UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022 · Welterweight · Completed
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Age 34
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Rinat Fakhretdinov
5.03 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
3.61 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
3.91 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
91.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Bryan Battle
5.12 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
4.11 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
0.77 TD Avg
17.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Moneyline
FanDuel -148
KO/TKO
BetRivers +390
Submission
BetRivers +700
Decision
FanDuel +210
Bryan Battle
Moneyline
DraftKings +135
KO/TKO
FanDuel +850
Submission
BetRivers +800
Decision
BetRivers +275
Rinat Fakhretdinov - Fight History
KO R1 0:54 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andreas Gustafsson 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andreas Gustafsson 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andreas Gustafsson 5 of 19 26% 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 42 54% 19 of 38 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 29 8 of 11 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andreas Gustafsson 5 of 19 26% 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 42 54% 19 of 38 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 29 8 of 11 0 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

Angelo picks Andreas Gustafsson but with low confidence, noting the line has flipped from Rinat being favorite to underdog. He acknowledges Rinat's wrestling credentials but points out his poor takedown efficiency (2 for 19 in last fight) and chinny nature. He thinks Gustafsson's relentless pressure and grinding style could cause problems, especially if he defends takedowns. However, he admits Rinat is more experienced and accomplished, and calls this a huge test for Gustafsson. He placed a small bet at +125.

small bet at +125
"Andreas Gustoson is the pick. A very small bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, praising his unique clinch game and unlimited cardio. He acknowledges Gustafsson's striking is poor at range but believes he will impose his clinch, wearing on Fakhretdinov with elbows and knees. He sees a potential late finish but predicts a decision win.

Gustafsson by decision
"I just see Gustoson pushing Renat against the cage here, holding him there, grinding on him, landing elbows, landing knees, wearing on him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

The host acknowledges the hype around Gustafsson after his last performance but warns not to overlook Fakhretdinov's wrestling and smothering approach. He leans with Gustafsson winning on the scorecards by landing more damage and getting more meaningful control.

"I'm still going to end up leaning with Gustiffson winning this fight on the scorecards as he just lands a little bit more damage and gets more meaningful control."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

The Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson because he believes Rinat Fakhretdinov has been fortunate in close decisions and that his opponents often fall short. He argues that Gustafsson's constant pressure and volume will overwhelm Fakhretdinov, who won't be able to impose his wrestling. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gustafsson, winning the last two rounds.

"I'm going with Andreas Gustoson over Renat for Cretinov because if there's one thing I've noticed about Renat for Cretin's last few fights is that he leaves it very, very close."
WIN vs Carlos Leal
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 109 of 222 49% 119 of 236 2 of 19 10% 0 0 3:14
Carlos Leal 0 107 of 246 43% 146 of 292 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 24 of 53 45% 28 of 59 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:57
Carlos Leal 0 28 of 63 44% 56 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 33 of 68 48% 37 of 73 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:53
Carlos Leal 0 37 of 86 43% 44 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 52 of 101 51% 54 of 104 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:24
Carlos Leal 0 42 of 97 43% 46 of 103 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 109 of 222 49% 82 of 184 15 of 26 12 of 12 96 of 197 13 of 25 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 107 of 246 43% 72 of 207 16 of 20 19 of 19 94 of 231 13 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 24 of 53 45% 17 of 43 3 of 6 4 of 4 24 of 47 0 of 6 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 28 of 63 44% 19 of 53 5 of 6 4 of 4 24 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 33 of 68 48% 24 of 56 5 of 8 4 of 4 31 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 37 of 86 43% 25 of 72 3 of 5 9 of 9 35 of 83 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 52 of 101 51% 41 of 85 7 of 12 4 of 4 41 of 85 11 of 16 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 42 of 97 43% 28 of 82 8 of 9 6 of 6 35 of 89 7 of 8 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Fakhretdinov, emphasizing his dominant wrestling. He acknowledges Leal has good striking and takedown defense but believes Fakhretdinov will implement his will with cage pushing and control time. He predicts a decision win, possibly boring.

"I got to go ferin off here um I just think he's going to implement his will I think he's going to push out against the cage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Cody picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, believing his wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Leal has questionable takedown defense and that Fakhretdinov can grind out a decision. However, Cody is not confident because Fakhretdinov has gassed in recent fights and struggled against strikers. He expects a decision win.

Fakhretdinov by decision
"I got R Faker enough Rea Faker Enough by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Connor picks Fakhretdinov, agreeing that Leal is a good veteran but his game is not modern MMA. Leal relies on kicks and clinch wrestling but lacks pace and volume. Fakhretdinov's pressure and wrestling will overwhelm Leal, and this fight was made to give Fakhretdinov a decisive win.

"Yeah. Fakardinov is not Fakardinov is going to clash with him. And if that, if that means a clinch wrestling exchange, great. Yeah. I Fakardinov loves that. And if it means that Leal is forced to go onto the back …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Vreeland sees Rinat Fakhretdinov as a tough matchup for Carlos Leal, especially on short notice. He notes that Leal lost twice to Magomed Umalatov in PFL, who used clinch and takedowns to outmuscle him, and Fakhretdinov has similar skills. Vreeland believes Fakhretdinov will grind out a win via takedowns and control, and thinks the -250 line is still low.

higher than 3 takedowns for Fakhretdinov (Underdog fantasy pick)
"give me rat ferin off here I think negative 250 probably still low for him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Vreeland picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win, but with low confidence due to Fakhretdinov's recent performances and questionable gas tank. He notes that Fakhretdinov has dominant top-time upside and that Leal is taking the fight on short notice. Vreeland would need a better price to bet Fakhretdinov, but expects him to get takedowns and potentially grind out a win.

"I'm going renat here"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Jeff Fox agrees with Vreeland, calling Fakhretdinov a tough matchup for anyone. He notes that Leal has weight-cutting issues and is making his UFC debut on short notice, which makes it even harder. Fox expects Fakhretdinov to grind out a win, though he doesn't provide additional technical detail.

"he's pretty much he's a tough match up for anyone at this point"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Fakhretdinov has a wrestling and grappling advantage over the short-notice UFC debutant Leal. He should be able to grind out a decision victory by controlling the fight on the ground. Leal deserves to be in the UFC but this is a bad stylistic matchup for him.

"look for fard of to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, citing his wrestling and control. He notes that Leal is a good striker but has been taken down before. Paul believes Fakhretdinov can implement a grappling-heavy game plan and win by decision. He is not highly confident due to Fakhretdinov's cardio issues.

"I think Faker dinov just takes him down and grinds on him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, believing his pressure and well-rounded game will be too much for Carlos Leal, who took the fight on short notice. He notes Fakhretdinov's win over Brian Battle was impressive and that Leal's preparation was for a different opponent. He predicts Fakhretdinov will win by decision or submission, possibly facing some danger early.

Decision or submission
"I'm going to go with Rinat Fakhretdinov getting this one done by decision or submission maybe a tough fight maybe some danger in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Zane picks Fakhretdinov because he is a pressure fighter who will clash with Leal and win the clinch wrestling exchanges. Leal is awkward, flat-footed, and lacks pace and volume, while Fakhretdinov keeps pushing and is tough to dissuade. Zane sees this as a clear matchup made for Fakhretdinov to get a statement win.

"Fakardinov is not Fakardinov is going to clash with him. And if that, if that means a clinch wrestling exchange, great. Yeah. I Fakardinov loves that. And if it means that Leal is forced to go onto the back foot, …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Carlos Leal

Zane clearly picked Leal, calling the decision a robbery. He argued that Fakhretdinov was doing less damage and fighting from behind in every round, while Leal fought well and was in control. Zane dismissed the idea that the crowd influenced the judges, noting there was no crowd. He called it one of the worst robberies of the year.

"this is a straight up robbery might be one of the worst robberies of the year"
WIN vs Nicolas Dalby
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 68 of 134 50% 99 of 173 5 of 11 45% 0 0 6:17
Nicolas Dalby 0 66 of 134 49% 123 of 195 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 27 of 52 51% 40 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:36
Nicolas Dalby 0 17 of 41 41% 31 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:17
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 24 of 46 52% 37 of 62 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:23
Nicolas Dalby 0 31 of 53 58% 48 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:57
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 17 of 36 47% 22 of 45 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:18
Nicolas Dalby 0 18 of 40 45% 44 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 68 of 134 50% 53 of 113 10 of 13 5 of 8 49 of 109 19 of 25 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 66 of 134 49% 36 of 96 25 of 33 5 of 5 38 of 95 28 of 39 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 27 of 52 51% 21 of 43 4 of 5 2 of 4 21 of 45 6 of 7 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 17 of 41 41% 6 of 27 7 of 10 4 of 4 11 of 32 6 of 9 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 24 of 46 52% 17 of 36 6 of 8 1 of 2 14 of 34 10 of 12 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 31 of 53 58% 17 of 34 13 of 18 1 of 1 15 of 33 16 of 20 0 of 0
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 17 of 36 47% 15 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2 14 of 30 3 of 6 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 18 of 40 45% 13 of 35 5 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 30 6 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nicolas Dalby vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fakhretdinov (-355), Dalby (+280)

Round 1
The welterweights set up in orthodox stance and go right at one another, with referee Thomas Fan looking on. They exchange kicks at range before Dalby walks through a flurry of punches to shove Fakhretdinov into the fence. Dalby throws knees from the outside while Fakhretdinov answers with knees up the middle. Fakhretdinov gets off the cage and shucks Dalby away from him, and they go back to kickboxing at range. Dalby flicks a kick up top that is blocked, then a question mark kick. Fakhretdinov tags Dalby with a pair of punches, then changes levels for a single-leg. He hoists the leg and Dalby hops on one foot while continuing to punch the head. Fakhretdinov drives him all the way across the cage before losing the single-leg. He pushes Dalby into the cage, then gets reversed. Fakhretdinov shucks Dalby off of him and nails him with a single punch that drops Dalby to his knees. Dalby pops back up, but he’s hurt, and Fakhretdinov pushes him to the fence. They disengage and Fakhretdinov hits him with an elbow. Fakhretdinov lands a switch knee to the gut before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fakhretdinov
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fakhretdinov
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Fakhretdinov

Round 2
Dalby scores first, with a low calf kick. Dalby switches stances, and is backed off by a punching combo from Fakhretdinov. Fakhretdinov gets him to the fence, then changes levels and drives him to the canvas. Dalby gets right back up, his back against the fence. They break off and return to the middle of the cage. Dalby initiates the clinch and shoves Fakhretdinov to the cage. They exchange short strikes on the inside. Dalby releases the clinch and nails Fakhretdinov with a nice right hand. They move back towards the center of the Octagon, and Dalby marches forward, landing a kick and a pair of punches, then another kick. Dalby backs Fakhretdinov into the fence and holds him there with underhooks. Dalby digs his head under the chin of Fakhretdinov and hits him with knees to the thighs. They separate and Fakhretdinov lands a one-two, then changes levels for a smooth double-leg. He drops Dalby to his seat at the base of the fence, lacing the legs. He can’t flatten Dalby out, and they return to their feet seconds before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dalby

Round 3
Dalby flicks out a jab, but Fakhretdinov wastes no time in changing levels and running him to the fence. Fakhretdinov tries to lock his hands and pick Dalby up, but Dalby has an underhook and keeps his hips back. They break away from the fence and Dalby grabs a front headlock, then lands a single punch before Fakhretdinov launches another double-leg. Dalby tries to hit an inside switch, but can’t get it. Fakhretdinov has his arms around the waist of the kneeling Dalby, working to finish the takedown as Dalby tries to stand. Halfway into the round, Dalby gets to his feet in a wide-leg stance against the fence, and he separates. Dalby wades forward with punches, and Fakhretdinov drops for another takedown. He gets Dalby to his seat against the fence, but Dalby gets right back up and gets on Fakhretdinov’s back. Fakhretdinov escapes and runs Dalby back to the cage. Dalby reverses the position and throws knees to the thighs of Fakhretdinov. Under a minute left and Dalby separates, then tags Fakhretdinov with a head kick at short range. They swing away at short range until the final horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)

The Official Result
Rinat Fakhretdinov def. Nicolas Dalby via Split Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat, citing his phenomenal non-stop wrestling and power. He notes Rinat gassed in his last fight after chasing the finish, but still dominated the first two rounds. He thinks Dalby is hitable and will be taken down repeatedly. He acknowledges Dalby's win over Bonfim was more about Bonfim's cardio than Dalby's skill. He plans to spend $9,200 on Rinat in DraftKings.

$9,200 DraftKings salary mentioned
"I do think he gets all the takedowns in the world all the control time I think it absolutely Works"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov confidently, citing his wrestling advantage and power. He notes Dalby's 60% takedown defense and that fighters like Claudia Silva and Tim Means have controlled him. Brady expects Fakhretdinov to win by decision due to Dalby's toughness, but a finish wouldn't surprise him. He also mentions a PrizePicks play on Fakhretdinov's fantasy score under 94.5.

PrizePicks: less on fantasy score (under 94.5) because control time and non-significant strikes don't count
"give me fov to win this fight I'll say by decision because Dolby is very tough but a finish would not Shock Me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Cody picks Fakhretdinov but is hesitant due to the price and Dalby's comeback ability. He notes Fakhretdinov's wrestling and power, but also his cardio issues and Dalby's experience and durability. He expects Fakhretdinov to win early but warns of a potential fade.

"I'll take the cowards way and take faero but bad price tag"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Vreeland picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win a decision, expecting him to take the first two rounds with wrestling pressure. He notes Dalby's third-round resurgence but believes Fakhretdinov's takedowns and grinding style will secure a win. He acknowledges Dalby's cardio and finishing ability but sees Fakhretdinov controlling the fight early.

"I think that renat probably takes the first two rounds loses the third and wins a unanimous decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Jacob picks Rinat but does not trust him due to his mentality—he was happy with a draw after nearly getting finished. Jacob worries Rinat will try to knock Dalby out instead of wrestling, which could lead to trouble. He compares Rinat's attitude to Loopy Godinez, saying it's not a killer mentality. However, he acknowledges Rinat should win if he sticks to wrestling.

"rat should win the fight if he does win the fight it's probably going to look like spectacular fashion but if he comes in swinging wild trying to just take this guy head off he could [ __ ] lose"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

JP is confident in Fakhretdinov, citing his 22-2 record with 11 KOs and 7 subs, and notes Dalby's tendency to go to decision (12-4 in decisions). He expects Fakhretdinov to win by decision. Brevan agrees, highlighting Fakhretdinov's strong wrestling base and ability to control Dalby on the ground. He suggests a prop bet on Fakhretdinov by decision if the odds are plus money. Both see Fakhretdinov as the clear winner.

Fakhretdinov by decision (if plus money)
"I think re not's too good man from what we've seen he's hard to stop 22-2 I mean he's 11-0 in Ko 7-0 in Subs the only way he loses if it's going to decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a winner pick but suggests Dalby as a live bet. He notes Fakhretdinov will likely get takedowns but may gas, and Dalby's ability to get up and outwork him. He prefers to watch and potentially bet Dalby live.

"I think Dolby makes for a great live bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Nicolas Dalby, after initially considering Dalby. He rewatched Dalby's fight with Gabriel Bonfim and was less impressed, noting that Dalby was held down for significant periods. He believes Fakhretdinov's patient top game will be effective, as he doesn't chase submissions and is content to hold opponents down. He contrasts this with Bonfim's scrambling, which allowed Dalby to escape. He also notes Fakhretdinov's win over Brian Battle as impressive.

"I'm gonna go renat fenov I was going to lean towards maybe a Nicholas dby pick honestly but um no I'm going to go rat fenov D I wanted to pick dby but i rewatched his Gabriel Bon firm fight …"
Draw (majority) (29–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 87 of 186 46% 109 of 216 1 of 9 11% 0 1 4:25
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 75 of 152 49% 115 of 211 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 37 of 61 60% 47 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 10 of 34 29% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 27 of 73 36% 32 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 22 of 50 44% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 52 44% 30 of 63 0 of 5 0% 0 1 0:29
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 43 of 68 63% 76 of 119 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 87 of 186 46% 50 of 144 11 of 16 26 of 26 65 of 156 7 of 8 15 of 22
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 75 of 152 49% 47 of 113 17 of 26 11 of 13 57 of 129 2 of 3 16 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 37 of 61 60% 17 of 40 5 of 6 15 of 15 21 of 39 1 of 1 15 of 21
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 10 of 34 29% 5 of 25 2 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 27 of 73 36% 15 of 57 3 of 7 9 of 9 24 of 70 3 of 3 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 22 of 50 44% 12 of 38 6 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 46 0 of 1 3 of 3
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 52 44% 18 of 47 3 of 3 2 of 2 20 of 47 3 of 4 0 of 1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 43 of 68 63% 30 of 50 9 of 13 4 of 5 28 of 49 2 of 2 13 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo is very high on Fakhretdinov, calling him the pick done right. He highlights Fakhretdinov's non-stop wrestling, power, and pressure. He thinks the 36-year-old Zaleski won't have what it takes. Angelo has made money on Fakhretdinov in every UFC fight and likes him even more now. He considers Fakhretdinov safe to parlay.

safe to parlay
"I love Rena in this fight you guys know I've been very high on him I have literally made money on him him in every single one of his UFC fights"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by decision. He notes Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, controlling Brian Battle for 14 minutes and taking down Andreas Michailidis five times. He believes Fakhretdinov can take down Zaleski and grind out a decision, though he's not sure about a finish. He acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and BJJ but favors Fakhretdinov's wrestling and cardio.

"give me we're not fuer enough to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Levi picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, impressed by his incredible stats: absorbs less than one strike per minute, 67% striking accuracy, over 5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and 100% takedown defense. He sees Fakhretdinov as a dominant wrestler who can control and finish fights. Levi respects Zaleski's toughness and highlight-reel kicks, but believes at 36 years old and coming off a suspension, Zaleski is in a tough spot. He expects Fakhretdinov to pressure, take him down, and possibly finish him.

Fakhretdinov wins by decision, Fakhretdinov wins inside distance
"I'm going Rinat here and I think he makes a statement."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

James bet on Zaleski at +290, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Zaleski has much better takedown defense than Fakhretdinov's previous opponents and that if the fight stays on the feet, Zaleski is the more educated striker with nasty setups. He worries that Zaleski may be washed and can get hurt early, as seen in the Abubakar fight, but he also has Russian intel suggesting Fakhretdinov may be dealing with an injury and might strike more than grapple. James sees value in Zaleski as an underdog.

James mentions he has Russian intel that Fakhretdinov may be injured and striking rather than grappling. He also notes that Zaleski is +290.
"I bet on zaleski man I bet on zaleski I don't love it... but I just think the line's a little bit wide here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Fakhretdinov is a strong grappler with high-level cardio who chains takedowns together well. Zaleski may fend off takedowns early, but as the fight goes on, Fakhretdinov's pressure will be too much. He will accumulate top control time and win by decision. The line is a bit wide but Fakhretdinov should implement his style without too much resistance.

win by decision
"I believe that Fakhretdinov can go out there and implement his style without too much resistance allowing him to get his hand raised like I said by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. He acknowledges Zaleski's underrated resume but notes his age and recent performances. The Guru highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant win over Brian Battle and his improving hands, combining grappling and striking. He believes Fakhretdinov's athleticism and pressure will be too much for the older Zaleski, predicting a decision or late finish.

"I'm going to go rat for ketanov... renat is just undeniable I think at this point"
WIN vs Kevin Lee
Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:55 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Lee 1 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Lee 1 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Lee 11 of 17 64% 6 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Lee 11 of 17 64% 6 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing his offensive wrestling, heavy hands, and insane cardio. He believes Kevin Lee's only chance is to come forward and initiate takedowns, but he doubts Lee can take down Fakhretdinov. He notes the line has moved from -260 to -190, indicating money on Lee, but he is shocked the odds are close.

"this has to be a Renault pick for me Kevin Lee is a gamer been around forever it's fought everybody but we're not offensive wrestling it's just on another level"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by decision, but is not confident. He notes Fakhretdinov has a size and cardio advantage, and is in his prime, while Kevin Lee has been battling injuries and is small for welterweight. However, he acknowledges if prime Kevin Lee shows up, the price would be a steal. He thinks Fakhretdinov's wrestling and pace will be too much for the current version of Lee.

"I'm gonna I'm gonna take vodka dinov don't feel amazing about it though I really don't"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Lee

Cody reluctantly picks Kevin Lee as a plus-money underdog. He notes Lee's past success against top competition, his never losing a first round in the UFC, and his improved knees after surgery. He thinks Fakhretdinov's wins over Andreas Michailidis and Brian Battle are unimpressive and that Lee's striking and wrestling are superior. However, he acknowledges Lee's poor performance against Diego Sanchez and the size disadvantage.

"I'm gonna take him very reluctantly I am going to take him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel confidently picks Fakhretdinov, citing his dominant grappling and striking stats (7 takedowns, 102-25 strikes against Battle; 5 takedowns, 106-48 strikes against Michailidis). He criticizes Kevin Lee as a front-runner who fades when pressured, and notes Lee's 1-4 skid before being cut. He expects Fakhretdinov to impose his will and finish Lee, possibly by submission or TKO. He dismisses the 'crotch sniffer' label, emphasizing that Fakhretdinov outstrikes opponents as well.

expects a finish; Fakhretdinov minus 190
"I got renat Factor Dean off to extend his win streak and uh you know get into you know one of those top 15 Eliminator type fights"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, citing his size advantage (natural welterweight vs Lee moving up), dominant performance against Brian Battle, and Lee's poor showing against Diego Sanchez. He notes Lee's knee surgeries and layoff, and believes Fakhretdinov's grappling will be too much. Paul thinks Lee may have peaked and is now declining.

"I'll say that it's faculty enough or pass for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing Kevin Lee's decline, especially his poor performance against Diego Sanchez. He notes Fakhretdinov's dominance over Brian Battle, who is a solid prospect. He predicts Fakhretdinov will dominate in later rounds, getting a third-round TKO or rear-naked choke, as Lee's cardio and chin are questionable.

third round TKO or rear-naked choke
"I'm going with renat for cretinov because Kevin Lee made Diego Sanchez look good in his last fight"
WIN vs Bryan Battle
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 3 of 16 18% 25 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 1 43 of 68 63% 102 of 149 7 of 9 77% 0 0 14:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 0 19 of 30 63% 37 of 52 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:41
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 5 20% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 0 10 of 15 66% 30 of 42 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:49
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 8 12% 10 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 1 14 of 23 60% 35 of 55 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 3 of 16 18% 1 of 11 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 43 of 68 63% 38 of 62 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 11 2 of 3 33 of 54
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 3 33% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 19 of 30 63% 16 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 25
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 10 of 15 66% 9 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 12
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 8 12% 0 of 5 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 14 of 23 60% 13 of 21 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 3 10 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing that Bryan Battle is stepping up on short notice and facing the toughest opponent of his career. He believes Fakhretdinov's wrestling will be the difference, as Battle has poor takedown accuracy. He acknowledges Battle is a live underdog and plans to look for prop bets on him.

Plans to look for plus 3.5 or win inside distance (decision no action) on Bryan Battle
"I'm gonna go with we're not here and I think his wrestling is going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle as an underdog, citing Fakhretdinov's padded record against low-level competition. He likes Battle's striking, power, opportunistic submission game, and cardio. However, he notes Battle is hittable and has defensive issues, and Fakhretdinov has power. He expects Fakhretdinov to have early success but Battle to wear on him and get a late submission. He needs to see Battle's weight cut to increase confidence.

Battle wins by submission in round 2
"I like uh Brian battle to win the fight pull off the upset and I'll say late second round submission win for Brian battle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle as an underdog, believing his volume and striking can win rounds. He thinks Fakhretdinov's lay-and-pray style may not impress judges. He notes Battle has good takedown defense and cardio. He is not confident but sees value.

"I think Brian battle could just land the better shots in that space right so uh yeah slide Underdog clay Brian battle"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Connor picks Fakhretdinov, expecting him to come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game. He notes Battle is too takedownable and depends on scrambling after bad stuff. He thinks Fakhretdinov's clingy wrestling will be the answer to Battle's volume-based style.

"I'm just gonna pick fakratina of I think he'll just come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Bryan Battle

Battle's style, pace, and pressure will cause Fakhretdinov problems, making him work too much and slow down. Battle either finishes in the third or wins a decision. The line moved against the host to +130, but he still likes the matchup. The main question is whether Battle can maintain his cardio at this weight class.

1.5 units at +112 (dog of the night)
"I love his overall style I love his Pace I love his you know never really settling for bad positions or anything like that and I think that's going to cause we're not some problems tonight make him work a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, noting his wrestling and control. He thinks Battle's takedown defense is not elite and Fakhretdinov will take him down. He is not sure about betting because of judging concerns but picks him.

"I'm gonna go with renault's uh I don't think I'm gonna be betting that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Bryan Battle, disagreeing with the majority picking Battle. He highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, citing 14 minutes of control time against Andreas Michailidis and a recent freestyle wrestling match where he made his opponent retire. He notes Battle took the fight on short notice and questions his preparation, suggesting Battle might be looking for a paycheck before Christmas. He believes Fakhretdinov's grappling is a different level and that Battle's takedown defense won't be enough.

"I'm going with renat for cretinov I know a lot of people are picking Brian Batson"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Zane agrees, noting Fakhretdinov's persistent wrestling game is the kryptonite to Battle's style of weathering attacks. He thinks Battle has no full dimension while Fakhretdinov has one strong dimension. He expects Fakhretdinov to take Battle down and test his guard.

"I think that like an insanely clingy persistent wrestling game is like the eqr to that approach"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 45 of 61 73% 106 of 130 5 of 10 50% 0 0 13:00
Andreas Michailidis 0 18 of 33 54% 48 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 17 of 25 68% 33 of 42 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:53
Andreas Michailidis 0 12 of 17 70% 24 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:24
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 5 of 8 62% 31 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
Andreas Michailidis 0 2 of 4 50% 16 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 28 82% 42 of 51 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:32
Andreas Michailidis 0 4 of 12 33% 8 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 45 of 61 73% 27 of 41 10 of 11 8 of 9 10 of 20 18 of 22 17 of 19
Andreas Michailidis 18 of 33 54% 7 of 22 5 of 5 6 of 6 9 of 22 7 of 9 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 17 of 25 68% 7 of 14 5 of 6 5 of 5 2 of 7 14 of 17 1 of 1
Andreas Michailidis 12 of 17 70% 7 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 3 4 of 7 6 of 8 2 of 2
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 5 of 8 62% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 4
Andreas Michailidis 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 28 82% 16 of 21 4 of 4 3 of 3 8 of 10 3 of 4 12 of 14
Andreas Michailidis 4 of 12 33% 0 of 8 3 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 29, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo notes that Andreas Michailidis is a decent striker with power but leaves openings, while Rinat Fakhretdinov is a wrestler with heavy hands making his UFC debut. He acknowledges Fakhretdinov's poor wrestling technique but says it works in fights. He worries about the -321 odds for a debutant but still picks Fakhretdinov to get the takedown and pound away.

"renat to win this fight you know i think he's going to win he's my pick but three two one odds does worry me a bit here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by late finish, specifically a third-round submission or ground-and-pound. He notes that Fakhretdinov is a solid grappler with good cardio and ground game, while Michailidis is talented but has terrible cardio and tends to fade after the first round. He expects Fakhretdinov to take the fight to the mat and wear Michailidis down, eventually finishing him. He is not betting this fight due to the -260 price but likes the pick.

Fakhretdinov wins in round 3
"I like focker dinov um I'm not gonna be touching this fight from a betting perspective but I do want to see how this guy performs and I'm actually going to say he he uh gets a late finish here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andreas Michailidis

Cody is uncertain but leans toward Michailidis, noting Fakhretdinov's questionable competition and Michailidis' size at 170. He thinks the line is too wide and may take the dog, but is not confident.

"i would look to probably pass on this one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Levi picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, noting Michailidis's history of being finished and his cardio issues. He believes Fakhretdinov has the power and pressure to get the job done, especially with his training at American Top Team. He recommends the inside distance prop at -110 as a better bet than the moneyline.

Fakhretdinov inside distance -110
"you gotta take that renat inside a distance prop at minus 110. well i bet the minus 275 or minus 300 in the parlay i think you attack this in the prop market"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andreas Michailidis

Paul picks Michailidis as an underdog, arguing that Fakhretdinov's record is padded with cans and he lacks wrestling. He notes Michailidis' size advantage at 170 and thinks the price is too wide. He is not highly confident but sees value.

"i think i'm going to take andreas mikulis for no other reason than the scary russian dude who's 280 is in fact not a scary russian dude"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by first-round KO. He notes Fakhretdinov has stepped up against decent competition recently, with first-round finishes over Eric Spicely and Alberto Uda. He worries about early career padding but trusts his recent performances. He sees Michailidis as vulnerable, having been finished in four of five losses, and believes Fakhretdinov's power and grappling will be too much. He predicts a first-round KO.

First round finish by KO
"i'm going to go the first round finish by ko for renat because i don't see anything andreas micheladas can do to him"
Bryan Battle - Fight History
CANCEL vs Nursulton Ruziboev
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Angelo has been a big supporter of Ruziboev since his UFC debut and picks him here. He highlights Ruziboev's wrestling and grappling prowess, his size at 6'5, and his power, noting that Battle missed weight and is moving up to middleweight where his power may not carry. He believes Battle is not big enough for the weight class and that Ruziboev's chin and skills will prevail. He bet on Ruziboev at +150.

bet at +150
"I'm picking Nerzleton and I bet on Nerzleton at plus 150."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by second-round knockout. He notes Ruziboev has massive size, reach, and power, and that Battle has poor striking defense (44%). He thinks Battle will walk into big shots and could get knocked out. He also mentions Ruziboev's takedown defense is improving and Battle is not a wrestler at middleweight. He acknowledges Ruziboev is low volume but dangerous, and could win by damage-based decision or knockout.

Ruziboev by KO, round 2
"I'm going to take Ruseabova to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

The Guru picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by TKO in the first two rounds. He believes Ruziboev's height and reach advantage will be problematic for Bryan Battle, who won't be able to use his physicality as he did against Randy Brown. The Guru notes that Ruziboev is a dirty fighter who will cheat to win, extending fingers and grabbing the cage. He also mentions Ruziboev's dynamic movement and ability to dart in and out, which will be difficult for Battle to handle.

TKO in first two rounds; Ruziboev wins by TKO
"I'm actually going to go with Ruseo getting this one done by TKO. ... I think he'll finish Brian Battle in the first two rounds."
WIN vs Randy Brown
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 60 of 111 54% 80 of 135 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:46
Randy Brown 0 57 of 110 51% 109 of 175 0 of 6 0% 0 0 7:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 21 of 45 46% 29 of 56 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:40
Randy Brown 0 14 of 31 45% 18 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
2 Bryan Battle 0 15 of 29 51% 21 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Randy Brown 0 22 of 41 53% 56 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:37
3 Bryan Battle 0 24 of 37 64% 30 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Randy Brown 0 21 of 38 55% 35 of 54 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 60 of 111 54% 32 of 79 22 of 26 6 of 6 49 of 96 11 of 15 0 of 0
Randy Brown 57 of 110 51% 20 of 64 31 of 38 6 of 8 27 of 76 30 of 34 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 21 of 45 46% 11 of 32 9 of 12 1 of 1 19 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
Randy Brown 14 of 31 45% 4 of 17 9 of 11 1 of 3 11 of 27 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 15 of 29 51% 11 of 25 3 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 26 2 of 3 0 of 0
Randy Brown 22 of 41 53% 6 of 23 13 of 15 3 of 3 7 of 25 15 of 16 0 of 0
3 Bryan Battle 24 of 37 64% 10 of 22 10 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 28 7 of 9 0 of 0
Randy Brown 21 of 38 55% 10 of 24 9 of 12 2 of 2 9 of 24 12 of 14 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, believing his forward pressure and dirty boxing will frustrate the more technical Randy Brown. He notes Battle's improvements and work ethic, but acknowledges he gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks the clash of styles favors Battle, as he can brawl the boxer. He is monitoring the line movement and may bet if Battle's odds drop to -150.

If odds drop to -150, will bet
"I am going to pick Brian battle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle, citing his power and improving skills. He notes Brown's tendency to struggle against pressure fighters and thinks Battle will land big shots. He expects a knockout win for Battle.

Battle by knockout
"Battle by knockout is on the table."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Connor is confident in Battle because his new pressure-fighting style is the exact antidote to Randy Brown. He notes that Brown has historically struggled against pressure fighters who are willing to eat shots and counter, as seen in his losses to Jack Della Maddalena and Vicente Luque. Connor believes Battle's aggression, power, and willingness to trade will overwhelm Brown, who tends to hit the fence and fall apart. He also points out that Battle's recent performances show a clear, winning game plan.

"I gotta pick battle here 100 percent brian battle 100 percent this feels like his kind of fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel picks Brown as an underdog, citing his experience, reach, and cleaner technique. He believes Battle's competition has been weak and that Brown's length and footwork will be too much. He expects Brown to pick Battle apart.

"I think it's Randy Brown's time. I think he's going to set back Brian Battle."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Battle's aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling will break down Randy Brown and lead to a second or third round finish.

finish in rounds 2-3
"I believe the aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling realm of battle will allow him to break down Randy Brown and eventually lead to a second or third round finish for Brian battle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul picks Battle, emphasizing his momentum and power. He notes Brown's age and suspect chin, and thinks Battle's pressure will be too much. He expects a finish inside the distance.

"Battle for me, Battle potentially inside the distance."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his volume, hustle, and cardio. He thinks Battle will out-volume Brown on the feet and that Brown lacks takedown threats to mix in. He notes Brown has lost close decisions before and that lesser fighters have made it close with Brown. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly split.

"I'm gonna go with Brian battle I think he's got that next thing that puts him over Fighters that are slightly lesser"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Zane also confidently picks Battle, agreeing that his pressure style is the key to beating Brown. He notes that Brown has always struggled against fighters who walk him down and put combinations together against the fence. Zane highlights that Battle has evolved from a reactive fighter to an aggressive pressure fighter, and that this new approach makes him a dangerous matchup for Brown. He believes Battle will overwhelm Brown with volume and power.

"I 100 percent taking brian battle here."
WIN vs Kevin Jousset
TKO (punches) R2 3:47 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 58 of 97 59% 63 of 107 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Kevin Jousset 0 97 of 170 57% 118 of 194 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 29 of 40 72% 32 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Kevin Jousset 0 26 of 57 45% 36 of 69 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:54
2 Bryan Battle 0 29 of 57 50% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Jousset 0 71 of 113 62% 82 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 58 of 97 59% 31 of 66 10 of 12 17 of 19 46 of 84 12 of 13 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 97 of 170 57% 79 of 146 17 of 23 1 of 1 80 of 145 17 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 29 of 40 72% 16 of 26 6 of 7 7 of 7 19 of 29 10 of 11 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 26 of 57 45% 19 of 46 6 of 10 1 of 1 21 of 49 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 29 of 57 50% 15 of 40 4 of 5 10 of 12 27 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 71 of 113 62% 60 of 100 11 of 13 0 of 0 59 of 96 12 of 17 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle and has a small bet on him. He highlights Battle's constant forward pressure, tenacity, and improving skills. He notes that Battle never quits, as seen in his loss to Rinat Fakhretdinov. He acknowledges Jousset is good and could slow the pace, plus home territory might affect judging, but believes Battle's pressure and range will get the job done.

small bet
"Brian battle wins this fight... I've got a small bet on him here... Brian battle's forward pressure, willingness to never stop..."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle by decision, citing his toughness, output, sneaky power, and opportunistic grappling. He notes Battle is improving rapidly and has more ways to win. He thinks the striking could be competitive but Battle has the grappling edge.

Battle by decision
"I'm going to take battle to win here by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Bryan Battle to win but expresses hesitation, noting that Kevin Jousset is more technical and could be competitive at home in France. He highlights Battle's effective striking, submission grappling, better competition, and ability to fight through adversity. However, he also mentions Jousset's leg kicks and Judo background as potential threats. Cody ultimately leans Battle but is second-guessing his pick.

"I picked battle to win I'm a little bit second guessing that but battle is the more effective Striker here the more effective submission grapple..."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Cody picks Jousset as a plus-money underdog, highlighting Battle's poor grappling defense. He notes that Battle has been controlled by grapplers like Rinat Fakhretdinov, while Jousset has a strong takedown game and submission threat. Jousset's forward pressure and ability to mix in wrestling should neutralize Battle's counter-striking.

"I'm in on Kevin I'm actually got six underdogs on this card... I like Kevin ju said dude I like him and the fact that he's plus money even better"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Connor picks Jousset because he believes Jousset's consistent, technical striking from City Kickboxing will allow him to outwork Battle over three rounds. He notes that Battle's counter-punching is dangerous but Jousset's jab and lead hand will be difficult to counter. Connor also points out that Jousset has never been finished and is physically imposing, while Battle's success has come against fighters who fall into his counter game. He sees Jousset controlling the range and winning a decision.

Odds: Jousset +147, Battle -160. Connor mentions the odds are reasonable.
"I'm inclined to pick him as well. I mean, it looks like a, I could totally see battle just landing a big shocking blow and ending the fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Daniel Vreeland picks Kevin Jousset as a slight underdog. He thinks Jousset has good durability, cardio, and striking, and that Battle can be hit in the clinch. He expects a close fight and sees value in Jousset at plus money, possibly winning by decision.

"I have to lean with the dog the price is coming up on him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

JP picks Bryan Battle because he thinks Battle is faster, has a reach advantage, and is better on the ground. He notes Jousset is slow and calculated, and once in a negative position, his confidence fades. He predicts Battle will dominate and submit him.

"I think battle's going to dominate I think he's going to clip him I think J is going to like brev said be in a negative situation"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that if the fight stays standing it's 50/50, but Jousset's wrestling gives him an edge. He believes Battle is overvalued at -175 and that Jousset's grappling advantage makes him a solid underdog pick.

"Jette will also be the pick for me in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle over Kevin Jousset, citing Battle's reach advantage and momentum. He criticizes Jousset's performances, including going to decision with Song Kenan. He believes Battle will finish Jousset and become a mainstay in the welterweight rankings.

"I'm going to go with Brian battle here I don't think he's going to be anything at welterweight like he might get ranked but I don't think he's going to be a top prospect but I think he'll be like …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Zane picks Jousset because he trusts Jousset's technical consistency and believes Battle's counter-punching will be less effective against a disciplined striker. He notes that Jousset is stiff but has a solid jab and good fundamentals, while Battle tends to rely on opponents overextending. Zane also points out that Jousset is durable and has never been finished, making it likely he can weather Battle's power and win on points.

Odds: Jousset +147, Battle -160. Zane mentions the odds are reasonable.
"I'm trying, I'm trusting the process with you say, like, yeah, it really just does seem like something where he's never been finished before..."
NC vs Ange Loosa
NC R2 1:00 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 27 of 75 36% 28 of 78 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:33
Ange Loosa 0 23 of 54 42% 26 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 23 of 63 36% 24 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:33
Ange Loosa 0 17 of 44 38% 20 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Bryan Battle 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 27 of 75 36% 16 of 56 10 of 18 1 of 1 24 of 69 3 of 5 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 23 of 54 42% 6 of 34 8 of 9 9 of 11 22 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 23 of 63 36% 12 of 45 10 of 17 1 of 1 20 of 57 3 of 5 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 17 of 44 38% 4 of 29 6 of 6 7 of 9 16 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 4 of 12 33% 4 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 6 of 10 60% 2 of 5 2 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo is a big fan of Battle, noting his incredible improvement every fight. He worries that Battle needs to be the better wrestler and may not be able to take Loosa down, and he doesn't see Battle winning a striking match. However, he has blind faith in Battle's rapid improvement and thinks the latest version of Battle, with added improvements, will win. He is monitoring the line before betting.

monitoring line movement
"I think the last version of Brian battle with the Improvement since then wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Big Brady picks Ange Loosa to win by decision as an upset. He thinks Loosa's wrestling and takedown defense will be key, as Battle has poor takedown defense. He expects a close, competitive fight but favors Loosa's ability to mix in takedowns.

by decision
"I'm going to go with aneli here to pull off the upset... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Cody sides with the underdog Ange Loosa, citing Bryan Battle's suspect takedown defense (45% overall) and Loosa's improved wrestling. He notes Battle is a good counter puncher but lacks physical strength and has been taken down by lesser wrestlers. Loosa has shown volume striking and takedowns in recent fights, which should sway rounds. He sees this as close to 50/50 and likes the plus money.

"I got to side with the ever so slight underdog on Loosa... it's the takedowns mixed in should secure them."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Lucrative James believes Bryan Battle is the much better fighter overall. He notes that Ange Loosa is durable but lacks technique and grappling strength, and that Battle can scramble if taken down. He sees Battle winning via finish, possibly by submission or head kick, and mentions that Loosa's path to victory is limited to a knockout or three rounds of grappling, which he doubts Loosa has the gas tank for.

Battle by submission in round 2
"I think battle's a good fighter... I actually like battle in this spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ange Loosa

The host admits this is the fight he is least confident in picking. He sides with Loosa's explosive power striking and notes that Battle hasn't utilized the style that made him successful at 185 lbs, possibly due to the weight cut to 170. He expects Loosa to be on the front foot, using power punches to keep Battle defensive, and even try grappling where he can hold Battle down. He acknowledges Battle's submission threats but believes Loosa wins on the scorecards.

"I have to side with the explosive power striking style of Anala"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Battle's low volume and poor takedown defense. He points out that Loosa has durability and the plus 155 line offers value, as he sees the fight closer to 50/50. He mentions Loosa by decision at +275 as an interesting prop.

Loosa by decision (+275)
"I'll join you in Loosa... you're giving me plus 155 I think there's probably a close to 10% edge on taking that."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting his size, power, and grappling. He criticizes Loosa for getting hurt easily and nearly finished in fights. He believes Battle is a level above and will either TKO or outpoint Loosa. He mentions Battle's recent grappling performances against AJ Fletcher.

"I think Brian barbarena is just that next level above younger way taller got the reach Advantage big strong dude for welterweight I think he mugs onoa and I think he catches him on the chin."
WIN vs AJ Fletcher
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:32 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 45 of 80 56% 63 of 105 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:30
AJ Fletcher 0 25 of 51 49% 29 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 23 of 50 46% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
AJ Fletcher 0 18 of 38 47% 18 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
2 Bryan Battle 0 22 of 30 73% 40 of 55 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:30
AJ Fletcher 0 7 of 13 53% 11 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 45 of 80 56% 9 of 25 34 of 52 2 of 3 29 of 61 16 of 19 0 of 0
AJ Fletcher 25 of 51 49% 6 of 26 6 of 9 13 of 16 20 of 41 5 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 23 of 50 46% 5 of 19 16 of 28 2 of 3 22 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
AJ Fletcher 18 of 38 47% 4 of 20 2 of 3 12 of 15 15 of 32 3 of 5 0 of 1
2 Bryan Battle 22 of 30 73% 4 of 6 18 of 24 0 of 0 7 of 13 15 of 17 0 of 0
AJ Fletcher 7 of 13 53% 2 of 6 4 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 9 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo's most confident pick on the card. He notes Battle improves every fight, has great hands, and never stops working. He thinks Fletcher will struggle with Battle's reach and movement, and will make poor decisions like pulling guillotine. He has a 1.5 unit bet on Battle.

1.5 unit moneyline bet
"Prime battle's my most confident pick and I have a one and a half unit moneyline bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle to win by second-round submission, citing Fletcher's poor cardio and striking defense. He notes Battle has a 10-inch reach advantage and is dangerous on the feet and ground. He expects Fletcher to win the first round with wrestling but fade, allowing Battle to capitalize. He mentions this is a good live betting spot.

second round submission
"give me Brian battle to win this fight I'll say second round submission for Prime battle on this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Bryan Battle, citing his reach advantage (10 inches), volume striking, and ability to fight off his back foot. He acknowledges Fletcher's wrestling and athleticism but notes Battle's takedown defense and counter-striking. He sees Fletcher's path to victory as narrow and prefers Battle's proven skills.

"I struggled to see a real legitimate path for AJ Fletcher here so the pick is Brian battle."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
AJ Fletcher

Daniel sees value in Fletcher at plus money, believing the line should be closer to pick'em. He notes Battle backs up and relies on counters, while Fletcher pressures and mixes takedowns. He thinks Fletcher's cardio has been addressed by training at elevation in Colorado. He only needs a close decision to cash, and thinks Fletcher can win rounds with pressure and grappling.

plus 165 moneyline; mentions point spread +3.5
"I just need a 2928 get me to a split decision and there's value at these plus 165 odds on on AJ Fletcher"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Lucrative James picks Battle but is hesitant due to Fletcher's early wrestling and durability. He notes Fletcher gasses out but stays tough, so Battle may come back late. He doesn't want to lay -200 on a fighter with cardio issues, but expects Battle to win via late finish or decision. He also considers a small bet on Fletcher but ultimately passes.

Battle submission considered; Battle round 3 considered
"Pick Battle for the minus EV comeback win... AJ Fletcher will do well early but he probably capitulate late."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The host picks Battle to win inside the distance, citing his reach advantage and ability to touch Fletcher from distance with leg kicks and body shots. He expects Battle's cardio and pressure to wear on Fletcher, leading to a late finish (round 2 or 3). He notes Fletcher's power but questions his durability and cardio, and that Fletcher's wins rely on early finishes.

"give me Brian battle inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul also picks Battle, but sees a path for Fletcher via wrestling and pressure. He notes Battle's 38% takedown defense but believes Battle's best characteristic is fighting moving backwards, which counters Fletcher's forward pressure. He mentions the reach advantage and Battle's experience.

"I think I'm also gonna tail on that and just go with probably in battle... I too I do see the path for AJ Fletcher."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his 10-inch reach advantage and better overall skills. He notes Battle lost to Renat Khetagurov via wrestling but believes AJ Fletcher's grappling is not at that level. He criticizes Fletcher's short reach and tendency to get wild, predicting Battle will counter him at range. He expects a TKO in late round two, similar to Battle's last fight where he fired back in the pocket.

TKO late round two
"I've got to go Brian battle here I think he's a better fighter I think Brian battle is a better fighter than AJ Fletcher..."
WIN vs Gabe Green
KO (punch) R1 0:14 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Gabe Green 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Gabe Green 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Gabe Green 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Gabe Green 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, noting his constant pressure and improving skills. He says Battle never quit in his last loss and that grinding loss prepared him. He thinks the striking will be even but Battle will have the more dangerous ground game. He bet 0.2 units on Battle at +110.

Bet 0.2 units at +110
"I think Brian's gonna win this fight right I think on the feet it's going to be somewhat even"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Big Brady likes Gabriel Green because he has a clear path to victory: taking down Bryan Battle. He notes Battle has poor takedown defense, citing his debut against Urbin and his last fight against Fakhretdinov where he was controlled for 14 minutes. Green is a brown belt in BJJ and has good cardio. Brady expects Green to grind out a decision, as both guys are tough and durable. He thinks the fight is competitive on the feet but Green's wrestling gives him the edge.

goes to decision
"gabrine has a clear path to Victory I think I think he he takes that clear path to Victory and potentially grinds out a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle as an underdog, citing his lateral movement and ability to fight off his back foot. He notes that Green is a grimy forward pressure fighter but lacks cage cutting skills. He expects Battle to win a competitive decision, but worries about Battle's wrestling liability and short notice. He proposes a second Shoei bet.

Bryan Battle by decision (suggested), second Shoei bet
"I'm gonna take Brian battle he's the underdog I don't have a whole lot of other dogs on this card so I need one of them Brian battle Hopefully the guy but what I don't feel good about it is …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Battle's style is not honed and that Green's constant pressure and tirelessness will create opportunities. He points out that Battle's path to victory is unclear, while Green's game is straightforward and effective. Connor expects Green to control the fight and win.

"somebody who's all about constant creation and tirelessness are going to find constant opportunity."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Gabriel Green, citing his work rate, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He notes that Bryan Battle was badly exposed in his last fight, landing only three strikes and being taken down seven times. However, Battle has physical advantages in height and reach. Levi sees this as a close fight but favors Green's pressure and leg kicks.

"I kind of think Gabe Greene's work rate is going to be the difference but Brian battle is the more physical guy so that should be interesting"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Battle can utilize his range and height advantage to pick apart Green from distance, mix in takedowns, and wear on him with cardio. Green is a durable, hard-nosed striker but may struggle with Battle's pace and grappling. Battle should pull away late and win by decision, though a Green knockout is a possible hedge.

"I ultimately think he ends up winning by uh by decision although a good hedge could be the Gabe green via knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Paul picks Green, citing Battle's poor wrestling and Green's durability. He notes that Green can take Battle down and control him, and that Battle has been taken down multiple times in past fights. He expects a close competitive fight but leans toward Green. He accepts the second Shoei bet.

second Shoei bet
"I don't know man maybe we should just have like a second a second chewy bed a one for one on this one I'll take I'll take second chewy bet you know what you got yourself a deal"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting that he was dealt a bad card in his last fight against a tough opponent. He believes Battle is underrated and can keep up with Green's pace, picking him apart for a 30-27 decision.

decision 30-27
"I am gonna go with Brian battle over Gabe green... I think he'll pick him apart for three rounds to a 30-27 decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Zane picks Gabe Green, citing his constant pressure and output as a style that will overwhelm Bryan Battle, who lacks a clear plan and relies on scrapping. He notes that Battle struggled against wrestlers and that Green's relentless striking will keep him on the back foot. Zane expects Green to win by decision or late stoppage.

"green is the favorite here opened at minus one 20 or so, and is currently at minus one 27"
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 3 of 16 18% 25 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 1 43 of 68 63% 102 of 149 7 of 9 77% 0 0 14:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 0 19 of 30 63% 37 of 52 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:41
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 5 20% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 0 10 of 15 66% 30 of 42 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:49
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 8 12% 10 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 1 14 of 23 60% 35 of 55 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 3 of 16 18% 1 of 11 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 43 of 68 63% 38 of 62 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 11 2 of 3 33 of 54
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 3 33% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 19 of 30 63% 16 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 25
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 10 of 15 66% 9 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 12
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 8 12% 0 of 5 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 14 of 23 60% 13 of 21 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 3 10 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing that Bryan Battle is stepping up on short notice and facing the toughest opponent of his career. He believes Fakhretdinov's wrestling will be the difference, as Battle has poor takedown accuracy. He acknowledges Battle is a live underdog and plans to look for prop bets on him.

Plans to look for plus 3.5 or win inside distance (decision no action) on Bryan Battle
"I'm gonna go with we're not here and I think his wrestling is going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle as an underdog, citing Fakhretdinov's padded record against low-level competition. He likes Battle's striking, power, opportunistic submission game, and cardio. However, he notes Battle is hittable and has defensive issues, and Fakhretdinov has power. He expects Fakhretdinov to have early success but Battle to wear on him and get a late submission. He needs to see Battle's weight cut to increase confidence.

Battle wins by submission in round 2
"I like uh Brian battle to win the fight pull off the upset and I'll say late second round submission win for Brian battle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle as an underdog, believing his volume and striking can win rounds. He thinks Fakhretdinov's lay-and-pray style may not impress judges. He notes Battle has good takedown defense and cardio. He is not confident but sees value.

"I think Brian battle could just land the better shots in that space right so uh yeah slide Underdog clay Brian battle"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Connor picks Fakhretdinov, expecting him to come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game. He notes Battle is too takedownable and depends on scrambling after bad stuff. He thinks Fakhretdinov's clingy wrestling will be the answer to Battle's volume-based style.

"I'm just gonna pick fakratina of I think he'll just come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Bryan Battle

Battle's style, pace, and pressure will cause Fakhretdinov problems, making him work too much and slow down. Battle either finishes in the third or wins a decision. The line moved against the host to +130, but he still likes the matchup. The main question is whether Battle can maintain his cardio at this weight class.

1.5 units at +112 (dog of the night)
"I love his overall style I love his Pace I love his you know never really settling for bad positions or anything like that and I think that's going to cause we're not some problems tonight make him work a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, noting his wrestling and control. He thinks Battle's takedown defense is not elite and Fakhretdinov will take him down. He is not sure about betting because of judging concerns but picks him.

"I'm gonna go with renault's uh I don't think I'm gonna be betting that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Bryan Battle, disagreeing with the majority picking Battle. He highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, citing 14 minutes of control time against Andreas Michailidis and a recent freestyle wrestling match where he made his opponent retire. He notes Battle took the fight on short notice and questions his preparation, suggesting Battle might be looking for a paycheck before Christmas. He believes Fakhretdinov's grappling is a different level and that Battle's takedown defense won't be enough.

"I'm going with renat for cretinov I know a lot of people are picking Brian Batson"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Zane agrees, noting Fakhretdinov's persistent wrestling game is the kryptonite to Battle's style of weathering attacks. He thinks Battle has no full dimension while Fakhretdinov has one strong dimension. He expects Fakhretdinov to take Battle down and test his guard.

"I think that like an insanely clingy persistent wrestling game is like the eqr to that approach"
WIN vs Takashi Sato
KO (head kick) R1 0:44 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 1 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 1 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Takashi Sato 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Takashi Sato 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, describing him as a very busy striker with solid volume and head kicks. He notes Battle's grinding style and takedown attempts should earn him a decision win over Sato, who is hittable and lacks head movement. He references his own notes from Battle's previous fight, calling him 'very tough not amazing anywhere but very busy striker.'

"I think brian can win this fight with his noises and his jabs sato is a solid striker but i think the grinding style the takedown attempts from battle i think all of those are likely going to earn him …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody also picks Battle, highlighting his long-range kickboxing and ability to avoid takedowns. He notes that Sato's losses come against grapplers, and Battle is not an offensive wrestler. Cody believes Battle will stay at range and outpoint Sato, possibly by decision. He agrees that Battle's takedown total is likely under 2.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle is more of a striker... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Daniel Levi leans Battle but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation, noting Battle's cardio and durability should allow him to break Sato down over time. He warns that Sato has power and could catch Battle, and that laying -270 on an unproven fighter like Battle is not advisable. He prefers Sato as a dog if forced to pick.

"I'll lean Battle to maybe break him down the stretch... you can't be laying on minus 270 on Brian Battle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul picks Battle, noting that Battle is a striker with good range and output. He mentions that Sato is a power puncher who has been taken down by grapplers. Paul thinks Battle will use the threat of takedowns to open up his striking and win a decision. He is concerned about Battle's weight cut to 170.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle will be the pick... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing that Bryan Battle is stepping up on short notice and facing the toughest opponent of his career. He believes Fakhretdinov's wrestling will be the difference, as Battle has poor takedown accuracy. He acknowledges Battle is a live underdog and plans to look for prop bets on him.

Plans to look for plus 3.5 or win inside distance (decision no action) on Bryan Battle
"I'm gonna go with we're not here and I think his wrestling is going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle as an underdog, citing Fakhretdinov's padded record against low-level competition. He likes Battle's striking, power, opportunistic submission game, and cardio. However, he notes Battle is hittable and has defensive issues, and Fakhretdinov has power. He expects Fakhretdinov to have early success but Battle to wear on him and get a late submission. He needs to see Battle's weight cut to increase confidence.

Battle wins by submission in round 2
"I like uh Brian battle to win the fight pull off the upset and I'll say late second round submission win for Brian battle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle as an underdog, believing his volume and striking can win rounds. He thinks Fakhretdinov's lay-and-pray style may not impress judges. He notes Battle has good takedown defense and cardio. He is not confident but sees value.

"I think Brian battle could just land the better shots in that space right so uh yeah slide Underdog clay Brian battle"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Connor picks Fakhretdinov, expecting him to come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game. He notes Battle is too takedownable and depends on scrambling after bad stuff. He thinks Fakhretdinov's clingy wrestling will be the answer to Battle's volume-based style.

"I'm just gonna pick fakratina of I think he'll just come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Bryan Battle

Battle's style, pace, and pressure will cause Fakhretdinov problems, making him work too much and slow down. Battle either finishes in the third or wins a decision. The line moved against the host to +130, but he still likes the matchup. The main question is whether Battle can maintain his cardio at this weight class.

1.5 units at +112 (dog of the night)
"I love his overall style I love his Pace I love his you know never really settling for bad positions or anything like that and I think that's going to cause we're not some problems tonight make him work a little bit too much start to slow down the later …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, noting his wrestling and control. He thinks Battle's takedown defense is not elite and Fakhretdinov will take him down. He is not sure about betting because of judging concerns but picks him.

"I'm gonna go with renault's uh I don't think I'm gonna be betting that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Bryan Battle, disagreeing with the majority picking Battle. He highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, citing 14 minutes of control time against Andreas Michailidis and a recent freestyle wrestling match where he made his opponent retire. He notes Battle took the fight on short notice and questions his preparation, suggesting Battle might be looking for a paycheck before Christmas. He believes Fakhretdinov's grappling is a different level and that Battle's takedown defense won't be enough.

"I'm going with renat for cretinov I know a lot of people are picking Brian Batson"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Zane agrees, noting Fakhretdinov's persistent wrestling game is the kryptonite to Battle's style of weathering attacks. He thinks Battle has no full dimension while Fakhretdinov has one strong dimension. He expects Fakhretdinov to take Battle down and test his guard.

"I think that like an insanely clingy persistent wrestling game is like the eqr to that approach"