vs
-140 +130
UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Next Fight
Age 35
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 5' 11"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - JunYong Park
4.64 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
3.82 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.69 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Albert Duraev
2.99 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.01 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
1.97 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
JunYong Park
Moneyline
Caesars -140
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
BetRivers +550
Decision
FanDuel +195
Albert Duraev
Moneyline
FanDuel +130
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1050
Submission
FanDuel +500
Decision
BetRivers +335
JunYong Park - Fight History
LOSS vs Ikram Aliskerov
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 0 91 of 134 67% 126 of 174 5 of 7 71% 0 0 6:07
JunYong Park 0 78 of 132 59% 91 of 151 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 46 76% 37 of 48 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:36
JunYong Park 0 17 of 43 39% 18 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 52 67% 46 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:05
JunYong Park 0 38 of 55 69% 42 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Ikram Aliskerov 0 21 of 36 58% 43 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:26
JunYong Park 0 23 of 34 67% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 91 of 134 67% 57 of 94 26 of 29 8 of 11 79 of 120 3 of 4 9 of 10
JunYong Park 78 of 132 59% 57 of 108 18 of 20 3 of 4 73 of 127 2 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 46 76% 17 of 25 14 of 14 4 of 7 33 of 44 1 of 1 1 of 1
JunYong Park 17 of 43 39% 13 of 37 2 of 3 2 of 3 17 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 52 67% 21 of 36 10 of 12 4 of 4 29 of 45 2 of 2 4 of 5
JunYong Park 38 of 55 69% 29 of 46 8 of 8 1 of 1 34 of 51 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Ikram Aliskerov 21 of 36 58% 19 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 1 4 of 4
JunYong Park 23 of 34 67% 15 of 25 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting his superior striking and wrestling compared to Jun Young Park. He uses MMA math: Aliskerov knocked out Andre Muniz, while Park lost to Muniz via decision with 11 takedowns conceded. Angelo expects a decision due to Park's toughness but is confident Aliskerov wins.

I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is.
"Park's not the better striker, he's not the better grappler, and I don't think he's winning this fight. Ikram's the pick. I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady leans toward Park Jun-yong as a live dog, citing Ikram Aliskerov's untested cardio and durability. He notes Aliskerov has finished all his UFC wins in the first round and questions what happens if the fight extends. Park is durable, has good volume and cardio, and has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Park to survive early danger, take over in rounds two and three, and win a decision. He admits it feels like a trap and is staying away from betting.

Park by decision; staying away from betting
"I'm kind of leaning towards the Park side. It just this whole fight to me feels like a big trap. I'm probably staying away from this one, but in terms of a pick, I'm going to go Park here. I'll …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Cody picks Ikram Aliskerov, but notes that if the fight extends past the first round, he would live bet Park. He believes Aliskerov's power and early finishing ability will get the job done, as Park's durability and cardio are his only paths. Cody suggests that Aliskerov likely finishes early, but if not, Park could grind out a win.

"Ikram's the play for me, but another one of these guys maybe similar to Asamat Bakoev last week."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor acknowledges Park's toughness and pocket combination fighting but believes Aliskerov's athleticism and natural timing will be too much. He notes that Park often meets athletic walls where he gets stopped, and Aliskerov has the speed and power to find a kill shot. Connor also points out that Aliskerov, while not deep technically, has enough offensive craft to exploit Park's aggression.

Aliskerov is a solid favorite at -225; Park is +190.
"Jun Young Park is a guy who, he's my favorite kind of fighter... but it does mean that he will regularly meet athletic walls where he just gets stopped."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Daniel Vreeland is wary of Aliskerov's cardio and chin, but believes his early power and the Abu Dhabi setting give him the edge. He notes that Aliskerov has been finished by uppercuts before, but thinks he can win the first round and possibly the second before Park takes over. He picks Aliskerov but admits it could get 'sketchy' past round one.

"Because we're in the desert, I'm going to take the guy with the OV as the last two letters of his last name. And I'm going to take Iram Aliscerov."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov, citing his power and wrestling as a bad stylistic matchup for Park. He notes Park's poor takedown defense and tendency to walk into punches, while Aliskerov has the tools to exploit those weaknesses. He acknowledges Park's elite cardio and pressure, but believes Aliskerov's early power and takedowns will be decisive. He is less confident in the value at -270.

"I'm picking Ikram Aliskarov here. I can't say that there's much value on his money line currently."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host thinks Aliskerov will be exposed, struggling with Park's jab, pressure, and pace. He expects Park to take over in the second and third rounds and eventually find a finish.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I expect Park to really start running away with this matchup and eventually finding a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans towards Park as a dog or pass, preferring the under 2.5 rounds. He notes that Aliskerov is a one-round fighter who gasses if he doesn't finish early, and Park has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds, as seen against Islam Nurmagomedov. Paul believes that if the fight goes past the first, Park has a real chance to win by submission or decision.

under 2.5 rounds
"for me it's dog or pass. Like um I'm not laying chalk on a guy who seems mostly, at least in his UFC iteration, like a one-round fighter."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov by TKO, believing Aliskerov's finishing potential will be too much for Jun Yong Park. He notes that Park is getting older and relies on volume grappling, but Aliskerov has good takedown defense and power. He references Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker on short notice as understandable, but expects Aliskerov to put Park away in the first or second round. He also mentions that Park's lack of power on the feet will be a problem.

TKO in first or second round; also mentioned in a PrizePicks parlay for less than 2.5 total rounds
"I think Ikram Aliskerov's going to put him away by TKO, the same way he's put away near enough every opponent bar Whittaker."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Zane shares Connor's view, noting that Park's wrestling and grappling are his only safe areas, but getting there requires him to press into the pocket, leaving him open to Aliskerov's counters. He believes Aliskerov is good at finding openings and that Park will have success but will also be consistently vulnerable to a kill shot.

"I think he will also be consistently open to a kill shot. And Aliskerov is pretty damn good at finding them."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ismail Naurdiev 0 76 of 153 49% 84 of 164 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:25
JunYong Park 0 45 of 109 41% 92 of 187 2 of 8 25% 1 0 6:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ismail Naurdiev 0 52 of 105 49% 54 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JunYong Park 0 26 of 77 33% 28 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Ismail Naurdiev 0 19 of 37 51% 25 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:25
JunYong Park 0 9 of 13 69% 28 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:06
3 Ismail Naurdiev 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JunYong Park 0 10 of 19 52% 36 of 71 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ismail Naurdiev 76 of 153 49% 44 of 104 25 of 39 7 of 10 67 of 132 8 of 17 1 of 4
JunYong Park 45 of 109 41% 41 of 102 4 of 7 0 of 0 38 of 96 4 of 10 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ismail Naurdiev 52 of 105 49% 33 of 73 16 of 27 3 of 5 48 of 96 4 of 9 0 of 0
JunYong Park 26 of 77 33% 25 of 74 1 of 3 0 of 0 24 of 70 2 of 7 0 of 0
2 Ismail Naurdiev 19 of 37 51% 8 of 22 7 of 10 4 of 5 15 of 27 3 of 6 1 of 4
JunYong Park 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ismail Naurdiev 5 of 11 45% 3 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0
JunYong Park 10 of 19 52% 7 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ismail Naurdiev

Angelo picks Ismail Naurdiev, citing his takedown ability and the fact that Park has poor takedown defense, as shown in the Andre Muniz fight. He notes that Ismail is a good striker and grappler, and at $7,500 he is a great value. He thinks Ismail will exploit Park's weaknesses and get the win.

Mentions $7,500 price point as very affordable; calls him one of the better dogs on the card.
"I am on the Ishmael side here. He's going to be the pick and I will have him in my lineup at $7500."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, citing durability and wrestling as key factors. He notes Naurdiev has been finished in four of seven losses and has poor takedown defense. Park completes takedowns at 47% accuracy and even took down Brad Tavares. Brady thinks Park can mix in takedowns if needed and has better cardio. He predicts a competitive decision win for Park.

decision
"I got to go Park here. I just think he's a lot more durable."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host is a big fan of Junyong Park and thinks this fight perfectly showcases his advantages in pace, pressure, and grappling. He expects Park to put Naurdiev through the ringer and easily win on the scorecards.

"I'm a big fan of Junyong Park and I think this is a fight that he can perfectly showcase his advantages with his pace, pressure, and eventually his grappling as he puts Nordivia through the ringer and I think he …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks Park Jun-yong, praising his pace, striking, and composure. He notes Naurdiev's defensive grappling and submission threats but doubts his power and ability to dominate. He expects a three-round barn burner where Park's pressure in later rounds secures the win.

Fight goes to decision, Park wins by decision
"I'm gonna go with Yunyong Park over Ishmail Nerdy. I'm siding with Yunyong Park here, getting this one done, pouring on the pressure in the later rounds."
WIN vs Brad Tavares
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 65 of 149 43% 73 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Brad Tavares 0 99 of 177 55% 124 of 210 2 of 6 33% 0 0 6:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 26 of 57 45% 27 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Brad Tavares 0 19 of 46 41% 21 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
2 JunYong Park 0 31 of 80 38% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Tavares 0 67 of 108 62% 68 of 109 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
3 JunYong Park 0 8 of 12 66% 15 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Tavares 0 13 of 23 56% 35 of 53 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 65 of 149 43% 55 of 136 2 of 3 8 of 10 62 of 143 0 of 1 3 of 5
Brad Tavares 99 of 177 55% 76 of 151 4 of 6 19 of 20 91 of 167 3 of 5 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 26 of 57 45% 21 of 52 0 of 0 5 of 5 23 of 52 0 of 0 3 of 5
Brad Tavares 19 of 46 41% 12 of 37 2 of 3 5 of 6 19 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 31 of 80 38% 27 of 73 2 of 3 2 of 4 31 of 79 0 of 1 0 of 0
Brad Tavares 67 of 108 62% 52 of 93 1 of 1 14 of 14 64 of 103 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 JunYong Park 8 of 12 66% 7 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Tavares 13 of 23 56% 12 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Angelo picks Brad Tavares, citing his experience and takedown defense. He notes that Park Jun-yong is not dangerous enough to finish Tavares, lacking one-punch power and nasty takedowns. Angelo believes Tavares will defend takedowns and land clean strikes for a straightforward win.

"I think Brad tarus wins this fight... pretty straightforward win here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong by decision. He thinks the fight will be close and go to the judges, but he cannot pick Brad Tavares due to his decline. Tavares has taken a lot of damage and looked poor in recent fights, including a lackluster win over Chris Weidman. Park was on a five-fight win streak before a close loss to Andre Muniz. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet and Park to do better work, though it could be a close decision.

Park by decision
"I'm sticking with my pick here it's it's Park I do think this fight is going to be close though"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor also picks Park but is hesitant, noting that Tavares still has great takedown defense and can strike. He points out that Park's best path is through grappling, but Tavares stuffs takedowns. Connor thinks Park can win a striking battle because Tavares doesn't throw combinations and is passive, but it's a risky fight for Park.

Same odds commentary.
"I trust him to win that scrap. Like I say he sets traps. He will work a low kick and work a jab until his opponent starts to provide openings."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Daniel highlights Park's well-rounded skills, pace, and wrestling ability, noting that he was close to knocking out RoboCop. He criticizes Tavares's recent decline, pointing out that RoboCop walked through him with zero respect. Daniel believes Park's physicality and durability will be key, and he predicts a knockout victory, citing that Park has been overdue for his first UFC KO.

by KO
"I think he's going to and I think he might even do it by knockout... I'm gonna go Jun Young Park the Iron Turtle to come out here and knockout Brad Tavares in Vegas."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Brad Tavares

Tavares is on a rough run but this is a winnable matchup if he keeps it in the striking realm. Park has decent power but not enough to catch Tavares. Tavares will land better strikes, leg kicks, stop takedowns, and win on the scorecards over 15 minutes.

"I think we'll see Tavares land the better strikes land some good leg kicks stop the takedowns and land the better shots over the course of 15 minutes winning this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The MMA Guru picks Brad Tavares, noting that Tavares cannot be taken down and has good cardio. He criticizes Park Jun-yong's striking and believes Tavares will out-strike him for a TKO or decision. He acknowledges Tavares has been KO'd recently but sees Park lacking the power to finish him.

TKO or decision
"I'm gonna say Brad tarez I don't see yunong Park having the power to put him away by TKO... I'm going to go with Brad tarez getting this one done by TKO on the feet or a decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane picks Park but is hesitant because Tavares has excellent takedown defense, which neutralizes Park's best weapon. He notes that Park's striking is crafty but he is short and gets hit often, and Tavares is a durable defensive striker who doesn't leave many openings. Zane trusts Park to win a kickboxing match due to his volume and trap-setting, but acknowledges it's a tough fight.

Tavares opened at +147, now +159; Park opened at -166, now -180. Zane thinks the line could be wider.
"I think in that weird way is kickboxing is best served when his opponent is not a comfortable striker at all. And otherwise the highlight of his game tends to be his wrestling game."
LOSS vs André Muniz
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 27 of 60 45% 52 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 2 2:58
JunYong Park 0 14 of 30 46% 35 of 60 11 of 14 78% 0 1 9:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 13 of 17 76% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:45
JunYong Park 0 3 of 4 75% 10 of 11 5 of 6 83% 0 0 3:07
2 André Muniz 0 6 of 12 50% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
JunYong Park 0 9 of 16 56% 21 of 37 4 of 4 100% 0 0 4:16
3 André Muniz 0 8 of 31 25% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:10
JunYong Park 0 2 of 10 20% 4 of 12 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 27 of 60 45% 21 of 54 3 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 25 0 of 0 16 of 35
JunYong Park 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 29 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 15
JunYong Park 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 André Muniz 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
JunYong Park 9 of 16 56% 9 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 André Muniz 8 of 31 25% 7 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 20
JunYong Park 2 of 10 20% 1 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park Jun-yong, citing his tenacity and cardio. He notes that Park is a go-getter who keeps coming forward and has solid striking and grappling. Cody is concerned about Park's tendency to give up his back when taken down, but he thinks Muniz's heart is questionable. He points out that Muniz has looked terrible in his last two fights and was outworked by Paul Craig. Cody believes Park will outwork Muniz and get a late TKO or decision.

"Park just at works you know he's in a couple bad spots here and there sure but in the end he's going to Tire him out he's gonna beat on him he's gonna land the bigger shots and he's either …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2023 (fight day)
André Muniz

Lucrative James believes the market is too low on Muniz after his recent losses, which he attributes to Paul Craig's unpredictability and a competitive fight against Brendan Allen. He highlights Muniz's powerful double-leg takedown and elite submission skills, noting that Park gets taken down in every fight and has given up his back. He sees a good chance of a submission in rounds 1-2, but acknowledges that if Muniz doesn't finish, Park's cardio could be a problem in later rounds. He agrees with the line movement and picks Muniz outright.

submission in round 1 or 2, points win if he doesn't finish
"I think there's a good chance that mun gets a submission in this spot if he doesn't get a submission yes it's going to be very very dangerous for him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul also picks Park Jun-yong. He notes that Park is looking better than ever and mixes in submission skills. Paul is a little worried about Park giving up his back against a grappler like Muniz, but he thinks Park's volume and cardio will be decisive. He mentions that Uriah Hall survived Muniz's grappling for three rounds, and Park is a better striker. Paul believes the fight on the feet is not close and Park will win.

"I think it's Park Park who's looking better than kind of ever in his last few fights you know he's mixing in some submission skills"
WIN vs Albert Duraev
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:45 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 31 of 77 40% 35 of 83 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Albert Duraev 1 50 of 96 52% 77 of 138 0 of 1 0% 3 0 1:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 20 of 47 42% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Albert Duraev 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:17
2 JunYong Park 0 11 of 30 36% 15 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:55
Albert Duraev 1 25 of 42 59% 52 of 84 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 31 of 77 40% 18 of 57 7 of 8 6 of 12 31 of 76 0 of 1 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 50 of 96 52% 41 of 85 4 of 5 5 of 6 47 of 93 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 20 of 47 42% 10 of 31 5 of 6 5 of 10 20 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 25 of 54 46% 20 of 48 0 of 0 5 of 6 25 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 11 of 30 36% 8 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 2 11 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 25 of 42 59% 21 of 37 4 of 5 0 of 0 22 of 39 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Angelo picks Albert Duraev, liking his wrestling pace and takedowns. He notes Park is well-rounded with good takedown defense but is not dangerous enough to threaten Duraev. He is surprised Duraev is a plus-money underdog and plans to use the line movement tracker to bet him at the best price. He thinks Duraev can grind out a decision.

"I like albertareev in this fight ... I'm surprised he is a plus money Underdog right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, calling him underrated. He notes Park has good durability, cardio, and well-rounded skills, while Duraev has four knockout losses and slows down in fights. He expects a close decision where Park's volume and cardio edge him ahead, possibly mixing in takedowns late. He thinks -150 is about right.

"I think Jung Young Park is super underrated ... I still think Jung Young Park does just enough to get this done and get it done by decision minus 150 um seems about about right to me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody leans toward Park, citing Duraev's red flags: low takedown success rate (1/9 vs Coppola, 2/9 vs Buckley), gas tank issues, and being a low-output striker. He thinks Park's volume and durability will win striking exchanges, but acknowledges Duraev could win via takedowns or cage control. He expects a close, greasy decision and doesn't love the -150 price.

mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop at wide odds
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I don't love the price there because I could see it really going either way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host expects Park's pressure and cardio to wear down Duraev as the fight goes on. He thinks Duraev will have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Park to land damaging strikes and potentially get a late finish or decision. He notes the line is a bit steep but still sees value.

Park wins in round 3 or by decision
"give me either round three park or park by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park, noting Park's recent finishes via rear-naked chokes against grapplers, but thinks that path is off the table here. He expects Park to keep it on the feet and use his chin, while Duraev hasn't shown power. He thinks it goes the full 15 minutes and leans Park at -150, but acknowledges judging could swing either way.

mentioned over 44.5 significant strikes for Park on PrizePicks; also mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I like that to go over the over on that like Park's been finishing his last two fights"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

The MMA Guru picks Albert Duraev over Park Jun-yong, citing Duraev's win over Roman Kopylov, which has aged well, and his finishing potential. He criticizes Park's split decision over Eric Anders and notes his wins came against opponents with clear weaknesses. He believes Duraev is more dangerous in multiple areas and predicts a finish.

"I've got to go derive here I think he's a little bit more dangerous in more areas of the fight than Young Park"
Technical submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:05 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 25 of 38 65% 38 of 52 1 of 3 33% 1 0 2:58
Denis Tiuliulin 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 25 of 38 65% 38 of 52 1 of 3 33% 1 0 2:58
Denis Tiuliulin 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 25 of 38 65% 20 of 33 1 of 1 4 of 4 15 of 27 0 of 0 10 of 11
Denis Tiuliulin 8 of 22 36% 4 of 16 4 of 6 0 of 0 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 25 of 38 65% 20 of 33 1 of 1 4 of 4 15 of 27 0 of 0 10 of 11
Denis Tiuliulin 8 of 22 36% 4 of 16 4 of 6 0 of 0 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady likes Park's cardio, volume, and underrated grappling. He notes Tiuliulin is hittable with poor striking defense and a suspect gas tank. He expects Park to drown Tiuliulin with grappling and eventually find a submission in the second or third round.

second round submission
"I'm gonna take Park to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Cody picks Tiuliulin at plus money, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Park is prone to brawling and getting knocked out, as seen against Gregory Rodrigues. He expects Tiuliulin to land a knockout, especially if Park engages recklessly. He added Tiuliulin at +190.

"I'm tempted on the underdog here Cody in in Dennis chilulin... I'd be siding with Dennis to lulin on the money line at Plus 180"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor agrees, highlighting Park's ability to use aggression against Tiuliulin, running him into jabs and countering. He notes that Tiuliulin is heavily rooted and lumbering, making takedowns easier once Park establishes his jab. He has faith in Park's ability to figure out these matchups despite the physical disadvantages.

Odds: Park opened -245, now -214; Tiuliulin opened +185, now +174.
"I have faith in park, but uh, he uh, he certainly deserves matchups more worth the risk."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Paul picks Tiuliulin, calling him a greasy underdog. He notes Tiuliulin's power and improved takedown defense, while Park has a tendency to brawl and get knocked out. He expects Tiuliulin to win by knockout, especially if Park engages in a firefight. He likes the plus money.

"I think I'm gonna take Dennis to Lynn as well I don't want a ton of exposure on it but yeah we're gonna need a couple greasy underdogs this one fits the description"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane expects Park to win due to his crafty striking and excellent ground and pound. He notes that Tiuliulin is a reckless, aggressive striker who is hyper durable but lacks structure. He believes Park's takedowns and positional grappling will be effective, though he acknowledges that Park often faces physical challenges due to size disadvantages.

Odds: Park opened -245, now -214; Tiuliulin opened +185, now +174.
"Picking jen young park, but every every fight for him in the ufc is gonna be a nail biter."
WIN vs Joseph Holmes
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:04 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Joseph Holmes 0 18 of 33 54% 48 of 76 2 of 4 50% 2 0 4:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Joseph Holmes 0 12 of 24 50% 22 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:55
2 JunYong Park 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joseph Holmes 0 6 of 9 66% 26 of 40 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 20 of 40 50% 8 of 24 5 of 7 7 of 9 19 of 37 0 of 1 1 of 2
Joseph Holmes 18 of 33 54% 13 of 26 0 of 0 5 of 7 14 of 28 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 18 of 36 50% 7 of 21 5 of 7 6 of 8 17 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 2
Joseph Holmes 12 of 24 50% 8 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 6 of 9 66% 5 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.

Park wins by decision
"give me a Jen Young Park to win I'll say wins by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.

"I just think Johnny and park will eventually Break On Through break the guy down take his best shots wear on him Tire him out maybe even get a few takedowns of his own"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Yeah, it's very favorable looking for him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.

"I'm gonna go with John Young park with the kind of Veteran Savvy the tactics."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.

inside the distance decision no action for Holmes; Holmes value underdog
"my official pick is Park but I think Holmes is the much more dangerous guy and the minus 230 odds are insane"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.

Fight doesn't go to decision +120
"I feel very damn good about John Young Park here I think we're getting a very good price tag on him as well and I think he cruises in this matchup until he eventually gets that finish later on probably …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.

"I like Park as well but you know the market tells me it's buying this 220 for Park to win this fight which seems about right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.

"I'm gonna go with Park Hyun young here over Joseph Holmes"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.

Holmes opened +195 now +193, Park opened -230 now -240.
"It should just be a walk for John Park, basically."
WIN vs Eryk Anders
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 65 of 142 45% 75 of 155 3 of 24 12% 0 0 4:45
Eryk Anders 0 105 of 184 57% 108 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 16 of 30 53% 22 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:32
Eryk Anders 0 25 of 36 69% 26 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 JunYong Park 0 16 of 38 42% 20 of 44 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:36
Eryk Anders 0 31 of 52 59% 33 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
3 JunYong Park 0 33 of 74 44% 33 of 74 0 of 12 0% 0 0 0:37
Eryk Anders 0 49 of 96 51% 49 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 65 of 142 45% 45 of 112 17 of 25 3 of 5 56 of 131 9 of 11 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 105 of 184 57% 74 of 152 16 of 17 15 of 15 85 of 161 20 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 16 of 30 53% 12 of 22 4 of 7 0 of 1 11 of 24 5 of 6 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 25 of 36 69% 11 of 21 11 of 12 3 of 3 16 of 27 9 of 9 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 16 of 38 42% 9 of 29 6 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 31 of 52 59% 21 of 42 1 of 1 9 of 9 27 of 46 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 JunYong Park 33 of 74 44% 24 of 61 7 of 11 2 of 2 33 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 49 of 96 51% 42 of 89 4 of 4 3 of 3 42 of 88 7 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo picks Eryk Anders because he believes Anders's toughness, power, and wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Park is the better overall fighter but lacks danger in his striking or submissions. Park relies on trips and pressure for takedowns, which Angelo doesn't think will work against Anders. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Anders.

Eryk Anders plus 3.5 round bet (buy a round on judge's scorecard) - available at BetOnline
"i'm on the honors side and honestly i think he's a perfect one you're this big of an underdog he's a perfect plus three and a half bet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision, favoring his higher volume and striking defense over Eryk Anders. He notes Anders is a low-volume, one-shot-at-a-time striker with poor striking defense. He expects Park to outland Anders on the feet and win rounds. He acknowledges Anders could have success with takedowns but doubts he can hold Park down.

"give me jungyeon park to win a buy decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park, citing his better pace, ground game, and consistency. He criticizes Anders for low volume, lack of urgency, and getting outstruck in many fights. He believes Park will come forward, outland Anders, and grind out a decision. He is confident in the moneyline.

"i gotta go with the logical thinking here and the logical thinking is park's just gonna come forward back him up outland him hopefully not get caught by anything and then uh slowly just grind away in route to what …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host is uncertain about this fight. He notes that it could be volatile and come down to who is stronger, with Anders being the stronger fighter. He finds the Park line too wide but does not have the courage to bet Anders at plus money. He passes on betting the moneyline and instead considers the over 2.5 rounds, which he thinks is around -160.

over 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"tough fight i'm passing man if anything i bet the over two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Park is the logical pick. He notes Anders' inconsistency and low volume, and that Park should be able to outwork him. He is with Cody on this one.

"i'm with you on that one bro"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park, citing his superior cardio, leg kicks, and combination striking. He thinks Eryk Anders is a simple fighter and may have less power after trimming down. He believes Park's grappling defense and pace will be too much, predicting a 29-28 decision with Park taking the last two rounds.

"i'm going to have to go of yoon yong park here over ericander's"
Albert Duraev - Fight History
LOSS vs JunYong Park
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:45 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 31 of 77 40% 35 of 83 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Albert Duraev 1 50 of 96 52% 77 of 138 0 of 1 0% 3 0 1:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 20 of 47 42% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Albert Duraev 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:17
2 JunYong Park 0 11 of 30 36% 15 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:55
Albert Duraev 1 25 of 42 59% 52 of 84 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 31 of 77 40% 18 of 57 7 of 8 6 of 12 31 of 76 0 of 1 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 50 of 96 52% 41 of 85 4 of 5 5 of 6 47 of 93 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 20 of 47 42% 10 of 31 5 of 6 5 of 10 20 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 25 of 54 46% 20 of 48 0 of 0 5 of 6 25 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 11 of 30 36% 8 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 2 11 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 25 of 42 59% 21 of 37 4 of 5 0 of 0 22 of 39 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Angelo picks Albert Duraev, liking his wrestling pace and takedowns. He notes Park is well-rounded with good takedown defense but is not dangerous enough to threaten Duraev. He is surprised Duraev is a plus-money underdog and plans to use the line movement tracker to bet him at the best price. He thinks Duraev can grind out a decision.

"I like albertareev in this fight ... I'm surprised he is a plus money Underdog right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, calling him underrated. He notes Park has good durability, cardio, and well-rounded skills, while Duraev has four knockout losses and slows down in fights. He expects a close decision where Park's volume and cardio edge him ahead, possibly mixing in takedowns late. He thinks -150 is about right.

"I think Jung Young Park is super underrated ... I still think Jung Young Park does just enough to get this done and get it done by decision minus 150 um seems about about right to me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody leans toward Park, citing Duraev's red flags: low takedown success rate (1/9 vs Coppola, 2/9 vs Buckley), gas tank issues, and being a low-output striker. He thinks Park's volume and durability will win striking exchanges, but acknowledges Duraev could win via takedowns or cage control. He expects a close, greasy decision and doesn't love the -150 price.

mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop at wide odds
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I don't love the price there because I could see it really going either way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host expects Park's pressure and cardio to wear down Duraev as the fight goes on. He thinks Duraev will have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Park to land damaging strikes and potentially get a late finish or decision. He notes the line is a bit steep but still sees value.

Park wins in round 3 or by decision
"give me either round three park or park by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park, noting Park's recent finishes via rear-naked chokes against grapplers, but thinks that path is off the table here. He expects Park to keep it on the feet and use his chin, while Duraev hasn't shown power. He thinks it goes the full 15 minutes and leans Park at -150, but acknowledges judging could swing either way.

mentioned over 44.5 significant strikes for Park on PrizePicks; also mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I like that to go over the over on that like Park's been finishing his last two fights"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

The MMA Guru picks Albert Duraev over Park Jun-yong, citing Duraev's win over Roman Kopylov, which has aged well, and his finishing potential. He criticizes Park's split decision over Eric Anders and notes his wins came against opponents with clear weaknesses. He believes Duraev is more dangerous in multiple areas and predicts a finish.

"I've got to go derive here I think he's a little bit more dangerous in more areas of the fight than Young Park"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Albert Duraev 0 40 of 99 40% 44 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chidi Njokuani 0 45 of 123 36% 68 of 159 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Albert Duraev 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chidi Njokuani 0 12 of 26 46% 31 of 58 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:25
2 Albert Duraev 0 14 of 36 38% 14 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chidi Njokuani 0 16 of 46 34% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Albert Duraev 0 22 of 55 40% 23 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chidi Njokuani 0 17 of 51 33% 21 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Albert Duraev 40 of 99 40% 18 of 68 15 of 21 7 of 10 39 of 98 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 45 of 123 36% 21 of 90 2 of 6 22 of 27 34 of 101 0 of 0 11 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Albert Duraev 4 of 8 50% 0 of 1 3 of 5 1 of 2 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 12 of 26 46% 11 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 22
2 Albert Duraev 14 of 36 38% 9 of 25 1 of 5 4 of 6 14 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 16 of 46 34% 7 of 33 0 of 2 9 of 11 16 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Albert Duraev 22 of 55 40% 9 of 42 11 of 11 2 of 2 21 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 17 of 51 33% 3 of 32 2 of 4 12 of 15 17 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Njokuani, citing his striking power, speed, and solid takedown defense. He notes that Duraev is a takedown machine but not relentless, and that Njokuani can find the chin if Duraev gives him time. He mentions that Njokuani showed good takedown defense and adversity management in his last fight. He is interested in a takedown prop bet for Duraev but thinks Njokuani wins.

Takedown prop bet on Duraev (potential)
"I do like cheating to win this fight I think he can get his hands going."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady picks Chidi Njokuani by first-round knockout, citing his size advantage (height and reach) and power. He notes Duraev's chinny history (all four losses by KO) and questions his wrestling ability. Brady believes if Duraev doesn't get a takedown in the first round, he gets knocked out. He acknowledges Njokuani's past cardio and quit issues but thinks he finishes early.

Njokuani by KO/TKO in round 1
"give me Chidi Chidi first round knockout should be an absolute Banger"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Cody picks Njokuani, noting his improved grappling and BJJ black belt, which makes him a dual threat. He believes Duraev will struggle to get takedowns and will tire as the fight goes on, allowing Njokuani to take over in rounds 2 and 3. He mentions Njokuani's height advantage and durability. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds regardless of winner.

Over 1.5 rounds; live bet Njokuani if he loses first round
"The pick is cheating shaquani and I'm also going to have an uh an eye on the live um Market"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Connor picks Njokuani because Duraev's striking is a mess and he likes to strike, which plays into Njokuani's dangerous counter-striking. He notes Duraev's takedowns are often from too far out and he gets hit. He thinks Njokuani's athleticism and kill-shot mentality will prevail, though Duraev could grind out a win.

Mentions odds: Njokuani opened +145, currently -165; Duraev opened -170, currently +136. Notes line getting thinner.
"I think Chidi is just on a, he's a, he's an athletic Cheetier. Um, he's, he's on a higher athletic tier than Duryev. He's, his, his game is just designed to be more dangerous."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Jacob also picks Njokuani, noting his strong takedown defense and ability to work through adversity. He thinks Duraev may not be as relentless as needed and that Njokuani will stuff takedowns early and find a knockout. He mentions that Njokuani is a big guy who can overpower in scrambles.

"I think he's able to stuff the takedown's early and find the chin of Albert."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host is hesitant to take chalk on Njokuani but ultimately picks him by knockout. He notes Njokuani's improving takedown defense and superior striking, but acknowledges Duraev's grappling threat. He thinks the fight likely ends inside the distance, with Njokuani finding an opening in the striking realm. He also mentions 'fight doesn't go to decision' as a good prop.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to go with chidiyanja kawani to get his hand raised by knockout"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The Guru picks Njokuani, citing his power, takedown defense, and experience. He criticizes Duraev's chin and inability to implement his grappling. He predicts a first-round KO via knee after stuffing a takedown.

first round KO
"I'm gonna call a knee to the face from chidino jakwani I think he's gonna stuff a takedown from derive and knee him straight in the mush and finish him off in the first round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Zane picks Njokuani because Duraev is slow and gets hit easily. He notes Duraev's striking is awkward and he doesn't react quickly, while Njokuani is dangerous with reactive strikes. He thinks Njokuani will get chances to hurt Duraev and finish, though Duraev could get top control.

Mentions odds: Njokuani -165, Duraev +136. Notes line getting thinner.
"I just don't think he just can't react quickly enough. Yeah. Yeah. So that's the thing. I think Chidi is just on a, he's a, he's an athletic Cheetier."
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 2 27 of 105 25% 30 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Albert Duraev 0 10 of 50 20% 17 of 60 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 0 13 of 70 18% 13 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Albert Duraev 0 7 of 34 20% 7 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Joaquin Buckley 2 14 of 35 40% 17 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Albert Duraev 0 3 of 16 18% 10 of 26 2 of 7 28% 0 0 1:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 27 of 105 25% 15 of 80 11 of 24 1 of 1 23 of 98 3 of 6 1 of 1
Albert Duraev 10 of 50 20% 3 of 38 3 of 6 4 of 6 9 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 13 of 70 18% 6 of 55 6 of 14 1 of 1 13 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 7 of 34 20% 2 of 25 1 of 3 4 of 6 7 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joaquin Buckley 14 of 35 40% 9 of 25 5 of 10 0 of 0 10 of 28 3 of 6 1 of 1
Albert Duraev 3 of 16 18% 1 of 13 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquin Buckley vs. Albert Duraev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Duraev (-220), Buckley (+180)

Round 1
While their preferred method of victory differs drastically, these next middleweights will bring finish rates above 70% into their meeting. Buckley (14-4, 4-2 UFC) prefers the knockout, while “Machete” Duraev (15-3, 1-0 UFC) would like to hack through your guard and lock a choke up in some fashion. Who will impose their game, referee Jacob Montalvo will be the first to find out. For some reason, these two are extremely fired up, as Duraev walks to the center of the cage during the announcements to tell Buckley “Let’s go!” There is no touch of gloves to begin the match, as Buckley races out of his corner and starts letting go with low kicks. Buckley lands a pair of punches on the side, and he darts forward with a punch and goes past his target. “New Mansa” loads up with a head kick, and his shin smashes right into the side of Duraev’s head. Duraev is rocked badly but still miraculously on his feet, and he ricochets off the wall and blocks the punches that swarm at him. Buckley defends a desperation takedown, and he backs away to reset. Two punches and a head kick come from the American, who falls over when throwing the kick. Duraev does not chase him, and instead boots Buckley upside the head to open a large cut on Buckley’s left eye. Buckley tanks it well, and he rushes forward to pay Duraev back but misses. Duraev retreats as Buckley attacks with a power combination, and he slaps at the lead leg of his opponent. Buckley lunges to the body and misses, and he swings a high kick that brushes past the guard. The power punches from Buckley are beginning to get telegraphed, as Duraev can see them coming and slip out of the way. Duraev keeps moving, and he walks straight into a left hand that hurts Duraev badly and starts some quick swelling. Buckley backs away when Duraev attempts to reach out for a takedown, and the eye of “Machete” is blowing up fast. Buckley gathers his thoughts and misses with a few punches, but the kick to the liver succeeds. Duraev keeps chipping at the lead leg of the American, until Buckley bull-rushes him with a barrage of thudding punches. The horn blares as Duraev backpedals.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 2
The middleweights meet in the middle of the cage, but Duraev manages to back Buckley up with his aggression. Buckley wings hooks to the body, and Duraev slithers back and drops down for a takedown. As he does, Buckley intercepts him with a left hand, stumbling the Russian. Buckley goes up high with a kick, and Duraev just manages to roll through it without it lopping his head off. The crowd begins to chant Buckley’s name, and he times a perfect kick on Duraev’s head as Duraev aims for a takedown. Swelling now grows on Duraev’s left eye, with both eyes showing serious battle damage less than 90 seconds into Round 2. Duraev somehow eats it and manages to redouble his effort for a takedown, and he gets it on the second try. The American powers his way back up, and the crowd goes wild in support of him. Duraev’s left eye is nearly closed after they reset, and Duraev fails on another takedown try. Buckley loads up on al eft hand, and he knocks Duraev clear off his feet. Duraev blocks when he expects Buckley to belt him while on his knees, and Buckley thinks better of it so he does not wing an illegal strike like a knee to a grounded opponent. A huge punch from Buckley forces Duraev to shoot in for another takedown, and he wrestles Buckley to a knee and down to his seat. Duraev holds on from this top position, but he cannot drag Buckley away from the wall to take a useful place in the guard where he can let go with strikes or attack a submission, Buckley explodes to turn Duraev over, and he works back to his feet. Buckley pounds the body with his fists until Duraev lets go, and Buckley attempts a jumping spinning kick like the one that put Impa Kasanganay away on his ultimate highlight reel. When that misses, he attempts a flying switch kick. Buckley settles on his fists, and he drills “Machete” with a left hand that sends Duraev crashing to the mat. He signals Duraev to stand back up, and the horn sounds to rescue Duraev from any further damage. The doctor is going to take a close look at the swollen left eye of the Russian, and this fight might not start the third round given its massive swelling. Before the last round starts, Montalvo does summon in the doctor. The cageside physician does not need to observe the damage for more than a couple seconds, and hold up a finger or two, to realize that Duraev cannot see out of his left eye, and therefore can no longer fight. The crowd goes crazy for Buckley, who helps this event tie the UFC record for the most knockouts in a single night with eight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Buckley
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Albert Duraev R2 5:00 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Angelo picks Albert Duraev, citing his dominant wrestling and top pressure. He sees this as a clear striker vs grappler matchup: either Buckley wins early by KO or Duraev wins a control-heavy decision. He notes Duraev hasn't lost since 2015 and all his losses are by KO, so he sides with the wrestler.

"personally i love siding with wrestlers in these spots durab is the pick but i'm definitely going to be biting my nails early in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Big Brady picks Joaquin Buckley as a dog to win by first-round knockout. He questions Duraev's chin and fight IQ, noting Duraev has been knocked out three times and showed poor takedown efficiency against Kopylov. He believes Buckley has legitimate power and takedown defense, and if Duraev can't get the fight down, Buckley will knock him out.

first round knockout
"I'm actually gonna take the dog here in buckley to win i'm gonna take him to win by by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Cody picks Duraev but with caution, noting Duraev's chin issues (all three losses by first-round KO) and Buckley's power. He thinks Duraev's wrestling and grinding style should work, but Buckley could catch him early. He plans to keep Duraev low on his betting card.

"i am taking drive i just mean this does scream like one of those fights where the russian guy should be able to go out there and beat him up"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Daniel Levi leans Albert Duraev, believing Duraev is the more skilled fighter and will grind out a win. He notes both fighters have suspect chins and cardio, but thinks Duraev's grappling and power give him an edge. However, he is not confident at -240, calling it a lean rather than a strong pick, and acknowledges Buckley's explosiveness could change the fight at any moment.

Duraev -240 is not a lean price; Buckley +200 has puncher's chance
"i kind of leaned derived here man as long as drive is not badly compromised as long as derives not knocked out i don't think buckley's going to be able to out grapple him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Paul is not excited about Buckley and leans toward Duraev, but he's concerned about Duraev's history of getting knocked out early. He thinks Duraev's wrestling should be the difference but acknowledges the risk of a first-round KO.

"i'm not too excited about playing buckley"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The MMA Guru picks Joaquin Buckley as an underdog, surprised that most people favor Albert Duraev. He questions Duraev's chin, noting he has been KO'd three times and looked sloppy against Roman Kopylov. He believes Buckley is a physical athlete with power and can stuff takedowns, eventually hurting and finishing Duraev. He predicts a KO via knee or uppercut combo.

underdog pick
"i'm picking the underdog of joaquin buckley... there's a problem in daryev's career and it's his chin"
WIN vs Roman Kopylov
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Albert Duraev 0 71 of 140 50% 152 of 265 1 of 9 11% 1 0 5:33
Roman Kopylov 1 42 of 93 45% 54 of 111 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Albert Duraev 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Roman Kopylov 0 12 of 45 26% 13 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Albert Duraev 0 31 of 52 59% 111 of 174 1 of 4 25% 1 0 4:25
Roman Kopylov 1 7 of 8 87% 16 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Albert Duraev 0 15 of 34 44% 16 of 37 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:08
Roman Kopylov 0 23 of 40 57% 25 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Albert Duraev 71 of 140 50% 54 of 118 6 of 8 11 of 14 41 of 92 0 of 0 30 of 48
Roman Kopylov 42 of 93 45% 30 of 76 7 of 12 5 of 5 35 of 81 2 of 4 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Albert Duraev 25 of 54 46% 12 of 39 5 of 7 8 of 8 25 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roman Kopylov 12 of 45 26% 7 of 37 1 of 4 4 of 4 11 of 43 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Albert Duraev 31 of 52 59% 30 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 30 of 48
Roman Kopylov 7 of 8 87% 5 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 3
3 Albert Duraev 15 of 34 44% 12 of 28 0 of 0 3 of 6 15 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roman Kopylov 23 of 40 57% 18 of 33 4 of 6 1 of 1 20 of 33 1 of 2 2 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Albert Duraev vs. Roman Kopylov

Round 1
Ye olde striker vs. grappler matchup is on deck now, between recent Dana White’s Contender Series signee Duraev (14-3, 0-0 UFC) against the power-punching Kopylov (8-1, 0-1 UFC). This Russia-on-Russia middleweight affair draws officiating from referee Jason Herzog, who watches on as they touch gloves. Both middleweights are jittery in the early going, standing in front of each other but not throwing much of note. Kopylov throws a calf kick as Duraev reaches out with a right hand, and he knocks Duraev off his feet. Kopylov does not pounce, instead letting the grappler get back up so that he can stay in kickboxing range. Duraev lands a body and then a leg kick, and when he bends over to dodge strikes, Kopylov dings him with a right hook. Duraev stalks his man down, punching his way in, but Kopylov is quick to counter him with swatting punches. They go tit-for-tat with single strikes, not putting many combinations together as they are tense and trying to counter the other. Duraev lands a left hand on the side of the head and gets shoved away before more can mount, and Kopylov stays on the outside peppering him with strikes. Duraev lands a jab, and he follows it with three punches, while Kopylov tries to find an answer. A quick hook staggers Kopylov for a second, and he catches a high kick and keeps the leg above his shoulder so that he can pound Duraev to the body. Duraev hops around with his leg up in the air without toppling, and he breaks free so that they can swing at one another. Duraev lands a few punches from range, and he takes a two-punch combination in the face right before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Duraev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Duraev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Duraev

Round 2
The second round begins explosively, as Kopylov blasts Duraev in the face with a left hand to put Duraev down to all-fours. Kopylov’s punches bounce off the side of Duraev’s head as he recovers. Duraev manages to survive, and he goes after a takedown to put Kopylov down. Kopylov survives thanks to a flagrant fence grab, and Herzog stops the action to very aggressively warn Kopylov of the foul before resetting them in the same position. Duraev waits until Herzog says go, and he instantly hits a takedown. “Machete” slices over to full mount with ease, and instead of landing punches, he sets up an arm-triangle choke. When that is not there, he elects to start slugging it out, with sharp elbows and heavy punches that connect consistently on Kopylov’s face. Kopylov throws back from on his back, and he bucks and kicks, only to inadvertently kick off the fence and put himself in a worse position in the open cage. Duraev continues to smash elbows into Kopylov, putting his weight into them as he lumps Kopylov up. Duraev does not let Kopylov off the hook, beating on him with elbows and punches as Kopylov’s resistance begins to fade. Duraev pursues another arm-triangle choke, and bails on it quickly to go back to his ferocious elbows. Kopylov continues to survive, and he wriggles his way back to the fence, but Duraev pounds on him some more. Kopylov rolls to his side, and Duraev snatches up a rear-naked choke as blood pours off Kopylov’s face. The round ends before a tap can be elicited, and there is no doubt Kopylov was saved by the bell after that thrashing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Duraev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Duraev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Duraev

Round 3
Before the round begins, the doctor comes in to check on Kopylov, who is wearing it. Duraev’s left eye is also badly damaged as well. The doctor informs Herzog that Kopylov is barely in the fight, and he is already bleeding before they clock in. Kopylov stays on the outside and scores a head kick, so Duraev presses the action and goes after a single. Kopylov stays upright after the first attempt, and he stops a second try from transpiring by pulling his arms out and backing off. Kopylov swings so hard his shorts nearly fall over, and Duraev dodges it and shoots in for a single. Kopylov’s TDD holds up again, and Duraev slumps over to his knees when Kopylov pulls his leg out. The faces of these two middleweights are busted, and Kopylov puts his hands by his waist in exhaustion. When Duraev advances, Kopylov suddenly springs to action with a heavy right hand on the smashed eye of Duraev. Both of these two are totally gassed and barely able to stay standing, and the blood is flowing freely from Kopylov’s face. Kopylov is so fatigued that his mouthpiece keeps on falling out, and Herzog replaces it a few times. Kopylov is showing to be physically spent, hands on his hips, and yet a one-two from him is surprisingly sharp. Kopylov’s gumshield dislodges again, and Herzog warns him to keep it in his mouth. Kopylov lands a few punches, and Duraev lumbers forward into a takedown try. Kopylov counters him with a left hand, and he turns the tables to put “Machete” on his back. With seconds to spare, Duraev fights his way back to his feet, and this bloody, exhausting battle comes to an end as Kopylov falls to his knees when the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov (29-27 Duraev)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov (29-27 Duraev)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov (29-27 Duraev)

The Official Result
Albert Duraev def. Roman Kopylov via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Big Brady picks Albert Duraev to win by first-round submission. He notes Duraev has excellent wrestling and ground game, while Kopylov showed no resistance on the ground in his debut against Carl Roberson. Duraev's takedowns and grappling are superior, and he expects an easy submission. He acknowledges Kopylov has knockout power but thinks the grappling discrepancy is too large.

Duraev by first round submission
"I'm going to say first round submission for albert derive i think he gets it done."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Cody agrees, noting Duraev is a multi-millionaire who fights for passion, with a nasty ground game. He highlights Kopylov's long layoff and poor performance against Roberson. He thinks Duraev will get the takedown early and put a beating on Kopylov, who has questionable cardio.

"yeah i gotta go with derive he's another one of our team russia guys"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Daniel picks Albert Duraev, citing his experience, well-roundedness, and nastiness. He notes Kopylov's submission loss to Karl Roberson as a red flag. Daniel believes Duraev is meaner, nastier, and more experienced, and will win impressively. He expects Duraev to put it on Kopylov.

"give me albert derive to win this fight impressively"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Duraev is a high-level wrestler with great takedowns and top control. Kopylov has poor takedown defense and cardio issues, and was submitted by Carl Roberson. Duraev will drag the fight to the ground and finish early, likely in the first round.

Duraev inside distance -120, Duraev first round TKO.
"I think drive is worth the juice there's a reason i already locked him up in as part of my locker and i play and uh yeah i think he absolutely cruises in this fight."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Paul is confident in Duraev, calling him a legit Contender Series guy with wrestling and top control. He notes Duraev trains with top guys in Vegas. He thinks Kopylov looked terrible in his UFC debut (submitted by Carl Roberson) and has been inactive. He expects Duraev to get the takedown early and dominate.

"i think this is a legit contender series guy showing up on the scene"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

The MMA Guru picks Albert Duraev to win by submission. He notes that Duraev has great grappling and that Kopylov has been outgrappled and submitted by lesser grapplers like Roberson, Brendan Allen, and Marvin Vettori. He thinks Kopylov is not a big KO puncher and lacks the explosiveness to catch Duraev early. He predicts Duraev will drag Kopylov out and get a rear-naked choke in the second round.

rear-naked choke in the second round
"i think that darya is going to get a real naked choke in the second round"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Angelo picks Albert Duraev, liking his wrestling pace and takedowns. He notes Park is well-rounded with good takedown defense but is not dangerous enough to threaten Duraev. He is surprised Duraev is a plus-money underdog and plans to use the line movement tracker to bet him at the best price. He thinks Duraev can grind out a decision.

"I like albertareev in this fight ... I'm surprised he is a plus money Underdog right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, calling him underrated. He notes Park has good durability, cardio, and well-rounded skills, while Duraev has four knockout losses and slows down in fights. He expects a close decision where Park's volume and cardio edge him ahead, possibly mixing in takedowns late. He thinks -150 is about right.

"I think Jung Young Park is super underrated ... I still think Jung Young Park does just enough to get this done and get it done by decision minus 150 um seems about about right to me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody leans toward Park, citing Duraev's red flags: low takedown success rate (1/9 vs Coppola, 2/9 vs Buckley), gas tank issues, and being a low-output striker. He thinks Park's volume and durability will win striking exchanges, but acknowledges Duraev could win via takedowns or cage control. He expects a close, greasy decision and doesn't love the -150 price.

mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop at wide odds
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I don't love the price there because I could see it really going either way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host expects Park's pressure and cardio to wear down Duraev as the fight goes on. He thinks Duraev will have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Park to land damaging strikes and potentially get a late finish or decision. He notes the line is a bit steep but still sees value.

Park wins in round 3 or by decision
"give me either round three park or park by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park, noting Park's recent finishes via rear-naked chokes against grapplers, but thinks that path is off the table here. He expects Park to keep it on the feet and use his chin, while Duraev hasn't shown power. He thinks it goes the full 15 minutes and leans Park at -150, but acknowledges judging could swing either way.

mentioned over 44.5 significant strikes for Park on PrizePicks; also mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I like that to go over the over on that like Park's been finishing his last two fights"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

The MMA Guru picks Albert Duraev over Park Jun-yong, citing Duraev's win over Roman Kopylov, which has aged well, and his finishing potential. He criticizes Park's split decision over Eric Anders and notes his wins came against opponents with clear weaknesses. He believes Duraev is more dangerous in multiple areas and predicts a finish.

"I've got to go derive here I think he's a little bit more dangerous in more areas of the fight than Young Park"