vs
+280 -340
UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 9"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 11"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Nate Landwehr
5.63 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
5.83 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.76 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - David Onama
5.07 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
4.89 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.05 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Nate Landwehr
Moneyline
FanDuel +280
KO/TKO
DraftKings +800
Submission
FanDuel +2000
Decision
BetRivers +700
David Onama
Moneyline
Caesars -340
KO/TKO
BetWay +140
Submission
FanDuel +500
Decision
FanDuel +340
Nate Landwehr - Fight History
LOSS vs Cub Swanson
TKO R1 4:06 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cub Swanson 2 37 of 49 75% 40 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Nate Landwehr 0 15 of 30 50% 15 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cub Swanson 2 37 of 49 75% 40 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Nate Landwehr 0 15 of 30 50% 15 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cub Swanson 37 of 49 75% 23 of 33 7 of 7 7 of 9 35 of 46 0 of 0 2 of 3
Nate Landwehr 15 of 30 50% 9 of 22 1 of 1 5 of 7 15 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cub Swanson 37 of 49 75% 23 of 33 7 of 7 7 of 9 35 of 46 0 of 0 2 of 3
Nate Landwehr 15 of 30 50% 9 of 22 1 of 1 5 of 7 15 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cub Swanson

Angelo picks Cub Swanson in his retirement fight, citing his superior technique, fight IQ, and all-around skills. He notes Landwehr's reliance on his chin, which has given out, and believes Swanson is the better fighter everywhere. He expects the crowd support to help in a decision.

"I have to pick Cub Swanson here. Obviously, Nate is very gritty, very tough, but if your chin gives out, your chin gives out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Big Brady expects a war, noting both fighters are durable and willing to brawl. He thinks Landwehr could use his grappling to submit Swanson, who has been submitted seven times. He worries about Landwehr's recent knockout losses and damage taken, but leans Landwehr by submission in the second or third round.

third round submission
"I'm going to take Nate Landwehr to win this fight by third round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cub Swanson

Cody also picks Swanson, citing Landwehr's loss of speed and durability. He thinks Swanson's speed and volume will be too much for Landwehr, who has been knocked out recently.

"I got to go against the grain, go against my boy... for me, it's going to be a Cup Swanson play."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Connor picks Landwehr, arguing that Swanson is too slow now and that Landwehr's pressure and durability will be too much. He notes that Swanson's last fight against Billy Quarantillo was tooth-and-nail, and that Swanson can't move his feet anymore. Connor believes Landwehr is still capable of winning a grimy pocket fight, and that Swanson's age (42) and layoff will catch up to him. He thinks Swanson will end up in Landwehr's kind of fight and get chin-checked.

Odds comment: Swanson opened +170, currently -115; Landwehr opened -200, currently -105.
"I think he'll beat Nate Landware? This would be a good one to discuss then. Why do you think he'll lose? Uh, Landware is a, not a lot better, but a little bit better of an athlete."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Daniel Vreeland picks Nate Landwehr, believing that Landwehr's pressure, leg kicks, and grappling will overwhelm the aging Cub Swanson. He notes that Swanson's cardio fades after the first round and that Landwehr is durable and gets better as the fight goes on. He also mentions that Swanson's retirement fight may be a paycheck fight.

"I think you get me to round two, you get me to round three, and Nate cooks him to the bone. So, I'm going with Nate Landwehr here, and I actually am considering a bet in this spot."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Daniel respects Swanson but thinks Landwehr's pace and calf kicks will be too much for the 42-year-old. He sees Landwehr winning by accumulation of damage or submission.

"I'm going to go Nate Landworth here. I really think that if Nate Lander doesn't get knocked out or badly compromised, his pace is going to be too much for Cub Swanson."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nate Landwehr

The host leans towards Landwehr due to Swanson's long layoff (2 years) at age 42, which could lead to significant decline. He notes Landwehr's more recent fight showed better cardio, while Swanson slowed in his last fights. He also thinks Landwehr is more likely to be fully focused, while Swanson has outside business distractions. However, he acknowledges both fighters are old and inconsistent, so confidence is low.

Likes Landwehr +3.5 on the fight spread; thinks fight likely goes over but warns against betting over due to age.
"I would lean towards Nate Landwehr in this fight for a few reasons. The first being, Cub's coming in on a long layoff. And at 42 years old, you can significantly decline in a very short space of time."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Cub Swanson

James picks Cub Swanson, citing his experience in wars and technical striking advantage. He acknowledges Landwehr's pressure but believes Swanson's durability and power will prevail.

"I'm actually going to pick Cub Swanson in this one cuz I feel like he's been there, done it multiple times."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cub Swanson

Swanson's technical striking and counter-punching should be the difference. Landwehr is durable but tends to run into shots and has been knocked out recently. Swanson's footwork and experience allow him to land clean counters. Landwehr may try to grapple, but Swanson's defensive grappling is solid. Swanson should get the knockout in his retirement fight.

Swanson wins by knockout
"I think he gets his Swan song in emphatic fashion. And I think he gets a knockout victory over Nate the Train Lanware."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cub Swanson

Paul picks Swanson, noting his experience, speed, and training with young killers. He believes Landwehr's durability is declining and Swanson's crisp striking will prevail.

"Honestly, I am going with Cub Swanson. And I just feel like Cub... he's not a little cub anymore. He's Papa Bear Swanson now."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cub Swanson

The MMA Guru picks Cub Swanson over Nate Landwehr. He believes Swanson still has it, with recent wins over Billy Quarantillo and a split decision with Andre Fili. He notes Landwehr gets caught and KO'd, and Swanson can land a looping overhand. He predicts a TKO win in round one or two, with Swanson having a retirement send-off.

"I'm going to go with Cub Swanson over Nate Landwehr here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cub Swanson

Zane picks Swanson, arguing that Landwehr is too simplistic and one-dimensional. He notes that Swanson still has head movement and pocket comfort, and that Landwehr has no footwork, feints, or subtlety. Zane believes Swanson can outclass Landwehr, comparing it to Swanson fighting a downgraded version of Jeremy Stevens. He acknowledges Swanson's age but thinks his experience and savvy will prevail. He hopes Swanson wins and retires on a high note.

Odds comment: Swanson opened +170, currently -115; Landwehr opened -200, currently -105.
"I think cub can outclass him, honestly. Yeah, I want cub to outclass him."
KO R3 0:27 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Landwehr 0 63 of 155 40% 65 of 158 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Morgan Charrière 1 67 of 131 51% 67 of 131 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Landwehr 0 18 of 46 39% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Morgan Charrière 0 27 of 43 62% 27 of 43 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:01
2 Nate Landwehr 0 43 of 103 41% 43 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Morgan Charrière 0 33 of 64 51% 33 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Nate Landwehr 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Morgan Charrière 1 7 of 24 29% 7 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Landwehr 63 of 155 40% 54 of 142 7 of 9 2 of 4 63 of 153 0 of 2 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 67 of 131 51% 41 of 100 12 of 14 14 of 17 64 of 124 2 of 3 1 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Landwehr 18 of 46 39% 14 of 40 3 of 3 1 of 3 18 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 27 of 43 62% 14 of 29 3 of 3 10 of 11 25 of 41 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Nate Landwehr 43 of 103 41% 38 of 96 4 of 6 1 of 1 43 of 102 0 of 1 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 33 of 64 51% 20 of 47 9 of 11 4 of 6 33 of 61 0 of 1 0 of 2
3 Nate Landwehr 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 7 of 24 29% 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Angelo is very confident Morgan Charrière wins, calling him the better fighter everywhere except grit and determination. He thinks Charrière's striking, grappling, and wrestling are superior, and Landwehr's pressure won't be enough. However, he says he can't bet on Charrière because French fighters are too unreliable.

Cannot bet on Charrière due to unreliability of French fighters.
"Morgan's the pick. I'm very confident in that. But, I think we've learned you can't bet on them."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Big Brady thinks Morgan Charrière is the more skilled fighter everywhere, with better striking and underrated grappling. He notes Charrière has only been finished once and has good cardio. However, he hates the -260 line and worries about a hometown decision for Landwehr. He picks Charrière by decision.

decision
"I'll take Char to win this fight. I'll take it to win by decision. Hate the line, but I hate most lines on this card."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Connor picks Charrière confidently, noting that Landwehr is a simple brawler who will walk into shots, while Charrière is younger, faster, and more technical. He compares Landwehr's style to Doo Ho Choi's win over Landwehr, where Choi easily countered him. Connor believes Charrière's craft and gas tank should allow him to pick Landwehr apart, though he warns that Charrière has a tendency to wait and see, which could be dangerous against a relentless pressure fighter.

"I think you have to pick Charia here, but I like it. ... It's a great fight and it'll be a thriller because Landware won't ever give Charia space."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

The host acknowledges that Charrière's slow pace striking approach caught up with him against Nathaniel Wood, but believes he will land bigger shots and mix in takedowns against Landwehr. He expects Landwehr to struggle with output and volume, leading to Charrière winning a decision. The pick is based on Charrière's power and ability to control the fight.

"Sherriier's slow pace striking approach caught up with him last time around as he came up short against Nathaniel Wood. And that could come back to haunt him here against Nate the Train, but I think ultimately we'll see Sherriier …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

The MMA Guru picks Morgan Charrière, expressing concern about Nate Landwehr's recent performance against Doo Ho Choi where he looked slower and was easily hit. He notes Charrière's experience in five-round fights and his competitive showing against Shep Mariscal. He believes Charrière can catch Landwehr on the chin and finish him by TKO in the first round, as Landwehr's chin may be compromised.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Morgan Sharier. I reckon he gets this win and then they look to put him on the Paris card. I think he'll get a TKO win over Nate Lamwear here in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Charrière because Landwehr presents similar problems to Nathaniel Wood and Chepe Mariscal but in a simpler, bludgeoning way. He notes that Landwehr's wins come through sheer durability and brawling, but Charrière has the technical skill to counter him. Zane adds that if Charrière loses, it would be a huge red flag about his potential.

"I think this is a good reasonable step back. ... I think you have to pick Charia here."
LOSS vs Dooho Choi
TKO (elbows) R3 3:21 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dooho Choi 0 25 of 67 37% 32 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Nate Landwehr 0 78 of 116 67% 114 of 157 4 of 5 80% 0 0 7:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dooho Choi 0 9 of 25 36% 11 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Nate Landwehr 0 40 of 66 60% 40 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:24
2 Dooho Choi 0 12 of 30 40% 16 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Nate Landwehr 0 23 of 29 79% 26 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:00
3 Dooho Choi 0 4 of 12 33% 5 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nate Landwehr 0 15 of 21 71% 48 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dooho Choi 25 of 67 37% 13 of 47 9 of 15 3 of 5 15 of 55 10 of 12 0 of 0
Nate Landwehr 78 of 116 67% 61 of 98 9 of 9 8 of 9 62 of 99 4 of 4 12 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dooho Choi 9 of 25 36% 2 of 11 4 of 10 3 of 4 6 of 20 3 of 5 0 of 0
Nate Landwehr 40 of 66 60% 32 of 57 4 of 4 4 of 5 38 of 64 1 of 1 1 of 1
2 Dooho Choi 12 of 30 40% 7 of 24 5 of 5 0 of 1 5 of 23 7 of 7 0 of 0
Nate Landwehr 23 of 29 79% 15 of 21 5 of 5 3 of 3 18 of 24 3 of 3 2 of 2
3 Dooho Choi 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nate Landwehr 15 of 21 71% 14 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 11 0 of 0 9 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Doo Ho Choi vs. Nate Landwehr
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Landwehr (-142), Choi (+120)

Round 1
Strange card placement aside, this featherweight brawl was one the UFC brass considered guaranteed fireworks. It’s not a bird or a plane, it’s “The Train” Landwehr (18-5, 5-3 UFC). Standing across the cage from him will be “The Korean Superboy” Choi (15-4-1, 4-3-1 UFC), and referee Chris Tognoni is as ready as anyone else for this one to go down. Before they swing for the bleachers, the strikers touch ‘em up. Landwehr practically runs into Choi’s hand, coming out so fired up. It is Choi who lands first, blasting Landwehr in the face with a surprise uppercut. Choi wraps a right hand around the guard, and he knocks Landwehr to a knee with a massive left hook. Landwehr bounces back and is in front of Choi, but Choi is attacking while Landwehr’s first strike of the fight is a stomping kick to the knee. Choi scores a leg kick and puts a few punches behind it, shaking “The Train” up. Landwehr tries to get a little space with a front kick as blood trickles from the inside corners of both eyebrows, and Choi crashes towards him with a blistering uppercut. Choi backs off with a leg kick, and he digs a left to the body and allows Landwehr to shoot on him so he can push Landwehr to his knees. Choi takes his back but does not try to get his hooks in. When Landwehr adjusts, Choi suddenly wraps his legs around his foe’s waist and to keep him on the canvas. Choi sits down comfortably and allows his opponent to spin around so they can stand up together. Choi drives a knee to the midsection when Landwehr stands, and he walks the Tennessee native down to hurt him with a right hand and then an uppercut. Landwehr tries to pitch another front kick, and Choi rings his bell with a painful uppercut. Choi drops down, absorbs a knee and stands up tall and bangs the top of his head off Landwehr’s chin. Choi marches forward fearlessly, landing punches on either side of the head while Landwehr is stuck keeping his guard up most of the time. Choi goes to the body, and Landwehr strikes back with a right hand. Choi knocks Landwehr’s head back like a Pez dispenser with a nasty uppercut, and Landwehr closes in to clinch and get his bearings. Landwehr scores a short strike on the inside, and he pushes out of the tie-up using a knee. Choi dings him with one last left, and the one-sided round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Choi

Round 2
Choi offers a glove touch when Landwehr rushes at him to begin the second stanza, and they trade hands early with Choi landing first, last and much faster. Choi hammers the front leg with a kick, throwing Landwehr off-balance, and he uses his jab to set up power strikes. Choi connects with a low kick, and Landwehr ties him up and leans against him on the cage for a time. Choi spins him about, takes an elbow and breaks off. Choi boxes him up, mixing up the straight punches to the head and body. When Landwehr comes at him, Choi chops down his front leg. Landwehr keeps moving after taking the kick, bopping the South Korean in the nose with a spinning back elbow. Choi allows him to complete his rotation so he can hurl “The Train” to the floor like side of beef. Choi steps into full mount with ease, and he thinks about gripping a choke and lets it go to hit Landwehr in the back of the head. Landwehr scrambles to escape the precarious position, but he ends up getting flattened out on his stomach while Choi smacks him upside the head. Landwehr does not settle for staying flat for long, and Choi stretches him out but is not attempting much else in the way of submissions. Choi gets both hooks in and does not want to set up the body triangle so he can back out of this, and he lets Landwehr follow him so he can suddenly tackle the former M-1 champ down to the canvas. Choi lands in half guard and decides against taking advantage of the position, instead bailing on it and standing up. Landwehr follows immediately and pushes Choi to the fencing, but the South Korean is quick to turn him about. Two clubbing strikes from Landwehr land right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Choi

Round 3
The fighters clap hands, and Landwehr throws caution to the wind immediately. Landwehr hurls huge punches, with haymakers that land flush on the side of Choi’s dome. Choi laughs them off and swings back just as hard, but faster. Landwehr backs himself up to the fence in hopes of goading Choi towards him, but he has to settle for following Choi. As Landwehr gets as reckless as can be, Choi hits an easy takedown and advances immediately to side control. Choi wraps up Landwehr’s left arm between his legs to lock down a crucifix, and he hammers down a few elbows before Landwehr sits up. Choi uses his body weight to keep Landwehr stuck in the bad place, and he pounds on Landwehr’s face with fists when elbows are not the right strike. Choi draws further blood as he bludgeons “The Train,” with Landwehr’s bucks and twists thwarted each and every turn. Choi slashes down with methodical elbows, and Tognoni asks for Landwehr to improve his position. Choi punches Landwehr several times in the mouth, and Landwehr groans and grunts. With Tognoni watching on closely, Choi hammers the nail with a final barrage of elbows. Tognoni waves the fight off, and Landwehr is disappointed but not about to cry foul after getting beaten up for the better part of three rounds. Winner of two in a row, “The Korean Superboy” announces himself as a renewed force in the talent-rich featherweight division.

The Official Result
Doo Ho Choi def. Nate Landwehr R3 3:21 via TKO (Elbows)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Angelo picks Nate Landwehr, citing his relentless pressure and takedowns against Choi's poor takedown defense. He expects Landwehr to shoot a million takedowns and grind out a win. However, he notes Landwehr is chinny and 36, and Choi has power, so he will probably avoid betting on this fight due to red flags.

Probably avoid betting, lots of red flags
"Nate lare is going to be the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Cody picks Landwehr, believing his aggressive pressure will overwhelm Choi. He notes Choi's finesse style and vulnerability to pressure fighters. He expects a violent fight and suggests it won't go to decision.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"Nate the train Landwehr, the official pick."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Connor picks Landwehr based on confidence and momentum. He notes that Choi went eight years without a win and looked mentally fragile, while Landwehr is a dog who thrives on chaos. Connor believes Landwehr will force a war and that Choi's defense and confidence are not up to the task.

Landwehr opened at -164, currently -133; Choi opened at +128, currently +119. Connor thinks the odds should not be getting closer and favors Landwehr.
"Nate Landwehr is who Michael Chandler thinks he is. He's really about that shit."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Daniel Vreeland picks Nate Landwehr, citing that Dooho Choi's best days are behind him and his chin may be compromised after getting knocked out by Charles Jourdain. He notes Landwehr is solid everywhere, especially on the feet, and has underrated submission skills with two of his last four wins by submission. He likes the number on Landwehr and sees him as a good candidate for a club-and-sub.

"I kick off the main card give me the train Nate ler D Choy best days are behind him even though he he did get a win probably since since I said that landar getting the job done um pretty …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Dooho Choi

Daniel picks Choi to upset Landwehr, citing Choi's improved cardio and technique since his return. He believes Choi's clean boxing and experience in wars will overcome Landwehr's attrition style. He predicts a knockout, noting Landwehr gets hurt in every fight.

by KO
"I actually think Duho is going to come out here and knock out Nate Lander and shock a lot of people."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Jeff Fox agrees with Vreeland, emphasizing that people sleep on Landwehr's submission skills, noting his nice darce chokes and front headlock game. He also points out that Dooho Choi's best days are behind him and his chin may not be as good as it used to be, as evidenced by getting knocked out by Charles Jourdain. Fox believes Choi is a one-dimensional power puncher without a steel chin, so he takes Landwehr all day.

"yeah I think people sleep on his submission skills too uh like two out of his last four wins are by submission um you know he's got nice darus chokes front headlock kind of stuff he's a he's a good …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Lucrative James picks Nate Landwehr to win inside the distance, citing his grappling upside, cardio advantage, and higher level of competition. He acknowledges the volatility due to both fighters being hittable, but believes Landwehr's experience and durability will prevail. He suggests looking at props like TKO or submission in rounds 2 or 3.

wins inside the distance, wins by TKO, wins in round 2 or 3
"I do think Nate land will will win in round two or round three... Nate to win via TKO maybe Nate to win inside the distance."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Dooho Choi

Choi has the technical striking advantage and confidence from knocking out Bill Algeo earlier this year. He will counter Landwehr off his back foot and find a big shot within one and a half rounds to get a knockout victory.

knockout within 1.5 rounds
"I do have to lean with the technical striking advantages of Troy and seeing the confidence that he probably gained from knocking out Bill alio earlier this year he probably is going to be able to counter lanor off his …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Paul picks Landwehr, citing his relentless pressure and ability to break opponents. He notes Choi's accuracy but thinks Landwehr's chaos will be too much. He expects a fun fight and believes Landwehr wins more often than not.

"I'm going to take Nate Landwehr to get done."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

The MMA Guru picks Nate Landwehr, believing pressure breaks Dooho Choi. He notes Choi can be pressured and broken, and while Choi could catch Landwehr early, Landwehr's recovery is good. He expects Landwehr to mix in grappling in the second and third rounds, leading to a TKO win or a D'Arce choke.

Nate Landwehr wins by TKO or submission (D'Arce choke)
"I'm gonna go with Nate lambwe pressure breaks dooho choy"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Zane agrees, citing Landwehr's self-belief and Choi's lack of confidence. He notes that Choi's defense has always been poor and that Landwehr will bring the chaos that Choi struggles with. Zane also points out that Choi's win over Bill Algeo was against a fading opponent, while Landwehr is a proven tough out.

"Nate Landwehr all day."
WIN vs Jamall Emmers
KO (punches) R1 4:43 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Landwehr 1 37 of 76 48% 37 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Jamall Emmers 0 39 of 78 50% 39 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Landwehr 1 37 of 76 48% 37 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Jamall Emmers 0 39 of 78 50% 39 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Landwehr 37 of 76 48% 34 of 70 3 of 5 0 of 1 24 of 62 9 of 10 4 of 4
Jamall Emmers 39 of 78 50% 24 of 59 13 of 17 2 of 2 36 of 74 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Landwehr 37 of 76 48% 34 of 70 3 of 5 0 of 1 24 of 62 9 of 10 4 of 4
Jamall Emmers 39 of 78 50% 24 of 59 13 of 17 2 of 2 36 of 74 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Angelo picks Jamall Emmers but is hesitant due to the odds and Nate Landwehr's forward pressure. He notes Emmers is a calculated striker with good takedown defense, but Landwehr's relentless pressure could cause problems. He goes back and forth on whether Emmers should be a 2-to-1 favorite, ultimately sticking with Emmers but not fully confident.

"I'm still picking emers I'm staring at the odds though he's a two to one favorite and I just haven't made peace with that just yet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Big Brady picks Jamall Emmers to win by decision. He notes Emmers has a reach advantage, good striking with leg kicks, and elite takedown defense. He expects the fight to stay on the feet where Emmers is the better striker, though Landwehr is tough and can eat shots. Brady sees a competitive decision win for Emmers.

"give me Jamal emers to kick it off with a decision win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Cody picks Emmers despite being a fan of Landwehr, citing Emmers' speed, lateral movement, and wrestling. He worries about Landwehr's durability and recklessness, and thinks Emmers can pick him apart from the outside. He also notes a potential weight cut issue for Emmers but still favors him.

"gotta go with Jamal emers this time"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Daniel Vreeland picks Jamall Emmers but with hesitation due to the price (-220). He acknowledges Emmers' superior skills and athleticism but worries about his mental consistency and decision-making (e.g., leg lock exchange with Pat Sabatini). He thinks Emmers should win if he stays focused, but notes Landwehr's pressure and durability could make it tough. He prefers to pass or look at props.

"I think Emmer's way more clean with his boxing technique faster with the hands but I could just see Nate making this a really hard fight for Jamal"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Emmers has speed, agility, and wrestling but has shown poor fight IQ (e.g., striking with Julian Rosa after grappling success). Landwehr's constant forward pressure and durability could trouble Emmers. If Emmers uses his wrestling and counters, he should win, but his tendency to brawl is a risk. Prediction: Emmers by decision, but not a confident bet.

"I'm still going to pick him to win I think it's going to be tough for him to put LW away I'm going to take emeris Em by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Paul is tempted by Landwehr's dog mentality and plus money, but acknowledges Emmers' skill advantage. He makes a shoey bet with Cody, taking Landwehr at 2-to-1 odds, showing some faith in Landwehr's ability to out-tough Emmers.

"I want the plus 180 dog"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

The host picks Jamall Emmers to knock out Nate Landwehr in the first round. He believes Landwehr's chin is suspect, citing his fights against Austin Lingo and David Onama where he got wobbled. He thinks Emmers is underrated, with wins over quality opponents, and has the reach, speed, and patience to land a clean shot. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first round TKO
"I reckon Jamal emers has gone knock him out in the first my honest on this fight Jamal emers knocks him out in the first"
LOSS vs Dan Ige
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Ige 1 88 of 184 47% 88 of 184 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Nate Landwehr 0 74 of 195 37% 74 of 195 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Ige 0 14 of 45 31% 14 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nate Landwehr 0 12 of 44 27% 12 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Dan Ige 1 41 of 78 52% 41 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Nate Landwehr 0 30 of 69 43% 30 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Dan Ige 0 33 of 61 54% 33 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Nate Landwehr 0 32 of 82 39% 32 of 82 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Ige 88 of 184 47% 61 of 143 19 of 31 8 of 10 78 of 169 6 of 8 4 of 7
Nate Landwehr 74 of 195 37% 54 of 161 13 of 24 7 of 10 55 of 168 18 of 24 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Ige 14 of 45 31% 8 of 34 4 of 7 2 of 4 14 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nate Landwehr 12 of 44 27% 9 of 33 1 of 7 2 of 4 9 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Dan Ige 41 of 78 52% 28 of 59 10 of 16 3 of 3 34 of 68 3 of 3 4 of 7
Nate Landwehr 30 of 69 43% 20 of 57 7 of 8 3 of 4 23 of 59 6 of 7 1 of 3
3 Dan Ige 33 of 61 54% 25 of 50 5 of 8 3 of 3 30 of 56 3 of 5 0 of 0
Nate Landwehr 32 of 82 39% 25 of 71 5 of 9 2 of 2 23 of 69 9 of 13 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Angelo picks Dan Ige, but is cautious about betting. He acknowledges Ige is the better fighter skill-for-skill, but Nate Landwehr's relentless pressure and unpredictability could cause problems. He compares it to the Jaime Malarkey situation where a favorite was put in parlays and lost. He will keep Ige out of parlays and not bet on this fight.

"my pick is going to be Danny gay but I'm gonna keep him out of parlays"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Big Brady picks Nate Landwehr to win a close decision. He notes that Landwehr is higher volume and can mix in takedowns, while Ige is more skilled but lower volume. Both are tough, but Landwehr's pace and wrestling could edge rounds. He expects a back-and-forth war and thinks Landwehr's activity will earn him the nod.

"I'm gonna say Nate landwer edges out a very very close competitive decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Cody picks Dan Ige by knockout, citing Ige's durability (Hawaiians don't get knocked out) and power advantage. He notes that Landwehr can get wobbled, as seen in the Julian Erosa fight. He believes Ige's quick hands and combinations will be too much for Landwehr, who tends to brawl recklessly. He took Ige by KO at +205, expecting a finish in round 2.

Dan Ige by knockout +205; round 2 guess
"I took Dan ige by knockout plus 205 which I believe is still out there on the market right now"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Connor picks Ige, emphasizing his technical improvement and durability. He notes that Ige has a great chin and has weathered shots from big punchers. He believes Ige's counter-punching and takedown ability will capitalize on Landwehr's reckless aggression. He also notes that Landwehr is not a technical fighter and often leaves himself open.

Ige opened at -224, currently -245; Landwehr opened at +195, currently +213.
"You got to take Danny."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Daniel Levi picks Dan Ige, citing Ige's crisp boxing and power, and noting that Nate Landwehr has poor striking defense and gets chinned in almost every fight. He references that Korean Zombie said Ige was the hardest hitter he ever fought. He believes Ige will knock Landwehr out, especially given Landwehr's tendency to get tagged up early. He mentions that if Landwehr survives the early onslaught, he could take over late, but he sees Ige as the cleaner, more experienced fighter.

"I see an igeko here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Dan Ige

James picks Dan Ige to win, either by knockout in round one or by decision. He believes Ige is a level above Landwehr in MMA, with sharper boxing and heavier hands. Landwehr is a brawler who gets hit often and has been knocked out before. James thinks Ige's veteran savvy will prevent him from being dragged into a wild war, and that Ige will land the cleaner, more damaging shots. He notes Ige is four years younger and has faced better competition.

"I think ige just a level above in MMA man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Ige's tight boxing and counter-striking should exploit Landwehr's wild aggression. Landwehr has durability concerns and has been knocked out before. Ige's power and accuracy should find a finish, likely in the second round. Landwehr could win if he overwhelms Ige with output and takedowns, but Ige's well-rounded game gives him the edge.

Ige wins by KO (round 2)
"I think he eventually finds a knockout in this fight give me Dan ige by knockout round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Paul picks Dan Ige, emphasizing Ige's endless cardio, speed, and experience against elite competition. He notes that Landwehr's wild brawling style leaves him open, and Ige's quick hand speed and combinations will clip him. He believes Landwehr's takedown threat is minimal because Landwehr prefers to stand and brawl. He expects Ige to win by decision or knockout, but his gut says knockout.

"I feel like ige is just way too fast stay to the outside better cardio Clips him at some point puts him over"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The MMA Guru picks Dan Ige despite being a fan of Nate Landwehr, citing Ige's knockout power and Landwehr's tendency to get hit with his chin up. He notes Ige has finished fighters like Damon Jackson and Gavin Tucker, while Landwehr has been caught before. He predicts a late first-round KO for Ige, though he hopes Landwehr wins.

prediction of late first round KO
"I am gonna have to go with Danny gay here over Nate lambware"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Zane picks Ige, noting that Landwehr's style is to build momentum without a foundation, which can be exploited by a disciplined fighter like Ige. He believes Ige will have many opportunities to counter Landwehr's wild attacks and that Ige's takedowns will be effective. He also notes that Landwehr is not as fast as Ige.

"I think he's just going to have a lot of opportunities in the middle of, of Nick land where trying to have a very fun, wild, cool brawl."
WIN vs Austin Lingo
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:11 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Landwehr 0 64 of 153 41% 68 of 160 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:24
Austin Lingo 0 48 of 146 32% 50 of 148 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Landwehr 0 34 of 78 43% 34 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Austin Lingo 0 30 of 91 32% 31 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nate Landwehr 0 30 of 75 40% 34 of 82 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:24
Austin Lingo 0 18 of 55 32% 19 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Landwehr 64 of 153 41% 36 of 104 9 of 25 19 of 24 61 of 148 0 of 1 3 of 4
Austin Lingo 48 of 146 32% 28 of 116 17 of 26 3 of 4 48 of 146 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Landwehr 34 of 78 43% 20 of 52 2 of 9 12 of 17 34 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Austin Lingo 30 of 91 32% 19 of 75 8 of 12 3 of 4 30 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nate Landwehr 30 of 75 40% 16 of 52 7 of 16 7 of 7 27 of 70 0 of 1 3 of 4
Austin Lingo 18 of 55 32% 9 of 41 9 of 14 0 of 0 18 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Angelo picks Landwehr but is hesitant, citing concerns about Lingo's short-notice weight cut. He notes that Landwehr is high-pressure and gritty, but that Lingo hits hard and has good takedown defense. He thinks Landwehr's pace and grappling will be key, but acknowledges Lingo is much better than the odds suggest. He says he is not betting on this fight because the odds are unappealing.

"Nate's gonna be the pick but not touching it don't like these odds Austin lingo is much much better than what these odds are saying."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Big Brady picks Nate Landwehr by submission, noting that Landwehr has a sneaky submission game and can mix in takedowns. He acknowledges Lingo's power and early danger but believes Landwehr's cardio and pressure will break Lingo as the fight goes on. Brady points out that Lingo has been taken down easily on the regional scene and expects Landwehr to capitalize late, predicting a third-round submission.

Landwehr by submission in round 3
"I'll say Nate land where third round sub but yeah this fight's going to be very very fun"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Cody picks Landwehr despite the -225 price, citing his relentless pressure, cardio, and ability to break opponents. He notes Landwehr is a slow starter but comes on strong, and that Lingo is a one-dimensional boxer with no takedown defense. He acknowledges the risk of Landwehr getting KO'd due to his reckless style but believes Lingo won't get a quick finish. He expects Landwehr to back Lingo up and break him down.

Landwehr wins inside distance; over 2.5 rounds
"I like betting him because I know that he's either going to win me some money or he's going to die trying"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Connor picks Landwehr despite acknowledging Lingo has a puncher's chance. He notes Landwehr is a better athlete and super tough, but his brawling style will give Lingo opportunities. He thinks Landwehr's physicality and willingness to brawl will allow him to push Lingo to the cage and slow him down.

Mentions odds: Lingo opened +250, currently +184; Landwehr opened -300, currently -230. Notes the line is getting closer.
"I'm still going to pick him. He's a better athlete. He's super duper tough."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Jacob picks Landwehr but is not confident, noting that Landwehr is the better fighter but often fights recklessly for entertainment. He points out that Landwehr almost got knocked out in his last fight and that Lingo is dangerous. He says the fight is a coin flip if Landwehr chooses to stand and trade. He might throw a small bet on Lingo as an underdog depending on weigh-ins.

May bet on Austin Lingo as underdog (conditional)
"Nate's a better fighter but he's shown I'm willing to not be the better fighter you know and lose a fight to be entertaining."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Austin Lingo

The host is surprised to see Lingo as such a big underdog, believing his boxing style is perfect to counter Landwehr's wild striking. He thinks Lingo's power and countering opportunities will lead to a knockout. He notes Lingo trains at Fortis MMA and has good durability. He also likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' and Lingo by knockout.

fight doesn't go to decision, Austin Lingo by knockout
"I think that lingo's boxing style is going to be perfect for him here to stay safe when he crashes the pocket against landwear"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

The Guru picks Landwehr, praising his toughness and clinch work. He notes that Lingo's finishing ability has dropped against better competition, while Landwehr has beaten solid fighters like Elkins and Klein. He predicts a late finish or decision win for Landwehr.

"I'm going with Nate Landwehr... I think he will break Austin lingo as the fight goes on especially in the clinch"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Zane picks Landwehr because Lingo has thrived against opponents who didn't want to brawl, but Landwehr will meet him head-on with pressure. He believes Landwehr's better athleticism and willingness to be the bully will allow him to push Lingo to the cage and take away his brawling ability.

Mentions odds: Lingo +184, Landwehr -230. Notes the line is getting closer.
"Landwehr is much more likely to just meet lingo head on with pressure for pressure and being the better athlete. I think that's much more likely to allow him to push lingo to the cage and slow him down."
WIN vs David Onama
Decision (majority) (28–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Landwehr 0 91 of 185 49% 133 of 253 3 of 4 75% 2 1 5:05
David Onama 1 71 of 174 40% 79 of 186 1 of 6 16% 0 1 1:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Landwehr 0 21 of 52 40% 29 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:31
David Onama 1 46 of 91 50% 53 of 101 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
2 Nate Landwehr 0 43 of 76 56% 65 of 116 3 of 3 100% 2 0 3:08
David Onama 0 8 of 21 38% 9 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:20
3 Nate Landwehr 0 27 of 57 47% 39 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:26
David Onama 0 17 of 62 27% 17 of 63 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Landwehr 91 of 185 49% 73 of 154 10 of 18 8 of 13 52 of 120 22 of 35 17 of 30
David Onama 71 of 174 40% 62 of 158 8 of 15 1 of 1 50 of 139 1 of 3 20 of 32
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Landwehr 21 of 52 40% 13 of 38 4 of 6 4 of 8 14 of 43 4 of 6 3 of 3
David Onama 46 of 91 50% 39 of 80 6 of 10 1 of 1 29 of 64 1 of 3 16 of 24
2 Nate Landwehr 43 of 76 56% 35 of 66 4 of 6 4 of 4 22 of 37 7 of 12 14 of 27
David Onama 8 of 21 38% 7 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 3
3 Nate Landwehr 27 of 57 47% 25 of 50 2 of 6 0 of 1 16 of 40 11 of 17 0 of 0
David Onama 17 of 62 27% 16 of 59 1 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 57 0 of 0 2 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
David Onama

Angelo picks David Onama due to his power and technical striking. He notes Landwehr is a live underdog with forward pressure but if Onama gets room, he will get the knockout. Onama is also a knockout kings pick.

Will use in Monkey Knife Fight knockout kings
"i've got to go with onama here because of his power and it's it's just so next level and i think he's going to be more technical as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
David Onama

Big Brady picks David Onama to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Onama has a 100% finish rate and is the more dangerous striker with more power. Landwehr has good takedown defense (87%) but is hittable and has been knocked out twice in the UFC. Brady expects a stand-up war where Onama lands the bigger shots and finishes Landwehr.

first round knockout
"i like david and i'm gonna win this fight should be very exciting for as long as it lasts"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Cody picks David Onama, acknowledging his bias for Landwehr but reasoning that Onama's power and athleticism will catch Landwehr coming forward. He notes Landwehr's durability issues and that Onama is getting more comfortable in the UFC. Cody believes Onama will clip Landwehr at some point.

"i think that at some point he's going to clip nate landwear that's going to be pushing forward so nate landwear plus money always live underdog i just think durability is going to catch him in the ass here and …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Daniel Levi picks Nate Landwehr as a plus-265 underdog, acknowledging the risk of Onama's African power and raw talent. He believes Landwehr can win if he fights disciplined with his hands up, uses his experience, and drags Onama into deep waters. Levi notes that Onama is still green and that Landwehr showed improved technique in his last fight. However, he admits Landwehr could get knocked out early.

"I'm willing to take a shot on these plus 265 odds and see what happens."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Nate Landwehr

The host picks Landwehr as the biggest upset on the card based on odds. He notes Landwehr's takedowns, control time, and output, and believes he can pull it off at +290. He also mentions that Landwehr in front of a full crowd is very live.

"i think it's gonna be nate the train i think nathan terrain pulls it off at plus 290"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Paul picks David Onama by TKO, citing Onama's power and reach advantage. He notes that Landwehr has been finished in the first round twice and tends to run into strikes. Paul likes Onama by TKO at +175 as a way to avoid the -315 moneyline.

Onama by TKO +175
"onama by tko plus 175. i see out there don't mind that to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
David Onama

The host picks David Onama by first-round TKO, comparing the fight to Onama's win over Gabriel Benítez. He notes Landwehr's tendency to get hit early and lack of head movement, and believes Onama's crisp shots will land. He initially had high confidence but lowered it after considering Landwehr's crowd energy, though he still picks Onama.

first round TKO
"i'm going to be going with david onama by tko in the first"
Submission (anaconda choke) R3 2:22 · UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Oct 16, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Landwehr 0 71 of 130 54% 103 of 163 1 of 2 50% 2 0 3:46
Ľudovít Klein 0 42 of 85 49% 44 of 87 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Landwehr 0 20 of 41 48% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Ľudovít Klein 0 19 of 37 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
2 Nate Landwehr 0 37 of 61 60% 61 of 86 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:32
Ľudovít Klein 0 13 of 31 41% 15 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
3 Nate Landwehr 0 14 of 28 50% 18 of 32 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:32
Ľudovít Klein 0 10 of 17 58% 10 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Landwehr 71 of 130 54% 41 of 85 18 of 30 12 of 15 45 of 93 26 of 37 0 of 0
Ľudovít Klein 42 of 85 49% 20 of 55 18 of 25 4 of 5 39 of 80 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Landwehr 20 of 41 48% 5 of 20 10 of 15 5 of 6 14 of 32 6 of 9 0 of 0
Ľudovít Klein 19 of 37 51% 6 of 20 11 of 14 2 of 3 18 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Nate Landwehr 37 of 61 60% 30 of 49 5 of 10 2 of 2 17 of 33 20 of 28 0 of 0
Ľudovít Klein 13 of 31 41% 9 of 24 3 of 6 1 of 1 11 of 27 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Nate Landwehr 14 of 28 50% 6 of 16 3 of 5 5 of 7 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ľudovít Klein 10 of 17 58% 5 of 11 4 of 5 1 of 1 10 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo is confident Klein wins, likely by stoppage. He praises Klein's phenomenal striking, footwork, and smooth movement, which will allow him to dance around Landwehr's wild pressure. Landwehr is feast-or-famine and puts himself in harm's way. Klein also showed new wrestling elements in his last fight. Angelo thinks Klein's footwork and clean striking will lead to a finish, though he acknowledges Landwehr's chaos could cause an upset.

Klein wins by stoppage, less less on monkey knife fight
"I think ludovic klein is going to get a stoppage here at some point and it's literally going to be his footwork and just how smooth his movements are to make that happen"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady is confident Klein wins by knockout, likely a head kick, given Landwehr's poor striking defense and history of being knocked out. He notes Klein has multiple head kick KOs on his record and Landwehr is hittable and reckless. He sees no clear path to victory for Landwehr.

by KO (head kick)
"i like klein here i like him quite a bit i like him to win um by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Cody picks Landwehr as a dog, acknowledging his durability issues but believing his pressure and cardio will overwhelm Klein if he survives the first round. He notes that Klein faded in his last fight against Trizano and that Landwehr's all-action style and track record of pushing a pace make him live as an underdog. He plans to use it as a PRP shot at the bottom of parlays.

"i'm gonna take nate landry for the underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Daniel picks Klein to win early, citing his dangerous high kick and first-round explosiveness. He worries about Klein's cardio if the fight goes past the first round, as seen in the Mike Trizano fight. Landwehr gets hit a lot (8 strikes per minute), which is a recipe for disaster against a sharp striker like Klein. However, if Klein doesn't finish early, Landwehr's toughness and deep-water experience could make it interesting.

If Klein doesn't finish early, live bet Landwehr
"i think that ludovic klein probably comes out here and catches him early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Klein is a precise, powerful striker who will land a fight-ending shot on Landwehr, whose chin is deteriorating. Landwehr has poor striking defense and has been knocked out recently. Klein by KO is the most likely outcome, likely in the first two rounds.

Klein by KO -105, Klein in round 1, under 2.5 rounds -145
"i do think he flatlines land where at a certain point in this fight so my thing is going to be uh klein i've already parlayed him he's already part of my lock that i play i think he goes …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses both fighters' strengths and weaknesses but does not state a definitive choice.

TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein by first-round KO, citing Landwehr's recent chin issues and tendency to get knocked down by any shot. He notes Klein's head-kick KOs and fast starts, predicting a head kick to combination finish. He acknowledges Landwehr's past success but attributes recent losses to a deteriorating chin.

first round ko, head kick to combination punch finish
"i'm gonna go with ludovic klein by first round ko here over nate lambwear"
David Onama - Fight History
LOSS vs Steve Garcia
KO R1 3:34 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Steve Garcia 1 33 of 62 53% 43 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
David Onama 0 2 of 16 12% 2 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Steve Garcia 1 33 of 62 53% 43 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
David Onama 0 2 of 16 12% 2 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Steve Garcia 33 of 62 53% 28 of 56 5 of 6 0 of 0 26 of 52 5 of 7 2 of 3
David Onama 2 of 16 12% 1 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Steve Garcia 33 of 62 53% 28 of 56 5 of 6 0 of 0 26 of 52 5 of 7 2 of 3
David Onama 2 of 16 12% 1 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Steve Garcia vs. David Onama
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Garcia (-130); Onama (+110)

Round 1
It’s time for the main event, a ranked featherweight five-rounder that should be a banger. After what has happened so far tonight, one can hope that Herb Dean can keep things legitimate because there have been some
serious
questions of integrity tonight. Garcia (18-5, 7-2 UFC) and Onama (14-2, 6-2 UFC) are about to let their hands go, and before they do, Dean brings them to the center of the cage to issue final instructions. Will they follow them? Who the heck knows.
The main event opens with a fist bump from the athletes. The featherweights are jittery and trying to figure things out early, so Garcia breaks that silence about 15 seconds in with a clubbing right hand. He walks Onama down, peppering him with his jab and follow-up left hook. Onama bounces off the fence, so Garcia chases him down with a bouquet of blistering left hands. Garcia mixes up body shots, and he snaps out a jab to intercept a front kick. Garcia reaches out with a left hook, shaking Onama up, and he continues to chain together his lefts. Onama fires back when he back, but Garcia’s volume and looping lefts are getting Onama’s attention time and time again.
Garcia steps in behind a left hand, and Onama is tough but quickly becoming a heavy bag. Garcia beats his man to the punch with a combo featuring his left, and when Onama bounces back up, Garcia comes right after him. “Mean Machine” does not let Onama off the hook, blasting him with a number of left hands that knock him from one side of the cage to another. Garcia lets fly a head kick as well, and he continues to rush at “Silent Assassin” with a barrage of brutal lefts. Onama fires back and shreds open a cut on Garcia’s eyebrow, but Garcia is a man on a mission and wants to finish the job.
Garcia’s offense wilts Onama, bending him over with a liver kick. He sees his opening to put the Factory X fighter away and takes it, swarming him with punches that topple Onama to the floor. From there, Garcia keeps pounding away as Onama turtles up, and only a few hammerfists are needed for “Mean Machine” to seal the deal.
Onama protests when Dean calls a halt to the match, but he soon realizes that he will not be convincing anyone after his performance. This was one-way traffic for the Jackson-Wink fighter, who prevails in under four minutes and punches his ticket to greater things coming soon. While the triumphant man calls out Max Holloway for the BMF belt, he may have to look elsewhere to climb the ladder before getting there. When he does compete next, however, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Steve Garcia def. David Onama R1 3:34 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Steve Garcia

Angelo picks Steve Garcia, citing his awkward, lurching movement and sheer size for the weight class as problematic for David Onama. He notes Garcia's power and forward pressure, but acknowledges Onama is faster and more technical. He mentions Garcia has been knocked out before, while Onama hasn't, but doesn't see Onama knocking him out. He calls it a close competitive fight and leans Garcia.

"I do like Steve Garcia in this match-up because I think he has... awkward enough that it can be a problem."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
David Onama

Big Brady leans toward David Onama, citing Steve Garcia's tendency to leave openings and get dropped, as seen in fights against Charlie Ontiveros and Maheshate. He acknowledges Garcia hits hard and is all violence, but believes Onama is more durable and can take advantage. He predicts a second-round knockout for Onama.

second round knockout, plus 110 underdog
"I'm going to I'm going to lean with Oama just because I can't get the the Antivero's fight out of my head. ... I'll actually go Oama to win this fight. I'll take on to win this fight by second …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
David Onama

Connor picks Onama, reasoning that Garcia's losses are worse than Onama's, with more randomness. He notes that Onama has lost to wild brawlers like Nate Landwehr and Mason Jones, which could be Steve Garcia, but those were exhausting fights. He thinks Onama may find success with wrestling and is a better athlete than Garcia's recent opponents.

"I think I am going to pick David Onama here. I think if we're doing some MMA math Steve Garcia's losses are worse than David Onama's."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
David Onama

Lucrative James picks David Onama to win by knockout, but he is not confident. He notes that both fighters have questionable chins and get hurt often, but Onama has never been finished while Garcia has been knocked out before. He also mentions Onama's superior training partners, including Justin Gaethje, and his wrestling upside as potential advantages. However, he emphasizes that this is a pick'em fight and he will not bet the moneyline, instead looking at under props.

under 1.5 rounds, under 2.5 rounds, fight ends by KO
"I'm going to pick David Oama to get the knockout just because I mean there's no real rhyme or reason to it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
David Onama

The fight is a coin flip; whoever lands the big punch first wins. The host leans slightly to Onama's speed and more tools, thinking he will land a big shot and put Garcia away. But it could easily go the other way, so confidence is low.

inside the distance
"I have to lean ever so slightly to the speed and more tools for the David Onam side. I think it's just a matter of time before he lands that big shot on Garcia and puts him away. ... I …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

The MMA Guru picks Steve Garcia, citing his recent impressive wins over Melquizael Costa, Kyle Nelson, and Calvin Kattar. He believes Garcia's pressure and volume will break David Onama, who has struggled against similar styles (e.g., Romero). He notes Onama's lack of consistent finishes and potential work ethic issues. He predicts a second or third round TKO.

second or third round TKO
"I'm going to go with Steve Garcia here. I'm glad I remembered that Romero fight of Onama because that was a real worrying look."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

Zane picks Garcia because he has seen Onama get hurt badly and fail to focus from the start. He notes that if Garcia can't knock Onama out, it will be a wild war, but he is more willing to believe Onama will never find comfort against Garcia than that Onama can lock Garcia down. He acknowledges the high chaos and randomness in both fighters' careers.

"I think I'm gonna take Garcia just because I have seen Onama get hurt so bad, yeah, and I have seen him not focus on having the right fight from the jump."
WIN vs Giga Chikadze
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Giga Chikadze 0 43 of 91 47% 71 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
David Onama 0 49 of 87 56% 72 of 127 3 of 3 100% 0 0 6:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Giga Chikadze 0 21 of 43 48% 26 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
David Onama 0 13 of 26 50% 13 of 30 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
2 Giga Chikadze 0 11 of 20 55% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
David Onama 0 18 of 32 56% 28 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:07
3 Giga Chikadze 0 11 of 28 39% 26 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
David Onama 0 18 of 29 62% 31 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Giga Chikadze 43 of 91 47% 23 of 66 8 of 11 12 of 14 40 of 88 2 of 2 1 of 1
David Onama 49 of 87 56% 29 of 55 1 of 6 19 of 26 38 of 75 1 of 1 10 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Giga Chikadze 21 of 43 48% 9 of 26 4 of 7 8 of 10 21 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
David Onama 13 of 26 50% 9 of 17 0 of 2 4 of 7 13 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Giga Chikadze 11 of 20 55% 8 of 17 1 of 1 2 of 2 8 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1
David Onama 18 of 32 56% 8 of 19 1 of 2 9 of 11 11 of 24 1 of 1 6 of 7
3 Giga Chikadze 11 of 28 39% 6 of 23 3 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
David Onama 18 of 29 62% 12 of 19 0 of 2 6 of 8 14 of 25 0 of 0 4 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Giga Chikadze (147: Missed Weight) vs. David Onama
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Onama (-180), Chikadze (+150)

Round 1
One fight tonight takes place outside of normal weight divisions, and it does so because Chikadze (15-4, 8-2 UFC) clocked in a pound heavy. The Georgian gives 20% of his purse to local fellow striker Onama (13-2, 5-2 UFC), and this one should be a whole lot of fun. Before an all-out brawl ensues, referee Keith Peterson takes charge of the cage. The fighters meet in the middle without a glove touch or any nonsense. Chikadze works from a range with a long punch, three kicks and one more punch upstairs. Chikadze chambers and fires a body kick, and Onama walks him down and reaches him with two kicks. Chikadze beats Onama to the punch with a one-two, and after a lull in the action, he quickly releases two head kicks that bang into the guard. Chikadze swings a right and then a left into the guard, with Onama shelling up just in time. Chikadze hand-fights to prevent Onama from firing anything of note, and he puts together a combination of punches ending with a kick. Onama parries a kick but has a left hand wrapped around his guard. Chikadze spins with a wheel kick that is blocked, and he lands and sneaks in a left hand. The Georgian hammers the front leg with a kick, and he aims one to the other leg before Onama can get to him. Onama reaches his target with a sharp right hand, snapping the head back and stunning the former kickboxer. Chikadze gathers a full head of steam and lashes out with a flurry of feet and fists, and Onama is able to stay right in front of him lunging with his powerful right hand. Chikadze steps in with a knee that clatters off the guard, and Onama’s long left gets in. Onama walks through a low kick to put punches on his opponent, and Chikadze is quick to reply with a step-in knee. Chikadze cracks Onama with a straight right hand, and Onama is on baby deer legs trying to stay upright. As Chikadze moves in for the kill, Onama wraps him up and gets behind him, lowering “Ninja” to the floor and taking most of his weapons away. Onama lands in half guard, with Chikadze actively attacking off his back with punches. Chikadze wraps up the guard, and he hacks with elbows until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze

Round 2
The strikers resume in the second round, with Onama walking Chikadze down pecking at his lead leg with kicks. The low kicks are in part to set up a left hand for “Silent Assassin,” and Chikadze recognizes this and plants his fist on Onama’s face. Onama chips at the front leg and blocks a spinning back elbow, with his guard raised to defend a subsequent left hook. Onama gives Chikadze chase, catching him with an uppercut in the midst of a combination. Chikadze nails the front leg with a kick, and Onama shoots in for a double that he easily lands. Chikadze lands an elbow to the back of the head, and Onama hooks his legs between Chikadze’s to shut down his escape attempt. Onama steps over to the side, and Chikadze uses his feet to push off the wall and try to find a better position. Onama smothers until the Atlanta Braves’ chant is sung again from the crowd. Chikadze is desperate to stand, and Onama stops his efforts even if he does not otherwise attack with anything. Chikadze thinks about a guillotine choke, and when he moves and sits up, Onama bowls him over to his back. Onama in half guard loops his right arm behind Chikadze’s head for an arm-triangle setup, letting it go to drop down two harsh elbows. “Silent Assassin” quietly nullifies Chikadze with his top control, getting off the occasional strike until the clapper sounds with 10 seconds left. Onama lets Chikadze back up so he can measure a body kick, and backs off until the horn. He then raises his arms in the air to pump up the crowd, as they did not have a lot to cheer about in that last round otherwise.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Onama
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Onama
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Onama

Round 3
Onama again tries to pump up the audience to start the final frame, but when Peterson clocks them in, they do not do much for the first 30 seconds. Onama slowly works up his pace, landing punches and kicks until Chikadze retaliates. The Georgian responds with multiple head kicks, and his short left hook is out of reach. Onama knocks him back with two punches, and Chikadze stands in the pocket and bangs back. Chikadze lets fly a body kick, and he strikes the same spot with a left hand. When Onama lands, Chikadze gives him back a flurry of punches to think about and an axe kick for good measure. Chikadze is quicker than Onama at leading into exchanges, and he does not bite on the feints. Chikadze sneaks in a right hand just before Onama can get him, and Onama shoots in for a takedown and crashes straight into Chikadze’s dome with a loud clacking sound. Onama successfully tackles his man to the mat, foul not assessed as Chikadze was lowering himself down to defend the entry. Onama controls his man until Chikadze bursts his way to his feet. In the process, Chikadze gives up his back, and Onama leaps on it and uses it to wrangle Chikadze down to the ground again. Onama starts getting busy with his free left hand and arm, punching until an elbow presents itself. When Onama postures up, Chikadze times him with butterfly hooks to momentarily push him off. Onama gets back on top and lashes out with elbows, and Chikadze responds with a few of his own. Onama punches until time expires, with this final round likely the swing that determines the victor.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Onama (29-28 Onama)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Onama (29-28 Onama)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Onama (29-28 Onama)

The Official Result
David Onama def. Giga Chikadze via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
David Onama

Angelo picks David Onama, citing his activity and pressure against a inactive Giga Chikadze. He notes that Giga is one-dimensional and has been out for two years, while Onama is a kickboxer who should stay busy and win. The odds have moved from -150 to -183 in Onama's favor.

"David Oama should win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
David Onama

Big Brady leans toward David Onama, assuming he will grapple. He notes Giga Chikadze's takedown defense is poor and he has been controlled on the ground before. If Onama strikes, he favors Chikadze. He predicts Onama will get takedowns, wear on Chikadze, and find a submission in the second round.

second round submission
"Give me David Oama to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Connor picks Chikadze because he has a significant spatial advantage over Onama, who struggles at range and needs to brawl to be effective. Chikadze's movement and ability to keep distance will make it hard for Onama to force the kind of fight he needs. Connor also notes that Chikadze is a dangerous striker who can hurt Onama, as seen in Onama's previous fights where he got hurt but survived.

"I have to pick Giga. I'm going to pick Giga Chicago as well. His chain has always seen him through just as well as it's he's Onama through."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
David Onama

The host expects Onama to meet Chikadze's jab with bigger power, mix in grappling, and land more damage over 15 minutes to win on the scorecards.

"I expect him to go out there and meet the jab of Chicad with bigger power... which will lead him to win this fight on the scorecards by landing more damage over the course of 15 minutes."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

The MMA Guru picks Giga Chikadze as an underdog. He believes Chikadze is a better striker and underrated, citing his close fight with Arnold Allen. He criticizes Onama's low fight IQ, poor training habits, and vulnerability to pressure. He expects Chikadze to win by TKO, as Onama has been dropped by lesser opponents.

"I'm going with Giga Traedzi. David Onarma is good, but Giga Chici just went to a 29-28 decision with Arnold Allen. And I'm gonna say it, round two was very close."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Zane picks Chikadze, agreeing with Connor that Chikadze's spatial advantage and ability to keep Onama at range will be key. Onama's only path to victory is to brawl, but Chikadze won't let him get close. Zane also notes that Onama has been hurt in almost every fight and Chikadze is a very dangerous striker who can finish him early. However, if Onama survives the early onslaught, he could win round three.

"I got to take Chicago as well. He may, he may also, like, I want to put a point in effect that like, just because Onama hasn't really been getting finished, he is getting hurt."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Onama 1 121 of 213 56% 145 of 242 1 of 3 33% 1 0 4:23
Roberto Romero 1 74 of 155 47% 79 of 165 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Onama 1 44 of 69 63% 48 of 73 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Roberto Romero 1 39 of 68 57% 42 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
2 David Onama 0 36 of 74 48% 47 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Roberto Romero 0 26 of 61 42% 26 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 David Onama 0 41 of 70 58% 50 of 82 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:42
Roberto Romero 0 9 of 26 34% 11 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Onama 121 of 213 56% 91 of 171 18 of 28 12 of 14 85 of 153 8 of 11 28 of 49
Roberto Romero 74 of 155 47% 30 of 97 14 of 21 30 of 37 68 of 144 5 of 8 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Onama 44 of 69 63% 29 of 50 7 of 10 8 of 9 31 of 50 8 of 10 5 of 9
Roberto Romero 39 of 68 57% 14 of 38 6 of 11 19 of 19 33 of 59 5 of 8 1 of 1
2 David Onama 36 of 74 48% 30 of 62 3 of 8 3 of 4 32 of 67 0 of 1 4 of 6
Roberto Romero 26 of 61 42% 13 of 43 5 of 7 8 of 11 26 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 David Onama 41 of 70 58% 32 of 59 8 of 10 1 of 1 22 of 36 0 of 0 19 of 34
Roberto Romero 9 of 26 34% 3 of 16 3 of 3 3 of 7 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
David Onama

Big Brady is very confident in David Onama, criticizing the UFC for matching him against a short-notice opponent with poor striking defense. He notes that Roberto Romero eats punches with his face and has terrible striking defense, while Onama has legitimate power. He predicts a first-round knockout, as Romero has never been finished but will likely be overwhelmed.

"David onama has legit power and Roberto Romero has legit no striking defense so give me a David onama to win this fight David an by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Cody picks David Onama, noting Romero's weak resume and questionable UFC signing. He expects Onama to win easily, possibly by submission or knockout. Cody likes Onama inside the distance, but is not betting the money line due to the steep price.

inside the distance
"onama is the play in both situations I don't love this fight simply because I'd like to see him take a more stiffer opponent"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
David Onama

Connor agrees with Zane, stating that Romero's style is ill-suited for a short-notice fight against Onama. He notes that Onama is unflappable and never gets more tired after a certain point, while Romero walks into the clinch and throws without defense. Connor expects Onama to win by overwhelming Romero.

"agreed. onama is in fact the favorite at minus 1100 great or he's adjusted to minus 1000 right now."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
David Onama

The host notes Romero is on short notice making his UFC debut against a tough and powerful Onama. He expects Onama to stifle Romero's clinch-heavy approach and eventually land a big shot at range to win by knockout.

knockout
"look for onom stifled the clinch heavy approach of Romero and eventually find that big shot at range to put Romero away and win this fight by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Paul picks David Onama, agreeing with Cody. He notes Romero has no notable wins and is a short-notice replacement. Paul expects Onama to win by finish, possibly by submission or knockout, but is not betting the money line due to the price.

"he'll be the pick don't plan on betting this fight"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
David Onama

Zane picks Onama confidently, noting that Romero is slow, lacks defense, and has no process other than aggression. He believes Onama's chaotic style and cardio will overwhelm Romero, who is taking the fight on short notice. Zane expects Onama to eventually take over by using his athleticism and wrestling.

Odds: Onama -1000, Romero +750. Only one book carrying the fight.
"I expect this to be a very david onama fight. Yes, very chaotic, violent mess and very much a fight that he gets to eventually take over by just realize like wait I'm more athletic than you all just why …"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Onama 0 57 of 129 44% 87 of 165 5 of 14 35% 1 1 4:49
Jonathan Pearce 0 58 of 104 55% 66 of 115 0 of 1 0% 1 5 2:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Onama 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:50
Jonathan Pearce 0 14 of 23 60% 18 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:49
2 David Onama 0 14 of 18 77% 29 of 37 3 of 3 100% 1 1 3:16
Jonathan Pearce 0 5 of 10 50% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 3 0:36
3 David Onama 0 28 of 70 40% 43 of 87 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:43
Jonathan Pearce 0 39 of 71 54% 42 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Onama 57 of 129 44% 37 of 102 13 of 19 7 of 8 44 of 114 1 of 1 12 of 14
Jonathan Pearce 58 of 104 55% 50 of 94 6 of 8 2 of 2 54 of 99 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Onama 15 of 41 36% 6 of 28 6 of 9 3 of 4 12 of 37 0 of 0 3 of 4
Jonathan Pearce 14 of 23 60% 11 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 2 12 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 David Onama 14 of 18 77% 10 of 13 2 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 10
Jonathan Pearce 5 of 10 50% 4 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 David Onama 28 of 70 40% 21 of 61 5 of 7 2 of 2 27 of 69 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jonathan Pearce 39 of 71 54% 35 of 66 4 of 5 0 of 0 37 of 68 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Angelo has a half-unit bet on Jonathan Pearce at -140, beating the line. He attributes the pick solely to wrestling: Pearce is a relentless wrestler who averages almost six takedowns per fight. He believes David Onama, a good kickboxer, will struggle to stop the takedowns, as Nate Landwehr was able to take him down. He notes Pearce dominated his last fight before a submission loss due to showboating, but expects him to dominate here.

Bet: 0.5 units at -140
"Jonathan Pierce is going to be the pick I have a half a unit bet on him I got him at minus 140"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Cody picks Onama as an underdog, citing his reach and striking advantage. He notes that judges score damage over control time, and if Onama can get back to his feet after takedowns, he can win rounds with strikes. He sees this as close to a 50/50 fight.

"I'll go with onama what about you"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Daniel likes Pearce's high pace, cardio, and improved striking, but notes he's inconsistent and sticks his neck into guillotines. He thinks Pearce can grind out a win via takedowns and top control, but acknowledges Onama's power and heart make him dangerous. He leans Pearce but calls it a dog-or-pass situation.

"I'll stick with JSP I like Pierce a lot just in general"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Pearce has a dominant grappling style and should be able to nullify Onama's power punching by taking him down and keeping him in uncomfortable positions. Onama has shown defensive grappling improvements but may still struggle with Pearce's smothering style. I lean Pearce by decision, but Onama could find a finish late if Pearce slows down.

"I think that will see a better version of Jonathan Pierce here but still leaning on that grapple heavy style to nullify David ama's power punching style"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Paul picks Pearce, arguing his wrestling and top control will be decisive. He notes Pearce's chain wrestling and ability to improve position, and believes Onama's takedown defense is questionable. He expects a grinding decision win for Pearce.

"sign me up with st Pierce to get the why would think a narrow is type decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
David Onama

The MMA Guru picks David Onama as an underdog. He criticizes Jonathan Pearce's striking as atrocious and lacking hand-eye coordination. He praises Onama's speed, grappling defense, and cardio, noting his KO of Gabriel Santos and competitive fight with Mason Jones. He predicts Onama will catch Pearce with a straight right in the second or third round for a TKO.

TKO in the second or third round
"I'm going to go David onama as the underdog"
KO (punch) R2 4:13 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Onama 1 53 of 104 50% 59 of 118 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:53
Gabriel Santos 0 39 of 73 53% 56 of 90 2 of 4 50% 2 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Onama 0 27 of 52 51% 30 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:23
Gabriel Santos 0 25 of 50 50% 33 of 58 1 of 2 50% 2 0 0:36
2 David Onama 1 26 of 52 50% 29 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:30
Gabriel Santos 0 14 of 23 60% 23 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Onama 53 of 104 50% 47 of 95 3 of 6 3 of 3 42 of 86 3 of 5 8 of 13
Gabriel Santos 39 of 73 53% 22 of 46 9 of 14 8 of 13 36 of 70 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Onama 27 of 52 51% 23 of 48 3 of 3 1 of 1 24 of 47 2 of 3 1 of 2
Gabriel Santos 25 of 50 50% 14 of 32 5 of 8 6 of 10 23 of 48 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 David Onama 26 of 52 50% 24 of 47 0 of 3 2 of 2 18 of 39 1 of 2 7 of 11
Gabriel Santos 14 of 23 60% 8 of 14 4 of 6 2 of 3 13 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Angelo picks Gabriel Santos, citing his aggression and ability to back Onama up and grind him down like Nate Landwehr did. He notes Santos is fast, strong, and has slick submissions. He mentions David Onama is a great underdog at +195/+200 and hits hard, but Santos gets hit. He would bet the over 1.5 rounds if available.

over 1.5 rounds (if available)
"the pick here is going to be Gabriel he's an absolute dog"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos, impressed by his performance against Lerone Murphy despite the loss. He describes Santos as a killer with next-level grappling and dangerous striking, comparing him to Charles Oliveira. He notes Onama's poor performance against Nate Landwehr where he gassed out. He expects Santos to weather an early storm and finish Onama in the second round, possibly by submission.

second round submission
"I'm going to say uh Gabriel Santos weather's the early storm ... and gets a second round finish here against David ornament"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Cody picks Santos, emphasizing his explosive style and wrestling. He notes Santos's ability to take down and control opponents, and thinks Onama's striking will be neutralized by Santos's pressure and takedowns. He expects Santos by decision.

Santos by decision mentioned.
"I think Santos is one of the rare guys that loses a fight and his stock just incredibly skyrockets."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Connor picks Santos, agreeing with Zane. He highlights Santos's impressive debut against Laron Murphy on short notice and his superior technique. Onama is reactive and lacks discipline, while Santos is a solid professional who will take advantage of Onama's mistakes. Connor notes that Onama's best wins are against lesser competition and that he struggles against disciplined fighters.

"Yeah. You got to pick Santos."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Daniel Levi picks Gabriel Santos, citing his technical soundness, heart, and grappling upside. He thinks Onama is athletic but defensively vulnerable, and Santos can win on feet or mat. He notes Santos's close fight with Lerone Murphy and his LFA title. He is not interested at -230 but picks Santos.

Leans under 2.5 rounds; not betting Santos at -230.
"pure pick for me is Santos but just not interested at that price"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The host picks Gabriel Santos to win by submission in the second or third round. He believes Santos is the far superior fighter with great aggression, forward pressure, and a solid Jiu-Jitsu game. He thinks Santos will wear on Onama and eventually get him out of there, while Onama's only path to victory is a Hail Mary knockout. He expects Santos to dominate.

"give me Gabrielle Santos and I think he actually pulls off a submission Victory here probably in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Paul picks Santos, impressed by his debut performance against Lauren Murphy on short notice. He highlights Santos's takedowns and grappling, and questions Onama's takedown defense. He expects Santos to win by decision and considers betting Santos by decision.

Santos by decision considered; Santos over 2.5 takedowns mentioned.
"I loved Santos in his debut and I think that was a tougher fight frankly."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The Guru picks Gabriel Santos based on his performance against Lerone Murphy, which he believes Santos arguably won. He notes Santos has a good chin, took the Murphy fight on short notice, and showed grit. He criticizes Onama's cardio, saying he falls off after the first round, and points to Onama's losses to Mason Jones and Nate Landwehr as evidence. He predicts Santos wins by third-round finish or decision.

Predicts third-round finish or decision win.
"I'm actually gonna go with Gabriel Santos because I was re-watching his fight with larone Murphy... he could arguably win that fight"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Zane picks Santos, praising his discipline, well-roundedness, and technical striking. He notes that Onama is talented but lacks control and makes terrible decisions, often turning fights into brawls. Santos is a finished product who controls pace, works the body, and has good wrestling. Zane expects Santos to exploit Onama's tendency to gas and scramble wildly.

"I got to pick Gabriel Santos. Absolutely."
LOSS vs Nate Landwehr
Decision (majority) (28–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Landwehr 0 91 of 185 49% 133 of 253 3 of 4 75% 2 1 5:05
David Onama 1 71 of 174 40% 79 of 186 1 of 6 16% 0 1 1:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Landwehr 0 21 of 52 40% 29 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:31
David Onama 1 46 of 91 50% 53 of 101 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
2 Nate Landwehr 0 43 of 76 56% 65 of 116 3 of 3 100% 2 0 3:08
David Onama 0 8 of 21 38% 9 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:20
3 Nate Landwehr 0 27 of 57 47% 39 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:26
David Onama 0 17 of 62 27% 17 of 63 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Landwehr 91 of 185 49% 73 of 154 10 of 18 8 of 13 52 of 120 22 of 35 17 of 30
David Onama 71 of 174 40% 62 of 158 8 of 15 1 of 1 50 of 139 1 of 3 20 of 32
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Landwehr 21 of 52 40% 13 of 38 4 of 6 4 of 8 14 of 43 4 of 6 3 of 3
David Onama 46 of 91 50% 39 of 80 6 of 10 1 of 1 29 of 64 1 of 3 16 of 24
2 Nate Landwehr 43 of 76 56% 35 of 66 4 of 6 4 of 4 22 of 37 7 of 12 14 of 27
David Onama 8 of 21 38% 7 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 3
3 Nate Landwehr 27 of 57 47% 25 of 50 2 of 6 0 of 1 16 of 40 11 of 17 0 of 0
David Onama 17 of 62 27% 16 of 59 1 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 57 0 of 0 2 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
David Onama

Angelo picks David Onama due to his power and technical striking. He notes Landwehr is a live underdog with forward pressure but if Onama gets room, he will get the knockout. Onama is also a knockout kings pick.

Will use in Monkey Knife Fight knockout kings
"i've got to go with onama here because of his power and it's it's just so next level and i think he's going to be more technical as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
David Onama

Big Brady picks David Onama to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Onama has a 100% finish rate and is the more dangerous striker with more power. Landwehr has good takedown defense (87%) but is hittable and has been knocked out twice in the UFC. Brady expects a stand-up war where Onama lands the bigger shots and finishes Landwehr.

first round knockout
"i like david and i'm gonna win this fight should be very exciting for as long as it lasts"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Cody picks David Onama, acknowledging his bias for Landwehr but reasoning that Onama's power and athleticism will catch Landwehr coming forward. He notes Landwehr's durability issues and that Onama is getting more comfortable in the UFC. Cody believes Onama will clip Landwehr at some point.

"i think that at some point he's going to clip nate landwear that's going to be pushing forward so nate landwear plus money always live underdog i just think durability is going to catch him in the ass here and …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Daniel Levi picks Nate Landwehr as a plus-265 underdog, acknowledging the risk of Onama's African power and raw talent. He believes Landwehr can win if he fights disciplined with his hands up, uses his experience, and drags Onama into deep waters. Levi notes that Onama is still green and that Landwehr showed improved technique in his last fight. However, he admits Landwehr could get knocked out early.

"I'm willing to take a shot on these plus 265 odds and see what happens."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Nate Landwehr

The host picks Landwehr as the biggest upset on the card based on odds. He notes Landwehr's takedowns, control time, and output, and believes he can pull it off at +290. He also mentions that Landwehr in front of a full crowd is very live.

"i think it's gonna be nate the train i think nathan terrain pulls it off at plus 290"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Paul picks David Onama by TKO, citing Onama's power and reach advantage. He notes that Landwehr has been finished in the first round twice and tends to run into strikes. Paul likes Onama by TKO at +175 as a way to avoid the -315 moneyline.

Onama by TKO +175
"onama by tko plus 175. i see out there don't mind that to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
David Onama

The host picks David Onama by first-round TKO, comparing the fight to Onama's win over Gabriel Benítez. He notes Landwehr's tendency to get hit early and lack of head movement, and believes Onama's crisp shots will land. He initially had high confidence but lowered it after considering Landwehr's crowd energy, though he still picks Onama.

first round TKO
"i'm going to be going with david onama by tko in the first"
Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 3:13 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Onama 0 29 of 72 40% 46 of 95 2 of 6 33% 1 0 2:35
Garrett Armfield 0 21 of 72 29% 29 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Onama 0 20 of 49 40% 34 of 66 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:34
Garrett Armfield 0 12 of 48 25% 20 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
2 David Onama 0 9 of 23 39% 12 of 29 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:01
Garrett Armfield 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Onama 29 of 72 40% 16 of 55 13 of 17 0 of 0 27 of 66 1 of 3 1 of 3
Garrett Armfield 21 of 72 29% 15 of 61 4 of 9 2 of 2 20 of 68 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Onama 20 of 49 40% 11 of 37 9 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 46 1 of 3 0 of 0
Garrett Armfield 12 of 48 25% 10 of 44 2 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 David Onama 9 of 23 39% 5 of 18 4 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 3
Garrett Armfield 9 of 24 37% 5 of 17 2 of 5 2 of 2 8 of 20 1 of 4 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Cody is very high on Onama, citing his dynamic striking, footwork, and finishing ability. He notes Onama already beat Armfield as an amateur and that Armfield is not UFC quality yet. He thinks Onama will win easily, possibly by finish.

Mentions over 2.5 rounds at plus money as a possible play.
"david o'nama was going to take on austin lingo fun fight but he would have chewed up lingo was a good spot for him ufc knows what they're doing this kid's got a bright future"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)
Garrett Armfield

The host takes a small 0.5 unit shot on Garrett Armfield at +572. He sees Armfield as a solid wrestler who could cause problems for Onama if he employs his grappling. He notes that Onama is great on the feet but if he can't get his power going due to being stuck under Armfield, the upset is possible. He also suggests that if betting Onama, the KO prop is better than the moneyline.

0.5 units at +572. Also mentions over 1.5 rounds at -120 to -130 as a possibility.
"lastly I took a degenerate 0.5 unit shot at Plus 572. the Fate David onama uh Garrett Armfield I got plus 572 like I said half unit shot there solid wrestler if he can employ that here things could get …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Paul thinks Onama is a great prospect and that the price, though high, is justified. He notes Armfield is taking the fight on short notice and is limited. He expects Onama to win, possibly by decision since Armfield has never been knocked out.

Mentions over 2.5 rounds at plus money as a possible play.
"minus 700 even if this guy's coming that guy he's taking on is coming in on short notice like that's just a absurd price tag"
KO (punches) R1 4:24 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Onama 0 46 of 96 47% 46 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Benítez 1 36 of 94 38% 36 of 94 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Onama 0 46 of 96 47% 46 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Benítez 1 36 of 94 38% 36 of 94 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Onama 46 of 96 47% 19 of 68 17 of 18 10 of 10 45 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gabriel Benítez 36 of 94 38% 30 of 86 2 of 4 4 of 4 35 of 92 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Onama 46 of 96 47% 19 of 68 17 of 18 10 of 10 45 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gabriel Benítez 36 of 94 38% 30 of 86 2 of 4 4 of 4 35 of 92 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
David Onama

Angelo picks David Onama, citing his speed, power, and versatility advantage in a kickboxing match. He notes Benitez has grappling tools but rarely uses them (only one takedown in 11 UFC fights). He acknowledges Onama's grappling struggles but believes Benitez won't exploit them.

"i gotta go with onama here to win a kickboxing match"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Big Brady picks David Onama but is not very confident, warning against overrating Onama's performance against Mason Jones. He notes Benitez has excellent striking defense and could pull off an upset. However, he likes Onama's youth, size, reach, and cardio, and predicts a late knockout as Benitez slows down.

win by second or third round knockout
"I will take ona to win and I'm going to take onama to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
David Onama

Cody picks Onama, believing he is a legitimate prospect. He highlights Onama's impressive performance against Mason Jones, where he showed great cardio, durability, and the ability to get up from takedowns. Cody notes that Benítez is a gatekeeper on the decline, with low volume and questionable durability after being dropped by Billy Q. He thinks Onama will out-strike Benítez and possibly finish him.

"i got david onama i'm a believer even though he's 0-1 in the ufc"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
David Onama

Levi is confident in Onama, citing Benitez's decline after wars and weight issues. He notes Onama's impressive short-notice performance against Mason Jones and believes his African power will be too much for Benitez's chin. Levi compares this to other prospects beating faded veterans and expects Onama to find a clean knockout.

Onama by KO
"i'm gonna take him for the win here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Benítez

Benítez is the seasoned veteran with cleaner striking and a strong kicking game. Onama's hype is based on beating a low-level opponent; Benítez's durability is overstated as a concern. Benítez should outpoint Onama with his southpaw kicks and experience. The under 2.5 rounds and Benítez by KO at +500 are also live.

Benítez by decision (+275), Benítez by KO (+500), under 2.5 rounds (-140)
"the prop that i put out in my best bets and props article was benitez by decision at plus 275"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
David Onama

Paul picks Onama, impressed by his ferocity and durability in the Mason Jones fight. He notes that Onama will be massive at 145 and that Benítez's durability is questionable after being dropped by Billy Q. Paul thinks Onama's pace and power will be too much for Benítez.

"i was really impressed by david o'nama one on tape leading up until the mason jones fight and two how he powered through against a really legitimate prospect"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
David Onama

The MMA Guru picks David Onama to win by first-round KO. He notes Onama's close fight with Mason Jones on short notice and believes Onama is a great prospect with a big reach advantage. He thinks Gabriel Benitez's durability has declined after several KO losses and that Onama will crack his chin early.

first round ko
"david onarma very very good prospect and i reckon he's going to go out there and get a first round ko and gabriel benitez"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
David Onama

Angelo picks David Onama due to his power and technical striking. He notes Landwehr is a live underdog with forward pressure but if Onama gets room, he will get the knockout. Onama is also a knockout kings pick.

Will use in Monkey Knife Fight knockout kings
"i've got to go with onama here because of his power and it's it's just so next level and i think he's going to be more technical as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
David Onama

Big Brady picks David Onama to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Onama has a 100% finish rate and is the more dangerous striker with more power. Landwehr has good takedown defense (87%) but is hittable and has been knocked out twice in the UFC. Brady expects a stand-up war where Onama lands the bigger shots and finishes Landwehr.

first round knockout
"i like david and i'm gonna win this fight should be very exciting for as long as it lasts"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Cody picks David Onama, acknowledging his bias for Landwehr but reasoning that Onama's power and athleticism will catch Landwehr coming forward. He notes Landwehr's durability issues and that Onama is getting more comfortable in the UFC. Cody believes Onama will clip Landwehr at some point.

"i think that at some point he's going to clip nate landwear that's going to be pushing forward so nate landwear plus money always live underdog i just think durability is going to catch him in the ass here and for that reason i'd have to uh go with david …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Daniel Levi picks Nate Landwehr as a plus-265 underdog, acknowledging the risk of Onama's African power and raw talent. He believes Landwehr can win if he fights disciplined with his hands up, uses his experience, and drags Onama into deep waters. Levi notes that Onama is still green and that Landwehr showed improved technique in his last fight. However, he admits Landwehr could get knocked out early.

"I'm willing to take a shot on these plus 265 odds and see what happens."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Nate Landwehr

The host picks Landwehr as the biggest upset on the card based on odds. He notes Landwehr's takedowns, control time, and output, and believes he can pull it off at +290. He also mentions that Landwehr in front of a full crowd is very live.

"i think it's gonna be nate the train i think nathan terrain pulls it off at plus 290"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
David Onama

Paul picks David Onama by TKO, citing Onama's power and reach advantage. He notes that Landwehr has been finished in the first round twice and tends to run into strikes. Paul likes Onama by TKO at +175 as a way to avoid the -315 moneyline.

Onama by TKO +175
"onama by tko plus 175. i see out there don't mind that to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
David Onama

The host picks David Onama by first-round TKO, comparing the fight to Onama's win over Gabriel Benítez. He notes Landwehr's tendency to get hit early and lack of head movement, and believes Onama's crisp shots will land. He initially had high confidence but lowered it after considering Landwehr's crowd energy, though he still picks Onama.

first round TKO
"i'm going to be going with david onama by tko in the first"