UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023 · Lightweight · Completed
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Age 32
Height 5' 10"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 31
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Nazim Sadykhov
4.79 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
5.49 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.1 TD Avg
45.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Terrance McKinney
6.53 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
3.45 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
3.31 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
2.1 Sub. Avg
Nazim Sadykhov
Moneyline
BetWay -150
KO/TKO
BetRivers +145
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
FanDuel +850
Terrance McKinney
Moneyline
Caesars +145
KO/TKO
BetRivers +310
Submission
FanDuel +460
Decision
FanDuel +1600
Nazim Sadykhov - Fight History
SCHED vs Matheus Camilo
LOSS vs Farès Ziam
KO R2 4:59 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 0 4 of 16 25% 7 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Farès Ziam 1 31 of 49 63% 76 of 96 2 of 5 40% 2 0 5:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 0 of 1 0% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Farès Ziam 0 8 of 10 80% 49 of 53 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:22
2 Nazim Sadykhov 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Farès Ziam 1 23 of 39 58% 27 of 43 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 4 of 16 25% 1 of 11 0 of 0 3 of 5 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Farès Ziam 31 of 49 63% 21 of 36 2 of 3 8 of 10 18 of 31 4 of 5 9 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Farès Ziam 8 of 10 80% 3 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 4 3 of 4
2 Nazim Sadykhov 4 of 15 26% 1 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 5 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Farès Ziam 23 of 39 58% 18 of 32 0 of 1 5 of 6 16 of 29 1 of 1 6 of 9
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nazim Sadykhov vs. Fares Ziam
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ziam (-135), Sadykhov (+114)

Round 1
Jason Herzog is the referee. Ziam follows a leg kick with a body kick, and Sadykhov ties him up and pushes his foe to the fence. Ziam reverses the position and lands some knees to the thighs. Ziam lifs his foe and briefly dumps him on the mat. The Frenchman continues to control the clinch, punching the body. Ziam lifts Sadykhov, pulls him away from the fence and taked him down. Ziam transitions nicely to an arm-triangle choke attempt before moving to the back as Sadykhov attempts to scramble to his feet. Ziam is on Sadykhov’s back, and he drags him down to a seated position. “Smile Killer” has his hooks in, and he switches to a body triangle as he peppers Sadykhov with short shots. Ziam is looking to create opening for a rear-naked choke, but Sadykhov is defending well. Ziam elbows the shoulder of his opponent while still attached to the back. Sadykhov continues to fight the hands of his opponent as time ticks down, and he’ll survive to see another five minutes.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ziam

Round 2
Sadykhov looks to find punching range and Ziam backs him up with a high kick. The Frenchman lands some long punches, taking advantage of his reach. A jab from Ziam appears to briefly stun Sadykhov. Ziam moves in and lands a jab. A front kick makes Sadykhov stumble backwards momentarily. Ziam targets the lead leg of Sadykhov. Sadykhov is strugglling to find openings on the feet. Ziam lands a long right hand before changing levels against the fence. Sadykhov reverses the position and presses his foe into the fence. Ziam reverses and works for a high crotch takedown, punishing the leg of his opponent with a kick. Moments later, Ziam pulls Sadykhov off the fence and lands a takedown. The Frenchman is quickly working to take the back while hunting for a choke. Sadykhov scrambles but he can’t free himself from Ziam’s clutches. Sadykhov gets to a knee and then attempts to stand. But with time winding down in the frame,
Ziam creates some space and rocks Sadykhov with a pair of nasty elbows behind the ear. Sadykhov tumbles to the floor and covers up as Ziam unloads with unanswered ground-and-pound before the horn sounds.
Herzog has been taking a close look at the final salvo, and he elects to wave off the fight. It appears to be the right call because Sadykhov is on wobbly legs as he protests the stoppage. That's six straight victories for Ziam.

The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Nazim Sadykhov via TKO (Elbows and Punches) R2 4:59
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo picks Nazim Sadykhov, acknowledging he has never correctly picked a Farès Ziam fight. He describes Ziam as a technical but boring fighter who sneaks out wins, while Sadykhov is a solid kickboxer with speed, power, and the ability to mix in wrestling. Angelo notes Sadykhov's comeback win over Nicholas Motta and believes his skills will overcome Ziam's style. He bet on Sadykhov at better odds earlier.

bet placed earlier at better odds
"Nazim's the pick. I bet on him. We got him at much better odds than this."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Big Brady picks Nazim Sadykhov as a dog, calling him a 'madman' with a dog in him. He acknowledges Ziam is more technical and has improved his grappling, but expects Sadykhov to push a pace and make it a dog fight. He predicts Sadykhov wins by decision.

Sadykhov by decision
"I'm going to take the dog and in what I think is going to be a dog fight, I'm going to say Nazim Satakov wins this fight and wins it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Cody picks Ziam, noting his improved takedown defense and technical striking. He believes Ziam's length and Muay Thai will be effective against Sadykhov, who is prone to being outworked. He mentions that Ziam has shown durability and has never been knocked down. He thinks Ziam will win a decision.

"For me, I just feel like Zam's the guy that's making a little more progress in his overall career that you see an improved version of him fight to fight."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Farès Ziam

Connor picks Farès Ziam, noting that Ziam has improved his striking and wrestling, becoming a more aggressive and dangerous fighter. He believes Ziam's well-rounded game and ability to control range will be too much for Sadykhov, who is a brute but has blank spaces in his game. Connor warns that Sadykhov is dangerous and can turn a fight around.

"My instinct is to say that Farah Ziyam's game makes too much sense for Sadikov to beat him."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Daniel picks Ziam, citing his technical striking, reach advantage, and maturity. He expects Ziam to stay disciplined at range and outpoint Sadykhov, though he acknowledges Sadykhov's durability and power. He predicts a unanimous decision for Ziam.

"Ultimately, I think that Farzam is going to hand Nazim Sadikov his first UFCL."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Lucrative James finds this a tough fight to call. He notes that Nazim Sadykhov often gets outmaneuvered early but lands comeback finishes, while Ziam is more technical and durable. He thinks Ziam's fight IQ and ability to avoid big moments will allow him to win a decision. However, he is not confident and would not bet on either fighter at close odds.

"I'm going to end up picking Fesam here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Farès Ziam

The host believes Sadykhov's reliance on power will be exposed. He views Ziam as the superior technical striker who can handle Sadykhov's big shots and nullify his grappling, leading to a decision win.

win by decision
"I think ZM is the superior technical striker. He should be able to roll with the big shots of Sadikov and I think he should be able to nullify most of Sadikov's grappling game. That should lead to ZM outstriking …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Paul agrees, citing Ziam's reach advantage and technical striking. He notes that Sadykhov loses chunks of fights and relies on one big shot. He believes Ziam's durability and improved grappling will allow him to outpoint Sadykhov. He picks Ziam by decision.

"Zion for me and it kind of comes down to the same intangibles as well with just the length reach probably making it more of an ugly fight than what Nazam Sadakov wants."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

The Guru picks Farès Ziam over Nazim Sadykhov, citing Ziam's reach advantage and slick striking. He notes Sadykhov's wins have asterisks and he struggled against lower-level opponents. The Guru predicts a clean 30-27 decision for Ziam.

"I think Zam's going to win a clean slick 30-27 clear decision shutting down Sadikov."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Farès Ziam

Zane picks Farès Ziam, agreeing that Ziam's game is more coherent and that he has improved significantly. He notes that Sadykhov is a strange fighter who can make bad decisions but turn fights around with athleticism. Zane believes Ziam can stay ahead and control the fight, but must be careful throughout.

"I think you're right. I think that Ziyam has built enough of a solid, well-rounded competitive game everywhere to win this and to stay ahead of Sadikov all the way through."
WIN vs Nikolas Motta
KO R2 4:17 · UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 1 93 of 150 62% 102 of 161 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:29
Nikolas Motta 1 66 of 157 42% 76 of 168 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 39 of 63 61% 45 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:05
Nikolas Motta 1 36 of 82 43% 44 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Nazim Sadykhov 1 54 of 87 62% 57 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Nikolas Motta 0 30 of 75 40% 32 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 93 of 150 62% 60 of 114 25 of 27 8 of 9 58 of 109 33 of 38 2 of 3
Nikolas Motta 66 of 157 42% 46 of 136 16 of 16 4 of 5 54 of 135 12 of 22 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 39 of 63 61% 21 of 43 12 of 13 6 of 7 25 of 46 14 of 17 0 of 0
Nikolas Motta 36 of 82 43% 23 of 68 9 of 9 4 of 5 28 of 72 8 of 10 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 54 of 87 62% 39 of 71 13 of 14 2 of 2 33 of 63 19 of 21 2 of 3
Nikolas Motta 30 of 75 40% 23 of 68 7 of 7 0 of 0 26 of 63 4 of 12 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo picks Nazim Sadykhov, praising his striking and footwork. He notes that Nazim is a very good striker and has looked fantastic since his only loss. He acknowledges that Nikolas Motta is a good fighter with fast hands and power, but thinks Nazim is the slightly better striker and can win by finish. He warns that Motta is dangerous and the fight could get weird.

Mentions Nazim can win by finish; considers him for lineups but notes Motta's danger.
"I'm going to pick Nazim. I'm probably going to put him in a lineup or two, but we can't just ignore that Nicholas Ma is actually a good fighter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Big Brady is a big fan of Sadykhov in this matchup, citing durability as the key factor. He notes Sadykhov has never been knocked out, while Motta has been finished in all five losses. Brady thinks Sadykhov is more well-rounded, has better cardio, and a good ground game. He predicts Sadykhov will knock out Motta, possibly in the second round, but wouldn't be surprised by a submission.

second round knockout
"I like Satakov. I think he can knock out Moda."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Connor picks Sadykhov, agreeing that Motta's tendency to jump in with combinations and lack of distance management will be exploited by Sadykhov's countering and physicality. He notes that Sadykhov is not shallow in any area and is a tough, durable fighter who can take a shot and keep coming. He believes Motta's confidence issues, as seen against Ogden, will resurface against a strong opponent like Sadykhov.

"Mata coming at him chin first. And it's going to be able to walk him into something. And Sadokob has really proven to be a brute."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Nikolas Motta

The host is surprised Sadykhov is such a big favorite. He acknowledges Sadykhov's knockout power but thinks Motta has rounded out his game enough to eat big shots and put together a better body of work. He expects Motta to touch up Sadykhov, mix in takedowns, and win on the scorecards, noting Motta is live as a +340 underdog.

underdog at +340
"Another fight where I'm very surprised at Sadikov being such a big favorite. Sure, he has the knockout power to potentially cause MO some problems, but I think MOT has really rounded out his game well enough to be effective …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The MMA Guru picks Nazim Sadykhov, calling him 'really, really good'. He acknowledges Nikolas Motta's underrated skills and dangerous hooks but believes Sadykhov's defensive striking and pressure will prevail. He warns about Motta's lunging hooks but expects Sadykhov to adjust and finish late second or third round via TKO.

Sadykhov wins by TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'm gonna go with Nazim Sadikov. I think he's really good. I think Nazim Sadikov is really, really good."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Zane picks Sadykhov, noting that Motta's recklessness and chin-first approach will play into Sadykhov's power and physicality. He points out that Motta has been broken by lesser fighters like Trey Ogden, and that Sadykhov is a brute who is physical in all areas and has proven durability against Bonfim. He believes Sadykhov will survive Motta's early aggression and catch him with a fight-ending shot.

"I think this is a really, unfortunately, easy pick for Sadokob for me. Yeah, I tend to agree."
WIN vs Ismael Bonfim
KO R1 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ismael Bonfim 0 26 of 42 61% 26 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nazim Sadykhov 0 13 of 46 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ismael Bonfim 0 26 of 42 61% 26 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nazim Sadykhov 0 13 of 46 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ismael Bonfim 26 of 42 61% 14 of 29 5 of 5 7 of 8 24 of 39 2 of 3 0 of 0
Nazim Sadykhov 13 of 46 28% 9 of 35 2 of 7 2 of 4 12 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ismael Bonfim 26 of 42 61% 14 of 29 5 of 5 7 of 8 24 of 39 2 of 3 0 of 0
Nazim Sadykhov 13 of 46 28% 9 of 35 2 of 7 2 of 4 12 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Angelo picks Ismael Bonfim over Nazim Sadykhov, noting that while Sadykhov is talented, his wins have caveats (e.g., Evan Elder was beating him before a cut, Terrence McKinney was beating him before gassing). He believes Bonfim will stay busy with striking and may mix in takedowns, and that Bonfim won't gas or get cut like Sadykhov's previous opponents.

"I think Ishmael stays busy with the Striking may or may not work in his own takedown I am going to pick Ishmael bonfim here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Big Brady picks Bonfim by decision, noting he is the better striker with good boxing and defensive responsibility. Sadykhov has volume issues and was outlanded by Evan Elder. Bonfim has takedown defense to keep it standing and a good chin. Sadykhov may land a big shot but Bonfim has never been knocked out.

"I got Bon here I think he wins this fight and wins it by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Connor picks Ismael Bonfim, agreeing with Zane that Bonfim is more technical. He notes that Sadykhov is a brute with a shallow game who breaks down when out-techniqued. Connor highlights Bonfim's arrogance as a potential weakness but believes Sadykhov's lack of horsepower means Bonfim can successfully pressure and break him. He also notes that Sadykhov will give up the initiative if pressured, unlike Santini, which favors Bonfim.

Connor notes the odds: Bonfim opened at -153 and is now -192, Sadykhov opened at +117 and is now +172. He says the odds make sense but wouldn't get them much wider, as Bonfim has lost a fight like this before.
"I think Bonfiniem is really good, but I, you know, it's all, I guess it's all going off of, well, it's not all going off that one fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Lucrative James picks Ismael Bonfim to win by decision, but admits he does not have a strong read on this fight and needs to do more tape study. He sees Bonfim as the more technical striker with better leg kicks and a well-rounded game, while Sadykhov is a brawler with power and durability. He thinks Bonfim's experience and technicality will allow him to outpoint Sadykhov over three rounds, but acknowledges Sadykhov could land a big shot or win a war. He is not confident enough to recommend a bet.

"I'm going to pick bom them in this fight I think that he's going to win a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Ismael Bonfim

Bonfim has the experience advantage and more to bring to the table. As long as Sadykhov doesn't land a big power shot, Bonfim dictates pace and pressure and wins on the scorecards.

"I believe that Bonfim will showcase that experience advantage here against Nazim Sadykhov... Bonfim should be able to dictate the pace and pressure of this fight and end up winning it on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

The MMA Guru picks Ismael Bonfim over Nazim Sadykhov, noting Bonfim's slickness and more options. He criticizes Sadykhov for letting fights get scrappy and lacking ability to force things. He believes Bonfim's time off has allowed improvement and he will deliver, though he jokes about Bonfim's reaction to his brother's potential loss.

"I'm gonna go with ishmail bum furm here over nazim sadikov"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ismael Bonfim

Zane picks Ismael Bonfim, citing Bonfim's superior technical skills in striking, wrestling, and grappling compared to Sadykhov. He notes that Sadykhov's game breaks down when faced with better technique, as he only wants to fight one way. Zane acknowledges Bonfim's tendency to make arrogant decisions and give up positions, but believes Sadykhov lacks the horsepower to capitalize like Santini did. He also points out that Sadykhov is more of an opportunist on the ground, not a constrictor, reducing the risk of Bonfim getting caught.

Zane notes the odds: Bonfim opened at -153 and is now -192, Sadykhov opened at +117 and is now +172. He says the odds make sense but wouldn't get them much wider, as Bonfim has lost a fight like this before.
"I think I'll take Bonfiniem too, but yeah, and that is different between him."
Draw (majority) (28–29, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 1 91 of 207 43% 109 of 228 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:32
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 143 of 241 59% 144 of 242 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 58 of 79 73% 58 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nazim Sadykhov 1 39 of 77 50% 51 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:06
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 29 of 60 48% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Nazim Sadykhov 0 29 of 62 46% 35 of 69 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:24
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 56 of 102 54% 56 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 91 of 207 43% 65 of 172 19 of 26 7 of 9 66 of 175 5 of 8 20 of 24
Viacheslav Borshchev 143 of 241 59% 87 of 178 30 of 34 26 of 29 141 of 239 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 23 of 68 33% 12 of 52 8 of 11 3 of 5 22 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Viacheslav Borshchev 58 of 79 73% 27 of 46 14 of 15 17 of 18 58 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 39 of 77 50% 35 of 72 3 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 53 2 of 2 18 of 22
Viacheslav Borshchev 29 of 60 48% 16 of 46 7 of 7 6 of 7 27 of 58 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Nazim Sadykhov 29 of 62 46% 18 of 48 8 of 11 3 of 3 25 of 55 2 of 5 2 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 56 of 102 54% 44 of 86 9 of 12 3 of 4 56 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Borshchev, trusting his striking pressure and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Sadykhov is not a grappler and will likely strike, which favors Borshchev. He acknowledges Sadykhov could win a decision but leans on Borshchev's power and volume.

"I like viav to win this fight... I'm going to trust the absolute nonstop striking pressure."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Viacheslav Borshchev to win by first-round knockout. He praises Borshchev's incredible striking and notes that opponents constantly try to take him down because they want nothing to do with his striking. He worries that Sadykhov doesn't wrestle enough to exploit Borshchev's poor takedown defense, and that Sadykhov was outstruck by Evan Elder. Brady expects a striking battle and favors Borshchev's power.

Borshchev by first-round knockout
"I'm going to take another dog here, I'm gonna take Slava Borshchev to win this fight by knockout... give me Slava by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Cody leans Borshchev, expecting a striking match where Borshchev's volume and durability give him an edge. He notes Sadykhov hasn't shown wrestling in the UFC, and Borshchev's takedown defense and ability to get up are solid. He's not confident but sees value.

"borchev will be the official pick just on the fact that I feel like this is going to be a 15-minute striking Affair"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Borshchev is more tested against better competition and his defensive grappling is improving. He should be able to keep the fight in the striking realm where he has a decided advantage. Expects Borshchev to batter Sadykhov and eventually finish him by knockout in the second or third round. Surprised to see Borshchev as the underdog and happy to take a shot on him.

finish by knockout in round 2 or 3
"I was kind of surprised to see borchev as the underdog here and I was more than happy to take a shot on him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Paul picks Borshchev, citing Sadykhov's lack of wrestling and questionable takedown defense. He thinks Borshchev's striking and cardio will be too much, and that Sadykhov hasn't shown enough to warrant being a favorite. He calls Borshchev a dog play.

"borchev KO official pick for me it's plus 250 at like the only book that has the prop on that right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The MMA Guru picks Nazim Sadykhov, highlighting his grappling as the X-factor. He notes that Sadykhov showed composure against Terrance McKinney's early danger and that his team knows when to use takedowns. He predicts a late second-round submission, as Borshchev is a great striker but has takedown defense issues.

submission in round 2
"I'm going to go of nazim sadikov getting a late second round submission is what I'm going to go for there"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:07 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 0 8 of 15 53% 20 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:55
Terrance McKinney 0 6 of 14 42% 21 of 34 2 of 5 40% 0 0 4:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 5 of 8 62% 16 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:20
Terrance McKinney 0 5 of 8 62% 20 of 28 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:12
2 Nazim Sadykhov 0 3 of 7 42% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:35
Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 8 of 15 53% 6 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 3 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2
Terrance McKinney 6 of 14 42% 3 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2
Terrance McKinney 5 of 8 62% 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 3 of 7 42% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Terrance McKinney 1 of 6 16% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo gives a slight lean to Terrance McKinney, calling it a 50.5 to 49.5 pick in his favor. He thinks McKinney is the better fighter overall, with solid striking and wrestling credentials, but his chin is questionable. He is swayed by a conversation with McKinney's coach about improved training partners. However, he hesitates because McKinney was recently knocked out and Sadykhov carries power late. He would only bet if the line moves to make McKinney a bigger underdog.

"I'm gonna give the slightest lean towards Terence McKinney because I do think he's the better fighter all in all but when I say slightest lean like 50 50 means there's no pick I'm going 49 and a half to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney, expecting him to revert to his aggressive style and finish Sadykhov early. He notes Sadykhov is a slow starter who has been hurt early in fights, which plays into McKinney's strengths. However, he warns that if McKinney doesn't finish in the first few minutes, his poor cardio will be a problem. He calls it a great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives the first round.

First round knockout; great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives first half of round
"I'm gonna say McKenney knocks out satikov in the first round great live betting spot if Santa Claus survives the first half of a round probably live at him here because I just don't think McKinney has more than a …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody picks McKinney at plus money, citing his explosiveness, power, and wrestling advantage. He thinks McKinney will go back to his aggressive style after pacing himself poorly against Bomfim. He notes Sadykhov's takedown defense issues and that McKinney has speed and power advantages. He acknowledges McKinney's cardio is a concern but thinks he can finish early.

under 1.5 rounds
"I gotta go with Terence McKinney... he's likely gonna go for it and he's got an ability to potentially knock out or submit most guys in this division very early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host highlights McKinney's 17 of 18 fights finishing under 1.5 rounds and 15 first-round finishes. He thinks Sadykhov is hittable and lacks durability, and McKinney's explosivity and power will be too much. He picks McKinney to win in round one, either by KO or submission.

McKinney wins in round 1; under 1.5 rounds
"give me round one McKinney I'm gonna just go round one McKinney you know I mean he can pull off the sub where he can pull off The Knockout I think he's capable of both but I'm gonna go round …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov, citing his ability to fight 15 full minutes and survive early pressure. He notes McKinney's cardio fades after 5-6 minutes and that Sadykhov can take damage and come back. He mentions Sadykhov's cut stoppage win over Elder was competitive, not one-sided. He thinks a live bet on Sadykhov after the first round is a good strategy.

live bet on Sadykhov after first round
"I got a side with them at minus 135... buyer beware he was down two rounds on all all judges scorecards against Evan Elder and then the you know Landing Landing a perfect what elbow to to cut open Elder"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney over Nazim Sadykhov, citing McKinney's KO power and ability to catch opponents, as seen against Matt Frevola. He worries about McKinney's KO loss but notes his youth and six-month layoff. He sees Sadykhov as a forward-momentum scrapper who could run into a big shot, predicting a McKinney KO.

"I'm gonna go with Terence McKinney here I I do worry that maybe he'll be exposed again but I'm gonna have to go with him to win this one"
WIN vs Evan Elder
TKO (doctor stoppage) R3 0:38 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 0 64 of 132 48% 71 of 141 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Evan Elder 1 70 of 142 49% 84 of 158 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 28 of 74 37% 28 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Evan Elder 1 35 of 78 44% 36 of 79 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Nazim Sadykhov 0 29 of 45 64% 36 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Evan Elder 0 32 of 53 60% 45 of 68 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:33
3 Nazim Sadykhov 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Evan Elder 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 64 of 132 48% 38 of 103 19 of 20 7 of 9 54 of 118 10 of 14 0 of 0
Evan Elder 70 of 142 49% 25 of 87 36 of 46 9 of 9 60 of 129 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 28 of 74 37% 15 of 58 8 of 9 5 of 7 26 of 68 2 of 6 0 of 0
Evan Elder 35 of 78 44% 16 of 55 15 of 19 4 of 4 34 of 75 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 29 of 45 64% 20 of 36 7 of 7 2 of 2 23 of 39 6 of 6 0 of 0
Evan Elder 32 of 53 60% 8 of 25 20 of 24 4 of 4 24 of 44 8 of 9 0 of 0
3 Nazim Sadykhov 7 of 13 53% 3 of 9 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0
Evan Elder 3 of 11 27% 1 of 7 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Angelo likes Evan Elder's well-rounded skills, loose striking, heavy kicks, and composure on the ground. He notes Elder's short-notice loss at welterweight should be discounted as he's a natural lightweight. Angelo is concerned about Sadykhov's tendency to throw unnecessary spinning attacks, which led to his only loss. He wishes he got Elder at +220 and notes the line is tightening, recommending to bet now.

Angelo said he would bet Elder if the line goes below +145, and after the stream he plans to place a bet.
"I like Evan here... I wish I got him at plus 220 I would have bet him at the plus 220."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Big Brady is impressed with Sadykhov's striking and ability to battle through adversity, noting he fights out of bad positions. He thinks Elder's takedown defense is poor based on his debut, and Sadykhov has wrestling of his own. He predicts a decision win, as Elder is tough and has a chin.

Sadykhov by decision
"I like sadikov fear I like staticon by decision I think Evan Elder's tough as Nails"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Cody picks Sadykhov, noting he has more firepower, hits harder, and has 15-minute cardio. He says Sadykhov trains at a good gym with Aljamain Sterling and others. He acknowledges Evan Elder is better than his UFC debut showed (short notice, up a weight class) but notes Elder gets hit a lot and is defensively poor. He thinks Sadykhov will have forward pressure and either catch him with something or mix in takedowns for a decision win. He says the line is repetitive on this card and he doesn't love it.

Cody mentions Sadykhov has a slight wrestling advantage. He says he'll take Sadykhov but doesn't love the -190.
"I will take nazim sadakov but what you're seeing is a repetitive seam on this card guys that are struggling to make weight guys that are fighting for the UFC for the very first time."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Sadykhov is a much better puncher and counter puncher than anyone Elder has faced. He notes Elder's vulnerability when stepping in without landing, and that Sadykhov can pressure through Elder's kicks and remain balanced to throw. Connor also points out that Elder's striking is entirely dependent on scaring opponents with kicks, but his punching form is wild and leaves him out of position. He concludes that Sadykhov is a reliable pick to win.

Sadykhov TKO +225, straight line -185 to -200, parlay potential
"So you got to take Sotikov here."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Jacob is high on Evan Elder, calling him an absolute dog after his short-notice performance. He believes Elder is the better technical striker and has shown he can work through adversity. Jacob thinks Sadykhov will look good early but slow down, and Elder's pressure and wrestling will take over. He compares it to the Blake Bilder fight from last week where the odds tightened similarly.

"I got to go uh with Evan Elder as well I actually love him in this matchup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Evan Elder

Elder is the better striker with more power and forward pressure, and his training at Kill Cliff FC should improve his cardio and takedown defense. Sadykhov's level of competition is weak, and his takedowns may not work against Elder's strength. Expect Elder to land a knockout in the second round.

Elder wins by KO in round 2
"I lean Elder ever so slightly... I think he comes through with a knockout Victory probably in the second round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov but is not willing to lay -200. He thought Sadykhov showed flashy striking on Contender Series and has promise, but he's not confident enough to parlay him. He notes there was steam on Elder earlier in the week but the line has corrected. He says Sadykhov is someone to keep an eye on but not someone to lay heavy chalk on in his UFC debut.

Paul mentions the line moved back toward -200 after early steam on Elder. He says he's not willing to parlay Sadykhov.
"I like satakov I was considering playing him because there was a bit of steam that came in on on Evan Elder a little bit earlier in the week and then now that's kind of like corrected itself."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The MMA Guru picks Nazim Sadykhov, highlighting his training at Longo and Weidman's gym and his impressive win on the Contender Series against a 9-1 opponent. He contrasts that with Evan Elder's less dominant wins, including a third-round TKO of a 9-16 short-notice opponent. He believes Sadykhov has more talent and skill, predicting a TKO in the later rounds.

TKO in later rounds
"I've got to go with sadiekov not just because of his name however that is kind of a decent indication of how this fight's gonna go in my opinion"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Zane sees Sadykhov as a solid, raw prospect with good fundamental power punching and well-roundedness, including top position grappling. He notes Sadykhov's ability to scramble and his innovative striking, like the spinning back kick. Zane contrasts this with Elder, who he describes as a formless regional fighter dependent on heavy kicks to keep opponents at bay, with poor punching form and wrestling defense. He believes Sadykhov's camp (Serra-Longo) instills good technique, and that Sadykhov will be able to push through Elder's kicks and find success in the pocket.

Sadykhov TKO +225, straight line -185 to -200, parlay potential
"I think he's going to kind of paste Evan Elder."
Terrance McKinney - Fight History
WIN vs Kyle Nelson
KO R1 0:24 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 13 of 27 48% 15 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Kyle Nelson 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 13 of 27 48% 15 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Kyle Nelson 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 13 of 27 48% 12 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 22
Kyle Nelson 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 13 of 27 48% 12 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 22
Kyle Nelson 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney despite acknowledging his cardio and chin issues. He believes McKinney is the better striker, wrestler, and more powerful, and hopes he puts on a show at home. He admits he went against his own rule of not betting on McKinney and placed a half-unit bet at -141.

Half a unit at -141
"Half a unit minus 141, Terrance McKinney's the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney to win by first-round knockout. He expects a car crash of a fight, noting both fighters lack durability and have been finished often. He believes McKinney's early pressure and power will be too much for Kyle Nelson, who has been finished in four losses. He thinks McKinney will knock him out in the first few minutes.

McKinney by KO round 1
"I think McKinney's going to knock him out in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Cody picks Nelson, believing McKinney's early explosiveness will fade and Nelson's durability and cardio will take over. He also mentions inside information from Nelson's training partner.

"Kyle Nelson for me, brother."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Connor picks Nelson, noting that McKinney is only dangerous in the first round and concedes when he can't get an immediate finish. He points out that McKinney has only won one fight outside the first three minutes in his entire career. Nelson is susceptible early but if he survives, McKinney gives up. Connor says you can't pick a competent fighter to lose to McKinney.

Odds: Nelson opened +150, now +145; McKinney opened -175, now -170. Connor says he can't imagine betting on McKinney.
"You got to pick Kyle Nelson."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Daniel acknowledges McKinney's first-round finishing ability but is wary of his tendency to fade if he doesn't get the early KO. He picks McKinney but suggests live betting Nelson if the fight goes past two minutes.

"A pure pick, I'm going with McKinney, man. I'd like to see McKinney get back on track and just get Nelson out of there with a serious onslaught in round one."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)

The host sees this as a coin flip: McKinney is explosive and dangerous early but has terrible cardio and has never been to a decision; Nelson is slow and hittable but has power and can survive the first round. The implied probabilities (65-40) offer no margin on either side, so the host passes entirely.

"You'd be crazy to back McKinney with how reckless he is and how bad his cardio is. But, with how dangerous McKinney is early and how stiff and slow Nelson is, I think you'd be crazy to back Nelson as …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host expects McKinney's explosive power and early aggression to overwhelm Nelson, leading to a first-round knockout. He notes McKinney's tendency to finish early and that all his UFC fights have ended under 1.5 rounds. He is less confident in betting McKinney straight due to his style's volatility but likes the under 1.5 rounds prop.

under 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to go McKenna. I'm not I don't want to bet him at shock just because I know what kind of style he has... but the under one and a half is definitely the spot even at shock to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Paul agrees, noting McKinney's history of gassing and Nelson's ability to survive early storms. He expects Nelson to win after the first round.

"Kyle Nelson is the side for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kyle Nelson

The MMA Guru picks Kyle Nelson using reverse psychology, as he often picks McKinney to win by first-round TKO but McKinney fumbles. He believes McKinney will wobble Nelson early but then fade, allowing Nelson to take over in the second and third rounds with elbows and pressure. He notes McKinney's inconsistency.

"Reverse psychology. I'm going with Kyle Nelson, dude."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Zane agrees, stating that McKinney's pattern is clear: he comes in keyed up and if he doesn't finish early, he gives up. He compares McKinney to the ID of fighters like McGregor and Pyfer. Nelson is a competent fighter who can survive the early storm. Zane notes that Nelson could lose if he gets caught early, but otherwise McKinney has no answer.

Odds: Nelson opened +150, now +145; McKinney opened -175, now -170.
"Can't pick a single competent fighter to lose to McKinney."
LOSS vs Chris Duncan
Submission R1 2:30 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 31 of 57 54% 31 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Duncan 1 38 of 55 69% 53 of 75 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 31 of 57 54% 31 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Duncan 1 38 of 55 69% 53 of 75 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 31 of 57 54% 26 of 50 5 of 7 0 of 0 24 of 45 6 of 11 1 of 1
Chris Duncan 38 of 55 69% 36 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 1 10 of 20 6 of 8 22 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 31 of 57 54% 26 of 50 5 of 7 0 of 0 24 of 45 6 of 11 1 of 1
Chris Duncan 38 of 55 69% 36 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 1 10 of 20 6 of 8 22 of 27
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney despite acknowledging his poor durability and cardio. He believes McKinney is incredibly dangerous early and can get the fight to the ground to find a finish. He notes that Chris Duncan is extremely durable and often comes back from being hurt, but Angelo thinks McKinney's early explosiveness will be enough. He advises against betting due to the high risk.

"I'm going to pick Terence McKini. Don't do anything with that information. These odds aren't good enough to bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Big Brady picks Chris Duncan, noting McKinney's tendency to fade after early bursts and his seven career finishes. He highlights Duncan's improved ground game and chin, and expects Duncan to weather the early storm and knock out McKinney late in the first round.

Duncan by first round knockout
"I'm going to say Duncan weathers the early storm and knocks out Terrence McKenna in very brutal fashion late in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody leans toward McKinney, citing his explosive start and finishing ability. He notes that McKinney's fights are usually over in the first round and that Duncan has shown a questionable chin. He mentions that if McKinney doesn't finish early, Duncan's cardio advantage could come into play, but he trusts McKinney's early burst.

"I'm gonna go with the Terrence McKenna side. Uh, but I will say with the caveat of um I feel like a Duncan round two prop at like plus 450 plus plus 600's out there."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

Connor picks Chris Duncan, noting that Duncan has improved significantly at ATT, developing a calm, consistent striking game with good shot selection and power. He contrasts McKinney's all-gas-no-brakes style that fades after two minutes, and believes Duncan has the answers to McKinney's early blitz.

"I have to prick Chris Duncan the way, especially the way Chris Duncan is now. Like that's what I was going to say. Chris Duncan, I think has really gotten a lot better in a pretty short period of time."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Daniel picks Duncan, reasoning that if he survives McKinney's first-round onslaught, he will take over. He notes McKinney has never been past the first round and fades, while Duncan has shown durability and finishing ability. He sees Duncan winning by knockout or submission in later rounds.

"I am going to pick Chris Duncan. There's obviously a chance he gets finished in the first, but if he doesn't, he's got multiple avenues to victory."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Lucrative James acknowledges his bias as a friend of Chris Duncan but provides detailed reasoning. He believes McKinney's only chance is an early finish, while Duncan's physicality, cardio, and improving grappling defense will carry him through. He notes Duncan's training with Grant Dawson and focus on back-take defense. He predicts Duncan wins inside the distance, likely by KO.

Chris Duncan inside the distance
"I got Chris all day here, boys."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

The host acknowledges the recent love for McKinney but expects Duncan to take advantage of McKinney's overaggressive style and find a finish within one and a half rounds.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"I think that we'll see Duncan eventually take advantage of McKenny's overaggressive style and find that finish under one and a half rounds."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, emphasizing his multiple paths to victory. He notes that McKinney's win condition is a first-round finish, while Duncan has power, a guillotine choke, and cardio. He mentions that Duncan trains at American Top Team and has prepared for McKinney's wrestling. He believes if McKinney doesn't finish early, Duncan will take over.

"I'm going to actually go with Chris Duncan in this spot. Just he's got more ways to win."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The Guru picks Terrance McKinney despite acknowledging Duncan may be the better fighter. He believes McKinney's speed and first-round explosiveness will catch Duncan, who is hittable early. The Guru predicts a first-round TKO, possibly in the first minute.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Terrence McKini getting this one done by TKO in the first round over Chris Duncan."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

Zane picks Chris Duncan, emphasizing that McKinney has never won a UFC fight outside the first two minutes and loses when his initial blitz fails. He notes Duncan's improved striking and power, and believes Duncan can weather the early storm and take over. Zane thinks the odds should be wider in Duncan's favor.

Duncan should be a bigger favorite
"I think Duncan could, that should actually be a bunch bigger favorite. Frankly."
Submission R1 0:55 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:47
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:47
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney because he believes McKinney's early explosiveness will overwhelm Viacheslav Borshchev, who is older and may not be as durable as before. He notes that McKinney is reliable in that he either finishes early or loses, and he thinks McKinney will come out like a bat out of hell and get the job done. However, he admits he is picking against Borshchev more than for McKinney, and he will monitor the odds for a good betting spot.

Angelo says he will keep an eye on the odds and use his line movement tracker to find a good entry point.
"I am going to go Terrance McKinney. Viacheslav is 33 years old. He is 55 years old in fight years."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady acknowledges McKinney is the rightful favorite due to his wrestling and power, but he is hesitant because both fighters have questionable durability. He notes Borshchev has terrible takedown defense and was dropped by Chase Hooper, but McKinney's cardio is atrocious and his durability is also suspect. Brady thinks McKinney will land first and win by first-round knockout, but if it leaves the first round, McKinney is in trouble.

McKinney wins by first round knockout
"Give me Terence McKenna to win by first round knockout. But he's so untrustworthy."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host notes McKinney's tendency for early finishes, but picks Borshchev to fend off the early grappling and get a TKO finish by the end of the first or early second round.

under 1.5 rounds, TKO finish
"I think it's going to be Borchev who ends up fending off the early grappling threat of McKenna and then eventually pulverizes him by the ending of the first round or early second round to get that TKO finish."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host picks Terrance McKinney, citing his underrated grappling as the X-factor. He notes that Borshchev has shown weaknesses in grappling, as seen in his losses to Chase Hooper and others. However, he acknowledges McKinney's tendency to get knocked out spectacularly and sees the fight as a 50/50 on the feet. He believes McKinney will use his wrestling to secure a win.

"I'm going with Terrence McKini here. Um I I think Terrence McKini is uh is good enough to beat Vishlav Borchev."
KO R1 2:01 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 54 of 69 78% 69 of 90 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:00
Damir Hadžović 0 4 of 13 30% 4 of 13 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 54 of 69 78% 69 of 90 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:00
Damir Hadžović 0 4 of 13 30% 4 of 13 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 54 of 69 78% 53 of 67 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 46 of 51
Damir Hadžović 4 of 13 30% 3 of 9 0 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 54 of 69 78% 53 of 67 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 46 of 51
Damir Hadžović 4 of 13 30% 3 of 9 0 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney despite his unreliability, citing his superior talent, wrestling, and striking. He notes that Damir Hadžović is older (38) and not as dangerous. He worries about McKinney's cardio and chin but believes he should win early. He suggests looking at round props rather than betting the moneyline at -335.

Suggests looking at round line (under 1.5) and prop bets.
"Terence mckin should win I'm picking Terence mckin to win I'm hoping these odds Titan though betting on Terence mckin at minus 335 is the the plot of a nightmare"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady sees this as an easy matchup for Terrance McKinney, who has great wrestling and BJJ. Damir Hadžović has the worst takedown defense in the UFC and has been submitted before. Brady thinks McKinney will take him down and submit him in the first round, though he notes McKinney has terrible cardio if the fight extends. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I'm going Terence mckenny to win this fight by first round sub if he gets out of the first round um it could very well be bad but I just don't see hadzovic lasting five minutes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

McKinney has a massive grappling advantage and will look to get the fight to the ground immediately. He is expected to take the back and secure a first-round submission, as he has done in all nine of his UFC fights. The fight is predicted to go under 1.5 rounds.

under 1.5 rounds
"McKenna should have a tremendous his grappling Advantage here and I'd be surprised if he does not look to get this fight to the ground almost immediately from there I expect him to go to the back get that first …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney to win by TKO in the first round. He believes McKinney has finishing potential while Hadžović does not, and that Hadžović is past his prime and likely to be decisioned. He notes McKinney's losses are brutal but expects him to get the job done here.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with Terrence mckin getting it done TKO first round I say first round finish for Terrence mckin"
KO (head kick) R1 0:37 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Esteban Ribovics 0 5 of 18 27% 5 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Terrance McKinney 1 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Esteban Ribovics 0 5 of 18 27% 5 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Terrance McKinney 1 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Esteban Ribovics 5 of 18 27% 3 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Terrance McKinney 5 of 12 41% 3 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 10 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Esteban Ribovics 5 of 18 27% 3 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Terrance McKinney 5 of 12 41% 3 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 10 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Angelo picks Esteban Ribovics as the more durable and dependable fighter, despite Terrance McKinney's raw talent and explosiveness. He notes Ribovics has been taken down 14 times in his last five fights, but McKinney has been finished in every loss. He acknowledges the fight is close to 50/50 and that McKinney could win if he lands early.

"I got to go with the more durable guy here I have to go with the more dependable guy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Big Brady picks Esteban Ribovics to survive McKinney's early storm and finish him in the late first or second round by knockout. He notes McKinney has never won a UFC fight past the first round and tends to gas if he doesn't finish early. Ribovics has durability, cardio, heart, and finishing ability. He expects McKinney to try wrestling, but if he doesn't finish, he will fade and get finished himself.

"I'm going to take riix to uh survive an early storm here get taken down get back up make McKenna work and I think he's going to push a pace here and finish M McKenna in the the late first …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Cody picks Ribovics, noting that McKinney is a 'glass cannon' who gasses after the first round. He expects McKinney to come out fast and possibly take Ribovics down early, but Ribovics has shown he can survive and come back. Cody likes the under 1.5 rounds prop as parlay fodder, as McKinney fights are usually short. He suggests live betting Ribovics if McKinney wins the first round.

Under 1.5 rounds (-220) parlayed with other unders; live betting Ribovics
"I think ribovich is a better live bet and I suppose yeah the the under one and a half is decent uh decent parlay fodder"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Daniel Vreeland picks Esteban Ribovics, noting that McKinney is dangerous in the first round but fades if he doesn't get the finish. He believes Ribovics can survive the early onslaught and take over late, getting a finish. He mentions Ribovics' ability to get back to his feet and his late-round power.

late finish
"I think estaban takes over late and gets a late finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host expects McKinney's early explosiveness to overwhelm Ribovics, likely via knockout in round 1. He notes McKinney's tendency to gas but believes Ribovics' takedown defense issues will be exploited. He strongly recommends the under 1.5 rounds as a must-play, and also likes McKinney round 1 prop. The pick is confident for the early finish, though he acknowledges the risk if McKinney fails.

Under 1.5 rounds is a must play; McKinney round 1 prop
"give me uh mckenny round one but the under one and a half is a must play especially in Terence McKenna fights"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Paul picks Ribovics, agreeing that McKinney is a first-round specialist who fades. He notes that Ribovics has a strong chin and cardio, and can take McKinney's best shots. Paul expects Ribovics to survive the early storm and take over in the second round. He also likes the under 1.5 rounds prop due to McKinney's tendency to finish or get finished quickly.

Under 1.5 rounds
"I expect ribovich eventually to Prevail and mckin to gas out and then probably get finished either late in the first round or early in the second round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney as an underdog over Esteban Ribovics. He notes that McKinney has a wrestling background he doesn't always use but can rely on, and that Ribovics is hook-heavy with a reach disadvantage. He references Ribovics' fight with Kamuela Kirk where Kirk took him down and controlled him, suggesting McKinney can do the same. He also trusts McKinney's cardio and power on the feet.

"I'm gonna go with Terren mckin who is an underdog here... I think he has the advantage in the grappling over esam ribovich."
TKO (knee and punches) R1 0:20 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Brendon Marotte 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Brendon Marotte 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 19
Brendon Marotte 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 19
Brendon Marotte 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney to win by first-round submission. He notes McKinney is dangerous early with power and wrestling, while Marotte is a big step up in competition and may not survive the first round. He warns that if Marotte survives, he could win, but expects McKinney to get it done quickly.

McKinney by submission in round 1
"going be Terence mckenny to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody picks McKinney, emphasizing that Marotte is a huge underdog with no recent fights and a shaky defense. He notes that McKinney's pressure and power are likely to overwhelm Marotte early. Cody suggests that if Marotte survives the first round, he could be live, but he doubts that will happen.

"McKinney is the pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host picks Terrance McKinney by round one, noting his explosive power and fast starts. He highlights that 19 of 20 McKinney fights finished under 1.5 rounds. However, he warns against the moneyline due to cardio issues and suggests taking McKinney round one or under 1.5 rounds.

McKinney round one; under 1.5 rounds
"I'll take mckenny mckenny round one but nothing to do with that minus 600 money line cardio way too question able"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Paul picks McKinney, noting his explosive first-round power and the fact that Marotte has no recent tape and is stepping in on short notice. He acknowledges McKinney's cardio issues but believes Marotte is not durable enough to survive the first round. Paul suggests betting McKinney round 1 or Marotte round 2 as value plays.

McKinney round 1 or Marotte round 2
"McKinney all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney to win by TKO over Brendan Marotte. He dismisses Marotte as an awful regional fighter who beat an 11-20 opponent and went to a split decision with an 8-4 fighter. He notes Marotte trains at New England Cartel but lacks quality wins. He believes McKinney has a speed advantage and won't be outgrappled, and that Marotte's short notice and lack of durability will lead to a finish.

TKO
"I'm going to have to go with teren mckin getting this one done by TKO another can for mckin"
WIN vs Mike Breeden
TKO (punches) R1 1:25 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Mike Breeden 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Mike Breeden 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 30 of 47 63% 23 of 36 7 of 11 0 of 0 16 of 30 11 of 14 3 of 3
Mike Breeden 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 30 of 47 63% 23 of 36 7 of 11 0 of 0 16 of 30 11 of 14 3 of 3
Mike Breeden 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks McKinney but with low confidence due to cardio concerns and the short-notice turnaround. He notes McKinney has solid wrestling and BJJ but gasses and has a questionable chin. He is staying away from the -400 odds but suggests prop bets like McKinney winning the first round or getting more takedowns.

McKinney to get more takedowns (if under -300), McKinney to win first round
"Terrence McKinney's still going to be the pick but low confidence and I'm staying far far away from these four to one odds"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney to win by knockout early in the first round, likely within 60 seconds. He notes McKinney's dangerous striking and wrestling but acknowledges his poor cardio and short-notice fight. He believes McKinney will finish Breeden quickly, as Breeden has awful takedown defense and has been finished before. However, he cautions that if McKinney doesn't finish in the first round, he is likely to lose.

knockout early in the first round, within 60 seconds
"I will take Terence McKinney to knock out Mike Breeden um within 60 seconds like I think 60 seconds is is very much in play here for Terence McKinney"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Breeden

Cody picks Breeden by second-round finish as a prop bet, not on the moneyline. He notes McKinney's notorious cardio issues and short-notice fight (27 days after his last fight). He thinks if Breeden survives the first round, he will take over. He recommends a small sprinkle on Breeden round 2 at long odds, or live betting after the first round.

Breeden round 2 at +1200; also mentions Breeden round 3 at +2100; suggests live betting Breeden after round 1
"breed in round two is a you know throw a little sprinkle and uh and hope for the best type of play of the week"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Breeden

James is leaning toward Breeden as a value play, noting McKinney is a round-one-or-bust fighter and is priced at -300. He thinks Breeden is tough with good cardio and could survive the early storm. James admits McKinney could get back on track but feels the odds are too high for such a volatile fighter. He might bet Breeden.

James suggests if betting McKinney, play his KO or submission prop instead of moneyline.
"I'll always fade Terence at minus 300 for the most part against anybody with a pulse."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

McKinney has cardio issues but is extremely powerful and athletic early. Breeden is coming off a long layoff and camp change. McKinney's under 1.5 rounds streak is 18 of 19 fights, so the under is a strong play. McKinney should get the TKO in the first round due to his speed and power.

under 1.5 rounds (-290), McKinney by TKO in round 1
"I'm gonna go with McKinney here as I think he's too athletic and too powerful for Breeden to deal with early and I think that will allow him to get the TKO victory in the first round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Breeden

Paul also likes Breeden as a live underdog or round 2/3 prop. He notes McKinney's cardio fades after the first round and that Breeden has shown good cardio in past fights, especially in the third round against Natan Levy. He thinks Breeden can survive the initial onslaught and take over later. He recommends a small bet on Breeden round 2 or 3.

Breeden round 2 at +1200; Breeden round 3 at +2100; suggests live betting
"I will be playing the breeding round two pro because five minute fighter bro"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney but is hesitant, acknowledging McKinney's cardio issues and tendency to gas after round one. He believes McKinney is the better fighter and should win by first-round KO if he fights aggressively, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Breeden could take over. He suggests a live bet on Breeden if McKinney gasses.

Live bet on Mike Breeden if McKinney gasses after round one
"I'm gonna go Terence McKinney yeah uh but he could lose again because Mike breeden's not some joke"
LOSS vs Nazim Sadykhov
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:07 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 0 8 of 15 53% 20 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:55
Terrance McKinney 0 6 of 14 42% 21 of 34 2 of 5 40% 0 0 4:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 5 of 8 62% 16 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:20
Terrance McKinney 0 5 of 8 62% 20 of 28 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:12
2 Nazim Sadykhov 0 3 of 7 42% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:35
Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 8 of 15 53% 6 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 3 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2
Terrance McKinney 6 of 14 42% 3 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2
Terrance McKinney 5 of 8 62% 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 3 of 7 42% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Terrance McKinney 1 of 6 16% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo gives a slight lean to Terrance McKinney, calling it a 50.5 to 49.5 pick in his favor. He thinks McKinney is the better fighter overall, with solid striking and wrestling credentials, but his chin is questionable. He is swayed by a conversation with McKinney's coach about improved training partners. However, he hesitates because McKinney was recently knocked out and Sadykhov carries power late. He would only bet if the line moves to make McKinney a bigger underdog.

"I'm gonna give the slightest lean towards Terence McKinney because I do think he's the better fighter all in all but when I say slightest lean like 50 50 means there's no pick I'm going 49 and a half to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney, expecting him to revert to his aggressive style and finish Sadykhov early. He notes Sadykhov is a slow starter who has been hurt early in fights, which plays into McKinney's strengths. However, he warns that if McKinney doesn't finish in the first few minutes, his poor cardio will be a problem. He calls it a great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives the first round.

First round knockout; great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives first half of round
"I'm gonna say McKenney knocks out satikov in the first round great live betting spot if Santa Claus survives the first half of a round probably live at him here because I just don't think McKinney has more than a …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody picks McKinney at plus money, citing his explosiveness, power, and wrestling advantage. He thinks McKinney will go back to his aggressive style after pacing himself poorly against Bomfim. He notes Sadykhov's takedown defense issues and that McKinney has speed and power advantages. He acknowledges McKinney's cardio is a concern but thinks he can finish early.

under 1.5 rounds
"I gotta go with Terence McKinney... he's likely gonna go for it and he's got an ability to potentially knock out or submit most guys in this division very early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host highlights McKinney's 17 of 18 fights finishing under 1.5 rounds and 15 first-round finishes. He thinks Sadykhov is hittable and lacks durability, and McKinney's explosivity and power will be too much. He picks McKinney to win in round one, either by KO or submission.

McKinney wins in round 1; under 1.5 rounds
"give me round one McKinney I'm gonna just go round one McKinney you know I mean he can pull off the sub where he can pull off The Knockout I think he's capable of both but I'm gonna go round …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov, citing his ability to fight 15 full minutes and survive early pressure. He notes McKinney's cardio fades after 5-6 minutes and that Sadykhov can take damage and come back. He mentions Sadykhov's cut stoppage win over Elder was competitive, not one-sided. He thinks a live bet on Sadykhov after the first round is a good strategy.

live bet on Sadykhov after first round
"I got a side with them at minus 135... buyer beware he was down two rounds on all all judges scorecards against Evan Elder and then the you know Landing Landing a perfect what elbow to to cut open Elder"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney over Nazim Sadykhov, citing McKinney's KO power and ability to catch opponents, as seen against Matt Frevola. He worries about McKinney's KO loss but notes his youth and six-month layoff. He sees Sadykhov as a forward-momentum scrapper who could run into a big shot, predicting a McKinney KO.

"I'm gonna go with Terence McKinney here I I do worry that maybe he'll be exposed again but I'm gonna have to go with him to win this one"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo gives a slight lean to Terrance McKinney, calling it a 50.5 to 49.5 pick in his favor. He thinks McKinney is the better fighter overall, with solid striking and wrestling credentials, but his chin is questionable. He is swayed by a conversation with McKinney's coach about improved training partners. However, he hesitates because McKinney was recently knocked out and Sadykhov carries power late. He would only bet if the line moves to make McKinney a bigger underdog.

"I'm gonna give the slightest lean towards Terence McKinney because I do think he's the better fighter all in all but when I say slightest lean like 50 50 means there's no pick I'm going 49 and a half to nazim and 50 and a half to Terence McKinney"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney, expecting him to revert to his aggressive style and finish Sadykhov early. He notes Sadykhov is a slow starter who has been hurt early in fights, which plays into McKinney's strengths. However, he warns that if McKinney doesn't finish in the first few minutes, his poor cardio will be a problem. He calls it a great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives the first round.

First round knockout; great live betting spot if Sadykhov survives first half of round
"I'm gonna say McKenney knocks out satikov in the first round great live betting spot if Santa Claus survives the first half of a round probably live at him here because I just don't think McKinney has more than a couple minutes of cardio"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Cody picks McKinney at plus money, citing his explosiveness, power, and wrestling advantage. He thinks McKinney will go back to his aggressive style after pacing himself poorly against Bomfim. He notes Sadykhov's takedown defense issues and that McKinney has speed and power advantages. He acknowledges McKinney's cardio is a concern but thinks he can finish early.

under 1.5 rounds
"I gotta go with Terence McKinney... he's likely gonna go for it and he's got an ability to potentially knock out or submit most guys in this division very early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host highlights McKinney's 17 of 18 fights finishing under 1.5 rounds and 15 first-round finishes. He thinks Sadykhov is hittable and lacks durability, and McKinney's explosivity and power will be too much. He picks McKinney to win in round one, either by KO or submission.

McKinney wins in round 1; under 1.5 rounds
"give me round one McKinney I'm gonna just go round one McKinney you know I mean he can pull off the sub where he can pull off The Knockout I think he's capable of both but I'm gonna go round one"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov, citing his ability to fight 15 full minutes and survive early pressure. He notes McKinney's cardio fades after 5-6 minutes and that Sadykhov can take damage and come back. He mentions Sadykhov's cut stoppage win over Elder was competitive, not one-sided. He thinks a live bet on Sadykhov after the first round is a good strategy.

live bet on Sadykhov after first round
"I got a side with them at minus 135... buyer beware he was down two rounds on all all judges scorecards against Evan Elder and then the you know Landing Landing a perfect what elbow to to cut open Elder"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney over Nazim Sadykhov, citing McKinney's KO power and ability to catch opponents, as seen against Matt Frevola. He worries about McKinney's KO loss but notes his youth and six-month layoff. He sees Sadykhov as a forward-momentum scrapper who could run into a big shot, predicting a McKinney KO.

"I'm gonna go with Terence McKinney here I I do worry that maybe he'll be exposed again but I'm gonna have to go with him to win this one"