UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025 · Welterweight · Completed
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Age 28
Height 6' 1"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 6' 0"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Gabriel Bonfim
4.61 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
3.68 SApM
63.0% Str. Def.
3.6 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
1.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Khaos Williams
4.94 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
5.39 SApM
40.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
51.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Gabriel Bonfim - Fight History
SCHED vs Belal Muhammad
13
138 MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

The host picks Belal Muhammad, citing his pace and cardio over five rounds as the deciding factor. He acknowledges that Bonfim is more technical and skilled, but believes Muhammad's relentless forward pressure and grappling will wear Bonfim down, especially in the later rounds. He notes that Bonfim's lone loss came to a pace-pusher in a three-round fight, and now he faces five rounds of Muhammad.

"I'm going to take Belal to get this done."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

AJ picks Bonfim to win, citing his youth, precise striking, leg kicks, and jiu-jitsu. He believes Bonfim's footwork and accuracy will trouble Muhammad, and that Muhammad's wrestling edge is negated by Bonfim's grappling. AJ expects Bonfim to do damage on the feet and possibly win by decision or late finish.

over 3.5 rounds minus 175; Bonfim by decision or KO
"I'm going with Gabriel Bonef to beat the side of Balor Muhammad... I think Bonef is going to be bit too quick for Bal Muhammad."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

AJ believes Belal Muhammad will bounce back from recent losses to top competition, using his wrestling and control time to neutralize Gabriel Bonfim. He notes Bonfim's height advantage and striking volume but questions his takedown defense (76%) compared to Muhammad's (90%). AJ acknowledges the risk of Muhammad's age and recent striking deficits but expects a rebound win, possibly by decision.

fight might go to decision
"I think Bal Muhammad bounces back in a big way. Uh, you know, it might go to a decision though."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Angelo picks Belal Muhammad, believing he will slow the pace and use his wrestling to grind out a win. He notes Muhammad's toughness, cardio, and ability to outwork opponents. He thinks Muhammad needs to make the fight boring and avoid giving Bonfim room to strike. He has never seen Muhammad break, while Bonfim has been broken before.

"Balam Muhammad needs to avoid giving Gabriel the room to breathe, the room to throw. We have seen Gabriel Brafen be broken. I have never seen Bal Muhammad break."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Big Brady picks Belal Muhammad to win by decision. He highlights Muhammad's elite durability and takedown defense, and thinks the five-round fight favors Muhammad's cardio. He doubts Bonfim can take Muhammad down or knock him out, and expects Muhammad to take over as the fight goes on. He also notes that Bonfim's recent wins are questionable.

by decision
"Balam Muhammad by by decision for me."
BU
Bum MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Belal Muhammad has heart and a great gas tank, and he will push the pace to win a close decision. Gabriel Bonfim is overrated, with a controversial win over Stephen Thompson and a loss to Nicolas Dalby. Bonfim tends to not push the gas pedal, while Muhammad will outwork him.

decision win; odds: Belal -140 favorite
"I think Bal is just going to push more and win a 3-2 decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Cody picks Belal Muhammad, emphasizing that the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Muhammad due to Bonfim's poor cardio and lack of durability. He notes Bonfim is explosive early but fades, and Muhammad has proven five-round cardio and durability. He suggests live betting Muhammad after the first two rounds for better value.

Live betting after first two rounds for better value
"I'm taking blah Muhammad, but you're going to get a much better number after the first two rounds."
FI
Fight Night Picks Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Belal Muhammad is picked due to his superior cardio and pressure, which will break Gabriel Bonfim over five rounds. The host notes Bonfim's only loss was to Nicolas Dalby, who maintained a high pace, and Belal's boxing and wrestling are better. He sees Belal winning by unanimous decision or late stoppage, as Bonfim's submission skills are from top position and Belal is good at avoiding danger. The host is not sold on Bonfim as a prospect and believes Belal's championship experience is key.

Belal Muhammad wins by unanimous decision or later stage stoppage; likes him at -140
"I think Bal Muhammad is still a championship caliber uh type of fighter. I've always been on the opposite end of the Gabrielle Bonfam hype train."
GR
Greedo Plays MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Muhammad's wrestling and cardio are elite, and Bonfim has never faced a wrestler of his caliber. Bonfim's takedown defense is questionable, as he was taken down by lesser fighters. Muhammad should control the fight for 25 minutes and win a unanimous decision.

unanimous decision
"I'm going to go with Bal remember the name Muhammad to beat Gabrielle Bonfam in the Apex this Saturday by unanimous decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Lucrative James picks Belal Muhammad despite the 10-year age disadvantage, citing Belal's superior experience, gas tank, and wrestling. He believes Bonfim is a 'finish or bust' fighter who will fade after the first couple of rounds, and that Belal's durability and veteran savvy will allow him to survive early submission threats and take over in later rounds. He predicts a round 4 or 5 knockout via ground and pound.

Belal Muhammad via KO in round 4 or 5
"I will be picking as you can guess Bal Muhammad at 37 years old against the up and coming hungry 28-year-old. I'm going to pick him to win the fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Muhammad's high pace, durability, and cardio should overwhelm Bonfim, who has cardio issues. Bonfim's best chance is an early stoppage, but if it reaches the third round, Muhammad will take over and likely get a TKO in round 4.

Muhammad by TKO in round 4
"I think if this reaches the third round, that means that Bal is able to survive the power of Bombfi and has been successful in terms of implementing his pace."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Belal Muhammad

Paul picks Belal Muhammad but is hesitant, noting Bonfim could land something early. He prefers to watch live and has placed prop bets on Muhammad winning in rounds 4 and 5 at high odds, expecting Muhammad's cardio to prevail in later rounds.

Round 4 prop at +2400, Round 5 prop at +3400
"I don't really have any inclination to get hyperinvested in below Muhammad at minus 120 pre flop, but definitely a fight like you that I'll be paying attention to very much live."
WIN vs Randy Brown
KO R2 1:40 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 1 35 of 64 54% 35 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randy Brown 0 33 of 87 37% 33 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 24 of 43 55% 24 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randy Brown 0 19 of 61 31% 19 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gabriel Bonfim 1 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randy Brown 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 35 of 64 54% 11 of 36 1 of 1 23 of 27 33 of 62 2 of 2 0 of 0
Randy Brown 33 of 87 37% 11 of 48 9 of 21 13 of 18 33 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 24 of 43 55% 6 of 21 0 of 0 18 of 22 23 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
Randy Brown 19 of 61 31% 7 of 33 3 of 14 9 of 14 19 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gabriel Bonfim 11 of 21 52% 5 of 15 1 of 1 5 of 5 10 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Randy Brown 14 of 26 53% 4 of 15 6 of 7 4 of 4 14 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-180); Brown (+150)

Round 1
We’re here. It’s the main event. Without a doubt, this is one of the headliners of all time. Welterweights grace the Octagon for the next five rounds or fewer, and at night’s end, only one of these two athletes will likely be ranked—right now, only Bonfim (18-1, 5-1 UFC) is for the UFC. Brown (20-6, 14-6 UFC) feels he has finally turned the corner, other than a pair of tough losses to Bryan Battle and Jack Della Maddalena holding him back from breaking out of the “action fighter” category of his division. Referee Mark Smith brings them to the middle to issue final instructions, stepping back to allow the athletes to touch ‘em up. They do. It’s on with the show.
The athletes are tentative to engage, stabbing out jabs and the occasional low kick as the bout begins. Brown slowly, steadily builds up a work rate with distance in his favor, but the Brazilian is still able to reach him with kicks. Brown checks one kick, but a few more land with audible thuds. Bonfim keeps battering the lead leg, so Brown kicks him in the chest to back him off. The Brazilian strides through to connect with another chopping kick, and Brown is struggling to react to it. When he kicks, Brown throws himself off-balance, as he his having a hard time putting his full weight on his lead calf. Bonfim keeps targeting it with impunity, and he uses it to open up jabs. The kicks by themselves are proving extremely effective, as Brown rushes forward after taking one and knees Bonfim in the sternum. Brown wings a left hand, and he has to switch stances from the damage to his limb.
Bonfim kicks the front leg when available, catching Brown before Brown can punch him. The calf of Brown is swelling and welted just three minutes into the bout, and Brown’s power is already declining due to his struggles planting on his lead wheel. Bonfim works his way in through the gangly arms of his adversary to tag him with punches, with the leg kick rarely far away. Brown rattles off a one-two, but Bonfim’s low kicks have made Brown limp. The Brazilian chambers and fires a low kick on the other leg, nearly knocking Brown down. Brown goes for his own calf kick, and it gets checked hard. Brown bounces on his heels before doubling up on a jab to hurl a right hand behind it, and Bonfim sways with it and resets. A calf kick from Bonfim is so immediately effective that Brown leaps at him with his knee out, hand extended, and his finger jams in Bonfim’s eye socket. Luckily, Bonfim takes a few seconds to clear his vision, and they resume and stay generally out of range until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
Brown leads behind his jab to start off the round and keep his distance, although his front kick reaches out to cover much more ground. He uses it to set up a right hand, and strings several strikes behind it to the body and head. Bonfim counters and reaches his man with a pair of left hands. Brown gets up close to trade hands, and Bonfim meets him in the middle and ends his combo with a calf kick. He drives home a kick a bit higher on the thigh, and rips a right hand that Brown barely shoulder rolls in time. Bonfim doubles up on his chopping kick, and Brown is not a happy camper just six-and-a-half minutes into their fight. Bonfim flicks out a jab, and Brown ducks down to throw back a right hand. Bonfim answers with a crushing knee on the jaw, and Brown falls to his back with his hands at his side, the back of his melon clattering off the Octagon floor. On first glance, it appeared to be a double knockdown because Bonfim hits the canvas as well, but it was because he threw himself off-balance tossing the knee. Smith sprints over to stop the fight, with Brown not defending himself, but Brown rolls to his side and raises a ruckus that it was an early stoppage. He is cooled down quickly as replays show this was probably a fair and just stoppage—those that bet on Brown may disagree—but some fans, media and commentator Dominick Cruz express frustration that Brown did not have any more time to defend himself or possibly recover. The winning Brazilian calls for just one name: Colby Covington, whom he says he will retire. If that fight comes together, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Randy Brown R2 1:40 via TKO (Knee)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown because he believes Brown is the better striker with great range and solid takedown defense. He notes that Gabriel Bonfim struggled with takedowns against Wonderboy and that Brown's length and boxing from the outside will be key. He also mentions that Brown was screwed in a previous decision and is a very good fighter.

"I'm going with Randy Brown here. Especially if he can drag this fight out. I also think Randy Brown got screwed in that decision against Bryan Battle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady sees this as Bonfim early or Brown late. He notes Bonfim has power and an opportunistic submission game, and Brown has been submitted and knocked out before. He thinks Bonfim can get an early finish, possibly by first-round submission, but if it goes to the third round, Brown will take over. He mentions a potential live bet on Brown.

first round submission, live bet on Brown
"I'll say Bon Fem gets it gets it early and wins this fight by first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody thinks Bonfim's cardio is suspect in a five-round fight and that Brown's length, straight punches, and volume will pose problems as the fight goes on. He notes Bonfim's takedowns are explosive early but fade, and Brown can survive early rounds and take over later. He prefers to bet Brown live after the first round rather than straight up.

"I'm just going to take Randy Brown. But live betting him is going to be way better than the pick right now."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Lucrative James picks Gabriel Bonfim to win, but he is not confident. He notes Bonfim's strong first round and submission threat (72% of wins via submission), but questions his cardio and ability to finish Randy Brown. He expects Bonfim to win round one and then edge out a decision, as Brown's style may not pressure Bonfim into gassing. He also mentions a potential over bet or goes to decision prop.

goes to decision
"I'm going to go with Gabriel Bomb theme cuz I'm picking him to win round one and then he only needs to win one out of the next two rounds to win the fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

The host expects chaos and considers the under 2.5 rounds at plus money. He believes Bonfim will drag Brown to the ground and use his superior BJJ to secure a submission within two and a half rounds.

Under 2.5 rounds (+ money), submission
"I think it's just a matter of time before Bomb Fume drags Brown to the ground and utilizes his superior BJJ advantage. And that should allow him to wrap up a submission and force the tap like I said within …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Paul picks Bonfim but has no interest in the minus 180 price. He thinks Bonfim's cardio has improved and he can get a finish early, possibly by submission or knockout. He suggests betting the under 2.5 rounds as a better play than the moneyline.

under 2.5 rounds
"Bonfim is going to be the pick for me. I think he probably does get the chin or catch his chin or find takedowns and work his BJJ."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The Guru picks Randy Brown to win by third-round TKO. He believes Brown's experience and striking will be key, especially if he survives Bonfim's early grappling. He notes Bonfim's tendency to fade if he doesn't get a quick submission, and Brown's ability to stuff takedowns and pick him apart at range.

round 3 TKO
"I'm going to go with Randy Brown getting this one done in TKO fashion. Round two or three. Probably round three."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stephen Thompson 0 42 of 92 45% 78 of 135 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:28
Gabriel Bonfim 0 40 of 72 55% 55 of 93 5 of 14 35% 0 0 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stephen Thompson 0 6 of 24 25% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:11
Gabriel Bonfim 0 14 of 24 58% 17 of 28 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:26
2 Stephen Thompson 0 29 of 47 61% 37 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Gabriel Bonfim 0 16 of 30 53% 16 of 30 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:18
3 Stephen Thompson 0 7 of 21 33% 32 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Gabriel Bonfim 0 10 of 18 55% 22 of 35 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stephen Thompson 42 of 92 45% 21 of 61 14 of 20 7 of 11 37 of 83 3 of 5 2 of 4
Gabriel Bonfim 40 of 72 55% 12 of 36 5 of 6 23 of 30 34 of 65 6 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stephen Thompson 6 of 24 25% 1 of 13 3 of 7 2 of 4 6 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 2
Gabriel Bonfim 14 of 24 58% 3 of 7 0 of 1 11 of 16 14 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Stephen Thompson 29 of 47 61% 18 of 35 7 of 8 4 of 4 25 of 42 2 of 3 2 of 2
Gabriel Bonfim 16 of 30 53% 7 of 20 0 of 0 9 of 10 16 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Stephen Thompson 7 of 21 33% 2 of 13 4 of 5 1 of 3 6 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gabriel Bonfim 10 of 18 55% 2 of 9 5 of 5 3 of 4 4 of 12 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Stephen Thompson vs. Gabriel Bonfim
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-380); Thompson (+310)

Round 1
The final two battles will have the betting favorite of each 15 years younger than their respective underdog. Former title challenger Thompson (17-8-1, 12-8-1 UFC) knows at the age of 42, his time at welterweight is running out. Meanwhile, at 27, Bonfim (17-1, 4-1 UFC) is ready for his meteoric rise. Depending on the Brazilian’s strategy, a number of different types of fights could play out. Like referee Blake Grice, we will see how this interesting stylistic clash plays out shortly. They sportingly clap hands.
Thompson strikes first with a low calf kick. He goes to the same spot again, and Bonfim answers him back three times. They keep chopping at one another until Thompson kicks high. Thompson tries a spin kick that buzzes past his target, and Bonfim stays composed working on the lead leg. Bonfim brushes the side with a kick, and Thompson kicks him back much harder. Bonfim is quick to get in and out with his speedy kicks, allowing him to dodge a side kick aimed at his face. Thompson does not budge or flinch at what is offered at him, allowing Bonfim to chip away at his calf because it is primarily his only weapon. Bonfim shoots, a full-throated double, and he grasps Thompson from behind, lifts him up and slams him down. Thompson works his way back to his feet, and Bonfim chucks him right back down like a side of beef.
Bonfim starts to pursue a rear-naked choke, and he climbs on the back of “Wonderboy” and forces him to lower himself to a knee. Bonfim only has a face crank, but he is squeezing with all of his might as he is still relatively fresh. Thompson breaks free, and the crowd erupts as Thompson starts beating on Bonfim. Bonfim still works his way back to his feet, ignoring the short knees aimed at his torso to lean on the karateka. Thompson breaks out of the tie-up and grins, and he is quick to launch a head kick at the Brazilian. Thompson walks his foe down, landing a body kick and potshotting him with distant strikes. Bonfim reaches him with a left hook, and a second when Thompson is backing up wobbles Thompson briefly. “Wonderboy” checks a calf kick, and he kicks high while Bonfim spins. They collide legs together, and then smile and high-five as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
Bonfim forgets his mouthpiece between rounds, and he is able to replace it before they get started. Thompson is able to stay at a safe enough range, just missing with a hook kick but scoring his calf kick. Bonfim’s head kick slaps off Thompson’s hand, and he changes levels and shoots for a double, which turns quickly into a single. Thompson defends by pushing off the fence and the back of Bonfim’s neck to shut it down. Thompson gets free, and he is free to kick before marching in with two straight punches. He checks a kick, and a second lands. Bonfim intercepts a blitzing Thompson with a hard left hook, but Thompson’s chin holds up just fine as he digs a kick to the ribs. Thompson kicks it a little higher to slam into the raised guard, and he dances out of the way of the swinging Brazilian.
Thompson is able to kick intercept his opponent, his hands still low as can be as he spins with a wheel kick. Bonfim times a takedown shot, and it fails. A second attempt allows Bonfim to get Thompson down for a second, but Thompson bounces back upright with the fence at his side. Bonfim clings to his opponent and takes away all of his weapons, frustrating the crowd and his opponent equally. Thompson frames off with his knee and gets out with 80 seconds to spare. He jabs the body, avoids a left hook and comes back with his own overhand right. Bonfim presses forward, walking into a side kick and taking a head kick clean on the side of the dome. Bonfim takes it like a champ and keeps plodding forward, drilling Thompson in the chin with a stiff right hand. Thompson shakes his head and spins with a kick that Bonfim sees coming. Bonfim knocks Thompson off his feet with a left hand after kicking Thompson’s shin so hard it splits open. Thompson bounces off the floor and pushes through the pain to clobber Bonfim with a massive head kick. Bonfim’s balance nearly gives way, and he blasts him with a second to further hurt him. Thompson tries to finish the job, and Bonfim desperately goes for a takedown he cannot get. Before he gets his finish, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Thompson
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Thompson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Thompson

Round 3
The welterweights hug it out to get going, but the mean streak of Bonfim does not go anywhere. Thompson kicks Bonfim in the head several times, slamming into the guard or the side of the head indiscriminately. Blood pours out of the open wound on Thompson’s shin, which leaves Thompson with a slight bloody footprint bouncing around the cage. Bonfim tries to grapple his opponent, resulting in a clinch but no takedown. Instead, he uses heel strikes to pound at the gash on “Wonderboy.” The commentary booth is not amused. When they separate, Thompson looks at his shin and goes “whew,” but promptly throws a head kick from that wounded limb. Bonfim tries to stop the strikes from coming by going after another takedown, and Thompson breaks off much faster this time as he turns Bonfim around on the fence.
The karateka knows his best chance of victory is with his legs, and he brushes the Brazilian’s hair with a wheel kick. Thompson grins and Bonfim smiles back. Thompson blasts Bonfim in the dome about as hard as one possibly can, and the Brazilian tanks it and even tries to offer back his own head kick. Bonfim shoots for a double, putting Thompson on his seat as the crowd rejects his approach and lets him have it. Bonfim hangs on to “Wonderboy” and takes an elbow on the side of the noggin for good measure. Bonfim continues to cling to his adversary rather than do anything more with his position, and Grice asks for them to do something. Thompson spins his man around for a second, but Bonfim is able to leverage him back to a knee. Thompson hits a trip and nearly puts Bonfim down, and Bonfim stands and leans as the fight ends in the clinch. It could go either way, which is something not too many people expected.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Thompson (29-28 Thompson)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Thompson (29-28 Thompson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Thompson (29-28 Thompson)

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Stephen Thompson via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, expecting him to get frustrated with Thompson's range and shoot takedowns, which will be successful due to Thompson's poor takedown defense. He notes Thompson is 42 and was just knocked out, while Bonfim is a finisher with good wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He thinks the odds are justified.

"Gabrian Fee is going to be the pick. Another fight with some pretty wide odds but these ones are a little more justified."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady believes Gabriel Bonfim is getting Stephen Thompson at the right time. He notes Thompson is 42, has been finished in his last two losses, and can be taken down. Bonfim has power on the feet and is an opportunistic submission artist. He expects Bonfim to take Thompson down and submit him early, picking a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I'm going Gabriel Bonfam to win this fight. and I'll take him to win this fight by first round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Connor picks Bonfim confidently, stating that Thompson at 42 no longer has the speed or counter-wrestling to survive a blitz. He notes that Bonfim is fast, dynamic, and can change gears quickly, and that once he takes Thompson down, he will likely finish him quickly. Connor acknowledges that Thompson may make Bonfim look silly for a few minutes, but he cannot sustain it.

Odds could be wider; Bonfim opened at -400, now -425, and Connor says he would be very surprised if Thompson wins.
"I just think Bonfim is way too fast and dynamic and can change gears too fast for Thompson to really have the game to hang with that every step of the way."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

The host notes that Thompson is 42 and relies on speed and reflexes, while Bonfim is younger and more dangerous. He believes Bonfim can compete with Thompson on the feet and eventually drag the fight to the ground to find a submission within two rounds. The pick is based on Bonfim's youth and grappling advantage.

submission within 2 rounds
"Thompson 42 years old really getting up there in age often has to lean on that speed, accuracy, and just reflexes to try to get his wins. Unfortunately, he's going up against a younger and more dangerous fighter here in …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is a -410 favorite. He argues that Stephen Thompson's counter-striking style allows opponents to implement their game, and Bonfim's grappling and size advantage will be key. He expects Bonfim to shoot takedowns, chain them, and submit Thompson in the first or second round, comparing it to his submission of Chaos Williams. He dismisses Thompson's takedown defense as underrated but believes Bonfim's relentless grappling will prevail.

submission in first or second round
"I'm gonna go with Gabriel Bomb Firm over Steven Thompson. ... I think Bon Firm submits him in the first or second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Bonfim because Thompson has reverted to a gutsy slugger who can't wrestle, and Bonfim's speed and dynamic grappling will overwhelm him. He notes that Bonfim will likely take Thompson down and finish him, as seen in the Chaos Williams fight. Zane calls the matchup 'slightly cruel but necessary' for Thompson's career stage.

Odds could be wider; Bonfim opened at -400, now -425.
"I can't help thinking that he's gonna, when he gets in on Steven Thompson and starts roughing him up, he's probably going to put him away pretty fast."
Submission R2 4:58 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 0 35 of 72 48% 35 of 72 4 of 5 80% 2 0 1:42
Khaos Williams 0 20 of 90 22% 23 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:08
Khaos Williams 0 7 of 41 17% 10 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 Gabriel Bonfim 0 28 of 49 57% 28 of 49 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:34
Khaos Williams 0 13 of 49 26% 13 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 35 of 72 48% 20 of 50 0 of 5 15 of 17 35 of 71 0 of 1 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 20 of 90 22% 8 of 54 2 of 13 10 of 23 20 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 7 of 23 30% 2 of 17 0 of 0 5 of 6 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 7 of 41 17% 3 of 23 1 of 6 3 of 12 7 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gabriel Bonfim 28 of 49 57% 18 of 33 0 of 5 10 of 11 28 of 48 0 of 1 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 13 of 49 26% 5 of 31 1 of 7 7 of 11 13 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-225), Williams (+185)

Round 1
The first of the vaunted Bonfim brothers takes the stage in this welterweight contest. Called “Little Hammer” or “Marretinha,” Bonfim (16-1, 3-1 UFC) lets his smaller, older brother take “Hammer” outright. This Bonfim is more apt to go for submissions than the other, with a clean three-quarters of his pro victories by tapout. On the other side of the equation, Williams (15-3, 6-1 UFC) has never been finished as a pro, so something might have to give in the next 15 minutes or less. With referee Herb Dean taking a few steps back, the fighters meander towards one another but do not plan on offering a glove touch. Instead, they smack one another with calf kicks. Taking turns throwing these kicks, Williams tries to take his activity up a notch by jabbing to the body a few times. Bonfim loops a single left hand around the guard, but Williams pays it no mind. They lunge at one another with solid jabs, and Williams misses a looping right hand by a matter of inches. Williams once more whiffs on a blitz, with Bonfim sliding to the side laterally to avoid the worst of it. Williams turns his hips into a hard kick, and a second is greeted by a takedown shot. Williams drops to a knee to defend it, wrapping his arm around the neck while Bonfim has his hands around the waist. As Williams tries to scramble, Bonfim comfortably takes his back and gets both hooks in. Williams is defensively-minded to not let a choke materialize, and he explodes at the exact right moment to burst back to his feet and put Bonfim’s back to the wall. Bonfim is able to separate and stick out numerous jabs, not letting Williams get off with his heavy shots. “Khaos” gets back to delivering low kicks from either side, and Bonfim times an overswinging Williams by lifting him up and slamming him on his face. Bonfim stays tight on top of his foe to pull off a Von Preux choke, but time expires before he can complete it. When Dean tells them the round is over, he has to forcibly get Bonfim to release the choke and send him to his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
It is more leg kicks from both men to get the second round started, with the occasional inaccurate surge from Williams buzzing past his opponent. Bonfim is able to successfully circle out of harm’s way, with Williams unable to cut him off and just chasing him hurling punches. Bonfim stays on his bike with stabbing jabs, and he chops at the front leg when not jabbing. The approach might not be mind-blowing but it is effective, as he occasionally follows a jab with a good overhand right. Bonfim checks a kick and the two crash together to bang their heads together, but they appear no worse for wear from it. The calf kicks from the Brazilian are starting to get Williams’ attention, who is swinging wider and appearing to flag seven minutes in. Bonfim checks another kick or two, jabs and slips away from the big Williams blows. Bonfim splits the guard with a front kick and keeps putting the pain behind low kicks. A left hook plants behind the ear of “Khaos the Ox Fighter,” who shakes it off and gets back to trading at a range he does prefer. Williams swings wildly with too much arc, while Bonfim is much straighter, allowing him to hit first and last while chewing Williams up with his kicks. Williams staggers away after taking unchecked low kicks, and he comes up hitting air when bearing down on the Brazilian. Bonfim stabs out a jab and parries a few punches, and he shoots for a takedown as soon as Williams gains as modicum of momentum.
Bonfim lands in full mount but is bounced out of it, and he turns to his knees and wraps up a brabo choke. Williams turns to his side to ride out the choke and possibly survive to the next round, but the submission is lethally tight. Williams goes out, his eyes eerily open wide and his mouthpiece nearly coughed out as he stares lifelessly into the void.
Dean recognizes that Williams has been ushered off to dreamland and waves the fight off, with Bonfim successfully becoming the first fighter to finish the dangerous “Khaos.”

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Kalinn Williams R2 4:58 via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is more well-rounded with clean boxing and good BJJ. He expects Bonfim to use a wrestle-heavy game plan but acknowledges Khaos Williams has solid takedown defense and power. He thinks the -200 odds are wide and that Bonfim could gas, but overall Bonfim has more tools.

"Gabriel's going to be the pick here because he's more well-rounded he has more tools in the bag and he can make this fight Go in different directions"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady picks Bonfim, noting he has more ways to win: striking power and a grappling path. Williams is hitable (42% striking defense) and has poor grappling defense. Bonfim showed improved cardio in his last fight. However, he hesitates to lay -210 odds due to Williams' power.

"I just think bonfim has way more ways to win and I think he's the better fighter so give me Gabriel bonf I'll take him to win by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Gabriel Bonfim

Bonfim is the better striker and overall mixed martial artist. As long as he stays conscious, he should outpoint Khaos Williams and win on the scorecards. The fight likely goes past the 1.5 round mark.

over 1.5 rounds
"I do believe Bonfim is the better striker and better overall mixed martial artist as long as he can stay conscious in this matchup he should be able to touch up Khaos Williams and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams as an underdog over Gabriel Bonfim. He doubts Bonfim's ability to immediately take Williams down and submit him, noting Bonfim's close decision with Ange Loosa and loss to Nicolas Dalby. He believes Williams has the power to knock out Bonfim and has a solid resume despite inactivity.

underdog pick
"I'm gonna go chaos Williams as an underdog here I think he's going to Chin Gabriel Bon ferm"
WIN vs Ange Loosa
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 0 101 of 225 44% 106 of 232 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
Ange Loosa 0 52 of 153 33% 60 of 166 4 of 13 30% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 23 of 50 46% 27 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ange Loosa 0 15 of 33 45% 23 of 45 3 of 9 33% 0 0 2:07
2 Gabriel Bonfim 0 35 of 87 40% 36 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Ange Loosa 0 21 of 73 28% 21 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
3 Gabriel Bonfim 0 43 of 88 48% 43 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 16 of 47 34% 16 of 47 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 101 of 225 44% 64 of 182 32 of 38 5 of 5 85 of 204 16 of 20 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 52 of 153 33% 37 of 125 7 of 19 8 of 9 45 of 144 2 of 2 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 23 of 50 46% 11 of 37 11 of 12 1 of 1 13 of 38 10 of 11 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 15 of 33 45% 10 of 25 3 of 6 2 of 2 9 of 25 1 of 1 5 of 7
2 Gabriel Bonfim 35 of 87 40% 20 of 68 13 of 17 2 of 2 31 of 80 4 of 7 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 21 of 73 28% 18 of 64 0 of 6 3 of 3 20 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gabriel Bonfim 43 of 88 48% 33 of 77 8 of 9 2 of 2 41 of 86 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 16 of 47 34% 9 of 36 4 of 7 3 of 4 16 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Ange Loosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-340), Loosa (+270)

Round 1
In November 2023, hyper-aggressive Brazilian welterweight Bonfim (15-1, 2-1 UFC) suffered his first career defeat, after starting things off with 15 straight stoppages. To bounce back from that loss, he will be matched against “The Last Ninja” Loosa (10-3, 1 NC; 2-1, 1 NC UFC), whose most recent appearance concluded due to an eye poke. Both men want to wash the bad taste out of their mouths, and only one will do so as referee Dan Miragliotta watches on. Hands are swiftly clapped, and they begin to trade leg kicks immediately. Loosa wings a right hand and drops down in pursuit of a single, where he pushes the Brazilian against the wall. Loosa lifts Bonfim off his feet and drops him down to a knee, and Bonfim easily stands back up. Loosa presses tightly against his foe before tossing him to the floor, and once more Bonfim is back on his feet in a second. Loosa keeps the clinch tight, and Bonfim turns him around and tries to separate. Bonfim drives three knees to the body, and Loosa backs away and is surprised by the damaging blows. Bonfim stumbles him with a clean right hand, and Loosa hits the floor and jumps up to grab hold of Bonfim and elevate him before depositing him gingerly to the canvas. Bonfim crawls to his knees towards the cage, and he wall-walks and tugs on the chain links to stand. Loosa wrenches him back down and knees him in the thigh a few times, and Bonfim answers with a back elbow or two before getting dumped down again. Loosa bops his man with several right hands until Bonfim powers back upright, and they split up to return to kickboxing range. They jab at one another, with Loosa finding his home with a few. Bonfim stops a takedown and knees his foe in the body, and he parries a jab and a right hand. They both flick jabs at one another, and Bonfim splits the guard with a one-two. Bonfim loops a left around the gloves, and he stuffs another takedown and knees Loosa in the face to break out of the tie-up. They flail at one another with awkward punches, and Loosa kicks him in the lead leg. Bonfim jabs, stops a takedown and jumps guard for a guillotine. Loosa stands up straight to not let the choke even come close, and Bonfim walks him down and busts him in the chops with a series of punches. Loosa jabs him back as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
Loosa races out of his corner to throw down, and he backs away when Bonfim is loaded for bear. Bonfim prods out several teep kicks to the body, using the leg strikes to keep Loosa away until Loosa sprints and hits an easy takedown. Bonfim climbs back up and knees Loosa as if to say thanks, and they both target the body with punches before breaking apart. Bonfim swipes a left hook at the liver, and Loosa loops a left over the top in response. Their jabs reach one another, and Bonfim splits the guard with an uppercut. Loosa takes note of this and does the same, leading Bonfim to get hold of a brief Thai plum to knee Loosa in the face once before splitting. Bonfim lands a body kick after dealing with jabs, investing in several body shots including another knee. Bonfim sneaks up an uppercut and a knee up the middle, and he clubs the fighter from DRC with a left and a hard right. Loosa stumbles to the side and eats another right hand, and he clips Bonfim with a counter left. Bonfim blasts the body with a kick, and he measures an uppercut to land in the same place. Loosa ducks down into an uppercut and shrugs it off, and he trades jabs with his opponent. Bonfim goes for another uppercut to the midsection and follows it with a knee, and Bonfim’s knees consistently find their target either to the body or chin. Bonfim lands another uppercut and gets his head snapped back with a jab, and the two men continue jabbing towards one another. Bonfim scores a left hook and lets Loosa duck down so he can time a second when Loosa lifts his head back up. Bonfim peppers his man with rangy shots while staying out of range of most of the responses, ripping a right hand over the top and shoots in for a double with seconds to spare. Loosa hits his seat, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 3
The fighters double touch gloves to commence the final round, and strikes are not far behind. Loosa picks and pokes with punches, while Bonfim puts more behind his own. Loosa kicks the lead leg and eats a one-two down the pipe. Bonfim disrupts the offense of his foe with a few jabs, and another one-two from the Brazilian lands flush. Loosa steels himself and nails Bonfim in the jaw with a right hand, and “Marretinha” absorbs it without flinching. The fighters continue working their jabs, and Bonfim gets into a rhythm of jabs and twos, getting off several in rapid succession while Loosa tries to find answers. Bonfim scores a solid uppercut and two knees to follow, and Loosa’s chin is iron while his body is as well. Bonfim stays active throwing punches, and Loosa’s offense dwindles. Bonfim jabs twice, pushes off the forehead and lands a hard cross. The fighter from the Democratic Republic of Congo shoots for a desperate takedown, driving Bonfim back to the cage but ultimately not completing it. Bonfim stays on his feet and pushes Loosa away to dings him with several right hands. Bonfim kicks Loosa upside the head, and Loosa stays cool and even takes a knee on the chin to follow without budging. Bonfim tees off on his opponent that is hardly offering much offense back, allowing him to string multiple strikes together rapidly without fear of reprisal. Loosa closes the distance and bullies Bonfim to the wall, and Bonfim wants nothing to do with the clinch and pops Loosa with numerous jabs. Bonfim smacks Loosa with several more right hands, stuffs a takedown and jumps guard for a final guillotine choke. Loosa lets the Brazilian slide off him like water off a duck’s back, and time elapses to send Bonfim to the scorecards for the first time in his career.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Ange Loosa via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim but expresses strong reservations. He notes that Bonfim is the biggest favorite on the card despite gassing out in his last fight at elevation against a durable opponent. He acknowledges Bonfim's superior skills but questions his cardio and the elevation factor. Angelo suggests that the loss to Nicholas Dalby might have prompted adjustments, but he is not confident enough to include Bonfim in a parlay.

Gabriel Bonfim is not in the safety parlay; advises caution due to cardio concerns.
"I think Gabriel Bon wins I'm going to pick him to win because he's the better fighter he's the more dangerous fighter"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Cody picks Bonfim despite his cardio issues, believing Bonfim's power and submission threat will finish Loosa early. He notes Loosa quit in his last fight and that Bonfim has a striking and grappling advantage. He suggests live betting Loosa if Bonfim gasses.

Bonfim by submission (implied)
"I'm the idiot that's still going to pick it so that is my pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Daniel Vreeland picks Gabriel Bonfim to submit Ange Loosa. He believes Bonfim's front chokes are elite and that Loosa's cardio is also questionable. He notes that Bonfim's loss to Dober was due to Dober's veteran grit and that Bonfim has had time to learn from it. He expects Bonfim to get back to his finishing ways.

submission
"I think Gabrielle Bonine comes out here and submits this guy so I'm gonna go Gabrielle Bon to uh to win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Gabriel Bonfim is more aggressive and should deal with Loosa's power, then take the fight to the grappling realm where his submission game is high level. Both have cardio issues, but Bonfim will hurt Loosa and find a submission in the first or second round.

"I do think we see bom fan eventually hurt Luca and eventually find that submission getting the tap in the first or second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Paul picks Loosa as a live dog, citing Bonfim's poor cardio and altitude. He thinks Loosa can survive the first round and take over as Bonfim fades. He notes Loosa's training at Kill Cliff FC and his Swiss striking background, but acknowledges Loosa quit in his last fight.

Loosa round 3 (implied)
"I think Luca is going to be the pick but yeah this is like a fight to keep your eye on in the live markets."
LOSS vs Nicolas Dalby
TKO (knees and punches) R2 4:33 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nicolas Dalby 0 39 of 91 42% 47 of 103 3 of 5 60% 1 0 4:19
Gabriel Bonfim 1 53 of 113 46% 64 of 128 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nicolas Dalby 0 30 of 60 50% 35 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:32
Gabriel Bonfim 0 16 of 47 34% 22 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
2 Nicolas Dalby 0 9 of 31 29% 12 of 35 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:47
Gabriel Bonfim 1 37 of 66 56% 42 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nicolas Dalby 39 of 91 42% 27 of 77 3 of 4 9 of 10 32 of 71 3 of 9 4 of 11
Gabriel Bonfim 53 of 113 46% 41 of 96 7 of 11 5 of 6 25 of 76 25 of 33 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nicolas Dalby 30 of 60 50% 18 of 47 3 of 3 9 of 10 26 of 48 0 of 1 4 of 11
Gabriel Bonfim 16 of 47 34% 11 of 41 1 of 1 4 of 5 15 of 45 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Nicolas Dalby 9 of 31 29% 9 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 23 3 of 8 0 of 0
Gabriel Bonfim 37 of 66 56% 30 of 55 6 of 10 1 of 1 10 of 31 24 of 31 3 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Nicolas Dalby
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-625), Dalby (+455)

Round 1
On Friday morning, two Bonfim brothers were expected to be competing on this lineup. After elder brother Ismael missed weight by a boat anchor, Gabriel Bonfim (15-0, 2-0 UFC) will be the one repping the family tonight. Putting the family reputation as well as his spotless record and 100% finish rate on the line, Bonfim draws an extremely tough test in Dalby (22-4-1, 2 NC; 6-3-1, 1 NC UFC). While arguably the greatest fighter from Denmark to compete in MMA—Martin Kampmann may disagree—Dalby is also known from having one of the wildest fights in MMA history against Ross Houston in Cage Warriors, when so much blood was spilled on the vinyl cage floor, referee Marc Goddard had to call the title fight off in the third round. This “Just Bleed” mentality comes with him in this co-main event, and Bonfim will have his hands full here. Referee Jason Herzog is cool and collected, but inside he’s amped up and ready, and the fighters are as well. Bonfim would rather get right to business, and wastes no time with a glove touch. Instead, the Brazilian walks straight forward and busts Dalby in the chops with two big punches. The two proceed to go wild with big strikes, and Bonfim connects a number of powerful low kicks to give Dalby pause. Dalby presses forward, gathering a full head of steam, and he plows Bonfim to the fence and hunts for a trip. Bonfim defends himself against the fencing, and he splits off and resets. Dalby doubles up on a jab and follows with an overhand right, and Bonfim just misses with a head kick. The Brazilian hammers the lead wheel with a kick, and he aims a few more kicks to the same target until Dalby switches stances briefly. Dalby powers forward, keeping his high-pressure game going, and he gets knocked back with a one-two and a kick. Bonfim digs a kick to the body and reaches with a left hand, and he intercepts a countering Dalby with a chopping kick. Dalby pushes forward and just misses with a head kick, and Bonfim strings three jabs together in rapid succession. Dalby attacks the lead leg, and Bonfim snatches him up and body locks him to the ground. Landing in half guard, Bonfim has over two minutes to work should he keep it horizontal. Bonfim skips over to the side, and Dalby raises one leg up high in hopes of bucking Bonfim off of him. Bonfim slowly works with elbows, drawing a tiny bit of blood with his strikes as he isolates Dalby’s right arm. Bonfim lets it go so he can move to full mount, and he sets up an arm-triangle choke by slithering one arm beneath the neck. Dalby defends against it, but Bonfim remains in dominant position despite Dalby’s movement. Bonfim elects to move to the side so he can batter Dalby with elbows, and Dalby defends most but not all of them. Bonfim opens up an additional cut on his opponent, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
Dalby opens up the second round just as aggressive as before, with his pace trying to take some of the wind out of Bonfim’s sails. Bonfim counters that with a few powerful punches, and he scoops the Danish fighter up off the ground and slams him to the mat. Dalby sits up, and Bonfim considers a guillotine choke but lets it go. When Dalby partially stands, Bonfim sucks his hips out and deposits him to the ground with a single. Dalby defends with a guillotine choke, and Bonfim welcomes this so that he can set up a Von Preux shoulder choke. Dalby does not fall for the trap, and he releases the grip in time so that he does not get choked out. Bonfim does manage to claim side control in this position, until Dalby rolls all the way over and goes after a double. Bonfim latches his arms around the neck for a brabo choke setup, and he hops over to the back. Dalby deftly scrambles to get back to his feet, and he stands and pushes Bonfim to the wire. Bonfim welcomes him with an elbow, and Dalby throws back and continues plodding forward. Dalby maintains his suffocating pressure, and Bonfim shoots for a single that comes up short. Dalby comes up high with a pair of elbows, and the two start slugging it out. Dalby drives his knee on the chin a few times, and he ignores the strikes that belt him in the face so he can fire back fearlessly. Bonfim leans his back to the wall, and Dalby is on him like a cheap suit. Bonfim’s gas tank begins to fade as his body language starts to show he is struggling, while Dalby is ready and rearing to go for several more minutes. Bonfim drops to his knees for a single, and Bonfim shells up against the fencing as Dalby lays into him with knees and elbows. Bonfim lets loose with uppercuts, only for Dalby to completely no-sell them and further use his cardio and durability as a weapon.
A ferocious knee in a series from the Danish fighter smashes right into the jaw, and Bonfim collapses to the canvas. Dalby finishes the job with a number of punishing left hands, forcing Herzog to step in and wave the fight off.
“Danish Dynamite” has exploded, blowing up the massive favorite while detonating the unbeaten record of the highly touted Brazilian finisher.

The Official Result
Nicolas Dalby def. Gabriel Bonfim R2 4:33 via TKO (Knees and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, expecting him to grapple early and get the win. He notes Dalby is tough and could take it to a decision, which would be new for Bonfim. He likes the Bonfim brother parlay. He thinks the UFC knows what they're doing with this matchup.

Bonfim brother parlay
"I see Gabriel coming forward grappling early and getting the win Doby is tough this could go to a decision which we have not seen Gabriel do yet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady picks Gabriel Bonfim to win by first-round submission. He praises Bonfim's striking and opportunistic submission game, noting he subs opponents when they shoot for takedowns. He mentions Dalby has never been finished officially but was finished by Jesse Ronson (who popped for PEDs). He expects a club-and-sub sequence, with Bonfim knocking down Dalby and snatching a submission.

"give me Gabriel bonim clear setup fight... I think it's done in the first round so Gabriel bonim first round sub"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Daniel Levi picks Gabriel Bonfim, impressed by his undefeated record, 15 finishes, and versatile submission game including guillotines, rear-naked chokes, and triangles. He notes Bonfim's athleticism, explosiveness, and willingness to strike, but also acknowledges concerns about his striking defense and unproven cardio. Levi sees Dalby as a tough veteran who can turn fights into dogfights and drag Bonfim into deep water, but believes Bonfim's youth and tenacity will prevail. He is not laying the -600 chalk and plans to stay away from betting this fight, possibly poking at props.

Bonfim wins inside distance, Bonfim by submission, Bonfim by TKO, fight doesn't go to decision
"I am going Bonfim here... it's just you know we're looking at I don't know if I mentioned the odds it's minus 600 Bonfim... I'm all good on that minus 600 but my pick is going to be Gabriel Bonfim …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)
Gabriel Bonfim

James predicts Bonfim will run through Dalby, likely in round one. He notes that Dalby has been knocked out and submitted early by Jesse Ronson (overturned to NC) and sees a similar outcome here. He acknowledges that if Bonfim doesn't finish early, Dalby has a chance to come back in later rounds, but he believes Bonfim is a dangerous striker and opportunistic submission artist. He picks Bonfim to win, probably by submission in round one.

James suggests Bonfim wins in round one, possibly by knockout or submission.
"I think bonin's gonna run through him... I'm picking bonim to win probably in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Bonfim is one of the best prospects, with great striking that sets up his submission game. He hurts opponents and then capitalizes on desperation takedowns to lock in chokes. Dalby is older and has faced lower-level competition recently. Bonfim will hurt Dalby on the feet, forcing a bad takedown attempt, and finish via submission inside the distance.

Bonfim inside the distance
"Give me Bonfim, Bonfim inside the distance and I think it's going to look pretty bad."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Bonfim over Nicolas Dalby. He emphasizes Bonfim's athleticism, size, and finishing ability, predicting a first-round submission. The Guru notes Dalby needs to be perfect for three rounds to win, while Bonfim can end it quickly. He references Bonfim's dominant win over Trevin Giles and his signature guillotine choke. He predicts a first-round guillotine.

first round submission
"I'm going to go with Gabriel Bumm getting himself a first round Guillotine choke over Nicholas dby"
WIN vs Trevin Giles
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 1:13 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:26
Trevin Giles 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:26
Trevin Giles 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 3 of 11 27% 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 3 of 11 27% 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Trevin Giles
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-320), Giles (+265)

Round 1
Concluding the prelims is a 170-pound scrap between two promising fighters age 30 or younger. With welterweight so logjammed, a win tonight for the undefeated Bonfim (14-0, 1-0 UFC) or resilient Giles (16-4, 7-4 UFC) may help raise them to greater heights in the weight class. Before said action, the two men touch ‘em up, and referee Herb Dean is ready to take charge of what comes next. Bonfim walks forward fearlessly, and he blocks a head kick that flies at him immediately. Bonfim comes forward, and he starts throwing hands. Giles gets tagged, throws back with bad intentions, and makes Bonfim reevaluate his current position. Bonfim backs off, measures his way back in and clips Giles with a left hand. Giles, perhaps from the strike or because he is off-balance, gathers himself and moves to the outside. Giles comes at him, and Bonfim grapples him, gets around to take his back, and lifts Giles off his feet and slams him down. Bonfim lands and considers a submission from on top, but he decides to maintain position while Giles is bucking. Giles manages to kick Bonfim off of him, and he leans forward while on his knees.
“Marretinha” welcomes this and licks his chops, as he snatches up and jumps guard with a guillotine choke. The submission is tight as a drum, and Giles sits up but is gurgling and the lights are flickering in his eyes. Giles surrenders, and he appears to go out right as Bonfim is releasing the grip due to Dean’s intervention.
Giles comes to, and Bonfim celebrates the victory that boosts him to 15-0 as a pro with 15 stoppages. Welterweight has one more threatening contender in the works, and Bonfim confidently claims in his post-fight interview that he will be the champion.

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Trevin Giles R1 1:13 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, believing he is the better fighter everywhere with more powerful striking and better grappling. He acknowledges Trevin Giles' incredible jab and athleticism as a concern, but thinks Bonfim's overall game will prevail. He considered putting Bonfim in a parlay but decided against it due to Giles' potential to sneak out a win.

"Gabriel's gonna be the pick I was hoping to put him in the safety parlay right right off the cat I'm like yeah this should happen this should happen."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady picks Gabriel Bonfim to win by first-round submission. He praises Bonfim's opportunistic submission skills and finishing ability, noting 79% of wins by submission. He criticizes Trevin Giles' poor fight IQ and durability, expecting Bonfim to capitalize on a mistake early. He sees Bonfim as dangerous everywhere and predicts a quick finish.

first round submission
"I'm going to take Gabriel bonfim to win this fight I'll say he wins it by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Cody picks Bonfim to win inside 1.5 rounds, betting the under at -125. He sees Bonfim as an opportunistic finisher with power, while Giles has low output and a suspect chin. He notes Giles' career-high significant strikes is only 71, and his cardio is poor, especially at altitude. He plans to fade Bonfim in the future but likes him here.

under 1.5 rounds -125
"I did put some money on the under one and a half at minus 125"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

James rates Bonfim highly, calling him an elite boxer with dangerous submissions. He expects Bonfim to finish Giles early, likely in round one or two. He notes that Bonfim was underrated earlier but the market has corrected, and he believes Bonfim can become a top-15 fighter.

under 1.5 rounds
"I think he's going to finish Trevin Jones I honestly do"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Bonfim is the better striker and has a slick submission game. Giles has durability issues and Bonfim will put pressure on him with combinations. Bonfim is the future and will get another finish, probably in the second round. Giles's experience won't be enough.

"I think bomb female is the truth I think bomb theme is the future and I think he's worth the talk this weekend even against an experienced Skylake Giles look for giles's durability issues to Showcase themselves once again and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Paul picks Bonfim despite the high price, citing Giles' low output and lack of power. He notes Bonfim is faster, sharper, and can take Giles down. He acknowledges Bonfim is hittable but believes Giles doesn't have the volume or power to capitalize. He expects Bonfim to finish or win a clear decision.

"I will take bomb theme but I'm I'm looking to fade this guy in the near future"
WIN vs Mounir Lazzez
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:49 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:04
Mounir Lazzez 0 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:04
Mounir Lazzez 0 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 9 of 22 40% 6 of 18 2 of 2 1 of 2 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mounir Lazzez 9 of 13 69% 0 of 4 4 of 4 5 of 5 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 9 of 22 40% 6 of 18 2 of 2 1 of 2 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mounir Lazzez 9 of 13 69% 0 of 4 4 of 4 5 of 5 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Mounir Lazzez
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-190), Lazzez (+160)

Round 1
Switching gears to the prelims on the ABC network, welterweights are up as Bonfim (13-0, 0-0 UFC) tries to make his family go 2-0 tonight at the expense of Tunisia native Lazzez (11-2, 2-1 UFC). Bonfim has yet to go the distance as a pro, with a majority of his wins by sub, while Lazzez’ own knockout rate sits at a solid 73%. Overseeing what could be a fun one is referee Herb Dean, and the two fighters do not bump fists as they have violence in mind instead. The two throw kicks at one another almost simultaneously, and Bonfim falls over when throwing too hard. Bonfim backs off and prepares to counter, and he catches an oncoming Lazzez with a clean right hand. Lazzez walks into a kick, slings a few punches, ducks one coming at him and rushes forward in pursuit of a takedown. The Brazilian is prepared, and he counters with a guillotine choke. As they move, Bonfim completely capitalizes on the momentum coming towards him to roll Lazzez over to his back, with
the guillotine choke completely secured as soon as he claims full mount. From there, it is only a matter of time, as they are bone dry and Bonfim is at full power. The squeeze is ruthless, and Lazzez grits it out for a few seconds before frantically tapping out on the side, just in time as he would likely have gone out had he not.
It is quite a night for the Bonfim brothers, as they secure exceptional finishes in their debuts over extremely tough opponents – Lazzez had never been submitted – in front of a home crowd.

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Mounir Lazzez R1 0:49 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady is high on Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is dangerous everywhere, especially on the ground with submissions like the Von Flue choke. He thinks Bonfim has many paths to victory, though Lazzez is a good striker with a great chin. He expects Bonfim to take the fight down and submit Lazzez in the second round. He believes the hype on Bonfim is warranted.

submission, second round
"I'm gonna actually say uh bonfiend gets to sub here I'm gonna say he takes downloads and get to sub at some point in this fight I'll say second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mounir Lazzez

Cody picks Mounir Lazzez as a dog, noting his reach, volume, and takedown defense. He says Bonfim is hittable and takes damage, and that Lazzez is the more technical striker. He acknowledges Bonfim's submission skills but thinks Lazzez can keep the fight standing and win a decision. He says this is his first underdog pick of the card.

mentions Bonfim's submission threat; says Lazzez is the more technical striker
"I think munir lazez is the much more technical uh much more technical Striker"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mounir Lazzez

Connor agrees, noting Lazzez is a better striker and has a reach advantage. Bonfim's game is formless and he will likely have to strike with Lazzez, which is a losing proposition.

"I just don't see how he's going to reliably avoid having a kickboxing match with a technically much better kickboxer."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mounir Lazzez

Paul picks Mounir Lazzez, agreeing with Cody. He notes Bonfim's holes in striking and that Lazzez is the more technical striker. He says Bonfim is a good prospect but not ready for this level. He mentions Lazzez's reach and volume. He says he's not comfortable laying -170 on Bonfim.

mentions Bonfim's submission threat; says Lazzez is the more technical striker
"I'm in agreement with you I think that munir lazez is the much more technical uh much more technical Striker"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

The Guru picks Bonfim, noting he has many ways to win. Bonfim is a two-to-one favorite and has a strong submission game, with wins by d'arce choke and Von Flue choke. The Guru believes Bonfim will take Lazzez down and find a submission, possibly a rear-naked choke or TKO via ground and pound. He notes Lazzez is a striker who has beaten bottom-of-the-barrel competition.

submission
"I'm going with Gabriel buntham ... I think he'll get the submission taken down moonila says who's a striker"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mounir Lazzez

Zane picks Lazzez because he is a technically superior kickboxer with a reach advantage. Bonfim's grappling is good but his takedown entries are not clean, and Lazzez is stable in the clinch. Bonfim's striking is not at Lazzez's level.

"I just kind of have to pick Mounir Lazzez."
Khaos Williams - Fight History
KO/TKO R1 3:31 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 13 of 25 52% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nikolay Veretennikov 1 21 of 56 37% 36 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 13 of 25 52% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nikolay Veretennikov 1 21 of 56 37% 36 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 13 of 25 52% 8 of 19 3 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 23 1 of 2 0 of 0
Nikolay Veretennikov 21 of 56 37% 9 of 35 7 of 9 5 of 12 20 of 52 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 13 of 25 52% 8 of 19 3 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 23 1 of 2 0 of 0
Nikolay Veretennikov 21 of 56 37% 9 of 35 7 of 9 5 of 12 20 of 52 1 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Angelo picks Nikolay Veretennikov, considering him the better technical striker. He notes Khaos Williams has no takedown attempts in the UFC, so if Veretennikov has success striking, Williams has no backup plan. He expects Veretennikov's forward pressure to disrupt Williams. He calls it a crazy close fight.

"I actually think Nikolai is the better striker between the two. ... I'm actually going to pick Nikolai here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Big Brady picks Nikolay Veretennikov as a slight underdog, citing his striking tools and durability. He notes that Khaos Williams has not completed a takedown in the UFC, so the fight will likely stay standing, where Veretennikov has the edge. He predicts a decision win but is not confident enough to bet.

"I'm going to take the slight dog here in Veritin."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Cody picks Nikolay Veretennikov, noting that Khaos Williams has looked disinterested and reluctant to engage in recent fights. Veretennikov is a versatile striker with good body work and durability, while Williams relies on power but has low volume. Cody believes Veretennikov's higher work rate and shot selection will allow him to outwork Williams over three rounds.

"I got Verikov to edge this thing out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Khaos Williams

Connor picks Williams but with hesitation, noting that Veretennikov could win if he circles away and throws one-twos, but Veretennikov doesn't circle. He emphasizes that Williams is a power-based fighter with no technique and has been brutally bullied in recent fights, but Veretennikov is not good enough to exploit that.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls it a 'wasted matchup' and suggests better opponents for Williams.
"I'm going to still pick him, but it has to be noted. Like if Veritenikoff just shows up and like I said, it's like, Oh, what if I circle away and throw one tooth or just ones?"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked May 16, 2026 (fight day)
Khaos Williams

Williams lands harder shots and has better cardio. Veretennikov slows down and has poor takedown offense. However, Williams can be passive and head-hunts. The fight spread is a better bet than the moneyline.

Khaos Williams +3.5 at 1.60 is a great bet.
"I'm very tempted to bet on Khaos Williams in this matchup."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Lucrative James picks Nikolay Veretennikov to win by KO, citing Veretennikov's Muay Thai clinch and knees against a striker like Williams. He notes Williams's recent losses and potential lack of focus, while Veretennikov is all-in on MMA. He predicts a second-round finish via knee to the body.

win by KO in round 2
"I'm picking Nikolai Veritenov to get this one done via knee to the body in the clinch in round two."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The host picks Khaos Williams over Nikolay Veretennikov, expecting Williams to thwart Veretennikov's approach and land big power shots early and often, leading to a decision win.

"I fully expect Williams to thwart whatever approach Veretennikov is taking and then start to battle back with big power of his own, and I think he'll be able to touch up Veretennikov early and often, and I think that …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The host believes Williams' defensive grappling is good enough to keep the fight standing, where he has the striking advantage. He expects Williams to pull away in the later rounds and win by decision, though a knockout is possible. He is confident in Williams at -130.

"I think his grappling defense will be good enough to keep Veritanikov away from trying to grind this fight out. And in terms of striking, I think Williams is the more dangerous striker."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Paul hesitantly picks Nikolay Veretennikov at plus 110, noting that both fighters' opponents usually try to take them down. He hopes that Veretennikov's training camp with high-level wrestlers may have improved his offensive wrestling, allowing him to steal close rounds. He acknowledges it's a volatile fight and is not heavily invested.

"Give me the ever so slight plus money on Nikolai. Um, hesitantly."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Khaos Williams

Zane picks Khaos Williams because Veretennikov is low-output, can't wrestle, and doesn't use his length effectively. He notes that Williams is powerful and should be able to blitz Veretennikov, though he acknowledges Williams has never beaten a really good fighter and his last two fights were brutal losses.

Odds: Williams opened -150, now -120; Veretennikov opened +130, now +100. Zane calls it a 'stupid fight' and a 'wasted matchup'.
"So yeah, he'll probably beat Nikolai Veritenikov. Yeah, probably scare him at least."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 07, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 39 of 74 52% 95 of 134 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:17
Andreas Gustafsson 0 98 of 128 76% 151 of 185 8 of 14 57% 0 0 9:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 21 of 40 52% 49 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:02
Andreas Gustafsson 0 30 of 44 68% 36 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:49
2 Khaos Williams 0 13 of 28 46% 32 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andreas Gustafsson 0 35 of 46 76% 44 of 56 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:43
3 Khaos Williams 0 5 of 6 83% 14 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Andreas Gustafsson 0 33 of 38 86% 71 of 79 5 of 7 71% 0 0 4:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 39 of 74 52% 29 of 63 10 of 11 0 of 0 26 of 57 13 of 17 0 of 0
Andreas Gustafsson 98 of 128 76% 67 of 95 21 of 23 10 of 10 27 of 50 52 of 57 19 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 21 of 40 52% 16 of 34 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 28 9 of 12 0 of 0
Andreas Gustafsson 30 of 44 68% 15 of 27 14 of 16 1 of 1 11 of 22 19 of 22 0 of 0
2 Khaos Williams 13 of 28 46% 10 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0
Andreas Gustafsson 35 of 46 76% 25 of 36 5 of 5 5 of 5 13 of 23 20 of 21 2 of 2
3 Khaos Williams 5 of 6 83% 3 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andreas Gustafsson 33 of 38 86% 27 of 32 2 of 2 4 of 4 3 of 5 13 of 14 17 of 19
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andreas Gustafsson vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-192), Gustafsson (+160)

Round 1
Our first welterweight fight of the night is overseen by Mike Beltran. Gustafsson comes out charging and clinches with Williams. Gustafsson lands a knee and is looking to use his Greco-Roman wrestling to take the fight to the ground. Williams defends well, as both men land knees in the clinch. Gustafsson is doing more damage, but it's largely a stalemate as the crowd boos. Beltran breaks the fighters up. Gustafsson wastes no time, charging forward and landing an uppercut. A big right hand lands for Gustafsson, who follows it up with a right hook. It's reckless offense, but it's undeniably working for him. Gustafsson clinches again but can't keep Williams there. A left hook lands for Gustafsson, who is throwing wild hooks. Most are missing, but Williams hasn't been able to land much in response. They clinch with Williams staying on his feet but eating more knees. This is an exhausting pace by Gustafsson. Williams landing some hard knees of his own. The round ends with Gustafsson slipping a knee and an elbow in.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson

Round 2
Williams looks tired to start the second frame. Gustafsson charges forward and gets back into the clinch where the last round left off. Knees to the leg of Williams lands for Gustafsson. Williams is able to exit. A nice right straight lands for Williams, but Gustafsson is closing space. A jab for Gustafsson hurts Williams, and the two men wind up back in the clinch again. An uppercut for Gustafsson lands, and then a huge left hook. Williams is trying to pick his shots, but simply can't keep up with this pace. Gustafsson lands a knee and then trips Williams to the ground. Gustafsson allows Williams up and then puts him back on the ground. Williams is back to his feet and then eats a knee to the face. Gustafsson drags his opponent to the ground. This is a one-sided beatdown. Gustafsson cuts Williams, who gets to his feet only to eat more knees. Big elbows from Gustafsson. Williams is back to his feet but just eating knees. Gustafsson slips in an uppercut and then an elbow. Brutal offense from Gustafsson, who ends the round in the clinch with another elbow.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson

Round 3
Gustafsson begins the round as expected, charging forward and getting Williams into the clinch. Williams isn't able to escape and is getting kneed and shoulder-checked. They are fighting as if they're in a phone booth. Uppercuts and elbows are being landed by Gustafsson. Williams is occasionally throwing back, but doesn't have the power to keep Gustafsson honest at this point. Gustafsson takes the back of Williams while standing. Gustafsson trips Williams to the floor and unloads with elbows while in side control. Williams is able to scramble to his feet, but is eating knee after knee. Gustafsson takes him down again. Williams has nothing less. Gustafsson has his back and is landing punch after punch until the fight ends. A total thrashing.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson (30-27 Gustafsson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Gustafsson (30-26 Gustafsson)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-8 Gustafsson (30-26 Gustafsson)

The Official Result
Andreas Gustafsson def. Kalinn Williams via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26, 30-26); R3, 5:00.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 1, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams but is hesitant due to the unusual circumstances. He notes Andreas Gustafsson is a live underdog with good grappling and power, but the double weight cut (cutting weight for a canceled fight then cutting again) could hurt his performance. He thinks if Andreas is fine, he could win by pressure. He doesn't love the pick.

Andreas is a live underdog; potential inside the distance or decision.
"I am going to pick Chaos Williams here, but I got to tell you, I don't love it."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams, citing his durability and fight IQ compared to Gustafsson's previous opponent. He notes Gustafsson is hittable, slow, and only dangerous in the clinch, while Williams is much more durable and has never been knocked out. He expects Williams to knock Gustafsson out in the second round when the fight is at range.

Williams by KO in round 2
"I think Chaos Williams knocks him out here. I think at some point these two are going to be at at range. And when they are, when they're at space, it just heavily heavily favors Chaos Williams here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Khaos Williams was closer to -250 earlier in fight week but now finds himself around -190, which is considered a perfect entry. He is expected to land more shots, shut down Gustafsson's grappling, and outdamage him on the way to a decision victory.

odds movement from -250 to -190
"I think this is the perfect entry to take him to land more shots, shut down the grueling grappling game of Gustiffson and outdamage Gustoson on route to a decision victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams by KO, confident in his one-punch power. He notes Andreas Gustafsson's pressure style will play into Williams' hands, as Gustafsson will enter the danger zone. He acknowledges Williams is not fundamentally sound but has nasty knockout power. He predicts a first round KO.

Finish prediction: first round KO.
"I'm going with Chaos Williams by flatline KO."
LOSS vs Gabriel Bonfim
Submission R2 4:58 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 0 35 of 72 48% 35 of 72 4 of 5 80% 2 0 1:42
Khaos Williams 0 20 of 90 22% 23 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:08
Khaos Williams 0 7 of 41 17% 10 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 Gabriel Bonfim 0 28 of 49 57% 28 of 49 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:34
Khaos Williams 0 13 of 49 26% 13 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 35 of 72 48% 20 of 50 0 of 5 15 of 17 35 of 71 0 of 1 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 20 of 90 22% 8 of 54 2 of 13 10 of 23 20 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 7 of 23 30% 2 of 17 0 of 0 5 of 6 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 7 of 41 17% 3 of 23 1 of 6 3 of 12 7 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gabriel Bonfim 28 of 49 57% 18 of 33 0 of 5 10 of 11 28 of 48 0 of 1 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 13 of 49 26% 5 of 31 1 of 7 7 of 11 13 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-225), Williams (+185)

Round 1
The first of the vaunted Bonfim brothers takes the stage in this welterweight contest. Called “Little Hammer” or “Marretinha,” Bonfim (16-1, 3-1 UFC) lets his smaller, older brother take “Hammer” outright. This Bonfim is more apt to go for submissions than the other, with a clean three-quarters of his pro victories by tapout. On the other side of the equation, Williams (15-3, 6-1 UFC) has never been finished as a pro, so something might have to give in the next 15 minutes or less. With referee Herb Dean taking a few steps back, the fighters meander towards one another but do not plan on offering a glove touch. Instead, they smack one another with calf kicks. Taking turns throwing these kicks, Williams tries to take his activity up a notch by jabbing to the body a few times. Bonfim loops a single left hand around the guard, but Williams pays it no mind. They lunge at one another with solid jabs, and Williams misses a looping right hand by a matter of inches. Williams once more whiffs on a blitz, with Bonfim sliding to the side laterally to avoid the worst of it. Williams turns his hips into a hard kick, and a second is greeted by a takedown shot. Williams drops to a knee to defend it, wrapping his arm around the neck while Bonfim has his hands around the waist. As Williams tries to scramble, Bonfim comfortably takes his back and gets both hooks in. Williams is defensively-minded to not let a choke materialize, and he explodes at the exact right moment to burst back to his feet and put Bonfim’s back to the wall. Bonfim is able to separate and stick out numerous jabs, not letting Williams get off with his heavy shots. “Khaos” gets back to delivering low kicks from either side, and Bonfim times an overswinging Williams by lifting him up and slamming him on his face. Bonfim stays tight on top of his foe to pull off a Von Preux choke, but time expires before he can complete it. When Dean tells them the round is over, he has to forcibly get Bonfim to release the choke and send him to his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
It is more leg kicks from both men to get the second round started, with the occasional inaccurate surge from Williams buzzing past his opponent. Bonfim is able to successfully circle out of harm’s way, with Williams unable to cut him off and just chasing him hurling punches. Bonfim stays on his bike with stabbing jabs, and he chops at the front leg when not jabbing. The approach might not be mind-blowing but it is effective, as he occasionally follows a jab with a good overhand right. Bonfim checks a kick and the two crash together to bang their heads together, but they appear no worse for wear from it. The calf kicks from the Brazilian are starting to get Williams’ attention, who is swinging wider and appearing to flag seven minutes in. Bonfim checks another kick or two, jabs and slips away from the big Williams blows. Bonfim splits the guard with a front kick and keeps putting the pain behind low kicks. A left hook plants behind the ear of “Khaos the Ox Fighter,” who shakes it off and gets back to trading at a range he does prefer. Williams swings wildly with too much arc, while Bonfim is much straighter, allowing him to hit first and last while chewing Williams up with his kicks. Williams staggers away after taking unchecked low kicks, and he comes up hitting air when bearing down on the Brazilian. Bonfim stabs out a jab and parries a few punches, and he shoots for a takedown as soon as Williams gains as modicum of momentum.
Bonfim lands in full mount but is bounced out of it, and he turns to his knees and wraps up a brabo choke. Williams turns to his side to ride out the choke and possibly survive to the next round, but the submission is lethally tight. Williams goes out, his eyes eerily open wide and his mouthpiece nearly coughed out as he stares lifelessly into the void.
Dean recognizes that Williams has been ushered off to dreamland and waves the fight off, with Bonfim successfully becoming the first fighter to finish the dangerous “Khaos.”

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Kalinn Williams R2 4:58 via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is more well-rounded with clean boxing and good BJJ. He expects Bonfim to use a wrestle-heavy game plan but acknowledges Khaos Williams has solid takedown defense and power. He thinks the -200 odds are wide and that Bonfim could gas, but overall Bonfim has more tools.

"Gabriel's going to be the pick here because he's more well-rounded he has more tools in the bag and he can make this fight Go in different directions"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady picks Bonfim, noting he has more ways to win: striking power and a grappling path. Williams is hitable (42% striking defense) and has poor grappling defense. Bonfim showed improved cardio in his last fight. However, he hesitates to lay -210 odds due to Williams' power.

"I just think bonfim has way more ways to win and I think he's the better fighter so give me Gabriel bonf I'll take him to win by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Gabriel Bonfim

Bonfim is the better striker and overall mixed martial artist. As long as he stays conscious, he should outpoint Khaos Williams and win on the scorecards. The fight likely goes past the 1.5 round mark.

over 1.5 rounds
"I do believe Bonfim is the better striker and better overall mixed martial artist as long as he can stay conscious in this matchup he should be able to touch up Khaos Williams and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams as an underdog over Gabriel Bonfim. He doubts Bonfim's ability to immediately take Williams down and submit him, noting Bonfim's close decision with Ange Loosa and loss to Nicolas Dalby. He believes Williams has the power to knock out Bonfim and has a solid resume despite inactivity.

underdog pick
"I'm gonna go chaos Williams as an underdog here I think he's going to Chin Gabriel Bon ferm"
KO (punch) R1 1:30 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 1 12 of 20 60% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Carlston Harris 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 1 12 of 20 60% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Carlston Harris 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 12 of 20 60% 5 of 9 2 of 4 5 of 7 11 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Carlston Harris 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 1 of 2 3 of 3 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 12 of 20 60% 5 of 9 2 of 4 5 of 7 11 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Carlston Harris 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 1 of 2 3 of 3 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kalinn Williams vs. Carlston Harris
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-130), Harris (+110)

Round 1
Coming into the co-main event, two welterweights with the ability to procure especially violent and fascinating finishes will clash. Williams (14-3, 5-2 UFC) prefers to smash people in the face, while Harris (19-5, 4-1 UFC) can hit hard and is not afraid to go for a neck. Referee Dan Miragliotta may be needed when it’s all said and done. The two men tap their gloves together before the melee ensues, and Williams moves right to the center of the cage. Harris slaps out a low kick, and he leans to the side to evade a front kick aimed at his face. They both jab at one another, with Williams going to the body. Williams aims a body shot and follows with a right hand over the top. Harris stays on the outside with rangy punches to the head and midsection. They trade low kicks, and Harris prods out with a jab. Harris comes up short with a pair of overhand rights, and a third partially lands.
Williams absorbs a clubbing right hand behind the ear when jabbing to the body, and he ducks down and unleashes a devastating right that completely demolishes “Mocambique.” Harris hits the ground on his side in a heap, totally wrecked, and Williams leaps down to finish the job with one unnecessary diving right hand.
When Miragliotta gets between them, he walks off pounding his chest to celebrate a crushing knockout, having flattened a dangerous adversary in about 90 seconds.

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Carlston Harris R1 1:30 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams due to his power, durability, and takedown defense, but he is not fully confident because Williams looked flat in his last fight with no head movement. Carlston Harris is well-rounded with slick grappling and power. Angelo trusts Williams' takedown defense over Harris's 29% takedown accuracy, but hopes Williams shows improvement.

"chaos Williams is going to be the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Cody believes Williams has evolved from a pure power puncher to a more well-rounded fighter who uses inside kicks to set up his right hand. He notes Williams has 80% takedown defense and hasn't been taken down since Michel Pereira. Cody argues Harris's striking is limited and his cardio is suspect; if Harris doesn't get a quick submission, Williams will outwork him on the feet. He also highlights Williams's training camp at Michigan with top welterweights.

"I'll take that slight Edge on chaos Williams."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Williams has improved his takedown defense and gas tank, and is a crisper striker. Harris relies on clinching and BJJ but will struggle to get the fight to the ground against Williams' physicality. Expects Williams to land the more effective damage and win a decision.

"I don't mind him around that minus 120 line in this fight so give me Williams and Williams by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Paul leans on Harris's grappling advantage, noting that if Harris can get the fight to the mat, he should have a significant edge. He questions whether Khaos Williams has been tested against someone with Harris's jiu-jitsu pedigree. Paul expects a striker vs. grappler dynamic and favors the grappler.

"I'll lean on the grappling here because I don't know if chaos Williams has really been tested against somebody with this pedigree of jiujitsu."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

The MMA Guru picks Carlston Harris to win by submission (rear-naked choke) in rounds one or two over Khaos Williams. He believes Harris will grapple heavily and that Williams' takedown defense is not bad but Harris is more likely to shoot offensively. He notes Williams' inactivity and real estate business as potential distractions, and trusts Harris' grappling pedigree.

submission
"I'm going to go re naked choke or some kind of submission for carlston Harris in rounds one or two"
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 130 of 283 45% 131 of 284 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:13
Rolando Bedoya 0 149 of 209 71% 150 of 210 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 44 of 88 50% 45 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Rolando Bedoya 0 44 of 56 78% 45 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Khaos Williams 0 39 of 90 43% 39 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Rolando Bedoya 0 40 of 60 66% 40 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Khaos Williams 0 47 of 105 44% 47 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Rolando Bedoya 0 65 of 93 69% 65 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 130 of 283 45% 68 of 205 29 of 38 33 of 40 126 of 276 4 of 7 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 149 of 209 71% 103 of 150 15 of 17 31 of 42 136 of 196 13 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 44 of 88 50% 21 of 59 15 of 19 8 of 10 42 of 84 2 of 4 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 44 of 56 78% 26 of 34 9 of 10 9 of 12 37 of 49 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Khaos Williams 39 of 90 43% 17 of 60 8 of 13 14 of 17 37 of 87 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 40 of 60 66% 25 of 38 3 of 4 12 of 18 37 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Khaos Williams 47 of 105 44% 30 of 86 6 of 6 11 of 13 47 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 65 of 93 69% 52 of 78 3 of 3 10 of 12 62 of 90 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rolando Bedoya vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-305), Bedoya (+255)

Round 1
Carrying on the prelims is a welterweight clash when power puncher Williams (13-3, 4-2 UFC) introduces Peruvian newcomer Bedoya (14-1, 0-0 UFC) to the promotion. Fists are sure to fly soon, and referee Keith Peterson is right on top of the nonsense-free action when it begins. Before the looming slugfest, they tap their gloves together. Bedoya starts off with a leg kick, and Williams marches him down and slugs him in the face. Bedoya wobbles back, keeping his head on a swivel, and he appears no worse for wear after the charging salvo. Williams continues plodding forward, stringing punches together, and Bedoya skirts on the outside to protect his mug from the brunt of the damage. Williams shows no fear and throws caution to the wind, catching Bedoya but not hurting him, and the two wind up in the clinch. Bedoya sneaks up a few knees before breaking off, and he flashes out a jab when Williams comes at him. Bedoya pushes out a front kick and a one-two, and Williams no-sells it and throws a straight right hand down the pipe. Bedoya attacks the body with a kick, and he loads up with a few punches to the midsection. Bedoya grins and circles away, smacking the lead leg with a kick but getting belted in the face with a right hand from “Khaos.” Bedoya hammers the breadbasket with a few knees, and Williams gets one off on the break. Williams whiffs with a right hand, and he counters with a left over the guard. Williams intercepts his foe with a short right hand, and Bedoya flashes a big grin after taking it flush. “The Ox Fighter” goes for a kick to the body, and he strings several punches into a body kick as Bedoya grimaces. Bedoya fires back, and Williams grabs hold of his foe to conclude the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The second round kicks off with a body kick from the Peruvian fighter, and brimming with confidence, he throws one low. Williams counters with a calf kick, and he slides back from a windmilling right hand that zooms past his face. “Khaos” digs in another low kick, and he catches a front kick to land his shin on the inside. Williams cracks the chin with a few punches, and Bedoya smiles at him and shakes it off, only to absorb a chopping low kick at the end of a combination. Bedoya lets go with a leg kick, and he counters a kick with a right hand around the guard. Williams surges forward with three punches, making the Peruvian smile. They trade leg kicks, and Bedoya gets in a right hand and a front kick. Williams ignores it and comes out firing, and Bedoya catches him with another right on the chin. After a brief clinch, Williams splits it up with a sharp uppercut, and Bedoya answers with a leg kick that makes Williams frown. Williams scores two punches coming forward, and Bedoya shakes them off and starts showboating and taunting his foe. Williams does not bite, instead loading up with two leg kicks, and Bedoya makes a matador motion. Williams clubs his man with a looping left and a hard right leg kick, and Bedoya replies with a knee up the middle. The Peruvian fighter kicks low and then high, surprising “Khaos” with his shin to the chin. Williams tanks it without flinching, and he springs into action with a few punches and a body kick. Williams splits the guard with a pair of punches, and Bedoya answers with a leg kick that irritates Williams. To respond to that, the American pops him with a few punches, and both men tag the other in a fierce exchange. The two welterweights clash legs together with one final kick, and the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 3
There is a final clap of hands to open up the last round, and they begin trading shortly thereafter. Williams smacks his shin on the inside of the leg, and he counters Bedoya’s kick with two punches down Broadway. This leads to a clinch, and they break away and sting one another with power shots. Williams lets fly four punches and a leg kick, and Bedoya replies with a few leg kicks to draw a reaction. Williams is intercepted when lunging, and he takes an elbow that stuns him. Bedoya decides to throw leather, and Williams obliges him and does not throw as many kicks. Bedoya flicks out a few jabs and shells up when Williams swings back at him with a vengeance. Bedoya slips back when tossing out a low kick, and Williams stands right in front of him and strikes. Williams absorbs a flush leg kick that makes him stumble, and his plant leg is compromised and he cannot throw quite as hard as before. Bedoya jabs and sticks a leg kick, and Williams replies in kind. They both push off with lefts, and Bedoya pops his man with a one-two. Williams gets clinched and breaks away with a vertical elbow, and he loops a right hand that smashes square into the newcomer’s chin. Bedoya’s beard is made of tougher stuff, as he does not appear fazed and instead goes right back to chopping at Williams’ leg. Bedoya throws, and Williams replies. Bedoya doubles up on a few jabs, and Williams hurts him with a leg kick. The two rock one another with right hands, and they gather their bearings and hear the final horn blare. This one could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Rolando Bedoya via Split Decision (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams confidently, citing his insane power and durability. He notes that Rolando Bedoya is hittable, as seen in his fight against Pablo de Horta where he was consistently landed on. Angelo believes if Khaos lands with even 10% of the accuracy Pablo did, he will win by knockout. However, he acknowledges that if Bedoya's chin holds up, his volume could win a decision. Angelo plans to wait for round props before betting.

waiting for round props
"chaos is going to be the pick here he's as I mentioned the at least for now the biggest favorite on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Williams, calling it a terrible matchup for Bedoya. He notes Bedoya has awful striking defense, walking forward with his hands low, and Williams has elite power. He believes Williams will knock Bedoya out within the first two minutes, as Bedoya's style of eating punches won't work against a power puncher like Williams.

First round knockout prediction
"I think chaos Williams starches bedoya within the first two minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Cody is very confident in Williams, describing Bedoya as a 'dead man walking.' He notes Bedoya's competition in Peru is weak, his striking is wild and technical, and he has no wrestling to avoid Williams' power. Williams has improved significantly, training with top guys, and has knockout power in both hands. He expects an early KO.

Williams inside the distance; Williams round 1
"I would think Roland bedoya is a Dead Man Walking On The Green Mile"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Connor agrees, noting Williams has power and a blitzing style that will work against Bedoya's poor defense. He mentions Williams is durable and has been in scrappy fights. Bedoya is fun but too reckless, and Williams should win.

Bedoya opened +231, now +264; Williams opened -280, now -313.
"Yeah, I mean, I think the prevailing feeling about this matchup should be, why is it happening?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The host picks Khaos Williams by knockout in the second round. He believes Williams' higher level experience and bigger knockout power will be decisive in a wild exchange. He notes there is value on Bedoya but prefers the more battle-tested fighter. He also recommends the fight doesn't go to decision.

Fight doesn't go to decision, Williams by knockout round 2
"give me chaos Williams by knockout probably in the second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Paul agrees, saying the obvious play is Williams inside the distance. He notes Williams has 'death touch' and is overdue for a knockout. He expects Williams to come out aggressive and finish early.

Williams inside the distance
"the obvious play is chaos Williams inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The Guru picks Williams, calling Bedoya's debut a terrible matchup. He notes Williams' reach advantage and power, and that Bedoya has been off for over a year. He expects Williams to land a first-round KO, as Bedoya will have octagon jitters on a PPV card.

first round KO
"I think it's a recipe for a first round KO for chaos Williams here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Zane picks Williams because of his massive power and blitzing style, which should overwhelm Bedoya's poor defense. He notes Bedoya is fun but messy, and Williams is durable and can force his fight. Bedoya is likely to get sucked into Williams' brawl and won't make him do something else.

Bedoya opened +231, now +264; Williams opened -280, now -313.
"I don't see Bedoya making him do something else. Everybody should be picking Williams until proved otherwise."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 93 of 177 52% 103 of 188 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Khaos Williams 1 75 of 224 33% 96 of 246 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Khaos Williams 0 21 of 58 36% 28 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
2 Randy Brown 0 34 of 69 49% 41 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Khaos Williams 0 25 of 80 31% 34 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
3 Randy Brown 0 41 of 72 56% 43 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Khaos Williams 1 29 of 86 33% 34 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 93 of 177 52% 68 of 144 15 of 22 10 of 11 74 of 156 19 of 21 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 75 of 224 33% 26 of 159 16 of 21 33 of 44 68 of 207 4 of 10 3 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 18 of 36 50% 12 of 26 5 of 8 1 of 2 14 of 31 4 of 5 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 21 of 58 36% 8 of 39 6 of 6 7 of 13 16 of 50 3 of 4 2 of 4
2 Randy Brown 34 of 69 49% 26 of 57 4 of 8 4 of 4 32 of 67 2 of 2 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 25 of 80 31% 7 of 55 6 of 11 12 of 14 24 of 74 1 of 6 0 of 0
3 Randy Brown 41 of 72 56% 30 of 61 6 of 6 5 of 5 28 of 58 13 of 14 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 29 of 86 33% 11 of 65 4 of 4 14 of 17 28 of 83 0 of 0 1 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Randy Brown vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-120), Brown (+100)

Round 1
Two welterweights on the quest to shed the “action fighter” label and move up to contendership will throw down in this important 170-pound matchup that serves as the new main card opener. Both Brown (14-4, 8-4 UFC) and Williams (13-2, 4-1 UFC) are known for their devastating knockouts, even if Williams has the higher knockout rate at just 54% -- whether their reputations precede them, or lasting images like Brown pounding out Bryan Barberena or Williams obliterating Alex Morono or Abdul Razak Alhassan make people remember their power. Hope to not get knocked out will be referee Jason Herzog, who will however be ready to jump in at a moment’s notice should the right strike land. The gloves are touched, and they both throw quick strikes early. Williams goes low with a kick, and he charges in with swiping right hands. Brown hops back and out of the way, and sneaks in a short left hand counter on the way back and out. Williams sits down on a thudding body kick, and he swings wildly as Brown stays elusive while trying not to get tagged with the overwhelming power punches coming his way. Brown reaches out with long jabs, and he relies on his footwork to keep him safe as Williams is not shying away from power. Brown goes high with a kick, and Williams brushes it aside and swings a right hand that makes him slip. “Khaos” gathers himself and presses forward to tie Brown up, and Brown knees him in the chest and scores a straight left hand on the break. Williams unloads with a serious combination that rocks Brown, and Brown dives into a desperation takedown that inadvertently gives up his neck. Williams latches on to a brabo choke while Brown is leaned over on his knees, and he bails on it before gassing his arms as it does not appear tight. Brown just slides back when a looping right hand comes at him, and he slips when tossing out a kick. Brown springs back up and ducks as Williams loads up, and he leaps in the air with a knee. Trying to channel his inner Fedor Emelianenko, Williams attempts to intercept Brown mid-air with a right hand, but it does not quite land flush. Brown lands, and they trade with quick punches until Williams pushes in for a clinch. Brown snags hold of a guillotine choke with his back to the wall, and he introduces his knee to Williams’ jaw. Brown re-pursues the guillotine, and Williams punches the body a few times until Brown jumps for the choke with one second left. The fight does not hit the mat before the horn sounds, and Brown releases the grip instantly.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The strikers touch gloves to start off the second frame, and Brown unleashes a right hand over the top that shakes Williams up. “Khaos” shakes it off and absorbs a heavy body kick, which lets Brown get comfortable and start dancing. Brown doubles up his jab, catching Williams on the way in and surprising him once more with his strikes. The jabs from Brown continue to pop Williams in the chops, disrupting him momentarily until Williams sits down on an uppercut. Brown leaps forward with a right hand, and he slides and ducks the punches and mocks Williams for his inaccuracy. When Williams kicks at his lead leg, “Rude Boy” checks it and keeps marching forward. He checks a few more, and walks Williams down without exposing himself to anything dangerous. Brown lowers his hands and flashes the jab a few times, and Brown gets a little overconfident and gets cracked. Williams snipes him with a right hand as he blitzes forward, and he bullies the Jamaican all the way to the wall. They separate, and Brown tosses a high kick over the top that skims off Williams’ head. Brown continues to pepper his man with jabs, and he checks the kicks and loads up on a standing elbow that just misses. Williams keeps missing as Brown is dodging and weaving his strikes, and he ducks into an uppercut but does not appear remotely concerned. They both duck down towards one another, and they clash chests as Williams presses him to the wire. Brown ties up a guillotine choke when they are clinched, but he bails on it as Williams continues to hold and grind him. Williams separates with a left hand on the jaw, and he wings a left to the body that comes up short. Brown paws out jabs and keeps his man frustrated, and he just misses a spinning kick. They trade leg kicks, and Williams checks it and points to his own shin confidently. Brown slides a punch and clips Williams with a right hand, and Williams falls forward to clinch. The welterweights hang tight in the clinch until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brown

Round 3
Gloves get touched to lead off the last round, and Brown returns to feeding Williams a steady diet of jabs. Brown sneaks up a head kick quickly, and he hops back when Williams tries and fails to counter him with power strikes. They toss half-hearted leg kicks at one another, and Brown keeps his jab going the whole time. Williams surges forward to throw hands, and Brown leans and shoulder rolls before sliding forward to counter. A right hand from Brown knocks Williams back, and Brown does not take advantage of it to any notable degree. Brown continues to jab, and he splits the guard with a front kick as Williams appears frustrated that he is so inaccurate tonight. Brown again slaps the ball of his foot into Williams’ face, and he ducks back as Williams charges. A short right hand from “Khaos” suddenly blasts Brown on the chin, knocking him down to the mat in a shock. Williams goes after him, lowering himself to the guard, but unable to keep him there. When upright, Brown stings Williams, and they are both rocked. They swing wildly, and “Rude Boy” nails Williams with a rude knee right on the button. Williams wobbles but he won’t fall down, and Brown throws so hard that he actually falls over. Williams follows him over to try to take him down, and Brown defends with his back to the wall and lands a number of illegal elbows to the back of the head despite being warned twice. Williams gets some space and unloads with a clean right hand, and Brown is not fazed as he powers forward. A telegraphed takedown attempt from Brown comes, and Williams stops him but gets pushed up to the wall, where Brown knees him a few times up the middle. Williams leaps forward with a superman punch, and Brown signals that it just missed. The fight ends after a fierce exchange, and they stand before one another after it sounds to talk out what just happened. This will likely be a hotly debated decision, depending on how it turns out, as both men have a case for winning their 15-minute entanglement.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brown (29-28 Brown)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brown (29-28 Brown)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brown (29-28 Brown)

The Official Result
Randy Brown def. Kalinn Williams via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams due to his power and durability, despite acknowledging that Randy Brown is the more technical striker with better grappling. He notes that two of Brown's three UFC losses are by knockout and that Williams has the takedown defense to keep it standing.

"chaos is the pick here because of how dangerous he is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams to win by second-round knockout. He believes Williams has the power, volume, and durability advantage. Brown is the more skilled striker and grappler, but he has been finished in three of his four losses, including two by knockout. Williams has never been finished and hits hard. Brady thinks Brown will get hit a lot and eventually get knocked out. He expects a war and favors the fighter with more power and durability.

second round knockout
"I like williams here I feel like brown can most definitely be the minute winner here I feel like brown against a better striker but I just feel like williams knocks this guy out"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody leans towards Randy Brown, calling it a dogger pass situation. He is encouraged by Brown's recent performances, especially his use of length and range. Cody notes that Brown's losses are to high-level guys and that he seems to be turning a corner. He contrasts Williams' power but stalled progression, and believes Brown's volume and reach will be key. Cody acknowledges it's a close matchup but favors Brown.

"i do see myself leaning towards randy brown i've been uh i've been really encouraged with what you see out of him lately"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown confidently, calling it his first bet of the night at 1.5 units at +115. He believes Brown's volume, movement, and length will be key, and that Brown is in his prime with experience against top competition. He respects Khaos Williams' power but thinks Brown can outwork him over three rounds. He notes that Brown's last performances show he has turned a corner.

Daniel bets 1.5 units on Randy Brown moneyline at +115. No other props mentioned.
"I took the plus 115 odds on Brown. It's more of a bet on Brown than it is a fade on chaos because I respect chaos."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Randy Brown

The host picks Randy Brown, believing he is the better striker with superior movement, leg kicks, and output. He expects Brown to keep Khaos Williams at range and avoid his power shots. He notes Brown's Muay Thai clinch and jiu-jitsu are also advantages. He thinks Williams will get frustrated and rely on power, but Brown's discipline and cardio will carry him to a decision win. He disagrees with Williams being the favorite.

"give me rude boy brandy brown"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Randy Brown as an underdog at +100. He notes that Brown has been improving, using his length and range effectively with a good jab and low kick. Paul believes Brown's chin held up well against Jared Gooden and that he is more well-rounded. He thinks if the fight becomes a volume affair, Brown edges it out, and Brown's grappling could be an advantage. Paul is confident in Brown's path to victory.

"plus 100 on the underdog randy ruboy brown is where i would be putting my money on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams, despite acknowledging Brown is more technical. He believes Williams' power and leg kicks will be decisive, and that Brown's chin is suspect, having been KO'd before. He predicts Williams will chop at the legs early and land a big KO in the second round, possibly when Brown is ahead on the scorecards. He notes Williams is young and improving.

"chaos williams by kayla is what we're gonna go with he's not good uh he's not technical"
WIN vs Miguel Baeza
TKO (punches) R3 1:02 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 31 of 56 55% 32 of 57 0 of 2 0% 5 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 1 49 of 131 37% 60 of 145 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 0 of 2 0% 5 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 0 16 of 32 50% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
2 Khaos Williams 0 23 of 40 57% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 0 26 of 77 33% 26 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
3 Khaos Williams 0 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 1 7 of 22 31% 7 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 31 of 56 55% 13 of 35 1 of 4 17 of 17 31 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 49 of 131 37% 23 of 94 6 of 7 20 of 30 36 of 113 2 of 4 11 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 16 of 32 50% 10 of 23 0 of 1 6 of 8 7 of 18 1 of 3 8 of 11
2 Khaos Williams 23 of 40 57% 9 of 24 0 of 2 14 of 14 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 26 of 77 33% 8 of 52 6 of 6 12 of 19 25 of 76 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Khaos Williams 4 of 9 44% 1 of 5 0 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 7 of 22 31% 5 of 19 0 of 0 2 of 3 4 of 19 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Miguel Baeza vs. Kalinn Williams

Round 1
Hang on tight, welterweight flamethrowers are on deck. Baeza (10-1, 3-1 UFC) will be looking to bounce back from the first defeat in his career against “Khaos” Williams (12-2, 3-1 UFC). Both men are known for their knockout power while neither has ever been knocked out, so something may have to give. Referee Chris Tognoni is lacing his running shoes as we speak, and he steels himself as they touch gloves before throwing down. Williams is the first to give pressure, and he comes forward while Baeza is circling all the way around the cage for a full revolution. Williams looks to slow him with a leg kick, but Baeza is out of harm’s way as he continues to circle. Williams loads up on a power punch, only to hit air. Baeza charges in, and when Williams is there to load up and crack him, Baeza zips away. Williams attempts to cut Baeza off, but he resorts to simply stalking his man down. Williams scores with a calf kick, and Baeza does not answer or do anything but retreat as he takes another kick to the same spot. Williams plods forward, and he walks face-first into a left and a right hook that snap Williams’ head back. Williams cracks Baeza, Baeza cracks him back, and they are throwing bombs suddenly and their eyes are wide open. They both back off and return to the predator-prey relationship of Williams giving chase, until Baeza turns it around on him with a left hand and a loud kick to the body. A body kick from Baeza makes him fall over, and Williams pounces on top and starts delivering ground-and-pound. “Caramel Thunder” dives for a heel hook, and he transitions the submission to a kneebar as Baeza tries to scramble and buck. Williams finds a way to land a big punch from on top, and Baeza keeps pursuing the foot lock. Williams sits up and falls into an inverted heel hook position, and he does not seem concerned as he aims punches to break the grip. Baeza rolls over as he torques the leg, and Williams sits up to land bombs that are doing damage and making Baeza turn away. Williams pounds away until the bell, and does not flinch when standing back up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Baeza
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The welterweights touch gloves before coming out swinging, and like the last round, Williams assumes control of the driver’s seat as he advances without fear. Williams aims a half-hearted kick to the knee, and Baeza replies with one much harder. Williams does not let him get away with it, with a few more kicks on the inside of his foe’s leg. They both trade calf kicks, and Williams looks for a one-two when they settle. Baeza responds in kind, and he quickly flips his front foot up to smack Williams in the face. The impact from “Caramel Thunder” is not the same as Marlon Vera against Frankie Edgar lats week, as Williams eats it like candy and continues moving forward. One low kick from Williams goes south of the border, and Baeza thinks about fighting through it but Tognoni gives him time to recover both mentally and physically. About 45 seconds elapse before Baeza is ready to go back, and they start swinging for the fences. A pair of punches get Williams’ attention, and he slams his shin into Baeza’s leg. Baeza goes after the same strike, and they step back to measure one another as the damage from these strikes registers. Baeza connects with a clean head kick and one to the knee, and Williams’ knee may be compromised as he takes a funny step and switches stances after it. Baeza continues to target the same spot, and Williams aims to pay him back but Baeza’s are more accurate and appear to be more powerful. Baeza sits down on a body kick, and they crash together to throw hands. Baeza wobbles from a left hand but he comes right forward to engage, while Williams ducks back to kick at him. When Baeza scores a thudding calf kick, Williams attacks with a trio of punches that fluster Baeza. They both swing for the fences, and Williams grabs hold of him and pushes him into the wall. Williams comes up with a knee to the body, but it does not hit the body, and instead smashes square into Baeza’s cup. Baeza falls to his knees and cries out in pain, and Tognoni tells him to take all the time he needs. Tognoni then goes over to Williams and gives him his final warning, telling him that even though it was accidental, he has landed two fouls – some may call for a point deduction as it was the second groin shot, but Tognoni lets it remain as a warning. Baeza is clearly compromised, and he works his way back up to his feet. After 100 seconds, he is good to go again. Williams comes out with a big right hand that rings Baeza’s bell, and after a tense exchange, the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baeza
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Baeza
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baeza

Round 3
The two 170ers touch ‘em up to open the last round, and Baeza just misses with a front kick to start off. When that whiffs, he kicks low, and Williams may be damaged on his front wheel but he is not showing it. They clash together and Williams swings for the bleachers, but Baeza wears them well and comes back at him. “Khaos the Oxfighter” misses with a spinning kick, and he follows the momentum with another kick. Baeza backpedals, chops at the calf, and then targets a second one to the same spot.
At that exact moment, Williams bites down on his mouthpiece and throws three vicious hooks. The third one, a right hand right on the button, smashes into the side of Baeza’s jaw and sends him crashing down to the canvas. Williams leaps down to finish the job, and as he is battering his fallen foe with ground-and-pound, Tognoni jumps in to pull him off as he calls the fight.
After regaining his faculties, Baeza appears to complain, but he is wobbly on his feet when he does manage to get back up. Williams is now the first man to finish “Caramel Thunder” as a pro, doing so after absorbing some serious punishment to that point.

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Miguel Baeza R3 1:02 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo slightly leans toward Khaos Williams due to his knockout power, but is worried about Baeza's potential grappling. He notes that Williams has no wrestling data in the UFC, making his takedown defense an unknown. Angelo thinks the odds should be flipped and that Williams has the power and speed advantage.

"i am very slightly leaning towards chaos because of the knockout potential but i am worried about that pick because i think baeza may look to grapple"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Big Brady picks Miguel Baeza but is hesitant, acknowledging Khaos Williams' power and better chin. He notes Baeza has been hurt in previous fights and questions his chin. However, Brady sees a path for Baeza using his BJJ black belt to exploit Williams' poor takedown defense, mixing in takedowns to win a decision.

Baeza by decision
"i'm going to take miguel baeza here by decision actually"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Cody believes Baeza will improve after his first loss and has a good game plan: low calf kicks and footwork. He notes Khaos Williams is stationary and heavy on his lead foot, making him vulnerable to leg kicks. He expects Baeza to win by decision or late TKO.

"i feel like miguel beza coming off his first career loss will reassess things better version of himself"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Daniel Levi picks Khaos Williams as the underdog, arguing that Williams has the power advantage and can capitalize on Baeza's tendency to get hit (5 strikes absorbed per minute). He notes that both fighters are hittable but gives Williams the edge in power and believes he can land a fight-changing shot. Levi acknowledges Baeza's calf kicks and black belt but thinks Williams's physicality and pressure will be the difference.

underdog pick
"give me the underdog to get it done"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Jacob picks Miguel Baeza, believing he is the cleaner striker and will counter Williams' loaded punches. He notes that Baeza has grappling as a backup and is a jiu-jitsu black belt. Jacob thinks Williams will chase a knockout and get countered, and he loves Baeza in this matchup.

"i absolutely love miguel baeza and i hope this is a war i hope he doesn't grapple but i feel like he's going to go to the grappling and give chaos some issues"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Paul thinks Baeza is a clean striker with volume, but worries about his chin being checked. He notes that Khaos Williams has knockout power but hasn't shown it recently. He leans Baeza but has low confidence.

"i think the volume will will lean towards we'll lean towards beza here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2021 (fight day)
Miguel Baeza

The Guru picks Miguel Baeza by third-round submission (D'Arce choke). He expects Williams to have early success with power shots, but Baeza's calf kicks and body work will wear Williams down. In the third round, Baeza will sprawl on a takedown and secure the choke.

submission in round 3 via D'Arce choke
"i'm gonna go miguel bazer i'm gonna go with miguel bazer by third round darsh choke finish"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 91 of 260 35% 114 of 286 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:53
Matthew Semelsberger 0 64 of 141 45% 68 of 146 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 26 of 83 31% 44 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
Matthew Semelsberger 0 18 of 32 56% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Khaos Williams 0 29 of 80 36% 34 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Matthew Semelsberger 0 23 of 41 56% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Khaos Williams 0 36 of 97 37% 36 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Matthew Semelsberger 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 91 of 260 35% 44 of 195 18 of 31 29 of 34 87 of 254 4 of 6 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 64 of 141 45% 42 of 116 9 of 11 13 of 14 62 of 137 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 26 of 83 31% 12 of 63 3 of 7 11 of 13 25 of 80 1 of 3 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 18 of 32 56% 11 of 25 4 of 4 3 of 3 18 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Khaos Williams 29 of 80 36% 13 of 59 5 of 8 11 of 13 26 of 77 3 of 3 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 23 of 41 56% 15 of 32 2 of 2 6 of 7 21 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Khaos Williams 36 of 97 37% 19 of 73 10 of 16 7 of 8 36 of 97 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 23 of 68 33% 16 of 59 3 of 5 4 of 4 23 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kalinn Williams vs. Matthew Semelsberger

Round 1
This welterweight battle may be a case of knock out or be knocked out, when Williams (11-2, 2-1 UFC) comes to blows with Semelsberger (8-2, 2-0 UFC). Hanging on tight is referee Herb Dean, who will need to stay light on his feet to keep up as there is an intense touch of gloves between the two. Williams flings a few kicks, and Semelsberger looks for a right hand counter. He tries another when Williams looses a naked kick, and Williams suddenly unloads with a surge of punches. Semelsberger keeps his wits about him, but Williams catches him with a right hand and makes Semelsberger’s knees wilt a little against the fence. Semelsberger tries to fire back, but Williams ignores the strikes and bloodies up the nose of “Semi the Jedi.” Williams presses his man into the fence, where he starts feeding Semelsberger a steady diet of knees. Williams pounds away at his foe’s side, and on the break, he gets off a fast right hand. Three punches connect from Williams, and he gets clipped with a right hand counter that surprises Williams. “Khaos” lands a few low kicks, and he throws inaccurate punches that Semelsberger parries without concern. Another calf kick makes Semelsberger lift his leg up, and Williams swarms him with a barrage only to get sniped with a right hand over the top. Semelsberger puts his foot on the gas with a few more punches, but Williams stops him from this by stringing together a powerful salvo of strikes. A one-two from Semelsberger is well short of the mark, and when he connects with a leg kick, Williams charges to throw hands. Williams backs off to land leg kicks on each side, and Semelsberger chains a jab into an uppercut that snaps Williams’ head back. Williams swings and misses with bombs, and a naked leg kick gets countered by a fierce right hand. Williams swipes with left hands and jabs, and he works the lead leg with a kick. Right before time expires, Williams charges with reckless abandon, but little of note scores before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
Williams starts up right where he left off, putting punches together in a lengthy combination that Semelsberger can do nothing but defend. When he gets a turn, Semelsberger scores a few punches, but Williams’ strikes seem far more impactful. Williams gets off a head kick that is easily blocked, and when he reaches with a low kick, a one-two from Semelsberger stings Williams. Semelsberger is ready with an overhand right to ring Williams’ bell when Williams stands still after throwing a kick. Semelsberger walks forward and blasts Williams in the face with a huge right hand, but Williams barely even registers as he comes right back with a combination of punches. Williams powers forward to push Semelsberger into the wire, and he lands a right hand right at the break. Williams paws out a few jabs and deflects a flying knee, and he lunges out with a front kick and a single punch. Williams stumbles as he backs away from a few strikes, but he gets up without concern. Semelsberger jabs the body and gets his nose clocked again with a sharp left hook. Semelsberger chips at the lead leg, and Williams blitzes him with several punches to force Semelsberger to be defensive. Four consecutive jabs from Williams disrupt Semelsberger’s forward movement, but “Semi the Jedi” forces a head kick that rings right off the side of Williams’ head. Both welterweights start brawling, and when Semelsberger lands, Williams waves him on. Semelsberger does not fall for the trap, so Williams kicks his lead leg. Williams throws a wild flurry of punches that are windmilling and nowhere near the mark, but he does manage to close the distance to aim more strikes. Williams lands a few on the inside, but when they separate, Semelsberger clatters a right hand off of Williams’ dome. Williams surges ahead with punches to the head and body, sprinting forward to land them. Semelsberger stays calm, protects himself, and lands a kick right as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 3
The welterweights touch ‘em up to commence the final frame, and Williams is right there after to paw out several jabs and a head kick. Both trade single strikes, and they come together to throw leather but Williams comes out the better. Williams rushes forward with a right hand, and he gets stung with a countershot but Semelsberger is unable to follow it up. Williams pushes the pace, backing Semelsberger up to the fence, but not clinching with him. Semelsberger steps into an elbow, and a counter right hand finds its mark. The two stand in the center of the cage and trade blows, with neither showing any ill effects, until they back off and land solid kicks one after the other. Williams sees a punch coming, slips it and makes Semelsberger pay with an overhand right. A head kick from Williams turns into another high kick and a spinning back kick, but Semelsberger is a foot away from harm. Williams gathers himself, slips a strike and charges with a trio of punches. One lands, and he backs off to get his legs kicked hard. They stand and bang, and every time they do this, Williams chains higher volume together to get the upper hand. Semelsberger has a head kick slap off the guard, but a follow-up uppercut splits the guard and shakes Williams up. “Khaos” embraces the chaos and throws back with bad intentions, with a few punches, a body kick and a spinning back kick. Semelsberger takes them without issue and both men sling leather. Semelsberger starts marking Williams’ leg up with kicks, and Williams’ movement is a little hampered. Williams may not have quite the pop on his punches, but he is throwing so hard he nearly falls over. Williams and Semelsberger trade hands, and Semelsberger backs away to give him one spinning back kick back to him. Semelsberger throws a pair of punches, and Williams points to the ground to embody Max Holloway and incite a brawl. Semelsberger brushes off his chest, and the two start throwing everything they have left into their punches. Both men nail each other with these hilarious haymakers, and both laugh them off and continue to load up. As Williams pushes forward in this exchange, the strikers tie up on the cage until the final horn ends this entertaining slugfest.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Semelsberger (29-28 Williams)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams (30-27 Williams)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams (30-27 Williams)

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Matthew Semelsberger via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams, citing his power and knockout ability. He notes that Semelsberger has been knocked out before and that Khaos has fought higher quality opponents. He disagrees with Jacob's pick of Semelsberger, arguing that Semelsberger's forward pressure may walk him into a power shot. Angelo also mentions he is waiting for better odds on a Khaos Williams knockout prop.

wins by knockout (waiting for better odds, currently +125 not enough)
"I have chaos winning this fight... chaos got power and matt semelsberger has been knocked out before."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady favors Williams due to higher level of competition (fought Alex Morono, Abdul Razak Alhassan) and durability (never finished). He notes Semelsberger has been knocked out by an 0-1 fighter and has two losses by finish. He predicts a first-round knockout by Williams.

win by KO in round 1
"Give me chaos williams I'm gonna take him to win I'm going to say first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Cody picks Semelsberger as a live underdog, citing his better output, size, and wrestling. He notes Williams' power but questions his overall game and cardio. Cody suggests Semelsberger could win if he survives the first round and pressures Williams.

"i need a second underdog i think i'm going to go to semel's burger but i could easily get knocked out in the first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Khaos Williams

Daniel Levi picks Khaos Williams, disagreeing with the notion that he is a first-round-or-bust fighter. He points to Williams' decision win over Jeremy Holloway and competitive fight against Michel Pereira as evidence he can go three rounds. He thinks Williams can match Semelsberger in power and physicality, but has more experience. He expects a win by knockout or decision.

"i'm saying chaos williams either by knockout or by decision uh chaos is my pick"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Jacob picks Matthew Semelsberger, emphasizing his volume and kicks to neutralize Khaos Williams' power. He believes Semelsberger can overwhelm Khaos with pressure and leg kicks. Jacob also thinks this could be fight of the night and likes the over on strikes for Semelsberger.

over on strikes for Semelsberger (monkey knife fight)
"I like matthew with this volume i like him to be able to use his kicks early to kind of take that power away from chaos."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

The host picks Matthew Semelsberger, citing his good combinations, leg kicks, and ability to stick and move. He notes Semelsberger's takedown threat and that Khaos Williams loads up on shots, making him telegraph. He believes Semelsberger can avoid Williams' power and win by decision, though he acknowledges Williams' knockout power is a threat. He mentions Semelsberger has been finished before but thinks improvements will keep him safe.

Semelsberger by decision at +320 mentioned
"i'm going to pick someone's burger here i think that he's able to stick and move"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Paul picks Williams, citing his knockout power and fast hands. He notes Semelsberger's questionable chin and believes Williams will land a clean shot. Paul acknowledges Semelsberger's path to victory but thinks Williams' power is the difference.

"chaos williams you're just dealing with a lot of pressure"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams to win by unanimous decision (30-27, with one judge possibly giving Semelsberger a round). He expects a cautious fight with both men respecting each other's power. He predicts Williams will chop at the legs early and land more shots over three rounds, while Semelsberger goes for the head. He thinks it will be a chess match and Williams will be the better man in the third round.

"i'm gonna go with chaos williams and i think i'm gonna go with him by decision... 30-27 unanimous decision"
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is more well-rounded with clean boxing and good BJJ. He expects Bonfim to use a wrestle-heavy game plan but acknowledges Khaos Williams has solid takedown defense and power. He thinks the -200 odds are wide and that Bonfim could gas, but overall Bonfim has more tools.

"Gabriel's going to be the pick here because he's more well-rounded he has more tools in the bag and he can make this fight Go in different directions"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady picks Bonfim, noting he has more ways to win: striking power and a grappling path. Williams is hitable (42% striking defense) and has poor grappling defense. Bonfim showed improved cardio in his last fight. However, he hesitates to lay -210 odds due to Williams' power.

"I just think bonfim has way more ways to win and I think he's the better fighter so give me Gabriel bonf I'll take him to win by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Gabriel Bonfim

Bonfim is the better striker and overall mixed martial artist. As long as he stays conscious, he should outpoint Khaos Williams and win on the scorecards. The fight likely goes past the 1.5 round mark.

over 1.5 rounds
"I do believe Bonfim is the better striker and better overall mixed martial artist as long as he can stay conscious in this matchup he should be able to touch up Khaos Williams and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams as an underdog over Gabriel Bonfim. He doubts Bonfim's ability to immediately take Williams down and submit him, noting Bonfim's close decision with Ange Loosa and loss to Nicolas Dalby. He believes Williams has the power to knock out Bonfim and has a solid resume despite inactivity.

underdog pick
"I'm gonna go chaos Williams as an underdog here I think he's going to Chin Gabriel Bon ferm"