Career Averages - Maycee Barber
Career Averages - Montana De La Rosa
Maycee Barber
Montana De La Rosa
Maycee Barber - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 1 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 5 of 25 | 20% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 1 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 5 of 25 | 20% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 12 of 38 | 31% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maycee Barber | 5 of 25 | 20% | 4 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 12 of 38 | 31% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maycee Barber | 5 of 25 | 20% | 4 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maycee Barber, believing she has improved more than Alexa Grasso and that Grasso has lost confidence. He thinks Barber's wrestling and pressure will be key, but notes the odds are a touch wide given their history. He advises waiting for weigh-ins before betting due to Barber's weight cut issues.
Big Brady picks Maycee Barber to win by decision. He notes that Barber has improved significantly since their first fight, now on a seven-fight winning streak. He expects the fight to be close on the feet but believes Barber's strength and physicality will be the difference, as she can push Grasso against the cage and take her down. He cautions that Barber must avoid getting reversed and submitted, as happened in the first fight, but if she stays on top and is smart, she should win.
Cody thinks the fight is close to 50-50 and sees value on Grasso as the underdog. He notes Grasso's regression but believes Barber's takedown defense is poor and Grasso can win the rematch. He's hesitant but picks Grasso due to the plus money.
Connor notes that Barber has tightened up her striking and evolved a ton as a clinch fighter, landing nasty short shots, elbows, knees, and hockey punches. He believes Barber can force the clinch again and has only gotten better at winning that kind of fight, while Grasso has stagnated and become aimless. He points out that Grasso's recent performances show no plan or goal.
Daniel notes Barber is on a career-best win streak and physically matured, while Grasso has declined since her title win. He expects Barber to bully Grasso and avenge her earlier loss, securing a title shot.
The host initially liked Barber at -149 but missed the odds as they steamed to -153. He still leans Barber due to her power, improved scrambling, and ability to hold her own on the feet. Grasso is more technical but lacks power and is weak off her back. However, the host passes because the current odds (-153) reflect fair value and he cannot give Barber more than a 65% chance.
The host leans towards Grasso as the slicker striker, expecting her to out-strike Barber and win a close decision. He acknowledges Barber's improvements in grappling and clinch but thinks Grasso's technical striking and control will be enough. He notes the odds are wide due to recent momentum and sees value in the underdog.
Paul doesn't make a firm pick, calling it a dog or pass situation. He acknowledges the value on Grasso but doesn't commit to a side.
The MMA Guru picks Maycee Barber, citing her physical density and toughness. He believes Barber's pressure and improved grappling will overcome Alexa Grasso, who he thinks has stagnated. He notes Grasso's recent losses and predictable striking. He predicts a close decision, possibly 29-28, and suggests the UFC may favor Barber as a fresh contender.
Zane agrees with Connor, stating that Barber has gotten better at making her fight happen and forcing it on the opponent. He notes that Grasso is aimless and will have whatever fight the opponent wants to dictate. He also mentions that Barber is tough to finish and has only lost by decision, one of which was to Grasso in a close fight where Barber won the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 55 of 85 | 64% | 89 of 130 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 1 | 6:20 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 57 of 87 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 3:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:21 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 14 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 21 of 25 | 84% | 32 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:57 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 37 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 16 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 55 of 85 | 64% | 41 of 66 | 4 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 30 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 25 of 32 |
| Karine Silva | 21 of 45 | 46% | 8 of 30 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 16 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 15 of 31 | 48% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 |
| Karine Silva | 8 of 18 | 44% | 1 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 21 of 25 | 84% | 18 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 16 |
| Karine Silva | 11 of 16 | 68% | 7 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 19 of 29 | 65% | 10 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 8 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Karine Silva | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barber (-192), Silva (+160)
Round 1
Mark Smith is the referee. Barber looks to get in range behind her jab, but Silva lands a hard low kick. A “USA” chant breaks out within 30 seconds. Barber is firing off her right hand, but hasn’t quite found the range yet. Silva is having success with low kicks early. Barber kicks the body and Silva answers with another low kick. Barber partially lands a high kick, but Silva takes the opportunity to close distance and take the American down. Silva is trying to take the back, but she’s falling off the side. The Brazilian adjusts the position and locks in a body triangle. Silva almost falls off the side again, but Barber can’t shake free. Silva recovers once again and they’re now seated against the fence. Silva creates openings for some short punches. Silva attacks the choke as they fall to the mat. The arm was only across the face, and Barber frees herself. Silva is still on Barber’s back. Barber is able to spin and take top position with about 20 seconds to go. Barber wastes no time, as she attacks with purposeful ground-and-pound while dodging upkicks until the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Round 2
Barber comes out slinging right hands at the outset of the round. Silva with a body kick. Barber lands a combination followed by a low kick. Barber catches a leg and takes Silva to the fence. Silva jumps a guillotine with her back to the fence. Silva adjusts to avoid winding up on the bottom. Barber pops her head free and eventually dumps Silva on the canvas. Silva creates a scramble but inadvertently lands an upkick on the downed Barber. Barber points it out and Smith calls time. The kick lands to Barber’s chin, but Smith tells her it’s only a glancing shot. A doctor comes in to examine Barber during the break. Barber says she’s a little dizzy but she’s ready to go. The action resumes with no point deduction. Barber wastes no time taking Silva down in the center of the cage. Barber lands some solid punches from top position. Silva is turtled, eating punches and fighting off Barber’s hands. Barber is now looking to take the back. In the meantime, she punishes Silva with several elbows to the side of the head. Barber continues to work, alternating between right hands and elbows to the head. Barber pulls her foe back to the mat with her. Rather than hunt for a submission, Barber transitions to top position. Silva looks to frame a triangle from her back and then she rolls into top position with the triangle in place. Fortunately for Barber, there were only a few seconds left in the period.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Round 3
Silva fires a front kick and Barber responds with a pair of leg kicks. Barber pumps her jab into Silva’s face. Barber partially lands a high kick. Silva marches forward, and Barber lands a front kick. The flyweights nearly clash heads during an exchange. Barber lands a front kick down the middle. A left gets through for Barber, and Silva shoots for a takedown against the fence. Silva lands the takedown and is in her foe’s full guard. Barber is active with her guard, and Silva falls back for a heel hook. Barber scoots away, but Silva switches focus to the other leg. Barber frees herself and scrambles into top position with 2:00 to go. Silva wants to set up a triangle from her back. Silva can’t quite complete the maneuver, and Barber stacks her up. Barber stands and kicks her foe’s legs. Barber eats an upkick and then shoves Silva into the fence as she stands. Silva is taken down one more time at the final horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barber (29-28 Barber)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber (30-27 Barber)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber (30-27 Barber)
The Official Result
Maycee Barber def. Karine Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
Angelo picks Maycee Barber assuming she is healthy after recent medical issues including a seizure. He considers her the more well-rounded fighter with better striking and athleticism. He notes that if she can defend takedowns, she should win on the feet. However, he expresses uncertainty about her health and the risk of her being rushed back. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Karine Silva, citing Barber's long layoff, mental and physical question marks, and poor takedown defense. He notes Silva's finishing ability and ground game, and expects Silva to win by decision, though he mentions she could win by submission.
Cody leans toward Barber, citing her power and striking advantage. He notes that Barber has never been submitted and has bullied opponents. He acknowledges concerns about her mental state and layoff but believes she will keep the fight standing and land bigger shots. He is not fully confident due to the narrative noise.
Connor picks Maycee Barber, citing her improved clinch game and physical strength. He notes that Silva is still the same fighter who relies on opponents' mistakes, while Barber has never been submitted and has shown durability. He believes Barber's physicality and persistence will be too much for Silva.
Lucrative James heavily factors in Maycee Barber's recent medical scare (passing out before a fight) and her history of being taken down. He believes Karine Silva's physicality and black belt jiu-jitsu will lead to a submission, especially early. He notes Barber's cardio advantage but thinks Silva can finish before it becomes a factor. He picks Silva as the underdog.
The host conditions his pick on Barber making weight and looking like her old self. He expects her to be physical enough to keep Silva standing and then use her superior striking to secure a knockout victory.
Paul leans toward Silva, citing Barber's takedown defense issues and Silva's submission threat. He notes that Barber has been taken down in her last six fights and Silva has good wrestling and submissions. He is concerned about Barber's mental state and long layoff. He thinks Silva can take Barber down and submit her.
The Guru picks Maycee Barber, despite concerns about her motivation. He believes Barber's takedown defense and clinch work will neutralize Silva's submission game. The Guru predicts a TKO finish in round two or three.
Zane picks Maycee Barber, noting that Barber has developed a sharp clinch game and is physically strong. He acknowledges Silva's submission threat but points out that Barber has never been submitted and has survived tough spots. Zane believes Barber's physicality and durability give her the edge.
Angelo picks Erin Blanchfield, expecting her to move forward, absorb strikes, and get the fight to the ground where she can dominate. He notes that Maycee Barber's takedown defense is midlevel (53%) and that Blanchfield is tough and relentless. He predicts a decision win for Blanchfield, though she may have close calls.
Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her superior grappling and Barber's poor takedown defense (50%). He notes that Barber has been taken down by lesser fighters like Roxanne Modafferi and Andrea Lee. He believes Blanchfield will have no trouble taking Barber down and controlling her on the ground, leading to a decision win.
Connor picks Barber based on a gut feeling that Barber is the kind of fighter who does not wilt under pressure, unlike the opponents Blanchfield has thrived against. He argues that Blanchfield's entire style relies on breaking opponents' spirits, but Barber's confidence and aggression make her unlikely to fade. Connor also notes that Barber's improved striking and ability to adjust could allow her to win exchanges on the feet, and that Blanchfield's grappling opportunities may be limited if Barber can get back to her feet.
Matt picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield's wrestling and top pressure will be the difference, as Barber lacks the footwork and movement of Manon Fiorot to keep Blanchfield at bay. Blanchfield should get takedowns and grind out a decision, though submission props are also intriguing.
The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield by decision, citing her pressure and takedowns. He notes Andrea Lee took Barber down five times, and Blanchfield is better. He believes the Apex benefits Blanchfield and that Barber's movement won't be as effective. He predicts a competitive five-rounder with Blanchfield winning via grappling.
Zane picks Blanchfield because he believes Barber's clinch-heavy style will give Blanchfield too many opportunities to take the fight to the ground, where Blanchfield's exceptional top control is a major advantage. He notes that Barber has improved her striking and adjustments, but her tendency to explode into the clinch plays into Blanchfield's strengths. Zane also points out that Blanchfield's pressure and volume could overwhelm Barber, though he acknowledges Barber's durability and confidence.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 66 of 152 | 43% | 99 of 186 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 84 of 150 | 56% | 122 of 189 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 29 of 40 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 31 of 48 | 64% | 46 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 24 of 56 | 42% | 40 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 35 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 20 of 64 | 31% | 30 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 31 of 54 | 57% | 41 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 66 of 152 | 43% | 44 of 122 | 21 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 43 of 124 | 23 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 84 of 150 | 56% | 59 of 121 | 18 of 22 | 7 of 7 | 44 of 107 | 36 of 39 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 22 of 32 | 68% | 9 of 18 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 16 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 31 of 48 | 64% | 26 of 43 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 24 | 20 of 22 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 24 of 56 | 42% | 20 of 50 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 21 of 53 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 22 of 48 | 45% | 12 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 42 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 20 of 64 | 31% | 15 of 54 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 16 of 56 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Katlyn Cerminara | 31 of 54 | 57% | 21 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 41 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo slightly leans Maycee Barber due to her recent surge and well-rounded game, but warns that Katlyn Cerminara can drag opponents into a boring decision. He thinks Barber is too big a favorite. He suggests over 2.5 rounds as a safe bet.
Big Brady picks Maycee Barber to win, but is scared of the judges. He notes that Barber is younger, more physical, and has power, while Cerminara has zero finishes and low striking accuracy. He expects Barber's power shots to be the difference, but fears a split decision due to Cerminara's history of controversial wins.
Cody thinks Barber is overvalued and has shown poor takedown defense, while Cerminara is a smart fighter who can mix in takedowns and use her volume and movement. He believes Cerminara can win a close decision by outworking Barber.
Daniel picks Barber but has no confidence. He notes Barber has power and gets violent when she closes the distance, but she has had controversial decisions and can be held down. He sees Cerminara as a gatekeeper who can outstrike with volume. Daniel is not interested at the price and calls it a no-confidence pick.
Cerminara (formerly Chookagian) has a reliable style of staying on the outside, using her jab and kicks, and maintaining high output. She has been out for over a year but is still capable of veteran performances. Barber is on a winning streak but has had controversial decisions and can be taken down and controlled. Cerminara's volume and optics should allow her to win rounds on the scorecards. I expect her to touch up Barber from distance and win a decision. The plus money is appealing.
Paul agrees with the CF dog model but has some hesitation because Barber can be a brawler and has shown power. He thinks if Barber comes in aggressive, she could overwhelm Cerminara, but at plus money, he leans toward Cerminara.
The MMA Guru picks Maycee Barber, dismissing Katlyn Cerminara as not good and noting her inactivity (last fight in October 2022). He highlights Barber's youth (25), power, and strength, especially since moving to flyweight. He believes Barber's finishing potential and physicality will be too much for Cerminara.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 35 of 74 | 47% | 43 of 85 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 81 of 124 | 65% | 93 of 139 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 22 of 42 | 52% | 26 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 35 of 62 | 56% | 41 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 46 of 62 | 74% | 52 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 35 of 74 | 47% | 21 of 52 | 7 of 14 | 7 of 8 | 30 of 68 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 81 of 124 | 65% | 70 of 108 | 5 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 60 | 6 of 9 | 43 of 55 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 22 of 42 | 52% | 11 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 35 of 62 | 56% | 28 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 19 of 29 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 13 of 32 | 40% | 10 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 46 of 62 | 74% | 42 of 53 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 32 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 26 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, citing her better Jiu-Jitsu, higher level of competition, and solid takedown defense. He notes Maycee Barber has been taken down nine times in the UFC and two of her wins were questionable decisions. He expects Ribas to come forward, stay busy, use takedowns, and win an easy decision. He also calls it an over 2.5 rounds play.
Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas, citing her superior wrestling and BJJ. He notes Barber's poor takedown defense (47%) and that she was taken down five times by Andrea Lee. He believes Ribas will easily take Barber down and control her on the ground, unlike Andrea Lee who let Barber get up. He predicts a decision win but warns that judges favor Barber.
Cody agrees with Paul, picking Ribas. He highlights Barber's takedown defense issues, especially against Andrea Lee, and believes Ribas's superior jiu-jitsu and top control will be decisive. He notes the minus 200 price is not a betting opportunity but for the show he picks Ribas.
Connor picks Ribas, agreeing with Zane that Ribas is the better fighter. He highlights Barber's awkwardness and physicality but notes that Ribas is a legitimate takedown artist and better grappler. Connor points out that Andrea Lee took Barber down five times, which bodes well for Ribas. He sees a small margin for error for Ribas due to Barber's power and toughness, but expects Ribas to win via superior technique.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Ribas, citing her technical superiority everywhere the fight goes. He notes Barber's power but believes Ribas's grappling will be the difference, as Barber was taken down five times by Andrea Lee. He thinks Ribas will get takedowns and control the fight, possibly finishing. He mentions he got in at -145 and considers -200 a dog-or-pass situation.
The host picks Amanda Ribas to win by decision. He believes Ribas is a far superior grappler and that she can take Barber down and control the fight from top position. He notes Barber's takedown defense issues and thinks Ribas's pressure and pace will be key. He acknowledges Barber's power and explosivity on the feet but expects Ribas to grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks Ribas, emphasizing her wrestling and grappling to neutralize Barber. He notes Ribas's improvements and her ability to take down opponents, while Barber has plateaued and struggles with takedown defense. He thinks the plus money on Barber is tempting but can't get there.
The Guru initially leaned Maycee Barber but switched to Amanda Ribas after counter-arguing his own points. He notes Ribas has a better chin at flyweight, a big advantage on the ground, and outpoints at range with reach. He criticizes Barber's win over Miranda Maverick as a robbery and points out that Maverick was recently dominated by Jasudavicius, undermining Barber's credentials. He also mentions Ribas' wins over Araujo and Jandiroba, and her competitive fight with Chookagian.
Zane picks Ribas, comparing the matchup to Jaco vs Eric Anders. He notes Ribas is the better technical fighter with superior wrestling and grappling, and expects her to come out ahead in the chaotic exchanges. He acknowledges Barber's athleticism and toughness but believes Ribas's transitional grappling and ability to work on the ground will be decisive. Zane sees Barber's technical limitations and poor wrestling as key vulnerabilities.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 39 of 103 | 37% | 57 of 125 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:20 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 48 of 127 | 37% | 66 of 158 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 12 of 35 | 34% | 16 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 26 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 24 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 15 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 20 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 39 of 103 | 37% | 10 of 57 | 15 of 27 | 14 of 19 | 34 of 97 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Andrea Lee | 48 of 127 | 37% | 31 of 97 | 9 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 38 of 113 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 12 of 35 | 34% | 3 of 18 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 17 of 45 | 37% | 11 of 35 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 15 of 38 | 39% | 6 of 23 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 14 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 17 of 43 | 39% | 11 of 31 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 17 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 12 of 30 | 40% | 1 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Andrea Lee | 14 of 39 | 35% | 9 of 31 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 33 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Andrea Lee as an underdog, arguing that Barber is overrated and a decision fighter who can break mentally. He notes that Lee is a technical striker with improved grappling and has fought tougher competition. He believes Lee can keep the fight standing and out-strike Barber, and that Barber's takedowns may not be enough. He says no bet on this fight due to unknowns.
Big Brady picks Andrea Lee as a dog, believing the fight will be closer than the odds indicate. He thinks Lee is the better striker with more volume, while Barber relies on physical strength and takedowns. Brady notes Barber's striking is still a work in progress and that Lee can work back to her feet if taken down. He predicts a split decision win for Lee, possibly a robbery, and expects the fight to go the distance.
Cody does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup, noting Barber's youth and cardio advantage but also her lack of takedowns in recent fights. He sees a path for Lee if she can keep the fight standing and outstrike Barber, but he is wary of Lee's tendency to fatigue. He ultimately says he wants nothing to do with the line, finding it too wide.
Connor picks Barber because Lee has a history of crumbling under pressure and bullying. He notes Barber's recent assertiveness and willingness to clinch and use her strength. He acknowledges Barber's poor kickboxing but thinks she will force a clinch-heavy fight where Lee fades.
Jacob picks Barber but admits he is biased against Lee. He thinks Barber can get takedowns and wear Lee down, similar to how Viviane Araujo did. He warns that Barber is a decision fighter and should not be put in parlays. He acknowledges Lee is dangerous on the feet and that Barber's takedowns are key.
The host believes Barber's strength and grappling improvements at Team Alpha Male will be key. He expects Barber to assert herself early, counter Lee's combinations, and eventually get clinch situations where she can rough Lee up against the cage. He notes that if Lee gets into a flow state it could be trouble, but Barber's power and explosiveness should deter her. He predicts Barber wins by decision.
The Guru picks Barber, citing her improved grappling and youth (24 vs 34). He thinks Barber can take Lee down and slow her down as the fight progresses, winning the last two rounds via decision. He notes Lee's tendency to fade when wrestled.
Zane picks Barber but notes it could easily be a fight where Barber flops around and Lee jabs her. He highlights Barber's physicality and willingness to make opponents deal with her strength. He also notes Barber's reliable third-round surge if things aren't going well.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 35 of 62 | 56% | 76 of 106 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 8:09 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 63 of 97 | 64% | 83 of 117 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 34 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:59 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 21 of 26 | 80% | 35 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 19 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:52 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 35 of 56 | 62% | 35 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 35 of 62 | 56% | 23 of 48 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 41 | 16 of 19 | 2 of 2 |
| Jessica Eye | 63 of 97 | 64% | 45 of 78 | 16 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 51 | 35 of 41 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 12 of 16 | 75% | 8 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 21 of 26 | 80% | 15 of 19 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 21 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 5 of 9 | 55% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Jessica Eye | 7 of 15 | 46% | 5 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 18 of 37 | 48% | 13 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 35 of 56 | 62% | 25 of 46 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 38 | 10 of 13 | 5 of 5 |
Angelo picks Maycee Barber, citing her technical striking and improved wrestling. He acknowledges Jessica Eye's toughness and granite chin but believes Barber's superior technique and ability to mix in takedowns will be enough. He notes a slight concern about Barber's mental fragility but still sees her getting the win.
Big Brady picks Maycee Barber but is hesitant, noting the line is too wide and recent women's fights have been close. He cites Barber's youth and power as advantages, but expects a close decision. He has no interest in betting this fight.
Cody thinks the line is too wide and women's MMA is unpredictable. He notes Barber takes rounds off and Eye has volume, but he's learned not to bet big favorites in this division. He passes.
Daniel Levi picks Maycee Barber, citing her youth, hunger, and physicality. He notes that Jessica Eye is inconsistent and has health issues, making her unreliable. However, he is not interested in betting at -300 due to lack of value and the risk of injury or poor performance. He believes Barber will likely win but passes on the bet.
The host expects Barber to win but is not confident at -285. He notes that heavy women's MMA favorites have been losing recently. He sees value in the fight going to decision at -250, as Barber is not a finisher and Eye can make it competitive. He does not pick a winner on the moneyline.
Paul says it's dog or pass. He notes Eye's volume and Barber's tendency to take rounds off, but doesn't have a strong lean. He might consider Eye by decision at +375.
The MMA Guru picks Maycee Barber, citing her physical strength, clinch work, and recent win over Montana De La Rosa. He believes Jessica Eye is declining at 35 and that Barber will use her size and strength to push Eye against the cage and land elbows. He predicts a 29-28 decision, noting the judges may favor Barber.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 50 of 63 | 79% | 80 of 101 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 7:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 41 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 5:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 25 of 31 | 80% | 34 of 43 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:06 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:22 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 18 of 23 | 78% | 32 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 50 of 63 | 79% | 31 of 42 | 16 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 8 | 40 of 47 | 6 of 8 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 14 of 28 | 50% | 7 of 19 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 25 of 31 | 80% | 14 of 20 | 8 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 23 of 27 | 1 of 1 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 7 of 9 | 77% | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 18 of 23 | 78% | 11 of 15 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 18 | 0 of 1 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 9 of 13 | 69% | 6 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maycee Barber but with zero bet, calling it a tough fight with many unknowns. He notes Barber has good striking and improved wrestling, but can break mentally. He says Montana is a pure wrestler who has improved her hands at Elevation. He is normally a sucker for wrestlers but is worried. He says his gut wants to pick Montana, but for now he goes with Barber to defend takedowns and win striking.
Big Brady picks Montana De La Rosa to win by decision, citing her grappling advantage and Barber's recent poor striking performances. He notes Barber has looked bad in recent fights, with low striking accuracy and a tendency to punch air. He thinks De La Rosa can mix in takedowns and control the fight. However, he has low confidence and says he will have zero dollars on the fight.
Cody likes Barber at -190, noting her physical strength and improvement. He acknowledges she's a slow starter but believes she can overpower De La Rosa. He points out De La Rosa's poor striking defense and tendency to get hit. He warns it could be a trap line but picks Barber.
The host picks Maycee Barber as his biggest bet of the night at 2 units (-181). He believes Barber is a better striker with better footwork and will be able to get up from takedowns and dish out damage on the feet. He is confident in this pick, calling it his most confident play.
Paul is not playing Barber at -190, calling it a dogger pass situation. He thinks Barber rarely shows up and that De La Rosa could control on the mat. He plans to stay away from a betting perspective unless weigh-ins change his mind.
Montana De La Rosa - Fight History
Angelo picks Luana Carolina, citing her superior striking and solid takedown defense (74%). He believes she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Montana De La Rosa, who relies on wrestling. He notes that Carolina is used to opponents trying to take her down and sees her as a solid bet, possibly worth a stab.
Big Brady leans toward Luana Carolina, impressed by her takedown defense. He notes that Montana De La Rosa will try to wrestle, but if she can't get takedowns, Carolina is the better striker. He expects a close split decision.
The host expects De La Rosa's wrestling style to pay off and expose holes in Luana Carolina's game. He looks for De La Rosa to smother her with grappling, possibly opening a submission opportunity, but primarily controlling the fight and winning on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina over Montana De La Rosa. He notes that Montana has had takedowns but hasn't established dominant control, while Luana will win on the feet with more grit and determination. He also mentions a psychological edge: Luana will be jealous of Montana's looks and fight with rage. He predicts a split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 75 of 152 | 49% | 115 of 201 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 2:08 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 70 of 180 | 38% | 88 of 206 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 52 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:52 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 14 of 44 | 31% | 17 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 31 of 68 | 45% | 36 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 33 of 81 | 40% | 37 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 27 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:16 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 34 of 71 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana De La Rosa | 75 of 152 | 49% | 37 of 109 | 29 of 31 | 9 of 12 | 58 of 129 | 13 of 16 | 4 of 7 |
| Andrea Lee | 70 of 180 | 38% | 53 of 156 | 12 of 17 | 5 of 7 | 62 of 161 | 5 of 16 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana De La Rosa | 27 of 50 | 54% | 16 of 38 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 31 | 11 of 12 | 4 of 7 |
| Andrea Lee | 14 of 44 | 31% | 9 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 36 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Montana De La Rosa | 31 of 68 | 45% | 14 of 49 | 11 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 30 of 65 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 33 of 81 | 40% | 26 of 72 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 33 of 77 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Montana De La Rosa | 17 of 34 | 50% | 7 of 22 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 23 of 55 | 41% | 18 of 47 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 48 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Andrea Lee, noting that Montana De La Rosa is a wrestler but didn't use her wrestling in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He thinks if Montana doesn't commit to takedowns, Andrea will out-strike her. Andrea is a good striker with underrated skills, and her losses are to quality opponents. He is not confident Montana will wrestle, so he goes with Andrea.
Big Brady picks Montana De La Rosa with little confidence. He notes that Andrea Lee is on a four-fight losing streak and looks to be declining, while De La Rosa's striking has improved. He expects De La Rosa to get takedowns and control time. He says he is not betting on this fight and advises others to avoid it.
Cody picks Lee, noting that De La Rosa has poor ring IQ and does not commit to her wrestling. Lee has improved her takedown defense and has better striking volume. Cody expects Lee to sprawl and brawl, outpointing De La Rosa on the feet. He also likes Lee by decision at plus money.
Daniel picks Lee as the better fighter despite both being on losing streaks. He notes Lee won their first fight and has faced tougher competition, but questions her motivation and slowing speed. He sees Montana as never assertive enough, so he expects Lee to win a split decision.
Jacob leans Andrea Lee, but with low confidence. He notes that both fighters are better than their records suggest. He worries that if Montana commits to wrestling, Andrea could be on her back for 15 minutes. However, he thinks Andrea is the better striker and can defend takedowns with footwork. He expects a close fight and goes with Andrea, but is not confident.
Lee is a skilled striker with an active Jiu-Jitsu game, while De La Rosa relies on grappling but lacks striking. Lee should land strikes and stuff takedowns, and may even catch a submission off her back. However, Lee can be flaky if she gets demoralized. Leaning Lee by submission, but passing on betting due to line movement.
Paul picks Lee, noting that De La Rosa has not been dominant with her grappling recently. Lee has better striking and takedown defense. Paul expects Lee to win on volume and outpoint De La Rosa over three rounds.
The Guru picks Andrea Lee because she does damage well and is a more physical specimen with less wasted weight. He thinks her age (35) and lack of children give her anger and aggression, especially in the third round. He notes Montana De La Rosa has a decent grappling game but Lee did better on the feet against Macy Barber. He expects Lee to do better on the feet and win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 67 of 204 | 32% | 70 of 209 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 65 of 135 | 48% | 66 of 136 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 19 of 55 | 34% | 20 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 21 of 63 | 33% | 23 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 27 of 86 | 31% | 27 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 27 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 67 of 204 | 32% | 41 of 172 | 13 of 16 | 13 of 16 | 59 of 184 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 65 of 135 | 48% | 55 of 122 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 58 of 124 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 19 of 55 | 34% | 14 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 49 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 19 of 35 | 54% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 16 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 21 of 63 | 33% | 10 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 56 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 20 of 44 | 45% | 15 of 38 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 27 of 86 | 31% | 17 of 75 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 23 of 79 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 26 of 56 | 46% | 22 of 51 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Montana De La Rosa because she is a very good wrestler with a straightforward game plan of taking opponents down. He notes that JJ Aldrich is decent at everything but great at nothing, and that Aldrich was taken down in her last fight. He also mentions that Montana's losses are to quality fighters like Tatiana Suarez, while Aldrich has had poor performances. He placed a half-unit bet on Montana at +135, noting the line has since moved.
Big Brady leans toward Montana De La Rosa, noting that she has a grappling advantage over JJ Aldrich. He believes De La Rosa's wrestling is solid for the division and that she can control the fight on the ground. He mentions that Aldrich has been taken down by lesser grapplers like Liang Na, so De La Rosa should be able to secure takedowns. However, he admits the fight could be close if De La Rosa cannot get the takedown, and he preferred her at plus money. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks De La Rosa, citing her toughness, wrestling, and ability to pressure. He notes that Aldrich has struggled against grapplers and that De La Rosa's tenacity will be key. He expects De La Rosa to make the fight dirty and win a decision.
Daniel Levi picks Montana De La Rosa, noting her toughness and improved hands. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich is the cleaner striker but thinks Montana can bully her and take her back. He mentions that the value has shifted to Aldrich now that Montana is favored, but his pure pick is Montana.
Lucrative James sees this as a close fight, likely 29-28 either way. He leans Montana De La Rosa because he has seen JJ Aldrich 'flake' a few times against physical opponents like Erin Blanchfield and Bara. He believes De La Rosa's physicality can cause Aldrich to falter, though he acknowledges it's a toss-up.
Aldrich took this fight on short notice, which suggests she believes she has an edge from training with De La Rosa in the past. She has good takedown defense and superior striking, and should be able to stuff takedowns or work back to her feet. De La Rosa is on a two-fight losing streak and relies on wrestling, but Aldrich has shown she can handle grapplers. Expect Aldrich to land more damage and win by decision.
Paul picks De La Rosa, agreeing with the line movement. He notes that Aldrich has been taken down and controlled by wrestlers, and that De La Rosa's wrestling and heart should be enough. He expects a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Montana De La Rosa over JJ Aldridge. He believes De La Rosa is underrated and notes her decent performance against Macy Barber and competitive rounds with Tatiana Suarez. He points to a common opponent, Ariane Lipski, who finished De La Rosa but later beat Aldridge, suggesting De La Rosa is stronger. He also mentions a slight reach advantage for De La Rosa and describes Aldridge as 'two hit and miss.'
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 37 of 43 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 5:45 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 36 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 7 of 8 | 87% | 26 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 28 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 11 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Suarez | 10 of 13 | 76% | 0 of 1 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 5 of 11 | 45% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatiana Suarez | 7 of 8 | 87% | 0 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tatiana Suarez | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Suarez because De La Rosa will let her wrestle. He notes that De La Rosa is a competitive fighter but lacks strategy, and if Suarez is the same fighter, she will do Tatiana Suarez things for as long as she is able. Connor also mentions that De La Rosa's tight pocket boxing style gives opportunities for opponents to get in on her hips, which Suarez can exploit.
Zane picks Suarez, assuming she will look like her old self and dominate with wrestling. He notes that De La Rosa is a classic test fighter who will accept whatever fight her opponent wants, and if Suarez can bring physical dominance, she will win. However, he acknowledges major X-factors: Suarez hasn't fought in almost four years, has neck and knee injuries that could affect her wrestling, and her striking is poor. Still, he believes she will get the takedowns she wants.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 50 of 63 | 79% | 80 of 101 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 7:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 41 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 5:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 25 of 31 | 80% | 34 of 43 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:06 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:22 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 18 of 23 | 78% | 32 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 50 of 63 | 79% | 31 of 42 | 16 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 8 | 40 of 47 | 6 of 8 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 14 of 28 | 50% | 7 of 19 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 25 of 31 | 80% | 14 of 20 | 8 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 23 of 27 | 1 of 1 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 7 of 9 | 77% | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 18 of 23 | 78% | 11 of 15 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 18 | 0 of 1 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 9 of 13 | 69% | 6 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maycee Barber but with zero bet, calling it a tough fight with many unknowns. He notes Barber has good striking and improved wrestling, but can break mentally. He says Montana is a pure wrestler who has improved her hands at Elevation. He is normally a sucker for wrestlers but is worried. He says his gut wants to pick Montana, but for now he goes with Barber to defend takedowns and win striking.
Big Brady picks Montana De La Rosa to win by decision, citing her grappling advantage and Barber's recent poor striking performances. He notes Barber has looked bad in recent fights, with low striking accuracy and a tendency to punch air. He thinks De La Rosa can mix in takedowns and control the fight. However, he has low confidence and says he will have zero dollars on the fight.
Cody likes Barber at -190, noting her physical strength and improvement. He acknowledges she's a slow starter but believes she can overpower De La Rosa. He points out De La Rosa's poor striking defense and tendency to get hit. He warns it could be a trap line but picks Barber.
The host picks Maycee Barber as his biggest bet of the night at 2 units (-181). He believes Barber is a better striker with better footwork and will be able to get up from takedowns and dish out damage on the feet. He is confident in this pick, calling it his most confident play.
Paul is not playing Barber at -190, calling it a dogger pass situation. He thinks Barber rarely shows up and that De La Rosa could control on the mat. He plans to stay away from a betting perspective unless weigh-ins change his mind.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 29 of 55 | 52% | 66 of 113 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 6:52 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 37 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 4 of 23 | 17% | 22 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 24 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 25 of 32 | 78% | 44 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 13 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana De La Rosa | 29 of 55 | 52% | 28 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 33 |
| Ariane da Silva | 11 of 24 | 45% | 5 of 15 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana De La Rosa | 4 of 23 | 17% | 3 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Ariane da Silva | 7 of 20 | 35% | 2 of 12 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Montana De La Rosa | 25 of 32 | 78% | 25 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 31 |
| Ariane da Silva | 4 of 4 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is confident in De La Rosa, citing her wrestling background and BJJ black belt. He notes Lipski has poor takedown defense (45%) and was dominated on the mat by Antonina Shevchenko, a striker. He believes De La Rosa will take Lipski down at will and submit her, as 75% of her wins are by submission. He is surprised by public betting favoring Lipski.
Cody picks De La Rosa, agreeing with Paul. He notes Lipski's takedown defense issues and that De La Rosa has been scoring takedowns in recent fights. Cody thinks De La Rosa's wrestling will be the difference. He is confident but notes the price is steep.
Daniel picks Montana De La Rosa due to her massive edge on the ground, noting that Lipski has a huge hole in her ground game and lacks toughness. He acknowledges that Montana's stand-up is not impressive and she often hangs on for dear life, but believes she will get on top, take the back, and ground-and-pound for a finish. Daniel is uncomfortable with the -300 price but still picks Montana to win via submission or TKO on the mat.
De La Rosa has superior wrestling and takedown defense. Lipski has poor takedown defense and is a fish out of water on the ground. De La Rosa will grind out a decision or possibly get a late finish.
Paul picks De La Rosa, citing her wrestling base and takedown ability. He notes Lipski's poor takedown defense and that De La Rosa has been improving. Paul thinks De La Rosa can get the fight to the ground and control it. He acknowledges the price is high but sees a clear path to victory.
The Guru picks Montana De La Rosa, citing her size, youth, and experience against better competition. He thinks she has more options than Ariane Lipski, with good cardio, grappling, and stand-up. He expects a close fight but believes De La Rosa will win a 29-28 decision by grinding against the cage and landing total strikes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 30 of 72 | 41% | 107 of 156 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 9:12 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 52 of 80 | 65% | 111 of 142 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 27 of 50 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:07 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 44 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 45 of 61 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 16 of 26 | 61% | 18 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 3 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 35 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 49 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 30 of 72 | 41% | 19 of 56 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 63 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 52 of 80 | 65% | 28 of 53 | 22 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 20 of 40 | 29 of 36 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 9 of 32 | 28% | 6 of 26 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 17 of 28 | 60% | 6 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 13 | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 11 of 24 | 45% | 7 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 16 of 26 | 61% | 10 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 4 | |
| 3 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 10 of 16 | 62% | 6 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 19 of 26 | 73% | 12 of 18 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 11 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The last women’s match of the night comes in the featured fight slot, as two submission specialist flyweights tangle. De La Rosa (11-6, 4-3 UFC) and Bueno Silva (7-1, 2-1 UFC) will undoubtedly look to tap out the other, who combine for 13 subs in their 18 wins, all under the watchful eye of referee Jerin Valel. A touch of gloves shows a sign of respect before the showcase begins. De La Rosa reaches out a jab and gets kicked in the calf, a theme for the evening. The American lets loose a one-two, and she follows with another and lands at the end of a right hand. Silva tries to clinch up, and De La Rosa pushes her off only to get kicked in the face. The clinch ensues again, where De La Rosa attacks a single and has her neck snagged from a defensive guillotine choke. De La Rosa transitions to a double and scores the takedown, but Silva walks her way back up with ease while De La Rosa takes her back. De La Rosa looks to trip her foe down but she cannot land it, and turns it into a single only to find herself in a choke attempt. Silva grabs the fence to stop a takedown, and Valel takes a point as Silva apologizes. Right after they touch gloves, De La Rosa shoots for a takedown in the open cage, and Silva stands her up and knees her foe in the chest several times. De La Rosa kicks the chest a few times, and then fires off a pair of crescent kicks that clip off Silva’s chin. The Brazilian eats a fierce one-two, and she marches into a clinch only to wind up defending a takedown attempt. Silva protects herself with several vicious elbows and knees, and De La Rosa is forced to back away. The American sticks out a jab, and she ducks down to take the fight down. Silva nearly grabs the fence again to stay upright, and De La Rosa looks to Valel. When there is nothing done about it, De La Rosa continues her grind against the cage. Silva turns her about but gets trapped against the fence again until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 De La Rosa
Ben Duffy scores the round: 9-9
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 De La Rosa
Round 2
The two women touch gloves, and De La Rosa reaches out with a pair of punches that land. Silva cracks De La Rosa with a head kick, and the American gathers her thoughts and tries to clinch up as Silva lands again. When Silva presses the pace, De La Rosa sells out for a takedown, only to fall to her back with butterfly hooks. Silva stands up to land a couple right hands, and De La Rosa boots her in the face with an upkick. De La Rosa threatens off her back with a triangle choke setup, but the Brazilian stands up to deliver some long punches to De La Rosa’s face. When Silva stands up, De La Rosa chops at her leg with low kicks on her side until Silva lets her back up. De La Rosa scores a side kick to the face, and she tries to counter an advancing Silva with a left hand. De La Rosa lets fly a head kick, and Silva blocks it but eats a left hand that follows. Silva replies with her own head kick, forcing De La Rosa to shoot in from a distance for a takedown. She gets stuffed, and Silva makes her pay with punches and knees. The clinch that comes from it leads to several nasty knees and elbows from Silva, and De La Rosa redoubles her effort to take the fight down. De La Rosa scoops up the leg and puts Silva on her back, where she takes the Brazilian’s back in a scramble. Silva twists and turns to get flat on her back, and De La Rosa takes full mount as she lands strikes from on top. De La Rosa uses arm-triangle choke control to keep her foe down, leading Silva to roll to her side and get hit in the side of the head. De La Rosa lines up the arm-triangle choke, and Silva has her arm trapped and is absorbing punishment. De La Rosa sets up the arm-triangle choke again, only to bail on it to land punches in mount to conclude the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 De La Rosa
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 De La Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 De La Rosa
Round 3
There is a final glove touch, and De La Rosa once more lunges to throw the first strike. Silva sits down on a pair of big head kicks, and they snap the head back but do not hurt De La Rosa. When De La Rosa comes too close, they clinch up, and Silva starts up kneeing the body and unleashing heavy elbows on the inside. De La Rosa bullies her foe into the cage wall for a single leg takedown, but the Brazilian stands her up. The American ties up the leg to try to drag Silva down, and Silva counters with a close-range choke attempt that is unsuccessful. Silva uses elbows to open up De La Rosa’s face, but De La Rosa hits a takedown. Silva springs back up to her feet and tees off on De La Rosa with a few strikes as blood flows from De La Rosa’s nose and face. De La Rosa ties up her adversary on the fence, and her face is busted up from the strikes from the Brazilian. Silva backs away around the fencing to knee De La Rosa once more, and De La Rosa changes levels low for an unsuccessful takedown. Silva cracks De La Rosa with a few sharp elbows, and De La Rosa stays tight and working the body with a few punches, De La Rosa grabs a single leg and still gets elbowed in the face. De La Rosa tries to respond with a few short knees, all while keeping Silva’s left leg in the air. Silva gains space and marches down her opponent, but De La Rosa hits a takedown in the center of the cage. De La Rosa sits down in her opponent’s guard, as there are few seconds left in the fight. Silva throws a few elbows off her back, but De La Rosa drops down punches as the clock hits zero. The scorecards could be all over the map from this grueling fight.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-27 De La Rosa)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva (28-28)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-27 De La Rosa)
The Official Result
Montana De La Rosa vs. Mayra Bueno Silva is ruled a Majority Draw (27-28, 28-28, 28-28)
Big Brady picks the underdog Montana De La Rosa to grind out a decision. He notes that Silva is extremely hittable and flat-footed, absorbing 6.74 significant strikes per minute. He believes De La Rosa can take Silva down at will due to Silva's 71% takedown defense and that De La Rosa has multiple paths to victory: outlanding on the feet or using her wrestling. He acknowledges Silva's danger off her back but notes De La Rosa has only been submitted once in 17 fights. He disagrees with the line, thinking De La Rosa has a good chance.
Daniel Levi picks Mayra Bueno Silva, citing her significant power and damaging shots. He acknowledges her takedown defense issues but notes improvement in the Marina Moroz fight. He believes Montana De La Rosa's nose bleeds easily and that Bueno Silva's power will be the difference, potentially leading to a decision win by landing more impactful strikes.
De La Rosa has superior wrestling and should be able to take Bueno Silva down repeatedly. Bueno Silva is dangerous off her back with submissions, but De La Rosa has only been submitted by Mackenzie Dern. De La Rosa's cardio and top control are solid, and she has shown improved striking. Expect a decision win via control and ground and pound.
The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva by submission, specifically an armbar in the first round. He highlights her superior submission skills, noting she has multiple armbar wins and a ninja choke in her career. He believes Montana De La Rosa has shown little improvement and will be outclassed on the ground.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 82 of 140 | 58% | 91 of 150 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 85 of 215 | 39% | 88 of 220 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 23 of 44 | 52% | 26 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 20 of 67 | 29% | 20 of 69 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 36 of 54 | 66% | 37 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 34 of 75 | 45% | 34 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 28 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 31 of 73 | 42% | 34 of 76 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 82 of 140 | 58% | 57 of 113 | 12 of 13 | 13 of 14 | 80 of 137 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 85 of 215 | 39% | 57 of 177 | 12 of 21 | 16 of 17 | 76 of 202 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 23 of 44 | 52% | 13 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 22 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 20 of 67 | 29% | 14 of 61 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 64 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 36 of 54 | 66% | 24 of 41 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 36 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 34 of 75 | 45% | 20 of 57 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 33 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 23 of 42 | 54% | 20 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 31 of 73 | 42% | 23 of 59 | 3 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 65 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Araújo, citing her striking advantage (4.51 sig strikes/min vs 2.3) and 100% takedown defense. He is concerned about her cardio slowing down, which could allow De La Rosa to take over late. He predicts a decision win for Araújo.
Daniel Levi leans with Viviane Araújo, citing her intensity, speed, and power. He notes that Araújo is more well-rounded and hits harder, but has cardio concerns and a chinny history. He believes if Araújo doesn't get choked out or give up her back, she will win. He acknowledges Montana De La Rosa's improvements and grappling, but feels Araújo's early offense will be decisive.
The host likes De La Rosa as a +150 underdog, citing her wrestling base, top pressure, and improving cardio. He questions Araújo's gas tank and ground game, noting she was controlled by Alexis Davis on the ground. He expects De La Rosa to mix in takedowns and win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Viviane Araújo, stating she is somewhat decent and has lost to better competition (Jessica Eye) compared to Montana De La Rosa's losses. He believes Araújo's training camp and overall skills will lead to a third-round finish by submission or TKO. He dismisses De La Rosa's recent win over Mara Romero Borella as not impressive.
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo picks Maycee Barber but with zero bet, calling it a tough fight with many unknowns. He notes Barber has good striking and improved wrestling, but can break mentally. He says Montana is a pure wrestler who has improved her hands at Elevation. He is normally a sucker for wrestlers but is worried. He says his gut wants to pick Montana, but for now he goes with Barber to defend takedowns and win striking.
Big Brady picks Montana De La Rosa to win by decision, citing her grappling advantage and Barber's recent poor striking performances. He notes Barber has looked bad in recent fights, with low striking accuracy and a tendency to punch air. He thinks De La Rosa can mix in takedowns and control the fight. However, he has low confidence and says he will have zero dollars on the fight.
Cody likes Barber at -190, noting her physical strength and improvement. He acknowledges she's a slow starter but believes she can overpower De La Rosa. He points out De La Rosa's poor striking defense and tendency to get hit. He warns it could be a trap line but picks Barber.
The host picks Maycee Barber as his biggest bet of the night at 2 units (-181). He believes Barber is a better striker with better footwork and will be able to get up from takedowns and dish out damage on the feet. He is confident in this pick, calling it his most confident play.
Paul is not playing Barber at -190, calling it a dogger pass situation. He thinks Barber rarely shows up and that De La Rosa could control on the mat. He plans to stay away from a betting perspective unless weigh-ins change his mind.
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