Campbell thinks about toughing it out, before he loses consciousness, he surrenders.
That marks the first sub win for Nolan, and the first submission defeat for Campbell. Fighters from the area still remain undefeated tonight.
The Official Result
Tom Nolan def. Charlie Campbell R1 4:08 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Tom Nolan over Charlie Campbell, believing Nolan's length, durability, and forward pressure will overcome Campbell's technical striking and leg kicks. He notes that Campbell's leg kicks require planting, which Nolan's movement will prevent. He expects a decision and suggests waiting for round line props.
Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell to win by first-round KO. He notes both fighters have power and questionable chins, but Campbell's killer instinct and Nolan's defensive flaws lead him to take the dog. He acknowledges it could go either way.
Cody takes Campbell as a dog, citing Nolan's chin issues and poor takedown defense. He notes Campbell has power and can mix in wrestling, and that Nolan's tall frame makes him vulnerable to leg kicks and overhands. He also mentions Nolan's weight cut to 155 may be a factor.
Connor also picks Nolan, agreeing that Campbell's power is inconsistent and that he doesn't set up his shots. He notes that Nolan is willing to scrap and will put pressure on Campbell, and that Campbell's tendency to fling himself into clinches will play into Nolan's hands. Connor thinks Nolan's chin is not great but good enough to withstand Campbell's power, and that Nolan's volume will win out.
James picks his friend Charlie Campbell, citing Campbell's striking ability and familiarity with Nolan from sparring. He believes Campbell has the power to knock out Nolan, who has been wobbled before. He is confident in Campbell's skills and rooting for him.
The host expects Nolan's power to come through. He thinks Nolan will counter Campbell effectively, land big shots, mix in takedowns and threaten with a front choke, but ultimately a knee or elbow will connect and put Campbell out clean.
The Guru picks Tom Nolan, citing his height and reach advantage over Charlie Campbell, as well as Nolan's momentum and development. He notes Campbell's inactivity and believes Nolan's diverse striking (spinning kicks, low kicks) will be too much. He predicts a second-round TKO.
Zane picks Nolan, reasoning that Nolan is willing to scrap and will put pressure on Campbell, sitting down in the pocket and throwing tight combinations. He notes that Nolan has clinch offense and will attack off his back if taken down. Zane thinks Campbell's power is chancy and that he doesn't set up his shots well, making him vulnerable to Nolan's volume and pressure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 47 of 97 | 48% | 62 of 118 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 54 of 100 | 54% | 100 of 153 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 5:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 43 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 24 of 45 | 53% | 33 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 24 of 39 | 61% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 3 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 22 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 47 of 97 | 48% | 32 of 77 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 9 | 34 of 81 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Trevor Peek | 54 of 100 | 54% | 20 of 50 | 18 of 29 | 16 of 21 | 40 of 80 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 19 of 41 | 46% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Trevor Peek | 27 of 50 | 54% | 7 of 21 | 9 of 13 | 11 of 16 | 22 of 44 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Charlie Campbell | 24 of 45 | 53% | 18 of 38 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
| Trevor Peek | 24 of 39 | 61% | 11 of 20 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 29 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Charlie Campbell | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.
Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.
Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.
Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.
Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.
The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Alex Reyes | 1 | 43 of 72 | 59% | 43 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Alex Reyes | 1 | 43 of 72 | 59% | 43 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Reyes | 43 of 72 | 59% | 27 of 53 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 35 of 60 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Reyes | 43 of 72 | 59% | 27 of 53 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 35 of 60 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo is confident in Charlie Campbell despite his short notice UFC debut. He highlights Campbell's technical striking, good takedown defense, and training at a high-level gym. He dismisses Campbell's knockout loss as not reflective of his skill. He notes Alex Reyes has been away for six years and is a question mark. However, he hesitates to bet at -400 due to the price on a debut fighter.
Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell due to Alex Reyes' six-year layoff and questionable improvements. He notes Campbell was close to finishing Chris Duncan on the contender series and expects him to knock out Reyes early, as Reyes was knocked out by Mike Perry in his last fight. He mentions Reyes is a solid grappler but the layoff and injuries are major concerns.
Cody picks Campbell, emphasizing Reyes's long layoff and poor performance. He notes Campbell's offensive dynamism and finishing ability. He expects an early knockout and suggests betting Campbell inside the distance.
Daniel Levi is confident in Charlie Campbell, citing the six-year layoff for Alex Reyes and the historical struggles of fighters returning from such long absences. He compares Campbell's aggressive, kill-or-be-killed style to a young Clay Collard and expects him to overwhelm Reyes with non-stop output. Levi notes that Reyes's only UFC fight ended in a first-round knockout and that his regional competition was weak.
Campbell is a minus 400 favorite with a strong striking game, particularly his calf kicks that set up his hands for knockouts. Reyes has been out for six years, is 37, and has ring rust, making it hard for him to compete at this level. I expect Campbell to beat up the lead leg, slow Reyes down, and eventually find a knockout. The fight likely doesn't go to decision, but I'm not sure about under 1.5 rounds as Campbell may need time to get going.
Paul picks Campbell, noting Reyes's six-year layoff and poor performance against Mike Perry. He believes Campbell's speed and power will lead to an early finish. He is wary of the wide line but thinks Campbell is warranted as a big favorite.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Charlie Campbell over Alex Reyes, emphasizing Reyes's six-year layoff due to injuries. He believes Campbell is a nasty striker with wicked power in the first round and predicts a first-round finish. He notes that Reyes has been out since September 2017 and is now 36 years old, making it unlikely he can handle Campbell's pressure.
Trevor Peek - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 55 of 107 | 51% | 63 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 42 of 66 | 63% | 85 of 124 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 8:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 16 of 33 | 48% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 12 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 | |
| 2 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 36 of 48 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 3 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 22 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 28 of 39 | 71% | 37 of 53 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanal Ashmouz | 55 of 107 | 51% | 29 of 78 | 18 of 21 | 8 of 8 | 48 of 99 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 42 of 66 | 63% | 26 of 48 | 9 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 41 | 18 of 20 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanal Ashmouz | 16 of 33 | 48% | 6 of 21 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yanal Ashmouz | 22 of 33 | 66% | 11 of 21 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yanal Ashmouz | 17 of 41 | 41% | 12 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 28 of 39 | 71% | 15 of 26 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 23 | 11 of 11 | 5 of 5 |
Angelo picks Yanal Ashmouz because he is the better fighter skill-for-skill, with technique everywhere, but he is hesitant because Trevor Peek is incredibly durable and has insane pressure. He notes that Yanal is still a dog and he has a bet on him, but he has buyer's remorse after watching Peek's toughness. He hopes Yanal doesn't break.
Big Brady picks Yanal Ashmouz as the underdog but says he wants nothing to do with betting on this fight. He describes it as a chaotic, back-and-forth war that likely goes to decision, with both guys having moments. Brady likes Ashmouz's ability to land big shots and mix in takedowns, but admits the fight could go either way.
Cody echoes Paul's sentiment, praising Peek's chin, heart, and relentless pressure. He notes Ashmouz's lack of grappling and tendency to get taken down, while Peek's wrestling has improved. He expects Peek to walk through Ashmouz's strikes and land a knockout.
Daniel is a fan of Trevor Peek's fighting style and believes Ashmouz is KO-or-bust. He criticizes Ashmouz's low volume and reliance on one big shot, and thinks Peek can outwork him to a decision or catch him. He notes that Ashmouz struggled when he couldn't get the knockout against Chris Duncan. Daniel sees multiple paths to victory for Peek.
Peek is durable, aggressive, and has never been finished. Ashmouz hits hard but may struggle to keep the fight at range. In a pocket exchange, Peek's power and chin could prevail. However, the host prefers to watch rather than bet heavily, as this fight reveals ceilings for both.
Paul is a fan of Peek's style and believes his durability, pressure, and power will overwhelm Ashmouz, who is more technical but lacks grappling and has shown vulnerability to pressure. He notes Ashmouz's poor takedown defense and tendency to fade. He picks Peek by KO.
The MMA Guru picks Yanal Ashmouz over Trevor Peek. He praises Ashmouz's power and notes he fought Chris Duncan with a broken arm and still went to a decision. He believes Peek is too hittable and that Ashmouz is primed to land big KO blows. He predicts a TKO win for Ashmouz, though he admits he will be rooting for Peek.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 47 of 97 | 48% | 62 of 118 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 54 of 100 | 54% | 100 of 153 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 5:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 43 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 24 of 45 | 53% | 33 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 24 of 39 | 61% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 3 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 22 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 47 of 97 | 48% | 32 of 77 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 9 | 34 of 81 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Trevor Peek | 54 of 100 | 54% | 20 of 50 | 18 of 29 | 16 of 21 | 40 of 80 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 19 of 41 | 46% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Trevor Peek | 27 of 50 | 54% | 7 of 21 | 9 of 13 | 11 of 16 | 22 of 44 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Charlie Campbell | 24 of 45 | 53% | 18 of 38 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
| Trevor Peek | 24 of 39 | 61% | 11 of 20 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 29 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Charlie Campbell | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.
Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.
Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.
Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.
Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.
The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 43 of 92 | 46% | 47 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 61 of 97 | 62% | 83 of 123 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 25 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | |
| 2 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 35 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 43 of 92 | 46% | 28 of 70 | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 41 of 90 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 61 of 97 | 62% | 32 of 61 | 16 of 23 | 13 of 13 | 50 of 83 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 8 of 13 | 61% | 5 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 16 of 25 | 64% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 20 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Trevor Peek | 21 of 46 | 45% | 16 of 35 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 23 of 39 | 58% | 12 of 26 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trevor Peek | 14 of 33 | 42% | 7 of 25 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 22 of 33 | 66% | 14 of 22 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Trevor Peek after initially wanting to bet on Yahya. He notes Yahya gets hit too often and doesn't wrestle well, while Peek has a granite chin and relentless pressure. He thinks Peek's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, even though Peek is not very skilled.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek to win by first round knockout. He describes Peek as a wild, durable brawler with incredible toughness and cardio, while Yahya is just okay and has been finished in all three of his losses. Brady expects Peek to set a pace Yahya cannot handle and win a chaotic brawl. He also likes the prop of Peek over 77.5 fantasy score on PrizePicks.
Cody picks Peek, emphasizing his toughness and power. He notes that Yahya is a one-dimensional striker with no grappling, and that Peek's pressure will eventually land. Cody expects a KO, possibly in the second round after Yahya tires.
Daniel picks Trevor Peek to win, describing him as an elite brawler with durability and power. He notes that Mohammad Yahya has been dropped by lower-level competition and thinks Peek's firepower will be too much. He acknowledges that Peek can fade and is not technically sound, but believes Peek's durability and brawling style will prevail. He also mentions the possibility of hometown judging but thinks a finish would negate that.
Yahya is hittable and leaves his chin on the center line, which plays into Peek's power. Peek is durable and has better grappling defense than expected. Expects Peek to land big shots and find a knockout within the first two rounds. However, he feels queasy playing Peek at short odds due to his skill shortage.
Paul picks Peek, noting that Yahya is a local fighter with limited skills and poor grappling. He believes Peek's pressure, durability, and power will overwhelm Yahya, who has a weak chin and no plan B. Paul expects a KO finish, likely in the first two rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Trevor Peek by first-round KO. He was initially leaning towards Yahya but was unimpressed by Yahya's regional fight where he was dropped and outgrappled. He trusts Peek's chin and believes the fight will be a sloppy brawl that favors Peek. He notes Peek has good takedown defense and Yahya's grappling isn't good enough to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 51 of 125 | 40% | 65 of 140 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:23 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 71 of 117 | 60% | 145 of 203 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 5:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 24 of 59 | 40% | 29 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 45 of 71 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:52 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 44 of 54 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 14 of 44 | 31% | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 56 of 78 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 51 of 125 | 40% | 25 of 91 | 23 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 39 of 105 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 71 of 117 | 60% | 51 of 94 | 11 of 14 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 78 | 20 of 23 | 10 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 24 of 59 | 40% | 14 of 45 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 50 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 26 of 51 | 50% | 18 of 41 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 11 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 13 of 22 | 59% | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 12 of 17 | 70% | 6 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 5 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 14 of 44 | 31% | 5 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 33 of 49 | 67% | 27 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 40 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his superior experience and skills. He notes Chepe is a fantastic grappler who can duck under Trevor Peek's chaos and get takedowns. He mentions the line has moved from +170 to +155 and he has a quarter unit on Chepe at +155. He also strongly recommends the 'does not go the distance' prop as a safer bet.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Mariscal is probably the better fighter with tougher competition. He compares it to the Torres-Moda fight where the better striker lost to a big shot. He trusts Peek's chin and toughness, noting Peek took a beating on the Contender Series and came back to finish. He also notes Mariscal is moving up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Peek, citing his durability and power. He thinks Peek's pressure will eventually overwhelm Mariscal, who has questionable durability. He notes Peek's size advantage and the rumor of a quick turnaround if he wins.
Connor picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging he is a terrible technician. He loves Peek's insane confidence and recklessness, which makes him effective. Connor notes that Peek is a great athlete with fast and powerful strikes, and his chaotic style overwhelms opponents. He thinks Mariscal is not technical enough to cross that confidence and will get drawn into a messy brawl. Connor admits he will keep picking Peek until and probably after he loses because he enjoys watching him fight.
Daniel Levi picks Trevor Peek, citing his physicality, power, and ability to take a shot. He thinks Mariscal is smaller and has been knocked out before. He believes Peek's brute strength and fight-changing power will be too much, especially as the fight goes on. He notes Peek's improved training after quitting his job.
The host picks Chepe Mariscal to win, possibly by finish. He believes Mariscal is more experienced and talented overall, with a solid grappling and striking game. He notes Peek's brawling style and durability but thinks Mariscal can take advantage of Peek's aggression. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop, but is cautious about Mariscal's durability.
Paul leans towards Mariscal, citing his technical kickboxing and speed. He thinks Mariscal can outpoint Peek and avoid his power. He acknowledges Peek's toughness but believes Mariscal's technique will prevail.
The Guru picks Trevor Peek, calling him the 'Derek Lewis of the lightweight division' with good get-ups from takedowns and dangerous first-round power. He believes Mariscal, making his UFC debut on short notice, may have octagon jitters and get smoked. He predicts Peek will march forward, get up from takedowns, and finish with a standing hammerfist.
Zane picks Mariscal, reasoning that while Peek is fun to watch, his technique is terrible and he is a bad fighter. Zane notes that Mariscal has more technique and is always on the borderline of throwing it all away to brawl, but that inconsistency is a problem. However, Zane thinks Mariscal's ability to be a messy scrapper who can overwhelm opponents gives him the edge. He acknowledges that Peek's confidence and athleticism make him dangerous, but ultimately believes Mariscal's slightly better technique will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 7 of 29 | 24% | 11 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Erick Gonzalez | 2 | 51 of 86 | 59% | 51 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 7 of 29 | 24% | 11 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Erick Gonzalez | 2 | 51 of 86 | 59% | 51 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 7 of 29 | 24% | 5 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Erick Gonzalez | 51 of 86 | 59% | 38 of 70 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 36 of 67 | 9 of 12 | 6 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 7 of 29 | 24% | 5 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Erick Gonzalez | 51 of 86 | 59% | 38 of 70 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 36 of 67 | 9 of 12 | 6 of 7 |
Connor picks Gonzalez, noting that he has a five-inch reach advantage and should be able to stick at range with jabs and kicks. He acknowledges that Gonzalez doesn't maintain range well and gets into the pocket, but he believes Gonzalez is trying to be a good fighter and has better structure than Peek. Connor also points out that Gonzalez's early career losses were not by knockout, which is a good sign for his durability here.
Zane picks Peek because Gonzalez is made of glass and his style pushes him forward into the pocket, where Peek can land. He notes that Gonzalez is uncomfortable at range and gets clipped, while Peek is a messy brawler who will storm the castle. Zane admits Peek could get knocked out in the process, but he picks him to get the knockout.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.
Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.
Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.
Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.
Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.
The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.
**Pick:** Tom Nolan (Unanimous, but hesitant) **Analysis:** This is a 'bottom of the barrel pick 'em' between two raw fighters. Charlie Campbell is an athlete with some power, but lacks technical depth, combinations, and a real plan. Tom Nolan is less athletic but a harder 'scrapper' who will engage in the clinch and throw tight punches in the pocket. Unless Campbell lands a big, chancy knockout shot early, Nolan's willingness to scrap and apply pressure will win him the fight. **Props:** No specific props were mentioned.
**Pick:** Tom Nolan (slight lean) **Analysis:** This is a very close fight, but leaning towards Nolan due to his constant improvement, home-field advantage in Australia, and his awkward, long (6'3') fighting style that Campbell hasn't faced before. Both fighters may have durability issues, but Nolan's unique style gives him the edge. **Props:** No specific props were mentioned.
**Pick:** Charlie Campbell **Analysis:** Taking a shot on the underdog, citing Tom Nolan's questionable chin and struggles when pressured. Nolan has been knocked out before and was dropped in his fight against Victor Martinez. Campbell has enough power to potentially knock Nolan out and could also have a wrestling advantage, given Nolan's performance against Alex Reyes. **Props:** No specific props were mentioned.