vs
-138 +124
UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland Next Fight
Age 32
Height 6' 4"
Reach 78"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 38
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Da Woon Jung
3.24 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
4.23 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.59 TD Avg
47.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - William Knight
2.62 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
3.3 SApM
35.0% Str. Def.
1.78 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
48.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Da Woon Jung
Moneyline
BetWay -138
KO/TKO
BetWay +188
Submission
BetWay +1000
Decision
BetWay +300
William Knight
Moneyline
FanDuel +124
KO/TKO
BetWay +225
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +450
Da Woon Jung - Fight History
LOSS vs Oumar Sy
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Oumar Sy 0 90 of 150 60% 97 of 160 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:02
Da Woon Jung 0 29 of 117 24% 36 of 124 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Oumar Sy 0 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:27
Da Woon Jung 0 14 of 40 35% 21 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Oumar Sy 0 43 of 75 57% 43 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Da Woon Jung 0 8 of 43 18% 8 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Oumar Sy 0 24 of 33 72% 31 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:31
Da Woon Jung 0 7 of 34 20% 7 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Oumar Sy 90 of 150 60% 44 of 98 19 of 23 27 of 29 78 of 136 12 of 14 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 29 of 117 24% 18 of 92 5 of 12 6 of 13 25 of 113 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Oumar Sy 23 of 42 54% 8 of 23 4 of 6 11 of 13 19 of 38 4 of 4 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 14 of 40 35% 9 of 26 1 of 5 4 of 9 10 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Oumar Sy 43 of 75 57% 24 of 55 11 of 12 8 of 8 36 of 66 7 of 9 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 8 of 43 18% 4 of 37 3 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Oumar Sy 24 of 33 72% 12 of 20 4 of 5 8 of 8 23 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 7 of 34 20% 5 of 29 1 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

Angelo picks Oumar Sy, noting that the UFC is building him as a star by giving him a fight against a dangerous-looking opponent who is on a losing streak. He believes Sy's explosiveness and finishing ability will be too much for Da-woon, who has lost three in a row. He expects the line to move further in Sy's favor.

"Umar Sai wins this fight... the UFC knows how to build a superstar... he's kind of affordable in the minus 400 range, that's not going to last long."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Oumar Sy

Big Brady picks Oumar Sy by second-round submission, noting Sy is a relentless wrestler who takes opponents down immediately and keeps them there. He criticizes Jung's takedown defense against wrestlers and points out Jung was submitted by Carlos Ulberg. He expects Sy to dominate on the ground.

Sy by submission round 2
"this should be c c by submission I'll say second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

Cody is high on Sy as a legitimate prospect with excellent grappling and size. He notes Sy's length (6'4", 83" reach) and ability to take down opponents and submit them. He expects Sy to take down Jung, who has poor takedown defense and submission defense, and finish via rear-naked choke.

"sign me up for C to hopefully keep the hype train and the undefeated record going"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Oumar Sy

Cody likes Oumar Sy as his matchup of the week, citing his strong wrestling and submission win in his UFC debut. He notes Sy is a big favorite at minus 600 and has a great inside the distance line at minus 160. Cody believes Sy's aggressive grappling style gives him a high ceiling and floor combination. He acknowledges Jung's experience and knockout upside but thinks Sy's wrestling will be the difference.

win inside the distance (-160)
"I'll go with Oumar Sy... he's a big favorite pushing minus 600... he's got a great inside the distance line at minus 160."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Oumar Sy

Connor agrees, pointing out that Da Woon Jung has looked shell-shocked in three fights running and may actively clinch with Sy to avoid striking, leading to a frustrating grind. He thinks Sy's grappling will be too much for Jung's current state.

"If he's going to go in there and like actively of his own volition, clinch up with Z because he doesn't like the stress of continuing to strike with him, you know, begging to be dragged down and controlled against …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

Daniel Vreeland picks Oumar Sy to win. He thinks Sy's grappling and physicality will be too much for Da-woon, who has lost confidence since the Jacoby fight. He notes Sy's takedown ability and ground game, and that Da-woon has been easily taken down recently. He is not interested in the price at -450.

"I think C should should have his way with this guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

JP picks Oumar Sy because he is undefeated and has a huge reach advantage. He notes Sy's opponents often cancel fights, indicating they don't want to fight him. He thinks Sy will finish Da-woon inside the distance, possibly by submission or TKO. He says the line should be much higher.

inside the distance
"give me Umar club and sub knock out this fight's not going the distance either way"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

Paul agrees, noting Sy's grappling is a clear advantage. He points out Jung's inconsistency and vulnerability to submissions, as seen in his loss to Carlos Alberg. Paul expects Sy to dominate with takedowns and control, though he acknowledges the risk of Jung landing a lucky shot.

"I think umari is the real deal with you so he's a pick for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

The MMA Guru picks Oumar Sy over Jung Da-woon, highlighting Sy's reach (83 inches) and his recent first-round finishes. He notes Sy's grappling from Bulgarian Top Team and predicts a first-round submission via rear-naked choke.

first round rear-naked choke
"I'm going to go with Umar side getting this one done by first round run naked choke"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Oumar Sy

Zane notes that Da Woon Jung's confidence is badly shot after recent losses, and he expects Jung to get blanketed by Sy's grinding takedown and control game. He thinks Sy might even get a submission, as jiu-jitsu is a 'magic bullet' at light heavyweight.

"I think he's just going to get to kind of blanket him and it's just going to be a three round grind."
LOSS vs Carlos Ulberg
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:49 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Ulberg 1 81 of 154 52% 91 of 165 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:41
Da Woon Jung 0 58 of 120 48% 60 of 123 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Ulberg 1 19 of 36 52% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Da Woon Jung 0 17 of 30 56% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Carlos Ulberg 0 24 of 55 43% 24 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Da Woon Jung 0 23 of 44 52% 23 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Carlos Ulberg 0 38 of 63 60% 46 of 72 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:38
Da Woon Jung 0 18 of 46 39% 20 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Ulberg 81 of 154 52% 50 of 119 20 of 23 11 of 12 59 of 126 8 of 9 14 of 19
Da Woon Jung 58 of 120 48% 14 of 59 12 of 20 32 of 41 55 of 115 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Ulberg 19 of 36 52% 7 of 22 7 of 8 5 of 6 17 of 31 1 of 2 1 of 3
Da Woon Jung 17 of 30 56% 0 of 5 3 of 4 14 of 21 17 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Carlos Ulberg 24 of 55 43% 21 of 51 3 of 4 0 of 0 24 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 23 of 44 52% 4 of 18 4 of 9 15 of 17 23 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Carlos Ulberg 38 of 63 60% 22 of 46 10 of 11 6 of 6 18 of 40 7 of 7 13 of 16
Da Woon Jung 18 of 46 39% 10 of 36 5 of 7 3 of 3 15 of 42 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Angelo is very confident in Carlos Ulberg, calling him one of his most confident picks on the card. He notes that Ulberg's striking is elite with great footwork and range management. Jung is well-rounded but may try takedowns, but Ulberg should be too good a striker and should have improved takedown defense.

"I am confident in Carlos Uber very very confident one of my more confident picks on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Big Brady picks Carlos Ulberg, noting his recent knockout performances and Da-un's poor recent form. He worries about Ulberg's untested takedown defense but thinks if it stays standing, Ulberg will knock him out. He predicts a first-round knockout.

"I'll say oberg wins this fight wins this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Cody picks Ulberg confidently, citing his improvement since the Kennedy fight and his ability to finish fights early. He notes that Da-un has poor cardio, durability issues, and doesn't fight well at range. Cody expects Ulberg to win by knockout, possibly in the first round, and likes the under on significant strikes.

Ulberg by knockout (-140); under 1.5 rounds (-110); Ulberg under 50.5 significant strikes on Prize Picks
"Carlos oldberg gets the job done I would think by knockout but you know just to be safe ulberg just the straight up pick"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Daniel Levi picks Carlos Ulberg but with some hesitation. He notes that both fighters are counter-strikers, which could lead to a slow fight. Ulberg has a nasty check left hook and big kicks, but Da-un is a step up in competition. Levi says he is not as confident as in Ulberg's previous fights because Da-un won't rush in recklessly. He still expects Ulberg to win, possibly by knockout if Da-un overcommits.

Odds mentioned: Ulberg minus 260, Da-un plus 220.
"I'm still picking olberg but the reason why I'm not as confident as I was against Ihor Potieria is because these guys are gonna go right after him whereas Da-un is kind of gonna sit back."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Ulberg is on a four-fight winning streak with three finishes, showing improved confidence and speed. He is a City Kickboxing product. Da-un is on a two-fight losing streak but is grindy and tough. Ulberg's early speed and power should be too much, and he will likely win by knockout. The KO prop is preferred over the heavy moneyline.

Ulberg by knockout
"I'm still going to take Aubrey to win by knockout but I'd rather take his knockout problem than I would the minus 300 on his money line"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Paul picks Ulberg, noting his rapid improvement and Da-un's inconsistency. He mentions that Da-un looked lost against Sam Alvey and was exposed in his last two fights. Paul believes Ulberg's precision and power will be too much, and he likes the under on significant strikes.

Ulberg under 50.5 significant strikes on Prize Picks
"I think olberg is the guy who's trending in the in uh trending up and down Zhang has been always a wild cards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Ulberg over Jung Da-un, expressing frustration that Ulberg is not being given tougher opponents. He notes that Da-un can grapple with cage trips and throws but believes Ulberg's movement and striking on the back foot will neutralize that. He points out that Da-un has lost to Devin Clark and was knocked out by Jacoby, while Ulberg is on a four-fight win streak. He predicts Ulberg will win easily, likely by knockout.

"I'm going with Carlos auberg"
LOSS vs Devin Clark
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Devin Clark 0 18 of 52 34% 43 of 78 1 of 5 20% 0 0 5:48
Da Woon Jung 0 39 of 70 55% 96 of 136 3 of 11 27% 0 0 5:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Devin Clark 0 5 of 15 33% 9 of 20 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:06
Da Woon Jung 0 10 of 15 66% 42 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:09
2 Devin Clark 0 6 of 12 50% 23 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:16
Da Woon Jung 0 10 of 18 55% 24 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:25
3 Devin Clark 0 7 of 25 28% 11 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:26
Da Woon Jung 0 19 of 37 51% 30 of 49 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Devin Clark 18 of 52 34% 11 of 42 6 of 9 1 of 1 7 of 36 11 of 16 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 39 of 70 55% 22 of 51 5 of 6 12 of 13 26 of 52 11 of 14 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Devin Clark 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 10 3 of 5 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 10 of 15 66% 4 of 9 1 of 1 5 of 5 6 of 9 3 of 3 1 of 3
2 Devin Clark 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 3 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 7 3 of 5 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 10 of 18 55% 4 of 12 1 of 1 5 of 5 6 of 13 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Devin Clark 7 of 25 28% 4 of 19 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 19 5 of 6 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 19 of 37 51% 14 of 30 3 of 4 2 of 3 14 of 30 4 of 6 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Big Brady sees Jung as the bigger, more powerful striker with solid takedown defense. He criticizes Devin Clark's recent performance and lack of wrestling. He expects Jung to knock out Clark early, likely in the first round.

first round knockout
"I like Dao and junk to win by knockout and I think it probably comes you know pretty early"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Cody leans toward Jung but is not confident. He notes Jung's power and elbows in the clinch, but worries about his cardio and size. He thinks Devin Clark could grind out a decision by pressing Jung against the cage. He considers the line too big and prefers to pass or bet the over 2.5 rounds at +130.

Over 2.5 rounds (+130)
"part of me is actually worried that this was this would be the big Underdog that comes through... largely this fight's a pass I guess got into my head if I had to pick I would probably take dong Jung"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Connor picks Da Woon Jung, citing his reach advantage and consistent pressure striking. He notes that Devin Clark lacks a process in his striking, with no jab, feints, or defense, and that his father's coaching has stunted his development. Connor expects Jung to win a three-round decision, as Clark is durable but unable to handle Jung's range and output.

"Down Jung is gonna win. Yeah, I mean this one's pretty simple... Devin Clark is an utter lack of process."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Paul also leans toward Jung but is not betting. He notes Jung's size advantage (6'4" vs 6'0") and power, but acknowledges Clark's durability and grinding style. He points out that Clark often fights to a decision and lacks killer instinct. He prefers to avoid the fight entirely.

"I'm actually siding with you with daang Jung but yeah minus 250 it just doesn't doesn't get me too excited on this car"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Da Woon Jung. He highlights Jung's size and durability, and Clark's inability to put together combinations or defend effectively. Zane notes that Clark's only chance is a surprise head kick, but Jung's consistent pressure and reach will lead to a clear decision win.

"Down Jung is gonna win. Yeah, I mean this one's pretty simple... Devin Clark is an utter lack of process."
LOSS vs Dustin Jacoby
KO (punch) R1 3:13 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 1 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Da Woon Jung 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 1 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Da Woon Jung 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 14 of 23 60% 6 of 14 1 of 2 7 of 7 14 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 14 of 39 35% 6 of 26 1 of 4 7 of 9 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 14 of 23 60% 6 of 14 1 of 2 7 of 7 14 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 14 of 39 35% 6 of 26 1 of 4 7 of 9 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby but is worried about Da Woon Jung's wrestling. He believes Jacoby's leg kicks will be the difference, slowing Jung down and allowing Jacoby to work his striking. He acknowledges Jung's impressive grappling and unbeaten streak, making this a tough pick.

"personally i am going to go dustin while the wrestling does worry me i think dustin's leg kicks will probably be the difference here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He favors Jacoby's volume and striking over Jung's power. He notes that Jung's takedown game is overrated, as he only showed it against William Knight. He thinks Jacoby's get-up game will neutralize takedowns and that Jacoby will outwork Jung over three rounds.

"i'm going to slightly lean with dustin jacoby to win this fight based off a volume based off of activity across three rounds"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Cody leans towards Jung as a slight underdog, citing his power and wrestling as x-factors. He notes that Jacoby has holes in his game, including questionable chin and takedown defense. Cody believes Jung could exploit these with his power or takedowns, but he is not confident enough to bet.

Da Un Jung over 2 takedowns
"i got myself leaning towards it being a dogger pass"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, but jokingly notes he is wrong on every Da Woon Jung fight, so picking Jacoby means Jung will win. He praises Jacoby's kickboxing background and ability to overcome adversity, while noting Jung's power and length. He expects Jacoby to outwork Jung down the stretch to a decision.

decision win likely; line flip noted
"since i'm wrong on every single darwin junk fight i'm going to pick dustin jacoby so that don jung wins this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Paul also leans towards Jung, noting his power and the fact that Jacoby has been taken down and hurt in past fights. He mentions Jung's win over Kennedy Nzechukwu and his ability to finish fights. However, he is not confident and calls it a dogger pass.

Da Un Jung over 2 takedowns
"jung for you jung for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung as an underdog over Dustin Jacoby, citing Jung's grappling ability and power. He notes Jung's win over William Knight, where he dominated grappling exchanges, and believes Jung's takedown threat will neutralize Jacoby's kicking game. He also mentions Jacoby's close fights and age (34) as concerns, while Jung is younger (28) and improving rapidly.

underdog pick
"i'm gonna be siding with darun young here he's the underdog and i'm gonna pick him"
KO (elbows) R1 3:04 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da Woon Jung 0 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kennedy Nzechukwu 1 16 of 49 32% 16 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da Woon Jung 0 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kennedy Nzechukwu 1 16 of 49 32% 16 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da Woon Jung 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kennedy Nzechukwu 16 of 49 32% 15 of 47 1 of 2 0 of 0 12 of 42 3 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da Woon Jung 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kennedy Nzechukwu 16 of 49 32% 15 of 47 1 of 2 0 of 0 12 of 42 3 of 6 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Angelo picks Da Woon Jung because Kennedy Nzechukwu has a habit of falling behind on rounds and relying on comeback knockouts, which is not a reliable betting strategy. He notes that Jung has good wrestling and can control the fight with takedowns, similar to his win over William Knight. Angelo believes the odds are fair and mentions a potential prop bet on Kennedy inside the distance for a refund if he loses a decision.

Kennedy to win inside the distance or decision no action
"my issue with kennedy is he has no problem getting behind on rounds no problem and you cannot build a career on losing rounds and hoping for sort of a one punch knockout come from behind victory"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Big Brady picks Da Woon Jung because he believes Kennedy Nzechukwu is a slow starter who relies on opponents gassing out, as seen in his wins over Danilo Marquez and Carlos Oberg. Jung showed a new wrestling wrinkle by taking down William Knight eight times, and his gas tank is solid. Brady thinks Jung can mix in takedowns and won't fade like Nzechukwu's previous opponents, leading to a decision win.

Jung by decision
"I'm going to take down jung to win i'm going to take don jung to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Cody likes Nzechukwu as a dog. He argues that Jung's takedowns came against a much smaller opponent (Knight) and that Nzechukwu's size and reach will make takedowns harder. He notes Nzechukwu's improving cardio and volume, and that Jung struggled against Sam Alvey. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"dogger pass to take to end things"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Daniel Levi picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, emphasizing his 83-inch reach and toughness. He believes Nzechukwu's technique is improving and that he will grind out a close decision by winning the second and third rounds. Levi notes that Jung has struggled against lower-level competition and that Nzechukwu has more potential and a higher ceiling.

"give me kennedy and zetrugu to grind another one out win the second and third round and win a very close decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Jacob picks Kennedy Nzechukwu as an underdog, believing Kennedy's takedown defense will hold up and he will swarm Jung with volume. He acknowledges that Kennedy often falls behind but thinks he can win this fight, possibly inside the distance. Jacob is not very confident but likes the underdog play.

"i kind of like the underdog play here i'm not real confident in it but i like kennedy uh win this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Paul leans toward Jung because of his wrestling. He notes Jung scored eight takedowns against William Knight, though Knight is much smaller. He thinks Jung can get takedowns and control Nzechukwu, but acknowledges Nzechukwu showed improvements in his last fight.

"i'm gonna lean towards the wrestler you know me i always do"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2021 (fight day)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

The Guru predicts Kennedy Nzechukwu will win by TKO in the second round. He describes a competitive first round with both fighters landing, but Nzechukwu's body work and knees take over in the second, culminating in a counter hook that drops Da Woon Jung. The Guru emphasizes Nzechukwu's body shots and clinch work as key factors.

TKO in round 2
"nazi trick who landing knees to the body down young separates tries to go for a big combo gets cracked again... that's when who's going to count catch him in a big exchange put him down with a counter hook …"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da Woon Jung 0 28 of 46 60% 73 of 99 8 of 9 88% 0 0 12:04
William Knight 0 17 of 29 58% 38 of 50 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da Woon Jung 0 4 of 8 50% 16 of 20 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:26
William Knight 0 6 of 12 50% 18 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Da Woon Jung 0 24 of 37 64% 39 of 58 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:56
William Knight 0 9 of 12 75% 9 of 12 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Da Woon Jung 0 0 of 1 0% 18 of 21 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:42
William Knight 0 2 of 5 40% 11 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da Woon Jung 28 of 46 60% 20 of 37 0 of 1 8 of 8 11 of 23 0 of 0 17 of 23
William Knight 17 of 29 58% 5 of 13 1 of 1 11 of 15 17 of 26 0 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da Woon Jung 4 of 8 50% 1 of 4 0 of 1 3 of 3 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
William Knight 6 of 12 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 10 6 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Da Woon Jung 24 of 37 64% 19 of 32 0 of 0 5 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 16 of 22
William Knight 9 of 12 75% 3 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 5 9 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Da Woon Jung 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Big Brady picks Jung to win by first-round knockout. He believes Jung is the better striker with significant power, and Knight is hittable with poor striking defense (33%). Brady expects Jung to stuff Knight's takedowns and land a knockout, as Knight has been knocked out before. He notes that if Knight can grind, he could win, but the more likely scenario is a Jung KO. Brady is passing on betting due to the line movement.

"i'm going to take dongjong to win by give me a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

Cody picks Knight, citing his power, cardio, and ring IQ. He notes Jung's poor performance against Alvey and Knight's ability to come back from adversity. He thinks Knight's pressure and power will be too much.

"i took him plus 120 yesterday because i was like you're giving me plus 120"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, despite his disappointing performance against Sam Alvey. He notes that Jung showed in the third round what he can do when he lets his hands go, and he has a significant height and reach advantage. Levi is concerned about William Knight leaving his chin up in the air and thinks Jung can capitalize. He is not sure about the method but picks Jung to win.

"I'm actually gonna go with dawun zhang to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

The host expects Knight to close the distance, clinch, and drag Jung to the ground, nullifying Jung's size and striking advantage. He notes that Knight is a dense, strong fighter with good durability, and that his grappling-heavy game plan should be effective. He picks Knight to grind out a decision victory, though he acknowledges that Jung has power and could land a knockout.

Knight by decision
"i think knight will be successful in closing a distance getting a hold of jung dragging him to the ground"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

Paul picks Knight, calling him a 'poor man's Derrick Lewis' with power and cardio. He notes Knight's ability to get back up from takedowns and his ring IQ. He thinks Knight is a live dog.

"thick willy's a poor man's derrick lewis"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung, citing his size advantage over the smaller William Knight. He thinks both are not technically great but Jung's reach and front kick will keep Knight at bay. He notes Jung has decent takedown defense and KO power. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Jung.

"i'm going to go with darwin young just by being a bigger guy on the feet"
LOSS vs Sam Alvey
Draw (split) (29–28, 28–29, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Oct 24, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da Woon Jung 1 56 of 126 44% 61 of 133 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:25
Sam Alvey 0 59 of 166 35% 69 of 177 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da Woon Jung 0 20 of 42 47% 20 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Sam Alvey 0 22 of 64 34% 27 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Da Woon Jung 0 19 of 49 38% 19 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Alvey 0 23 of 60 38% 23 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Da Woon Jung 1 17 of 35 48% 22 of 42 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:09
Sam Alvey 0 14 of 42 33% 19 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da Woon Jung 56 of 126 44% 43 of 108 5 of 10 8 of 8 46 of 114 6 of 8 4 of 4
Sam Alvey 59 of 166 35% 38 of 140 3 of 8 18 of 18 56 of 162 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da Woon Jung 20 of 42 47% 13 of 35 4 of 4 3 of 3 19 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 22 of 64 34% 14 of 53 1 of 4 7 of 7 21 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Da Woon Jung 19 of 49 38% 13 of 39 1 of 5 5 of 5 19 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 23 of 60 38% 14 of 50 2 of 3 7 of 7 23 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Da Woon Jung 17 of 35 48% 17 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 24 5 of 7 4 of 4
Sam Alvey 14 of 42 33% 10 of 37 0 of 1 4 of 4 12 of 39 1 of 2 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Big Brady is confident in Da Woon Jung, citing his high output (6.59 significant strikes per minute) compared to Alvey's low volume. He notes Jung's good chin and cardio, and struggles to see a path to victory for Alvey. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he acknowledges a decision is possible.

first round knockout
"give me dongjong i'm going to predict a give me a first round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, citing his durability, discipline, and jab. He notes that Alvey is on the decline and has been figured out, with his only recent knockout being against a low-level opponent. Levi believes Jung will stay technical, pick Alvey apart with the jab, and avoid the counter right hook, likely winning by early knockout.

Jung opened -600 and has been bet down to -330; Alvey's chin isn't the same at 205; Jung will win early, possibly first round
"i'm going with dawun jung to get the biggest win of his career"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

The host leans toward Da Woon Jung, noting that Jung is younger, more aggressive, and has better output. He questions Sam Alvey's durability and recent form, but is not confident enough to bet the moneyline at -370. He suggests Jung by knockout as a prop.

Jung by knockout, over 1.5 rounds
"i'll probably lean with jung here as a prediction uh in terms of betting yeah i'm not i'm not parlaying him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Jung is more technical and controlled than Ryan Spann (who struggled with Alvey), sets up shots with feints, and is coming off a KO win over Mike Rodriguez. He criticizes Alvey for losing too many times and being 34 years old.

first round TKO
"i'm gonna go with doubt on you and getting it done i reckon you'll tko sam alvey"
KO/TKO (punch) R1 1:04 · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019
William Knight - Fight History
LOSS vs Marcin Prachnio
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marcin Prachnio 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
William Knight 0 79 of 144 54% 79 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marcin Prachnio 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
William Knight 0 26 of 48 54% 26 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marcin Prachnio 0 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
William Knight 0 29 of 49 59% 29 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Marcin Prachnio 0 4 of 13 30% 4 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
William Knight 0 24 of 47 51% 24 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marcin Prachnio 8 of 33 24% 0 of 13 2 of 8 6 of 12 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 79 of 144 54% 9 of 36 7 of 25 63 of 83 79 of 144 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marcin Prachnio 3 of 10 30% 0 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 4 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 26 of 48 54% 1 of 10 3 of 11 22 of 27 26 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Marcin Prachnio 1 of 10 10% 0 of 5 0 of 3 1 of 2 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 29 of 49 59% 5 of 12 2 of 8 22 of 29 29 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Marcin Prachnio 4 of 13 30% 0 of 5 0 of 2 4 of 6 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 24 of 47 51% 3 of 14 2 of 6 19 of 27 24 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marcin Prachnio

Angelo has a one-unit bet on Prachnio but expresses buyer's remorse. He thinks Prachnio is the better technical fighter with a karate background, but his chin is a concern. Angelo notes William Knight is a powerful, fast bodybuilder-type who can wrestle, but is inconsistent and missed weight by 12 pounds. He believes Prachnio should win if he doesn't get caught, but admits the bet is risky.

One-unit moneyline bet on Prachnio. Also mentions William Knight by KO +185 and Prachnio by KO +250, and Knight by submission +1200.
"I got one unit on marcine prach now... it is the riskiest conservative Ange."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
William Knight

Big Brady favors Knight because of his wrestling path, as Prachnio has poor takedown defense (around 50%) and terrible cardio, gassing out by six minutes in his last fight. He thinks Knight can take him down, wear on him, and get a second-round knockout. He notes that both have durability issues, but Knight's power and cardio give him the edge.

Knight by KO, round 2
"I gotta go William not here and the reason being I think he has a path to Victory here and that path to Victory he's going to be to wrestle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marcin Prachnio

Cody picks Prachnio, noting William Knight has struggled with weight cuts and is now moving back to 205 after a failed heavyweight stint. He details Knight's history of botched weight cuts and poor performances when depleted. He says Prachnio has volume and cardio advantages, and even if Knight gets takedowns, he won't do enough with them. He calls it an even money fight but likes Prachnio as the betting underdog.

Cody notes Prachnio is technically the betting underdog. He mentions Knight's weight issues: came in at 218 for a 205 fight, then 251 at heavyweight.
"It's pretty much an even money fight but like ever so slightly marcine praknow is technically the betting Underdog and so uh talker pass baby sign me up with Marcin pracneo."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Marcin Prachnio

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Knight's counter punching is technically poor and he cannot put together combinations. Prachnio will get hurt but is unlikely to be finished. Knight's lack of follow-up means Prachnio can recover and win rounds.

"Yeah, we're agreed picking Prochno it just always also like... Light heavyweight is just so that division. Lots of power, not a lot of durability."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
William Knight

Jacob picks William Knight, citing his explosiveness and power as a perfect matchup against Prachnio's karate style. He thinks once Knight starts landing, Prachnio will shell up against the fence and get finished. Jacob notes Knight's aggression and ability to pounce, and believes Prachnio's chin is weak. He also mentions the under 1.5 rounds feels like a trap but thinks Knight will get the KO.

"I'm gonna go William Knight in this match I think it's a good matchup for his explosiveness."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marcin Prachnio

Prachnio's kick-heavy, movement-based style should keep him safe from Knight's early power. Knight fades after round one and has poor cardio. Prachnio can use his range and footwork to win a decision, though his chin is a concern. Live betting after round one is suggested.

over 1.5 rounds; Prachnio wins by decision
"I like the over one and a half as well... I think that ultimately we'll see Prachnio... picking up a decision Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marcin Prachnio

Paul picks Prachnio, saying he struggles to get to William Knight. He notes Knight's volume isn't there and he's not sure about his grappling. He says Prachnio should box him up at range with volume as long as he stays upright. He acknowledges Knight can land a bomb, but thinks more often than not Prachnio wins. He says he's not sure if he'll bet it but is picking Prachnio.

Paul mentions the line moved from Prachnio being a slight favorite to money coming in on Knight. He says he'll take the ever-so-slight dog.
"I'll take the ever so slight dog and marcine pracneo just you know keep your chin in one piece."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
William Knight

The MMA Guru picks William Knight, but is undecided. He acknowledges Marcin Prachnio is not bad and beat Khalil Rountree, but notes Prachnio's chin is suspect, having been finished three times in his last six fights by KO. He believes Knight will find that chin and get a KO, either by dominant position or big shot on the feet, but emphasizes Knight must be aggressive.

KO
"I'm gonna go with William Knight Finding that chin at some point William Knight will find that chin and Martin pratch Neo's chin is not the best"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Marcin Prachnio

Zane picks Prachnio because he is a better striker and more determined than Knight. Knight has power but lacks form and follow-up, and he turns into a counter puncher when pressured. Prachnio takes available targets and will win rounds. Knight may hurt him but likely won't finish, and Prachnio's improved durability should see him through.

Prachnio opened -110, now -103; Knight opened -110, now -119. Zane says 'don't bet on this' and 'don't watch this card.'
"Yeah, we're agreed picking Prochno it just always also like... Light heavyweight is just so that division. Lots of power, not a lot of durability."
LOSS vs Devin Clark
TKO (punches) R3 3:21 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Devin Clark 1 34 of 47 72% 125 of 140 2 of 5 40% 0 0 5:46
William Knight 0 21 of 41 51% 39 of 59 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Devin Clark 0 3 of 9 33% 33 of 39 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:14
William Knight 0 10 of 18 55% 19 of 27 0 of 0 --- 2 0 2:03
2 Devin Clark 0 12 of 15 80% 63 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:13
William Knight 0 6 of 9 66% 8 of 11 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
3 Devin Clark 1 19 of 23 82% 29 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:19
William Knight 0 5 of 14 35% 12 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Devin Clark 34 of 47 72% 19 of 30 5 of 6 10 of 11 25 of 37 4 of 5 5 of 5
William Knight 21 of 41 51% 11 of 29 3 of 3 7 of 9 16 of 35 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Devin Clark 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
William Knight 10 of 18 55% 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 2 6 of 13 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Devin Clark 12 of 15 80% 5 of 8 2 of 2 5 of 5 10 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2
William Knight 6 of 9 66% 2 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 4 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Devin Clark 19 of 23 82% 12 of 14 2 of 3 5 of 6 12 of 16 4 of 4 3 of 3
William Knight 5 of 14 35% 0 of 8 3 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
William Knight

Angelo picks William Knight, believing he hits too hard and has his own wrestling. He notes that both are moving up to heavyweight, but Knight will be the bigger, faster, and harder-hitting fighter. He expresses concern about Knight's cardio with added muscle and his wrestling defense, but still thinks Knight gets the win and redeems himself from the weight miss.

"i still think william knight gets this done i think he just hits too hard his cardio should be good enough"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Devin Clark

Big Brady picks Devin Clark to win by decision. He notes Clark has fought much better competition, has cardio, and can take the fight to the ground. He criticizes William Knight's 33% striking defense, low volume, poor takedown defense, and cardio issues. However, he is cautious because the fight is at heavyweight, which could favor Knight. He expects Clark to grind out a decision.

win by decision
"you got to go devin clark here and i got to go devin clark by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Devin Clark

Cody picks Clark, emphasizing his wrestling and clinch work. He thinks Clark can grind Knight against the cage and win a decision. He notes Knight's lack of output and Clark's edge in wrestling.

"i'll take devin clark devin clark my decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Daniel Levi has no clear pick for this fight. He acknowledges Devin Clark is much more skilled with good wrestling and experience, but notes he has been finished multiple times and can break mentally. William Knight is unskilled with poor defense but has tremendous toughness, power, and explosiveness, similar to Derrick Lewis. Levi says the fight could go either way depending on which version shows up, and he has no conviction on a pick.

"I don't know man I don't [ __ ] know."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Devin Clark

Paul picks Clark but is hesitant, noting the weigh-ins will be important. He thinks Clark's wrestling and pace will be key, but worries about Clark's chin and Knight's power. He expects a decision win for Clark.

"i like clark i think in this spot as long as he doesn't get clipped"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
William Knight

The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO. He notes the fight is at heavyweight, benefiting Knight who doesn't have to cut weight, and that Devin Clark is coming off a horrific jaw injury from Krzysztof Jotko. He believes Clark will be hesitant and Knight's power will prevail.

first round KO
"william knight gets it done by first round ko"
LOSS vs Maxim Grishin
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Feb 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maxim Grishin 0 21 of 68 30% 32 of 79 3 of 9 33% 0 0 2:37
William Knight 0 69 of 89 77% 88 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maxim Grishin 0 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
William Knight 0 27 of 33 81% 27 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Maxim Grishin 0 5 of 26 19% 7 of 28 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:44
William Knight 0 25 of 32 78% 31 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:09
3 Maxim Grishin 0 8 of 23 34% 17 of 32 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:53
William Knight 0 17 of 24 70% 30 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maxim Grishin 21 of 68 30% 9 of 39 5 of 13 7 of 16 16 of 63 5 of 5 0 of 0
William Knight 69 of 89 77% 16 of 32 21 of 24 32 of 33 62 of 81 3 of 4 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maxim Grishin 8 of 19 42% 0 of 4 4 of 7 4 of 8 8 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 27 of 33 81% 1 of 6 6 of 6 20 of 21 27 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Maxim Grishin 5 of 26 19% 3 of 15 0 of 5 2 of 6 5 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 25 of 32 78% 7 of 12 10 of 12 8 of 8 22 of 29 1 of 1 2 of 2
3 Maxim Grishin 8 of 23 34% 6 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 18 5 of 5 0 of 0
William Knight 17 of 24 70% 8 of 14 5 of 6 4 of 4 13 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Angelo picks Grishin because Knight is on short notice and may lack the cardio to push his usual pace. He thinks Knight will come out explosive in the first round, then fade, allowing Grishin to take over. He notes that a full-camp Knight would be his pick, but under these circumstances, Grishin is the choice. He suggests live betting to monitor Knight's cardio.

live betting
"the pick under these circumstances is maxim grisham"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Big Brady is impressed with Grishin's well-rounded game, noting his striking and takedown defense are solid. He criticizes Knight's 36% striking defense and 45% takedown defense, and notes Knight is coming in on short notice. Brady believes Grishin can expose these weaknesses, either by taking Knight down or knocking him out. He picks Grishin to win by second or third round knockout, but acknowledges Knight has power and could win.

Grishin by second or third round knockout
"i think grisham gets it done here... by like a second or third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Cody picks Grishin but is not fully confident. He notes Grishin is inconsistent but looked good against Jacoby. He thinks Knight could land a big shot but Grishin should win on volume and technique.

"the pick will be grisham low lower down lower down"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
William Knight

Daniel Levi leans toward William Knight as an underdog, noting Knight's explosive power and ability to change fights with one shot. He acknowledges that Maxim Grishin is more technical and experienced, but Knight's intangibles make him dangerous. Levi is not fully confident and calls it a dog or pass situation.

"i'm going to lean that knight finds one of those moments and takes advantage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Grishin is a big light heavyweight who should be able to control Knight against the cage and outpoint him. Knight's only path to victory is a knockout, but Grishin is disciplined and can stay on the outside. Grishin's cardio is a concern, but he should win a decision if he fights smart. The line is a buy-low spot.

Grishin by decision
"i like the russian in this spot uh maybe uh you know a buy low spot for him as well around that -165 line considering that he in my opinion should be a slightly bigger favorite in the spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

Paul picks Grishin, citing his size and reach advantage. He notes Knight is short for the division and relies on a check left hook. He thinks Grishin can pick Knight apart at range and avoid the big shot.

"i think maxine grisham wins this fight on volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
William Knight

The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO, citing his athleticism and power. He accuses Knight of being on steroids and believes Grishin cannot avoid the knockout.

first round ko
"i'm gonna go of william knight he's on roids"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Knight 0 44 of 77 57% 66 of 99 0 of 2 0% 0 1 6:25
Alonzo Menifield 1 55 of 111 49% 82 of 139 1 of 4 25% 0 1 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Knight 0 6 of 12 50% 13 of 19 0 of 2 0% 0 1 3:07
Alonzo Menifield 1 19 of 25 76% 31 of 37 1 of 3 33% 0 1 0:43
2 William Knight 0 30 of 50 60% 30 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alonzo Menifield 0 17 of 56 30% 17 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 William Knight 0 8 of 15 53% 23 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:18
Alonzo Menifield 0 19 of 30 63% 34 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Knight 44 of 77 57% 34 of 67 8 of 8 2 of 2 44 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 55 of 111 49% 32 of 82 14 of 19 9 of 10 38 of 93 10 of 10 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Knight 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 19 of 25 76% 10 of 16 6 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 11 6 of 6 7 of 8
2 William Knight 30 of 50 60% 22 of 42 6 of 6 2 of 2 30 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 17 of 56 30% 12 of 47 3 of 6 2 of 3 17 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 William Knight 8 of 15 53% 6 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alonzo Menifield 19 of 30 63% 10 of 19 5 of 7 4 of 4 15 of 26 4 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
William Knight vs. Alonzo Menifield

Round 1
Hold on tight, because two light heavyweight bangers are about to toe the line in what might not last very long. Rescheduled several times this year, Menifield (11-2, 4-2 UFC) and Knight (10-2, 2-1 UFC) will finally get to slug it out all while referee Herb Dean watches on. Finish rates for each above 90% likely mean that chins will be tested soon, but they do extend their gloves to touch before swinging for the bleachers. Buckle up. Two big punches immediately come for Menifield, with a one-two that Knight rolls with. Knight suddenly changes things up for a single, and he hits it but does not secure it as Menifield rolls through to reverse him and land in side control on top. The action stalls out from this position as Menifield does not want to commit to any strikes, and would rather use his body weight to crush Knight down and keep him flat on his back. Menifield sits up to set up a crucifix, and when he does, Knight bursts out of the position to force a scramble. They go back and forth, and Knight takes his foe’s back. Menifield explodes right back to turn and stand up, and when he pushes Knight into the wall, he thinks about going for a single of his own. Instead of this, “Atomic Alonzo” just uses his weight to press. Knight defends with a knee that glances off the cup, and Menifield waves it off to let them continue. Menifield pursues a single, and Knight grabs hold of a guillotine choke with his massive biceps to squeeze as tight as he can. Menifield cannot ground his opponent but does not appear to be in submission danger, and Knight knees him again and gets warned for close proximity to the cup since he cannot see where he is aiming. After a grueling clinch exchange, Menifield scores a big right hand that staggers Knight for a moment. The imbalance for Knight may also be from fatigue, as his footing is not quite right. They both throw bombs, and Knight cracks Menifield in a flurry to hurt Menifield badly. Menifield tumbles to the ground, and Knight follows him to throw his bowling ball fists into the head. Knight continues to pour it on to end the round, and when the horn sounds, both men appear spent. Menifield needs to be helped to his corner, as he is hurt and tired. He makes his way back to his stool.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Knight
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Knight
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Knight

Round 2
The big men come out to begin the second round with a frenzy, and Menifield stings his opponent with a few punches that make Knight sprint around the cage to gather himself. Menifield sits down on a huge right hand, measuring it and nearly knocking Knight off of his feet. He does not follow it up, instead measuring with a low kick and staying away of the potential counter from “Knightmare.” Menifield catches Knight coming in with a takedown try, and Knight lets it go to sling a head kick. Menifield eats it like Texas barbeque so that he can wing power punches, and Knight wears them well. Knight spins with a wheel kick that glances off the shoulder, and Menifield bears down on him to land a clean left hand. Both light heavyweights measure one another and catch their breath, largely throwing single swiping strikes. Menifield snaps his foe’s head back with a punch, and Knight flails back and manages to connect. Knight spins with a kick, dives in for a takedown, and backs off when Menifield slings heavy leather at him. Menifield paws out a jab, drawing a grin from Knight, and he reaches out another when it connects. Knight wings a left hand that just misses the mark, and he plods forward to set up a right. Menifield interrupts him with a few more jabs, breaking up the power punches that try to come at him. “Atomic” just misses with an explosive one-two, and he continues to work his jab to stop the looping shots ahead of time. Knight gets the memo and sneaks out his own jab, but Menifield’s is more effective and more active. Knight walks through them without concern, and he slings a right hand that collides off the head. “Knightmare” lets loose with a head kick that shakes Menifield up, and he tries to finish the job in the waning seconds with booming seconds but cannot get the job done before the round ends. Knight does land a punch after the bell, and promptly apologizes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Menifield

Round 3
The fighters hug it out to start off the third round, and get right back to throwing hammers at one another. Knight has a bomb of a right hand glance off Menifield’s mohawk, but it does not get the job done as Menifield counters him effectively to knock him back. Knight leaps ahead with a superman punch, and he pulls back with an elbow when Menifield bears down on him to tie him up. Using his full body weight to his advantage, Menifield pushes Knight heavily into the wall before transitioning into a double-leg takedown attempt. Menifield tries to pick Knight up, but he might not have enough gas in the tank to lift up the mammoth man that is “Knightmare.” Knight tries to fight his way out of the clinch, but Menifield pins him back even though Knight knees him in the body a few times. Menifield continues to grind Knight out on the wall, as if he were trying to mash him straight through the links themselves. Dean implores them to do more than lean on one another, and this prompts Menifield into action to attempt a takedown on the other side, but there is nothing there either. Dean once more tells them to work, and Menifield squeezes his opponent tightly but does little else besides pop him in the thigh with a few short shots. Right before Dean is going to intervene, Knight explodes to get out of the position, and a jump knee glances off Menifield’s head. Knight kicks high and low as he charges like a bull, and Menifield backs up and evades the brunt of the damage. Menifield jabs out a few times, and he rolls when a few huge right hands come at him. Try as he might, Knight cannot land the knockout blow he seeks, and we unexpectedly see the scorecards for the first time tonight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)

The Official Result
William Knight def. Alonzo Menifield via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alonzo Menifield

Angelo picks Menifield, citing his improved cardio from the Ed Herman fight. He notes Menifield has great takedown defense and power, while Knight has power but less technical striking. Angelo thinks the odds are wide and Menifield's cardio makes the difference.

Odds are wide
"alonzo with cardio i got to go that side that's got to be my pick i'm going against connecticut here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alonzo Menifield

Big Brady picks Alonzo Menifield to win by first-round knockout, but he is hesitant and says he might stay away from betting this fight. He notes Menifield's power and Knight's poor striking defense (34%), but questions Menifield's cardio and trustworthiness after poor performances. He thinks if Knight can make it a grinding fight, Menifield might fade. However, he expects a finish either way and leans Menifield early.

first round knockout
"i'm going to say minifield knocks him out in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alonzo Menifield

Cody picks Menifield confidently, citing his size, power, and recent improvements. He thinks Knight is too small for the division and has poor striking and wrestling. Cody believes Menifield will knock Knight out or win a decision.

"i will be taking the favor on this spot i got alonzo metafield"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Alonzo Menifield

Daniel Levi picks Alonzo Menifield to win by decision. He notes that Menifield has been pacing himself better and has a higher ceiling. He acknowledges William Knight's power and explosiveness but points out that Knight leaves his chin up and has technical flaws. He thinks Menifield can mix in takedowns and edge out a decision, though he warns that Knight can end anyone's night.

"Give me alonzo manafield to win the decision here"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alonzo Menifield

Jacob picks Menifield, emphasizing he must stay technical and not get into firefights. He notes Knight's head movement is poor and he lunges in, which could lead to a knockout. Jacob thinks Menifield should keep distance and piece Knight apart.

"i'm going alonzo too but he's just got to stay out of the firefights right"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alonzo Menifield

I lean Menifield. He is the better striker with cleaner technique and better defense. He should be able to keep the fight at distance and outpoint Knight. However, Menifield has a tendency to clinch unnecessarily and can be unreliable. I think the fight goes to decision, and Menifield by decision at plus 250 is a decent play.

Menifield by decision +250, fight goes to decision +140
"i got to give the edge to alonzo manfield here i do think he is the better with uh the hands and again i do think he could possibly lean on william knight here and possibly gas them out as …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

Paul picks Knight as an underdog, citing his grappling and the possibility of slowing down Menifield. He notes that Menifield has cardio issues and that Knight could win by grinding him out. Paul is not confident but sees value at plus money.

"i'm more interested in betting the underdog william knight here at plus 130 then i am on lonzo menafield uh as the favorite"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Alonzo Menifield

The MMA Guru picks Alonzo Menifield to win by TKO in the first round via crucifix. He expects Menifield to chop at Knight's legs from range, frustrating him, then secure a takedown and pass to side control. He compares the finish to Dan Hooker's crucifix TKO, with Menifield landing ground-and-pound from the crucifix position.

first round tko
"i'm gonna go alonzo many field crucifix tko dc versus ozdemir style"
WIN vs Fabio Cherant
KO (punches) R1 3:58 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Aug 21, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Knight 1 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Fabio Cherant 0 15 of 23 65% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Knight 1 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Fabio Cherant 0 15 of 23 65% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Knight 14 of 24 58% 5 of 13 1 of 1 8 of 10 11 of 21 0 of 0 3 of 3
Fabio Cherant 15 of 23 65% 3 of 11 10 of 10 2 of 2 15 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Knight 14 of 24 58% 5 of 13 1 of 1 8 of 10 11 of 21 0 of 0 3 of 3
Fabio Cherant 15 of 23 65% 3 of 11 10 of 10 2 of 2 15 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2021 (4 days before fight)
William Knight

Big Brady picks William Knight but with very low confidence. He thinks Knight is the better striker and the fight will likely play out on the feet, but he is not high on either fighter. He notes Cherant has poor takedown defense but doesn't shoot for takedowns often. He predicts a decision win for Knight.

"i'll take william knight to win not overly confident in it but i do think he's the better striker"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

Cody leans toward Knight, citing his wrestling advantage and ability to grind out wins. He notes Knight's poor striking but believes he can take Cherant down. He acknowledges Cherant's potential but thinks Knight's experience gives him the edge.

"gun to my head right now i guess i'll go william knight the line's a lot better it's not 325 anymore"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Fabio Cherant

Both fighters have limited skill sets, but Cherant has a decent submission game and I lean towards him on the feet. Knight's gas tank looked poor last time, and this fight likely goes to a decision. I prefer the over 1.5 rounds and Cherant's plus money, but I'm not confident enough to make him my dog play.

over 1.5 rounds (-150); Cherant by decision (+450)
"i'm going to go with the shron side of things again i do think that he'll do a good enough job in terms of nullifying the clinch"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Fabio Cherant

Paul leans toward Cherant as a dog, noting Knight's poor striking and limited offense. He believes Cherant's footwork and striking could outpoint Knight if he avoids takedowns. He sees value in Cherant at plus money.

"i could see fabio charming a little bit quicker having better footwork and just beating the punch ever so slightly"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2021 (6 days before fight)
William Knight

The MMA Guru picks William Knight to win by TKO in the second round. He thinks Knight is faster, stronger, and more experienced against better competition. He expects both to be explosive early, but Knight will maintain pace longer and finish Cherant in the late second round as Cherant tires.

TKO in the second round
"i'm gonna go with william knight way more experienced against better competition as well i'm gonna trust william knight to get this one done and i think you'll get it done by maybe tko in the first or second round …"
LOSS vs Da Woon Jung
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da Woon Jung 0 28 of 46 60% 73 of 99 8 of 9 88% 0 0 12:04
William Knight 0 17 of 29 58% 38 of 50 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da Woon Jung 0 4 of 8 50% 16 of 20 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:26
William Knight 0 6 of 12 50% 18 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Da Woon Jung 0 24 of 37 64% 39 of 58 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:56
William Knight 0 9 of 12 75% 9 of 12 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Da Woon Jung 0 0 of 1 0% 18 of 21 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:42
William Knight 0 2 of 5 40% 11 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da Woon Jung 28 of 46 60% 20 of 37 0 of 1 8 of 8 11 of 23 0 of 0 17 of 23
William Knight 17 of 29 58% 5 of 13 1 of 1 11 of 15 17 of 26 0 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da Woon Jung 4 of 8 50% 1 of 4 0 of 1 3 of 3 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
William Knight 6 of 12 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 10 6 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Da Woon Jung 24 of 37 64% 19 of 32 0 of 0 5 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 16 of 22
William Knight 9 of 12 75% 3 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 5 9 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Da Woon Jung 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
William Knight 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Big Brady picks Jung to win by first-round knockout. He believes Jung is the better striker with significant power, and Knight is hittable with poor striking defense (33%). Brady expects Jung to stuff Knight's takedowns and land a knockout, as Knight has been knocked out before. He notes that if Knight can grind, he could win, but the more likely scenario is a Jung KO. Brady is passing on betting due to the line movement.

"i'm going to take dongjong to win by give me a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

Cody picks Knight, citing his power, cardio, and ring IQ. He notes Jung's poor performance against Alvey and Knight's ability to come back from adversity. He thinks Knight's pressure and power will be too much.

"i took him plus 120 yesterday because i was like you're giving me plus 120"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, despite his disappointing performance against Sam Alvey. He notes that Jung showed in the third round what he can do when he lets his hands go, and he has a significant height and reach advantage. Levi is concerned about William Knight leaving his chin up in the air and thinks Jung can capitalize. He is not sure about the method but picks Jung to win.

"I'm actually gonna go with dawun zhang to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

The host expects Knight to close the distance, clinch, and drag Jung to the ground, nullifying Jung's size and striking advantage. He notes that Knight is a dense, strong fighter with good durability, and that his grappling-heavy game plan should be effective. He picks Knight to grind out a decision victory, though he acknowledges that Jung has power and could land a knockout.

Knight by decision
"i think knight will be successful in closing a distance getting a hold of jung dragging him to the ground"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

Paul picks Knight, calling him a 'poor man's Derrick Lewis' with power and cardio. He notes Knight's ability to get back up from takedowns and his ring IQ. He thinks Knight is a live dog.

"thick willy's a poor man's derrick lewis"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung, citing his size advantage over the smaller William Knight. He thinks both are not technically great but Jung's reach and front kick will keep Knight at bay. He notes Jung has decent takedown defense and KO power. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Jung.

"i'm going to go with darwin young just by being a bigger guy on the feet"
WIN vs Aleksa Camur
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Knight 0 38 of 54 70% 58 of 77 4 of 5 80% 1 1 6:39
Aleksa Camur 0 17 of 30 56% 59 of 72 1 of 4 25% 0 0 5:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Knight 0 9 of 15 60% 12 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:48
Aleksa Camur 0 5 of 10 50% 23 of 28 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:34
2 William Knight 0 16 of 21 76% 21 of 26 2 of 2 100% 1 1 2:37
Aleksa Camur 0 5 of 11 45% 24 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:44
3 William Knight 0 13 of 18 72% 25 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:14
Aleksa Camur 0 7 of 9 77% 12 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Knight 38 of 54 70% 29 of 40 3 of 6 6 of 8 10 of 24 9 of 9 19 of 21
Aleksa Camur 17 of 30 56% 8 of 18 8 of 11 1 of 1 9 of 22 8 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Knight 9 of 15 60% 6 of 9 1 of 3 2 of 3 5 of 11 4 of 4 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 5 of 10 50% 1 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 William Knight 16 of 21 76% 13 of 16 1 of 2 2 of 3 2 of 6 1 of 1 13 of 14
Aleksa Camur 5 of 11 45% 2 of 5 2 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 William Knight 13 of 18 72% 10 of 15 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 7 4 of 4 6 of 7
Aleksa Camur 7 of 9 77% 5 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 6 3 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Big Brady picks Camur, stating he is the better fighter despite Knight's power. He notes Camur has good durability and has finished 80% of his wins. He attributes Camur's unimpressive UFC debut to octagon jitters and expects a second-round knockout.

Camur by second-round knockout
"i like camera here i'm going to pick him to win uh i'm going to say bye i'm going to say a second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
William Knight

Daniel Levi picks William Knight for the upset, comparing him to a green Derrick Lewis with heart and finishing ability. He believes Knight will capitalize on Camur's inexperience and tense striking, eventually finding a finish. He notes Camur looked tense in his debut and has fought weak competition.

"i think william knight's gonna find the finish so i'm gonna take him here for the upset shaq"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The host leans toward Aleksa Camur but is not confident, calling the fight a pass. He notes that Camur has a better training camp and may be more active, but both fighters are green with many unknowns. He suggests the over 1.5 rounds is the best bet, as both may feel each other out.

over 1.5 rounds (-125)
"I'll go with kamore to win this by decision... but the over one and a half is probably the best spot and again i'm just passing on it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The MMA Guru picks Aleksa Camur, citing his training at Staphae Meochit, youth (24), and good striking defense. He believes Camur will survive the first round and then KO William Knight in the first round with a counterpunch. He notes Knight is past his prime and has not faced high-level competition.

Win by KO in round 1
"i think he's going to go out there and ko william knight in the first round"
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Big Brady picks Jung to win by first-round knockout. He believes Jung is the better striker with significant power, and Knight is hittable with poor striking defense (33%). Brady expects Jung to stuff Knight's takedowns and land a knockout, as Knight has been knocked out before. He notes that if Knight can grind, he could win, but the more likely scenario is a Jung KO. Brady is passing on betting due to the line movement.

"i'm going to take dongjong to win by give me a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

Cody picks Knight, citing his power, cardio, and ring IQ. He notes Jung's poor performance against Alvey and Knight's ability to come back from adversity. He thinks Knight's pressure and power will be too much.

"i took him plus 120 yesterday because i was like you're giving me plus 120"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, despite his disappointing performance against Sam Alvey. He notes that Jung showed in the third round what he can do when he lets his hands go, and he has a significant height and reach advantage. Levi is concerned about William Knight leaving his chin up in the air and thinks Jung can capitalize. He is not sure about the method but picks Jung to win.

"I'm actually gonna go with dawun zhang to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

The host expects Knight to close the distance, clinch, and drag Jung to the ground, nullifying Jung's size and striking advantage. He notes that Knight is a dense, strong fighter with good durability, and that his grappling-heavy game plan should be effective. He picks Knight to grind out a decision victory, though he acknowledges that Jung has power and could land a knockout.

Knight by decision
"i think knight will be successful in closing a distance getting a hold of jung dragging him to the ground"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
William Knight

Paul picks Knight, calling him a 'poor man's Derrick Lewis' with power and cardio. He notes Knight's ability to get back up from takedowns and his ring IQ. He thinks Knight is a live dog.

"thick willy's a poor man's derrick lewis"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung, citing his size advantage over the smaller William Knight. He thinks both are not technically great but Jung's reach and front kick will keep Knight at bay. He notes Jung has decent takedown defense and KO power. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Jung.

"i'm going to go with darwin young just by being a bigger guy on the feet"