UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Next Fight
Age 30
Height 6' 2"
Reach 79.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 32
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Christian Leroy Duncan
4.43 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
2.59 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.33 TD Avg
16.0% TD Acc.
63.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Duško Todorović
4.73 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
4.4 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
1.77 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Christian Leroy Duncan
Moneyline
BetWay -225
KO/TKO
BetWay +110
Submission
FanDuel +850
Decision
BetMGM +600
Duško Todorović
Moneyline
Caesars +220
Christian Leroy Duncan - Fight History
SCHED vs Jared Cannonier
UFC Fight Night 281 · Jul 18, 2026
WIN vs Roman Dolidze
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roman Dolidze 0 10 of 34 29% 40 of 94 3 of 4 75% 0 0 7:07
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 54 of 99 54% 78 of 125 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roman Dolidze 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:33
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 16 of 29 55% 23 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
2 Roman Dolidze 0 5 of 19 26% 9 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:33
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 20 of 44 45% 28 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
3 Roman Dolidze 0 3 of 9 33% 28 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:01
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 18 of 26 69% 27 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roman Dolidze 10 of 34 29% 8 of 31 0 of 0 2 of 3 9 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 54 of 99 54% 18 of 52 6 of 12 30 of 35 51 of 92 1 of 4 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roman Dolidze 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 16 of 29 55% 5 of 17 2 of 3 9 of 9 13 of 24 1 of 2 2 of 3
2 Roman Dolidze 5 of 19 26% 4 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 20 of 44 45% 6 of 24 3 of 5 11 of 15 20 of 42 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Roman Dolidze 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 18 of 26 69% 7 of 11 1 of 4 10 of 11 18 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan because of his speed, athleticism, and striking advantage. He notes Roman Dolidze is a world champion grappler but doesn't always use his wrestling and has poor fight IQ. He is not betting on this fight because Roman can be dangerous on any given day and CLD is not a genius himself.

avoiding betting; Roman Dez inside distance no action bet screwed him last time
"I got to pick CLLD. I think the speed's going to be a big difference. I think the athleticism is going to be a big difference, but I'm not going to bet on this because I recognize how good Roman …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady confidently picks Christian Leroy Duncan, noting that Duncan is seven years younger, much quicker, and has more variety on the feet. He points out that Roman Dolidze looked bad in his last fight against Fluffy Hernandez and doesn't wrestle enough (less than one takedown per 15 minutes). He thinks Duncan will pick apart Dolidze over 15 minutes and win a decision, as Dolidze is tough but unlikely to get the fight to the ground.

Christian Leroy Duncan by decision
"I kind of think Duncan's going to style a little bit here. Give me Duncan to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Cody agrees, citing Duncan's dynamic striking and Dolidze's susceptibility to speed. He expects a finish or clear decision for Duncan.

"I got Christian Leroy Duncan minus 500."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan but is hesitant, agreeing with Zane that the fight could be ugly. He notes that Duncan has a 'meme fighter' aura and can look like a killer in bursts, but lacks a clear idea of how to win rounds. Connor points out that Dolidze is a big, strong galoot who is happy to hold opponents against the fence. He thinks the odds are too wide and calls it more of a coin flip.

Duncan opened at -300, currently -500; Dolidze opened at +215, currently +385.
"I don't understand what the odds are on this. Honestly, like Christian Leroy Duncan got out worked by Armand Petrosian... And like I would pick Roman Dolidze to beat Armand Petrosian."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Daniel Vreeland picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by knockout. He highlights Duncan's athleticism, speed, and recent improvements, while noting Dolidze is older and slower. He expects Duncan to land at will and eventually finish Dolidze.

"I think that Christian Leroy Duncan is going to have his breakout performance against Roman Lee."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Daniel is high on CLD, believing his speed and athleticism will be too much for Dolidze. He thinks CLD will have a breakout performance and knock Dolidze out, giving him his first real knockout loss. He notes Dolidze's gas tank issues and CLD's improved fight IQ.

"I think that the speed difference here, Marlo, is going to be like, 'Oh, man. Like oh, shit.' And I think that Saturday night this will be CLD's breakout and coming-out performance."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is a favorable stylistic matchup for the British fighter. Dolidze is old, slow, and flat-footed; Duncan is fast, athletic, and accurate. Duncan should dominate on the feet and win easily. The price is too steep to bet, but Duncan should win comfortably.

Under 2.5 rounds is interesting; Duncan -3.5 fight spread at 1.50 is worth considering.
"I think he dances around Ledezma and lights him up in this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

James picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he is the much better striker and will knock out Roman Dolidze. He notes that Dolidze is not a great wrestler and will struggle to take Duncan down. He thinks Duncan's dynamic strikes and clinch work will be too much.

"Christian Leroy Duncan is going to knock out Roman Ditz this weekend in my opinion."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host picks Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout but is hesitant due to the wide line. He notes Duncan's improved clinch game and knockout power, but warns that Dolidze's pressure and toughness could cause Duncan to break mentally. He expects Duncan to land big shots and get the KO, but advises caution.

"I'm going to go Duncan. Duncan by knockout, but just be a little bit skeptical about what Delise could potentially do to Duncan here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul sees Duncan as the younger, faster fighter heading in the right direction, while Dolidze is declining. He expects Duncan to win by KO or decision.

"I'm going with CLD. Christian Leroy Duncan. It's exactly like you said. It's two guys headed in opposite directions."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to finish Roman Dolidze in round two or three. He praises Duncan's chin, composure, and dynamic striking, noting he took big shots from Gregory Rodrigues. He criticizes Dolidze as a plodding, technical grappler who was outgrappled by Anthony Hernandez. He expects Duncan to win the low kick battle, defend takedowns, and land a brutal combination.

finish in round two or three
"I think he'll get a brutal finish over Roman Dizzy in round two or three."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane picks Duncan but is hesitant, noting several ways the fight could be terrible. He believes Duncan is a better striker and has 70% takedown defense, which should be enough against Dolidze's poor wrestling. However, he worries that Dolidze's strength and clinch work could lead to a grinding fight. Zane sees Duncan's path to a showcase win but acknowledges Dolidze is a tough, strong fighter who can make it ugly.

Duncan opened at -300, currently -500; Dolidze opened at +215, currently +385.
"I think I'm going to take Duncan, but like I said, I can see, like, three or four, three ways this fight could just be terrible."
WIN vs Marco Tulio
KO R2 3:20 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 23 of 46 50% 40 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:10
Marco Tulio 0 27 of 57 47% 42 of 75 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 8 of 18 44% 13 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:01
Marco Tulio 0 8 of 17 47% 15 of 25 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:31
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 1 15 of 28 53% 27 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Marco Tulio 0 19 of 40 47% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 23 of 46 50% 11 of 27 3 of 7 9 of 12 20 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 2
Marco Tulio 27 of 57 47% 13 of 36 3 of 7 11 of 14 22 of 49 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 8 of 18 44% 3 of 8 1 of 4 4 of 6 7 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1
Marco Tulio 8 of 17 47% 2 of 9 1 of 2 5 of 6 6 of 13 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 15 of 28 53% 8 of 19 2 of 3 5 of 6 13 of 26 1 of 1 1 of 1
Marco Tulio 19 of 40 47% 11 of 27 2 of 5 6 of 8 16 of 36 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Marco Tulio
BETTING PREVIEW | ODDS : Tulio (-190); Duncan (+160)

Round 1
Knockout rates of 70% or higher for these two middleweights means that referee Mark Smith will need to be ready at a moment’s notice. Of the two men setting foot in the cage next, Duncan (12-2, 5-2 UFC) has earned a higher stoppage rate but has fewer overall wins inside the distance compared to Chute Boxe Diego Lima product Tulio (14-1, 2-0 UFC). Smith steps back after clocking the athletes in, allowing them to tap gloves before engaging.
Duncan has his hands down as he moves to the center of the cage, offering a pair of stomp kicks and a sudden jump knee. Tulio scoots out of the way and drills the lead leg of the Brit several times. Duncan throws back with his own hard calf kick, and he spins with an elbow that splits Tulio’s forehead open. Tulio quickly ties him up to prevent his dynamic offense from coming forth, and he trips Duncan and puts him on his seat. Tulio smothers from on top, imposing his weight as Duncan turns to his knees. Tulio tries to spin on the break, but Duncan bails on it and swings for the bleachers. Tulio throws back hammers, and Duncan crashes forward and blasts him in the face with an overhand right. He spins with a back elbow, and it skims the top of the head as Tulio clinches him.
Tulio squeezes on Duncan against the wire while his fingers are hooked in the chain links, allowing him to sneakily hold Duncan until Duncan explodes to turn him around. Shoulder strikes from Duncan land with audible thuds, and he tries to trip Tulio out like Tulio got him before. Tulio redirects his effort and nearly gets off his own, but he lets it go so he can elbow the Brit in the face. The two split apart, and Duncan runs at the Brazilian with his foot flying. Duncan’s subsequent spinning wheel kick allows Tulio to bowl him over to the mat. Duncan twists before a choke can materialize, and he stands up and lifts Tulio to slam him down with 30 seconds left in the round. Duncan puts himself in side control and then relocates himself to full mount, where he elbows Tulio on the side of the head and rides out back control when Tulio turns until the round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Duncan
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Duncan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Duncan

Round 2
The middleweights touch gloves, and then let go simultaneous low kicks that results in their shins clashing. Duncan circles around, flustering the Brazilian with a varied offense that range from flying kicks to spinning strikes and haymakers that could knock down a building. Tulio settles himself down and pierces the pocket with a right hand that cuts Duncan’s left eye. Tulio walks Duncan down with constant pressure and lays into him, keeping him from getting off much wild offense. Duncan still manages to get going, pawing at his bloodied eye and lashing out with swinging fists until the two result clinched up against the wall. Tulio wants to take the fight down, and Duncan stonewalls him. Tulio stays tightly pressed on his man while letting go with short strikes, and Smith is watching on as they break apart.
Duncan’s immediate offense results in another quick tie-up, and Tulio’s first effort to throw the Brit down fails. They offer alternating jabs, and Duncan spins with a back fist and slips when resetting.
Duncan sees the success of the blow and stutter-steps to delay firing off another spinning back fist. The strike connects square on Tulio’s nose, sending him staggering back. Duncan knows his man is in trouble and walks him down with a fierce, straight left and a monstrous right that completely deprives Tulio of all of his senses. Tulio slumps to the mat, already unconscious, but Smith is still trying to get between them.
This allows Duncan to hammer down one final, devastating right hand while Tulio is off dreaming, to fully punctuate the contest. Tulio lays on his stomach lifelessly for a seemingly long time, until medical professionals tend to him and he revives. The triumphant Duncan has reached rarified air, becoming one of a small number of athletes to record multiple stoppage wins in the Octagon by spinning strikes. He joins names like Dennis Siver, Molly McCann and the upcoming Muslin Salikhov, in having achieved this spin-related feat.

The Official Result
Christian Leroy Duncan def. Marco Tulio R2 3:20 via KO (Spinning Back Fist and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Angelo picks Marco Tulio, stating he is better everywhere. He believes Marco's takedown defense will be good enough to keep the fight standing, and that Christian Leroy Duncan will resort to takedowns too late after getting touched up. He is surprisingly confident given the line.

"Marco Tulio is going to be the pick here. I'm surprisingly confident in it considering this line, but I'm going with Marco Tulio. I think he's just literally better everywhere."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marco Tulio

Big Brady leans toward Tulio, noting his incredible striking volume and wrestling/grappling upside. He worries about Tulio's hittability and past knockout loss, but thinks Duncan is KO or bust. He predicts Tulio wins comfortably on the scorecards if Duncan doesn't land a knockout.

decision
"Give me Tulio. Tio by decision in what should be another pretty fun fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Cody picks Tulio, citing his high volume and pressure. He thinks Duncan's lack of volume and tendency to clinch will be neutralized, and Tulio will outwork him.

"I think Tulio probably does outwork him."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Lucrative James picks Marco Tulio, citing his higher ceiling and more vicious striking. He notes Tulio's offensive output and grappling upside, while criticizing Christian Leroy Duncan's lackluster performances against top competition. He acknowledges Tulio's hand injury but believes he has recovered. He expects Tulio to win, though not dominate.

"I'm going to go with Marco Tulio. You know, I think that his ceiling is a lot higher than Christian Leroy Duncan."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host disagrees with the betting public favoring Tulio, believing Duncan is the better striker with good clinch strength. He expects Duncan to wear Tulio down and eventually land a big shot for a knockout.

Knockout
"I think Duncan will showcase that Tulio is a little bit overrated at this stage. I think Duncan will be the better striker, showcase good strength inside the clinch, really wearing Tulio down."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Paul picks Tulio, noting his volume and pressure. He thinks Duncan's durability is fine but Tulio's pace will be too much, and the fight likely goes over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to side with Tulio on just basically staying way busier."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

The Guru picks Marco Tulio over Christian Leroy Duncan. He believes Tulio has more natural pop in his punches and a better flow state, while Duncan relies on flashy techniques. He expects a close fight with Tulio landing the more significant shots and winning a hard-fought decision.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to go with a hardfought decision to Marco Leo."
WIN vs Eryk Anders
KO R1 3:53 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eryk Anders 0 7 of 12 58% 18 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 24 of 43 55% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eryk Anders 0 7 of 12 58% 18 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 24 of 43 55% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eryk Anders 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 24 of 43 55% 9 of 26 3 of 4 12 of 13 20 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eryk Anders 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 24 of 43 55% 9 of 26 3 of 4 12 of 13 20 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan despite questioning his fight IQ. He notes Duncan is the better striker with solid takedown defense and cardio, but he can be an idiot with game plans. If Duncan decides to wrestle, Anders could bully him. However, Anders' chin is declining, so Duncan should win if he strikes.

"So CLLD is going to have to be the pick. I'm just really hoping this dude isn't making group cheese sandwiches at night."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady is confident in Christian Leroy Duncan, though he notes Duncan sometimes lacks effort. He points out that Anders has been knocked down in his last three fights by lesser strikers like Jamie Pickett and Chris Weidman, indicating a decline. Brady believes if Duncan cares even a little, he will knock out Anders early. He predicts a first-round knockout for Duncan.

first round knockout
"I like Christian Leroy Duncan. I'm pretty confident he wins this fight. Give me Duncan. I'll take him to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, noting that Anders is limited as a strategist and technician, and that Duncan's dynamic striking and range management will be too much. He points out that Anders has only beaten low-level opponents in recent years and is slow-footed, while Duncan is dangerous and annoying to fight. Connor expects Duncan to win and move toward a top 15 matchup.

Odds mentioned: Duncan opened -400, currently -500; Anders opened +330, currently +375.
"I just don't think Eric Anders is consistent enough to keep Duncan from hurting him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host believes Duncan's speed and power will be too much for Anders, who is slowing down and was hurt badly by Weidman in his last fight. He thinks it's just a matter of time before Duncan lands a clean shot and puts Anders down and out.

by KO
"I think that this is a matchup where the speed and power of Duncan will be too much for Eric Anders, who's starting to slow down a little bit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan, calling it a potential schooling. He notes Anders' recent wins are over old fighters and that Anders has become too technical. He expects Duncan to piece up Anders and win a dominant decision, possibly with a 10-8 round.

"I'm going with Christian Leroy Duncan over Eric Anders."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees, calling Duncan a meme fighter with flashy skills but noting that Anders is a limited opponent who has struggled against similar fighters. He highlights that Anders has only beaten Kyle Daukaus, Jamie Pickett, and an aged Chris Weidman in recent years, while Duncan's athleticism and tricky style will cause problems. Zane thinks Duncan will win and eventually get exposed against top competition.

Odds mentioned: Duncan opened -400, currently -500; Anders opened +330, currently +375.
"I just don't think he's going to have a good time against a CLD."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 73 of 141 51% 116 of 187 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:36
Andrey Pulyaev 0 18 of 55 32% 36 of 78 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 16 of 34 47% 44 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:50
Andrey Pulyaev 0 4 of 11 36% 14 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 28 of 57 49% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Andrey Pulyaev 0 12 of 36 33% 14 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
3 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 29 of 50 58% 41 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:04
Andrey Pulyaev 0 2 of 8 25% 8 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 73 of 141 51% 35 of 87 17 of 28 21 of 26 47 of 105 26 of 36 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 18 of 55 32% 8 of 43 7 of 8 3 of 4 14 of 48 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 16 of 34 47% 6 of 17 5 of 10 5 of 7 8 of 23 8 of 11 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 4 of 11 36% 1 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 28 of 57 49% 10 of 33 5 of 9 13 of 15 27 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 12 of 36 33% 6 of 28 4 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 34 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Christian Leroy Duncan 29 of 50 58% 19 of 37 7 of 9 3 of 4 12 of 26 17 of 24 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Andrey Pulyaev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Duncan (-625), Pulyaev (+455)

Round 1
Jason Herzog will be the third man in the cage for this middleweight bout. Duncan lands a couple leg kicks early. Pulyaev just misses on a head kick. Duncan applies pressure and then moves in behind a spinning back elbow and a punching combination against the fence. Duncan forces the clinch and throws a few knees in close quarters.Pulyaev is able to reverse and turn his foe into the fence. Pulyaev tries to lift Duncan but is unsuccessful as they remain engaged. Now Duncan reverses position as the clinch battle continues. Duncan creates space to land a right hand but they remain in something of a stalemate. Duncan lands some knees and Herzog checks with Pulyaev to make sure they weren’t low. Pulyaev says he’s good. The grinding fight continues, and it’s Duncan staying busy with knees to the thighs and body. With about 50 seconds to go, Herzog breaks them up. Pulyaev lands a body kick and Dunan moves forward with a jab. Pulyaev slams a kick up high off Duncan’s forearm. They end the round at distance.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Duncan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Duncan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Duncan

Round 2
Duncan lands a kick to the knees and then another up high. Pulyaev answers with a high kick that’s blocked. Duncan pressures with punches, backing Pulyaev up before shooting for the takedown. Now we’re back in the clinch, with Duncan shoving the Russian into the wire. Pulyaev uses a body lock to turn his man around and he lands a solid knee. They seprate and Duncan moves in with a clean right hand .Duncan keeps the pressure on, as Pulyaev is on the defensive. A spinning back kick from Duncan lands on his foe’s leg. Duncan lands a leg kick. A left partially lands for the Englishman. Pulyaev kicks the body, but Duncan answers with a 1-2 and a kick to the body. A spinning back elbow and a left puts Pulyaev on the defensive. Duncan keeps moving forward with a front kick. Pulyaev finds space to land a body kick. Duncan keeps stalking, looking for openings. He lands a couple solid leg kicks as Pulyaev circles on the outside. Duncan misses on a spinning high kick at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Duncan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Duncan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Duncan

Round 3
Duncan gets back to work with a kick heavy attack, some that land, and some that keep his opponent guessing. Pulyaev has a head kick blocked. Duncan grabs the clinch and lands a forceful shoulder strike, pulling his foe’s head down from the plum. They battle for control in the clinch, a recurring theme at various times in this fight. Herzog urges the fighters to keep working and they separate on their own. Pulyev gets a body lock, but Duncan denies the takedown. Pulyaev has double underhooks, but not much is happening here. Pulyaev throws an elbow as they break. Duncan misses a right and Pulyaev forces the clinch again. Duncan reverses and lands a knee against the fence. Duncan whiffs on a spinning elbow and the Russian takes the opportunity to shove his man into the cage. Pulyaev briefly gets a rear body lock, but it’s fleeting, as Duncan takes control of the ongoing clinch battle. Duncan creates space and lands a forceful knee. Moments later, Duncan lands a glancing flying knee before the combatants return to the clinch. Herzog tells them to work. Duncan finds space and lands a few elbows. Late in the round, Duncan hurts his foe near the fence and tees off with punches, elbows and knees. Pulyaev covers up and is able to survive until the end of the fight.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Duncan (30-27 Duncan)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Duncan (30-27 Duncan)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Duncan (30-27 Duncan)

The Official Result
Christian Leroy Duncan def. Andrey Pulyaev via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan as a massive favorite, stating the odds are spot on. He notes that while Duncan was out-wrestled in his last fight, Pulyaev's striking is limited to an occasional jab, so Duncan won't have to worry about power. He believes Duncan's takedown defense will hold up, and as the fight goes on, Pulyaev's takedowns will become sloppier.

"I've got to go CLD here he's obviously a massive favorite so no shock there but odds aside I think he wins"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Brady sees Duncan as a big favorite who beats lower-level guys in spectacular fashion. He thinks Pulyaev is in the same category as Duncan's previous wins. Brady predicts a second-round knockout, noting Pulyaev looked good on the contender series but fought a punching bag.

Duncan by KO round 2
"I got Christian lero Duncan here I'm going to take him to win this fight by by second round knockout"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor agrees with Zane, calling Pulyaev a failed experiment with very low level competition. He notes Duncan is tough, athletic, and has developing clinch skills. Connor thinks Pulyaev's main instinct to yank his head back will be exploited by Duncan's dynamic striking.

"I think you got it right every time but with zero confidence."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host believes Duncan is far more athletic, powerful, and quicker on the feet, which will lead to a knockout in the second or third round. He emphasizes Duncan's physical advantages.

knockout in round 2 or 3
"I think Duncan is far more athletic, far more powerful, and way quicker on the feet, and that will ultimately lead to him finding the knockout in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The Guru confidently picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he is too powerful and dense for Pulyaev, who he describes as frail and manipulatable. He expects Duncan to pressure Pulyaev backwards, push him against the cage, and land knees and elbows. He predicts a TKO in round two, as Pulyaev becomes more hesitant after being pressured early.

TKO round two
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan is a little too powerful for him I think that's going to be the difference here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane picks Duncan confidently, noting Pulyaev's wins are built on being the only tall guy on his regional scene. He thinks Pulyaev has bad defensive reactions and is hittable, while Duncan is athletic, fast, powerful, and aggressive. Zane believes Duncan will cover distance well and find the holes in Pulyaev's game.

"I think you got it right every time but with zero confidence."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gregory Rodrigues 0 29 of 48 60% 53 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:45
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 45 of 79 56% 78 of 120 4 of 12 33% 0 0 8:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gregory Rodrigues 0 9 of 19 47% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 12 of 21 57% 21 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:01
2 Gregory Rodrigues 0 13 of 17 76% 24 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:25
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 26 of 43 60% 40 of 58 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:39
3 Gregory Rodrigues 0 7 of 12 58% 20 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 7 of 15 46% 17 of 28 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gregory Rodrigues 29 of 48 60% 13 of 28 7 of 10 9 of 10 23 of 40 6 of 8 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 45 of 79 56% 37 of 69 8 of 10 0 of 0 28 of 55 12 of 18 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gregory Rodrigues 9 of 19 47% 3 of 10 2 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 12 of 21 57% 9 of 16 3 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 17 0 of 0 3 of 4
2 Gregory Rodrigues 13 of 17 76% 8 of 11 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 10 6 of 7 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 26 of 43 60% 21 of 38 5 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 27 11 of 16 0 of 0
3 Gregory Rodrigues 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 2 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 11 1 of 2 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan but with very low confidence, calling it a 51% lean. He cites Duncan's sharp striking and hometown advantage, but acknowledges that Gregory Rodrigues is incredibly durable and dangerous. Angelo warns that Duncan can get too comfortable and showboat, potentially getting caught. He describes this as a very tough fight to pick.

"I'm gonna pick clld because of the sharp striking and the hometown Advantage but he could be a landmine"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Cody picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his superior striking, footwork, and precision. He notes that Gregory Rodrigues has a suspect chin and has been knocked out multiple times when standing. Cody believes Duncan can knock him out if Rodrigues chooses to brawl, but acknowledges that Rodrigues could win by grappling. However, he thinks Rodrigues is likely to engage in a striking battle, which favors Duncan.

Christian Leroy Duncan by TKO
"I'm going to go Duncan but you know at the end of the day when you look at like which other these underdogs do you not mind you didn't piay KCK them but it's like I I see the path …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Daniel picks Gregory Rodrigues (RoboCop), impressed by his knockout of Brad Tavares and his takedown ability. He questions Duncan's competition (exhausted Claudio Ribeiro, Dennis Tiuliulin) and notes that Duncan struggled against Armen Petrosyan. He trusts Rodrigues' power and wrestling, and notes Rodrigues has four knockouts in his last five fights.

"I'm going hobocop here for sure"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Daniel acknowledges Christian Leroy Duncan's athleticism and flashy style but thinks Gregory Rodrigues has more paths to victory: decision, submission, or knockout. He notes Rodrigues' power, durability, and Jiu-Jitsu, while Duncan may be 'kill or bust.' He is hesitant due to Rodrigues' defensive flaws and stiff movement.

"I'm going to pick him in the spot but I'm very you know I acknowledge the fact that Leroy Duncan is special"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Jeff picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he will knock out Rodrigues. He notes that Rodrigues gets hurt in every fight and Duncan has shown power. He cites Duncan's four-inch reach advantage and thinks Duncan's striking will be the difference.

Christian Leroy Duncan via knockout +150
"I'm taking CD I think he's going to knock him out as well hobocop gets caught a lot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul also picks Duncan, noting that the fight ending inside the distance is likely. He points out that Rodrigues' chin has been checked many times and that Duncan has never been finished. Paul believes Duncan will knock out Rodrigues, but he also considers the possibility of Rodrigues using grappling, which could expose Duncan's wrestling. He plans to bet on the fight ending inside the distance.

Fight ends inside the distance
"I think the most likely bet that I may add to some like long parlays and stuff his fight ends inside the distance here that's like minus two that's minus 220."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

The MMA Guru picks Gregory Rodrigues, citing his grappling edge and KO power. He notes that Rodrigues has better takedowns and can out-grapple Christian Leroy Duncan, who may struggle with grappling defense. The Guru also believes Rodrigues has more punching power and that Duncan hasn't faced someone with that level of power. He references Duncan's fight against Arman Petrosyan, where he was taken down, and suggests Rodrigues can replicate that success.

"I'm going to go with Gregory Rodriguez man I'm gonna pick Gregory Rodriguez I think he's got if there's anyone going to be out grappling the other here it's going to be Rodriguez getting takedowns on Christian Leroy Duncan"
TKO (elbows and punches) R2 1:57 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 65 of 92 70% 75 of 105 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:15
Cláudio Ribeiro 0 4 of 26 15% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 41 of 61 67% 48 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Cláudio Ribeiro 0 3 of 20 15% 12 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 24 of 31 77% 27 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:16
Cláudio Ribeiro 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 65 of 92 70% 39 of 62 8 of 10 18 of 20 31 of 50 12 of 15 22 of 27
Cláudio Ribeiro 4 of 26 15% 1 of 19 1 of 3 2 of 4 4 of 24 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 41 of 61 67% 16 of 34 8 of 9 17 of 18 29 of 46 12 of 15 0 of 0
Cláudio Ribeiro 3 of 20 15% 1 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 3 3 of 18 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 24 of 31 77% 23 of 28 0 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 22 of 27
Cláudio Ribeiro 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan as the more technical fighter, noting that both are dangerous strikers but Duncan has better technique. He expects the fight to end inside the distance due to both fighters' recklessness. He mentions that Cláudio Ribeiro is nuts dangerous but Duncan should win.

Fight does not go to the distance (juiced odds, suggests parlaying if possible)
"CLD is the more technical fighter here and he should win he's going to be the pick but claudo is nuts dangerous and the bet here should be fight does not go to the distance"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Duncan to finish Ribeiro by knockout in the second round. He notes Duncan is much more skilled, with good defensive wrestling and a ton of striking tools. He criticizes Ribeiro's 31% striking defense and poor cardio, and expects Duncan to wear him out and finish him late second round.

second round knockout
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan drags his fight into deeper waters and finishes Claudia hio late second round there by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Cody picks Duncan, emphasizing Ribeiro's poor durability and lack of defense. He notes that Ribeiro is explosive for one round but fades quickly, and Duncan's precision striking from the outside will be effective. Cody compares Ribeiro to Dennis Tulin, whom Duncan already beat. He expects Duncan to win by knockout in the second or third round.

"Duncan's got much better wrestling right so if lud wants to take the fight to the ground or if he start to Tire or if he got clipped with something and he need to take a break he could take …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is the bigger, stronger fighter and should control the majority of the fight. He can clinch Ribeiro against the cage, wear on him with knees and elbows, and deflate Ribeiro's power and explosiveness. Duncan's maturity was shown in his last fight against Tulan, where he slowed the pace and found the finish in the second round. The over 1.5 rounds at plus money is intriguing, but Duncan should get the knockout in the second round.

over 1.5 rounds at +100 considered, Duncan by knockout
"I think Duncan can control the majority of it he is the bigger stronger fighter in my opinion and I think he might look to go the same route that he did against tan where he was able to clinch …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, noting his technical striking and ability to fight at range. He contrasts Ribeiro's one-dimensional brawling style and poor cardio. Paul believes Duncan will counter Ribeiro's wild swings and finish him inside the distance, similar to how he handled Dennis Tulin. He acknowledges the small cage could be a factor but favors Duncan's skill.

"Duncan's going to find something Duncan will get the job done inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru believes Duncan has better movement, kickboxing, and strength in the clinch. He notes Ribeiro has no good wins and is coming off a KO loss, while Duncan is coming off a TKO win. He predicts a highlight-reel KO for Duncan.

KO win
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan moves way better than Ribeiro, way better kickboxing... I reckon we're going to see Christian Leroy Duncan get a highlight reel KO"
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 4:24 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 65 of 87 74% 90 of 123 0 of 2 0% 0 0 4:51
Denis Tiuliulin 0 30 of 71 42% 37 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 13 of 15 86% 38 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:37
Denis Tiuliulin 0 7 of 14 50% 12 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 1 52 of 72 72% 52 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Denis Tiuliulin 0 23 of 57 40% 25 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 65 of 87 74% 44 of 65 8 of 9 13 of 13 46 of 65 16 of 17 3 of 5
Denis Tiuliulin 30 of 71 42% 19 of 57 6 of 8 5 of 6 26 of 66 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 13 of 15 86% 6 of 8 3 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 8 7 of 7 0 of 0
Denis Tiuliulin 7 of 14 50% 4 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 52 of 72 72% 38 of 57 5 of 6 9 of 9 40 of 57 9 of 10 3 of 5
Denis Tiuliulin 23 of 57 40% 15 of 46 4 of 6 4 of 5 21 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo leans Christian Leroy Duncan, hoping his loss to Arman Petrosian woke him up to be less flashy and more focused. He notes Duncan is the better wrestler and should take the fight to the ground. He expects a finish and does not see it going the distance.

Does not see it going the distance
"I am going to lean Christian Duncan here because this is an MMA fight I do not see this Going the Distance"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady thinks Tiuliulin is not UFC caliber, with no striking defense and the worst ground game in the UFC. He sees Duncan having multiple paths: picking him apart and knocking him out, or taking him down and submitting him. He predicts a first-round knockout, noting Tiuliulin's only chance is landing a big shot.

"I think Christian Duncan's the rightful favorite the rightful big favorite and outside of Dennis tuin Landing a big shot I think Christian Duncan should get this done pretty convincingly so I'll say first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Cody picks Christian Leroy Duncan confidently, citing his movement, footwork, and counter-striking. He notes that Tiuliulin is a brawler with poor footwork and cardio, coming in on short notice. Duncan can pick him apart and likely get a TKO. Cody sees this as an excellent stylistic matchup for Duncan.

"Duncan's got to be the play this week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan relies on speed, explosiveness, and early power to finish fights. Tiuliulin has been finished by grapplers but Duncan is a striker. Duncan's power and speed should be too much early, leading to a knockout in the first round. However, Duncan is reliant on finishes and may fade if it goes longer. Tiuliulin could make it closer if he survives the early onslaught.

win by knockout
"I still take Duncan to win this matchup and I'll take him to Win It by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul agrees, noting Tiuliulin's rudimentary style and poor grappling. He believes Duncan can hang out at range and avoid danger. Paul mentions Tiuliulin's history of getting finished and expects Duncan to win by TKO or submission.

"I'm with you Christian Loro Duncan"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by body kick KO in round two. He notes Tiuliulin is hittable and requires breaking opponents, and is coming off a nasty KO. He believes Duncan is a much better striker with good cardio and movement, and that Tiuliulin taking the fight on short notice makes it a no-brainer.

body kick KO round two
"I'm going to go Christian Leroy Duncan over Dennis Tiuliulin... I actually think he'll whoop up Dennis Tiuliulin and maybe finish him with a kick to the body in round two."
Duško Todorović - Fight History
Submission R1 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
José Daniel Medina 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 16 of 24 66% 27 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 José Daniel Medina 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 16 of 24 66% 27 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
José Daniel Medina 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 3 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 José Daniel Medina 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 3 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Dusko because he is the more well-rounded guy and has fought better competition. He calls the odds 'stupid as hell' and says there's no way Dusko wins 74 out of 100 times. He notes Medina is a ground-and-pound fighter with decent striking but not particularly fast or powerful, while Dusko is a technical striker with power and takedowns, though his chin is questionable. He says neither guy is very good.

Odds are stupid as hell
"I'm going to pick Dusco because he is the more well-rounded guy. He's fought the better slate of competition."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Todorović despite his poor chin and striking defense, because Medina is even worse. He notes Todorović has good wrestling and ground-and-pound, while Medina has 31% takedown defense and no ground game. He predicts Todorović wins by second-round TKO via ground-and-pound.

Second round TKO
"I'm going to say Dusk wins this fight and wins it by second round TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor also picks Todorović but is hesitant because Todorović's technique doesn't survive resistance. He notes that Medina is tough but has no power, and Todorović has been one-shot KO'd before. He says it's a testament to how low-level the matchup is that he isn't 100% certain.

Todorović opened at -400, Medina at +180, now +300
"I'm gonna do the same but even you there's so much more of a chance than there should be given."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Despite Todorovic's durability issues, the host sees this as a winnable matchup. He expects Todorovic to utilize his grappling, control Medina from top position, and eventually secure a submission.

win by submission
"I think we'll see him get to his grappling, look to control Medina from that top position, and I think it's just a matter of time before he ends up pulling off a submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

The MMA Guru confidently picks Duško Todorović, noting he is a -325 favorite in 2025, which he sees as a clear sign. He dismisses José Medina as lacking power, athleticism, grappling, and jiu-jitsu, calling him a 'flabby big Latin guy' who shouldn't be in the UFC. He believes Todorović is more well-rounded and a better fighter.

"Dasco Toddovich has been given an opponent in the UFC and he is a minus 325 favorite. ... If that don't tell you Dusco is going to win, I don't know what does."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Duško Todorović

Zane picks Todorović but acknowledges that Medina's toughness could be a factor. He notes that Todorović has poor technique and can't sustain control, but Medina is so slow and uncoordinated that Todorović should win. He mentions that Medina's only chance is landing a big shot, but Medina lacks power.

Todorović opened at -400, Medina at +180, now +300
"I have to pick Todorovich... but even you there's so much more of a chance than there should be given."
LOSS vs Zachary Reese
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 50 of 108 46% 73 of 135 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:19
Duško Todorović 0 35 of 65 53% 73 of 109 4 of 13 30% 1 1 5:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 6 of 11 54% 19 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:06
Duško Todorović 0 10 of 15 66% 31 of 38 3 of 4 75% 1 1 3:01
2 Zachary Reese 0 17 of 30 56% 25 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 8 of 16 50% 18 of 29 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:10
3 Zachary Reese 0 27 of 67 40% 29 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Duško Todorović 0 17 of 34 50% 24 of 42 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 50 of 108 46% 21 of 72 20 of 23 9 of 13 43 of 98 7 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 35 of 65 53% 22 of 50 8 of 10 5 of 5 22 of 50 6 of 6 7 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 6 of 11 54% 3 of 7 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 10 of 15 66% 8 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 8
2 Zachary Reese 17 of 30 56% 7 of 19 7 of 7 3 of 4 15 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 8 of 16 50% 2 of 10 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 11 4 of 4 0 of 1
3 Zachary Reese 27 of 67 40% 11 of 46 10 of 12 6 of 9 26 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 17 of 34 50% 12 of 28 3 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Zachary Reese but is hesitant due to Reese's tendency to play jiu-jitsu off his back and give up positions. He acknowledges Reese's power and size advantages and Todorović's questionable chin, but worries Reese might make bad decisions. He rates it as medium confidence on the website.

"Zach Reese is going to be the pick. He should be able to get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady fades Zachary Reese despite being a favorite, citing Reese's poor takedown defense (33%) and tendency to get finished. He notes Todorović has good ground-and-pound and can take Reese down. Although Todorović has terrible striking defense, Brady thinks Reese lacks the power to knock him out. He picks Todorović by second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'll take Dusco to to get the fight down to the ground, get on top of Zack Reese and and pound pound him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Reese because Todorović is a technical mess and easy to hit. He notes that Reese is also flawed but has more aggression and power. Connor emphasizes that this is a low-level fight and hard to pick with confidence.

"I agree. Yeah. Reese is a sizable favorite open to minus two 89 is currently minus two 27. Todorovich opened it plus two 14th kind of a plus one 96 people betting on these fights. Do you think really like, …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Matt picks Zachary Reese to win by knockout in round one. He expects a short fight, noting that Reese is explosive and violent with 7 of 8 wins in the first round, while Todorović has deteriorating durability and often gets finished. Matt likes the under 1.5 rounds and Reese round one knockout prop, and also mentions Reese by submission round one as a long shot.

under 1.5 rounds -170, Reese round one +155, Reese round one KO +230, Reese round one submission +900, Todorović round one KO +900
"I fully expect this fight to finish in the first round. The under one and a half at minus 170 is a spot I very much like."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese by first-round TKO, very confident. He notes Reese's size advantage (6'4") and Todorović's poor durability and chin. He mentions Todorović has been KO'd many times and Reese's pace is strong. He also had a PrizePicks bet on Reese under 5.25 minutes.

First round TKO; PrizePicks: fight less than 5.25 minutes
"I've never smelt a more obvious first round KO for Zachary Ree... I really see a first round finish for Zachary Ree here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese because he thinks Reese still has unchecked aggression and faith in his game, whereas Todorović seems to have lost confidence after a brutal loss. He notes that both fighters are low-level, but Todorović's tendency to knock himself out and his poor technical game make him the riskier pick.

"I guess I'll take Reese. Cause I think that he's still, I think that his, his aggression is still unchecked. I think he still has a lot of faith in his game. Even after probably that fact, we'll find out …"
TKO (knee and punches) R1 2:44 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.

included in a parlay
"I love moner in this spot I love the highlevel wrestling experience I will always favor wrestlers I love the explosiveness I love the fact that he works when he's on top he's not just hanging out racking up minutes …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.

Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'm taking maner Abdul Malik to get this done I think it's a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.

"I think manur just uses his wrestling credentials drops under takes him down now you got todorovic who is technically a blackbell but he's no good off his back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.

"I think Mansour Abdul Malik is going to come out here Saturday night and get his first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.

wins by KO
"I believe that's going to cause him a lot of issues to try to wipe off that ring Rush against the large explosive and Powerful opponent like Abdul Malik... which will lead to a knockout victory for the UFC newcomer"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.

"There's just too many red flags for me to get behind him as an underdog when there's some better looking ones later on in the show."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.

Great value on Todorović as underdog, should be closer to 2-1 favorite but is 3-1
"I'm still going to go mansur Abdul DUS goes too easily hit he's been out for a year and a bit a year and a half now um and he's coming off an ACL te and manur can wrestle offensively"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
TKO (knee injury) R1 1:52 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo thinks Christian Leroy Duncan will win by coming forward and bombing on Todorović, who has a questionable chin. He notes Duncan is a powerful striker with pressure and creativity, while Todorović is more technical but can be chinny. He is not betting but likes the does not go the distance prop.

does not go the distance
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan should win this fight I think he's gonna bomb away find that Chin dusko's Chin is not the best."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Duncan, noting his power and Todorović's poor striking defense and chin. He acknowledges Todorović has good top game but poor wrestling (12% takedown accuracy). He believes Duncan can get back up if taken down and find a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO, calling Todorović's wins unimpressive.

"I like Duncan here I like Duncan to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody picks Todorović as a dog, noting his top game and ground-and-pound are strong if he can get takedowns. He thinks Duncan's takedown defense is questionable and he may get taken down. He acknowledges Todorović's chin is a liability and he could get knocked out, but he's taking a small sniff at the dog. He says the fight likely doesn't go the distance.

fight doesn't go the distance
"I will actually take the bite on dusco todorovich and live to regret it heavily I'm sure"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, describing him as a big bully with powerful striking but poor grappling. He notes that Todorović is hittable and has struggled against aggressive fighters. Connor expects a messy fight where Duncan's power and durability will overcome Todorović's wrestling, as Duncan is comfortable in chaotic exchanges.

"I'm kind of gonna pick Duncan. It's gonna be a really stupid messy fight, but I think Duncan's pretty comfortable in those."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Jacob placed this as his first moneyline bet on the card, getting early value for premium members. He thinks Duncan has a huge advantage in striking and cardio, while Todorović needs to wrestle but has poor takedown control and gasses. He expects Duncan to dominate in front of the home crowd and likely finish.

bet placed early at better odds
"this was the first moneyline bet I placed because I think it's still good value I got it early for the premium members."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is an unorthodox striker with power and a good gas tank, able to conserve energy early and explode later. Todorović has a grappling-heavy approach but tends to slow down if he doesn't get a finish. Duncan's speed and striking should be too much, and he will likely pull away in the second and third rounds. A knockout victory is predicted, possibly in the third round.

"I think he's just way too unorthodox in the Striking realm for todorovich to get a beat on"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, noting he looks good on tape as a Cage Warriors champion with training in Thailand. He thinks Duncan's striking and finishing ability are real, and Todorović's chin is a massive liability. He says if Todorović can't get wrestling going, he gets knocked out. He initially bet Todorović by mistake but cashed out after realizing it was the wrong Duncan.

Christian Duncan by knockout (potential)
"I'm gonna pick Christian Duncan who I think actually has some decent potential moving forward"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by TKO, highlighting his impressive prospect pedigree and experience against tough competition. He notes Todorović has not beaten any UFC-level opponents and has been finished by everyone still in the UFC. Duncan's size, stand-up, and takedown defense are key advantages, and he predicts a highlight-reel finish via head kick or flying knee.

Duncan wins by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Christian Leroy Duncan over dusco todrovic"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Duncan's disdain for grapplers and his counter-striking will be effective. He points out that Todorović is not a great athlete and has been exposed by similar fighters. Zane believes Duncan's power and willingness to trade will be too much for Todorović.

"I gotta pick Duncan."
WIN vs Jordan Wright
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 25 of 41 60% 66 of 83 3 of 5 60% 1 0 5:03
Jordan Wright 0 61 of 80 76% 107 of 132 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 17 of 20 85% 58 of 62 3 of 3 100% 1 0 4:24
Jordan Wright 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Duško Todorović 0 8 of 21 38% 8 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Jordan Wright 0 58 of 77 75% 103 of 128 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 25 of 41 60% 20 of 35 5 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 18 7 of 9 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 61 of 80 76% 49 of 68 12 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 29 28 of 31 14 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 17 of 20 85% 16 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 5 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Duško Todorović 8 of 21 38% 4 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 17 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 58 of 77 75% 48 of 67 10 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 26 of 29 14 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.

"I'm confident in dusko but if Jordan pushes a wrestling heavy game plan like he attempted to in his last fight he actually could have some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.

Todorović wins by first-round ground-and-pound
"give me dasco todorovich I'll say first round grounded pound finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.

under 1.5 rounds -220; parlayed with Rodriguez/Jackson under 1.5 at +102
"I have a lot of money on the under one and a half rounds here... it's my biggest bet in a while."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.

"I'm picking Dushko Todorovich."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.

Under 1.5 rounds (juiced to -200 to -240), Todorović by KO round 1
"I am still going to go with todorovich I think he's the one that lands that big strike here and gets that finish first round knockout but the Ender is likely the play to go here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.

Jordan Wright by KO
"I gotta kind of think maybe PRP pick this week that I go Jordan right because listen it's gonna be a banger like you said and why can't he land a shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.

Jordan Wright is a 2-to-1 underdog
"Underdog time juicy two to one Underdog time I'm going with Jordan Wright"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.

"I'm picking Jordan right."
LOSS vs Chidi Njokuani
KO (elbow) R1 4:48 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 1 14 of 17 82% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:50
Duško Todorović 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 1 14 of 17 82% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:50
Duško Todorović 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 14 of 17 82% 3 of 4 8 of 10 3 of 3 5 of 7 9 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 14 of 17 82% 3 of 4 8 of 10 3 of 3 5 of 7 9 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani because of his power, speed, and distance control. He notes that Todorović has questions about his chin and that Njokuani has solid takedown defense. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside the distance, as he expects a finish.

Chidi Njokuani wins inside the distance
"chidi ninja kawani to win inside the distance is probably a pretty safe prop bet in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady picks Chidi Njokuani to win by first-round knockout, citing Todorović's horrendous striking defense and tendency to keep his hands down. He notes Njokuani has power and improved takedown defense. He acknowledges Njokuani has been finished in the past but believes he has improved. He expects the fight to stay standing and Njokuani to land a knockout early.

first round knockout
"chidi first round knockout for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Cody is impressed with Njokuani's improvements in grappling and cardio, noting his recent knockout of Marc-André Barriault. He highlights Todorović's poor head movement and susceptibility to getting hit, as seen in the Punahele Soriano fight. He believes Njokuani's striking acumen and upgraded ground game will lead to a finish, likely in the first two rounds.

Under 1.5 rounds
"i got chidi has just even with that price tag he's not a a first ticket top guy right yeah he hasn't proved that he's not still that apple pie [ __ ] from the past it's that he's on …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
Duško Todorović

The host predicts Duško Todorović via decision. He expects Todorović to control the fight by keeping Njokuani still and against the cage, leading to a potentially boring fight with a lot of control time. He is not fully confident, as he questions the pick slightly when discussing totals, but his official prediction is Todorović by decision.

under 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"my official prediction for that fight was duesco via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Njokuani's striking and improved cardio should be enough. He notes Todorović's defensive liabilities and that Njokuani likely lands a big strike in the first two rounds. He hates the moneyline at -220 but still picks Chidi.

Under 1.5 rounds
"chidi probably touches them up lands a big strike at some point in the first two rounds and there and there she blows but uh yeah chidi will be the pick for me hate the money line at minus 220."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru is very confident in Chidi Njokuani, citing his reach advantage and experience. He notes Duško Todorović leaves his chin up when exiting exchanges, and Njokuani's reach will allow him to land cleanly. He predicts a first-round KO for Njokuani.

first round KO
"i think chidina jaquani is gonna win this one yeah"
WIN vs Maki Pitolo
TKO (punches) R1 4:34 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Angelo picks Maki Pitolo but does not bet the moneyline; instead he takes inside the distance/decision no action at +140. He notes Maki has power, solid takedowns, and a tough chin, and that Dusko's chin is questionable. He believes Maki can win by stoppage, and if not, he gets a refund.

Inside the distance/decision no action at +140
"i like maki there i think he can win by stoppage and if he doesn't i'll get a full refund"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Big Brady picks Maki Pitolo as a dog, but with low confidence. He notes that neither fighter is reliable, but he likes Pitolo's game plan in his last fight against Julian Marquez, where he fought smart and used takedowns. He criticizes Todorović's terrible striking defense (48%) and poor takedown defense (50%), and believes Pitolo can exploit those weaknesses. However, he acknowledges Pitolo's inconsistency and loss to Callan Potter as red flags.

by decision
"i'm gonna take the dog and maki vitolo to win... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Cody also picks Pitolo, emphasizing Todorović's defensive flaws and Pitolo's sharper hands. He thinks Pitolo can beat him to the punch and potentially knock him out. Cody notes that Pitolo has cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds.

"so i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Daniel Levi leans towards Duško Todorović, citing his body work, clinch fighting, dirty boxing, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Todorović fights with his hands down and relies on head movement, which could be exploited by Pitolo's power. He acknowledges that Pitolo can crack and that Todorović leaves his chin up, making him vulnerable. He thinks Todorović can make the right decisions in a close fight.

"I lean dusko because i think if it's 1-1 going in that third round that dusko can make the right decisions to to make it happen"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Jacob picks Dusko Todorovic, noting his striking confidence and head movement. He thinks Dusko can win by submission at +285, but the odds are too short. He believes Maki's path is wrestling but he will gas, and Dusko's guard is active. Jacob likes Dusko all the way.

Dusko by submission at +285 (considered but not played)
"i like desco here i think he does win by sub but... the path to victory for mako is to wrestle and control him but i just don't think he's able to do that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Maki Pitolo

I like Pitolo here. He is better on the feet, throws more volume, and has better striking stats across the board. Todorović has defensive issues and tends to lose minutes. Pitolo should win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. I expect him to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 450 offers great value.

Pitolo by decision +450
"i like pitolo here i like him by decision as well i do think he'll kind of get the favor of the judges being the one kind of pushing the pace"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Paul picks Pitolo, citing his cleaner boxing and power. He notes that Todorović is a defensive liability with poor head movement and has been rocked in recent fights. Paul thinks Pitolo can knock him out or win a decision, but worries about Pitolo's cardio in the third round.

"i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Maki Pitolo

The MMA Guru picks Maki Pitolo to win by split decision. He expects a back-and-forth war where Todorović may drop Pitolo in the first but uses too much energy. Pitolo will grind out the second and third rounds with better pacing, landing knees and takedowns. He calls it a close fight, 29-28 split decision.

"i'm going to go with mackie patolo via decision i'm going to go split decision"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gregory Rodrigues 0 37 of 120 30% 46 of 133 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:26
Duško Todorović 0 71 of 150 47% 73 of 153 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gregory Rodrigues 0 10 of 36 27% 12 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
Duško Todorović 0 20 of 46 43% 22 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Gregory Rodrigues 0 13 of 37 35% 16 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:25
Duško Todorović 0 23 of 44 52% 23 of 44 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:12
3 Gregory Rodrigues 0 14 of 47 29% 18 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Duško Todorović 0 28 of 60 46% 28 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gregory Rodrigues 37 of 120 30% 23 of 103 10 of 13 4 of 4 27 of 106 10 of 14 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 71 of 150 47% 49 of 120 19 of 24 3 of 6 63 of 136 8 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gregory Rodrigues 10 of 36 27% 8 of 33 1 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 20 of 46 43% 14 of 39 4 of 5 2 of 2 19 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Gregory Rodrigues 13 of 37 35% 6 of 29 5 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 31 3 of 6 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 23 of 44 52% 16 of 35 6 of 7 1 of 2 19 of 40 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Gregory Rodrigues 14 of 47 29% 9 of 41 4 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 40 6 of 7 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 28 of 60 46% 19 of 46 9 of 12 0 of 2 25 of 52 3 of 8 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Big Brady sees many red flags in Todorović's striking defense (45%) and notes he fights with his hands down and chin up. He points out Todorović was knocked out by Punahele Soriano after getting clipped repeatedly. He believes Rodrigues hits very hard and will knock Todorović out, likely in the first round. He acknowledges both have poor defense but favors Rodrigues' power.

"give me rodriguez for the win here i'm going to say he wins by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody picks Dusko but is hesitant, noting his poor defense and tendency to get hit. He thinks Dusko's output and cardio could win if he survives the first round. Cody also mentions Gregory Rodrigues' BJJ background but notes he prefers striking. He likes the under 1.5 rounds as a live bet opportunity.

under 1.5 rounds +100
"my pick is going to be dusko but i think this one's a very interesting live bet opportunity"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Daniel leans Todorović due to his UFC experience and full camp, but acknowledges the fight could go either way. He praises Todorović's boxing in the pocket, ground and pound, and athleticism, but criticizes his habit of fighting with his hands down and relying on head movement. Daniel notes that Gregory Rodrigues hits hard and has good jiu-jitsu, but questions his cardio and competition level. He expects a close fight, possibly a split decision, and is not confident enough to bet on Todorović at chalk.

"i'm leaning doucheco just because of the ufc experience he's had the full camp here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Paul picks Dusko but is hesitant due to both fighters' suspect chins. He notes Dusko's output and cardio but worries about his durability after the Soriano knockout. Paul thinks Dusko can win if he survives the early exchanges. He also likes the under 1.5 rounds.

under 1.5 rounds +100
"i'll go with dusko here but i don't know if he's getting my money"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

The Guru picks Duško Todorović but expresses worry about his defensive flaws, particularly the way he rears his head back. He thinks Gregory Rodrigues hasn't fought good competition and lost to Jordan Williams on the contender series. He believes Todorović will wear Rodrigues down and finish by TKO in the second round, but acknowledges a chance Rodrigues catches him early due to Todorović's weird striking defense.

TKO round 2
"i'm going with dusko trojovic but i worry about him"
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo thinks Christian Leroy Duncan will win by coming forward and bombing on Todorović, who has a questionable chin. He notes Duncan is a powerful striker with pressure and creativity, while Todorović is more technical but can be chinny. He is not betting but likes the does not go the distance prop.

does not go the distance
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan should win this fight I think he's gonna bomb away find that Chin dusko's Chin is not the best."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Duncan, noting his power and Todorović's poor striking defense and chin. He acknowledges Todorović has good top game but poor wrestling (12% takedown accuracy). He believes Duncan can get back up if taken down and find a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO, calling Todorović's wins unimpressive.

"I like Duncan here I like Duncan to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody picks Todorović as a dog, noting his top game and ground-and-pound are strong if he can get takedowns. He thinks Duncan's takedown defense is questionable and he may get taken down. He acknowledges Todorović's chin is a liability and he could get knocked out, but he's taking a small sniff at the dog. He says the fight likely doesn't go the distance.

fight doesn't go the distance
"I will actually take the bite on dusco todorovich and live to regret it heavily I'm sure"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, describing him as a big bully with powerful striking but poor grappling. He notes that Todorović is hittable and has struggled against aggressive fighters. Connor expects a messy fight where Duncan's power and durability will overcome Todorović's wrestling, as Duncan is comfortable in chaotic exchanges.

"I'm kind of gonna pick Duncan. It's gonna be a really stupid messy fight, but I think Duncan's pretty comfortable in those."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Jacob placed this as his first moneyline bet on the card, getting early value for premium members. He thinks Duncan has a huge advantage in striking and cardio, while Todorović needs to wrestle but has poor takedown control and gasses. He expects Duncan to dominate in front of the home crowd and likely finish.

bet placed early at better odds
"this was the first moneyline bet I placed because I think it's still good value I got it early for the premium members."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is an unorthodox striker with power and a good gas tank, able to conserve energy early and explode later. Todorović has a grappling-heavy approach but tends to slow down if he doesn't get a finish. Duncan's speed and striking should be too much, and he will likely pull away in the second and third rounds. A knockout victory is predicted, possibly in the third round.

"I think he's just way too unorthodox in the Striking realm for todorovich to get a beat on"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, noting he looks good on tape as a Cage Warriors champion with training in Thailand. He thinks Duncan's striking and finishing ability are real, and Todorović's chin is a massive liability. He says if Todorović can't get wrestling going, he gets knocked out. He initially bet Todorović by mistake but cashed out after realizing it was the wrong Duncan.

Christian Duncan by knockout (potential)
"I'm gonna pick Christian Duncan who I think actually has some decent potential moving forward"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by TKO, highlighting his impressive prospect pedigree and experience against tough competition. He notes Todorović has not beaten any UFC-level opponents and has been finished by everyone still in the UFC. Duncan's size, stand-up, and takedown defense are key advantages, and he predicts a highlight-reel finish via head kick or flying knee.

Duncan wins by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Christian Leroy Duncan over dusco todrovic"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Duncan's disdain for grapplers and his counter-striking will be effective. He points out that Todorović is not a great athlete and has been exposed by similar fighters. Zane believes Duncan's power and willingness to trade will be too much for Todorović.

"I gotta pick Duncan."