vs
-166 +160
UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez Next Fight
Age 35
Height 5' 11"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 9"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Shane Burgos
7.4 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
6.78 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.43 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
91.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Charles Jourdain
5.48 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.25 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.33 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
47.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Shane Burgos
Moneyline
FanDuel -166
KO/TKO
FanDuel +230
Submission
FanDuel +850
Decision
FanDuel +240
Charles Jourdain
Moneyline
Caesars +160
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
FanDuel +420
Shane Burgos - Fight History
Decision (majority) (29–28, 29–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shane Burgos 0 42 of 80 52% 67 of 116 2 of 7 28% 3 0 6:25
Charles Jourdain 0 113 of 188 60% 161 of 241 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shane Burgos 0 12 of 27 44% 12 of 31 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:24
Charles Jourdain 0 24 of 41 58% 39 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:41
2 Shane Burgos 0 4 of 8 50% 28 of 39 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:02
Charles Jourdain 0 5 of 11 45% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Shane Burgos 0 26 of 45 57% 27 of 46 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:59
Charles Jourdain 0 84 of 136 61% 115 of 169 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shane Burgos 42 of 80 52% 16 of 47 6 of 12 20 of 21 28 of 61 13 of 18 1 of 1
Charles Jourdain 113 of 188 60% 72 of 145 36 of 37 5 of 6 68 of 133 41 of 51 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shane Burgos 12 of 27 44% 3 of 13 4 of 8 5 of 6 6 of 17 6 of 10 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 24 of 41 58% 10 of 26 10 of 11 4 of 4 14 of 27 9 of 13 1 of 1
2 Shane Burgos 4 of 8 50% 2 of 5 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Charles Jourdain 5 of 11 45% 2 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Shane Burgos 26 of 45 57% 11 of 29 1 of 2 14 of 14 19 of 37 7 of 8 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 84 of 136 61% 60 of 112 23 of 23 1 of 1 49 of 95 32 of 38 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Shane Burgos vs. Charles Jourdain
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Burgos (-170), Jourdain (+145)

Round 1
Mayhem is almost certainly on the menu for this featherweight contest between ferocious strikers Burgos (14-3, 7-3 UFC) and Jourdain (13-4-1, 4-3-1 UFC). Receiving the biggest pop of the evening thus far is New Yorker Burgos, who hopes to channel the crowd’s energy and handle the high-flying Canadian. Referee Keith Peterson has his hands full for the nonsense-free chaos that is likely about to ensue, and the two men light the fuse that is their bout with a glove touch. Burgos immediately begins to walk the Canadian down, and he blocks a head kick from the retreating Jourdain. Burgos reaches Jourdain with a few punches, and Jourdain pushes out several front kicks. A right hand from Burgos shakes Jourdain up, and Jourdain bounces off the wall behind him to reset. Burgos continues his constant forward movement, and he unexpectedly grabs hold of the legs to try a takedown. Burgos manages to get Jourdain down, and he finds himself in guillotine choke danger. “Hurricane Shane” shakes off the choke so that he can move to take the back, and Jourdain stands up and tries to peel Burgos off of him with the wire. Burgos uses this moment to jump on to his back, and he kicks off the fence to pull Jourdain back down. When down on the ground, Burgos latches on to a neck crank, and Peterson checks to make sure that Jourdain is still with it. He is good to go, and he slides his neck out of the crushing grip. Jourdain stands up again, even with Burgos on his back, and he not as much moves out the back door as he does slide out the side, and he lowers Burgos down to the ground. Burgos explodes back to his feet, and when he does, Jourdain meets him with a punch that draws a smile. Jourdain ties his man up and unloads with several knees to the body, and these have a noticeable impact as he slows Burgos down and finds the home with several short yet powerful blows. Burgos strides forward confidently, and Jourdain counters him by trying to sweep the legs. Burgos keeps himself upright and blocks a few kicks, and he plods ahead to throw hands. Jourdain again ties him up and works the midsection with knees until they break. Burgos offers him a glove touch after the multiple successful blows, and he steps in with a leg kick. Burgos winds up with one that lands with a loud slap, and Jourdain grabs him and spams knees. “Air” Jourdain just misses with a flying knee, and the clinch draws out a few strikes before the horn sounds. This round could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 2
The featherweights meet in the middle with a slap of gloves to start off the round, and Jourdain backs off and reaches out with front kicks. Backing up, Jourdain sneaks in a right hand, and Burgos walks through it only to absorb a left hand that makes him smile. Jourdain is throwing leather as he keeps his safe range, and he beats Burgos to the punch in a few exchanges. Burgos rips the body with a right hand, but it is one-and-done as Jourdain escapes on the outside. When Jourdain overthrows on a strike, Burgos moves to take Jourdain from behind. Burgos manages to climb on to the back and lock up a body triangle while Jourdain is standing, leaning Burgos into the wall. Burgos cannot free his hands to hunt for a choke, but he does lean back to pull Jourdain away from the fencing and force Jourdain to bear his full weight. Jourdain bucks suddenly and bends over, and Burgos hands on tight and frees his hands to go after a rear-naked choke. Jourdain rolls all the way over, but Burgos’ body triangle keeps him tightly pressed on his man. The Canadian wriggles and shakes in an effort to get Burgos off of him, but it is to no avail, as Burgos starts to bop him on the sides of the head with very short punches. Burgos isolates the neck and bails on it to flirt with a Suloev Stretch, which makes Jourdain drop to his knees so a kneebar does not come from the position. The back control of Burgos is heavy and smothering, forcing Jourdain back down to his knees and nearly flattening him out. “Air” cannot get some space, and he finds himself in submission danger as Burgos locks on to a rear-naked choke that is just crushing on Jourdain’s jaw right below the nose. Jourdain toughs it out and stops Burgos from tapping him, and Burgos gets the crowd motivated as he smacks Jourdain upside the head until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Burgos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Burgos
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Burgos

Round 3
The exciting featherweights meet in the middle, and Burgos chops at the lead leg a few times to open up early. Jourdain responds with similar strikes, and they trade right hands as chants of “USA” rain down for the New Yorker. Burgos walks Jourdain down but eats several jabs on the way forward, and he is fighting in phone booth throwing punches to the body and kicks to the calf. Jourdain meets him with straight punches, and he chains a few punches together to mark Burgos’ face up. The jabs keep splitting the guard, and he backs Burgos up and scores several times without concern. Burgos is right there ready to trade, and he gets beaten to the punch several times as Jourdain’s left finds its home repeatedly. Jourdain strings together a sharp combination, leading to Burgos attempting a single. The Canadian defends it well and drills Burgos with multiple uppercuts, hurting Burgos but not getting him off of him. Burgos tries to pull Jourdain down, but Jourdain turns him around and knees him in the face. Burgos drops down to a knee when absorbing those strikes, and Jourdain rips the body several times. Jourdain lets his hands go as Burgos is reeling, and he is hurting Burgos with several big shots. Jourdain opens up with several hooks and kicks low, and Burgos’ single responses are labored and largely ineffective. Burgos, stuck against the wall, eats big punches and uppercuts, and Jourdain mixes it up with a flying knee. Jourdain unloads on Burgos with knees to the head and body, and his hands do not stop moving as he batters Burgos constantly. Burgos looks at the camera and sticks out his tongue, and Jourdain looses a vicious elbow that staggers Burgos. The New Yorker falls back against the fence, and he rebounds and ducks down to tie Jourdain up from the back. Burgos takes the back and slows the onslaught, and Jourdain grabs the fence to stay afloat. Jourdain yells “come on” as Burgos drags him down, only to spring right back up. With seconds left on the clock, they throw caution to the wind, and Jourdain nails him with a head kick. Burgos swings with everything he has left, as does Jourdain, and Peterson has to get between them when the final bell sounds. What a round for Jourdain, doing to Burgos what Burgos likes to do to people. They go the distance, and this fight could hinge on the first round’s score.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)

The Official Result
Shane Burgos def. Charles Jourdain via Majority Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Angelo picks Shane Burgos, citing his pressure, volume, and body work. He acknowledges Jourdain's power and chin, but believes Burgos's insane output (232 strikes in last fight) will be the difference. He notes the odds are wider than expected and expects a close fight.

predicts fight of the night candidate
"shane is the pick but this will be a fun fight and i do think this will be a very close fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Big Brady picks Shane Burgos to win by decision. He highlights Burgos's volume (almost 8 significant strikes per minute) and a 6.5-inch reach advantage as key factors. He acknowledges Burgos's poor striking defense and reliance on his chin, but believes Burgos's skill and volume will outwork Jourdain. He expects a war but thinks Burgos wins on the scorecards.

"i'm gonna say burgos wins this fight um based off of the volume here it's gonna be a war it's gonna be fun give me shane burgos to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Cody picks Burgos, citing his high volume and experience against elite competition. He notes that Burgos lands a massive number of significant strikes and has fought top featherweights, while Jourdain's wins are over lower-level opponents. Cody acknowledges Burgos' chin issues but believes his forward pressure and output will overwhelm Jourdain.

Fight of the Night (plus 600)
"i think it's going to be an absolute scrap burgos could get knocked out we need to recognize that he fights reckless he fights dangerous"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Daniel Levi picks Shane Burgos, believing Burgos is slightly ahead of Jourdain at this stage. He praises Burgos's boxing, pressure, and durability, but notes his defensive flaws and tendency to fight with his hands down. Levi thinks Jourdain is improving but not ready yet, and expects Burgos to win via pressure and pocket boxing.

concerns about Burgos's chin and defense
"i'm gonna pick shane burgos to win it's just the concerns are the guy fights with his hands down his chin up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Paul agrees with Cody, stating that Burgos' volume and durability will be key. He notes that Burgos has fought and performed well against top-tier opponents, while Jourdain's resume is less impressive. Paul expects a high-paced war but believes Burgos' experience and output will carry him to victory.

"i totally agree not even gonna add anything to it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

The MMA Guru picks Shane Burgos over Charles Jourdain, citing Burgos's durability and Jourdain's tendency to fade. He references Jourdain's loss to Julian Erosa, who walked him down, and believes Burgos's chin and pressure will be too much. He predicts Burgos will finish Jourdain by TKO in the third round with body shots and ground-and-pound.

predicts third-round TKO
"i think he's going to get a finish in round three by tko to ground and pound finishing off charles jordan"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Nov 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shane Burgos 0 193 of 288 67% 232 of 329 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:26
Billy Quarantillo 0 164 of 349 46% 196 of 383 0 of 14 0% 0 0 2:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shane Burgos 0 54 of 81 66% 68 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
Billy Quarantillo 0 63 of 131 48% 81 of 150 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:19
2 Shane Burgos 0 82 of 114 71% 85 of 117 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Billy Quarantillo 0 54 of 130 41% 57 of 133 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
3 Shane Burgos 0 57 of 93 61% 79 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:00
Billy Quarantillo 0 47 of 88 53% 58 of 100 0 of 10 0% 0 0 1:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shane Burgos 193 of 288 67% 133 of 219 32 of 37 28 of 32 162 of 252 30 of 35 1 of 1
Billy Quarantillo 164 of 349 46% 129 of 301 28 of 39 7 of 9 145 of 322 19 of 27 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shane Burgos 54 of 81 66% 37 of 61 8 of 9 9 of 11 53 of 79 1 of 2 0 of 0
Billy Quarantillo 63 of 131 48% 49 of 109 11 of 17 3 of 5 54 of 120 9 of 11 0 of 0
2 Shane Burgos 82 of 114 71% 55 of 84 14 of 17 13 of 13 71 of 100 11 of 14 0 of 0
Billy Quarantillo 54 of 130 41% 43 of 116 8 of 11 3 of 3 52 of 125 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Shane Burgos 57 of 93 61% 41 of 74 10 of 11 6 of 8 38 of 73 18 of 19 1 of 1
Billy Quarantillo 47 of 88 53% 37 of 76 9 of 11 1 of 1 39 of 77 8 of 11 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Angelo picks Shane Burgos, but acknowledges Billy Quarantillo as a live underdog. He notes Burgos's high volume, body work, and chin, but also his high strike absorption rate. He believes Burgos's takedown defense (89%) will be tested, but that Burgos has shown he can get back up. He thinks the longer the fight goes, the more Burgos's body shots will pay off.

"i very narrowly am going to side with shane here because even though billy has the better striking stats at this point in his career shane's chin is still holding up"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Big Brady picks Shane Burgos to win by decision. He notes Burgos's striking volume and power, while Quarantillo is hittable and may struggle to get takedowns. Brady acknowledges Burgos's durability and takedown defense, but also his recent knockout loss and short turnaround. He thinks Quarantillo's wrestling won't be effective against Burgos, and the fight will be a war with Burgos winning on the feet.

win by decision
"i'll go decision i'll say shane burgos does win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Cody picks Burgos, citing his superior striking and takedown defense. He believes Burgos will keep the fight standing, chip away, and win a decision. He notes Quarantillo's cardio and toughness but doubts his power to hurt Burgos. He recommends Burgos by decision at +175.

Burgos by decision (+175)
"i got to go with shane burgos and if i'm trying to improve that line i go with burgos by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Billy Quarantillo

Daniel Levi picks Billy Quarantillo as a plus 170 dog, fading Shane Burgos because Burgos fights with his hands down and hasn't learned his lesson. Levi believes Quarantillo is a dog who will capitalize on that weakness, and that Burgos's last fight against Edson Barboza was uncomfortable to watch. He notes that Quarantillo leveled up after the Gavin Tucker loss and ran through Gabriel Benitez. Levi expects a dogfight where Quarantillo thrives.

plus 170 dog
"give me billy q for the upset"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Jacob picks Shane Burgos, emphasizing his grappling skills as a black belt and his body shots. He believes Burgos is no slouch on the ground and can handle Quarantillo's grappling. He thinks the fight could turn into a grappling match, but Burgos is well-rounded. He likes Burgos all the way, though he is unsure about the DraftKings price.

"i'm shane all the way you know at 9 000 i don't know if i love that 9 000 mark for for draftkings"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

The host picks Burgos by decision, believing his technical striking and movement will outclass Quarantillo's pressure. He notes Burgos' chin and durability should hold up. He considered Burgos' decision prop at +200 but thinks it's a sweat.

"i like shane burgos here i think his chin holds up his durability holds up and he showcases that he's the much better technical striker"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Paul agrees with Cody, seeing Burgos as the better striker. He notes Quarantillo needs to get the fight to the mat to win, but Burgos's takedown defense should keep it standing. He doesn't love the price but thinks Burgos wins.

"i was kind of seeing it the same way didn't really love the price"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

The Guru picks Shane Burgos, citing his reach advantage and improved grappling defense. He believes Burgos will pick Quarantillo apart at range with body shots and leg kicks, and that Quarantillo lacks the power to KO Burgos. The Guru predicts a 29-28 decision, with Burgos winning two rounds clearly.

"I'm gonna go shane burgos here."
LOSS vs Edson Barboza
KO (punches) R3 1:16 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edson Barboza 0 80 of 180 44% 80 of 180 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Shane Burgos 1 98 of 191 51% 98 of 191 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edson Barboza 0 33 of 79 41% 33 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Shane Burgos 0 41 of 83 49% 41 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Edson Barboza 0 40 of 83 48% 40 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Burgos 0 39 of 82 47% 39 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Edson Barboza 0 7 of 18 38% 7 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Burgos 1 18 of 26 69% 18 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edson Barboza 80 of 180 44% 41 of 131 24 of 33 15 of 16 80 of 179 0 of 1 0 of 0
Shane Burgos 98 of 191 51% 51 of 134 14 of 17 33 of 40 96 of 189 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edson Barboza 33 of 79 41% 20 of 65 10 of 11 3 of 3 33 of 78 0 of 1 0 of 0
Shane Burgos 41 of 83 49% 19 of 55 5 of 5 17 of 23 41 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Edson Barboza 40 of 83 48% 19 of 55 14 of 21 7 of 7 40 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Burgos 39 of 82 47% 23 of 63 8 of 10 8 of 9 39 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Edson Barboza 7 of 18 38% 2 of 11 0 of 1 5 of 6 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Burgos 18 of 26 69% 9 of 16 1 of 2 8 of 8 16 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Burgos has a phenomenal chin, high volume (7.31 strikes/min), and excellent cardio. Barboza struggles with pressure and has low output. Burgos will pressure Barboza, land more strikes, and wear him down. I expect a late knockout in the third round as the damage accumulates.

by KO round 3
"I'm gonna take burgos to win here i'm gonna take him to win by um i'll say i'll say third round knockout for shane burgos"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Cody is a Burgos fan and picks him confidently. He argues that Barboza has taken too much damage over his career and is slowing down. Cody believes Burgos will walk Barboza down, out-volume him, and win a decision. He notes that Burgos is younger and his wrestling and ground game are improving.

"i'm obviously a burgos guy first and foremost like what he brings to the table these tigers shulman guys i mean universally across the board they're doing some excellent stuff"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Daniel Levi picks Shane Burgos, emphasizing his high work rate, forward pressure, and durability. He notes that Barboza fades in later rounds and has been outworked by pressure fighters like Dan Ige. Levi thinks Burgos's chin can hold up to Barboza's early power, and that his constant pressure will break Barboza. He predicts a 29-27 decision or late TKO for Burgos.

mentions Burgos's underrated kicks and Barboza's chin issues
"i got to go with burgos here because of the pressure the output and the non-stop forward pressure"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

The host picks Burgos with relatively high confidence after watching tape. He notes Burgos's pressure and forward movement will trouble Barboza, who struggles when backed up. He thinks Burgos has better volume and versatility, and that Barboza's leg kicks are a concern but Burgos can eat them. He predicts a decision win for Burgos.

Burgos by decision
"i'll go burgos and i'll go with burgers by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Paul picks Burgos, noting that Barboza is past his prime and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Burgos will out-volume Barboza and win a decision. Paul mentions that Barboza's chin is questionable and he slows down in later rounds. He expects a close first round, then Burgos pulling away.

"the pick would be burgos but it's like you know this is an all-action fight between two strikers"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

The MMA Guru picks Shane Burgos over Edson Barboza, citing Burgos's youth, reach advantage, and excellent chin. He believes Barboza will win the first round but slow down, allowing Burgos to take over in the second and third. He predicts a 29-27 decision for Burgos and suggests betting on a draw as a prop.

Bet on a draw (prop bet mentioned)
"i'm going with hurricane shane burgos"
LOSS vs Josh Emmett
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Jun 20, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Emmett 2 127 of 266 47% 136 of 275 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:24
Shane Burgos 0 128 of 250 51% 148 of 270 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Emmett 0 36 of 88 40% 36 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Shane Burgos 0 46 of 66 69% 46 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Josh Emmett 0 40 of 88 45% 40 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Burgos 0 48 of 90 53% 48 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Josh Emmett 2 51 of 90 56% 60 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:16
Shane Burgos 0 34 of 94 36% 54 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Emmett 127 of 266 47% 98 of 232 16 of 21 13 of 13 111 of 243 0 of 0 16 of 23
Shane Burgos 128 of 250 51% 68 of 174 20 of 32 40 of 44 121 of 243 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Emmett 36 of 88 40% 26 of 76 5 of 7 5 of 5 36 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Burgos 46 of 66 69% 20 of 33 8 of 14 18 of 19 39 of 59 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Josh Emmett 40 of 88 45% 33 of 81 2 of 2 5 of 5 40 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Burgos 48 of 90 53% 28 of 66 7 of 9 13 of 15 48 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Josh Emmett 51 of 90 56% 39 of 75 9 of 12 3 of 3 35 of 67 0 of 0 16 of 23
Shane Burgos 34 of 94 36% 20 of 75 5 of 9 9 of 10 34 of 94 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Josh Emmett

Big Brady picks Josh Emmett to win by knockout in the second round, citing Emmett's tremendous power and Burgos' tendency to absorb a lot of strikes. He thinks the small cage will help Emmett engage more and land a clean shot. He notes that on paper Burgos looks great, but Emmett's power is a game-changer.

pick by knockout in second round; suggests betting Emmett by KO prop
"I am picking Josh Emmett to win here by knockout I know Burgos is probably a popular bet this week but I just see in my head when this plays out just Emmett cracking them at some point and knocking …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Daniel Levi leans toward Shane Burgos, citing his superior technique, variety of strikes, and size advantage. He acknowledges Josh Emmett's one-punch knockout power and notes that Burgos fights with his hands down, which is risky. Levi sees Burgos winning a decision if it goes the distance but admits Emmett could knock him out at any time. He calls it a pass from a betting perspective.

pass from betting perspective
"I'm going to lean with Shane Burgos here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Burgos has a great chin and recovery, as seen in the Calvillo fight. He stalks opponents, cuts off the cage, and rips to the body. The smaller cage benefits his pressure style. He will eat Emmett's power shots, make him gas, and get a TKO in the third round.

"Shane Burgos gets it done the reach advantage to size advantage it's just all too much to bet against Shane Burgos here... eventual third round TKO"
TKO (punches) R3 4:32 · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · Nov 02, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shane Burgos 1 105 of 155 67% 161 of 217 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:31
Makwan Amirkhani 0 22 of 48 45% 23 of 49 3 of 19 15% 1 0 4:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shane Burgos 0 6 of 17 35% 16 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Makwan Amirkhani 0 8 of 14 57% 9 of 15 3 of 10 30% 1 0 2:45
2 Shane Burgos 0 27 of 44 61% 61 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
Makwan Amirkhani 0 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:16
3 Shane Burgos 1 72 of 94 76% 84 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Makwan Amirkhani 0 9 of 18 50% 9 of 18 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shane Burgos 105 of 155 67% 61 of 108 41 of 43 3 of 4 39 of 78 15 of 17 51 of 60
Makwan Amirkhani 22 of 48 45% 21 of 46 1 of 2 0 of 0 21 of 47 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shane Burgos 6 of 17 35% 4 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 15 1 of 2 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Shane Burgos 27 of 44 61% 11 of 25 14 of 16 2 of 3 14 of 28 1 of 1 12 of 15
Makwan Amirkhani 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Shane Burgos 72 of 94 76% 46 of 68 25 of 25 1 of 1 20 of 35 13 of 14 39 of 45
Makwan Amirkhani 9 of 18 50% 8 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Cub Swanson
Decision (split) (30–27, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · May 04, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shane Burgos 0 129 of 256 50% 132 of 260 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:37
Cub Swanson 0 134 of 268 50% 147 of 282 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shane Burgos 0 37 of 73 50% 37 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cub Swanson 0 41 of 81 50% 41 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Shane Burgos 0 43 of 96 44% 43 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cub Swanson 0 48 of 95 50% 48 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Shane Burgos 0 49 of 87 56% 52 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:37
Cub Swanson 0 45 of 92 48% 58 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shane Burgos 129 of 256 50% 66 of 167 14 of 26 49 of 63 113 of 239 11 of 12 5 of 5
Cub Swanson 134 of 268 50% 82 of 208 18 of 25 34 of 35 128 of 260 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shane Burgos 37 of 73 50% 18 of 42 5 of 11 14 of 20 37 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cub Swanson 41 of 81 50% 24 of 60 5 of 9 12 of 12 40 of 80 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Shane Burgos 43 of 96 44% 26 of 73 5 of 9 12 of 14 41 of 94 2 of 2 0 of 0
Cub Swanson 48 of 95 50% 31 of 75 5 of 7 12 of 13 48 of 95 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Shane Burgos 49 of 87 56% 22 of 52 4 of 6 23 of 29 35 of 72 9 of 10 5 of 5
Cub Swanson 45 of 92 48% 27 of 73 8 of 9 10 of 10 40 of 85 5 of 7 0 of 0
Submission (armbar) R1 2:11 · UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Nov 03, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shane Burgos 0 17 of 24 70% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Kurt Holobaugh 1 21 of 51 41% 26 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shane Burgos 0 17 of 24 70% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Kurt Holobaugh 1 21 of 51 41% 26 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shane Burgos 17 of 24 70% 13 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2 17 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kurt Holobaugh 21 of 51 41% 14 of 40 1 of 2 6 of 9 19 of 48 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shane Burgos 17 of 24 70% 13 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2 17 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kurt Holobaugh 21 of 51 41% 14 of 40 1 of 2 6 of 9 19 of 48 1 of 2 1 of 1
LOSS vs Calvin Kattar
TKO (punches) R3 0:32 · UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Jan 20, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Calvin Kattar 1 85 of 194 43% 86 of 195 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Shane Burgos 0 89 of 186 47% 91 of 188 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Calvin Kattar 0 40 of 76 52% 40 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Burgos 0 33 of 78 42% 33 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Calvin Kattar 0 35 of 94 37% 36 of 95 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Shane Burgos 0 55 of 101 54% 57 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Calvin Kattar 1 10 of 24 41% 10 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Shane Burgos 0 1 of 7 14% 1 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Calvin Kattar 85 of 194 43% 73 of 174 5 of 10 7 of 10 79 of 182 1 of 2 5 of 10
Shane Burgos 89 of 186 47% 46 of 126 25 of 38 18 of 22 86 of 182 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Calvin Kattar 40 of 76 52% 32 of 66 4 of 5 4 of 5 40 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Burgos 33 of 78 42% 21 of 61 8 of 12 4 of 5 33 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Calvin Kattar 35 of 94 37% 31 of 84 1 of 5 3 of 5 34 of 92 1 of 2 0 of 0
Shane Burgos 55 of 101 54% 25 of 60 17 of 25 13 of 16 52 of 97 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Calvin Kattar 10 of 24 41% 10 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 5 of 10
Shane Burgos 1 of 7 14% 0 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyler Phillips 0 36 of 77 46% 48 of 92 7 of 13 53% 0 0 7:13
Charles Jourdain 0 58 of 104 55% 88 of 142 1 of 4 25% 0 1 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyler Phillips 0 6 of 12 50% 14 of 21 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:51
Charles Jourdain 0 5 of 10 50% 15 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kyler Phillips 0 10 of 22 45% 12 of 26 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:36
Charles Jourdain 0 22 of 42 52% 38 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:21
3 Kyler Phillips 0 20 of 43 46% 22 of 45 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:46
Charles Jourdain 0 31 of 52 59% 35 of 57 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyler Phillips 36 of 77 46% 28 of 68 6 of 7 2 of 2 34 of 75 0 of 0 2 of 2
Charles Jourdain 58 of 104 55% 28 of 62 26 of 37 4 of 5 41 of 86 17 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyler Phillips 6 of 12 50% 5 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 2
Charles Jourdain 5 of 10 50% 3 of 6 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Kyler Phillips 10 of 22 45% 6 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 22 of 42 52% 8 of 22 12 of 18 2 of 2 13 of 32 9 of 10 0 of 0
3 Kyler Phillips 20 of 43 46% 17 of 40 2 of 2 1 of 1 20 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 31 of 52 59% 17 of 34 12 of 15 2 of 3 24 of 45 7 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-140); Phillips (+110)

Round 1
Once a fighter deemed on the rise at bantamweight, Phillips (12-4, 6-3 UFC) has fallen on hard times to reach his first career losing streak. Inactivity and inconsistent results have plagued “The Matrix” since his debut with the company in 2020, so he will try to take the wind out of the sails of high-flying Canadian Jourdain (17-8-1, 8-7-1 UFC). In this co-main event, referee Jerin Valel is on standby. The athletes gladly touch gloves before handling their business.
Phillips rushes forward to put his jab in the face of the Canadian and force him to fight off his back foot. Jourdain welcomes this so he can measure a flying knee, and he misses it by a small margin. Phillips shoots in on his hips to take the fight down, and Jourdain hops around on one leg and drops to his back. “Air” Jourdain sets up a triangle choke when put down, and Phillips springs out of it and positions himself in side control. Phillips jumps over into full mount, so Jourdain times twisting to his side to thwart it partially. Phillips get stuck in a partial half guard position, and Jourdain explodes back to his feet and puts his back to the wall to try to scrape Phillips off of him. Phillips completes a mat return, and Jourdain sits down to set up a kimura in hopes of sweeping. Phillips is wise to it all and smothers as he regains half guard, fighting off the bucks and shifts of the active Canadian.
Jourdain tries to fight back while on his back, slashing with elbows until he flirts with a guillotine choke while on his seat. Phillips leaps all the way over through it to get himself in a better position, preferring to stay on top rather than go for anything in particular. When Jourdain sits up, Phillips slings him down, and Phillips has to mind his P’s and Q’s as an upkick zooms right at his face. Jourdain hunts for a triangle choke, and Phillips is about to slam him out of it but lets go before the impact. Phillips controls with his wrestling, reassuming himself on top for mere seconds as Jourdain once more bucks and escapes. Jourdain leans against the wall to keep his balance, and he hunts for a guillotine choke. Phillips immediately abandons the grappling, and Jourdain points at him. Jourdain slings two huge punches, catching the American cleanly. Phillips attacks back with a vengeance, but it is Jourdain who swings more violently as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Phillips
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Phillips
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Phillips

Round 2
Jourdain goes right after his opponent as the round begins, backing off only when Phillips initiates a few jabs. Jourdain gets right back to crowding him after those sequences, and he boots Phillips in the gut. Phillips times the kick perfectly, sweeping the other leg to dump the Canadian on his back like a back of groceries. Jourdain scrambles and slithers his legs between Phillips to trip him up, where he briefly turns Phillips over. Phillips regains position, ignoring a possible guillotine from Jourdain to body lock him down to the floor. Jourdain on his seat thinks about another guillotine, but he does not have the leverage for it. Instead, Jourdain climbs back up even as Phillips holds his other limb, and he jacks Phillips in the jaw three times with vicious uppercuts. When Phillips adjusts his grip, Jourdain tries to actually get hold of that guillotine he is seeking, but Phillips is able to move well enough to force him back and reset. The two crash together like waves in the night, both slamming into one another with power strikes.
Jourdain misses on another jump knee, but his front kick to the stomach takes the wind out of Phillips’ sails a bit. Jourdain practically sprints at his man and belts him with a left, right and a left. Phillips kicks him in the side, but it has far less venom than before and Jourdain knows it. Phillips gloms onto the Canadian, who is looking for a standing kimura to readjust their position. They break free, and Jourdain is the aggressor, chasing “The Matrix” around and just missing with a spinning back elbow. Phillips hurls Jourdain to the mat, and Jourdain turns the tables, puts himself on his knees and threatens with a choke. There is no choke to be had, so they fight their way back up and proceed to recklessly duke it out. Phillips busts Jourdain in the chops with an uppercut and stays away from the crazy, flying moves aimed at him for the most part. Jourdain ends the round with an inaccurate rolling thunder kick.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 3
It is all offense, all the time as the two bruisers proceed to harm, damage, bludgeon and bash one another with anything they can find. Jourdain’s arsenal is a broad one, while Phillips wants to ultimately turn his attacks into ground control. As they go back and forth, Phillips finds an opening and trips Jourdain down. Jourdain stands even while Phillips is controlling him from behind, hands clasped around his waist, and he still turns Phillips around. Jourdain thanks him for the bit of grappling with an elbow on the temple and a high knee, and he keeps after Phillips with long punches. Phillips fires off an uppercut and a left hand to stun him for a second, but Jourdain does not need long to take a quick count of his teeth and leap at Phillips again with a flying knee.
When Jourdain goes to the well again with yet another flying knee, Phillips catches him in midair and slings him to the canvas. Jourdain wraps up Phillips left hand with a two-on-one wrist grip in hopes of sweeping Phillips off of him, but Phillips shuts it down with sheer force of will. Knowing Jourdain is about to stand, Phillips circles around to take his back standing. Jourdain keeps moving while pressed against the cage, spinning them about once before Phillips reasserts the controlling clinch posture. Jourdain trips Phillips to the floor, allows him to stand back up and belts him in the belly with his shin. Jourdain follows with a knee that busts Phillips’ left eyebrow wide open. Blood pours from the veritable axe wound on his face, and Phillips paws at it, knowing he suffered some real damage. He does not slow down, instead meeting Jourdain in the air with a right hand as Jourdain inevitably jumps. Phillips tries to throw Jourdain down one last time, but it is Jourdain who muscles him around and gives him everything he has to offer. The banger concludes with one last rolling thunder kick from Jourdain, this one banging into the back of his foe’s neck at the bell. The two bantamweights leave it all in the hands of the judges, likely about to become at least $100K richer for their back-and-forth rumble.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Jourdain)

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Kyler Phillips via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Angelo leans Charles Jourdain but is hesitant, noting Kyler Phillips is not a bum and has faced tough competition. He worries about Kyler's inconsistent cardio and Charles's lack of meaningful wins. He thinks Charles's experience and toughness give him a slight edge, but advises staying away from betting.

"I'm going to lean him here, very slight lean toward Charles. I am worried that he can be out-wrestled."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain, citing Kyler Phillips' poor cardio. He notes Phillips wins the first round but fades dramatically, as seen in fights against Oliveira and Font. Brady expects Jourdain to lose round one then turn it up, finishing Phillips by third-round knockout.

third round knockout
"I'm going to say Charles Jourdain wins this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Charles Jourdain, expecting him to win by decision after losing the first round. He notes that Kyler Phillips is a strong first-round fighter but fades, and Jourdain's high pace and guillotine threat will be key. He suggests live betting Jourdain after the first round.

over 2.5 rounds, split decision prop
"I do have Charles Rodane to win one way or another."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Connor also picks Jourdain, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Phillips has the Angela Hill problem of being too active without efficient fallback options, and his wins often involve him clinging on in the last round. Jourdain can pile on pressure and is capable of attritive weapons. Connor adds that Jourdain is inconsistent but will be there all the way through, ready to pour on offense.

Same odds as Zane.
"I'll take joedan too and it's a good fight, but it is a mid-card filler fight"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Daniel loves Jourdain's move to bantamweight, noting he looks incredible and has been finishing fights quickly. He believes Jourdain's pressure and durability will overcome Phillips' tendency to fade after the first round. He predicts Jourdain will win and become a top-10 contender.

"I'm going to pick Charlan to continue the win streak, get the biggest win of his career, and establish himself as a true contender in the UFC bantamweight division."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Jourdain has a big advantage on the feet with high volume and power, and he is the aggressor. Phillips has poor cardio and is a point fighter. However, Jourdain's takedown defense is weak and he is easy to hold down. Phillips could grapple his way to a decision. Home advantage for Jourdain is a factor. Lean Jourdain but not confident enough to bet at these odds.

"Jourdain is a very tempting bet for a lot of reasons, but there's just one thing that gives me like that nagging doubt."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

James picks Charles Jourdain to win via finish in round three. He notes that Kyler Phillips is dominant in round one but fades, while Jourdain is strong in round three and has finishing upside. He sees Jourdain's trajectory and self-belief as factors.

Charles Jourdain wins in round three
"I pick Charles Jordane to win this fight via finish in round three."
LU
Lucrative James Expert pick date unknown

The host mentions the co-main event but does not make a pick. He only expresses excitement for the fight.

"I'm liking the look of the co-main event where Charles Jourdain is taking on Kyle Nelson The Matrix. That's going to be an absolute fun all-out war."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

The host thinks Charles Jourdain is the side here, noting that Phillips has cardio issues and struggles under pressure. He expects Jourdain to apply pressure, work Phillips down, and find a finish in round two or three. He highlights Jourdain's dangerous guillotine and improved BJJ, and believes Phillips will either slow down or get caught in a submission if he grapples.

submission round three at +2500
"I think after a competitive first round, we see Jordain really start to pull away. He's got to know that Phillips does not like pressure, and I think you will see him start to apply that pressure, really work Phillips …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Charles Jourdain. He highlights that Phillips wins first rounds but fades, and Jourdain's work rate will take over. He also likes the split decision prop and suggests live betting.

over 2.5 rounds, split decision prop
"Pre flop, the the pick would be Charles Jordane. I'm not getting overly invested in that. Um, haven't even looked at the prices for it, but uh the splitty props um split props on this one could be kind of …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Zane picks Jourdain because he is a finisher and Phillips has a self-exhausting style, starting strong but fading. Jourdain is a diligent low kicker, body kicker, and throws body punches, and he's big for the division. Zane notes that Phillips has never been submitted, but Jourdain's guillotine is good. He also points out that Phillips' reach advantage isn't enough to keep Jourdain at bay, and Jourdain is consistently there making dynamic decisions.

Jourdain opened at -170, now -154; Phillips opened at +145, now +134.
"I will take joedan to just because he is a finisher and phillips is such a I've started strong, but I don't really he's not he's not a big hitter"
WIN vs Davey Grant
Submission R1 3:05 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 1 25 of 43 58% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Davey Grant 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 1 25 of 43 58% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:20
Davey Grant 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 25 of 43 58% 20 of 35 5 of 8 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 0 8 of 12
Davey Grant 9 of 26 34% 3 of 14 1 of 3 5 of 9 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 25 of 43 58% 20 of 35 5 of 8 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 0 8 of 12
Davey Grant 9 of 26 34% 3 of 14 1 of 3 5 of 9 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Davey Grant vs. Charles Jourdain
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-170); Grant (+140)

Round 1
Hold onto your hats, because Jourdain (16-8-1, 7-7-1 UFC) and Grant (17-7, 8-6 UFC) are about to trade leather. The bantamweights that tend to put on a show will be officiated by referee Jason Herzog. They opt to bump fists before jacking one another on the jaw.
Grant strides forward, and he catches an oncoming body kick. He releases it and lets fly a clubbing calf kick. Jourdain bounces off the fence and is just out of range from another kick to the midsection. Jourdain tags his man with a one-two, and Grant opens up with his own overhand right. Jourdain times a jump knee as Grant bears down on him, and he misses by a matter of inches. Grant hammers home another low kick, and he blocks a big knee. Jourdain lines up a straight left hand down the middle, and he whiffs on a looping left of his own. Jourdain absorbs a pair of punches and has to bounce on his heels to gets his bearings, and then leaps into action with a head kick and a powerful right hand. Grant grins at him and asks for more, so Jourdain obliges him. Grant throws back hard. Jourdain catches Grant with his jump knee, and Grant is tough but his forehead is split ever so slightly.
Grant calms himself and looses a heavy leg kick, and he gets blasted with another head kick. Jourdain finds the target with his flying knee, and Grant’s nose explodes in a bloody mess and topples to his back in a bad way.
Jourdain leaps on top and hammers the Brit with ground-and-pound, and Grant somehow survives even though his face is quickly transforming into a crimson mask. Grant turns over, and the Canadian sees his opening and snatches up his preferred move of a power guillotine choke. The moment that Jourdain, who has the grip clutched tight as can be, rolls Grant over, Grant taps out as fast as he can.
Even with Herzog getting between them in a timely manner, Grant appears to at least partially go out, as when he stands back up looking like a victim in an 80's slasher film, he finds that he is not quite capable of doing so on his own. The crowd goes ballistic.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Davey Grant R1 3:05 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Davey Grant

Angelo picks Davey Grant, citing his forward pressure, solid defense, and durability. He notes Charles Jourdain has cleaned up his wild style but may still be exploitable. Grant's age and chin are concerns, but his recent wins over Blackshear and a close fight with Marcos give confidence.

"I'm going to pick Davey Grant here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady likes Jourdain fighting at home and thinks the judges favor him. He notes Grant is 39 and father time is undefeated, especially at lower weight classes. He thinks Jourdain is getting Grant at the right time and picks him by decision, though he won't lay -170.

"I got to go with the Jordane side. Give me Charles Jordane to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Jourdain, citing his volume and unorthodox striking. He notes Grant doesn't wrestle much, which plays into Jourdain's strengths. Jourdain's takedown defense is a concern, but Grant doesn't shoot. Cody expects Jourdain to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I'm gonna go Charles Jordane on this one. Jump back on team Canada."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Davey Grant

Connor leans toward Davey Grant, citing Grant's consistent toughness, awkwardness, and ability to capitalize on retreating opponents. He notes that Jourdain can drift and have wrong ideas, and that Grant's pressure and durability could cause Jourdain trouble, especially given Jourdain's poor defensive wrestling and tendency to improvise. Connor also mentions the age gap (Grant is 39) but still favors Grant's reliability.

Grant opened at +170, dropped to -110, now +145; Jourdain opened -200, now -170. Connor notes the odds movement and suggests the line is influenced by age.
"I'm kind of leaning Davey Grant in this one."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

James finds this a tough fight to call, noting both fighters have struggled with certain styles. He leans toward Jourdain due to his better career trajectory and Grant's age (39). James mentions Jourdain's guillotine threat but expects a close fight.

"I'm going to end up going with Charles Jordane for my official prediction. I feel like his career trajectory is a little bit better than Davy Grant. Davy Grant is 39. At some point, he's going to fall off a …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

The host thinks Jourdain's youth, speed, unorthodox striking, and dangerous BJJ will help him chip away at Grant, pull off a desperation takedown, and eventually snatch a submission victory.

win by submission
"I think it's going to be the youth speed, unorthodox striking, and dangerous BJJ game of Davy Grant, which eventually helps him chip away at Grant, pull out a desperation takedown, and eventually lead to Jordane snatching up another submission …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Davey Grant

Paul picks Grant, citing his value as a dog. He notes Grant is always game and has good volume. Jourdain's weight cut to 135 is a concern, and Grant can exploit that. Paul plans to bet Grant at plus money.

"you give me plus money on Dave David Grant. I'm not going to waste your time with two months. This is like plus 150."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Davey Grant. He initially considered Grant due to his underdog success but believes Jourdain's skills are superior. He notes Jourdain's ability to beat opponents to the punch on the inside and his guillotine threats. He predicts Jourdain will catch Grant with a straight shot and possibly finish by TKO or guillotine, citing Grant's neck surgeries.

TKO or guillotine submission
"I'm going to go with Charles Jourdain getting this one done. And I think he'll chin Davey Grant."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Davey Grant

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Davey Grant. He emphasizes that Grant is always tough and crafty, and that Jourdain often shows up with the wrong plan or no plan, resorting to wild brawling that doesn't work well. Zane acknowledges that Grant's success can't last forever at 39, but he still expects Grant to deliver.

"Yeah, I think I'm gonna pick Davey Grant here, too."
CANCEL vs Ricky SimĂłn
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ricky SimĂłn

Angelo picks Ricky SimĂłn because of his relentless wrestling and cardio. He believes Charles does not have good enough takedown defense to stop multiple shots. He notes that Ricky's losses are to top competition and he is consistent.

"This should be Ricky all day long."
WIN vs Victor Henry
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 3:43 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 39 of 73 53% 50 of 87 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:17
Victor Henry 0 24 of 54 44% 39 of 75 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 28 of 46 60% 38 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Victor Henry 0 18 of 34 52% 28 of 45 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:18
2 Charles Jourdain 0 11 of 27 40% 12 of 28 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Victor Henry 0 6 of 20 30% 11 of 30 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 39 of 73 53% 19 of 49 14 of 18 6 of 6 31 of 62 8 of 11 0 of 0
Victor Henry 24 of 54 44% 8 of 30 11 of 17 5 of 7 22 of 51 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 28 of 46 60% 12 of 27 13 of 16 3 of 3 21 of 36 7 of 10 0 of 0
Victor Henry 18 of 34 52% 5 of 15 8 of 12 5 of 7 16 of 31 1 of 2 1 of 1
2 Charles Jourdain 11 of 27 40% 7 of 22 1 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Victor Henry 6 of 20 30% 3 of 15 3 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Victor Henry vs. Charles Jourdain
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-125), Henry (+105)

Round 1
Meeting in the middle after plenty of time in different divisions, ex-featherweight Jourdain (15-8-1, 6-7-1 UFC) shifts gears down to 135 pounds in hopes of keeping that explosiveness. He greets former flyweight Henry (24-6, 1 NC, 3-1, 1 NC UFC) at bantamweight, with the two drawing oversight from referee Black Grice. Speed will be the name of the game in this one, and they intend on showing it off just as soon as they complete their expected glove touch. Jourdain slowly plods forward, hand-fighting Henry’s probing jabs. Henry lands a pair of low kicks as Grice issues a warning for outstretched fingers. Jourdain whips a kick up high that is barely blocked, and Henry gets busy with low and body kicks. Henry secures a body kick that splits the guard, and he absorbs a clean low kick that makes him recoil his limb. Jourdain leaps in the air with a knee, and Henry swats it away. The two trade low kicks, and Jourdain prods out a front kick that knocks Henry back a step. A Jourdain jab is met with a leg kick, and Henry walks his foe down and connects with a left hook. Jourdain looses another quick head kick, and he races forward and puts as right hand on the jaw of “La Mangosta.” Henry keeps striding forward, but Jourdain is pecking at him with low kicks and longer punches. Henry attacks the body and lead leg with kicks, and Jourdain comes out firing with a pair of looping hooks. Henry gets off a body kick, and Jourdain trips Henry up and dumps him to the floor. The well-schooled Henry does not show any concern when Jourdain grips hold of a guillotine choke, and he escapes and resets. Henry walks him down and trips him out, putting Jourdain on his back thanks to sheer pressure. Jourdain posts off an arm to sit up, and Henry slickly shuts him down. Jourdain still explodes to his feet despite Henry’s wishes, and he trips Henry to a knee but does not complete it. Jourdain stands, wraps up a guillotine, and releases it to nails Henry with a flush elbow on the forehead. Henry blinks it out and loads up on a pair of right hands, and he gets countered and clips. Jourdain’s power shakes Henry up briefly, but Henry keeps marching onward throwing punches. Jourdain uses a sharp front kick and a head kick to slow Henry, and he tries to time a jump knee but Henry is wise to it and waits to press forward into a clinch. As Jourdain looks to frame off of Henry’s face, Henry trips his legs out. Henry no-sells a guillotine choke until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 2
The two touch gloves before getting going, and Henry is quick to assert heavy pressure. Jourdain is lighter on his feet, swinging harder and landing cleaner. Jourdain clips Henry, forcing Henry to close in on him and trying to clinch. Jourdain shucks him off and rips an uppercut up the middle, and he chews up Henry’s lead leg and strafes to the side. Henry gives chase, pushing out a front kick and a body kick, and he gets caught with an uppercut moving forward. Henry keeps his guard high, allowing Jourdain’s offense to throw him off-balance. Henry wrangles Jourdain to the floor, and he wraps up his opponent with a body lock while fishing for a rear-naked choke. Henry rolls when Jourdain scrambles, and he hunts for a choke any time he can spot an opening. Jourdain defends well and keeps turning, eventually settling to lean his side against the cage. Henry is warned for an elbow to the spine, and he lets Jourdain turn over so he can slip an arm on the side of the chin. Henry moves into top position, but he is dragged back to the guard of “La Mangosta.” Jourdain snatches up a guillotine choke on his back, and Henry pays it no mind as it is not locked up. The Canadian hacks with elbows off his back, and he sits up and nearly works his way up. Henry stifles a guillotine choke without issue by remaining calm, and Jourdain uses the grip to work to his feet.
The choke is still wrapped around Henry’s neck, and Jourdain jumps guard to set up and lock down the guillotine. This time, it is exceptionally tight, and Henry does not have a way out. With no more options, Henry frantically taps out, surrendering for the first time in his lengthy career.
Jourdain sends a message to his new division with his stoppage win, while also showing off his new, impressive back tattoo.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Victor Henry R2 3:43 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Victor Henry

Angelo is confident Victor Henry wins, calling Charles Jourdain 'just not that good' despite being fun. He thinks Henry has better technique and cardio, and will outwork Jourdain. He notes Henry is 37 but still looks good and fights smart. He placed a half unit bet on Henry at even money (minus 110). He acknowledges Jourdain has a fanbase but insists he is not an upper echelon fighter.

half unit on Victor Henry at -110
"Victor's going to be the pick and I actually threw a half unit on an even money at minus 110"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Victor Henry

Big Brady picks Victor Henry to win by decision. He likes Henry's nonstop volume (8.5 significant strikes per minute) and notes that Jourdain is a slow starter and has struggled with wrestling recently. Brady thinks Jourdain won't be able to take Henry down and that Henry's pace will overwhelm Jourdain over 15 minutes. He is picking against another Canadian.

"I'm going Henry to win this fight just based off of you know just doing a lot more over 15 so Henry by decision for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Victor Henry

Cody picks Victor Henry, citing his volume, wrestling, and experience. He questions Jourdain's weight cut to bantamweight and notes his recent KO loss and poor performances. He believes Henry's well-rounded game and durability will allow him to outwork Jourdain, especially if Jourdain struggles with the cut. He expects a close decision but favors Henry.

"I'm going to side with the volume and Victor Henry."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Jourdain to win his bantamweight debut, citing the size advantage after dropping down. He believes Jourdain's movement, kicks, and range will trouble Victor Henry, who has been outclassed by faster opponents. Vreeland notes Henry's toughness but thinks Jourdain's experience at higher weight classes and finally being the bigger fighter will lead to a win, though he wants to see the weigh-ins first.

"I'm gonna go Charles a Jordan to come out here and win his bantamweight debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Victor Henry

Henry is a very experienced and difficult opponent who has never been finished in his 30-fight career. He will put a pace, pressure, and volume that Jourdain is not used to, allowing Henry to grind out a win on the scorecards.

"Henry has never been finished in his 30 fight career and I expect him to go out there and put a pace pressure and volume that Jourdain is not used to allowing Henry to grind this fight out and win …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Victor Henry

Paul also picks Henry, noting his superior volume and wrestling. He is concerned about Jourdain's weight cut and recent knockout loss, and believes Henry's pressure and grappling will be too much. He sees the fight as close but expects Henry to edge it out, possibly by split decision.

"I'm with you I'm going to side with the volume and Victor Henry."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Victor Henry, citing Jourdain's physicality and dynamic striking. He believes Jourdain's clinch work and knees to the body will be key, and he predicts a TKO finish from the clinch. He notes that if Jourdain makes bantamweight effectively, he will have a significant advantage.

TKO from the clinch
"I'm going to go of Jordan with TKO I'm going to say it comes from the clinch"
LOSS vs Jean Silva
KO (punch) R2 1:22 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jean Silva 0 23 of 46 50% 24 of 48 3 of 7 42% 0 0 1:17
Charles Jourdain 2 34 of 55 61% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jean Silva 0 20 of 40 50% 20 of 41 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:34
Charles Jourdain 1 25 of 45 55% 26 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Jean Silva 0 3 of 6 50% 4 of 7 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
Charles Jourdain 1 9 of 10 90% 9 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jean Silva 23 of 46 50% 6 of 26 11 of 14 6 of 6 17 of 39 5 of 5 1 of 2
Charles Jourdain 34 of 55 61% 26 of 47 7 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 31 16 of 19 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jean Silva 20 of 40 50% 4 of 22 10 of 12 6 of 6 16 of 35 3 of 3 1 of 2
Charles Jourdain 25 of 45 55% 21 of 41 3 of 3 1 of 1 11 of 27 11 of 14 3 of 4
2 Jean Silva 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 9 of 10 90% 5 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4 5 of 5 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Jean Silva (147.5: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-120), Silva (+100)

Round 1
An all-action battle originally scheduled at 145 pounds takes center stage next, as ultra-aggressive Canadian striker Jourdain (15-7-1, 6-6-1 UFC) runs into the 92% finish rate of “Lord” Silva (12-2, 1-0 UFC). The latter came in heavy by 2.5 pounds, and he has surrendered 20% of his purse to Jourdain. With three decision wins across their 27 victories, referee Marc Goddard better bring his A-game to this catchweight match. Silva offers an apologetic glove touch to get things started, and Jourdain accepts. Jourdain says hello with a loud body kick, and Silva responds with a Mortal Kombat-esque extremely low leg sweep. Silva bounces out of the way from a left hand, and he leans back as a head kick buzzes past him. Two more head kicks from the Canadian miss, and Silva offers him a high-five after an exchange. Jourdain connects with a heavy low kick, and a front kick lands as well. Silva again whiffs on the head kick, and Silva once more high-fives him. Jourdain pounds on the front leg, and Silva is walking forward but not throwing anything of note. Jourdain jumps forward with a high body kick, and Silva pounces with two punches but lets up. “Air” lands another big kick, and Silva eats a left hand and tells his opponent to keep throwing. Jourdain changes things up with a sudden double-leg takedown, and he shucks off a guillotine choke but cannot keep his foe down. Jourdain gets to his feet first, and he fires off a head kick that misses the mark by a matter of inches. Silva leaps forward with a hacking elbow, and Jourdain bounces off the fence to find another angle. Silva misses with a jumping front kick, and his looping left hook is just slightly inaccurate. As Jourdain crashes the pocket, Silva blasts him in the face with a left hand. Jourdain hits the ground like a sack of potatoes, and Silva drops to his knees to land strikes before standing up and motioning for Jourdain to follow him up and trade hands. Silva moves awkwardly to mess with Jourdain, who is still struggling on his feet, and he connects with a number of heavy strikes including a huge left. Jourdain tries for another takedown, and Silva blocks it and elbows him several times in the side of the head until Jourdain abandons it. Silva pursues his man recklessly, unafraid of the Canadian’s power so he can throw bombs. Jourdain catches a kick and puts Silva on his back, but he cannot do anything with it before the wild round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
Silva claps hands and hugs Jourdain to start off the round, and he wants to say something but Jourdain is more interested in fighting. Silva gets off first, landing power strikes and otherwise making Jourdain react from mere feints. Jourdain shoots in for a single, and he drags Silva to a knee but Silva bounces back up to his feet with his back to the wall. Silva hacks at his man with an elbow in the side, and he allows Jourdain to abandon the takedown and lift his head up.
At the perfect moment, “Lord” unloads an uppercut that completely knocks Jourdain off his feet, and it is a done deal. Goddard steps in to wave off the one-sided beatdown, with Jourdain clutching the back of his head after it rattled off the floor.
Silva, who will unfortunately sacrifice a post-fight bonus for missing weight, is the first fighter to knock out the durable Canadian. When Jourdain comes to his senses, the two fighters embrace, and Silva proudly dons his team’s black-rimmed glasses of the Fighting Nerds. He even draws a smile from the stoic Goddard.

The Official Result
Jean Silva def. Charles Jourdain R2 1:22 via KO (Punch)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jean Silva

Cody picks Silva, citing his speed, power, and game planning. He notes that Jourdain is inconsistent and has poor takedown defense, while Silva comes from a strong camp (Fighting Nerds) and has a clear game plan. Cody believes Silva's physicality and striking will overwhelm Jourdain, and that he can win by knockout or decision. He also mentions that Jourdain often chases bonuses instead of fighting smart.

"I'm gonna go with Jean Silva to get the victory."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Daniel believes in 'paying your dues' and thinks Jourdain's experience and veteran tactics will be the separator. He notes that Jourdain's loss to Woodson was a bad stylistic matchup and that this fight is different. He expects a back-and-forth banger where Jourdain edges out a decision, though Silva may have moments and raise his stock.

wins by decision
"I think that Jordan... is currently slightly ahead of Gian Silva and I think he's going to Edge out a decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert pick date unknown

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jean Silva

The host leans Silva as a slight underdog, citing his speed and power advantage. He expects both fighters to engage in a wild striking battle, and believes Silva's physical attributes will allow him to land first and potentially get a knockout. He notes Jourdain has never been knocked out but thinks this could be the first time.

Silva by knockout
"I do lean Silva as The Slight Underdog in this spot... I think it's going to come to the speed and power advantage on the Jean Silva side and I think it ends up seeing him get the finish here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jean Silva

Paul leans toward Silva, noting that the line has moved from Jourdain being a favorite to a pick 'em. He believes Silva will land the more impactful strikes and that Jourdain's recent performances have been disappointing. Paul acknowledges that Jourdain has experience but thinks Silva's youth and power give him the edge.

"I'll lean towards Jean Silva but I feel like you kind of missed the boat if you're waiting until Wednesday to bet this."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Jean Silva. He believes Jourdain is more technical and better under pressure. He notes Jourdain's submission skills and ability to finish. He thinks Jourdain's best work comes against shorter, wild opponents. He predicts a second or third round TKO for Jourdain.

second or third round finish TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Jordan... second or third round finish TKO"
LOSS vs Sean Woodson
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sean Woodson 0 60 of 156 38% 78 of 175 0 of 4 0% 1 0 1:58
Charles Jourdain 0 80 of 168 47% 102 of 193 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sean Woodson 0 18 of 51 35% 20 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Charles Jourdain 0 31 of 72 43% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sean Woodson 0 22 of 46 47% 27 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:08
Charles Jourdain 0 28 of 51 54% 41 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sean Woodson 0 20 of 59 33% 31 of 71 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:45
Charles Jourdain 0 21 of 45 46% 22 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sean Woodson 60 of 156 38% 19 of 98 20 of 32 21 of 26 52 of 147 8 of 9 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 80 of 168 47% 59 of 143 10 of 13 11 of 12 70 of 156 8 of 9 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sean Woodson 18 of 51 35% 5 of 35 1 of 2 12 of 14 18 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 31 of 72 43% 19 of 60 6 of 6 6 of 6 28 of 68 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Sean Woodson 22 of 46 47% 8 of 29 9 of 11 5 of 6 18 of 42 4 of 4 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 28 of 51 54% 23 of 44 1 of 2 4 of 5 23 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Sean Woodson 20 of 59 33% 6 of 34 10 of 19 4 of 6 16 of 54 4 of 5 0 of 0
Charles Jourdain 21 of 45 46% 17 of 39 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 42 0 of 0 2 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Sean Woodson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-190), Woodson (+145)

Round 1
It’s a likely firefight at featherweight as Jourdain and Woodson take to the cage, with Jerin Valel there to make sure things stay nice and clean. Jourdain immediately goes for a head kick, perhaps to give the tallest man in the division something to think about. Woodson switches stances constantly in the opening moments, sticking out a fast, long jab from both sides. A minute and a half in, neither man has committed to much in the way of full-speed power shots. Woodson catches Jourdain cleanly with a straight from each side. Jourdain comes in with a low stance, shoulder-rolling, but can’t get off any punches before he is forced to retreat. Jourdain lands a hard leg kick, then a solid punch upstairs. Woodson goes southpaw and snaps Jourdain’s head back with a right straight. Jourdain moves in and tries to corner Woodson against the fence, but Woodson puts his hands on his foe and pushes him aside as he slides out of the pocket. Jourdain steps in and runs right into an intercepting knee from Woodson. Jourdain lands a slapping spin kick at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson

Round 2
Jourdain wades forward behind a trio of punches but Woodson steps back, evades and lands a clean counter on the end of it. Jourdain comes in with another combo that clatters off the guard of the taller man. Woodson lands an outside leg kick. Jourdain responds with one of his own a second later. Two minutes in, Woodson is beginning to flow, waving his hands and switching stances before launching long single punches. Jourdain drops for a single-leg and gets it, but can’t finish the takedown even after running Woodson to the fence. They end up in a stalemate, with Jourdain trying to hoist the leg as Woodson counters with an overhook. They disengage and Jourdain lands a glancing spinning strike on the break. Jourdain is back to stalking, but continues to have trouble getting inside against the lanky boxer. Jourdain drops for another takedown attempt, getting onto Woodson’s hips and driving him into the fence. Woodson defends calmly, and Jourdain gives it up, launching another spin kick in an attempt to surprise Woodson on the break. Jourdain lands a head kick right before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson

Round 3
Woodson stands his ground as Jourdain advances, tagging him with a couple of glancing short punches, before circling out. Jourdain, looking perhaps to change things up, rushes forward with a flurry of hooks, then throws a spinning back elbow that comes up short. They collide and clinch, and it’s Woodson who ends up on Jourdain’s back standing against the fence. Jourdain hits him with a hard shot on the break, then immediately pursues and charges forward. He’s landing more, his relentless forward pressure clearly making Woodson uncomfortable. At the midpoint of the round, Woodson is back on the outside, and he counters a kick with a long uppercut to the body. Jourdain throws a spinning back kick, then another, but he’s out of range both times. He throws a third, with similar lack of success. Woodson hits his man with a body punch. Jourdain grabs a snatch single-leg, but cannot finish, and the takedown shutout by Woodson continues. With 45 seconds to go, Jourdain is throwing haymakers and spinning attacks, looking for a moment of fight-changing offense. Woodson goes for a reactive takedown and Jourdain grabs a guillotine, falling to his back and closing his guard as he does so. The choke is tight but time is short, but Woodson pops his head out at the 10-second clapper and is throwing punches from top position at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Woodson)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)

The Official Result
Sean Woodson def. Charles Jourdain via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Angelo picks Jourdain despite acknowledging Woodson's reach and takedown defense. He believes Jourdain's pressure, chin, and ability to keep the fight ugly will be key. He notes that Woodson showed grappling in his last fight but Jourdain's takedown defense is poor, yet still favors Jourdain's doggedness.

"the pick is good going to be jordane because he is such a dog and he has a couple different ways to win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Jourdain, noting that Woodson is a boxer who won't take Jourdain down, and if he does, he risks getting submitted. He compares the fight to Woodson's loss to Julian Erosa, where Erosa pressured and broke Woodson. He believes Jourdain's power, grappling, and third-round mythical status will lead to a late submission.

third round submission
"give me Charles jordaine to win this fight and win this fight by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Jourdain, citing his power, cardio, and home-field advantage. He notes Woodson's lack of power and wrestling, and believes Jourdain will overwhelm him with volume and power. He sees Jourdain winning by KO or decision.

"I think Charles Jourdain wins this fight... my boy Air Jordan gets the win."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Charles Jourdain in a fight he sees as a 50-50 banger. He notes both fighters build into fights and have opportunistic submissions. He gives a slight edge to Jourdain's aggressiveness and the Canadian crowd possibly influencing judges. He expects a back-and-forth war with a close decision or finish.

"I'm gonna lean a little bit towards Jordan"
LU
Lucrative James Expert pick date unknown

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Woodson vs Jourdain.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Sean Woodson

I'm picking Woodson to win this fight on the scorecards. He is the better technical striker with a significant height and reach advantage. If he can stick with his jab and stay on the outside, he can outvolume Jourdain from distance. Jourdain's unorthodox striking could allow him to crash the pocket, but Woodson's chin might be suspect. However, I think Woodson does a good enough job rolling with shots and sticking to his game plan. I don't think Jourdain can successfully take a grapple-heavy approach either.

decision victory
"give me Woodson to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Paul picks Jourdain but is hesitant due to the -220 price. He thinks the fight could be close and Woodson's reach could pose problems. He notes the line movement suggests sharp money on Jourdain but still sees value in the Canadian favorite.

"I think Charles Jourdain wins but the current price of minus 220 I am a little bit nervous."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, despite Woodson's 9-inch reach advantage. He questions Woodson's chin and level of competition, calling his opponents not UFC-level. He praises Jourdain's improved shot selection, patience, and submission skills. He predicts a TKO win for Jourdain in Canada.

TKO
"I'm going with Charles Jordan over Shawn Woodson I think this is a little bit of a no-brainer"
WIN vs Ricardo Ramos
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 0 of 9 0% 0 of 10 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:58
Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 9 88% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 0 of 9 0% 0 of 10 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:58
Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 9 88% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 0 of 9 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 8 of 9 88% 3 of 4 4 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 0 of 9 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 8 of 9 88% 3 of 4 4 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Jourdain vs. Ricardo Ramos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-135), Ramos (+114)

Round 1
Kicking off the main card is a potential banger at 145 pounds, as the wild and crazy Ramos (16-4, 7-3 UFC) throws down with a man in Jourdain (14-6-1, 5-5-1 UFC) that properly represents his nickname of “Air” any time he can. Referee Herb Dean will join the two high-flying, frequently spinning, hard-swinging and extremely exciting combatants in the cage, hoping to not be struck by errant blows. Before the violence ensues, the featherweights tap their gloves together. Jourdain snaps into action with a body kick, and he swats away a front kick. Jourdain aims another kick to the midsection, where he leans back from three head kicks – the third grazes off his guard. Ramos tosses out a low kick, and he gets sniped with a right hand over the top. Jourdain slaps a head kick up high, and he grabs hold of a guillotine when Ramos charges towards him for a possible takedown. Ramos jumps over the legs and is in Von Preux position with Jourdain still holding on with the guillotine, and he presses his shoulder down on Jourdain’s throat. Ramos pushes his weight down to keep Jourdain in submission danger, but he lets it go to re-posture himself. Jourdain keeps his left arm around the neck until Ramos wriggles his head out of it, and Ramos looks to sneak into side control while sitting comfortable in half guard. Jourdain turns to his side, and Ramos times this so he can pass.
Both men somersault in a wild scramble, and Jourdain recovers first to latch on with a guillotine choke and pulls guard. This time, the submission is extremely tight, and the Brazilian finds himself firmly entrenched in the danger zone. Ramos has no way out, and before going out on his shield, he taps out.
This is a huge win for the no-longer-.500 Jourdain, as he becomes the first fighter to submit Ramos since 2016.

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Ricardo Ramos R1 3:12 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ricardo Ramos

Angelo gives a slight lean to Ramos, thinking he can pick his shots and work in takedowns. He notes Jourdain is tough but not technical, and if Ramos avoids the chaos, he can pot-shot his way to a win. Not insanely confident.

"I'm gonna go slight lean for Ricardo here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady picks Charles Jourdain to win by third-round knockout, citing durability as the key edge. He notes Jourdain has never been knocked out in 21 fights, while Ramos has been finished in three of four losses. He expects a stand-up war and trusts Jourdain's third-round cardio and power. He acknowledges Ramos may have early wrestling success but thinks Jourdain will take over late.

third round knockout
"I'm going to take Charles Jordan to win this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Charles Jourdain, highlighting his doggedness and ability to thrive in tough fights. He notes Ramos's weight cut issues (missed by 9 pounds) and tendency to fold under pressure. Jourdain's volume and durability should overwhelm Ramos, especially if the fight goes deep.

"I think Jordan wins in either scenario so no Shoei bet out of Polish honestly but hopefully our Canadian brother goes out there and gets the win."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Daniel picks Jourdain due to consistency and maturity, contrasting Ramos's flakiness. He notes Jourdain improves as fights go on, with high volume in later rounds, while Ramos tends to fade or get finished early. He respects Ramos's talent but questions his work ethic and mental fortitude. He thinks Jourdain's durability and pressure will be too much, and he can win by knockout or decision.

"I'm gonna go with Charles Jordan like I know what I'm getting out of Charles Jordan whereas I don't know I don't know if I'm gonna get the Phenom Ricardo Ramos"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Lucrative James leans Jourdain due to durability edge and pressure. He notes Ramos needs a perfect game with takedowns, while Jourdain can have big moments on the feet. He thinks Jourdain may drop Ramos if the fight stays standing. However, he hasn't fully taped the fight and wants to review Ramos's top control.

"I think Charles Jourdain is going to pile on the pressure a little bit more and probably get knockdowns."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ricardo Ramos

The host picks Ramos (Hakaru Hokamura) as a plus 120 underdog, expecting him to use a grapple-heavy approach to neutralize Jourdain's striking. He notes Jourdain's takedown defense issues and that Ramos has improved his wrestling at Team Alpha Male. He believes Ramos will mix in takedowns behind his striking, control Jourdain on the mat, and win a decision.

"give me Hikaru how much to win his second straight fight and I think he gets it done by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ricardo Ramos

Paul picks Ramos pending weigh-ins, citing his takedown-heavy game plan from the Bill Algeo fight. He thinks Ramos can control Jourdain on the ground, but is concerned about Ramos's weight cut. He would swap if Ramos looks sick at weigh-ins.

"pending he makes weight I'll pick Ricardo Ramos... I'm kind of on the fence about it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, acknowledging he is 'too fun to be good' but believes he has the skills to win. He notes Jourdain's recent win over Kron Gracie and his training camp for this fight. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for fading in fights and being wild, while Jourdain is durable and technical. He predicts Jourdain will catch Ramos in round two with crisper striking, as Ramos swings wildly and Jourdain counters.

round two TKO
"I'm going with Charles Jordan over Ricardo Ramos now I don't really think all that of Charles Jordan I think he's a little bit too fun to be good..."
WIN vs Kron Gracie
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Jourdain 0 32 of 57 56% 171 of 216 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:43
Kron Gracie 0 80 of 168 47% 175 of 266 0 of 0 --- 0 0 6:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Jourdain 0 12 of 22 54% 48 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Kron Gracie 0 21 of 46 45% 34 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:33
2 Charles Jourdain 0 10 of 14 71% 68 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Kron Gracie 0 21 of 47 44% 55 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:03
3 Charles Jourdain 0 10 of 21 47% 55 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kron Gracie 0 38 of 75 50% 86 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Jourdain 32 of 57 56% 18 of 37 1 of 6 13 of 14 32 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kron Gracie 80 of 168 47% 59 of 145 14 of 16 7 of 7 54 of 138 16 of 20 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Jourdain 12 of 22 54% 4 of 12 0 of 2 8 of 8 12 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kron Gracie 21 of 46 45% 19 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 40 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Charles Jourdain 10 of 14 71% 5 of 8 1 of 1 4 of 5 10 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kron Gracie 21 of 47 44% 17 of 43 4 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 35 4 of 7 5 of 5
3 Charles Jourdain 10 of 21 47% 9 of 17 0 of 3 1 of 1 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kron Gracie 38 of 75 50% 23 of 58 8 of 10 7 of 7 27 of 63 6 of 7 5 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kron Gracie vs. Charles Jourdain
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-180), Gracie (+155)

Round 1
Styles make fights, and that could scarcely be said more appropriately the UFC 288 main card opener. Submission master Gracie (5-1, 1-1 UFC), competing for the first time since October 2019, will be hoping to shake off any rust in short order. He will collide with high-flying striker Jourdain (13-6-1, 4-5-1 UFC), who aims to lift his UFC record to an even .500. The Octagon ranger for this featherweight matchup will be referee Gary Copeland, and the fighters do not touch gloves ahead of the bout. They meet in the middle of the cage but do not throw much of note, pawing out with occasional jabs and hand-fighting. Jourdain splits the guard with a few such jabs, and he chains a few sharp punches and powerful uppercuts together to get Gracie’s respect early. Gracie walks forward, and reaches out with a right hand simply to distract Jourdain enough to close the distance. Jourdain fights off a takedown attempt frantically, and when Gracie re-engages, the Canadian chucks his man down to the canvas. Jourdain intercepts the rushing Gracie with an uppercut, and he stays on his back foot as Gracie is committed to stalking him down and looking for some kind of level change. Jourdain stops this in its track momentarily with a fierce combination, and he slides away from the plodding Gracie. Jourdain cracks Gracie again and pushes him off when Gracie tries to tie him up, and his uppercut continues to split the guard. As Jourdain is moving and sticking, Gracie snatches him up just enough to pull guard. The Brazilian gladly lands on his back, and he slowly moves his guard up high to threaten with a potential triangle choke or armbar setup. Jourdain is wise to it, and he slowly slides his upper body out of danger and softens Gracie up with body shots. Jourdain leaps back to his feet and hops away before Gracie can trip him up, and Gracie scoots on his posterior until the crowd boos him. Gracie stands back up, and he meanders forward to close in and tie Jourdain up. The two trade short body shots until Jourdain breaks out, and he scores a few uppercuts when backpedaling. Gracie throws two naked leg kicks, and Jourdain tags him with a few punches that damage his nose before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 2
Jourdain opens the round up with a few quick punches, landing fast enough to quell Gracie’s never-ending forward movement. Gracie wanders forward into the fray, throwing little in the way of offense as he is singularly obsessed with just getting his hands or legs on his foe. As they clinch, Gracie pulls guard, and he succeeds in managing to bring Jourdain with him. The Canadian positions Gracie in a bad place with his neck up against the wire, and Gracie is quick to roll for an armbar as Jourdain opens up with ground-and-pound. “Air” resets on top and starts absorbing elbows to the top of his dome, but he is not in submission danger. Gracie puts a high guard up again and looks to isolate Jourdain’s left arm, and Jourdain maintains heavy chest pressure to not let Gracie get enough space to secure anything. Jourdain ignores offense coming from his adversary, as it is short and not particular effective, and more of a setup for Gracie to try a submission. Jourdain explodes out of the guard and gets back to his feet, and he backs off and knees Gracie in the body when Gracie bears down on him. Jourdain strings several punches together that get around the guard, and he whiffs on an uppercut that lets Gracie close in. Jourdain swings out with an elbow, and he gets tagged with an unexpected left hand before getting mashed up against the wall. Gracie pulls guard once more to force the fight horizontal, and Jourdain shucks off arm control to drop down a solid elbow. The round ends with Jourdain in no particular danger.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain

Round 3
The last round kicks off, and Gracie slowly lumbers from out of his corner. Jourdain dances his way in and out, ripping body shots and keeping out of reach. Jourdain lands an uppercut and takes one punch on the chin, with Gracie throwing a modicum more of offense but not enough to make a difference. Jourdain tags Gracie with a right hand, and Gracie attempts to pull guard. Jourdain drives him to the fence and slides him off, and Gracie crashes forward and bangs his head into his opponent’s. Jourdain releases clean combinations, rarely throwing single blows and landing en masse. Gracie takes them on the chin, generally, and succeeds to pull guard again. The crowd lets Gracie have it for this tactic, and he does not adjust his approach and hopes to secure a submission. Jourdain pounds on the ribcage with short punches and elbows, not concerned with the grappling chops of his opponent, and he stacks Gracie up briefly. Gracie hangs on from beneath, until Jourdain sees and opening and darts back upright. Gracie follows him while on his seat, aiming kicks to the knees, and Jourdain answers with slapping kicks. Copeland forces Gracie to stand up, and Gracie carries out his perpetual forward motion that is unable to lock Jourdain down and do anything. Jourdain breaks away thanks to a knee to the body, and he slams a shin into Gracie’s liver. Jourdain slips a few punches and tees off on Gracie, who is taking a beating but not slowing. Jourdain jumps in the air with a flying knee with seconds to go, and he lets fly a few more punches and kick until the lackluster match ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (30-27 Jourdain)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (30-27 Jourdain)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (30-27 Jourdain)

The Official Result
Charles Jourdain def. Kron Gracie via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Angelo picks Charles Jourdain because he is the more complete MMA fighter. He notes that Kron Gracie has been away for four years and in his last fight against Cub Swanson, he didn't attempt to grapple effectively and was pieced up on the feet. Angelo believes Jourdain's takedown defense should be sufficient against Gracie's poor wrestling, and that Jourdain's striking and speed will be decisive. He sees the most likely outcomes as Jourdain by decision or Gracie by submission, but favors the MMA fighter.

"I've got to go with the MMA fighter here right like how do I not pick the actual MMA fighter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Kron Gracie

Big Brady picks Gracie despite a 3.5-year layoff. He notes Jourdain has poor takedown defense (48%), and Gracie only needs one takedown to submit him. He acknowledges the layoff is a huge risk but believes Gracie's path to victory is clear: take Jourdain down, take his back, and choke him out. He predicts a first-round submission.

First round submission prediction
"I'm gonna take Gracie massive massive layoff here but I'll take him to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Kron Gracie

Cody highlights that Jourdain has 48% takedown defense in the UFC and gets taken down frequently by lesser grapplers. He believes Gracie's world-class jiu-jitsu can exploit Jourdain's wild striking style, which creates openings for takedowns. Despite Gracie's four-year layoff, he sees value at plus money because Jourdain's recklessness plays into Gracie's strengths.

"he shows career takedown defense in the UFC of 48 percent and he's taking on Crown Gracie and KRON Gracie's plus money that's good enough for me man"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Connor also picks Jourdain, citing the X factors of Gracie's long layoff and uncertainty about his training. He notes that Jourdain is a very good striker who can stop takedowns after the first round, and that Gracie's best chance is an early submission. Connor believes Jourdain's power and pressure will be too much as the fight progresses.

"I just got to go with Jordan here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Kron Gracie

The host picks Kron Gracie by submission in round one, hoping Gracie learned from his loss to Cub Swanson and will be more aggressive with takedowns. He believes Gracie's high-level BJJ will find a submission against Charles Jourdain, who has struggled against grapplers.

Gracie by submission, round 1
"give me Crone by submission round one"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Kron Gracie

Paul agrees with Cody and has already bet Gracie by submission at +230. He notes that Jourdain is dangerous at range but gives opportunities to grapple, and Gracie's path is clear: get the fight to the mat. He sees the line moving and expects Gracie to find a submission.

Gracie by submission +230
"Gracie by sub I just snagged a little bit of it at plus 230"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Jourdain, citing Gracie's four-year layoff and Jourdain's takedown defense and ability to get back up. He believes Jourdain will use kicks to bust up Gracie's lead leg and set up a body kick KO. He predicts a finish in the first or second round via body kick.

body kick KO in round 1 or 2
"I'm actually going to go with a body kit KO for Charles Jordan I think he's going to get the hands up higher throw a couple of head kicks throw a couple of leg kicks mix it up high and …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Jourdain

Zane picks Jourdain, noting that Jourdain's striking improves as the fight goes on and that he has good takedown defense after the first round. He acknowledges the risk of Gracie submitting him early but believes Jourdain's power and fluid boxing will take over in later rounds. Zane also mentions that Gracie's long layoff is a concern.

"I'm going to pick him."
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Angelo picks Shane Burgos, citing his pressure, volume, and body work. He acknowledges Jourdain's power and chin, but believes Burgos's insane output (232 strikes in last fight) will be the difference. He notes the odds are wider than expected and expects a close fight.

predicts fight of the night candidate
"shane is the pick but this will be a fun fight and i do think this will be a very close fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Big Brady picks Shane Burgos to win by decision. He highlights Burgos's volume (almost 8 significant strikes per minute) and a 6.5-inch reach advantage as key factors. He acknowledges Burgos's poor striking defense and reliance on his chin, but believes Burgos's skill and volume will outwork Jourdain. He expects a war but thinks Burgos wins on the scorecards.

"i'm gonna say burgos wins this fight um based off of the volume here it's gonna be a war it's gonna be fun give me shane burgos to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Cody picks Burgos, citing his high volume and experience against elite competition. He notes that Burgos lands a massive number of significant strikes and has fought top featherweights, while Jourdain's wins are over lower-level opponents. Cody acknowledges Burgos' chin issues but believes his forward pressure and output will overwhelm Jourdain.

Fight of the Night (plus 600)
"i think it's going to be an absolute scrap burgos could get knocked out we need to recognize that he fights reckless he fights dangerous"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Daniel Levi picks Shane Burgos, believing Burgos is slightly ahead of Jourdain at this stage. He praises Burgos's boxing, pressure, and durability, but notes his defensive flaws and tendency to fight with his hands down. Levi thinks Jourdain is improving but not ready yet, and expects Burgos to win via pressure and pocket boxing.

concerns about Burgos's chin and defense
"i'm gonna pick shane burgos to win it's just the concerns are the guy fights with his hands down his chin up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

Paul agrees with Cody, stating that Burgos' volume and durability will be key. He notes that Burgos has fought and performed well against top-tier opponents, while Jourdain's resume is less impressive. Paul expects a high-paced war but believes Burgos' experience and output will carry him to victory.

"i totally agree not even gonna add anything to it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Shane Burgos

The MMA Guru picks Shane Burgos over Charles Jourdain, citing Burgos's durability and Jourdain's tendency to fade. He references Jourdain's loss to Julian Erosa, who walked him down, and believes Burgos's chin and pressure will be too much. He predicts Burgos will finish Jourdain by TKO in the third round with body shots and ground-and-pound.

predicts third-round TKO
"i think he's going to get a finish in round three by tko to ground and pound finishing off charles jordan"