UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev Next Fight
Age 38
Height 5' 8"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 33
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Aiemann Zahabi
4.54 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
4.08 SApM
69.0% Str. Def.
0.12 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
83.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ricky Turcios
4.68 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
3.84 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.85 TD Avg
17.0% TD Acc.
44.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Aiemann Zahabi
Moneyline
Caesars +200
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
FanDuel +460
Ricky Turcios
Moneyline
BetMGM -200
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
BetRivers +1000
Decision
BetWay +140
Aiemann Zahabi - Fight History
SCHED vs Sean O'Malley
UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 14, 2026
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

AJ thinks O'Malley will be too fast for Zahabi, out-boxing and out-kickboxing him. He notes Zahabi is a pressure boxer who is slower and worse at everything O'Malley does, and doesn't bring a serious wrestling threat. He expects O'Malley to get his win streak going.

"I think Ali is going to be a bit too fast for Zahabi. I think Ali out boxes him, out kickboxes him..."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

AJ sees O'Malley as a bad matchup for Zahabi, citing O'Malley's speed, footwork, and accuracy. He notes that Zahabi is hittable and has been stunned in recent fights, though durable. AJ thinks O'Malley will tee off on him, likely winning a decision but with a chance of a late KO. He mentions O'Malley's training in Arizona for the outdoor conditions and believes the lack of takedown threat helps O'Malley be comfortable. AJ predicts O'Malley will 'style on him' and pitch a shutout.

O'Malley over 1.5 rounds at -125; O'Malley by KO at +215; O'Malley by decision at +110
"I think that Shawn Ali is a pretty damn bad matchup for an Aean Zahabi and I think he's going to tee off on him."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

AJ picks O'Malley to win, calling it a showcase designed for a highlight-reel KO. He notes Zahabi is hittable down the center line and has a reach and footwork disadvantage, while O'Malley has elite footwork and sharp striking. AJ is less confident in the KO, suggesting a decision is possible, but overall sees O'Malley as the clear winner.

O'Malley by KO (low confidence)
"This fight is brought in for a Sean O'Malley highlight reel KO. Don't let anybody tell you otherwise."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

AJ picks O'Malley by KO, citing O'Malley's speed, footwork, and precision striking as key advantages. He notes Zahabi is hittable and squares up, and that O'Malley's pull counter and straight shots will land. He believes Zahabi's close-range brawling style plays into O'Malley's hands and that O'Malley is due for a knockout.

O'Malley by KO, O'Malley KO under 2.5 rounds (+161), fight ends inside distance (+130)
"I'm going Shawn Ali by KO. We haven't seen the Vintage Omali knockout in a while."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Angelo picks Sean O'Malley, citing his laser pinpoint accuracy and footwork. He notes that Zahabi has been dropped in recent fights and is closing in on being chinny. He expects O'Malley to win a decision, not dominantly, but clearly.

"Shawn Omali is an accurate striker with laser pinpoint accuracy. And if he just has the footwork, stays on the outside, uses that accuracy, and hits an older... closing in on Chinny Aan Zahabi. Shauna Ali should win this fight."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Angelo picks Sean O'Malley, noting his pinpoint accuracy and reach advantage. He believes Zahabi doesn't threaten takedowns and doesn't move forward, which plays into O'Malley's strengths. He expects an underwhelming but straightforward win for O'Malley.

"Sean O'Malley is the pick. I think Sean O'Malley has a underwhelming performance here, but I think it's a pretty straightforward win."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Big Brady picks Sean O'Malley to win by decision. He believes O'Malley will have a massive volume advantage and more tools on the feet, and won't have to worry about takedowns. He notes Zahabi has been dropped in recent fights but is tough, so a decision is likely, though a knockout wouldn't shock him.

"I think Shauna Ali wins this fight. I'll say decision because Zahabi is a tough dude."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Big Brady likes Sean O'Malley to bounce back, noting Zahabi is not a wrestler and O'Malley will have a striking advantage with more volume and power. He thinks O'Malley can win by decision or knockout, leaning decision due to Zahabi's toughness. He sees this as an easy matchup for O'Malley since he doesn't have to worry about grappling.

"I think Sean O'Malley gets back on track. I think he gets a little bit of that hype back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Connor picks O'Malley to knock Zahabi out, noting that Zahabi has been close to being finished in recent fights. He acknowledges Zahabi's solid defense but believes O'Malley's speed, length, and power will be too much. Connor points out that Zahabi is a slow, unthreatening physical specimen and O'Malley knows how to set up his shots.

O'Malley opened at minus 250, currently minus 425; Zahabi opened at plus 210, currently plus 325.
"I'm picking Sean O'Malley to knock Aiemann Zahabi out."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Daniel Levi believes Sean O'Malley is on a slight decline but still has the stylistic edge over Aiemann Zahabi. He notes O'Malley's length, power, and ability to finish when he hurts opponents, contrasting with Zahabi's point-fighting style and lack of wrestling or power threat. Levi thinks Zahabi's recent wins over Aldo and Vera were fortunate and that O'Malley will end his 'lucky run' with a knockout. He also mentions Zahabi's age (38) and O'Malley's youth and reach advantage.

O'Malley by KO; O'Malley -450 favorite; Zahabi +350 underdog
"I think Ali is going to come out here and knock out Amen Zahabi."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Jun 12, 2026 (2 days before fight)

The host thinks O'Malley will dominate and likely knock out Zahabi, but the odds are not good enough to bet. He suggests fight not to go to decision at 2.35 for entertainment, but personally passes.

fight not to go to decision at 2.35
"If you want to bet this fight to make watching it more entertaining, I would take fight not to go to a decision at 2.35."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Jacob picks Sean O'Malley, describing it as a minutes versus moments fight. He believes O'Malley will dictate pressure and win the moments, while Zahabi would need to win the minutes but likely won't. He thinks O'Malley's counter-striking will be key.

"I think Shawn is the one that's going to be dictating the pressure on this. It's going to be Zahabi around the outside and then he's not winning the minutes then he has to win the moments and I don't …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Lucrative James picks Sean O'Malley to win via knockout. He argues that O'Malley's distance control, speed, and counter-striking are superior to Zahabi's previous opponents, who were more forward-pressure fighters. He notes Zahabi's wins over older fighters and close decisions, and believes O'Malley will land a clean shot for a knockout or knockdown.

Sean O'Malley via knockout
"I'm actually going to pick Shauna Ali via knockout as well."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

The host acknowledges Zahabi's career-best run but sees a tough stylistic matchup. He expects O'Malley to counter Zahabi's aggressive striking, especially when Zahabi enters the pocket with blitz attacks, and eventually knock him out.

KO
"I expect O'Malley to counter the aggressive striking of Zahabi, especially whenever he enters the pocket with his blitz attacks, and I think one of those shots will eventually put Zahabi's lights out, leading to O'Malley winning by knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

O'Malley's speed, power, and countering ability should allow him to snipe Zahabi from distance. Zahabi leaves his chin exposed when crashing the pocket, and O'Malley will capitalize. Expects O'Malley to land a knockout after Zahabi makes a mistake.

O'Malley by KO
"I think Ali will take full advantage of that and I think that will lead to him finding the chin of Zahabi and putting him out cold."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

The Guru picks Sean O'Malley by KO in the first or second round. He believes Zahabi is not as fast or explosive as Song Yadong, and that O'Malley's reach and speed advantages will be decisive. He expects O'Malley to start slow, then sting Zahabi with a counter shot and finish him. He compares it to O'Malley's performance against Marlon Vera, where he dominated on the feet.

KO in round 1 or 2
"I'm going with Shaun Ali. He's going to put Aiemann Zahabi out cold on the White House card. ... I think we're going to see a vintage O'Malley KO at the White House card."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Sean O'Malley

Zane also picks O'Malley, but notes that Zahabi's defensive consistency could make O'Malley uncomfortable. He points out that O'Malley isn't a combination puncher and may struggle to land clean shots, but ultimately O'Malley's speed and reach advantage should prevail. Zane would love to see Zahabi win but can't pick it.

Same odds commentary as Connor.
"I have to pick O'Malley too. You really do. But I'd love to see Zahabi win this."
WIN vs Marlon Vera
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marlon Vera 1 56 of 152 36% 56 of 153 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aiemann Zahabi 0 81 of 152 53% 81 of 152 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marlon Vera 0 11 of 40 27% 11 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aiemann Zahabi 0 20 of 37 54% 20 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marlon Vera 1 21 of 50 42% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aiemann Zahabi 0 24 of 44 54% 24 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Marlon Vera 0 24 of 62 38% 24 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aiemann Zahabi 0 37 of 71 52% 37 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marlon Vera 56 of 152 36% 30 of 107 14 of 26 12 of 19 55 of 150 1 of 2 0 of 0
Aiemann Zahabi 81 of 152 53% 47 of 107 20 of 28 14 of 17 79 of 149 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marlon Vera 11 of 40 27% 3 of 25 4 of 9 4 of 6 11 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aiemann Zahabi 20 of 37 54% 11 of 26 5 of 7 4 of 4 19 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Marlon Vera 21 of 50 42% 13 of 35 4 of 9 4 of 6 21 of 49 0 of 1 0 of 0
Aiemann Zahabi 24 of 44 54% 16 of 34 6 of 8 2 of 2 23 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Marlon Vera 24 of 62 38% 14 of 47 6 of 8 4 of 7 23 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 0
Aiemann Zahabi 37 of 71 52% 20 of 47 9 of 13 8 of 11 37 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marlon Vera vs. Aiemann Zahabi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zahabi (-130); Vera (+110)

Round 1
On his first losing streak since 2018, “Chito” Vera (23-10-1, 15-9 UFC) might lose his place in line with another defeat. He will have to stave off the surging Ariel Helwani—that is, Tristar Gym’s Zahabi (13-2, 7-2 UFC). The three-round bantamweight affair will draw the assignment of referee Jason Herzog, and the fight begins with the athletes going right for it.
Vera is the aggressor, pitching a head kick while walking the Canadian down. Zahabi gets away with a low kick, and chants of his surname rain down in the building. Kicks continue to come from both sides as range-finders, but neither man drills the other with anything clean. Vera tries to go upstairs with his shin, and Zahabi blocks it well in time. Zahabi chambers and fires an inside leg kick to decent success, and he parries a jumping front kick that is the response. Vera stomps at the knee of his opponent, and he stutter-steps his way forward with a high kick. Vera then punches his way into another head kick effort, to which Zahabi chops his foe’s lead leg back. Left hooks are traded by the bantamweights, and Zahabi’s defensive shell protects him from the worst of the oncoming fire.
Zahabi splits the guard with a jab and follows with a right, and Vera greets him back with another calf kick. “Chito” reaches the body with a knee, and his low kick is soon to follow. Zahabi marches forward and lets his hands go, reaching his foe with a left but backing off when Vera starts to rev up his own engine. Vera chains a front kick into two leg kicks, one on either side of Zahabi’s front wheel. Zahabi rushes after the Ecuadorian, pulling back when Vera pump-fakes a knee. Vera sticks out an elbow that opens up Zahabi’s nose, which starts dripping down his face. “Chito” attacks with swinging kicks, and his knee is flashing at the right time to prevent Zahabi from bearing down on him. Zahabi bites down on his mouthpiece to engage, and he walks through a body kick to swing two big right hands. Vera backs him off with an elbow up top, and the close round ends with a Zahabi body kick.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi

Round 2
Between rounds, a replay shows that Vera is struggling with his ring finger on his left hand. When the bell starts the second stanza, adrenaline kicks back in and he closes his fist to throw it. Zahabi starts off aggressively, walking into a left hand so that he can bash Vera in the lead leg with a kick. Vera retaliates with a high kick that slaps off the guard, and he loops a right hand around the raised guard. Vera stomps down low with his kick and whips a left hand at the Canadian, and he catches a body kick to whip a pair of punches at his foe. Vera chains a front kick into a pair of punches, and he stans Zahabi up with a step-in elbow. When he tries for a knee, Zahabi intercepts him before getting air with a right hand. Body kicks land from both men, and Vera staggers his opponent with a piston-like jab. Zahabi bounces off the fence and rolls to grab the fence several times to pull himself upright, and Herzog appears to miss the fouls. Zahabi gets up, and Vera stalks him down like a predator following wounded prey.
Vera connects with a pinpoint accurate jab, and this time Zahabi does not flinch. Vera rips a left to the liver after going up top, and he has nothing to fear with absolutely zero offense coming back his direction. Vera whips a question mark kick up around the guard, and he strides through to drill Zahabi with long punches. Vera appears to let the damaged man off the hook, even with his Superman punch partially connecting. Vera scores a high kick and tries for a knee to the breadbasket, and Zahabi is back in full swing and swings with full force. Zahabi backs Vera up to the wall with looping punches, and Vera rebounds off the wall and appears no worse for wear. Vera ducks down to let a punch bang into the top of his skull, and he eats a knee to the body. The Canadian appears angered, letting loose with one-twos. Vera stifles him briefly with a kick to the knee, and when the horn sounds, they stand right in front of each mean-mugging until Herzog has to split them up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Vera
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vera

Round 3
Vera says hello in the final round with a head kick attempt. Zahabi drives him back with his own try, so Vera boots him with a hook kick. He then checks a kick coming his direction, and preemptively counters his opponent with a left hook right before Zahabi throws. Zahabi scores a hard low kick that draws a stance switch from the Ecuadorian, and the two trade it out from up close. Zahabi gains some space and kicks the side, and he keeps spinning with a back fist that misses by a mile. Vera showboats with the matador pantomime, but he has to keep his guard up because Zahabi is bearing down on him. Vera busts Zahabi’s nose back open with a flush knee, and it is no longer just dripping a wee bit. Zahabi chomps down on his gumshield and lets fly kicks and wide punches, and Vera rebounds off the wire and guard most of them to reset. Vera then scores a left hand to the temple, and he is met with a body kick. Vera intercepts his man with a check left hook, and Zahabi jacks him in the jaw with a front kick.
The two go shot-for-shot as they bash, bruise and bloody one another, with Vera looking for a step-in knee as Zahabi retaliates with an elbow. Vera pops his man with a left hand, spurring Zahabi into kicks from both legs. Vera kicks low, and he is caught upstairs with a right hand and further stung with a leg kick. “Chito” does not bat an eye and instead lashes out with his own offense, and Zahabi attacks his front leg repeatedly. Zahabi doubles up on straight left hands, and Vera’s low kick lands with a pop and slips a left hand around the guard. Vera is backed up from the offense of his adversary, with Zahabi blitzing forward and finally drawing blood on the bridge of Vera’s nose. Vera does not even register the damage, instead getting right back in Zahabi’s face with fists and feet. “Chito” just misses with an axe kick, and the fight could still be hanging in the balance with 15 seconds to go. Vera lands a leg kick, and Zahabi races forward and gets clipped. They both go nuts with one final brawl, hitting one another in the chin with everything they have left. The round ends, and both corners lift their fighters up in the air to celebrate a tight, brutal slugfest.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Vera)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Vera)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Marlon Vera via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Angelo slightly leans Chito Vera, noting his durability, volume, and ability to win in scrambles. He questions Zahabi's win streak, calling the Aldo win lucky and the Basharat win a robbery. He worries about Vera's slow starts in three-round fights and potential chin decline.

"I think I'm going to slightly lean Chito Vera as far as a pick is concerned."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Big Brady is unsure which version of Vera shows up. He thinks if Vera is motivated, he can win with his striking and elbows. He notes Vera always loses the first round but could steal rounds two and three. He picks Vera by close decision, acknowledging the fight has split decision written all over it.

"I'm going to take Vera to win this fight. I do think it's going to be a close fight... give me vera to win by a close decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Cody picks Zahabi, citing Marlon Vera's slow starts and accumulated damage. He notes Vera has been hit over 1600 times in the UFC and is slowing down. Zahabi's high volume, precision, and methodical game plan will allow him to win rounds. Cody expects Zahabi to win by decision.

Zahabi by decision, over
"I got Zahabi just fighting the good methodical game plan, breaking him down, winning a decision. So Zahabi, Zahabi by decision, and the over."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Connor picks Vera, but with hesitation. He notes that Vera is a slow-paced fighter who lets opponents rally early, then becomes more aggressive in later rounds. Connor thinks Zahabi will give Vera no choice but to get aggressive, and Vera's durability and power could pay off. However, he acknowledges that Vera's style doesn't deserve to win rounds and that Zahabi could be one of the fighters who works around it.

Odds: Vera opened at +210, currently +115; Zahabi opened at -250, currently -135.
"I think I'll go with Cheeto too. I mean, I just think, uh, you know, in a weird way, like he was, um, poised to make Aldo really very stressed out and uncomfortable."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

James calls this a close fight and struggles to pick a winner. He favors Zahabi due to the Canadian crowd and potential judging bias, as seen in Zahabi's win over Jose Aldo. He notes Vera's durability and cardio advantages but questions Vera's recent form and damage taken. James predicts a split decision for Zahabi.

"I'm going to go with Aan Zahabi here. I'm going to go with Aan Zahabi. Like maybe robbery decision, you know, or maybe split decision uh and then the Canadian judges score it for him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

The host thinks Vera's aggressive style will be too much for Zahabi, who prefers to sit back at distance and counter. He expects Vera to continuously push forward with aggressive output, leading to a late finish or a decision win.

late finish or decision
"I think his run ends here as the aggressive style of Vera should end up being too much for Zahabi to deal with."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Paul leans Zahabi, noting his volume and precision. He mentions Vera's slow starts and that Zahabi is Canadian, which could help in a close decision. Paul expects a close fight but gives the edge to Zahabi.

"Slightly into Zahabi here. you know, another fight that I expect to be close and competitive."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

The MMA Guru picks Aiemann Zahabi over Marlon Vera. He criticizes Vera's recent performances, calling him a punching bag and easy to game plan against. He praises Zahabi's team and game planning, and his toughness shown against Aldo. He predicts Zahabi will use takedowns and clean striking to win a clear decision, 30-27.

decision win 30-27
"I'm going to go with Aiemann Zahabi getting this one done by decision, 30-27, clears the scorecards."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Zane picks Vera, but hesitantly. He notes that Vera's style is not built to win rounds, but he is dangerous and can rally in later rounds. Zane thinks Zahabi's physical limitations may catch up to him against elite talent, and Vera's power and durability could be the difference. However, he acknowledges Zahabi's impressive win over Aldo and his unique ability to fight off both front and back foot.

Odds: Vera opened at +210, currently +115; Zahabi opened at -250, currently -135.
"I'm just gonna pick Cheeto on the, like, I can't keep, I can't watch as a hobby against a really elite talent and see those moments where they just catch him out..."
WIN vs José Aldo
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
José Aldo 1 68 of 167 40% 71 of 170 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Aiemann Zahabi 0 99 of 199 49% 109 of 209 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 José Aldo 0 23 of 59 38% 23 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aiemann Zahabi 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 José Aldo 0 25 of 72 34% 25 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aiemann Zahabi 0 26 of 66 39% 26 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 José Aldo 1 20 of 36 55% 23 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Aiemann Zahabi 0 52 of 87 59% 62 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
José Aldo 68 of 167 40% 48 of 135 13 of 25 7 of 7 67 of 166 0 of 0 1 of 1
Aiemann Zahabi 99 of 199 49% 79 of 167 14 of 22 6 of 10 66 of 151 8 of 11 25 of 37
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 José Aldo 23 of 59 38% 12 of 42 6 of 12 5 of 5 23 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aiemann Zahabi 21 of 46 45% 15 of 39 4 of 5 2 of 2 18 of 43 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 José Aldo 25 of 72 34% 17 of 62 6 of 8 2 of 2 25 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aiemann Zahabi 26 of 66 39% 19 of 50 3 of 8 4 of 8 25 of 64 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 José Aldo 20 of 36 55% 19 of 31 1 of 5 0 of 0 19 of 35 0 of 0 1 of 1
Aiemann Zahabi 52 of 87 59% 45 of 78 7 of 9 0 of 0 23 of 44 4 of 6 25 of 37
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jose Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aldo (-218), Zahabi (+180)

Round 1
A day and a half ago, the “featured fight of the night” slot was booked as a bantamweight affair. Elder statesman and beloved champ Aldo (32-9, 14-8 UFC) could not get close to 136 pounds, so he and Zahabi (12-2, 6-2 UFC) agreed to bump it up to featherweight to keep it together due to strange Canadian weight regulations. In what could be a passing of the torch match—this could be said about the last five fights or so for the ex-WEC champ—referee Dan Miragliotta will be installed as the cage commander. The two relieved fighters who did not have to cut nearly as much weight as they expected bump fists to get the fight started. Aldo marches forward, guard high, and Zahabi circles all the way around him. Aldo keeps following his foe, neither man throwing a strike of merit for the first 50 seconds. Aldo finally lands a jab, but it is just one jab. Zahabi jabs him back, and Aldo responds with a speedy head kick that bounces into his foe’s armpit. Zahabi jumps in and out to strike, and Aldo lets go with a body kick and two hooks. Aldo cracks the Canadian with a right hand, sending Zahabi back in a hurry. He lands another right hand, and lifts up a knee to counter something that does not get to him. Zahabi gets off two punches, and Aldo does not even register them and loads up a right hand that bangs into the Canadian’s head. Zahabi reaches his foe with a body kick, and Aldo continues marching forward without fear. Aldo lifts his knee up to block a high kick, and he jabs with the ball of his foot extended. Aldo rips the body with two punches, and Zahabi’s guard lower as he frowns. Aldo doubles up on a jab to strike with a right hand, and he gets countered and sways to avoid the worst of them. Aldo counters Zahabi coming in with a hook, and he jabs the body when he notices Zahabi is not retaliating. Aldo scores a mighty low kick, and Zahabi walks towards him to score a pair of punches. Zahabi flashes a grin, and he splits the guard with a few jabs and a couple right hands. Aldo leans back and dodges several punches, and he engages with power offense of his own. Aldo uses a power jab to set up further punches, and he no-sells a left hook and fires one back. Aldo goes to the body, and Zahabi counters with a front kick and a punch. Aldo cracks him with a left hand, and the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aldo
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Aldo
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Aldo

Round 2
Zahabi starts off the round in a flurry, crashing the pocket and kneeing the former champ flush in the chest. Aldo forces him to settle down with a front kick to the midsection. Aldo flicks out a quick jab, and he sneaks in a low kick before Zahabi can get to him. Aldo checks a kick and swings for the fences, but the Canadian is able to escape them. Aldo checks a leg kick and snaps out his jab, intercepting his advancing opponent every time. Zahabi walks through a few to try to strike, and Aldo goes to the body and head. When Zahabi strikes back, Aldo is nowhere to be found. Aldo pounds the body with a right hand, and he takes a left hook on the forehead so he can rifle off a big hook of his own. Aldo slips a punch and has one scrape off his forehead, and they jab one another up. The former beltholder plays the matador, absorbing a single left hand and landing his own. Zahabi’s foot rises up in a combination, and his foot strikes the groin. He immediately apologizes, and Aldo knows it was totally by accident. They restart in a few seconds, with Zahabi cut on the side of his right eye. Aldo lets him come at him so he can counter, and he ducks a leaping left hand to sneak away. Zahabi kicks him square in the groin, and this time, Aldo is a little more irritated and takes some time, while saying “that’s two” to Miragliotta. Time is called, and Aldo is perturbed but they tap gloves to get going after 15 seconds and push ahead. Zahabi aims a kick much lower to avoid the groin, and he has another get checked. Aldo whips a body shot at him and looks to dodge a jab. Zahabi clips the former beltholder with a left hand, and Aldo pushes off with a front kick and a few jabs. Zahabi dings him with another left, and Aldo shakes his head. Aldo leaps in the air, landing a flying knee to the body at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aldo
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Aldo
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Aldo

Round 3
The fighters hug it out as the last round begins. Zahabi reintroduces himself with a one-two, beating Aldo to the punch with a few strikes until Aldo revs up his own engine and stinging the Canadian. Aldo lets Zahabi fly past him, but when Zahabi resets, Zahabi lands three punches down the middle. Aldo shakes his head and drives a knee into his chest. Two body shots from the Brazilian land cleanly, and he ducks down and takes a left hand over the top along with a knee to the body. Aldo surges into action, hurting Zahabi with a knee, a right hand and a head kick that send him flying. Aldo punches his foe and drills Zahabi with a legal soccer kick, and Zahabi is all over the place and barely with it. Aldo chases after him and blasts him with another soccer kick, and Zahabi flops to his back and survives it. Miraculously, Zahabi is still in the fight, and he manages to stand back in front of Aldo, who is looking hard at the clock. The Brazilian is totally spent trying to force the finish, and suddenly momentum has shifted again. Zahabi pours it on, and he marches Aldo down and starts hurting him. A gassed Aldo shoots for a takedown, and Zahabi bowls him over and starts landing punches. Zahabi sits in Aldo’s guard, unleashing heavy punches and elbows. Zahabi continues to assault the former champ with unblocked elbows, and Aldo hangs on tight with nothing left to offer. Aldo keeps his hands up and breathes as hard as one can, and he clings to Zahabi while Zahabi offers more elbows. Zahabi complains that Aldo is holding his glove, and a moment of confusion leads to Zahabi hammering Aldo with more elbows. One slashing elbow shreds open a cut on the middle of Aldo’s forehead, and blood streams down his face immediately. Zahabi keeps pouring it on, looking to Miragliotta for a stoppage that is not yet to come. Every time Zahabi nails Aldo, he looks to Miragliotta. Aldo holds on to save himself and run out the clock, and Zahabi helps him back to his feet when the shocking match concludes. Both teams lift their fighters on their shoulders and parade them around the cage, embracing while held on the shoulders. What a fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Aldo)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Aldo)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Aldo)

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Jose Aldo via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
José Aldo

Angelo picks José Aldo despite his age, noting he is still fast, clean, dangerous, durable, and impossible to take down. He argues Aldo won his last fight against Mario Bautista. He mentions an inside distance decision no action prop as an alternative if the moneyline is too steep. He believes Aldo is clearly the better fighter.

Considering inside distance decision no action prop
"It is pretty clear that Jose is actually the better fighter. Even at his age, he is fast, he's clean, he's dangerous, he's durable, he's impossible to take down."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Big Brady picks the underdog Zahabi, citing his excellent striking defense (71%) and recent improved volume. He thinks the fight will be a close striking match that goes to decision, and with the fight in Canada, Zahabi could get the nod. He notes Aldo is 38 and hasn't used leg kicks in years, and believes the line is too wide.

"I'm going to take Zahabi to win a very close competitive decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)
José Aldo

Connor picks José Aldo, acknowledging that Zahabi has improved but arguing that Aldo's level of competition and technical striking will prevail. He notes that Zahabi's high guard and predictable patterns will be exploited by Aldo's body shots and counters. Connor expresses some concern about Aldo's age but ultimately believes he is still too good.

"I'm not going to pick it either. I mean even getting countered by like mario batista... it's hard to look at the hobby like... and not imagine jose aldo just tearing his liver out of his rib cage."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
José Aldo

The host acknowledges Zahabi's recent streak but believes he will struggle against Aldo's Muay Thai. He notes that Aldo remains dangerous in striking even in losses and doubts Zahabi has the grappling or strength to control Aldo against the cage like Bautista did. He expects Aldo to lead in striking and win on the scorecards.

"I think Aldo, even in losses, has shown he is still very dangerous in the striking room."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
José Aldo

The MMA Guru picks Aldo, believing he still has elite skills and will be too much for Zahabi. He thinks Aldo's reach, body shots, and experience will lead to a TKO, possibly in the second round. He doubts Zahabi can hold Aldo against the cage like other fighters have, and notes Aldo's motivation after the controversial Batista loss.

TKO in the second round
"I'm going to go with Jose Aldo getting this one done. I'm going to say Jose Aldo gets a TKO in the second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)
José Aldo

Zane picks José Aldo, arguing that Zahabi has never faced an elite-level athlete like Aldo. He notes that Zahabi's success comes from exploiting opponents who try to power through, but Aldo is a technical striker who will punish Zahabi's sloppy boxing. Zane believes Aldo's body work and counter-striking will be too much for Zahabi.

"I'm not going to pick it either. I mean even getting countered by like mario batista... it's hard to look at the hobby like... and not imagine jose aldo just tearing his liver out of his rib cage."
WIN vs Pedro Munhoz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aiemann Zahabi 0 109 of 206 52% 110 of 208 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 95 of 327 29% 95 of 327 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aiemann Zahabi 0 30 of 51 58% 30 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 26 of 72 36% 26 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Aiemann Zahabi 0 41 of 90 45% 42 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 22 of 109 20% 22 of 109 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
3 Aiemann Zahabi 0 38 of 65 58% 38 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pedro Munhoz 0 47 of 146 32% 47 of 146 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aiemann Zahabi 109 of 206 52% 98 of 188 11 of 17 0 of 1 109 of 204 0 of 2 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 95 of 327 29% 82 of 304 7 of 14 6 of 9 94 of 324 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aiemann Zahabi 30 of 51 58% 24 of 43 6 of 8 0 of 0 30 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 26 of 72 36% 23 of 65 2 of 4 1 of 3 25 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Aiemann Zahabi 41 of 90 45% 37 of 81 4 of 8 0 of 1 41 of 89 0 of 1 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 22 of 109 20% 16 of 100 3 of 6 3 of 3 22 of 107 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Aiemann Zahabi 38 of 65 58% 37 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0 38 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pedro Munhoz 47 of 146 32% 43 of 139 2 of 4 2 of 3 47 of 146 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pedro Munhoz vs. Aiemann Zahabi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zahabi (-115), Munhoz (-105)

Round 1
Posting one win in each of the last four years, Tristar Gym’s Zahabi (11-2, 5-2 UFC) has slowly but surely figured things out and climbed the bantamweight ladder. He earns a top-15 adversary in Munhoz (20-9, 2 NC; 10-9, 2 NC UFC), who on the wrong end of his 30s plans on showing there are still levels to this game. Referee Jerin Valel will officiate the preliminary headliner, one that commences as the sportsmen clap hands. Munhoz awkwardly shifts his way forward, throwing Zahabi off with his unusual hopping non-rhythm. Zahabi cannot get a time on him, and he resorts to backing off and lifting his leg up preemptively expecting leg kicks to fly. No strike is thrown for the first 50 seconds until Munhoz says hello with a guard-piercing jab. Munhoz walks Zahabi down and jabs him in the face again, and his front kick does the same to the body. Zahabi lumbers forward with two looping hooks, and a third bounces off the guard. Zahabi pounds the body with a kick, and Munhoz jabs him back to the fence. Zahabi’s big swings are parried or met with jabs, as Munhoz throws straight strikes while keeping his guard up. Zahabi whips another kick to the liver, and he scoops a left hand over the top. Munhoz stays right in Zahabi’s face, reddening him with jabs and slipping counters. Zahabi gets hold of a right hook that Munhoz cannot dodge, but it does not irritate the Brazilian in the slightest. Munhoz sneaks a high kick up, and when he bends over to evade the counters, he ducks into a knee. Zahabi stabs his toes to the liver, and Munhoz’ jab-heavy approach does not falter. Munhoz follows a jab with a left hook, and he swats away a lunging Zahabi and his combo. Zahabi looks for another knee as Munhoz bends, but he does not set it up and instead tags Munhoz in the face with a pair of flush punches. Munhoz jabs and lands a right, and Zahabi works the body and head in response. Zahabi scores a left hook on an advancing Munhoz, and Munhoz throws a low kick and stuffs a takedown shot. Munhoz jabs and sets up a straight right hand and a sharp kick to the ribs. Zahabi keeps his guard up to defend an elbow, and he evades a looping right hand by a matter of inches. Munhoz jabs his way into range, and he is backed off by a pair of jabs from the Canadian. Zahabi gets a high kick up, and they trade hands until the time hits 5:00.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Munhoz
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Munhoz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Munhoz

Round 2
Munhoz offers a glove touch that is accepted, and he follows it with a few jabs. Munhoz uses the jab to smack Zahabi in the face with a right hand, and Zahabi fires back with a head kick followed by a few punches. Munhoz walks into a knee as he is pressing the action fearlessly, and he does not let Zahabi land without firing back relentlessly. Munhoz opens up with five punches that largely bounce off the guard, and Zahabi works the body with a kick. Zahabi slings an elbow as Munhoz advances, and Munhoz’ jabs are now more frequently being followed with power punches. Munhoz eats a right hand and tries to give one back, and Zahab kicks him in the side again. Munhoz dips and strikes, and he absorbs an uppercut without concern. Munhoz scores a solid right hand that sends Zahabi staggering to the right for a second, but the Canadian steels himself and strikes Munhoz repeatedly with hard jabs. Munhoz is right there in his grill hitting him back, and these two are unloading on one another. Zahabi times a break with a heavy body kick, and the punch salvos of three or more fly from both sides. Zahabi eats a right hand so he can sit down on a clean right counter, and Munhoz smiles and walks him down to slug him back. Munhoz ducks to shoot for a takedown, swelling growing under his left eye, and he cannot ground the Tristar-trained competitor. Munhoz lands a low kick and is jabbed back, but he opens up with right hand into a takedown. Zahabi smoothly sprawls and fights behind his jab, dealing well with Munhoz’ constant pressure. Munhoz slams another leg kick home, opening up a few punches up top. Zahabi strafes to the side when Munhoz swarms him, and he jabs twice and takes a thudding right hand on the temple. Zahabi lands a left and a hooking right, and he stops a double-leg entry without issue and knees “The Young Punisher” in the gut. Zahabi sets up a few punches after the knee, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi

Round 3
Munhoz comes out firing in the last round, with both rounds somewhat close and potentially everything up for grabs in the last five-minute stanza. Munhoz plods forward throwing big hands, and Zahabi’s defense protects from most of it. Munhoz jabs to the body with a foot and up high with a fist, and he parries a counter to put two fists on the dome of his foe. Munhoz rolls with a punch, walks into a right hand and responds with a pair of punches. Zahabi gets a knee up the middle, and Munhoz sends him wobbling back with a couple heavy blows. The fighters continue to trade without fear, and Munhoz has the volume advantage but gets a cut opened up on the right side of his right eye. Zahabi’s jabs target that spot with impunity, and Munhoz completely ignores it to load up on volume punches. Zahabi’s jab is money, forcing Munhoz to wipe his eye. Zahabi shoots for a takedown, and Munhoz stuffs it and splits the guard with a trio of strikes. Zahabi dips to score a right and snaps the head back with a jab, but “The Young Punisher” is right in front of him putting hands on him. They jab at the same time, and Munhoz has three fists flying immediately after launching it. Zahabi’s guard stops the Brazilian from most of his strike getting through, and he stops a takedown with ease. Munhoz charges recklessly with lunging punches, and the counters from Zahabi further chew up Munhoz’ face. Munhoz gets caught with a right hand and hits his seat, and he jumps back up to put hands on jaw. Munhoz scores two right hands over the top, and he motions for Zahabi to swang and bang with him. There is a failed takedown as they trade leather, and Valel gets between them as time expires but they just want to hug it out.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Pedro Munhoz via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Angelo picks Aiemann Zahabi due to high fight IQ and a well-trained corner (brother Firas). He notes Pedro Munhoz is a volume striker with dangerous BJJ but negative striking differential. He thinks Zahabi's point-fighting style could work, but if he just sits on right hands, Munhoz will touch him up. He says over 2.5 rounds is probably safe but likely won't bet this fight.

over 2.5 rounds is probably safe
"aan is going to be the pick because of the high fight IQ because of the the well-trained corner"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

Big Brady picks Pedro Munhoz to win by decision. He criticizes Zahabi's low output (3.43 significant strikes per minute) and boring style, while Munhoz is more active (5.32 per minute) and has fought tougher competition. Brady likes Munhoz's leg kicks, durability, and takedown defense. He notes that Zahabi does nothing in the cage and that Munhoz's experience against top fighters gives him the edge.

"ped mun is by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

Cody picks Pedro Munhoz, citing his durability and higher level of competition. He notes that Munhoz has fought top bantamweights and has a BJJ black belt, though he rarely uses it. He believes Munhoz's aggression and pressure could overwhelm Zahabi, but acknowledges the fight is close and could go either way. He is wary of hometown judging but sides with the Brazilian.

"I'll go with P J Munoz who historically just has like decent you know a very very very good durability."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

Daniel Vreeland picks Pedro Munhoz, despite acknowledging his decline from a top-five ranking. He believes Munhoz's higher output, calf kicks, and durability (never knocked down) will be too much for Aiemann Zahabi. Vreeland notes that Zahabi is 36 and not a young prospect, and that Munhoz's experience and pace should earn him a close decision, though he admits a Canadian bias could affect judging.

"go Pedro Munoz here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Zahabi is on a Cinderella run with upset victories in his last four wins. He will out-strike and out-volume Munhoz en route to a decision victory.

"Look for him to go out there and pick up his biggest Victory this weekend as he out strikes and out volumes Munoz on route to a decision Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Paul picks Aiemann Zahabi, arguing that Munhoz is older (38) and has slowed down, while Zahabi is fresher with less mileage. He notes Zahabi's reach advantage and precise striking, and believes he can keep Munhoz at range with his jab. He also mentions Zahabi's four-fight winning streak and momentum, and that Munhoz's aggressive style plays into Zahabi's counter-striking game.

"I'll take a a hobby cuz the lines pretty well even."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

The Guru picks Aiemann Zahabi over Pedro Munhoz, believing Munhoz is declining. He notes Zahabi's movement and strategy from the Firas Zahabi camp, and expects Zahabi to pick apart Munhoz's dipping, hook-swinging style. He predicts a close decision, possibly 29-28.

close decision
"I'm GNA go with amen zahabi I don't think he puts away Pedro manoz but I think he can figure out that style of mun where he just comes in all Twitchy with his hands"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aiemann Zahabi 0 75 of 174 43% 77 of 176 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Javid Basharat 0 67 of 205 32% 67 of 205 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aiemann Zahabi 0 12 of 38 31% 12 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Javid Basharat 0 14 of 56 25% 14 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Aiemann Zahabi 0 26 of 58 44% 26 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Javid Basharat 0 28 of 73 38% 28 of 73 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Aiemann Zahabi 0 37 of 78 47% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Javid Basharat 0 25 of 76 32% 25 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aiemann Zahabi 75 of 174 43% 51 of 130 16 of 26 8 of 18 74 of 172 1 of 2 0 of 0
Javid Basharat 67 of 205 32% 33 of 147 27 of 44 7 of 14 67 of 203 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aiemann Zahabi 12 of 38 31% 5 of 27 3 of 4 4 of 7 12 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Javid Basharat 14 of 56 25% 4 of 35 7 of 15 3 of 6 14 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aiemann Zahabi 26 of 58 44% 19 of 44 7 of 11 0 of 3 26 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Javid Basharat 28 of 73 38% 15 of 57 10 of 12 3 of 4 28 of 71 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Aiemann Zahabi 37 of 78 47% 27 of 59 6 of 11 4 of 8 36 of 76 1 of 2 0 of 0
Javid Basharat 25 of 76 32% 14 of 55 10 of 17 1 of 4 25 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Aiemann Zahabi vs. Javid Basharat
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-700), Zahabi (+500)

Round 1
When the dust settles, one of these bantamweights’ momentum will come to a conclusive halt. Once known best as on the receiving end of an all-time highlight reel knockout, Zahabi (10-2, 4-2 UFC) has reeled off three straight victories including two concussive knockouts. On the other side of the equation, Basharat (14-0, 1 NC; 3-0, 1 NC UFC) did encounter his first career blemish when an accidental groin kick ended his last fight, but he maintains a 15-fight unbeaten streak. Before the red falls on someone’s ledger, referee Chris Tognoni is there to keep things clean. The fighters touch gloves, and Basharat prances forward with his kick leg outstretched. Basharat tosses out a few body kicks and one low, and he checks one coming back. Zahabi attempts to retaliate, but Basharat is able to reach him with slightly longer legs. Zahabi overswings with a huge right hand, and Basharat dances out of the way and continues to prod with kicks to the low midsection and thigh. Zahabi attempts to close the distance, only for Basharat to be able to dodge everything thrown at him as he zips back and to the side. Zahabi reaches out with a left hand, and Basharat pops his lead leg with a loud kick. Basharat jabs with the ball of his foot, and he spins with a kick that misses the mark. Zahabi catches Basharat darting in with a left hand, but it is one-and-done before Basharat gets back to his preferred kicking range. Basharat ducks down, landing a few punches and going to the ribs with a resounding kick. On his way in, Basharat may have clashes head with his opponent, but it goes uncalled. Zahabi swats away a one-two and gives a calf kick back, but he takes a shovel uppercut on the cheek. Basharat jumps in the air with a kick, and as soon as Zahabi is about to counter him, Basharat puts him on his seat with a side kick to the sternum. Zahabi climbs back up without issue, and he aims his kick at Basharat’s lead wheel. Basharat misses with two wide hooks, but his high kick does bounce off the guard. Zahabi replies with two blocked body kicks, and he guards against a front kick aimed at his nose. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Basharat

Round 2
The second round begins where the two men left off, with Basharat keeping his distance with long kicks while Zahabi largely comes up short with punches. Basharat puts a few punches on the reddening face of his opponent, and Zahabi reaches him back with two right hooks. Basharat ignores them and sticks out a jab, and he breaks up Zahabi’s offense with the jab. Zahabi has a low kick checked, and he swarms his man with several punches until Basharat turns to the side to get away. Basharat resets and marks up Zahabi’s nose with jab after unanswered jab, and he follows a few with a right hand or a front kick. Basharat reaches out with a high kick, and when that does not connect, he plants a knee on the chest and cracks Zahabi with an uppercut. The Canadian takes it flush and swings back with bad intentions. Basharat sees the big strikes coming and stays light on his feet to avoid them. Basharat pushes off with a pair of teep kicks, and he nearly gets decked with a huge right hand from Zahabi. Zahabi continues to swing for the fences, and Basharat backs him off with jabs and his diverse kicking game. “The Snow Leopard” charges for a takedown, and Zahabi stands him up but absorbs an elbow on the break. Zahabi plants his feet and winds up with a stern right hand that collides with the temple, and Basharat shakes it off and continues to move forward. Zahabi goes after a body kick and a left hand, and the latter misses. Basharat races in with a takedown, and Zahabi intercepts him with a jump knee and lands to set up a guillotine choke. Basharat continues to spam takedowns, and every time they fail, he is ready to stand up and land at least one big strike. Zahabi opens up with a huge haymaker of a right, and Basharat’s balance nearly gives way as he wobbles to the side and then gets his sea legs beneath him. As Basharat advances to end the round, Zahabi pops him again, and the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi

Round 3
The last round kicks off with Basharat appearing no worse for wear after the rough ending to the round, with long jabs and a spinning back kick to the side. The distance Basharat keeps disallows Zahabi from reaching him, and he peppers and chips away at a wide berth. Zahabi finally lands his own punch after a minute, and it is a right hand that gets Basharat’s attention. During the ensuing exchange, Basharat leaves his fingers out, and he jabs Zahabi in the eye. Tognoni calls time briefly, but Zahabi is good to go. Basharat apologizes and then gets back into his groove of rangy strikes. Zahabi continues to find his range with right hands, and he swipes out with a left as Basharat nods at him. Zahabi plods forward looping punches, and Basharat hops in and out with body shots and an escape. The two start trading leather, with Basharat less concerned about his defense than before, and this allows Zahabi to touch him back. Zahabi lands three hooks, and Basharat slides to the side to snipe his foe with one that makes the Canadian backpedal. Basharat eats a left hand coming forward, and Zahabi belts him upside the head with a kick. Basharat no-sells it, but Zahabi chains several punches after it. Basharat tags him with a right hand in response, and the two continue to lay into one another with heavy punches. Basharat leans down and gets caught with an uppercut, and they clinch together. Basharat attempts a hip toss, and Zahabi keeps his balance and he keeps chasing after his opponent. Zahabi lands the flusher strikes, and the two swing wildly right to the bitter end. Basharat gets off a final knee to punctuate the fight, and they hug it out when the final horn sounds. It could go either way, and it is entirely possible the unbeaten fighter is undefeated no more.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Javid Basharat via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Angelo picks Javid Basharat, noting he has incredible offensive and defensive wrestling and can also kickbox. He believes Basharat should avoid Aiemann Zahabi's power and win likely by decision. He mentions he has picked and bet on both Basharat brothers before and is confident in Javid.

Javid Basharat wins by decision (better value)
"jvid wins likely by decision if you want to sneak in some better value there but I'm going to continue to ride these BB Brothers to the promised land"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Big Brady picks Basharat, noting Zahabi's low-volume counter-striking style and reliance on a knockout. He thinks Basharat is a much higher-level fighter and will cruise to a decision, winning minutes. He acknowledges Zahabi has power but believes Basharat's chin will hold up.

"it should be Javid here Javid by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Cody picks Basharat by decision, noting his superior volume and wrestling. He points out that Zahabi's career-high in significant strikes is 54, which would be a career low for Basharat. Cody believes Basharat will outwork Zahabi on the feet and take him down, winning a clear unanimous decision. He mentions the price is inflated but still sees Basharat as a safe pick.

"I think bosro takes down Amon zahabi in this fight... on the feet he's losing on the ground he's losing"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Basharat is one of the best prospects at 135 lbs, with smooth striking, excellent footwork and distance management, and improving grappling. Zahabi is 36 and past his prime, while Basharat is much closer to his. Basharat's striking defense should keep him safe from Zahabi's power, and he may even take the fight to the ground. Basharat likely wins by decision, but the line is too high to bet straight; parlay value may exist.

Basharat by decision (prop likely chalky)
"I think bashad is a little bit Slicker on the feet I think his striking defense is good enough to stay away from the power and the deceiving power that zahabi possesses"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Paul picks Basharat, noting his high volume and well-rounded skills. He mentions Zahabi's low output and reliance on a single counter punch, which won't work against Basharat's pressure. Paul believes Basharat will double Zahabi's strike output and mix in takedowns for a clear decision win. He acknowledges the minus-900 price is tough but sees Basharat as safe.

"Javid I guess is the pick but minus 900 there's no money really to be made there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

The MMA Guru picks Basharat, citing his unorthodox striking, movement, and dynamic attacks (spinning attacks, low kicks, stance switching). He thinks Zahabi is too simple and that Basharat's dynamic style will be the difference, though the boxing may be even.

"Javid Basharat is gonna win... I think it's going to be the dynamic stuff that separates Basharat from Aiemann in this fight"
WIN vs Aoriqileng
KO (punches) R1 1:04 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aiemann Zahabi 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aoriqileng 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aiemann Zahabi 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aoriqileng 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aiemann Zahabi 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
Aoriqileng 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aiemann Zahabi 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
Aoriqileng 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Qileng Aori vs. Aiemann Zahabi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aori (-125), Zahabi (+105)

Round 1
In his sixth year with the company, Tristar Gym’s own Zahabi (9-2, 3-2 UFC) will remarkably be entering into only bout no. six in the Octagon. This is a far cry from Chinese combatant Aori (24-9, 2-2 UFC), who is about to have five outings under his belt in a little over two years when referee John Cooper clocks them in. The bantamweight combatants do not touch ‘em up to start, and Aori instead walks forward and fires off several kicks to the body. Zahabi blitzes with a few punches, and Aori parries them effectively. From afar, Aori chips with a few kicks, including a thudding leg kick. The Chinese fighter does not recoil his leg fast enough to get his guard up, and Zahabi reaches out with a takedown to threaten.
As Aori leans back, Zahabi swarms him with a right hand that hits air, and a left hand that smashes Aori square on the chin. Aori drops to the mat like a sack of potatoes, and Zahabi raises his arms in the air to celebrate what he thinks is a walk-off knockout. Cooper does not actually call the fight off, as Aori lands and turns to his side in a daze. The Canadian, learning he has to keep hitting the defeated fighter, reluctantly goes over to Aori and lowers himself to slug Aori with two more left hands to conclude the match once and for all.
This is a huge win for Zahabi, and the crowd goes wild. When Aori comes to, he squares up like he wants to keep fighting, seemingly not knowing that he was knocked out cleanly. So far, the home fans have had plenty to cheer about tonight.

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Qileng Aori R1 1:04 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Angelo picks Aiemann Zahabi as an underdog. He notes that Zahabi is well-rounded with big power, and that his performance against Ricky Turcios was impressive. He believes Zahabi will be more technical and a step ahead of Aoriqileng. He plans to monitor line movement and may bet if Zahabi becomes a larger underdog.

"I do think he gets the win here he's the underdog I think he's going to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Big Brady picks Aiemann Zahabi because he is the more active striker, landing 6.07 significant strikes per minute compared to Aoriqileng's 3.01. He notes that Aoriqileng has low volume, doesn't use his BJJ, and has poor takedown attempts. Zahabi is younger, more experienced, and has never been knocked out. He expects Zahabi to outwork Aoriqileng over three rounds and win a decision.

"I actually like arichi long a decent amount in this matchup... he's going to be outlanding as a hobby probably two to one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Cody picks Aoriqileng, citing his volume and pressure style. He notes that Zahabi is a low-volume counter puncher who doesn't wrestle much, and Aoriqileng will come forward with blitzes and constant pressure. He believes Zahabi's wrestling is not good enough to neutralize Aoriqileng, and the volume difference should win rounds. He acknowledges the risk of a bad Canadian decision but still picks Aoriqileng.

"I think a Richie Lang's style should uh should win this fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aoriqileng

Connor also picks Aoriqileng, noting that Zahabi's wins came against fighters who wouldn't engage or lacked physicality, while his losses to Vince Morales and Ricardo Ramos were not close. He points out that Aoriqileng is a little slow-paced but has more promise in his fights with Jeff Molina and Cody Durden, where a method was visible. Connor suggests it would be a good time for Zahabi to show wrestling, but Aoriqileng is not easy to keep down.

Aoriqileng favorite at -118; Zahabi at -110 or even favorite on some books
"Yeah, so yeah, I'll take our qlang as well."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Daniel Levi does not make a pick for this fight, stating he has no interest in betting it. He notes that Aoriqileng has power but questionable takedown defense, while Zahabi has low activity and is older. He defers to the co-host who has a teammate in the fight.

"I don't really have much interest in betting this fight personally at the moment"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

James picks Aoriqileng, noting his momentum with two straight wins and improved takedown defense and striking. He contrasts Aoriqileng's aggressive pressure and volume with Zahabi's technical but low-volume outside fighting style. James believes Aoriqileng can land heavier shots and push the pace to win on the scorecards. He warns that if Aoriqileng reverts to a brawler style, Zahabi could catch him with straight shots, but overall he likes Aoriqileng's spot and the even-money price.

"I think irichi Lang's a good spot in this in this spot I think he's gonna land the heavier shots I think he'll probably land more damage and I think he's going to be the one pushing out the pace …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng has shown improved defensive grappling since moving to bantamweight and has a volume and output advantage. Zahabi is a technical striker but often too timid, and his low activity is a concern. Aoriqileng's pressure and accuracy should earn him a decision, though Zahabi could win if he uses his jiu-jitsu. Low confidence due to Zahabi's potential grappling edge.

"give me a Richie laying here and I think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Paul picks Aoriqileng, emphasizing the volume disparity: Aoriqileng averages 6.07 strikes per minute vs Zahabi's 3.01. He notes that Zahabi's fights are low-output, and Aoriqileng's constant pressure should win rounds. He expects a close fight but believes Aoriqileng's output will be enough, though a bad Canadian decision is possible.

"it's not tercios is a one fight pint-sized sample oh he beat one kid right uh this is the hobby six fights you kind of know what you're gonna get out of them which is sub 50 and a Richie …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

The MMA Guru picks Aiemann Zahabi over Aoriqileng, praising Zahabi's fight IQ and game planning. He notes Aoriqileng is predictable with big power shots and telegraphs his moves, while Zahabi can figure out opponents and mix things up. He believes Zahabi's size and heat behind his shots will keep Aoriqileng honest, predicting a 30-27 decision.

"I'm gonna go with Amy and zahabi I like Amy and zahabi because much like um the other zahabi for our sahabi he has a good mind for the game"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aoriqileng

Zane picks Aoriqileng, criticizing Zahabi's last fight as extremely technical but aimless, with fighters standing too far apart. He notes that Zahabi is a brawler who doesn't understand fighting without chaos, while Aoriqileng has a clear method: he works his way forward, applies pressure, and punishes mistakes with quick counters. Zane thinks Aoriqileng is better in a brawl and also better when it's not a brawl, making him the pick.

Aoriqileng favorite at -118; Zahabi at -110 or even favorite on some books
"I'm gonna take him. Yeah, I'm gonna take our killing uh as well."
WIN vs Ricky Turcios
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aiemann Zahabi 0 54 of 105 51% 54 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Turcios 0 27 of 235 11% 27 of 235 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aiemann Zahabi 0 12 of 23 52% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Turcios 0 7 of 53 13% 7 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Aiemann Zahabi 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Turcios 0 10 of 84 11% 10 of 84 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Aiemann Zahabi 0 21 of 36 58% 21 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Turcios 0 10 of 98 10% 10 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aiemann Zahabi 54 of 105 51% 18 of 59 9 of 14 27 of 32 53 of 104 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 27 of 235 11% 14 of 204 5 of 21 8 of 10 27 of 235 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aiemann Zahabi 12 of 23 52% 3 of 14 5 of 5 4 of 4 11 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 7 of 53 13% 3 of 46 1 of 4 3 of 3 7 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aiemann Zahabi 21 of 46 45% 10 of 29 2 of 6 9 of 11 21 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 10 of 84 11% 4 of 72 3 of 8 3 of 4 10 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Aiemann Zahabi 21 of 36 58% 5 of 16 2 of 3 14 of 17 21 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 10 of 98 10% 7 of 86 1 of 9 2 of 3 10 of 98 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ricky Turcios vs. Aiemann Zahabi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Turcios (-190), Zahabi (+160)

Round 1
Unexpectedly, this preliminary contest now is slotted on the main card, as bantamweights go at it. Tristar’s Zahabi (8-2, 2-2 UFC) makes his way back to the Octagon for the first time in over 16 months. He will do so against “The Ultimate Fighter” Season 29 winner Turcios (11-2, 1-0 UFC), who himself has been out of action since August. Cage corrosion will be kicked off in front of referee Chris Tognoni, and the returning gentlemen do not touch ‘em up before proceeding. Turcios very violently stomps the floor a few times for feints, and he wings a hook kick and lets loose a kiai to follow, even as it is feet away from the target. The Canadian ducks back when Turcios walks him down and flicks out several jabs, and he intercepts Zahabi on the way in with a front kick right on the chin. Turcios employs a more traditional martial arts stance, bouncing back and forth on his feet, and his movement is making Zahabi struggle to close the distance. The Tristar Gym fighter rushes forward, and he only manages to land one right hand before he has to back off. Turcios slaps him in the chest with a kick, and he puts another front kick out after stomping the floor loudly. Zahabi kicks him in the ribs, and he blocks a high kick and counters with a left hook. Turcios tosses up a head kick, and as Zahabi guards it and recovers, he shoots in for a takedown. Zahabi manages to sprawl well enough to break away and reset, and they trade kicks from range. Turcios just misses with a front kick, and he widely misses with another. As Zahabi plods forward, Turcios clips him with a right hook, and Zahabi keeps a stiff upper lip but may be stung from the blow. When Zahabi backs off, Turcios stomps the ground repeatedly and tells Zahabi to come on. Turcios kicks high again and pursues a takedown to follow, and Zahabi is wise to it. They kick one another in the body, and Turcios spins with a back fist that is at least a meter away from where he planned on it landing. Zahabi connects with a leg kick, and Turcios taunts him with a shout. The awkward stance and posturing of Turcios is allowing him to dictate much of the action, even if his high-flying strikes are all hugely inaccurate. Turcios kicks with body legs, and he jabs out several times, shouting every time. Zahabi swings and hits air in a counter, and the strange round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Turcios
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Turcios
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Turcios

Round 2
Turcios leads out with a glove touch, and Zahabi accepts it to start off the round. The leg kicks get traded one after the other, and other strikes do not find their homes. Zahabi blocks a few blows on the way forward so that he can sit down on a leg kick, and he slides back as Turcios comes at him with punches. Zahabi counters with a right, and he does not bite on the feints and shouts from Turcios. Turcios goes after a half-hearted spinning wheel kick, and Zahabi sprints forward to catch him spinning with a right. Zahabi keeps on kicking the leg, but his overhand rights brush past Turcios’ hair. The American kicks high, and it lands on the guard to little impact. Zahabi tries to throw the same strike, and it misses the mark. The accuracy rate for this fight is exceptionally low, as most strikes are either blocked or well short of their intended targets. Turcios comes out throwing hands, and Zahabi blocks each and every one and replies with a one-two. Zahabi’s leg kick may be his most successful strike, and Turcios pushes the pace but cannot connect with anything as Zahabi is slippery and evasive. Zahabi assaults the calf twice, forcing Turcios to switch stances briefly, and when Turcios returns to southpaw he lifts his leg repeatedly in anticipation of the kick. Zahabi slithers back and pops Turcios coming in. Turcios gives chase, throwing recklessly, but only a few of his punches come close to landing. Time expires to end this unexciting sparring match of a round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi

Round 3
The bantamweights meet in the middle to begin the final round, and Zahabi keeps his guard high to block any early strikes that come his way. Zahabi pounds on the inside of Turcios’ lead leg with a heavy kick, and Turcios switches stances to throw a kick but is miles away. Zahabi stops Turcios’ punches and kicks getting through, and his defense is solid but his offense is limited to low kicks and inaccurate counters. Turcios wings a right hand that is inches away, and he flicks out several jabs. Zahabi doubles up on leg kicks, and he swats away a punch and is similarly blocked when he attempts to load up on a right hand. Zahabi’s inside leg kick is paying dividends as Turcios’ wheel is slightly limited as he presents a minor limp. He does not slow, regardless of the damage, and he powers forward to throw punches that cannot find the mark. When Zahabi throws back, Turcios catches him mid-exchange with a pair of punches. Zahabi cleanly lands a low kick as Turcios ambles towards him, seeing the telegraphed strikes and playing matador to Turcios’ awkward bull. Turcios finally sits down on a punch, and Zahabi shrugs it off as if it never even landed. Turcios tosses up a light head kick, and Zahabi catches his plant leg on the way down with his shin. Turcios whiffs on a wheel kick, Zahabi wings a left hook that blows the hair back, and this fight is now mercifully over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Ricky Turcios via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Angelo is very confident in Ricky Turcios due to his high volume and pace, contrasting with Zahabi's low output. He notes Turcios landed 200 strikes despite being taken down 6 times in his last fight. He sees Turcios as a parlay piece and already has a moneyline bet at -175. He compares the matchup to Brian Barbarena vs Robbie Lawler, where volume overcame power.

Already has a moneyline bet at -175; considers Turcios a parlay piece.
"I love ricky in this fight I'm very confident in the pick and I think he should be a nice parlay piece... I jumped on him at minus 175."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Big Brady picks Ricky Turcios due to his relentless activity and minute-winning ability. He notes that Turcios has many holes in his game (poor takedown defense, hittable, reckless) but believes Zahabi's low volume (2.82 significant strikes per minute) won't capitalize on them. He thinks if the fight goes to decision, Turcios will do enough to win. He acknowledges Zahabi could win by knockout if he lands clean, but leans toward Turcios by decision.

"give me ricky tercios the more active fighter to win this fight i think he gets it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Cody believes Turcios' relentless pace and cardio will overwhelm Zahabi, who fights infrequently and has low volume. He thinks Zahabi's only path is a knockout, but Turcios is durable and will outwork him over three rounds. He cites Zahabi's poor performances and lack of activity.

Mentions Turcios over 80.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
"i see ricky making a lot of mistakes all mistakes that aim as a hobby could capitalize on right but i mean again he fights so infrequently once a year sometimes shows up sometimes doesn't show up not a good …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)
Aiemann Zahabi

The host says he is picking Zahabi to win but does not place a bet on the fight. He mentions that Zahabi could knock out Turcios but is not super confident. He does not elaborate on reasoning beyond that.

"I'm picking zahabi to win"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Paul is interested in the over 2.5 rounds prop and leans Turcios due to Zahabi's inconsistency. He notes Zahabi has skills but rarely puts them together, while Turcios has a high work rate. He's not fully confident but sees Turcios as the likely winner.

Mentions over 2.5 rounds at -165 as a parlay leg.
"i'm kind of interested in over two and a half rounds minus 165 i think that's a half decent uh parley leg"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

The Guru picks Ricky Turcios, noting Zahabi's inconsistency and that his KO win was over a padded-record opponent. He believes Turcios' chin and pace will carry him to a 29-28 decision, especially as Zahabi is older and Turcios has a reach advantage.

29-28 decision
"I'm going to be going with Ricky Turcios here."
KO (punch) R1 3:05 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aiemann Zahabi 1 9 of 11 81% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Drako Rodriguez 0 11 of 33 33% 13 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aiemann Zahabi 1 9 of 11 81% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Drako Rodriguez 0 11 of 33 33% 13 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aiemann Zahabi 9 of 11 81% 8 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 7 1 of 2 2 of 2
Drako Rodriguez 11 of 33 33% 6 of 27 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aiemann Zahabi 9 of 11 81% 8 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 7 1 of 2 2 of 2
Drako Rodriguez 11 of 33 33% 6 of 27 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Aiemann Zahabi vs. Drako Rodriguez (140.5: Missed Weight)

Round 1
The first of several catchweight contests tonight comes to us next, in the form of a 141-pound affair between two finishers, who, like the previous match, have both fighters with a single decision win across their respective careers. Zahabi (7-2, 1-2 UFC) will have the pleasure of welcoming the heavy Rodriguez (7-1, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon, and their match will be overseen by referee Mark Smith. A touch of gloves clocks in the fight, and Rodriguez is quick to take the center of the cage, and the two have a brief striking exchange. Rodriguez backs off and fires off a big right hand, and although he connects squarely with Zahabi, the Canadian does not flinch. Rodriguez presses forward into the clinch, and Zahabi is quick to break free and block an overhand right. Rodriguez wings a few punches and Zahabi covers up and backs off. Rodriguez nails the lead leg twice, and he advances to land a sharp uppercut. Zahabi circles away and stings Rodriguez with a jab, but he cannot take advantage of it. Rodriguez fires off a head kick that gets blocked, and a right hand that does not. Zahabi stumbles backwards but keeps his footing, only to take a strong kick to the calf. “The Great Drakolini” keeps his man at bay with several jabs that are more about touching his foe than doing any damage, and this disrupts Zahabi from getting anything going.
Out of nowhere, the Canadian sticks out a jab and winds up a monster right hand and unloads it square on the jaw. The strike crumples Rodriguez to the canvas on his side hard, who appears to be out cold. Zahabi leaps down to smack him on the side of the head, but it is academic at that point as Smith leaps in to stop the fight.
Although he hit the ground strangely and was dazed and confused with his arm trapped beneath him on his side, Rodriguez eventually comes to and is able to stand back up. What a wild knockout!

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Drako Rodriguez R1 3:05 via KO (Punch)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Drako Rodriguez

Daniel Levi is low on Aiemann Zahabi, believing he hasn't been the same since a devastating knockout loss to Ricardo Ramos in 2017. He notes Zahabi looked gun-shy against Vince Morales, who he considers low-level. Levi thinks Drako Rodriguez has more fighting spirit and opportunistic finishing ability, though he cautions that Rodriguez is not the second coming of Christ. He picks Rodriguez to win via something opportunistic, but is not confident enough to bet heavily.

"i got to go with draco via something opportunistic but i'm not you know running to the betting window you know all convicted"
Ricky Turcios - Fight History
LOSS vs Alberto Montes
Submission R2 0:40 · UFC 326 · Mar 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Turcios 0 22 of 60 36% 36 of 74 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:54
Alberto Montes 0 32 of 58 55% 39 of 65 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Turcios 0 19 of 53 35% 33 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:54
Alberto Montes 0 26 of 47 55% 33 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Ricky Turcios 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alberto Montes 0 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Turcios 22 of 60 36% 14 of 51 3 of 4 5 of 5 20 of 58 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alberto Montes 32 of 58 55% 19 of 42 10 of 13 3 of 3 26 of 52 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Turcios 19 of 53 35% 13 of 46 2 of 3 4 of 4 17 of 51 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alberto Montes 26 of 47 55% 16 of 35 8 of 10 2 of 2 20 of 41 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Ricky Turcios 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alberto Montes 6 of 11 54% 3 of 7 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alberto Montes

Big Brady picks Alberto Montes over Ricky Turcios. He finds Turcios frustrating to pick, noting his low output and poor striking accuracy. Montes is a front choke specialist with power and submission threats. Brady sees Montes winning by decision or potentially hurting Turcios, who has been getting hurt more often. He trusts Montes to be more active and land bigger shots.

Montes by decision
"Give me Albert Montes to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Cody picks Turcios, citing his better wrestling, striking, and experience. He notes Montes is a one-trick pony with the darce choke, and Turcios is hard to submit. He expects Turcios to win a decision, possibly a split.

"I got Ricky Tersios."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Connor picks Turcios hesitantly, reasoning that Montes' game is dysfunctional enough that Turcios' chaotic style can compete. He notes that Turcios is tireless and has only been submitted once, while Montes has poor striking defense and may gas out under pressure. However, he acknowledges that Turcios is the smaller, weaker man moving up in weight.

"I'm going to take Tercios, but, uh, I, it really is me just feeling like they found a guy whose game is dysfunctional enough that Tercios is completely dysfunctional game with the very least compete with it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alberto Montes

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Alberto Montes in his UFC debut, praising his disciplined striking and submission ability. He criticizes Ricky Turcios for not evolving and being figured out, and believes Montes will outpoint him without being affected by Turcios's antics.

"I'm going to take Alberto Montes to come out here and successfully defeat Ricky Tersios in his UFC debut."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)

The host is interested in Turcios as an underdog (+158) but is not confident enough to bet. He notes Montes is more technical everywhere but has little experience and many quick finishes. Turcios is tough, high-paced, and can drag opponents into wars, which could trouble a debutant. However, the host caps Turcios at around 50% and wants a bigger margin; the current odds imply 39%, which is not enough for him. He will wait for weigh-ins.

Implied probabilities: Montes 65%, Turcios 39%. Host says he would need to cap Turcios at 50% for a 10-11% margin.
"Out of all the fights I've researched this week, Tertius is one of the most un-interesting underdogs to me."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alberto Montes

James picks Alberto Montes, noting that Ricky Turcios lacks power, submission threat, and volume, making it hard for him to win UFC fights. He believes Montes is a better striker with more power and has a dangerous anaconda choke that could submit Turcios. James is not confident but sees Montes as the side with more paths to victory.

"I'm going to pick Alberto Montes to get this one done with an Anaconda choke for the third time in a row."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Turcios is awkward and scrambly, making it hard for Montes to secure his front choke. Turcios has better striking output and accuracy against a less confident striker. He should survive grappling exchanges and win a decision as an underdog.

"I'm going to go Tersios here. I think he ends up landing more effective damage, survives the grappling of Montes, and eventually wins this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Turcios. He notes Montes' limited offense and Turcios' scrambling ability. He expects Turcios to outwork Montes and win a decision.

"Ricky Tersios, I'm taking it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alberto Montes

The MMA Guru picks Alberto Montes, but hesitantly. He thinks Montes can secure a submission (Anaconda choke) when Turcios shoots for takedowns. He notes Turcios has been skittish since TUF and that Montes, though sloppy, should win.

second round Anaconda choke finish
"Alberto Montes second round Anaconda choke finish over Ricky Tersios."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Zane does not make a clear pick. He acknowledges that Turcios could stumble into a win but does not commit to either fighter. He notes that Montes has a slick submission game but may get tired, while Turcios is a scrappy mess.

"I'm not picking him though. That's fair. I just think Tercios, I mean, yeah, this might be one where he can like stumble into a winning idea, but that's, that's all he ever has because every fight is like the …"
CANCEL vs Cameron Smotherman
UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Angelo picks Cameron Smotherman, calling him the far better striker who will control the fight on the feet. He criticizes Ricky Turcios for getting worse in each fight, describing his style as running forward with windmill punches. He notes Smotherman's unreliability but believes he is more than a 2-to-1 favorite.

"Cameron's going to be the pick. I'm actually more confident in him than his odds. I am more than a two to one favorite confidence level in Cameron Smotherin."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Big Brady is not a fan of either fighter, but leans Smotherman due to his slick striking and hands. He criticizes Turcios for a poor performance against Aiemann Zahabi and his taunting. However, he notes Smotherman is chinny and has been knocked out before, so he's not confident. He predicts Smotherman by decision.

Smotherman by decision
"I'm leaning Smotherman here by decision, but if there's a fight on this car that I'm just not a fan of, it's it's it's this fight right here."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Cody leans toward Ricky Turcios as an underdog, citing his durability and cardio. He notes Turcios's wrestling and volume could overwhelm Smotherman, who has poor takedown defense. Cody believes Turcios can win a decision or even a submission, and likes the plus money value.

"I kind of think Ricky Tersios might be able to pull this thing off. First and foremost, like Paul said, the guy's got a cast iron chin."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Connor picks Smotherman because he is at least fast and powerful, while Turcios is a mess with low athleticism. He notes that Smotherman has technical skills but freezes up, while Turcios is a cyclone of activity without direction. Connor believes Smotherman has more potential to do damage if he chooses to.

"I will pick smotherman because i'm not picking tercios against any competition of any reasonable athlete."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Daniel Vreeland picks Cameron Smotherman simply because he dislikes Ricky Turcios as a fighter. He notes that neither fighter belongs in the UFC, but he refuses to pick Turcios. Vreeland acknowledges that Smotherman has decent hands but a suspect chin and poor ground game, making this a low-confidence pick.

"I'm gonna go with Cameron Smotherman for that reason, but like I mean this fight could go a variety of ways."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

James picks Smotherman, calling him the much better boxer and noting Turcios's lack of activity and focus on side ventures. He expects Smotherman to outbox Turcios and possibly hurt him.

"I got smother for this fight. I think he's improving. I think he's kind of a promising fighter in general."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

The host picks Smotherman by decision, citing his slick striking and footwork. He believes Smotherman can counter Turcios's pressure and avoid grappling, as Turcios is not as strong a wrestler as Ricky Simone. He notes Smotherman's takedown defense has improved and expects him to win on the scorecards.

Smotherman by decision
"I'm going to go Smotherman and Smotherman by decision. Uh, as long as he doesn't have a hiccup in the grappling realm, he should win this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Paul picks Cameron Smotherman but is hesitant due to his takedown defense issues. He notes Smotherman's superior boxing and volume, but worries about Turcios's wrestling and durability. Paul prefers the over 2.5 rounds prop and believes Smotherman can win a decision if he stuffs takedowns.

Over 2.5 rounds
"Smotherman is going to be the pick for me and that's kind of just hoping that like he's worked on that takedown defense."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Smotherman, noting that Ricky Turcios has looked scared to fight and has not won recently. He likes Smotherman's body work and ability to snowball into fights, while Turcios lacks early aggression. He predicts a decision win.

decision
"I'm going to go with Cameron Smotherman here by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Zane agrees with Connor, using the same logic: Smotherman is a solid athlete while Turcios has very little natural athleticism. He notes that Turcios has stamina and toughness but is a mess technically. Zane thinks Smotherman could do damage if he chooses to, but the fight is low level.

"Same same logic for me smotherman at least is fast and and powerful. He is clearly a solid athlete and tercios is clearly somebody who is doing as much as he can with very little natural athleticism."
LOSS vs Benardo Sopaj
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Benardo Sopaj 0 78 of 144 54% 113 of 187 1 of 9 11% 0 0 1:56
Ricky Turcios 1 81 of 139 58% 97 of 155 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Benardo Sopaj 0 25 of 44 56% 45 of 64 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:53
Ricky Turcios 0 18 of 35 51% 20 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
2 Benardo Sopaj 0 30 of 52 57% 42 of 68 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:44
Ricky Turcios 0 25 of 48 52% 29 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:15
3 Benardo Sopaj 0 23 of 48 47% 26 of 55 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Ricky Turcios 1 38 of 56 67% 48 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Benardo Sopaj 78 of 144 54% 30 of 86 24 of 32 24 of 26 60 of 120 18 of 22 0 of 2
Ricky Turcios 81 of 139 58% 64 of 117 8 of 11 9 of 11 48 of 99 16 of 20 17 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Benardo Sopaj 25 of 44 56% 6 of 23 8 of 10 11 of 11 23 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 18 of 35 51% 13 of 28 1 of 3 4 of 4 14 of 30 3 of 4 1 of 1
2 Benardo Sopaj 30 of 52 57% 13 of 29 11 of 15 6 of 8 18 of 37 12 of 15 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 25 of 48 52% 19 of 41 4 of 5 2 of 2 16 of 37 9 of 11 0 of 0
3 Benardo Sopaj 23 of 48 47% 11 of 34 5 of 7 7 of 7 19 of 41 4 of 5 0 of 2
Ricky Turcios 38 of 56 67% 32 of 48 3 of 3 3 of 5 18 of 32 4 of 5 16 of 19
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bernardo Sopai vs. Ricky Turcios
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sopai (-355), Turcios (+280)

Round 1
The day before UFC Fight Night 247, also known as Magny vs. Prates, went down last November, Turcios (12-4, 2-2 UFC) fell ill during his weight cut and was forced out of his match with Sopai (11-3, 0-1 UFC). It took over two months to get the bantamweight pairing on the books again, but both fighters appear healthy and good to go this time around. They settle their business under the watchful eye of referee Frank Trigg, choosing to touch gloves before getting after it. Sopai pushes the pace immediately, allowing kicks from “Pretty Ricky” to fly past him so he can smack the Texan in the face with the instep of his foot. As Sopai keeps kicking, Turcios strafes left and right to set something up on his end. This results in a lot of chasing from the Albanian, who times a solid head kick to bean Turcios in the forehead. Turcios shakes it off and kicks the lead leg of his opponent two times in a row. Turcios chains a low kick into a spinning back kick to the midsection, and he keeps his gloves up to defend the head kick that aims at his dome. The two fire off low kicks, and one slides up the lead leg and bumps into Sopai’s cup. Trigg tells them to keep it clean and they fight on, with chants of “Let’s go, Ricky” as the Texan finds some success. Turcios steps on the gas and stalks down “The Lion King,” connecting with front kicks and pushing forward so he can grapple his opponent. As they clinch up against the fence, Turcios clings on tight while firing off several knees up the middle, and he keeps in close even as Sopai tries to escape. Sopai manages to get away, but Turcios races after him and tackles him down to his knees. Sopai defends it and stands up, but the second attempt from Turcios drags him down. Sopai scrambles to stand up, and Turcios leaps on his back to threaten with something. Sopai twists to put Turcios on his back, and he lines up some ground-and-pound. The strikes open up a cut on the corner of the face of “Pretty Ricky,” who explodes back to his feet and starts brawling it out with his foe. Sopai welcomes the slugfest, and he eats a hefty low kick, a right hand and some knees with shoved against the wall. The horn sounds to end the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sopai
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sopai
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sopai

Round 2
The fighters touch ‘em up to get started in the second round, and Sopai quickly backs Turcios to the wall and boots him upside the head. Sopai jabs his way in, and he slips back to avoid a low kick but is not able to get out of the way as Turcios is on him. “Pretty Ricky” lets fly two body kicks and tries to wrench Sopai to the floor, and they land in 50/50 position before pushing off to return to striking range. Turcios chips at the front leg a few times, getting away with naked kicks without reprisal. Sopai bears down on him and slugs him in the chops with a fierce right hand, forcing Turcios to turn tail and sprint away to reset. Sopai chases after him swinging hard, and Turcios gathers his thoughts and wings his own punches back when sitting down on them. Turcios leaps after a takedown, and Sopai turns him about and down to the ground. A furious scramble from Turcios leads to both men getting back upright, and he walks through an uppercut so he can get in close. Sopai connects with a knee that shakes Turcios up, and he pushes Turcios down to his hands to further slow him. Turcios twist and stands up, working the sides with punches only to get met with two crisp knees from the Albanian. Turcios consistently presses forward, backing Sopai off and making him work, and this appears to be bearing fruit as Sopai starts taking deep breaths with 90 seconds left in the round. Turcios, meanwhile, is fresh as a daisy and hurls big punches with bad intentions behind them. A pair of them clip Sopai, who ties his foe up and connects with a few knees to keep Turcios honest. Sopai pushes away a takedown shot to blast the Texan in the face with ferocious punches, and he trips Turcios up but elects not to follow him down so he can keep hitting him. Turcios drops down for a potential takedown, shakes it off and tries to keep swinging until the bell separates them.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sopai
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sopai
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sopai

Round 3
There is a glove touch to start the final round, and Sopai further reintroduces himself with a low kick and a body kick. The latter appears to take the wind out of the Texan’s sails, who drops to his knees and is in a bad way. Sopai tries to pound him out, ultimately settling to push Turcios all the way to his back so he can start bludgeoning him with elbows. Turcios’ nose busts open as blood sprays out of it, down his chest and all over the mat. Turcios practically laughs, somehow willing himself back to his feet so he can put hands on the man that hurt him. Sopai backs off, and Turcios races after him to clinch fight him. Turcios walks through punches to land some of his own, and Sopai eats them, shakes his head and knees “Pretty Ricky” in his not-so-pretty face. Swelling, a crunched nose and blood have transformed Turcios’ visage to something out of a European fairy tale, but Turcios has no concern for his outer appearance and just wants to bleed and fight. Turcios runs towards Sopai, throwing everything he has at his tiring opponent, and he hops on Sopai’s back only to slide off thanks to the sweat and blood. Sopai climbs into his guard, and he fights off a triangle choke setup to shift to the side. Turcios turns over to his knees and stands up, and they fire off jabs at one another with about 90 seconds on the clock. Turcios checks a kick and charges into the fray, absorbing plenty of strikes so he can hope to catch Sopai with something. Sopai pushes him away with front kicks, and he leaps in the air with a knee that glances off the target. Turcios walks directly into a knee, and an uppercut puts him down on his face for a moment. Turcios bounces off the mat, head-first, and does not just pop up but is appears totally fine and ready to keep banging. With “Fight of the Night” already having a frontrunner, the two add to it by going for broke with seconds to spare. Sopai flips at his opponent with a somersault kick, and Turcios takes it flush and chucks his opponent to the floor like a 135-pound side of beef. As Turcios tries to beat down his foe, Sopai throws his legs up to hang tight on a triangle choke until the bloody battle comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sopai (30-27 Sopai)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sopai (30-27 Sopai)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sopai (30-27 Sopai)

The Official Result
Bernardo Sopai def. Ricky Turcios via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Benardo Sopaj

Angelo picks Benardo Sopaj, citing his speed, power, takedown defense, and overall skill advantage over Ricky Turcios. He acknowledges Turcios' high pace and pressure but believes Sopaj can slow it down and take advantage of the skill gap. However, he warns against betting Sopaj at -400 due to the risk from his recent knockout loss.

Don't bet Sopaj at -400; too risky after his knockout loss.
"Bernardo soai is going to be the pick but he's a tremendous favorite ... minus 400's nuts"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Benardo Sopaj

Cody picks Benardo Sopaj, noting that the line is 100 points better than when the fight was first booked. He believes Sopaj is a legitimate prospect with strong wrestling and improving striking. Turcios has poor takedown defense, as seen against Kevin Natividad and Brady Hiestand, and his wins are split decisions. Sopaj is younger and more dynamic. Cody expects Sopaj to take Turcios down and secure rounds, possibly earning a finish. Sopaj is part of the Saftic Super Boost.

No specific prop bet mentioned.
"soai is my guy I need you to go out there and do the damn thing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Benardo Sopaj

Daniel picks Sopaj, noting that he has never been a fan of Turcios' style. He believes Sopaj is a real prospect with impressive knockouts on the regional scene. Daniel thinks Sopaj's physical attributes and raw skill will overcome Turcios' experience. He mentions that Sopaj's only loss was to a dangerous fighter (Lock Dog) and that Turcios is not a threat.

"I'm going to take him to win to win the fight as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Benardo Sopaj

The host believes Sopaj won fans with a close fight against Vinicius Oliveira and can put on a high-paced fight, landing more damage and outworking Turcios on route to a decision victory.

"I think that W him a lot of fans which is why I believe he can go out there and put on a high paac land more damage and ultimately outwork perus on route to a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Benardo Sopaj

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Sopaj. He notes that Turcios has been taken down multiple times by opponents who committed to wrestling, and Sopaj has the wrestling to do the same. Paul believes Sopaj's power and takedowns will be decisive. He is comfortable adding Sopaj to tickets despite the chalk.

No specific prop bet mentioned.
"I'm with you it's it's probably a little bit more chalk than than I'm comfortable but uh one of the favorites I don't mind adding to some tickets this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Benardo Sopaj

The MMA Guru picks Benardo Sopaj over Ricky Turcios. He heavily criticizes Turcios' mentality and performance, citing low strike accuracy and lack of will to win. He praises Sopaj's short-notice debut against Vinicius Oliveira, where Sopaj won the first round and was winning the second before getting reversed. He believes Sopaj is a good fighter and will get the job done.

"Bernardo saage I reckon is going to get this one done um I think he beats Ricky Terio I don't need to explain myself on why I don't pick for Ricky Terio I don't rate him"
LOSS vs Raul Rosas Jr.
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:22 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 3 of 9 33% 25 of 34 4 of 7 57% 1 1 5:49
Ricky Turcios 0 7 of 15 46% 64 of 78 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 1 of 3 33% 21 of 25 2 of 4 50% 0 1 3:40
Ricky Turcios 0 5 of 11 45% 50 of 61 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:52
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 2 of 6 33% 4 of 9 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:09
Ricky Turcios 0 2 of 4 50% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raul Rosas Jr. 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ricky Turcios 7 of 15 46% 3 of 10 1 of 1 3 of 4 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ricky Turcios 5 of 11 45% 1 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo picks Raul Rosas Jr., noting his relentless wrestling and takedowns. He acknowledges that Ricky Turcios has a wild style and good scrambles, but his takedown defense is poor. He thinks Rosas will get takedowns early and often, and while Turcios might survive, Rosas should win a decision or get a submission. He is confident in Rosas.

"rul Rosas should win this fight he should win this fight he's going to be my pick to win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win by decision. He notes that the fight is now in Louisville instead of Mexico City, removing elevation concerns. He highlights Turcios's zero takedown defense, having been taken down 13 times in his last two fights. He expects Rosas to chain wrestle and win a dominant decision, possibly dropping the third round if he slows down.

"I'm going I'm going Ral roses here by by by decision in this one I think he gets it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Cody picks Rosas Jr. based on the stylistic matchup, noting Turcios' poor takedown defense and Rosas' strength and wrestling. He acknowledges Rosas' cardio issues but believes Turcios is not durable enough to survive the early rounds. Cody also likes that the fight was postponed, giving Rosas more time to prepare and make weight. He expects Rosas to get takedowns and potentially submit Turcios.

"the style Clash I'm taking R roses the second thing is I really like that the last fight got can I love it I love it assuming he makes weight assuming he looks good on the scales the last time …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel leans towards Rosas due to his physicality and early dominance, but acknowledges Turcios' experience and the possibility of Rosas gassing late. He notes Rosas' style requires high energy, similar to Aljamain Sterling, and that Turcios could take over if he makes Rosas work. He picks Rosas but wouldn't be surprised by a late fade.

"I'm gonna lean towards Raul because I do think he's gonna have early dominance but is it gonna surprise you if he pulls like a young stunt late into the fight after dominating early not going to surprise me"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Jacob picks Raul Rosas Jr., calling it a simple matchup: a relentless wrestler against a guy who can't defend takedowns. He notes that Turcios has empty pressure and isn't dangerous. He thinks Rosas will get takedowns and control the fight, and even if he gasses, he can still win. He is confident Rosas gets it done easily.

"1 plus one equals two I'm taking R roses get this done and get it done easy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is a young grappler with strong scrambling and control, while Turcios is unorthodox and hard to submit. The fight will likely be a grappling-heavy scramble, with Rosas Jr. getting more control time and winning a decision. However, Turcios' experience and weird style make it tough to trust Rosas at -220. Over 2.5 rounds is a better play.

over 2.5 rounds at -150 to -155
"I do like you over 2 and A2 which is currently around - 150 - 1555 I think it's going to be very difficult for either guy to lock up a submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Paul picks Rosas Jr., noting that Turcios is a terrible stylistic matchup for Rosas due to his poor takedown defense and lack of finishing ability. He believes Rosas will take him down early and often, and while Rosas has cardio issues, Turcios is not good enough to capitalize. Paul expects Rosas to win by submission or decision.

"R Rosas is probably by sub but uh R Ros is on the money line for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The Guru picks Rosas Jr. because Turcios has looked embarrassing in recent fights, especially against Kevin Natividad and Aiemann Zahabi, where he didn't want to engage. He says Rosas will put him away just by wanting to win. He notes Turcios has good takedown defense but Rosas is relentless and will find a way to jump to the back. He predicts a first-round rear-naked choke.

First-round submission (rear-naked choke) prediction
"I'm going to go over Al roses Jr rened choke round one"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Turcios 0 68 of 115 59% 170 of 224 2 of 5 40% 1 3 6:17
Kevin Natividad 1 41 of 81 50% 61 of 109 7 of 13 53% 0 0 5:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Turcios 0 17 of 27 62% 49 of 62 2 of 2 100% 0 2 2:30
Kevin Natividad 0 9 of 19 47% 11 of 22 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:30
2 Ricky Turcios 0 22 of 39 56% 52 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 1 1:26
Kevin Natividad 0 17 of 29 58% 32 of 49 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:20
3 Ricky Turcios 0 29 of 49 59% 69 of 92 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:21
Kevin Natividad 1 15 of 33 45% 18 of 38 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Turcios 68 of 115 59% 65 of 112 1 of 1 2 of 2 28 of 63 5 of 11 35 of 41
Kevin Natividad 41 of 81 50% 33 of 70 5 of 7 3 of 4 23 of 55 5 of 9 13 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Turcios 17 of 27 62% 16 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 10 1 of 4 12 of 13
Kevin Natividad 9 of 19 47% 4 of 14 3 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 13 2 of 3 2 of 3
2 Ricky Turcios 22 of 39 56% 20 of 37 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 25 3 of 6 8 of 8
Kevin Natividad 17 of 29 58% 14 of 25 2 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 16 3 of 5 6 of 8
3 Ricky Turcios 29 of 49 59% 29 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0 13 of 28 1 of 1 15 of 20
Kevin Natividad 15 of 33 45% 15 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 1 10 of 26 0 of 1 5 of 6
LOSS vs Aiemann Zahabi
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aiemann Zahabi 0 54 of 105 51% 54 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Turcios 0 27 of 235 11% 27 of 235 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aiemann Zahabi 0 12 of 23 52% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Turcios 0 7 of 53 13% 7 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Aiemann Zahabi 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Turcios 0 10 of 84 11% 10 of 84 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Aiemann Zahabi 0 21 of 36 58% 21 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Turcios 0 10 of 98 10% 10 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aiemann Zahabi 54 of 105 51% 18 of 59 9 of 14 27 of 32 53 of 104 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 27 of 235 11% 14 of 204 5 of 21 8 of 10 27 of 235 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aiemann Zahabi 12 of 23 52% 3 of 14 5 of 5 4 of 4 11 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 7 of 53 13% 3 of 46 1 of 4 3 of 3 7 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aiemann Zahabi 21 of 46 45% 10 of 29 2 of 6 9 of 11 21 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 10 of 84 11% 4 of 72 3 of 8 3 of 4 10 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Aiemann Zahabi 21 of 36 58% 5 of 16 2 of 3 14 of 17 21 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Turcios 10 of 98 10% 7 of 86 1 of 9 2 of 3 10 of 98 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ricky Turcios vs. Aiemann Zahabi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Turcios (-190), Zahabi (+160)

Round 1
Unexpectedly, this preliminary contest now is slotted on the main card, as bantamweights go at it. Tristar’s Zahabi (8-2, 2-2 UFC) makes his way back to the Octagon for the first time in over 16 months. He will do so against “The Ultimate Fighter” Season 29 winner Turcios (11-2, 1-0 UFC), who himself has been out of action since August. Cage corrosion will be kicked off in front of referee Chris Tognoni, and the returning gentlemen do not touch ‘em up before proceeding. Turcios very violently stomps the floor a few times for feints, and he wings a hook kick and lets loose a kiai to follow, even as it is feet away from the target. The Canadian ducks back when Turcios walks him down and flicks out several jabs, and he intercepts Zahabi on the way in with a front kick right on the chin. Turcios employs a more traditional martial arts stance, bouncing back and forth on his feet, and his movement is making Zahabi struggle to close the distance. The Tristar Gym fighter rushes forward, and he only manages to land one right hand before he has to back off. Turcios slaps him in the chest with a kick, and he puts another front kick out after stomping the floor loudly. Zahabi kicks him in the ribs, and he blocks a high kick and counters with a left hook. Turcios tosses up a head kick, and as Zahabi guards it and recovers, he shoots in for a takedown. Zahabi manages to sprawl well enough to break away and reset, and they trade kicks from range. Turcios just misses with a front kick, and he widely misses with another. As Zahabi plods forward, Turcios clips him with a right hook, and Zahabi keeps a stiff upper lip but may be stung from the blow. When Zahabi backs off, Turcios stomps the ground repeatedly and tells Zahabi to come on. Turcios kicks high again and pursues a takedown to follow, and Zahabi is wise to it. They kick one another in the body, and Turcios spins with a back fist that is at least a meter away from where he planned on it landing. Zahabi connects with a leg kick, and Turcios taunts him with a shout. The awkward stance and posturing of Turcios is allowing him to dictate much of the action, even if his high-flying strikes are all hugely inaccurate. Turcios kicks with body legs, and he jabs out several times, shouting every time. Zahabi swings and hits air in a counter, and the strange round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Turcios
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Turcios
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Turcios

Round 2
Turcios leads out with a glove touch, and Zahabi accepts it to start off the round. The leg kicks get traded one after the other, and other strikes do not find their homes. Zahabi blocks a few blows on the way forward so that he can sit down on a leg kick, and he slides back as Turcios comes at him with punches. Zahabi counters with a right, and he does not bite on the feints and shouts from Turcios. Turcios goes after a half-hearted spinning wheel kick, and Zahabi sprints forward to catch him spinning with a right. Zahabi keeps on kicking the leg, but his overhand rights brush past Turcios’ hair. The American kicks high, and it lands on the guard to little impact. Zahabi tries to throw the same strike, and it misses the mark. The accuracy rate for this fight is exceptionally low, as most strikes are either blocked or well short of their intended targets. Turcios comes out throwing hands, and Zahabi blocks each and every one and replies with a one-two. Zahabi’s leg kick may be his most successful strike, and Turcios pushes the pace but cannot connect with anything as Zahabi is slippery and evasive. Zahabi assaults the calf twice, forcing Turcios to switch stances briefly, and when Turcios returns to southpaw he lifts his leg repeatedly in anticipation of the kick. Zahabi slithers back and pops Turcios coming in. Turcios gives chase, throwing recklessly, but only a few of his punches come close to landing. Time expires to end this unexciting sparring match of a round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi

Round 3
The bantamweights meet in the middle to begin the final round, and Zahabi keeps his guard high to block any early strikes that come his way. Zahabi pounds on the inside of Turcios’ lead leg with a heavy kick, and Turcios switches stances to throw a kick but is miles away. Zahabi stops Turcios’ punches and kicks getting through, and his defense is solid but his offense is limited to low kicks and inaccurate counters. Turcios wings a right hand that is inches away, and he flicks out several jabs. Zahabi doubles up on leg kicks, and he swats away a punch and is similarly blocked when he attempts to load up on a right hand. Zahabi’s inside leg kick is paying dividends as Turcios’ wheel is slightly limited as he presents a minor limp. He does not slow, regardless of the damage, and he powers forward to throw punches that cannot find the mark. When Zahabi throws back, Turcios catches him mid-exchange with a pair of punches. Zahabi cleanly lands a low kick as Turcios ambles towards him, seeing the telegraphed strikes and playing matador to Turcios’ awkward bull. Turcios finally sits down on a punch, and Zahabi shrugs it off as if it never even landed. Turcios tosses up a light head kick, and Zahabi catches his plant leg on the way down with his shin. Turcios whiffs on a wheel kick, Zahabi wings a left hook that blows the hair back, and this fight is now mercifully over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zahabi (29-28 Zahabi)

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Ricky Turcios via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Angelo is very confident in Ricky Turcios due to his high volume and pace, contrasting with Zahabi's low output. He notes Turcios landed 200 strikes despite being taken down 6 times in his last fight. He sees Turcios as a parlay piece and already has a moneyline bet at -175. He compares the matchup to Brian Barbarena vs Robbie Lawler, where volume overcame power.

Already has a moneyline bet at -175; considers Turcios a parlay piece.
"I love ricky in this fight I'm very confident in the pick and I think he should be a nice parlay piece... I jumped on him at minus 175."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Big Brady picks Ricky Turcios due to his relentless activity and minute-winning ability. He notes that Turcios has many holes in his game (poor takedown defense, hittable, reckless) but believes Zahabi's low volume (2.82 significant strikes per minute) won't capitalize on them. He thinks if the fight goes to decision, Turcios will do enough to win. He acknowledges Zahabi could win by knockout if he lands clean, but leans toward Turcios by decision.

"give me ricky tercios the more active fighter to win this fight i think he gets it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Cody believes Turcios' relentless pace and cardio will overwhelm Zahabi, who fights infrequently and has low volume. He thinks Zahabi's only path is a knockout, but Turcios is durable and will outwork him over three rounds. He cites Zahabi's poor performances and lack of activity.

Mentions Turcios over 80.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
"i see ricky making a lot of mistakes all mistakes that aim as a hobby could capitalize on right but i mean again he fights so infrequently once a year sometimes shows up sometimes doesn't show up not a good …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)
Aiemann Zahabi

The host says he is picking Zahabi to win but does not place a bet on the fight. He mentions that Zahabi could knock out Turcios but is not super confident. He does not elaborate on reasoning beyond that.

"I'm picking zahabi to win"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Paul is interested in the over 2.5 rounds prop and leans Turcios due to Zahabi's inconsistency. He notes Zahabi has skills but rarely puts them together, while Turcios has a high work rate. He's not fully confident but sees Turcios as the likely winner.

Mentions over 2.5 rounds at -165 as a parlay leg.
"i'm kind of interested in over two and a half rounds minus 165 i think that's a half decent uh parley leg"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

The Guru picks Ricky Turcios, noting Zahabi's inconsistency and that his KO win was over a padded-record opponent. He believes Turcios' chin and pace will carry him to a 29-28 decision, especially as Zahabi is older and Turcios has a reach advantage.

29-28 decision
"I'm going to be going with Ricky Turcios here."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Aug 28, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Turcios 1 100 of 171 58% 201 of 281 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:32
Brady Hiestand 0 66 of 134 49% 82 of 152 6 of 11 54% 0 1 7:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Turcios 0 35 of 55 63% 72 of 98 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Brady Hiestand 0 24 of 43 55% 35 of 56 2 of 4 50% 0 1 3:14
2 Ricky Turcios 0 15 of 33 45% 42 of 60 1 of 2 50% 0 1 0:45
Brady Hiestand 0 15 of 31 48% 16 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:43
3 Ricky Turcios 1 50 of 83 60% 87 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:32
Brady Hiestand 0 27 of 60 45% 31 of 64 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Turcios 100 of 171 58% 83 of 150 14 of 18 3 of 3 67 of 131 22 of 27 11 of 13
Brady Hiestand 66 of 134 49% 59 of 124 6 of 9 1 of 1 52 of 117 8 of 10 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Turcios 35 of 55 63% 26 of 46 6 of 6 3 of 3 25 of 43 6 of 6 4 of 6
Brady Hiestand 24 of 43 55% 20 of 39 3 of 3 1 of 1 19 of 37 1 of 1 4 of 5
2 Ricky Turcios 15 of 33 45% 15 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 23 2 of 3 7 of 7
Brady Hiestand 15 of 31 48% 15 of 28 0 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 25 3 of 4 2 of 2
3 Ricky Turcios 50 of 83 60% 42 of 72 8 of 11 0 of 0 36 of 65 14 of 18 0 of 0
Brady Hiestand 27 of 60 45% 24 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0 23 of 55 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Angelo picks Turcios, citing his crazy style, pressure, and variety of strikes. He notes Hiestand is formulaic and will struggle with Turcios' unpredictability. He has Turcios in his DraftKings lineup at 8700 and likes the more more on monkey knife fight.

"ricky's the pick ricky's in my draftkings lineup i love him at 8 700"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brady Hiestand

Cody leans toward Hiestand as a live underdog, impressed by his takedowns and knockout of Vince Murdock on TUF. He thinks Hiestand's wrestling could neutralize Turcios, but acknowledges Turcios' experience and scrambling ability. Cody is worried about Turcios' takedown defense and thinks Hiestand could control the fight. He calls Hiestand a prospect and says the plus-140 line is not terrible.

"i'm a little bit worried about this brady kid he could definitely come in and cash and what's he's currently sitting at plus 140 right so not even a terrible line on him"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Jacob picks Turcios but is hesitant, noting Hiestand's good takedowns and Turcios' defensive movement issues. He worries if Hiestand gets a hold of Turcios, it could be one-sided. He relies on Turcios' movement and volume to win.

"i have ricky in my lineup um i'm not quite as confident as i would like to be"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Brady Hiestand

Lock picks Hiestand as an underdog, citing his wrestling-heavy approach and ability to implement a game plan. He thinks Hiestand's jiu-jitsu is good enough to avoid submissions from Turcios. Lock is concerned about Hiestand's striking and cardio but believes he can secure takedowns and win rounds. He likes Hiestand by decision at +300 and considers him a potential dog of the night.

Hiestand by decision +300
"i do like high stand in this spot he is kind of in the running right now for my dog than i play for for this weekend"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brady Hiestand

Paul picks Hiestand as a dog, noting his quick takedown entries and potential. He thinks Turcios' veteran savvy will neutralize Hiestand's striking, but he likes the over 2.5 rounds as a parlay piece. Paul is not fully confident in Hiestand's hands but sees value at plus-140.

parlayed over 2.5 rounds (-175) with something else
"if i was forced to pick a side it would be he stand at plus 140 but i like the over uh two and a half minus 175 as a parlay piece"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

The Guru picks Ricky Turcios by TKO in the later rounds, expecting Hiestand to grapple early but fade due to cardio. He notes Turcios' experience against better competition and Hiestand's lack of finishing ability. The Guru predicts a third-round TKO as Turcios pours on pressure.

Turcios by TKO in round 3
"i'm gonna go over ricky turquoise by tko in the later rounds i'm i'm gonna go third round tko for ricky turquoise"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Angelo is very confident in Ricky Turcios due to his high volume and pace, contrasting with Zahabi's low output. He notes Turcios landed 200 strikes despite being taken down 6 times in his last fight. He sees Turcios as a parlay piece and already has a moneyline bet at -175. He compares the matchup to Brian Barbarena vs Robbie Lawler, where volume overcame power.

Already has a moneyline bet at -175; considers Turcios a parlay piece.
"I love ricky in this fight I'm very confident in the pick and I think he should be a nice parlay piece... I jumped on him at minus 175."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Big Brady picks Ricky Turcios due to his relentless activity and minute-winning ability. He notes that Turcios has many holes in his game (poor takedown defense, hittable, reckless) but believes Zahabi's low volume (2.82 significant strikes per minute) won't capitalize on them. He thinks if the fight goes to decision, Turcios will do enough to win. He acknowledges Zahabi could win by knockout if he lands clean, but leans toward Turcios by decision.

"give me ricky tercios the more active fighter to win this fight i think he gets it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Cody believes Turcios' relentless pace and cardio will overwhelm Zahabi, who fights infrequently and has low volume. He thinks Zahabi's only path is a knockout, but Turcios is durable and will outwork him over three rounds. He cites Zahabi's poor performances and lack of activity.

Mentions Turcios over 80.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
"i see ricky making a lot of mistakes all mistakes that aim as a hobby could capitalize on right but i mean again he fights so infrequently once a year sometimes shows up sometimes doesn't show up not a good look so i just i can't get behind him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)
Aiemann Zahabi

The host says he is picking Zahabi to win but does not place a bet on the fight. He mentions that Zahabi could knock out Turcios but is not super confident. He does not elaborate on reasoning beyond that.

"I'm picking zahabi to win"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Paul is interested in the over 2.5 rounds prop and leans Turcios due to Zahabi's inconsistency. He notes Zahabi has skills but rarely puts them together, while Turcios has a high work rate. He's not fully confident but sees Turcios as the likely winner.

Mentions over 2.5 rounds at -165 as a parlay leg.
"i'm kind of interested in over two and a half rounds minus 165 i think that's a half decent uh parley leg"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

The Guru picks Ricky Turcios, noting Zahabi's inconsistency and that his KO win was over a padded-record opponent. He believes Turcios' chin and pace will carry him to a 29-28 decision, especially as Zahabi is older and Turcios has a reach advantage.

29-28 decision
"I'm going to be going with Ricky Turcios here."