Career Averages - Emily Ducote
Career Averages - Jessica Penne
Emily Ducote
Jessica Penne
Emily Ducote - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 109 of 293 | 37% | 126 of 311 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 143 of 214 | 66% | 147 of 218 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 43 of 99 | 43% | 43 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 30 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 36 of 112 | 32% | 37 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 60 of 83 | 72% | 60 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 30 of 82 | 36% | 46 of 99 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 53 of 77 | 68% | 57 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 109 of 293 | 37% | 76 of 250 | 18 of 25 | 15 of 18 | 106 of 289 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 143 of 214 | 66% | 86 of 150 | 22 of 26 | 35 of 38 | 140 of 211 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 43 of 99 | 43% | 25 of 75 | 7 of 11 | 11 of 13 | 43 of 99 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 30 of 54 | 55% | 15 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 12 | 30 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 36 of 112 | 32% | 24 of 98 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 34 of 110 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 60 of 83 | 72% | 37 of 58 | 10 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 60 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 30 of 82 | 36% | 27 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 29 of 80 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 53 of 77 | 68% | 34 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 13 | 50 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo sees Emily Ducote as the better striker with legitimate power and good wrestling defense, while Vanessa Demopoulos relies on volume and footwork but lacks real power. He expects Ducote to win a close decision, likely 29-28, due to her superior striking accuracy and durability. He notes the over 2.5 rounds is a good bet and suggests Vanessa plus 3.5 on the scorecard as a solid bet.
Cody points out Demopoulos has been gifted decisions but is often outlanded and outgrappled. He notes Ducote is a well-rounded fighter with college wrestling, a BJJ black belt, and good striking. Demopoulos's takedown attempts are often unsuccessful, and she struggles with volume. Cody expects Ducote to outland her significantly and win a clear decision.
Demopoulos got a gift decision in her last fight and is not technical with her punches. Ducote has solid all-around skills, throws great leg kicks and clean combinations, and will use her wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing. Expects Ducote to outbox and outstrike Demopoulos on the feet and win on the scorecards.
Paul believes Ducote's wrestling background and superior striking will be too much for Demopoulos. He notes Demopoulos has been on the wrong end of controversial decisions but is often outworked. Ducote should be able to keep the fight standing and outpoint Demopoulos, likely winning a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Vanessa Demopoulos, citing Ducote's superior activity and output. He argues that Demopoulos arguably lost several of her UFC fights, including against Kanako Murata, and that her volume is much lower than Ducote's. He expects Ducote to win a unanimous decision, 30-27, due to her three times higher output.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 102 of 269 | 37% | 105 of 276 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 117 of 210 | 55% | 119 of 213 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 32 of 68 | 47% | 35 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 26 of 66 | 39% | 26 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 35 of 91 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 35 of 112 | 31% | 35 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 57 of 83 | 68% | 58 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ducote | 102 of 269 | 37% | 59 of 216 | 32 of 40 | 11 of 13 | 93 of 259 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 117 of 210 | 55% | 69 of 145 | 29 of 40 | 19 of 25 | 117 of 209 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily Ducote | 32 of 68 | 47% | 21 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 26 of 66 | 39% | 11 of 41 | 9 of 14 | 6 of 11 | 26 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Emily Ducote | 35 of 89 | 39% | 21 of 68 | 11 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 32 of 86 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 34 of 61 | 55% | 19 of 42 | 8 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 34 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Emily Ducote | 35 of 112 | 31% | 17 of 93 | 14 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 105 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 57 of 83 | 68% | 39 of 62 | 12 of 14 | 6 of 7 | 57 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Emily Ducote confidently, noting she is better than her UFC record suggests and that Ashley Yoder is returning after two years off. He thinks Ducote's volume and durability will be key, but he is not touching the -270 moneyline, hoping the line tightens.
Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes Ducote has good takedown defense and is the much better striker. He criticizes Ashley Yoder's long layoff and poor performance against Jinh Yu Frey, and expects Ducote to stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder over three rounds.
Cody picks Ducote, emphasizing her college wrestling, BJJ black belt, and technical boxing. He notes that Yoder is 3-7 in the UFC, on a two-year layoff, and has no path to victory. Cody believes Ducote will stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder easily.
The host picks Emily Ducote, expecting her to use a calf-kicking approach similar to her debut against Jessica Pen. He notes Yoder's long layoff and shoulder surgeries, and believes Ducote's striking and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win, possibly a KO, and suggests parlaying the moneyline.
Paul picks Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and superior striking. He notes that Yoder has poor wrestling and striking, and that Ducote can stuff takedowns and outbox her. Paul expects a dominant decision win for Ducote.
The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Ashley Yoder, citing Yoder's poor record (8-8 in UFC, on a 2-fight losing streak, lost 4 of last 5) and long layoff of over two years. He acknowledges Ducote is also on a losing streak but notes she fought tougher competition (Angela Hill, Lupita Godinez) and is younger. He dismisses the matchup as a question, implying Ducote should win easily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 112 of 270 | 41% | 117 of 275 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 132 of 246 | 53% | 133 of 248 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 34 of 81 | 41% | 34 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 49 of 81 | 60% | 49 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 43 of 102 | 42% | 43 of 102 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 43 of 77 | 55% | 43 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 35 of 87 | 40% | 40 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 40 of 88 | 45% | 41 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 112 of 270 | 41% | 71 of 214 | 21 of 33 | 20 of 23 | 106 of 262 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 132 of 246 | 53% | 106 of 214 | 12 of 18 | 14 of 14 | 121 of 232 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 34 of 81 | 41% | 19 of 61 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 32 of 79 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 49 of 81 | 60% | 39 of 71 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 46 of 78 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 43 of 102 | 42% | 28 of 81 | 8 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 98 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 43 of 77 | 55% | 36 of 68 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 36 of 67 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 35 of 87 | 40% | 24 of 72 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 34 of 85 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 40 of 88 | 45% | 31 of 75 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 39 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Emily Ducote because she is a former Invicta champion with slick counter-striking, power, and good wrestling. He criticizes Lupita Godinez for poor decision-making and a miserable track record on short notice. He has a small 0.25-unit bet on Ducote at +119, expecting the line to flip to favor Ducote.
Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez to win by decision, but with a caveat. He notes Godinez is a phenomenal wrestler but has recently fallen in love with her hands, which makes no sense to him. If she wrestles, she wins easily; if she doesn't, it could be close. He expects her to mix in takedowns and win a decision, but he's not fully confident in her game plan.
Cody sees this as a close striking match where both women have wrestling but may not use it. He favors Ducote's striking volume and power, and questions Godinez's fight IQ after she failed to wrestle against Angela Hill. He expects a decision win for Ducote.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ducote but with low confidence. He thinks Godinez won't push a pace that makes Ducote uncomfortable, leaving Ducote as the sharper striker. However, he notes that Godinez is capable of a complete performance and that Ducote hasn't shown she can handle a high-level all-around fight. He also mentions that if Godinez accepts taking hard counters and tries to break Ducote, it could work, but he suspects Ducote will persuade her not to.
Daniel Levi picks Emily Ducote as a slight underdog. He thinks Godinez is still developing and has shown vulnerabilities, while Ducote has better volume and striking. He envisions the fight being close, possibly 1-1 going into the third, where Ducote's experience and output could earn her a decision. He notes Ducote landed 116 significant strikes in her UFC debut and believes she can stuff takedowns and chip away over three rounds.
The host picks Lupita Godinez, believing her wrestling will be the difference maker. He thinks Godinez has slicker boxing and can chain takedowns behind combinations. He expects a decision win, though notes Ducate is a good kickboxer and the fight could be close.
Paul agrees, noting that Godinez's win over Calvillo was close and could have gone either way. He thinks Ducote is more dynamic on the feet and that the line offers value. He is not confident enough to bet but picks Ducote.
The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez, citing her versatility as a Swiss Army knife compared to Ducote's striking-focused style. He likes the quick turnaround and believes Godinez will mix in grappling to push a pace. He notes Godinez's wins over Ariane Carnelossi and Loma Lookboonmee, the latter being a better striker than Ducote. He expects a close decision, 29-28.
Zane picks Ducote, reasoning that Godinez's pressure style may not work well against a sharp counter puncher like Ducote. He notes that Ducote has a reach advantage and can land counters when Godinez tries to swarm. However, he expresses concern about Ducote's tendency to shut down under pressure, as seen against Angela Hill, and her lackluster UFC performances. He also worries about Godinez's wrestling if she can get the fight to the ground.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 0 | 182 of 345 | 52% | 190 of 353 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 71 of 173 | 41% | 76 of 178 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 0 | 50 of 104 | 48% | 50 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 21 of 53 | 39% | 21 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 0 | 67 of 120 | 55% | 68 of 121 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 16 of 50 | 32% | 18 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 0 | 65 of 121 | 53% | 72 of 128 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 34 of 70 | 48% | 37 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 182 of 345 | 52% | 95 of 240 | 73 of 88 | 14 of 17 | 130 of 292 | 52 of 53 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 71 of 173 | 41% | 49 of 147 | 18 of 22 | 4 of 4 | 62 of 161 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 50 of 104 | 48% | 30 of 81 | 14 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 48 of 102 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 21 of 53 | 39% | 17 of 48 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 67 of 120 | 55% | 35 of 81 | 29 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 44 of 96 | 23 of 24 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 16 of 50 | 32% | 10 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 46 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 65 of 121 | 53% | 30 of 78 | 30 of 36 | 5 of 7 | 38 of 94 | 27 of 27 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 34 of 70 | 48% | 22 of 56 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 28 of 63 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ducote (-120), Hill (+100)
Round 1
In what has become a theme of sorts, a well-experienced competitor will once again take on someone far younger, far less-traveled, or both. This comes in the form of Hill (14-12, 9-12 UFC), who has faced a who’s who in the division, against Ducote (12-6, 1-0 UFC), who has found new life at 115 pounds. The strawweights meet in the middle without touching gloves while referee Andrew Glenn sits back, and Hill initiates the offense with several jabs that all miss the mark. Ducote reaches her with a single jab, and she scores a right hand over the top when Hill tries to score on her. Hill switches stances as the woo birds cry out in the cage when the strawweights are inactive. Ducote stays composed and lines up a few punches down the middle, intercepting Hill coming towards her. Hill whips a high kick up that glances off the shoulder guard, and she sneaks a right hand around the guard. Hill kicks low, and Ducote punches high. Hill manages to split the guard with a jab, and Ducote pays her back with a clean right hand. Ducote aims another right hand down the pipe, and Hill keeps busy with punches and low kicks. Hill marks up her foe’s nose with jabs, and she crowds “Gordinha” and tags her with a few short punches. Hill swings a right to the body, and a left to the head, and only the former lands. Hill connects with a solid combination to knock Ducote back, and her punches are finding their home while Ducote is struggling to reach the target. “Overkill” crowds her foe with a few sharp blows, and Ducote reels and backs off. The mixing of offense high and low keeps Ducote guessing and looking for options, and Ducote largely answers with single strikes. Hill darts forward with a jab, and a head kick that follows slaps into the guard. A quick superwoman punch from Hill gets through, and she gets off a jab and several chasing punches until the bell rings, and blood trickles down the mouth of Ducote.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Round 2
The ladies engage to start off the second round, and Ducote trades punches instead of allowing Hill to tag her. Hill catches her with a left hand, but not before Ducote gets off a clean body shot. Hill steps forward, clinches up, knees the body, and splits before her foe can response. Hill walks through a right hand and scores few, and she goes low with a pair of calf kicks. Ducote sits down on three punches that whiz past the face of “Overkill,” who darts in and out to land flush. A left hand from Hill pounds into the cheek, and she ducks down for one to the body while Ducote thinks it is coming up high and keeps her guard up there. Hill kicks the body, punches the head, rips the body and kicks low in rapid succession. When they tie up again, Hill lays into her with several knees and an elbow, and Ducote can do little in response but push off. Hill jumps forward with a head kick, and Ducote gets her guard up in time but cannot block the subsequent punches aimed at her chin. Ducote connects with one right hand, and Hill pushes through it to get off four in response. This same situation happens again, so Hill answers with a standing tomahawk elbow. Ducote shoots for a takedown, and Hill stops this in her tracks and knees Ducote in the breadbasket several times before the separation. The two score left hooks at the same time, and they both exchange high kicks. Hill splits the guard with a one-two, and Ducote gets her respect for a moment with a right hand. As Ducote ties her up again, Hill replies with multiple knees up the middle. Hill strings together punches to the head and body, and Hill leaps forward to knee three times and slash an elbow up high. Hill slips a punch to land one, and she kicks the body twice before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Round 3
When they meet in the middle to open up the last round, Hill strikes first with kicks to all targets, calf, body and head. Ducote swipes back at her with a few punches, but Hill does not bat an eye and continues to come forward. Ducote breaks off from a quick clinch after taking a couple knees, and she swings wildly with a left hand. Hill strides forward with a left and a right, and Ducote stands firm and throws back at her. The ladies trade punches, and Hill leads the dance at practically every occasion both with aggression and sheer volume. Ducote aims strikes to the body in hopes of slowing down “Overkill,” and when she does, Hill pelts her with a pair of overhand rights. Hill fakes a level change and goes up high with a kick, and Ducote can barely block it in time. Hill is feeling herself as she presses the pace without worry of what comes back at her, and she works her way into a clinch to score knees and elbows. While Ducote replies with a few of her own, Hill doubles or triples up on her with these exchanges. Ducote sits down on a slapping calf kick, and she just misses with a haymaker of a right hand. Hill walks her down and grabs a Thai clinch, and she lays into Ducote with vicious knees that draw cheers when each one lands as if the crowd was watching a muay thai fight. Ducote tries to give her a few back, but Hill cannot be slowed and is not remotely fading. Hill jumps with a flying knee before grabbing another Thai clinch, and she again slams her knees into the body. Hill continues to beat Ducote around the Octagon like she caught her breaking into her apartment, and Ducote escapes on the outside while occasionally throwing back but is woefully outmatched. In the final seconds, Ducote decides to grab hold of Hill’s left leg to pursue a single, but there is nothing to it as the fight ends. This was one-way traffic for “Overkill,” who blunts the momentum of the formerly surging Ducote in a pillar-to-post performance.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill)
The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Emily Ducote via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Emily Ducote, praising her straight punches, accuracy, and wrestling. He thinks Angela Hill's length won't help because Ducote will get past it with straight shots. He expects Ducote to cruise to a decision win. He mentions he may bet Ducote by decision, though he normally avoids specific props.
Big Brady leans towards Ducote, citing her power advantage and wrestling background. He notes Hill has struggled with wrestlers and expects Ducote to mix in takedowns to seal rounds. He predicts a competitive fight but Ducote winning a decision.
Cody leans Hill, citing her ability to win close decisions. He notes Ducote may not wrestle, leading to a striking battle that favors Hill. He likes the plus money and expects a split decision.
Connor picks Emily Ducote, citing her natural feel for counter punching, good footwork, and tight guard. He notes that Hill's aggressive approach will likely lull Ducote into doing what she does best, and that Hill struggles against opponents who are solid within themselves.
Daniel Levi picks Emily Ducote to win a split decision, expecting Hill to cry robbery. He notes Hill's inconsistency and that Ducote has a good approach. He is not betting on this fight.
The host picks Ducote, believing her mix of striking and grappling will give her the edge. He thinks she can shut down Hill's volume by landing takedowns and scoring with the judges. He is cautious because Ducote is still relatively new to the UFC but likes her overall game. He would consider a bet on Ducote by decision if plus money is available.
Paul picks Hill, seeing it as a coin flip. He notes Hill's experience and close decision history. He thinks if Ducote doesn't wrestle, Hill can edge a decision. He likes the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill as an underdog, noting she gave Amanda Lemos a tough fight and can handle Ducote's power. He believes Hill's pressure and volume will win her the last two rounds, predicting a split decision victory.
Zane picks Emily Ducote, believing she is talented and athletic enough to overcome Hill. He expects Ducote to win two close rounds by landing bigger shots, while Hill might win one round through clinch work or takedowns. He notes Ducote's smooth striking and ability to set up her opponent.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 63 of 244 | 25% | 68 of 249 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 116 of 205 | 56% | 117 of 206 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 17 of 67 | 25% | 20 of 70 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 35 of 58 | 60% | 35 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 26 of 88 | 29% | 28 of 90 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 37 of 73 | 50% | 38 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 20 of 89 | 22% | 20 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 44 of 74 | 59% | 44 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ducote | 63 of 244 | 25% | 37 of 208 | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 55 of 234 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 116 of 205 | 56% | 41 of 113 | 24 of 34 | 51 of 58 | 115 of 203 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily Ducote | 17 of 67 | 25% | 13 of 61 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 35 of 58 | 60% | 13 of 33 | 10 of 12 | 12 of 13 | 35 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Emily Ducote | 26 of 88 | 29% | 14 of 72 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 80 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 37 of 73 | 50% | 17 of 49 | 6 of 10 | 14 of 14 | 36 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Emily Ducote | 20 of 89 | 22% | 10 of 75 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 44 of 74 | 59% | 11 of 31 | 8 of 12 | 25 of 31 | 44 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Emily Ducote but is hesitant due to a five-week trend of underdogs winning the first fight of the night. He notes Ducote's patient, accurate striking and wrestling, but acknowledges Penne's experience and the risk of a bad decision. He advises against betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes that Ducote is 11 years younger, has good takedown defense, and should be the better striker on the feet. He thinks she can stuff Penne's takedowns and outpoint her for three rounds. He warns that if Penne gets the fight to the mat, she could submit Ducote, but he expects Ducote to keep it standing.
Cody is confident in Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and well-rounded game. He notes that Penne is 39 and relies on takedowns, but Ducote has the grappling to defend and the striking to win on the feet. He believes Ducote has multiple paths to victory and is a good price at -150.
Daniel Levi leans Emily Ducote, noting she is experienced and has paid her dues. He expects a close fight where Ducote lands better strikes and gets top control, but must be careful of Penne's submissions. He sees it as a dog-or-pass situation and predicts a close decision.
Paul also picks Ducote, agreeing that she is the better fighter in all aspects. He notes her youth, experience, and recent improvements. He believes Penne's magic is running out and that Ducote will win, possibly by decision or TKO.
The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Jessica Penne, citing Ducote's power as a key advantage in the women's division. He notes that Ducote finished Danielle Taylor, who beat Penne by decision, and that Penne doesn't know how to fight. He acknowledges the unpredictability of women's MMA but sides with Ducote's power, believing it will impact judges' scorecards even if she is outlanded.
Jessica Penne - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Reed | 0 | 54 of 125 | 43% | 98 of 174 | 1 of 13 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 3:16 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 117 of 188 | 62% | 229 of 306 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elise Reed | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 51 of 70 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 105 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Elise Reed | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 26 of 50 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 44 of 70 | 62% | 56 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Elise Reed | 0 | 17 of 50 | 34% | 21 of 54 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 67 of 101 | 66% | 68 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Reed | 54 of 125 | 43% | 26 of 89 | 18 of 25 | 10 of 11 | 44 of 112 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 117 of 188 | 62% | 84 of 145 | 18 of 19 | 15 of 24 | 110 of 181 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elise Reed | 19 of 33 | 57% | 7 of 20 | 9 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 6 of 17 | 35% | 0 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Elise Reed | 18 of 42 | 42% | 7 of 28 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 44 of 70 | 62% | 31 of 50 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 12 | 39 of 65 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Elise Reed | 17 of 50 | 34% | 12 of 41 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 67 of 101 | 66% | 53 of 85 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 66 of 100 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Elise Reed because he believes Jessica Penne, at 41 years old and coming off a disinterested performance, is not fully committed to fighting anymore. He notes Reed's busy striking, good cardio, and inconsistency but thinks she is the hungrier fighter. He sees value at -150 and also likes the over 2.5 rounds as a safe bet. He speculates Penne is more focused on her post-fighting career and won't have the same drive.
Big Brady picks Jessica Penne by first-round submission. He highlights Reed's terrible ground game, with four submission losses, and Penne's BJJ black belt. He notes Penne is 41 and coming off a layoff, but if she gets the fight to the mat, she will submit Reed. He is surprised Reed is favored.
Connor picks Reed, though he doesn't feel good about it. He notes that Reed has natural power and can crack, and that she has been able to win fights despite her flaws. He acknowledges that Reed often stops fighting after hurting opponents, but thinks she might be able to knock Penne out or do enough to win.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript.
Reed is a striker and can keep the fight upright enough to batter Penne and win on the scorecards. However, Penne winning by submission at +500 is a tempting sprinkle, as it could take just one back take or takedown for Penne to utilize her jiu-jitsu advantage. The official prediction is Reed by decision.
The Guru initially does not want to pick Jessica Penne due to her age (41) and recent losses, but after considering that Elise Reed is 'garbage' and Penne is taller and rangier, he decides to take the underdog. He admits he doesn't normally check odds beforehand but notes Penne is an underdog and goes with her.
Zane picks Penne because he believes Reed will not be consistent enough to keep Penne at range. He notes that Reed has a tendency to stop fighting after landing a big shot, and that Penne is hittable and predictable, but Reed doesn't have the footwork to stay away. He thinks Penne will eventually tangle up with Reed and get the grappling exchange she wants.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 6 of 25 | 24% | 19 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 36 of 54 | 66% | 81 of 109 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 5:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 14 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 26 of 39 | 66% | 62 of 83 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 19 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 6 of 25 | 24% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Jessica Penne | 36 of 54 | 66% | 19 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 17 | 15 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 3 of 13 | 23% | 2 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jessica Penne | 26 of 39 | 66% | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 12 | 9 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 16 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 3 of 12 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 10 of 15 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo is confident in Tabatha Ricci, citing her strong grappling, top pressure, and submission skills. He notes that Jessica Penne has only 40% takedown defense and that Ricci should dominate with her wrestling. Angelo bet 1.5 units on Ricci at -240.
Big Brady picks Tabatha Ricci, noting her ability to dictate where the fight takes place with her wrestling and judo. He mentions Penne's poor takedown defense (40%) and that Ricci can safely grapple without getting caught in submissions. He predicts a decision win for Ricci, with the fight primarily on the mat.
Cody picks Ricci, citing her youth, judo, and well-rounded game. He thinks Penne is too old and has been off for four years. He expects Ricci to win by decision or submission.
Connor picks Tabatha Ricci, though he is not confident. He notes that Ricci is a high-level BJJ black belt and will likely take the fight to the ground, where Penne is actually good. However, he thinks Ricci's aggression and functional grappling will allow her to win positions and avoid being submitted. Connor admits the fight is hard to analyze and could go either way.
Jacob agrees with Angelo, comparing this fight to Ricci's previous win over Polyana Viana. He believes Penne is a step down in competition and that Ricci will dominate with her pressure and top control. Jacob is fully confident in Ricci.
Ricci is a high-level BJJ black belt with good wrestling and control time. Penne is 40, has poor striking, and relies on dragging fights to the ground, but Ricci will likely be on top and avoid submissions. Ricci grinds out a decision victory.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Ricci. He notes the line has moved from -175 to -325, indicating sharp money. He thinks Ricci's grappling and youth will be too much for Penne.
The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci, citing Jessica Penne's age (40) and Ricci's grappling advantage. He expects Ricci to control top position and win a split decision, noting that women's MMA judging often favors control time.
Zane also picks Ricci, agreeing that her functional aggression and grappling will be enough to overcome Penne's awkward style. He notes that Penne's striking is robotic and she struggles with range, while Ricci will close the distance and make it a grappling match. Zane thinks Ricci's speed and confidence give her an edge, but he is not fully convinced.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 63 of 244 | 25% | 68 of 249 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 116 of 205 | 56% | 117 of 206 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 17 of 67 | 25% | 20 of 70 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 35 of 58 | 60% | 35 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 26 of 88 | 29% | 28 of 90 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 37 of 73 | 50% | 38 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 20 of 89 | 22% | 20 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 44 of 74 | 59% | 44 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ducote | 63 of 244 | 25% | 37 of 208 | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 55 of 234 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 116 of 205 | 56% | 41 of 113 | 24 of 34 | 51 of 58 | 115 of 203 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily Ducote | 17 of 67 | 25% | 13 of 61 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 35 of 58 | 60% | 13 of 33 | 10 of 12 | 12 of 13 | 35 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Emily Ducote | 26 of 88 | 29% | 14 of 72 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 80 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 37 of 73 | 50% | 17 of 49 | 6 of 10 | 14 of 14 | 36 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Emily Ducote | 20 of 89 | 22% | 10 of 75 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 44 of 74 | 59% | 11 of 31 | 8 of 12 | 25 of 31 | 44 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Emily Ducote but is hesitant due to a five-week trend of underdogs winning the first fight of the night. He notes Ducote's patient, accurate striking and wrestling, but acknowledges Penne's experience and the risk of a bad decision. He advises against betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes that Ducote is 11 years younger, has good takedown defense, and should be the better striker on the feet. He thinks she can stuff Penne's takedowns and outpoint her for three rounds. He warns that if Penne gets the fight to the mat, she could submit Ducote, but he expects Ducote to keep it standing.
Cody is confident in Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and well-rounded game. He notes that Penne is 39 and relies on takedowns, but Ducote has the grappling to defend and the striking to win on the feet. He believes Ducote has multiple paths to victory and is a good price at -150.
Daniel Levi leans Emily Ducote, noting she is experienced and has paid her dues. He expects a close fight where Ducote lands better strikes and gets top control, but must be careful of Penne's submissions. He sees it as a dog-or-pass situation and predicts a close decision.
Paul also picks Ducote, agreeing that she is the better fighter in all aspects. He notes her youth, experience, and recent improvements. He believes Penne's magic is running out and that Ducote will win, possibly by decision or TKO.
The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Jessica Penne, citing Ducote's power as a key advantage in the women's division. He notes that Ducote finished Danielle Taylor, who beat Penne by decision, and that Penne doesn't know how to fight. He acknowledges the unpredictability of women's MMA but sides with Ducote's power, believing it will impact judges' scorecards even if she is outlanded.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 28 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 21 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica Penne | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 28 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 21 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Penne | 8 of 12 | 66% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 12 of 19 | 63% | 9 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica Penne | 8 of 12 | 66% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 12 of 19 | 63% | 9 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
Angelo picks Kowalkiewicz, stating she is on a different level than Penne. He notes she was almost a champion and should win, though Penne can make it ugly by leaning on her. He mentions she has trained with a new team and expects her to piece up Penne.
Big Brady thinks both fighters are past their prime but favors Kowalkiewicz due to her higher volume and better striking. He notes Penne will want takedowns but Kowalkiewicz has solid takedown defense (75%) and trains with JJ. He worries about Penne controlling rounds if she gets takedowns, but ultimately picks Kowalkiewicz by decision.
Cody picks Kowalkiewicz but with hesitation. He notes her losing streak and potential motivation issues, but believes she is the more skilled fighter. He expects a close decision win.
Daniel Levi slightly leans Jessica Penne as the underdog, citing that both fighters are past their primes but Penne has been more active and showed some offensive output in her last fight. He notes that Karolina Kowalkiewicz has not been the same since her diagnosis and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Penne can win a split decision by taking the back or having top control, though he acknowledges Kowalkiewicz is better on the feet.
Kowalkiewicz should keep the fight on the feet and use her striking to outwork Penne. Penne needs to grapple to win, but Kowalkiewicz has good movement and should avoid the clinch. The striking difference is wide, and Kowalkiewicz may even get a TKO. She is coming back after a long layoff but has a favorable matchup. Decision is most likely, but a KO prop has value.
Paul does not make a clear pick. He acknowledges the narrative around Kowalkiewicz's motivation and Penne's hunger, but does not commit.
The MMA Guru picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz over Jessica Penne. He argues Kowalkiewicz has faced much better competition and is more technical, despite being older (35). He criticizes Penne's striking and notes she didn't deserve her last win. He predicts Kowalkiewicz will outstrike Penne to a 30-27 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 31 of 87 | 35% | 98 of 158 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 40 of 74 | 54% | 68 of 106 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica Penne | 0 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 27 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 22 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 2 | Jessica Penne | 0 | 13 of 30 | 43% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 17 of 24 | 70% | 26 of 33 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 | |
| 3 | Jessica Penne | 0 | 3 of 17 | 17% | 47 of 61 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 20 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Penne | 31 of 87 | 35% | 19 of 63 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 82 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 40 of 74 | 54% | 31 of 63 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 37 of 68 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica Penne | 15 of 40 | 37% | 10 of 30 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 36 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 13 of 31 | 41% | 10 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | Jessica Penne | 13 of 30 | 43% | 7 of 20 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 17 of 24 | 70% | 14 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jessica Penne | 3 of 17 | 17% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 10 of 19 | 52% | 7 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by dominant decision. He notes that Penne is 38 years old, hasn't fought in nearly four years, and hasn't won in six years. He believes Godinez has a massive striking advantage and is strong enough to get back up if taken down. He expects Godinez to stuff takedowns and out-strike Penne. He does not see a finish likely as Godinez has no knockout wins and Penne is tough to submit. He considers Godinez a parlay piece but not in his own parlay.
Cody is very high on Godinez, praising her boxing, takedown defense, and cardio. He thinks Penne is old (38), has been out for years due to USADA, and has a history of getting hit and bleeding. He expects Godinez to keep the fight standing and win by decision or late TKO. He likes the third round finish prop at 16-1.
Daniel Levi picks Loopy Godinez, noting her crisp hands and toughness. He questions what happens if the fight goes to the mat, as Godinez's competition has been subpar, but believes she will piece up Jessica Penne on the feet. Levi mentions that Penne is nearing 40 and has been through a lot, including a USADA case, and that she has shown hesitancy in recent fights. He expects Godinez to win, possibly by knockout.
Manpreet picks Godinez by decision, but with hesitation due to Penne's long layoff and Godinez's unproven level. He believes Godinez's boxing and pressure will overwhelm Penne, who is 38 and has been away for four years. He expects Godinez to out-strike Penne over three rounds, though he notes Penne's submission threat if the fight goes to the ground.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Godinez has crisp boxing and power for 115 lbs. He thinks Penne's stand-up is marginal and she has been finished by elite fighters. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +255 and Godinez by knockout. He is confident in Godinez winning.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez to win by close decision. He doubts Jessica Penne's dedication after a long layoff since 2017, suggesting she may not have been training. He notes Godinez has a decent amateur career and some good wins, though not amazing. He believes Penne's mind may not be in the fight at 38 years old.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Taylor | 0 | 69 of 178 | 38% | 71 of 181 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 72 of 176 | 40% | 76 of 182 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danielle Taylor | 0 | 19 of 54 | 35% | 19 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 22 of 60 | 36% | 23 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Danielle Taylor | 0 | 31 of 72 | 43% | 31 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 29 of 72 | 40% | 32 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Danielle Taylor | 0 | 19 of 52 | 36% | 21 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 21 of 44 | 47% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Taylor | 69 of 178 | 38% | 37 of 136 | 31 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 55 of 159 | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 72 of 176 | 40% | 43 of 141 | 11 of 14 | 18 of 21 | 67 of 167 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danielle Taylor | 19 of 54 | 35% | 10 of 41 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 22 of 60 | 36% | 14 of 50 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 21 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danielle Taylor | 31 of 72 | 43% | 15 of 53 | 15 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 61 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 29 of 72 | 40% | 18 of 57 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 26 of 66 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danielle Taylor | 19 of 52 | 36% | 12 of 42 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 46 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 21 of 44 | 47% | 11 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 27 of 91 | 29% | 28 of 92 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 117 of 205 | 57% | 118 of 206 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 18 of 57 | 31% | 19 of 58 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 64 of 107 | 59% | 65 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 9 of 34 | 26% | 9 of 34 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 53 of 98 | 54% | 53 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 27 of 91 | 29% | 17 of 67 | 10 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 19 of 80 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 117 of 205 | 57% | 90 of 171 | 26 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 78 of 145 | 39 of 60 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 18 of 57 | 31% | 8 of 36 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 46 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 64 of 107 | 59% | 50 of 90 | 13 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 49 of 87 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 9 of 34 | 26% | 9 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 53 of 98 | 54% | 40 of 81 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 58 | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 126 of 204 | 61% | 162 of 247 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 25 of 88 | 28% | 28 of 91 | 0 of 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 38 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 8 of 26 | 30% | 11 of 29 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 57 of 81 | 70% | 75 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 9 of 33 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 3 | Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 46 of 76 | 60% | 49 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Jessica Penne | 0 | 8 of 29 | 27% | 8 of 29 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 126 of 204 | 61% | 81 of 155 | 18 of 22 | 27 of 27 | 96 of 160 | 24 of 35 | 6 of 9 |
| Jessica Penne | 25 of 88 | 28% | 13 of 69 | 7 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 24 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 23 of 47 | 48% | 12 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 12 of 32 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 7 |
| Jessica Penne | 8 of 26 | 30% | 3 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 57 of 81 | 70% | 40 of 62 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 9 | 40 of 58 | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Penne | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 26 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 46 of 76 | 60% | 29 of 58 | 6 of 7 | 11 of 11 | 44 of 70 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 2 |
| Jessica Penne | 8 of 29 | 27% | 5 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Emily Ducote but is hesitant due to a five-week trend of underdogs winning the first fight of the night. He notes Ducote's patient, accurate striking and wrestling, but acknowledges Penne's experience and the risk of a bad decision. He advises against betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes that Ducote is 11 years younger, has good takedown defense, and should be the better striker on the feet. He thinks she can stuff Penne's takedowns and outpoint her for three rounds. He warns that if Penne gets the fight to the mat, she could submit Ducote, but he expects Ducote to keep it standing.
Cody is confident in Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and well-rounded game. He notes that Penne is 39 and relies on takedowns, but Ducote has the grappling to defend and the striking to win on the feet. He believes Ducote has multiple paths to victory and is a good price at -150.
Daniel Levi leans Emily Ducote, noting she is experienced and has paid her dues. He expects a close fight where Ducote lands better strikes and gets top control, but must be careful of Penne's submissions. He sees it as a dog-or-pass situation and predicts a close decision.
Paul also picks Ducote, agreeing that she is the better fighter in all aspects. He notes her youth, experience, and recent improvements. He believes Penne's magic is running out and that Ducote will win, possibly by decision or TKO.
The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Jessica Penne, citing Ducote's power as a key advantage in the women's division. He notes that Ducote finished Danielle Taylor, who beat Penne by decision, and that Penne doesn't know how to fight. He acknowledges the unpredictability of women's MMA but sides with Ducote's power, believing it will impact judges' scorecards even if she is outlanded.
Controversy really does follow Demopoulos. Another decision up for debate. Following Kanako and Frey. Wrestling is terrible its seems. Went for a takedown end of rd3 and end up on her back. Ducote seems to be a volume striker but ate the harder punches. Demo rocks farmers arms kinda big and fat. Good footwork and solid punches against riff she could get the finish.