Career Averages - Melissa Gatto
Career Averages - Sijara Eubanks
Melissa Gatto
Sijara Eubanks
Melissa Gatto - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 30 of 67 | 44% | 108 of 154 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 6:06 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 33 of 67 | 49% | 64 of 109 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 4:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dione Barbosa | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 35 of 58 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 21 of 48 | 43% | 27 of 59 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 | |
| 2 | Dione Barbosa | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 34 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 23 of 30 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 | |
| 3 | Dione Barbosa | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 39 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:31 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dione Barbosa | 30 of 67 | 44% | 19 of 53 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 49 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 11 |
| Melissa Gatto | 33 of 67 | 49% | 14 of 40 | 9 of 15 | 10 of 12 | 30 of 62 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dione Barbosa | 16 of 37 | 43% | 12 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
| Melissa Gatto | 21 of 48 | 43% | 7 of 26 | 7 of 13 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dione Barbosa | 9 of 20 | 45% | 6 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Melissa Gatto | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dione Barbosa | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Melissa Gatto | 7 of 12 | 58% | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barbosa (-145); Gatto (+125)
Round 1
The night presses on as a pair of women’s flyweights meet in hopes of keeping or lifting their respective promotional record above .500. Barbosa (8-4, 2-2 UFC) would like a victory to elevate it over that midpoint mark, while bantamweight part-timer Gatto (9-2-2, 3-2 UFC) is looking for success back in her natural weight class. Referee Chris Tognoni draws the charge for this preliminary contest, one that does not open with a glove touch.
The ladies measure one another in the early going, testing out their jabs while not committing to much else. Gatto opens up a bit more with her overhand right, and when she finally scores one, she has to back off when a one-two pinpoints her nose. Gatto slings her right hand down the pipe, faking a takedown shot and ultimately walk into a spinning back kick counter. Barbosa gets her attention with a left hand after the kick connects, and she is greeted with a stern right hand. Barbosa shakes it off and offers a low kick followed by two punches, and the two start trading hands in a brief exchange with Barbosa landing at the beginning and ending. Gatto works her way behind her right hand, and she shoots in for takedown that is shut down before it can come close to materializing.
Barbosa bullies the taller woman to the wall, pressing her shoulder tightly before kneeing her a couple times to the stomach. Barbosa trips Gatto up to drag her to the floor, and Gatto springs back up with the fencing behind her. Barbosa stomps Gatto’s toes, and Gatto breaks off with a knee. Gatto takes a punch and times the spin she sees coming to grab Barbosa from behind and wrangle her to the mat. Gatto advances to an awkward position that places her in leglock danger, but she is close to securing the mount position. Barbosa hacks with elbows off her back, and she uses butterfly hooks to stave Gatto from claiming a dominant posture. Gatto lowers herself down maintain control, and Barbosa’s leg slides up an around to snatch up an armbar. Gatto leans to her side to free the pressure on her limb, and she drills Barbosa with a number of hammerfists as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gatto
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gatto
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gatto
Round 2
Gatto assumes control of the center of the cage to get going first, pushing out her jab a few times before snatching up a Barbosa low kick to trip her up and take her to the mat. Barbosa flips her all the way over to wind up on top, and Gatto is stuck flat on her back. Gatto keeps a high guard when Barbosa postures up, but Barbosa does not fall into a trap and stands back up. Gatto turns to her knees to stand back up, and Barbosa blasts her with an illegal soccer kick to the neck and chin that knocks Gatto completely out. Barbosa walks off celebrating, as if she thinks that she has won the fight, while Gatto is splayed out lifelessly in an eerie scene reminiscent of Maycee Barber getting knocked out last week. As a medical professional or two rush in to tend to Gatto, she comes to and has to be told what happened. The replay official flips the light to signal that they are going to use instant replay to review the footage, but it appeared that Gatto’s knee was down right before she took the soccer kick that rendered her unconscious. Tognoni discusses his options with the officiating team, and he deducts one point from Barbosa for the foul. Shockingly, the fight somehow continues, even though Gatto was knocked unconscious from the strike. This is complete nonsense. This fight should be over, period. What happened to fighter safety being the primary concern of officials? Gatto, who apparently is back with her wits again, runs forward at the restart to take the fight down. Barbosa is grounded for a time before fighting her way back up, and she turns the tables to take Gatto down.
Gatto works her way up after absorbing some hammerfists, and she breaks out of the clinch to take a spinning back fist on the chin. Gatto shakes it out and tackles Barbosa to the floor. Thankfully, with Gatto on top, it means she is not currently absorbing much brain trauma after being knocked out from the illegal soccer kick that only resulted in a single point being deducted. Barbosa fights off her back with a high guard in hopes of catching Gatto in something, and she grips hold of a triangle armbar but is punched out of it. The round somehow ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 9-9
Tyler Treese scores the round: 9-9
Round 3
Between rounds, it is explained that the officials and medical staff determined Gatto was able to continue a fistfight despite already getting knocked all the way out. What are rules anymore? It does not take long for the ladies to go for grappling, and Barbosa succeeds in taking Gatto to the mat. Gatto keeps her left leg wrapped on the side in hopes of setting something up, and Barbosa ignores it and starts elbowing her in the side. Gatto turns to her side with a two-on-one wrist control of Barbosa, who counters her by rolling all the way over to snatch up an armbar.
Gatto turns over to stack Barboza up, squeezing her elbow and forearm on the throat while exerting as much pressure down as she can to stifle the submission. Barbosa cannot hold the submission much longer as she is getting squished, and Gatto breaks out of it and busts her in the chops with a strong right hand. Barbosa sits up and flips her opponent over to her back, and she starts hunting for a leglock. Gatto sits up to stop it, and she tries to muscle Barbosa over and use a kimura grip to reverse position. She succeeds in turning Barbosa over and keeps control of the limb, and she steps over the body with her rear leg to establish herself in top control. As the ladies roll around on the mat looking for positional advantages, Gatto snags hold of the left arm of her opponent to hunt for her own armbar. Barbosa elbows Gatto on the back of the calf, and this fight somehow makes it 15 minutes. This is not a good day for the Nevada State Athletic Commission. A draw may be in play, but that depends on the scoring of the first round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)
The Official Result
Dione Barbosa def. Melissa Gatto via Majority Decision (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)
Angelo picks Dione Barbosa, citing her superior takedown ability as a judoka. He notes that Melissa Gatto has poor takedowns and that Barbosa can close the distance, take her down, and control on top. He worries about potential judging bias similar to Barbosa's last loss but believes Barbosa will win a close decision.
Big Brady picks Melissa Gatto as a slight underdog. He notes Barbosa has power and can get takedowns early, but fades as the fight goes on. He likes Gatto's cardio, volume, and kicks, and expects her to take over in later rounds. He predicts a close decision win for Gatto.
Cody picks Gatto, citing her youth, improved skills, and ability to scramble and strike. He expects her to win a decision, as Barbosa's grappling-heavy style may not score well.
Connor leans toward Barbosa, agreeing that she is more disciplined. He notes that Gatto's footwork is worse and she tends to collapse when pressured, leading her to wrestle. Barbosa is as big as Gatto and a better grappler, which should neutralize Gatto's advantages.
James leans toward Melissa Gatto as the underdog, citing her striking kicks and cardio advantage, while noting Barbosa's tendency to tire. He admits he hasn't done tape study and is unsure about the grappling dynamics. He predicts a decision win for Gatto but emphasizes low confidence and the need for further analysis.
The host picks Gatto as a dog, citing her damage-based striking and grappling advantage. He notes Barbosa's recent loss where control wasn't enough, and trusts Gatto's volume and damage to win on the scorecards despite a two-year layoff. He sees a good stylistic matchup for Gatto.
Paul leans towards Gatto, noting her two-year layoff may have helped her improve. He expects her to win a close decision due to her striking and scrambling.
The MMA Guru picks Dione Barbosa but seems hesitant, acknowledging that her win over Diana Belbita isn't impressive. He notes that Melissa Gatto has a body kick KO win but lost to Tracy Cortez. He thinks Barbosa is slightly more well-rounded but doesn't sound fully convinced.
Zane leans toward Barbosa, noting she is more disciplined and has better footwork. He thinks Gatto has good tools but doesn't stick to them, and tends to win when opponents make catastrophic mistakes. Barbosa's boxing footwork and grappling should allow her to keep the fight in her favor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 50 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Tamires Vidal | 0 | 30 of 52 | 57% | 120 of 163 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 6:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 32 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tamires Vidal | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 72 of 85 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:33 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 17 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Tamires Vidal | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 45 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:25 | |
| 3 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tamires Vidal | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 15 of 29 | 51% | 7 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tamires Vidal | 30 of 52 | 57% | 13 of 30 | 16 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 40 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tamires Vidal | 6 of 9 | 66% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 11 of 20 | 55% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tamires Vidal | 21 of 35 | 60% | 9 of 21 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 15 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | |
| 3 | Melissa Gatto | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tamires Vidal | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is shocked that Melissa Gatto is the biggest favorite on the card at -820 despite being on a two-fight losing streak, moving up in weight, and having poor takedown accuracy (0 for 7 in her last fight). He believes Tamires Vidal is big, strong, and has a grappling advantage. He plans to bet on Vidal, watching the line movement to decide when to place the bet.
Cody views this as a clear bounceback fight for Gatto, who has lost two close decisions to top competition. He notes Vidal has massive limitations in every area: poor footwork, no head movement, low volume, and no power. Gatto is stronger, more technical, and a better wrestler. Cody believes Gatto will dominate on the ground and get back in the win column.
Vidal is reckless with wide hooks and was out-grinded in her last fight. Gatto is the toughest opponent Vidal has faced and should provide a ton of resistance. Expects Gatto to pressure Vidal, use the clinch, take her down, and eventually find a finish. The line should be closer to -400 or -500.
Paul sees Gatto as much more powerful and technical than Vidal. He notes Vidal's only UFC win came via flying knee against a low-level opponent, and she was dominated by Montserrat Ruiz. Paul expects Gatto to manhandle Vidal with her grappling and physicality, despite moving up a weight class.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto over Tamires Vidal, despite going against his rule of picking 'thems' in women's MMA. He notes that Gatto had a close fight with Tracy Cortez and that Vidal was taken down three times by a smaller opponent in her last fight. He expects Gatto to use her reach and grappling to control Vidal and win by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 66 of 149 | 44% | 81 of 166 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 85 of 186 | 45% | 100 of 201 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 16 of 49 | 32% | 18 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 28 of 53 | 52% | 28 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 39 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 33 of 66 | 50% | 45 of 78 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 24 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 24 of 67 | 35% | 27 of 70 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 66 of 149 | 44% | 28 of 101 | 27 of 36 | 11 of 12 | 53 of 131 | 12 of 15 | 1 of 3 |
| Melissa Gatto | 85 of 186 | 45% | 39 of 117 | 34 of 50 | 12 of 19 | 70 of 165 | 15 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 16 of 49 | 32% | 3 of 30 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 45 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Melissa Gatto | 28 of 53 | 52% | 13 of 31 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 25 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 26 of 46 | 56% | 10 of 27 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 18 of 37 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Melissa Gatto | 33 of 66 | 50% | 11 of 37 | 17 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 23 of 52 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 24 of 54 | 44% | 15 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 |
| Melissa Gatto | 24 of 67 | 35% | 15 of 49 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 4 | 22 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) based on her last performance against JJ Aldrich, where her hands and wrestling looked great. He acknowledges the logical pick is Melissa Gatto due to Lipski's history of being outgrappled, but he goes against logic. He suggests a plus 3.5 point buy on the scorecard for Lipski as a safer bet.
Big Brady picks Melissa Gatto to win by first-round submission. He notes Gatto has improved significantly, with better striking and takedown defense, and has power. He points out that Ariane da Silva (Lipski) has been dominated on the ground by fighters like Montana De La Rosa and Antonina Shevchenko, and Gatto's top game is dangerous. He expects Gatto to get on top and finish early.
Cody sees Lipski as a live underdog. He notes Gatto's low volume (17 significant strikes in nearly 3 rounds against Eubanks) and poor defensive wrestling. Lipski showed improved wrestling at ATT and has high volume (101 significant strikes against Aldrich). Cody thinks if Lipski can stuff takedowns, she wins the striking battle. He also notes Lipski is only 29 and improving.
Daniel confidently picks Gatto, citing her superior heart, durability, and grappling. He notes Lipski's history of quitting when pressured and her poor defensive grappling, while Gatto showed toughness against Tracy Cortez, reversing positions and landing takedowns. He believes Gatto's chin and submission threat are key, and that Lipski's recent win over JJ Aldrich is overrated. However, he missed the opening line (-150) and won't bet at -230, but expects Gatto to win.
Paul is tempted by the CF dog model. He notes Lipski's last performance against Aldrich was impressive and that Gatto's wins are over low-level competition. He questions if Lipski has turned the corner and thinks the line is off. Paul believes Lipski has a legitimate chance.
The Guru picks Melissa Gatto, noting her impressive win over Ariane Lipski via front kick to the body and her submission win over Karol Rosa. He acknowledges her loss to Tracy Cortez but believes she has improved during her year off. He predicts a submission off her back, possibly an armbar.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 70 of 102 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 1 | 7:54 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 30 of 73 | 41% | 49 of 95 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 3:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 23 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:16 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 14 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 25 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:04 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 27 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 36 of 66 | 54% | 25 of 51 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 27 |
| Melissa Gatto | 30 of 73 | 41% | 25 of 61 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 5 | 27 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 11 of 16 | 68% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 |
| Melissa Gatto | 7 of 20 | 35% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 9 of 23 | 39% | 4 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Melissa Gatto | 15 of 35 | 42% | 13 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 16 of 27 | 59% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 14 |
| Melissa Gatto | 8 of 18 | 44% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Tracy Cortez based on her wrestling, expecting her to grind out a decision. However, he admits his bet will be on Melissa Gatto to win inside the distance (decision no action), indicating a lack of full confidence in Cortez. He notes Cortez's layoff and Gatto's submission threat.
Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision, but he is hesitant. He acknowledges that Gatto has shown impressive striking and grappling, but her takedown defense is poor. Cortez will look to take Gatto down and control her, and Brady believes she will succeed in getting takedowns. However, Gatto is dangerous off her back with submissions, so Cortez will have to fight off submissions for 15 minutes. Brady thinks Cortez will win by controlling the fight on the ground, but he would not count out Gatto completely.
Cody picks Tracy Cortez, but emphasizes monitoring the scales. He notes Cortez's wrestling advantage and that she trains at Fight Ready MMA. Cody believes Cortez can get takedowns and stay on top, avoiding Gatto's submissions. He thinks Gatto's guard is active but Cortez's wrestling and pace will prevail. Cody is confident if Cortez makes weight.
Daniel Levi leans toward Melissa Gatto as an underdog, citing her cleaner striking, power, and opportunistic submissions. He expects Cortez to have early wrestling success but thinks Gatto can survive and turn the fight in later rounds. He is worried about Cortez's top control but sees value in Gatto at plus money. He has not bet yet, noting he missed better lines.
The host picks Melissa Gatto but is not betting the fight due to volatility. He notes Cortez's strong wrestling but concerns about her weight miss and cardio. He highlights Gatto's impressive UFC performances, her ability to work from bottom, and her vicious striking. He expects Gatto to pressure, attack the body, and possibly find a submission or win via striking. He acknowledges Cortez will land takedowns but thinks Gatto will do enough to win.
Paul picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog at +147. He believes the fight is more 50/50 and that Gatto's grappling is legit, with an active guard and submission threats. He fears Cortez's wrestling could control the fight, but thinks Gatto's strength and jiu-jitsu could lead to a submission. Paul acknowledges the Arizona home cooking factor but took the dog shot.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog, citing her underrated skills, youth, and physical advantages. He notes Gatto has a reach advantage, submission ability, and finishing power, as seen in her wins over Carol Rosa and Sijara Eubanks. He criticizes Cortez for pitter-patter striking and lack of finishing ability. He predicts Gatto will win on the feet and then secure a submission, possibly an armbar in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 14 of 45 | 31% | 32 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 6:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 1 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 64 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 23 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 4:30 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 20 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 37 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:53 | |
| 3 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 2 of 16 | 12% | 2 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 1 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 14 of 45 | 31% | 10 of 37 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 10 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 17 of 34 | 50% | 11 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 4 of 11 | 36% | 1 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 9 of 13 | 69% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Melissa Gatto | 2 of 16 | 12% | 1 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Melissa Gatto with a half-unit bet at +190. He believes Gatto is a young up-and-comer with real potential, while Eubanks is a .500 fighter whose cardio issues may not be fully resolved. He notes that Gatto has good striking, can set up takedowns, and is aggressive on top. However, he cautions that if Eubanks' cardio holds up, she is a giant beast at 125 and could be a problem. He emphasizes that Gatto must stay on top and not pull guard.
Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks by decision, citing her experience, BJJ black belt, and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He has concerns about Eubanks' age (36) and cardio if the fight extends. He notes Gatto's poor takedown defense and submission-over-position style, but acknowledges Gatto looked improved in her last fight. He says he may not bet Eubanks due to cardio worries.
Cody leans Eubanks due to her BJJ, size, and physicality. He notes her wrestling is solid for the division and she is aggressive. However, he worries about her cardio and weight cuts. Gatto is more wily and could pressure late. Cody says it's not a high-confidence play and wants to see weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog. He likes Gatto's scrappiness, aggression, and improvement, especially her arm submissions. Levi is concerned that Eubanks's jiu-jitsu could neutralize Gatto's sub attempts, but he believes Gatto's tenacity and desire to prove herself after a layoff will carry her. He thinks Gatto can make it close if she doesn't get held down for two rounds, and sees value in the plus money.
Jacob is extremely confident in Melissa Gatto, calling it his lock of the week. He placed 5 units on her moneyline at +146, 4 units on her inside the distance (decision no action) at +170, and 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at +165. He believes Eubanks cannot bully Gatto, who has good striking and aggressive grappling. He compares it to the Miranda Maverick fight where the favorite was dominated. Jacob thinks Gatto will finish Eubanks, possibly by submission, and that the odds are moving fast.
The host picks Eubanks by decision, highlighting her superior wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Gatto plays off her back and Eubanks should be able to control her on top. He likes the decision prop at +150, as Eubanks is not a proactive finisher.
Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Eubanks is the rightful favorite but notes concerns about her cardio and weight cuts. He says to pay attention to weigh-ins. He does not commit to a pick.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an upset winner, predicting a first-round armbar submission. He notes Gatto has good jiu-jitsu and submitted Carol Rosa with a kimura. He thinks Eubanks is getting older and may entertain the ground game too much. He sees Eubanks ending up on top but getting caught in an armbar from bottom.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 43 of 91 | 47% | 59 of 110 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 2:27 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 70 of 121 | 57% | 96 of 148 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 1:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 1:59 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 36 of 45 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 1:48 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 30 of 64 | 46% | 32 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 57 of 100 | 57% | 60 of 103 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 43 of 91 | 47% | 14 of 58 | 13 of 17 | 16 of 16 | 38 of 84 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 70 of 121 | 57% | 42 of 83 | 12 of 19 | 16 of 19 | 63 of 110 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 13 of 27 | 48% | 4 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 9 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 13 of 21 | 61% | 7 of 12 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 14 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 30 of 64 | 46% | 10 of 41 | 10 of 13 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 57 of 100 | 57% | 35 of 71 | 10 of 14 | 12 of 15 | 54 of 96 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Leonardo, citing Gatto's long layoff (2.5 years due to USADA suspension) and that Gatto is a grappler who likes to fight off her back. He thinks Leonardo will be on top and win a decision. He calls Leonardo a solid underdog pick.
Big Brady is hesitant on this fight due to many question marks. He thinks Melissa Gatto is sub-or-bust and has poor takedown defense, while Victoria Leonardo is more active and likely the better striker. He picks Leonardo to win by decision but warns that Gatto could pull off an armbar from guard. He advises staying away from betting this fight.
Cody picks Gatto, citing the narrative of Brazilian fighters improving after long layoffs. He notes her BJJ skills and potential improvements in wrestling. He thinks she can get the fight to the ground and submit Leonardo.
Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto to win by opportunistic submission, citing that Victoria Leonardo is a punching bag on the feet and has been stopped multiple times. He notes that Gatto is young and may have improved during her USADA suspension, and that Leonardo's takedown attempts could lead to submissions. He does not put much stock into the suspension for a young fighter and believes Gatto has the skills to finish.
Gatto is a BJJ specialist who relies on takedowns, but Leonardo has a purple belt and good enough grappling to nullify submissions. Leonardo is stronger, has better striking, and better cardio. The longer the fight goes, the more success Leonardo will have, likely finishing Gatto in the third round via ground and pound.
Paul does not make a clear pick. He is surprised by the pick'em line and notes the lack of tape on both fighters.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto to win by first-round submission. He highlights Gatto's undefeated record (6-0 with two draws) and her win over Carol Rosa, who is now on a four-fight win streak in the UFC. He criticizes Victoria Leonardo's lack of technical skill and poor chin, noting she has been knocked out twice recently. He predicts Gatto will submit Leonardo, possibly off her back.
Sijara Eubanks - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 14 of 45 | 31% | 32 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 6:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 1 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 64 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 23 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 4:30 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 20 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 37 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:53 | |
| 3 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 2 of 16 | 12% | 2 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 1 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 14 of 45 | 31% | 10 of 37 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 10 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 17 of 34 | 50% | 11 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 4 of 11 | 36% | 1 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 9 of 13 | 69% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Melissa Gatto | 2 of 16 | 12% | 1 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Melissa Gatto with a half-unit bet at +190. He believes Gatto is a young up-and-comer with real potential, while Eubanks is a .500 fighter whose cardio issues may not be fully resolved. He notes that Gatto has good striking, can set up takedowns, and is aggressive on top. However, he cautions that if Eubanks' cardio holds up, she is a giant beast at 125 and could be a problem. He emphasizes that Gatto must stay on top and not pull guard.
Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks by decision, citing her experience, BJJ black belt, and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He has concerns about Eubanks' age (36) and cardio if the fight extends. He notes Gatto's poor takedown defense and submission-over-position style, but acknowledges Gatto looked improved in her last fight. He says he may not bet Eubanks due to cardio worries.
Cody leans Eubanks due to her BJJ, size, and physicality. He notes her wrestling is solid for the division and she is aggressive. However, he worries about her cardio and weight cuts. Gatto is more wily and could pressure late. Cody says it's not a high-confidence play and wants to see weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog. He likes Gatto's scrappiness, aggression, and improvement, especially her arm submissions. Levi is concerned that Eubanks's jiu-jitsu could neutralize Gatto's sub attempts, but he believes Gatto's tenacity and desire to prove herself after a layoff will carry her. He thinks Gatto can make it close if she doesn't get held down for two rounds, and sees value in the plus money.
Jacob is extremely confident in Melissa Gatto, calling it his lock of the week. He placed 5 units on her moneyline at +146, 4 units on her inside the distance (decision no action) at +170, and 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at +165. He believes Eubanks cannot bully Gatto, who has good striking and aggressive grappling. He compares it to the Miranda Maverick fight where the favorite was dominated. Jacob thinks Gatto will finish Eubanks, possibly by submission, and that the odds are moving fast.
The host picks Eubanks by decision, highlighting her superior wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Gatto plays off her back and Eubanks should be able to control her on top. He likes the decision prop at +150, as Eubanks is not a proactive finisher.
Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Eubanks is the rightful favorite but notes concerns about her cardio and weight cuts. He says to pay attention to weigh-ins. He does not commit to a pick.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an upset winner, predicting a first-round armbar submission. He notes Gatto has good jiu-jitsu and submitted Carol Rosa with a kimura. He thinks Eubanks is getting older and may entertain the ground game too much. He sees Eubanks ending up on top but getting caught in an armbar from bottom.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 22 of 40 | 55% | 37 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 22 of 40 | 55% | 37 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 22 of 40 | 55% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 34 |
| Elise Reed | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 22 of 40 | 55% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 34 |
| Elise Reed | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Elise Reed because Sijara Eubanks has cardio issues and is dropping to flyweight, which will exacerbate those problems. He notes that Eubanks is much better than her record but her cardio is a big issue. He already placed a half-unit moneyline bet on Reed. He also likes the over on the monkey knife fight line and the 3.5 round prop (buying a round on the scorecard), expecting Reed to win at least one round.
Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks to win by submission. He notes Eubanks has fought much better competition and is a legit black belt, while Reed is green and moving up a weight class. He expects Eubanks to take the fight down and grind out a finish, though he warns about Eubanks' weight cut (dropping to 125) and potential to gas. He believes even if Eubanks fades, she will have secured two rounds.
Cody picks Eubanks, calling it a walk in the park stylistically. He notes Eubanks' size, wrestling, and BJJ are too much for Reed, who has poor takedown defense. He is concerned about Eubanks' weight cut but thinks if she makes weight, she wins easily. He does not include her in parlays due to weight cut risk.
Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks, acknowledging her experience and black belt, but notes she has dropped similar prices before. He warns that Reed is tough and could make it interesting on the feet, but Eubanks should get the job done. Levi doesn't buy into the gassing narrative, but says Eubanks makes bonehead mistakes.
Jacob picks Elise Reed based on value, noting that Sijara Eubanks is a -300 favorite despite having nine straight decisions and cardio issues. He sees Reed at +690 as great value and believes the line should be closer to -300 for Eubanks. He is worried about Reed's inexperience but thinks her volume and pressure will be too much for Eubanks, who has cardio problems and is dropping weight.
The host picks Sijara Eubanks, citing her size and grappling advantage over Elise Reed, who is moving up from strawweight. He believes Eubanks will drag the fight to the ground and use her BJJ to secure a submission, possibly her first UFC finish. He notes Reed's takedown defense issues and Eubanks' improved cardio, though he acknowledges Eubanks has never submitted anyone professionally. He likes Eubanks inside the distance at +170.
Paul agrees, noting Eubanks' size and grappling advantage. He criticizes Reed's takedown defense and grappling. He thinks if Eubanks does even half of what she's capable of, she wins. He warns about weight cut issues but still picks Eubanks.
The Guru picks Eubanks, citing her toughness, experience, and close fight with Aspen Ladd. He notes Reed's split decision wins outside the UFC against lower-level competition. He believes Eubanks' UFC experience and desperation (fighting for her career) will lead to a unanimous decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 49 of 104 | 47% | 70 of 131 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:33 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 92 of 143 | 64% | 132 of 187 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 20 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:23 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 14 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 28 of 40 | 70% | 56 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 0 | 34 of 77 | 44% | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 61 of 94 | 64% | 67 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pannie Kianzad | 49 of 104 | 47% | 43 of 94 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 38 of 90 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 7 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 92 of 143 | 64% | 57 of 105 | 22 of 25 | 13 of 13 | 65 of 114 | 26 of 28 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pannie Kianzad | 7 of 12 | 58% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Pannie Kianzad | 8 of 15 | 53% | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 28 of 40 | 70% | 16 of 26 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 18 | 20 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Pannie Kianzad | 34 of 77 | 44% | 30 of 69 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 33 of 73 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 61 of 94 | 64% | 38 of 70 | 11 of 12 | 12 of 12 | 55 of 88 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad as an underdog, noting that Eubanks has a 7-4 record and her recent fights have all gone to decision. He believes Kianzad can sneak out a win in a decision.
Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad as a slight underdog, expecting her to stuff most takedowns and win rounds two and three with volume. He notes Eubanks' poor gas tank and Kianzad's 92% takedown defense in the UFC. However, he is not overly confident because if Kianzad gets taken down, she could be in trouble on the ground.
The host picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her striking advantage and ability to keep the fight on the feet. He is concerned about Eubanks' grappling but believes Kianzad's kicks and distance management will earn her a decision. He is not highly confident.
The Guru picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant, calling it a very close fight. He believes Eubanks is the bigger fighter with reach advantage and has faced better competition. He notes that both have similar wins and losses, but Eubanks' scrappiness and durability give her the edge. He predicts a split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 68 of 171 | 39% | 93 of 203 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 69 of 149 | 46% | 72 of 152 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 29 of 70 | 41% | 36 of 80 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 26 of 59 | 44% | 27 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 35 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 13 of 36 | 36% | 14 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 22 of 60 | 36% | 22 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 68 of 171 | 39% | 65 of 165 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 66 of 169 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 69 of 149 | 46% | 34 of 102 | 22 of 34 | 13 of 13 | 65 of 143 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 29 of 70 | 41% | 27 of 66 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 68 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 26 of 59 | 44% | 13 of 39 | 7 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 24 of 56 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 17 of 41 | 41% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 13 of 36 | 36% | 7 of 27 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ketlen Vieira | 22 of 60 | 36% | 22 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 30 of 54 | 55% | 14 of 36 | 11 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In the first and only women’s match on the card, Vieira (10-1, 4-1 UFC) will look to bounce back from her first career defeat against Eubanks (6-4, 4-2 UFC), despite the Brazilian losing the majority of her corner team due to COVID-19. The Octagon ranger for this women’s bantamweight tilt is referee Jason Herzog, and the two women greet with a glove touch. Eubanks starts off with a jab, and Vieira crashes forward to punch her way in to clinch up. Eubanks thanks her for it by punching her opponent in the thigh once, and Vieira knees her a few times before Eubanks turns her around. The Brazilian grabs the knee as soon as Eubanks brings it up to try to take the fight down, but “SarJ” stops it from happening. Vieira sticks out a jab, and Eubanks counterattacks with an overhand right. Eubanks scores a heavy leg kick and the two women slug it out for a moment. Eubanks stings her with a reaching right hand, and she avoids the right hand that aims at her body. Vieira walks through a left hook to try to clinch up in the center of the cage, and Eubanks knees her in the belly. Vieira sells out for a trip takedown, but Eubanks stuffs it and snaps her head back with an uppercut. Vieira jabs only to have her lead leg kicked, and she backs away instead of following it up. The Brazilian comes up short with a one-two, and she follows it with a looping left hand that rings off the side of Eubanks’ head. Eubanks zings a right hand over the top, but Vieira is unfazed and delivers one right back. Eubanks rips the body with a right hand and is just able to get out of the way of a big right hook. Vieira stings Eubanks with a one-two, and she lands another after landing a body shot. Eubanks decides to target the body too, and when she throws out a naked leg kick, Vieira wings a right hand that tags Eubanks. The American wears it well and engages in a short slugfest only to come up missing with her strikes while Vieira is much sharper. Vieira gets off a crisp combination that rings Eubanks’ bell, and when Eubanks tries to fire back, the Brazilian lands a takedown. “Fenomeno” stays on top until the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Round 2
Vieira opens the round with a jab, and she follows it with a one-two that Eubanks is able to swat away. Eubanks fires up a head kick that gets blocked before reaching the mark, and Vieira strides forward to clinch up. From there, the Brazilian lands a body lock takedown to get into Eubanks’ guard, where she drops down some punches as Eubanks tries to lock her down. Vieira tries to pull her arms free so that she can stay busy and keep Herzog from standing the fight up, and she does while Eubanks scoots her way to the fence. Eubanks shrugs at her corner when Vieira is trying to keep her grounded, and Vieira smacks her in the face when she does. Herzog stands the fight up without audible warning, and Eubanks appreciates the standup by letting loose several jabs and a massive right hand. Vieira blocks the right hand and lets her jab flow, leading Eubanks to crash forward and attack the body and head. Vieira is unable to counter her effectively, but she does halt an advancing Eubanks a few times with stiff jabs. When both jab at the same time, the reach advantage for Vieira allows her to land cleanly while Eubanks does not. Vieira keeps jabbing and breaking up combinations, but she takes a side kick to the body. Vieira comes back with a one-two, and ducks an overhand right that skims past her hair. Eubanks throws her foot up for a high kick, but it bounces off Vieira’s shoulder. Vieira dings her with a right hand, and then aims low when Eubanks ducks down to catch her bending over. Both women miss with one-two combination, and they swing until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Round 3
The two women touch both gloves to start off the round, and an energized Eubanks comes out firing. She slings a few looping punches that glance off the head but do not land flush, and Vieira tries to counter but comes up short. Vieira rushes in for a clinch, and when Eubanks attempts a trip, the Brazilian shoves her away. Eubanks bites down on her mouthpiece and slings a big right hook, but it is nowhere near the target. She follows it with a shorter left hook that does get Vieira’s attention, and she plants a right hand on Vieira’s face. The two women swing for the fences for a moment, with the two bantamweights windmilling punches but not connecting on much. Vieira lands a right hand as Eubanks tries to roll with it, and “SarJ” connects with a low kick to make up for it. Vieira tries to charge forward, but Eubanks greets her with a right hand to make the Brazilian back away. Vieira gets her jab back going until they start swinging with reckless abandon, and both land a few times in a wild flurry. Vieira lands a left but allows Eubanks to circle out and work the body. Vieira attempts to clinch up again, and Eubanks makes her pay with a body shot. A right hand finds its home from Vieira, and Eubanks aims one back but only partially connects. Vieira shoots in for a double but Eubanks easily sees it coming and pushes her away. When Vieira goes up top, Eubanks kicks her to the body and counters her with a right hand. The two tie up in the clinch and both try to toss the other, and the ensuing scramble from Eubanks allows her to take the Brazilian’s back standing up. Vieira rolls for a kneebar right before the 10-second clapper, and Eubanks lands several hammerfists until the final horn puts this fight in the books.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Sijara Eubanks via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Vieira, believing her ground game is superior to Eubanks' BJJ. He thinks the fight will hit the mat and Vieira will have success there. He notes Eubanks' cardio may be affected by multiple weight cuts, but expects a close decision.
Daniel Levi slightly leans Ketlen Vieira, acknowledging she is the better fighter but has concerns about her knee injury and the loss of her coach. He believes Eubanks' grappling advantage won't be as effective against Vieira, who is a serious black belt. He expects a grappling-heavy fight with Vieira getting the better of the scrambles.
The host picks Ketlen Vieira, believing her efficient striking and pressure will be too much for Sijara Eubanks. He expects Eubanks' gas tank issues to resurface as the fight goes on, leading to a third-round TKO for Vieira. He notes that Vieira is the bigger, stronger fighter and that Eubanks' takedowns will be harder to secure.
The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, noting she has been more active and has better recent wins, including over Julia Avila. He thinks Vieira's win over Kaitlyn Chookagian is aged and she hasn't fought in a long time. He predicts Eubanks wins a unanimous decision dominantly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 34 of 87 | 39% | 66 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 53 of 107 | 49% | 107 of 171 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 | 1 | 10:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 19 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 15 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:00 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 44 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 4:02 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julia Avila | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 48 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 34 of 87 | 39% | 26 of 76 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Julia Avila | 53 of 107 | 49% | 46 of 98 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 41 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 13 of 29 | 44% | 10 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Julia Avila | 13 of 34 | 38% | 11 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 13 of 33 | 39% | 10 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Avila | 17 of 34 | 50% | 15 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Avila | 23 of 39 | 58% | 20 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 16 |
Big Brady picks Julia Avila, but expects the fight to be closer than the odds suggest. He notes Eubanks has crisp boxing and hits hard, but her cardio is a concern. Avila has decent upside and ground game, but he is worried about Eubanks' takedowns. He predicts Avila by decision, but cannot bet it himself.
The host expects Avila's pressure and 'raging panda' style to overwhelm Eubanks, who tends to fade later in fights. He notes Avila has good cardio, striking, and grappling, and predicts a second-round TKO. He also mentions the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at +130 as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila based on her convincing win over Gina Mazany and her victory over Pannie Kianzad, who beat Bethe Correia, who in turn beat Sijara Eubanks. He notes that Eubanks had a close decision with Aspen Ladd but believes Avila will out-strike her for three rounds and keep the fight standing, winning by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 85 of 171 | 49% | 104 of 190 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 |
| Sarah Moras | 0 | 44 of 138 | 31% | 84 of 179 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 27 of 67 | 40% | 27 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sarah Moras | 0 | 20 of 63 | 31% | 20 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 43 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Sarah Moras | 0 | 13 of 44 | 29% | 41 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 27 of 41 | 65% | 34 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Sarah Moras | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 23 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sijara Eubanks | 85 of 171 | 49% | 69 of 150 | 12 of 15 | 4 of 6 | 62 of 136 | 5 of 7 | 18 of 28 |
| Sarah Moras | 44 of 138 | 31% | 22 of 104 | 12 of 22 | 10 of 12 | 41 of 129 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sijara Eubanks | 27 of 67 | 40% | 22 of 59 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 27 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sarah Moras | 20 of 63 | 31% | 8 of 46 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 20 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sijara Eubanks | 31 of 63 | 49% | 25 of 55 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 18 |
| Sarah Moras | 13 of 44 | 29% | 9 of 35 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 36 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sijara Eubanks | 27 of 41 | 65% | 22 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 10 |
| Sarah Moras | 11 of 31 | 35% | 5 of 23 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is very confident in Sijara Eubanks, believing she has advantages everywhere including wrestling and striking. He thinks Eubanks will dominate from start to finish, possibly with a finish, and that Moras has poor takedown defense. He calls it Eubanks' easiest UFC fight and expects a dominant decision like 30-26 or 30-25.
Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks via unanimous decision, citing her black belt and top control advantage. He notes Moras' poor takedown defense and reliance on armbars, but warns Eubanks must avoid getting swept or caught in a submission.
The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, but expresses disdain for both fighters, calling them 'sh*t'. He says Eubanks will win because she is the less bad option, but offers no technical analysis. He notes that both have poor records and don't deserve to be in the UFC.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethe Correia | 0 | 77 of 169 | 45% | 94 of 186 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 59 of 127 | 46% | 77 of 146 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethe Correia | 0 | 31 of 59 | 52% | 48 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 15 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bethe Correia | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 21 of 45 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 24 of 48 | 50% | 34 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 3 | Bethe Correia | 0 | 25 of 65 | 38% | 25 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 24 of 55 | 43% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethe Correia | 77 of 169 | 45% | 58 of 138 | 12 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 55 of 140 | 8 of 10 | 14 of 19 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 59 of 127 | 46% | 42 of 101 | 12 of 19 | 5 of 7 | 54 of 118 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethe Correia | 31 of 59 | 52% | 24 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 19 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bethe Correia | 21 of 45 | 46% | 13 of 32 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 24 of 48 | 50% | 16 of 37 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bethe Correia | 25 of 65 | 38% | 21 of 57 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 58 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 24 of 55 | 43% | 18 of 45 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 22 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aspen Ladd | 0 | 69 of 125 | 55% | 85 of 143 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 | 0 | 6:56 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 77 of 164 | 46% | 80 of 168 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aspen Ladd | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 19 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 | |
| 2 | Aspen Ladd | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 34 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:46 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Aspen Ladd | 0 | 40 of 72 | 55% | 43 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 0 | 54 of 124 | 43% | 54 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aspen Ladd | 69 of 125 | 55% | 57 of 111 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 38 of 82 | 14 of 20 | 17 of 23 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 77 of 164 | 46% | 60 of 146 | 16 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 61 of 140 | 12 of 19 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aspen Ladd | 7 of 17 | 41% | 2 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 16 of 24 | 66% | 12 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Aspen Ladd | 22 of 36 | 61% | 19 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 23 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 7 of 16 | 43% | 3 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Aspen Ladd | 40 of 72 | 55% | 36 of 67 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 57 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Sijara Eubanks | 54 of 124 | 43% | 45 of 114 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 43 of 107 | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Melissa Gatto with a half-unit bet at +190. He believes Gatto is a young up-and-comer with real potential, while Eubanks is a .500 fighter whose cardio issues may not be fully resolved. He notes that Gatto has good striking, can set up takedowns, and is aggressive on top. However, he cautions that if Eubanks' cardio holds up, she is a giant beast at 125 and could be a problem. He emphasizes that Gatto must stay on top and not pull guard.
Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks by decision, citing her experience, BJJ black belt, and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He has concerns about Eubanks' age (36) and cardio if the fight extends. He notes Gatto's poor takedown defense and submission-over-position style, but acknowledges Gatto looked improved in her last fight. He says he may not bet Eubanks due to cardio worries.
Cody leans Eubanks due to her BJJ, size, and physicality. He notes her wrestling is solid for the division and she is aggressive. However, he worries about her cardio and weight cuts. Gatto is more wily and could pressure late. Cody says it's not a high-confidence play and wants to see weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog. He likes Gatto's scrappiness, aggression, and improvement, especially her arm submissions. Levi is concerned that Eubanks's jiu-jitsu could neutralize Gatto's sub attempts, but he believes Gatto's tenacity and desire to prove herself after a layoff will carry her. He thinks Gatto can make it close if she doesn't get held down for two rounds, and sees value in the plus money.
Jacob is extremely confident in Melissa Gatto, calling it his lock of the week. He placed 5 units on her moneyline at +146, 4 units on her inside the distance (decision no action) at +170, and 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at +165. He believes Eubanks cannot bully Gatto, who has good striking and aggressive grappling. He compares it to the Miranda Maverick fight where the favorite was dominated. Jacob thinks Gatto will finish Eubanks, possibly by submission, and that the odds are moving fast.
The host picks Eubanks by decision, highlighting her superior wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Gatto plays off her back and Eubanks should be able to control her on top. He likes the decision prop at +150, as Eubanks is not a proactive finisher.
Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Eubanks is the rightful favorite but notes concerns about her cardio and weight cuts. He says to pay attention to weigh-ins. He does not commit to a pick.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an upset winner, predicting a first-round armbar submission. He notes Gatto has good jiu-jitsu and submitted Carol Rosa with a kimura. He thinks Eubanks is getting older and may entertain the ground game too much. He sees Eubanks ending up on top but getting caught in an armbar from bottom.
both good, strange fight with the illegal strike,,, happy to pick either by finish in the future. Dione was on point. Tried an arm bar. Gatto good distance striking but was broken down by Dione everywhere. Good jiu jitsu from both. Steroid use from Gatto???