UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · Dec 18, 2021 · Catchweight (127.5 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 5"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 41
Height 5' 4"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Melissa Gatto
3.47 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
2.67 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
1.77 TD Avg
27.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Sijara Eubanks
4.3 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
3.43 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.9 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Melissa Gatto
Moneyline
DraftKings +145
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1100
Submission
FanDuel +600
Decision
FanDuel +320
Sijara Eubanks
Moneyline
BetWay -163
KO/TKO
FanDuel +600
Submission
FanDuel +500
Decision
FanDuel +150
Melissa Gatto - Fight History
LOSS vs Dione Barbosa
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 04, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dione Barbosa 0 30 of 67 44% 108 of 154 3 of 6 50% 1 1 6:06
Melissa Gatto 0 33 of 67 49% 64 of 109 3 of 12 25% 0 1 4:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dione Barbosa 0 16 of 37 43% 35 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
Melissa Gatto 0 21 of 48 43% 27 of 59 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:11
2 Dione Barbosa 0 9 of 20 45% 34 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:20
Melissa Gatto 0 5 of 7 71% 23 of 30 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:55
3 Dione Barbosa 0 5 of 10 50% 39 of 45 1 of 1 100% 1 1 2:31
Melissa Gatto 0 7 of 12 58% 14 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dione Barbosa 30 of 67 44% 19 of 53 9 of 12 2 of 2 16 of 49 5 of 7 9 of 11
Melissa Gatto 33 of 67 49% 14 of 40 9 of 15 10 of 12 30 of 62 2 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dione Barbosa 16 of 37 43% 12 of 31 2 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 30 3 of 5 1 of 2
Melissa Gatto 21 of 48 43% 7 of 26 7 of 13 7 of 9 20 of 45 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Dione Barbosa 9 of 20 45% 6 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 4
Melissa Gatto 5 of 7 71% 2 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Dione Barbosa 5 of 10 50% 1 of 5 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 5
Melissa Gatto 7 of 12 58% 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dione Barbosa vs. Melissa Gatto
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barbosa (-145); Gatto (+125)

Round 1
The night presses on as a pair of women’s flyweights meet in hopes of keeping or lifting their respective promotional record above .500. Barbosa (8-4, 2-2 UFC) would like a victory to elevate it over that midpoint mark, while bantamweight part-timer Gatto (9-2-2, 3-2 UFC) is looking for success back in her natural weight class. Referee Chris Tognoni draws the charge for this preliminary contest, one that does not open with a glove touch.
The ladies measure one another in the early going, testing out their jabs while not committing to much else. Gatto opens up a bit more with her overhand right, and when she finally scores one, she has to back off when a one-two pinpoints her nose. Gatto slings her right hand down the pipe, faking a takedown shot and ultimately walk into a spinning back kick counter. Barbosa gets her attention with a left hand after the kick connects, and she is greeted with a stern right hand. Barbosa shakes it off and offers a low kick followed by two punches, and the two start trading hands in a brief exchange with Barbosa landing at the beginning and ending. Gatto works her way behind her right hand, and she shoots in for takedown that is shut down before it can come close to materializing.
Barbosa bullies the taller woman to the wall, pressing her shoulder tightly before kneeing her a couple times to the stomach. Barbosa trips Gatto up to drag her to the floor, and Gatto springs back up with the fencing behind her. Barbosa stomps Gatto’s toes, and Gatto breaks off with a knee. Gatto takes a punch and times the spin she sees coming to grab Barbosa from behind and wrangle her to the mat. Gatto advances to an awkward position that places her in leglock danger, but she is close to securing the mount position. Barbosa hacks with elbows off her back, and she uses butterfly hooks to stave Gatto from claiming a dominant posture. Gatto lowers herself down maintain control, and Barbosa’s leg slides up an around to snatch up an armbar. Gatto leans to her side to free the pressure on her limb, and she drills Barbosa with a number of hammerfists as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gatto
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gatto
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gatto

Round 2
Gatto assumes control of the center of the cage to get going first, pushing out her jab a few times before snatching up a Barbosa low kick to trip her up and take her to the mat. Barbosa flips her all the way over to wind up on top, and Gatto is stuck flat on her back. Gatto keeps a high guard when Barbosa postures up, but Barbosa does not fall into a trap and stands back up. Gatto turns to her knees to stand back up, and Barbosa blasts her with an illegal soccer kick to the neck and chin that knocks Gatto completely out. Barbosa walks off celebrating, as if she thinks that she has won the fight, while Gatto is splayed out lifelessly in an eerie scene reminiscent of Maycee Barber getting knocked out last week. As a medical professional or two rush in to tend to Gatto, she comes to and has to be told what happened. The replay official flips the light to signal that they are going to use instant replay to review the footage, but it appeared that Gatto’s knee was down right before she took the soccer kick that rendered her unconscious. Tognoni discusses his options with the officiating team, and he deducts one point from Barbosa for the foul. Shockingly, the fight somehow continues, even though Gatto was knocked unconscious from the strike. This is complete nonsense. This fight should be over, period. What happened to fighter safety being the primary concern of officials? Gatto, who apparently is back with her wits again, runs forward at the restart to take the fight down. Barbosa is grounded for a time before fighting her way back up, and she turns the tables to take Gatto down.
Gatto works her way up after absorbing some hammerfists, and she breaks out of the clinch to take a spinning back fist on the chin. Gatto shakes it out and tackles Barbosa to the floor. Thankfully, with Gatto on top, it means she is not currently absorbing much brain trauma after being knocked out from the illegal soccer kick that only resulted in a single point being deducted. Barbosa fights off her back with a high guard in hopes of catching Gatto in something, and she grips hold of a triangle armbar but is punched out of it. The round somehow ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 9-9
Tyler Treese scores the round: 9-9

Round 3
Between rounds, it is explained that the officials and medical staff determined Gatto was able to continue a fistfight despite already getting knocked all the way out. What are rules anymore? It does not take long for the ladies to go for grappling, and Barbosa succeeds in taking Gatto to the mat. Gatto keeps her left leg wrapped on the side in hopes of setting something up, and Barbosa ignores it and starts elbowing her in the side. Gatto turns to her side with a two-on-one wrist control of Barbosa, who counters her by rolling all the way over to snatch up an armbar.
Gatto turns over to stack Barboza up, squeezing her elbow and forearm on the throat while exerting as much pressure down as she can to stifle the submission. Barbosa cannot hold the submission much longer as she is getting squished, and Gatto breaks out of it and busts her in the chops with a strong right hand. Barbosa sits up and flips her opponent over to her back, and she starts hunting for a leglock. Gatto sits up to stop it, and she tries to muscle Barbosa over and use a kimura grip to reverse position. She succeeds in turning Barbosa over and keeps control of the limb, and she steps over the body with her rear leg to establish herself in top control. As the ladies roll around on the mat looking for positional advantages, Gatto snags hold of the left arm of her opponent to hunt for her own armbar. Barbosa elbows Gatto on the back of the calf, and this fight somehow makes it 15 minutes. This is not a good day for the Nevada State Athletic Commission. A draw may be in play, but that depends on the scoring of the first round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (28-28)

The Official Result
Dione Barbosa def. Melissa Gatto via Majority Decision (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Angelo picks Dione Barbosa, citing her superior takedown ability as a judoka. He notes that Melissa Gatto has poor takedowns and that Barbosa can close the distance, take her down, and control on top. He worries about potential judging bias similar to Barbosa's last loss but believes Barbosa will win a close decision.

"Dion Barbosa is going to be the pick. We probably end up in a 2928 type situation."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Big Brady picks Melissa Gatto as a slight underdog. He notes Barbosa has power and can get takedowns early, but fades as the fight goes on. He likes Gatto's cardio, volume, and kicks, and expects her to take over in later rounds. He predicts a close decision win for Gatto.

Gatto by decision
"I'll take Gatto here. I like the cardio, I like the kicks, I like the volume."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Cody picks Gatto, citing her youth, improved skills, and ability to scramble and strike. He expects her to win a decision, as Barbosa's grappling-heavy style may not score well.

"It's got by decision for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Connor leans toward Barbosa, agreeing that she is more disciplined. He notes that Gatto's footwork is worse and she tends to collapse when pressured, leading her to wrestle. Barbosa is as big as Gatto and a better grappler, which should neutralize Gatto's advantages.

Barbosa opened +105, now -127; Gatto opened -125, now +107.
"Barboza actually has some a little bit of boxing footwork... Gatto just doesn't know how to like keep herself lined up."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

James leans toward Melissa Gatto as the underdog, citing her striking kicks and cardio advantage, while noting Barbosa's tendency to tire. He admits he hasn't done tape study and is unsure about the grappling dynamics. He predicts a decision win for Gatto but emphasizes low confidence and the need for further analysis.

"I'll say Melissa Gate. She's the underdog. I lean to the underdog in a fight like this where I think it's very close."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The host picks Gatto as a dog, citing her damage-based striking and grappling advantage. He notes Barbosa's recent loss where control wasn't enough, and trusts Gatto's volume and damage to win on the scorecards despite a two-year layoff. He sees a good stylistic matchup for Gatto.

"I feel like Gateau is the perfect dog to start off this card."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Paul leans towards Gatto, noting her two-year layoff may have helped her improve. He expects her to win a close decision due to her striking and scrambling.

"I do have Melissa God. I think Melissa is a decent fighter."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Dione Barbosa

The MMA Guru picks Dione Barbosa but seems hesitant, acknowledging that her win over Diana Belbita isn't impressive. He notes that Melissa Gatto has a body kick KO win but lost to Tracy Cortez. He thinks Barbosa is slightly more well-rounded but doesn't sound fully convinced.

"I think she'll win this one, though. I think she'll beat Melissa Gatto, okay? Don't grill me on it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dione Barbosa

Zane leans toward Barbosa, noting she is more disciplined and has better footwork. He thinks Gatto has good tools but doesn't stick to them, and tends to win when opponents make catastrophic mistakes. Barbosa's boxing footwork and grappling should allow her to keep the fight in her favor.

Barbosa opened +105, now -127; Gatto opened -125, now +107.
"I'm tempted to pick Barboza. I think she's a little more... she's just a more disciplined fighter."
WIN vs Tamires Vidal
TKO (punch to the body) R3 0:37 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Melissa Gatto 0 15 of 29 51% 50 of 66 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:53
Tamires Vidal 0 30 of 52 57% 120 of 163 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Melissa Gatto 0 3 of 3 100% 32 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Tamires Vidal 0 6 of 9 66% 72 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:33
2 Melissa Gatto 0 11 of 20 55% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
Tamires Vidal 0 21 of 35 60% 45 of 70 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:25
3 Melissa Gatto 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tamires Vidal 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Melissa Gatto 15 of 29 51% 7 of 21 2 of 2 6 of 6 14 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 30 of 52 57% 13 of 30 16 of 20 1 of 2 22 of 40 1 of 5 7 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Melissa Gatto 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 6 of 9 66% 4 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Melissa Gatto 11 of 20 55% 5 of 14 2 of 2 4 of 4 10 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 21 of 35 60% 9 of 21 11 of 12 1 of 2 15 of 25 1 of 5 5 of 5
3 Melissa Gatto 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 3 of 8 37% 0 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Angelo is shocked that Melissa Gatto is the biggest favorite on the card at -820 despite being on a two-fight losing streak, moving up in weight, and having poor takedown accuracy (0 for 7 in her last fight). He believes Tamires Vidal is big, strong, and has a grappling advantage. He plans to bet on Vidal, watching the line movement to decide when to place the bet.

bet on Vidal (timing based on line movement)
"I already thought vial was going to win let alone at these odds I'm going to continue to watch this"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Cody views this as a clear bounceback fight for Gatto, who has lost two close decisions to top competition. He notes Vidal has massive limitations in every area: poor footwork, no head movement, low volume, and no power. Gatto is stronger, more technical, and a better wrestler. Cody believes Gatto will dominate on the ground and get back in the win column.

"Gatto is way strong at 125 that won't finish at 135 she's a way more polished way more powerful way more technical Striker than Vidal."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Vidal is reckless with wide hooks and was out-grinded in her last fight. Gatto is the toughest opponent Vidal has faced and should provide a ton of resistance. Expects Gatto to pressure Vidal, use the clinch, take her down, and eventually find a finish. The line should be closer to -400 or -500.

Inside the distance for Gatto.
"I think the minus 300 on Melissa got to is more than worthy here as I think that she should be closer to minus 400 maybe evenus 500"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Paul sees Gatto as much more powerful and technical than Vidal. He notes Vidal's only UFC win came via flying knee against a low-level opponent, and she was dominated by Montserrat Ruiz. Paul expects Gatto to manhandle Vidal with her grappling and physicality, despite moving up a weight class.

"It's goto for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto over Tamires Vidal, despite going against his rule of picking 'thems' in women's MMA. He notes that Gatto had a close fight with Tracy Cortez and that Vidal was taken down three times by a smaller opponent in her last fight. He expects Gatto to use her reach and grappling to control Vidal and win by decision.

"I'm going to go with Melissa GTO here I think she'll be able to take down um tamires vdal"
LOSS vs Ariane da Silva
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 0 66 of 149 44% 81 of 166 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:47
Melissa Gatto 0 85 of 186 45% 100 of 201 0 of 7 0% 0 0 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 16 of 49 32% 18 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Melissa Gatto 0 28 of 53 52% 28 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
2 Ariane da Silva 0 26 of 46 56% 39 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Melissa Gatto 0 33 of 66 50% 45 of 78 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:16
3 Ariane da Silva 0 24 of 54 44% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Melissa Gatto 0 24 of 67 35% 27 of 70 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 66 of 149 44% 28 of 101 27 of 36 11 of 12 53 of 131 12 of 15 1 of 3
Melissa Gatto 85 of 186 45% 39 of 117 34 of 50 12 of 19 70 of 165 15 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 16 of 49 32% 3 of 30 9 of 15 4 of 4 14 of 45 2 of 4 0 of 0
Melissa Gatto 28 of 53 52% 13 of 31 10 of 15 5 of 7 25 of 49 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 26 of 46 56% 10 of 27 12 of 14 4 of 5 18 of 37 8 of 9 0 of 0
Melissa Gatto 33 of 66 50% 11 of 37 17 of 21 5 of 8 23 of 52 10 of 14 0 of 0
3 Ariane da Silva 24 of 54 44% 15 of 44 6 of 7 3 of 3 21 of 49 2 of 2 1 of 3
Melissa Gatto 24 of 67 35% 15 of 49 7 of 14 2 of 4 22 of 64 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Angelo picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) based on her last performance against JJ Aldrich, where her hands and wrestling looked great. He acknowledges the logical pick is Melissa Gatto due to Lipski's history of being outgrappled, but he goes against logic. He suggests a plus 3.5 point buy on the scorecard for Lipski as a safer bet.

plus 3.5 points on judges scorecard (potential bet)
"I'm going to go against the logic I'm going to pick lipsky like she looked so good against JJ Aldridge"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Big Brady picks Melissa Gatto to win by first-round submission. He notes Gatto has improved significantly, with better striking and takedown defense, and has power. He points out that Ariane da Silva (Lipski) has been dominated on the ground by fighters like Montana De La Rosa and Antonina Shevchenko, and Gatto's top game is dangerous. He expects Gatto to get on top and finish early.

first round submission
"give me got her to win this fight by first round I'll say sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Cody sees Lipski as a live underdog. He notes Gatto's low volume (17 significant strikes in nearly 3 rounds against Eubanks) and poor defensive wrestling. Lipski showed improved wrestling at ATT and has high volume (101 significant strikes against Aldrich). Cody thinks if Lipski can stuff takedowns, she wins the striking battle. He also notes Lipski is only 29 and improving.

"I too will take lip ski all right"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Daniel confidently picks Gatto, citing her superior heart, durability, and grappling. He notes Lipski's history of quitting when pressured and her poor defensive grappling, while Gatto showed toughness against Tracy Cortez, reversing positions and landing takedowns. He believes Gatto's chin and submission threat are key, and that Lipski's recent win over JJ Aldrich is overrated. However, he missed the opening line (-150) and won't bet at -230, but expects Gatto to win.

missed the line at -150; Gatto minus 230
"I definitely favorite gato here it's just you know all you guys that came in on that minus 150. that minus 170. you all did your job"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Paul is tempted by the CF dog model. He notes Lipski's last performance against Aldrich was impressive and that Gatto's wins are over low-level competition. He questions if Lipski has turned the corner and thinks the line is off. Paul believes Lipski has a legitimate chance.

"I am tempted for uh to to enact the CF dot model on this one Cody is has ariani lipsky turned the corner here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The Guru picks Melissa Gatto, noting her impressive win over Ariane Lipski via front kick to the body and her submission win over Karol Rosa. He acknowledges her loss to Tracy Cortez but believes she has improved during her year off. He predicts a submission off her back, possibly an armbar.

submission off her back, armbar
"all the logic in the world is pointing me towards Melissa gato here"
LOSS vs Tracy Cortez
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tracy Cortez 0 36 of 66 54% 70 of 102 2 of 3 66% 1 1 7:54
Melissa Gatto 0 30 of 73 41% 49 of 95 3 of 6 50% 1 1 3:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tracy Cortez 0 11 of 16 68% 23 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:16
Melissa Gatto 0 7 of 20 35% 14 of 28 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
2 Tracy Cortez 0 9 of 23 39% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:35
Melissa Gatto 0 15 of 35 42% 25 of 47 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:04
3 Tracy Cortez 0 16 of 27 59% 27 of 39 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:03
Melissa Gatto 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tracy Cortez 36 of 66 54% 25 of 51 6 of 9 5 of 6 14 of 37 2 of 2 20 of 27
Melissa Gatto 30 of 73 41% 25 of 61 3 of 7 2 of 5 27 of 69 0 of 1 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tracy Cortez 11 of 16 68% 8 of 13 0 of 0 3 of 3 5 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 9
Melissa Gatto 7 of 20 35% 6 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 3 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tracy Cortez 9 of 23 39% 4 of 16 4 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 18 1 of 1 3 of 4
Melissa Gatto 15 of 35 42% 13 of 30 2 of 4 0 of 1 14 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 1
3 Tracy Cortez 16 of 27 59% 13 of 22 2 of 3 1 of 2 4 of 12 1 of 1 11 of 14
Melissa Gatto 8 of 18 44% 6 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Angelo picks Tracy Cortez based on her wrestling, expecting her to grind out a decision. However, he admits his bet will be on Melissa Gatto to win inside the distance (decision no action), indicating a lack of full confidence in Cortez. He notes Cortez's layoff and Gatto's submission threat.

Bet on Melissa Gatto to win inside the distance (decision no action) at BetOnline
"she's the pick because of the wrestling my my bet is actually going to be on gatto so my pick is tracy cortez"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision, but he is hesitant. He acknowledges that Gatto has shown impressive striking and grappling, but her takedown defense is poor. Cortez will look to take Gatto down and control her, and Brady believes she will succeed in getting takedowns. However, Gatto is dangerous off her back with submissions, so Cortez will have to fight off submissions for 15 minutes. Brady thinks Cortez will win by controlling the fight on the ground, but he would not count out Gatto completely.

decision
"I'm gonna take cortez to take godo down in each and every round controller for the majority of the fight but god is going to most definitely have her moments this is a very interesting fight I like both fighters …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Tracy Cortez

Cody picks Tracy Cortez, but emphasizes monitoring the scales. He notes Cortez's wrestling advantage and that she trains at Fight Ready MMA. Cody believes Cortez can get takedowns and stay on top, avoiding Gatto's submissions. He thinks Gatto's guard is active but Cortez's wrestling and pace will prevail. Cody is confident if Cortez makes weight.

"i tend to go with the wrestler so i'm gonna go with tracy cortez at home"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Daniel Levi leans toward Melissa Gatto as an underdog, citing her cleaner striking, power, and opportunistic submissions. He expects Cortez to have early wrestling success but thinks Gatto can survive and turn the fight in later rounds. He is worried about Cortez's top control but sees value in Gatto at plus money. He has not bet yet, noting he missed better lines.

Daniel considers a Gatto submission prop but has not bet. He mentions the line moved from +170 to +130.
"I do like the potential in Gato. It's just this fight is one of those that I truly believe is gonna come down to the wire and oftentimes in fights like that I like to take the dog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The host picks Melissa Gatto but is not betting the fight due to volatility. He notes Cortez's strong wrestling but concerns about her weight miss and cardio. He highlights Gatto's impressive UFC performances, her ability to work from bottom, and her vicious striking. He expects Gatto to pressure, attack the body, and possibly find a submission or win via striking. He acknowledges Cortez will land takedowns but thinks Gatto will do enough to win.

"i am picking her to win she will be my prediction to win this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Paul picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog at +147. He believes the fight is more 50/50 and that Gatto's grappling is legit, with an active guard and submission threats. He fears Cortez's wrestling could control the fight, but thinks Gatto's strength and jiu-jitsu could lead to a submission. Paul acknowledges the Arizona home cooking factor but took the dog shot.

"i took the underdog shot on melissa gatto uh plus 147."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog, citing her underrated skills, youth, and physical advantages. He notes Gatto has a reach advantage, submission ability, and finishing power, as seen in her wins over Carol Rosa and Sijara Eubanks. He criticizes Cortez for pitter-patter striking and lack of finishing ability. He predicts Gatto will win on the feet and then secure a submission, possibly an armbar in the second round.

"i'm going with the underdog melissa garter moving on up the card"
TKO (body kick and punches) R3 0:45 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · Dec 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Melissa Gatto 0 14 of 45 31% 32 of 68 1 of 4 25% 0 1 6:05
Sijara Eubanks 1 17 of 34 50% 64 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Melissa Gatto 0 8 of 18 44% 23 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 1 4:30
Sijara Eubanks 0 2 of 5 40% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Melissa Gatto 0 4 of 11 36% 7 of 15 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:35
Sijara Eubanks 0 9 of 13 69% 37 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:53
3 Melissa Gatto 0 2 of 16 12% 2 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sijara Eubanks 1 6 of 16 37% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Melissa Gatto 14 of 45 31% 10 of 37 4 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 33 2 of 2 7 of 10
Sijara Eubanks 17 of 34 50% 11 of 27 2 of 2 4 of 5 13 of 29 2 of 2 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Melissa Gatto 8 of 18 44% 8 of 16 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 10
Sijara Eubanks 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Melissa Gatto 4 of 11 36% 1 of 8 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 9 of 13 69% 7 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1
3 Melissa Gatto 2 of 16 12% 1 of 13 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 6 of 16 37% 3 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 3 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Angelo picks Melissa Gatto with a half-unit bet at +190. He believes Gatto is a young up-and-comer with real potential, while Eubanks is a .500 fighter whose cardio issues may not be fully resolved. He notes that Gatto has good striking, can set up takedowns, and is aggressive on top. However, he cautions that if Eubanks' cardio holds up, she is a giant beast at 125 and could be a problem. He emphasizes that Gatto must stay on top and not pull guard.

0.5 units on moneyline at +190
"i like melissa gatto i put a half a unit on the money line i got it at plus 190"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks by decision, citing her experience, BJJ black belt, and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He has concerns about Eubanks' age (36) and cardio if the fight extends. He notes Gatto's poor takedown defense and submission-over-position style, but acknowledges Gatto looked improved in her last fight. He says he may not bet Eubanks due to cardio worries.

decision
"I'm gonna pick cru banks to win by decision but um I don't think I'm gonna be betting her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Cody leans Eubanks due to her BJJ, size, and physicality. He notes her wrestling is solid for the division and she is aggressive. However, he worries about her cardio and weight cuts. Gatto is more wily and could pressure late. Cody says it's not a high-confidence play and wants to see weigh-ins.

"I think I would lean towards eubanks it's not something I'm going to put finalized in bam bam but yeah as far as the show picks right now I would go you banks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog. He likes Gatto's scrappiness, aggression, and improvement, especially her arm submissions. Levi is concerned that Eubanks's jiu-jitsu could neutralize Gatto's sub attempts, but he believes Gatto's tenacity and desire to prove herself after a layoff will carry her. He thinks Gatto can make it close if she doesn't get held down for two rounds, and sees value in the plus money.

Gatto by submission; underdog play
"I'm gonna end up actually taking the dog because I think she's got a little bit more tenacity more ferocity."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Jacob is extremely confident in Melissa Gatto, calling it his lock of the week. He placed 5 units on her moneyline at +146, 4 units on her inside the distance (decision no action) at +170, and 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at +165. He believes Eubanks cannot bully Gatto, who has good striking and aggressive grappling. He compares it to the Miranda Maverick fight where the favorite was dominated. Jacob thinks Gatto will finish Eubanks, possibly by submission, and that the odds are moving fast.

5 units moneyline at +146, 4 units inside distance decision no action at +170, 2 units under 2.5 rounds at +165, 1 unit Gatto by submission at +1000
"i've never been so confident in a lock of the week pick in my entire life"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The host picks Eubanks by decision, highlighting her superior wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Gatto plays off her back and Eubanks should be able to control her on top. He likes the decision prop at +150, as Eubanks is not a proactive finisher.

Eubanks by decision (+150)
"I like me some eubanks i like her at minus 160 but i even like her prop here at decision uh via decision which i currently believe is plus 150"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Eubanks is the rightful favorite but notes concerns about her cardio and weight cuts. He says to pay attention to weigh-ins. He does not commit to a pick.

"I think I would lean towards eubanks it's not something I'm going to put finalized in bam bam but yeah as far as the show picks right now I would go you banks want to see the weigh-ins though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an upset winner, predicting a first-round armbar submission. He notes Gatto has good jiu-jitsu and submitted Carol Rosa with a kimura. He thinks Eubanks is getting older and may entertain the ground game too much. He sees Eubanks ending up on top but getting caught in an armbar from bottom.

first round armbar submission
"i'm gonna go with melissa gato in an upset win here"
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 5:00 · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · Aug 07, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Melissa Gatto 0 43 of 91 47% 59 of 110 0 of 3 0% 0 2 2:27
Victoria Leonardo 0 70 of 121 57% 96 of 148 1 of 5 20% 0 1 1:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Melissa Gatto 0 13 of 27 48% 27 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 2 1:59
Victoria Leonardo 0 13 of 21 61% 36 of 45 1 of 4 25% 0 1 1:48
2 Melissa Gatto 0 30 of 64 46% 32 of 66 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:28
Victoria Leonardo 0 57 of 100 57% 60 of 103 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Melissa Gatto 43 of 91 47% 14 of 58 13 of 17 16 of 16 38 of 84 3 of 4 2 of 3
Victoria Leonardo 70 of 121 57% 42 of 83 12 of 19 16 of 19 63 of 110 6 of 10 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Melissa Gatto 13 of 27 48% 4 of 17 3 of 4 6 of 6 9 of 22 2 of 2 2 of 3
Victoria Leonardo 13 of 21 61% 7 of 12 2 of 5 4 of 4 9 of 14 3 of 6 1 of 1
2 Melissa Gatto 30 of 64 46% 10 of 41 10 of 13 10 of 10 29 of 62 1 of 2 0 of 0
Victoria Leonardo 57 of 100 57% 35 of 71 10 of 14 12 of 15 54 of 96 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2021 (fight day)
Victoria Leonardo

Angelo picks Leonardo, citing Gatto's long layoff (2.5 years due to USADA suspension) and that Gatto is a grappler who likes to fight off her back. He thinks Leonardo will be on top and win a decision. He calls Leonardo a solid underdog pick.

"I really like Victoria Leonardo in this fight... there's too many unknowns with Melissa Gatto, she's been out for too long."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 3, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Victoria Leonardo

Big Brady is hesitant on this fight due to many question marks. He thinks Melissa Gatto is sub-or-bust and has poor takedown defense, while Victoria Leonardo is more active and likely the better striker. He picks Leonardo to win by decision but warns that Gatto could pull off an armbar from guard. He advises staying away from betting this fight.

armbar from guard possibility; stay away from betting
"I will pick her to win, I'll pick her to win by decision but honestly this has armbar from guard written all over it."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Cody picks Gatto, citing the narrative of Brazilian fighters improving after long layoffs. He notes her BJJ skills and potential improvements in wrestling. He thinks she can get the fight to the ground and submit Leonardo.

Gatto by submission
"i actually just got to take that shot in the dark and i'm going to end up going with gato here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto to win by opportunistic submission, citing that Victoria Leonardo is a punching bag on the feet and has been stopped multiple times. He notes that Gatto is young and may have improved during her USADA suspension, and that Leonardo's takedown attempts could lead to submissions. He does not put much stock into the suspension for a young fighter and believes Gatto has the skills to finish.

Says Gatto by opportunistic submission
"I'ma go Gatta opportunistic submission somewhere along the way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Victoria Leonardo

Gatto is a BJJ specialist who relies on takedowns, but Leonardo has a purple belt and good enough grappling to nullify submissions. Leonardo is stronger, has better striking, and better cardio. The longer the fight goes, the more success Leonardo will have, likely finishing Gatto in the third round via ground and pound.

Leonardo by KO/TKO +550; Leonardo in round 3 +1475; under 2.5 rounds
"I think that the longer that this fight goes Leonardo will have more and more success and I think that ultimately we'll actually see Leonardo get her out of there probably in the third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick. He is surprised by the pick'em line and notes the lack of tape on both fighters.

TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto to win by first-round submission. He highlights Gatto's undefeated record (6-0 with two draws) and her win over Carol Rosa, who is now on a four-fight win streak in the UFC. He criticizes Victoria Leonardo's lack of technical skill and poor chin, noting she has been knocked out twice recently. He predicts Gatto will submit Leonardo, possibly off her back.

first round submission
"i'm going to call her first round submission for melissa gatto here over leonardo"
Sijara Eubanks - Fight History
LOSS vs Melissa Gatto
TKO (body kick and punches) R3 0:45 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · Dec 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Melissa Gatto 0 14 of 45 31% 32 of 68 1 of 4 25% 0 1 6:05
Sijara Eubanks 1 17 of 34 50% 64 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Melissa Gatto 0 8 of 18 44% 23 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 1 4:30
Sijara Eubanks 0 2 of 5 40% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Melissa Gatto 0 4 of 11 36% 7 of 15 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:35
Sijara Eubanks 0 9 of 13 69% 37 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:53
3 Melissa Gatto 0 2 of 16 12% 2 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sijara Eubanks 1 6 of 16 37% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Melissa Gatto 14 of 45 31% 10 of 37 4 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 33 2 of 2 7 of 10
Sijara Eubanks 17 of 34 50% 11 of 27 2 of 2 4 of 5 13 of 29 2 of 2 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Melissa Gatto 8 of 18 44% 8 of 16 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 10
Sijara Eubanks 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Melissa Gatto 4 of 11 36% 1 of 8 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 9 of 13 69% 7 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1
3 Melissa Gatto 2 of 16 12% 1 of 13 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 6 of 16 37% 3 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 3 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Angelo picks Melissa Gatto with a half-unit bet at +190. He believes Gatto is a young up-and-comer with real potential, while Eubanks is a .500 fighter whose cardio issues may not be fully resolved. He notes that Gatto has good striking, can set up takedowns, and is aggressive on top. However, he cautions that if Eubanks' cardio holds up, she is a giant beast at 125 and could be a problem. He emphasizes that Gatto must stay on top and not pull guard.

0.5 units on moneyline at +190
"i like melissa gatto i put a half a unit on the money line i got it at plus 190"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks by decision, citing her experience, BJJ black belt, and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He has concerns about Eubanks' age (36) and cardio if the fight extends. He notes Gatto's poor takedown defense and submission-over-position style, but acknowledges Gatto looked improved in her last fight. He says he may not bet Eubanks due to cardio worries.

decision
"I'm gonna pick cru banks to win by decision but um I don't think I'm gonna be betting her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Cody leans Eubanks due to her BJJ, size, and physicality. He notes her wrestling is solid for the division and she is aggressive. However, he worries about her cardio and weight cuts. Gatto is more wily and could pressure late. Cody says it's not a high-confidence play and wants to see weigh-ins.

"I think I would lean towards eubanks it's not something I'm going to put finalized in bam bam but yeah as far as the show picks right now I would go you banks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog. He likes Gatto's scrappiness, aggression, and improvement, especially her arm submissions. Levi is concerned that Eubanks's jiu-jitsu could neutralize Gatto's sub attempts, but he believes Gatto's tenacity and desire to prove herself after a layoff will carry her. He thinks Gatto can make it close if she doesn't get held down for two rounds, and sees value in the plus money.

Gatto by submission; underdog play
"I'm gonna end up actually taking the dog because I think she's got a little bit more tenacity more ferocity."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Jacob is extremely confident in Melissa Gatto, calling it his lock of the week. He placed 5 units on her moneyline at +146, 4 units on her inside the distance (decision no action) at +170, and 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at +165. He believes Eubanks cannot bully Gatto, who has good striking and aggressive grappling. He compares it to the Miranda Maverick fight where the favorite was dominated. Jacob thinks Gatto will finish Eubanks, possibly by submission, and that the odds are moving fast.

5 units moneyline at +146, 4 units inside distance decision no action at +170, 2 units under 2.5 rounds at +165, 1 unit Gatto by submission at +1000
"i've never been so confident in a lock of the week pick in my entire life"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The host picks Eubanks by decision, highlighting her superior wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Gatto plays off her back and Eubanks should be able to control her on top. He likes the decision prop at +150, as Eubanks is not a proactive finisher.

Eubanks by decision (+150)
"I like me some eubanks i like her at minus 160 but i even like her prop here at decision uh via decision which i currently believe is plus 150"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Eubanks is the rightful favorite but notes concerns about her cardio and weight cuts. He says to pay attention to weigh-ins. He does not commit to a pick.

"I think I would lean towards eubanks it's not something I'm going to put finalized in bam bam but yeah as far as the show picks right now I would go you banks want to see the weigh-ins though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an upset winner, predicting a first-round armbar submission. He notes Gatto has good jiu-jitsu and submitted Carol Rosa with a kimura. He thinks Eubanks is getting older and may entertain the ground game too much. He sees Eubanks ending up on top but getting caught in an armbar from bottom.

first round armbar submission
"i'm gonna go with melissa gato in an upset win here"
WIN vs Elise Reed
TKO (punches) R1 3:49 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Jul 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sijara Eubanks 0 22 of 40 55% 37 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:41
Elise Reed 0 1 of 4 25% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sijara Eubanks 0 22 of 40 55% 37 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:41
Elise Reed 0 1 of 4 25% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sijara Eubanks 22 of 40 55% 22 of 37 0 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 34
Elise Reed 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sijara Eubanks 22 of 40 55% 22 of 37 0 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 34
Elise Reed 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Angelo picks Elise Reed because Sijara Eubanks has cardio issues and is dropping to flyweight, which will exacerbate those problems. He notes that Eubanks is much better than her record but her cardio is a big issue. He already placed a half-unit moneyline bet on Reed. He also likes the over on the monkey knife fight line and the 3.5 round prop (buying a round on the scorecard), expecting Reed to win at least one round.

half unit moneyline bet on Elise Reed; over on monkey knife fight line; 3.5 round prop (buy a round on judge's scorecard)
"i did already do a half a unit money line on a lease read because i do like elise here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks to win by submission. He notes Eubanks has fought much better competition and is a legit black belt, while Reed is green and moving up a weight class. He expects Eubanks to take the fight down and grind out a finish, though he warns about Eubanks' weight cut (dropping to 125) and potential to gas. He believes even if Eubanks fades, she will have secured two rounds.

Eubanks by submission
"i think eubanks does get it done and i'm gonna say she gets it done by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Cody picks Eubanks, calling it a walk in the park stylistically. He notes Eubanks' size, wrestling, and BJJ are too much for Reed, who has poor takedown defense. He is concerned about Eubanks' weight cut but thinks if she makes weight, she wins easily. He does not include her in parlays due to weight cut risk.

"this should be a walk in the park no problem for sinjar eubanks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks, acknowledging her experience and black belt, but notes she has dropped similar prices before. He warns that Reed is tough and could make it interesting on the feet, but Eubanks should get the job done. Levi doesn't buy into the gassing narrative, but says Eubanks makes bonehead mistakes.

"i'm gonna go to jar right here but again it could get very interesting"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Jacob picks Elise Reed based on value, noting that Sijara Eubanks is a -300 favorite despite having nine straight decisions and cardio issues. He sees Reed at +690 as great value and believes the line should be closer to -300 for Eubanks. He is worried about Reed's inexperience but thinks her volume and pressure will be too much for Eubanks, who has cardio problems and is dropping weight.

"i'm taking 6 900 and the value in elise reed"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The host picks Sijara Eubanks, citing her size and grappling advantage over Elise Reed, who is moving up from strawweight. He believes Eubanks will drag the fight to the ground and use her BJJ to secure a submission, possibly her first UFC finish. He notes Reed's takedown defense issues and Eubanks' improved cardio, though he acknowledges Eubanks has never submitted anyone professionally. He likes Eubanks inside the distance at +170.

Eubanks inside the distance +170; Eubanks by decision +120 (Cody's lean)
"i do like to draw eubanks inside the distance in the spot i think it's plus 175 is what i'm looking at"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Paul agrees, noting Eubanks' size and grappling advantage. He criticizes Reed's takedown defense and grappling. He thinks if Eubanks does even half of what she's capable of, she wins. He warns about weight cut issues but still picks Eubanks.

"if she just does even half of what she's capable of doing she wins this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The Guru picks Eubanks, citing her toughness, experience, and close fight with Aspen Ladd. He notes Reed's split decision wins outside the UFC against lower-level competition. He believes Eubanks' UFC experience and desperation (fighting for her career) will lead to a unanimous decision win.

"i'll go with ciara eubanks to get the job done here against a newcomer elise reed"
LOSS vs Pannie Kianzad
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 49 of 104 47% 70 of 131 2 of 4 50% 0 0 6:33
Sijara Eubanks 0 92 of 143 64% 132 of 187 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 7 of 12 58% 20 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:23
Sijara Eubanks 0 3 of 9 33% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 8 of 15 53% 14 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:05
Sijara Eubanks 0 28 of 40 70% 56 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:39
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 34 of 77 44% 36 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Sijara Eubanks 0 61 of 94 64% 67 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 49 of 104 47% 43 of 94 5 of 9 1 of 1 38 of 90 4 of 7 7 of 7
Sijara Eubanks 92 of 143 64% 57 of 105 22 of 25 13 of 13 65 of 114 26 of 28 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 6
Sijara Eubanks 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Pannie Kianzad 8 of 15 53% 7 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 11 3 of 3 1 of 1
Sijara Eubanks 28 of 40 70% 16 of 26 11 of 13 1 of 1 8 of 18 20 of 22 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 34 of 77 44% 30 of 69 3 of 7 1 of 1 33 of 73 1 of 4 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 61 of 94 64% 38 of 70 11 of 12 12 of 12 55 of 88 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad as an underdog, noting that Eubanks has a 7-4 record and her recent fights have all gone to decision. He believes Kianzad can sneak out a win in a decision.

goes to decision
"that is going to be kianzad against eubanks eubanks is a seven and four fighter i think and if you look at her card if you look like at her recent fights they're all decisions her last night nine fighter …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad as a slight underdog, expecting her to stuff most takedowns and win rounds two and three with volume. He notes Eubanks' poor gas tank and Kianzad's 92% takedown defense in the UFC. However, he is not overly confident because if Kianzad gets taken down, she could be in trouble on the ground.

"i'm going to say kansai stuff's the majority of the takedowns keeps it on the feet for the majority of the time wins rounds two and rounds three and wins a very close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The host picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her striking advantage and ability to keep the fight on the feet. He is concerned about Eubanks' grappling but believes Kianzad's kicks and distance management will earn her a decision. He is not highly confident.

"i still will side with the dog here i think penny will go out there and outstrike sajara for about two rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The Guru picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant, calling it a very close fight. He believes Eubanks is the bigger fighter with reach advantage and has faced better competition. He notes that both have similar wins and losses, but Eubanks' scrappiness and durability give her the edge. He predicts a split decision.

"i think i'm going to go with ciara eubanks being just a bit more lesbian than panikianzad... split decision ciara eubanks getting it done"
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 68 of 171 39% 93 of 203 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:27
Sijara Eubanks 0 69 of 149 46% 72 of 152 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 29 of 70 41% 36 of 80 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:36
Sijara Eubanks 0 26 of 59 44% 27 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 17 of 41 41% 35 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:51
Sijara Eubanks 0 13 of 36 36% 14 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 22 of 60 36% 22 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sijara Eubanks 0 30 of 54 55% 31 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 68 of 171 39% 65 of 165 3 of 6 0 of 0 66 of 169 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 69 of 149 46% 34 of 102 22 of 34 13 of 13 65 of 143 2 of 3 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 29 of 70 41% 27 of 66 2 of 4 0 of 0 27 of 68 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 26 of 59 44% 13 of 39 7 of 14 6 of 6 24 of 56 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 17 of 41 41% 16 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0 17 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 13 of 36 36% 7 of 27 4 of 7 2 of 2 13 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 22 of 60 36% 22 of 59 0 of 1 0 of 0 22 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 30 of 54 55% 14 of 36 11 of 13 5 of 5 28 of 51 0 of 0 2 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ketlen Vieira vs. Sijara Eubanks

Round 1
In the first and only women’s match on the card, Vieira (10-1, 4-1 UFC) will look to bounce back from her first career defeat against Eubanks (6-4, 4-2 UFC), despite the Brazilian losing the majority of her corner team due to COVID-19. The Octagon ranger for this women’s bantamweight tilt is referee Jason Herzog, and the two women greet with a glove touch. Eubanks starts off with a jab, and Vieira crashes forward to punch her way in to clinch up. Eubanks thanks her for it by punching her opponent in the thigh once, and Vieira knees her a few times before Eubanks turns her around. The Brazilian grabs the knee as soon as Eubanks brings it up to try to take the fight down, but “SarJ” stops it from happening. Vieira sticks out a jab, and Eubanks counterattacks with an overhand right. Eubanks scores a heavy leg kick and the two women slug it out for a moment. Eubanks stings her with a reaching right hand, and she avoids the right hand that aims at her body. Vieira walks through a left hook to try to clinch up in the center of the cage, and Eubanks knees her in the belly. Vieira sells out for a trip takedown, but Eubanks stuffs it and snaps her head back with an uppercut. Vieira jabs only to have her lead leg kicked, and she backs away instead of following it up. The Brazilian comes up short with a one-two, and she follows it with a looping left hand that rings off the side of Eubanks’ head. Eubanks zings a right hand over the top, but Vieira is unfazed and delivers one right back. Eubanks rips the body with a right hand and is just able to get out of the way of a big right hook. Vieira stings Eubanks with a one-two, and she lands another after landing a body shot. Eubanks decides to target the body too, and when she throws out a naked leg kick, Vieira wings a right hand that tags Eubanks. The American wears it well and engages in a short slugfest only to come up missing with her strikes while Vieira is much sharper. Vieira gets off a crisp combination that rings Eubanks’ bell, and when Eubanks tries to fire back, the Brazilian lands a takedown. “Fenomeno” stays on top until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
Vieira opens the round with a jab, and she follows it with a one-two that Eubanks is able to swat away. Eubanks fires up a head kick that gets blocked before reaching the mark, and Vieira strides forward to clinch up. From there, the Brazilian lands a body lock takedown to get into Eubanks’ guard, where she drops down some punches as Eubanks tries to lock her down. Vieira tries to pull her arms free so that she can stay busy and keep Herzog from standing the fight up, and she does while Eubanks scoots her way to the fence. Eubanks shrugs at her corner when Vieira is trying to keep her grounded, and Vieira smacks her in the face when she does. Herzog stands the fight up without audible warning, and Eubanks appreciates the standup by letting loose several jabs and a massive right hand. Vieira blocks the right hand and lets her jab flow, leading Eubanks to crash forward and attack the body and head. Vieira is unable to counter her effectively, but she does halt an advancing Eubanks a few times with stiff jabs. When both jab at the same time, the reach advantage for Vieira allows her to land cleanly while Eubanks does not. Vieira keeps jabbing and breaking up combinations, but she takes a side kick to the body. Vieira comes back with a one-two, and ducks an overhand right that skims past her hair. Eubanks throws her foot up for a high kick, but it bounces off Vieira’s shoulder. Vieira dings her with a right hand, and then aims low when Eubanks ducks down to catch her bending over. Both women miss with one-two combination, and they swing until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
The two women touch both gloves to start off the round, and an energized Eubanks comes out firing. She slings a few looping punches that glance off the head but do not land flush, and Vieira tries to counter but comes up short. Vieira rushes in for a clinch, and when Eubanks attempts a trip, the Brazilian shoves her away. Eubanks bites down on her mouthpiece and slings a big right hook, but it is nowhere near the target. She follows it with a shorter left hook that does get Vieira’s attention, and she plants a right hand on Vieira’s face. The two women swing for the fences for a moment, with the two bantamweights windmilling punches but not connecting on much. Vieira lands a right hand as Eubanks tries to roll with it, and “SarJ” connects with a low kick to make up for it. Vieira tries to charge forward, but Eubanks greets her with a right hand to make the Brazilian back away. Vieira gets her jab back going until they start swinging with reckless abandon, and both land a few times in a wild flurry. Vieira lands a left but allows Eubanks to circle out and work the body. Vieira attempts to clinch up again, and Eubanks makes her pay with a body shot. A right hand finds its home from Vieira, and Eubanks aims one back but only partially connects. Vieira shoots in for a double but Eubanks easily sees it coming and pushes her away. When Vieira goes up top, Eubanks kicks her to the body and counters her with a right hand. The two tie up in the clinch and both try to toss the other, and the ensuing scramble from Eubanks allows her to take the Brazilian’s back standing up. Vieira rolls for a kneebar right before the 10-second clapper, and Eubanks lands several hammerfists until the final horn puts this fight in the books.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Eubanks (29-28 Vieira)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Sijara Eubanks via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Big Brady picks Vieira, believing her ground game is superior to Eubanks' BJJ. He thinks the fight will hit the mat and Vieira will have success there. He notes Eubanks' cardio may be affected by multiple weight cuts, but expects a close decision.

"give me the era to win a close decision i do think it'll be close"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Daniel Levi slightly leans Ketlen Vieira, acknowledging she is the better fighter but has concerns about her knee injury and the loss of her coach. He believes Eubanks' grappling advantage won't be as effective against Vieira, who is a serious black belt. He expects a grappling-heavy fight with Vieira getting the better of the scrambles.

"i'm going to slightly lean with caitlyn vieira to get it done but i got my questions too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

The host picks Ketlen Vieira, believing her efficient striking and pressure will be too much for Sijara Eubanks. He expects Eubanks' gas tank issues to resurface as the fight goes on, leading to a third-round TKO for Vieira. He notes that Vieira is the bigger, stronger fighter and that Eubanks' takedowns will be harder to secure.

Vieira wins in round 3 (+2100)
"I think caitlyn vera could absolutely make her work for three rounds and that's where we're going to start to see the gas tank issues of cedar you bank start to showcase themselves once again."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, noting she has been more active and has better recent wins, including over Julia Avila. He thinks Vieira's win over Kaitlyn Chookagian is aged and she hasn't fought in a long time. He predicts Eubanks wins a unanimous decision dominantly.

Eubanks should be evens, not an underdog; win by unanimous decision
"i think she'll go out there and get the job done against katelyn vieira and really make a statement i think she'll win a unanimous decision"
WIN vs Julia Avila
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sijara Eubanks 0 34 of 87 39% 66 of 128 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:54
Julia Avila 0 53 of 107 49% 107 of 171 3 of 7 42% 3 1 10:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sijara Eubanks 0 13 of 29 44% 19 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:54
Julia Avila 0 13 of 34 38% 15 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:00
2 Sijara Eubanks 0 13 of 33 39% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julia Avila 0 17 of 34 50% 44 of 67 1 of 1 100% 3 0 4:02
3 Sijara Eubanks 0 8 of 25 32% 16 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julia Avila 0 23 of 39 58% 48 of 68 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sijara Eubanks 34 of 87 39% 26 of 76 4 of 7 4 of 4 32 of 83 1 of 3 1 of 1
Julia Avila 53 of 107 49% 46 of 98 7 of 9 0 of 0 25 of 65 0 of 1 28 of 41
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sijara Eubanks 13 of 29 44% 10 of 24 1 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 26 1 of 2 1 of 1
Julia Avila 13 of 34 38% 11 of 30 2 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 23 0 of 0 6 of 11
2 Sijara Eubanks 13 of 33 39% 10 of 30 2 of 2 1 of 1 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julia Avila 17 of 34 50% 15 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 20 0 of 0 8 of 14
3 Sijara Eubanks 8 of 25 32% 6 of 22 1 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julia Avila 23 of 39 58% 20 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 22 0 of 1 14 of 16
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Big Brady picks Julia Avila, but expects the fight to be closer than the odds suggest. He notes Eubanks has crisp boxing and hits hard, but her cardio is a concern. Avila has decent upside and ground game, but he is worried about Eubanks' takedowns. He predicts Avila by decision, but cannot bet it himself.

"I'm going to go with avila i think this is going to be an extremely high paced fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Julia Avila

The host expects Avila's pressure and 'raging panda' style to overwhelm Eubanks, who tends to fade later in fights. He notes Avila has good cardio, striking, and grappling, and predicts a second-round TKO. He also mentions the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at +130 as a potential play.

Avila by second round TKO; fight doesn't go to decision (+130)
"I'm taking julia villa to win this fight by second round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Julia Avila

The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila based on her convincing win over Gina Mazany and her victory over Pannie Kianzad, who beat Bethe Correia, who in turn beat Sijara Eubanks. He notes that Eubanks had a close decision with Aspen Ladd but believes Avila will out-strike her for three rounds and keep the fight standing, winning by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go with judah ravilla here i really am i like julia avila she had a great performance against gina mazzani in her last fight out"
WIN vs Sarah Moras
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · May 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sijara Eubanks 0 85 of 171 49% 104 of 190 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:14
Sarah Moras 0 44 of 138 31% 84 of 179 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sijara Eubanks 0 27 of 67 40% 27 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sarah Moras 0 20 of 63 31% 20 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sijara Eubanks 0 31 of 63 49% 43 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:41
Sarah Moras 0 13 of 44 29% 41 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Sijara Eubanks 0 27 of 41 65% 34 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:33
Sarah Moras 0 11 of 31 35% 23 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sijara Eubanks 85 of 171 49% 69 of 150 12 of 15 4 of 6 62 of 136 5 of 7 18 of 28
Sarah Moras 44 of 138 31% 22 of 104 12 of 22 10 of 12 41 of 129 3 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sijara Eubanks 27 of 67 40% 22 of 59 3 of 4 2 of 4 27 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sarah Moras 20 of 63 31% 8 of 46 6 of 9 6 of 8 20 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sijara Eubanks 31 of 63 49% 25 of 55 5 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 41 2 of 4 8 of 18
Sarah Moras 13 of 44 29% 9 of 35 2 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 36 3 of 8 0 of 0
3 Sijara Eubanks 27 of 41 65% 22 of 36 4 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 28 3 of 3 10 of 10
Sarah Moras 11 of 31 35% 5 of 23 4 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady is very confident in Sijara Eubanks, believing she has advantages everywhere including wrestling and striking. He thinks Eubanks will dominate from start to finish, possibly with a finish, and that Moras has poor takedown defense. He calls it Eubanks' easiest UFC fight and expects a dominant decision like 30-26 or 30-25.

Eubanks wins by dominant decision (30-26 or 30-25)
"I'm gonna go Eubanks I'm gonna take her to win a very very dominant decision 30 26 1325"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks via unanimous decision, citing her black belt and top control advantage. He notes Moras' poor takedown defense and reliance on armbars, but warns Eubanks must avoid getting swept or caught in a submission.

"imma goes to Jarrah eubanks via unanimous decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, but expresses disdain for both fighters, calling them 'sh*t'. He says Eubanks will win because she is the less bad option, but offers no technical analysis. He notes that both have poor records and don't deserve to be in the UFC.

"I think Eubanks is gonna win I don't care because they're both sh*t."
LOSS vs Bethe Correia
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Sep 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bethe Correia 0 77 of 169 45% 94 of 186 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:24
Sijara Eubanks 0 59 of 127 46% 77 of 146 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bethe Correia 0 31 of 59 52% 48 of 76 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:17
Sijara Eubanks 0 11 of 24 45% 15 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bethe Correia 0 21 of 45 46% 21 of 45 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Sijara Eubanks 0 24 of 48 50% 34 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:40
3 Bethe Correia 0 25 of 65 38% 25 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sijara Eubanks 0 24 of 55 43% 28 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bethe Correia 77 of 169 45% 58 of 138 12 of 23 7 of 8 55 of 140 8 of 10 14 of 19
Sijara Eubanks 59 of 127 46% 42 of 101 12 of 19 5 of 7 54 of 118 5 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bethe Correia 31 of 59 52% 24 of 49 3 of 5 4 of 5 17 of 40 0 of 0 14 of 19
Sijara Eubanks 11 of 24 45% 8 of 19 1 of 2 2 of 3 10 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bethe Correia 21 of 45 46% 13 of 32 6 of 11 2 of 2 19 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 24 of 48 50% 16 of 37 8 of 11 0 of 0 22 of 43 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Bethe Correia 25 of 65 38% 21 of 57 3 of 7 1 of 1 19 of 58 6 of 7 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 24 of 55 43% 18 of 45 3 of 6 3 of 4 22 of 52 2 of 3 0 of 0
LOSS vs Aspen Ladd
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Lee · May 18, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aspen Ladd 0 69 of 125 55% 85 of 143 3 of 4 75% 3 0 6:56
Sijara Eubanks 0 77 of 164 46% 80 of 168 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aspen Ladd 0 7 of 17 41% 8 of 18 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Sijara Eubanks 0 16 of 24 66% 19 of 28 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:10
2 Aspen Ladd 0 22 of 36 61% 34 of 50 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:46
Sijara Eubanks 0 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
3 Aspen Ladd 0 40 of 72 55% 43 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Sijara Eubanks 0 54 of 124 43% 54 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aspen Ladd 69 of 125 55% 57 of 111 7 of 9 5 of 5 38 of 82 14 of 20 17 of 23
Sijara Eubanks 77 of 164 46% 60 of 146 16 of 17 1 of 1 61 of 140 12 of 19 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aspen Ladd 7 of 17 41% 2 of 12 2 of 2 3 of 3 4 of 12 3 of 5 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 16 of 24 66% 12 of 20 3 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 18 0 of 1 4 of 5
2 Aspen Ladd 22 of 36 61% 19 of 32 1 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 13 0 of 0 17 of 23
Sijara Eubanks 7 of 16 43% 3 of 12 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Aspen Ladd 40 of 72 55% 36 of 67 4 of 5 0 of 0 29 of 57 11 of 15 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 54 of 124 43% 45 of 114 9 of 10 0 of 0 43 of 107 11 of 17 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Angelo picks Melissa Gatto with a half-unit bet at +190. He believes Gatto is a young up-and-comer with real potential, while Eubanks is a .500 fighter whose cardio issues may not be fully resolved. He notes that Gatto has good striking, can set up takedowns, and is aggressive on top. However, he cautions that if Eubanks' cardio holds up, she is a giant beast at 125 and could be a problem. He emphasizes that Gatto must stay on top and not pull guard.

0.5 units on moneyline at +190
"i like melissa gatto i put a half a unit on the money line i got it at plus 190"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady picks Sijara Eubanks by decision, citing her experience, BJJ black belt, and path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He has concerns about Eubanks' age (36) and cardio if the fight extends. He notes Gatto's poor takedown defense and submission-over-position style, but acknowledges Gatto looked improved in her last fight. He says he may not bet Eubanks due to cardio worries.

decision
"I'm gonna pick cru banks to win by decision but um I don't think I'm gonna be betting her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Cody leans Eubanks due to her BJJ, size, and physicality. He notes her wrestling is solid for the division and she is aggressive. However, he worries about her cardio and weight cuts. Gatto is more wily and could pressure late. Cody says it's not a high-confidence play and wants to see weigh-ins.

"I think I would lean towards eubanks it's not something I'm going to put finalized in bam bam but yeah as far as the show picks right now I would go you banks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto as an underdog. He likes Gatto's scrappiness, aggression, and improvement, especially her arm submissions. Levi is concerned that Eubanks's jiu-jitsu could neutralize Gatto's sub attempts, but he believes Gatto's tenacity and desire to prove herself after a layoff will carry her. He thinks Gatto can make it close if she doesn't get held down for two rounds, and sees value in the plus money.

Gatto by submission; underdog play
"I'm gonna end up actually taking the dog because I think she's got a little bit more tenacity more ferocity."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Dec 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Jacob is extremely confident in Melissa Gatto, calling it his lock of the week. He placed 5 units on her moneyline at +146, 4 units on her inside the distance (decision no action) at +170, and 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at +165. He believes Eubanks cannot bully Gatto, who has good striking and aggressive grappling. He compares it to the Miranda Maverick fight where the favorite was dominated. Jacob thinks Gatto will finish Eubanks, possibly by submission, and that the odds are moving fast.

5 units moneyline at +146, 4 units inside distance decision no action at +170, 2 units under 2.5 rounds at +165, 1 unit Gatto by submission at +1000
"i've never been so confident in a lock of the week pick in my entire life"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The host picks Eubanks by decision, highlighting her superior wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He notes that Gatto plays off her back and Eubanks should be able to control her on top. He likes the decision prop at +150, as Eubanks is not a proactive finisher.

Eubanks by decision (+150)
"I like me some eubanks i like her at minus 160 but i even like her prop here at decision uh via decision which i currently believe is plus 150"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Dec 16, 2021 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Eubanks is the rightful favorite but notes concerns about her cardio and weight cuts. He says to pay attention to weigh-ins. He does not commit to a pick.

"I think I would lean towards eubanks it's not something I'm going to put finalized in bam bam but yeah as far as the show picks right now I would go you banks want to see the weigh-ins though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto as an upset winner, predicting a first-round armbar submission. He notes Gatto has good jiu-jitsu and submitted Carol Rosa with a kimura. He thinks Eubanks is getting older and may entertain the ground game too much. He sees Eubanks ending up on top but getting caught in an armbar from bottom.

first round armbar submission
"i'm gonna go with melissa gato in an upset win here"