Career Averages - Pannie Kianzad
Career Averages - Lina Länsberg
Pannie Kianzad
Lina Länsberg
Pannie Kianzad - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 117 of 194 | 60% | 140 of 223 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 92 of 182 | 50% | 138 of 229 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karol Rosa | 0 | 42 of 74 | 56% | 42 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 40 of 80 | 50% | 40 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Karol Rosa | 0 | 52 of 84 | 61% | 56 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 43 of 78 | 55% | 44 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Karol Rosa | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 42 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:00 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 54 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Rosa | 117 of 194 | 60% | 70 of 132 | 8 of 9 | 39 of 53 | 100 of 170 | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 92 of 182 | 50% | 56 of 138 | 20 of 27 | 16 of 17 | 82 of 163 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karol Rosa | 42 of 74 | 56% | 21 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 30 | 42 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 40 of 80 | 50% | 18 of 52 | 13 of 18 | 9 of 10 | 39 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karol Rosa | 52 of 84 | 61% | 33 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 20 | 49 of 80 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 43 of 78 | 55% | 33 of 66 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 39 of 70 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Karol Rosa | 23 of 36 | 63% | 16 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 16 | 13 of 19 | 1 of 1 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 9 of 24 | 37% | 5 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 14 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-205), Kianzad (+170)
Round 1
A women’s bantamweight tilt pitting Kianzad (16-8, 5-5 UFC) against Rosa (17-6, 6-3 UFC) closes out the preliminaries and should provide some clarity in terms of mid-card pecking order at 135 pounds. Kianzad enters the Octagon on the heels of back-to-back losses, having fallen back to the .500 mark within the promotion. Beltran administers the law and order. No glove touch. Kianzad jabs to the body. Rosa answers with a leg kick, then another. The impact spins around Kianzad. Another low kick from Rosa, whose game plan comes into view inside the first minute. One-two from Rosa. Inside leg kick from the Brazilian. Kianzad answers with an overhand left, but she eats yet another leg kick. Kianzad doubles up on the jab but misses the target. Rosa cuts loose with a two-punch volley and mixes in an inside leg kick. Jab from Rosa, then a low kick. Kianzad responds with a sharp right hand, followed by a left hook. The Swede now doing all she can to keep her leg out of harm’s way. No luck. Rosa finds the mark with another kick. They exchange in the center. Kianzad fires a three-punch volley, resets and lands a right hand. Leg kick from Rosa. Kianzad goes to throw a kick, loses her balance and hits the deck. Back on the feet, Rosa greets her with a flying knee.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Round 2
This could get ugly if Kianzad does not address the kicks. She doubles up on the left hook. Rosa answers with multiple low kicks, then steps into an elbow. They trade in the center. Rosa continues to damage the legs, then opens a cut on the forehead with another elbow. Blood streams down between Kianzad’s eyes. Rosa backs her up with punches, shields herself from the return fire and gets her hands in gear again. Kianzad welcomes her into the clinch with a knee to the ribs. Rosa responds with short-range elbow. Kianzad’s lead leg has swelled to twice its normal size. Rosa lands a short left hook. Jab from Rosa, then a leg kick. Kianzad hops in visible distress. Less than a minute to go. Nice one-two from Kianzad. Rosa answers with a jab and follows it with a leg kick. Kianzad is going to have a hard time going to sleep. Rosa jabs at the end of the middle stanza and closes with a kick.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Round 3
They clinch to start the third round. Rosa controls the position and mixes in a few elbows before they separate. Rosa with a one-two. A significant hematoma now developing outside of Kianzad’s right eye. Rosa executes a takedown, likely surprising the Swede. Kianzad scores with short punches and elbows from the bottom. Blood becoming more of an issue for the former Cage Warriors champion. Kianzad gets to a knee, builds a base and gets back to her feet. Halfway home in Round 3. Rosa presses her into the fence and creates enough space to rip some elbows upstairs. Punches follow. Somebody get Kianzad some ice. Rosa continues to crowd her along the cage, bleeding time off the clock. She alternates between clinching and punching. Stellar performance from the Brazilian. They trade knees as the fight ends.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Pannie Kianzad—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Karol Rosa due to her insane volume (204 significant strikes in a three-round fight), pressure, and grit. He notes that Pannie is a more technical boxer but will struggle if she's on her back foot against Rosa's volume. He also mentions Rosa has solid takedown offense and defense.
Cody also picks Kianzad, calling Rosa's style frustrating and noting she doesn't use her BJJ or adjust game plans. He believes Kianzad lands better shots and has a plus number, making her the play. He mentions both have been knocked down by Lena Lansburg, which is a useless but funny stat.
Rosa is the better overall fighter with a more well-rounded game, but her lack of urgency in past fights is a concern. She can win by mixing in grappling behind her striking, but the fight likely goes to a split decision. The line is a bit high; waiting for a better price around -130 to -140 is advised.
Paul picks Kianzad at plus 180, viewing the fight as a coin flip striking affair. He criticizes Rosa's lack of fight IQ, poor takedown defense, and inability to adjust. He notes Kianzad has better striking volume and can land the better shots.
The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa, stating she is more committed to the game and younger than Pannie Kianzad. He does not provide extensive technical analysis but expresses confidence in her dedication and age advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macy Chiasson | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 29 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 5 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macy Chiasson | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 29 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 5 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macy Chiasson | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macy Chiasson | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo acknowledges Kianzad has a big striking advantage with her boxing, but she was unable to get up off the bottom in her last fight against Ketlen Vieira. Chiasson has added grappling to her game, taking down Norma Dumont six times and Irene Aldana three times. He thinks Chiasson will get takedowns and hold Kianzad down. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Kianzad as she might win a round on the feet.
Big Brady picks Macy Chiasson to win by decision. He expects Chiasson's size and physicality to be too much for Kianzad, allowing her to control the fight against the cage and on the mat. He references Kianzad's recent loss to Vieira as a blueprint.
Cody leans toward Macy Chiasson, citing her size, physicality, and grappling advantage. He notes she has choked Kianzad out before and is the better grappler. However, he is wary of the minus 240 line due to Chiasson's weight cut struggles and long layoff. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins before betting.
Lucrative James picks Macy Chiasson to win, likely by submission or ground-and-pound TKO. He notes that Chiasson is physically stronger, has better grappling, and finished Kianzad before on The Ultimate Fighter. He also questions whether Kianzad has lost a step and mentions Chiasson's recent performances against tough opponents. He expresses concern about Chiasson's weight cut but still expects her to win.
The host acknowledges Kianzad's striking advantage but believes she will be frustrated by Chiasson's grapple-heavy approach. He notes Chiasson's ability to bully opponents in the clinch and get fights to the ground easily, where she can rough up Kianzad from top position for the majority of the fight and win by decision.
Paul passes on betting this fight, noting Chiasson's weight cut issues and unimpressive recent performances. He mentions the bizarre liver kick loss to Aldana and questions her durability. He does not pick a winner and says it's a pass from a betting perspective.
The Guru picks Macy Chiasson, citing her physicality, power, and improved kicks. He notes she outmuscled Kianzad in their first fight and choked her out. He believes Chiasson has more options in the clinch and at range, and that Kianzad is purely a boxer with a reach disadvantage. He expects Chiasson to win by decision, possibly 30-27 or 29-28.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 65 of 103 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 10:49 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 92 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 23 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:53 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 25 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 4:18 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 15 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 17 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:38 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 70 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 15 of 33 | 45% | 13 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 22 of 51 | 43% | 17 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 5 of 15 | 33% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 4 of 16 | 25% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ketlen Vieira | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 14 of 26 | 53% | 12 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 21 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vieira (-150), Kianzad (+130)
Round 1
The fight with arguably the greatest title implications tonight is buried in the middle of the prelims, as the women’s bantamweight division is still championless and the perceived “uncrowned queen” of Holly Holm was knocked down a peg last week. Both women on the outside of the UFC’s top five looking in, Vieira (13-3, 7-3 UFC) and Kianzad (16-6, 5-3 UFC) will engage in a crucial contest at 135 pounds. With neither woman sporting a stoppage rate over 50%, referee Jason Herzog could be in it for the long haul here. Vieira offers a glove touch, but Kianzad wants nothing to do with it. Instead, Kianzad races forward pushing out straight punches down the middle. Vieira dodges back and reaches out with a heavy right hand, and Kianzad is out of the way in time. Vieira sticks out a jab, and Kianzad catches her with a left hand and a right over the top. Kianzad pokes out a jab, and she follows with a left hook that bounces off the guard. Vieira shoots in for a low single-leg takedown, and she lifts Kianzad’s leg up and throws her down to land right in side control. Kianzad recovers to half guard when Vieira sets up an arm-triangle choke, and the Brazilian still has her left arm hooked around the head of her opponent. Vieira looks to isolate Kianzad’s left arm for a potential armlock, and Kianzad turns to her side to stop it from coming together. Vieira powers her back over with shoulder pressure, smothering “Banzai” and returning her flat to her back. Kianzad gets back to a guard and she sets up butterfly hooks to push off, and this allows Vieira to punch her square in the face. Kianzad responds with a few strikes off her back, but the ones she absorbs from “Fenomeno” are far heavier. Kianzad looks to push off the midsection, but Vieira stays heavy as a ton of bricks and steps into the half guard. Vieira controls her adversary and presses her shoulder into Kianzad’s face and neck, and frustrating the Swede. Vieira grabs hold of the left arm and isolates it to grip for a kimura, and Kianzad protects herself by putting it under her back. As Vieira shifts to north-south position, the bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle of the cage, and Kianzad leads off with a looping left hook. Vieira blocks it and replies in kind, and the strike from the Brazilian glances off the raised guard. When Kianzad kicks low, Vieira gives her three punches over the top. Kianzad steps in to punch, and Vieira snatches up the lead leg and easily throws Kianzad to the canvas. Vieira goes right to half guard, and a desperate Kianzad is able to pull her into her guard and closes it up. Kianzad times a moment in transition to push her foot off Vieira’s body, but Vieira is able to casually shift back over the half guard. Vieira starts hunting for a kimura, and Kianzad defends it but starts taking heavy body shots. Vieira gloms onto her, and she hops into full mount and quickly locks down an arm-triangle choke. Vieira squeezes with her full body weight, and Kianzad defends it with her left arm between the grip of her opponent and her own neck. Kianzad turns the proper way to protect her neck, and Vieira abandons the submission. Kianzad explodes to her side, and she attempts to turn over and get to her knees so she can get back up. Vieira bowls her over and puts her on her back again. With 30 seconds remaining, Vieira tries to lock down an arm-triangle choke on the other side, but Kianzad is wise to it and is not in submission danger. The round ends with Vieira on top.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Round 3
A fire seemingly lit under her backside, Kianzad springs right into action, rushing at Vieira with punches in bunches. When Kianzad overextends on a left hook, Vieira smartly changes levels, coming up with a clean double-leg takedown to put Kianzad on her back 15 seconds into the final frame. Kianzad does everything she can to scoot her way to the wall, and this gives up her back in the process. Vieira leans with her back against the fencing, holding onto Kianzad from behind and sliding her hooks in. The leverage for any submission is not there, until she turns to lower herself to the floor. Vieira sets up a rear-naked choke, and Kianzad hand-fights to save herself from getting tapped. When Kianzad thwarts the choke, Vieira locks up a body triangle to further make Kianzad’s life miserable. Kianzad is able to defend from the choke setups, and she grits her teeth and spins around to secure top position with about two minutes left in the fight. Kianzad opens up with punches when she winds up on top, and Vieira clings to her to shut down the offense. Kianzad frees herself and stands up, and she jumps down to nail Vieira with a diving right hand. As Kianzad does damage from the guard, the commentary team starts discussing people walking their cats in strollers. All the while, Kianzad is doing anything she can to hunt for a finish, flailing with punches and hammerfists. Vieira pushes off with the ball of her foot, and she smacks Kianzad in the face with one illegally. Herzog checks on Kianzad, who says she is fine and wants to keep going. Kianzad rains down punches to any target, marking up Vieira’s right eye, and swinging frantically. Vieira throws her legs up high for a triangle choke, and she simultaneously grips an armbar, and the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Pannie Kianzad via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo favors Pannie Kianzad's footwork, speed, athleticism, and jab over Ketlen Vieira's size and strength. He notes Vieira's recent performances have been spotty and that her lack of speed could be exploited. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds and a plus 3.5 betting line on Kianzad.
Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad by decision, but says he doesn't care about the fight and won't bet it. He likes Kianzad's volume striking and believes she can keep the fight standing with 80% takedown defense. He notes Vieira lands harder shots but Kianzad will outwork her. He is concerned if Vieira gets takedowns.
Cody picks Vieira, noting her superior competition and grappling advantage. He thinks she will use clinch and takedowns to control Kianzad. He acknowledges it could be a close decision but sees value at -140.
Daniel slightly leans toward Ketlen Vieira, noting she has historically been on a higher level and is stronger in the clinch with better top control. However, he thinks she hasn't looked the same since her injury and surgery after the Zingano fight. He acknowledges Pannie Kianzad has better hands and durability, and expects a closely contested fight that could go either way. He is not surprised if Kianzad wins a split decision.
The host picks Ketlen Vieira, believing her damaging strikes will outweigh Kianzad's volume. He notes Vieira's power and ability to hurt opponents, while Kianzad struggles against higher competition and takes damage poorly. He expects Vieira to storm back and win by decision.
Paul picks Vieira, citing her size, strength, and grappling. He notes Kianzad struggles in the clinch and has been knocked down. He thinks Vieira's boxing improvements will help, but expects a close decision.
The MMA Guru leans towards Ketlen Vieira, calling it a coin flip but favoring her based on level of competition. He notes that Amanda Nunes' retirement may motivate contenders. He dismisses Pannie Kianzad's win over Lina Länsberg and criticizes her performance against Alexis Davis. The Guru believes Vieira's size, strength, and reach advantage will lead to a 29-28 split decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 1 | 39 of 88 | 44% | 64 of 113 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 78 of 160 | 48% | 109 of 210 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 20 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 1 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 38 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 22 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 51 of 103 | 49% | 51 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 39 of 88 | 44% | 30 of 75 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 31 of 78 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 78 of 160 | 48% | 59 of 140 | 16 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 59 of 137 | 19 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 5 of 12 | 41% | 2 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 15 of 30 | 50% | 10 of 23 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 22 of 45 | 48% | 15 of 37 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 31 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 21 of 52 | 40% | 18 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 51 of 103 | 49% | 42 of 94 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 46 of 97 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad, though he is surprised she is such a heavy favorite. He notes that Lina Länsberg is a world champion Muay Thai fighter with excellent clinch work, but Kianzad is a very good boxer with good footwork and high-volume striking. He believes Kianzad can stick and move for 15 minutes to avoid the clinch and win a decision.
Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad to win by decision. He notes Kianzad is the better striker, younger (30 vs 40), and improving her takedown defense and ground game. He criticizes Länsberg's low volume and 44% striking defense, and notes she hasn't fought in almost two years. He expects Kianzad to stuff takedowns and outpoint Länsberg on the feet.
Cody picks Kianzad, emphasizing her striking volume and Länsberg's decline. He notes Kianzad's recent performances and thinks she will outwork Länsberg. He calls it a 'passing of the torch' spot.
Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad confidently, noting she beat Länsberg 10 years ago when both were in different stages of their careers. Länsberg is now nearly 40 and coming off having a baby, while Kianzad is entering her prime. Levi expects Kianzad to out-tough Länsberg with volume and win a decision.
Paul picks Kianzad, citing her volume and improvement. He notes Länsberg's age (40) and layoff, and thinks Kianzad will dominate on the feet. He mentions he already bet her as part of a parlay.
The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her technical striking and youth (10 years younger). He notes Lina Länsberg lacks great wins and that Kianzad's close loss to Raquel Pennington is better than anything Länsberg has done. He expects a 29-28 or 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 50 of 98 | 51% | 85 of 144 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:34 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 48 of 79 | 60% | 98 of 144 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raquel Pennington | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 21 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 25 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 2 | Raquel Pennington | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 21 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 34 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 | |
| 3 | Raquel Pennington | 0 | 28 of 62 | 45% | 43 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 39 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raquel Pennington | 50 of 98 | 51% | 26 of 68 | 20 of 25 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 50 | 37 of 48 | 0 of 0 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 48 of 79 | 60% | 26 of 56 | 17 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 49 | 23 of 28 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raquel Pennington | 12 of 19 | 63% | 3 of 7 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 3 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 8 of 12 | 66% | 3 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Raquel Pennington | 10 of 17 | 58% | 7 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 12 of 18 | 66% | 7 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Raquel Pennington | 28 of 62 | 45% | 16 of 47 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 37 | 19 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Pannie Kianzad | 28 of 49 | 57% | 16 of 36 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 33 | 13 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Raquel Pennington because she will march forward, hold Pannie against the cage, and neutralize her boxing. He notes that Pennington's losses are to current/former champions and that she is a boring but effective grappler. He likes the -132 odds and thinks they will move. He is confident Pennington stifles Pannie's combinations.
Big Brady picks Raquel Pennington, citing her superior level of competition and ability to grind against the cage. He notes Kianzad was outstruck by Alexis Davis and has shown vulnerability to wrestling. He predicts a decision win for Pennington, though he wishes the price were better and likely won't bet it.
Cody picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her better striking and improved takedown defense. He notes that Pennington is a grinder but has looked mentally off in recent fights. Cody believes Kianzad can keep the fight at range and outwork Pennington.
Daniel Levi leans with Raquel Pennington. He calls Kianzad an overachiever and thinks Pennington's record is misleading because she has fought the best. He sees similar boxing-centric styles but gives the edge to Pennington, expecting a close decision. He notes he usually likes to dog close decisions but here he leans with Pennington.
Preet picks Pennington because she is good at everything and has better cardio and forward pressure. He thinks Kianzad is a better technical striker but Pennington will nullify her with clinch work and takedowns. He expects a decision and likes the fight goes to decision at +125.
Paul agrees with taking Kianzad at plus money, noting that Pennington's style could lead to a close decision. He thinks Kianzad's volume and range striking give her an edge, but acknowledges the smaller cage may favor Pennington's grinding.
The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad over Raquel Pennington, praising Kianzad's fundamentals, dirty boxing, and recent form. He questions Pennington's motivation and activity, predicting a 30-27 unanimous decision for Kianzad.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 124 of 249 | 49% | 124 of 249 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 132 of 251 | 52% | 147 of 268 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 49 of 82 | 59% | 49 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 42 of 84 | 50% | 50 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 37 of 83 | 44% | 37 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 44 of 82 | 53% | 50 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 38 of 84 | 45% | 38 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 46 of 85 | 54% | 47 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 124 of 249 | 49% | 99 of 210 | 24 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 122 of 246 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 132 of 251 | 52% | 95 of 211 | 12 of 15 | 25 of 25 | 125 of 239 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 49 of 82 | 59% | 38 of 66 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 47 of 80 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 42 of 84 | 50% | 30 of 71 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 10 | 41 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 37 of 83 | 44% | 29 of 69 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 44 of 82 | 53% | 32 of 69 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 8 | 40 of 75 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 3 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 38 of 84 | 45% | 32 of 75 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 38 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 46 of 85 | 54% | 33 of 71 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 44 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Alexis Davis as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and top control can be the difference. He notes Davis has faced tougher competition and has a black belt, but she needs to consistently go for takedowns. He is concerned about Kianzad's recent winning streak but sees value in Davis if she implements a wrestling-heavy game plan.
Cody slightly favors Kianzad, citing her jab and takedown defense. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and outbox Davis. He notes Davis's toughness and BJJ but believes Kianzad's striking will be the difference. He is not betting it.
Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad, noting her improved takedown defense and boxing volume. He respects Alexis Davis as a vet but thinks Kianzad's size and striking will be too much. He expects Kianzad to keep the fight standing and out-volume Davis, leading to a clear decision win.
Kianzad has superior striking and can use her jab to stay on the outside, while Davis is slower and relies on grappling. Kianzad showed she can survive takedowns and come back in later rounds, as seen in her last fight. However, Davis is durable and could grind out a win if she gets takedowns. Kianzad likely wins a decision if she fights disciplined.
Paul passes on this fight. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance, but the line doesn't offer value. He notes Davis's grappling threat but is not confident enough to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her superior striking, underrated takedown defense (85% defense rate), and youth. He believes she can replicate Sabina Mazo's success on the feet against Alexis Davis and avoid takedowns. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 49 of 104 | 47% | 70 of 131 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:33 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 92 of 143 | 64% | 132 of 187 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 20 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:23 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 14 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 28 of 40 | 70% | 56 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 34 of 77 | 44% | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 61 of 94 | 64% | 67 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 49 of 104 | 47% | 43 of 94 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 38 of 90 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 7 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 92 of 143 | 64% | 57 of 105 | 22 of 25 | 13 of 13 | 65 of 114 | 26 of 28 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 7 of 12 | 58% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 8 of 15 | 53% | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 28 of 40 | 70% | 16 of 26 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 18 | 20 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 34 of 77 | 44% | 30 of 69 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 33 of 73 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 61 of 94 | 64% | 38 of 70 | 11 of 12 | 12 of 12 | 55 of 88 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad as an underdog, noting that Eubanks has a 7-4 record and her recent fights have all gone to decision. He believes Kianzad can sneak out a win in a decision.
Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad as a slight underdog, expecting her to stuff most takedowns and win rounds two and three with volume. He notes Eubanks' poor gas tank and Kianzad's 92% takedown defense in the UFC. However, he is not overly confident because if Kianzad gets taken down, she could be in trouble on the ground.
The host picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her striking advantage and ability to keep the fight on the feet. He is concerned about Eubanks' grappling but believes Kianzad's kicks and distance management will earn her a decision. He is not highly confident.
The Guru picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant, calling it a very close fight. He believes Eubanks is the bigger fighter with reach advantage and has faced better competition. He notes that both have similar wins and losses, but Eubanks' scrappiness and durability give her the edge. He predicts a split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 56 of 143 | 39% | 83 of 178 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Bethe Correia | 0 | 103 of 199 | 51% | 106 of 205 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Bethe Correia | 0 | 30 of 68 | 44% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 43 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Bethe Correia | 0 | 25 of 48 | 52% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 21 of 50 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Bethe Correia | 0 | 48 of 83 | 57% | 48 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 56 of 143 | 39% | 40 of 117 | 14 of 20 | 2 of 6 | 46 of 126 | 9 of 15 | 1 of 2 |
| Bethe Correia | 103 of 199 | 51% | 76 of 168 | 10 of 14 | 17 of 17 | 97 of 191 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 18 of 47 | 38% | 14 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 40 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Bethe Correia | 30 of 68 | 44% | 22 of 56 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 63 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 22 of 51 | 43% | 11 of 36 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 41 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 |
| Bethe Correia | 25 of 48 | 52% | 17 of 40 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 16 of 45 | 35% | 15 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bethe Correia | 48 of 83 | 57% | 37 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 48 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Kianzad because she is faster and has a striking advantage. He notes Correia has fought better competition but is stiff and slow. He expects a close split decision and says he probably won't bet it.
Daniel picks Correia, citing her experience, toughness, and power. He thinks Kianzad may start well but fade, and Correia can win the later rounds. He notes Correia has fought the best and been competitive, while Kianzad's level of competition is lower. He expects a close decision.
Kianzad is the longer, more polished striker and can mix in takedowns. Correia is flawed technically and has lost to higher-level competition. Kianzad should outpoint Correia over three rounds, though the line offers little value at -155.
The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad based on physical attributes like size and reach, and her recent clear win over Jessica-Rose Clark. He acknowledges both fighters have questionable losses but believes Kianzad's experience and physical advantages will lead to a unanimous decision victory. He is not highly confident, calling it a lean.
Lina Länsberg - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 40 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:21 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 39 of 69 | 56% | 58 of 90 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 5:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 27 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 24 of 47 | 51% | 31 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 | |
| 2 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:11 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 27 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 25 of 50 | 50% | 16 of 41 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 43 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 39 of 69 | 56% | 13 of 38 | 17 of 20 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 47 | 11 of 13 | 7 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 17 of 36 | 47% | 10 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 31 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 24 of 47 | 51% | 3 of 21 | 14 of 17 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 36 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | Mayra Bueno Silva | 8 of 14 | 57% | 6 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 15 of 22 | 68% | 10 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 7 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-435), Lansberg (+350)
Round 1
The only fighters tonight holding a ranked spot on the roster are the four women competing. Before the big-time main event, two bantamweights on the outer edge of the top 15 will look to maintain or improve that number. Lansberg (10-7, 4-6 UFC), at the age of 40 and on a three-fight skid dating back to 2020, has her back against the wall. Meanwhile, Silva (9-2-1, 4-2-1 UFC) has gotten her hand raised both times in 2022 with plenty of momentum on her side, and a potential passing of the torch moment might be coming soon. The ladies will be joined by referee Jacob Montalvo, who clocks them in right before they bump fists. Lansberg reaches her hands out to hand-fight, and Silva leads off with a low kick. Lansberg, with her fingers outstretched, jab straight into the Brazilian’s right eye, and we have a pause about 15 seconds into the match. Silva blinks it out and is good to go before long, and they resume. Lansberg scores a jab, and Silva flails back with punches and spins with a back kick to the liver. Lansberg wears it well but is backed against the cage, and Silva is on top of her landing strikes to the head and body before disengaging. They go back to hand-fighting before Silva plods forward with two body kicks. Lansberg looks to get off a standing elbow up close, but Silva stops it and kicks her in the calf and then ribs. A punch from Silva forces Lansberg to ricochet off the fencing, and they clinch up to allow Lansberg to rip an elbow over the top. Silva breaks off and lets fly with a barrage of leg kicks and follow-up shins to the liver area. Silva stabs her toes to the body with a subsequent kick, and Lansberg takes it flush and walks her down to clinch up and strike up close. Silva is the one that gets off elbows on the inside, and not “Elbow Queen,” as she mixes in knees before they separate. Lansberg looks to search for the clinch again, and she scores a few knees and uppercuts before Silva unloads with a knee to the body to get her to break up. Silva spins with another back kick to the body, and Lansberg ties her up and knees the ribs. Silva spins her around up against the wire, and they trade knees one after the other. Silva changes levels in search of a single-leg takedown, and the Swede sprawls and gets her legs tripped up briefly. Silva muscles Lansberg down to the mat, dropping the 40-year-old right on her face. Silva moves to half guard as Lansberg winds up on her back, and she slashes down with a quick elbow. Silva fights off a sweep attempt and hacks down with another elbow before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
The second round begins with a sharp striking exchange, with Lansberg pushing the pace early and winging elbows when clinching up. Silva pushes her away and pounds the calf with kicks, marking up an already welted lead wheel for the Swede. As Lansberg recklessly pushes forward to initiate some sort of offense, Silva uses her foe’s momentum against her and trips her to the ground. The Brazilian hits the mat in half guard from above, and she uses her shoulder to press down on Lansberg’s chin. Silva slowly works her way to attempt a guard pass, preferring position over submission or damage. Lansberg protects her mug from any ground strikes, but she is being wholly controlled on bottom. Silva shifts to three-quarter mount and happily takes the back when Lansberg scrambles, sliding both hooks in instinctively. Lansberg hand-fights to protect her neck from a submission, and Silva drops down a pair of elbows to the side of the head. Silva softens Lansberg up with strikes, and she pulls back to resume the back control with her hooks in. The Brazilian cinches up a body triangle, and Lansberg keeps a tight grip on Silva’s left arm beneath her armpit. Silva elbows her foe repeatedly until she forces a scramble, and Lansberg scrambles to get out of an armbar setup that develops in a hurry. Lansberg keeps moving and stands up, but instead of forcing Silva to stand back up, she decides to dive back in the fire and claim top position.
“Sheetara” welcomes this, as she finds that Lansberg landed on the mat in such a position that she can grab hold of the foot and torque it to straight the leg out. Silva locks up a kneebar, and before it hyperextends and the tendons shred like a chuck roast in a crock pot, Lansberg taps out on her opponent’s hip.
In the blink of an eye, Silva now finds herself on a three-fight win streak with two submissions in that run, and she calls for a top contender like Raquel Pennington, Miesha Tate or Julianna Pena next to get a crack at gold.
The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Lina Lansberg R2 4:45 via Submission (Kneebar)
Angelo is confident in Bueno Silva but acknowledges the matchup is tricky. He notes Bueno Silva has zero takedowns in the UFC despite four submission wins, relying on pulling guard or submissions from bottom. Länsberg is a world champion Muay Thai striker who can't defend takedowns, but Bueno Silva may struggle to get the fight to the ground. Angelo still expects Bueno Silva to win, likely by submission, but admits Länsberg could win if she keeps it standing.
Big Brady notes that Bueno Silva has incredible grappling but never initiates takedowns (0-for-1 in UFC). He thinks the fight will stay on the feet, where Länsberg has power and has been competitive as a dog. He still picks Bueno Silva to win by decision, but warns against the -425 line.
Cody picks Bueno Silva but is not confident at -500. He notes she is very slow and plotted, with zero percent takedown accuracy in the UFC. Her best attribute is the armbar, but she has no wrestling to set it up. He says if she can't take Länsberg down, it becomes a striking battle where Länsberg is effective in the clinch. However, Länsberg is 40 and doesn't have the cardio to keep pace. He thinks the fight likely goes to decision and warns that holding a -500 ticket in women's MMA is risky due to judging.
Connor agrees with Zane, calling it a physicality pick. He notes that Länsberg has been outmuscled by less athletic fighters like Pannie Kianzad, and that she lacks a functional game against stronger opponents. He also points out that Länsberg is trying to change her style at age 40, which is unlikely to succeed. Connor feels bad for Länsberg but sees Silva as the clear winner.
Jacob agrees with Bueno Silva but thinks the fight could be closer than expected. He notes Länsberg wants to clinch and hold against the cage, and Bueno Silva is also a Muay Thai striker who doesn't mind clinch positions. Jacob emphasizes Bueno Silva needs to use trips and judo to get the fight to the ground, where her Jiu-Jitsu dominates. He believes if she can do that, she finishes the fight.
Bueno Silva has youth, speed, and power advantages, and her striking should overwhelm the aging Länsberg. Länsberg is on the decline and has been outworked in recent fights. Expect Bueno Silva to land a big shot and finish via submission (club and sub) in the second round.
Paul picks Bueno Silva but says minus 500 doesn't get him out of bed. He thinks the most interesting part is the over/under, noting Länsberg is durable and the fight likely goes to decision. He says the first-round finish against Edgar is cooked into the line. He plans to bet the fight goes to decision at minus 125. He calls Bueno Silva the pick but won't lay the heavy chalk.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Mayra Bueno Silva, calling Lina Länsberg a middle-aged mom who hasn't finished anyone in years. He praises Silva's forward pressure, good chin, and recent performance against Manon Fiorot. He predicts Silva will beat Länsberg on the feet, leading to a panic takedown attempt from Länsberg, and Silva will latch on a submission from the bottom, likely an armbar or triangle in the first two rounds.
Zane notes that Länsberg is 40 years old on a three-fight losing streak and has tried to change her style but hasn't succeeded. He describes Silva as a hard-hitting opportunist who knows how to implement her game, even if her technique is rough. He believes Länsberg lacks the physicality and technical skill to stop Silva from imposing her will, and that Silva's aggression and submission threats will be too much. Zane also mentions that Länsberg's attempts to become an out-fighter have not worked, and she is likely to be bullied.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 54 of 74 | 72% | 160 of 190 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 9:44 |
| Lina Länsberg | 1 | 36 of 60 | 60% | 100 of 132 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karol Rosa | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 42 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:59 |
| Lina Länsberg | 1 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 22 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | |
| 2 | Karol Rosa | 0 | 15 of 16 | 93% | 58 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 28 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Karol Rosa | 0 | 33 of 48 | 68% | 60 of 77 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 50 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Rosa | 54 of 74 | 72% | 31 of 46 | 13 of 16 | 10 of 12 | 24 of 38 | 15 of 20 | 15 of 16 |
| Lina Länsberg | 36 of 60 | 60% | 15 of 39 | 20 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 42 | 16 of 16 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karol Rosa | 6 of 10 | 60% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Lina Länsberg | 7 of 10 | 70% | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karol Rosa | 15 of 16 | 93% | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 15 |
| Lina Länsberg | 4 of 12 | 33% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Karol Rosa | 33 of 48 | 68% | 22 of 34 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 29 | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 25 of 38 | 65% | 9 of 22 | 16 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 25 | 13 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-295), Lansberg (+245)
Round 1
The big show is upon us, and if you live in North America, you’re getting up early for this one and for good reason. A cool dozen fights – with most matches featuring ranked competitors – will grace this blockbuster event, one that begins in the women’s 135-pound weight class. Rising contender and Jessica Andrade training partner Rosa (15-4, 4-1 UFC) will look to get back on track after a humbling defeat to Sara McMann in March, while 40-year-old Swede Lansberg (10-6, 4-5 UFC) intends on demonstrating she is not done yet as she hunts for her first win since 2019. The first match of the day draws officiating from referee Lukasz Bosacki, and it begins without a glove touch. As a note, the UFC commentary team of Jon Anik, Daniel Cormier and Paul Felder is completely silent, possibly from technical difficulties. The two ladies jab at one another, and Rosa tosses out a body kick. Rosa fires off another kick, and Lansberg counters her with a right hand over the top that drops Rosa to her seat. The crowd erupts, and Lansberg sprints forwards but cannot reach her opponent before Rosa springs to her feet. Still a little tingly, Rosa runs straight into Lansberg, where she pushes her straight into the fence and clings on tight. Lansberg gladly accepts this position, turns her foe around and knees her in the belly a few times. Lansberg stays busy in the clinch, working the thighs and midsection with knees, and Bosacki calls for action. The two ladies both consider takedowns at the same time, and Rosa is the stronger woman and shoves Lansberg down to the mat. The Brazilian lands in half guard, and she postures up but Lansberg is clinging to her wrists to prevent any offense. Meanwhile, Lansberg is attempting to slash with elbows off her back, and this allows Rosa to get her own strikes going from above. Rosa settles for control time as she rides and drops down a few punches, but the strikes are sporadic at best. Rosa shifts momentarily to three-quarter mount, but opts to stand up right before the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lansberg
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Round 2
The commentary resumes at the beginning of the second round, but fight fans might pine for an option for no commentary for broadcasts going forward – not because Jon Anik is not an exceptional fight caller, but because it provides a different and interesting option to watch fights. At the start of Round 2, Rosa blitzes forward and hits a takedown within seconds. Rosa comfortably sits on top, with Lansberg unable to reverse, sweep or find a better angle. Rosa places her foe flat on her back, and she grinds her elbow on the face of “Elbow Queen” as if to attempt a very low level of regicide. Rosa then elbows the side as the time ticks off the clock, and Lansberg suddenly explodes to kick Rosa off of her. Rosa lords over her with slapping kicks to the leg, and Lansberg remains on her back instead of climbing back up. The crowd is not thrilled with this exchange. Rosa allows Lansberg to sit up, and as the Swede is leaning against the cage with her left knee down, Rosa blasts her in the face with an illegal knee. Bosacki recognizes this immediately, and he allows Lansberg to recover from the foul and calls in the doctor. Lansberg is all smiles and asks for Bosacki to take a point, and he agrees and deducts one point from Rosa. The fighters get back to it after about two minutes of recovery time, and Lansberg comes out swinging. Rosa capitalizes on this aggression by bowling her over with a takedown. The Brazilian smothers from on top in half guard again, with few strikes of merit and plenty of time hanging on in this position. Lansberg considers snatching up a heel from her back, and this forces Rosa to stand back up. Rosa leaps down in a diving leg lock attempt, and the round ends before anything can come from it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9
Ben Duffy scores the round: 9-9
John Brannigan scores the round: 9-9
Round 3
The bantamweights meet in the middle, and both want to throw hands. Rosa clips her opponent with a right hand, and as Lansberg throws a body kick, the Swede gets tagged with a left hook. Lansberg strides forward and delivers a knee to the chest, and Rosa is feeling it as Lansberg pushes her to the wall. Rosa attempts to respond with knees while stuck on the fence, and she spins her opponent around and elbows her on the chin. The two jockey for position in this tight posture, and they get off knees at the same moment. This stalemate continues as Rosa gets the upper hand with short but effective strikes, and she gets shoved back. The Brazilian leaps in the air with a knee, and she bullies Lansberg back to the wire again. Lansberg deftly turns her around and gets off an elbow, forcing Rosa to change levels and go for a failed takedown. As she senses Lansberg slowing, Rosa swarms with a barrage of elbows and punches, as if to send a message to “Elbow Queen.” Rosa swings so hard she nearly topples over, as Lansberg has some swelling growing fast under her left eye. Lansberg catches her and ties her up to slow down the onslaught, but this allows Rosa to hit a throw and drop her to her knees. Lansberg climbs back up, and Rosa spins with an elbow that collides with the temple. Rosa rips one more knee to the body before the horn blares, and this could a close one depending on how judges score the first round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (28-28 Rosa)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-27 Rosa)
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-27 Rosa)
The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Lina Lansberg via Majority Decision (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
Angelo picks Karol Rosa because she is the more well-rounded fighter with solid takedown offense and defense. He notes that Lina Länsberg is a better striker but was recently out-struck by Pannie Kianzad, and Rosa can avoid the clinch and use her own takedowns. He emphasizes that Rosa needs to avoid getting into a Muay Thai clinch.
Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by decision. He notes Rosa is 13 years younger, has higher volume (6.65 significant strikes per minute vs 2.74), and believes Länsberg would need to clinch or take the fight down to win, which he doesn't see happening. He expects Rosa to keep it upright and outpoint Länsberg over 15 minutes.
Cody is confident in Rosa, noting her superior volume and striking. He thinks Länsberg is low volume and lacks power. Cody expects Rosa to win by decision, and likes the decision prop at -110.
Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa to win, citing her huge output advantage (nearly 7 strikes per minute vs Lina Länsberg's under 3). He notes Rosa's well-rounded game including takedowns, and that she is 27 while Länsberg is 40. Levi is only wary of Länsberg's elbows but thinks Rosa's knees in the clinch and overall volume will prevail. He bet 1 unit at -225.
Karol Rosa is a solid prospect with great output, often landing over 100 significant strikes. She has good body work in the clinch and can also take a grapple-heavy approach to nullify Länsberg's elbows. Länsberg is 40 years old and coming off a loss to Pannie Kianzad, who is not as good as Rosa. Rosa should win via decision, and the chalk is worthy even at -295.
Paul is confident in Rosa, noting Länsberg's age and lack of finishing ability. He thinks Rosa's volume and grappling will be too much. Paul has already bet Rosa by decision at -110.
The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa over Lina Länsberg, citing Rosa's superior technique, youth (27 vs 40), and recent grappling improvements after a loss to Sarah McMahon. He notes Länsberg's decline and believes Rosa will win by unanimous decision, leveraging a two-inch reach advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 1 | 39 of 88 | 44% | 64 of 113 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 78 of 160 | 48% | 109 of 210 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 20 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 1 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 38 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 22 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 51 of 103 | 49% | 51 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 39 of 88 | 44% | 30 of 75 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 31 of 78 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 78 of 160 | 48% | 59 of 140 | 16 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 59 of 137 | 19 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 5 of 12 | 41% | 2 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 15 of 30 | 50% | 10 of 23 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 22 of 45 | 48% | 15 of 37 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 31 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 21 of 52 | 40% | 18 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 51 of 103 | 49% | 42 of 94 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 46 of 97 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad, though he is surprised she is such a heavy favorite. He notes that Lina Länsberg is a world champion Muay Thai fighter with excellent clinch work, but Kianzad is a very good boxer with good footwork and high-volume striking. He believes Kianzad can stick and move for 15 minutes to avoid the clinch and win a decision.
Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad to win by decision. He notes Kianzad is the better striker, younger (30 vs 40), and improving her takedown defense and ground game. He criticizes Länsberg's low volume and 44% striking defense, and notes she hasn't fought in almost two years. He expects Kianzad to stuff takedowns and outpoint Länsberg on the feet.
Cody picks Kianzad, emphasizing her striking volume and Länsberg's decline. He notes Kianzad's recent performances and thinks she will outwork Länsberg. He calls it a 'passing of the torch' spot.
Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad confidently, noting she beat Länsberg 10 years ago when both were in different stages of their careers. Länsberg is now nearly 40 and coming off having a baby, while Kianzad is entering her prime. Levi expects Kianzad to out-tough Länsberg with volume and win a decision.
Paul picks Kianzad, citing her volume and improvement. He notes Länsberg's age (40) and layoff, and thinks Kianzad will dominate on the feet. He mentions he already bet her as part of a parlay.
The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her technical striking and youth (10 years younger). He notes Lina Länsberg lacks great wins and that Kianzad's close loss to Raquel Pennington is better than anything Länsberg has done. He expects a 29-28 or 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 38 of 50 | 76% | 62 of 84 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 13:22 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 36 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 22 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 15 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 0 | 18 of 22 | 81% | 25 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 38 of 50 | 76% | 22 of 32 | 15 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 41 |
| Lina Länsberg | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 10 of 12 | 83% | 0 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 10 of 16 | 62% | 4 of 8 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Lina Länsberg | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 18 of 22 | 81% | 18 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 20 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Lina Länsberg for the upset, predicting that McMann will dominate the first round but then fade and get cut open by elbows in the second. He notes that McMann has a history of quitting and that Länsberg has improved her takedown defense. He expects a cut stoppage in the second round.
The MMA Guru picks Lina Länsberg based on recency and activity, noting Sara McMann is 49 years old and hasn't fought since 2018. He acknowledges the women's bantamweight division is mixed but believes Länsberg's recency and ability to hold McMann against the cage will be key.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 26 of 47 | 55% | 58 of 94 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:49 |
| Macy Chiasson | 0 | 21 of 39 | 53% | 49 of 91 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 7:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 30 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:34 |
| Macy Chiasson | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Macy Chiasson | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 13 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:36 | |
| 3 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 11 of 19 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Macy Chiasson | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 27 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Länsberg | 26 of 47 | 55% | 4 of 22 | 21 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 22 of 29 | 0 of 0 |
| Macy Chiasson | 21 of 39 | 53% | 18 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 8 of 15 | 11 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lina Länsberg | 13 of 19 | 68% | 1 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Macy Chiasson | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lina Länsberg | 6 of 13 | 46% | 2 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Macy Chiasson | 5 of 9 | 55% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Lina Länsberg | 7 of 15 | 46% | 1 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Macy Chiasson | 15 of 25 | 60% | 12 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 12 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 68 of 83 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 5:46 |
| Tonya Evinger | 0 | 50 of 68 | 73% | 151 of 181 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 8:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:38 |
| Tonya Evinger | 0 | 13 of 15 | 86% | 51 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | |
| 2 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 16 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
| Tonya Evinger | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 21 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:32 | |
| 3 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 46 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tonya Evinger | 0 | 29 of 36 | 80% | 79 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Länsberg | 6 of 11 | 54% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Tonya Evinger | 50 of 68 | 73% | 45 of 62 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 10 | 42 of 54 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lina Länsberg | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tonya Evinger | 13 of 15 | 86% | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 13 | |
| 2 | Lina Länsberg | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Tonya Evinger | 8 of 17 | 47% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 11 | |
| 3 | Lina Länsberg | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tonya Evinger | 29 of 36 | 80% | 24 of 30 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 24 of 30 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yana Kunitskaya | 0 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 61 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 72 of 111 | 64% | 159 of 208 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 1 | 0 | 9:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yana Kunitskaya | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 41 of 51 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:53 | |
| 2 | Yana Kunitskaya | 0 | 16 of 36 | 44% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 31 of 51 | 60% | 44 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 | |
| 3 | Yana Kunitskaya | 0 | 24 of 44 | 54% | 28 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 28 of 40 | 70% | 74 of 92 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yana Kunitskaya | 43 of 87 | 49% | 18 of 61 | 23 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 66 | 20 of 20 | 1 of 1 |
| Lina Länsberg | 72 of 111 | 64% | 26 of 54 | 30 of 36 | 16 of 21 | 33 of 68 | 30 of 33 | 9 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yana Kunitskaya | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Lina Länsberg | 13 of 20 | 65% | 4 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Yana Kunitskaya | 16 of 36 | 44% | 5 of 25 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 26 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 31 of 51 | 60% | 6 of 19 | 16 of 21 | 9 of 11 | 16 of 33 | 15 of 18 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yana Kunitskaya | 24 of 44 | 54% | 12 of 31 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 36 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Lina Länsberg | 28 of 40 | 70% | 16 of 28 | 8 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 27 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 5 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 40 of 75 | 53% | 81 of 125 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:33 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 38 of 89 | 42% | 112 of 178 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 21 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 40 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:21 | |
| 2 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 20 of 26 | 76% | 34 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 40 of 61 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 | |
| 3 | Lina Länsberg | 0 | 9 of 31 | 29% | 26 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 32 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Länsberg | 40 of 75 | 53% | 13 of 44 | 26 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 13 of 42 | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 |
| Gina Mazany | 38 of 89 | 42% | 10 of 51 | 18 of 25 | 10 of 13 | 24 of 63 | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lina Länsberg | 11 of 18 | 61% | 3 of 8 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Gina Mazany | 8 of 21 | 38% | 1 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 12 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lina Länsberg | 20 of 26 | 76% | 6 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Gina Mazany | 14 of 27 | 51% | 3 of 12 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 17 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lina Länsberg | 9 of 31 | 29% | 4 of 24 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 24 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Gina Mazany | 16 of 41 | 39% | 6 of 28 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 34 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad, though he is surprised she is such a heavy favorite. He notes that Lina Länsberg is a world champion Muay Thai fighter with excellent clinch work, but Kianzad is a very good boxer with good footwork and high-volume striking. He believes Kianzad can stick and move for 15 minutes to avoid the clinch and win a decision.
Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad to win by decision. He notes Kianzad is the better striker, younger (30 vs 40), and improving her takedown defense and ground game. He criticizes Länsberg's low volume and 44% striking defense, and notes she hasn't fought in almost two years. He expects Kianzad to stuff takedowns and outpoint Länsberg on the feet.
Cody picks Kianzad, emphasizing her striking volume and Länsberg's decline. He notes Kianzad's recent performances and thinks she will outwork Länsberg. He calls it a 'passing of the torch' spot.
Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad confidently, noting she beat Länsberg 10 years ago when both were in different stages of their careers. Länsberg is now nearly 40 and coming off having a baby, while Kianzad is entering her prime. Levi expects Kianzad to out-tough Länsberg with volume and win a decision.
Paul picks Kianzad, citing her volume and improvement. He notes Länsberg's age (40) and layoff, and thinks Kianzad will dominate on the feet. He mentions he already bet her as part of a parlay.
The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her technical striking and youth (10 years younger). He notes Lina Länsberg lacks great wins and that Kianzad's close loss to Raquel Pennington is better than anything Länsberg has done. He expects a 29-28 or 30-27 decision.
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