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Age 32
Height 5' 10"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 31
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Nazim Sadykhov
4.79 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
5.49 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.1 TD Avg
45.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Terrance McKinney
6.53 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
3.45 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
3.31 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
2.1 Sub. Avg
Nazim Sadykhov
Moneyline
BetWay -150
KO/TKO
BetRivers +145
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
FanDuel +850
Terrance McKinney
Moneyline
Caesars +145
KO/TKO
BetRivers +310
Submission
FanDuel +460
Decision
FanDuel +1600
Nazim Sadykhov - Fight History
SCHED vs Matheus Camilo
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Matheus Camilo vs. Nazim Sadykhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sadykhov (-250); Camilo (+200)

Round 1
Long Island, New York’s favorite Azerbaijani, Sadykhov, faces off against Camilo in this lightweight feature, with Rich Mitchell set to officiate. Sadykhov comes out southpaw, Camilo orthodox, but Sadykhov is switching stances constantly in the opening exchanges. Sadykhov is coming forward, maneuvering Camilo around the cage, herding him with half-speed kicks, trying to walk him into the fence.
Camilo catches Sadykhov coming in with a brutal right hand that drops him in a heap. Sadykhov covers up as Camilo pounces and drops three or four big hammerfists onto his raised arm and glove, at which point Mitchell dives in for the rescue.
The Baku crowd erupts in boos and Sadykhov springs up to protest, but he had taken several flush shots while doing nothing but shell up. Debate will ensue, but it goes down as a TKO win for Camilo, who climbs the Octagon fence and lets out a jubilant roar that echoes in the suddenly hushed arena.

The Official Result
Matheus Camilo def. Nazim Sadykhov R1 1:31 via TKO (Punches)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

AJ picks Sadykhov by knockout in round 3, believing Camilo's cardio is suspect and that Sadykhov's boxing power will prevail late. He notes Camilo may have early success with grappling but will fade. Sadykhov is fighting in Azerbaijan, adding motivation.

Sadykhov by KO +185; Sadykhov over 1.5 KO +550; Sadykhov round 3 +1000; Camilo round 1 or 2 +425.
"I think Sadikov by finish in round three. I think he gets a third round KO."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

AJ picks Sadykhov by third-round knockout, citing his better boxing, power, and durability. He thinks Camilo's jiu-jitsu is a threat but that Sadykhov can defend and outwork him. AJ expects Camilo to fade and Sadykhov to light him up late.

"I'm going to pick Nazim Sadikov by third round knockout. I think he's going to get a later stage KO of Matus Camilo."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

AJ DeVito suggests Nazim Sadykhov is live for a later-stage knockout, possibly in round three. He thinks Camilo may wrestle early but Sadykhov's toughness and power will prevail. He mentions props for Sadykhov to win by KO over 1.5 rounds at +550 and win in round 3 at +1000.

Sadykhov by KO over 1.5 rounds at +550; Sadykhov win round 3 at +1000.
"Nazim Sadikov to win by KO over one and a half rounds is plus 550. I do think he's live for a later stage finish."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

AJ picks Sadykhov by late knockout, citing his hand speed and power advantage. He worries about Camilo's grappling but believes Sadykhov's dog mentality and home crowd will carry him. Expects Sadykhov to land combinations and finish a fatigued Camilo in the third round.

Sadykhov by KO in round 3. Sadykhov -230 favorite.
"I think I gotta go Nazim Sadikov. But like I think Camilo's live as [ __ ] dude."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo picks Nazim due to his technical striking and toughness, but is hesitant because Nazim has been dropped in almost every fight and is a slow starter. He notes that Nazim's chin is a major concern and that he cannot bet on him at -220 odds, though he will root for him.

won't bet at -220 odds
"I am going to pick Nazim here, but only because of how technical he is, how tough he is, and his ability to sneak in wrestling if he needs to. But, I don't think I can pull the trigger at …"
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo includes Nazim Sadykhov in a parlay but admits he is not that confident in him, calling him his least confident leg. He suggests removing Nazim from the parlay.

"Nazim Sadykhov. I'm not that confident in Nazim, frankly, but I threw him in there anyway."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo picks Sadykhov as the better striker, but warns he is chinny and has been dropped in recent fights. He thinks Sadykhov should win but is not worth the -240 price. He expects Sadykhov to win a decision.

"I think Nazim Sadikov is the better striker. Therefore, I am picking him to win and he's at home. But I'm not spending minus 240. 94% of people picking a man that was dropped in his last couple of fights …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Big Brady picks Nazim Sadykhov to knock out Matheus Camilo in the second round. He notes Sadykhov has heart, cardio, and a never-quit attitude, while Camilo has poor cardio and has quit before. Sadykhov is hittable and has been dropped, but Brady expects him to push the pace and break Camilo in the second round, similar to his comeback win over Nicholas Motta.

win by knockout in the second round
"Give me Nazim Satakov to put up a fight of the night type performance and knock out Camello in the second round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)

Cody passes on this fight, seeing no edge. He thinks the moneyline is about right and doesn't want to lay -220 on Sadykhov. He notes slight edge to the under but overall passes.

"I'm going to be completely completely honest, I don't really see an edge on this fight whatsoever."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Daniel Levi confidently picks Nazim Sadykhov to win by late finish, citing Matheus Camilo's history of quitting when pressured. He notes Camilo was tapped out by a 'weed dealer' and broke against the ghost of Slava Claus. Levi expects a rocky first round for Sadykhov but predicts he will take over in the second or third round and finish Camilo emphatically in his home country.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I think late second round, early third round, Nazim's going to take over this fight and I think he's going to finish this guy in emphatic fashion."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Jacob picks Camilo by submission at huge odds, noting that Sadykhov is vulnerable to grappling and has been outgrappled before. He thinks the submission prop at 11/1 is worth a shot, though he admits it's a value play rather than a strong conviction.

Matheus Camilo wins by submission
"Mat Camo by submission. It's like 11 to one. 11 to one, right? That's [ __ ] crazy work, right? You're telling me that Nazim Sadikov can get outgrappled 108 basically round against FCM, but a Brazilian can't find a …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Lucrative James picks Sadykhov because of his proven comeback ability, durability, cardio, and power. He notes that Sadykhov often starts slow but takes over in later rounds, while Camilo tends to fade after starting well. He highlights Camilo's questionable cardio and quitting in the Gabe Green fight, and believes Sadykhov's pressure and will to win will be decisive. He predicts a round three knockout for Sadykhov.

"I'm picking the Saddakov in this fight. I'll pick him for a round three knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The host is not big on either fighter but believes Sadykhov will wear down Camilo, thwart his grappling, and eventually find a big knockout in front of his home country.

Sadykhov wins by knockout
"I believe Sadykhov will eventually be able to wear down Camilo, thwart the grappling of the Brazilian, and eventually find a big knockout for himself in front of his home country."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Sadykhov is the better wrestler and has power, but his fights are volatile and he often wins on thin margins. Camilo prefers grappling but Sadykhov's defensive grappling should hold. Sadykhov will find big shots in round 2 or 3 for a knockout, but the line is too wide.

Sadykhov wins in round 2 or 3, by knockout
"I think that'll eventually lead to Sadikov finding big shots to put Camilo away in round two or round three."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov but expects a close, contentious decision. He notes Sadykhov's history of struggling in fights and getting knocked down, but believes hometown advantage and judges favoring damage over control time will edge him past Camilo. He is worried about Camilo's wrestling and control time.

"Honestly, this is another fight that I think by the end of the 15 minutes, I'm going to be like, why did I take Satikov at minus 220 and that he's he he's going to win a very close and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The Guru picks Sadykhov via KO, citing his superior footwork, defense, calf kicks, and counter punching. He believes Camilo is not experienced enough and will leave openings. He expects Sadykhov to land accurately and finish, possibly by knockout.

Parlay of the week with Daniil Donchenko
"Nazim Sadykhov via KO is my prediction."
LOSS vs Farès Ziam
KO R2 4:59 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 0 4 of 16 25% 7 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Farès Ziam 1 31 of 49 63% 76 of 96 2 of 5 40% 2 0 5:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 0 of 1 0% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Farès Ziam 0 8 of 10 80% 49 of 53 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:22
2 Nazim Sadykhov 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Farès Ziam 1 23 of 39 58% 27 of 43 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 4 of 16 25% 1 of 11 0 of 0 3 of 5 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Farès Ziam 31 of 49 63% 21 of 36 2 of 3 8 of 10 18 of 31 4 of 5 9 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Farès Ziam 8 of 10 80% 3 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 4 3 of 4
2 Nazim Sadykhov 4 of 15 26% 1 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 5 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Farès Ziam 23 of 39 58% 18 of 32 0 of 1 5 of 6 16 of 29 1 of 1 6 of 9
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nazim Sadykhov vs. Fares Ziam
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ziam (-135), Sadykhov (+114)

Round 1
Jason Herzog is the referee. Ziam follows a leg kick with a body kick, and Sadykhov ties him up and pushes his foe to the fence. Ziam reverses the position and lands some knees to the thighs. Ziam lifs his foe and briefly dumps him on the mat. The Frenchman continues to control the clinch, punching the body. Ziam lifts Sadykhov, pulls him away from the fence and taked him down. Ziam transitions nicely to an arm-triangle choke attempt before moving to the back as Sadykhov attempts to scramble to his feet. Ziam is on Sadykhov’s back, and he drags him down to a seated position. “Smile Killer” has his hooks in, and he switches to a body triangle as he peppers Sadykhov with short shots. Ziam is looking to create opening for a rear-naked choke, but Sadykhov is defending well. Ziam elbows the shoulder of his opponent while still attached to the back. Sadykhov continues to fight the hands of his opponent as time ticks down, and he’ll survive to see another five minutes.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ziam

Round 2
Sadykhov looks to find punching range and Ziam backs him up with a high kick. The Frenchman lands some long punches, taking advantage of his reach. A jab from Ziam appears to briefly stun Sadykhov. Ziam moves in and lands a jab. A front kick makes Sadykhov stumble backwards momentarily. Ziam targets the lead leg of Sadykhov. Sadykhov is strugglling to find openings on the feet. Ziam lands a long right hand before changing levels against the fence. Sadykhov reverses the position and presses his foe into the fence. Ziam reverses and works for a high crotch takedown, punishing the leg of his opponent with a kick. Moments later, Ziam pulls Sadykhov off the fence and lands a takedown. The Frenchman is quickly working to take the back while hunting for a choke. Sadykhov scrambles but he can’t free himself from Ziam’s clutches. Sadykhov gets to a knee and then attempts to stand. But with time winding down in the frame,
Ziam creates some space and rocks Sadykhov with a pair of nasty elbows behind the ear. Sadykhov tumbles to the floor and covers up as Ziam unloads with unanswered ground-and-pound before the horn sounds.
Herzog has been taking a close look at the final salvo, and he elects to wave off the fight. It appears to be the right call because Sadykhov is on wobbly legs as he protests the stoppage. That's six straight victories for Ziam.

The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Nazim Sadykhov via TKO (Elbows and Punches) R2 4:59
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo picks Nazim Sadykhov, acknowledging he has never correctly picked a Farès Ziam fight. He describes Ziam as a technical but boring fighter who sneaks out wins, while Sadykhov is a solid kickboxer with speed, power, and the ability to mix in wrestling. Angelo notes Sadykhov's comeback win over Nicholas Motta and believes his skills will overcome Ziam's style. He bet on Sadykhov at better odds earlier.

bet placed earlier at better odds
"Nazim's the pick. I bet on him. We got him at much better odds than this."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Big Brady picks Nazim Sadykhov as a dog, calling him a 'madman' with a dog in him. He acknowledges Ziam is more technical and has improved his grappling, but expects Sadykhov to push a pace and make it a dog fight. He predicts Sadykhov wins by decision.

Sadykhov by decision
"I'm going to take the dog and in what I think is going to be a dog fight, I'm going to say Nazim Satakov wins this fight and wins it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Cody picks Ziam, noting his improved takedown defense and technical striking. He believes Ziam's length and Muay Thai will be effective against Sadykhov, who is prone to being outworked. He mentions that Ziam has shown durability and has never been knocked down. He thinks Ziam will win a decision.

"For me, I just feel like Zam's the guy that's making a little more progress in his overall career that you see an improved version of him fight to fight."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Farès Ziam

Connor picks Farès Ziam, noting that Ziam has improved his striking and wrestling, becoming a more aggressive and dangerous fighter. He believes Ziam's well-rounded game and ability to control range will be too much for Sadykhov, who is a brute but has blank spaces in his game. Connor warns that Sadykhov is dangerous and can turn a fight around.

"My instinct is to say that Farah Ziyam's game makes too much sense for Sadikov to beat him."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Daniel picks Ziam, citing his technical striking, reach advantage, and maturity. He expects Ziam to stay disciplined at range and outpoint Sadykhov, though he acknowledges Sadykhov's durability and power. He predicts a unanimous decision for Ziam.

"Ultimately, I think that Farzam is going to hand Nazim Sadikov his first UFCL."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Lucrative James finds this a tough fight to call. He notes that Nazim Sadykhov often gets outmaneuvered early but lands comeback finishes, while Ziam is more technical and durable. He thinks Ziam's fight IQ and ability to avoid big moments will allow him to win a decision. However, he is not confident and would not bet on either fighter at close odds.

"I'm going to end up picking Fesam here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Farès Ziam

The host believes Sadykhov's reliance on power will be exposed. He views Ziam as the superior technical striker who can handle Sadykhov's big shots and nullify his grappling, leading to a decision win.

win by decision
"I think ZM is the superior technical striker. He should be able to roll with the big shots of Sadikov and I think he should be able to nullify most of Sadikov's grappling game. That should lead to ZM outstriking …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Paul agrees, citing Ziam's reach advantage and technical striking. He notes that Sadykhov loses chunks of fights and relies on one big shot. He believes Ziam's durability and improved grappling will allow him to outpoint Sadykhov. He picks Ziam by decision.

"Zion for me and it kind of comes down to the same intangibles as well with just the length reach probably making it more of an ugly fight than what Nazam Sadakov wants."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

The Guru picks Farès Ziam over Nazim Sadykhov, citing Ziam's reach advantage and slick striking. He notes Sadykhov's wins have asterisks and he struggled against lower-level opponents. The Guru predicts a clean 30-27 decision for Ziam.

"I think Zam's going to win a clean slick 30-27 clear decision shutting down Sadikov."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Farès Ziam

Zane picks Farès Ziam, agreeing that Ziam's game is more coherent and that he has improved significantly. He notes that Sadykhov is a strange fighter who can make bad decisions but turn fights around with athleticism. Zane believes Ziam can stay ahead and control the fight, but must be careful throughout.

"I think you're right. I think that Ziyam has built enough of a solid, well-rounded competitive game everywhere to win this and to stay ahead of Sadikov all the way through."
WIN vs Nikolas Motta
KO R2 4:17 · UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 1 93 of 150 62% 102 of 161 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:29
Nikolas Motta 1 66 of 157 42% 76 of 168 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 39 of 63 61% 45 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:05
Nikolas Motta 1 36 of 82 43% 44 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Nazim Sadykhov 1 54 of 87 62% 57 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Nikolas Motta 0 30 of 75 40% 32 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 93 of 150 62% 60 of 114 25 of 27 8 of 9 58 of 109 33 of 38 2 of 3
Nikolas Motta 66 of 157 42% 46 of 136 16 of 16 4 of 5 54 of 135 12 of 22 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 39 of 63 61% 21 of 43 12 of 13 6 of 7 25 of 46 14 of 17 0 of 0
Nikolas Motta 36 of 82 43% 23 of 68 9 of 9 4 of 5 28 of 72 8 of 10 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 54 of 87 62% 39 of 71 13 of 14 2 of 2 33 of 63 19 of 21 2 of 3
Nikolas Motta 30 of 75 40% 23 of 68 7 of 7 0 of 0 26 of 63 4 of 12 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nikolas Motta vs. Nazim Sadykhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sadykhov (-470), Motta (+360)

Round 1
In one of the wider betting lines on the billing, local finisher Sadykhov (10-1-1, 3-0-1 UFC) is a massive favorite upwards of -500 ahead of his match with “Iron” Motta (15-5, 1 NC; 3-2, 1 NC UFC). It is not to say there is a setup being planned, but it just so happens that Motta has lost all of his bouts by stoppage, and this pairing is on the ABC-based main card for a reason. Motta also hits like a 155-pound truck, and in this sport, there is no such thing as a sure thing. The two combatants touch gloves before the eyes of referee Lukasz Bosacki, and Sadykhov starts off with several low kicks. Motta comes back firing with punches up high, and Sadykhov parries them and pulls off a reverse crescent kick with his lead leg. Motta answers strong with a body kick and a few punches, and Sadykhov hops around to find a better way in. Sadykhov walks face-first into a left hand, and he allows Motta to kick him so he can blast him with a left hook. The crowd is going wild for their home country fighter, who surges forward with two hooks. Motta splits the guard with a few straight punches, and he eats a right hand and is able to block a head kick in time. Sadykhov chips at the front leg, and Motta rushes at him with a left to the body. Motta lets his hands go, catching Sadykhov with fiery fists, backing Sadykhov to the wall and hurting him badly. Motta unloads with everything he has, putting Sadykhov down thanks to his body shots. Sadykhov shells up against the wall, swaying and dodging but not doing anything else, Motta keeps bludgeoning him, until he suddenly stops and backs off, possibly low on steam. Sadykhov surges into action, booting Motta upside the head and chaining several mighty fists behind it. Sadykhov’s momentum and offense pushes Motta to the wall, and Bosacki warns him for grabbing the fence to keep him there. The two break, and Sadykhov lays into his foe with an elbow. Motta still has the energy to lace a flurry together, and Sadykhov gives him plenty to think about including a head kick at the end. Sadykhov backs Motta up and starts doing damage, only to get clipped on the way. Sadykhov kicks high, and Motta kicks him back harder. Sadykhov shoots in low for a double, and Motta stops him but has his back against the wall. Sadykhov leans on him, and both fighters take some time to catch their wind. Right before the bell, Sadykhov drives a knee to the gut and lets go with two elbows. Motta smiles at him.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Motta
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Motta
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Motta

Round 2
The fighters touch gloves, and Sadykhov is the initial aggressor but is pushed back thanks to a Motta right hand. Motta blocks a kick and responds with his own head kick, and the two both share single punches. Sadykhov lets loose with a spinning wheel kick that glances off the guard, but his straight left hand finds the market. Motta sticks his tongue out, but Sadykhov rails him in the face with a head-splitting combination. Blood streams down the Brazilian’s face, who nevertheless marches forward to strike. Sadykhov backs him off briefly with a combination, keeping his guard up to defend the head kick. Motta’s wound is leaking all over, and Sadykhov jabs him to the body with his foot. Sadykhov lands first, but Motta lands last and harder with an elbow that staggers the local. Sadykhov strings three punches together with a head kick at the end, and “Iron Motta” shows his durability as he remains in the slugfest. Sadykhov shrugs the worst of the blows off to give them back with a vengeance, and Motta attacks the body and rips punches around the guard. The two fight in a phone booth, slashing one another with elbows before Motta clinches up to take a moment. Sadykhov shoves him back and has his guard up to block punches, and then they let loose with a fierce exchange. Sadykhov further busts up Motta, but Motta will not go down and is hitting him back just as hard. They elbow one another, the crowd is exploding, and the fighters are giving it everything they have. Motta unloads with a series of uppercuts as Sadykhov comes towards him, and it is Sadykhov who leans on his opponent to catch his breath. Motta bleeds all over him, similarly glad to have the brief respite.
Sadykhov flips the switch, obliterating the current decision streak by letting loose with a hellacious flurry of body shots and punches up top. As “Black Wolf” delivers the payload of a destructive right hand square on the chin, Motta’s knees finally give way beneath him. Motta crumples to his seat, and Sadykhov demolishes him with a few more right hands until Bosacki waves things off.
The audience goes ballistic as the Azerbaijani secures the dramatic victory in a bloody battle that will reach year-end consideration for sure. The barn was burned, the slobber was knocked and the fists resulted in fireworks after nearly two rounds of terrific action. Both fighters should take a bow for that performance.

The Official Result
Nazim Sadykhov def. Nikolas Motta R2 4:17 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo picks Nazim Sadykhov, praising his striking and footwork. He notes that Nazim is a very good striker and has looked fantastic since his only loss. He acknowledges that Nikolas Motta is a good fighter with fast hands and power, but thinks Nazim is the slightly better striker and can win by finish. He warns that Motta is dangerous and the fight could get weird.

Mentions Nazim can win by finish; considers him for lineups but notes Motta's danger.
"I'm going to pick Nazim. I'm probably going to put him in a lineup or two, but we can't just ignore that Nicholas Ma is actually a good fighter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Big Brady is a big fan of Sadykhov in this matchup, citing durability as the key factor. He notes Sadykhov has never been knocked out, while Motta has been finished in all five losses. Brady thinks Sadykhov is more well-rounded, has better cardio, and a good ground game. He predicts Sadykhov will knock out Motta, possibly in the second round, but wouldn't be surprised by a submission.

second round knockout
"I like Satakov. I think he can knock out Moda."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Connor picks Sadykhov, agreeing that Motta's tendency to jump in with combinations and lack of distance management will be exploited by Sadykhov's countering and physicality. He notes that Sadykhov is not shallow in any area and is a tough, durable fighter who can take a shot and keep coming. He believes Motta's confidence issues, as seen against Ogden, will resurface against a strong opponent like Sadykhov.

"Mata coming at him chin first. And it's going to be able to walk him into something. And Sadokob has really proven to be a brute."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Nikolas Motta

The host is surprised Sadykhov is such a big favorite. He acknowledges Sadykhov's knockout power but thinks Motta has rounded out his game enough to eat big shots and put together a better body of work. He expects Motta to touch up Sadykhov, mix in takedowns, and win on the scorecards, noting Motta is live as a +340 underdog.

underdog at +340
"Another fight where I'm very surprised at Sadikov being such a big favorite. Sure, he has the knockout power to potentially cause MO some problems, but I think MOT has really rounded out his game well enough to be effective …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The MMA Guru picks Nazim Sadykhov, calling him 'really, really good'. He acknowledges Nikolas Motta's underrated skills and dangerous hooks but believes Sadykhov's defensive striking and pressure will prevail. He warns about Motta's lunging hooks but expects Sadykhov to adjust and finish late second or third round via TKO.

Sadykhov wins by TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'm gonna go with Nazim Sadikov. I think he's really good. I think Nazim Sadikov is really, really good."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Zane picks Sadykhov, noting that Motta's recklessness and chin-first approach will play into Sadykhov's power and physicality. He points out that Motta has been broken by lesser fighters like Trey Ogden, and that Sadykhov is a brute who is physical in all areas and has proven durability against Bonfim. He believes Sadykhov will survive Motta's early aggression and catch him with a fight-ending shot.

"I think this is a really, unfortunately, easy pick for Sadokob for me. Yeah, I tend to agree."
WIN vs Ismael Bonfim
KO R1 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ismael Bonfim 0 26 of 42 61% 26 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nazim Sadykhov 0 13 of 46 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ismael Bonfim 0 26 of 42 61% 26 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nazim Sadykhov 0 13 of 46 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ismael Bonfim 26 of 42 61% 14 of 29 5 of 5 7 of 8 24 of 39 2 of 3 0 of 0
Nazim Sadykhov 13 of 46 28% 9 of 35 2 of 7 2 of 4 12 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ismael Bonfim 26 of 42 61% 14 of 29 5 of 5 7 of 8 24 of 39 2 of 3 0 of 0
Nazim Sadykhov 13 of 46 28% 9 of 35 2 of 7 2 of 4 12 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ismael Bonfim vs. Nazim Sadykhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-198), Sadykhov (+164)

Round 1
Hoping to making tonight a winning night for the family, the elder yet lighter Bonfim (20-4, 2-1 UFC) hits the cage. In a class battle of Brazil vs. Azerbaijan, “Marreta” squares off with Sadykhov (9-1-1, 2-0-1 UFC) in what could be a fascinating 155-pound affair. The styles presented by both men could result in some mighty, thrilling clashes before the dust settles, and referee Mark Smith has the best seat in the house. Doing his duties, Smith clocks the fighters in who are already mid-fist bump. They switch stances while looking for range, and Bonfim strikes first with a few punches and a low kick. Sadykhov has a head kick pound into the guard, and he kicks a few times and spins with a failed back fist. Bonfim loops a right hand around the raised block, and he lets Sadykhov wind up so he can blast him with a right hand and let Sadykhov go whizzing past him. Bonfim just misses with a speedy one-two, and he has a second impact off the shoulder. A third gets through, forcing Sadykhov to swing hard at him. Bonfim gets away with an eye poke, and Sadykhov whips a hook kick at him. Bonfim raps two right hands on the side of the melon, and Sadykhov takes them cleanly without overly seeming concerned. Bonfim lunges to connect with two punches, dancing away from a head kick. Bonfim’s one-two is money in the bank as he keeps drilling “Black Wolf” with it, and Sadykhov is tough but under serious fire. Sadykhov swing back with a vengeance, but his hurled strikes are largely coming up short. Bonfim surges forward with punches, bouncing Sadykhov off the wall and back. When Bonfim wraps a kick under the guard, he is able to slide away before Sadykhov can wind up with his own left hand response. Two kicks from Sadykhov are blocked, and a third hits Bonfim right in the eye and messes him up. Bonfim escapes, and Sadykhov rushes after him hitting him with hammers. A few big left hands from Sadykhov bust a cut open under his right eye, and Sadykhov uses the clinch to hang on to the bell.
Between rounds, Bonfim is appearing severely compromised from the head kick. Smith brings in the doctor after letting the corner and cutman do their business. Bonfim claims that he cannot see, and that is all a physician needs to hear to suggest a fight getting called off.
Bonfim is upset, as he says that he both can and can't see, with the ringside doctor saying it can't be both ways. Any complaints no longer matter, as Smith waves the fight off due to the advice of the physician.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sadykhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sadykhov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sadykhov

The Official Result
Nazim Sadykhov def. Ismael Bonfim R1 5:00 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Angelo picks Ismael Bonfim over Nazim Sadykhov, noting that while Sadykhov is talented, his wins have caveats (e.g., Evan Elder was beating him before a cut, Terrence McKinney was beating him before gassing). He believes Bonfim will stay busy with striking and may mix in takedowns, and that Bonfim won't gas or get cut like Sadykhov's previous opponents.

"I think Ishmael stays busy with the Striking may or may not work in his own takedown I am going to pick Ishmael bonfim here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Big Brady picks Bonfim by decision, noting he is the better striker with good boxing and defensive responsibility. Sadykhov has volume issues and was outlanded by Evan Elder. Bonfim has takedown defense to keep it standing and a good chin. Sadykhov may land a big shot but Bonfim has never been knocked out.

"I got Bon here I think he wins this fight and wins it by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Connor picks Ismael Bonfim, agreeing with Zane that Bonfim is more technical. He notes that Sadykhov is a brute with a shallow game who breaks down when out-techniqued. Connor highlights Bonfim's arrogance as a potential weakness but believes Sadykhov's lack of horsepower means Bonfim can successfully pressure and break him. He also notes that Sadykhov will give up the initiative if pressured, unlike Santini, which favors Bonfim.

Connor notes the odds: Bonfim opened at -153 and is now -192, Sadykhov opened at +117 and is now +172. He says the odds make sense but wouldn't get them much wider, as Bonfim has lost a fight like this before.
"I think Bonfiniem is really good, but I, you know, it's all, I guess it's all going off of, well, it's not all going off that one fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Lucrative James picks Ismael Bonfim to win by decision, but admits he does not have a strong read on this fight and needs to do more tape study. He sees Bonfim as the more technical striker with better leg kicks and a well-rounded game, while Sadykhov is a brawler with power and durability. He thinks Bonfim's experience and technicality will allow him to outpoint Sadykhov over three rounds, but acknowledges Sadykhov could land a big shot or win a war. He is not confident enough to recommend a bet.

"I'm going to pick bom them in this fight I think that he's going to win a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Ismael Bonfim

Bonfim has the experience advantage and more to bring to the table. As long as Sadykhov doesn't land a big power shot, Bonfim dictates pace and pressure and wins on the scorecards.

"I believe that Bonfim will showcase that experience advantage here against Nazim Sadykhov... Bonfim should be able to dictate the pace and pressure of this fight and end up winning it on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

The MMA Guru picks Ismael Bonfim over Nazim Sadykhov, noting Bonfim's slickness and more options. He criticizes Sadykhov for letting fights get scrappy and lacking ability to force things. He believes Bonfim's time off has allowed improvement and he will deliver, though he jokes about Bonfim's reaction to his brother's potential loss.

"I'm gonna go with ishmail bum furm here over nazim sadikov"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Zane picks Ismael Bonfim, citing Bonfim's superior technical skills in striking, wrestling, and grappling compared to Sadykhov. He notes that Sadykhov's game breaks down when faced with better technique, as he only wants to fight one way. Zane acknowledges Bonfim's tendency to make arrogant decisions and give up positions, but believes Sadykhov lacks the horsepower to capitalize like Santini did. He also points out that Sadykhov is more of an opportunist on the ground, not a constrictor, reducing the risk of Bonfim getting caught.

Zane notes the odds: Bonfim opened at -153 and is now -192, Sadykhov opened at +117 and is now +172. He says the odds make sense but wouldn't get them much wider, as Bonfim has lost a fight like this before.
"I think I'll take Bonfiniem too, but yeah, and that is different between him."
Draw (majority) (28–29, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 1 91 of 207 43% 109 of 228 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:32
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 143 of 241 59% 144 of 242 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 58 of 79 73% 58 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nazim Sadykhov 1 39 of 77 50% 51 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:06
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 29 of 60 48% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Nazim Sadykhov 0 29 of 62 46% 35 of 69 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:24
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 56 of 102 54% 56 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 91 of 207 43% 65 of 172 19 of 26 7 of 9 66 of 175 5 of 8 20 of 24
Viacheslav Borshchev 143 of 241 59% 87 of 178 30 of 34 26 of 29 141 of 239 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 23 of 68 33% 12 of 52 8 of 11 3 of 5 22 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Viacheslav Borshchev 58 of 79 73% 27 of 46 14 of 15 17 of 18 58 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 39 of 77 50% 35 of 72 3 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 53 2 of 2 18 of 22
Viacheslav Borshchev 29 of 60 48% 16 of 46 7 of 7 6 of 7 27 of 58 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Nazim Sadykhov 29 of 62 46% 18 of 48 8 of 11 3 of 3 25 of 55 2 of 5 2 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 56 of 102 54% 44 of 86 9 of 12 3 of 4 56 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Viacheslav Borshchev vs. Nazim Sadykhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sadykhov (-135), Borshchev (+114)

Round 1
Two strikers from Asia that relocated to America to train with prominent MMA gyms will do battle in this next lightweight affair. Winner of nine straight since dropping his pro debut, Azerbaijan-born Longo/Weidman MMA product Sadykhov (9-1, 2-0 UFC) will step into the Octagon to throw hands with Russia’s Borshchev (7-3, 2-2 UFC) out of the Team Alpha Male Stable. Bragging rights for the camps and a step up the pecking order will be in store for the winner, and before that happens, the lightweights clap hands. Referee Keith Peterson dons his proverbial hard hat and boots nonsense to the curb as these two flamethrowers with 89% and 86% stoppage rates, respectively, are about to go at it. Sadykhov strikes first with a low kick, and Borshchev responds with a side kick to the lead leg as well. The two trade kicks to the same targets, and Sadykhov gets off a jab to the body and has a head kick glance off the guard. “Slava” steps back and goes low with a kick, before going high with his shin. Sadykhov guards them both and knees the body, and he considers a level change but lets it go. A powerful kick from the Team Alpha Male forces Sadykhov to spin all the way around to recover, and when he resets, he lines up a right hand down Broadway. Sadykhov takes a few more thudding leg kicks, and Borshchev strings together punches up high and trips Sadykhov up with a kick on the way out. Sadykhov gathers himself and keeps his guard high to block the oncoming fire, and he checks a kick and backs Borshchev off before shooting in on the hips. Borshchev shuts it down and blasts Sadykhov to the body with a right hand, and Sadykhov retaliates with counters. Borshchev hammers the leg with a kick and strings four punches together to immediately follow it, and then retreats to sneak an inside leg kick in after. Sadykhov comes up short with a one-two, and he pops Borshchev with a leg and eats a right hand. Sadykhov continues barreling forward, letting loose with fists and a body kick. Borshchev reels and kicks the leg to spin Sadykhov around again, and he jackhammers the front leg to make Sadykhov stumble. A powerful left hand from Sadykhov rattles “Slava,” forcing the Russian-born fighter to backpedal. Sadykhov marches him down, but Borshchev has recovered in time and is ready to throw hands. Borshchev lambastes Sadykhov with another vicious kick, and Sadykhov tries to spin through it with a back fist. Borshchev blocks and connects with a right hand, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev

Round 2
The fighters clap hands again to lead off the round, and Sadykhov advances to load up on four punches, then goes after a high kick at the conclusion of a combination. Borshchev counters and drills Sadykhov’s lead wheel with a kick, and Sadykhov raises it gingerly and hops around before changing stances. Borshchev strides forward, brimming with confidence, and he puts seven or eight punches on his opponent before spinning Sadykhov all the way around with a devastating leg kick. Sadykhov absorbs two punches flush on the chin and is ready to lash out, only for Borshchev to duck and spin with a back fist that smacks him upside the noggin. Sadykhov shakes it off and walks through a calf kick to pat out jabs, and he ducks under a looping left hand. Sadykhov fakes with a kick and rifles two punches up top, and Borshchev retaliates immediately with a body kick. Sadykhov unloads with a left hand, and Borshchev is rocked badly. Sadykhov releases a high kick that knocks Borshchev to his seat, and he leaps on top to strike. Borshchev gathers his thoughts while on his back, but Sadykhov is not about to let him off the hook as he slashes down with an elbow that splits Borshchev’s head wide open. Borshchev looks to scramble, and he manages to get back to his feet out of sheer force of will. Sadykhov cracks his foe with a few punches, and a big one-two knocks Borshchev back. Sadykhov times his strikes to attempt a takedown, and he puts “Slava” on his back. Borshchev defends and even trips Sadykhov, but Sadykhov steps over to claim full mount, all while blood pours in Borshchev’s eyes. Sadykhov gets dragged to half guard and considers an arm-triangle choke, and he drops down a few elbows. Borshchev turns to his stomach and powers his way back up, and he lands once but gets knocked back. Sadykhov hurts him again, and he tanks an elbow on the chin right at the bell to make him raise his arms in the air in celebration.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sadykhov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Sadykhov
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Sadykhov

Round 3
After a little examination, Borshchev is cleared to continue, and he is grinning as he is ready to start off the last round. Sadykhov races towards him throwing punches, and he slips a strike and marks the body. Borshchev kicks the leg to spin Sadykhov around, and Sadykhov tackles him down courtesy of a single. Borshchev bucks and twists to try to kick Sadykhov off of him, and Sadykhov frustrates him with a few strikes but cannot keep him there. Borshchev turns over and pops back to his feet, where he is ready to throw hands. Borshchev works the body, and Sadykhov responds with a knee that splits the guard. They trade right hands at the same time, and Borshchev slams his fist into Sadykhov’s midsection and measures a high kick that is barely blocked. Borshchev continues investing in body work, and he lines up a few punches that ring Sadykhov’s bell. Sadykhov tries to recover and takes a left to the body and a right to the head. Borshchev leans back to dodge a strike and snipes Sadykhov with a right hand, and he strings four and then two punches together in rapid succession before kicking out Sadykhov’s leg. Borshchev rips the body and goes up top, and he completely ignores a head kick. Borshchev kicks him back with a heavier blow, leading Sadykhov to crash the pocket and take him to the mat. Borshchev uses his legs and an active butterfly guard to keep Sadykhov from advancing, and Sadykhov jumps over to take a dominant position but only holds it for a second before Borshchev is flipped over and turned to his knees. Borshchev climbs back up and works the body, and a knee bounces off his head that makes Sadykhov tumble to the mat. Borshchev kicks the leg and trades punches, and he evades a head kick and counters with a left hook. Borshchev connects with a partial Superman punch, and he boxes Sadykhov up with punches in bunches. Sadykhov is relegated to single strikes, and he rushes forward to take Borshchev down. Borshchev stands with a second to go, and he blocks a high knee to conclude the fight. Depending on how judges scored the second round, this blood-and-guts thriller could end up as a draw.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (28-28)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (28-28)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (28-28)

The Official Result
Viacheslav Borshchev vs. Nazim Sadykhov is Scored a Majority Draw (29-28, 28-28, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Borshchev, trusting his striking pressure and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Sadykhov is not a grappler and will likely strike, which favors Borshchev. He acknowledges Sadykhov could win a decision but leans on Borshchev's power and volume.

"I like viav to win this fight... I'm going to trust the absolute nonstop striking pressure."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Viacheslav Borshchev to win by first-round knockout. He praises Borshchev's incredible striking and notes that opponents constantly try to take him down because they want nothing to do with his striking. He worries that Sadykhov doesn't wrestle enough to exploit Borshchev's poor takedown defense, and that Sadykhov was outstruck by Evan Elder. Brady expects a striking battle and favors Borshchev's power.

Borshchev by first-round knockout
"I'm going to take another dog here, I'm gonna take Slava Borshchev to win this fight by knockout... give me Slava by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Cody leans Borshchev, expecting a striking match where Borshchev's volume and durability give him an edge. He notes Sadykhov hasn't shown wrestling in the UFC, and Borshchev's takedown defense and ability to get up are solid. He's not confident but sees value.

"borchev will be the official pick just on the fact that I feel like this is going to be a 15-minute striking Affair"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Borshchev is more tested against better competition and his defensive grappling is improving. He should be able to keep the fight in the striking realm where he has a decided advantage. Expects Borshchev to batter Sadykhov and eventually finish him by knockout in the second or third round. Surprised to see Borshchev as the underdog and happy to take a shot on him.

finish by knockout in round 2 or 3
"I was kind of surprised to see borchev as the underdog here and I was more than happy to take a shot on him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Paul picks Borshchev, citing Sadykhov's lack of wrestling and questionable takedown defense. He thinks Borshchev's striking and cardio will be too much, and that Sadykhov hasn't shown enough to warrant being a favorite. He calls Borshchev a dog play.

"borchev KO official pick for me it's plus 250 at like the only book that has the prop on that right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The MMA Guru picks Nazim Sadykhov, highlighting his grappling as the X-factor. He notes that Sadykhov showed composure against Terrance McKinney's early danger and that his team knows when to use takedowns. He predicts a late second-round submission, as Borshchev is a great striker but has takedown defense issues.

submission in round 2
"I'm going to go of nazim sadikov getting a late second round submission is what I'm going to go for there"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:07 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 0 8 of 15 53% 20 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:55
Terrance McKinney 0 6 of 14 42% 21 of 34 2 of 5 40% 0 0 4:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 5 of 8 62% 16 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:20
Terrance McKinney 0 5 of 8 62% 20 of 28 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:12
2 Nazim Sadykhov 0 3 of 7 42% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:35
Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 8 of 15 53% 6 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 3 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2
Terrance McKinney 6 of 14 42% 3 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2
Terrance McKinney 5 of 8 62% 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 3 of 7 42% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Terrance McKinney 1 of 6 16% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Terrance McKinney vs. Nazim Sadykhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sadykhov (-150), McKinney (+130)

Round 1
The UFC chose wisely when it matched up this lightweight main card opener. Ferocious attacker McKinney (13-5; 3-2 UFC) will trade leather and more with Sadykhov (8-1, 1-0 UFC), and combined they hold 20 finishes across their 21 wins. The judges may not be required, but it is an almost certainty that referee Keith Peterson will be called on before it is all said and done. Before the nonsense-free violence ensues, the two clap hands. McKinney darts forward with a jab outstretched, and he counters a leg kick with a left hand. McKinney drops down suddenly in pursuit of a takedown, but the fighter from Azerbaijan shuts him down and gets shoved to the wall. McKinney doggedly pursues the body lock and trip, and he dumps Sadykhov down to his seat. McKinney quickly circles around to take the back, and he locks up the body triangle around the waist as he hunts for a choke. Sadykhov hand-fights well to break up an attempt, so McKinney slams his elbow in to the side of the head to soften him up. Sadykhov keeps his arms up high above his head to prevent any submission from getting close, and the two hand-fight as McKinney looks for a better grip. McKinney smacks the side, and Sadykhov effectively protects himself from anything worse. McKinney alternates one arm or the other to sneak in a rear-naked choke, but Sadykhov is wise to each and every move even though he is getting his midsection crushed with the body lock. McKinney thumps the temple and then side with his left hand, and Sadykhov wall-walks in hopes of breaking up the posture or getting some space. McKinney fishes his right arm around the head to try to secure something, and when he does, Sadykhov turns to his side and breaks up the body lock. Sadykhov spins rapidly to take top position, and he stands himself up. McKinney dives after him for a takedown, but when that fails, they both get back up. Sadykhov charges at his opponent, and McKinney eats two left hands and clinches up. The round ends in this position, with many likely surprised it reached the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McKinney
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 McKinney
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 McKinney

Round 2
Sadykhov races out of his corner to start the second round, backing McKinney right up to the wall. They both sling right hooks, and McKinney hops to the side as he avoids a knee. Sadykhov unloads with a few punches, and McKinney shoots in for a takedown. Sadykhov grabs the fence multiple times to stop it, and Peterson slaps his hand on two separate occasions. This allows Sadykhov to climb on top, and McKinney rolls over to his belly.
McKinney has his left arm trapped in the exchange, and he gets flattened out by the man from Azerbaijan. The rear-naked choke is sunk in with ease, as McKinney is unable to defend it with just one arm in play. After just a second or two, McKinney taps out, and Sadykhov has completely turned the tables after handily dropping the first round.
The victorious Serra-Longo product notches just his second submission as a pro, and he declares that the “world is a boomerang” in his post-fight interview, having avenged the past loss for teammate Matt Frevola.

The Official Result
Nazim Sadykhov def. Terrance McKinney R2 1:07 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo gives a slight lean to Terrance McKinney, calling it a 50.5 to 49.5 pick in his favor. He thinks McKinney is the better fighter overall, with solid striking and wrestling credentials, but his chin is questionable. He is swayed by a conversation with McKinney's coach about improved training partners. However, he hesitates because McKinney was recently knocked out and Sadykhov carries power late. He would only bet if the line moves to make McKinney a bigger underdog.

"I'm gonna give the slightest lean towards Terence McKinney because I do think he's the better fighter all in all but when I say slightest lean like 50 50 means there's no pick I'm going 49 and a half to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney, expecting him to revert to his aggressive style and finish Sadykhov early. He notes Sadykhov is a slow starter who has been hurt early in fights, which plays into McKinney's strengths. However, he warns that if McKinney doesn't finish in the first few minutes, his poor cardio will be a problem. He calls it a great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives the first round.

First round knockout; great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives first half of round
"I'm gonna say McKenney knocks out satikov in the first round great live betting spot if Santa Claus survives the first half of a round probably live at him here because I just don't think McKinney has more than a …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody picks McKinney at plus money, citing his explosiveness, power, and wrestling advantage. He thinks McKinney will go back to his aggressive style after pacing himself poorly against Bomfim. He notes Sadykhov's takedown defense issues and that McKinney has speed and power advantages. He acknowledges McKinney's cardio is a concern but thinks he can finish early.

under 1.5 rounds
"I gotta go with Terence McKinney... he's likely gonna go for it and he's got an ability to potentially knock out or submit most guys in this division very early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host highlights McKinney's 17 of 18 fights finishing under 1.5 rounds and 15 first-round finishes. He thinks Sadykhov is hittable and lacks durability, and McKinney's explosivity and power will be too much. He picks McKinney to win in round one, either by KO or submission.

McKinney wins in round 1; under 1.5 rounds
"give me round one McKinney I'm gonna just go round one McKinney you know I mean he can pull off the sub where he can pull off The Knockout I think he's capable of both but I'm gonna go round …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov, citing his ability to fight 15 full minutes and survive early pressure. He notes McKinney's cardio fades after 5-6 minutes and that Sadykhov can take damage and come back. He mentions Sadykhov's cut stoppage win over Elder was competitive, not one-sided. He thinks a live bet on Sadykhov after the first round is a good strategy.

live bet on Sadykhov after first round
"I got a side with them at minus 135... buyer beware he was down two rounds on all all judges scorecards against Evan Elder and then the you know Landing Landing a perfect what elbow to to cut open Elder"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney over Nazim Sadykhov, citing McKinney's KO power and ability to catch opponents, as seen against Matt Frevola. He worries about McKinney's KO loss but notes his youth and six-month layoff. He sees Sadykhov as a forward-momentum scrapper who could run into a big shot, predicting a McKinney KO.

"I'm gonna go with Terence McKinney here I I do worry that maybe he'll be exposed again but I'm gonna have to go with him to win this one"
WIN vs Evan Elder
TKO (doctor stoppage) R3 0:38 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 0 64 of 132 48% 71 of 141 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Evan Elder 1 70 of 142 49% 84 of 158 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 28 of 74 37% 28 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Evan Elder 1 35 of 78 44% 36 of 79 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Nazim Sadykhov 0 29 of 45 64% 36 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Evan Elder 0 32 of 53 60% 45 of 68 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:33
3 Nazim Sadykhov 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Evan Elder 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 64 of 132 48% 38 of 103 19 of 20 7 of 9 54 of 118 10 of 14 0 of 0
Evan Elder 70 of 142 49% 25 of 87 36 of 46 9 of 9 60 of 129 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 28 of 74 37% 15 of 58 8 of 9 5 of 7 26 of 68 2 of 6 0 of 0
Evan Elder 35 of 78 44% 16 of 55 15 of 19 4 of 4 34 of 75 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 29 of 45 64% 20 of 36 7 of 7 2 of 2 23 of 39 6 of 6 0 of 0
Evan Elder 32 of 53 60% 8 of 25 20 of 24 4 of 4 24 of 44 8 of 9 0 of 0
3 Nazim Sadykhov 7 of 13 53% 3 of 9 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0
Evan Elder 3 of 11 27% 1 of 7 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Evan Elder vs. Nazim Sadykhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sadykhov (-170), Elder (+145)

Round 1
The two lightweights about to take the stage share a fair amount of similarities. Well-schooled Americans with equal records and fairly close knockout and finish rates toe the line as Longo and Weidman product Sadykhov (7-1, 0-0 UFC) squares off with Nick Diaz Academy pupil Elder (7-1, 0-1 UFC). Something’s got to give in this matchup, and referee Mark Smith will know first what that could be. The youthful athletes with plenty to prove touch ‘em up and come out frenetically. Sadykhov slaps a kick low on the calf to introduce himself, and Elder responds with a booming kick to the ribs. They trade body kicks, and Elder goes up high with the instep of his foot to just get blocked. He backs off and reaches with a straight right hand, and Sadykhov walks him down and scores a few punches and a kick. Elder backs him off with his own kicking arsenal, with a front kick to the solar plexus driving Sadykhov back momentarily. Elder swings hard, and Sadykhov catches him with a right hand and drops Elder to his knees. Elder springs back up and a high kick zooms across his dome, and he escapes no worse for wear. Sadykhov gives chase and has his lead leg kicked, but this does not slow him down into a combination of punches to the face. Sadykhov eats a clean kick to the body so that he can bully Elder around, ignoring the kicks and throwing heavy punches in response. Elder shoots in suddenly for a takedown, and the maneuver is stuffed in a hurry. As Sadykhov pops back up, Elder drills him with a right hand that sends Sadykhov flying to the mat. Somehow, Sadykhov springs right back up, with blood streaming from his mouth, and he begins to strike back. The two swing on one another with bad intentions, and both land flush with Elder taking the worse of it as he escapes. Elder plants a left hand on the temple, and he dips away with an elbow to the sternum as he escapes the counters. Sadykhov kicks low and high in rapid succession, and he continues to walk Elder down. Elder sticks him with a left hand, and he rips a kick to the other side. Sadykhov meets him with a left on the chin, and Elder slips away and lands one of his own. Sadykhov knees his man in the chin, and Elder backs off and chains a few punches together. As he pushes off, his finger swipes into Sadykhov’s right eye, and Smith calls time. Sadykhov needs less than 30 seconds to recover before getting right back to business, and he stalks Elder down like a Terminator. Sadykhov scores, Elder fires back, and the two throw down right to the bell to end a terrific round that may be a real handful to score.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elder
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Elder
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Elder

Round 2
The lightweights rush out of their corners, eager to pick up right where they left off. They re-engage with punches and kicks in rapid succession, with targets to the head and body indiscriminate. Elder loads up on a hefty right hand that knocks Sadykhov back, and Sadykhov eats it like a plate of plov and wades back in the fire to throw haymakers. Elder punches into a takedown, and he successfully trips the fighter from Azerbaijan down to the mat to land in his foe’s guard. Sadykhov scrambles and scoots his way back to the wall, and he posts off his right arm to fight his way back up despite getting kneed in the ribs on the way. Elder squeezes his man on the wire, slowing the fight down and softening the ribs up with knees. Sadykhov explodes out of the clinch and throws back, and the two move together and clack heads to open a cut on corner of his eye. Sadykhov paws at it and gets shoved back, but the two are far from done throwing caution to the wind. Elder strings a few punches together to stun Sadykhov, and Sadykhov swings back and tackles Elder to the mat. Elder climbs back to the wire and stands up, with Sadykhov landing a single left hand before disengaging. Elder walks him down, and the two trade knees and uppercuts on the inside. Sadykhov boots Elder upside the head with his shin, and Elder absorbs it without batting an eye before pushing Sadykhov back to the fencing. Elder scores a few knees before the horn blares, and once the round was ultra-close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elder
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Elder
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Elder

Round 3
There is a final clap of hands to start off the last round, but it is contentious and they go right to hand-fighting before pulling their extended limbs back. They immediately trade leather, and they go all-out throwing punches and kicks in an early exchange. Sadykhov whips a kick up high, and they get up close and knee one another. During the firefight, a Sadykhov knee slams into Elder’s eyebrow and splits it open from one end to the other. Before Smith can see the wound, Sadykhov strikes a few more times, and Smith pauses the fight and calls in the doctor. As soon as the medical professional observes the gash, he tells Smith that it is way too severe to keep going, and the fight is waved off. Elder protests the ruling, but the damage has been done and he can live to fight another day. What a fight for as long as it lasts, and in a few years, it might be worthwhile to see these up-and-comers share the cage again.

The Official Result
Nazim Sadykhov def. Evan Elder R3 0:38 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Angelo likes Evan Elder's well-rounded skills, loose striking, heavy kicks, and composure on the ground. He notes Elder's short-notice loss at welterweight should be discounted as he's a natural lightweight. Angelo is concerned about Sadykhov's tendency to throw unnecessary spinning attacks, which led to his only loss. He wishes he got Elder at +220 and notes the line is tightening, recommending to bet now.

Angelo said he would bet Elder if the line goes below +145, and after the stream he plans to place a bet.
"I like Evan here... I wish I got him at plus 220 I would have bet him at the plus 220."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Big Brady is impressed with Sadykhov's striking and ability to battle through adversity, noting he fights out of bad positions. He thinks Elder's takedown defense is poor based on his debut, and Sadykhov has wrestling of his own. He predicts a decision win, as Elder is tough and has a chin.

Sadykhov by decision
"I like sadikov fear I like staticon by decision I think Evan Elder's tough as Nails"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Cody picks Sadykhov, noting he has more firepower, hits harder, and has 15-minute cardio. He says Sadykhov trains at a good gym with Aljamain Sterling and others. He acknowledges Evan Elder is better than his UFC debut showed (short notice, up a weight class) but notes Elder gets hit a lot and is defensively poor. He thinks Sadykhov will have forward pressure and either catch him with something or mix in takedowns for a decision win. He says the line is repetitive on this card and he doesn't love it.

Cody mentions Sadykhov has a slight wrestling advantage. He says he'll take Sadykhov but doesn't love the -190.
"I will take nazim sadakov but what you're seeing is a repetitive seam on this card guys that are struggling to make weight guys that are fighting for the UFC for the very first time."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Sadykhov is a much better puncher and counter puncher than anyone Elder has faced. He notes Elder's vulnerability when stepping in without landing, and that Sadykhov can pressure through Elder's kicks and remain balanced to throw. Connor also points out that Elder's striking is entirely dependent on scaring opponents with kicks, but his punching form is wild and leaves him out of position. He concludes that Sadykhov is a reliable pick to win.

Sadykhov TKO +225, straight line -185 to -200, parlay potential
"So you got to take Sotikov here."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Jacob is high on Evan Elder, calling him an absolute dog after his short-notice performance. He believes Elder is the better technical striker and has shown he can work through adversity. Jacob thinks Sadykhov will look good early but slow down, and Elder's pressure and wrestling will take over. He compares it to the Blake Bilder fight from last week where the odds tightened similarly.

"I got to go uh with Evan Elder as well I actually love him in this matchup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Elder is the better striker with more power and forward pressure, and his training at Kill Cliff FC should improve his cardio and takedown defense. Sadykhov's level of competition is weak, and his takedowns may not work against Elder's strength. Expect Elder to land a knockout in the second round.

Elder wins by KO in round 2
"I lean Elder ever so slightly... I think he comes through with a knockout Victory probably in the second round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov but is not willing to lay -200. He thought Sadykhov showed flashy striking on Contender Series and has promise, but he's not confident enough to parlay him. He notes there was steam on Elder earlier in the week but the line has corrected. He says Sadykhov is someone to keep an eye on but not someone to lay heavy chalk on in his UFC debut.

Paul mentions the line moved back toward -200 after early steam on Elder. He says he's not willing to parlay Sadykhov.
"I like satakov I was considering playing him because there was a bit of steam that came in on on Evan Elder a little bit earlier in the week and then now that's kind of like corrected itself."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The MMA Guru picks Nazim Sadykhov, highlighting his training at Longo and Weidman's gym and his impressive win on the Contender Series against a 9-1 opponent. He contrasts that with Evan Elder's less dominant wins, including a third-round TKO of a 9-16 short-notice opponent. He believes Sadykhov has more talent and skill, predicting a TKO in the later rounds.

TKO in later rounds
"I've got to go with sadiekov not just because of his name however that is kind of a decent indication of how this fight's gonna go in my opinion"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Zane sees Sadykhov as a solid, raw prospect with good fundamental power punching and well-roundedness, including top position grappling. He notes Sadykhov's ability to scramble and his innovative striking, like the spinning back kick. Zane contrasts this with Elder, who he describes as a formless regional fighter dependent on heavy kicks to keep opponents at bay, with poor punching form and wrestling defense. He believes Sadykhov's camp (Serra-Longo) instills good technique, and that Sadykhov will be able to push through Elder's kicks and find success in the pocket.

Sadykhov TKO +225, straight line -185 to -200, parlay potential
"I think he's going to kind of paste Evan Elder."
Terrance McKinney - Fight History
SCHED vs King Green
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

AJ picks Terrance McKinney to win by knockout in the first round. He expects McKinney to blitz King Green early, noting Green keeps his hands down. He suggests McKinney wins under half a round by KO as a live prop.

McKinney by KO in round 1 plus 220, McKinney wins under half a round by KO
"T-Rex Terrence McKini by knockout in round number one at plus 220... I feel like he's going to blitz green."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Terrance McKinney

AJ thinks McKinney will win by first-round blitz, typical of his style. He notes that if McKinney wins, it's almost certainly round one, and the fight is expected to end in round one. He suggests betting McKinney round one and having a live bet option for later rounds. He also mentions King Green decision at +1300 as a meme bet.

McKinney round 1 KO +240; McKinney round 1 submission +400; McKinney round 1 win +105; fight ends in round 1 -275; King Green by decision +1300; fight to start round 2 +210
"If you got Terrence McKini, it's got to be an assumption of a McKini round one. McKini first round blitz. Typical McKini style."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

AJ picks McKinney to win by first-round blitz, citing Green's hands-down defense as a major vulnerability against McKinney's explosive start. He believes McKinney's speed and power will catch Green early, and that Green's durability is questionable. AJ notes that if Green survives the initial storm, he could win, but he favors McKinney's early finish.

McKinney first round at +110; McKinney under half a round at +240; McKinney by KO at +175
"I think we're about to see a Terrence McKini special. And I'm going McKenna first round blitz."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

AJ picks Terrance McKinney, citing Green's three-win streak as weak (decisions over Lance Gibson, Zahuber, and a washed Jeremy Stephens). He worries about Green's low hands and McKinney's blitz, and believes if Green survives the first minute, he becomes a live betting spot. He also notes Green should be the favorite or even odds but is plus 120.

Green plus 120 underdog; if Green survives first minute, live betting spot on Green
"Green's three-win streak is dog [ __ ] if you break it down realistically. Braden, this is why I picked Terrance McKinney."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)

AJ is on the fence about this fight, calling it a 50/50. He notes Green is fun to watch but McKinney's quick slime out is live. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds at minus 360 but does not commit to a winner.

under 1.5 rounds minus 360
"You're on the fence with Terrence Green. You should be on the fence because it's tough."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

AJ picks Terrance McKinney by first-round finish, citing McKinney's explosive blitzing style and King Green's low-hand defense. He believes McKinney's early onslaught will overwhelm Green, who is nearly 40 and has been knocked out before. He notes that if Green survives the first three minutes, he likely wins, but expects McKinney to land a knockout or submission early.

first round finish, under half a round
"I'm going Terrence McKini first round blitz into either a knockout or a submission."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks McKinney due to his early danger and tools, but has low confidence because of respect for King Green's experience and durability. He notes McKinney has never seen a third round and tends to gas. He thinks McKinney wins early or loses.

"I got to go with Terence McKini. I think Terence McKini gets it done."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney because he is more talented, faster, and hits harder. He acknowledges King Green is the better fighter in terms of experience and high-level competition, but believes McKinney's raw talent and athleticism will overwhelm Green early. He expects the fight not to last long and thinks the odds should be closer.

"I have to go with Terence McKini though. Like King Green has looked great his last couple of fights. The win over that absolute fraud was spectacular. He showed his fight IQ in the win over Jeremy Stevens."
BI
Big Brady Expert picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)

Big Brady picks the under 1.5 rounds, noting that all 13 of Terrance McKinney's UFC fights have gone under 1.5 rounds. He highlights McKinney's extreme first-round finishing ability but poor cardio, leading to a likely early finish either by McKinney or King Green. He suggests McKinney wins under 0.5 rounds if he wins, but does not pick a side on the moneyline.

Under 1.5 rounds; McKinney under 0.5 rounds (+300); King Green round one
"Give me the under one and a half in Terrence McKenna, King Green... All 13 have went under one and a half rounds."
BI
Big Brady Expert picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Big Brady does not pick a winner but bets on the under 0.5 rounds at +200 for 1 unit, citing McKinney's 13-13 record under 1.5 rounds and his tendency to either finish early or get finished. He also includes the under 1.5 rounds in a parlay. He does not explicitly pick a fighter to win, focusing on the round total.

Under 0.5 rounds (+200, 1 unit); under 1.5 rounds (parlayed); mentions McKinney's early finish or crumble pattern
"McKenna in the first two and a half minutes or Green at any point. Eileen McKenna to get that early finish. ... under 0.5 rounds, under two and a half minutes, one unit at plus 200."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2026 (14 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney to win by first-round knockout. He likes McKinney's forward pressure and power, and criticizes King Green's hands-down style, which has led to knockouts before. He notes McKinney's cardio issues but believes he will finish within the first two and a half minutes. He thinks Green's recent wins are over lower-level competition.

McKenna by first round KO
"I'm going McKenna here. I'm going to go with McKenna by by round one knockout."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady is confident McKinney wins by early knockout, likely in the first minute or two. He notes Green's hands-down style is dangerous against McKinney's pressure. He points out that McKinney has never won a fight lasting more than 2.5 minutes in the UFC, and if he doesn't finish early, he often gets finished himself. He plans to bet the under if the price is right, expecting people to bet the over as a 'sick fetish'.

McKinney under 1.5 rounds; fight doesn't start round 2; McKinney by sub under 1.5 same game parlay; Green by sub possible
"I actually think McKenna knocks out Green early. Very early. ... I think McKenna is going to knock him out in the first minute or two."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Bobby Green, emphasizing McKinney's lack of heart and durability. He believes Green's experience, power, and submission game will be key. He notes Green's ability to survive the initial onslaught and then take over.

Green by submission at plus money; under 1.5 rounds
"I am taking Bobby Green to either take the initial onslaught ... or ... time him stepping in and touch him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel Levi picks Bobby Green to weather the storm and finish Terrance McKinney, despite Green's age (39). He compares the matchup to McKinney's fight with Eshmael Bonfam, where Bonfam was boxing McKinney up before getting caught. Levi acknowledges McKinney's kill-or-be-killed style and notes that both fighters could win inside the distance, but he has a soft spot for Green and expects him to find a finish.

Bobby Green inside the distance
"I'm going to go Bobby Green to weather the storm and finish Terence McKinn."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Jacob picks King Green because he believes McKinney is not that good and can be overwhelmed early. He notes that Green has wrestling of his own and knows how to weather the storm. He thinks Green is a better fighter and if he survives the early onslaught, he will win. He also mentions that McKinney has no cardio and no chin, and that Green is a precise counter boxer.

"I just don't think Terencece McKini is that good. Like he can overwhelm people early. Obviously, he can throw strikes, but he's not like super tactical."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Lucrative James leans toward Terrance McKinney via KO, calling the fight a coin flip due to McKinney's explosive but inconsistent style. He believes McKinney's athleticism and speed will overwhelm an aging Bobby Green, whose chin is fading. He suggests betting on under 1.5 rounds or specific round-one finishes rather than the moneyline.

Under 1.5 rounds, Terrance McKinney KO round 1, Bobby Green KO round 1 (longshot)
"Terrence McKini via knockout is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host loves playing McKinney under 1.5 rounds because they always hit. He expects McKinney's speed, explosivity, and power to find the chin of Green early, resulting in a round one knockout.

under 1.5 rounds; round one knockout
"I think it's going to be a speed, explosivity, and power early that ends up finding the chin of Green and winning this fight for McKinney by round one knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host picks McKinney by first-round knockout, citing his power and the fact that all his UFC fights have ended under 1.5 rounds. He recommends betting the under 1.5 rounds regardless of the price, as McKinney's volatility makes the moneyline risky.

McKinney by round 1 knockout, under 1.5 rounds
"I am going to go with McKenna and McKenna by round one knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul picks Bobby Green at plus money, viewing it as a coin flip. He notes McKinney's wild style and tendency to fade, while Green has power and submission threats. He also plans to bet under 1.5 rounds.

Under 1.5 rounds; Green by submission at plus 600-800
"Bobby Green plus 110 cuz it really feels like a coin flip and you're giving me plus money on a coin flip."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney to win by KO in the first round. He notes McKinney's speed and power, and criticizes Bobby Green's hands-down defense. He thinks McKinney will be too dangerous early and will chin Green. He also mentions a personal anecdote about McKinney's strength.

first round KO
"I think McKini is going to get a first round KO here over Bobby Green. ... KO finish from Terrence McKinn."
WIN vs Kyle Nelson
KO R1 0:24 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 13 of 27 48% 15 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Kyle Nelson 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 13 of 27 48% 15 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Kyle Nelson 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 13 of 27 48% 12 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 22
Kyle Nelson 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 13 of 27 48% 12 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 22
Kyle Nelson 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Terrance McKinney vs. Kyle Nelson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McKinney (-170); Nelson (+140)

Round 1
If Sherdog still ran the annual All-Violence Team, “T.Wrecks” McKinney (17-8, 7-5 UFC) would likely be a lifetime member, as he has never gone the distance as a pro. He will get to trade blows with Canada’s Nelson (17-6-1, 5-5-1 UFC) in what should be a banger. The lightweights draw oversight from referee Herb Dean, who has donned his proverbial hard hat ahead of what’s about to come. There is not a glove touch before the trail of devastation begins.
In five seconds, McKinney lands three punches and gets Nelson’s attention, tripping during the third when his lead leg gets kicked. Nelson swings back but whiffs, and
McKinney boots him in the raised guard 11 seconds in and puts the Canadian down on the ground. McKinney pounces, and he proceeds to beat Nelson down with a seemingly unending barrage of right hands and hammerfists.
Nelson shells up and is protecting his face from the worst of the damage, but McKinney is the bus that couldn’t slow down and continues clobbering Nelson while Dean is right there watching on. As McKinney keeps sledgehammering “The Monster,” and Dean has no choice to intervene as Nelson is not intelligently defending himself or moving in a way to improve his position. Upwards of 20 blows connect before Dean halts the content, and “T.Wrecks” has done it again. It will not set a new personal record—that will remain with his seven-second destructions of Matt Frevola and Jeff Coleman—but it is another first-round stoppage on his ledger and a very small amount of work after a lengthy camp.

The Official Result
Terrance McKinney def. Kyle Nelson R1 0:24 via TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney despite acknowledging his cardio and chin issues. He believes McKinney is the better striker, wrestler, and more powerful, and hopes he puts on a show at home. He admits he went against his own rule of not betting on McKinney and placed a half-unit bet at -141.

Half a unit at -141
"Half a unit minus 141, Terrance McKinney's the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney to win by first-round knockout. He expects a car crash of a fight, noting both fighters lack durability and have been finished often. He believes McKinney's early pressure and power will be too much for Kyle Nelson, who has been finished in four losses. He thinks McKinney will knock him out in the first few minutes.

McKinney by KO round 1
"I think McKinney's going to knock him out in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Cody picks Nelson, believing McKinney's early explosiveness will fade and Nelson's durability and cardio will take over. He also mentions inside information from Nelson's training partner.

"Kyle Nelson for me, brother."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Connor picks Nelson, noting that McKinney is only dangerous in the first round and concedes when he can't get an immediate finish. He points out that McKinney has only won one fight outside the first three minutes in his entire career. Nelson is susceptible early but if he survives, McKinney gives up. Connor says you can't pick a competent fighter to lose to McKinney.

Odds: Nelson opened +150, now +145; McKinney opened -175, now -170. Connor says he can't imagine betting on McKinney.
"You got to pick Kyle Nelson."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Daniel acknowledges McKinney's first-round finishing ability but is wary of his tendency to fade if he doesn't get the early KO. He picks McKinney but suggests live betting Nelson if the fight goes past two minutes.

"A pure pick, I'm going with McKinney, man. I'd like to see McKinney get back on track and just get Nelson out of there with a serious onslaught in round one."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)

The host sees this as a coin flip: McKinney is explosive and dangerous early but has terrible cardio and has never been to a decision; Nelson is slow and hittable but has power and can survive the first round. The implied probabilities (65-40) offer no margin on either side, so the host passes entirely.

"You'd be crazy to back McKinney with how reckless he is and how bad his cardio is. But, with how dangerous McKinney is early and how stiff and slow Nelson is, I think you'd be crazy to back Nelson as …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host expects McKinney's explosive power and early aggression to overwhelm Nelson, leading to a first-round knockout. He notes McKinney's tendency to finish early and that all his UFC fights have ended under 1.5 rounds. He is less confident in betting McKinney straight due to his style's volatility but likes the under 1.5 rounds prop.

under 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to go McKenna. I'm not I don't want to bet him at shock just because I know what kind of style he has... but the under one and a half is definitely the spot even at shock to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Paul agrees, noting McKinney's history of gassing and Nelson's ability to survive early storms. He expects Nelson to win after the first round.

"Kyle Nelson is the side for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kyle Nelson

The MMA Guru picks Kyle Nelson using reverse psychology, as he often picks McKinney to win by first-round TKO but McKinney fumbles. He believes McKinney will wobble Nelson early but then fade, allowing Nelson to take over in the second and third rounds with elbows and pressure. He notes McKinney's inconsistency.

"Reverse psychology. I'm going with Kyle Nelson, dude."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Zane agrees, stating that McKinney's pattern is clear: he comes in keyed up and if he doesn't finish early, he gives up. He compares McKinney to the ID of fighters like McGregor and Pyfer. Nelson is a competent fighter who can survive the early storm. Zane notes that Nelson could lose if he gets caught early, but otherwise McKinney has no answer.

Odds: Nelson opened +150, now +145; McKinney opened -175, now -170.
"Can't pick a single competent fighter to lose to McKinney."
LOSS vs Chris Duncan
Submission R1 2:30 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 31 of 57 54% 31 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Duncan 1 38 of 55 69% 53 of 75 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 31 of 57 54% 31 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Duncan 1 38 of 55 69% 53 of 75 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 31 of 57 54% 26 of 50 5 of 7 0 of 0 24 of 45 6 of 11 1 of 1
Chris Duncan 38 of 55 69% 36 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 1 10 of 20 6 of 8 22 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 31 of 57 54% 26 of 50 5 of 7 0 of 0 24 of 45 6 of 11 1 of 1
Chris Duncan 38 of 55 69% 36 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 1 10 of 20 6 of 8 22 of 27
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Terrance McKinney vs. Chris Duncan
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Duncan (-170), McKinney (+142)

Round 1
Marc Goddard is the referee. McKinney walks Duncan into the fence and lands a massive knee followed by a head kick. That sets off a wild exchange where McKinney appears to get the best of the brawl by rocking his adversary with several heavy punches. A rocked Duncan wisely shoots out of desperation, and he somehow gets McKinney down. McKinney is up in short order, and he lands an elbow and a knee. Duncan, who still looks to be on shaky legs, somehow rocks McKinney with a right hand at range. They continue to trade with reckless aggression and just when it seems like Duncan is reeling, he rocks his foe with a wicked elbow in close quarters. McKinney crumbles to the floor and Duncan tees off with a series of unanswered punches. Goddard is taking a close look as the assault continues. Duncan’s punches aren’t especially powerful, though, so McKinney is getting some leeway. McKinney doesn’t seem to have much left, and the Scot decides to shift gears.
Duncan locks up an anaconda choke and applies the squeeze. McKinney taps in short order
, ending a wild bout that lived up to its violence potential.

The Official Result
Chris Duncan def. Terrance McKinney via Submission (Anaconda Choke) R1 2:30
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney despite acknowledging his poor durability and cardio. He believes McKinney is incredibly dangerous early and can get the fight to the ground to find a finish. He notes that Chris Duncan is extremely durable and often comes back from being hurt, but Angelo thinks McKinney's early explosiveness will be enough. He advises against betting due to the high risk.

"I'm going to pick Terence McKini. Don't do anything with that information. These odds aren't good enough to bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Big Brady picks Chris Duncan, noting McKinney's tendency to fade after early bursts and his seven career finishes. He highlights Duncan's improved ground game and chin, and expects Duncan to weather the early storm and knock out McKinney late in the first round.

Duncan by first round knockout
"I'm going to say Duncan weathers the early storm and knocks out Terrence McKenna in very brutal fashion late in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody leans toward McKinney, citing his explosive start and finishing ability. He notes that McKinney's fights are usually over in the first round and that Duncan has shown a questionable chin. He mentions that if McKinney doesn't finish early, Duncan's cardio advantage could come into play, but he trusts McKinney's early burst.

"I'm gonna go with the Terrence McKenna side. Uh, but I will say with the caveat of um I feel like a Duncan round two prop at like plus 450 plus plus 600's out there."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

Connor picks Chris Duncan, noting that Duncan has improved significantly at ATT, developing a calm, consistent striking game with good shot selection and power. He contrasts McKinney's all-gas-no-brakes style that fades after two minutes, and believes Duncan has the answers to McKinney's early blitz.

"I have to prick Chris Duncan the way, especially the way Chris Duncan is now. Like that's what I was going to say. Chris Duncan, I think has really gotten a lot better in a pretty short period of time."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Daniel picks Duncan, reasoning that if he survives McKinney's first-round onslaught, he will take over. He notes McKinney has never been past the first round and fades, while Duncan has shown durability and finishing ability. He sees Duncan winning by knockout or submission in later rounds.

"I am going to pick Chris Duncan. There's obviously a chance he gets finished in the first, but if he doesn't, he's got multiple avenues to victory."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Lucrative James acknowledges his bias as a friend of Chris Duncan but provides detailed reasoning. He believes McKinney's only chance is an early finish, while Duncan's physicality, cardio, and improving grappling defense will carry him through. He notes Duncan's training with Grant Dawson and focus on back-take defense. He predicts Duncan wins inside the distance, likely by KO.

Chris Duncan inside the distance
"I got Chris all day here, boys."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

The host acknowledges the recent love for McKinney but expects Duncan to take advantage of McKinney's overaggressive style and find a finish within one and a half rounds.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"I think that we'll see Duncan eventually take advantage of McKenny's overaggressive style and find that finish under one and a half rounds."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, emphasizing his multiple paths to victory. He notes that McKinney's win condition is a first-round finish, while Duncan has power, a guillotine choke, and cardio. He mentions that Duncan trains at American Top Team and has prepared for McKinney's wrestling. He believes if McKinney doesn't finish early, Duncan will take over.

"I'm going to actually go with Chris Duncan in this spot. Just he's got more ways to win."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The Guru picks Terrance McKinney despite acknowledging Duncan may be the better fighter. He believes McKinney's speed and first-round explosiveness will catch Duncan, who is hittable early. The Guru predicts a first-round TKO, possibly in the first minute.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Terrence McKini getting this one done by TKO in the first round over Chris Duncan."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

Zane picks Chris Duncan, emphasizing that McKinney has never won a UFC fight outside the first two minutes and loses when his initial blitz fails. He notes Duncan's improved striking and power, and believes Duncan can weather the early storm and take over. Zane thinks the odds should be wider in Duncan's favor.

Duncan should be a bigger favorite
"I think Duncan could, that should actually be a bunch bigger favorite. Frankly."
Submission R1 0:55 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:47
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:47
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Viacheslav Borshchev vs. Terrance McKinney
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McKinney (-185), Borshchev (+154)

Round 1
Fans should be treated to a delight with this lightweight smash-em-up derby. In the one corner stands McKinney (16-7, 6-4 UFC), who has reached the third round just one time in 23 pro outings. In the other is brick-fisted Team Alpha Male product Borshchev (8-5-1, 3-4-1 UFC), who is looking to even his promotional record to .500 should he get his hand raised tonight. Bettors and prognosticators expect this one should not hear the final bell, with odds hovering around -800 to -900 that it ends inside the distance. If that is the case, referee Chris Tognoni will need to be on his A game to intervene at a moment’s notice. Gloves are touched before they are traded.
Borshchev introduces himself with a spinning back kick that plants on the ribcage of McKinney, who then shoots for a double that sends them flying. McKinney gets on top and wraps up an anaconda choke as soon as they hit the ground, and Borshchev is in the danger zone in a hurry.
“T. Wrecks” uses the submission to roll the Team Alpha Male fighter over to his back, where he assumes full mount and transitions to a guillotine choke. The choke is fastened as tight as can be, and Borshchev has his arms trapped and flails his legs to try to buck himself out. His head starts to turn a shade of red that matches McKinney’s shorts, and before he is put to sleep, he surrenders.
Just like that, the fight is over, and McKinney stands up, looks at the camera and smiles while shrugging. The fighters hug it out after the brief but emphatic performance, waiting nearly as long for the official decision to be read as it took for McKinney to win the fight.

The Official Result
Terrance McKinney def. Viacheslav Borshchev R1 0:55 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney because he believes McKinney's early explosiveness will overwhelm Viacheslav Borshchev, who is older and may not be as durable as before. He notes that McKinney is reliable in that he either finishes early or loses, and he thinks McKinney will come out like a bat out of hell and get the job done. However, he admits he is picking against Borshchev more than for McKinney, and he will monitor the odds for a good betting spot.

Angelo says he will keep an eye on the odds and use his line movement tracker to find a good entry point.
"I am going to go Terrance McKinney. Viacheslav is 33 years old. He is 55 years old in fight years."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady acknowledges McKinney is the rightful favorite due to his wrestling and power, but he is hesitant because both fighters have questionable durability. He notes Borshchev has terrible takedown defense and was dropped by Chase Hooper, but McKinney's cardio is atrocious and his durability is also suspect. Brady thinks McKinney will land first and win by first-round knockout, but if it leaves the first round, McKinney is in trouble.

McKinney wins by first round knockout
"Give me Terence McKenna to win by first round knockout. But he's so untrustworthy."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 27, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Connor picks McKinney, acknowledging Borshchev's durability but noting that Borshchev has been getting worse and more indecisive. McKinney's early explosiveness should catch Borshchev, and if he finishes early, he wins. However, Connor admits it's a risky pick.

Odds: McKinney -168, Borshchev +145.
"I'm typing Terence McKinney because I think Borshov has been coming out looking like he has less and less idea of what he's supposed to be doing."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host notes McKinney's tendency for early finishes, but picks Borshchev to fend off the early grappling and get a TKO finish by the end of the first or early second round.

under 1.5 rounds, TKO finish
"I think it's going to be Borchev who ends up fending off the early grappling threat of McKenna and then eventually pulverizes him by the ending of the first round or early second round to get that TKO finish."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host picks Terrance McKinney, citing his underrated grappling as the X-factor. He notes that Borshchev has shown weaknesses in grappling, as seen in his losses to Chase Hooper and others. However, he acknowledges McKinney's tendency to get knocked out spectacularly and sees the fight as a 50/50 on the feet. He believes McKinney will use his wrestling to secure a win.

"I'm going with Terrence McKini here. Um I I think Terrence McKini is uh is good enough to beat Vishlav Borchev."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Zane picks Borshchev, reasoning that McKinney only wins if he finishes in the first round, and Borshchev has never been finished early. Borshchev's durability and McKinney's tendency to fade give Borshchev the edge if he survives the initial onslaught.

Odds: McKinney -168, Borshchev +145. Zane notes the odds are getting closer.
"I'm going to pick Borshov."
KO R1 2:01 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 54 of 69 78% 69 of 90 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:00
Damir Hadžović 0 4 of 13 30% 4 of 13 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 54 of 69 78% 69 of 90 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:00
Damir Hadžović 0 4 of 13 30% 4 of 13 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 54 of 69 78% 53 of 67 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 46 of 51
Damir Hadžović 4 of 13 30% 3 of 9 0 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 54 of 69 78% 53 of 67 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 46 of 51
Damir Hadžović 4 of 13 30% 3 of 9 0 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Damir Hadzovic vs. Terrance McKinney

Round 1
Lightweights step into the spotlight for the first time, as McKinney (15-7, 5-4 UFC) toes the line against Hadzovic (14-7, 4-5 UFC)—the oldest fighter on the card at 38 years of age. Jason Herzog handles the refereeing duties. We get underway with a glove touch. Body kick from McKinney, followed by a glancing head kick. Two-punch volley from Hadzovic. One-two from McKinney backs up the Bosnian. Hadzovic answers and shoots on a takedown.
McKinney catches a guillotine on the way down and rolls into full mount and unleashes vicious 12-to-6 elbows. He settles on the back and fires away with punches from both hands, prompting the stoppage
.

The Official Result
Terrance McKinney def. Damir Hadzovic—TKO (Punches) 2:01 R1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney despite his unreliability, citing his superior talent, wrestling, and striking. He notes that Damir Hadžović is older (38) and not as dangerous. He worries about McKinney's cardio and chin but believes he should win early. He suggests looking at round props rather than betting the moneyline at -335.

Suggests looking at round line (under 1.5) and prop bets.
"Terence mckin should win I'm picking Terence mckin to win I'm hoping these odds Titan though betting on Terence mckin at minus 335 is the the plot of a nightmare"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady sees this as an easy matchup for Terrance McKinney, who has great wrestling and BJJ. Damir Hadžović has the worst takedown defense in the UFC and has been submitted before. Brady thinks McKinney will take him down and submit him in the first round, though he notes McKinney has terrible cardio if the fight extends. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I'm going Terence mckenny to win this fight by first round sub if he gets out of the first round um it could very well be bad but I just don't see hadzovic lasting five minutes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

McKinney has a massive grappling advantage and will look to get the fight to the ground immediately. He is expected to take the back and secure a first-round submission, as he has done in all nine of his UFC fights. The fight is predicted to go under 1.5 rounds.

under 1.5 rounds
"McKenna should have a tremendous his grappling Advantage here and I'd be surprised if he does not look to get this fight to the ground almost immediately from there I expect him to go to the back get that first …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney to win by TKO in the first round. He believes McKinney has finishing potential while Hadžović does not, and that Hadžović is past his prime and likely to be decisioned. He notes McKinney's losses are brutal but expects him to get the job done here.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with Terrence mckin getting it done TKO first round I say first round finish for Terrence mckin"
KO (head kick) R1 0:37 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Esteban Ribovics 0 5 of 18 27% 5 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Terrance McKinney 1 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Esteban Ribovics 0 5 of 18 27% 5 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Terrance McKinney 1 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Esteban Ribovics 5 of 18 27% 3 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Terrance McKinney 5 of 12 41% 3 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 10 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Esteban Ribovics 5 of 18 27% 3 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Terrance McKinney 5 of 12 41% 3 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 10 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Terrance McKinney vs. Esteban Ribovics
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ribovics (-175), McKinney (+145)

Round 1
The matchmakers made sure at least one fight on the billing would practically promise bonkers action for as long as it lasts, and this is that bout. In 21 pro outings, McKinney (15-6, 5-3 UFC) has never heard the final bell, while Ribovics (12-1, 1-1 UFC) has gone the distance twice after 13 appearances. Referee Gary Copeland has donned his hard hat for what could be a wild and crazy first round, although it starts with a calm glove touch. McKinney immediately opens up with a one-two, and he takes a low kick and throws back hard. Ribovics sits down on a power punch, and he absorbs a flush combination and catches McKinney with a knee when “T. Wrecks” bends over. McKinney connects with a right hand, and
Ribovics tosses out a few punches, reaches with a right hand and sets up one of the most beautiful head kicks one can muster as it collides square into McKinney’s head. McKinney is out cold as soon as the shin makes contact, and he collapses lifelessly to his seat as his back bounces into the fence behind him.
Blood leaks out of his nose as he sits there, totally unconscious. Ribovics knows that he does not need to do anything else today, and he proudly walks away as Copeland tends to the snoozing lightweight. Wow, what a finish! “Knockout of the Year” has one more contender in an already crowded list with that absolute gem, and Ribovics has officially announced himself to the lightweight division in a massive way.

The Official Result
Esteban Ribovics def. Terrance McKinney R1 0:37 via KO (Head Kick)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Angelo picks Esteban Ribovics as the more durable and dependable fighter, despite Terrance McKinney's raw talent and explosiveness. He notes Ribovics has been taken down 14 times in his last five fights, but McKinney has been finished in every loss. He acknowledges the fight is close to 50/50 and that McKinney could win if he lands early.

"I got to go with the more durable guy here I have to go with the more dependable guy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Big Brady picks Esteban Ribovics to survive McKinney's early storm and finish him in the late first or second round by knockout. He notes McKinney has never won a UFC fight past the first round and tends to gas if he doesn't finish early. Ribovics has durability, cardio, heart, and finishing ability. He expects McKinney to try wrestling, but if he doesn't finish, he will fade and get finished himself.

"I'm going to take riix to uh survive an early storm here get taken down get back up make McKenna work and I think he's going to push a pace here and finish M McKenna in the the late first …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Cody picks Ribovics, noting that McKinney is a 'glass cannon' who gasses after the first round. He expects McKinney to come out fast and possibly take Ribovics down early, but Ribovics has shown he can survive and come back. Cody likes the under 1.5 rounds prop as parlay fodder, as McKinney fights are usually short. He suggests live betting Ribovics if McKinney wins the first round.

Under 1.5 rounds (-220) parlayed with other unders; live betting Ribovics
"I think ribovich is a better live bet and I suppose yeah the the under one and a half is decent uh decent parlay fodder"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Daniel Vreeland picks Esteban Ribovics, noting that McKinney is dangerous in the first round but fades if he doesn't get the finish. He believes Ribovics can survive the early onslaught and take over late, getting a finish. He mentions Ribovics' ability to get back to his feet and his late-round power.

late finish
"I think estaban takes over late and gets a late finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host expects McKinney's early explosiveness to overwhelm Ribovics, likely via knockout in round 1. He notes McKinney's tendency to gas but believes Ribovics' takedown defense issues will be exploited. He strongly recommends the under 1.5 rounds as a must-play, and also likes McKinney round 1 prop. The pick is confident for the early finish, though he acknowledges the risk if McKinney fails.

Under 1.5 rounds is a must play; McKinney round 1 prop
"give me uh mckenny round one but the under one and a half is a must play especially in Terence McKenna fights"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Paul picks Ribovics, agreeing that McKinney is a first-round specialist who fades. He notes that Ribovics has a strong chin and cardio, and can take McKinney's best shots. Paul expects Ribovics to survive the early storm and take over in the second round. He also likes the under 1.5 rounds prop due to McKinney's tendency to finish or get finished quickly.

Under 1.5 rounds
"I expect ribovich eventually to Prevail and mckin to gas out and then probably get finished either late in the first round or early in the second round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney as an underdog over Esteban Ribovics. He notes that McKinney has a wrestling background he doesn't always use but can rely on, and that Ribovics is hook-heavy with a reach disadvantage. He references Ribovics' fight with Kamuela Kirk where Kirk took him down and controlled him, suggesting McKinney can do the same. He also trusts McKinney's cardio and power on the feet.

"I'm gonna go with Terren mckin who is an underdog here... I think he has the advantage in the grappling over esam ribovich."
TKO (knee and punches) R1 0:20 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Brendon Marotte 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Brendon Marotte 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 19
Brendon Marotte 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 19
Brendon Marotte 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brendon Marotte vs. Terrance McKinney
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McKinney (-450), Marotte (+300)

Round 1
Lightweights are next to the stage, as McKinney (14-6, 4-3 UFC) squares off with the once-beaten Marotte (8-1, 0-0 UFC)—a short-notice substitution for Chris Duncan. Marotte, 26, has won three fights in a row. Herb Dean answers the call to preside over the match.
McKinney connects with a clean knee strike in their first exchange, and Marotte hits the deck in a horrendous start to his promotional debut. McKinney trails him to the canvas and unleashes a string of unanswered punches that necessitate a quick stoppage
.

The Official Result
Terrance McKinney def. Brendon Marotte—TKO (Knee and Punches) 0:20 R1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney to win by first-round submission. He notes McKinney is dangerous early with power and wrestling, while Marotte is a big step up in competition and may not survive the first round. He warns that if Marotte survives, he could win, but expects McKinney to get it done quickly.

McKinney by submission in round 1
"going be Terence mckenny to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody picks McKinney, emphasizing that Marotte is a huge underdog with no recent fights and a shaky defense. He notes that McKinney's pressure and power are likely to overwhelm Marotte early. Cody suggests that if Marotte survives the first round, he could be live, but he doubts that will happen.

"McKinney is the pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host picks Terrance McKinney by round one, noting his explosive power and fast starts. He highlights that 19 of 20 McKinney fights finished under 1.5 rounds. However, he warns against the moneyline due to cardio issues and suggests taking McKinney round one or under 1.5 rounds.

McKinney round one; under 1.5 rounds
"I'll take mckenny mckenny round one but nothing to do with that minus 600 money line cardio way too question able"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Paul picks McKinney, noting his explosive first-round power and the fact that Marotte has no recent tape and is stepping in on short notice. He acknowledges McKinney's cardio issues but believes Marotte is not durable enough to survive the first round. Paul suggests betting McKinney round 1 or Marotte round 2 as value plays.

McKinney round 1 or Marotte round 2
"McKinney all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney to win by TKO over Brendan Marotte. He dismisses Marotte as an awful regional fighter who beat an 11-20 opponent and went to a split decision with an 8-4 fighter. He notes Marotte trains at New England Cartel but lacks quality wins. He believes McKinney has a speed advantage and won't be outgrappled, and that Marotte's short notice and lack of durability will lead to a finish.

TKO
"I'm going to have to go with teren mckin getting this one done by TKO another can for mckin"
WIN vs Mike Breeden
TKO (punches) R1 1:25 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Mike Breeden 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Mike Breeden 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 30 of 47 63% 23 of 36 7 of 11 0 of 0 16 of 30 11 of 14 3 of 3
Mike Breeden 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 30 of 47 63% 23 of 36 7 of 11 0 of 0 16 of 30 11 of 14 3 of 3
Mike Breeden 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Terrance McKinney vs. Mike Breeden
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McKinney (-270), Breeden (+220)

Round 1
Referee Chris Tognoni is on the highest of alerts for this lightweight preliminary clash, one that could end in the blink of an eye. A 19-fight veteran, McKinney (13-6, 3-3 UFC) has still never gone the distance, and his foe Breeden (10-5, 0-2 UFC) is no stranger to the knockout himself. Little more needs to be said other than that these two fighters sportingly touch hands before getting after it. McKinney pressures forward immediately, landing a right hand and changing levels for a single. McKinney lets it go and slings a head kick, and it bounds off the guard as Breeden ricochets off the fencing. Breeden comes back at him, and McKinney aims another head kick his way. Breeden kicks the ribs, and McKinney catches it and thinks about taking the fight down, but he releases it so that he can sling a right hand. Breeden throws a right hand, and McKinney blasts him in the body and bends Breeden over. Breeden is in a bad way, and he gets pounded with strikes as McKinney pounces on him. Breeden tries to take him down, but McKinney shuts him down and knees him several times to the chest and midsection.
Breeden is barely still with it, as he gets smashed with punches and knees. Breeden tries to escape, but McKinney is on him, unleashing a fury of fists until Tognoni leaps in between them to stop the fight.
This was a much-needed victory for the promising “T. Wrecks,” who reminds the division that he is still very much here and a force to be reckoned with.

The Official Result
Terrance McKinney def. Mike Breeden R1 1:25 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks McKinney but with low confidence due to cardio concerns and the short-notice turnaround. He notes McKinney has solid wrestling and BJJ but gasses and has a questionable chin. He is staying away from the -400 odds but suggests prop bets like McKinney winning the first round or getting more takedowns.

McKinney to get more takedowns (if under -300), McKinney to win first round
"Terrence McKinney's still going to be the pick but low confidence and I'm staying far far away from these four to one odds"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney to win by knockout early in the first round, likely within 60 seconds. He notes McKinney's dangerous striking and wrestling but acknowledges his poor cardio and short-notice fight. He believes McKinney will finish Breeden quickly, as Breeden has awful takedown defense and has been finished before. However, he cautions that if McKinney doesn't finish in the first round, he is likely to lose.

knockout early in the first round, within 60 seconds
"I will take Terence McKinney to knock out Mike Breeden um within 60 seconds like I think 60 seconds is is very much in play here for Terence McKinney"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Breeden

Cody picks Breeden by second-round finish as a prop bet, not on the moneyline. He notes McKinney's notorious cardio issues and short-notice fight (27 days after his last fight). He thinks if Breeden survives the first round, he will take over. He recommends a small sprinkle on Breeden round 2 at long odds, or live betting after the first round.

Breeden round 2 at +1200; also mentions Breeden round 3 at +2100; suggests live betting Breeden after round 1
"breed in round two is a you know throw a little sprinkle and uh and hope for the best type of play of the week"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Breeden

James is leaning toward Breeden as a value play, noting McKinney is a round-one-or-bust fighter and is priced at -300. He thinks Breeden is tough with good cardio and could survive the early storm. James admits McKinney could get back on track but feels the odds are too high for such a volatile fighter. He might bet Breeden.

James suggests if betting McKinney, play his KO or submission prop instead of moneyline.
"I'll always fade Terence at minus 300 for the most part against anybody with a pulse."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

McKinney has cardio issues but is extremely powerful and athletic early. Breeden is coming off a long layoff and camp change. McKinney's under 1.5 rounds streak is 18 of 19 fights, so the under is a strong play. McKinney should get the TKO in the first round due to his speed and power.

under 1.5 rounds (-290), McKinney by TKO in round 1
"I'm gonna go with McKinney here as I think he's too athletic and too powerful for Breeden to deal with early and I think that will allow him to get the TKO victory in the first round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Breeden

Paul also likes Breeden as a live underdog or round 2/3 prop. He notes McKinney's cardio fades after the first round and that Breeden has shown good cardio in past fights, especially in the third round against Natan Levy. He thinks Breeden can survive the initial onslaught and take over later. He recommends a small bet on Breeden round 2 or 3.

Breeden round 2 at +1200; Breeden round 3 at +2100; suggests live betting
"I will be playing the breeding round two pro because five minute fighter bro"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney but is hesitant, acknowledging McKinney's cardio issues and tendency to gas after round one. He believes McKinney is the better fighter and should win by first-round KO if he fights aggressively, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Breeden could take over. He suggests a live bet on Breeden if McKinney gasses.

Live bet on Mike Breeden if McKinney gasses after round one
"I'm gonna go Terence McKinney yeah uh but he could lose again because Mike breeden's not some joke"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo gives a slight lean to Terrance McKinney, calling it a 50.5 to 49.5 pick in his favor. He thinks McKinney is the better fighter overall, with solid striking and wrestling credentials, but his chin is questionable. He is swayed by a conversation with McKinney's coach about improved training partners. However, he hesitates because McKinney was recently knocked out and Sadykhov carries power late. He would only bet if the line moves to make McKinney a bigger underdog.

"I'm gonna give the slightest lean towards Terence McKinney because I do think he's the better fighter all in all but when I say slightest lean like 50 50 means there's no pick I'm going 49 and a half to nazim and 50 and a half to Terence McKinney"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney, expecting him to revert to his aggressive style and finish Sadykhov early. He notes Sadykhov is a slow starter who has been hurt early in fights, which plays into McKinney's strengths. However, he warns that if McKinney doesn't finish in the first few minutes, his poor cardio will be a problem. He calls it a great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives the first round.

First round knockout; great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives first half of round
"I'm gonna say McKenney knocks out satikov in the first round great live betting spot if Santa Claus survives the first half of a round probably live at him here because I just don't think McKinney has more than a couple minutes of cardio"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody picks McKinney at plus money, citing his explosiveness, power, and wrestling advantage. He thinks McKinney will go back to his aggressive style after pacing himself poorly against Bomfim. He notes Sadykhov's takedown defense issues and that McKinney has speed and power advantages. He acknowledges McKinney's cardio is a concern but thinks he can finish early.

under 1.5 rounds
"I gotta go with Terence McKinney... he's likely gonna go for it and he's got an ability to potentially knock out or submit most guys in this division very early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host highlights McKinney's 17 of 18 fights finishing under 1.5 rounds and 15 first-round finishes. He thinks Sadykhov is hittable and lacks durability, and McKinney's explosivity and power will be too much. He picks McKinney to win in round one, either by KO or submission.

McKinney wins in round 1; under 1.5 rounds
"give me round one McKinney I'm gonna just go round one McKinney you know I mean he can pull off the sub where he can pull off The Knockout I think he's capable of both but I'm gonna go round one"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov, citing his ability to fight 15 full minutes and survive early pressure. He notes McKinney's cardio fades after 5-6 minutes and that Sadykhov can take damage and come back. He mentions Sadykhov's cut stoppage win over Elder was competitive, not one-sided. He thinks a live bet on Sadykhov after the first round is a good strategy.

live bet on Sadykhov after first round
"I got a side with them at minus 135... buyer beware he was down two rounds on all all judges scorecards against Evan Elder and then the you know Landing Landing a perfect what elbow to to cut open Elder"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney over Nazim Sadykhov, citing McKinney's KO power and ability to catch opponents, as seen against Matt Frevola. He worries about McKinney's KO loss but notes his youth and six-month layoff. He sees Sadykhov as a forward-momentum scrapper who could run into a big shot, predicting a McKinney KO.

"I'm gonna go with Terence McKinney here I I do worry that maybe he'll be exposed again but I'm gonna have to go with him to win this one"