Career Averages - Dustin Stoltzfus
Career Averages - Dwight Grant
Dustin Stoltzfus
Dwight Grant
Dustin Stoltzfus - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin Gastelum | 1 | 57 of 117 | 48% | 58 of 118 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 64 of 146 | 43% | 69 of 151 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 2:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kelvin Gastelum | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 24 of 49 | 48% | 25 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Kelvin Gastelum | 1 | 23 of 43 | 53% | 23 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:13 | |
| 3 | Kelvin Gastelum | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 20 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 20 of 52 | 38% | 20 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin Gastelum | 57 of 117 | 48% | 30 of 81 | 16 of 24 | 11 of 12 | 56 of 116 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 64 of 146 | 43% | 25 of 93 | 25 of 34 | 14 of 19 | 55 of 134 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kelvin Gastelum | 14 of 25 | 56% | 4 of 14 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 24 of 49 | 48% | 3 of 23 | 13 of 17 | 8 of 9 | 20 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kelvin Gastelum | 23 of 43 | 53% | 14 of 30 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 20 of 45 | 44% | 12 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | |
| 3 | Kelvin Gastelum | 20 of 49 | 40% | 12 of 37 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 20 of 52 | 38% | 10 of 35 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 5 | 20 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Kelvin Gastelum, calling him a great wrestler and striker with an unbelievable chin, but wasted talent due to poor work ethic. He says this is the easiest matchup Kelvin has had in five years, and he should win the striking exchanges and eat whatever comes back. He notes concern about Kelvin's takedown defense after the Sean Brady fight, but thinks he should be a better wrestler than Stoltzfus. He says the line should be wider but isn't because people can't trust Kelvin.
Big Brady picks Gastelum as the better striker who should keep the fight standing. He notes Stoltzfus is not on Gastelum's level and that a loss would be Gastelum's worst. He predicts a decision win but says he won't bet on it.
Connor picks Gastelum hesitantly, noting that Stoltzfus is glacially slow and has been knocked out multiple times. However, he warns that Gastelum could have a Punahele Soriano-like performance where he fails to impose himself and gets outworked. Connor believes Gastelum's athleticism and scrambling will be key, but he is not confident.
Despite Gastelum's inconsistency, the host sees this as a fight he should win. He expects Gastelum to showcase his takedown defense and pressure with power striking, leading to a knockout in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Kelvin Gastelum, believing he has a clear advantage in technical ability and power. He notes Stoltzfus has been knocked out multiple times and lacks the tools to drop or ragdoll Gastelum. He predicts a TKO win in the middle of the fight, possibly late first or second round, as Gastelum pressures and finishes a tiring Stoltzfus.
Zane picks Gastelum hesitantly, acknowledging that Stoltzfus could replicate his win over Punahele Soriano by pressuring and outworking Gastelum. He notes that Gastelum is still athletic and durable but has shown a tendency to not consider bad positions. Zane believes Gastelum's scrambling ability and power will be enough, but he can easily see this fight looking like the Soriano fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 21 of 37 | 56% | 41 of 62 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 | 0 | 5:11 |
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 0 | 35 of 68 | 51% | 53 of 94 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 3:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 10 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 21 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:24 | |
| 2 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 14 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:55 | |
| 3 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 17 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 11 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 21 of 37 | 56% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 19 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 35 of 68 | 51% | 24 of 53 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 24 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 5 of 13 | 38% | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 13 of 27 | 48% | 8 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 11 of 19 | 57% | 9 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 14 | |
| 3 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 14 of 21 | 66% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 10 | 13 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Nursulton Ruziboev | 11 of 22 | 50% | 7 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nursulton Ruziboev confidently, calling him an absolute beast. He highlights Ruziboev's massive 6'5" frame, wrestling and grappling prowess, and a good chin. He notes that Ruziboev's only UFC loss was to Buckley at 170 lbs, which is credible. Angelo expects Ruziboev to be patient, eat a few shots, and then pour it on later. He finds the -280 odds affordable and suggests the over might be sneaky good if a round line is available.
Big Brady picks Dustin Stoltzfus as a plus-240 underdog, citing Ruziboev's poor takedown defense and lack of volume. He believes Stoltzfus can take Ruziboev down and control him, making Ruziboev's power useless. He expects a decision win if Stoltzfus fights smart.
The host acknowledges Ruziboev's power and striking advantage but notes he has been grinded out by lesser grapplers. He believes Stoltzfus, with his BJJ black belt and wrestling improvements from Extreme Couture, can get Ruziboev to the ground and grind him out from top position, either winning on the scorecards or finding a submission.
The Guru picks Nursulton Ruziboev, calling him a dirty fighter who moves well and has a ton of experience. He thinks Ruziboev is better at middleweight with more power. He notes Stoltzfus has been styled on by opponents like Bruno Ferreira and doesn't see a path to victory. He predicts a TKO in the first or second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 1 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 23 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 1 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 23 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 7 of 11 | 63% | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 13 of 20 | 65% | 11 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 7 of 11 | 63% | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 13 of 20 | 65% | 11 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 |
Angelo picks Marc-André Barriault, expecting him to weather an early storm from Dustin Stoltzfus and take over with volume. He notes Barriault has impressive striking volume (almost 6 sig strikes per minute) but is also hit a lot. He thinks Stoltzfus is dangerous early with power but has a questionable chin. He suggests betting the over if a 1.5 round line is available, as the fight could go long.
Big Brady picks Marc-André Barriault to win by decision. He likes Barriault's cardio, volume, and takedown defense. He thinks Stoltzfus's striking is not good and that Barriault will piece him up over 15 minutes. Brady expects Barriault to stuff takedowns and outwork Stoltzfus on the feet.
Cody picks Marc-André Barriault, citing his pressure, power, and volume advantage over Stoltzfus. He notes that Stoltzfus relies on wrestling but has poor takedown success against strong grapplers, and Barriault's takedown defense is solid. He also mentions Stoltzfus's recent KO loss and potential psychological issues, and believes Barriault can finish him late or win a decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Marc-André Barriault, citing his durability and tendency to get better as the fight progresses. He questions Dustin Stoltzfus's confidence and ability to handle adversity, noting that Barriault will expose any weaknesses in cardio or chin. Vreeland acknowledges Stoltzfus's skills but believes Barriault's toughness and pressure will prevail, though the price (-205) makes it a pass for betting.
Lucrative James picks Marc-André Barriault, expecting him to dominate with pace and pressure in the clinch. He believes Stoltzfus will be competitive in round one but fade, and that Barriault will get a third-round finish or decision. He highlights Barriault's body shots and uppercuts in the clinch.
Barriault is coming back too quickly after a knockout, but if his durability holds up, he should put pace and pressure on Stoltzfus and finish him in the second or third round via TKO.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Stoltzfus's recent facial fracture and nerve damage may affect his performance. He notes that Barriault's constant pressure and power should overwhelm Stoltzfus, and he sees a potential late stoppage. He also suggests live betting Barriault if he loses the first round.
The Guru picks Marc-André Barriault over Dustin Stoltzfus, believing Barriault's pace and activity will be decisive. He notes Stoltzfus lacks finishing ability and cardio, while Barriault keeps a high output. He expects a decision win for Barriault.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 1 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 27 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 20 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 1 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 27 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 20 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunno Ferreira | 24 of 36 | 66% | 16 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 18 of 40 | 45% | 12 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brunno Ferreira | 24 of 36 | 66% | 16 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 18 of 40 | 45% | 12 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Angelo picks Brunno Ferreira, citing his insane power against Dustin Stoltzfus's questionable chin. He notes that all of Ferreira's wins are finishes, and Stoltzfus has been knocked out before. He thinks it's a trap fight because it seems too easy, but he is falling into the trap. He predicts Ferreira wins inside the distance.
Big Brady picks Brunno Ferreira to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Ferreira's incredible one-punch power and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Stoltzfus is hitable with 48% striking defense and that Ferreira will follow up if he hurts him. He mentions a potential live bet on Stoltzfus if he survives the first round.
Cody picks Stoltzfus as a greasy underdog, noting that Ferreira is a first-round knockout artist with questionable cardio and wild striking. Stoltzfus has decent cardio, wrestling, and BJJ, and has been competitive against tough opponents. Cody believes if Stoltzfus can survive the first round, he can take over with his grappling and pressure. He sees value in the plus money and expects Stoltzfus to win by decision or late submission.
Daniel picks Stoltzfus as a live dog, believing Ferreira is too small for middleweight and that Stoltzfus can survive the early onslaught and take over after the seven-minute mark. He notes Ferreira's all-first-round finishes but criticizes his awkward movement and lack of in-between striking. He warns that Stoltzfus stands straight up and gets hit early, but if he can drag the fight out, his grappling and experience could pay off.
Jacob picks Brunno Ferreira, agreeing with Angelo. He notes that Stoltzfus has a suspect chin and Ferreira has big power. However, he warns that if the fight gets out of the first round, Ferreira might fade. He has Ferreira in a parlay but is not betting him heavily. He plans to live bet Stoltzfus if the first round ends without a finish.
Stoltzfus has a reach and height advantage, and his straight shots down the pipe should keep Ferreira at bay. Ferreira is a power puncher with a BJJ black belt, but Stoltzfus showed improved performance against Soriano. At +220, Stoltzfus is a good underdog pick to win by decision, possibly even a late finish.
Paul sees this as a dogger pass situation. He acknowledges Ferreira's first-round knockout power but notes the lack of value on Ferreira by knockout props. He thinks Stoltzfus could win if he survives the early storm, but he's not confident enough to make a pick.
The Guru picks Ferreira to 'smoke' Stoltzfus, saying Stoltzfus isn't the same level of danger on the feet and will be more scared in the fight. He notes Ferreira has KO power and that Stoltzfus's wins aren't impressive (e.g., Dwight Grant, Punahele Soriano). He expects a KO win for Ferreira.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 31 of 73 | 42% | 33 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Punahele Soriano | 1 | 64 of 123 | 52% | 78 of 140 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 2:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 22 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Punahele Soriano | 1 | 41 of 79 | 51% | 43 of 82 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 11 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Punahele Soriano | 0 | 23 of 44 | 52% | 35 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 31 of 73 | 42% | 18 of 56 | 9 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 30 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Punahele Soriano | 64 of 123 | 52% | 24 of 79 | 23 of 27 | 17 of 17 | 60 of 116 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 22 of 47 | 46% | 13 of 35 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 21 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Punahele Soriano | 41 of 79 | 51% | 15 of 51 | 17 of 19 | 9 of 9 | 37 of 72 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 9 of 26 | 34% | 5 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Punahele Soriano | 23 of 44 | 52% | 9 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 23 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Punahele Soriano to win by first-round knockout, citing Soriano's power and wrestling advantage. He notes Soriano has eight knockouts, seven in the first round, and that Stoltzfus is hittable. However, he expresses concern about Soriano's cardio if the fight gets extended, but believes Soriano will finish early.
Cody picks Soriano, noting his power and wrestling base. He thinks Soriano's size advantage is not as big as usual and that Stoltzfus's chin is questionable. He mentions Soriano's cardio issues but believes he can finish early. He likes the Soriano round one KO prop at +335.
Lucrative James picks Punahele Soriano, stating that Dustin Stoltzfus is too hitable and has poor striking defense. He believes Soriano will knock him out, likely in round one. He notes that Soriano is a deserved favorite and could be even higher than the current line.
Soriano has explosive power and typically finishes opponents early. Stoltzfus has a chin issue and was knocked out quickly in his last fight. Soriano is expected to crash the pocket and land big shots for a knockout. However, his gas tank is a concern if the fight goes past the first round. The minus 300 price is steep, so a round 1 prop or under 1.5 rounds is recommended.
Paul picks Soriano but is not super confident. He thinks Soriano's wrestling and power should be enough against Stoltzfus, who has no real X-factor. He notes Soriano's cardio issues but believes the lower level of competition will allow Soriano to look better. He also mentions Stoltzfus's COVID issues and questionable chin.
The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano, citing his finishing ability and athleticism. He believes Dustin Stoltzfus lacks knockout power and is coming off a long layoff and a KO loss. He predicts Soriano will get a KO in the second round or late in the first.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abusupiyan Magomedov | 1 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 1 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abusupiyan Magomedov | 7 of 7 | 100% | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abusupiyan Magomedov | 7 of 7 | 100% | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Dustin Stoltzfus because of high-level experience, noting that Abusupiyan Magomedov has not fought this level of competition. He thinks Stoltzfus can use takedowns to control for a win, similar to his last fight. He calls it a toss-up and a very low confidence pick.
Big Brady picks Abusupiyan Magomedov to win by decision. He notes that Magomedov has a significant striking advantage and good wrestling, while Stoltzfus has poor takedown defense and striking defense. The only concern is Magomedov's 20-month layoff, but he doesn't think Stoltzfus can exploit it. He expects Magomedov to control the fight wherever it goes.
Cody picks Dustin Stoltzfus as a dog, arguing that Abusupiyan Magomedov is overrated with a padded record, poor wrestling, and a suspect chin. He notes that Magomedov has been inactive and has injury issues, while Stoltzfus has better cardio and top control. Cody believes Stoltzfus can tire Magomedov out and win by pressure and grappling.
Daniel Levi picks Abusupiyan Magomedov but is not confident, noting that Magomedov's fights can be close and that Stoltzfus has been competitive in his losses. He acknowledges Magomedov's talent but questions the dominance at -260. He does not bet.
The host is very confident in Magomedov, citing his superior striking, range control, and ability to mix in grappling. He dismisses Stoltzfus's only UFC win as unimpressive and believes Magomedov is outmatched everywhere. He predicts a finish inside the distance, possibly by submission or knockout.
Paul picks Abusupiyan Magomedov, but with low confidence. He thinks Magomedov's power and striking are better than Stoltzfus's, and that Stoltzfus's wrestling may not be good enough to take Magomedov down. Paul says he will not bet the -270 line and is not confident in the pick.
The MMA Guru picks Abusupiyan Magomedov over Dustin Stoltzfus, citing Magomedov's size, athleticism, and grappling ability. He believes Stoltzfus lacks the power or explosiveness to trouble Magomedov early, and if the fight goes past the first round, Magomedov will win. He predicts a second or third round TKO finish for Magomedov.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 52 of 100 | 52% | 54 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 49 of 112 | 43% | 102 of 173 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 23 of 35 | 65% | 23 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 17 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 2 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 31 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 | |
| 3 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 15 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 54 of 78 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 52 of 100 | 52% | 35 of 79 | 7 of 9 | 10 of 12 | 50 of 97 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 49 of 112 | 43% | 23 of 81 | 7 of 8 | 19 of 23 | 35 of 88 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 23 of 35 | 65% | 19 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 21 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 17 of 43 | 39% | 7 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 10 | 15 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 14 of 28 | 50% | 5 of 16 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 20 of 38 | 52% | 12 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 16 | |
| 3 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 15 of 37 | 40% | 11 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 12 of 31 | 38% | 4 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Dwight Grant as the overall better fighter, but is hesitant due to Grant's chin and cardio issues, and Stoltzfus's power. He notes both fighters have flaws and advises against betting due to too many traps.
Big Brady picks Dwight Grant to win by decision, but with very low confidence. He notes that Grant is hit-or-miss and hard to predict. He thinks Grant's takedown defense and striking should be enough to outpoint Stoltzfus, who is a grappler but may not be able to get the fight down. He mentions Grant is moving up a weight class, which is a concern.
Cody picks Stoltzfus as a slight underdog, citing his policy of fading Dwight Grant as a favorite. He notes Grant's low output, poor cardio, and tendency to lose close fights. He believes Stoltzfus can take Grant down and grind out a win, but he is not betting it.
Daniel Levi picks Dustin Stoltzfus for the upset, believing he is better across the board. He notes Grant's low output, age, and recent decline, while Stoltzfus's 0-3 UFC start was against grapplers, not strikers like Grant. He expects Stoltzfus to land takedowns and possibly get a submission, and considers betting him at underdog odds.
Paul also picks Stoltzfus, arguing that Grant's power will be less effective at 185 and that Stoltzfus has better grappling. He notes that Grant has been taken down by lesser fighters and that Stoltzfus can exploit that. However, he calls it a dogger pass and won't bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant over Dustin Stoltzfus, emphasizing Grant's power advantage and tougher division background. He criticizes Stoltzfus's lack of impressive wins, noting losses to Kyle Daukaus and Rodolfo Vieira, and believes Grant's size and reach will be decisive. He predicts a KO victory for Grant, as Stoltzfus has been finished in kickboxing and Grant's power exceeds that of Stoltzfus's previous opponents.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 51 of 72 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 7:27 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 19 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 3:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 24 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 2 | Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 24 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:56 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Meerschaert | 12 of 32 | 37% | 8 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 7 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 11 of 22 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerald Meerschaert | 5 of 11 | 45% | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gerald Meerschaert | 5 of 11 | 45% | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gerald Meerschaert | 2 of 10 | 20% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 3 of 12 | 25% | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Grappler faces grappler in the preliminary headliner, as grizzled veteran Meerschaert (33-14, 8-6 UFC) comes in with more submission wins (25) than his opponent Stoltzfus (13-3, 0-2 UFC) has in total professional appearances (16). Keeping a close eye on the proceedings will be referee Mark Smith, who observes the middleweights come forward without any interest in touching gloves. Meerschaert lands first with an overhand right, and Stoltzfus greets him in the middle and throws back with bad intentions. “GM3” delivers a clean kick straight to the liver, and when Stoltzfus absorbs it, Meerschaert crashes forward to hit a double that sets Stoltzfus on his backside. Seated against the fence, Stoltzfus holds on Meerschaert’s neck with a guillotine choke, but Meerschaert is not remotely concerned as he pulls his opponent from away from the fence and steps over to try to claim guard. Stoltzfus clings to a shoulder lock from his back, and again, Meerschaert does not register this as he slowly works his way to secure full mount. Stoltzfus manages to get Meerschaert’s legs back to settle for half guard, and Meerschaert mounts him until he gets pulled back once more. Stoltzfus explodes back to his feet, where he searches for a single. Stoltzfus finds himself in a precarious position as Meerschaert grabs hold of a combined armbar and kneebar, but Stoltzfus is able to wriggle both limbs out so that he can take top position. Meerschaert scrambles when Stoltzfus starts to score with elbows, and he gets to his knees but Stoltzfus is ready for him. As soon as Stoltzfus puts Meerschaert on his back, Meerschaert reintroduces himself with a speedy armbar. Stoltzfus fights out of danger, where he gets into side control with Meerschaert on his side. Stoltzfus ends up in half guard delivering some ground-and-pound right to the bell, concluding the close first frame in top position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Meerschaert
Round 2
The middleweights start throwing hands right out of the gate, when Meerschaert sneaking in a right hand and ducking back from a looping punch coming his way. They swing for the fences, and Meerschaert throws himself off-balance in the exchange. Stoltzfus throws a leg kick, and it gets caught, but he does not manage to do anything with it before setting it down. They both miss with high-intensity kicks, although Meerschaert is able to close the distance and deliver a knee square to the solar plexus. As they tie up, Stoltzfus pursues a takedown, and he grounds Meerschaert and falls into a guillotine choke setup. Stoltzfus pops his head out without much concern, and he stacks Meerschaert up to prohibit him from setting up anything with his legs. Meerschaert pushes off with his feet on the thighs, but Stoltzfus is able to leap back down in time before “GM3” can stand. This time, Meerschaert closes his guard, and Stoltzfus keeps his weight pressed tightly on his foe. Every so often, Stoltzfus sits up to throw a strike, and he comes back down before Meerschaert can do anything off his back. Meerschaert looks for an armlock as Stoltzfus again stacks him up, but there is nothing doing while Stoltzfus clings to him in half guard. When Stoltzfus lands a few strikes from above, Meerschaert bursts back up and gets to his knees. Stoltzfus attacks with a brabo choke when Meerschaert is in this position, and he puts his leg above Meerschaert’s neck to set up a modified version of a Peruvian necktie. “GM3” defends against it, only for Stoltzfus to jump back down when Meerschaert is on his back to land some ground strikes. He ends the second round doing damage with ground-and-pound.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Stoltzfus
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Stoltzfus
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Stoltzfus
Round 3
Meerschaert blocks an immediate high kick when Stoltzfus attacks to begin the final round, and he lays into Stoltzfus with an overhand right. Stoltzfus turns him around and hits the double, and Meerschaert defends again with a guillotine choke that is suddenly tight. Stoltzfus turns and twists while the arm is beneath his chin, but he calmly, methodically slips his neck out of the choke. Meerschaert powers back up, and he blocks a punch to go for one of his own. The two tired men throw bombs, and Meerschaert lands and absorbs a strike coming back at him. Stoltzfus drives through with a double, putting Meerschaert on his back and landing in side control. Meerschaert once more scrambles, letting Stoltzfus slip out the back door so he can wind up on top. Stoltzfus stays on his knees as Meerschaert tries to take his back, until Stoltzfus suddenly turns to attack a leglock. “GM3” spins through it to free his ankle, and he aims to take Stoltzfus’ back and manages to get a hook in.
From there, the Roufusport grappling coach instantly attacks the neck, sinking in a rear-naked choke as the arm slides beneath the chin. Stoltzfus tries to punch Meerschaert twice from behind his head to do something, anything. He promptly bails on punching, and taps out as he would be put to sleep seconds later.
This is a big comeback for “GM3,” who has notched three submission wins in a row over three tough opponents.
The Official Result
Gerald Meerschaert def. Dustin Stoltzfus R3 2:58 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Gerald Meerschaert because he is dangerous on the ground and has proven he can survive being stunned. He notes that Meerschaert's chin looked better in his last fight, but Stoltzfus has legitimate power. Angelo thinks Meerschaert will avoid the KO, get the fight to the ground, and win by submission. However, he acknowledges a Stoltzfus KO is very live.
Big Brady picks Gerald Meerschaert, citing his superior experience, striking improvements, and dangerous ground game (94% finish rate, 76% submission rate). He is not sold on Stoltzfus, who was out-struck by Kyle Daukaus and slowed down against Rodolfo Vieira. He expects Meerschaert to get a late submission.
Cody is confident in Meerschaert, noting his experience, BJJ, and better striking and wrestling than Stoltzfus. He points out that Stoltzfus has poor takedown defense and has been submitted by lower-level opponents. Cody thinks Meerschaert can win wherever the fight goes, though he warns about Meerschaert's chin. He considers -235 a fair price.
Daniel Levi leans toward Gerald Meerschaert but is not comfortable laying -230. He respects Meerschaert's submission record and veteran savvy, but notes that Meerschaert typically wins as an underdog. Levi thinks Stoltzfus is no slouch and has faced tough competition, but believes Meerschaert's experience and ground game will be the difference. He expects a competitive fight where Meerschaert eventually finds a submission or wins a decision, but advises passing the bet or taking the dog.
Jacob picks Dustin Stoltzfus, believing he will dominate the fight. He thinks Meerschaert's takedowns are sloppy and that Stoltzfus will defend them and win the striking exchanges. Jacob notes that Stoltzfus outstruck Rodolfo Vieira 2-1 before being submitted, and that Meerschaert's chin is questionable. He expects Stoltzfus to knock Meerschaert out.
The host leans towards Meerschaert inside the distance at even money. He notes that Meerschaert is hittable but has great submissions, and Stoltzfus is not UFC quality. However, he is not passionate due to Meerschaert's inconsistency.
Paul agrees with Meerschaert, noting his submission record and cardio. He thinks Stoltzfus hasn't shown anything in the UFC to get excited about. Paul doesn't love laying -235 but sees Meerschaert as the clear better fighter.
The MMA Guru calls this one of the locks of the card, picking Gerald Meerschaert to win by second-round guillotine choke. He notes Meerschaert has been looking great recently and Stoltzfus is one-dimensional. He thinks Stoltzfus cannot take Meerschaert down or submit him, and Meerschaert will land big shots and latch on a guillotine when Stoltzfus shoots for a takedown.
Dwight Grant - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 52 of 100 | 52% | 54 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 49 of 112 | 43% | 102 of 173 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 23 of 35 | 65% | 23 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 17 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 2 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 31 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 | |
| 3 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 15 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 54 of 78 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 52 of 100 | 52% | 35 of 79 | 7 of 9 | 10 of 12 | 50 of 97 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 49 of 112 | 43% | 23 of 81 | 7 of 8 | 19 of 23 | 35 of 88 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 23 of 35 | 65% | 19 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 21 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 17 of 43 | 39% | 7 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 10 | 15 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 14 of 28 | 50% | 5 of 16 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 20 of 38 | 52% | 12 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 16 | |
| 3 | Dustin Stoltzfus | 15 of 37 | 40% | 11 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 12 of 31 | 38% | 4 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Dwight Grant as the overall better fighter, but is hesitant due to Grant's chin and cardio issues, and Stoltzfus's power. He notes both fighters have flaws and advises against betting due to too many traps.
Big Brady picks Dwight Grant to win by decision, but with very low confidence. He notes that Grant is hit-or-miss and hard to predict. He thinks Grant's takedown defense and striking should be enough to outpoint Stoltzfus, who is a grappler but may not be able to get the fight down. He mentions Grant is moving up a weight class, which is a concern.
Cody picks Stoltzfus as a slight underdog, citing his policy of fading Dwight Grant as a favorite. He notes Grant's low output, poor cardio, and tendency to lose close fights. He believes Stoltzfus can take Grant down and grind out a win, but he is not betting it.
Daniel Levi picks Dustin Stoltzfus for the upset, believing he is better across the board. He notes Grant's low output, age, and recent decline, while Stoltzfus's 0-3 UFC start was against grapplers, not strikers like Grant. He expects Stoltzfus to land takedowns and possibly get a submission, and considers betting him at underdog odds.
Paul also picks Stoltzfus, arguing that Grant's power will be less effective at 185 and that Stoltzfus has better grappling. He notes that Grant has been taken down by lesser fighters and that Stoltzfus can exploit that. However, he calls it a dogger pass and won't bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant over Dustin Stoltzfus, emphasizing Grant's power advantage and tougher division background. He criticizes Stoltzfus's lack of impressive wins, noting losses to Kyle Daukaus and Rodolfo Vieira, and believes Grant's size and reach will be decisive. He predicts a KO victory for Grant, as Stoltzfus has been finished in kickboxing and Grant's power exceeds that of Stoltzfus's previous opponents.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergey Khandozhko | 1 | 42 of 110 | 38% | 47 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Dwight Grant | 2 | 49 of 125 | 39% | 49 of 125 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergey Khandozhko | 1 | 25 of 63 | 39% | 30 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Dwight Grant | 1 | 18 of 52 | 34% | 18 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 | |
| 2 | Sergey Khandozhko | 0 | 17 of 47 | 36% | 17 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Dwight Grant | 1 | 31 of 73 | 42% | 31 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergey Khandozhko | 42 of 110 | 38% | 35 of 103 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 38 of 105 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
| Dwight Grant | 49 of 125 | 39% | 35 of 109 | 13 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 47 of 120 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergey Khandozhko | 25 of 63 | 39% | 21 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
| Dwight Grant | 18 of 52 | 34% | 12 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sergey Khandozhko | 17 of 47 | 36% | 14 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 31 of 73 | 42% | 23 of 63 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 |
Angelo picks Dwight Grant, citing experience and speed, but notes his gut says Sergey due to pressure and willingness to chase stoppage. He says Grant has more power but Sergey has better counter-striking. He warns that if Grant's cardio slips, Sergey's pressure will steal rounds. He also notes Sergey is coming off a two-year layoff and will watch weigh-ins.
Big Brady picks Dwight Grant to win a close decision, citing his power advantage and recent activity. He notes that Sergey Khandozhko has been out for over two years, which is a concern. He expects a low-volume striking match and thinks Grant lands the harder shots. He has low confidence and says he wants nothing to do with the fight.
Cody picks Khandozhko but is not confident. He notes Khandozhko's long layoff and low volume striking. He thinks the over 2.5 rounds is a good parlay piece. He expects a low-volume striking affair and avoids heavy betting.
The host picks Sergey Khandozhko in his quick picks list but does not elaborate or place a bet on this fight. No strong reasoning is provided.
Paul leans Grant, citing his higher level of competition and Khandozhko's inactivity. He notes Grant's fights often go to split decision and that Khandozhko hasn't fought in three years. He expects a boring striking battle and avoids heavy betting.
The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant by KO in the second or third round. He notes Grant's power and awkward style, comparing him to Uriah Hall. He believes Khandozhko's long layoff will cause jitters and that Grant can catch him as the fight goes on. He mentions Grant's close fight with Francisco Trinaldo and his power to put away opponents. He also notes Grant is a slight underdog, which he likes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Trinaldo | 0 | 36 of 70 | 51% | 61 of 101 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 31 of 133 | 23% | 41 of 145 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Trinaldo | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 14 of 51 | 27% | 14 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Francisco Trinaldo | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 8 of 48 | 16% | 13 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Francisco Trinaldo | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 34 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 9 of 34 | 26% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Trinaldo | 36 of 70 | 51% | 20 of 50 | 11 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 26 of 57 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 8 |
| Dwight Grant | 31 of 133 | 23% | 20 of 114 | 7 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 28 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Trinaldo | 11 of 20 | 55% | 4 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 14 of 51 | 27% | 6 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Francisco Trinaldo | 15 of 28 | 53% | 9 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 8 of 48 | 16% | 8 of 44 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Francisco Trinaldo | 10 of 22 | 45% | 7 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Dwight Grant | 9 of 34 | 26% | 6 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Trinaldo because he thinks the shorter, stockier fighter can get inside Grant's reach, get to the hips, and grind. He notes Grant has questionable cardio and was knocked out in his last fight despite winning early. However, he's worried about Trinaldo's age (43) and when he'll start to decline. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight and will have Trinaldo in his DraftKings lineup.
Big Brady picks Grant to knock out the 43-year-old Trinaldo, citing Trinaldo's age, size disadvantage, and recent knockdowns. He notes Grant's power and Trinaldo's never-been-KO'd record, but believes the chin will crack. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Francisco Trinaldo, admitting it's a heart-over-mind bet. He notes Trinaldo's durability and veteran savvy, and criticizes Dwight Grant's tendency to run away and his unimpressive UFC performances. Cody points out that Grant has looked abysmal, losing to low-level competition and barely beating Stefan Sekulich. He believes Trinaldo's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, though he acknowledges the risk.
Lock picks Trinaldo based on pressure and durability. He notes Trinaldo has never been knocked down and should stalk Grant, who tends to backpedal. He expects Trinaldo to win by decision, citing Grant's lack of volume and Trinaldo's superior kickboxing.
Paul does not make a clear pick. He notes that Trinaldo is now the favorite and he is not interested at that price. He also points out that Dwight Grant could win by staying on the outside and landing chip shots. Paul seems to lean towards passing on the fight.
The MMA Guru picks Francisco Trinaldo, trusting his chin and durability. He criticizes Dwight Grant for being gun-shy and compares him to Uriah Hall. He believes Trinaldo's pressure and chin will carry him to a decision win, though he notes Grant has KO power.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 49 of 156 | 31% | 52 of 160 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Stefan Sekulić | 0 | 33 of 52 | 63% | 39 of 59 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 2:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dwight Grant | 0 | 14 of 49 | 28% | 16 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stefan Sekulić | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 12 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 2 | Dwight Grant | 0 | 18 of 58 | 31% | 18 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stefan Sekulić | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 13 of 21 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | |
| 3 | Dwight Grant | 0 | 17 of 49 | 34% | 18 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Stefan Sekulić | 0 | 14 of 19 | 73% | 14 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Grant | 49 of 156 | 31% | 28 of 126 | 10 of 17 | 11 of 13 | 45 of 152 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Stefan Sekulić | 33 of 52 | 63% | 14 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 14 | 31 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dwight Grant | 14 of 49 | 28% | 6 of 37 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stefan Sekulić | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Dwight Grant | 18 of 58 | 31% | 11 of 47 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Stefan Sekulić | 12 of 20 | 60% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dwight Grant | 17 of 49 | 34% | 11 of 42 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Stefan Sekulić | 14 of 19 | 73% | 8 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Grant to win by first-round knockout. He notes Grant has power and a 70% finish rate by KO, while Sekulić is hittable with poor striking defense and has been knocked out before. He has concerns about Grant's chin and cardio after his last fight, but expects Grant's power to be too much early. He suggests the under is a better bet.
Cody also leans toward Sekulić, noting Grant's low output and cardio problems. He thinks Sekulić can implement a grinding gameplan and take Grant down. He acknowledges Grant's power but believes Sekulić's wrestling and durability will be key. He passes on betting Grant at -210.
Daniel picks Dwight Grant, citing his vicious knockout power and the fact that Stefan Sekulić is coming off jaw surgery. He notes Grant's low volume and age as concerns, but expects Grant to catch Sekulić. He mentions that if Grant lays an egg, he could be outworked.
I think Grant's power and explosiveness will be too much for Sekulić, who is coming off a long layoff and a USADA suspension. Grant has low volume but big power, and if he lands, he can finish. I like Grant by KO at +120, but I'm not a huge fan of Grant overall. The under 2.5 at -130 is also a consideration.
Paul leans toward Sekulić, citing Grant's low output and cardio issues. He thinks Sekulić can grind Grant against the cage and take him down, similar to how others have beaten Grant. He notes Grant's power but believes Sekulić's wrestling and cardio will be decisive. He avoids the -210 favorite price on Grant.
The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant by first-round KO. He notes that Sekulić hasn't fought since 2018 and has been KO'd before, while Grant has power and a quick turnaround after a KO loss that wasn't devastating. He believes Grant will catch Sekulić early and finish him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rodriguez | 3 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Dwight Grant | 1 | 30 of 68 | 44% | 31 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 3 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Dwight Grant | 1 | 30 of 68 | 44% | 31 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rodriguez | 15 of 32 | 46% | 10 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Dwight Grant | 30 of 68 | 44% | 25 of 61 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 13 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 44 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 15 of 32 | 46% | 10 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Dwight Grant | 30 of 68 | 44% | 25 of 61 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 13 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 44 |
Big Brady picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by second-round knockout. He was surprised by the line (-185) and thinks it's a little wide, but after watching tape, he believes Rodriguez is the more talented fighter with better durability and volume (9.5 significant strikes per minute). Sato has been rocked multiple times and knocked out before, including by Ben Saunders. Rodriguez has never been finished. Brady expects Rodriguez to land a knockout in the later rounds.
Daniel Levi picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by decision. He notes Rodriguez has underrated boxing and high volume, while Grant is a power-punching specialist with low output and long layoffs due to shoulder surgery. Levi believes Grant needs a knockout to win, as he tends to lose rounds when he doesn't land big shots. He expects Rodriguez to outwork Grant and stay upright even if clipped.
Rodriguez is a southpaw with a great jab and power in his left hand, and he trains with Joe Schilling. He's efficient and calm under pressure. Sato has power but is more linear and hittable. Rodriguez should keep Sato at range and finish him in the second round. The under 2.5 rounds is also intriguing at -130.
The MMA Guru picks Daniel Rodriguez (though he initially says Jared Gooden vs Dwight Grant, then corrects to Daniel Rodriguez vs Takashi Sato). He favors Rodriguez due to his superior striking volume, chin, and pace, predicting a third-round TKO. He notes Sato's lack of top competition and Rodriguez's recent win over Tim Means.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 24 of 100 | 24% | 25 of 101 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Alan Jouban | 0 | 38 of 122 | 31% | 39 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dwight Grant | 0 | 5 of 31 | 16% | 5 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Alan Jouban | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Dwight Grant | 0 | 9 of 27 | 33% | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Alan Jouban | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 13 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Dwight Grant | 0 | 10 of 42 | 23% | 11 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Alan Jouban | 0 | 15 of 50 | 30% | 15 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Grant | 24 of 100 | 24% | 9 of 77 | 3 of 6 | 12 of 17 | 19 of 89 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 7 |
| Alan Jouban | 38 of 122 | 31% | 13 of 88 | 4 of 8 | 21 of 26 | 37 of 121 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dwight Grant | 5 of 31 | 16% | 1 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 29 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alan Jouban | 10 of 35 | 28% | 5 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dwight Grant | 9 of 27 | 33% | 3 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alan Jouban | 13 of 37 | 35% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 10 | 13 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dwight Grant | 10 of 42 | 23% | 5 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 9 | 6 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| Alan Jouban | 15 of 50 | 30% | 4 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 11 | 15 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Grant | 1 | 20 of 53 | 37% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 17 of 45 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dwight Grant | 1 | 20 of 53 | 37% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 17 of 45 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Grant | 20 of 53 | 37% | 14 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 6 |
| Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | 17 of 45 | 37% | 7 of 32 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dwight Grant | 20 of 53 | 37% | 14 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 6 |
| Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | 17 of 45 | 37% | 7 of 32 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Ottow | 0 | 14 of 71 | 19% | 22 of 82 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 25 of 84 | 29% | 33 of 93 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zak Ottow | 0 | 5 of 28 | 17% | 5 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 7 of 29 | 24% | 7 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Zak Ottow | 0 | 3 of 27 | 11% | 3 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 11 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Zak Ottow | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 14 of 27 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Dwight Grant | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 15 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Ottow | 14 of 71 | 19% | 5 of 53 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 4 | 11 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Dwight Grant | 25 of 84 | 29% | 15 of 71 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 77 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zak Ottow | 5 of 28 | 17% | 2 of 22 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 7 of 29 | 24% | 4 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Zak Ottow | 3 of 27 | 11% | 2 of 21 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dwight Grant | 7 of 25 | 28% | 3 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zak Ottow | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Dwight Grant | 11 of 30 | 36% | 8 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Dwight Grant as the overall better fighter, but is hesitant due to Grant's chin and cardio issues, and Stoltzfus's power. He notes both fighters have flaws and advises against betting due to too many traps.
Big Brady picks Dwight Grant to win by decision, but with very low confidence. He notes that Grant is hit-or-miss and hard to predict. He thinks Grant's takedown defense and striking should be enough to outpoint Stoltzfus, who is a grappler but may not be able to get the fight down. He mentions Grant is moving up a weight class, which is a concern.
Cody picks Stoltzfus as a slight underdog, citing his policy of fading Dwight Grant as a favorite. He notes Grant's low output, poor cardio, and tendency to lose close fights. He believes Stoltzfus can take Grant down and grind out a win, but he is not betting it.
Daniel Levi picks Dustin Stoltzfus for the upset, believing he is better across the board. He notes Grant's low output, age, and recent decline, while Stoltzfus's 0-3 UFC start was against grapplers, not strikers like Grant. He expects Stoltzfus to land takedowns and possibly get a submission, and considers betting him at underdog odds.
Paul also picks Stoltzfus, arguing that Grant's power will be less effective at 185 and that Stoltzfus has better grappling. He notes that Grant has been taken down by lesser fighters and that Stoltzfus can exploit that. However, he calls it a dogger pass and won't bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant over Dustin Stoltzfus, emphasizing Grant's power advantage and tougher division background. He criticizes Stoltzfus's lack of impressive wins, noting losses to Kyle Daukaus and Rodolfo Vieira, and believes Grant's size and reach will be decisive. He predicts a KO victory for Grant, as Stoltzfus has been finished in kickboxing and Grant's power exceeds that of Stoltzfus's previous opponents.
Kevin is a fat fuck who missed weight by 6 pounds. Boxing looked good. Dustin gave it a go a few times but ultimately its b star vs a star
Kelvin is more skillful but should not be fighting at 185. Lazy sack of shit. Dustin is stiff in the pocket ect and gets dropped but has improved his striking. Also will be in better shape.