Career Averages - John Makdessi
Career Averages - Ignacio Bahamondes
John Makdessi
Ignacio Bahamondes
John Makdessi - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 88 of 179 | 49% | 88 of 179 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 83 of 188 | 44% | 85 of 190 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 37 of 62 | 59% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 29 of 72 | 40% | 29 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 38 of 76 | 50% | 40 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mullarkey | 88 of 179 | 49% | 38 of 120 | 13 of 20 | 37 of 39 | 88 of 179 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 83 of 188 | 44% | 37 of 119 | 22 of 45 | 24 of 24 | 83 of 188 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Mullarkey | 22 of 45 | 48% | 5 of 24 | 4 of 8 | 13 of 13 | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 24 of 51 | 47% | 6 of 27 | 10 of 16 | 8 of 8 | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamie Mullarkey | 37 of 62 | 59% | 17 of 40 | 8 of 10 | 12 of 12 | 37 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 21 of 61 | 34% | 11 of 40 | 5 of 16 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamie Mullarkey | 29 of 72 | 40% | 16 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 14 | 29 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 38 of 76 | 50% | 20 of 52 | 7 of 13 | 11 of 11 | 38 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey but hates the -180 price. He notes that Jamie's relentless pressure and takedown attempts should get him a close decision, but he is not dangerous and has poor chin. John Makdessi has good takedown defense and if he keeps it standing, he wins. Angelo avoids betting on Jamie despite picking him.
Big Brady picks the underdog John Makdessi, citing his durability, high volume, and ability to get back up from takedowns. He notes Mullarkey is hittable and has a questionable chin. He thinks Makdessi can outwork Mullarkey over three rounds and predicts a decision win.
Cody picks Mullarkey but is hesitant, noting that Mullarkey has a suspect chin and has been knocked out recently. However, he believes Mullarkey's wrestling and size advantage will be too much for Makdessi, who is a natural featherweight with no knockout power. Cody likes the Mullarkey by decision prop and the over on takedowns.
Daniel Levi picks Jamie Mullarkey but is not crazy about the price. He notes that Makdessi is 38 and has been in many wars, while Mullarkey is younger and has a reach advantage. However, Mullarkey has been knocked out four times, which is a concern. Levi expects Mullarkey to outwork Makdessi down the stretch if he fights with aggression.
Lucrative James leans toward Jamie Mullarkey, citing his youth, tenacity, and a decent win over Prado. He acknowledges Makdessi could win a split decision but notes Makdessi is old and doesn't have knockout power. James expresses slight concern about Mullarkey's chin after a knockout loss, but believes Makdessi is unlikely to finish him. He thinks Mullarkey will dominate.
Mullarkey has improved significantly, blending takedowns behind his striking and managing distance well. He works with the City Kickboxing camp. Makdessi is a veteran who makes fights close but is 38 and may be slowing down. Mullarkey's output and wrestling should earn him a decision win. The over 2.5 rounds is preferred over the moneyline.
Paul picks Mullarkey but is hesitant, citing Mullarkey's durability issues and the -280 price. He notes that Makdessi is a small lightweight with no recent finishes and that Mullarkey should use his wrestling to secure a decision. Paul likes the Mullarkey by decision prop and the over on takedowns.
The MMA Guru picks Jamie Mullarkey over John Makdessi, citing Mullarkey's size advantage (6'0", 74" reach) and physicality. He notes that Mullarkey bullies smaller opponents, as seen in his win over Devonte Smith with body shots and knees. Makdessi is 38 and coming off a loss to Nasrat Haqparast. He believes Mullarkey will bully Makdessi and get a TKO in the first or second round, as Makdessi cannot grapple with him or knock him out.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 73 of 196 | 37% | 73 of 196 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 1 | 64 of 173 | 36% | 72 of 181 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 12 of 43 | 27% | 12 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 23 of 62 | 37% | 23 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 1 | 28 of 78 | 35% | 28 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 28 of 86 | 32% | 28 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 32 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrat Haqparast | 73 of 196 | 37% | 26 of 122 | 18 of 41 | 29 of 33 | 72 of 195 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 64 of 173 | 36% | 41 of 139 | 19 of 29 | 4 of 5 | 60 of 168 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasrat Haqparast | 22 of 48 | 45% | 3 of 21 | 5 of 13 | 14 of 14 | 22 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 12 of 43 | 27% | 4 of 35 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nasrat Haqparast | 23 of 62 | 37% | 7 of 36 | 7 of 14 | 9 of 12 | 23 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 28 of 78 | 35% | 21 of 64 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 24 of 73 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nasrat Haqparast | 28 of 86 | 32% | 16 of 65 | 6 of 14 | 6 of 7 | 27 of 85 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 24 of 52 | 46% | 16 of 40 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nasrat Haqparast because he is younger, faster, and more powerful than John Makdessi, and he believes age and inactivity will keep Makdessi a step behind. He notes Nasrat is a high-volume striker with good takedown defense. He has a moneyline bet on Nasrat and says the line has moved in their favor.
Big Brady picks the underdog John Makdessi, despite concerns about his age (37) and layoff due to leg surgery. He notes that Makdessi has excellent striking defense and volume, and that Haqparast has looked poor lately, losing to Dan Hooker and Bobby Green. He expects a very close fight, possibly a split decision, but sides with the dog.
Cody picks John Makdessi as a confident underdog, arguing that Nasrat Haqparast is overvalued as a -240 favorite. He notes that Haqparast has looked lost since his knockout loss to Drew Dober, with low volume and poor performances against Bobby Green and Dan Hooker. Makdessi, despite being 37 and on a layoff, is healthy and motivated, and his taekwondo footwork and angles should give Haqparast trouble. Cody believes the fight will be close and go to decision, making the plus money attractive. He has already bet Makdessi at +200.
Daniel Levi leans toward Nasrat Haqparast due to his youth and reach advantage, but is not confident. He considers Haqparast a busted prospect and notes that Makdessi is a durable veteran who could win a close decision. He thinks the line is wide and that the fight could be close. He does not bet.
The host leans towards Haqparast, believing he will land the bigger shots and win a decision. However, he is not confident due to Haqparast's inconsistency and Makdessi's veteran savvy. He advises caution and suggests the fight is volatile.
Paul also picks John Makdessi, sharing Cody's view that Haqparast's volume is too low and that Makdessi's experience and striking will keep it competitive. He mentions a personal anecdote about meeting Makdessi years ago, but the reasoning is based on Haqparast's recent struggles and Makdessi's ability to win a close decision. Paul has also bet Makdessi at +200 and calls it his first click of the week.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Nasrat Haqparast over John Makdessi, citing Makdessi's age (37) and long layoff (1.5 years). He believes Haqparast is still improving and has a solid chin, while Makdessi may not be the same fighter. He predicts a close 29-28 decision win for Haqparast, with his grit carrying him in the later rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Makdessi | 0 | 124 of 232 | 53% | 145 of 257 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 112 of 312 | 35% | 117 of 318 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Makdessi | 0 | 36 of 67 | 53% | 52 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 37 of 85 | 43% | 40 of 88 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 | |
| 2 | John Makdessi | 0 | 43 of 83 | 51% | 47 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 35 of 107 | 32% | 37 of 110 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 3 | John Makdessi | 0 | 45 of 82 | 54% | 46 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 40 of 120 | 33% | 40 of 120 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Makdessi | 124 of 232 | 53% | 72 of 165 | 33 of 45 | 19 of 22 | 109 of 212 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 112 of 312 | 35% | 75 of 268 | 22 of 25 | 15 of 19 | 99 of 297 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Makdessi | 36 of 67 | 53% | 24 of 51 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 24 of 53 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 37 of 85 | 43% | 22 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 9 | 31 of 78 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | John Makdessi | 43 of 83 | 51% | 24 of 56 | 14 of 20 | 5 of 7 | 43 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 35 of 107 | 32% | 26 of 96 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 34 of 106 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | John Makdessi | 45 of 82 | 54% | 24 of 58 | 12 of 15 | 9 of 9 | 42 of 76 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 40 of 120 | 33% | 27 of 106 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 34 of 113 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Bahamondes to win by decision, citing his significant reach advantage (75.5" vs 68") and youth (23 vs 35). He believes Bahamondes will use his range to pick apart Makdessi, who is coming off an injury layoff. Brady notes Bahamondes has solid volume and technical striking, while Makdessi is low volume and older. He does not love the -190 line but expects Bahamondes to win.
Cody leans Bahamondes, citing his massive reach advantage and youth. He notes Makdessi's lack of takedowns and suspect chin. However, he acknowledges Bahamondes is green and untested. He does not bet it.
Daniel Levi picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his youth, height and reach advantage, and training at a high-level gym in Chicago. He notes that John Makdessi has never landed a takedown in his UFC career and has been knocked out multiple times. Levi expects Bahamondes to use his length and volume to out-strike Makdessi, predicting a first-round knockout. He also mentions that Makdessi has a history of skipping wrestling practice.
The host likes Bahamondes' size and reach advantage (7 inches in height and reach), and his fluid striking. He thinks Bahamondes will keep Makdessi on the outside with his jab and kicks, and that Makdessi will struggle to close the distance. He picks Bahamondes to win by decision, though he acknowledges the Contender Series curse could be a factor.
Paul leans Makdessi as a dog, noting his experience, striking volume, and ability to outpoint opponents. He mentions Makdessi's recent ACL surgery and layoff as concerns, but thinks Bahamondes is too green. He calls it a dogger pass.
The MMA Guru initially leans toward Ignacio Bahamondes but ultimately picks John Makdessi. He notes Makdessi is technically sound and out-landed Francisco Trinaldo in some rounds. He criticizes Bahamondes for close fights and being submitted earlier in his career. He thinks Makdessi's experience and grappling will be the difference.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Trinaldo | 0 | 55 of 126 | 43% | 55 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 67 of 123 | 54% | 68 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Trinaldo | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 12 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 25 of 35 | 71% | 25 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Francisco Trinaldo | 0 | 19 of 44 | 43% | 19 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 19 of 38 | 50% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Francisco Trinaldo | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 24 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 0 | 23 of 50 | 46% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Trinaldo | 55 of 126 | 43% | 34 of 100 | 17 of 22 | 4 of 4 | 53 of 124 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 67 of 123 | 54% | 15 of 54 | 16 of 26 | 36 of 43 | 65 of 121 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Trinaldo | 12 of 30 | 40% | 5 of 22 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 25 of 35 | 71% | 5 of 9 | 7 of 10 | 13 of 16 | 25 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Francisco Trinaldo | 19 of 44 | 43% | 12 of 33 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 19 of 38 | 50% | 4 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 12 | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Francisco Trinaldo | 24 of 52 | 46% | 17 of 45 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 50 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 23 of 50 | 46% | 6 of 27 | 4 of 8 | 13 of 15 | 21 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Trinaldo, citing his power and aggression. He thinks Trinaldo's left hand will find Makdessi's chin, which has been broken before. He predicts a decision win for Trinaldo by landing harder shots, even without the crowd.
The host picks John Makdessi over Francisco Trinaldo. He notes that Makdessi has been on a three-fight win streak since a KO loss, while Trinaldo is older and coming off a win over Bobby Green but couldn't beat a one-armed Alexander Hernandez. He expects Makdessi to out-strike Trinaldo for a boring decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Makdessi | 0 | 73 of 137 | 53% | 75 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jesús Pinedo | 0 | 37 of 113 | 32% | 37 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Makdessi | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jesús Pinedo | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | John Makdessi | 0 | 28 of 50 | 56% | 30 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jesús Pinedo | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | John Makdessi | 0 | 31 of 59 | 52% | 31 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jesús Pinedo | 0 | 17 of 51 | 33% | 17 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Makdessi | 73 of 137 | 53% | 25 of 60 | 8 of 21 | 40 of 56 | 73 of 137 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jesús Pinedo | 37 of 113 | 32% | 18 of 74 | 10 of 18 | 9 of 21 | 37 of 113 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Makdessi | 14 of 28 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 6 | 8 of 12 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jesús Pinedo | 7 of 25 | 28% | 0 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | John Makdessi | 28 of 50 | 56% | 8 of 19 | 5 of 8 | 15 of 23 | 28 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jesús Pinedo | 13 of 37 | 35% | 7 of 24 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 7 | 13 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | John Makdessi | 31 of 59 | 52% | 13 of 31 | 1 of 7 | 17 of 21 | 31 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jesús Pinedo | 17 of 51 | 33% | 11 of 37 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 5 | 17 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Makdessi | 0 | 131 of 261 | 50% | 134 of 265 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ross Pearson | 0 | 79 of 224 | 35% | 81 of 226 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Makdessi | 0 | 30 of 64 | 46% | 30 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ross Pearson | 0 | 27 of 65 | 41% | 27 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | John Makdessi | 0 | 41 of 83 | 49% | 41 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ross Pearson | 0 | 30 of 89 | 33% | 30 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | John Makdessi | 0 | 60 of 114 | 52% | 63 of 118 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ross Pearson | 0 | 22 of 70 | 31% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Makdessi | 131 of 261 | 50% | 99 of 211 | 13 of 25 | 19 of 25 | 120 of 244 | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Ross Pearson | 79 of 224 | 35% | 51 of 182 | 9 of 15 | 19 of 27 | 79 of 223 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Makdessi | 30 of 64 | 46% | 17 of 44 | 1 of 4 | 12 of 16 | 30 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ross Pearson | 27 of 65 | 41% | 14 of 48 | 1 of 4 | 12 of 13 | 27 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | John Makdessi | 41 of 83 | 49% | 27 of 65 | 10 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 39 of 79 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Ross Pearson | 30 of 89 | 33% | 21 of 74 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 9 | 30 of 89 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | John Makdessi | 60 of 114 | 52% | 55 of 102 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 51 of 101 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Ross Pearson | 22 of 70 | 31% | 16 of 60 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Makdessi | 1 | 47 of 104 | 45% | 57 of 119 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Abel Trujillo | 0 | 29 of 91 | 31% | 30 of 93 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Makdessi | 1 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Abel Trujillo | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 7 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | John Makdessi | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 18 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Abel Trujillo | 0 | 9 of 36 | 25% | 9 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | |
| 3 | John Makdessi | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 21 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Abel Trujillo | 0 | 13 of 36 | 36% | 14 of 38 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Makdessi | 47 of 104 | 45% | 17 of 53 | 13 of 24 | 17 of 27 | 47 of 102 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Abel Trujillo | 29 of 91 | 31% | 23 of 82 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 28 of 88 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Makdessi | 12 of 28 | 42% | 5 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 10 | 12 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abel Trujillo | 7 of 19 | 36% | 6 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | John Makdessi | 16 of 41 | 39% | 4 of 20 | 6 of 11 | 6 of 10 | 16 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Abel Trujillo | 9 of 36 | 25% | 8 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 33 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | John Makdessi | 19 of 35 | 54% | 8 of 18 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 7 | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abel Trujillo | 13 of 36 | 36% | 9 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Vannata | 0 | 11 of 13 | 84% | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 1 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lando Vannata | 0 | 11 of 13 | 84% | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| John Makdessi | 1 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Vannata | 11 of 13 | 84% | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 10 of 32 | 31% | 3 of 14 | 5 of 11 | 2 of 7 | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lando Vannata | 11 of 13 | 84% | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| John Makdessi | 10 of 32 | 31% | 3 of 14 | 5 of 11 | 2 of 7 | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Ignacio Bahamondes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 1 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 46 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1:17 |
| Tofiq Musayev | 0 | 34 of 72 | 47% | 93 of 167 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 1 | 7:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 21 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tofiq Musayev | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 20 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 2 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 1 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 19 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Tofiq Musayev | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 44 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:18 | |
| 3 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:07 |
| Tofiq Musayev | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 29 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 32 of 62 | 51% | 16 of 34 | 10 of 17 | 6 of 11 | 22 of 47 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 9 |
| Tofiq Musayev | 34 of 72 | 47% | 27 of 59 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 5 | 12 of 34 | 2 of 5 | 20 of 33 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 20 of 39 | 51% | 6 of 14 | 8 of 14 | 6 of 11 | 18 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tofiq Musayev | 11 of 32 | 34% | 6 of 21 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 5 | 8 of 25 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 9 of 16 | 56% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 8 |
| Tofiq Musayev | 17 of 29 | 58% | 15 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 26 | |
| 3 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Tofiq Musayev | 6 of 11 | 54% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Angelo picks Ignacio Bahamondes despite acknowledging the danger of Terrance McKinney's chaotic pressure and wrestling. He notes that Bahamondes is a very good striker with length and volume, but his takedown offense is nonexistent and he can be outwrestled. Angelo believes Bahamondes' higher level of competition and striking advantage should carry him, but he is hesitant because McKinney could win by being chaotic and getting takedowns.
Big Brady picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by second-round submission via a 'club and sub' approach. He notes Musayev's poor grappling, having been submitted five times, but is concerned that Bahamondes has zero takedowns in the UFC. He thinks Bahamondes will hurt Musayev on the feet and then submit him. He likes Bahamondes' size, volume, and sneaky power, and believes he is improving his wrestling.
Cody thinks the line is too wide and Musayev has the grappling to exploit Bahamondes' takedown defense. He makes a small play on Musayev at plus money.
Connor picks Bahamondes but is hesitant, citing uncertainty about Bahamondes' current level due to recent wins over lower-level competition. He thinks Bahamondes has a danger edge with his size and will likely pressure Musayev, but he's not fully confident.
Daniel thinks Bahamondes will overcome early adversity from Musayev's explosive striking, then take over in later rounds due to his youth, reach, and Musayev being past his prime. He expects a decision or late finish.
The host thinks the odds are too wide in favor of Bahamondes (-322) and that Musayev could make it competitive, but he passes because there is not enough recent footage on Musayev to confidently bet him. Bahamondes has weaknesses (poor striking defense, takedown susceptibility) but Musayev is an unknown quantity with only one recent fight. The host reluctantly passes on both sides.
The host believes Bahamondes' striking and counter-striking will be too much for Musayev, who is reckless. He expects Bahamondes to pick Musayev apart and eventually land a big shot for a finish. He notes the under 2.5 rounds is intriguing due to Musayev's recklessness and Bahamondes' finishing ability.
Paul favors Bahamondes, citing his height, volume, and cardio. He believes Musayev's low volume and lack of wrestling will be issues.
The MMA Guru picks Ignacio Bahamondes, noting his crafty striking and ground game. He believes Bahamondes is a better version of Daniel Zellhuber and will outlast Musayev's explosive first round. He predicts Bahamondes will finish Musayev by TKO in the second or third round, drawing parallels to his performance against Manuel Torres.
Zane picks Bahamondes because he trusts Bahamondes can fight at a pace when needed, and Musayev hasn't shown that pace. He notes that Bahamondes' losses came against wrestlers, which Musayev is not. He also mentions that Musayev's style of fighting on the back foot may not work in the UFC.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 62 of 113 | 54% | 87 of 141 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 50 of 147 | 34% | 62 of 165 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 17 of 25 | 68% | 17 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 13 of 46 | 28% | 13 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 28 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 23 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 42 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 17 of 57 | 29% | 26 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 62 of 113 | 54% | 31 of 72 | 25 of 34 | 6 of 7 | 52 of 96 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 10 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 50 of 147 | 34% | 23 of 108 | 13 of 17 | 14 of 22 | 47 of 139 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 17 of 25 | 68% | 4 of 10 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 13 of 46 | 28% | 2 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 13 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 15 of 28 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 20 of 44 | 45% | 7 of 30 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 19 of 41 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 30 of 60 | 50% | 19 of 42 | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 47 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 8 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 17 of 57 | 29% | 14 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 52 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his length, striking, and multiple ways to win. He acknowledges that Fiziev is the better striker but thinks Bahamondes is on a run and has more finishing options. He notes that Fiziev may have slowed down after injuries and tough fights. He recommends exposure to both in multiple lineups.
Big Brady picks Rafael Fiziev despite him being on a three-fight skid, noting that Fiziev's losses came against top competition (Gamrot, Gaethje twice) and one was on short notice. He believes Bahamondes is taking a step up in competition and that Fiziev's speed, power, and movement will cause problems early. Brady acknowledges Fiziev's cardio issues but thinks the fight goes to decision and that hometown judges will favor Fiziev in a close fight. He predicts a greasy, possibly controversial decision win for Fiziev.
Connor picks Fiziev, agreeing with Zane that Bahamondes' reversion to pocket fighting against Turner is a bad sign against Fiziev. He notes that Bahamondes has lost to short, explosive strikers before and that Fiziev is a much more polished striker than Bahamondes' recent opponents. He believes Fiziev's technical edge and the fact that Bahamondes hasn't proven his new style against a serious range striker make Fiziev the clear pick.
The host is surprised Bahamondes is the slight favorite. He thinks Fiziev may have handpicked his opponent to perform in front of his hometown crowd. He expects Fiziev's speed advantage and wrestling to thwart Bahamondes' distance striking, leading to a big shot or control time for a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his range and improved distance management. He believes Fiziev's size disadvantage and recent war with Justin Gaethje will be factors. He expects Bahamondes to pick Fiziev apart as the fight goes on, predicting a third-round finish.
Zane picks Fiziev, noting that Fiziev looked great in his return against Gaethje despite losing, and that Bahamondes has struggled against shorter, better range strikers like Ludovic Klein and John McDessie. He points out that Bahamondes' instinct to sit in the pocket and trade hooks plays into Fiziev's strengths, and that Bahamondes' new rangy style hasn't been tested against a serious striker. He believes Fiziev's technical advantage will be decisive even if he tires.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Jalin Turner | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 |
| Jalin Turner | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 |
| Jalin Turner | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Connor picks Turner because he sees a clear level gap: Bahamondes has never beaten a good UFC fighter and is a classic tall man who doesn't like fighting at distance, while Turner is a long-range striker with fast, straight shots. Connor notes that Bahamondes has poor defense and will struggle against Turner's reach and power. He also points out that Turner has fought much better competition and performed well in close fights.
Lucrative James picks Turner as an underdog, citing Turner's early power and finishing ability. He thinks Turner will land big shots early and potentially finish, as Bahamondes is hittable. He notes Turner's cardio issues but believes he can win by stoppage or even decision if he hurts Bahamondes early. He admits he needs more tape study but leans Turner.
Zane picks Turner, agreeing with Connor that Bahamondes is not a good range fighter and has poor defense. He notes that Turner is a nuclear puncher who is much faster and has a flexible striking game. Zane acknowledges Turner's occasional mental lapses but believes Bahamondes lacks the talent to exploit them. He is surprised by the betting line favoring Bahamondes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 20 of 43 | 46% | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Manuel Torres | 2 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 36 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 20 of 43 | 46% | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Manuel Torres | 2 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 36 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 20 of 43 | 46% | 9 of 30 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 35 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Manuel Torres | 31 of 58 | 53% | 25 of 46 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 8 | 11 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 29 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 20 of 43 | 46% | 9 of 30 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 35 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Manuel Torres | 31 of 58 | 53% | 25 of 46 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 8 | 11 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 29 |
Angelo leans Ignacio Bahamondes for three reasons: his length advantage, higher level experience, and the fact that Manuel Torres pulled guard in his last fight, which won't work against Bahamondes. He notes Bahamondes has good footwork and head movement, solid takedown defense, and came out aggressive in his last fight. However, he acknowledges Torres is dangerous and the fight could end early. He suggests a round under or 'fight doesn't go the distance' prop.
Big Brady flipped from initially leaning Torres to picking Bahamondes as a dog. He notes Torres is a beast in the first round (14 of 15 wins in round 1) but has never been past round 1.5. Bahamondes has shown ability to go into later rounds and weather storms. He predicts Bahamondes will survive an early onslaught and break Torres in the second round via knockout.
Daniel picks Ignacio Bahamondes, believing that if he survives the early storm, he will pick Torres apart with calf kicks, jabs, and spins. He notes Bahamondes' training with Khabib and Islam for grappling, and doubts Torres can maintain his high pace. He predicts a knockout for Bahamondes.
The transcript does not discuss this fight.
Fading the hype on Torres and going with the more experienced and technically better fighter in Bahamondes. He will touch up Torres, lean on his durability early, and then utilize superior technical striking to finish Torres in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Manuel Torres. He describes Torres as a physical freak with incredible strength, comparing him to a lightweight version of Dricus du Plessis. He notes Bahamondes has had mediocre performances against similar competition, including a loss to Ludovic Klein where he was controlled on the ground. He also points out that Bahamondes was wobbled by a shorter fighter with a shorter reach, and Torres has more power and range.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 1 | 40 of 68 | 58% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 18 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 1 | 40 of 68 | 58% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 18 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 40 of 68 | 58% | 26 of 53 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 56 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 17 of 45 | 37% | 7 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 40 of 68 | 58% | 26 of 53 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 56 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 17 of 45 | 37% | 7 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Ignacio Bahamondes because he believes Bahamondes' last loss was more about how good Ludovit Klein is rather than Bahamondes being bad. He acknowledges that Bahamondes has good takedown defense (85%) but that it failed in his last fight. He thinks Christos Giagos could win if he gets takedowns, but Angelo is on the Bahamondes side, though he admits he will be biting his nails over takedowns.
Big Brady picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by second-round submission. He notes that Giagos will likely have early success with takedowns and wrestling, but will fade as the fight goes on due to poor cardio. Bahamondes will grow into the fight and finish Giagos in the second round.
Cody agrees, pointing to Giagos's pattern of fading after round 1, as seen in the Zellhuber fight. He notes Bahamondes's length and reach may make it hard for Giagos to land early, and that Bahamondes has never been knocked out. Cody thinks Bahamondes will take control as the fight goes on, and that Giagos's takedown threat diminishes as he tires.
Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Ignacio Bahamondes, praising his stance switching, range, and opportunistic submissions. He dismisses Bahamondes' losses to Melsik Baghdasaryan and Ludovit Klein as forgivable, noting Klein's suspicious transformation. Vreeland sees Christos Giagos as an athletic journeyman who fades after the first round, lacking depth beyond spamming hooks. He expects Bahamondes to frustrate Giagos with range and dominate past round one, possibly by finish.
Bahamondes is a talented striker with nasty Muay Thai and improving grappling. Giagos has early finishing power but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Bahamondes can weather the early storm, then take over in later rounds with his striking and cardio. Expect a TKO in the second or third round.
Paul is confident in Bahamondes, citing his length, chin, cardio, and striking. He notes Giagos is explosive but fades after 6-7 minutes, and that Bahamondes's takedown defense and ability to get up will neutralize Giagos's early wrestling. Paul expects Bahamondes to take over in rounds 2 and 3, possibly by TKO. He also suggests live betting Bahamondes if he loses the first round.
The host dismisses Giagos as a 'pensioner killer' with wins over older fighters like Ricky Glenn, Soroano, and Carlton Minus. He notes Bahamondes' lanky frame (6'2" at lightweight) and recent wins over Roosevelt Roberts, Ronu, and Trey Ogden. He predicts Bahamondes will sleep Giagos, ignoring technique and focusing on size advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 43 of 139 | 30% | 62 of 166 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 56 of 108 | 51% | 94 of 151 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 6:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 7 of 33 | 21% | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 48 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:45 | |
| 2 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 29 of 76 | 38% | 35 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 25 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 3 | Ľudovít Klein | 0 | 7 of 30 | 23% | 11 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 21 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ľudovít Klein | 43 of 139 | 30% | 29 of 114 | 9 of 16 | 5 of 9 | 41 of 133 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 56 of 108 | 51% | 36 of 82 | 11 of 16 | 9 of 10 | 43 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ľudovít Klein | 7 of 33 | 21% | 5 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 20 of 34 | 58% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 14 | |
| 2 | Ľudovít Klein | 29 of 76 | 38% | 21 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 28 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 19 of 41 | 46% | 8 of 27 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ľudovít Klein | 7 of 30 | 23% | 3 of 20 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 17 of 33 | 51% | 11 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 |
Angelo picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his massive size at lightweight, incredible volume, decent power, and 95% takedown defense. He notes that Bahamondes uses his length well to keep distance and snatch submissions. He believes Klein is a technical striker but will struggle with Bahamondes's size and grappling, and may shoot sloppy takedowns that lead to a submission. Angelo thinks -200 is appropriate and expects Bahamondes to dominate.
Big Brady is very high on Bahamondes, noting his size (6'3" at lightweight), volume, and improved takedown defense as seen against Roosevelt Roberts. He thinks Klein has stagnated and shown poor cardio and durability. He expects Bahamondes to keep the fight standing and outpoint Klein over 15 minutes, possibly by decision, with a sneaky submission chance.
Cody is confident in Bahamondes, citing his volume, height advantage (6'3" vs 5'7"), and youth. He notes Klein's low output and struggles against taller opponents. He expects Bahamondes to outland Klein significantly and win a decision, possibly with a late finish. He also likes the over 83.5 significant strikes prop for Bahamondes.
Daniel Levi is very confident in Ignacio Bahamondes, calling him his first bet of the night. He praises Bahamondes' striking, length (6'3" at lightweight), and durability, citing praise from Belal Muhammad. Levi notes that Klein is explosive but breaks when he's the nail, while Bahamondes has no quit. He expects Bahamondes to double Klein up on strikes and potentially finish him. Levi parlayed Bahamondes with Bobby Green to win 3.5 units at effective even money.
James thinks Bahamondes is the better striker and more dangerous submission threat. He notes Klein can catch him but doesn't hit extremely hard. Bahamondes is improving and James expects him to break Klein late, similar to how Madge did.
Bahamondes can snipe from distance and rack up significant strikes, possibly finishing Klein. Klein may try grappling, but Bahamondes has good takedown defense and can work back to his feet. The Jai Herbert fight is a perfect example of what happens when Klein faces a distance striker, and Bahamondes is cleaner than Herbert. I like Bahamondes to win by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Bahamondes' volume and size advantage. He is concerned about Klein's takedowns but believes Bahamondes will cruise to a decision victory. He also likes the over 83.5 significant strikes prop.
The host is high on Ignacio Bahamondes, calling him 'the truth' with phenomenal kickboxing and range. He notes Bahamondes has a 95% takedown defense and should keep the fight standing. He believes Bahamondes will outland Klein and possibly land a big kick. He acknowledges Klein has power but thinks Bahamondes' ceiling is much higher. He is comfortable with the line up to -260.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 99 of 200 | 49% | 99 of 200 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trey Ogden | 0 | 42 of 109 | 38% | 42 of 109 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 26 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trey Ogden | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 30 of 66 | 45% | 30 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trey Ogden | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 16 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 43 of 83 | 51% | 43 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trey Ogden | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 99 of 200 | 49% | 28 of 88 | 30 of 65 | 41 of 47 | 99 of 200 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trey Ogden | 42 of 109 | 38% | 24 of 81 | 10 of 15 | 8 of 13 | 42 of 109 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 26 of 51 | 50% | 7 of 19 | 4 of 15 | 15 of 17 | 26 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trey Ogden | 9 of 22 | 40% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 8 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 30 of 66 | 45% | 9 of 33 | 11 of 20 | 10 of 13 | 30 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trey Ogden | 16 of 45 | 35% | 8 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 43 of 83 | 51% | 12 of 36 | 15 of 30 | 16 of 17 | 43 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trey Ogden | 17 of 42 | 40% | 13 of 36 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bahamondes (-345), Ogden (+285)
Round 1
Due to bout cancelations, matchup switcheroos and a bunch of other oddities, this fight set in the cage now is taking place at a pre-planned 160 pounds. After over a year off, Bahamondes (13-4, 2-1 UFC) wants to shake off any rust and handle Ogden (16-5, 1-1 UFC). The style matchup is intriguing, with all but one of Bahamondes’ career stoppages by knockout, while Ogden has never once performed a stoppage due to strikes. Referee Andrew Glenn is on call for this catchweight contest, and it opens up with no touch of gloves. Bahamondes starts with a low leg kick, and Ogden hops forward to stomp his foe’s knee. Ogden pursues an inside leg kick, and Bahamondes counters with a pair of punches. The Chilean fighter paws at him with at front kick and a jab, looking to establish his superior reach advantage. Ogden attacks his lead leg, and Bahamondes responds in kind. Bahamondes chips at the lead calf, allowing himself to be opened up to catch a left to the chin. Bahamondes rips a body kick, and he changes stances to line up a low kick. The pace is slow and very tit-for-tat, but Bahamondes appears to be landing with heavier leg kicks than his opponent. One in particular makes Ogden turn his leg into it, and he swats away a long jab and counters with a left. The stance switching from “La Jaula” frustrates his opponent and disrupts much of his offense, while setting up leg kicks from either leg. Ogden takes several more kicks to the inside and outside of his lead wheel, and he rolls with the brunt of a one-two. Ogden leans back but cannot block a right hand, and Bahamondes blasts him in the midsection with a kick. Ogden points to his elbow to say that he blocked it, and he gets stung with a left to follow. Ogden backs up into the fence and is nearly turned around from a leg kick, and Bahamondes chops at it indiscriminately. Bahamondes settles down to fire off another kick to the ribcage, and he darts back when Ogden punches him in the side. Ogden’s offense is limited to single blows, and Bahamondes is potshotting him from afar. They clash legs when kicking at one another, and Bahamondes spins with a back kick to the breadbasket. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes
Round 2
The second frame opens as the two meet directly in the center of the cage, and Bahamondes leads off with several punches and whiffs with a wheel kick. Bahamondes steps through to light up the body with a kick, and Ogden slides to the side to fire off a trio of punches and an open-handed slap. They trade low kicks, and Bahamondes lines up a solid kick to the body. Bahamondes connects with a clean one-two, beating Ogden to the punch in most of their exchanges. Ogden goes up high with a kick, and “La Jaula” blocks it with ease. Bahamondes outjabs his foe, and Ogden shoots in from a healthy distance and is stuffed. Bahamondes retreats and lines up a low kick and a long left hand, and Ogden loads up on a left hand to respond. Ogden attempts to check a leg kick, and Bahamondes digs a few punches to the body. Bahamondes reaches his man and gets out before getting countered, and he protects himself from a high kick. The jabs and straight punches to the body continue to come from Bahamondes, who leaps into a flying knee and bounces off his target. Ogden blocks a body kick as the crowd showers the two cautious strikers with boos. These seem to excite “Samurai Ghost” momentarily, who chases Bahamondes down and connects with a combination. Ogden swipes out with a left hand, and Bahamondes chops his leg down on the inside again. The action once again wanes, and the crowd is not slow to voice its disapproval. Bahamondes scores another body kick that Ogden motions did not connect, but it did slide under his elbow first. The two fighters trade jabs, and take turns with exchanges. Bahamondes kicks, Ogden responds, and Bahamondes continues. Bahamondes lands a pair of leg kicks on the inside, fires one off to the head, and the tepid round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes
Round 3
The final frame opens with Bahamondes taking the middle of the Octagon and spamming kicks to all targets. Ogden paws out a left hand, and it is a single strike answered by several from Bahamondes. Bahamondes hammers the body with a kick, and this time Ogden is not motioning anything, as that appeared to sting. Bahamondes reaches with a straight left hand, and does so a second time before working the lead leg with a hard kick. Bahamondes chains into a pair of body kick, where he switches stance to dig his shin on the underside of Ogden’s knee. The Chilean fighter constantly peppers Ogden with kicks, rarely aiming at the same spot twice in a row. A leg kick from his right leg is followed by one from his left to the head, and then his right foot pushes out with a front kick. Bahamondes continues his lumberjack routine of chopping down the tree that is Ogden, and he slaps Ogden in the face with his instep. Ogden is left guessing or flailing at the wind, with left hooks that are nearly a foot short of the mark or low kicks that have little on them. The audience starts lighting up their phones and waving around the lights, all while raining down a wall of boos. The pace does not change for the fighters, as Bahamondes is comfortable with his calm yet active approach. Ogden dings Bahamondes with a left, but it is one-and-done before Bahamondes scores three times from a distance. Bahamondes jabs the body and spins with a kick to the midsection, and he hops back when Ogden aims a right hand down towards the breadbasket. Bahamondes swings a check right hook when Ogden advances, but it does not slow “Samurai Ghost” from throwing a solid right. Bahamondes misses the mark with a spinning wheel kick, but a second spin in the form of a back kick lands on the ribs and pushes Ogden into the wall. Bahamondes spins with a back fist, a wheel kick and then fires an axe kick, and Ogden stands in front of him until the horn blares to end this lackluster match.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes (30-27 Bahamondes)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes (30-27 Bahamondes)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes (30-27 Bahamondes)
The Official Result
Ignacio Bahamondes def. Trey Ogden via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo is very confident in Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his length, reach, surprising output, good power, footwork, and 95% takedown defense. He notes that Trey Ogden is stepping up on short notice and has had to cut weight twice in a few weeks, which is a disadvantage. He believes Ignacio will dominate with his striking and is one of his most confident picks on the card.
Big Brady is confident in Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his improved takedown defense and striking advantage. He notes that Trey Ogden has poor takedown accuracy (15%) and struggled against Jordan Levitt. He believes Bahamondes will outclass Ogden on the feet and potentially finish him, but predicts a decision win. He mentions the line movement as a sign of confidence.
Cody agrees with Paul on Bahamondes. He notes Bahamondes' potential and size advantage, and that Ogden's wins have come against lower-level competition. Cody points out Ogden's poor takedown defense and low striking output. He thinks Bahamondes will use his reach and volume to dominate. Cody says he probably won't bet it due to the price but agrees it's a solid pick.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Bahamondes. He notes that Ogden is a fighter who makes it hard for opponents to hit him, but Bahamondes will keep throwing.
Jacob also loves Ignacio, calling it one of his favorite plays on the card. He emphasizes Ignacio's jab and length, and notes that Trey Ogden marches forward with his head on the center line, making him vulnerable. He warns against Ignacio pulling guillotines, as that could put him on his back, but believes if he sticks to jabbing, he will dominate.
Bahamondes is all violence with high volume, using his height and reach to keep opponents at distance. He has 95% takedown defense and trains with Belal Muhammad to improve his grappling. Ogden is a BJJ black belt but may struggle with Bahamondes' constant pressure and output. I expect Bahamondes to land a knockout as Ogden gets desperate with takedowns.
Paul is high on Bahamondes, calling him potential top ticket material. He highlights Bahamondes' massive size for lightweight (6'3", 75" reach), excellent volume, and takedown defense. Paul notes Bahamondes' cardio and durability, and that he keeps improving. He criticizes Ogden's low output and poor wrestling, and believes Bahamondes will outwork him easily. Paul expects a dominant performance.
The MMA Guru picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by second-round submission via guillotine or d'arce choke. He highlights Bahamondes' good reactions to takedown attempts and his striking at range with front kicks and straight punches. He predicts Ogden will shoot a sloppy takedown in the second round after being worn down by leg kicks and body shots, allowing Bahamondes to latch on a guillotine against the cage.
Zane picks Bahamondes because Ogden is a negative fighter who withdraws, and Bahamondes is pathologically aggressive. He notes that trying to not have a fight with Bahamondes is dangerous.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 48 of 129 | 37% | 49 of 130 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Rong Zhu | 0 | 126 of 194 | 64% | 133 of 204 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Rong Zhu | 0 | 42 of 66 | 63% | 48 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:11 | |
| 2 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 31 of 83 | 37% | 31 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rong Zhu | 0 | 60 of 97 | 61% | 61 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 8 of 29 | 27% | 9 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Rong Zhu | 0 | 24 of 31 | 77% | 24 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 48 of 129 | 37% | 34 of 114 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 46 of 126 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Rong Zhu | 126 of 194 | 64% | 86 of 151 | 25 of 28 | 15 of 15 | 117 of 178 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 9 of 17 | 52% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Rong Zhu | 42 of 66 | 63% | 24 of 46 | 11 of 13 | 7 of 7 | 36 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | |
| 2 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 31 of 83 | 37% | 20 of 71 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 30 of 81 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Rong Zhu | 60 of 97 | 61% | 43 of 80 | 11 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 59 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 8 of 29 | 27% | 8 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rong Zhu | 24 of 31 | 77% | 19 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by decision. He praises Bahamondes' takedown defense shown against Roosevelt Roberts, where he stuffed 12 takedowns. He notes Bahamondes throws high volume (over 7.5 significant strikes per minute) and has a significant reach advantage. He criticizes Rong Zhu's striking, pointing out that he was outlanded 94-40 by Kazula Vargas at distance. Brady believes Bahamondes will keep the fight on the feet and outwork Zhu.
Cody picks Bahamondes by decision, citing his size, volume, and takedown defense. He notes Bahamondes' improvement and ability to stuff takedowns, while Zhu is still raw. Cody likes the decision prop at +150 and plans to bet it later in the week.
Daniel Levi leans Ignacio Bahamondes but is cautious. He notes Bahamondes has a tendency to fight to the level of his competition and sometimes underperforms. Levi praises Bahamondes' striking and chin, but worries about Rong Zhu's talent and youth. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation and says if Bahamondes performs to his potential, he wins.
The host is confident in Bahamondes, citing his volume striking, takedown defense, and ability to overwhelm opponents. He notes that Bahamondes stuffed takedowns from Roosevelt Roberts and expects similar success against Rong Zhu. He thinks Rong Zhu's only chance is a knockout, but Bahamondes should control the fight and win by decision.
Paul agrees with Bahamondes by decision, noting his pressure, volume, and takedown defense. He acknowledges Zhu's power but believes Bahamondes' size and output will win rounds. Paul also likes the decision prop at +150.
The MMA Guru picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by 29-28 decision. He believes Bahamondes has more potential and a higher ceiling than Rong Zhu, citing Bahamondes' impressive performance against Roosevelt Roberts and his toughness in the John McDermott fight. He criticizes Zhu's loss to Rodrigo Vargas and thinks Bahamondes will pressure Zhu, lose the first round, but come back in the second and third with better pacing to take Zhu into deep waters and win the last two rounds.
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady picks Bahamondes to win by decision, citing his significant reach advantage (75.5" vs 68") and youth (23 vs 35). He believes Bahamondes will use his range to pick apart Makdessi, who is coming off an injury layoff. Brady notes Bahamondes has solid volume and technical striking, while Makdessi is low volume and older. He does not love the -190 line but expects Bahamondes to win.
Cody leans Bahamondes, citing his massive reach advantage and youth. He notes Makdessi's lack of takedowns and suspect chin. However, he acknowledges Bahamondes is green and untested. He does not bet it.
Daniel Levi picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his youth, height and reach advantage, and training at a high-level gym in Chicago. He notes that John Makdessi has never landed a takedown in his UFC career and has been knocked out multiple times. Levi expects Bahamondes to use his length and volume to out-strike Makdessi, predicting a first-round knockout. He also mentions that Makdessi has a history of skipping wrestling practice.
The host likes Bahamondes' size and reach advantage (7 inches in height and reach), and his fluid striking. He thinks Bahamondes will keep Makdessi on the outside with his jab and kicks, and that Makdessi will struggle to close the distance. He picks Bahamondes to win by decision, though he acknowledges the Contender Series curse could be a factor.
Paul leans Makdessi as a dog, noting his experience, striking volume, and ability to outpoint opponents. He mentions Makdessi's recent ACL surgery and layoff as concerns, but thinks Bahamondes is too green. He calls it a dogger pass.
The MMA Guru initially leans toward Ignacio Bahamondes but ultimately picks John Makdessi. He notes Makdessi is technically sound and out-landed Francisco Trinaldo in some rounds. He criticizes Bahamondes for close fights and being submitted earlier in his career. He thinks Makdessi's experience and grappling will be the difference.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!