UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland Next Fight
Age 26
Height 5' 3"
Reach 58.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 3"
Reach 63.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Cory McKenna
2.94 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
3.68 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
2.0 TD Avg
47.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Cheyanne Vlismas
4.93 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
2.57 SApM
64.0% Str. Def.
0.25 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Cory McKenna
Moneyline
BetWay +163
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1600
Submission
FanDuel +1100
Decision
FanDuel +250
Cheyanne Vlismas
Moneyline
FanDuel -184
KO/TKO
DraftKings +500
Submission
BetRivers +1600
Decision
FanDuel +110
Cory McKenna - Fight History
LOSS vs Julia Polastri
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julia Polastri 0 88 of 145 60% 142 of 203 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:13
Cory McKenna 0 40 of 124 32% 98 of 198 1 of 6 16% 0 0 5:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julia Polastri 0 40 of 58 68% 58 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:05
Cory McKenna 0 17 of 42 40% 43 of 69 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:38
2 Julia Polastri 0 26 of 43 60% 49 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:57
Cory McKenna 0 15 of 44 34% 20 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:44
3 Julia Polastri 0 22 of 44 50% 35 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Cory McKenna 0 8 of 38 21% 35 of 79 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julia Polastri 88 of 145 60% 40 of 92 35 of 39 13 of 14 54 of 102 32 of 39 2 of 4
Cory McKenna 40 of 124 32% 30 of 112 6 of 8 4 of 4 35 of 114 5 of 8 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julia Polastri 40 of 58 68% 17 of 33 18 of 19 5 of 6 21 of 35 19 of 23 0 of 0
Cory McKenna 17 of 42 40% 12 of 35 3 of 5 2 of 2 15 of 38 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Julia Polastri 26 of 43 60% 10 of 25 10 of 12 6 of 6 16 of 31 10 of 12 0 of 0
Cory McKenna 15 of 44 34% 10 of 39 3 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Julia Polastri 22 of 44 50% 13 of 34 7 of 8 2 of 2 17 of 36 3 of 4 2 of 4
Cory McKenna 8 of 38 21% 8 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cory McKenna vs. Julia Polastri
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Polastri (-125), McKenna (+105)

Round 1
Pushing right along, ladies take center stage as Polastri (12-4, 0-1 UFC) tries to make good on her second chance to make a first impression. She collides with fellow diminutive strawweight McKenna (8-3, 3-2 UFC), with the two measuring about 10’5” combined. The 115ers will carry on with referee Chris Tognoni taking charge of the cage, and they gladly clap hands before commencing combat. McKenna moves to the center of the cage, stutter-stepping her way in to disrupt her opponent as she advances to initiate some wrestling. Polastri intercepts her with a few punches on the way in, and she frames off McKenna in the clinch to knee her in the head and midsection. McKenna uses her own shoulder pressure to keep grinding the Brazilian, but Polastri turns her around with a bouquet of knees. Polastri looks for a few knees to the dome, and McKenna spins her around and cracks her with a short but effective right hand. McKenna drops down for a double, and Polastri keeps her balance as the commentary booth drifts off into a conversation of taking down tables. Polastri dirty boxes with knees, elbows and short shots to the head and ribs, and she stands McKenna up with an uppercut and uses a right hand to break. Polastri beats McKenna to the punch with a long jab, only for McKenna to come back over the top with a one-two. Polastri leaps forward with a flying knee that crashes into McKenna’s jaw, and she fearlessly stalks her down to throw hands and feet. McKenna draws some swelling around Polastri’s right eye thanks to a few solid left hands, and she loops a left hook and a right around the guard while Polastri hunts for elbows. Polastri jabs with a front kick, and a second is met with an overhand right. Two one-twos from McKenna find their home as she backs away, and she cannot get out of the way of heavy right over the top. Polastri chains a body kick into a right hand, and she ties McKenna up and knees her repeatedly. A knee on the button makes McKenna think twice about engaging like this, and Polastri walks her down and knees her a few times before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Polastri
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Polastri
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Polastri

Round 2
Polastri comes out of her corner to take the center of the cage, and she calmly walks McKenna down before leaping at her with a jump knee. The knee bounces off the Welshwoman’s chest, and she keeps her guard up to block a long left hand and retaliate with a body kick. Polastri absorbs a jab to come out swinging with a combination of punches and a knee before shoving McKenna to the wall in a clinch. As Polastri works the body with knees, McKenna tries to respond with a head-and-arm throw that fails miserably. Polastri lines up knee after knee to the midsection, ignoring what McKenna gives back at her. McKenna breaks away and fires off a one-two, and she follows it with a right to the body as she dances out of the way of a counter. Polastri shrugs off the offense aimed at her so she can keep McKenna on her back foot, and she shoots in for a double and uses it to take McKenna’s back standing. Polastri winds up with big knees to the back of the thigh as she makes McKenna’s life miserable in the clinch, jumping over to get a hook in on the side in hopes of dragging McKenna down. McKenna fights off the hook, but the arms of the Brazilian are locked around McKenna’s waist. McKenna breaks up a seatbelt position around her chest so she can spin around and pay Polastri back for a few of those knees before splitting off. Polastri follows her along and kicks her upside the head. McKenna swings frantically as Polastri gives chase, and Polastri does damage to the body as McKenna throws with anything she has while strafing. McKenna lands a few shots, but Polastri knees her in the noodle twice as the round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Polastri
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Polastri
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Polastri

Round 3
The Brazilian offers a clap of hands to start the final round, and McKenna gladly accepts only to get kicked in the ribs as she backs off. Polastri tees off on her opponent with punches and body kicks, and she allows McKenna to get in close so she can knee her in the guts. McKenna backs off and dips out with two shovel uppercuts, and Polastri completely no-sells them to chase the woman from Wales. They land at the same time, and Polastri’s left hook lands harder as she races after McKenna and swings an elbow at her. McKenna escapes from getting backed to the wall momentarily, but it does not take more than a high kick and a jab from “Psycho” to put McKenna on her back foot. As Polastri lines up several punches, she connects at the end of a combo to stagger McKenna back. McKenna gets pushed to the wall and absorbs a slashing elbow before she is able to turn around and shoot for a double. Polastri sprawls to defend the shot and even scores a knee from up close, pressing on the back of McKenna’s head to keep her from succeeding. McKenna finally manages to clasp her hands around Polastri’s backside, dumping the Brazilian to her back in a big moment. Polastri throws her legs up to defend with either a high guard or a triangle choke setup, and the Team Alpha Male export shrugs it off and opens up with a few punches while hunting for a guard pass. Polastri times this by attempting a sweep, and McKenna keeps heavy to maintain top position. Polastri attempts another triangle, and settles for using her feet to push off McKenna’s hips to make her adjust. Polastri closes the guard when McKenna lowers herself down, and her strikes from the back may be more powerful than McKenna’s that are hitting her back. McKenna rains down punches until Polastri kicks her foe in the chest, and McKenna gets off one diving punch before the final horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Polastri (30-27 Polastri)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Polastri (30-27 Polastri)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Polastri (30-27 Polastri)

The Official Result
Julia Polastri def. Cory McKenna via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo picks Cory McKenna, admitting bias toward her aggressive style. He notes that McKenna's decision-making is a concern, but in this matchup she doesn't need perfect decisions. He believes if she stays aggressive with busy striking and takedowns, she can win. He plans to bet on McKenna via plus 3.5 rather than moneyline, as he thinks she can win at least one round.

Planning plus 3.5 bet on Cory McKenna
"Cory McKenna is going to be the pick... I will be betting on Corey McKenna I will be waiting for the plus three and a half."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Julia Polastri

Big Brady picks Julia Polastri by decision, but is hesitant due to the fight likely going to the judges. He was impressed with Polastri's takedowns and ground success against Josephine Knutsson, though her striking looked poor in that fight. He criticizes Cory McKenna's fight IQ and trustworthiness, recalling her refusal to take down Elise Reed and getting submitted by Jacqueline Amorim. He believes Polastri is the better striker with improving takedown defense, but expects a close decision that could go either way.

Polastri by decision
"I like uh ler here but again it's it's going to go to decision and it's going to come down to what the Crooked corrupt blind judges think in this one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.

CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cory McKenna

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Polastri is not very good and McKenna should be able to win if she fights patiently. He points out that McKenna has short arms and struggles with range, but Polastri's lack of athleticism makes her beatable. Connor is cautious because McKenna has made poor decisions in the past.

"Yeah, just stick with it stay in palastri's face throw punches stay consistent work your jab work kicks should all work"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Julia Polastri

Daniel believes Polastri has a mean streak and can strike with McKenna, who he views as not a threat on the feet. He thinks McKenna's only path is takedowns, but Polastri can stuff them and win on the feet. Daniel is confident Polastri will stuff takedowns and bust up McKenna.

"I think Julia Polastri is going to come out here stuff takedowns bust up Cory McKenna and win this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Julia Polastri

Polastri has improved since dropping to 115 lbs, fighting women closer to her size. She should stop McKenna's grappling attempts and batter her on the feet, possibly having grappling success of her own. Polastri will land the more damaging blows and win on the scorecards.

"I think that will see that payoff for her here as she stops the majority of grappling attempts from McKenna and batter her on the feet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Cory McKenna, primarily because she has a full training camp while Julia Polastri took the fight on short notice. He acknowledges Polastri could pull off the win but favors the full camp advantage. He notes that McKenna's grappling should be the difference, though he hasn't been impressed by her in moments.

"I'll say Cory McKenna gets this one done with her grappling majority of people think pastry wins but I'll go against it"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.

ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cory McKenna

Zane picks McKenna very cautiously, noting that Polastri doesn't seem good at anything and is a poor athlete. He thinks McKenna should stick to striking, work her jab and kicks, and avoid grappling with Polastri. However, he worries about McKenna's poor decision-making, as seen against Amarene, and her lack of athleticism.

"I'll take me kind of very cautiously very cautiously indeed because I do I do not think balastri's very good"
Submission R1 1:38 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 4 0 0:00
Cory McKenna 0 4 of 11 36% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 4 0 0:00
Cory McKenna 0 4 of 11 36% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 3 of 5 60% 1 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cory McKenna 4 of 11 36% 1 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 4 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 3 of 5 60% 1 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cory McKenna 4 of 11 36% 1 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 4 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Cory McKenna
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McKenna (-125), Amorim (+105)

Round 1
It is a potential grappler’s delight between two strawweights that rep elite teams in this next contest. Brazilian submission specialist Amorim (7-1, 1-1 UFC) will rep American Top Team as she comes to blows with Team Alpha Male’s McKenna (8-2, 3-1 UFC). Referee Mike Beltran will hope to keep up with them, although they start off with a sporting glove touch. McKenna flicks out an early jab, and Amorim comes back with her own before getting kicked in the calf. Both ladies trade low kicks before switching up to body kicks, and McKenna breaks up a back-and-forth by jamming Amorim up with punches. This allows her to close the distance enough to awkwardly take Amorim down, and when she hits the mat, she immediately finds herself in triangle choke danger. Amorim gets lifted off the ground and slammed down, and the choke tightens up as Amorim also locks in an armbar in the same sport. As McKenna wriggles, she appears to tap once on her opponent’s leg while turning, and Beltran shouts for them to stop. When he recognizes that it was not a complete tap, he tells them to keep fighting, and Amorim does not releases her grip.
“Poppins” tries to take advantage of the confusion by getting up, but the Brazilian rolls her to her back and locks down the armbar. McKenna kicks and flails, and she finds her arm in a precarious position and is forced to officially tap out.
This time the stoppage is the real deal, and the fight is over as Amorim releases the armlock and McKenna leans over to tend to her damaged wing. It might have been an odd situation, but it was an unusual exchange that led to the near-stoppage—and it was one that did not ultimately change the final result, besides delaying it a few seconds.

The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Cory McKenna R1 1:38 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo sees McKenna as the more well-rounded fighter with better cardio and striking pressure, but he is concerned about her year-long layoff due to getting married, which could be a distraction. He thinks if she survives Amorim's early takedown attempts, she can take over with striking and get takedowns of her own. He notes the line is -106 (slight underdog) and may move, so he's leaning McKenna but not fully confident.

line movement watch
"I'm still going to pick her to win because I think she's the more well-rounded and absolutely the more in shape better cardio fighter in this situation"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Big Brady picks Cory McKenna by decision, but is hesitant due to McKenna's tendency to strike instead of grapple. He trusts McKenna's cardio and wrestling more than Amorim's, but notes Amorim's dangerous BJJ and reach advantage. He is not running to the window to bet on it.

by decision
"The pick will be Cory McKenna and Cory McKenna by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Cody picks Jaqueline Amorim as a live underdog, citing her 10-inch reach advantage, BJJ black belt, and solid wrestling. He notes McKenna's cardio may be a factor but Amorim has paths to victory on the feet and on the ground. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and takes the plus money.

"I'll take Amorim... she's got multiple paths to victory."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cory McKenna

The host acknowledges Amorim's high-level BJJ but believes McKenna has good enough defensive grappling to keep the fight standing for the first round and a half. He expects McKenna to implement her superior striking and then grind out Amorim in the later rounds as Amorim's finishing ability fades. The pick is McKenna by decision.

"I expect Cory McKenna to grind this fight out and Win It by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Paul picks Cory McKenna, citing her ruggedness and wrestling. He questions Amorim's cardio, noting she gassed in her UFC debut. He expects McKenna to push a pace and take over in later rounds. He acknowledges both could win but leans McKenna.

"I'll take McKenna... she's more rugged she's got the better wrestling she can fight inside the pocket."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

The Guru picks Cory McKenna, citing her strength and physicality advantage over Amorim. He criticizes Amorim's lack of strength, noting she failed to finish locked-in chokes due to weak squeeze. He believes McKenna has better standup and takedown defense, despite a 10-inch reach disadvantage. He calls Amorim a 'frail hollow-boned bird woman' and expects McKenna's more masculine physique to prevail.

"I'm going with Corey McKenna I think she's uh more talented out of the two of them... I think she's got a better stand up I think she's a bit stronger I think she's a bit more physical bit more …"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory McKenna 0 33 of 74 44% 66 of 113 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 22 of 81 27% 103 of 216 2 of 3 66% 0 0 9:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory McKenna 0 17 of 45 37% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 13 of 61 21% 21 of 77 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:51
2 Cory McKenna 0 14 of 23 60% 32 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 6 of 15 40% 24 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:06
3 Cory McKenna 0 2 of 6 33% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 3 of 5 60% 58 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory McKenna 33 of 74 44% 20 of 54 8 of 13 5 of 7 23 of 63 3 of 3 7 of 8
Cheyanne Vlismas 22 of 81 27% 17 of 72 3 of 7 2 of 2 18 of 76 2 of 3 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory McKenna 17 of 45 37% 12 of 36 1 of 5 4 of 4 17 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cheyanne Vlismas 13 of 61 21% 11 of 56 1 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cory McKenna 14 of 23 60% 7 of 15 6 of 6 1 of 2 5 of 13 3 of 3 6 of 7
Cheyanne Vlismas 6 of 15 40% 4 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Cory McKenna 2 of 6 33% 1 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cheyanne Vlismas 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cory McKenna, expecting her to set a relentless grappling pace and take a decision. He notes Cheyanne has improved takedown defense but thinks McKenna's takedown offense has also improved. He believes the fight comes down to volume and takedowns, and if Cheyanne is too afraid to commit to strikes, she'll give up rounds.

Plans to bet over 2.5 rounds (decision) as part of a round prop parlay
"I'm gonna go slight lean for Corey I think she sets a Relentless grappling place and takes this decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Big Brady picks Vlismas, citing her superior striking and takedown defense. He doesn't trust McKenna after her poor performance against Elise Reed where she refused to wrestle and looked bad on the feet. He thinks McKenna's takedowns will be harder to get against Vlismas, and even if she gets them, she won't hold her down. He predicts Vlismas by decision.

Vlismas wins by decision
"I like lisbus here I think she's a better Striker by a mile... give me Bliss Mr win give me voice Miss to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Cody picks Vlismas, believing she is talented and has good volume. He thinks she has improved and is a dark horse in the division. He notes McKenna's wrestling is not elite and Vlismas has solid takedown defense. He expects Vlismas to win by decision, outworking McKenna on the feet.

Vlismas by decision
"I gotta go the other way I gotta go to Cheyenne blismus... I just feel like her ability to stay up on the feet more often than not and then use the volume use the Striking"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Connor likes Vlismas's distance command, power, and strike selection. He notes McKenna is young and scrappy but has a bad case of pad holder syndrome, not following through on strikes. He expects Vlismas to find her range repeatedly and bully McKenna, even if McKenna takes a round.

"I really like the distance command power and strike selection of lissimus a lot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Vlismas is the far superior striker and should be able to solve McKenna's takedowns and get back to her feet if taken down. McKenna's top pressure could be an issue, but Vlismas is too athletic. She will light McKenna up on the feet. The host would have made her a lock if he had more recent data on her off-her-back game.

2 units at -195
"I think that Cheyenne too athletic I think she'll be able to solve the takedowns I think she gets back to her feet if she gets taken down and then I think she's the far superior Striker and I think …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Paul picks McKenna but is hesitant, hoping she sticks to wrestling. He notes she has T-Rex arms and must get the fight to the mat. He is frustrated by her previous fight where she didn't wrestle enough. He thinks she can win by grappling-based decision or submission if she follows the game plan.

"I'm gonna pick Corey McKenna hopefully she sticks to wrestling like she's got a 58 inch reach man T-Rex arms like we are not winning this fight at range"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

The MMA Guru picks Cory McKenna over Cheyanne Vlismas, believing McKenna's grappling will be the difference. He notes Vlismas has a stand-up advantage but a massive hole in her grappling, as shown in her loss to Montserrat Ruiz where she had no answer for head-and-arm throws. He expects McKenna to out-grapple her and potentially submit her in the first two rounds. He also thinks Vlismas will be too worried about takedowns to effectively strike.

"I'm gonna go Corey McKenna"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Zane agrees with Connor, noting Vlismas is a willing, accurate, and powerful counter puncher with excellent range command. He thinks McKenna will start aggressive but eventually get bullied. He also mentions Vlismas's takedown defense is a question but not a deep problem.

"I just have a lot more faith in Whismas to to find her range repeatedly"
Submission (Von Flue choke) R2 1:03 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory McKenna 0 13 of 22 59% 43 of 53 3 of 4 75% 2 0 4:40
Miranda Granger 0 13 of 34 38% 14 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory McKenna 0 11 of 18 61% 41 of 49 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:50
Miranda Granger 0 8 of 25 32% 9 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Cory McKenna 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:50
Miranda Granger 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory McKenna 13 of 22 59% 11 of 19 1 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 1
Miranda Granger 13 of 34 38% 5 of 26 2 of 2 6 of 6 11 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory McKenna 11 of 18 61% 9 of 15 1 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1
Miranda Granger 8 of 25 32% 2 of 19 1 of 1 5 of 5 7 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cory McKenna 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miranda Granger 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo picks Cory McKenna but expresses hesitation due to Miranda Granger's long layoff. He likes McKenna's pressure, pace, and grappling, believing her takedowns will be the difference. However, he notes that if the fight stays on the feet, Granger could outwork McKenna similar to how Elise Reed did. The uncertainty of Granger's improvements during her time off tempers his confidence.

"I like corey here i love her pressure i love her pace but again you just don't know what you're gonna get with someone when they've been off for a year and a half"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 2, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Big Brady picks Cory McKenna but expresses hesitation due to her poor fight IQ in her last fight against Elise Reed, where she chose to strike instead of wrestling. He notes that McKenna has a significant reach disadvantage (9.5 inches) and that Granger has solid striking. However, he believes McKenna's wrestling is good and if she implements a smart game plan of takedowns and top control, she should win. He predicts a decision victory.

decision win prediction
"i'm gonna pick corey mckenna to go out here hopefully fight a smart game plan hopefully get this down to the mat"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Cody also leans toward McKenna, noting that she should have wrestled more in her last fight. He mentions that Granger has poor takedown defense and a reach advantage, but McKenna's wrestling should be enough. Cody is concerned about McKenna's low ring IQ and hopes the loss taught her to wrestle earlier.

McKenna over 1.5 takedowns (suggested)
"I think she wins but I'm a little bit scared off... she's 23 years old... limited ring IQ."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Granger

Daniel Levi leans Granger as a dog, noting her size (5'7", 68" reach) and two-year layoff could mean improvement. He hasn't been impressed with McKenna's UFC performances and thinks Granger could win if she's improved. However, he admits both fighters need work and advises not tailing.

"I'll call it a dog or pass situation and take Granger but both these ladies need a lot of work"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Paul leans toward McKenna but is scared off by the price after she burned him last time. He notes that McKenna's wrestling should be the path to victory, but she didn't use it enough against Elise Reed. Paul thinks McKenna is young and improving, but her ring IQ is questionable. He still picks her for the show.

McKenna over 1.5 takedowns (suggested)
"I'll pick her for the purposes of the show... I think she should be landing takedowns but I'm scared off by the price."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miranda Granger

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Granger as an underdog, disagreeing with the majority. He criticizes Cory McKenna's wins over Kay Hansen and Vanessa Demopoulos, and her loss to Elise Reid. He notes Granger's size advantage (5'7" vs 5'3", 68" reach vs 58.5") and believes Granger will be too strong in grappling exchanges. He also mentions Granger's two-year layoff and prime age of 30.

"i'm picking the underdog of miranda granger here... cory mckenna lost to elise reid and that shouldn't happen"
LOSS vs Elise Reed
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elise Reed 0 60 of 160 37% 99 of 216 3 of 7 42% 0 0 3:46
Cory McKenna 0 76 of 140 54% 121 of 193 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elise Reed 0 15 of 48 31% 27 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:27
Cory McKenna 0 26 of 44 59% 42 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Elise Reed 0 27 of 74 36% 28 of 75 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:00
Cory McKenna 0 35 of 64 54% 36 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Elise Reed 0 18 of 38 47% 44 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:19
Cory McKenna 0 15 of 32 46% 43 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elise Reed 60 of 160 37% 53 of 150 3 of 4 4 of 6 48 of 146 5 of 6 7 of 8
Cory McKenna 76 of 140 54% 44 of 98 7 of 10 25 of 32 70 of 131 3 of 5 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elise Reed 15 of 48 31% 11 of 44 3 of 3 1 of 1 11 of 43 1 of 1 3 of 4
Cory McKenna 26 of 44 59% 17 of 31 3 of 5 6 of 8 25 of 43 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Elise Reed 27 of 74 36% 25 of 71 0 of 0 2 of 3 26 of 72 1 of 2 0 of 0
Cory McKenna 35 of 64 54% 16 of 43 2 of 3 17 of 18 33 of 61 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Elise Reed 18 of 38 47% 17 of 35 0 of 1 1 of 2 11 of 31 3 of 3 4 of 4
Cory McKenna 15 of 32 46% 11 of 24 2 of 2 2 of 6 12 of 27 1 of 2 2 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo picks Cory McKenna, citing her well-rounded game and willingness to work takedowns as the difference. He notes that Elise Reed has real power but McKenna is very tough and busy. He warns that McKenna is only 22 and this is her biggest fight, so she might freeze, but he still likes her to win. He says the odds are far too wide.

odds comment: odds are far too wide
"i like corey to win but she's only 22 and this is the biggest fight of her life so hopefully she doesn't freeze up under the big lights"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Big Brady picks Cory McKenna to win by second-round submission. He is impressed with McKenna's wrestling and grappling, noting she has been grappling since a young age and trains at Team Alpha Male. He believes McKenna is levels above Elise Reed on the ground and will get the fight down and submit her. Brady acknowledges Reed may have a power advantage on the feet but thinks McKenna's ground game will be decisive.

second round submission
"gave me corey mckenna to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Cody picks McKenna, citing her pressure and grappling advantage. He thinks Reed's kicking game will be nullified by McKenna's clinch and takedowns. He notes Reed's poor takedown defense and believes McKenna will win by decision or submission.

"corey mckenna this is a favorable match up stylistically and i think she's a legitimate prospect"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Daniel Levi leans toward Cory McKenna but is not confident due to red flags: McKenna's 58-inch reach, concussion issues, and both fighters' inexperience. He believes McKenna has an edge on the ground, but the price is too high to lay. He calls it a pass or dog situation, noting that Elise Reed has a striking advantage if it stays standing. Levi does not provide a strong pick.

"i do lean with the favorite cory mckenna but you're not gonna catch me dead uh laying a price like that on her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

McKenna's wrestling is slightly overrated; she may land takedowns but struggle to control Reed on the ground. Reed has a striking advantage with her taekwondo background, moving in and out well and landing big shots. McKenna's durability and the hometown crowd could sway judges, but Reed's ability to get back to her feet and damage opponents makes this closer than the line suggests. I'm picking McKenna via decision, but I might take a small poke on Reed at plus money.

Possible bet on Elise Reed at +200; McKenna via decision
"I am going to pick her to win this fight but by no means am I saying to go out there and bet her as a minus 250 favorite."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Paul picks McKenna, noting he has already parlayed her. He emphasizes her pressure and wrestling, and thinks Reed's lack of strength and grappling will be exposed. He believes McKenna's game plan is clear: pressure and takedowns.

parlayed cory mckenna
"i have already parlayed cory corey mckenna"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Elise Reed

The Guru picks Elise Reed as a big underdog, arguing she is more technical on the feet and has good takedown defense. He dismisses her loss to Ciara Eubanks as a short-notice fight up two weight classes. He criticizes Cory McKenna's close decisions and believes Reed's 'menstrual rage' gives her an edge. He predicts a split decision win.

split decision
"i'm gonna go the least read here over corey mckenna as a big underdog... she's got that menstrual rage"
WIN vs Kay Hansen
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory McKenna 0 67 of 110 60% 87 of 131 2 of 5 40% 2 0 5:22
Kay Hansen 0 57 of 137 41% 156 of 246 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory McKenna 0 29 of 51 56% 33 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:37
Kay Hansen 0 29 of 58 50% 54 of 85 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:58
2 Cory McKenna 0 25 of 37 67% 26 of 38 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:59
Kay Hansen 0 18 of 51 35% 50 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:28
3 Cory McKenna 0 13 of 22 59% 28 of 38 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:46
Kay Hansen 0 10 of 28 35% 52 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory McKenna 67 of 110 60% 47 of 89 15 of 15 5 of 6 54 of 95 11 of 13 2 of 2
Kay Hansen 57 of 137 41% 56 of 136 0 of 0 1 of 1 49 of 127 5 of 7 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory McKenna 29 of 51 56% 20 of 42 7 of 7 2 of 2 23 of 43 6 of 8 0 of 0
Kay Hansen 29 of 58 50% 28 of 57 0 of 0 1 of 1 27 of 54 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Cory McKenna 25 of 37 67% 16 of 27 7 of 7 2 of 3 20 of 32 5 of 5 0 of 0
Kay Hansen 18 of 51 35% 18 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0 13 of 46 3 of 3 2 of 2
3 Cory McKenna 13 of 22 59% 11 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 20 0 of 0 2 of 2
Kay Hansen 10 of 28 35% 10 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kay Hansen

Big Brady picks Hansen because she is the better grappler and dangerous off her back, while McKenna gets taken down often. He expects the fight to hit the mat and Hansen to get a submission. He acknowledges the line is wide but favors Hansen's path to victory.

Hansen by submission
"i'm going to take hansen to win here i'm going to take her to win by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kay Hansen

Daniel picks Kay Hansen, citing her size and strength advantage, as well as a five-inch reach advantage. He notes that Hansen's grappling is strong and she may get an extra takedown or submission attempt to sway judges. He acknowledges McKenna's solid skills and bright future but thinks Hansen's physicality and experience against tougher competition give her the edge.

"i'll go with kay hanson here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Kay Hansen

The MMA Guru picks Kay Hansen by submission, specifically an armbar off her back. He notes that Cory McKenna got caught in submission positions on the Contender Series and that Hansen is more experienced with better competition. He believes McKenna will go for takedowns and leave herself open to submissions.

Armbar in round 2; mentions Hansen's submission win over Yilan Frag
"I'm gonna go with Kay Hansen armbar off of her back exactly how she did the last one."
Cheyanne Vlismas - Fight History
LOSS vs Cory McKenna
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cory McKenna 0 33 of 74 44% 66 of 113 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 22 of 81 27% 103 of 216 2 of 3 66% 0 0 9:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cory McKenna 0 17 of 45 37% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 13 of 61 21% 21 of 77 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:51
2 Cory McKenna 0 14 of 23 60% 32 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 6 of 15 40% 24 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:06
3 Cory McKenna 0 2 of 6 33% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 3 of 5 60% 58 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cory McKenna 33 of 74 44% 20 of 54 8 of 13 5 of 7 23 of 63 3 of 3 7 of 8
Cheyanne Vlismas 22 of 81 27% 17 of 72 3 of 7 2 of 2 18 of 76 2 of 3 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cory McKenna 17 of 45 37% 12 of 36 1 of 5 4 of 4 17 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cheyanne Vlismas 13 of 61 21% 11 of 56 1 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cory McKenna 14 of 23 60% 7 of 15 6 of 6 1 of 2 5 of 13 3 of 3 6 of 7
Cheyanne Vlismas 6 of 15 40% 4 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Cory McKenna 2 of 6 33% 1 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cheyanne Vlismas 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cory McKenna, expecting her to set a relentless grappling pace and take a decision. He notes Cheyanne has improved takedown defense but thinks McKenna's takedown offense has also improved. He believes the fight comes down to volume and takedowns, and if Cheyanne is too afraid to commit to strikes, she'll give up rounds.

Plans to bet over 2.5 rounds (decision) as part of a round prop parlay
"I'm gonna go slight lean for Corey I think she sets a Relentless grappling place and takes this decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Big Brady picks Vlismas, citing her superior striking and takedown defense. He doesn't trust McKenna after her poor performance against Elise Reed where she refused to wrestle and looked bad on the feet. He thinks McKenna's takedowns will be harder to get against Vlismas, and even if she gets them, she won't hold her down. He predicts Vlismas by decision.

Vlismas wins by decision
"I like lisbus here I think she's a better Striker by a mile... give me Bliss Mr win give me voice Miss to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Cody picks Vlismas, believing she is talented and has good volume. He thinks she has improved and is a dark horse in the division. He notes McKenna's wrestling is not elite and Vlismas has solid takedown defense. He expects Vlismas to win by decision, outworking McKenna on the feet.

Vlismas by decision
"I gotta go the other way I gotta go to Cheyenne blismus... I just feel like her ability to stay up on the feet more often than not and then use the volume use the Striking"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Connor likes Vlismas's distance command, power, and strike selection. He notes McKenna is young and scrappy but has a bad case of pad holder syndrome, not following through on strikes. He expects Vlismas to find her range repeatedly and bully McKenna, even if McKenna takes a round.

"I really like the distance command power and strike selection of lissimus a lot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Vlismas is the far superior striker and should be able to solve McKenna's takedowns and get back to her feet if taken down. McKenna's top pressure could be an issue, but Vlismas is too athletic. She will light McKenna up on the feet. The host would have made her a lock if he had more recent data on her off-her-back game.

2 units at -195
"I think that Cheyenne too athletic I think she'll be able to solve the takedowns I think she gets back to her feet if she gets taken down and then I think she's the far superior Striker and I think …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Paul picks McKenna but is hesitant, hoping she sticks to wrestling. He notes she has T-Rex arms and must get the fight to the mat. He is frustrated by her previous fight where she didn't wrestle enough. He thinks she can win by grappling-based decision or submission if she follows the game plan.

"I'm gonna pick Corey McKenna hopefully she sticks to wrestling like she's got a 58 inch reach man T-Rex arms like we are not winning this fight at range"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

The MMA Guru picks Cory McKenna over Cheyanne Vlismas, believing McKenna's grappling will be the difference. He notes Vlismas has a stand-up advantage but a massive hole in her grappling, as shown in her loss to Montserrat Ruiz where she had no answer for head-and-arm throws. He expects McKenna to out-grapple her and potentially submit her in the first two rounds. He also thinks Vlismas will be too worried about takedowns to effectively strike.

"I'm gonna go Corey McKenna"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Zane agrees with Connor, noting Vlismas is a willing, accurate, and powerful counter puncher with excellent range command. He thinks McKenna will start aggressive but eventually get bullied. He also mentions Vlismas's takedown defense is a question but not a deep problem.

"I just have a lot more faith in Whismas to to find her range repeatedly"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 134 of 271 49% 146 of 283 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mallory Martin 0 80 of 210 38% 106 of 236 0 of 5 0% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 0 37 of 87 42% 39 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mallory Martin 0 24 of 64 37% 26 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Cheyanne Vlismas 0 37 of 80 46% 46 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mallory Martin 0 23 of 70 32% 35 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:21
3 Cheyanne Vlismas 0 60 of 104 57% 61 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mallory Martin 0 33 of 76 43% 45 of 88 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cheyanne Vlismas 134 of 271 49% 102 of 223 26 of 41 6 of 7 123 of 257 11 of 14 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 80 of 210 38% 65 of 189 14 of 19 1 of 2 66 of 194 14 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 37 of 87 42% 25 of 69 10 of 15 2 of 3 32 of 80 5 of 7 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 24 of 64 37% 21 of 60 3 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 59 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Cheyanne Vlismas 37 of 80 46% 26 of 65 7 of 11 4 of 4 35 of 78 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 23 of 70 32% 17 of 61 5 of 7 1 of 2 18 of 63 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Cheyanne Vlismas 60 of 104 57% 51 of 89 9 of 15 0 of 0 56 of 99 4 of 5 0 of 0
Mallory Martin 33 of 76 43% 27 of 68 6 of 8 0 of 0 29 of 72 4 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mallory Martin

Angelo picks Mallory Martin as an underdog, trusting her power and wrestling. He notes Cheyanne's takedown defense is poor outside the Ruiz fight, and she had COVID and personal distractions. Angelo thinks Martin can lean on wrestling and power, but has no money on it.

No money pick
"i like mallory i think she's a solid underdog here lots of takedowns"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Big Brady picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win by decision, but he is not confident and says he would not recommend laying the chalk. He notes Vlismas has a striking advantage with good volume and aggression, and her takedown defense is solid outside of the Ruiz fight. He is concerned about Mallory Martin's grappling if she can get the fight down, but he questions Martin's striking after she was dropped by Hannah Cifers. He thinks the line might be off but still goes with Vlismas.

by decision
"i'll go with elizabeth to win... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Cody also does not make a pick, agreeing with Paul. He notes Vlismas's COVID recovery and the uncertainty around her training. Cody thinks Martin could have a cardio advantage but doesn't want to bet either side.

"yeah i think i think you're on uh you know the accurate road here why would you want to bet at this price tag"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Daniel Levi picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win, citing her aggression, willingness to stand and trade, and natural fighter instinct. He notes that Mallory Martin has looked nervous and has been beaten up in her UFC career. He acknowledges Martin's path to victory via takedowns and top control but doesn't trust Martin to execute. He thinks Vlismas can avoid takedowns and land harder shots.

"I'mma go cheyenne vlistmas to go to be undefeated in the ufc as of lismus"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Jacob picks Cheyanne Vlismas, citing her mean streak and aggression. He notes she was embarrassed by the Ruiz loss and has improved. Jacob thinks she will come in with even more aggression and win, but he also has a plus 3.5 round bet on Mallory Martin.

Plus 3.5 round bet on Mallory Martin at -120
"i like cheyenne in this matchup but i i do agree... minus 190 i think is crazy for cheyenne"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mallory Martin

I lean Martin. Her wrestling is her strength and she should look to take Vlismas down. Vlismas has limited data off her back and struggled in the scarf hold against Montserrat Ruiz. If Martin can get top position, she can control the fight. However, Martin is not very reliable and has been submitted from top position before. I like Martin by decision at plus 250.

Martin by decision +250
"i'm actually starting with the martinside with very little confidence here um in terms of props i do see this one going the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a pick, citing Vlismas's recent COVID issues and personal drama. He thinks the -190 price is too high for a fighter who was sick and might have cardio problems. Paul suggests fading her in live betting if she slows down.

"i'm not betting um a former shay a former buys at minus 190 literally against just about anyone so it's going to take a lot of convincing"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Cheyanne Vlismas

The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas to win by 29-27 unanimous decision. He expects Mallory Martin to win the first round via takedowns and control, but Vlismas will stuff takedowns in the second and third, landing knees and punches. He predicts a dominant third round for Vlismas, possibly a 10-8, as Martin gasses.

"i'm going to go with shaem bay's 2927 unanimous decision"
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 1:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cheyanne Vlismas 1 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Gloria de Paula 0 5 of 8 62% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 1 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Gloria de Paula 0 5 of 8 62% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cheyanne Vlismas 11 of 16 68% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 8
Gloria de Paula 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cheyanne Vlismas 11 of 16 68% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 8
Gloria de Paula 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks the underdog Gloria de Paula, believing the line should be closer. He thinks de Paula is the better striker with a reach advantage and that Vlismas' path to victory is via takedowns, which she doesn't do often. He calls it a coin flip but takes de Paula to win a close split decision.

split decision
"i'm actually going to take the dog into paula i think it should be aligned a lot closer"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Cody leans towards Cheyanne Buys based on her superior striking volume and cardio, as seen in her Contender Series performance. He notes that Buys has decent grappling and should be able to take down de Paula, whose takedown defense looked abysmal against Jinh Yu Frey. However, he is not fully confident because Buys' wrestling is unproven and de Paula has good Muay Thai. He suggests that if Buys can mix in takedowns, she should win, but the -170 price is risky.

"i guess my lean would be towards cheyenne bay's based on the we didn't see the best out of her by a long shot in that debut against montserrat ruiz"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Gloria de Paula

Levi sees this as a dog or pass situation and leans toward de Paula. He notes that de Paula has diverse Muay Thai striking but struggles to get up from bottom. However, Vlismas is an aggressive brawler who doesn't typically attempt takedowns, so Levi expects the fight to stay on the feet where de Paula has the advantage. He questions whether Vlismas can implement a grappling game plan despite having coach Eric Nicks, given her previous inability to stop a headlock. Levi picks de Paula to bounce back and get her first UFC win.

Dog or pass situation.
"I think this is a dog or pass situation man and I'm gonna go with gloria de paula"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Vlismas should use her grappling to nullify de Paula's striking advantage. De Paula has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back. The head-and-arm submission loss to Ruiz was an anomaly; Vlismas is a decent fighter. She should grind out a decision. The line is a buy-low opportunity.

Vlismas by decision +100
"I'm on Cheyanne Vlismas here I think that it's a decent spot for -165 is a great line in my opinion"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Paul considers taking the underdog Gloria de Paula, noting that her Muay Thai looked solid in the second round against Frey. He argues that if de Paula can keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win a striking match. However, he is concerned about her poor takedown defense and one-dimensional game. He ultimately sees this as a 'dog or pass' spot and is not sold on either side.

"why not just spam the underdog one understand the underdog in that de paula probably keeps it standing for two of these three rounds and uses that muay thai"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas over Gloria de Paula, stating that Vlismas is more scrappy and technically better. He notes that de Paula was figured out easily in her last fight against Jinh Yu Frey, and that Vlismas has more grit and can push a better pace. He expects a scrappy back-and-forth fight, possibly winning Fight of the Night, with Vlismas winning on the feet.

"i'm gonna go with cheyenne bay's i think she can mix it up a little bit better she's a little bit more scrappy"
LOSS vs Montserrat Ruiz
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Brunson vs. Holland · Mar 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Montserrat Ruiz 0 31 of 65 47% 49 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 3 1:04
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 15 of 41 36% 136 of 168 4 of 5 80% 2 1 9:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Montserrat Ruiz 0 6 of 8 75% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:12
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 2 of 7 28% 52 of 58 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:41
2 Montserrat Ruiz 0 10 of 25 40% 11 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:41
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 5 of 11 45% 37 of 46 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:11
3 Montserrat Ruiz 0 15 of 32 46% 32 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:11
Cheyanne Vlismas 0 8 of 23 34% 47 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Montserrat Ruiz 31 of 65 47% 26 of 60 5 of 5 0 of 0 26 of 56 2 of 2 3 of 7
Cheyanne Vlismas 15 of 41 36% 10 of 35 0 of 1 5 of 5 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Montserrat Ruiz 6 of 8 75% 5 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cheyanne Vlismas 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Montserrat Ruiz 10 of 25 40% 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 7
Cheyanne Vlismas 5 of 11 45% 3 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Montserrat Ruiz 15 of 32 46% 11 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cheyanne Vlismas 8 of 23 34% 5 of 19 0 of 1 3 of 3 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Big Brady picks Cheyanne Vlismas, noting she is a big favorite for a reason: she is the much bigger fighter with better striking and aggression. He expects her to hold Ruiz against the cage, land cleaner shots, and win a clear decision. He would not lay -350 but believes she wins handily.

Cheyanne Vlismas wins by decision
"i'm gonna go cheyenne bay's to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2021 (fight day)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Daniel Levi picks Cheyanne Vlismas but expresses concern about her UFC debut and the potential for an 'egg' performance. He notes she is the better fighter with better volume and should keep the fight standing. He worries about the emotional toll of cornering her husband earlier in the night and the possibility of an adrenaline dump.

"my pick is buys but that's obviously my concern"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Mar 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Vlismas should control the fight wherever it goes with her striking and clinch work. She has a height and reach advantage and looked good on the contender series. Ruiz has a solid jiu-jitsu game but is likely outmatched. However, at -350 for a debutant, it's a pass. No bet is recommended due to the unknowns.

"I think it's uh i personally i think it's just a pass all around"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas (misspelled as Cheyenne Buyers) over Montserrat Ruiz. He thinks Vlismas is younger, improving more between fights, and has a reach advantage. He expects her cardio from a full camp to pull ahead in later rounds, winning by unanimous decision. He acknowledges Ruiz is decent but hasn't fought good competition.

"i think the younger girl here is probably going to be improving more between the fights"
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo gives a slight lean to Cory McKenna, expecting her to set a relentless grappling pace and take a decision. He notes Cheyanne has improved takedown defense but thinks McKenna's takedown offense has also improved. He believes the fight comes down to volume and takedowns, and if Cheyanne is too afraid to commit to strikes, she'll give up rounds.

Plans to bet over 2.5 rounds (decision) as part of a round prop parlay
"I'm gonna go slight lean for Corey I think she sets a Relentless grappling place and takes this decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Big Brady picks Vlismas, citing her superior striking and takedown defense. He doesn't trust McKenna after her poor performance against Elise Reed where she refused to wrestle and looked bad on the feet. He thinks McKenna's takedowns will be harder to get against Vlismas, and even if she gets them, she won't hold her down. He predicts Vlismas by decision.

Vlismas wins by decision
"I like lisbus here I think she's a better Striker by a mile... give me Bliss Mr win give me voice Miss to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Cody picks Vlismas, believing she is talented and has good volume. He thinks she has improved and is a dark horse in the division. He notes McKenna's wrestling is not elite and Vlismas has solid takedown defense. He expects Vlismas to win by decision, outworking McKenna on the feet.

Vlismas by decision
"I gotta go the other way I gotta go to Cheyenne blismus... I just feel like her ability to stay up on the feet more often than not and then use the volume use the Striking"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Connor likes Vlismas's distance command, power, and strike selection. He notes McKenna is young and scrappy but has a bad case of pad holder syndrome, not following through on strikes. He expects Vlismas to find her range repeatedly and bully McKenna, even if McKenna takes a round.

"I really like the distance command power and strike selection of lissimus a lot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Vlismas is the far superior striker and should be able to solve McKenna's takedowns and get back to her feet if taken down. McKenna's top pressure could be an issue, but Vlismas is too athletic. She will light McKenna up on the feet. The host would have made her a lock if he had more recent data on her off-her-back game.

2 units at -195
"I think that Cheyenne too athletic I think she'll be able to solve the takedowns I think she gets back to her feet if she gets taken down and then I think she's the far superior Striker and I think she lights her up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Paul picks McKenna but is hesitant, hoping she sticks to wrestling. He notes she has T-Rex arms and must get the fight to the mat. He is frustrated by her previous fight where she didn't wrestle enough. He thinks she can win by grappling-based decision or submission if she follows the game plan.

"I'm gonna pick Corey McKenna hopefully she sticks to wrestling like she's got a 58 inch reach man T-Rex arms like we are not winning this fight at range"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

The MMA Guru picks Cory McKenna over Cheyanne Vlismas, believing McKenna's grappling will be the difference. He notes Vlismas has a stand-up advantage but a massive hole in her grappling, as shown in her loss to Montserrat Ruiz where she had no answer for head-and-arm throws. He expects McKenna to out-grapple her and potentially submit her in the first two rounds. He also thinks Vlismas will be too worried about takedowns to effectively strike.

"I'm gonna go Corey McKenna"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Cheyanne Vlismas

Zane agrees with Connor, noting Vlismas is a willing, accurate, and powerful counter puncher with excellent range command. He thinks McKenna will start aggressive but eventually get bullied. He also mentions Vlismas's takedown defense is a question but not a deep problem.

"I just have a lot more faith in Whismas to to find her range repeatedly"