UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown Next Fight
Age 36
Height 5' 1"
Reach 60.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 26
Height 5' 2"
Reach 63.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Tecia Pennington
4.73 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.48 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
0.56 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
62.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Denise Gomes
4.43 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.16 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.45 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Tecia Pennington - Fight History
LOSS vs Denise Gomes
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tecia Pennington 0 58 of 125 46% 73 of 144 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
Denise Gomes 0 53 of 138 38% 75 of 169 3 of 10 30% 0 1 3:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tecia Pennington 0 22 of 51 43% 34 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Denise Gomes 0 25 of 61 40% 26 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:10
2 Tecia Pennington 0 27 of 56 48% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 0 19 of 54 35% 22 of 58 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Tecia Pennington 0 9 of 18 50% 10 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Denise Gomes 0 9 of 23 39% 27 of 49 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tecia Pennington 58 of 125 46% 15 of 56 9 of 19 34 of 50 58 of 118 0 of 7 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 53 of 138 38% 19 of 86 15 of 29 19 of 23 48 of 129 2 of 5 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tecia Pennington 22 of 51 43% 7 of 21 4 of 12 11 of 18 22 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 25 of 61 40% 11 of 37 6 of 14 8 of 10 24 of 58 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Tecia Pennington 27 of 56 48% 6 of 27 4 of 5 17 of 24 27 of 52 0 of 4 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 19 of 54 35% 5 of 34 5 of 9 9 of 11 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Tecia Pennington 9 of 18 50% 2 of 8 1 of 2 6 of 8 9 of 16 0 of 2 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 9 of 23 39% 3 of 15 4 of 6 2 of 2 5 of 17 1 of 2 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Angelo is confident in Tecia Pennington as an underdog, calling her the best underdog on the card. He highlights her speed, durability, well-roundedness, and high fight IQ. He disagrees with the nearly 2-to-1 odds favoring Denise Gomes, arguing that Tecia is the more technical and experienced fighter. He plans to hammer a plus 3.5 bet on Tecia.

Tecia Pennington plus 3.5 rounds (spread bet)
"Anytime I see Tecia as a dog, I drool a little bit. ... I'm going to hammer a plus three and a half bet on Tecia Torres."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Big Brady favors Gomes due to her youth, power, and grappling upside, though he thinks the line might be a bit wide. He acknowledges Pennington is still fighting at a high level, citing her close decision against champion Mackenzie Dern. He expects a competitive fight that goes to a close decision, with Gomes landing the bigger shots and getting her hand raised.

decision
"I think Gomes lands the bigger shots, has the bigger moments, and gets her hand raised on the scorecards."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Cody picks Pennington as a dog, citing her experience and ability to outwork opponents. He thinks Gomes' wrestling is not good enough to keep Pennington down, and Pennington can win a close decision.

"I am going to take Tisha, man."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Lucrative James leans towards Denise Gomes, citing her youth, power, and physicality. He acknowledges Tecia Pennington's experience and volume but believes Gomes' finishing upside and strength will be decisive. He is not confident due to Pennington's high level and the price, but picks Gomes for the win.

"I have to pick Gomez. I don't know. Like, I feel like she's going to be like minus 250, - 300, maybe - 220. And it just doesn't intrigue me at those prices."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The host is a bit unsure but leans toward Gomes due to her power, expecting her to land more significant strikes. Pennington may have volume and takedown attempts, but Gomes should nullify most of that and win on the scorecards.

"This one has me a little bit scratching my head, but I think that the power of Gomez should allow her to land more significant strikes against Pennington."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Paul picks Pennington, expecting a razor-thin split decision. He notes Pennington's takedown defense and striking volume, and thinks Gomes' wrestling is overrated.

"Tisha Pennington by split decision razor thin."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The Guru picks Denise Gomes over Tecia Pennington. He believes Gomes will win via big moments and knockdowns, even if Pennington outlands her. He cites Pennington's tendency to lose close decisions due to lack of power, and Gomes's youth and size advantage. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gomes.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to go with Denise Gomez getting this one done. Big moments."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tecia Pennington 0 63 of 127 49% 78 of 149 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:44
Luana Pinheiro 0 40 of 110 36% 46 of 118 5 of 10 50% 0 0 1:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tecia Pennington 0 26 of 61 42% 30 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luana Pinheiro 0 16 of 51 31% 19 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Tecia Pennington 0 18 of 38 47% 21 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
Luana Pinheiro 0 20 of 39 51% 20 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Tecia Pennington 0 19 of 28 67% 27 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Luana Pinheiro 0 4 of 20 20% 7 of 24 5 of 6 83% 0 0 1:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tecia Pennington 63 of 127 49% 34 of 82 10 of 17 19 of 28 56 of 109 7 of 18 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 40 of 110 36% 23 of 85 5 of 9 12 of 16 33 of 95 7 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tecia Pennington 26 of 61 42% 18 of 42 2 of 6 6 of 13 21 of 51 5 of 10 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 16 of 51 31% 11 of 44 3 of 4 2 of 3 11 of 43 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Tecia Pennington 18 of 38 47% 8 of 25 2 of 5 8 of 8 17 of 35 1 of 3 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 20 of 39 51% 11 of 26 2 of 5 7 of 8 18 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Tecia Pennington 19 of 28 67% 8 of 15 6 of 6 5 of 7 18 of 23 1 of 5 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 4 of 20 20% 1 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 5 4 of 17 0 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Angelo picks Tecia Pennington, stating she should win all day long. He notes that Pennington is good everywhere, with good boxing, solid grappling, and insane cardio. He acknowledges that the line at -400 is a little sketchy but believes she wins more often than not. He suggests the over might be more affordable and advises keeping an eye on the over line.

Angelo suggests the over might be more affordable than Pennington's moneyline and advises keeping an eye on the over line.
"This should be Tisha all day long. The line reflects that at four to one favorite here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Big Brady picks Tecia Pennington, noting that Luana Pinheiro fades after the 7.5-minute mark. He argues Pennington's losses are to elite fighters in close decisions, and a loss to Pinheiro would be her worst ever. He expects Pennington to win by decision.

Pennington by decision
"I got to go Pennington. You know, she's not somebody you typically want to lay minus 350 on, but I will pick her to win. And I'll pick her to win by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Luana Pinheiro

The host is surprised Pennington is such a big favorite, believing Pinheiro matches her in physicality and may be the better striker in terms of landing significant damage. He sees Pinheiro as very live to pull off the upset and picks her to win by decision. However, the pick is not made with high confidence, as he acknowledges the line is surprising.

Pinheiro by decision
"I'm going to start with her to pull off the upset to to begin the card by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The Guru picks Tecia Pennington, calling her underrated and strong for the division. He believes she scrambles well and won't be outgrappled by Luana Pinheiro. He notes Pennington was robbed in past decisions against Mackenzie Dern and Tabatha Ricci, and thinks she is better overall. He predicts a 29-28 decision win.

Pennington to land more than 64.5 significant strikes (via Prize Picks)
"I think this is a pretty easy Tisha Pennington decision win."
WIN vs Carla Esparza
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Oct 05, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tecia Pennington 0 39 of 123 31% 116 of 215 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:40
Carla Esparza 0 80 of 150 53% 94 of 166 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tecia Pennington 0 6 of 26 23% 77 of 105 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:52
Carla Esparza 0 13 of 38 34% 19 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tecia Pennington 0 12 of 43 27% 17 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:29
Carla Esparza 0 31 of 55 56% 32 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tecia Pennington 0 21 of 54 38% 22 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Carla Esparza 0 36 of 57 63% 43 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tecia Pennington 39 of 123 31% 30 of 112 4 of 6 5 of 5 33 of 110 0 of 3 6 of 10
Carla Esparza 80 of 150 53% 28 of 92 11 of 12 41 of 46 75 of 142 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tecia Pennington 6 of 26 23% 4 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 24 0 of 2 0 of 0
Carla Esparza 13 of 38 34% 8 of 32 3 of 3 2 of 3 10 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Tecia Pennington 12 of 43 27% 6 of 35 2 of 4 4 of 4 12 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
Carla Esparza 31 of 55 56% 14 of 37 5 of 5 12 of 13 31 of 54 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Tecia Pennington 21 of 54 38% 20 of 53 0 of 0 1 of 1 15 of 44 0 of 0 6 of 10
Carla Esparza 36 of 57 63% 6 of 23 3 of 4 27 of 30 34 of 54 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Angelo picks Tecia Pennington, citing her recent good form, cardio, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Carla Esparza is coming off a two-year layoff and may be rusty. He believes Pennington's pressure and volume will overwhelm Esparza as the fight goes on, especially at elevation where Pennington lives. He also suggests over 2.5 rounds as a safe bet.

Over 2.5 rounds is the safest bet on the card
"Tisha is the pick she's going to be the pick here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Big Brady picks Tecia Pennington despite considering Esparza as a live dog. He cites major red flags for Esparza: a two-year layoff, a recent loss to Zhang Weili, this being her retirement fight, and having a child. He believes Pennington is the better striker and can stuff takedowns, and expects her to win a decision.

"I got to go Pennington here I'm I'm going to take Pennington to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carla Esparza

Cody picks Esparza as a dog, citing her wrestling and takedown ability. He questions Pennington's takedown defense and thinks Esparza can control the fight on the ground. He expects a decision win for Esparza.

"I will take Carlos sparza"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Carla Esparza

Connor picks Esparza despite her long layoff and recent poor performances. He argues that Esparza's wrestling is likely to give her early success, and Pennington struggles to press her striking advantage. He notes that Pennington is a young veteran who never turned into a veteran veteran, and Esparza is tough to beat.

"I'm going to go with Carla Esparza too. I know it's her retirement fight, but she's really, really tough to beat."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Daniel Vreeland picks Tecia Pennington, citing her volume striking and Esparza's potential decline. He notes that Esparza is coming off a pregnancy and has announced this as her retirement fight, which often leads to poor performances. Vreeland believes if Pennington can stuff takedowns, her volume will be too much for Esparza, and he expects a decision win.

"I'mma go with uh Tia Tores here to come out here and win a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The host believes Tecia Pennington has improved significantly since her loss to Carla Esparza nearly 10 years ago. He notes that both women are now mothers, but Pennington has less ring rust as she fought earlier this year. He expects Pennington to have a better overall game and win on the scorecards with a damage-based approach.

"I believe Pennington is very much improved since that matchup and given that both these women are now moms most recently Carla sparza I do believe that will see Pennington a little bit better in terms of being in the …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carla Esparza

Paul leans toward Esparza, noting her wrestling and the value at plus 150. He thinks Pennington's takedown defense is suspect and that Esparza can grind out a decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"it's a total dog or pass situation for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The MMA Guru initially leans toward Carla Esparza but switches to Tecia Pennington after visualizing the matchup. He notes Pennington is faster, more explosive, and has better wrestling and scrambles. He also mentions Pennington's recent split decision with Tabatha Ricci and win over Angela Hill, while Esparza's speed is lacking. He expresses regret and uncertainty, calling it a tough pick.

"I'm going to go with Tisha Pennington here over Carla espara you guys God I might regret that but I'll go with that"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Carla Esparza

Zane also picks Esparza, though he admits he came into the discussion feeling down on her. He notes that Esparza's wrestling should give her an early round, and Pennington's inability to press her striking advantage makes it likely Esparza wins a decision. He acknowledges the retirement factor but thinks Esparza's scrappiness will carry her.

"I guess Esparza because she's probably going to win around."
LOSS vs Tabatha Ricci
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 54 of 143 37% 94 of 186 1 of 10 10% 0 0 5:15
Tecia Pennington 0 80 of 219 36% 92 of 231 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 25 of 76 32% 26 of 77 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:07
Tecia Pennington 0 42 of 107 39% 47 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 10 of 27 37% 32 of 50 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:01
Tecia Pennington 0 15 of 47 31% 21 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tabatha Ricci 0 19 of 40 47% 36 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:07
Tecia Pennington 0 23 of 65 35% 24 of 66 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 54 of 143 37% 32 of 105 9 of 19 13 of 19 48 of 135 6 of 8 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 80 of 219 36% 64 of 194 6 of 14 10 of 11 70 of 193 10 of 26 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 25 of 76 32% 12 of 52 5 of 11 8 of 13 23 of 72 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 42 of 107 39% 32 of 93 4 of 8 6 of 6 36 of 94 6 of 13 0 of 0
2 Tabatha Ricci 10 of 27 37% 7 of 22 1 of 2 2 of 3 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 15 of 47 31% 11 of 41 0 of 1 4 of 5 13 of 39 2 of 8 0 of 0
3 Tabatha Ricci 19 of 40 47% 13 of 31 3 of 6 3 of 3 15 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 23 of 65 35% 21 of 60 2 of 5 0 of 0 21 of 60 2 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo picks Tabatha Ricci because he doubts Tecia Pennington will be the same fighter after having a baby and a two-year layoff. He notes Ricci's relentless takedowns and top pressure, and that she has beaten good grapplers. He acknowledges Pennington's well-rounded skills but thinks the layoff and motherhood are too big a question mark.

"I got to go with thei here she's a very tiny slight favorite"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Big Brady picks Tecia Pennington (Torres) for the upset, despite acknowledging red flags like her two-year layoff after having a baby. He believes Torres has the better striking and volume, and that even if Ricci takes her down, Torres has a good get-up game and is physically strong. He notes Ricci's path to victory is getting takedowns, but she failed to do so in losses to Fiorot and Lupi. He expects the fight to primarily take place standing, favoring Torres.

"I like Torres to win um there's a ton of red flags on her side I'm fully aware of that um but as far as a pick goes because I got to make a pick I'm taking Torres for the …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Cody picks Pennington but is leaning, not confident. He notes that Pennington (formerly Torres) has a history of high volume and has fought the best, but she is coming off a layoff and a loss. He thinks her volume and takedown defense will be key, and she can outwork Ricci on the feet. However, he acknowledges it's a coin flip and wishes for better plus money.

"I wish I had better plus money on TSH t i really wish I do but slight plus money I think it's plus 110"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Daniel Vreeland picks Tabatha Ricci, but hesitantly. He notes that Tecia Pennington is the better fighter on her best day, but she is coming off a pregnancy, which often leads to a drop in performance. He also questions Ricci's level but thinks the pregnancy factor gives Ricci the edge. He acknowledges it could go either way.

"I'm G pick Tabitha because she's not the one coming off a baby she is the one with a little momentum but it would not surprise me if Tisha won this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The host picks Pennington due to her takedown defense and striking speed, which should keep the fight upright and cause Ricci problems. He notes the long layoff after childbirth as a concern but thinks the stylistic matchup favors her. He would only bet if the line moves to +150, indicating a lean rather than a confident play.

Would only bet if line reaches +150 range
"I'm going to go with Pennington here Pennington by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Paul picks Pennington, citing her volume and experience. He notes that Ricci's striking is stiff and she relies on takedowns, but Pennington has good takedown defense. Paul thinks Pennington can outwork Ricci in a competitive decision. However, he is not confident and calls it a coin flip.

"Pennington will be the pick but it's a coin flip bro"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The MMA Guru picks Tecia Pennington (formerly Torres) as an underdog over Tabatha Ricci. He criticizes Ricci's standup as 'atrocious' and notes that Ricci only wins when she gets takedowns, which Pennington's wrestling background should prevent. He highlights Pennington's ability to avoid being held down and her superior striking, predicting a clear decision win.

"I'm going Tisha Pennington here as the underdog... 90% of people are picking Tabitha Rich here I think her stand Up's atrocious."
LOSS vs Mackenzie Dern
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mackenzie Dern 0 50 of 156 32% 58 of 164 0 of 5 0% 3 0 2:24
Tecia Pennington 0 76 of 124 61% 78 of 126 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mackenzie Dern 0 28 of 80 35% 28 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Tecia Pennington 0 35 of 62 56% 37 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:43
2 Mackenzie Dern 0 2 of 13 15% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 3 0 2:07
Tecia Pennington 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:06
3 Mackenzie Dern 0 20 of 63 31% 22 of 65 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Tecia Pennington 0 39 of 57 68% 39 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mackenzie Dern 50 of 156 32% 42 of 147 6 of 7 2 of 2 46 of 152 3 of 3 1 of 1
Tecia Pennington 76 of 124 61% 19 of 61 25 of 30 32 of 33 75 of 122 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mackenzie Dern 28 of 80 35% 24 of 76 2 of 2 2 of 2 26 of 78 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 35 of 62 56% 6 of 31 15 of 17 14 of 14 35 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mackenzie Dern 2 of 13 15% 2 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
Tecia Pennington 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mackenzie Dern 20 of 63 31% 16 of 58 4 of 5 0 of 0 19 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 39 of 57 68% 12 of 27 10 of 12 17 of 18 38 of 55 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2022 (10 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Angelo confidently picks Tecia Torres (Pennington). He criticizes Dern's poor takedown accuracy (10%) and overconfidence in striking. He believes Torres' volume, boxing, and cardio will keep the fight standing, and even if it goes to the ground, Torres can avoid submissions. He plans to bet on Torres.

Moneyline bet on Tecia Torres.
"i like tisha torres to win i'm going to put a bet on t-shirt tours i'm very confident in tisha's ability to just have a ton of volume keep it on her feet and even if it does go to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Big Brady picks Tecia Torres to win by decision. He sees the fight as a coin flip: if Dern gets it to the mat, she submits Torres; if Torres stuffs takedowns, she outstrikes Dern. Torres has better striking and has been focusing on strength and conditioning. Dern has poor takedown accuracy (10%). Brady has zero confidence and won't bet it.

"i'll take torres um zero confidence in it i'm not gonna be betting it"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Cody leans Torres but is not fully confident. He acknowledges Dern's submission threat but thinks Torres' speed and volume will be key. Cody notes Dern's takedown struggles and that Torres has been taken down before, but believes the big cage favors Torres. He considers Dern by submission at +250 as a possible path but thinks Torres wins by decision more often.

Dern by submission +250
"i think more often than not teacher taurus wins by decision which is at giraffe king sportsbook right now tours by decision plus 130"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Levi acknowledges Tecia Torres's volume and striking advantage, but believes Dern's elite jiu-jitsu is a step above the competition. He thinks Dern will eventually get a hold of Torres and take the fight to the mat, possibly finishing by submission. He is not betting this fight because Torres could avoid takedowns and win a decision, but he picks Dern.

Dern by submission (plus 250, mentioned as a possible prop)
"i just think that mckenzie durn is a step above the competition in that weight class at in grappling"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

I think Torres is the better fighter with superior speed, combinations, and takedown defense. Dern has poor takedown accuracy (3 of 28 in UFC) and Torres will keep the fight standing. Torres will get in and out with strikes and win a decision. I also like Torres by TKO at +600 as a sprinkle.

Torres by TKO +600 (sprinkle)
"I am going to go with the Tisha Torres side here I think she's the better fighter I think she'll be quicker on the feet better with the combinations... I'll take her to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Paul likes Torres at even money, citing her far better striking, speed, and experience. He notes Dern's takedowns are a mess and that Torres has only lost to the best in the division. Paul thinks Torres boxes Dern up, staying in and out, and that Dern's only path is a submission, which is unlikely. He expects Torres to win by decision, which is plus money.

Torres by decision +130
"i like torrez at those odds for sure far more experienced far better striker"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The MMA Guru picks Tecia Torres (Tecia Pennington) as an underdog, citing her wrestling and speed. He expects her to stuff takedowns and piece up Dern on the feet, leading to a corner stoppage in the second round. He notes Dern's poor striking and only recently starting hard sparring.

underdog pick, corner stoppage prediction in round 2
"i'm gonna go if tcha torres over mackenzie dern... she's a evens odds against her... i gotta go underdog here with tisha torres"
WIN vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · Aug 07, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tecia Pennington 0 144 of 298 48% 166 of 322 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:16
Angela Hill 0 96 of 188 51% 99 of 191 2 of 7 28% 0 0 1:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tecia Pennington 0 43 of 94 45% 51 of 102 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Angela Hill 0 25 of 56 44% 25 of 56 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:57
2 Tecia Pennington 0 51 of 99 51% 55 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Angela Hill 0 30 of 64 46% 31 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
3 Tecia Pennington 0 50 of 105 47% 60 of 116 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:14
Angela Hill 0 41 of 68 60% 43 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tecia Pennington 144 of 298 48% 80 of 217 41 of 52 23 of 29 127 of 274 16 of 22 1 of 2
Angela Hill 96 of 188 51% 64 of 141 29 of 41 3 of 6 73 of 160 22 of 26 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tecia Pennington 43 of 94 45% 20 of 63 18 of 22 5 of 9 40 of 90 3 of 4 0 of 0
Angela Hill 25 of 56 44% 17 of 44 8 of 10 0 of 2 20 of 50 5 of 5 0 of 1
2 Tecia Pennington 51 of 99 51% 29 of 73 13 of 17 9 of 9 43 of 89 8 of 9 0 of 1
Angela Hill 30 of 64 46% 16 of 43 12 of 18 2 of 3 24 of 54 5 of 9 1 of 1
3 Tecia Pennington 50 of 105 47% 31 of 81 10 of 13 9 of 11 44 of 95 5 of 9 1 of 1
Angela Hill 41 of 68 60% 31 of 54 9 of 13 1 of 1 29 of 56 12 of 12 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2021 (fight day)
Tecia Pennington

Angelo is very confident in Torres, citing her high volume, good grappling, and that she has only lost to champions. He notes that Hill has improved but still struggled against Ashley Yoder, while Torres is a much higher level. He mentions he bet Torres at -132 and expects her to win a decision, possibly mixing in grappling as she did in the first fight.

Bet Torres moneyline at -132
"Tasha Torres is legit... I think Tasha Torres has very good volume coming forward, super busy, this is a rematch she won it the first time... I just don't see her losing this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Big Brady thinks this rematch will look similar to the first fight, with Torres mixing in takedowns and controlling Hill on the ground. He notes Hill's takedown defense has improved but she was still taken down by Ashley Yoder. He predicts Torres will win a decision by using takedowns and clinch control.

"I'll take Tisha Torres to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Cody picks Torres, arguing she has looked like a different fighter in her last two outings with increased confidence and output. He believes Torres has the wrestling advantage and will mix in takedowns to secure a close decision. He notes Angela Hill is a tough gatekeeper but lacks power and strength.

Torres by decision +100
"i think tisha torres goes out there and gets the job done guess the victory i again it's going to be close i wouldn't fault you if you went for the underdog of this one but i think she's got …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Daniel Levi picks Tecia Pennington via decision, citing her better mindset, skill set, and ability to win rounds. He criticizes Angela Hill for not accepting responsibility for her losses and for accusing Pennington of steroid use without evidence. He believes Pennington is more realistic and has a win over Hill already. He expects a close fight but favors Pennington's consistency and judge-friendly style.

"I'm gonna go with Tecia via decision here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Hill has polished her game and should have better striking and movement. Torres will likely grapple, but Hill has improved takedown defense and should get back to her feet. The fight will likely be close and go to decision, but Hill is the underdog and has a good chance. However, trusting Texas judges is risky, so it's a pass for betting.

Hill by decision +180; over 2.5 rounds
"I like angela hill here um but again pass guys just just [ __ ] pass on this [ __ ] show."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Paul leans towards Torres, noting her recent confidence and improved output. He thinks Torres is the better athlete and has a more well-rounded game, but acknowledges the fight is close and could go either way. He mentions the over is heavily juiced and expects a decision.

Torres by decision +100
"i'll lean towards torres what about you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The MMA Guru picks Tecia Torres over Angela Hill. He notes Torres' improved striking, especially her kicks, and her dominant win over Sam Hughes. He believes Torres' speed and output will outwork Hill, who is older (36). He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision for Torres.

"i'm gonna go with teisha torres here i actually really like tisha torres"
WIN vs Sam Hughes
TKO (doctor stoppage) R1 5:00 · UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · Dec 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tecia Pennington 0 52 of 103 50% 52 of 103 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Sam Hughes 0 20 of 53 37% 26 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tecia Pennington 0 52 of 103 50% 52 of 103 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Sam Hughes 0 20 of 53 37% 26 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tecia Pennington 52 of 103 50% 27 of 71 13 of 17 12 of 15 50 of 101 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 20 of 53 37% 9 of 33 2 of 3 9 of 17 19 of 52 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tecia Pennington 52 of 103 50% 27 of 71 13 of 17 12 of 15 50 of 101 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 20 of 53 37% 9 of 33 2 of 3 9 of 17 19 of 52 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Big Brady picks Tecia Torres (Pennington) to win by decision. He cites her massive speed and volume advantage, and notes that Hughes is a big step up in competition. He mentions Torres' recent win over Brianna Van Buren and her losses to top competition.

"i'm going to take torres to win here by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Daniel expects Tecia to roll, citing her recent impressive performance against Van Buren and her wins over top competition. He thinks Sam Hughes is taking a massive step up and will lose a decision.

decision loss for Hughes
"tisha should roll here i mean she looked she looked really good her last fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)

The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill, despite her two recent losses (which he believes were actually wins). He cites Hill's reach advantage, natural size, and hunger to bounce back. He expects a close split decision. He acknowledges Tecia Torres is good but leans toward Hill.

split decision
"i'm gonna go with angela hill getting the job done by a close close i'd say split decision"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Jun 20, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tecia Pennington 0 74 of 160 46% 111 of 199 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:09
Brianna Fortino 0 34 of 68 50% 37 of 71 2 of 7 28% 0 0 4:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tecia Pennington 0 12 of 29 41% 36 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:01
Brianna Fortino 0 9 of 11 81% 10 of 12 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:28
2 Tecia Pennington 0 28 of 65 43% 30 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Brianna Fortino 0 11 of 27 40% 12 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:34
3 Tecia Pennington 0 34 of 66 51% 45 of 77 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Brianna Fortino 0 14 of 30 46% 15 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tecia Pennington 74 of 160 46% 42 of 127 21 of 22 11 of 11 55 of 136 17 of 21 2 of 3
Brianna Fortino 34 of 68 50% 9 of 40 21 of 22 4 of 6 18 of 51 16 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tecia Pennington 12 of 29 41% 6 of 23 5 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 20 7 of 9 0 of 0
Brianna Fortino 9 of 11 81% 1 of 3 8 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 3 7 of 8 0 of 0
2 Tecia Pennington 28 of 65 43% 17 of 54 7 of 7 4 of 4 24 of 59 4 of 6 0 of 0
Brianna Fortino 11 of 27 40% 3 of 16 6 of 7 2 of 4 7 of 23 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Tecia Pennington 34 of 66 51% 19 of 50 9 of 10 6 of 6 26 of 57 6 of 6 2 of 3
Brianna Fortino 14 of 30 46% 5 of 21 7 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 25 5 of 5 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Brianna Fortino

Big Brady picks Brianna Fortino (Van Buren) despite Tecia Pennington's superior competition, believing Fortino is better on the feet and can get takedowns. He thinks Fortino will land more strikes and win a decision. He notes that Pennington hasn't won in five fights and that Fortino's takedown ability will be key.

odds: Fortino minus 190, Pennington plus 165; pick by decision
"I'm gonna go Van Buren here closed decision you know maybe unanimous"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Brianna Fortino

Daniel Levi picks Brianna Van Buren, calling her a future top-10 fighter. He highlights her relentless pressure, wrestling, and ability to exploit Tecia Torres' weaknesses: poor takedown defense and declining confidence. Levi believes Van Buren will dominate with takedowns and ground control, leading to a clear decision or late finish.

"I like Brianna Van Buren here. I think that she does make a statement and defeats Tecia Torres, Shaq."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 14, 2020 (6 days before fight)

Torres has lost four in a row but to top competition. She is strong, athletic, and has great grappling. Van Buren is being pushed but Torres has the experience edge. Torres will get the win, though it's a hesitant pick.

"I think I'm gonna go with tecia Torres I don't know why I'm doing this but I am doing it"
Denise Gomes - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tecia Pennington 0 58 of 125 46% 73 of 144 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
Denise Gomes 0 53 of 138 38% 75 of 169 3 of 10 30% 0 1 3:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tecia Pennington 0 22 of 51 43% 34 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Denise Gomes 0 25 of 61 40% 26 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:10
2 Tecia Pennington 0 27 of 56 48% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 0 19 of 54 35% 22 of 58 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Tecia Pennington 0 9 of 18 50% 10 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Denise Gomes 0 9 of 23 39% 27 of 49 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tecia Pennington 58 of 125 46% 15 of 56 9 of 19 34 of 50 58 of 118 0 of 7 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 53 of 138 38% 19 of 86 15 of 29 19 of 23 48 of 129 2 of 5 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tecia Pennington 22 of 51 43% 7 of 21 4 of 12 11 of 18 22 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 25 of 61 40% 11 of 37 6 of 14 8 of 10 24 of 58 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Tecia Pennington 27 of 56 48% 6 of 27 4 of 5 17 of 24 27 of 52 0 of 4 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 19 of 54 35% 5 of 34 5 of 9 9 of 11 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Tecia Pennington 9 of 18 50% 2 of 8 1 of 2 6 of 8 9 of 16 0 of 2 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 9 of 23 39% 3 of 15 4 of 6 2 of 2 5 of 17 1 of 2 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Angelo is confident in Tecia Pennington as an underdog, calling her the best underdog on the card. He highlights her speed, durability, well-roundedness, and high fight IQ. He disagrees with the nearly 2-to-1 odds favoring Denise Gomes, arguing that Tecia is the more technical and experienced fighter. He plans to hammer a plus 3.5 bet on Tecia.

Tecia Pennington plus 3.5 rounds (spread bet)
"Anytime I see Tecia as a dog, I drool a little bit. ... I'm going to hammer a plus three and a half bet on Tecia Torres."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Big Brady favors Gomes due to her youth, power, and grappling upside, though he thinks the line might be a bit wide. He acknowledges Pennington is still fighting at a high level, citing her close decision against champion Mackenzie Dern. He expects a competitive fight that goes to a close decision, with Gomes landing the bigger shots and getting her hand raised.

decision
"I think Gomes lands the bigger shots, has the bigger moments, and gets her hand raised on the scorecards."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Cody picks Pennington as a dog, citing her experience and ability to outwork opponents. He thinks Gomes' wrestling is not good enough to keep Pennington down, and Pennington can win a close decision.

"I am going to take Tisha, man."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Lucrative James leans towards Denise Gomes, citing her youth, power, and physicality. He acknowledges Tecia Pennington's experience and volume but believes Gomes' finishing upside and strength will be decisive. He is not confident due to Pennington's high level and the price, but picks Gomes for the win.

"I have to pick Gomez. I don't know. Like, I feel like she's going to be like minus 250, - 300, maybe - 220. And it just doesn't intrigue me at those prices."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The host is a bit unsure but leans toward Gomes due to her power, expecting her to land more significant strikes. Pennington may have volume and takedown attempts, but Gomes should nullify most of that and win on the scorecards.

"This one has me a little bit scratching my head, but I think that the power of Gomez should allow her to land more significant strikes against Pennington."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Paul picks Pennington, expecting a razor-thin split decision. He notes Pennington's takedown defense and striking volume, and thinks Gomes' wrestling is overrated.

"Tisha Pennington by split decision razor thin."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The Guru picks Denise Gomes over Tecia Pennington. He believes Gomes will win via big moments and knockdowns, even if Pennington outlands her. He cites Pennington's tendency to lose close decisions due to lack of power, and Gomes's youth and size advantage. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gomes.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to go with Denise Gomez getting this one done. Big moments."
WIN vs Elise Reed
KO R2 0:30 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elise Reed 0 11 of 21 52% 35 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 1 28 of 42 66% 69 of 86 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elise Reed 0 9 of 17 52% 33 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 0 15 of 22 68% 55 of 63 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:05
2 Elise Reed 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denise Gomes 1 13 of 20 65% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elise Reed 11 of 21 52% 5 of 15 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 28 of 42 66% 18 of 29 5 of 8 5 of 5 11 of 20 9 of 10 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elise Reed 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 2 of 2 2 of 2 8 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 15 of 22 68% 8 of 13 5 of 7 2 of 2 7 of 14 8 of 8 0 of 0
2 Elise Reed 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 13 of 20 65% 10 of 16 0 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 6 1 of 2 8 of 12
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Angelo picks Denise Gomes, acknowledging that the odds are wide but understanding why she is the favorite. He notes that Elise Reed is a gamer and can make it competitive, but Gomes is a very good fighter who can grapple and strike. He mentions that without Jacob in Reed's corner, there is concern about her getting held against the cage. He thinks Gomes will win if she moves forward and uses pressure.

"Denise is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Big Brady picks Denise Gomes, highlighting her power and ground-and-pound. He notes Elise Reed's huge hole in her ground game, with all four losses by finish. He predicts Gomes will hurt Reed on the feet or take her down and submit her in the second round.

Gomes by submission, round 2
"I like Denise Gomes here. I think she has a path to absolutely look every every bit of minus 550 and we'll see if she takes it, but I'll go with Denise Gomes to get a second round submission in …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

The host is surprised by the wide line, noting Gomes is not a high-level grappler and doesn't often look to grapple, which has been Reed's issue. He thinks if it's a striking battle, Reed can be competitive with her taekwondo background. He leans with Gomes due to her physicality and clinch work, but says don't be surprised if Reed pulls off the upset. Official prediction is Gomes by decision.

Gomes by decision
"I'm going to lean with Gomez with her physicality and maybe some clinch work that she could grind this one out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

The Guru picks Denise Gomes confidently, calling her a -575 favorite who 'hits like a man' and has decent grappling. He thinks Elise Reed is outmatched and will be finished, predicting a TKO in the first round. He criticizes the matchmaking as a sacrificial lamb for Reed.

Gomes by TKO in round 1
"I'm going to go with Denise Gomez by KO."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 46 of 98 46% 61 of 115 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:02
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 73 of 144 50% 91 of 166 0 of 3 0% 1 0 5:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 7 of 16 43% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 22 of 36 61% 32 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:11
2 Denise Gomes 0 13 of 31 41% 21 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 23 of 45 51% 28 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:15
3 Denise Gomes 0 26 of 51 50% 29 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 28 of 63 44% 31 of 68 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 46 of 98 46% 16 of 57 19 of 24 11 of 17 39 of 89 7 of 9 0 of 0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 73 of 144 50% 30 of 85 33 of 44 10 of 15 53 of 115 20 of 28 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 7 of 16 43% 0 of 5 5 of 5 2 of 6 4 of 12 3 of 4 0 of 0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 22 of 36 61% 8 of 17 12 of 15 2 of 4 12 of 25 10 of 11 0 of 0
2 Denise Gomes 13 of 31 41% 5 of 19 4 of 6 4 of 6 12 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 23 of 45 51% 9 of 24 9 of 15 5 of 6 18 of 36 5 of 9 0 of 0
3 Denise Gomes 26 of 51 50% 11 of 33 10 of 13 5 of 5 23 of 48 3 of 3 0 of 0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 28 of 63 44% 13 of 44 12 of 14 3 of 5 23 of 54 5 of 8 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Big Brady sees Gomes as much younger, more powerful, and with grappling upside. He believes she can win on the feet or via takedowns. Despite the -500 line, he thinks Gomes gets her hand raised, likely by decision.

Gomes by decision
"give me GES here minus 500 it's absolutely ridiculous but at the end of the day I think she gets her hand raised and I think it's by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Cody disagrees with Paul, arguing that Kowalkiewicz's wrestling is not good enough to exploit Gomes' weakness. He notes that even when opponents wrestle Gomes, she still lands significant strikes. Cody believes Gomes' youth, power, and speed will overwhelm the 39-year-old Kowalkiewicz, likely by decision or knockout.

"I actually think that Denise Gomez probably knocks her out might knock her out but more than likely just wins a 29-28 fairly comfortably."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Connor picks Kowalkiewicz, assuming Gomes doesn't knock her out immediately. He thinks Kowalkiewicz's experience and grappling advantage will take over as Gomes fades. He notes the odds are too wide in favor of Gomes, who he considers not good and prone to mistakes.

Odds too wide; Gomes should not be such a heavy favorite.
"I'll take Kovalkiewicz and the assumption that Gomes doesn't knock her out immediately."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Daniel Vreeland picks Denise Gomes due to her youth, physicality, and momentum, contrasting with Karolina Kowalkiewicz's age (39) and decline. He notes Kowalkiewicz's past success but believes Gomes' power and aggressive style will be too much. However, he has zero interest in betting at -500 odds.

"I'm going with Denise, the age, the physicality, the momentum on her side, but I have zero interest in laying minus 500 on her."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Lucrative James picks Denise Gomes to win by knockout, citing her heavy power and Karolina's declining career trajectory. He believes Gomes will be too physical and that Kowalkiewicz won't be able to implement her game plan of volume and grappling. He expects a brutal knockout.

by KO
"I'm picking Denise Gomez here and I think she gets a knockout potentially a brutal knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Gomes is expected to control the striking with her power and possibly get some grappling success to win on the scorecards, similar to how Yasmin Lucindo beat Kowalkiewicz.

"look for Gomez to control the Striking round with the power that she possesses but maybe even get some grappling success of her own to get some control time and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Paul is considering the underdog Kowalkiewicz at +390, noting that Gomes has shown takedown defense issues. He thinks if Kowalkiewicz can replicate her performance against Syana Gomez Warez, she could make it competitive. Paul admits it's a sucker bet but is tempted by the price.

"Karolina plus 390 is in consideration for me this week Cody and it's gross."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The Guru picks Denise Gomes, expecting a brutal assault. He notes Kowalkiewicz's age (39) and her scared reaction when hit. He believes Gomes is a big, physical fighter for the division and will get a TKO win.

TKO win
"I'm going with Denise Gomez getting this one done over kolina kovalovich by TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Zane picks Gomes but is hesitant. He notes that Gomes has power and can knock out Kowalkiewicz early, but if she doesn't, she runs out of ideas and makes mistakes. He acknowledges Kowalkiewicz's grappling and backtake game could be a threat, but thinks Gomes' youth and power give her the edge.

"I think I'm going to pick Gomes though, still."
WIN vs Eduarda Moura
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 18 of 47 38% 27 of 66 5 of 26 19% 0 0 6:36
Eduarda Moura 0 50 of 88 56% 137 of 184 0 of 1 0% 1 2 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 4 of 11 36% 9 of 25 2 of 9 22% 0 0 3:11
Eduarda Moura 0 7 of 16 43% 32 of 47 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:48
2 Denise Gomes 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 12 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:58
Eduarda Moura 0 21 of 37 56% 69 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:20
3 Denise Gomes 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 8 12% 0 0 1:27
Eduarda Moura 0 22 of 35 62% 36 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 18 of 47 38% 12 of 40 4 of 5 2 of 2 12 of 39 5 of 6 1 of 2
Eduarda Moura 50 of 88 56% 19 of 46 22 of 30 9 of 12 31 of 60 17 of 22 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 5 3 of 4 1 of 2
Eduarda Moura 7 of 16 43% 1 of 7 5 of 7 1 of 2 3 of 9 4 of 6 0 of 1
2 Denise Gomes 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 21 of 37 56% 11 of 24 10 of 12 0 of 1 6 of 17 13 of 15 2 of 5
3 Denise Gomes 9 of 29 31% 7 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 22 of 35 62% 7 of 15 7 of 11 8 of 9 22 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Angelo picks Eduarda Moura, emphasizing her solid grappling and takedowns. He notes that she took down a national wrestling champion (Monsterrat Ruiz) three times, while Angela Hill took down Denise Gomes five times. He believes Eduarda's wrestling will be too much for Denise, who is primarily a striker. He thinks Eduarda will get takedowns and control the fight, possibly winning a decision or getting a finish.

"if Angela Hill can take down Denise Gomes five times and eduarda MOA can take down a national wrestling champion three times who wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks Eduarda Moura to win by second-round TKO. He notes that Moura is physically strong and can get the fight to the mat, where she has vicious ground and pound. He is concerned about Moura's chin being up in the air, but believes she can implement her will and finish Denise Gomes, who has shown poor takedown defense against Angela Hill and Loma Lookboonmee.

TKO round 2
"I like MAA still not 100% bought in or nothing like that but I think stylistically this is a match up where she can Implement her will get the fight down to the mat and win this fight I'll say …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Cody picks Moura, noting that Gomes is undersized and has poor takedown defense. Moura is a weight bully with strong grappling and has dominated opponents on the ground. Cody believes Moura will take Gomes down and submit or ground-and-pound her. He sees this as a clear stylistic advantage.

"I honestly think that this is like one way TR it's like the Melissa G fight from a couple weeks ago like it could go another way it could possibly turn into this but it's like you got a girl …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Daniel picks Gomes for the upset, citing a market overcorrection and her striking advantage. He notes Moura must take Gomes down to win, as Gomes has lost when taken down repeatedly. He hopes Gomes can keep the fight standing and light Moura up.

upset
"I'm going Denise here for the upset"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Jacob picks Denise Gomes, disagreeing with Angelo. He argues that Eduarda Moura is a weight bully who will gas after the first round, as seen in her previous fights. He notes that Denise is tough, has power in her hands, and will pressure Eduarda. He predicts that after Eduarda's takedowns slow down in the second round, Denise will land a right hand and finish her. He also points out that Eduarda's standup is poor with her chin up.

Denise Gomes wins by KO/TKO in round 2
"Denise is going to pressure and Denise going to pressure and eventually she GNA land that right hand because if I know anything about darar Mara and her standup game oh is that chin up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Moura is a weight bully with strong top pressure and grappling, while Gomes has been grinded out by strikers in the past. Moura's height and reach advantage will help her take the fight to the ground and eventually finish via submission or TKO. Gomes' striking advantage won't matter if she can't keep it standing.

inside the distance, submission or TKO
"give me MOA MOA inside the distance maybe submission maybe TKO but do think sh ends up getting the victory here by Finnish"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Paul agrees with Cody's reasoning but is hesitant to lay the minus 170 price in a women's strawweight fight. He acknowledges Moura's grappling advantage but notes that Gomes has knockout power. Paul thinks Moura is the play but might not bet it.

"MOA is the play but uh I don't know minus 170 uh women's straway fight I don't know if I'm going to be betting that to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

The Guru picks Moura because she is a touted undefeated prospect (10-0) with a strong grappling game, and Denise Gomes has shown weaknesses in grappling, recently losing a grappling match. He acknowledges Gomes has KO power but trusts Moura's grappling advantage to get a submission. He also notes Moura missed weight by 4 pounds, which he finds amusing.

Submission win prediction
"I'm going to side with eduarda MOA I think she'll have the grappling Advantage"
LOSS vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Angela Hill 0 76 of 120 63% 96 of 153 5 of 9 55% 0 1 8:03
Denise Gomes 0 62 of 133 46% 111 of 203 1 of 3 33% 0 1 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Angela Hill 0 16 of 26 61% 23 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:42
Denise Gomes 0 23 of 32 71% 48 of 70 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:01
2 Angela Hill 0 37 of 53 69% 42 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:23
Denise Gomes 0 33 of 71 46% 46 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Angela Hill 0 23 of 41 56% 31 of 55 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:58
Denise Gomes 0 6 of 30 20% 17 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Angela Hill 76 of 120 63% 37 of 76 37 of 42 2 of 2 40 of 68 33 of 44 3 of 8
Denise Gomes 62 of 133 46% 29 of 91 25 of 33 8 of 9 34 of 97 27 of 35 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Angela Hill 16 of 26 61% 7 of 16 9 of 10 0 of 0 5 of 9 9 of 13 2 of 4
Denise Gomes 23 of 32 71% 12 of 19 9 of 11 2 of 2 9 of 13 13 of 18 1 of 1
2 Angela Hill 37 of 53 69% 17 of 32 18 of 19 2 of 2 25 of 36 12 of 17 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 33 of 71 46% 14 of 47 13 of 17 6 of 7 21 of 58 12 of 13 0 of 0
3 Angela Hill 23 of 41 56% 13 of 28 10 of 13 0 of 0 10 of 23 12 of 14 1 of 4
Denise Gomes 6 of 30 20% 3 of 25 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 26 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Denise Gomes vs. Angela Hill
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gomes (-125), Hill (+105)

Round 1
The final women’s bout, booked at strawweight like Moura-Ruiz, features two women who comfortably made weight. Storied veteran Hill (15-13, 10-13 UFC), who looks for UFC win no. 11, faces off against a woman in Gomes (8-2, 2-1 UFC) who is almost 15 years Hill’s junior. Youth versus experience will be on full display for the next 15 minutes or less, and referee Fernando Portella will be the arbiter of this encounter. There is no plan for a glove touch, and instead Gomes would rather throw hands and feet right out of the gate. Hill checks a calf kick and her forward momentum bowls the Brazilian over. Hill lands on top, but only for a few seconds until the Parana Vale Tudo fighter powers her way back to her feet. The two clinch up, and they pepper one another in the body with knees. Hill loads up on her knees to the breadbasket, and Gomes considers hitting a trip but ends up falling to her back. Hill muscles her down to her knees when Gomes looks for a way up, and Hill works to take the back and hangs on the younger woman. Gomes grabs the glove a few times to get out of the bad position, and Hill breaks away and tags her once on the way out. The two trade hands, and Gomes succeeds in tripping Hill and dumping her on her face. They both get back up, and Hill counters her with a throw of her own. They explode upright again, and Gomes loads up on power punches that ring Hill’s bell repeatedly. Hill leans on heavily to clinch and hold onto Gomes, thereby shutting down the swinging fists that smack her in the face. Hill drives her knees in the solar plexus again and again, until Gomes has had enough of this and pushes her off. Hill resets and pushes out a front kick, and Gomes swings at air when this meets her. Gomes scores a big right hand, and Hill backs off but is snagged and throws to the mat. Gomes latches onto Hill’s left arm for an armlock of some kind, and she considers a kimura or an armbar, as she sits on top in an awkward position. Gomes drives down several hammerfists, and before she can get the armbar, Hill slides out the side. Hill, now in the driver’s seat, gets blasted with a right hand from Gomes on her back. Hill toughs it out and elbows Gomes in the face, and Gomes forces her way back up at the bell to end the close, exciting round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill

Round 2
Hill keeps her guard up high when she comes out of her corner, as Gomes whips a head kick at her to lead off the round. Gomes is intercepted when looking for a big overhand right, and Hill ties her up for a second before pushing off. Hill snipes Gomes with a solid right hand, and Gomes grins at her. Hill works her with a second overhand right, and a third before Gomes lobs another kick at her. Hill takes the strikes of the Brazilian and fires back, and she leans away from a spinning kick from Gomes. The two trade hands, and then land low kicks at the same time. Hill ducks a strike and comes over the top with a left, and she connects with two punches to follow. Gomes loads up again with power, and it hits air as Hill is too quick to eat it flush. Gomes absorbs a right hand on the chin and tags Hill with an uppercut, leading Hill to tie her up in the clinch and shove her to the wall. Hill gets off an elbow, and Gomes lowers her hands and looks for hefty counters. Hill spins with an elbow that bangs into Gomes’ chin, and Gomes goes not bat an eye and continues advancing. Hill shoots for a takedown, and Gomes defends with a standing guillotine that makes Hill think twice about the attempt. Hill sneaks in a few clinch strikes before backing off, and she watches Gomes’ winging strikes blaze past her. Hill catches a kick and deposits Gomes to the floor, but Gomes get right back up and takes a deep breath. Hill scores a few punches, and Gomes crowds her and blasts her in the face with a fierce right hand. When Hill grabs hold of her, Gomes answers with a number of vertical, hacking elbows. Gomes overswings, and Hill snags her and looks to drag her down. When Gomes keeps her balance, Hill smacks her in the face with a knee. Hill turns the corner, and Gomes succeeds in fighting off the takedown but gets kneed in the dome twice more. The round ends as the two are stuck together.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill

Round 3
As if she thought she was down on the scorecards, Gomes charges out of her corner and busts the veteran in the chops with a number of wide punches. Hill fires back, and she blunts the momentum by clinching up the younger woman and tripping her with a body lock. Gomes drops to her knees, defending the strikes from the side, and Hill hangs on from behind. Before long, Gomes works her way back to her feet with the fence at her back, and Hill drags her down again. Hill stays on the Brazilian like a bad penny, never giving Gomes a moment to breathe and not allowing her to get anything off. Hill peppers Gomes with knees to the head, side and thigh, attacking any target she can find while Gomes is stuck without answers. This grinding approach is slowing Gomes down, and a knee to the belly takes a bit more of the wind out of her sails. Gomes manages to push off and keeps throwing hands, but one left hand allows Hill to duck it and secure a single-leg takedown. When Gomes attempts to scramble, Hill is one step ahead, whether trying to take the back or working Gomes with strikes to the side of the melon. Gomes defends but is totally out of her game, and a short elbow from “Overkill” opens a cut on the side of Gomes’ eye. Hill flattens Gomes out, but Gomes explodes with 15 seconds to go and gets back up through sheer aggression. Hill tags her with a jump knee, and the close contest concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)

The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Denise Gomes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Angelo picks Denise Gomes, citing the 15-year age gap and Hill's age. He notes Hill is durable and experienced, but Gomes is tough, comes forward, and has power. He placed a small half-unit bet on Gomes at -141. He cautions that if Gomes fights recklessly and gasses, Hill could win as an underdog.

half unit bet at -141
"I have a small half a unit on her at minus 141 I think the much older Angela Hill is probably going to lose this this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Big Brady picks Angela Hill to win by decision but is hesitant. He notes Hill's experience and better competition, but worries about her age (38) and Gomes' power. He says Gomes is hittable but has real power for the division. He mentions that Hill just fought a five-round fight with Mackenzie Dern, so this is a step down in competition. He says he won't bet this fight.

"I'm going to take Angela Hill to win this fight by decision but I don't think I'm putting my money on this one here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Daniel Levi picks Denise Gomes, citing her rare one-punch knockout power in women's MMA and her aggressive style. He notes that Angela Hill, at 38, has slowed down and taken significant damage in recent fights, including a beating from Mackenzie Dern. Levi believes Gomes can hurt Hill on the feet and may even knock her out for the first time. He acknowledges Hill's experience and toughness, but sees Gomes' physicality and power as decisive factors. He is waiting for plus money on Gomes but leans toward her.

Gomes wins by KO/TKO
"I rarely ever pick Angela Hill... I'm not gonna bet on this fight unless I get plus money on Denise."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)

James sees this as a very close fight and is passing on betting. He believes Angela Hill is on a downward trajectory at 39 years old, gets hit often, and has been dropped in recent fights. He thinks Denise Gomes has power and could hurt Hill, but he is not sold on Gomes' overall game, describing her as uneducated on the feet. He notes that Hill has never been knocked out and could make it look easy if she can take Gomes' power, but he is not confident she can avoid getting clipped. He concludes it is a massive stay away.

"I think Angela Hill is clearly on a downward trajectory... but I can't do it man honestly I don't agree with it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Hill's volume striking style, speed, and footwork will allow her to stay out of danger and pick apart Gomes from distance. Gomes' wrestling is not good enough to hold Hill down for extended periods. Hill should be able to operate at distance and win a decision, making her a good underdog spot.

underdog spot
"Give me Hill and I think she's a pretty good underdog spot for this UFC São Paulo card."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Angela Hill

The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill as an underdog over Denise Gomes. He praises Hill's composure and durability, noting she is very hard to finish. He references Hill's win over Loma Lookboonmee on short notice in Australia as evidence of her toughness. The Guru believes if Gomes doesn't get an early finish, Hill will pull ahead in later rounds, predicting a close 29-28 decision. He also mentions he likes the underdog odds.

underdog odds
"I'm going to go 2928 very close decision Angela Hill gets it done and she's an underdog and I think I'm going to take those odds"
TKO (punches) R1 0:20 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yazmin Jauregui 1 17 of 20 85% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yazmin Jauregui 1 17 of 20 85% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yazmin Jauregui 17 of 20 85% 17 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yazmin Jauregui 17 of 20 85% 17 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 14
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Angelo avoids this fight entirely, calling it a trap. He acknowledges Jauregui's striking talent but notes she was dropped in her last fight. Gomes is tough and comes forward, but takes time to get going. He thinks Jauregui should win if it stays on the feet, but recommends fading the female fighter who was just rocked. He makes no pick and advises others to avoid betting.

Avoiding the fight
"I'm avoiding this fight like the plague and I recommend you do as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the much better striker, more defensively sound, and can also take the fight to the mat. He has concerns about Gomes' striking defense, as she blocks punches with her face and has been dropped multiple times. He expects a war but believes Jauregui will finish Gomes. He comments that the line at -400 is wild but thinks Jauregui is the better fighter.

second round knockout
"Yasmin jauregu wins this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody picks Jauregui, citing her volume and cardio advantage. He thinks Gomes is tough but lacks the wrestling to neutralize Jauregui's pressure. He expects Jauregui to pull away on the scorecards. He notes Gomes is live at plus money but doesn't see a clear path.

Jauregui by decision, over rounds
"I think yasmine's gonna slowly pull away on the numbers the longer the fight goes and eventually that leads to a decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a potential future title contender with excellent pocket defense, balance, and combination punching. She stays compact, keeps a tight guard, and closes exchanges with a powerful left hook. Gomes is still raw and relies on pressure without consistent offense, and Jauregui's ability to absorb and adjust makes her the clear winner.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"She's a potential future title contender."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, highlighting her high output, Mexican heart, and improved physique. He notes that she was dropped in her last fight but got back up and showed durability. Levi respects Gomes for her win over Bruna Brasil but believes Jauregui has the higher upside and will be the longer fighter. He calls the fight a potential barnburner and picks Jauregui to win, though he is not interested in betting at minus-400.

"I think Yasmine year agui has the higher upside I think the line reflects that and for that reason I'm gonna pick her to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Yazmin Jauregui

James picks Yazmin Jauregui to win, likely by decision. He thinks Jauregui's understanding of range, footwork, and distance management are way better than Gomes'. He acknowledges Gomes hits hard and could drop Jauregui, but believes Jauregui is a level above and will school her on the feet. He considered playing the over but may not bet.

Yazmin Jauregui wins by decision (considered); over (considered, not played)
"I think yasmin's understanding of range and understanding of footwork and distance management are way better than Denise Gomez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Jauregui is a more polished striker with good footwork and counter-striking. Gomes is aggressive but will struggle to close the distance against Jauregui's technical striking. Jauregui will set traps, land damage, and avoid trouble, winning by decision. The over 2.5 rounds is the favorite spot.

over 2.5 rounds
"give me yadagui by decision but over two and a half probably being my favorite spot in this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Paul takes Gomes as a value underdog at +350. He thinks the line is too wide and the fight is closer to 70-30. He notes both are prospects and Gomes is younger. He says he wouldn't recommend betting Jauregui at -400. He took a small shot on Gomes.

Gomes by KO/TKO (+175)
"I took Denise Gomez plus 350 on like Sunday it's a good price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by 29-28 decision. He considers her a rare talented female fighter, comparing her to Loopy Godinez who beat Gomes. He criticizes Gomes' inability to fight on the back foot, as seen in her win over Bruna Brasil, which he views as an exposure of Brasil rather than a testament to Gomes.

wins by 29-28 decision
"I am gonna have to go with Eureka winning this one by 29-28 decision in classic women's MMA fashion"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a very good action fighter with fast hands, tight technique, and a devastating left hook. She adjusts well under pressure and uses data from exchanges to build offense. Gomes improved in her last fight by throwing punches while pressuring, but Jauregui is a much higher level opponent who can handle reckless collisions and counter effectively.

Jauregui opened at -455, currently -383; Gomes opened at +364, currently +316. Zane says odds reflect the matchup and he wouldn't expect them to get much tighter.
"Pretty easy pick for Jauregui."
WIN vs Bruna Brasil
TKO (punches) R2 2:42 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 15 of 22 68% 43 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:19
Bruna Brasil 1 54 of 93 58% 94 of 133 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 10 of 15 66% 29 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:19
Bruna Brasil 0 23 of 40 57% 58 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:00
2 Denise Gomes 0 5 of 7 71% 14 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruna Brasil 1 31 of 53 58% 36 of 58 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 15 of 22 68% 7 of 11 6 of 8 2 of 3 9 of 15 6 of 7 0 of 0
Bruna Brasil 54 of 93 58% 28 of 58 8 of 8 18 of 27 21 of 47 10 of 12 23 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 10 of 15 66% 3 of 5 5 of 7 2 of 3 5 of 9 5 of 6 0 of 0
Bruna Brasil 23 of 40 57% 12 of 25 5 of 5 6 of 10 15 of 30 8 of 10 0 of 0
2 Denise Gomes 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Bruna Brasil 31 of 53 58% 16 of 33 3 of 3 12 of 17 6 of 17 2 of 2 23 of 34
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Angelo picks Bruna Brasil as the better striker overall, noting her creativity and power. However, he is hesitant because of the risk of a UFC debut freeze-up, citing a similar situation at UFC 287. He expects Bruna to be the better fighter but is not placing a bet due to the uncertainty of debut jitters.

"I'm going brother for the pick here but this would not be the first time we're gonna see a UFC debut freeze up in the moment"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Big Brady picks Bruna Brasil to win by decision. He believes Brasil is the better striker and has solid takedown defense to keep the fight standing. He criticizes Denise Gomes' striking defense and overall skill, though acknowledges her toughness. He is not laying heavy chalk on Brasil but expects her to get the job done.

"I like Brazil to win this fight is it going to be closed probably are the judge is going to get it wrong probably uh but I'm going to take Brazil to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Cody notes Brasil's reach and length advantage, and thinks her striking from the outside will be key. He acknowledges Gomes' path to victory is to make it ugly and wrestle, but believes Brasil's takedown defense and strength will hold up.

"I'm gonna take we're going to Brazil in this one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Connor agrees, noting that Gomes is too low output and lacks urgency. He believes Brasil's kick-heavy offense and clinch work will create opportunities, and that Gomes' pressure is not backed by actual aggression.

"So taking Brazil, but like I said, I like the basics that both these women are working on."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Brasil's size, reach, and striking will keep Gomes at bay. Gomes is a brawler who struggles with range and can be reversed on the ground. Brasil's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. She should win by decision, using her reach to outpoint Gomes. The line may improve, but Brasil is the better fighter.

Brasil wins by decision
"I think she is far better than Gomez the far better Striker and again I see Gomez just walking into her punches."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Paul bet Gomes earlier at +200 and thinks the line movement is accurate. He acknowledges Brasil's advantages but notes Gomes' toughness and ability to make it a dogfight. He's not confident but took the plus money.

Bet Gomes at +200 earlier
"I scooped some Denise Gomez at plus 200 back on back on Sunday which I like"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

The MMA Guru picks Bruna Brasil, impressed by her striking, especially her head kick KO on Contender Series. He notes her reach advantage and believes she can keep the fight at range and land heavy shots. He is not impressed by Gomes' UFC debut and thinks Brasil has more promise.

Potential KO/TKO but cautious due to division
"I am siding with Bruno Brazil to get the job done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Zane picks Brasil because she has volume and clinch striking, while Gomes is low output and just walks forward without throwing much. He notes that Brasil's kick-heavy game and pressure will allow her to light up Gomes, who lacks urgency and has poor wrestling.

"I got to pick Bruno Brazil in that fight. Just because Brazil has the volume and she has the clinch striking."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loma Lookboonmee 0 19 of 34 55% 45 of 66 0 of 6 0% 3 2 5:31
Denise Gomes 0 48 of 67 71% 87 of 115 4 of 5 80% 0 1 7:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loma Lookboonmee 0 5 of 9 55% 10 of 14 0 of 3 0% 1 1 1:32
Denise Gomes 0 22 of 30 73% 22 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:07
2 Loma Lookboonmee 0 7 of 16 43% 13 of 22 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Denise Gomes 0 16 of 20 80% 26 of 34 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:49
3 Loma Lookboonmee 0 7 of 9 77% 22 of 30 0 of 0 --- 2 1 2:41
Denise Gomes 0 10 of 17 58% 39 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 1 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loma Lookboonmee 19 of 34 55% 13 of 25 2 of 3 4 of 6 13 of 25 6 of 9 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 48 of 67 71% 31 of 49 11 of 12 6 of 6 14 of 23 8 of 9 26 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loma Lookboonmee 5 of 9 55% 1 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 22 of 30 73% 17 of 24 2 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 15 of 17
2 Loma Lookboonmee 7 of 16 43% 6 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 1 3 of 9 4 of 7 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 16 of 20 80% 7 of 11 7 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 8 6 of 7 4 of 5
3 Loma Lookboonmee 7 of 9 77% 6 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0
Denise Gomes 10 of 17 58% 7 of 14 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 13
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Denise Gomes vs. Konklak Suphisara
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Suphisara (-225), Gomes (+190)

Round 1
For the entirety of her young career, Thailand’s Suphisara (6-3, 4-2 UFC) has won two fights and then lost a third, but always bounced back from that defeat with two more victories. This pattern has continued into this strawweight scrap against UFC newcomer and Parana Vale Tudo – the training camp of women like Jessica Andrade and Karol Rosa – prospect Gomes (6-1, 0-0 UFC), and a win for the Thai would keep it intact. This likely fast-paced fight will receive oversight from referee Keith Peterson, and a touch of gloves comes before his nonsense-free eyes. Suphisara fires off a front kick, and the Brazilian answers immediately with a slapping leg kick. Suphisara responds in kind, and they mirror one another with their strikes. Suphisara counters with a clean elbow that opens a cut on the top of Gomes’ forehead, and her teep kick sends Gomes sprawling to the mat. Gomes climbs back up, and she spins with a wheel kick but is too close. With Suphisara closing in on her, she scores a right hand, and Gomes catches a subsequent kick. The Brazilian spins her opponent around and jams her into the fence. “Loma Lookboonmee” reverses position and takes her opponent down, where she climbs into mount in a hurry. The Thai slams down several vicious elbows until Gomes gives up her back, and Suphisara is hanging on in search of a choke of some sort. Suphisara flattens Gomes out, but Gomes is holding on tight with wrist control to stop anything from coming together. Gomes slithers out the back door, and Suphisara clings to a kimura until the Brazilian pops her head out. Gomes, in half guard, fishes for an arm-triangle choke in the blink of an eye. Gomes squeezes with her full body weight down, but she is not in the position that can get a tap. Suphisara answers the proverbial telephone to defend it, and as she does, Gomes jumps over to the side to lock it down. Gomes gives up on it to moves into mount, and she sets up an armbar and rolls to her back. Gomes throws her legs up with a triangle setup when the armbar is not there, and Suphisara slashes her with several elbows when the Thai gets space. Suphisara batters her opponent with elbows until the bell breaks them up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara

Round 2
The ladies calmly saunter towards one another to start off Round 2, and Gomes throws first with an inaccurate head kick. Suphisara answers with a chopping leg kick, and her leg flies up high to the shoulder in a subsequent blow. Suphisara aims for a takedown, and she settles to topple over and put Gomes on her back, where she is already nearly in mount. Gomes drags her back to half guard and grips onto a kimura, and she succeeds in nullifying any additional strikes from the Thai. The sweep attempt fails, as Suphisara steps over into mount and pounds her with several elbows. Suphisara looks to take the back, but abandons it, sits up and returns to her feet. Gomes follows, and Suphisara greets her with a pair of kicks. Both women lead with fierce elbows, and Gomes crashes in to clinch before dropping to her knees for a single. “Loma Lookboonmee” defends it and works her adversary over in the clinch with knees and elbows. Gomes responds with one, and she falls to her back courtesy of a head lock throw. Suphisara, landing in half guard, starts to deliver some elbows to the dome. Gomes manages to pull Suphisara back to her guard, and she tries for a triangle choke of sorts. Suphisara stands and walks away, but she does not pay attention and thinks that Peterson is standing Gomes up. Peterson does nothing of the sort, and Gomes dives in for an unexpected takedown. Protect yourself at all times. Suphisara turns herself around to stay on her feet, and she frames off to peg Gomes with punches and kicks until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara

Round 3
The final frame begins frantically, as Gomes goes on the offensive immediately. Pushing forward, she drives Suphisara to the wall and lands a few solid punches. As Suphisara defends, Gomes spins with an elbow and blasts the Thai in the face. Gomes changes levels in search of a takedown, and the two hit the mat. Gomes tries to isolate a leg in search of a leglock, and Suphisara awkwardly slides her leg out of it but does not get up. Gomes jumps on to take her back, and she hooks the body triangle on her toes. Gomes starts setting up a rear-naked choke, and it is more of a neck crank as she cannot get a grip under the chin. Gomes keeps searching for chokes, but none are to be found as Suphisara defends her neck well. Suphisara explodes out of the position and right into armbar danger, but she shucks the legs out of the way and gets on top. Gomes turns and nearly gives up her own back, but Suphisara does not take it and decides to stand up. The Brazilian follows her to the feet, but “Loma Lookboonmee” immediately trips her out and lands on top. Suphisara belts her opponent with elbows as the blood flows freely from the UFC newcomer’s face, and Gomes can do little else but defend her head as she is jammed between the corner of the cage and the mat. Suphisara rains down several punches, and the final bell puts an end to this strange 115-pound pairing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gomes (29-28 Suphisara)

The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Denise Gomes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Angelo picks Lookboonmee, citing her technical Muay Thai striking and improved grappling. He notes that her only losses came when she was outgrappled, but he doesn't see that happening here. He believes she will win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. Angelo mentions the line was wide but is tightening, and he considered a takedown prop bet.

Considered takedown prop bet.
"i'm gonna go with loma look boom me here she's proven to us that she can be a dangerous technical striker as well as an effective grappler"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Big Brady picks Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He states that Loma is the better technical striker by a mile and has improved with each fight. He notes that Denise Gomes is tough and gritty but very chinny, having been dropped and wobbled often. Brady believes Loma can implement her striking and possibly even get takedowns. However, he warns that Gomes throws high volume and has good recovery, so he would not lay the moneyline. He predicts Loma wins a decision, possibly dropping Gomes along the way.

decision
"i think loma ultimately wins the decision here so give me loma look for me to win look with me to win this one by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Cody thinks Lookboonmee is a better striker with good clinch work and takedown defense. He notes Gomes is one-dimensional and coming off a short-notice fight where she took damage. He expects Lookboonmee to win a decision.

Lookboonmee by decision
"i just think that she is a better striker wrestling is good enough to keep this fight standing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Daniel Levi leans Loma Lookboonmee due to her UFC experience and better competition, but is not confident. He notes both fighters are small for the weight class and that Gomes is tough with high volume. He expects a close split decision that could go either way, and does not bet.

"I guess i'll lean loma with the ufc experience but don't be surprised man don't be surprised to see it be another split decision fight that could go either way"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Jacob is very high on Lookboonmee, praising her Muay Thai experience and her addition of wrestling and trips. He notes that she tossed Lupita Godinez, a great wrestler, to the ground. Jacob believes she is better everywhere and that the odds should be wider. He included her in a parlay at -270 and may add a moneyline bet if the odds drop further.

Included in a parlay at -270.
"i threw her in a parlay at -270 i might put a money line bet on her if they keep dropping"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Loma has a decorated Muay Thai background and has added takedowns to her game, making her a more complete MMA fighter. Gomes is one-dimensional, relying on striking, and has shown vulnerability to grappling. Loma's cardio is better than Gomes's previous opponents, so she can mix in leg kicks and takedowns to keep Gomes guessing. Loma should win a decision or possibly a late finish.

Loma by decision is a good alternative to the moneyline
"Loma loop with me much better cardio than what we have to worry about from Milana and that should be enough for her to go out there to outstrike Denise from the outside staying active with the leg kicks and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Paul leans Lookboonmee, noting the line has moved but he still thinks she gets it done. He mentions the Lookboonmee decision prop at -105 as a better value.

Lookboonmee by decision -105
"the boomi decision is pretty much uh can be had for like minus 105"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The MMA Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee by 29-28 decision. He believes Lookboonmee is a technical striker with Muay Thai foundation, ready on short notice. He notes she has good grappling and has fought tough opponents like Angela Hill and Michelle Waterson. He thinks Denise Gomes is nothing special and that Lookboonmee will win on the feet with superior striking.

"loma look boom's got great striking i'm picking her to win against denise gomez 29-28 decision"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Angelo is confident in Tecia Pennington as an underdog, calling her the best underdog on the card. He highlights her speed, durability, well-roundedness, and high fight IQ. He disagrees with the nearly 2-to-1 odds favoring Denise Gomes, arguing that Tecia is the more technical and experienced fighter. He plans to hammer a plus 3.5 bet on Tecia.

Tecia Pennington plus 3.5 rounds (spread bet)
"Anytime I see Tecia as a dog, I drool a little bit. ... I'm going to hammer a plus three and a half bet on Tecia Torres."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Big Brady favors Gomes due to her youth, power, and grappling upside, though he thinks the line might be a bit wide. He acknowledges Pennington is still fighting at a high level, citing her close decision against champion Mackenzie Dern. He expects a competitive fight that goes to a close decision, with Gomes landing the bigger shots and getting her hand raised.

decision
"I think Gomes lands the bigger shots, has the bigger moments, and gets her hand raised on the scorecards."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Cody picks Pennington as a dog, citing her experience and ability to outwork opponents. He thinks Gomes' wrestling is not good enough to keep Pennington down, and Pennington can win a close decision.

"I am going to take Tisha, man."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Lucrative James leans towards Denise Gomes, citing her youth, power, and physicality. He acknowledges Tecia Pennington's experience and volume but believes Gomes' finishing upside and strength will be decisive. He is not confident due to Pennington's high level and the price, but picks Gomes for the win.

"I have to pick Gomez. I don't know. Like, I feel like she's going to be like minus 250, - 300, maybe - 220. And it just doesn't intrigue me at those prices."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The host is a bit unsure but leans toward Gomes due to her power, expecting her to land more significant strikes. Pennington may have volume and takedown attempts, but Gomes should nullify most of that and win on the scorecards.

"This one has me a little bit scratching my head, but I think that the power of Gomez should allow her to land more significant strikes against Pennington."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Paul picks Pennington, expecting a razor-thin split decision. He notes Pennington's takedown defense and striking volume, and thinks Gomes' wrestling is overrated.

"Tisha Pennington by split decision razor thin."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

The Guru picks Denise Gomes over Tecia Pennington. He believes Gomes will win via big moments and knockdowns, even if Pennington outlands her. He cites Pennington's tendency to lose close decisions due to lack of power, and Gomes's youth and size advantage. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gomes.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to go with Denise Gomez getting this one done. Big moments."