Career Averages - Dustin Jacoby
Career Averages - Da Woon Jung
Dustin Jacoby
Da Woon Jung
Dustin Jacoby - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 42 of 71 | 59% | 47 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Julius Walker | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 12 of 26 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Julius Walker | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 10 of 20 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 | |
| 2 | Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 29 of 51 | 56% | 31 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Julius Walker | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 42 of 71 | 59% | 35 of 64 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 38 | 9 of 10 | 11 of 23 |
| Julius Walker | 7 of 21 | 33% | 3 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 13 of 20 | 65% | 7 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julius Walker | 5 of 15 | 33% | 3 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Dustin Jacoby | 29 of 51 | 56% | 28 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 9 of 10 | 11 of 23 |
| Julius Walker | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jacoby (-205); Walker (+175)
Round 1
A pair of 205ers who prefer the knockout will slug it out across this three-round main card opener. Jacoby (21-9-1, 9-6-1 UFC) will come in 11 years older and far more experience, while “Juice Box” Walker (7-1, 1-1 UFC) comes in with youthful exuberance full of something and vinegar. They tap their gloves together as referee Dan Miragliotta in his 500th UFC bout handles the particulars.
Walker takes the center of the cage, with Jacoby hand-fighting to find an opening. There is no opening found in the first 30 seconds, until Jacoby tosses out a jab. He aims another, as Walker responds with a low kick and a lancing straight right hand. The former kickboxer boots Walker in the lead leg, and he misses with a subsequent overhand right. Jacoby pounds the front leg with another kick. Walker reaches out with a right hand, and he gets knocked back to the fence with Jacoby’s swinging fists. Walker shoots for a takedown, with Jacoby defending by wrapping up an anaconda choke that is not particularly tight. Walker fights out of it and stands up without much concern, taking a jab on the way out. Jacoby swipes out a left hook, and Walker answers back with a one-two. Jacoby hits the front leg with another kick, and he is faced with a takedown shot.
Walker lifts Jacoby off the ground, carrying him over to his corner and dumping him down unceremoniously. With one hook in, Walker holds on from behind, but Jacoby is able to post off his hands and stands up. Walker clings to the ex-kickboxer, ignoring elbows to his face so he can set up a strong knee to the face. Walker lands a few more, much to Jacoby’s disappointing, lifting his leg up high to crash it square into the chin of “The Hanyak” a few more times. Walker hits a suplex to throw Jacoby to the floor, and Jacoby springs up like hit a trampoline. Walker knees Jacoby in the back of the thigh and drags him around the cage but is not able to ground him again on this effort. Walker transitions to a double, scooping Jacoby up like a child’s plaything and throwing him down much harder to the floor. This time, he hammers Jacoby with elbows, landing at least one well after the bell sounded.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Walker
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Walker
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Walker
Round 2
The light heavyweights touch gloves to lead off the round, with Jacoby peppering offense immediately after in the form of jabs and low kicks. Walker tries to stride in with a right hand, and Jacoby’s counter right sends Walker staggering back. Walker shakes out the cobwebs and beats on the front leg with another kick, only to take two huge punches on the side of the head. Walker hits his seat, and after a few more swings, Jacoby walks off, thinking his work here is done. Miragliotta gets close but does not wave it off, so Walker snatches up his ankle and forces Jacoby to hop away and re-engage. With Walker still down, Jacoby rails him with a thunderous uppercut that almost knocks him all the way out. Jacoby is not about to let him off the hook, raining down punches while Walker tries as hard as he can to sit up and stand. Walker goes all-out in pursuit of a single, pushing Jacoby back to the wall. Walker hangs on from behind, and Jacoby turns around and starts battering Walker on the side of the head with elbows. The damage begins to mount, and so does Jacoby, whose efforts force Walker to his back so he can climb into the dominant position.
Walker twists out of the precarious spot and turns to place his back to the wall while still seated, and Jacoby lays into his with strikes on both sides of the head. Walker miraculously stands up, and Jacoby’s onslaught knocks him right back down. Miragliotta determines that enough is enough, with blood streaming down Walker’s cheek, and waves the fight off.
For Jacoby, this was likely for the best, as he plops down on his stool when returning to his corner from near-total exhaustion. On cloud nine, the victor expresses his support for his country and current administration, asking for a place on the White House event in June and making a very unique callout. He calls for Donald Trump...to play a round of golf with him.
The Official Result
Dustin Jacoby def. Julius Walker R2 1:42 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby confidently, calling him too good of a striker and grappler with too much experience. He notes Jacoby's high-level kickboxing, technical striking, and solid takedown defense. He dismisses Julius Walker as sloppy and reliant on raw athleticism, and believes Jacoby will win easily. He hopes the odds are reasonable and will include Jacoby in parlays.
Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his superior striking and elite takedown defense. He notes that Julius Walker was pieced up by Raphael Sakara on the feet, which bodes poorly against a much better striker in Jacoby. He expects Jacoby to knock out Walker, likely in the first round.
Cody hesitantly picks Dustin Jacoby, acknowledging the experience gap but noting Jacoby's travel and short notice. He admits his heart wants Walker but struggles to overlook Jacoby's experience. Cody does not bet on Jacoby and expects a competitive fight.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Jacobi is still dangerous with single shots and that Walker's style of walking in will give Jacobi opportunities. He thinks Jacobi will respond with offense if put in a scary situation, but the fight could be a grind. He calls it a sucky fight between two failed experiments.
Lucrative James picks Dustin Jacoby to win, citing his massive experience and striking advantage, as well as good takedown defense. However, he is hesitant due to Jacoby's age and potential chin decline. James notes that if Jacoby is an underdog, he would bet him, but he acknowledges Walker's grappling could be a threat.
The host picks Jacoby by knockout, but notes reduced confidence due to Jacoby cornering a teammate in Australia a week before the fight. He believes Jacoby's superior striking and defensive grappling will allow him to pick Walker apart and eventually land a big shot. He expects Walker to struggle to get takedowns and be forced to strike, where Jacoby has the advantage.
Paul picks Julius Walker as a dog, citing Jacoby's short notice, travel from Australia, and age (37). He notes Walker's youth, athleticism, and improvement, especially his wrestling. Paul believes Walker can take Jacoby down and control the fight, though he admits bias due to connections.
The host picks Dustin Jacoby over Julius Walker. He thinks Jacoby is underrated, citing his win over Vitor Petrino and competitive fight with Azamat Murzakanov. He notes Walker looked sloppy against Rafael Cacara. He predicts a decision win for Jacoby, 29-28 or 30-27.
Zane picks Jacoby because he is a good technical kickboxer who can finish with single shots. He notes that Walker is tough but walks in with his chin up and feet flat, making him vulnerable. However, he warns that Jacoby's hesitancy could make the fight ugly, similar to his fight against Alonzo Menifield.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Bruno Lopes | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Bruno Lopes | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 17 of 29 | 58% | 16 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 21 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Lopes | 3 of 9 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 17 of 29 | 58% | 16 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 21 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Lopes | 3 of 9 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby as the better striker with good takedown defense, but plants a seed of doubt about Jacoby's ability to handle forward pressure. He notes that Jacoby was losing to Vitor Petrino before a comeback KO, and that Bruno Lopes pressures forward well. He advises caution but believes Jacoby wins.
Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby, believing Bruno Lopes is reckless on the feet and leaves openings. He notes Lopes has a path via grappling but doubts he will use it, citing Lopes' tendency to stand and trade. Jacoby has good get-up game and is hard to hold down. Brady predicts Jacoby will clip Lopes and knock him out in the first round, as Jacoby has many first-round KOs.
Connor also picks Lopes, citing that Jacoby's chin issues have made him hesitant and his game has lost its structure. Lopes, despite being a brawler, has a clear goal and is confident in his aggression. Connor notes that Jacoby used to be able to adjust to wrestlers, but now he seems aimless, making Lopes the safer pick.
Matt picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He notes that Jacoby is a volume-based striker with good takedown defense, while Lopes is a BJJ black belt who struggles against better strikers. Jacoby should outwork Lopes on the feet, though his durability is a concern. Matt likes the decision prop at +250.
The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby by TKO in rounds 2 or 3. He believes Jacoby's striking is too technical for Bruno Lopes, who has power but is less impressive. He notes Jacoby's good chin and ability to recover, and sees a kickboxing advantage. He predicts Jacoby will piece up Lopes after a shaky first round.
Zane picks Lopes because Jacoby's game has deteriorated significantly; he no longer fights with a clear plan, hesitates, and does wacky things like switching stances needlessly. Lopes, while limited, at least has a simple game plan of aggression, either brawling or pushing to the cage and looking for takedowns. Zane notes that Jacoby historically had issues with wrestlers, and his current indecisiveness makes him vulnerable to Lopes' pressure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 40 of 96 | 41% | 40 of 96 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Vitor Petrino | 1 | 45 of 96 | 46% | 47 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vitor Petrino | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 11 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Vitor Petrino | 1 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 40 of 96 | 41% | 27 of 79 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 10 | 40 of 96 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 45 of 96 | 46% | 23 of 69 | 7 of 9 | 15 of 18 | 39 of 87 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 10 of 26 | 38% | 5 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 12 of 32 | 37% | 5 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 8 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dustin Jacoby | 19 of 47 | 40% | 16 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 18 of 36 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 18 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dustin Jacoby | 11 of 23 | 47% | 6 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vitor Petrino | 15 of 28 | 53% | 10 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Petrino because he hits hard and Jacoby's chin is declining. He notes Petrino's power, evolving grappling, and takedowns, while Jacoby is a high-level kickboxer with okay power and 60% takedown defense. He expresses concern about Petrino's smiling reaction after his submission loss to Anthony Smith, but believes it was a fluke. He thinks Jacoby could turn it into a dogfight but Petrino's power is the difference.
Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by decision. He thinks Petrino is younger, improving, and has more ways to win, including power and takedowns. He notes Jacoby has been dropped often and was recently knocked out by Reyes. He expects Petrino to mix in takedowns and land big shots, but not finish.
Cody picks Vitor Petrino but with low confidence, noting his poor gas tank and green technique. He believes Petrino will rely on takedowns and top control to win rounds, but Jacoby's striking advantage could be problematic. Cody suggests a live bet on Jacoby after the first round if Petrino tires.
Connor picks Jacoby as well, agreeing that Petrino's new style is ineffective. He notes that Petrino's game is 'empty' and that Jacoby is a good outboxer who can take advantage. However, Connor also worries about Jacoby's durability, citing his knockout loss to Reyes and shaky moments against Alonzo Menifield.
Daniel Vreeland picks Vitor Petrino to get back on track after his loss to Anthony Smith. He acknowledges Dustin Jacoby's technical kickboxing but worries about Jacoby's durability and tendency to get hurt. Vreeland believes Petrino's freak athleticism and power can change the fight with one shot, even if he's being outpointed. He also notes Petrino can mix in takedowns if needed.
Lucrative James picks Vitor Petrino to win, citing Petrino's multiple paths to victory including knockout and grappling. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing background and takedown defense, but believes Petrino's physicality and raw power will be too much. He expresses low interest in betting the fight unless prop odds are wide, but confidently predicts Petrino as the winner.
Petrino will crash the pocket effectively and land big shots on Jacoby, who struggles against opponents with big power. The finish is expected within the first two rounds.
Paul picks Dustin Jacoby as an underdog, citing Petrino's struggles against strikers and Jacoby's striking volume. He notes that Petrino's takedowns are his only path, but Jacoby's takedown defense and ability to get back up could neutralize that. Paul is surprised Petrino is such a big favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby as an underdog, questioning why he is such a big underdog. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing experience and ability to invest in strikes, though he acknowledges Jacoby's chin has let him down. He believes Petrino's win over Smith was unimpressive (guillotine) and that Jacoby's layers and conditioning will give him an edge. He admits the oddsmakers might know something he doesn't.
Zane picks Jacoby because Petrino has abandoned his effective bullying style for a technical out-fighting game that doesn't work. He notes that Petrino's recent losses to Anthony Smith and Tyson Pedro show he has no plan, and Jacoby should have plenty of time and space to outbox him. However, Zane is concerned about Jacoby's chin and age.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Reyes | 2 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominick Reyes | 2 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Reyes | 20 of 33 | 60% | 15 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 6 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominick Reyes | 20 of 33 | 60% | 15 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 6 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby, believing Dominick Reyes is done after three knockout losses. He notes that Reyes hasn't won in years and his chin is compromised. Jacoby is a high-level kickboxer who can outpoint Reyes. He thinks the sport has passed Reyes by, and Jacoby's technical striking will be too much.
Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision with little confidence. He questions whether Dominick Reyes is washed, noting his losses to Jon Jones, Jan Blachowicz, and Jiri Prochazka are not bad, but the Ryan Spann KO is concerning. He thinks Jacoby might be the minute winner but has been disappointing in fights like the Menifield loss. He calls it a total pass and advises against betting.
Cody picks Reyes as a greasy underdog, noting that Reyes has faced elite competition and his four-fight losing streak includes fights against Jon Jones (arguably a win), Jan Błachowicz, and Jiri Prochazka. He believes Reyes' power and durability could be a problem for Jacoby, who is a decision fighter prone to close losses. Cody thinks the year and a half off may have helped Reyes recover his chin, and he expects a close fight that could go Reyes' way via split decision.
Daniel is confident in Jacoby because he believes Reyes has never recovered mentally or physically from the Jon Jones fight, citing three brutal knockout losses and a diminished chin. He notes Jacoby is still competitive with top fighters and can point fight or knock out Reyes. He expects Jacoby to win by knockout, as Reyes' confidence is shattered.
Jacob picks Dustin Jacoby, but he is rooting for Reyes. He thinks Jacoby's jab will wear down Reyes, who has a suspect chin. He notes that Jacoby isn't the most powerful, but his jab can set up a knockout. He warns that Reyes might get too comfortable and get caught. He expects Jacoby to win by decision or late stoppage.
Jacoby is a technical striker with good range and output, while Reyes has durability issues and a long layoff. Jacoby should outland Reyes from distance and may knock him out, though Reyes has power of his own. The -225 line is a bit wide, but Jacoby by KO is the pick.
Paul is tempted to bet Reyes but lacks the courage to pull the trigger. He notes Reyes' three consecutive knockout losses and questions his chin, while Jacoby tends to be in close fights. Paul thinks it's a pass from a betting perspective but might change his mind after weigh-ins.
The Guru says you can't pick Reyes until he proves you wrong, citing his losing streak and the damage he took from Yuri (orbital fracture, shattered nose). He likes Jacoby in a three-rounder because Reyes lacks finishing potential and is coming off TKO losses. He expects Jacoby to get started sooner, landing low kicks, jabs, and body shots, and win a decision (29-28 or 30-27). He also notes Jacoby beat Khalil Rountree in his eyes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Menifield | 1 | 68 of 117 | 58% | 95 of 145 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 93 of 150 | 62% | 113 of 171 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alonzo Menifield | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 25 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 38 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 2 | Alonzo Menifield | 0 | 27 of 48 | 56% | 28 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 31 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alonzo Menifield | 1 | 27 of 39 | 69% | 42 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 34 of 51 | 66% | 44 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Menifield | 68 of 117 | 58% | 58 of 104 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 9 | 51 of 94 | 14 of 20 | 3 of 3 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 93 of 150 | 62% | 69 of 122 | 15 of 18 | 9 of 10 | 78 of 135 | 15 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alonzo Menifield | 14 of 30 | 46% | 14 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 25 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 28 of 44 | 63% | 16 of 32 | 9 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 38 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alonzo Menifield | 27 of 48 | 56% | 20 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 44 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 31 of 55 | 56% | 25 of 46 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alonzo Menifield | 27 of 39 | 69% | 24 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 25 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 34 of 51 | 66% | 28 of 44 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 27 of 44 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jacoby (-270), Menifield (+220)
Round 1
The preliminary headliner has changed on fight week, and it will now come between two light heavyweight strikers in what could be a real barnburner. Menifield (14-3-1, 7-3-1 UFC) is looking to push his unbeaten streak to five, and Jacoby (19-7-1, 7-4-1 UFC) wants to string some momentum together to make another run up the ladder. Referee Chris Tognoni dons his proverbial hard hat as these two men will be swinging with bad intentions for as long as it lasts. Before they swing for the fences, the 205ers bump their gloves together while nodding in excitement. Both men are cautious to engage for the first 25 seconds, until Menifield wings two hooks that both come up short. Menifield reaches out with a jab, and Jacoby answers him with one of his own. Menifield again misses with an overhand right, and Jacoby prods out a few more jabs to keep the power swinging Menifield at bay. Jacoby kicks the inside thigh and loops a left hand around the guard, and he ducks away from a huge strike from Menifield. Jacoby stays busy with jabs and leg kicks, and he keeps his guard high to block the worst of the blows. Menifield scores a single left hook, and Jacoby puts his foot on the gas and gives chase. Menifield just misses a right hand that bumps into the chest, and he swings for the bleachers with wide, inaccurate punches. Jacoby sees the majority of those home run strikes coming and is able to block or evade them, and he crowds Menifield until Menifield sprints at him in search of a takedown. Jacoby tosses him to the side and allows Menifield to stand back up, and he just blocks a left hook. Jacoby rings Menifield’s bell with a right hand, and he gets stung with a counter. Jacoby crowds his man, and Menifield welcomes the clinch and tries to turn him around or throw him to the floor. Jacoby stays on his feet and knees the body, as the two jockey for position from up close. Jacoby continues to press his weight on his opponent, and Menifield eventually turns him around and lands a single right hook. Jacoby does not like this, lines up a knee down the middle, and the slow round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby
Round 2
The 205ers meet in the middle with a glove touch, and Jacoby gets right back into his jabbing groove. Menifield gets tired of playing the jab and miss game, and he bites down on his mouthpiece and drives out a straight left that blasts Jacoby in the face. Jacoby stumbles from one side of the cage to the other, but he manages to gather his thoughts when ricocheting off the fence before Menifield can pounce. Jacoby recovers, but Menifield drives home two fierce leg kicks that give him pause. Jacoby lands a few jabs, and Menifield tries his own and lands a leg kick on the inside. Jacoby takes the left hand flush and is no worse for wear, and he parries a second. Menifield cracks the former Glory kickboxer with a right hand, stunning him but not putting him down. Jacoby hands on tight and hurts Menifield with a counter. Menifield shakes it off and crashes forward, landing blazing hooks on the side of the head and making Jacoby briefly rethink his life decision leading to that point. Jacoby tries to fire back, but Menifield is on him throwing merciless punches. Jacoby bounces off the cage and looks to settle down with his rangy jab, but Menifield has found his range and connects with effective counters. Jacoby snaps the head back with a jab, and Menifield backpedals as his right eye begins to swell. Jacoby kicks low, and Menifield returns fire with a far heavier blow that force a stance switch. Jacoby whiffs on a head kick but rifles a jab down the middle, and Menifield dodges a follow-up punch and grazes the side of the head with a left hook. The two clash shins together, and Jacoby gets the worse of it. Jacoby attacks, and Menifield meets him with his own punches until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby
Round 3
There is a final glove touch to begin the last round. Jacoby flashes out a leg kick, and Menifield is right there to counter him. Jacoby lines up several jabs, and Menifield dodges to the side to avoid most of them but not all. Menifield comes back with an overhand right, and he hops away to avoid a leg kick. Menifield loads up on a big left hook, and Jacoby tanks it and prods out a front kick. Jacoby snipes his man with a one-two, and when Menifield comes up short, Jacoby lands another. Menifield draws his foe into a short firefight, and he bangs a left hook off the temple of “The Hanyak.” Jacoby skillfully lands jab after jab, busting Menifield’s nose up and connecting in great numbers. Menifield gets sick of eating those punches, and he knocks Jacoby clean off his feet with a thunderous left hook. Jacoby falls to his seat, and Menifield tries to seal the deal with several clubbing undercuts beneath Jacoby’s armpit. Jacoby muscles his way back to his feet, and Menifield beats on him with a long series of punches and uppercuts. Jacoby tries to fire back, and Menifield drops down and hits a takedown to put the former kickboxer on his seat. Menifield connects with several jackhammering punches until Jacoby forces Menifield to fall off him and explode back up. The two stay tight in the clinch, and Jacoby considers a takedown that is thwarted. Menifield turns the tables, dropping down for a single, and he bails on it when Tognoni tells him to stay busy. Jacoby looks for inside or outside trips, and Menifield keeps his balance with his back to the wire. Menifield turns him around and knees him in the belly, and he gains enough space to wing a right hand that hurts Jacoby. Menifield gives chase and clubs Jacoby in the face with a pair of hooks, and the bloody battle comes to a conclusion when time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Jacoby)
The Official Result
Alonzo Menifield def. Dustin Jacoby via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo leans Dustin Jacoby due to his superior kickboxing, noting he was once ranked #2 in the world. He acknowledges Menifield's power and Jacoby's recent vulnerability to being dropped, but believes the technical striking advantage will prevail. He is undecided on betting.
Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision, citing Jacoby's advantages in age, height, striking volume, and cardio. He notes Menifield's inconsistency and poor performances, and believes Menifield's only path is a knockout, which is unlikely given Jacoby's chin (only 1 KO loss in 27 fights). Brady expects Jacoby to use his kicks and volume to outpoint Menifield over three rounds, similar to his fight against Khalil Rountree.
Cody picks Jacoby, agreeing that he is the better striker with superior cardio. He notes that Menifield's wins are over lower-level competition and that Jacoby has fought at a higher level. Cody believes Jacoby will outwork Menifield and potentially get a late TKO or decision. He acknowledges the risk of Menifield's power but thinks Jacoby's volume and experience will prevail.
Lucrative James does not have a strong read on this fight. He feels Dustin Jacoby should win by decision, but he has a nagging feeling that Alonzo Menifield could catch him early with power. He considers it a pass fight, though he mentions that Menifield inside the distance at big odds might be worth a small play.
The host picks Jacoby but thinks the minus 270 line is too wide against a dangerous fighter like Menifield. He praises Jacoby's technical striking, footwork, and precision, and believes he can keep Menifield at bay with kicks and combinations. He notes that Menifield has improved his cardio and clinch work but still expects Jacoby to outpoint him. He suggests a nibble on Jacoby by decision prop.
Paul picks Jacoby, stating that the price looks better than other big favorites on the card. He notes that Jacoby is a better striker with Glory kickboxing experience and has remarkable cardio. He believes Menifield will start hot but fade, and Jacoby will dissect him with volume and potentially get a late TKO or decision. Paul acknowledges Menifield's power but thinks Jacoby's skill set is superior.
The Guru picks Dustin Jacoby over Alonzo Menifield, calling Jacoby one of the most underrated light heavyweights. He highlights Jacoby's impressive wins (e.g., Khalil Rountree, Anthony Smith) and takedown defense. He argues that if Menifield couldn't finish Jimmy Crute on the feet, he won't finish Jacoby. He predicts Jacoby will pick Menifield apart and win by decision or TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 10 of 33 | 30% | 5 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 7 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 4 of 18 | 22% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 10 of 33 | 30% | 5 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 7 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 4 of 18 | 22% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Kennedy Nzechukwu despite acknowledging Dustin Jacoby is the better striker. He notes that Kennedy is bigger, more dangerous, and has fought higher competition. He warns that Kennedy is never out of a fight and can come from behind, but also mentions that Jacoby was dropped in his last fight, which is concerning. Angelo admits he would love Jacoby as an underdog if not for that, but ultimately goes with Kennedy's danger factor.
Big Brady is uncertain but leans toward Nzechukwu. He argues that if Nzechukwu strikes with Jacoby he'll lose, but his path to victory is wrestling. He notes Nzechukwu's takedown defense is good and his grappling has improved, as seen in recent fights. He thinks Nzechukwu can take Jacoby down and control him, especially since Jacoby has been taken down many times before. He predicts a decision win but admits Nzechukwu fights are hard to predict.
Cody leans towards Nzechukwu on the moneyline, but his main interest is a small poke on Kennedy by submission at +950. He believes Kennedy will rely on grappling and can submit Jacoby, who has faced few grapplers. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing base and cardio, but thinks Kennedy's improvements in grappling and size could be decisive.
Daniel Levi leans toward Kennedy Nzechukwu but is not confident. He acknowledges Jacoby's striking credentials and past success, but worries about Jacoby's age (35-36) and potential decline. Levi notes Nzechukwu's physical advantages (7-inch reach, southpaw) and his knack for comebacks, but also his slow starts and durability concerns. He sees this as a dog-or-pass situation and prefers Nzechukwu at the current price, though he would have picked Jacoby two years ago.
James changed his mind after tape. He thinks Nzechukwu is younger, more athletic, and on an upward trajectory while Jacoby is declining. Nzechukwu's height and reach advantage will disrupt Jacoby's outside kickboxing game. He expects Nzechukwu to force pressure, clinch, and possibly finish inside the distance.
Jacoby loves combination striking, leg kicks, and body work. He had a 6-1-1 run until a split decision loss to Khalil Rountree and a bad KO loss. If he can stay safe and not get dropped, he should outpoint Nzechukwu, who is explosive but wears down. Jacoby's durability is a concern, but I'm sticking with Jacoby as a dog shot. He wins by decision.
Paul takes Jacoby at plus money, citing his volume, leg kicks, and takedown defense. He notes Kennedy's suspect cardio and tendency to get rocked, and believes Jacoby can outland him in a kickboxing match. However, he acknowledges Jacoby's fights are often close decisions and only takes him at plus money.
The host picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, citing his youth (31), durability, and recent momentum. He believes Nzechukwu will out-volume Jacoby and has a granite chin. He notes Jacoby is 35 and coming off a loss. He thinks Nzechukwu wins by decision but could finish. He warns that if the line goes above -165, value shifts to Jacoby.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azamat Murzakanov | 0 | 64 of 131 | 48% | 96 of 167 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 67 of 127 | 52% | 70 of 130 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azamat Murzakanov | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Azamat Murzakanov | 0 | 21 of 40 | 52% | 37 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 29 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Azamat Murzakanov | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 40 of 72 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azamat Murzakanov | 64 of 131 | 48% | 36 of 95 | 8 of 12 | 20 of 24 | 60 of 126 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 67 of 127 | 52% | 51 of 110 | 12 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 64 of 122 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azamat Murzakanov | 19 of 39 | 48% | 8 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 9 of 11 | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 25 of 50 | 50% | 20 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Azamat Murzakanov | 21 of 40 | 52% | 12 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 26 of 45 | 57% | 20 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Azamat Murzakanov | 24 of 52 | 46% | 16 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 48 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 16 of 32 | 50% | 11 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby as the better technical striker, noting he was ranked 2nd in the world in kickboxing. However, he is not betting because Jacoby lacks power and Murzakanov hits very hard and has comeback KO power. He expects Jacoby to need to point-fight perfectly for 15 minutes to win, which is risky.
Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He cites Jacoby's size, reach, and volume advantages, as well as his good takedown defense and chin. He doubts Murzakanov's cardio and ability to take Jacoby down, and believes Jacoby will outpoint him over three rounds. He notes Murzakanov's power but thinks Jacoby can absorb it.
Cody notes Murzakanov is a first-round finisher but low volume, while Jacoby throws high volume (120+ strikes). He thinks Jacoby's reach and cardio will be key, and that Murzakanov's power shots may not be enough to overcome Jacoby's output. He prefers to bet Jacoby live after the first round.
Connor also picks Jacoby, agreeing that Murzakanov's power-punching style is ill-suited for Jacoby's rangey, technical approach. He notes that Jacoby is durable and has only been knocked out by elite punchers like King Mo and Alex Pereira. Connor believes Murzakanov's lack of combination punching and setup will leave him vulnerable to Jacoby's consistent output and counter-striking.
Jacoby's range, footwork, and kicks will keep Murzakanov at distance. Murzakanov's cardio and wrestling are questionable, and he tends to fade. Jacoby's disciplined striking and cardio advantage should lead to a clear decision victory. Murzakanov is difficult to finish, so expect a full 15 minutes.
Paul sides with Jacoby's volume and reach advantage (5 inches). He notes Murzakanov may be undersized at 205 and that Jacoby's output should overwhelm him. He agrees with Cody that the live market may offer better value.
The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby to win by unanimous decision, citing Jacoby's length, footwork, and striking output. He warns Jacoby must avoid a war and use leg kicks from the outside to outpoint Murzakanov, who has fight-ending power but slow starts. He notes the -190 line is a bit high and would prefer -170, but still sides with Jacoby.
Zane picks Jacoby, citing his volume, durability, and technical kickboxing as too much for Murzakanov. He notes that Murzakanov is a one-dimensional power puncher who relies on timing and rhythm changes, but Jacoby's jab, kicks, and counter-punching will keep him at range. Zane also points out that Murzakanov's wins have come against lower-level competition, while Jacoby has proven himself against tougher opponents like Khalil Rountree.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 120 of 255 | 47% | 122 of 257 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 85 of 237 | 35% | 88 of 241 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 34 of 66 | 51% | 35 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 20 of 57 | 35% | 22 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 39 of 105 | 37% | 40 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 35 of 88 | 39% | 36 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 47 of 84 | 55% | 47 of 84 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 0 | 30 of 92 | 32% | 30 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 120 of 255 | 47% | 69 of 194 | 27 of 34 | 24 of 27 | 116 of 250 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 85 of 237 | 35% | 49 of 193 | 18 of 23 | 18 of 21 | 80 of 231 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 34 of 66 | 51% | 12 of 38 | 12 of 16 | 10 of 12 | 34 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 20 of 57 | 35% | 11 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 9 | 19 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 39 of 105 | 37% | 30 of 93 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 39 of 105 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 35 of 88 | 39% | 20 of 72 | 7 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 35 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 47 of 84 | 55% | 27 of 63 | 10 of 11 | 10 of 10 | 43 of 79 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Dustin Jacoby | 30 of 92 | 32% | 18 of 77 | 8 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 26 of 88 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Khalil Rountree Jr. to win by knockout, but admits it's a tough fight to call due to Rountree's inconsistency. He notes that if the best version of Rountree shows up, he can knock out Jacoby, who has been dropped before. He mentions the smaller cage favors Rountree's pressure. However, he acknowledges that Jacoby is the better striker and could easily outpoint Rountree if the inconsistent version appears.
Cody picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his Glory kickboxing experience, superior cardio, and technical striking. He notes that Jacoby has shown durability (surviving knockdowns against Max Grisham) and should win on volume if he doesn't get knocked out. Cody acknowledges Khalil Rountree's power and potential but believes Jacoby's kickboxing skills will prevail in a 15-minute striking battle.
Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his consistency, kickboxing experience (Glory), and titanium plate in his forearm that adds power. He acknowledges Khalil Rountree's knockout power and inconsistency, but trusts Jacoby's process. He is not betting due to the risk of Rountree's power, but picks Jacoby to win.
Jacob is confident in Dustin Jacoby, calling him a real deal striker with great kickboxing. He acknowledges Rountree's power and inconsistency but believes technique wins. Jacoby can defend takedowns and should outpoint Rountree, though he admits bias.
Jacoby's disciplined striking, footwork, and distance management will neutralize Rountree's power. Rountree's confidence is high but he struggles against technical strikers. Jacoby has more paths to victory and should win a decision. A small one-unit bet on Jacoby is recommended.
Paul is tempted by Khalil Rountree as a plus-money underdog, noting his sheer power and aggression. He mentions that when Rountree is in shape and motivated (as seen against Modestas Bukauskas and Karl Roberson), he can be dangerous. Paul says he needs to see the weigh-ins and dig into Rountree's personal life before deciding, but considers Rountree the most live underdog on the card.
The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby over Khalil Rountree, noting that Rountree's wins are against low-level opponents and he lost to Marcin Prachnio, who Jacoby should outperform. He highlights Jacoby's kickboxing credentials, reach, and chin, and believes Jacoby will fight on the outside, avoid Rountree's power, and win by 30-27 decision. He expects Rountree to have moments but fade.
Da Woon Jung - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Sy | 0 | 90 of 150 | 60% | 97 of 160 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 29 of 117 | 24% | 36 of 124 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oumar Sy | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 23 of 42 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 14 of 40 | 35% | 21 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Oumar Sy | 0 | 43 of 75 | 57% | 43 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 8 of 43 | 18% | 8 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Oumar Sy | 0 | 24 of 33 | 72% | 31 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 7 of 34 | 20% | 7 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Sy | 90 of 150 | 60% | 44 of 98 | 19 of 23 | 27 of 29 | 78 of 136 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 29 of 117 | 24% | 18 of 92 | 5 of 12 | 6 of 13 | 25 of 113 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oumar Sy | 23 of 42 | 54% | 8 of 23 | 4 of 6 | 11 of 13 | 19 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 14 of 40 | 35% | 9 of 26 | 1 of 5 | 4 of 9 | 10 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Oumar Sy | 43 of 75 | 57% | 24 of 55 | 11 of 12 | 8 of 8 | 36 of 66 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 8 of 43 | 18% | 4 of 37 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Oumar Sy | 24 of 33 | 72% | 12 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 8 | 23 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 7 of 34 | 20% | 5 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Oumar Sy, noting that the UFC is building him as a star by giving him a fight against a dangerous-looking opponent who is on a losing streak. He believes Sy's explosiveness and finishing ability will be too much for Da-woon, who has lost three in a row. He expects the line to move further in Sy's favor.
Big Brady picks Oumar Sy by second-round submission, noting Sy is a relentless wrestler who takes opponents down immediately and keeps them there. He criticizes Jung's takedown defense against wrestlers and points out Jung was submitted by Carlos Ulberg. He expects Sy to dominate on the ground.
Cody is high on Sy as a legitimate prospect with excellent grappling and size. He notes Sy's length (6'4", 83" reach) and ability to take down opponents and submit them. He expects Sy to take down Jung, who has poor takedown defense and submission defense, and finish via rear-naked choke.
Cody likes Oumar Sy as his matchup of the week, citing his strong wrestling and submission win in his UFC debut. He notes Sy is a big favorite at minus 600 and has a great inside the distance line at minus 160. Cody believes Sy's aggressive grappling style gives him a high ceiling and floor combination. He acknowledges Jung's experience and knockout upside but thinks Sy's wrestling will be the difference.
Connor agrees, pointing out that Da Woon Jung has looked shell-shocked in three fights running and may actively clinch with Sy to avoid striking, leading to a frustrating grind. He thinks Sy's grappling will be too much for Jung's current state.
Daniel Vreeland picks Oumar Sy to win. He thinks Sy's grappling and physicality will be too much for Da-woon, who has lost confidence since the Jacoby fight. He notes Sy's takedown ability and ground game, and that Da-woon has been easily taken down recently. He is not interested in the price at -450.
JP picks Oumar Sy because he is undefeated and has a huge reach advantage. He notes Sy's opponents often cancel fights, indicating they don't want to fight him. He thinks Sy will finish Da-woon inside the distance, possibly by submission or TKO. He says the line should be much higher.
Paul agrees, noting Sy's grappling is a clear advantage. He points out Jung's inconsistency and vulnerability to submissions, as seen in his loss to Carlos Alberg. Paul expects Sy to dominate with takedowns and control, though he acknowledges the risk of Jung landing a lucky shot.
The MMA Guru picks Oumar Sy over Jung Da-woon, highlighting Sy's reach (83 inches) and his recent first-round finishes. He notes Sy's grappling from Bulgarian Top Team and predicts a first-round submission via rear-naked choke.
Zane notes that Da Woon Jung's confidence is badly shot after recent losses, and he expects Jung to get blanketed by Sy's grinding takedown and control game. He thinks Sy might even get a submission, as jiu-jitsu is a 'magic bullet' at light heavyweight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Ulberg | 1 | 81 of 154 | 52% | 91 of 165 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 58 of 120 | 48% | 60 of 123 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Ulberg | 1 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 21 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carlos Ulberg | 0 | 24 of 55 | 43% | 24 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 23 of 44 | 52% | 23 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carlos Ulberg | 0 | 38 of 63 | 60% | 46 of 72 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 18 of 46 | 39% | 20 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Ulberg | 81 of 154 | 52% | 50 of 119 | 20 of 23 | 11 of 12 | 59 of 126 | 8 of 9 | 14 of 19 |
| Da Woon Jung | 58 of 120 | 48% | 14 of 59 | 12 of 20 | 32 of 41 | 55 of 115 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Ulberg | 19 of 36 | 52% | 7 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 17 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 |
| Da Woon Jung | 17 of 30 | 56% | 0 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 21 | 17 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Ulberg | 24 of 55 | 43% | 21 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 23 of 44 | 52% | 4 of 18 | 4 of 9 | 15 of 17 | 23 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Carlos Ulberg | 38 of 63 | 60% | 22 of 46 | 10 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 40 | 7 of 7 | 13 of 16 |
| Da Woon Jung | 18 of 46 | 39% | 10 of 36 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Carlos Ulberg, calling him one of his most confident picks on the card. He notes that Ulberg's striking is elite with great footwork and range management. Jung is well-rounded but may try takedowns, but Ulberg should be too good a striker and should have improved takedown defense.
Big Brady picks Carlos Ulberg, noting his recent knockout performances and Da-un's poor recent form. He worries about Ulberg's untested takedown defense but thinks if it stays standing, Ulberg will knock him out. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Ulberg confidently, citing his improvement since the Kennedy fight and his ability to finish fights early. He notes that Da-un has poor cardio, durability issues, and doesn't fight well at range. Cody expects Ulberg to win by knockout, possibly in the first round, and likes the under on significant strikes.
Daniel Levi picks Carlos Ulberg but with some hesitation. He notes that both fighters are counter-strikers, which could lead to a slow fight. Ulberg has a nasty check left hook and big kicks, but Da-un is a step up in competition. Levi says he is not as confident as in Ulberg's previous fights because Da-un won't rush in recklessly. He still expects Ulberg to win, possibly by knockout if Da-un overcommits.
Ulberg is on a four-fight winning streak with three finishes, showing improved confidence and speed. He is a City Kickboxing product. Da-un is on a two-fight losing streak but is grindy and tough. Ulberg's early speed and power should be too much, and he will likely win by knockout. The KO prop is preferred over the heavy moneyline.
Paul picks Ulberg, noting his rapid improvement and Da-un's inconsistency. He mentions that Da-un looked lost against Sam Alvey and was exposed in his last two fights. Paul believes Ulberg's precision and power will be too much, and he likes the under on significant strikes.
The MMA Guru picks Carlos Ulberg over Jung Da-un, expressing frustration that Ulberg is not being given tougher opponents. He notes that Da-un can grapple with cage trips and throws but believes Ulberg's movement and striking on the back foot will neutralize that. He points out that Da-un has lost to Devin Clark and was knocked out by Jacoby, while Ulberg is on a four-fight win streak. He predicts Ulberg will win easily, likely by knockout.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Clark | 0 | 18 of 52 | 34% | 43 of 78 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 5:48 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 39 of 70 | 55% | 96 of 136 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 5:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Clark | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 42 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 | |
| 2 | Devin Clark | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 23 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 24 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 | |
| 3 | Devin Clark | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 11 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 30 of 49 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Clark | 18 of 52 | 34% | 11 of 42 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 36 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 39 of 70 | 55% | 22 of 51 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 13 | 26 of 52 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Clark | 5 of 15 | 33% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 10 of 15 | 66% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Devin Clark | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 10 of 18 | 55% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Devin Clark | 7 of 25 | 28% | 4 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 19 of 37 | 51% | 14 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 30 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady sees Jung as the bigger, more powerful striker with solid takedown defense. He criticizes Devin Clark's recent performance and lack of wrestling. He expects Jung to knock out Clark early, likely in the first round.
Cody leans toward Jung but is not confident. He notes Jung's power and elbows in the clinch, but worries about his cardio and size. He thinks Devin Clark could grind out a decision by pressing Jung against the cage. He considers the line too big and prefers to pass or bet the over 2.5 rounds at +130.
Connor picks Da Woon Jung, citing his reach advantage and consistent pressure striking. He notes that Devin Clark lacks a process in his striking, with no jab, feints, or defense, and that his father's coaching has stunted his development. Connor expects Jung to win a three-round decision, as Clark is durable but unable to handle Jung's range and output.
Paul also leans toward Jung but is not betting. He notes Jung's size advantage (6'4" vs 6'0") and power, but acknowledges Clark's durability and grinding style. He points out that Clark often fights to a decision and lacks killer instinct. He prefers to avoid the fight entirely.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Da Woon Jung. He highlights Jung's size and durability, and Clark's inability to put together combinations or defend effectively. Zane notes that Clark's only chance is a surprise head kick, but Jung's consistent pressure and reach will lead to a clear decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 1 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | 14 of 23 | 60% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 14 of 39 | 35% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 9 | 14 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustin Jacoby | 14 of 23 | 60% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Da Woon Jung | 14 of 39 | 35% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 9 | 14 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby but is worried about Da Woon Jung's wrestling. He believes Jacoby's leg kicks will be the difference, slowing Jung down and allowing Jacoby to work his striking. He acknowledges Jung's impressive grappling and unbeaten streak, making this a tough pick.
Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He favors Jacoby's volume and striking over Jung's power. He notes that Jung's takedown game is overrated, as he only showed it against William Knight. He thinks Jacoby's get-up game will neutralize takedowns and that Jacoby will outwork Jung over three rounds.
Cody leans towards Jung as a slight underdog, citing his power and wrestling as x-factors. He notes that Jacoby has holes in his game, including questionable chin and takedown defense. Cody believes Jung could exploit these with his power or takedowns, but he is not confident enough to bet.
Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, but jokingly notes he is wrong on every Da Woon Jung fight, so picking Jacoby means Jung will win. He praises Jacoby's kickboxing background and ability to overcome adversity, while noting Jung's power and length. He expects Jacoby to outwork Jung down the stretch to a decision.
Paul also leans towards Jung, noting his power and the fact that Jacoby has been taken down and hurt in past fights. He mentions Jung's win over Kennedy Nzechukwu and his ability to finish fights. However, he is not confident and calls it a dogger pass.
The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung as an underdog over Dustin Jacoby, citing Jung's grappling ability and power. He notes Jung's win over William Knight, where he dominated grappling exchanges, and believes Jung's takedown threat will neutralize Jacoby's kicking game. He also mentions Jacoby's close fights and age (34) as concerns, while Jung is younger (28) and improving rapidly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1 | 16 of 49 | 32% | 16 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1 | 16 of 49 | 32% | 16 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 16 of 49 | 32% | 15 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 42 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 6 of 18 | 33% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 16 of 49 | 32% | 15 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 42 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Da Woon Jung because Kennedy Nzechukwu has a habit of falling behind on rounds and relying on comeback knockouts, which is not a reliable betting strategy. He notes that Jung has good wrestling and can control the fight with takedowns, similar to his win over William Knight. Angelo believes the odds are fair and mentions a potential prop bet on Kennedy inside the distance for a refund if he loses a decision.
Big Brady picks Da Woon Jung because he believes Kennedy Nzechukwu is a slow starter who relies on opponents gassing out, as seen in his wins over Danilo Marquez and Carlos Oberg. Jung showed a new wrestling wrinkle by taking down William Knight eight times, and his gas tank is solid. Brady thinks Jung can mix in takedowns and won't fade like Nzechukwu's previous opponents, leading to a decision win.
Cody likes Nzechukwu as a dog. He argues that Jung's takedowns came against a much smaller opponent (Knight) and that Nzechukwu's size and reach will make takedowns harder. He notes Nzechukwu's improving cardio and volume, and that Jung struggled against Sam Alvey. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Daniel Levi picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, emphasizing his 83-inch reach and toughness. He believes Nzechukwu's technique is improving and that he will grind out a close decision by winning the second and third rounds. Levi notes that Jung has struggled against lower-level competition and that Nzechukwu has more potential and a higher ceiling.
Jacob picks Kennedy Nzechukwu as an underdog, believing Kennedy's takedown defense will hold up and he will swarm Jung with volume. He acknowledges that Kennedy often falls behind but thinks he can win this fight, possibly inside the distance. Jacob is not very confident but likes the underdog play.
Paul leans toward Jung because of his wrestling. He notes Jung scored eight takedowns against William Knight, though Knight is much smaller. He thinks Jung can get takedowns and control Nzechukwu, but acknowledges Nzechukwu showed improvements in his last fight.
The Guru predicts Kennedy Nzechukwu will win by TKO in the second round. He describes a competitive first round with both fighters landing, but Nzechukwu's body work and knees take over in the second, culminating in a counter hook that drops Da Woon Jung. The Guru emphasizes Nzechukwu's body shots and clinch work as key factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 73 of 99 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 12:04 |
| William Knight | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 38 of 50 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 16 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| William Knight | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 39 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:56 |
| William Knight | 0 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| William Knight | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 28 of 46 | 60% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 8 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 23 |
| William Knight | 17 of 29 | 58% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 15 | 17 of 26 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 4 of 8 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| William Knight | 6 of 12 | 50% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 24 of 37 | 64% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 22 |
| William Knight | 9 of 12 | 75% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| William Knight | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jung to win by first-round knockout. He believes Jung is the better striker with significant power, and Knight is hittable with poor striking defense (33%). Brady expects Jung to stuff Knight's takedowns and land a knockout, as Knight has been knocked out before. He notes that if Knight can grind, he could win, but the more likely scenario is a Jung KO. Brady is passing on betting due to the line movement.
Cody picks Knight, citing his power, cardio, and ring IQ. He notes Jung's poor performance against Alvey and Knight's ability to come back from adversity. He thinks Knight's pressure and power will be too much.
Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, despite his disappointing performance against Sam Alvey. He notes that Jung showed in the third round what he can do when he lets his hands go, and he has a significant height and reach advantage. Levi is concerned about William Knight leaving his chin up in the air and thinks Jung can capitalize. He is not sure about the method but picks Jung to win.
The host expects Knight to close the distance, clinch, and drag Jung to the ground, nullifying Jung's size and striking advantage. He notes that Knight is a dense, strong fighter with good durability, and that his grappling-heavy game plan should be effective. He picks Knight to grind out a decision victory, though he acknowledges that Jung has power and could land a knockout.
Paul picks Knight, calling him a 'poor man's Derrick Lewis' with power and cardio. He notes Knight's ability to get back up from takedowns and his ring IQ. He thinks Knight is a live dog.
The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung, citing his size advantage over the smaller William Knight. He thinks both are not technically great but Jung's reach and front kick will keep Knight at bay. He notes Jung has decent takedown defense and KO power. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Jung.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 1 | 56 of 126 | 44% | 61 of 133 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 59 of 166 | 35% | 69 of 177 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 20 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 22 of 64 | 34% | 27 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 19 of 49 | 38% | 19 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 23 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 22 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 14 of 42 | 33% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 56 of 126 | 44% | 43 of 108 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 46 of 114 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 |
| Sam Alvey | 59 of 166 | 35% | 38 of 140 | 3 of 8 | 18 of 18 | 56 of 162 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 20 of 42 | 47% | 13 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 22 of 64 | 34% | 14 of 53 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 19 of 49 | 38% | 13 of 39 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 23 of 60 | 38% | 14 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 7 | 23 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 |
| Sam Alvey | 14 of 42 | 33% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady is confident in Da Woon Jung, citing his high output (6.59 significant strikes per minute) compared to Alvey's low volume. He notes Jung's good chin and cardio, and struggles to see a path to victory for Alvey. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he acknowledges a decision is possible.
Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, citing his durability, discipline, and jab. He notes that Alvey is on the decline and has been figured out, with his only recent knockout being against a low-level opponent. Levi believes Jung will stay technical, pick Alvey apart with the jab, and avoid the counter right hook, likely winning by early knockout.
The host leans toward Da Woon Jung, noting that Jung is younger, more aggressive, and has better output. He questions Sam Alvey's durability and recent form, but is not confident enough to bet the moneyline at -370. He suggests Jung by knockout as a prop.
The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Jung is more technical and controlled than Ryan Spann (who struggled with Alvey), sets up shots with feints, and is coming off a KO win over Mike Rodriguez. He criticizes Alvey for losing too many times and being 34 years old.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby but is worried about Da Woon Jung's wrestling. He believes Jacoby's leg kicks will be the difference, slowing Jung down and allowing Jacoby to work his striking. He acknowledges Jung's impressive grappling and unbeaten streak, making this a tough pick.
Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He favors Jacoby's volume and striking over Jung's power. He notes that Jung's takedown game is overrated, as he only showed it against William Knight. He thinks Jacoby's get-up game will neutralize takedowns and that Jacoby will outwork Jung over three rounds.
Cody leans towards Jung as a slight underdog, citing his power and wrestling as x-factors. He notes that Jacoby has holes in his game, including questionable chin and takedown defense. Cody believes Jung could exploit these with his power or takedowns, but he is not confident enough to bet.
Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, but jokingly notes he is wrong on every Da Woon Jung fight, so picking Jacoby means Jung will win. He praises Jacoby's kickboxing background and ability to overcome adversity, while noting Jung's power and length. He expects Jacoby to outwork Jung down the stretch to a decision.
Paul also leans towards Jung, noting his power and the fact that Jacoby has been taken down and hurt in past fights. He mentions Jung's win over Kennedy Nzechukwu and his ability to finish fights. However, he is not confident and calls it a dogger pass.
The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung as an underdog over Dustin Jacoby, citing Jung's grappling ability and power. He notes Jung's win over William Knight, where he dominated grappling exchanges, and believes Jung's takedown threat will neutralize Jacoby's kicking game. He also mentions Jacoby's close fights and age (34) as concerns, while Jung is younger (28) and improving rapidly.
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