UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 Next Fight
Age 30
Height 6' 0"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Charlie Campbell
5.23 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
4.17 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
2.45 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
62.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Trevor Peek
4.39 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.88 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
1.45 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Charlie Campbell
Moneyline
Caesars -150
KO/TKO
BetRivers +163
Submission
FanDuel +600
Decision
DraftKings +600
Trevor Peek
Moneyline
BetMGM +145
KO/TKO
FanDuel +230
Submission
FanDuel +2000
Decision
BetMGM +1000
Charlie Campbell - Fight History
LOSS vs Tom Nolan
Submission R1 4:08 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tom Nolan 0 26 of 61 42% 33 of 69 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:34
Charlie Campbell 0 15 of 42 35% 15 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tom Nolan 0 26 of 61 42% 33 of 69 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:34
Charlie Campbell 0 15 of 42 35% 15 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tom Nolan 26 of 61 42% 13 of 35 9 of 20 4 of 6 23 of 55 3 of 6 0 of 0
Charlie Campbell 15 of 42 35% 7 of 30 1 of 5 7 of 7 14 of 39 0 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tom Nolan 26 of 61 42% 13 of 35 9 of 20 4 of 6 23 of 55 3 of 6 0 of 0
Charlie Campbell 15 of 42 35% 7 of 30 1 of 5 7 of 7 14 of 39 0 of 1 1 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tom Nolan vs. Charlie Campbell
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nolan (-160); Campbell (+130)

Round 1
To kick off the main card, the UFC paired off a couple of strikers who have never landed a submission in their respective careers. “Big Train” Nolan (9-1, 3-1 UFC) wants to keep the Oceania train rolling tonight, and he faces a capable brawler in Campbell (9-2, 2-0 UFC) who wants to deck him in the schnoz. Before the fists fly—and they almost certainly will, in great numbers—referee Jim Perdios has to tell them it’s go time. Fists are bumped, and deep breaths are taken around the building.
Both athletes let their kicks go, seemingly trading them one after the other. They go to the body, and then the lead leg. Campbell chew up the front leg with a few heavy kicks, and he lashes out with a pair of left hands that knock Nolan off his feet. Campbell lets the Aussie up, and he walks face-first into a spinning back elbow. The momentum of Campbell pushing forward results him in inadvertently tackling Nolan to the ground, and he backs off and lets Nolan up again. Campbell goes back to attacking the front leg with a kick, and then mixing things up with one up high. Nolan jumps in the air with a knee, and Campbell intercepts him midair with a low kick. The straight punches of Campbell roped in have bloodied the nose of “Big Train,” who takes a few more shots and fires back with a vengeance. Nolan connects with a hard spinning back kick, stunning “The Cannibal” for a second.
Campbell shakes out of it, and he lets Nolan have it with offense that leads him into a clinch. Campbell breaks out of the tie-up and works the body. Patches of Nolan all over are turning red from the impact of the strikes, and Nolan does not mind one bit as he bites down on his mouthpiece and blasts Campbell in the face. Campbell in zombie mode lurches forward to attack, and Nolan drops him. When
Campbell scrambles to his feet but gives up his back, and Nolan drags him down to the floor from behind. The Aussie quickly sets up a rear-naked choke, and it is under the chin almost immediately. While Campbell thinks about toughing it out, before he loses consciousness, he surrenders.
That marks the first sub win for Nolan, and the first submission defeat for Campbell. Fighters from the area still remain undefeated tonight.

The Official Result
Tom Nolan def. Charlie Campbell R1 4:08 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Tom Nolan

Angelo picks Tom Nolan over Charlie Campbell, believing Nolan's length, durability, and forward pressure will overcome Campbell's technical striking and leg kicks. He notes that Campbell's leg kicks require planting, which Nolan's movement will prevent. He expects a decision and suggests waiting for round line props.

Expects decision; suggests waiting for round line props.
"I'm going to pick Tom Nolan here. I think technique-wise, he's sort of equal with Charlie, but he's got better defense, or Charlie has better defense, but Tom is long. Tom is lean. Tom is durable. Only actual concern here …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell to win by first-round KO. He notes both fighters have power and questionable chins, but Campbell's killer instinct and Nolan's defensive flaws lead him to take the dog. He acknowledges it could go either way.

first round KO
"I'm gonna take the dog and Charlie Campbell. I'm gonna say Charlie Campbell gets an early knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Cody takes Campbell as a dog, citing Nolan's chin issues and poor takedown defense. He notes Campbell has power and can mix in wrestling, and that Nolan's tall frame makes him vulnerable to leg kicks and overhands. He also mentions Nolan's weight cut to 155 may be a factor.

"I'd take a dog shot here on Charlie Campbell"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tom Nolan

Connor also picks Nolan, agreeing that Campbell's power is inconsistent and that he doesn't set up his shots. He notes that Nolan is willing to scrap and will put pressure on Campbell, and that Campbell's tendency to fling himself into clinches will play into Nolan's hands. Connor thinks Nolan's chin is not great but good enough to withstand Campbell's power, and that Nolan's volume will win out.

"I guess I'll take Nolan too."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

James picks his friend Charlie Campbell, citing Campbell's striking ability and familiarity with Nolan from sparring. He believes Campbell has the power to knock out Nolan, who has been wobbled before. He is confident in Campbell's skills and rooting for him.

"I think Charlie has the chance to land clean on Tom Nolan and we've seen Tom Nolan knocked out before."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Tom Nolan

The host expects Nolan's power to come through. He thinks Nolan will counter Campbell effectively, land big shots, mix in takedowns and threaten with a front choke, but ultimately a knee or elbow will connect and put Campbell out clean.

win by knockout (knee or elbow)
"I expect Nolan's power to end up coming through here. I think he'll be able to counter Campbell effectively, land some big shots, maybe mix in some takedowns and threaten with that front choke, but I think it'll ultimately be …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tom Nolan

The Guru picks Tom Nolan, citing his height and reach advantage over Charlie Campbell, as well as Nolan's momentum and development. He notes Campbell's inactivity and believes Nolan's diverse striking (spinning kicks, low kicks) will be too much. He predicts a second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'm going with Tom Nolan over Charlie Campbell."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tom Nolan

Zane picks Nolan, reasoning that Nolan is willing to scrap and will put pressure on Campbell, sitting down in the pocket and throwing tight combinations. He notes that Nolan has clinch offense and will attack off his back if taken down. Zane thinks Campbell's power is chancy and that he doesn't set up his shots well, making him vulnerable to Nolan's volume and pressure.

"I think I'll go with Nolan."
WIN vs Trevor Peek
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charlie Campbell 0 47 of 97 48% 62 of 118 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:15
Trevor Peek 0 54 of 100 54% 100 of 153 4 of 10 40% 0 1 5:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charlie Campbell 0 19 of 41 46% 19 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:05
Trevor Peek 0 27 of 50 54% 43 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Charlie Campbell 0 24 of 45 53% 33 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:16
Trevor Peek 0 24 of 39 61% 35 of 53 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:49
3 Charlie Campbell 0 4 of 11 36% 10 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Trevor Peek 0 3 of 11 27% 22 of 34 2 of 4 50% 0 1 3:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charlie Campbell 47 of 97 48% 32 of 77 6 of 11 9 of 9 34 of 81 10 of 11 3 of 5
Trevor Peek 54 of 100 54% 20 of 50 18 of 29 16 of 21 40 of 80 13 of 18 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charlie Campbell 19 of 41 46% 10 of 28 2 of 6 7 of 7 17 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2
Trevor Peek 27 of 50 54% 7 of 21 9 of 13 11 of 16 22 of 44 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Charlie Campbell 24 of 45 53% 18 of 38 4 of 5 2 of 2 14 of 33 8 of 9 2 of 3
Trevor Peek 24 of 39 61% 11 of 20 9 of 15 4 of 4 16 of 29 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Charlie Campbell 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 3 of 11 27% 2 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 2 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.

Angelo suggests 'inside the distance - no action' bet because finishing Peek is almost impossible; he may bet moneyline if line moves further
"Trevor Peak is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.

win by second round KO
"I'm going to pick Peak with like no confidence... I think Peak starts to to get it together and maybe find a finish in that second round so I'll take Trevor Peak to win this fight by second round KO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.

by KO
"Trevor Peak knockout one... let's get it Trevor ever Peak fight week baby"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.

"I'm going to go Trevor Peek to take over late."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.

Campbell by decision; fight starts round two
"I am going to lean with Campbell in this matchup I think he's the technically better and Slicker fighter here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.

by KO
"Trevor Peak is that dog... if this is 50/50 or Trevor Peak is the favorite you might be reconsidering it but a plasman this is a do pass all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.

TKO win predicted
"I'm GNA go Charlie Campbell I know Alex Reyes isn't that good but I urge you guys to watch that fight he had really good striking accuracy"
WIN vs Alex Reyes
TKO (punches) R1 3:38 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charlie Campbell 0 14 of 38 36% 15 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Alex Reyes 1 43 of 72 59% 43 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charlie Campbell 0 14 of 38 36% 15 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Alex Reyes 1 43 of 72 59% 43 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charlie Campbell 14 of 38 36% 8 of 30 2 of 4 4 of 4 12 of 32 2 of 6 0 of 0
Alex Reyes 43 of 72 59% 27 of 53 10 of 13 6 of 6 35 of 60 7 of 10 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charlie Campbell 14 of 38 36% 8 of 30 2 of 4 4 of 4 12 of 32 2 of 6 0 of 0
Alex Reyes 43 of 72 59% 27 of 53 10 of 13 6 of 6 35 of 60 7 of 10 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Angelo is confident in Charlie Campbell despite his short notice UFC debut. He highlights Campbell's technical striking, good takedown defense, and training at a high-level gym. He dismisses Campbell's knockout loss as not reflective of his skill. He notes Alex Reyes has been away for six years and is a question mark. However, he hesitates to bet at -400 due to the price on a debut fighter.

"I love Charlie in this spot he has the Striking he's got good takedown defense to sort of keep the fight wherever he wants to keep it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell due to Alex Reyes' six-year layoff and questionable improvements. He notes Campbell was close to finishing Chris Duncan on the contender series and expects him to knock out Reyes early, as Reyes was knocked out by Mike Perry in his last fight. He mentions Reyes is a solid grappler but the layoff and injuries are major concerns.

first round knockout
"I gotta go Charlie Campbell by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Cody picks Campbell, emphasizing Reyes's long layoff and poor performance. He notes Campbell's offensive dynamism and finishing ability. He expects an early knockout and suggests betting Campbell inside the distance.

Campbell inside the distance; under 1.5 rounds
"This screams another under one and a half this screams another Charlie Campbell inside the distance."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Daniel Levi is confident in Charlie Campbell, citing the six-year layoff for Alex Reyes and the historical struggles of fighters returning from such long absences. He compares Campbell's aggressive, kill-or-be-killed style to a young Clay Collard and expects him to overwhelm Reyes with non-stop output. Levi notes that Reyes's only UFC fight ended in a first-round knockout and that his regional competition was weak.

"I think Charlie's going to run through this guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Campbell is a minus 400 favorite with a strong striking game, particularly his calf kicks that set up his hands for knockouts. Reyes has been out for six years, is 37, and has ring rust, making it hard for him to compete at this level. I expect Campbell to beat up the lead leg, slow Reyes down, and eventually find a knockout. The fight likely doesn't go to decision, but I'm not sure about under 1.5 rounds as Campbell may need time to get going.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I fully expect that to be Campbell to get the finish I think you'll be able to beat up the lead leg of Alex Reyes slow him down and then eventually open up with the hands where you'll be able …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Paul picks Campbell, noting Reyes's six-year layoff and poor performance against Mike Perry. He believes Campbell's speed and power will lead to an early finish. He is wary of the wide line but thinks Campbell is warranted as a big favorite.

Campbell inside the distance; under 1.5 rounds
"Charlie Campbell is a violent man who's looking for violence... I think he just gets the early jump on him."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

The MMA Guru confidently picks Charlie Campbell over Alex Reyes, emphasizing Reyes's six-year layoff due to injuries. He believes Campbell is a nasty striker with wicked power in the first round and predicts a first-round finish. He notes that Reyes has been out since September 2017 and is now 36 years old, making it unlikely he can handle Campbell's pressure.

first round finish
"I smell a recipe for a first round finish from Charlie Campbell over 36 year old Alex Reyes who hasn't fought in six years"
Trevor Peek - Fight History
LOSS vs Yanal Ashmouz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yanal Ashmouz 0 55 of 107 51% 63 of 115 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Trevor Peek 0 42 of 66 63% 85 of 124 9 of 18 50% 0 0 8:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yanal Ashmouz 0 16 of 33 48% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Trevor Peek 0 4 of 11 36% 12 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:29
2 Yanal Ashmouz 0 22 of 33 66% 23 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Trevor Peek 0 10 of 16 62% 36 of 48 6 of 9 66% 0 0 2:41
3 Yanal Ashmouz 0 17 of 41 41% 22 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Trevor Peek 0 28 of 39 71% 37 of 53 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yanal Ashmouz 55 of 107 51% 29 of 78 18 of 21 8 of 8 48 of 99 7 of 8 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 42 of 66 63% 26 of 48 9 of 11 7 of 7 19 of 41 18 of 20 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yanal Ashmouz 16 of 33 48% 6 of 21 4 of 6 6 of 6 15 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 4 of 11 36% 4 of 9 0 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 8 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Yanal Ashmouz 22 of 33 66% 11 of 21 9 of 10 2 of 2 17 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 10 of 16 62% 7 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 10 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Yanal Ashmouz 17 of 41 41% 12 of 36 5 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 28 of 39 71% 15 of 26 7 of 7 6 of 6 12 of 23 11 of 11 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yanal Ashmouz

Angelo picks Yanal Ashmouz because he is the better fighter skill-for-skill, with technique everywhere, but he is hesitant because Trevor Peek is incredibly durable and has insane pressure. He notes that Yanal is still a dog and he has a bet on him, but he has buyer's remorse after watching Peek's toughness. He hopes Yanal doesn't break.

Angelo mentions he has a bet on Yanal Ashmouz as a dog.
"I am ultimately going to pick the better fighter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Yanal Ashmouz

Big Brady picks Yanal Ashmouz as the underdog but says he wants nothing to do with betting on this fight. He describes it as a chaotic, back-and-forth war that likely goes to decision, with both guys having moments. Brady likes Ashmouz's ability to land big shots and mix in takedowns, but admits the fight could go either way.

"I'm actually going to take oshmo to win here just because I don't know you know Peak"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody echoes Paul's sentiment, praising Peek's chin, heart, and relentless pressure. He notes Ashmouz's lack of grappling and tendency to get taken down, while Peek's wrestling has improved. He expects Peek to walk through Ashmouz's strikes and land a knockout.

Trevor Peek by KO
"sign me up for Peak baby"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel is a fan of Trevor Peek's fighting style and believes Ashmouz is KO-or-bust. He criticizes Ashmouz's low volume and reliance on one big shot, and thinks Peek can outwork him to a decision or catch him. He notes that Ashmouz struggled when he couldn't get the knockout against Chris Duncan. Daniel sees multiple paths to victory for Peek.

"I really think ashm is KO or bust in this spot and I think that Trevor Peak has multiple pass to Victory... I'm going Trevor Peak to outwork yanal ashm and get this dub."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Peek is durable, aggressive, and has never been finished. Ashmouz hits hard but may struggle to keep the fight at range. In a pocket exchange, Peek's power and chin could prevail. However, the host prefers to watch rather than bet heavily, as this fight reveals ceilings for both.

Trevor Peek by knockout
"I'm going to lean Peak here Peak by knockout but I'd rather sit back and watch this on the sidelines."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul is a fan of Peek's style and believes his durability, pressure, and power will overwhelm Ashmouz, who is more technical but lacks grappling and has shown vulnerability to pressure. He notes Ashmouz's poor takedown defense and tendency to fade. He picks Peek by KO.

Trevor Peek by KO
"give me TR Peak by KO and yeah this is actually just like greediness and toughness overcoming a slight speed and Technical Advantage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Yanal Ashmouz

The MMA Guru picks Yanal Ashmouz over Trevor Peek. He praises Ashmouz's power and notes he fought Chris Duncan with a broken arm and still went to a decision. He believes Peek is too hittable and that Ashmouz is primed to land big KO blows. He predicts a TKO win for Ashmouz, though he admits he will be rooting for Peek.

TKO prediction
"I'm going to go with Yan Al ASAS getting this one done probably by TKO"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charlie Campbell 0 47 of 97 48% 62 of 118 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:15
Trevor Peek 0 54 of 100 54% 100 of 153 4 of 10 40% 0 1 5:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charlie Campbell 0 19 of 41 46% 19 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:05
Trevor Peek 0 27 of 50 54% 43 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Charlie Campbell 0 24 of 45 53% 33 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:16
Trevor Peek 0 24 of 39 61% 35 of 53 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:49
3 Charlie Campbell 0 4 of 11 36% 10 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Trevor Peek 0 3 of 11 27% 22 of 34 2 of 4 50% 0 1 3:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charlie Campbell 47 of 97 48% 32 of 77 6 of 11 9 of 9 34 of 81 10 of 11 3 of 5
Trevor Peek 54 of 100 54% 20 of 50 18 of 29 16 of 21 40 of 80 13 of 18 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charlie Campbell 19 of 41 46% 10 of 28 2 of 6 7 of 7 17 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2
Trevor Peek 27 of 50 54% 7 of 21 9 of 13 11 of 16 22 of 44 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Charlie Campbell 24 of 45 53% 18 of 38 4 of 5 2 of 2 14 of 33 8 of 9 2 of 3
Trevor Peek 24 of 39 61% 11 of 20 9 of 15 4 of 4 16 of 29 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Charlie Campbell 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 3 of 11 27% 2 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 2 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.

Angelo suggests 'inside the distance - no action' bet because finishing Peek is almost impossible; he may bet moneyline if line moves further
"Trevor Peak is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.

win by second round KO
"I'm going to pick Peak with like no confidence... I think Peak starts to to get it together and maybe find a finish in that second round so I'll take Trevor Peak to win this fight by second round KO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.

by KO
"Trevor Peak knockout one... let's get it Trevor ever Peak fight week baby"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.

"I'm going to go Trevor Peek to take over late."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.

Campbell by decision; fight starts round two
"I am going to lean with Campbell in this matchup I think he's the technically better and Slicker fighter here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.

by KO
"Trevor Peak is that dog... if this is 50/50 or Trevor Peak is the favorite you might be reconsidering it but a plasman this is a do pass all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.

TKO win predicted
"I'm GNA go Charlie Campbell I know Alex Reyes isn't that good but I urge you guys to watch that fight he had really good striking accuracy"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevor Peek 0 43 of 92 46% 47 of 96 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:24
Mohammad Yahya 0 61 of 97 62% 83 of 123 4 of 7 57% 0 0 5:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevor Peek 0 8 of 13 61% 12 of 17 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:18
Mohammad Yahya 0 16 of 25 64% 25 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:13
2 Trevor Peek 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 0 23 of 39 58% 23 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
3 Trevor Peek 0 14 of 33 42% 14 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Mohammad Yahya 0 22 of 33 66% 35 of 50 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevor Peek 43 of 92 46% 28 of 70 14 of 21 1 of 1 41 of 90 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 61 of 97 62% 32 of 61 16 of 23 13 of 13 50 of 83 6 of 9 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevor Peek 8 of 13 61% 5 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 16 of 25 64% 6 of 13 4 of 6 6 of 6 13 of 20 1 of 3 2 of 2
2 Trevor Peek 21 of 46 45% 16 of 35 5 of 11 0 of 0 20 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 23 of 39 58% 12 of 26 6 of 8 5 of 5 21 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Trevor Peek 14 of 33 42% 7 of 25 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 22 of 33 66% 14 of 22 6 of 9 2 of 2 16 of 27 3 of 3 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Angelo picks Trevor Peek after initially wanting to bet on Yahya. He notes Yahya gets hit too often and doesn't wrestle well, while Peek has a granite chin and relentless pressure. He thinks Peek's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, even though Peek is not very skilled.

"Trevor peak's going to be the pick he has had the biggest line movement on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek to win by first round knockout. He describes Peek as a wild, durable brawler with incredible toughness and cardio, while Yahya is just okay and has been finished in all three of his losses. Brady expects Peek to set a pace Yahya cannot handle and win a chaotic brawl. He also likes the prop of Peek over 77.5 fantasy score on PrizePicks.

first round knockout, over 77.5 fantasy score
"give me Trevor Peak to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody picks Peek, emphasizing his toughness and power. He notes that Yahya is a one-dimensional striker with no grappling, and that Peek's pressure will eventually land. Cody expects a KO, possibly in the second round after Yahya tires.

Peek by KO, under 1.5 rounds
"I'm in on Peak too he's my boy I'm not going to go against my boy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel picks Trevor Peek to win, describing him as an elite brawler with durability and power. He notes that Mohammad Yahya has been dropped by lower-level competition and thinks Peek's firepower will be too much. He acknowledges that Peek can fade and is not technically sound, but believes Peek's durability and brawling style will prevail. He also mentions the possibility of hometown judging but thinks a finish would negate that.

Peek minus 155, Yahya plus 130; mentions possibility of Peek fading but still winning
"I think Trevor peak's gonna win this fight... I think that the durability of Trevor Peak is GNA be a big difference here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Yahya is hittable and leaves his chin on the center line, which plays into Peek's power. Peek is durable and has better grappling defense than expected. Expects Peek to land big shots and find a knockout within the first two rounds. However, he feels queasy playing Peek at short odds due to his skill shortage.

inside the distance, round 1 or 2
"I feel like Peak is going to go out there and and find that chin probably within the first two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul picks Peek, noting that Yahya is a local fighter with limited skills and poor grappling. He believes Peek's pressure, durability, and power will overwhelm Yahya, who has a weak chin and no plan B. Paul expects a KO finish, likely in the first two rounds.

Peek by KO (+120), under 1.5 rounds
"I also think Trevor Peek could take him down the thing is is I don't think Trevor Peek has got great top control yet so like even though he can get takedowns they're mostly muscle"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

The MMA Guru picks Trevor Peek by first-round KO. He was initially leaning towards Yahya but was unimpressed by Yahya's regional fight where he was dropped and outgrappled. He trusts Peek's chin and believes the fight will be a sloppy brawl that favors Peek. He notes Peek has good takedown defense and Yahya's grappling isn't good enough to win.

Peek wins in round 1 by KO
"I'm going Trevor Peak by KO so I'm going to go by I'm going to go Trevor Peak their Rens in odds and I'm going to take him by KO here in the first round over Muhammad Yaya"
LOSS vs Chepe Mariscal
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 51 of 125 40% 65 of 140 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:23
Trevor Peek 0 71 of 117 60% 145 of 203 4 of 12 33% 1 1 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 24 of 59 40% 29 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Trevor Peek 0 26 of 51 50% 45 of 71 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:49
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 13 of 22 59% 16 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:52
Trevor Peek 0 12 of 17 70% 44 of 54 1 of 4 25% 0 1 2:33
3 Chepe Mariscal 0 14 of 44 31% 20 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Trevor Peek 0 33 of 49 67% 56 of 78 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 51 of 125 40% 25 of 91 23 of 31 3 of 3 39 of 105 12 of 20 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 71 of 117 60% 51 of 94 11 of 14 9 of 9 41 of 78 20 of 23 10 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 24 of 59 40% 14 of 45 8 of 12 2 of 2 19 of 50 5 of 9 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 26 of 51 50% 18 of 41 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 32 7 of 8 7 of 11
2 Chepe Mariscal 13 of 22 59% 6 of 12 7 of 10 0 of 0 6 of 12 7 of 10 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 12 of 17 70% 6 of 11 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 6 5 of 6 3 of 5
3 Chepe Mariscal 14 of 44 31% 5 of 34 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 43 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 33 of 49 67% 27 of 42 3 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 40 8 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his superior experience and skills. He notes Chepe is a fantastic grappler who can duck under Trevor Peek's chaos and get takedowns. He mentions the line has moved from +170 to +155 and he has a quarter unit on Chepe at +155. He also strongly recommends the 'does not go the distance' prop as a safer bet.

does not go the distance; quarter unit on Chepe at +155
"I'm gonna pick chepe to win here he's got more experience more actual skills"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Mariscal is probably the better fighter with tougher competition. He compares it to the Torres-Moda fight where the better striker lost to a big shot. He trusts Peek's chin and toughness, noting Peek took a beating on the Contender Series and came back to finish. He also notes Mariscal is moving up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I like Trevor Peak here and I like Trevor Peak to make this an absolute war and knock out mariscal in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody picks Peek, citing his durability and power. He thinks Peek's pressure will eventually overwhelm Mariscal, who has questionable durability. He notes Peek's size advantage and the rumor of a quick turnaround if he wins.

Peek by KO mentioned.
"I think at some point the dog's gonna come out of peak peek's gonna land something put him away."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Connor picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging he is a terrible technician. He loves Peek's insane confidence and recklessness, which makes him effective. Connor notes that Peek is a great athlete with fast and powerful strikes, and his chaotic style overwhelms opponents. He thinks Mariscal is not technical enough to cross that confidence and will get drawn into a messy brawl. Connor admits he will keep picking Peek until and probably after he loses because he enjoys watching him fight.

"I'm going to keep picking Trevor Peak until and probably after he loses because I just love it."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel Levi picks Trevor Peek, citing his physicality, power, and ability to take a shot. He thinks Mariscal is smaller and has been knocked out before. He believes Peek's brute strength and fight-changing power will be too much, especially as the fight goes on. He notes Peek's improved training after quitting his job.

"I think Trevor's gonna catch him um at some point in this fight so let's go Trevor"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The host picks Chepe Mariscal to win, possibly by finish. He believes Mariscal is more experienced and talented overall, with a solid grappling and striking game. He notes Peek's brawling style and durability but thinks Mariscal can take advantage of Peek's aggression. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop, but is cautious about Mariscal's durability.

fight doesn't go to decision
"give me Jose chepe mariscal to pull off the upset here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul leans towards Mariscal, citing his technical kickboxing and speed. He thinks Mariscal can outpoint Peek and avoid his power. He acknowledges Peek's toughness but believes Mariscal's technique will prevail.

Fight of the Night considered.
"I'll lean towards chapter mariscal mostly just to trigger you."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

The Guru picks Trevor Peek, calling him the 'Derek Lewis of the lightweight division' with good get-ups from takedowns and dangerous first-round power. He believes Mariscal, making his UFC debut on short notice, may have octagon jitters and get smoked. He predicts Peek will march forward, get up from takedowns, and finish with a standing hammerfist.

Predicts standing hammerfist KO in the first round.
"I'm going to be going with Trevor Peak here I'm going with the standing hammerfist KO in the first round let's keep the meme alive"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Zane picks Mariscal, reasoning that while Peek is fun to watch, his technique is terrible and he is a bad fighter. Zane notes that Mariscal has more technique and is always on the borderline of throwing it all away to brawl, but that inconsistency is a problem. However, Zane thinks Mariscal's ability to be a messy scrapper who can overwhelm opponents gives him the edge. He acknowledges that Peek's confidence and athleticism make him dangerous, but ultimately believes Mariscal's slightly better technique will prevail.

"I don't think that that serves him better. You know, not knowing or not being able to have the kind of fight you want. Is against somebody like Trevor Peak. That just gives me more pause about your ability to …"
KO (punches) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevor Peek 0 7 of 29 24% 11 of 35 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:15
Erick Gonzalez 2 51 of 86 59% 51 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevor Peek 0 7 of 29 24% 11 of 35 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:15
Erick Gonzalez 2 51 of 86 59% 51 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevor Peek 7 of 29 24% 5 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
Erick Gonzalez 51 of 86 59% 38 of 70 8 of 11 5 of 5 36 of 67 9 of 12 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevor Peek 7 of 29 24% 5 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
Erick Gonzalez 51 of 86 59% 38 of 70 8 of 11 5 of 5 36 of 67 9 of 12 6 of 7
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erick Gonzalez

Connor picks Gonzalez, noting that he has a five-inch reach advantage and should be able to stick at range with jabs and kicks. He acknowledges that Gonzalez doesn't maintain range well and gets into the pocket, but he believes Gonzalez is trying to be a good fighter and has better structure than Peek. Connor also points out that Gonzalez's early career losses were not by knockout, which is a good sign for his durability here.

Peek opened at -200, dropped to -172, now -199. Gonzalez opened +170, dropped to +144, now +164.
"I'll take guns all us to get this one I think you know generally for him the fighters who beat him are pretty good they're not complete messes most of the time"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Zane picks Peek because Gonzalez is made of glass and his style pushes him forward into the pocket, where Peek can land. He notes that Gonzalez is uncomfortable at range and gets clipped, while Peek is a messy brawler who will storm the castle. Zane admits Peek could get knocked out in the process, but he picks him to get the knockout.

Peek opened at -200, dropped to -172, now -199. Gonzalez opened +170, dropped to +144, now +164.
"I'm gonna pick him really yeah he's a messy brawler and Eric Gonzalez certainly has something to him yeah but he is made of glass"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.

Angelo suggests 'inside the distance - no action' bet because finishing Peek is almost impossible; he may bet moneyline if line moves further
"Trevor Peak is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.

win by second round KO
"I'm going to pick Peak with like no confidence... I think Peak starts to to get it together and maybe find a finish in that second round so I'll take Trevor Peak to win this fight by second round KO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.

by KO
"Trevor Peak knockout one... let's get it Trevor ever Peak fight week baby"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.

"I'm going to go Trevor Peek to take over late."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.

Campbell by decision; fight starts round two
"I am going to lean with Campbell in this matchup I think he's the technically better and Slicker fighter here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.

by KO
"Trevor Peak is that dog... if this is 50/50 or Trevor Peak is the favorite you might be reconsidering it but a plasman this is a do pass all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Charlie Campbell

The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.

TKO win predicted
"I'm GNA go Charlie Campbell I know Alex Reyes isn't that good but I urge you guys to watch that fight he had really good striking accuracy"